Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Anthropic in Talks to Buy Startup Decart for $6 Billion
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the
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- 0:24Speaker 2: Let's check in with Ed Ludlow. He is host of
- 0:27Speaker 2: Bloomberg Tech. It's based out there in San Francisco.
- 0:31Speaker 3: Ed, we got anthropic. Now, we talked about anthropic.
- 0:33Speaker 2: A lot of folks are saying, I want to wait
- 0:35Speaker 2: and see this IPO perspective because this could be very interesting.
- 0:38Speaker 2: But they're not waiting. They're out there doing some business anthropics.
- 0:41Speaker 2: They're gonna be buying an egg guy startup here, talk
- 0:43Speaker 2: to us about that.
- 0:45Speaker 4: Yeah, this is a startup called Dcart, an Israeli startup
- 0:48Speaker 4: that does two things. They work on world models. World
- 0:52Speaker 4: models literally AI models that try to understand the world
- 0:56Speaker 4: more rooted in real world physics. They're trained on things
- 0:59Speaker 4: like video data. It's beyond text. But the second thing
- 1:03Speaker 4: that they do is have a software platform that makes
- 1:06Speaker 4: chips better at running AI, you know, optimizing basically. And
- 1:10Speaker 4: it seems like based on our reporting that's the bit
- 1:13Speaker 4: Anthropics interested in. So it's a six billion dollar deal
- 1:16Speaker 4: we're reporting citing sources. We don't know the structure of
- 1:20Speaker 4: the deal, but in the context what you just said,
- 1:23Speaker 4: it would be in Thropics' biggest acquisition to date and
- 1:27Speaker 4: with an IPO right around the corner. You know, it's
- 1:29Speaker 4: interesting timing, but it kind of speaks to the operational
- 1:32Speaker 4: technical challenges that Anthropics still has.
- 1:35Speaker 5: Is this out of the ordinary though for Anthropic though,
- 1:38Speaker 5: because they really make these big acquisitions. This is a
- 1:41Speaker 5: big one. I mean, but they've been really spending heavily,
- 1:44Speaker 5: you know, computing power, they want to develop new products.
- 1:47Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know, six billion dollars doesn't seem very
- 1:49Speaker 4: big to me when you think about the balance sheet.
- 1:53Speaker 4: I mean, the way that I look at it is
- 1:54Speaker 4: Nthropics raised even this year, you know, north of one
- 1:57Speaker 4: hundred billion dollars, and most of that sits on its
- 2:01Speaker 4: balance sheet, you know, in you know, even the money
- 2:04Speaker 4: it raised prior to this year probably still sits on
- 2:07Speaker 4: its balance sheet. And we are seeing valuations of very
- 2:12Speaker 4: specific niches that some of these startups occupy be at
- 2:18Speaker 4: that level, be high. You know, there is a lot
- 2:20Speaker 4: of activity and the frontier labs. The hyperscalers have used
- 2:24Speaker 4: M and A to acquire those specialisms. In this case,
- 2:28Speaker 4: you know dcarts is that that software to optimize the
- 2:32Speaker 4: stack and make the chip run better.
- 2:35Speaker 2: Ed do we know anything more about a potential IPO
- 2:38Speaker 2: of Anthropic that timing thereof, I mean, we're just we're
- 2:41Speaker 2: mentioning SpaceX is now back above its IPO price, presumably
- 2:45Speaker 2: that that bodes well for the tech IPO space, but
- 2:48Speaker 2: anything go on timing.
- 2:49Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the Bloomberg reporting is still that it's
- 2:52Speaker 4: this fall. I mean, with respect as a British person
- 2:55Speaker 4: who's lived in the States for almost a decade, I
- 2:57Speaker 4: still have no idea what the full actually means. It
- 3:00Speaker 4: seems an unspecified and infinite period of time.
- 3:04Speaker 3: But that's what we've reported.
