Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3889 Dems Face Polling NIGHTMARE for Midterms as another Blue State TURNING RED!!!

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Ep. 3889 Dems Face Polling NIGHTMARE for Midterms as another Blue State TURNING RED!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats are in a free fall, seven months out from the 2026 midterms, the party that one streamed of a permanent blue majority is staring at poll numbers so catastrophic that even their own operatives are calling it a nightmare.
• 0:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: And it's not just the polls, one of the blue estates in the nation, a state Democrats have won in every single presidential election for 20 years is now on a clear documented undeniable trajectory toward turning red.
• 0:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's why virtually every major Democrat presidential hopeful for 2028 is now running away from the very positions they once championed as recently as 2020.
• 1:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's not a pivot.
• 1:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's panic.
• 1:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: And we're going to find out exactly what the numbers say, exactly which blue state is turning red.
• 1:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: And exactly why today is a very, very bad day to be a Democrat.
• 1:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, you're a Page of Professor, enjoying getting another glorious day in Trump's Golden Age that you made possible back in November of 2024, so if you want a front row seat on how you continue to change the world in ways you never even imagined, you know what to do, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button.
• 1:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: So we are now just over seven months away from the midterms, and frankly things could not possibly be worse.
• 1:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: for the Democrats.
• 1:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, before I show you the latest polling, again, we've got to make sure we keep in mind that midterms are historically, well, frankly, disastrous for the party in power.
• 1:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
• 1:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, over the last century, the party in power, the party has the White House has lost seats in every single midterm for the exception of three.
• 2:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: 1934, 1998 and 2002.
• 2:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's it.
• 2:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: Otherwise the party in power loses seats and it's an average of just over 20 seats.
• 2:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: Laws.
• 2:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the midterms are always an uphill battle for the party in power.
• 2:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: I just want to make sure you know that going in.
• 2:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: That said, we are seeing signs that 2026 may indeed be one of those exceptional midterm elections.
• 2:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: Take a look.
• 2:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: at this.
• 2:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's just take a look at this, net favorability, party ahead at this point, mid-term years with a GOP president in 2018, Dems are up by 12, in 2006 on net favorability, which party like more Dems are hit by 18, Republicans are actually ahead on net favorability at this point by five points.
• 2:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: So Democrats are just simply put running behind their previous benchmarks and they need to be running well ahead of them if they want to take back the United States Senate.
• 3:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, those are key metrics that you just saw there from Harry Anton of CNN 2006 and 2018.
• 3:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: Those were the last two blowout elections for the Democrats, midterm elections.
• 3:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, in 2006, Democrats won 31 house seats and six Senate seats.
• 3:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: And in 2018, they won 40 seats in the house, but they actually lost two seats.
• 3:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: in the Senate.
• 3:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: So Trump has been able to pull this off before.
• 3:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's very red.
• 3:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's only happened five times in the last, uh, century five times has a president gain seats in the Senate, uh, while holding the White House.
• 3:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: So if we use those two blowout elections as our gauge,
• 3:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: You'll see that their approval was up by 18 in 06, and plus 12 in 2018.
• 3:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: And where are they today?
• 3:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: Where are the Democrats today?
• 3:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: According to CNN, no, no less.
• 4:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're actually minus five.
• 4:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's the GOP that's up, which is a radical inversion from the last two mid-terms where the Democrats dominated.
• 4:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's actually a 23-point swing toward the GOP from 2008.
• 4:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now it gets worse.
• 4:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: Rasmusiness Trump's latest job approval as of today at 47 percent, which given the radical partisan divide in the country's very, very good, 45 in above is bad news for the party in power.
• 4:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: Presidential approval rating and right track wrong track polling, a two of the most accurate indicators for midterm results.
• 4:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now there's a fascinating piece out from Axios, which is giving us further insight in how Democrats themselves are seeing things.
• 4:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's a fascinating admission.
• 4:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: It tells you everything you need to know about the Democrat Party heading into 2028 and it's not a pretty picture for them.
