Latest / Pod Save America / "Impeaching to the Choir."
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 2: I'm Jon Lovett.
- 0:23Speaker 3: I'm Tommy Vitor. Bring some energy to that. Bring some energy.
- 0:27Speaker 1: On today's show, Republicans finally release a policy agenda for
- 0:30Speaker 1: the midterms. Our old boss, David Plouffe, joins to talk
- 0:33Speaker 1: about the final stretch of the campaign. And we try
- 0:35Speaker 1: out a new game called Q-Tier.
- 0:38Speaker 3: Q-Tier.
- 0:39Speaker 1: Q-Tier. But first, check out this week's America Dissected, where
- 0:43Speaker 1: Abdul talks to Malcolm Gladwell about the science and practice
- 0:46Speaker 1: of public health. New episodes of America Dissected drop every Tuesday.
- 0:50Speaker 1: There's also a brand new Wilderness episode out this week.
- 0:52Speaker 1: I talk to undecided Biden voters in Pittsburgh. But inflation, guns, abortion,
- 0:57Speaker 1: the January 6th hearings, and what they think of the
- 0:59Speaker 1: Pennsylvania Senate and governor's races.
- 1:02Speaker 3: Any previews? Any hints?
- 1:04Speaker 1: They like John Fetterman.
- 1:05Speaker 3: Who doesn't?
- 1:06Speaker 1: They like John Fetterman.
- 1:06Speaker 3: They don't like Dr.
- 1:07Speaker 4: Oz.
- 1:07Speaker 3: They don't like Dr.
- 1:08Speaker 4: Oz.
- 1:08Speaker 2: No.
- 1:09Speaker 1: In fact, I think I've said this before, but the
- 1:11Speaker 1: reviews of Fetterman were better than I've ever heard from
- 1:14Speaker 1: a focus group about a politician.
- 1:16Speaker 2: Just from a political standpoint, maybe Dr. Oz should consider
- 1:18Speaker 2: having a stroke.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Oh, yeah. And you have made.
- 1:22Speaker 2: It's a different version of the same joke I've been making.
- 1:25Speaker 2: The twist on that one is that it's good politics.
- 1:27Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the news. With just about
- 1:29Speaker 1: six weeks left until Election Day, Republicans have unveiled a
- 1:33Speaker 1: vague policy platform they're calling a commitment to America. Kevin McCarthy,
- 1:39Speaker 1: the man who would likely become Speaker of the House
- 1:40Speaker 1: if Republicans flip the chamber, announced the plan with a
- 1:43Speaker 1: big rollout that included a video meant to show scenes
- 1:47Speaker 1: of America that was actually stock footage filmed in Russia.
- 1:51Speaker 1: And a letter with a fake Lincoln quote that was
- 1:54Speaker 1: actually a Lehman Brothers ad.
- 1:56Speaker 3: Yeah. They also had footage from a kid in Ukraine
- 1:58Speaker 3: and a supermarket in Europe. So great work all around.
- 2:01Speaker 1: Nailing it. On the stock footage front. I love when
- 2:03Speaker 1: stupid shit like that becomes a thing. Like who cares,
- 2:05Speaker 1: but it's fun.
- 2:06Speaker 3: It's the best.
- 2:07Speaker 1: Fake Lincoln quote.
- 2:09Speaker 2: They always get in trouble with the stock footage.
- 2:11Speaker 1: And the fake Lincoln, look, I think we had a- I.
- 2:15Speaker 2: Was about to say, those without fake Lincoln quotes throw
- 2:18Speaker 2: the first fake Lincoln quote.
- 2:21Speaker 3: What happened? What was the quote? I can't remember what
- 2:24Speaker 3: the speech was. I remember.
- 2:26Speaker 2: Wasn't it the one he told, wasn't it right before
- 2:28Speaker 2: the ACA?
- 2:29Speaker 3: Yeah, that's right.
- 2:29Speaker 2: Remember he went to speak to members of Congress and
- 2:33Speaker 2: he gave this really moving speech about about courage and
- 2:36Speaker 2: doing the right thing and past the Affordable Care Act.