- 3:06Speaker 4: I think, you know, late September, earlier October is what
- 3:09Speaker 4: we had previously reported, and so it's kind of full
- 3:12Speaker 4: steam ahead. And you make a really interesting point, which is,
- 3:14Speaker 4: you know, I think I reported this at the time
- 3:16Speaker 4: right once the SpaceX perspectors hit open, AI and Anthropic
- 3:20Speaker 4: had a good chance to read it and decide what
- 3:23Speaker 4: to do, and you know, whatever their psychology was behind
- 3:26Speaker 4: closed doores. Ultimately they both filed confidentially with the SEC
- 3:30Speaker 4: and SpaceX you know, was a led the way in
- 3:34Speaker 4: that respect.
- 3:34Speaker 5: And I'm going to stick with SpaceX since you mentioned it.
- 3:37Speaker 5: There was time actually Decart could be acquired by SpaceX,
- 3:41Speaker 5: but Elon muskaid, it's not true, fake news, not happening.
- 3:45Speaker 5: So why would that company be of appeal to SpaceX?
- 3:49Speaker 4: Well, perfect summary. There were reports that SpaceX had offered
- 3:53Speaker 4: wanted to offer similarly six billion dollars I think it was.
- 3:58Speaker 4: The report was that it was an all stock propos
- 4:01Speaker 4: and Elon Musk said that it was fake news. As
- 4:03Speaker 4: you said, same logic as Anthropic, you know, with the
- 4:06Speaker 4: greatest respect to Dcar, And again this is all Bloomberg's reporting, right.
- 4:10Speaker 4: You know, Anthropic has not confirmed this acquisition, nor DCAR.
- 4:14Speaker 4: But their work in world models is interesting. It is
- 4:17Speaker 4: not unique. There are others working in world models. You
- 4:20Speaker 4: know that the property that folks are interested in is
- 4:22Speaker 4: that software that just makes the chip better from an
- 4:27Speaker 4: economics perspective and operationally at running AI models and in
- 4:30Speaker 4: a world where you know the the economics of leasing
- 4:34Speaker 4: out compute capacity, running your own models on your own
- 4:38Speaker 4: compute capacity is so important, and there is a supply constraint.
- 4:42Speaker 4: There is not enough compute to meet the demand for
- 4:45Speaker 4: running AI models that would make that software particularly interesting.
- 4:49Speaker 4: And it kind of goes back to your question on
- 4:50Speaker 4: the valuation right of and the six billion dollar scale
- 4:54Speaker 4: of the deal.
- 4:55Speaker 2: And cost of using AI, the token cost. We're here
- 5:00Speaker 2: seeing stories ed CFOs and managers were saying, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa,
- 5:03Speaker 2: What are you using AI for? What am I paying for?
- 5:06Speaker 2: What do we know about just the user cost experience.
- 5:10Speaker 4: Yeah, so there are two different parts of that that
- 5:14Speaker 4: the cost of running a model is measured on a
- 5:17Speaker 4: dollar per million input tokens and a dollar per million
- 5:21Speaker 4: output tokens basis. And so when we get releases from
- 5:25Speaker 4: say like Kimmy K three from China, one of the
- 5:29Speaker 4: reasons that was such a big news story is that
- 5:31Speaker 4: it was a high performance model, highly capable, but it
- 5:35Speaker 4: was priced quite reasonably against how the absolute top us
- 5:40Speaker 4: models were priced. A token spend is a budgeting issue
- 5:45Speaker 4: that basically technology companies around the country, some of them
- 5:49Speaker 4: have got wrong. So if you're the CFO, you have
- 5:52Speaker 4: to assign a budget right how much money you're going
- 5:55Speaker 4: to allow your engineers to spend to run AI models.
- 5:59Speaker 4: And because some of these companies have consumption basis arrangements
- 6:03Speaker 4: with the Frontier Labs. A customer of Entropy OpenAI is
- 6:07Speaker 4: consumption based. They just burned through them and then you
- 6:10Speaker 4: have to go to the CFA and go, oh, actually, yeah,
- 6:12Speaker 4: you know, I said I'd spend ten I spent one hundred,
- 6:14Speaker 4: and then you're in trouble.
