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Episode 108 - 8/30/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 108 of the All Systems Go sports
0:23
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:26
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:33
Happy Friday, the final day in August before we turn the page
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to September before football season takes over our lives or
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maybe it's already taking over our lives, which is fine with
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me. I'm looking toward today, guys,
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hopefully wrap up the week, wrap up the final day and the month
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here of August. On a hot note, I have a four
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pack of sweats for it today, including the first college
0:55
football sweat for the all systems go pod in 2024.
0:59
I found a home dog with a very, very sharp line move, a great
1:02
bat split and the line keeps dropping in their favor even
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though they're on the contrarian side.
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So I'm going to take the points with a home dog.
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I'll give you the full breakdown on today's pod.
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So we'll have our first college football sweat here.
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Also not going to quit Major League Baseball.
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Got a three pack of MLB sweats for you.
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All money lines here. Seeing if we can go two and one
1:21
with our MLB plays and win our college play.
1:24
But here is the goal for tonight just to eke out a winning night
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as always. So before I get to today's pod,
1:31
I wanted to mention thank you all for checking in on me.
1:34
Unfortunately wasn't able to do a pod yesterday and I got
1:37
flooded with DMS with techs. Are you alive?
1:39
Where's the pod? What's going on?
1:41
It just goes to show what a loyal audience we have and I
1:44
very much appreciate you guys seeing if I'm dead or alive.
1:47
Luckily, I'm still alive, but had something come up yesterday
1:50
where I was, I couldn't get away from my computer and I was able
1:54
or I had to get away from my computer, had to do something
1:57
again. I'll keep it to myself, family
1:59
related, but everything's fine. Nobody's dead.
2:01
But unfortunately just that could not get the pod out
2:04
yesterday. But it did mean a lot to me that
2:06
you guys DM me, checked in, said where's the pod?
2:08
That just goes to show what a great kind of community we've
2:12
created over 107 episodes, going on episode 108.
2:16
Now the other bad news unfortunately is that sad face.
2:19
No biting this weekend. No biting unable to continue our
2:24
UFC winning streak going trying to get to 12 straight because
2:28
there's no UFC this weekend, but I did see the next card is on
2:31
September 7th. So we'll have to wait another
2:34
week, but that's OK. I'll be ready to go for system
2:36
matches for UFC upcoming on next week.
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So without further ado, let's get right back to it because I
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miss you guys yesterday. I also wanted to mention we have
2:45
full college football slate for real starting tomorrow, so get
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ready for a lot of college football moving forward.
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I got a lot of hits from you guys saying when are you going
2:53
to talk college football? Well, don't worry, it's a long
2:55
season and I'm kind of taking a slow approach here, letting the
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games come to me and I really always want to wait until kind
3:02
of week one officially because a lot of these early games,
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sometimes you can have some weird things happening.
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They're kind of weird one offs. Also when you're able to kind of
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get to the regular season, especially week two and beyond,
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you get a little bit of information on these teams.
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I always kind of sometimes take a slow approach to a new season
3:17
just because there are a lot of unknowns.
3:19
So at least when you get a game under your belt then you have a
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little bit more information to work with.
3:23
But with that being said, now is the time to get going here guys.
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So for a college football sweat for you tonight, first of the
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year on the all Systems Go sports betting pod, I'm going to
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go to a late night sweat tonight.
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This is a 10:00 game on ESPN, so we should all be able to sweat
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it and watch it together. But I'm looking at TCU visiting
3:43
the Stanford Cardinal. I misspoke.
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There's a 10:00 game, 10:30 PM. So this is going to be one of
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those late night sweats. So a little background on these
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teams going coming from last year to this year.
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And then I'm going to give you the play here for tonight.
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So overall, both these teams pretty much disappointed.
3:58
You had TCU finishing five and seven.
