Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 257 - 4/15/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 257 - 4/15/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 257 of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:29
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:37
Happy Tuesday. The early portion of our week
0:40
rolls on and we got a lot to talk about on today's podcast.
0:43
Going to get right back to it with Major League Baseball.
0:47
I got a four pack of MLB plays for you guys, including three
0:50
favorites and one dog that isn't sharp.
0:53
But I would argue it is a an opportunity here to take
0:56
advantage of a plus money good team at home in a value play
1:00
spot with a really good, good opportunity here, especially
1:03
with their offense in this spot. So we'll talk MLB and also we're
1:07
gonna get right back to the NBANBA regular season is over.
1:11
But we do have the playoffs, you know, technically starting
1:13
tonight with a couple playing games, Hawks, Magic, Grizzlies,
1:17
warriors. There is one particular system
1:19
that I love to play when it comes to the playoffs and
1:22
including the the play in tournament.
1:23
We do have one opportunity here to to take advantage of a line
1:27
that has moved so much that we can now kind of go the other way
1:30
and high water market and and look toward the opposite
1:33
direction. So I do have a play for you in
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the NBA playoffs. I do have 4 plays for you guys
1:38
in MLB. As always, A5 pack realistic
1:41
expectations. You know, let's go 5 and O
1:43
that'll be amazing. Let's try to go three and two
1:46
realistic expectations eek out a winning night.
1:48
That is the goal. I do want to mention also
1:51
starting today, even though it's the same rhythm live stream 4:00
1:54
PM every Tuesday. It is now rebranded.
1:57
I hosted the Rhythm live stream for college basketball every
2:00
Tuesday at four. Now it is called the Rhythm Lab
2:03
4 O clock Eastern Time. Then I'll be hosting live on
2:07
Twitter, on TikTok, on Instagram, on all those social
2:10
media, you know, resources that you guys lean on.
2:13
All you kids nowadays, I can't even keep track of them.
2:15
I remember AOL instant messenger days.
2:18
I remember Myspace days. I miss putting up away messages.
2:21
That was always fun. But anyway, I would I would love
2:24
to see you guys join If you're interested today at 4 the live
2:27
stream. You can just follow my Twitter
2:29
at Josh under score insights and we'll go live Reddit for talking
2:33
about everything. And that's kind of the beauty of
2:35
this rebranded Tuesday live stream is, you know, NFL Sundays
2:39
with myself and James Santor. It was always NFL Tuesday.
2:42
College hoops was always college hoops.
2:44
Now we get we call it the rhythm lab because we can do anything.
2:47
We can cook up anything in the lab.
2:48
So we're going to talk NBA, we're going to talk MLB, maybe
2:52
hit on some player props. And if you have any questions
2:54
about rhythm, you want to give it a shot.
2:55
Maybe you're you're new to it, you think it's really cool, but
2:57
you don't totally understand it. Tune into the 4:00 live streams
3:01
now every Tuesday for Eastern Time with the rhythm Lab with
3:05
myself. And I'm looking forward to
3:07
seeing you guys there. Now looking back to our last
3:09
night winning night. Good start to the Week 2 and 1 +
3:13
0.71 units. Had a couple good hits with the
3:16
with the Yankees. Yeah, the New York Yankees, they
3:19
go for win 4 to 1. Four solo bombs got us the win
3:23
there. And wasn't it pretty, pretty
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sketchy? Carrasco 7 ERA and was favored.
3:28
Still got the win though, embracing that fishy side and
3:31
the G men. Talk about a sharp play that
3:33
came up huge. The Giants just kept getting
3:36
steamed and steamed and steamed. They open like plus 115.
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They close like, you know, there's still a dog like -1 O 5,
3:42
but big, big movement. No buyback.
3:45
San Fran got it done. 3:50 Their bats came alive later in the
3:48
game, which was great. Only loser was the Twins.
3:51
I don't know what it is about the twins.
3:52
I feel like I'm cursed with the twins.
3:54
I think I've played them three times this year and lost all
3:56
three. So twins, you're dead to me.
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But a winning night nonetheless. 2 and 1 + 0.71 units.
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We'll take it. We'll put it in our bankroll,
4:04
put it in our pocket, reinvest it to today.
4:07
So that being said, let's start off the pod with some NBA
4:10
because it is the postseason and I to be honest with you guys, I
4:13
think I like betting the postseason more than the regular
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season. Regular season, you always got
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to go through the just, you know, aggravation of who's going
4:21
to play, who's not going to play, load management, rest.
