Latest / Pod Save America / “Is hating the troops good for Trump?”
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: This is a life-changing election.
- 0:05Speaker 2: This will determine what America is going to look like
- 0:08Speaker 2: for a long, long time.
- 0:09Speaker 3: This is the most important election in the history of
- 0:14Speaker 3: our country.
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 4: I'm Jon Lovett. I'm Tommy Vitor.
- 0:24Speaker 1: On today's pod, I talk to Fair Fight CEO Lauren
- 0:26Speaker 1: Groargo about winning Georgia and fighting voter suppression. Before that,
- 0:30Speaker 1: we'll talk about the state of the race as we
- 0:32Speaker 1: begin the final homestretch, new reporting about Donald Trump's disdain
- 0:35Speaker 1: for the U.S. military, and how the economy might play
- 0:38Speaker 1: a pivotal role in the last few months of this campaign. Lovett,
- 0:41Speaker 1: how was the show this week?
- 0:42Speaker 5: Great, love it or leave it. Travis tried to break up,
- 0:45Speaker 5: Ronan and me again, didn't work so far. And Akilah
- 0:48Speaker 5: joined for the monologue, and I talked to Imani Barbarin
- 0:51Speaker 5: about access to voting for people with disabilities and the
- 0:55Speaker 5: language we use when we talk about Trump and Biden.
- 0:58Speaker 1: Outstand it. It was fascinating. There's also a brand new
- 1:01Speaker 1: Missing America out today about sectarianism with a focus on
- 1:05Speaker 1: how India's prime minister used Hindu nationalism to wage an
- 1:07Speaker 1: assault against the country's Muslim population. It is excellent. Go
- 1:11Speaker 1: check it out. Subscribe to Missing America if you haven't already,
- 1:14Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts. All right, guys, let's get
- 1:16Speaker 1: to the news. We are 56 days away from the
- 1:19Speaker 1: election and voting has already begun. North Carolina started sending
- 1:23Speaker 1: out ballots on Friday. By September 24th, In just a
- 1:27Speaker 1: few weeks, more than two dozen states will have also
- 1:30Speaker 1: sent out ballots, and eight states will have started early
- 1:33Speaker 1: in-person voting. According to FiveThirtyEight, Joe Biden has a 7.6%
- 1:38Speaker 1: lead over Donald Trump, and more importantly, is polling close
- 1:41Speaker 1: to 50% in the six battlegrounds most likely to decide
- 1:44Speaker 1: the race. Biden's at 50.8 in Wisconsin, 49.6 in Michigan, 49.2
- 1:46Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, 48.9 in Arizona, 48.2 in Florida, 48.6 in
- 1:48Speaker 1: North Carolina. Biden, Kamala Harris, and Mike Pence were all
- 1:58Speaker 1: visiting battleground states on Monday for the unofficial Labor Day
- 2:01Speaker 1: kickoff to the fall campaign, while Trump called a last-minute
- 2:04Speaker 1: White House press conference to deliver this message.
- 2:07Speaker 3: President Obama. And Biden, sleepy Joe, he knew everything that
- 2:12Speaker 3: was happening. They were spying on my campaign and they
- 2:14Speaker 3: got caught. Now let's see what happens. But if this
- 2:17Speaker 3: were the opposite way, people would have been jailed. They
- 2:19Speaker 3: would have been in jail already for a period of
- 2:22Speaker 3: at least, it would have started two years ago and
- 2:24Speaker 3: it would have been for 50 years for treason.
- 2:27Speaker 1: You think they had that marked down on the message calendar?
- 2:30Speaker 1: Labor Day kickoff to the campaign, president goes out, accuses
- 2:35Speaker 1: opponent and past president of spying and treason. All right.
- 2:41Speaker 1: So we have been through both conventions, dueling trips to
- 2:45Speaker 1: Kenosha last week. Tommy, what have we learned about the
- 2:48Speaker 1: state of the race, Biden's challenges in the next 56
- 2:52Speaker 1: days and Trump's challenges?
- 2:53Speaker 4: We have learned that the race is very stable, that
- 2:57Speaker 4: that national polling average has been quite steady. I am
- 3:00Speaker 4: not thrilled about some of the tightening we're seeing in
- 3:02Speaker 4: state polls like Florida and Pennsylvania, but we'll, we'll get
- 3:05Speaker 4: to that, uh, freak out another day. Um, you know,
- 3:08Speaker 4: there was a democratic super PAC, uh, priorities USA. They
- 3:10Speaker 4: did a big, uh, round of polling, like 5,000 interviews
- 3:14Speaker 4: with battleground state voters, um, who have not made up
- 3:18Speaker 4: their mind. And they found that, uh, like by and
- 3:22Speaker 4: large for a lot of them, there's, they're not only decided,
- 3:24Speaker 4: but there's no chance they would vote for the other guy.
- 3:26Speaker 4: That survey found there's basically 13% of the electorate that
- 3:29Speaker 4: is persuadable. And within that group, about 5% of them
- 3:32Speaker 4: would consider voting for Trump. So the question becomes for
- 3:35Speaker 4: both the campaigns, how do you find those folks? How
- 3:37Speaker 4: do you reach them? How do you persuade them? And
- 3:39Speaker 4: the biggest challenge for Biden, I think, will continue to
- 3:42Speaker 4: be finding ways to make news and just talk about
- 3:44Speaker 4: issues that actually matter on his own terms because Trump
- 3:47Speaker 4: so thoroughly dominates the news cycle every day. I mean,
- 3:49Speaker 4: in that press conference, we just played a clip from
- 3:52Speaker 4: he attacked John McCain again. He supported an investigation into
- 3:55Speaker 4: his own postmaster general's corruption charges, which was sort of
- 3:59Speaker 4: just like, I'll brush that aside, right? So he's obviously
- 4:02Speaker 4: dominated the news cycle. Trump has this advantage on the economy.
- 4:06Speaker 4: Biden wants to chip away at that. It's hard to
- 4:08Speaker 4: get coverage of your plan to strengthen collective bargaining rights
- 4:11Speaker 4: or bring back manufacturing jobs in this climate. So they've
- 4:14Speaker 4: got to work on that. The flip side of that, though,
- 4:16Speaker 4: is that we're on day five, I think, of a
- 4:18Speaker 4: conversation about whether or not Trump hates dead Marines or
- 4:22Speaker 4: thinks they're losers. I mean, I'm going to go out
- 4:24Speaker 4: on a limb and say that was also probably not
- 4:26Speaker 4: on like the post Labor Day message calendar. So, you know,
- 4:29Speaker 4: the hurdles for Trump are no discipline. He isn't capable
- 4:33Speaker 4: of driving a consistent message. And then I think like
- 4:36Speaker 4: much bigger picture is the handling of the coronavirus. It
- 4:40Speaker 4: continues to be a disaster. We're averaging 40,000 new cases
- 4:43Speaker 4: a day, even if they do this sort of like
- 4:46Speaker 4: October surprise vaccine gambit, which everyone now seems to anticipate.
- 4:50Speaker 4: Most voters don't believe what he has to say on
- 4:52Speaker 4: the issue. So Those are some big hurdles for the
- 4:55Speaker 4: Trump side to overcome.
- 4:57Speaker 6: Love it.
- 4:58Speaker 1: What do you think? Steady. It is now the steadiest race,
- 5:05Speaker 1: the steadiest lead in modern history.
- 5:09Speaker 5: Yeah, it's I think we're at the point now where,
- 5:14Speaker 5: you know, Trump is going to be Trump. He's going
- 5:16Speaker 5: to step on his own message.
- 5:18Speaker 1: Right.
- 5:19Speaker 5: And he's going to be lifted up by Fox news.
- 5:22Speaker 5: He's gonna be lifted up by, um, you know, massive
- 5:25Speaker 5: influxes of outside money. Um, I feel like the question
- 5:29Speaker 5: now is less about, um, like the kind of movement
- 5:33Speaker 5: in the polls that we see day to day and more, well,
- 5:37Speaker 5: the fundamental advantages Trump has had right in the electoral college,
- 5:41Speaker 5: in the media, in some of these swing States, in
- 5:44Speaker 5: the kind of cynicism that a lot of voters have, um,
- 5:47Speaker 5: Will that be enough to overcome the fact that he
- 5:49Speaker 5: is unable to carry a message, the pandemic failures, and
- 5:54Speaker 5: will his continued strength on the economy, will the fact
- 5:58Speaker 5: that people still believe he is better than Biden on
- 6:00Speaker 5: the economy, despite everything we've seen, be enough to carry
- 6:03Speaker 5: him to an electoral college victory, even as he loses
- 6:06Speaker 5: the popular vote? I mean, like, that's the, it's less
- 6:09Speaker 5: about what Trump does. Trump is Trump, right? You know, there's,
- 6:12Speaker 5: you know, he can't get enough Adderall in his nose
- 6:14Speaker 5: to get through these things while staying on message. So
- 6:19Speaker 5: and and it's and beyond that, like, what are we
- 6:21Speaker 5: that's where we're at, you know?
- 6:23Speaker 1: Well, I mean, look, the the fundamental steadiness of the
- 6:27Speaker 1: race and Joe Biden's lead, it sort of plays both ways. Right.
- 6:31Speaker 1: Like on one hand, it is it can be somewhat
- 6:35Speaker 1: depressing that after a pandemic where the president United States
- 6:42Speaker 1: has botched the response so badly, almost 200000 people dead.
- 6:46Speaker 1: compared to many other countries around the world, a historic recession,
- 6:52Speaker 1: a racial reckoning. The president is not trusted on any
- 6:56Speaker 1: of those issues, has botched all of those issues, and
- 6:59Speaker 1: his approval rating is basically the same as where it
- 7:02Speaker 1: was before the pandemic, right? And so that part's surprising.
