Latest / Earn Your Leisure / Why Wealthy Investors Refuse to Sell Their Tech Stocks
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: What is stocks? Is it time to sell? I know
- 0:04Speaker 1: that after that? Right, so is it time to sell
- 0:09Speaker 1: the stocks? Because they say something like selling may walk away?
- 0:15Speaker 2: Spelling man go away?
- 0:16Speaker 1: So being at stocks are currently right now at its
- 0:19Speaker 1: all time high across the board for the most part,
- 0:24Speaker 1: is it time to walk away? Exit stage left?
- 0:28Speaker 3: No? I know. Gary Shillen said amazing economents that the
- 0:32Speaker 3: market could fall thirty percent per year. When I was
- 0:35Speaker 3: watching the conversation that Milking Institute, right, the one thing
- 0:38Speaker 3: I noticed is that when and you guys have been
- 0:41Speaker 3: too DeVos and the conversations that I've had and ascertained
- 0:46Speaker 3: they only most people only tell you about selling when
- 0:50Speaker 3: it's media time. Privately, has Robert Smith like when he
- 0:54Speaker 3: tried to sell you the agent, did he ever say, Man,
- 0:57Speaker 3: I'm about to get rid of this equity.
- 1:00Speaker 2: It doesn't happen. Put this in chat.
- 1:02Speaker 3: The only people who tell you to sell are those
- 1:05Speaker 3: who want you to be broke. No wealthy investor or
- 1:10Speaker 3: any investor who's any good is telling you to get
- 1:12Speaker 3: rid of the entire landscape of investing. You have a
- 1:16Speaker 3: gentic that is still untapped. Anthropic is doing thirty billion
- 1:21Speaker 3: a year for those who don't know. That is a
- 1:22Speaker 3: gigantic number. They haven't even went public yet. Samsung's on
- 1:27Speaker 3: a tear and Nvidia is on a tear. Lily is
- 1:31Speaker 3: about to go on a tear. Matas is on the
- 1:34Speaker 3: verge of having a turnaround. So all the people who
- 1:39Speaker 3: are the wealthiest people on the planet, even when we
- 1:41Speaker 3: could talk about greg Abel and warm Buffet in a
- 1:44Speaker 3: little they have billions of dollars of cash waiting for
- 1:47Speaker 3: the right time to buy. No, I know the axiom
- 1:51Speaker 3: of selling May and go away. This is a great
- 1:54Speaker 3: accumulation time. So shit, the market took down in May, yes,
- 2:00Speaker 3: but we just left one of the greatest months in
- 2:03Speaker 3: the history of investing.
- 2:04Speaker 2: Like this, this past.
- 2:05Speaker 3: Month was comparable. If everybody's like, yo, we missed twenty twenty.
- 2:09Speaker 3: Last month was your version.
- 2:11Speaker 2: Of twenty twenty.
- 2:12Speaker 3: And for those of you who took advantage of it,
- 2:17Speaker 3: like even for the screenshot, four hundred thousand of that
- 2:19Speaker 3: one point six is riting up last month.
- 2:22Speaker 2: So no, all for the.
- 2:23Speaker 3: Long term, May, June August would be tough. That it's
- 2:28Speaker 3: time to accumulate whole for the long term.
- 2:32Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I don't sell here.
- 2:35Speaker 4: I think if if you look at the story, and
- 2:37Speaker 4: maybe that may sound confusing, like, well, what's the story? Well,
- 2:41Speaker 4: when I say the story, has the AI story changed?
- 2:44Speaker 4: And again it has? Well, how do we know? We
- 2:47Speaker 4: saw the biggest companies in the world report last week
- 2:51Speaker 4: and there's a couple of things you got to listen for.
- 2:54Speaker 4: Has the cap X spend going down? No, that means
- 2:59Speaker 4: they're still about into the technology. That means they're spending it.
- 3:02Speaker 4: And if they're spending the money, that means they're spending
- 3:05Speaker 4: with companies.
- 3:06Speaker 2: Right.
- 3:07Speaker 4: I know it sounds like, oh, it's just bypassing. Hey,
- 3:09Speaker 4: they're going to spend seventy two billion, Well that's seventy
- 3:12Speaker 4: two billion is being allocated somewhere. That means there's companies
- 3:15Speaker 4: that are going to take in that revenue. That's why
- 3:17Speaker 4: I said the story hasn't changed. Right, So memory obviously
- 3:19Speaker 4: is at the forefront of that. And we'll talk about
- 3:21Speaker 4: some other infrastructure plays inside of the AI that you
- 3:23Speaker 4: should be having on your radar. But that hasn't changed.
- 3:27Speaker 4: Has the earnings from these huge megacap companies? Has that change?
- 3:32Speaker 4: Have they beat earnings quarter after the quarter? We keep
- 3:35Speaker 4: seeing the same thing learning, but they pull back because
- 3:37Speaker 4: of the cap back spend. Okay, that's the same theme. Well,
- 3:40Speaker 4: what about the consumer. Has consumer spending gone down? Well,
- 3:44Speaker 4: if you look at Visa's report last week, no, if
- 3:47Speaker 4: you talked to JP's report, not really. If you look
- 3:51Speaker 4: at TJ Max, if you look at Hilton and the hotels,
- 3:54Speaker 4: you're still seeing spending. And so that tells you that
- 3:58Speaker 4: I'll put them quotations. The resiliency is there.
- 4:03Speaker 2: Now. Something is happening in May. Obviously, we're gonna get
- 4:06Speaker 2: a new feed chair.