4:24
At least in the playoffs, you kind of know everyone's playing.
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You know, there are fewer games to choose from.
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They get extremely heavily bet there are contrarian
4:31
opportunities. They're pretty much all prime
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time and we got a lot of systems to lean on.
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So hopefully the start of a good NFL, our NBA postseason.
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I should, I should say, but I'm going to focus on the early game
4:43
tonight, the Atlanta Hawks and the Orlando Magic.
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I believe the winner plays the Boston Celtics.
4:48
So, you know, we're all, we're all be rooting as a Celts fan,
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but as a better, I'm not going to play the side in this one,
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you know, because you do have, you know, the, the Magic coming
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in 41 and 41, Hawks 40 and 42, both basically 500 teams this
5:01
year. We did see the line move a
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little bit toward the Orlando Magic -5 up to -5 1/2.
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But I'm looking toward the total here.
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And the first thing I noticed with this total is that it got
5:11
steamed upwards. Now this total opened at around
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217 1/2 and now it is up to 219, even 219 1/2.
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So I fully admit, you know, we got to respect the market
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telling us that, hey, when this thing opened up, you had some
5:25
respect to money hit over 217 1/2 / 218, maybe over 218 1/2.
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But now they're all the way up to 219 or 219 1/2.
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I'm thinking there's an opportunity to buy low and take
5:36
this under. And here's my thought process.
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One, we're taking advantage of an inflated line.
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Again, it's moved, you know, 2 basically 1 1/2, two, 2 1/2
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points from the opener. We are currently getting across
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the market upwards of 75% of bets here playing the over at
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DraftKings. So you're going to see this in
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pretty much all the postseason games.
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Publix just going to want to play the over because it's fun
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to root for points. It's nationally televised 730 on
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TNT. So even if you just don't look
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at we'll get to in a second, your system matches different
6:08
angles here to to lean with the under with analytics, analytics
6:12
and sabermetrics and all that kind of stuff or sabermetrics
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only MLBI guess you can call for all sports anyway, aside from
6:19
just we'll get to the you know, the by law or sell high
6:22
opportunity to go under. This is just a straight up
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contrarian play. Everybody and their mother is
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playing the over in this Hawks magic game, getting three out of
6:29
four bets 75%. However, we have an opportunity
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to sell high and take this under.
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So I got under 219 1/2 at ESPN bet shop around because most
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books are 219. This is the importance of having
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multiple outs getting the best price ESPN bet still, as I'm
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speaking right now, hopefully I can get this pod uploaded and
6:51
it's still available to you. If you didn't, you know, follow
6:53
me on the the juice reel app, which I put in the under 219 and
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F hint hint tip jar 499 a week. Get those plays early.
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But anyway, 219 and F is your best number.
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I played that under 219 and F at ESPN bet that was under at -115.
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I would love to see this thing, you know, closer we get to
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tonight, 7:30, maybe start to fall, you know, can we see it
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fall to 218 1/2? We want to be with that late
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movement. But here's my thought process.
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It's a contrarian play. Everyone's playing the over.
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We're getting an inflated number because it's moved upwards.
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But here's what I really like about this under.
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I was looking at play in unders historically.
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So we've done the play in tournament for a few years now
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at this point. Did you guys know that in play
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in games since again, the Adam Silver in the NBA, you know,
7:38
kind of came up with this idea, which I kind of think is cool.
7:41
At the time I thought it was kind of dumb, but it just gives
7:44
you more games to bet on, gives more teams opportunities to to
7:47
make the postseason, makes the regular season maybe a little
7:50
more interesting. But anyway, the under in play in
7:53
games is 17 and 771 percent 36% ROI.
8:00
So you're basically seeing play in unders cash 7 out of 10
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games. I would argue the reason for
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that is this isn't just a regular season game.
8:07
This is kind of a game seven do or die, you know, one game
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sample. So you got it.
8:12
You got to win to to advance here and if you lose your out.
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So it's kind of that, you know, maybe maybe be careful with the
8:18
ball. Don't take too many chances, get
8:20
a good shot from the shot clock. So those those late those
8:24
postseason unders historically are good anyway.
8:27
But these playing unders again, 17 and 771% style of play.