- 7:07Speaker 1: On the flip side of that, it also means that
- 7:10Speaker 1: some of the fundamentals that you're talking about, people are like,
- 7:13Speaker 1: is the economy going to improve and help Trump? Is
- 7:16Speaker 1: Are we going to have COVID cases declining and that's
- 7:18Speaker 1: going to help Trump? Is there going to be a
- 7:19Speaker 1: gaffe that helps Trump or this, that? A lot of
- 7:21Speaker 1: these other things, a lot of things either way aren't
- 7:24Speaker 1: changing the fundamental dynamics of the race. And so what
- 7:27Speaker 1: you have is this popular vote, electoral vote split that
- 7:31Speaker 1: becomes one of Joe Biden's biggest challenges, where a seven
- 7:34Speaker 1: and a half point lead nationwide still could mean a
- 7:39Speaker 1: very tight race in Florida, a tighter race in Pennsylvania,
- 7:42Speaker 1: a tighter race in some of these battleground states. Because remember,
- 7:45Speaker 1: Democrats won house by eight points nationally in 2018 and
- 7:49Speaker 1: still lost two statewide races in Florida, eked out a
- 7:55Speaker 1: governor's race win in Wisconsin. So this thing could be
- 7:58Speaker 1: closed just because of the fundamentals of the race.
- 8:00Speaker 5: It's a funny thing because, you know, Tommy pointed to
- 8:02Speaker 5: what that Priorities USA survey and research found. And it
- 8:07Speaker 5: kind of, I don't know, for me, it pointed to
- 8:11Speaker 5: the kind of strange reality of campaigning and trying to
- 8:14Speaker 5: win against someone like Trump. Right now, it's this mix
- 8:17Speaker 5: of extraordinarily unique circumstances against a pandemic, an authoritarian, there's
- 8:21Speaker 5: mail falling off of the back of DeJoy's trucks. And
- 8:24Speaker 5: then at the same time, you look at that Priorities
- 8:26Speaker 5: USA research and what is the message they found that's
- 8:28Speaker 5: the most important message to reach swing voters, not the
- 8:32Speaker 5: third party voters, but the swing voters, potentially reachable voters.
- 8:36Speaker 5: And it's, he's coming for your healthcare, he's coming for
- 8:38Speaker 5: your social security, It's the normal kind of politics that
- 8:43Speaker 5: we're sort of used to that helped us win in 2018.
- 8:45Speaker 5: And so it's this crazy mix of we got Bernie
- 8:47Speaker 5: Sanders basically giving speeches about how we all need to
- 8:50Speaker 5: be prepared to take to the streets if he tries
- 8:52Speaker 5: to steal the election. And then we have research that's like,
- 8:55Speaker 5: you know, he's going to cut Medicare. That's the core message.
- 8:58Speaker 5: That's how we win this thing. It's this strange combination.
- 9:02Speaker 1: Yeah, I do think it's important to know who those
- 9:04Speaker 1: voters are. There's, you know, the priorities looked at. Tommy,
- 9:07Speaker 1: as you said, 13% of voters said that they are
- 9:09Speaker 1: willing to consider voting for a candidate other than who
- 9:11Speaker 1: they currently support. Then they looked at the 5% of
- 9:14Speaker 1: voters who don't currently support Trump, but say they may
- 9:17Speaker 1: consider voting for him. It's important to know these voters
- 9:19Speaker 1: are because we hear something happen and everyone's like, Trump's
- 9:21Speaker 1: base will never leave him. We're not talking about Trump's base, right?
- 9:24Speaker 1: These 5% of voters who don't support him now, but may,
- 9:27Speaker 1: they don't like him. They think the country's going in
- 9:29Speaker 1: the wrong direction. They don't think he's good on healthcare,
- 9:32Speaker 1: the pandemic, race relations, but they think he's good on
- 9:35Speaker 1: the economy. And that's where they are. So these aren't
- 9:38Speaker 1: like MAGA people, right? These aren't like Trump fans, but
- 9:40Speaker 1: they're people who may cast a ballot for him. And
- 9:43Speaker 1: I think like as Lovett, as you pointed out, you know,
- 9:45Speaker 1: his plans to cut Social Security and Medicare to pay
- 9:48Speaker 1: for more tax cuts, his plan to cut health care
- 9:49Speaker 1: like that moves those voters. Tommy, I guess the question is, like,
- 9:52Speaker 1: how do you break through with those messages in this environment?
- 9:54Speaker 4: Yeah, I know that's the hardest part, I think. I mean, look,
- 9:56Speaker 4: a third of these 5% who are Trump curious, it's
- 9:59Speaker 4: like white women in, I think, 66, 70% of them
- 10:06Speaker 4: are in cities or suburbs. So yeah, it's not the
- 10:08Speaker 4: base at all. It's very much swing voters. The good
- 10:11Speaker 4: news is, as you said, I mean, they're predisposed to
- 10:13Speaker 4: dislike Trump. They are especially upset about his coronavirus performance.
- 10:18Speaker 4: So I mean, that's the hardest task in this election
- 10:21Speaker 4: for the Biden camp is like getting the message they
- 10:23Speaker 4: want to get to all these voters. And I think
- 10:25Speaker 4: with people who are, you know, not decided yet, it's
- 10:28Speaker 4: probably gonna have to be through paid media because it
- 10:31Speaker 4: means you are probably not paying that close attention to
- 10:34Speaker 4: the race, or at least not in the way we are.
- 10:36Speaker 5: It's like the last, it's the last of the voters
- 10:39Speaker 5: who are still susceptible to love me or hate me,
- 10:41Speaker 5: you have to vote for me. It's like that, all
- 10:44Speaker 5: the shit that's happened to change it, like there's that
- 10:46Speaker 5: group of people that are like, I think he's good
- 10:48Speaker 5: on the economy and you have to convince them, right,
- 10:51Speaker 5: that like actually he's bad for you on health care.
- 10:54Speaker 5: He's bad for you on taxes. He's not as good
- 10:55Speaker 5: as he seems.
- 10:56Speaker 1: Don't forget.
- 10:57Speaker 5: Don't forget that maybe your job has been OK because
- 11:00Speaker 5: of where you happen to be in the country. Maybe
- 11:01Speaker 5: you haven't felt the pandemic as personally in terms of
- 11:04Speaker 5: the financial way it's hit people. But don't forget he's
- 11:06Speaker 5: coming for you in the second term.
- 11:09Speaker 1: I do think the other thing we're seeing today with
- 11:12Speaker 1: some of these polls is. and we've seen this for
- 11:15Speaker 1: some time now, Biden is underperforming Clinton in a lot
- 11:18Speaker 1: of these polls among Latino voters. Um, and I think
- 11:22Speaker 1: that is another case, as you said, Tommy, of paid
- 11:26Speaker 1: media sort of taking care of that. A lot of these, uh,
- 11:28Speaker 1: when you do polls of Latino voters, it's not necessarily
- 11:31Speaker 1: that they don't like Biden or they don't, or they
- 11:33Speaker 1: just love Trump. They don't know much about Biden. They
- 11:35Speaker 1: don't know what his agenda is. They don't know what
- 11:37Speaker 1: he stands for. And so I think some of that
- 11:39Speaker 1: you can take care of with paid media, but that's
- 11:41Speaker 1: another challenge that I think he has. Um, One more
- 11:44Speaker 1: challenge for Trump that we should probably mention before we
- 11:46Speaker 1: move on. There's a big New York Times story yesterday.
- 11:49Speaker 1: Of the $ 1. 1 billion that Trump's campaign and the party
- 11:52Speaker 1: raised from the beginning of 2019 through July, more than
- 11:54Speaker 1: $ 800 million has already been spent. And now Trump is
- 11:57Speaker 1: reportedly considering spending $ 100 million of his own money on
- 12:02Speaker 1: the race. I did not expect them to be in
- 12:05Speaker 1: a cash crunch with this many days to go.
- 12:09Speaker 2: No.
- 12:09Speaker 4: Brad Parscale bought a couple too many Ferraris, I think,
- 12:12Speaker 4: because that's pretty abysmal management.
- 12:15Speaker 5: Brad Parscale and the Beagley boys making off with a
- 12:17Speaker 5: bunch of cash. Swimming in money.
- 12:21Speaker 1: So that's all the challenges for the Biden and Trump campaign.
- 12:24Speaker 1: But as we say all the time here, the outcome
- 12:26Speaker 1: of the race is ultimately in our hands. So at
- 12:29Speaker 1: Crooked Media, we're calling today Get Your Shit Together Day.
- 12:34Speaker 1: It's a great holiday. Get your shit together day. It
- 12:36Speaker 1: involves each of you figuring out exactly when you're getting
- 12:39Speaker 1: your ballot, when you're returning it, and how you're returning it.
- 12:42Speaker 1: All of that information and all of those deadlines from
- 12:44Speaker 1: all 50 states is now available on votesaveamerica.com slash states.
- 12:49Speaker 1: Thanks to our phenomenal team, especially Juliet Bextrand and EJ Baker.
- 12:54Speaker 1: All 50 states, they got information for. If you might
- 12:56Speaker 1: be wondering what happens if you requested a mail-in ballot,
- 12:58Speaker 1: but it still hasn't come. What if you decide you
- 13:00Speaker 1: want to vote in person? Can you register and vote
- 13:02Speaker 1: at the same time on election day? We've got answers
- 13:04Speaker 1: to all those questions and more. So check out Vote
- 13:07Speaker 1: Save America. It's a great site. Very informative.
- 13:10Speaker 5: Fantastic.
- 13:12Speaker 3: All right.
- 13:13Speaker 1: So during Trump's press conference that we just talked about,
- 13:16Speaker 1: as Tommy just mentioned, the president spent his fifth day
- 13:18Speaker 1: in a row making news about a peace in the
- 13:20Speaker 1: Atlantic by Jeff Goldberg, where multiple sources detailed numerous instances
- 13:24Speaker 1: of Trump disparaging members of the U.S. armed forces. The
- 13:27Speaker 1: president reportedly said of a visit to a military cemetery
- 13:30Speaker 1: in Paris that Why should I go to that cemetery?
- 13:32Speaker 1: It's filled with losers. He referred to Marines who lost
- 13:35Speaker 1: their lives in a World War I battle as suckers.
- 13:38Speaker 1: When John McCain died and White House staff wanted to
- 13:40Speaker 1: lower the flag to half-mast, Trump asked, what the fuck
- 13:43Speaker 1: are we doing that for? Guy was a fucking loser.