- 6:16Speaker 3: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 6:23Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 6:27Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarclay, and Android Auto
- 6:30Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever you
- 6:33Speaker 1: get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 6:37Speaker 2: Let's break down the numbers from Cisco what it means
- 6:39Speaker 2: for the tech space. Wu Jinho, Senior technolog channel from
- 6:42Speaker 2: Bloomberg Intelligence. He's based down there in our Princeton campus,
- 6:46Speaker 2: which talked to us about Cisco. What did we learn
- 6:48Speaker 2: with their earnings results?
- 6:50Speaker 6: Yeah, hey, Paul, so Cisco results, I mean they're quite
- 6:54Speaker 6: quite frankly, to put it in a nut shell, sales
- 6:56Speaker 6: on White Hot right, AI close to doubling and fiscal
- 6:59Speaker 6: twenty twenty seven based on their guidance, and then their
- 7:02Speaker 6: core networking business, which is the you know, the basic
- 7:07Speaker 6: stuff that connects all of our computers, that's going to
- 7:09Speaker 6: grow at a fair double digit pace as well. So
- 7:13Speaker 6: from a demand standpoint, it's great. Cisco is the only
- 7:18Speaker 6: name that's read on my screen today on the terminal,
- 7:22Speaker 6: and I think people are a little bit spooked on
- 7:25Speaker 6: the gross margin side for the rest of the year.
- 7:26Speaker 5: So where investors hopes just too high or maybe was
- 7:29Speaker 5: Cisco just to conservative? I mean, what's your take.
- 7:33Speaker 6: So from from a revenue standpoint, I don't think it
- 7:35Speaker 6: was it was too high, Lisa, Quite frankly, I'm pretty
- 7:39Speaker 6: pleased with the results because, like we all knew that
- 7:42Speaker 6: AI was going to be strong, and then the core
- 7:44Speaker 6: networking is continues to outperform. Uh And but that that's
- 7:47Speaker 6: the issue right there, right, you have a higher hardware mix,
- 7:52Speaker 6: and hardware in the face of a memory inflation is
- 7:55Speaker 6: going to put a drag on gross margins.
- 7:58Speaker 7: You know. The head fake was.
- 8:00Speaker 6: At the fourth quarter gross margins was at sixty six percent,
- 8:03Speaker 6: first quarter guidance was at sixty six percent, and all
- 8:06Speaker 6: of a sudden, it looks like it's going to be
- 8:07Speaker 6: closer to sixty four to sixty five percent in quarters
- 8:10Speaker 6: to two quarters four. But at the end of the day,
- 8:13Speaker 6: I think it's going to be a temporary impact and
- 8:16Speaker 6: a gross margins should start to improve if we look
- 8:18Speaker 6: past twenty seven.
- 8:19Speaker 2: So what are the pressures on the gross margin here?
- 8:22Speaker 2: Where's that coming from the cost side?
- 8:25Speaker 6: Yeah, so you know, just a pinpoint where the gross
- 8:29Speaker 6: margin pressures are. You know, they did implement some pricing
- 8:32Speaker 6: increases in twenty twenty six, uh and and that kind
- 8:36Speaker 6: of diminishes going into the second half of the year.
- 8:39Speaker 7: At the same time, I don't.
- 8:41Speaker 6: Know if those you know, future cost increases are going
- 8:44Speaker 6: to keep pass keep pace with the.
- 8:48Speaker 7: With the memory increases. Right.
- 8:50Speaker 6: That's one and number two. At the end of the day,
- 8:53Speaker 6: they're selling a boatload of hardware, a boatload of hardware,
- 8:57Speaker 6: and we all know that hardware margins are just good
- 9:00Speaker 6: at software margins now, I will tell you, Paul, there
- 9:03Speaker 6: is some software attached related to their hardware products, but
- 9:08Speaker 6: those are more on a recurring basis and not on
- 9:12Speaker 6: a perpetual basis. So it will take several quarters for
- 9:15Speaker 6: the software margins to catch up.
- 9:18Speaker 5: So is this restructuring to kind of move toward AI.
- 9:21Speaker 5: Is it the right move because it's putting them in
- 9:23Speaker 5: a lot of competition. You have Broadcom, you have Hulett
- 9:25Speaker 5: Packard Enterprise. Is it the right move for the company?
- 9:28Speaker 7: Well?