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Ironically, they actually went to the national championship
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just a couple years ago, kind of took a step back five and seven
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on the year. But then that's going to play
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into a little bit, I think the public perception on TCU
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tonight. But then if you look at
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Stanford, even worse here they were three and nine.
4:17
They took their lumps. Stanford to me, is in a bit of a
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bi low spot in this game here tonight with the points.
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So here's the full breakdown. Also, one thing I want to
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mention before I get to the full breakdown is looking at win
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totals, because when you are betting kind of a new sport or a
4:32
sport that's just, you know, starting for the first time and
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you have no idea, you know, the kind of the the strength or
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weakness of these teams. Like if you're a professional,
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better, obviously you're, you know, setting your own power
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ratings and playing off your own numbers.
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But another easy way to just look at the strength and
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weakness of a team is based upon their win total.
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You know how the odds makers, the wise guys are projecting
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these teams. So TCU, who went five and seven
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last year, their win total this year is 7 1/2, but it's really
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juiced up to the under -150 so kind of maybe they'll take a
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step forward, go from 5:00 to 6:00 or seven wins.
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But again, the odds makers aren't expecting a double digit
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win. Team Stanford, by the way, 3:00
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and 9:00 last year public, the wise guys, I should say, or the
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odds makers expect them to be better this year after going
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three and nine. Their win total this year is 3
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1/2, but it's juiced up over at -160.
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So you can look at a couple different ways.
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TCU obviously is the better team, Seven half win total
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versus 3 1/2. But also Stanford may be in a
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buy low spot after disappointing last year going 3:00 and 9:00.
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However, when you get to their quarterback here in a second,
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that's going to be a big factor for me tonight.
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But at least the odds makers are projecting them to probably be
5:40
better this year, at least one more game than last year.
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But here's the thing. We're talking win totals and
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we're betting a spread sport like football.
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All we care about is covering the number.
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So you can lose, but can you cover the number?
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So here's my play here for tonight, TCU at Stanford.
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I'm taking the points with the Stanford Cardinal.
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Now, one thing that really jumped out to me for this game,
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aside from the fact that it's going to be a nationally
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televised 1030 ESPN game, is the line movement and the bet
6:07
splits. Because I think when you get to
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college football, there's a lot of favoritism involved.
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Big name schools, you know, what do we last remember Stanford
6:14
being bad, TCU going to the national championship game?
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So there's a lot of bias involved.
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Obviously the NFL has that too, but it's a much, you know,
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smaller group of teams over what is it 120 college football teams
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only what, 3032 in the NFL. So it's a little different, but
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what I really jumped out to me with TCU Stanford is the smart
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money on Stanford tonight because we actually open this
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game, Stanford getting 9 1/2 points.
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Some shops even open Stanford plus 10.
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And there's been consistent one way movement in favor of
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Stanford. So Stanford went from as high as
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plus 10 down to plus 9 1/2 down to +9.
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Now it's down to plus 8 1/2. So this line is clearly moving
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in favor of Stanford and even saw one shop get down to 8.
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So obviously the hook here is important.
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You end up losing by 8. You want to cover this number
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with Stanford. But the fact that it's one sided
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movement in favor of Stanford tells me that even though this
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line is dropping, like you say to yourself, hey, can I really
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play Stanford at 8 1/2 when I could have gotten, you know,
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nine and a half ten? Well, no one's got a time
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machine. You can't go back in time and
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go, you know, grab Biff Tannon's Almanac and get that number at a
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better price. So we're obviously going off the
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data and the information in front of us right now.
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But it is a good sign at least that this line continues to move
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in favor of Stanford, even though, you know, obviously
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you're losing a point, point and a half, you know, two points off
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the opener almost. So that's my first thing I
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noticed, lines moving towards Stanford.
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Then I go to the bet splits and what really jumped out to me as
7:41
a great contrarian low bet, higher dollars bet split.
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So what I'm talking about is the public is leaning TCU now.