- 13:46Speaker 1: While standing in front of the grave where John Kelly's
- 13:48Speaker 1: son is buried, Trump turned to Kelly and said, quote,
- 13:51Speaker 1: I don't get it. What was in it for them?
- 13:54Speaker 1: And maybe the worst of all, Trump once told his
- 13:56Speaker 1: staff to exclude wounded veterans from from his military parade because, quote,
- 14:01Speaker 1: nobody wants to see that. So, Tommy, Trump's been denying
- 14:07Speaker 1: this story left and right. A number of his own
- 14:08Speaker 1: staff publicly denied it to make the boss happy. All
- 14:11Speaker 1: the MAGA media stars are, of course, just taking Trump
- 14:14Speaker 1: and his staff's word for it and using their denials
- 14:17Speaker 1: as saying that it's debunked. Why is all of that bullshit?
- 14:22Speaker 4: Let me count the ways. So, I mean, look, he's
- 14:23Speaker 4: a liar, right? Obviously, his staff is full of liars.
- 14:26Speaker 4: And they supported him and backed him up when he
- 14:29Speaker 4: was drawing fake hurricane path maps on weather maps that
- 14:33Speaker 4: he had printed out from Alta Vista or something. They
- 14:36Speaker 4: back him up when he claims that millions of people
- 14:39Speaker 4: voted illegally in 2016 or that Obama spied on him,
- 14:41Speaker 4: so they have no credibility. I'm not particularly convinced by
- 14:44Speaker 4: Sarah Sanders when she trots out another lie. You also
- 14:48Speaker 4: know that other news outlets were very quickly able to
- 14:51Speaker 4: confirm the original Atlantic story or at least pieces of it,
- 14:54Speaker 4: including Fox News. So that was a pretty inconvenient data
- 14:58Speaker 4: point for the Trump team. The anecdote about Trump being
- 15:02Speaker 4: upset about the flags being lowered to honor John McCain
- 15:05Speaker 4: when he passed away tracked pretty identically with public comments
- 15:09Speaker 4: Trump has made about McCain. And the former Department of
- 15:11Speaker 4: Homeland Security chief of staff said on the record that
- 15:14Speaker 4: Trump's staff called him to complain about the flags being lowered.
- 15:17Speaker 4: So it seems like that's pretty well confirmed. And it
- 15:20Speaker 4: also just, it feels like the sourcing on these stories
- 15:23Speaker 4: is an open secret. People are heavily suggesting that it
- 15:26Speaker 4: is coming from John Kelly's peers, like four-star generals, like
- 15:29Speaker 4: General Mattis or Joe Dunford or others. And I'm not
- 15:33Speaker 4: arguing that we should believe everything that those guys say,
- 15:36Speaker 4: far from it, but it does suggest that this is
- 15:39Speaker 4: coming from people who are, you know, like well-positioned to
- 15:41Speaker 4: know what actually happened, not just some little, you know,
- 15:45Speaker 4: shithead Trump staffer who overheard something in a staff meeting, right?
- 15:48Speaker 4: And like, Then broadly, it just tracks with what we
- 15:51Speaker 4: know about Trump as a person. I mean, we know
- 15:53Speaker 4: he said that VD or avoiding VD was his personal Vietnam.
- 15:57Speaker 4: He doesn't understand public service. He doesn't understand the concept
- 16:00Speaker 4: of like sacrificing something for a bigger goal or vision.
- 16:03Speaker 4: It's about money and fame and personal success. So it
- 16:07Speaker 4: all makes sense. It speaks to his character.
- 16:12Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, like it tracks the typical Trump denials
- 16:16Speaker 1: around this stuff, right? Which at first it's all fake
- 16:18Speaker 1: and it's a hoax. And then you get a bunch
- 16:20Speaker 1: of people on the record. And then you get some
- 16:22Speaker 1: anonymous sources. Then you get more people on the record.
- 16:25Speaker 1: And then finally, Trump just basically admits the thing that
- 16:27Speaker 1: he denied in some other way. On the press conference,
- 16:30Speaker 1: he said he wasn't a fan of McCain. He accused
- 16:32Speaker 1: the country's top generals of being war profiteers. Yeah, that
- 16:34Speaker 1: was cool. That was something that happened Sunday. Lovett, what
- 16:38Speaker 1: did you think of this story?
- 16:39Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, look, Jeffrey Goldberg is not going to
- 16:42Speaker 5: publish a conversation between John Kelly and Donald Trump and
- 16:46Speaker 5: where Donald Trump basically insults the memory of John Kelly's
- 16:49Speaker 5: dead son, if John Kelly is going to go out
- 16:53Speaker 5: and deny it, that's not going to happen, right? That's
- 16:55Speaker 5: like inconceivable. So, I mean, look, crazier things have happened.
- 16:58Speaker 1: I shouldn't say that. And John Kelly hasn't. And John
- 16:59Speaker 1: Kelly's been quiet.
- 17:00Speaker 5: And he hasn't. And he hasn't. And he hasn't. Yeah,
- 17:03Speaker 5: of course, it fits with what Trump has said. And
- 17:06Speaker 5: then on background, right, yes, what always happens, right, Trump
- 17:09Speaker 5: has his people go out on a limb, and then
- 17:10Speaker 5: he cuts the limb off. This time, you know, now
- 17:12Speaker 5: on background, you see some of his Trump aides being like,
- 17:15Speaker 5: he doesn't mean it. He's just a huge fucking asshole, right?
- 17:18Speaker 5: Like that's sort of their, the place they end up at.
- 17:22Speaker 5: And yeah, I mean, of course it's true. Like some
- 17:25Speaker 5: of the things he denied, he said on camera, right?
- 17:26Speaker 5: Like I never called John McCain a loser. That part
- 17:28Speaker 5: was on camera. I think he doesn't remember it because
- 17:31Speaker 5: the loser is sort of, it's inside of a sentence.
- 17:35Speaker 5: It's not like, he doesn't say John McCain's a loser,
- 17:37Speaker 5: but he does call John McCain a loser. So I
- 17:39Speaker 5: think he just doesn't remember that insult because, you know, look,
- 17:41Speaker 5: he's been a touring comic.
- 17:42Speaker 1: For a very long time.
- 17:43Speaker 4: He doesn't remember everything.
- 17:44Speaker 5: Every line. So, yeah, you know, obviously it's true.
- 17:48Speaker 1: I just do love that excuse that they basically use,
- 17:50Speaker 1: which is like, yes, yes, he was an asshole to
- 17:52Speaker 1: the troops. Yes, he was an asshole to dead troops,
- 17:55Speaker 1: to wounded soldiers. But he's an asshole to everyone.
- 17:59Speaker 5: It's like when they would defend Don Rickles for Asian jokes.
- 18:01Speaker 5: Like it'd be like, ah, he's an equal opportunity offender.
- 18:04Speaker 4: You know, the other thing they trotted out was like, oh,
- 18:06Speaker 4: he just hates war so much. That's why he's lashing out.
- 18:09Speaker 4: This is just sort of.
- 18:10Speaker 3: Yeah, right.
- 18:11Speaker 1: What? What are you talking about?
- 18:13Speaker 5: Well, the thing that's so frustrating about that.
- 18:14Speaker 1: He's so passionately against war.
- 18:16Speaker 3: Right, right.
- 18:16Speaker 5: He's a peacenik. Well, it's also like he goes around
- 18:18Speaker 5: the country saying, like, we were out of bullets. There
- 18:20Speaker 5: were no bullets left in any of the guns, and
- 18:22Speaker 5: I bought all the bullets. I've raised defense spending. I'm
- 18:25Speaker 5: the guy that raised defense spending. Then he turns around
- 18:27Speaker 5: and says, like, oh, these generals, they hate me because I...
- 18:29Speaker 5: because I want to cut defense spending, or I don't
- 18:31Speaker 5: want to spend money on a defense contract. Where does
- 18:33Speaker 5: he think this bigger budget goes? It's not, it's just
- 18:35Speaker 5: a false attack.
- 18:37Speaker 4: Yeah, his Secretary of Defense was a defense lobbyist before
- 18:39Speaker 4: he got this current job. Yeah, for Raytheon.
- 18:41Speaker 5: Raytheon, right?
- 18:41Speaker 4: Yeah, he was making drones.
- 18:51Speaker 1: So the Biden campaign and a bunch of other groups
- 18:52Speaker 1: have already cut ads about Trump's comments, and the former
- 18:55Speaker 1: vice president responded pretty forcefully over the weekend. Here's a clip.
- 18:58Speaker 2: If these statements are true, the president should humbly apologize
- 19:03Speaker 2: to every gold star mother and father and every blue
- 19:07Speaker 2: star family that he's denigrated and insulted. Who the heck
- 19:12Speaker 2: does he think he is?
- 19:15Speaker 1: He was pissed. Love it. The question now is how
- 19:17Speaker 1: much should Biden and other Democrats focus on this? There
- 19:19Speaker 1: were predictably a lot of media and political types over
- 19:22Speaker 1: the weekend saying that this won't really matter, won't change
- 19:24Speaker 1: any minds. even in the Atlantic piece itself, as Pfeiffer
- 19:29Speaker 1: pointed out in his message box over the weekend, you know,
- 19:31Speaker 1: in the Atlantic piece, it says Trump did no damage
- 19:33Speaker 1: to his 2016 candidacy by attacking McCain or the Khans,
- 19:36Speaker 1: the Gold Star family he attacked during the Democratic Convention
- 19:38Speaker 1: in 2016. What do you think of that argument?
- 19:42Speaker 5: I find that that's very silly, right? Like when a
- 19:45Speaker 5: campaign wins, everything they did didn't work and every attack
- 19:48Speaker 5: against them didn't fail, right? That's just not how the
- 19:50Speaker 5: world works, right? For all we know, Trump would have
- 19:54Speaker 5: had a smaller popular vote lead had he not insulted
- 19:58Speaker 5: veterans and insulted John McCain and insulted the memory of
- 20:00Speaker 5: people who lost their lives serving the country. You know,
- 20:03Speaker 5: I was thinking about this and I do think sometimes
- 20:05Speaker 5: when these things happen, it's a bit like aliens, right?