- 9:29Speaker 6: Quite frankly, I've used Cisco as one of the goldilocks
- 9:32Speaker 6: of AI. It's like, you don't have too much AI
- 9:36Speaker 6: and you don't have too little AI.
- 9:38Speaker 7: Right, it's just right.
- 9:41Speaker 6: So you're actually getting a fair amount of growth from AI.
- 9:44Speaker 6: Right at the end of the day, like I said,
- 9:46Speaker 6: the AI business is doubling, the optical business is probably
- 9:49Speaker 6: going to continue to grow through twenty twenty eight and
- 9:52Speaker 6: into twenty twenty thirty. Quite frankly and quite and even
- 9:55Speaker 6: though it might be a modest drag on a gross margin,
- 9:58Speaker 6: over the long term, you're getting a up on better
- 10:00Speaker 6: scale right from a competition standpoint, and you make a
- 10:03Speaker 6: good point. You know, they do have the silicon one
- 10:06Speaker 6: product that goes head to head to someone like Broadcom.
- 10:09Speaker 6: But quite frankly, some of the hyperscalers are looking for
- 10:12Speaker 6: an alternative to someone like an Nvidia or Broadcom, and
- 10:15Speaker 6: Zisco is one of the few companies that can offer that.
- 10:17Speaker 6: They have the chip capacity to give it to the
- 10:19Speaker 6: cloud providers, so they might be in the sweet spot
- 10:22Speaker 6: of picking up a little bit of share, not too much,
- 10:25Speaker 6: but a little bit of share from the bigger silicon players.
- 10:28Speaker 2: So we're you know, most of the big tech companies
- 10:31Speaker 2: have reported or we're still waiting for Nvidia and a
- 10:33Speaker 2: couple others. What's the narrative or has the narrative changed
- 10:37Speaker 2: on AI, the spend, the return.
- 10:40Speaker 3: Where are we on that narrative right now? Which when
- 10:42Speaker 3: you talk to.
- 10:42Speaker 6: Yes, look, I mean if you look at super Micro
- 10:46Speaker 6: results yesterday and also some of the other smaller picked
- 10:50Speaker 6: and shovel guys like Lumentum and Coherent the other day,
- 10:54Speaker 6: I mean, the spending on the cloud is really really
- 10:57Speaker 6: starting to ramp up. Right.
- 11:00Speaker 7: We're still in like I.
- 11:01Speaker 6: Would say, the third inning, and twenty twenty seven is
- 11:03Speaker 6: going to be the ramp of phase into twenty twenty
- 11:05Speaker 6: eight as well as into twenty twenty eight as these
- 11:08Speaker 6: AI infrastructure buildouts continue to keep pace. Now where it
- 11:12Speaker 6: hasn't really started to pick up and Cisco is started
- 11:14Speaker 6: to see it is on the corporate IT side, and
- 11:17Speaker 6: that's going to be a positive read through for someone
- 11:19Speaker 6: like adele or HPE, which reports later in the month
- 11:22Speaker 6: and early in September.
- 11:25Speaker 5: Hey, woudin getta s two at the same point, Like,
- 11:27Speaker 5: we've been hearing a lot about the AI space and
- 11:30Speaker 5: what's been going on there as well. But when we
- 11:33Speaker 5: start hearing about new clients, are are they getting anyone
- 11:37Speaker 5: anywhere let's say new or what's on the horizon for
- 11:40Speaker 5: the company?
- 11:41Speaker 6: Yeah, So look, the sovereign space as well as the
- 11:44Speaker 6: neocloud space is still relatively new for someone like Cisco, right,
- 11:48Speaker 6: But again, I do think that they fulfilled the sweet
- 11:51Speaker 6: spot where given that given their enterprise expertise, they could
- 11:56Speaker 6: play a very good.
- 11:56Speaker 7: Middleman for the neocloud guys.
- 11:59Speaker 6: Who need a little bit more as well as the
- 12:00Speaker 6: sovereigns who need a lot more handholding than someone like
- 12:05Speaker 6: let's just say a Fox corn Ye can provide.
