Latest / Ground Signal FM / Ground Signal Deep Dive: Markets & Economy — October 25, 2026

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Ground Signal Deep Dive: Markets & Economy — October 25, 2026 · Ground Signal FM

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  This is Ground Signal Deep Dive, Markets and
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  Economy, for Sunday, October 25, 2026. I'm Harper.
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  Brent closed at $116 .72 on Friday, the highest
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  settle since April. Brazil votes today. The Fed
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  meets Tuesday and Wednesday. Here is the signal.
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  Ground state, signal four. Houthi strikes on
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  Saudi targets and an oil spill in the UAE pushed
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  crude up more than $3 Friday. Wall Street slipped
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  again. Treasury yields stay above 5%. Three event
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  risks land inside 72 hours, the Brazil runoff,
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  the Fed decision, and big tech earnings. Equities
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  signal three. The S &P 500 closed Friday at 7
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  ,623 .68, down about half a percent. The Nasdaq
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  finished at 25 ,955, off 0 .2 % after Thursday's
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  2 .6 % drop. In Asia, the Nikkei closed at 62
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  ,693. The Hang Seng ended at 23 ,093. Germany's
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  DAX closed at 25 ,182. Fixed income and rates.
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  Signal 4. The 10 -year Treasury yielded 5 .19
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  % on Wednesday, with the 30 -year at 5 .52 per
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  the latest Federal Reserve H -15 release. Fed
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  funds sit near 3 .88%. Markets price a hold on
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  October 28. Oil above $116 keeps the inflation
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  question open, so the press conference tone matters.
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  Currencies, signal three. The dollar index closed
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  Friday at 101 .81. The Brazilian real trade's
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  near 5 .00 per dollar, with protection priced
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  for a statistical tie in today's runoff. The
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  Mexican peso is near 18 .67. The Colombian peso
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  ranges between 3 ,147 and 3 ,188. The Peruvian
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  sol holds near 3 .45. Watch the real at Monday's
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  open. Crypto, signal two. Bitcoin trades near
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  $80 ,300, down 0 .4 % on the day. Ethereum is
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  at 2 ,333, down 1 .4%. Solana is at 100 .75,
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  down 0 .5%. Bitcoin is about 5 % below Wednesday's
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  $84 ,500 as risk assets soften into the Fed.
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  Commodities. Signal 4. Brent settled at $116
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  .72, its highest close since April 29, up more
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  than $3 on the day. Drivers were Houthi attacks
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  in Saudi Arabia and a UAE oil spill. Gold is
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  near $4 ,000 an ounce, with vendors showing $3
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  ,996 to $4 ,029. A WTI settle was not confirmed
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  in time. Mobility and Opportunity Signal, Signal
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  2. Thailand's destination Thailand visa tightened
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  document requirements on August 31, including
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  a criminal record certificate. The Philippines'
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  Nomad Visa has no live application channel yet.
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  Peru's Nomad Visa was not implemented as of February,
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  with the sole steady Lima costs stay predictable
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  for dollar earners. Forward Signal, Signal 4.
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  First, Brazil's runoff is today, so watch The
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  Real on Monday. Second, the Fed decision lands
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  Wednesday, October 28, with a hold priced. Third,
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  Alphabet and Microsoft report that day. And Apple
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  follows Thursday. Brent at $116 keeps golf headlines
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  in focus. The next episode is Monday. That was
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  Ground Signal.