- 20:09Speaker 5: the movie Aliens, in that, you know, bad shit is
- 20:12Speaker 5: going on. You know, we know, you know, there's the
- 20:16Speaker 5: kind of like, there's like the Paul Reiser McConnell types
- 20:19Speaker 5: playing all the angles. We know who the aliens are,
- 20:21Speaker 5: but then Twitter is like the part where Bill Paxton
- 20:24Speaker 5: is like, game over, man, game over. Nothing matters. It
- 20:27Speaker 5: doesn't matter at all. And it's just, But there's the moment, right, where, okay, everyone,
- 20:35Speaker 5: you know, the guy from The Abyss and Terminator turns
- 20:38Speaker 5: to Bill Paxton and says, shut up. Things can matter.
- 20:42Speaker 5: This isn't a horror movie. This is an action movie.
- 20:45Speaker 5: We can actually win. And to me, like, the Game
- 20:48Speaker 5: Over Man people, the Nothing Matters Man people, like, I
- 20:53Speaker 5: find it very frustrating because I obviously understand why it
- 20:56Speaker 5: would be comforting and kind of easier to think nothing matters.
- 21:00Speaker 5: But actually... Things do matter. That's what makes this period
- 21:04Speaker 5: so awful. We actually can make a difference. We actually
- 21:06Speaker 5: do have agency and we can decide to make these
- 21:08Speaker 5: things matter. That's what Dan said in his column, which
- 21:10Speaker 5: I think is exactly right, that these things can leave
- 21:12Speaker 5: a mark on Trump. He's already underperforming in terms of
- 21:16Speaker 5: polls of active duty military than he was in 2016.
- 21:21Speaker 5: And in the same way, Trump is trying to go
- 21:22Speaker 5: through our key demographics and pick off just enough to
- 21:25Speaker 5: help him at the margins. That's something we can do too.
- 21:27Speaker 1: And this can matter.
- 21:28Speaker 5: I do not think Trump is going to be helped
- 21:31Speaker 5: in his problem of underperforming amongst active duty members of
- 21:33Speaker 5: the military, according to the polls, been a week of
- 21:36Speaker 5: stories of him calling people who died for this country
- 21:38Speaker 5: suckers and losers. I don't think that was good for him.
- 21:41Speaker 1: Tommy, what do you think?
- 21:42Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, look, this shit drives me crazy. I
- 21:44Speaker 4: just think like everyone needs to declare a moratorium on
- 21:46Speaker 4: declaring something won't or will matter just because one, we
- 21:50Speaker 4: cannot predict the future. That seems obvious, but you have
- 21:52Speaker 4: to repeat it. Second, like whether or not it matters
- 21:55Speaker 4: is up to the campaigns and it's up to the covered.
- 21:58Speaker 4: So when you see a eh, this won't matter. It
- 22:01Speaker 4: can be a self-fulfilling prophecy. And finally, like we're not
- 22:05Speaker 4: talking about the bottom dropping out, right? No one is
- 22:08Speaker 4: expecting his approval to dip to 5%. Like Trump won
- 22:12Speaker 4: Michigan and Wisconsin by 33,000 votes. So a small change
- 22:17Speaker 4: in that support can make a huge difference. It could
- 22:20Speaker 4: be the difference between winning and losing. And so Again,
- 22:23Speaker 4: like what drove me crazy about this particular controversy is
- 22:26Speaker 4: there was an analogous situation in 2016 in that fight
- 22:29Speaker 4: with the Khan family, the parents of the army captain
- 22:31Speaker 4: who was killed in Iraq. That exchange was one of
- 22:34Speaker 4: the moments that really, really hurt Trump politically. 59% of
- 22:39Speaker 4: Republicans disapproved of how he handled that incident. And it
- 22:43Speaker 4: underscored broader concerns about his temperament. It made him look divisive.
- 22:47Speaker 4: It's like all the things you don't like about him.
- 22:49Speaker 4: So I'm not saying the Atlantic piece sucks. is going
- 22:51Speaker 4: to engender that response. But I do think it's foolish
- 22:55Speaker 4: to assert it won't. And if I'm Biden, or if
- 22:56Speaker 4: I'm a super PAC, I take the Fox News version
- 22:59Speaker 4: of the Atlantic piece or what they were able to
- 23:01Speaker 4: confirm of it, and I would boost it to every
- 23:04Speaker 4: likely voter on Facebook that's a veteran, that's part of
- 23:07Speaker 4: a military family, that's active duty. That targeting is not hard.
- 23:12Speaker 4: And I think groups are doing that as we speak.
- 23:14Speaker 4: Maybe it'll work, maybe it won't. But you don't need
- 23:16Speaker 4: to see an immediate increase drop in his poll numbers
- 23:19Speaker 4: to decide something matters, it can be a long process
- 23:22Speaker 4: of telling a story about someone's fitness and temperament for office.
- 23:26Speaker 4: And I think everyone needs to be a little more
- 23:28Speaker 4: patient when things like this arrive before we decide whether
- 23:31Speaker 4: it worked or not.
- 23:33Speaker 5: Tommy, it's like the real sentence should be, if I
- 23:37Speaker 5: went on the street and shot someone on Fifth Avenue,
- 23:39Speaker 5: it would hurt me a little bit with some swing voters.
- 23:41Speaker 4: Yeah, hurt me in the margins.
- 23:43Speaker 5: That's why I won't do it.
- 23:44Speaker 4: It'll hurt me in the margins.
- 23:45Speaker 1: I mean, it's a close race. There could be 150
- 23:49Speaker 1: million people voting. We have no idea what works on
- 23:54Speaker 1: all of those people because different things work on different people.
- 23:57Speaker 1: It's an incredibly diverse country and diverse electorate. And the
- 24:01Speaker 1: mistake that we make is substituting what we think should
- 24:05Speaker 1: work or what might work on us or it might
- 24:07Speaker 1: work on people we know with what might work on
- 24:10Speaker 1: other people, right? Like I went into some of those
- 24:12Speaker 1: focus groups for the wilderness thinking, you know, because of...
- 24:16Speaker 1: twitter conversations and things i've read what really works is
- 24:19Speaker 1: issues and it's not about character attacks on trump right
- 24:21Speaker 1: that was my prior because that's what the research showed
- 24:23Speaker 1: and then i sat down with a bunch of people
- 24:25Speaker 1: in arizona who had voted for mitt romney and then
- 24:27Speaker 1: voted for hillary clinton 2016 former republicans and they're like
- 24:31Speaker 1: i don't really care about issues i just think trump's
- 24:32Speaker 1: a horrible person that's why i'm voting against him right
- 24:34Speaker 1: and i'm like that i did not think that going
- 24:37Speaker 1: in but like you talk to people and you you're
- 24:40Speaker 1: surprised so when you're a campaign you're You play on
- 24:42Speaker 1: as many different fronts as possible. Also, there's 56 days
- 24:45Speaker 1: to the election. We've now said it a couple of times.
- 24:47Speaker 1: Trump has spent five days on this. Five days defending
- 24:50Speaker 1: himself from this that he has lost in trying to
- 24:53Speaker 1: define Joe Biden, which he needs to do because he's behind.
- 24:57Speaker 1: Any day we take off the clock now where Trump
- 25:00Speaker 1: is defending himself is another day closer to him losing
- 25:03Speaker 1: and Joe Biden winning, you know, at the very least.
- 25:05Speaker 1: Just allow yourself to be surprised.
- 25:07Speaker 4: Like everyone was just asserting that, protests or violence in
- 25:11Speaker 4: Kenosha was going to hurt Joe Biden. And all the
- 25:14Speaker 4: polling we've seen since suggests that people view Trump as
- 25:17Speaker 4: racially divisive. They think he is likely to inflame those
- 25:20Speaker 4: tensions rather than help them. So actually, maybe all of
- 25:23Speaker 4: their messaging about law and order is cutting against Trump.
- 25:26Speaker 4: So like people are complicated.
- 25:30Speaker 1: Yeah, we don't know. And like, do I think that
- 25:32Speaker 1: the Biden campaign should like exclusively run ads on Trump's
- 25:35Speaker 1: disparaging comments? No, of course not. Like, Get the policy
- 25:39Speaker 1: ads out there. Get those health care ads out there.
- 25:40Speaker 6: Do it all.
- 25:41Speaker 1: Just target. But when an opportunity comes up like this,
- 25:45Speaker 1: you jump on it. You don't say like, oh, no,
- 25:46Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about jobs instead. Speaking of which,
- 25:49Speaker 1: let's talk about the economy. We had Friday's jobs report
- 25:52Speaker 1: show the unemployment rate falling to 8.4%. But the rest
- 25:56Speaker 1: of the news wasn't so great. Job growth is slowing.
- 25:59Speaker 1: Job loss is becoming more permanent as opposed to a
- 26:02Speaker 1: pandemic-related furlough. And the unemployment rate among black, Latino, and
- 26:06Speaker 1: Asian Americans is well over 10%, with black unemployment hitting 13%. Altogether,
- 26:11Speaker 1: less than half of the 22 million jobs lost in
- 26:14Speaker 1: the pandemic have been recovered. And this report covers the
- 26:16Speaker 1: period before Trump and the Republicans blocked a third round
- 26:19Speaker 1: of COVID relief spending that had been keeping the economy
- 26:23Speaker 1: afloat in many ways. So Trump, who most polls show
- 26:26Speaker 1: leading or at least tied with Joe Biden on the
- 26:28Speaker 1: question of who can better handle the economy, reacted to
- 26:31Speaker 1: the news by saying, quote, great jobs numbers. Wow. Unemployment
- 26:34Speaker 1: rate much better than expected. Broke the 10 percent level
- 26:36Speaker 1: faster and deeper than thought possible. Love it. What's the
- 26:41Speaker 1: what's the argument about the economy that Trump's going to
- 26:43Speaker 1: make in the homestretch?