• 5:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: The headline says it all.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats weighing 2028 campaigns are running away from their own
• 5:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: So bottom line nearly every major potential presidential candidate sort of talking about grease monkey news some and Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg and Cory Booker.
• 5:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're all now actively distancing themselves from the progressive agenda.
• 5:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: They championed just a few short years ago.
• 5:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: So on board of security, DEI, defunding the police,
• 5:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're all in full retreat, right?
• 5:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Newsom, who used the word Latinx repeatedly in 2020.
• 5:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, Braing said not one person in his office has ever used the word Latinx, or Josh Shapiro, who was at the center of some of the most draconian COVID lockdowns here in Pennsylvania.
• 6:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now says Democrats mismanaged the masking and vaccine mandates.
• 6:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: Right, he's now saying that the king of DEI is now saying that DEI makes people feel like they're being dragged into a portlandia training session.
• 6:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're all running away from the very positions that they all took as recent as 2020 and Axios to their credit.
• 6:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: is pointing out that that backtracking is an admission.
• 6:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's an open admission among these presidential hopefuls and good luck with that that they can't win a general election by doubling down on wokeness because wokeness is the single most unpopular political posture in the country.
• 6:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Even half the left, the bill, more left, despises wokeness.
• 6:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Moreover, Axis points out
• 6:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: that they're abandoning wokeness only goes halfway because these same candidates are simultaneously moving further left on tech and AI and and also on Israel, I guess for the exception Josh Shapiro on that.
• 7:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: Bernie Sanders remains one of the most popular figures in the entire party.
• 7:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: So they're trying to pivot right on certain cultural issues, but they still remain Mired in the hard left when it comes to tech AI Israel.
• 7:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: So what you have is a party trying to say to completely opposite things at once and voters
• 7:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: According to these polls, are apparently seeing right through it again.
• 7:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: The problem here is that the Democrats are consistently on the wrong side of what we call 80-20 issues.
• 7:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: So whether we're talking border security or mass deportations, ice raids, banning transathletes and women's sports,
• 7:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: voter ID, law and order, crack and down on crime, Democrats are staking their positions consistently with the fringe far left that can barely garnered 20% support.
• 8:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're the party of open borders, cashless bail, ID, less elections, caring more about illegals and citizens, more about transathletes and female athletes, and this is absolutely killing them politically.
• 8:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: And as we're about to see, it's even forcing one of the blueist-a-blue states to the precipice of turning red.
• 8:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Wait until you see this.
• 8:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: But first, who loves sushi?
• 8:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: I know I do.
• 8:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: I am a huge, see, oh yeah, I'm wise from
• 8:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: Japan.
• 8:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: My whole family loves Sushi as do a growing number of Americans.
• 8:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: In fact, over the last two decades, raw fish consumption has exploded.
• 8:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Sushi bars are everywhere.
• 8:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Gross restores and gas stations sell it in millions of people now eat raw fish weekly.
• 8:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: But there is a hidden risk.
• 8:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Most people never think about parasites.
• 9:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Sammons one of the worst.
• 9:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's one of the most popular fish worldwide, but it naturally contains more than 70 parasites.
• 9:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, most are tiny and nearly impossible to see, and they're making their way into the human body.
• 9:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: Once inside, parasites can hide for years.
• 9:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: while frequently laying eggs before any symptoms appear.
• 9:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is why many physicians are raising awareness about parasite exposure.
• 9:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Dr. Peter McCullough recommends doing a parasite cleanse at least once a year as a preventative measure.
• 9:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Wellness Company offers a hard-to-access, rxparasite cleanse, USA compounded, Ivermectin, and Membendisol.
• 9:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Ivermectin paralyzes the parasite's nervous system,
• 9:48
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• 9:58
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• 10:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: that cost $250 less, giving you $2, 21-day Parasite Clean Cycles.
• 10:11
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• 10:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Head on over to twc.health-slash-turly and use code-turly to say $52 off plus free shipping USA Residence only.
• 10:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: The state of New Mexico, which has not gone red since 2004, looks as if it's on a clear trajectory to becoming a solid red state.