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It's not crazy lopsided DraftKings right now, 52% of
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spread bets are laying the points of TCU saying, hey, this
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was a national championship game couple years ago.
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Stanford was 3:00 and 9:00 last year.
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Lay the points almost kind of reminds you a little bit of like
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Colorado last night. You know, should our Sanders,
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they end up winning the game. They don't cover, but they're
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kind of a a team that everyone expected to cover.
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Same thing tonight. Public's expecting TCU to cover.
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However, even though Stanford is only getting 48% of spread bets,
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which is contrarian by nature, they're getting 67% of spread
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dollars. So that really jumps off the
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page to me getting less than half the tickets, but more than
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half the money. That's kind of one of my just,
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you know, starters when it comes to bet splits.
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And really with bet splits, I want sub 50% bets, more than 50%
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dollars. So the fact that Stanford is
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only getting 48% of spread bets, but 67% of spread dollars, that
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tells me that we have a + 19% smart money discrepancy to low
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bets, higher dollars. And really what it tells you is
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that basically we have a 5050 line move, even though
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Stanford's a little contrarian 48%, even if we've split it down
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the middle called 50%. What do we always talk about on
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the pop? We talk about line moves and
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what they mean. Reverse line move, steam move,
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steam moves, line freezes. But when I talk about a 5050
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line move that basically kind of thinks through a line that
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really shouldn't be moving but is moving.
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So 5050, think of it this way. Spread tickets are even here.
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Almost 5050 TCU Stanford, again, slight favoritism.
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TCU 5248 or 5050, a line really shouldn't move at all.
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Yet the fact that we're seeing this line go to Stanford plus 10
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down to plus 8 1/2 tells us that the bigger, sharper wagers are
9:31
going on Stanford and taking the points of the Cardinal.
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So that's a great angle here. Low bets, higher dollars.
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You are contrarian by definition. 48% to me, though,
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I'd like to be more contrarian. Can I get 38 percent, 28%, but
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still your sub 50% bets, your 67% money.
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You got a line move in your favor.
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You got a 5050 line move. And then here's the other kind
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of angle here. If you look at the Stanford
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quarterback, Ashton Daniels, Hopefully this kid plays well
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for us tonight if you're like me and taking the points.
10:00
But he is a he was, he had a sophomore year last year.
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So he is now a junior, but sophomore year last year he had
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ten starts. He played really well on a bad
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team. He threw for over over 2000
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yards. He's a dual threat.
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He can throw it and rush it. He compiled 14 touchdowns
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overall and he's also returning his top three wide receivers.
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So I think that's important. And again, we talked about
10:24
stability and, you know, almost like a dog who can score system
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match here. Like we're going to come back to
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all of our, you know, football related system matches, but dog
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who can score, put up points, maybe backdoor cover.
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That's huge when you're taking the points with a dog,
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especially a home dog like this. But if you look at Daniels, he's
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returning Bachmeier, IO Minor and Roush, his top three
10:44
receivers from last year. And this guy, IO Minor, I think
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it's Alec or Alec. I was reading about him a little
10:50
bit. I remember him from a couple
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games last year. This kids a stud.
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So the fact that you're bringing back your QB who had good
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success last year, top three wide receivers again, kind of
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you can grow with your QB, wide receiver offense and put up
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points. Can they put up enough points to
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cover this number? Can you lose by 8 or less?
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That's the goal If you went outright.
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Hey chefs kiss even better. But all that being said, I'm
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taking Stanford to the points here guys.
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I was also reading about Stanford again, put as much
11:17
stock of this in stock into this or as little stock as you want.
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But they have 110 straight season openers at home.
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But if you Add all up you have a looks like a live dog with a
11:27
line move in their favor, a great low bets higher dollars
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bet split, a QB, and a trio of wide receivers who worked
11:33
together last year and are coming back growing together
11:36
this year. Add it all up guys.
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I'm taking the points with a Stanford Cardinal.