- 26:46Speaker 5: It's first of all, just it always is stunning to
- 26:48Speaker 5: me because, you know, you remember like How much speech
- 26:52Speaker 5: writing and thought went into making sure that whenever you
- 26:55Speaker 5: talk about improvements in the economy, you take a moment
- 26:57Speaker 5: to recognize how hard it is, how much people are suffering,
- 27:00Speaker 5: how much pain there is out there so that you
- 27:02Speaker 5: understand what people are going through and how that that's
- 27:04Speaker 5: completely out the window. I mean, look, Trump is going
- 27:07Speaker 5: to point to the stock market. He's going to say
- 27:09Speaker 5: that everything is coming back, that it was a pandemic
- 27:12Speaker 5: and it wasn't him. It wasn't his fault. It was China.
- 27:15Speaker 5: And if you give the reins to Joe Biden, socialism
- 27:17Speaker 5: will come, the debt will go up and all the
- 27:19Speaker 5: problems you're seeing were actually kind of examples of the
- 27:22Speaker 5: things he will do 10 times more. And he is
- 27:26Speaker 5: banking on the fact that while people say he mismanaged
- 27:30Speaker 5: the pandemic, he still has this residual approval.
- 27:33Speaker 1: On the economy.
- 27:34Speaker 5: And while they blame him for doing a terrible job
- 27:36Speaker 5: on the pandemic, it does not seem that enough people
- 27:39Speaker 5: have taken that to imply that his economic leadership is suspect.
- 27:43Speaker 5: There is that kind of residue of his businessman acumen
- 27:47Speaker 5: bullshit that that continues to protect him to this day.
- 27:50Speaker 5: And they're going to try to scare people about a
- 27:52Speaker 5: Joe Biden presidency. I mean, they had, you know, Mnookin
- 27:54Speaker 5: going out there saying that if, you know, we were
- 27:58Speaker 5: actually doing a great job on the deficit and the
- 28:00Speaker 5: debt until the pandemic. That's a lie. That's, of course,
- 28:03Speaker 5: a lie because there was a trillion dollar corporate tax cut.
- 28:07Speaker 5: And they claim that with Joe Biden becomes president, they
- 28:09Speaker 5: will explode the deficit and ruin the economy.
- 28:12Speaker 1: That's what they're going to say. Tommy, what do you think,
- 28:15Speaker 1: what argument should Joe Biden make about the economy? I,
- 28:18Speaker 1: you know, Lovett mentioned this earlier in that Priorities USA
- 28:20Speaker 1: survey of like the small subset of voters were considering Trump,
- 28:25Speaker 1: that 5% Trump curious, they called them, which, okay.
- 28:29Speaker 4: The strongest attack on his economic record was that Donald
- 28:33Speaker 4: Trump plans to cut Social Security and cut Medicare to
- 28:37Speaker 4: pay for taxes for the rich, and that he's gutting
- 28:40Speaker 4: the healthcare system in the middle of a pandemic. Those
- 28:43Speaker 4: are the two contrasts that I would focus on because
- 28:46Speaker 4: they jumped out of this survey about these potential swing voters.
- 28:50Speaker 4: They are core arguments we've seen do well in almost
- 28:54Speaker 4: every single survey we've done in states and nationally with
- 28:57Speaker 4: change research here on our Polar Coaster series at Crooked Media.
- 29:01Speaker 4: So those would be the contrasts. And then you just
- 29:04Speaker 4: have to figure out what pieces of his jobs agenda,
- 29:08Speaker 4: he can lay out in the simplest, clearest possible way.
- 29:11Speaker 4: And I do think that starting that argument about what
- 29:14Speaker 4: Joe Biden would do in his administration with getting the
- 29:18Speaker 4: coronavirus under control, getting that response right as the key
- 29:22Speaker 4: to fixing the rest of the economy is smart. So
- 29:24Speaker 4: those are the things that I would focus on in
- 29:26Speaker 4: the homestretch. Very obvious stuff. I'm sure in three weeks,
- 29:30Speaker 4: we'll be talking about something completely insane and different that happened, but.
- 29:34Speaker 1: That's where I would try to go. Yeah, and I
- 29:36Speaker 1: would I would I agree with all that. And I
- 29:37Speaker 1: would also, you know, to what Lovett said, if I
- 29:41Speaker 1: were Joe Biden, I would be, you know, I would
- 29:43Speaker 1: say that Donald Trump judges the health of the economy
- 29:46Speaker 1: based on the stock market. He's celebrating eight percent unemployment
- 29:50Speaker 1: is the best we can do. He doesn't want to
- 29:52Speaker 1: do anything to help people who aren't employed, doesn't want
- 29:54Speaker 1: to help people who are struggling to pay the bills.
- 29:56Speaker 1: He just wants more tax cuts. and fewer rules for
- 29:59Speaker 1: companies and his rich friends. He might be able to
- 30:03Speaker 1: manage the economy into recovery, but who's going to benefit?
- 30:07Speaker 1: Look around the country right now. Who's benefiting as we
- 30:11Speaker 1: slowly come out of the recession? A lot of people
- 30:13Speaker 1: who were wealthy and well off before the pandemic are
- 30:15Speaker 1: doing just great. A whole bunch of people that were
- 30:17Speaker 1: struggling beforehand are doing even worse. If I was the
- 30:20Speaker 1: Biden campaign, and I'm sure they're doing this in debate prep,
- 30:24Speaker 1: that first debate, September 29th, If Joe Biden can, you know,
- 30:29Speaker 1: eat into Donald Trump's lead on the economy, at least
- 30:32Speaker 1: even sort of break even with him on that and
- 30:35Speaker 1: pursue an argument that shows Donald Trump as favoring the
- 30:39Speaker 1: wealthy and, you know, his rich friends and his cabinet
- 30:42Speaker 1: buddies and all everyone else over most working people in
- 30:45Speaker 1: this country, then I think that's the ballgame. Donald Trump
- 30:48Speaker 1: can't come back. That's his only advantage.
- 30:50Speaker 5: I would also say, too, that what Biden has been
- 30:51Speaker 5: doing again and again is saying, you know, you cannot
- 30:54Speaker 5: have a recovery. until you address the pandemic and make
- 30:56Speaker 5: sure you're connecting those things. Because one thing that's also
- 30:59Speaker 5: going on is we're about to lose over, I think, 200,000
- 31:02Speaker 5: census jobs, right? That are part of these numbers. Fauci,
- 31:06Speaker 5: others are all extremely worried about resurgence of the pandemic.
- 31:10Speaker 5: We don't know what these numbers are going to look
- 31:11Speaker 5: like absent stimulus. I mean, like, you know, forget recovery.
- 31:15Speaker 5: Like we could have another, we're in the middle of it, right?
- 31:17Speaker 4: Like, yeah.
- 31:18Speaker 5: So some of the jobs may have come back. Some
- 31:20Speaker 5: people have maybe stopped looking, whatever the Whatever the machinations
- 31:23Speaker 5: led to lowering of the unemployment rate, we're still in massive,
- 31:27Speaker 5: massive unemployment territory. And there's no signs that this is
- 31:31Speaker 5: going to get better for a while.
- 31:33Speaker 1: And he's got no plan. He's got nothing. He is unveiled. Nope.
- 31:38Speaker 1: Trump has no plan to deal with this in the
- 31:40Speaker 1: second term. It's like his secret plan to fix the economy.
- 31:43Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 31:44Speaker 4: I mean, also, just speaking of that debate and the
- 31:48Speaker 4: nothing matters crowd, I mean, Joe Biden's son both served
- 31:51Speaker 4: in Iraq. and tragically died from cancer. You could see
- 31:55Speaker 4: a moment where Biden turns to Trump and says, my
- 31:58Speaker 4: son was not a loser. His service was not in vain.
- 32:01Speaker 4: And the press corps is always looking for big emotional
- 32:03Speaker 4: moments that spin out of debates. And suddenly you go
- 32:06Speaker 4: from maybe very few people know about that story we
- 32:08Speaker 4: were talking about earlier in The Atlantic to literally every
- 32:10Speaker 4: single person in the country watching this exchange who is
- 32:13Speaker 4: planning to vote. And that's a big deal. And it's
- 32:15Speaker 4: another reason why it's so dumb to predict.
- 32:19Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 32:19Speaker 1: And also, you know, last thing on the economy, and
- 32:21Speaker 1: this is an opportunity for both Democrats and the Biden campaign,
- 32:24Speaker 1: I think, you know, Senate Republicans today introduced a COVID
- 32:27Speaker 1: relief bill that basically cuts unemployment benefits by $ 300 per week,
- 32:32Speaker 1: offers some funding to the Paycheck Protection Program, but not much.
- 32:35Speaker 1: And then the other big thing that they care about
- 32:38Speaker 1: prevents workers from suing their employers if they get COVID
- 32:40Speaker 1: on the job. So it's a bill that won't pass
- 32:42Speaker 1: the House. It may not even get 51 votes in
- 32:45Speaker 1: the Senate. But to me, like, so why did McConnell
- 32:48Speaker 1: introduce it? Because... He is smart enough to be worried
- 32:51Speaker 1: that a bunch of people have lost their unemployment benefits.
- 32:57Speaker 1: All of this money that was being pumped into the
- 32:59Speaker 1: economy by the government for the last several months that's
- 33:01Speaker 1: kept the economy afloat is gone now. And McConnell knows that.
- 33:05Speaker 1: Donald Trump and the party in charge, his party in
- 33:08Speaker 1: the Senate, are going to get blamed for that if
- 33:10Speaker 1: they're caught not trying to do anything. So he tries
- 33:12Speaker 1: to do this like small, tiny COVID relief bill because
- 33:15Speaker 1: they've been blocking the Democratic bill. And to me, that's
- 33:18Speaker 1: a huge opportunity for Democrats in the Biden campaign to
- 33:21Speaker 1: just fucking hammer that for the next couple of weeks.
- 33:23Speaker 5: Yeah, this is a this is a jobs program for
- 33:26Speaker 5: Martha McSally, Susan Collins, Tom Tillis.
- 33:29Speaker 1: Cory Gardner.
- 33:30Speaker 4: That's what this is.
- 33:30Speaker 1: That's exactly right.
- 33:31Speaker 5: Purely, we passed a bill. That's what they want to say.