• 10:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: Voter registration numbers for the month of March showed a pickup for the GOP of over 500 voters in a small state like New Mexico.
• 10:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's huge, especially when it's part of an ongoing pattern.
• 10:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: In fact, election forecast for Seth Cashell is including New Mexico.
• 10:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: As one of a tier of four forthcoming presidential red states, the GOP added approximately 15,000 new voters in New Mexico from November of 2024 to July of 2025,
• 11:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: to 437,000 by July of 25, but just as importantly during that same period Democrats actually lost voters.
• 11:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: They saw a decline of just 11,000 voters creating a net swing get this of approximately 26,000 voters in favor of Republicans since 2024.
• 11:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now to put that in perspective,
• 11:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: The most updated map has again of 21,000 Republicans since November of 2024 in Kamala Harris, one new Mexico by just 55,000.
• 11:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the Republicans are cutting that lead in half.
• 11:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: They are clearly closing in here in terms of basically outregistering the Democrats into political irrelevance in the state that Democrats have won in every presidential election in the last 20 years.
• 12:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, the key to the shift towards the GOPs, of course, the two main groups that make a substantial part of the new Trumpian mega coalition, working class voters and Latinos.
• 12:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, and those, those two, in order to make up,
• 12:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: the demographics of new Mexico.
• 12:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: So basically, the white working class and the non-white working class are defecting in mass numbers over to the GOP and are poised now to flip what has been for the last two decades when of the most reliably blue states in the nation.
• 12:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: And the key to that shift as newsweek recently reported on is that the Obama coalition has basically transformed into the Trump coalition.
• 12:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: massive voter registration shifts that are happening all across the country.
• 13:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Obama coalition has turned into the Trump coalition.
• 13:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: And what that means is that the working class constituents, the Gabel bomb is massive victory back in 2008, have largely abandoned the Democrat party and embrace maga.
• 13:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: Right.
• 13:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: We got to remember that at the heart of the Obama coalition was the working class, both white and non-white.
• 13:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: So support from the white working class helped Obama win states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Iowa, twice in a row.
• 13:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: And the Latino vote, which is predominantly the non-white working class helped Obama win Florida twice.
• 13:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: Latina's voted for Obama in 2008 by a margin of more than two to one, basically 70% to McCain and Romney's 30%.
• 13:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: What's happening is that both the white non-white working class have defected and massed to Trump.
• 13:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: It started with the white working class back in 2016, where yet 200 counties
• 14:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: in Wisconsin, Iowa, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Minnesota, that voted Democrat in every single election, presidential election for like the previous 30 years, suddenly shifted in mass and voted for Trump.
• 14:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then in 2024, the Ansicle Bowl happened, Donald Trump won Latino men by 10 points, 54 to 44.
• 14:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: So for the first time ever, Miami Day turned red,
• 14:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: the the primary reason for that was illegal immigration.
• 14:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: Harry Anton of CNN actually recently pointed out that Latino voters have swung to the GOP by 40 points since 2020.
• 14:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: on the issue of who do you trust more on immigration?
• 14:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats had a plus 32 lead back in 2020.
• 14:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: The GOP now has a near plus 10 lead.
• 14:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's why places like Star County, Texas, a border county, 98% Latino voted Democrat in every presidential election.
• 15:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: for a hundred years voted Trump in 2024 and this is exactly what we're seeing happening here in New Mexico.
• 15:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: Working class, Latino voters are swinging in mass to Trump and it's now causing some Democrats to realize that their party has been permanently locked out a power for the foreseeable future and they're admitting that ultimately it's because of their fail policies.
• 15:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's not because a redistricting or gerrymandering or any excuse like that voters are abandoning the Democrats precisely because of their own failed policies, precisely because they consistently stake their positions on the 20 side of 80, 20 issues.
• 15:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's why you have so many, 20, 28 presidential hopefuls turning away from what was once their own woke orthodoxy.
• 15:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: So obviously we'll be keeping a very close eye on how things develop here, but there's no question.
• 16:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Today is not a very good day to be a Democrat.
• 16:06
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• 16:19
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