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So shop around. I got Stanford at plus 8 1/2.
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Make sure you go get the hook. It is pretty widely available,
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but you you may see an 8 out there.
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So of course have multiple outs And I it's so important like,
11:51
you know, we just went through or they were still going through
11:53
a long MLB season. We're trying to get the most
11:56
best money line price. But whether I get -120 in a
11:59
baseball money line and you get -115 or -130 we still both cash.
12:04
Obviously the whoever laid the less juice cash is a bigger
12:07
payout in return. But I can't tell you how
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important it is with spread sports like football to be able
12:13
to get that hook. Like again, if you see Stanford
12:16
lose by 8 and you only got a + 8 and couldn't get the 8 1/2,
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you're really going to be, you know, kicking yourself here.
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So have multiple outs. Shop around.
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If you haven't done it yet. Again, get those extra accounts
12:26
so you can have multiple outs and get the best number.
12:29
But again, home dog sharp line move low bets, higher dollars
12:32
bets split. I'm going Stanford plus 8 1/2
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tonight, hopefully covering at home against TCU prime time on
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ESPN. Now back to our bread and
12:41
butter, Major League Baseball. I know it's been a little up and
12:44
down this year or up and down this week.
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I should say, been a good year overall.
12:48
I'm starting to think maybe there's a little variance, kind
12:50
of some weird things are happening.
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We're getting into the, you know, final month of the season.
12:54
But I don't want to abandon sharp plays that kind of
12:56
announce themselves. So that being said, here's a
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three pack. First overall, 6:45 PM Eastern
13:02
Time, the Cubbies visiting the Washington Nationals in our
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nation's capital. Cubs come in 68 and 66, just had
13:09
a huge series against the Pirates.
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They swept that series. They won the finale 14 to 10 as
13:14
a + 135 road dog. I think they're down like 2:50
13:18
in that game. I think Skeens was pitching.
13:20
So an epic comeback. I wonder if anyone live lined
13:22
them when they were down big. But anyway, the Nats 61 and 73,
13:26
they just took two or three against the Yankees.
13:28
They won Wednesday's series finale five to two as a + 185
13:31
home dog. So pitch match up here for
13:34
tonight. Cubbies going to go with the
13:35
lefty Shota not a. He's 10 and three with a 3.08
13:39
ERA. Meanwhile, the Nats are going to
13:41
go with the ready Jake Irvin. He's 9 and 10 with a 3.80 ERA.
13:46
So do we see across the market here?
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Well, this line opened with the Cubbies around a -, 150 Rd.
13:52
favorite. And we've seen one way steam on
13:54
Chicago. So please take in those good
13:56
vibes against the Pirates into the nation's capital.
13:59
They open -150 Cubs now up as high as -165 So it tells me
14:03
we've got one way smart money on the Cubs laying the chalk.
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That's what I'm going to do. I'm going Cubs tonight.
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They're getting around 75% of bets, but nearly 80% of dollars.
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So both a pro and Joe bet split in their favor.
14:14
Along with the good steam move in their direction, Chicago has
14:18
the more explosive offense they're they've scored 600 runs,
14:22
hit 144 homers. Washington only scored 565 runs,
14:27
hit 112 homers. And the Cubs.
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One thing I look at of course, when I'm betting a favorite, I'd
14:32
prefer a non division favorite over a division favorite.
14:34
So the fact that the Cubs come from a different division that
14:37
makes him a non division favorite with the lack of
14:39
familiarity, hopefully benefiting quote UN quote the
14:42
better team who's expected to win, which would be the Cubs
14:44
here. And then digging into these
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pictures a little bit in Monoga has been good all year six and
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one 2.94 ERA on the road this year.
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Irvin, by the way, is has a 5.46 ERA and five August starts.
14:56
It's giving up seventeen runs and 28 innings pitched and he's
15:00
only two and seven with a 4.14 ERA at home.
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Cubs, meanwhile, seven and three in their last ten games.