- 33:34Speaker 5: They want to be going around saying the Senate passed
- 33:36Speaker 5: a bill, but you know, Nancy Pelosi, it's entirely political,
- 33:39Speaker 5: entirely fake.
- 33:41Speaker 1: And Trump knows it too, because Trump's out there talking
- 33:43Speaker 1: about how he wants to help. I want to spend
- 33:44Speaker 1: some money and give people direct checks and all the bullshit,
- 33:47Speaker 1: all the stuff that he does on healthcare when he
- 33:49Speaker 1: pretends that he's covering preexisting condition and he wants to
- 33:52Speaker 1: give people great healthcare. He's doing now on COVID relief.
- 33:55Speaker 1: because he knows he's supposed to say that because it
- 33:57Speaker 1: could be a political weakness. But it's only going to
- 33:59Speaker 1: be a political weakness if we make it one. And
- 34:00Speaker 1: so I do think a huge part of the messaging
- 34:02Speaker 1: from Biden and the Democrats need to be around this.
- 34:04Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 34:04Speaker 4: I mean, look, on that Labor Day, during that Labor
- 34:06Speaker 4: Day press conference, in between his attacks on, it went,
- 34:09Speaker 4: attack McCain, talk about random monuments. Then he started saying,
- 34:14Speaker 4: I know my customers, when he was talking about Democrats
- 34:17Speaker 4: in Congress and blaming them for wanting to spend a
- 34:20Speaker 4: trillion dollars on relief and just, you know, not mustering
- 34:24Speaker 4: any semblance of empathy for all the people who are
- 34:28Speaker 4: desperate and out.
- 34:29Speaker 1: Of work right now.
- 34:30Speaker 4: And then he moved on to locking up political opponents.
- 34:34Speaker 5: What about Pelosi? You forgot about Pelosi's trip to the salon.
- 34:37Speaker 1: Did that come up?
- 34:38Speaker 5: Nancy Pelosi got a haircut.
- 34:39Speaker 1: I sketched out.
- 34:40Speaker 4: All the things that went on in that press conference.
- 34:43Speaker 4: Then he yelled about vote by mail. Then he supported
- 34:45Speaker 4: an investigation into DeJoy's fundraising. Then there was the whole
- 34:48Speaker 4: vaccine float. So it was a real fun one. Look,
- 34:53Speaker 4: he's laser focused.
- 34:54Speaker 1: He's laser focused on the economy and what matters to
- 34:57Speaker 1: the American people every single day. Can't lose to this guy.
- 35:01Speaker 1: We can't lose to this guy.
- 35:05Speaker 5: I don't like the stakes being raised for DeJoy stealing
- 35:07Speaker 5: the election. I don't like that. I don't like that now.
- 35:10Speaker 5: Now DeJoy needs the pardon too. I don't like it.
- 35:13Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good point.
- 35:13Speaker 4: Although I got to say, DeJoy is going to get
- 35:16Speaker 4: a call from someone in law enforcement. You can't have
- 35:20Speaker 4: your former head of HR detail on the record in
- 35:23Speaker 4: the Washington Post the most clear-cut campaign finance violation possible.
- 35:28Speaker 4: The only one that people actually go to jail for
- 35:31Speaker 4: is these straw donations where you have your employees or
- 35:33Speaker 4: your friends make donations to a candidate and you reimburse them.
- 35:37Speaker 4: This HR director is on the record admitting to it,
- 35:40Speaker 4: and then it's all backed by data. Like, that guy
- 35:41Speaker 4: is in some big trouble.
- 35:42Speaker 5: It's extremely provable.
- 35:43Speaker 1: Extremely provable.
- 35:45Speaker 3: Yes.
- 35:45Speaker 1: The reason that he's so screwed, too, is this is
- 35:47Speaker 1: not some MAGA guy from the get go. This is
- 35:50Speaker 1: just your typical rich Republican donor asshole. Trump loves to
- 35:55Speaker 1: cut those people loose.
- 35:56Speaker 5: So this is called Sondlanding.
- 35:57Speaker 1: This is called Sondlanding.
- 35:59Speaker 5: You're a you're an old, bald, rich white asshole who
- 36:03Speaker 5: just wants the word ambassador on wedding invitations. And the
- 36:05Speaker 5: next thing you know, you're testifying before Adam Schiff.
- 36:07Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 36:08Speaker 4: And when Trump was asked about whether it's for an investigation,
- 36:11Speaker 4: he was like, oh, yeah, absolutely. And if he did,
- 36:12Speaker 4: they were like, what if he did something wrong? He's like, yeah, yeah,
- 36:14Speaker 4: that'd be a problem. There was no effort to defend him.
- 36:17Speaker 4: He's not helping him.
- 36:19Speaker 2: All right.
- 36:19Speaker 1: When we come back, I will talk to Lauren Groargo,
- 36:23Speaker 1: the CEO of Fair Fight Action, about winning Georgia. On
- 36:35Speaker 1: the pod today, Lauren Groargo was Stacey Abrams' campaign manager.
- 36:38Speaker 1: She is currently the CEO of Fair Fight Action. Lauren,
- 36:42Speaker 1: welcome to the show.
- 36:43Speaker 6: Thank you so much for having me, John.
- 36:46Speaker 1: Let's talk about Georgia, a state that no Democrat has
- 36:49Speaker 1: carried in a presidential since 1992. Hillary Clinton got 45.3%
- 36:51Speaker 1: of the vote in 2016. Stacey Abrams, your boss, got 48.8%
- 36:54Speaker 1: of the vote in 2018. 538 average has Biden sitting
- 36:57Speaker 1: at 45.6% right now, just about a point and a
- 36:58Speaker 1: half behind Trump. How does Joe Biden get to 50
- 37:00Speaker 1: in Georgia?
- 37:00Speaker 5: Well....
- 37:12Speaker 6: Right now, all polling shows Georgia's right in the margin
- 37:15Speaker 6: of error. There was just polling that we released last
- 37:18Speaker 6: week that had Biden up one, Morning Consult had him up,
- 37:21Speaker 6: I think, two. And so let's just set polls aside
- 37:24Speaker 6: because the race is tied. I mean, it's pretty clear
- 37:27Speaker 6: if you look at all the credible polling. So what's
- 37:30Speaker 6: unique about Georgia in contrast to a lot of other
- 37:33Speaker 6: battleground states is first, we are the most African-American electorate
- 37:38Speaker 6: in the country. You come into this election, Joe Biden
- 37:41Speaker 6: is going to at least probably have 33 percent of
- 37:43Speaker 6: the vote will be black Georgians. And what the second
- 37:48Speaker 6: piece overall is that we have one of the most
- 37:50Speaker 6: diverse electorates in the country with rapidly growing Asian-American populations,
- 37:55Speaker 6: Latinx populations. And whites tend to be getting younger and
- 37:59Speaker 6: more progressive in the state just in terms of the
- 38:01Speaker 6: overall demography. And so today in Georgia, there's already a
- 38:04Speaker 6: progressive majority in the state. The question is, can we
- 38:07Speaker 6: mobilize that majority to turn out and have their votes counted?
- 38:11Speaker 6: And what this looks like brass tacks, as you pointed out,
- 38:15Speaker 6: Stacey lost the state by just under 55,000 votes. Very,
- 38:18Speaker 6: very narrow loss. In Georgia today, there are about 750,000
- 38:25Speaker 6: newly registered folks that weren't even on the rolls in 2018. Half,
- 38:28Speaker 6: about 49% of those new voters are voters of color.
- 38:33Speaker 6: So the new voters are disproportionately voters of color. They're
- 38:37Speaker 6: disproportionately young. They're disproportionately progressive. And they're not factored in
- 38:42Speaker 6: to the 538 model, right? The 538 model and others
- 38:45Speaker 6: are looking at likely voters. So we have a huge
- 38:47Speaker 6: infusion into the electorate that skews towards our side. And secondly,
- 38:50Speaker 6: when you add those new voters in, looking at voters
- 38:54Speaker 6: that typically only vote in presidentials or maybe unreliable presidential voters,
- 38:58Speaker 6: the Biden campaign and our Senate campaigns, because we have
- 39:02Speaker 6: two of them, have almost 2 million Democratic-leaning new or
- 39:07Speaker 6: infrequent voters to turn out to close that vote gap.
- 39:11Speaker 6: So it's a big number. We have a big opportunity.
- 39:14Speaker 1: So you're a campaign manager. You've had to deal with
- 39:16Speaker 1: tough budget decisions. If you're on the Biden campaign, you're
- 39:19Speaker 1: seeing that maybe you're in a better position in states
- 39:22Speaker 1: like Wisconsin, Arizona, Florida. Maybe they're more likely to be
- 39:26Speaker 1: tipping point. Pennsylvania, states like that. What's your argument to
- 39:29Speaker 1: the campaign? that they should spend more money competing in
- 39:33Speaker 1: Georgia to sort of get that 270th vote?
- 39:37Speaker 6: So I think we need to look at it in
- 39:39Speaker 6: two ways. One, we need to not take any state
- 39:42Speaker 6: for granted. I look at a state like Nevada. Nevada
- 39:46Speaker 6: had more rejected absentee ballots by mail in their June
- 39:50Speaker 6: primary than Hillary Clinton's margin of victory. So election administration issues,
- 39:57Speaker 6: voter suppression issues, the challenges of COVID mean that the
- 40:01Speaker 6: Biden campaign in all efforts need to take a very
- 40:05Speaker 6: big look at their map. We want to make sure
- 40:08Speaker 6: that we're not taking states like Nevada and Minnesota for granted.
- 40:11Speaker 6: At the same time, we need to make sure that
- 40:14Speaker 6: we're playing big and giving multiple paths to the White House,
- 40:17Speaker 6: as well as giving Biden the Senate majority he's going
- 40:19Speaker 6: to need to govern and sort of turn the ship around.
- 40:22Speaker 6: And so Georgia, we have two things. We have an
- 40:25Speaker 6: extremely competitive state, as competitive as the northern battlegrounds, just
- 40:30Speaker 6: by the numbers. Everything's sort of in the margin, essentially.