- 12:08Speaker 2: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 12:16Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 12:19Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 12:23Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 12:26Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 12:30Speaker 2: Let's stay in the world of technology we can do that,
- 12:33Speaker 2: And I want to talk to annorag Ronie. He's a
- 12:34Speaker 2: senior techanos for Bloomberg Intelligence. Apple is going to bring
- 12:38Speaker 2: in a foldable phone two thousand dollars.
- 12:42Speaker 3: I don't know. I'm not a foldable phone. I don't know.
- 12:46Speaker 2: Andrew Anuraga, thanks much for joining us here talk to
- 12:48Speaker 2: us about Apple.
- 12:50Speaker 3: And a two thousand dollars foldable iPhone.
- 12:53Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 12:53Speaker 8: So first to hoard, you have to thank Mark German
- 12:55Speaker 8: for all the reporting that he has done on this topic. So,
- 12:58Speaker 8: first of all, Samson has a voldable phone that came
- 13:01Speaker 8: out seven years ago. So the big question is why
- 13:03Speaker 8: did they take Apple so many years to come out?
- 13:05Speaker 8: And you know what Mark bills us is that Apple
- 13:07Speaker 8: was not happy with the crease in the middle of
- 13:09Speaker 8: the phone when you fold the thing. And so Samsung
- 13:12Speaker 8: has a new display which is helping out Apple to
- 13:15Speaker 8: solve that problem.
- 13:16Speaker 3: So now here is the thing.
- 13:18Speaker 8: We are coming to a point where the unit shipments
- 13:21Speaker 8: are not growing for Apple, largely because or it may
- 13:24Speaker 8: not grow next year because they're most likely going to
- 13:27Speaker 8: raise rates. When they announced their next line of phones
- 13:30Speaker 8: coming up the first or the second week of September.
- 13:33Speaker 8: So the big question is, well, what can you do
- 13:35Speaker 8: to go out and increase you know, average selling price.
- 13:38Speaker 8: So the promac sells it about twelve hundred dollars, and
- 13:41Speaker 8: that's I think where most of the users for this
- 13:44Speaker 8: device will go. The real Apple crazy the enthusiast which
- 13:49Speaker 8: only buy the brand new phones out there, and they
- 13:52Speaker 8: buy the promacs. That's about twelve hundred dollars. So if
- 13:55Speaker 8: you are able to just shift that buyer from a
- 13:58Speaker 8: promax to affordable, well that's a sixty seven percent increase
- 14:02Speaker 8: in average selling price for that. So I think that's
- 14:04Speaker 8: what's going to happen next year because remember, because of
- 14:07Speaker 8: memory pricing, everything is getting more expensive, and that's where
- 14:11Speaker 8: what we anticipate is going to happen with Apple as well.
- 14:14Speaker 3: But enter are people going to buy it?
- 14:16Speaker 5: I mean, I see, I'm looking at your notes here
- 14:18Speaker 5: says Apple's first fobile phone generate twenty to twenty eight
- 14:21Speaker 5: billion of fiscal twenty twenty seven revenue in your scenario
- 14:25Speaker 5: based on ten to fourteen million units at the average
- 14:28Speaker 5: selling price of about two thousand dollars. I mean, is
- 14:30Speaker 5: that right?
- 14:31Speaker 3: You think people are going to buy into us?
- 14:33Speaker 8: Look that's actually, to be honest, if you look at it,
- 14:35Speaker 8: half of Apple's phone or half of Apple's total revenue
- 14:39Speaker 8: comes from the iPhone. So it's still this very small
- 14:41Speaker 8: portion of that total or number. I know, you know,
- 14:44Speaker 8: twenty four billion is a big number by itself, but
- 14:46Speaker 8: your Apple on any given year sells about two hundred
- 14:49Speaker 8: and fifty million phones out there. So out of that,
- 14:53Speaker 8: you know, selling about ten to twelve million phones in
- 14:56Speaker 8: year one is not that big of a deal because
- 15:00Speaker 8: as I said, there are enough people that buy the
- 15:02Speaker 8: promas or the pro every year. You know, you can
- 15:05Speaker 8: see combined that's about thirty forty percent of any new
- 15:09Speaker 8: year phones. It's just proing the promac. So it's a
- 15:12Speaker 8: very sizable market. And you know, Apple buyer on the
- 15:15Speaker 8: higher end is fairly affluent.