15:06
Let's hope those bats stay hot. They've hit 288 in their last
15:09
ten games, not six and four over the last 10.
15:12
So they've been decent as well, but they're only hitting 266.
15:15
But it looks kind of fishy the fact that again, Cubs kind of a
15:19
decent sized opener -151 way movement.
15:22
But I'm going to go with this line move here.
15:24
I'm going to take the Cubs hopefully to win this game.
15:26
Let's go in managa. Hopefully the bats can stay hot.
15:29
I'm on the Cubs at -165 Next up, operation fade, Chicago White
15:36
Sox. That's right, 8:10 PM Eastern
15:38
Time, first pitch. The Mets visiting Chicago Mets
15:41
come in 70 and 64. Just took two or three against
15:45
the D backs. They won yesterday's series
15:46
finale three to two as a + 105 row dog.
15:50
Meanwhile, the White Sox continue to lose 331 and 104.
15:54
What a win loss record, on pace to have the worst record in
15:58
history of baseball. Anything, anytime we can do
16:00
anything for the worst or best or you know, most or just make
16:03
setting records in baseball like that.
16:05
Got to remember they been playing baseball for what, 150
16:07
years? That means you're pretty bad.
16:09
But they just got swept by the Rangers.
16:11
They lost 2 to one yesterday as a + 235 home dog.
16:14
So for tonight's series opener, the Mets are going to go with
16:17
the Rady. Tyler Megill, he's two and five
16:20
with a 5.17 ERA. You know the White Sox are going
16:23
to go with the Rady. Jonathan Cannon, he's two and
16:25
eight with a 4.57 ERA. So what have you seen across the
16:29
market here? Well, one way movement looks
16:31
like pros are not outsmarting themselves.
16:33
They're laying it with the New York Mets.
16:35
Mets open around -200 We've not seen the Mets creep up to around
16:39
-220 even -225 now New York is getting a heavy dose of bets in
16:45
dollars, over 90% of bets in dollars.
16:48
So a lopsided both pro and Joe bet support split along with
16:52
that big steam move in their favor.
16:54
And the Mets have a lot of advantages here.
16:56
Obviously. I mean, I'm not setting any
16:57
records here breaking any news, the fact that the White Sox are
17:00
so bad. But the Mets do have that inter
17:03
league favorite value. So lack of familiarity
17:05
benefiting the better team. But also New York has the much
17:08
better offense. Hopefully the offense really
17:10
shows up tonight. They're hitting 249 on the year,
17:13
171 homers, 639 runs scored. Meanwhile, Chicago only hitting
17:19
220. They've only hit 109 homers.
17:21
They've only scored 416 runs. Mets, meanwhile, a winning team
17:25
on the road, 35 and 31. White Sox only 18 and 51 at
17:30
home, the worst home record in baseball.
17:32
New York also hitting pretty well against righty's, hitting
17:35
245. That's 16th in baseball.
17:37
Chicago's only hitting 219 against righty's.
17:40
That ranks dead last. So I'm going to go Mets here
17:42
guys. I know it's a big number.
17:43
I think it's big for a reason, as always, whether it's a
17:46
spread, money line, total, it's always bet to risk, not bet to
17:49
win. So I got the Mets at -220 and
17:52
that means as a bet to bet to risk better not bet to win.
17:56
I'm just risking my one unit trying to get a little less than
17:59
1/2 unit back. I'm not risking 2.2 units to win
18:02
one unit that'll be betting to win because again, the off
18:05
chance something crazy happens in Chicago wins tonight.
18:08
You know, I don't want to lose multiple units versus just one,
18:11
but hopefully we can just chip away at around 1/2 unit on this
18:14
one. Let's go Mets -220 last bat of
18:17
the night in Major League Baseball, 9:38 PM Eastern Time,
18:20
the Mariners visiting the Los Angeles Angels.