- 40:34Speaker 6: And secondly, we have two U.S. Senate seats here, which
- 40:37Speaker 6: is incredibly unusual. And so that's where, you know, what
- 40:40Speaker 6: I advocate for with everybody is we need to play
- 40:43Speaker 6: in Georgia and you get to build on top of
- 40:46Speaker 6: the infrastructure that the Abrams campaign put together. Look, like
- 40:49Speaker 6: I had a lot of conversations with the Clinton campaign
- 40:51Speaker 6: and others in 2016 about contesting in Georgia. The big
- 40:55Speaker 6: difference now is we and our allies have laid a
- 40:58Speaker 6: ton of volunteer data and other infrastructure in the state.
- 41:02Speaker 6: In fact, the Abrams campaign all told, we spent $ 42
- 41:05Speaker 6: million dollars building, volunteers, staff, data, know-how. And so you're
- 41:10Speaker 6: no longer coming into Georgia without having all of that
- 41:14Speaker 6: institutional and infrastructure overall. And so we're really building that.
- 41:18Speaker 6: And the argument here is now just to leverage that investment.
- 41:21Speaker 6: And I'm thrilled to see the Biden campaign has invested
- 41:24Speaker 6: in a full suite of staff on the ground. And
- 41:27Speaker 6: so now really the question is going to be, are
- 41:28Speaker 6: we going to really compete in all the ways to
- 41:31Speaker 6: turn out voters and the paid media operation? And I'm optimistic.
- 41:35Speaker 6: Because when you look at states that are going to
- 41:37Speaker 6: be incredibly difficult, sort of our traditional battleground states in
- 41:42Speaker 6: the north, we need to make sure, as Stacey likes
- 41:44Speaker 6: to say, she likes to say, we need belts, we
- 41:46Speaker 6: need suspenders, we need multiple pathways here. And with a
- 41:50Speaker 6: financial environment that the Biden campaign and a lot of
- 41:54Speaker 6: liberal groups are having really tremendous fundraising, even in this downturn,
- 41:58Speaker 6: that's financially giving people options to run multiple strategies at
- 42:03Speaker 6: the same time.
- 42:05Speaker 1: So in your 2018 race, you guys won over a
- 42:08Speaker 1: lot of people who don't always vote by, you know,
- 42:11Speaker 1: Stacey always talks about this, showing up in their communities,
- 42:13Speaker 1: meeting people face to face, organizing on the ground. The
- 42:16Speaker 1: Trump campaign doesn't really care about the pandemic, so they're
- 42:19Speaker 1: still knocking on doors. Democrats are basically running a virtual campaign.
- 42:23Speaker 1: Do you see that as an additional challenge to overcome,
- 42:25Speaker 1: especially when it comes to reaching low propensity voters?
- 42:30Speaker 6: It's such a different landscape this year in a state
- 42:33Speaker 6: like Georgia, where we've had the failed Trump-Kemp response. And
- 42:37Speaker 6: we've had two hospitals close during the pandemic, John. I mean,
- 42:41Speaker 6: this is very clear to Georgia voters, the failure of leadership.
- 42:46Speaker 6: We still don't have a mask mandate in the state
- 42:48Speaker 6: of Georgia. Our neighbor in Alabama, the Alabama governor put
- 42:52Speaker 6: a mask mandate in place. But in Georgia, you know,
- 42:54Speaker 6: it's really all the burden that's fallen to local, mainly
- 42:56Speaker 6: Democratic elected officials to clean up this mess. But when
- 43:00Speaker 6: you look at the murders that of Ahmaud Arbery and
- 43:03Speaker 6: Rayshard Brooks and others in the state of Georgia that's
- 43:06Speaker 6: so connected to this national conversation about racial justice. Folks
- 43:11Speaker 6: are motivated to vote in Georgia. Folks understand what is
- 43:15Speaker 6: at stake and that they're demanding change. And so I
- 43:19Speaker 6: think some of what might be seen as impediments in
- 43:22Speaker 6: terms of the lack of ability to do the in-person work,
- 43:25Speaker 6: the flip side of it is it couldn't be more
- 43:27Speaker 6: clear to Georgians who is responsible for this outrageous proliferation
- 43:32Speaker 6: of the virus, as well as the lack of ability
- 43:36Speaker 6: for folks to have their voices heard. And so the
- 43:38Speaker 6: time has come. We're going to do a couple things
- 43:40Speaker 6: this year in Georgia, John. We picked up 14 new
- 43:43Speaker 6: state ledge seats in 2018 when Stacey was on the
- 43:45Speaker 6: top of the ticket. We have an opportunity to flip
- 43:47Speaker 6: the Georgia State House. And maybe your listeners don't care
- 43:50Speaker 6: about that in Georgia, but here's what they do care about.
- 43:53Speaker 6: They care about reapportionment. They care about who's going to
- 43:56Speaker 6: get how many congressional seats in the next... coming out
- 44:00Speaker 6: of the census and redistricting. Georgia is a growing state.
- 44:03Speaker 6: We should have more Democratic congressional districts. The state should
- 44:06Speaker 6: be more 50-50 than it is. And so we need
- 44:09Speaker 6: to make sure there's that balance in the legislature. We
- 44:12Speaker 6: need to have a shot to win at least one
- 44:13Speaker 6: of these Senate races. We have two tremendous candidates in
- 44:16Speaker 6: Raphael Warnock and John Ossoff. And we have the opportunity
- 44:21Speaker 6: to bring it home for the presidential election. and all
- 44:24Speaker 6: things are pushing together, right? Not many states do have
- 44:27Speaker 6: not one, but two really compelling Senate races that are
- 44:30Speaker 6: raising and spending real money, and they're really motivating voters.
- 44:34Speaker 6: So that also helps push up and support the top
- 44:36Speaker 6: of the ticket.
- 44:37Speaker 1: And we have a bunch of listeners in Georgia who
- 44:39Speaker 1: should care about a Democratic state legislature in Georgia.
- 44:42Speaker 6: 100%. We need to get Medicaid expansion, right? We need
- 44:47Speaker 6: to stop these rural hospital closures and really shore up
- 44:50Speaker 6: our entire healthcare system here. This is just, You know,
- 44:54Speaker 6: Stacey ran on Medicaid expansion and a whole set of
- 44:57Speaker 6: these economic issues and justice issues. And we're seeing that
- 45:01Speaker 6: failure of our government here, aided and abetted and led
- 45:04Speaker 6: by the Trump administration and his two patsies in the
- 45:07Speaker 6: Senate down here. And so it's time. It's time to
- 45:10Speaker 6: make a big change. And Georgians are there and the
- 45:13Speaker 6: dots are so clearly connected. You see it in the
- 45:14Speaker 6: polling and you see it in talking to people. You
- 45:18Speaker 6: see it in the sort of incredible engagement the campaigns
- 45:22Speaker 6: are receiving. So all signs indicate that Democrats are very enthusiastic.
- 45:26Speaker 6: They're very motivated. They're motivated to fight voter suppression. This
- 45:29Speaker 6: is not a new fight. Welcome to the fight, many
- 45:31Speaker 6: states around the country. This is a fight we have
- 45:33Speaker 6: been up against here. Voters are very clear. They're educated.
- 45:37Speaker 6: We had more Democrats turn out in our June primary
- 45:40Speaker 6: than Republicans. Not just a small amount, about a quarter million.
- 45:44Speaker 5: That is huge.
- 45:46Speaker 6: That shows Democratic enthusiasm. And even with the lines and
- 45:50Speaker 6: challenges with voting, Democrats outperformed Republicans. Democrats are motivated. And
- 45:54Speaker 6: it's not just me and others saying nice words. You
- 45:57Speaker 6: can really see it in the data. And so we're
- 45:59Speaker 6: hopeful that we'll see the level of investment we really
- 46:02Speaker 6: need this fall to bring it home.
- 46:05Speaker 1: In terms of message and policy, is there anything you
- 46:07Speaker 1: would like to hear more about from Biden and these
- 46:11Speaker 1: Democratic candidates that you think would resonate with voters in Georgia?
- 46:14Speaker 1: You've talked a lot already about health care. You've talked
- 46:16Speaker 1: about racial justice. Is there anything that they're not saying
- 46:19Speaker 1: or should be saying more of?
- 46:22Speaker 6: Look, I think the overall piece in Georgia, which is
- 46:26Speaker 6: a state that hasn't been contested at the federal level
- 46:29Speaker 6: as much as other states, voters want to know. what
- 46:33Speaker 6: the plan is to make change and have change be felt.
- 46:37Speaker 6: Georgia is not a monolithic state. It's a big state,
- 46:40Speaker 6: just like a lot of other battleground states. And so
- 46:42Speaker 6: there's no one type of Georgia voter. There's no one
- 46:45Speaker 6: type of Georgia African-American voter. African-American Georgians are incredibly diverse.
- 46:49Speaker 6: Our Latino community is very diverse. And so that's why
- 46:52Speaker 6: I'm really energized by the Warnock and Ossoff campaigns. They're
- 46:55Speaker 6: really building campaigns that can speak to all Georgians. And
- 46:59Speaker 6: I think the Biden-Harris messaging is good. And I do
- 47:03Speaker 6: think it resonates and connects. I think the biggest challenge
- 47:05Speaker 6: that we're going to have is making sure voters hear
- 47:07Speaker 6: it down here, right? That's where we need the investment.
- 47:10Speaker 6: And I'm thrilled. We know that the Biden team has
- 47:12Speaker 6: already reserved several million in media for the fall down here.
- 47:15Speaker 6: We'll see how that expands combined with what the Ossoff
- 47:19Speaker 6: and Warnock campaigns are doing. So, you know, we just
- 47:22Speaker 6: need the level of investment that we've had that we
- 47:25Speaker 6: haven't had in the past and more in line with
- 47:27Speaker 6: what we saw with the Abrams team. And one of
- 47:29Speaker 6: the reasons we know we're competitive, John, is because the
- 47:31Speaker 6: Trump team is spending. They're spending like crazy. The Republican
- 47:34Speaker 6: Senate efforts are spending like crazy. They know the state
- 47:37Speaker 6: is very competitive. And so we just have to bring
- 47:39Speaker 6: everything we possibly can to this fight. And I do
- 47:42Speaker 6: think that we'll be able to get Biden over the
- 47:44Speaker 6: finish line here. And I do think we're going to
- 47:46Speaker 6: have a surprise in our Senate. I think we're going
- 47:48Speaker 6: to get at least one of these two Senate races
- 47:49Speaker 6: over the finish line, hopefully both. And I think it's
- 47:53Speaker 6: going to really change the narrative about what's possible in
- 47:55Speaker 6: the sort of deep traditional South in terms of the presidential.