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As I just mentioned, you're going to try to lock down on
8:34
defense a little bit, maybe not be too crazy and take too many
8:37
chances. Now let's get into some of the
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analytics here. Orlando Magic are very slow.
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Slow pace is good for an under Orlando ranks 28th in the NBA in
8:47
pace offensive efficiency. Orlando is 27th, not very good.
8:52
Now Atlanta's a little bit better 18th, but basically both
8:55
are, you know, bottom third of the league in in offensive
8:59
efficiency. Orlando is great defensively.
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They ranked number 2IN defensive efficiency.
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The Magic have been a really good under team this year.
9:07
They're 47 and 35 to the under 57.3%.
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That is the number two or second best under team in the NBA.
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The Magic at home are 25 and 16 to the under 61%.
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And a little cherry on top is the fact that our friends at
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Rhythm are telling us to play this under.
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Rhythm has a projected final score of 110.5 to one O 7 or
9:32
sorry, 110.5 to one O 5.7. You do a little math, you add
9:36
those numbers up again, it's kind of right on the spread,
9:39
which you know, 5 up to 5 1/2 will need a little bit to the
9:42
magic, but it's kind of right on the number.
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Rhythms got about a five point game, but if you had those two
9:46
projected final scores up, that is 216.2.
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So we have everyone playing the over.
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Yes, it's risen. We got to respect that movement
9:56
to the over, but now that it's risen so high, is 219 1/2 the
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high watermark? I hope it is.
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I would argue that it will be hopefully.
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Again, I can't predict it. Maybe it goes to 2:20 and I'll
10:05
get nervous, but it feels like 219 F could be your high
10:09
watermark. Play and unders have been great.
10:11
We got slow pace, bad offense, good defense.
10:14
We got a really good under team in the Magic.
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We have the style of play leading to lower scoring games,
10:18
and we got rhythm predicting or projecting around a 216 final
10:23
score. So add it all up here, guys.
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Again, I don't really care who wins, but I'm going to play this
10:29
under. See if we can get a lower
10:30
scoring game. Take advantage of not a sharp
10:33
under, but an inflated value play under.
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I think it's important to kind of know why you're betting a
10:37
game. Is it because it's a classic
10:39
sharp play, a contrarian play, a system match play, or again, a
10:43
value play based on some of these good analytics, like from
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our friends at Rhythm. So give me the under 219 1/2.
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Get that hook Hawks Magic under 219 1/2.
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Now let's go to some Major League Baseball.
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Getting back to the grind, the grind that I love on a daily
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basis. First one that jumped out to me.
11:00
Let's talk about a 6:45 PM Eastern Time.
11:03
First pitch right back to what is it Citizens Bank Ballpark
11:07
Phillies hosting the G men. Now let's set the table here.
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Talk line movement. I'll give you my play.
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The Giants come in 12 and four had a huge win for us last
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night. 3:50 They closed as a -, 1 O 5 Rd. dog in that one.
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Tonight's rematch, we got the G men going with Justin Verlander,
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42 years old, still in the bigs, but he's not doing great.
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O&O 6.92 ERA. Meanwhile, the Phils, who are 9
11:30
and seven, they counter with the lefty hey, Zeus Lizardo, 2 and
11:33
11.5 O ERA. Lizardo has been really good to
11:37
start. So what have we seen across the
11:38
market? Will this game open with the
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Phils around a -, 140 -, 145 home favorite G men around plus
11:46
1/25 at the open. And we've seen nothing but
11:49
Philly movement roll in again. Philly's open -140 -, 145 now
11:54
across the market, they're upwards of -160 -, 165 S big
11:59
steam hitting the Phills. Look at the bet splits here.
12:02
Phills 73% of money line bets, 85% of money line dollars at
12:07
DraftKings. So good low bets, higher dollar
12:09
split. Publix probably just saying,
12:11
yeah, Philly's a good team. They'll bounce back and win
12:13
tonight. Whereas the wise guys, they're
12:15
betting based on their edge, maybe when this open -140 -145
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they had it, you know, closer to -150 to begin with, which is why
12:22
they hammered it. A lot of system matches on
12:24
Philly home favorites this year continue to do well.
12:28
One O 5 and 5566 percent, 10% ROI.
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Home favorites off a loss are bounce back System 41 and 1870
12:36
percent, 17% ROI. Home favorites with a winning
12:40
record 50 and 2170 percent, 14% ROI.
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So three good systems lighting up on the Phills.
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Phillies would also have some additional value.