18:24
The Mariners who are 68 and 66, they just took two or three
18:27
against the Rays. They won Wednesday series finale
18:30
six to two as a -, 160 home favorite.
18:32
On the other hand, the Halos 55 and 79 just dropped two or three
18:36
against the Tigers, but did avoid the sweep, winning 3.
18:39
Nothing yesterday and that series finale they cashed as a +
18:42
150 Rd. dog. So tonight's series opener, very
18:45
interesting here. On the one hand, we have the
18:47
Mariners going with the ready George Kirby, who's 9 and 10
18:50
with a 3.48 ERA. The Angels, meanwhile, are going
18:54
to go with the lefty Samuel Aldagari.
18:57
And are there any fans out there of Inglourious Basterds?
19:00
I remember what his name was, Dominic Di Coco.
19:03
Samuel Aldagari. He is making his Major League
19:06
Baseball debut. More on him in a second.
19:07
He's going to make history tonight.
19:09
It's kind of cool. But this line opened with
19:12
Seattle listed as a -, 165 road favorite Dodgers or Los Angeles
19:17
Angels around a + 140 home dog sharks are laying with Seattle
19:21
here. They've steamed the Mariners up
19:22
from around -165 all the way up to -185 even as high as -190 in
19:28
Seattle. It's getting a ton of bets in
19:30
dollars In this one. They're getting around 85% of
19:32
money line bets in dollars, indicating a big pro.
19:35
And Joe split along with that big steam move in their favor.
19:38
And the Mariners also have a rest first tired advantage.
19:40
Hopefully this pays off tonight. But Seattle didn't play
19:43
yesterday. They were off and all the Angels
19:45
played in Detroit. So you had to travel, come back
19:48
and play here tonight. Day off for the Mariners,
19:50
obviously good for the position players, starting pitcher as
19:53
well as the bullpen. But this kid tonight, Samuel
19:58
Aldagari, he's making history as the first pitcher who was born
20:01
and raised in Italy. To make it to the major leagues.
20:04
So pretty cool feat there by ALDI Gary.
20:07
But what's one thing I kind of mentioned or we have mentioned
20:09
throughout the baseball season on the pod, it's that when you
20:12
have a kid coming up making his Major League debut or pitcher,
20:16
you know, whether it's a kid, journeyman, doesn't matter.
20:18
Someone brand new to Major League Baseball, what's the
20:21
initial line move? Because sometimes you'll see
20:23
someone come up, never pitched in the bigs before.
20:26
Line will just skyrocket away from them.
20:28
So basically sharps are saying this person's going to get lit
20:30
up. Let's bet against this new
20:32
pitcher. Other times you've seen
20:33
situations where you bring up a new pitcher and the line goes
20:36
toward that kind of fishy new pitcher making his debut.
20:40
In that case, wise guys are saying, hey, maybe he's decent,
20:42
or maybe just kind of the, you know, kind of the element of
20:46
surprise, lack of familiarity will be a benefit.
20:49
So in this case, the fact this line is steaming towards Seattle
20:52
tells me that wise guys want to bet against Samuel Aldegary here
20:56
tonight. Meanwhile, in the in the minors
20:58
this year, he was decent, 6 and 93.59 ERA.
21:01
I think he started at AA, went up to AAA.
21:05
Mariners though, by the way, five and five in their last ten,
21:08
hitting 227 with a 3.48 ERA. Angels just two and eight and
21:12
their last 10, they're only hitting $1.85 with a 4.5 O ERA.
21:17
We add it all up here, guys, this is a big steam move here on
21:19
Seattle. Shop around.
21:21
I'm going Mariners, I'm going to bet against Aldegary, and I'm
21:24
going to go Seattle on the money line.
21:26
I got the Mariners at -185 S three packing baseball.
21:30
Can we get two out of three Cubs, Mets, Mariners?