- 47:59Speaker 6: But we're going to continue to push folks to make
- 48:02Speaker 6: the biggest investments they possibly can down here.
- 48:03Speaker 1: I like to hear that. Of all the battles that
- 48:06Speaker 1: Fair Fight is involved in right now, what's making you
- 48:09Speaker 1: the most anxious as we get closer to the election
- 48:12Speaker 1: and people start voting?
- 48:14Speaker 6: I think the thing folks need to remember is that
- 48:17Speaker 6: Trump is a coward. He's a loser. He's corrupt. And
- 48:21Speaker 6: he and his ilk and his campaign and his allies
- 48:24Speaker 6: in the states have built this architecture to erect barriers
- 48:28Speaker 6: around the vote every which way because they can't win
- 48:31Speaker 6: a fair fight. And so voters just have to be informed, right?
- 48:35Speaker 6: They need to go to sites like vote.org. Check your registration.
- 48:38Speaker 6: It's still not too late to re-register or update your
- 48:41Speaker 6: address in pretty much any state, right? Voters just need
- 48:44Speaker 6: to be informed and make sure that they make a
- 48:47Speaker 6: plan now. Don't wait until October to decide how you're
- 48:50Speaker 6: going to vote. Here in September, now that Labor Day
- 48:53Speaker 6: is behind us, request your vote-by-mail ballot now. You can
- 48:57Speaker 6: also do that at vote.org. Request that ballot now, and
- 49:00Speaker 6: when you get it, return it right away. Or educate
- 49:02Speaker 6: yourself on your state's early voting. Most battleground states, most
- 49:05Speaker 6: states have at least a couple weeks of early voting
- 49:08Speaker 6: in person. Make your plan now. Put it on your
- 49:10Speaker 6: calendar now. Figure out what your child care situation is
- 49:12Speaker 6: going to be now. Figure out what your work schedule
- 49:14Speaker 6: is going to be now. Don't wait to make your
- 49:16Speaker 6: plan to vote, and don't let all the noise. around
- 49:21Speaker 6: distractions and crises take you off of that. And then
- 49:25Speaker 6: tell all of your friends the same thing. They're trying
- 49:28Speaker 6: to make it harder and dissuade people from voting by
- 49:30Speaker 6: mail to the tune of messing with the post office.
- 49:32Speaker 6: They're going to have a whole intimidation and all sorts
- 49:35Speaker 6: of craziness around early voting person. Know your rights, make
- 49:38Speaker 6: your plan, Cast your vote early, make your plan to
- 49:41Speaker 6: vote early, and then make sure you know advocates who
- 49:44Speaker 6: can help you. Call 866-OUR-VOTE if you need help along
- 49:48Speaker 6: the way. 866-OUR-VOTE is a nonpartisan hotline. They have experts
- 49:52Speaker 6: that know how to vote in every single state in
- 49:55Speaker 6: this country. You can call them and ask for help.
- 49:57Speaker 6: And then again, tell your friends and your family and
- 49:59Speaker 6: get involved with Fair Fight. You can go to fairfight2020. org.
- 50:03Speaker 6: If you've got more time besides just registering and voting
- 50:06Speaker 6: and want to get more involved in protecting the vote
- 50:08Speaker 6: this fall, So I think that's really our message, John,
- 50:12Speaker 6: is that the whole suppression, depression apparatus of the Republican
- 50:16Speaker 6: Party under Trump is so severe on every method of
- 50:19Speaker 6: voting they're coming after it. And so voters just need
- 50:21Speaker 6: to make their plan and get themselves educated and try
- 50:24Speaker 6: and stay focused on getting their vote cast early.
- 50:27Speaker 1: Last question, you know, you mentioned voter, not just voter suppression,
- 50:30Speaker 1: but voter depression. One of the more pernicious effects of
- 50:33Speaker 1: voter suppression is the sense of cynicism. I know Stacey
- 50:36Speaker 1: talks about this a lot as well, you know, and
- 50:38Speaker 1: it It can lead a lot of people, especially people
- 50:40Speaker 1: who don't usually vote, to decide that maybe their vote
- 50:43Speaker 1: won't count. Maybe they shouldn't bother. How do you think
- 50:47Speaker 1: about overcoming that kind of cynicism in low propensity voters? And,
- 50:52Speaker 1: you know, I've talked to pollsters and people who do
- 50:54Speaker 1: focus groups that say that it was increased after 2018,
- 50:57Speaker 1: particularly because of what happened to Stacey in Georgia, what
- 51:01Speaker 1: happened to Andrew Gillum in Florida. I mean, how do
- 51:04Speaker 1: you sort of overcome the sense of cynicism?
- 51:07Speaker 6: The top way that we see is when folks that
- 51:12Speaker 6: people relate to in their own community explain that they
- 51:16Speaker 6: were able to vote successfully by mail and sort of
- 51:18Speaker 6: connect the dots. And so there are great trusted messengers
- 51:22Speaker 6: like Stacey, like Barack Obama, like Michelle Obama. There are
- 51:25Speaker 6: a couple figures in the Democratic Party who are very
- 51:28Speaker 6: trusted by voters. We've seen this in our research and
- 51:30Speaker 6: others' research. that they can really help. But it's really that,
- 51:34Speaker 6: and this goes back to, we have to do it
- 51:36Speaker 6: digitally now, but that is actually really where community organizing
- 51:39Speaker 6: matters a lot. And there are so many fantastic community
- 51:42Speaker 6: organizers around the country. Black Lives Matter movement is working
- 51:46Speaker 6: on this. There are so many local groups really figuring
- 51:49Speaker 6: out how do we have the conversation locally about making
- 51:52Speaker 6: sure people know how to vote and where to vote.
- 51:54Speaker 6: And right now the fight for racial justice is a
- 51:56Speaker 6: huge motivating factor across race and ethnicity. of progressive and
- 52:01Speaker 6: Democratic-leaning groups. Folks are inspired and really want to take
- 52:06Speaker 6: action and are connecting the dots on how that is
- 52:08Speaker 6: one of the big reasons that people do want to
- 52:11Speaker 6: vote and navigate all of this disinformation and suppression and
- 52:14Speaker 6: the rest. And so for me, that gives a lot
- 52:16Speaker 6: of cause for hope that we can, folks like Stacey
- 52:20Speaker 6: and community organizers who are nameless in the community have
- 52:23Speaker 6: a lot of tools and toolbox to work with to
- 52:25Speaker 6: support folks in their quest to cast a ballot and
- 52:28Speaker 6: to get it counted, to see it all the way through.
- 52:31Speaker 1: Lauren Groworgo, thank you so much for joining us. Thank
- 52:33Speaker 1: you for all the fantastic work that you guys are
- 52:35Speaker 1: doing with Fair Fight Action and, um, good luck in
- 52:38Speaker 1: the homestretch.
- 52:39Speaker 6: Thank you so much, John. We're so grateful for you
- 52:41Speaker 6: and your, your audience.
- 52:42Speaker 5: Take care.
- 52:48Speaker 1: Thanks to Lauren for joining us today. And, um, Everyone
- 52:51Speaker 1: go to votesaveamerica.com slash states. Make a plan today. Get
- 52:55Speaker 1: your shit together. Figure out when you're going to vote,
- 52:57Speaker 1: when you're going to get your ballot. And then also
- 52:59Speaker 1: adopt a state and make some calls. That's the best
- 53:01Speaker 1: way to deal with the anxiety.
- 53:03Speaker 5: Make some calls. Make some texts. Just two notes. One,
- 53:06Speaker 5: Bill Paxton, may his memory be a blessing. Two, we
- 53:10Speaker 5: don't know if that was Adderall falling out of Trump's nose.
- 53:12Speaker 5: That's just something on the internet. We don't know that.
- 53:14Speaker 5: We don't know it. And I just want to be
- 53:15Speaker 5: clear that I'm not one of those people that's just like,
- 53:17Speaker 5: I saw something on the internet, so I know it's true.
- 53:19Speaker 5: That's one of those.
- 53:22Speaker 4: Videos that I have not clicked on and I will not.
- 53:24Speaker 4: I do not need to see something flying out of
- 53:25Speaker 4: his nose.
- 53:27Speaker 6: Now or ever.
- 53:27Speaker 1: Oh, this is the first I've heard of this.
- 53:29Speaker 5: I watched it like the Zapruder film. I watched it
- 53:31Speaker 5: like the Zapruder film. I was like, what's the angle?
- 53:33Speaker 5: Is it possible? Is that from the mouth? What are
- 53:35Speaker 5: we dealing with here? I'm very much obsessed with this.
- 53:38Speaker 5: It's in the canon of the Ted Cruz. What is
- 53:41Speaker 5: that white thing stuck on his face?
- 53:43Speaker 4: You know?
- 53:44Speaker 3: Yep. Yep. Yep.
- 53:45Speaker 2: Yep.
- 53:45Speaker 1: Real gross.
- 53:47Speaker 5: All right, guys. There's music now, I think.
- 53:49Speaker 1: We'll see you guys later. Bye, guys. Pod Save America
- 53:56Speaker 1: is a Crooked Media production. The executive producer is Michael Martinez.
- 54:00Speaker 1: Our associate producer is Jordan Waller. It's mixed and edited
- 54:04Speaker 1: by Andrew Chadwick. Kyle Seglin is our sound engineer. Thanks
- 54:07Speaker 1: to Tanya Sominator, Katie Long, Roman Papadimitriou, Caroline Reston, and
- 54:12Speaker 1: Elisa Gutierrez for production support. And to our digital team,
- 54:15Speaker 1: Elijah Cohn, Nar Melkonian, Yale Freed, and Milo Kim, who
- 54:19Speaker 1: film and upload these episodes as videos every week.