- 2:38Speaker 1: Most of which he ad-libbed.
- 2:39Speaker 2: But he dug deep and he found the perfect Lincoln quote.
- 2:42Speaker 2: And it was perfect in part because it was made up.
- 2:44Speaker 2: It was a made-up quote.
- 2:46Speaker 1: Maybe that's what McCarthy took. Yeah.
- 2:48Speaker 3: Anyway.
- 2:49Speaker 1: So the agenda is mostly limited to four broad themes.
- 2:52Speaker 1: An economy that's strong, a nation that's safe, a future
- 2:55Speaker 1: that's built on freedom, and a government that's accountable. Here's
- 2:58Speaker 1: McCarthy with Elise Stefanik and Steve Scalise talking about the
- 3:02Speaker 1: plan to a Fox News reporter. And they're doing it
- 3:05Speaker 1: from where else? Pennsylvania Diner.
- 3:08Speaker 5: Think about this. We're in Washington, not Washington, D.C. We're
- 3:11Speaker 5: in Washington County, Pennsylvania.
- 3:13Speaker 3: Why?
- 3:13Speaker 5: Because this plan is about all these people. We want
- 3:17Speaker 5: an election to have a contrast. If they put their
- 3:21Speaker 5: trust in us, this is exactly what we'll do. Hold
- 3:24Speaker 5: our feet to the fire. And on the very first day,
- 3:27Speaker 5: we're going to repeal 87,000 IRS agents. So they're not
- 3:31Speaker 5: going after you.
- 3:32Speaker 2: We work for you.
- 3:33Speaker 5: You don't work for us.
- 3:35Speaker 1: They're in Washington County, Pennsylvania, Tommy.
- 3:37Speaker 3: No, no, no. I'm issuing a verbal cease and desist.
- 3:39Speaker 3: It's coming from me. It has the force of law
- 3:42Speaker 3: because I did the very tired. We're in Washington. We're
- 3:45Speaker 3: listening to Washington insiders in Washington County, Iowa, not Washington, D.C.
- 3:51Speaker 3: in 2007 or 8 because from my perspective, history begins
- 3:54Speaker 3: with me and my political experience.
- 3:55Speaker 1: Which, by the way, was a hit on Lovett's political mentor,
- 3:59Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton. Right.
- 4:00Speaker 3: She was listening to the lobbyists.
- 4:02Speaker 2: Learn everything I know. Tommy all my tricks. Uh, yes, I,
- 4:07Speaker 2: I do. I do like that. It's like, hold my
- 4:09Speaker 2: feet to the fire. The first sentence is simply not true.
- 4:12Speaker 2: They cannot do anything that's in there. Even if it
- 4:14Speaker 2: wasn't vague, even if it was written out, they can't
- 4:16Speaker 2: do it. And also their very first and most important
- 4:19Speaker 2: agenda item is a lie. The first thing you need
- 4:22Speaker 2: to know is that we're going to repeal something that
- 4:24Speaker 2: is not happening based on a right-wing fever dream. And
- 4:27Speaker 2: we're on it.
- 4:28Speaker 3: This plan is about the people. the people here. It's
- 4:31Speaker 3: a plan about people.
- 4:32Speaker 2: One thing you have to understand if you haven't seen
- 4:33Speaker 2: the video is that you have Steve Scalise, Elise Stefanik,
- 4:38Speaker 2: and Kevin McCarthy sitting at a table in some sort
- 4:42Speaker 2: of restaurant surrounded by what look like NPCs, just non-playable characters,
- 4:48Speaker 2: standing in perfect silence with dull expressions on their faces,
- 4:52Speaker 2: watching these four people, one of whom is a Fox
- 4:54Speaker 2: News reporter, in front of the same order from the
- 4:57Speaker 2: diner All of their napkins are still beneath their forks.
- 5:00Speaker 2: The only person who looks interested in eating is Steve Scalise.