12:50
We got the correlative betting value, favorite low total, you
12:53
know, kind of a hefty favorite at this point -160 -, 165 and a
12:57
total of 8. So if your amount of expected
13:00
run scored, more likely never a guarantee, but more likely to
13:03
come from quote UN quote the better team based on the minus
13:07
number in front of their odds. And then we also have a non
13:09
division favorite, lack of familiarity benefiting that
13:11
better team. Now, I hope the Phills light up
13:14
Verlander. They have the better bats.
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They're hitting 258 at home this year, 12th in Major League
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Baseball. San Fran is hitting two O 9 on
13:21
the road, 20th in baseball. Giants also, maybe this is a a
13:26
match up that we should hopefully lean on, but going up
13:29
against Lizardo and lefties. The G men are only hitting $1.95
13:33
against lefties this year, 25th in baseball.
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Meanwhile, Verlander ERA of nine and his last two April starts.
13:40
He's giving up eight runs in eight innings.
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Meanwhile, Lizardo, again, he's been good.
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Hope he continues tonight. He's only giving up two runs or
13:47
less in all three starts this season.
13:50
So we got big steam on the Phils.
13:52
I'm following that big steam. Give me Philly.
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You can get Philly as low as -160 at BET MGM -162 at FanDuel.
14:00
The rest of the books are like -165 but let's go.
14:04
Phil's next one for you. 7 O, 5:00 PM Eastern Time.
14:08
First pitch the Guardians at the O's.
14:11
So this is the opener of a three-game series.
14:14
Guardians come in eight and seven.
14:16
Just took two or three against the Royals.
14:18
Didn't get the sweep though. They lost Sunday's series finale
14:20
4 to 2 as a + 120 home dog. On the other hand, the OS six
14:24
and nine kind of a bit of a struggle here to start the year,
14:27
but they did just split A2 game series against the Jays.
14:30
It was a three-game series. You had one game rained out.
14:32
But they lost that finale 7 to 6 and extra innings on Sunday as a
14:36
- 135 home favorite. So pitching match up here, we
14:40
have the Guardians going out going with lefty Logan Allen.
14:43
He's O and one 3.6 O ERA. The OS, meanwhile, are going to
14:47
go with the righty Charlie Morton O and three 8.78 ERA.
14:51
So what have you seen across the market here?
14:54
A lot of steam on the Birds. Baltimore Orioles open this game
14:59
around a -, 130 home favorite. Now we're seeing the OS upwards
15:03
of around -150 -, 155 S big steam, just like the steam
15:08
hitting Philly. Same thing here with Baltimore.
15:11
Baltimore is only getting 53% of money line bets, but 97% of
15:17
money line dollars at Circa. So it tells me we got out in the
15:20
desert. A lot of big sharp money playing
15:22
the O's. I want to be with that sharp
15:23
money, so give me the O's here. A lot of system matches on
15:27
Baltimore as well. Similar ones to the Phillies,
15:31
but home favorites 66 percent, 10% ROI this year, Home
15:35
favorites off a loss 70% seventeen percent ROI.
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But listen to this one. You guys remember this one when
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both teams are coming off a day off.
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So both were off yesterday. The favorite in those games 23
15:48
and 485% this year, 41% ROI. It's real.
15:52
I double checked it but a great match there on the OS.
15:56
Orioles have the better bats starting 23566 runs scored,
16:00
Guardians hitting two 2259 runs scored.
16:03
Baltimore does have that non division favorite value, lack of
16:07
familiarity benefiting the better team.
16:09
And if you look at a lot of the O's players they have good
16:12
numbers against lefties and in particular against Allen.
16:17
One guy that comes to mind is Tyler O'Neill who really mashes
16:20
lefties. So a lot of their lineup just
16:22
came out has has some good hitters against lefties.
16:25
Hopefully that's a benefit and they can get to Logan Allen.
16:28
But big steam just like the Phil's.
16:29
Any of you like Philly, like Baltimore or vice versa?
16:32
But I'm on Baltimore. You can get a -, 150 at Bet MGM
16:36
right now -152 at FanDuel. By the way, Baltimore also has a
16:41
12% sharp mush edge in the Juice Reel app.
16:45
So the sharper better than Juice Reel are going Baltimore as
16:48
well. So let's go O's -150 Bet MGM
16:52
next one for you Angels at the Texas Rangers.
16:56
This is an 8 O 5:00 PM Eastern Time.
