Latest / THE DAILY BRIEF / Sadler analyzed the U.S. administration's choice to temporarily halt direct military strikes against Iran

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Sadler analyzed the U.S. administration's choice to temporarily halt direct military strikes against Iran · THE DAILY BRIEF

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  Speaker 1: For more on where things stand regarding Ron and where
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  Speaker 1: they might go next. Let's bring in Heritage Foundation senior
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  Speaker 1: research fellow Brent Sadler. Brent, the President paused these strikes.
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  Speaker 1: He threatened a massive attack, then paused it. Why do
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  Speaker 1: you think that's going on?
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  Speaker 2: Well, two reasons come to mind.
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  Speaker 3: First is the potential to resupply, rearm and reposition for
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  Speaker 3: exactly that major strike. And the advice that was just
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  Speaker 3: commented on earlier that the Commander Syncome, Admiral Brad Cooper
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  Speaker 3: that the current attacks against the coastal areas reached the
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  Speaker 3: end of its effectiveness.
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  Speaker 2: It could be that being the reason.
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  Speaker 3: They want a reposition for a new type of focus
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  Speaker 3: of a more large scale attack. The other, of course,
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  Speaker 3: is the one that seems seemingly on the surface, is
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  Speaker 3: to allow negotiations between Iran and Oman to play out.
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  Speaker 3: But there's very little hope that's going to have any
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  Speaker 3: meaningful change.
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  Speaker 1: There are a lot of skeptics of this war. One
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  Speaker 1: of them is Senator Chris Van Holland, who says that
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  Speaker 1: in his view, it's because the United States is running
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  Speaker 1: out of protective weaponry.
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  Speaker 4: Listen, we have depleted our interceptors which are the weapons
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  Speaker 4: we use to intercept incoming Iranian attacks, which are obviously
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  Speaker 4: necessary to protect American troops, And so we are depleting
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  Speaker 4: these every day despite the fact that we could face
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  Speaker 4: other potential conflicts around the world. That Donald Trump said,
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  Speaker 4: we won this war.
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  Speaker 5: We won.
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  Speaker 4: Those are his words back in March. And so the
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  Speaker 4: question is now we're in July, why are Americans still
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  Speaker 4: getting killed? Why is the strait of Hornmouse still closed?
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  Speaker 5: Have we won the war? That's what the President said, Well.
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  Speaker 2: It's still very much at play.
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  Speaker 3: And unfortunately, decisions made by senators like Senator Van Holland
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  Speaker 3: for more than just a few years, for several decades
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  Speaker 3: and administrations have prevented from getting our defense industrial base
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  Speaker 3: where it needs to be to produce a scale the
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  Speaker 3: type of munitions he's referring. But the threat from the
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  Speaker 3: Iranian military is significantly lesser, so the concern about these
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  Speaker 3: interceptors running out of supply is not as much of
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  Speaker 3: a concern.
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  Speaker 2: You know, of course, an eye on the Pacific.
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  Speaker 3: Is always really the metric to watch, But the threat
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  Speaker 3: to forces in the region are significantly lower than before,
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  Speaker 3: not zero.
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  Speaker 2: But this question about capacity is a longer standing one.
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  Speaker 2: It's still yet to be addressed.
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  Speaker 3: And again, the president has quite a lot of options.
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  Speaker 3: And again, if this pause is just to reposition, I
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  Speaker 3: think it's to actually have a much more effective military
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  Speaker 3: hammer blow on the Irgc to compel him to an end.
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  Speaker 1: The Israelis have not been very involved in these latest strikes,
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  Speaker 1: haven't been as involved since the beginning of the war
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  Speaker 1: of Benjamin Nett and Yahoo is going to be meeting
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  Speaker 1: with President Trump this week. Here's what he had to
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  Speaker 1: say about the status of the Iranian regime.
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  Speaker 6: I think when this regime is either toppled or it's
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  Speaker 6: sufficiently weakened that it knows it has to end its
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  Speaker 6: nuclear program and has to change its course. That's really
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  Speaker 6: what President Trump is trying to achieve, and I back
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  Speaker 6: fully his efforts to do so. If he can do
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  Speaker 6: so without returning to intense military fighting, that's fine.
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  Speaker 5: Why not.
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  Speaker 6: But one way or the other, they have to end
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  Speaker 6: their nuclear program, and with a deal or without a deal,
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  Speaker 6: that has to come to an end.
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  Speaker 5: That's the way the Israelis see it.
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  Speaker 1: But do you think the Iranians see that they are
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  Speaker 1: teetering on the brink?
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  Speaker 3: I think they know it is there was the leak
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  Speaker 3: document a little over a week ago. It said that
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  Speaker 3: less than ten percent of the Iranian people support the regime,
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  Speaker 3: and we do know in January had large numbers of
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  Speaker 3: protesters out means since they've done a brutal crackdown. But
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  Speaker 3: the question for the Iranian regime continually takes choices that
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  Speaker 3: isolate themselves. You have now the Ukrainians intercepting Russian shipping
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  Speaker 3: to and from Russia with military gear, ostensibly because that's
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  Speaker 3: where the Russians are getting supplies for their.
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  Speaker 2: War in Ukraine. And then of course the Huthis. So
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  Speaker 2: the question I think on this Tuesday meeting at the
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  Speaker 2: White House will be.
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  Speaker 3: The near term, how do we secure shipping through the
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  Speaker 3: straits or her moves, how do we put ourselves on
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  Speaker 3: a path to ensure that there's no nuclear armed Iran?
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  Speaker 3: And then finally, how do we actually ensure that this regime,
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  Speaker 3: the nature of it, murders, nature of it has actually
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  Speaker 3: changed in the long term so that we don't relive
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  Speaker 3: this in five years from now or even sooner.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, you mentioned the Houthis and they've been causing trouble
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  Speaker 1: and launching attacks. The Saudis are once again taking on
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  Speaker 1: the Huthis. The President tweeted this, put this out on
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  Speaker 1: truth social If they do this again, meaning the Houthies,
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  Speaker 1: the US will hold Iran responsible and that the Huthis
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  Speaker 1: are a surrogator proxy for Iran, and major military punishment
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  Speaker 1: will be inflicted on upon Iran and of course the
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  Speaker 1: Huthis themselves. So the threats are still out there. The
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  Speaker 1: Huthis in particular don't ever seem to have responded.
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  Speaker 5: To threats or even attacks.
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  Speaker 1: Do you agree or or are they in fact teetering
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  Speaker 1: as well?
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  Speaker 2: They're not teetering.
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  Speaker 3: I mean, their bar for survivals pretty low, and their
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  Speaker 3: love for the kind of the fight is also very high.
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  Speaker 3: So as long as they're getting intelligence and munitions from
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  Speaker 3: the Iranian regime, they're going to be in the fight.
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  Speaker 3: But another important point on this, Saudi Arabia has quite
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  Speaker 3: a network of supporters, direct military supporters from countries like Pakistan, Indonesia,
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  Speaker 3: perhaps even Malaysia that in the past have actually supported
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  Speaker 3: Saudi Arabia in past fights against the Huthis in Yemen.
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  Speaker 3: So when the Iranians trigger this fight between the Huthis
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  Speaker 3: and the Saudis, they're actually further isolating themselves even more so.
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  Speaker 1: All right, it's going to be an interesting week with
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  Speaker 1: Benjamin Netanya who meeting with the president Brent Sadler from
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  Speaker 1: the Heritage Foundation.
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  Speaker 5: We appreciate it, Thank you, thank you.
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