- 15:18Speaker 2: So talk to us about just give us an update
- 15:19Speaker 2: where we've got your anat on China both from an
- 15:24Speaker 2: end selling market as well as you know, the supply
- 15:27Speaker 2: chain aspect. Where are we with China these days?
- 15:30Speaker 8: Yeah, So one thing that's happened with Apple over the
- 15:34Speaker 8: last three quarters is they have gained a lot of
- 15:36Speaker 8: share in China, and that's because they did not increase
- 15:40Speaker 8: their price of their phone over there, while the competitors
- 15:43Speaker 8: have So if you look at their iPhone results, I
- 15:45Speaker 8: mean it's just been staggering twenty plus percent for the
- 15:48Speaker 8: last couple of quotos at least, and we have never
- 15:51Speaker 8: seen that. I mean, it always used to be high
- 15:52Speaker 8: single digit growth and we attribute a lot of that
- 15:56Speaker 8: to share gain. So when we see them coming out
- 15:59Speaker 8: with the next iPhone iteration, I'm really keen to see
- 16:02Speaker 8: if they're going to raise the rates throughout the entire
- 16:05Speaker 8: chain of fronts, everything from the lower end or the
- 16:07Speaker 8: higher end, or or they're only going to target the
- 16:10Speaker 8: higher end of the market. I think if they leave
- 16:13Speaker 8: the lower end alone, I think they're going to go
- 16:15Speaker 8: out and gain more market share in China. What you're
- 16:18Speaker 8: mentioning is Paul going back three years, they lost some
- 16:21Speaker 8: share in China because of Jami coming up with their models.
- 16:25Speaker 8: But I think these guys have done a very good
- 16:27Speaker 8: job of capturing phone market. Now another thing, Mark Governman
- 16:30Speaker 8: has said it's possible the next series of the phones
- 16:32Speaker 8: may have a red iPhone, and that if it comes out,
- 16:36Speaker 8: you know, that's another thing that's going to entice the
- 16:38Speaker 8: Chinese market because frankly, speaking, the US market is saturated.
- 16:42Speaker 8: China and India are the two really big markets for
- 16:45Speaker 8: them to go after, and China being the more affluent
- 16:48Speaker 8: between the two countries.
- 16:50Speaker 5: Anraic something you point out in this article, it's a
- 16:52Speaker 5: new leasing plan. Can you explain this, caud You say
- 16:55Speaker 5: he's going to give shorter replacement cycle for the foldable.
- 16:58Speaker 8: Yeah. If you remember, just about three or four weeks ago,
- 17:01Speaker 8: Apple launched something called the Apple Upgrade Plan. It's like
- 17:05Speaker 8: leasing your equipment directly from them on a two year
- 17:08Speaker 8: or three year basis. So typically, you know, you keep
- 17:11Speaker 8: your phone for four or five years, but if you
- 17:13Speaker 8: get on this leasing plan and you know, let's say
- 17:15Speaker 8: you pay fifty five dollars normal phone not obviously the affordable,
- 17:19Speaker 8: and you just have to return it back to them
- 17:21Speaker 8: after two years or three years, depending on what you use.
- 17:25Speaker 8: They increase this for watches, they did it for max,
- 17:30Speaker 8: they did it for iPads. And what we think that
- 17:33Speaker 8: happens is for people who are just thinking about a
- 17:35Speaker 8: payment plan and not so much buying, you know, twelve
- 17:38Speaker 8: hundred dollars up front payment, this is going to go
- 17:41Speaker 8: very well for them and tap into an end of
- 17:44Speaker 8: the market that they are not used to. Second, they're
- 17:47Speaker 8: going to raise the rates of refreshes of the device.
- 17:50Speaker 8: So what that does, that's also helps in the revenue
- 17:52Speaker 8: growth because again, as I said, we are coming to
- 17:55Speaker 8: a point at least in the US that you're you know,
- 17:57Speaker 8: you have a saturated capacity of getting new users to
- 18:02Speaker 8: jump on the bandwagon.