- 4:06Speaker 4: If you look historically, when a new feed chair steps
- 4:08Speaker 4: in to his seat or her seat hasn't happened, that
- 4:13Speaker 4: usually is a down inside the market that hasn't happened yet,
- 4:17Speaker 4: but it will at some point in May, and so
- 4:19Speaker 4: it will be a pullback, yeah, for sure. But I
- 4:21Speaker 4: think after that, and I heard time Lee saying it
- 4:24Speaker 4: as well, and video in video reports on the twentieth,
- 4:29Speaker 4: that'll be a key. And then let's see what that
- 4:31Speaker 4: momentum does going into June July has I mean, if
- 4:36Speaker 4: you look at historically, July has been a pretty good month.
- 4:39Speaker 4: August September is when we start saying, okay, let's make
- 4:42Speaker 4: sure we have reserves. We're going to start a seat
- 4:45Speaker 4: profit taking. We're gonna see some downturn. Those three months
- 4:48Speaker 4: are always in that space. August, September, October, and then
- 4:53Speaker 4: it's it's back to the cycle of November to April again.
- 5:00Speaker 2: I'm shot ahead. He says. Anything that's not true, you're
- 5:05Speaker 2: not going to no, no, no, no, no, no. No's pretty intelligent.
- 5:07Speaker 2: He's intelligent.
- 5:09Speaker 4: He's intelligent doing that now, someone we could argue some
- 5:13Speaker 4: of some of the takes are grand.
- 5:16Speaker 2: He does have grand takes.
- 5:17Speaker 4: But if you look at the past, definitely the past
- 5:21Speaker 4: five years, he's.
- 5:22Speaker 2: Been on point.
- 5:23Speaker 4: Man like him and Dan oves I know that, and
- 5:24Speaker 4: their Super Bowl.
- 5:26Speaker 2: I like Tom.
- 5:27Speaker 1: He says anything about crypto, bigcoin, He's been all over
- 5:30Speaker 1: the place.
- 5:31Speaker 2: He has been, right, he has a habit. He has
- 5:33Speaker 2: a higher crypto fund. Though.
- 5:35Speaker 1: Before that, all right, let's focus on crypto, because that's
- 5:38Speaker 1: what he's focused on. That's what he says a lot.
- 5:39Speaker 1: He talks a lot about crypto. He says, bigcoin gonna
- 5:42Speaker 1: be one hundred and eighty thousand by the end of
- 5:44Speaker 1: the year last year.
- 5:46Speaker 4: Okay, bigcoin, I may give you that, and the with
- 5:49Speaker 4: the estimation, can we be honest all of them make
- 5:52Speaker 4: those rounds and make those dumb ass proclamations because they're trying.
- 5:55Speaker 2: To raise funds market movies.
- 5:58Speaker 3: He did it sailor crypto Allectionedly, they're doing it to
- 6:04Speaker 3: drump up interest, to sell a narrative that isn't going
- 6:07Speaker 3: to come true and the time frame that they're talking about.
- 6:09Speaker 3: But being a permeable in tech is the right position
- 6:12Speaker 3: to be in that part.
- 6:14Speaker 4: Yeah, I would say that part because the tech piece
- 6:17Speaker 4: where he's seeing the S and P. A lot of
- 6:19Speaker 4: it I agree with, Yes, some of it is very
- 6:20Speaker 4: grand and that's been the continuous theme. It's almost like
- 6:24Speaker 4: I'm going to overshoot, so that even if it falls
- 6:26Speaker 4: a little bit under that, Hey.
- 6:28Speaker 2: I told you right, what don't you like about his
- 6:31Speaker 2: textra shot?
- 6:33Speaker 1: I like him.
- 6:33Speaker 2: I think he's extremely intelligent person.
- 6:35Speaker 1: But is it overshooting or you're just saying it's just
- 6:38Speaker 1: bitcoys going to be two hundred thousand by July and
- 6:42Speaker 1: it turns into it's ninety thousand.
- 6:43Speaker 2: Oh, I overshot it. That's that's that's gross. S and
- 6:47Speaker 2: P is going to be.
- 6:47Speaker 1: Ten out Like he's just saying just numbers, like but
- 6:51Speaker 1: the number they're not even close he's done this with
- 6:53Speaker 1: Crypto quite some time.
- 6:54Speaker 4: He's done he's done the numbers Encrypto specifically, because he's
- 6:58Speaker 4: been pretty spot on with s now.
- 7:01Speaker 2: His next his next thing is.
- 7:02Speaker 4: That after we go through some turmoil here in the
- 7:05Speaker 4: next few months, we're gonna go on the greatest run
- 7:07Speaker 4: that we've ever seen in human history. Like he literally
- 7:09Speaker 4: has said that, Well that happened.
- 7:12Speaker 2: That's overshoot too, that's overshoot.
- 7:14Speaker 4: Well, see, that's an overshoot. Yeah. I like Tom a
- 7:20Speaker 4: lot though.
- 7:24Speaker 1: I think he's intelligent. I think he's extremely intelligent person.
- 7:27Speaker 1: I just think, like I said, he just has very
- 7:31Speaker 1: out Yeah, he's just putting these numbers out there.
- 7:35Speaker 2: And to everybody.
- 7:36Speaker 3: I'm not shooting at anybody in particular, but to everybody
- 7:38Speaker 3: who had to dop eth in your Twitter bios and
- 7:41Speaker 3: I g a couple of years ago, what the fuck is.
- 7:43Speaker 2: Going on with the theory and where's the talent? Quiet?
- 7:50Speaker 2: Staying lowe mm hmmm, stand low. Just a question