- 5:03Speaker 2: And if you actually watch the video, if you actually
- 5:05Speaker 2: watch the video, his right hand is kind of twitching
- 5:07Speaker 2: a little like he's like, can I go for my fork?
- 5:09Speaker 2: Can I go for my fucking fork? At least Stefanik
- 5:12Speaker 2: doesn't doesn't care about that.
- 5:15Speaker 1: So Republicans are still favored to flip the House and
- 5:17Speaker 1: they're trying to make this election a referendum on Biden
- 5:20Speaker 1: and the Democrats. Why do you think McCarthy did this, Tommy?
- 5:23Speaker 1: And why do you think the platform is so vague?
- 5:27Speaker 3: I mean, I think part of it is that there
- 5:28Speaker 3: are no new ideas. And we all pretend that Newt
- 5:31Speaker 3: Gingrich's 1994 contract with America was some sort of game-changing
- 5:35Speaker 3: political document that led to Republicans winning tons and tons
- 5:39Speaker 3: of seats. I also bet these guys actually want to
- 5:42Speaker 3: have something to point to and say, this is our plan,
- 5:45Speaker 3: not that Rick Scott thing that is really, really politically damaging.
- 5:48Speaker 3: Because Rick Scott wants to raise taxes on half the
- 5:50Speaker 3: country and potentially cut Social Security and Medicare, which seems
- 5:55Speaker 3: like a bad idea, I think.
- 5:56Speaker 1: It is certainly not a popular one.
- 5:58Speaker 3: Yeah, not a popular one. It is smart. If you're
- 6:00Speaker 3: going to do something like this, you roll it out now,
- 6:03Speaker 3: late September, when people are paying attention. I think it's
- 6:05Speaker 3: probably useful for normal candidates to have something to point
- 6:08Speaker 3: to and say, this is the agenda that we're going
- 6:09Speaker 3: to work on as a party. I do think it's
- 6:12Speaker 3: very funny that the B-roll included Russian oil rigs. It's
- 6:17Speaker 3: kind of too perfect. But yeah, look, the problem for McCarthy, though,
- 6:21Speaker 3: is Newt Gingrich could command the media and news cycle
- 6:25Speaker 3: as an opposition leader in ways that McCarthy cannot. He
- 6:29Speaker 3: can only dream of, in part because Trump is still
- 6:31Speaker 3: out there flailing away and dominating the news, you know,
- 6:35Speaker 3: on Fox News at least.
- 6:36Speaker 1: Newt Gingrich could also control his caucus in a way
- 6:39Speaker 1: that McCarthy clearly can't. I mean, Newt Gingrich's contract with
- 6:42Speaker 1: America was like a specific set of bills that they
- 6:45Speaker 1: were going to introduce. McCarthy doesn't have any of that.
- 6:48Speaker 1: He has a parent's bill of rights in there, but
- 6:50Speaker 1: he doesn't even say what's in there. This isn't like
- 6:52Speaker 1: a specific, and the reason he couldn't include a list
- 6:55Speaker 1: of bills that he was going to introduce if they
- 6:58Speaker 1: win the house is because he can't get the fucking
- 7:02Speaker 1: crazies in his caucus, although the far right part of
- 7:05Speaker 1: the caucus and the rest of the caucus to agree
- 7:06Speaker 1: on anything.
- 7:07Speaker 2: And, and if they could make, he can't. And if
- 7:09Speaker 2: they could, it would be extremely unpopular where they are
- 7:12Speaker 2: as extremely unpopular being strong and safe and free or
- 7:14Speaker 2: popular banning abortion and cutting taxes for the rich and
- 7:17Speaker 2: stripping the social safety net is not popular. The other
- 7:20Speaker 2: piece of this is they have this sort of vicious circle,
- 7:23Speaker 2: which is because their policy agenda has been so unpopular,
- 7:26Speaker 2: they run on grievance and vilifying Democrats. And then the
- 7:29Speaker 2: base now has sort of this taste for blood. So
- 7:31Speaker 2: that's all they can really run on. And so this
- 7:33Speaker 2: is vague for the same reason the Republicans didn't have
- 7:36Speaker 2: a platform in 2020. The Democratic Party, for all of
- 7:39Speaker 2: its many... Look, the Democratic Party is perfect. That's the
- 7:42Speaker 2: most important thing.