16:58
First pitch opener of a three-game set.
17:01
Now the Angels, I got to admit I'm surprised they've played so
17:04
well. 9:00 and 6:00 to start the year, but did just drop 2 out of
17:07
three against the Stroh's they lost Sunday series finale 7 to 3
17:11
as a + 140 Rd. dog. Meanwhile the Rangers nine and
17:14
seven. I got there over 85 1/2 win
17:16
total. So let's stay at least above
17:18
500. They just got swept by the
17:20
Mariners. Not great for the win total.
17:22
They lost 3:00 to 1:00 on Sunday as a + 125 Rd. dog.
17:26
So for the opener here we have the Angels going with the lefty.
17:30
You say Kikuchi O and two ERA 5 the Rangers.
17:34
This was kind of annoying because and you got to deal with
17:37
this when you're betting baseball, but at one point they
17:40
said it was going to be Patrick Corbin, which would have been
17:43
maybe a fade. Patrick Corbin day.
17:45
However, they switched to Tyler Melee and that's a good thing
17:49
because melee has been really good this year 2 and O 1.32 ERA.
17:54
So Texas open this game at a lot of shops.
17:57
You know very kind of slight -115 home favorite and once we
18:01
saw Corbin out and melee in you saw some steam hit Texas.
18:05
Texas went from -115 now up to -120 -. 125 at DraftKings.
18:10
The Rangers 65% bets 73% dollars.
18:14
So good split their pro and Joe in favor of Texas.
18:18
Texas also is lighting up a lot of system matches.
18:21
Home favorites 66 percent, 10% ROI Home favorites off a loss,
18:25
70% seventeen percent ROI. Home faves with a winning record
18:30
70% fourteen percent ROI and they got that.
18:34
Both had the day off. Take the favorite system match
18:36
23 and 485 percent 41% ROI. Kikuchi has made three starts
18:42
this year. They've all been on the road.
18:44
Angels are O and three in those games.
18:46
He's giving up three earned runs or more in all three starts.
18:48
Meanwhile, Tyler Melee 0.75 ERA in two April starts.
18:52
He's only given up one run in 12 innings.
18:55
Just pitched a gem in Chicago. Also our friends at Juice Reel,
18:59
16% sharp mush edge there on the Rangers.
19:03
So I'm glad it's not Corbin. I'm going to put some faith here
19:06
in Tyler Melee. I'm going to go with the Rangers
19:09
here. Shop around.
19:10
I got Texas -120 at FanDuel, some books are a little higher,
19:14
closer to -125 now last bed of the night.
19:18
This to me is not a sharp play, but it is a value play and I'm
19:22
taking a shot on a really good team at home, getting some plus
19:25
money. So 9:40 PM Eastern Time, the
19:28
Cubbies at the Padres. Cubs come in 11 and 8, Padres 14
19:33
and 3. Great starts of the year.
19:34
We saw the Cubs win last night's opener. 3:50 They got that done
19:39
as around a -, 145 home favorite.
19:43
So pitching match up here, we have Shota and Managa, the lefty
19:47
going for the Cubbies 2 and 12.7 OERA.
19:49
He'll be opposed by Randy Vasquez, the righty one and one
19:53
1.72 ERA. So what are we seeing across the
19:56
market here? Well, there's been a ton of
19:58
Chicago Cubs team. I kind of can't make sense of
20:02
why there's been so much steam on the Cubs.
20:04
They open as low as -120 -, 130. Now they're all the way up to
20:10
like -160. So got to admit, cubbies taking
20:15
a lot of money here, but I am going to play the Padres in a
20:19
value play. What do I mean by that?
20:22
Well first thing is the fact that you're getting a pretty
20:25
good plus money payout on one of the best teams in baseball plus
20:27
135. You can find that right now it's
20:30
Caesar's. I also noticed that my friends
20:33
at Rhythm have a bunch of system matches lighting up on the
20:38
Padres. I have a pre built model Padres
20:41
plus 135. I have my Josh model and I have
20:45
my ground ball pitching combined with walks model all lighting up
20:49
telling me to take the Padres. So I got my rhythm system
20:53
matches. Then I did dug a little bit
20:55
deeper offensively. San Diego hitting 284, the Cubs
20:59
hitting 258. The Padres are 11 and O at home
21:02
this year. They've been great.
21:04
The Padres believe it or not, are contrarian too.