- 18:05Speaker 3: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 18:12Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
- 18:16Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
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- 18:22Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 18:27Speaker 2: Business Development Companies you maybe heard them by the acronym
- 18:30Speaker 2: BDC's there. They are a type of closed end fund
- 18:33Speaker 2: that provide retail investors exposure to a diversified portfolio of
- 18:37Speaker 2: private companies in their early stage. One such company went
- 18:41Speaker 2: public today on the New York Stock Exchange. That would
- 18:44Speaker 2: be Robinhood Ventures Fund to ticker r v II. Sarah Pento,
- 18:50Speaker 2: head of Robinhood Ventures, joins us live from the ny SE. Sarah,
- 18:55Speaker 2: thanks so much for joining us here. Talk to us
- 18:57Speaker 2: about the IPO. Why take Robinhood Interest Fund too public.
- 19:02Speaker 9: Thanks so much for having me. It's so exciting to
- 19:04Speaker 9: be here today.
- 19:05Speaker 3: So there's so.
- 19:07Speaker 9: Much happening in the technology market with early stage companies,
- 19:12Speaker 9: particularly now with the advent of AI, creating amazing innovation
- 19:17Speaker 9: and wealth creation, and historically that wealth creation has been
- 19:21Speaker 9: incredibly hard to access for most investors. Right, you have
- 19:24Speaker 9: to be accredited, you have to know the right people,
- 19:27Speaker 9: you have to have really high investment minimums, and then
- 19:30Speaker 9: there's no liquidity once you invest in private venture funds.
- 19:33Speaker 9: And so really with Robinhood Ventures Fund too, we are
- 19:36Speaker 9: bringing innovation to this market, to bring early stage venture
- 19:40Speaker 9: to everyone.
- 19:41Speaker 5: Well, can you give us an idea of how many
- 19:44Speaker 5: private companies does include, like what different sectors? Can you
- 19:47Speaker 5: break it down for us?
- 19:48Speaker 9: Yes, of course. So we chose to focus on what
- 19:50Speaker 9: we think is an end of one unique ecosystem for
- 19:54Speaker 9: early stage companies, which is why Combinator the storied accelerator
- 19:58Speaker 9: incubator based in San Francis, Cisco. They produce about five
- 20:03Speaker 9: to eight hundred companies a year, and we plan to
- 20:05Speaker 9: invest in about one hundred and fifty companies a year,
- 20:08Speaker 9: So over three years, this fund could have up to
- 20:11Speaker 9: four or five hundred companies, which for an early stage
- 20:14Speaker 9: strategy makes a lot of sense because you want to
- 20:17Speaker 9: have that diversification in order to be able to invest
- 20:21Speaker 9: in some of the companies that were really early when
- 20:25Speaker 9: you invested in them, but go on to be worth
- 20:28Speaker 9: tens hundreds of billions of dollars.
- 20:31Speaker 2: So eight million shares, I guess it was a total
- 20:35Speaker 2: underwriting here.
- 20:37Speaker 3: What are the u SUIP proceeds here?
- 20:39Speaker 9: So use of proceeds is really capital for the team
- 20:43Speaker 9: to invest in the next generation of innovative, innovative companies
- 20:47Speaker 9: from artificial intelligence to deep tech companies that are building
- 20:52Speaker 9: in the financial sector, in healthcare and space and defense.
- 20:56Speaker 9: And we will write checks in every single ycom vinator batch,
- 21:00Speaker 9: probably about one hundred or to one hundred and twenty
- 21:05Speaker 9: a year, and every check is in the hundreds of thousands,
- 21:11Speaker 9: and so that capital will be used to make those
- 21:13Speaker 9: investments that will be added to the.
- 21:14Speaker 5: Fund any investment minimums. What about fees for people who are.
- 21:18Speaker 9: Interested, Yes, for sure. So we decided to use a
- 21:24Speaker 9: tried and true model which is for fees, which is
- 21:27Speaker 9: the venture capital model. So two percent management fee, twenty
- 21:30Speaker 9: percent performance fee. To align incentives between the managers and
- 21:35Speaker 9: the investors, and it'll be the fund size will be
- 21:40Speaker 9: somewhere between two hundred and twenty and two hundred and
- 21:42Speaker 9: fifty million dollars depending on the green shoe exercise.