- 7:42Speaker 1: Yeah, we always say that.
- 7:43Speaker 2: We have a policy agenda. The Republican Party doesn't really
- 7:45Speaker 2: have a true motivating policy agenda. They have an enemies list.
- 7:49Speaker 2: And that's really, that's the thing that galvanizes their base.
- 7:51Speaker 2: So you have to make this set of vague platitudes
- 7:53Speaker 2: so they can get back to doing what they want
- 7:54Speaker 2: to do, which is talk about trans people, talk about immigrants,
- 7:58Speaker 2: talk about crime.
- 7:59Speaker 1: Yeah, it's like they basically wanted something that was enough
- 8:01Speaker 1: to answer what are Republicans for, but not enough detail
- 8:05Speaker 1: to potentially split their party or give Democrats fodder for attacks.
- 8:10Speaker 1: That's what he was trying to navigate there.
- 8:13Speaker 2: Especially because if they have a slim majority, and we
- 8:16Speaker 2: all hope they don't, this is... This is not Kevin
- 8:20Speaker 2: McCarthy giving speeches about healthcare policy. This is Matt Gaetz
- 8:25Speaker 2: pulling Kevin McCarthy on a leash like the gimp in
- 8:27Speaker 2: Pulp Fiction. It's Jim Jordan impeaching Biden for one count
- 8:31Speaker 2: of having a son that likes Coke and two counts
- 8:34Speaker 2: of not building the wall. It's Elise Stefanik going full
- 8:38Speaker 2: Brothers of Italy. It's Lindsey Graham passing a nationwide abortion
- 8:43Speaker 2: ban and having the first erection in his life he
- 8:46Speaker 2: didn't pay for. That's the future. That's the commitment.
- 8:51Speaker 1: Leave that in. You know what I'm saying?
- 8:53Speaker 3: I can hear Andy laughing in the other room.
- 8:56Speaker 2: That's it.
- 8:56Speaker 1: Is she laughing or is she crying?
- 8:58Speaker 2: Find B-roll of that. That's what they should be promoting.
- 9:01Speaker 2: Find B-roll of that.
- 9:03Speaker 1: Don't find B-roll of that.
- 9:04Speaker 3: You know what else I love? I went to their
- 9:05Speaker 3: website and you could click on things and expand the
- 9:08Speaker 3: policy positions out and then you go to the next issue.
- 9:11Speaker 3: But the website is an infinite loop because it'll just
- 9:13Speaker 3: take you back around.
- 9:14Speaker 1: I was very frustrated trying to do research for this podcast.
- 9:18Speaker 2: It's bullshit all the way down, boys.
- 9:19Speaker 1: So Republicans have offered some details. You guys heard McCarthy
- 9:23Speaker 1: talk about firing IRS agents in that clip. As you
- 9:26Speaker 1: pointed out, Lovett, that is a lie.
- 9:28Speaker 3: Can we just pause on that?
- 9:28Speaker 1: Let's do it.
- 9:29Speaker 3: Actually, the mainstream media coverage, even the New York Times story,
- 9:31Speaker 3: was very annoying. The $ 87, 000 is the amount of IRS money.
- 9:35Speaker 3: staffers that might be hired over a decade. That includes
- 9:38Speaker 3: replacing people who will quit because we're talking about a decade.
- 9:40Speaker 3: A lot of it is like IT support, people answering
- 9:43Speaker 3: the phones to help you out if you have questions,
- 9:44Speaker 3: stuff like that. It's not like 87,000 new auditors start
- 9:48Speaker 3: on day one. It's a decade's worth of hiring.
- 9:49Speaker 2: Not at all.
- 9:50Speaker 3: It's so stupid.