21:06
The public seems to like in Monoga and the Cubs here as
21:09
well. Padres are only getting 43% of
21:11
bets. So to me this isn't a sharp play
21:13
in the pods. It's a buy low value play.
21:15
It's almost kind of like that sell high under in the NBA.
21:19
But now listen to this Cubs against lefty or sorry, the
21:22
Padres against lefties this year, they're hitting 256.
21:26
That is 6th best in baseball and they're hitting 291 at home, 4th
21:31
best in baseball. So they've been great at home.
21:34
They've been great against lefties.
21:36
That's the spot they're in tonight.
21:38
Now we look at the bullpen. If this is a close game, San
21:40
Diego is the number one bullpen in baseball, 1.57 ERA.
21:44
Cubs are the fifth worst bullpen in baseball, 5.23 ERA.
21:49
Also, Randy Vasquez has not been that bad.
21:52
He's actually been pretty good this year, 1.72 ERA.
21:55
He has gone no runs, two runs and one run in his three starts
22:00
this year. So fully admit if the Cubs roll
22:02
here, I'll say what am I doing going against this big steam?
22:05
But to me, this is one of those plays where you're getting a
22:08
good team at a really good price.
22:10
You're getting probably the best of the number.
22:11
I can't imagine this goes much higher toward the Cubbies.
22:14
Maybe we'll start to see some buyback on San Diego.
22:17
But I I thought, hey, we got a good team against lefties, good
22:20
team at home, good bullpen. I got some rhythm system
22:23
matches. I'm going to take a shot here on
22:25
the pods. Let's go dads plus 135 S Padres,
22:30
Texas, Baltimore and Philly and that buy low Orlando, Atlanta,
22:33
Hawks under 219 1/2. Those are my 5 plays tonight.
22:37
You can tail, you can fade, you can pick and choose, but I'm
22:40
hoping for some winners here. You got a two and one winning
22:42
night. That is the goal.
22:44
So that about does it for episode 257 of the All Systems
22:47
Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
22:50
This is the part of the pod, of course, where we wrap things up
22:53
and I start first by saying thank you.
22:54
Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
22:57
busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
23:00
sharp betting breakdowns with me.
23:02
If you do enjoy this pod and you value the insights, win, lose or
23:06
draw, you feel like you're getting some good information to
23:08
help you make some smart bets, which is always my ultimate
23:11
goal, then please do me a solid. Give this pod a five star
23:15
review. If you're listening on Spotify
23:17
or iTunes and also if you want to review and leave a nice
23:20
comment, that would be great as well.
23:22
If you want to click the follow button, that way you get alerted
23:24
as soon as it drops each day. That would also be fantastic.
23:27
And hey, if you want to recommend word of mouth to a
23:30
friend, that would also be great.
23:32
Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
23:35
sharp contrarian betting, monitoring the market like we're
23:38
Wall Street traders looking at the stock market, trying to
23:41
figure out where the smart money is going, which stocks to buy,
23:44
which stocks to sell. If that is the goal and you are
23:47
now interested in data-driven betting, not every sharp play
23:50
will win. Not every line move will win.
23:53
Not every contrarian play will win.
23:55
But it is a model that you can lean on and hopefully refine,
24:00
you know, as you continue to bet.
24:01
But if that is the case and you want to learn more about
24:03
data-driven betting, you know what you should do.
24:05
You should go to Amazon.com and type in the everything Guide to
24:09
sports betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
24:12
friend. It's got everything I've learned
24:13
in the industry. I wrote it against the public,
24:16
with the house, with the pros. Everything we talked about is
24:19
all lined up and the everything guide to sports betting.
24:22
So if you want to pick one up, you would make my day.
24:24
Also, if you want to also make my day and get a get a second
24:27
Gold Star, you should also stay on Amazon.
24:30
Once you buy the everything Guide to Sports betting, then
24:32
you're going to pre-order a copy of the NFL Sharp Betting
24:36
Playbook. My next book that I've spent the
24:38
last three years working on. It comes out August 12th.
24:41
I can't wait for you guys to read it.
24:43
I'm very proud of it and I really can't wait to see it
24:45
drop. But if you want to support the
24:47
pod, let me know you appreciate the pod.
24:49
You should definitely pre-order a copy of the NFL Sharp Betting
24:52
Playbook. So you'll bring the NFL Sharp
24:54
Betting Playbook and the Everything Guide to Sports
24:56
Betting to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
24:58
I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale or what?