- 21:46Speaker 2: So, in the venture capital community today, Sarah, do you
- 21:51Speaker 2: have to have you have to be an AI play
- 21:55Speaker 2: to raise money today?
- 21:57Speaker 9: That is a very good question and the answer is
- 22:00Speaker 9: not necessarily. What you have to be is really an
- 22:05Speaker 9: innovator who has a compelling story. And so what we
- 22:08Speaker 9: look for is we look for these founders who are outliers,
- 22:11Speaker 9: who have an amazing vision and who will beat the odds,
- 22:15Speaker 9: because right the odds for these early stage companies is
- 22:18Speaker 9: probably that they won't be able to displace the incumbents.
- 22:21Speaker 9: But what's amazing with being a tech investor is time
- 22:26Speaker 9: and again you see companies that start out really small
- 22:29Speaker 9: and go on to become the next defining company of
- 22:32Speaker 9: their generation.
- 22:33Speaker 5: Well, I'm looking through your list here, and you have
- 22:35Speaker 5: some pretty well known yc alum. I'm looking at open
- 22:38Speaker 5: ai stripe like Airbnb, companies like this.
- 22:43Speaker 9: Yes, y Combinator is an extraordinary ecosystem. They've gone on
- 22:46Speaker 9: to create over a trillion dollars of value over one
- 22:50Speaker 9: hundred unicorns and decacorns to your points, Companies like DoorDash
- 22:55Speaker 9: and Airbnb and Stripe have come out of Y Combinator.
- 22:58Speaker 9: Sam Altman was deeply involved before and while he was
- 23:03Speaker 9: founding open Ai. Our first on Robinhood Ventures one has
- 23:07Speaker 9: invested in companies that came out of Y Combinator or
- 23:10Speaker 9: whose founders went through Y Combinator, like Boom, Supersonic and
- 23:15Speaker 9: Stripe and Ramp. So we're incredibly proud to be working
- 23:20Speaker 9: on a fund now that is focused on that ecosystem.
- 23:23Speaker 2: So your fund IPO price twenty five, it's training at
- 23:27Speaker 2: twenty three dollars six cents right now?
- 23:29Speaker 3: How do you investors?
- 23:30Speaker 2: How does the market typically value a structure like yours,
- 23:35Speaker 2: a fund like yours?
- 23:36Speaker 9: Yes, of course. So as a manager, we will publish
- 23:39Speaker 9: a NAV every single quarter and the share price will
- 23:44Speaker 9: will trade based on supply and demand, sometimes at a premium,
- 23:50Speaker 9: sometimes at a discount to NAV. But frankly, here at
- 23:54Speaker 9: Robinhood Ventures were focused on creating the best possible portfolio.
- 23:58Speaker 9: We control the inputs to make sure that people can
- 24:01Speaker 9: buy and sell every single day if they so desire. Obviously,
- 24:05Speaker 9: this is a portfolio that will generate its most appreciation
- 24:10Speaker 9: in my opinion, if you buy and hold it over time.
- 24:13Speaker 9: A lot of these companies will take years to become
- 24:16Speaker 9: worth a billion plus, but it is, in my opinion
- 24:20Speaker 9: again well worth the waits because some of them will
- 24:23Speaker 9: become again defining companies of the next generation.
- 24:27Speaker 5: So you're trying to bring private market access to retail investors.
- 24:31Speaker 5: So I'm just curious. Are companies staying private longer than
- 24:35Speaker 5: maybe they used to?
- 24:37Speaker 9: Absolutely, companies were definitely staying private longer than they used to.
- 24:40Speaker 9: When I started my career, if you were worth ten
- 24:43Speaker 9: billion dollar plus, it was standard to go public. And
- 24:45Speaker 9: now look at SpaceX and Anthropic and Open AI. We
- 24:49Speaker 9: have companies that are worth close to or north of
- 24:52Speaker 9: a trillion dollars and are still private, which is absolutely unprecedented.
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