21:33
And as we mentioned to start the pod, our first college football
21:36
sweat of the year officially on the pod, taking the points here
21:39
with Stanford plus 8 1/2 tonight against TCU.
21:43
So that about does it for episode 108 of the All Systems
21:46
Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
21:49
This is the part of the pod where I leave you with a few
21:51
things #1 if you enjoy this podcast, if you were scratching
21:56
and clawing and saying where the heck is the pod?
21:58
Yesterday when I wasn't able to give you a pod, maybe you
22:01
realize missing it, that you like it, You enjoy it again.
22:05
You don't know what you got till it's gone, I guess.
22:07
But anyway, if you enjoy the pod, you enjoy the breakdowns,
22:10
you want to let me know you appreciate the pod.
22:12
Can you please do one thing for me?
22:13
Can you help me grow the podcast by giving it a 5 star review?
22:17
If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, click those five
22:20
stars. If there's an option to give a
22:21
good review and you want to put down, hey, I enjoy the the
22:24
data-driven breakdowns, whatever the case may be, I would very
22:27
much appreciate that. Also, if there's an option to
22:30
quote UN quote, follow the pod. If there's a follow button,
22:33
click that. That way, as soon as it drops,
22:35
we get alerted. So hopefully you can listen to
22:37
it ASAP and get the numbers before they move.
22:40
And then also if you want to recommend the pod to a friend, a
22:43
data-driven person or maybe a person who knows nothing about
22:46
data but enjoy sports betting and wants to kind of think
22:49
through games a little bit differently.
22:51
Just sticking with the numbers, getting away from bias and
22:53
favoritism and starting to learn to go contrarian, identify sharp
22:58
action and read the market. Recommend the all systems go pod
23:01
to your buddy or family member or colleague out.
23:03
Very much appreciate that as well.
23:05
Secondly, if you enjoy these breakdowns and you want to learn
23:08
more about data-driven sharp contrarian betting, guess what?
23:12
I wrote a book, it's called the Everything Guide to Sports
23:14
Betting. So if you want to support the
23:16
team, you want to learn more about data-driven betting, go
23:19
buy a copy. Just go to Amazon.com and type
23:21
in the Everything Guide to Sports betting.
23:23
It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
23:25
How lines are set, how and why they move, How to read line
23:28
movement, How to locate sharp action.
23:30
How to place the bet in person or online.
23:32
How to shop for the best line. How to set up a bankroll
23:34
management plan. Full chapters here on how to bet
23:37
college football and NFL. If you need a refresher, if you
23:40
want to pick up a copy, hey, it would make my day.
23:42
And when I see you at the sports book, bring that book, the
23:45
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
23:47
I'll sign it for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
23:49
ale. We'll sweat some plays together.
23:52
Almost second to lastly or third to lastly.
23:54
Have you signed up for a 7 day free trial of Juice Reel or
23:57
Rhythm? My two favorite data-driven
24:00
sports betting apps. They help me win.
24:02
I know they're going to help you win.
24:03
But let's start with Rhythm. Rhythm is fantastic when it
24:06
comes to AI driven best bets. Looking at really discrepancies
24:10
between what the AI rhythm models are projecting and what
24:13
the market's projecting. So we're going to use it a lot
24:15
in football. Get ready for a lot of rhythm
24:17
system matches once we really get going starting tomorrow.
24:21
But maybe Rhythm AI says this game should be a 2.9 spread
24:25
versus in the market you can get, you know, plus four.
24:28
Therefore, hey, take the points because rhythm is offering a an
24:32
advantage over the market and edge.
24:34
A rhythm is also great for their model creations, where you as a
24:39
rhythm user can create your own models or follow the rhythm AI
24:42
models that they give to you. Also, rhythm is great for their
24:45
their player props, which we'll be using this year in the NFL.
24:49
So aside from rhythm, juice reel is also a great pot, a great app
24:52
here to take advantage of. You can sync up your sports
24:55
books. You can learn about yourself as
24:57
a better get a running report card of your of your sweats.