25:02
What should we do? Maybe get some nachos or
25:03
something like that. Get a burger next if you haven't
25:06
done it yet. What are you waiting for?
25:08
Go download Rhythm and Juice Reel, my two favorite sports
25:10
betting apps. They're they're fantastic
25:13
because they're all about data and not opinion or bias.
25:17
Look at Rhythm, of course, the AI backed models and predictions
25:20
for game bets and player props, which I love and you can also
25:24
get a juice reel. We can sign up for the all
25:26
systems go best bet picks. Remember this pod is free.
25:29
If you enjoy the pod tip your podcast host and do it by
25:33
signing up to get the $4.99 a week best bets from the juice
25:37
reel app. You can click the link right in
25:40
the bio description of the pod. I always put those there if you
25:42
guys want them, but also you're going to get the robo Jackson
25:45
best bet picks. The sharp mush edges, the
25:47
arbitrage plays. Shop for the best line futures.
25:50
All that and great information located in the Juice Reel app.
25:53
So download Rhythm and download Juice Reel and give them a five
25:56
star review in the App Store. Next, if you're betting on
25:59
sports, you got to have a live odds page.
26:02
You got to know all the games that you can bet on that day
26:05
listed out nicely. You need the lines on all the
26:07
games, but not just the current line, what it opened at, how it
26:10
moved line history to figure out the points of resistance and buy
26:14
back. You got to know the juice to see
26:16
which direction it might move. Which would answer the question,
26:18
should I bet it now or should I wait?
26:20
Then you got to be able to shop for the best line.
26:22
You got to have all the books, their current numbers and go
26:25
place your bet at the book that gives you that best price.
26:27
And the best live odds page to do that is Odds Logic.
26:31
If you are new to Odds Logic, I've partnered up with Odds
26:34
Logic. I love their live odds page.
26:35
It's affordable, you know, it's clean, it's crisp.
26:39
I think you guys will like it if you give it a shot and I want
26:41
you to try it out by going to the specific link, Odds
26:45
logic.com/josh 123. That's Odds logic.com/josh 123.
26:52
That'll get you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first
26:55
month. And if you ever have any
26:57
questions about Odds Logic, Juice, Real Rhythm, any of this
26:59
stuff, you can always DM me on Twitter at Josh under score
27:03
Insights. So as always, I'm gonna leave
27:06
you with a couple things. Whether I see you at the Borgata
27:08
and Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New
27:11
Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut, at the
27:14
Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield
27:18
or the Nash and National New Hampshire and my neck of the
27:20
woods. Or of course, out in the desert
27:23
where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters sends
27:25
his number runners with Lois Juice.
27:27
Possible is found at the South Point or Sweat and sharp
27:30
contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
27:32
When they catch a big ticket at Circa.
27:34
You're going to walk up to me. You're going to show me a
27:37
Yankees ticket, You're going to show me AG men ticket that G men
27:40
play sharp as an amp tack. Nothing better than a sharp play
27:43
that comes through for you. Guess what?
27:45
First one's on me, next one's on you.
27:47
We're going to post about the book.
27:48
So what's some NBA play in an MLB action here for tonight?
27:52
So as always, guys two and one, one and two, three and OO and
27:55
three again, last night's results, even though we're human
27:59
and a good night, you feel good, bad night you feel down, we're
28:02
always going to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint.
28:04
That game is based on data, not based on bias and gut instinct.
28:08
And really try to find games that fit the model against the
28:11
public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays,
28:14
get that CLV. If we can do that, if we can
28:17
bypass the games that don't check off all the boxes and
28:20
maybe have a red flag or two and get down on the games that are
28:23
checking off the boxes, games that are being played with our
28:27
head and not our heart. If we can do that, then we're
28:29
going to be successful sports bettors.
28:31
So have a great Tuesday, everyone.
28:33
Again, 4:00 Eastern Time, hop into the live stream on Twitter.
28:38
Again, you can find me at Josh under score insights.
28:40
My little you know, profile pic will go live.
28:42
You click that boom, you're right in.
28:44
So hope to see you guys there, but good luck everyone.
28:47
Enjoy your Tuesday night and then we'll be right back at it
28:50
for a big Wednesday episode 258 of the all systems go sports
28:54
betting podcast. That'll be tomorrow.
28:56
Good luck everyone and enjoy your night.