- 9:51Speaker 1: I had the same reaction. And then I was like,
- 9:54Speaker 1: you know what? We can't do our typical liberal fact
- 9:58Speaker 1: check about the IR.
- 10:00Speaker 3: This is our liberal fact check.
- 10:01Speaker 1: Excuse me, nerds. You're wrong about the $ 87, 000.
- 10:04Speaker 2: Why would you set Tommy up to debunk it?
- 10:06Speaker 1: I did the same thing. I was mad at myself.
- 10:09Speaker 1: I was mad at myself. You were mad at yourself?
- 10:11Speaker 3: We did this on stage at a live show a
- 10:13Speaker 3: couple months ago.
- 10:14Speaker 2: Tommy was a good example of hurt people hurt people.
- 10:18Speaker 2: So what should we do, John? We can't fact check
- 10:22Speaker 2: these people.
- 10:23Speaker 1: This is what's getting lost.
- 10:24Speaker 2: What's getting lost?
- 10:25Speaker 1: They are mad that Joe Biden and Democrats made it
- 10:27Speaker 1: harder for rich people to cheat on their taxes. Of course,
- 10:30Speaker 1: of course. They want to make sure that the IRS
- 10:32Speaker 1: can't catch rich tax cheats. That's it. That's all it is. Right.
- 10:38Speaker 2: Forget the... Don't.
- 10:38Speaker 1: Get involved in their 87,000 bullshit.
- 10:41Speaker 2: Well, it's actually like they're saying, don't hire people because
- 10:45Speaker 2: they're coming after you. The whole reason... we need to
- 10:47Speaker 2: fix this is because these people have spent years gutting
- 10:50Speaker 2: the IRS so that it only targets middle-class and poor people.
- 10:53Speaker 1: Not enough for rich people to get tax cuts for Republicans.
- 10:55Speaker 1: Now they want people to actually break the law and
- 10:59Speaker 1: not have to pay taxes if you're rich, if you're rich.
- 11:01Speaker 3: I love this plan.
- 11:02Speaker 1: Anything else you guys found especially notable in there in
- 11:05Speaker 1: terms of the details that were on the website that
- 11:07Speaker 1: was an endless loop?
- 11:09Speaker 3: I mean, it was perfectly vague. I don't really expect
- 11:11Speaker 3: more from someone like McCarthy in this case. I do
- 11:13Speaker 3: like when you get a foreign policy section. They're like, okay, here's,
- 11:17Speaker 3: here's our four bullet foreign policy section. One of the
- 11:19Speaker 3: bullets is exercise peace through strength with our allies to
- 11:22Speaker 3: counter increasing global threats. Like, ah, that's solved. That's bold.
- 11:25Speaker 3: One of the four education bullets was recover lost learning
- 11:28Speaker 3: from school closures. Like that's a small, easy task that
- 11:31Speaker 3: could be handled by the Congress.
- 11:33Speaker 2: Also not a.
- 11:33Speaker 1: Lot of privatization of public schools.
- 11:35Speaker 2: Right. It's also, it's written so vaguely and with so
- 11:38Speaker 2: many bromides that you actually can go through it and
- 11:40Speaker 2: circle all the things that Democrats are for. Uh, One
- 11:43Speaker 2: note would be that it only plays just the, it
- 11:46Speaker 2: gives the shortest of shrift to their most important policy agenda,
- 11:50Speaker 2: which is banning abortion, which is they've included a line
- 11:52Speaker 2: that says they will protect the life of the unborn
- 11:54Speaker 2: and their mothers. And it's interesting that they include, it's
- 12:00Speaker 2: clearly a, even in that brief sentence, you feel their
- 12:03Speaker 2: fear that they've had a lot of overreach on abortion.
- 12:06Speaker 3: Yeah. You can learn from what they don't mention, which
- 12:08Speaker 3: was that's the abortion piece. And then Interesting to me
- 12:11Speaker 3: how much they talk about fentanyl as part of the
- 12:13Speaker 3: immigration story. I think that's a huge issue all across
- 12:16Speaker 3: the country that doesn't get covered that much. It doesn't
- 12:18Speaker 3: seem like they mentioned repealing the ACA. I don't know
- 12:21Speaker 3: how new that is, but it's not noted.