25:00
But really with juice reel, I love their robo Jackson AI best
25:03
bet picks each day. If you want to tell those
25:06
there's two of them that come out at noon every single day
25:08
across all the different sports just compiles the app and gives
25:12
you the best bets. Also sharp mush opportunities
25:15
been having good success with that.
25:16
Looking at the app where hey, all the good betters in the app
25:19
are on team B or team A. All the bad betters in the app
25:22
are on team B Boom. It'll isolate those games where
25:25
you have the biggest discrepancy between what the wise guys on
25:27
the app are betting versus what the whatever you want to call
25:30
them squares Mushes. I don't know if that's a
25:32
derogatory term, but let's just say the the less experience
25:36
betters maybe, but also you're going to get let's see the
25:40
arbitrage. As I mentioned, the Robo Jackson
25:42
best bet picks all included when you sign up and become a juice
25:46
reel user. So sign up for Juice reel, sign
25:48
up for rhythm. All you have to do is click that
25:50
custom link located in the bio description of this podcast and
25:54
you'll be off and running. So that about does it for
25:56
episode one O 8 of the All Systems Go pod as we wrap up the
26:00
month of August and turn the page here to September.
26:03
But parting words as always, whether I see you at the Borgata
26:06
in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
26:08
Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the
26:12
Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield
26:16
and my neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
26:18
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get down
26:20
or Billy Walters sends his number runners where the lowest
26:23
juice possible is found at the South Point.
26:25
Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays, jumping in the stadium
26:27
swimming pool at Circa, wherever it may be.
26:29
You're going to walk up to me. Hopefully you're going to show
26:31
me some winning tickets here. Now I'm looking at the last time
26:34
we talked on Wednesday, we did get the Detroit Tigers, did get
26:37
the Red Sox, couldn't get the Reds.
26:39
And if you look at the New York Yankees, Washington over 9.
26:42
This is, you know, ridiculous. It ended up losing, but there
26:46
was a play where someone crushed a fly ball to center field and
26:50
Joey Gallo instead of just continuing to run and score,
26:53
held up, got picked off and got into a double play.
26:55
So that was a that was a mush when it came to our at
26:58
Washington, New York over. But you can show me a Detroit,
27:01
Oregon Red Sox ticket from Wednesday and guess what?
27:03
First one's on me, next one's on you.
27:05
We'll post about the book and sweat some sharp contrarian
27:08
plays all night long. So have a great Friday everyone.
27:11
Have an even better Saturday Now as of now, no pods on Saturday.
27:16
I am looking at possibly pods for NFL Sunday.
27:19
I got some things in the work, so stay tuned for that.
27:22
But in terms of college football insights for tomorrow, check my
27:25
Twitter page. You can check it every day, but
27:27
especially on Saturdays because I'm going to continue to write
27:30
sharp reports for vison.com. So I'll pick out three games for
27:33
tomorrow. You can get my insights on them
27:36
from my Twitter page at Josh under Score Insights.
27:39
But as always guys, stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the
27:43
public, place yourself on the side of the house, always be
27:45
with the smart money, never against it.
27:47
Will smart money win every time? Of course not.
27:50
Sports betting is hard. If you haven't realized yet, let
27:52
me just break it to you now. It's hard, but you can continue
27:55
to grind and win betting with your head and not your heart.
27:58
Anything can happen in a one off, but if we stay true to the
28:00
long term model and bet games that match our system against
28:04
the public with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid
28:08
parlays and get that closing line value.
28:10
If we can do that, we're going to we're going to grind out
28:13
winners and we're going to be grinding out a successful sports
28:16
betting experience. So either way, guys, no biting.
28:19
Unfortunately this weekend. We'll be back at it on Monday
28:22
for episode one O 9 of the all systems go sports betting
28:25
podcast powered by rhythm. Have a great Friday everybody,
28:28
and an even better weekend.