- 12:23Speaker 1: They are going after it.
- 12:25Speaker 3: Okay. Well, they'll get there eventually. I didn't see student
- 12:27Speaker 3: debt forgiveness in there despite all the protestation. The core attacks, though,
- 12:31Speaker 3: were crime, schools, border chaos, and then, you know, like...
- 12:36Speaker 3: flipping out about women's sports as their other pillar here. Yes.
- 12:39Speaker 1: So that was in there. The ensure that only women
- 12:42Speaker 1: can compete in women's sports. Not much detail, but make
- 12:44Speaker 1: sure that that's in there.
- 12:45Speaker 3: Right.
- 12:45Speaker 1: Not a lot of detail about like foreign policy got
- 12:49Speaker 1: the five words that you said.
- 12:50Speaker 4: Right.
- 12:51Speaker 1: But made sure they made sure they had the detail
- 12:53Speaker 1: about women's.
- 12:53Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 12:54Speaker 2: No, no detail, but no detail anywhere. But no enemy missed.
- 12:58Speaker 3: Right. Exactly.
- 12:59Speaker 1: What's interesting to me is that the they had that
- 13:01Speaker 1: one page and then they had the Web site. And
- 13:03Speaker 1: then they all did some interviews on Friday. And during
- 13:06Speaker 1: the interviews, some more of what they're looking for, what
- 13:09Speaker 1: they're going to try to do started leaking out. So
- 13:11Speaker 1: they're still going after the Affordable Care Act. They also
- 13:12Speaker 1: want to block Medicare from being able to negotiate for
- 13:15Speaker 1: cheaper prescription drugs.
- 13:16Speaker 3: They want to undo. Which is the opposite of what
- 13:18Speaker 3: their plan says.
- 13:18Speaker 1: Incredibly popular provision in the Inflation Reduction Act. McCarthy also said,
- 13:24Speaker 1: We're going to find out where the origins of COVID started.
- 13:27Speaker 3: Their whole oversight thing, the oversight section is a little
- 13:30Speaker 3: fever dream.
- 13:31Speaker 1: Yeah, and we should talk about that in a second.
- 13:33Speaker 1: But how are you guys feeling about the Republican plan
- 13:35Speaker 1: to fight inflation? I thought that was robust.
- 13:37Speaker 3: Yeah, it's basically summarized as cut government spending, which might
- 13:42Speaker 3: have made sense, I think, during the COVID era stimulus
- 13:45Speaker 3: checks that they all were for back in the day,
- 13:47Speaker 3: but doesn't make sense anymore. And then it's pro-growth tax
- 13:50Speaker 3: policy and deregulation policy, which as long as we're being nerds,
- 13:54Speaker 3: That's acceptable.
- 13:55Speaker 2: It is.
- 13:55Speaker 1: That would lead to more inflation. Budget cuts and tax cuts.
- 13:58Speaker 1: That's all they got.
- 13:59Speaker 3: Basically, the whole inflation platform is saying Biden did it.
- 14:02Speaker 1: It's also just like it's our one economic policy that
- 14:05Speaker 1: we've had for the last 50 years. Tax cuts for
- 14:07Speaker 1: rich people paid for by cutting health care and education.
- 14:11Speaker 2: They're still playing the hits. Trump in the streets, Paul
- 14:14Speaker 2: Ryan in the sheets. To this day.
- 14:16Speaker 1: They got nothing else. They got nothing else. Data for
- 14:19Speaker 1: Progress did a poll of voters in eight swing states,
- 14:21Speaker 1: by the way, and they found that The Democratic messages
- 14:23Speaker 1: on Social Security, health care, and taxes are the most
- 14:26Speaker 1: convincing reasons for voters to vote for Democrats over Republicans.
- 14:30Speaker 1: This is a new poll that they had out. So
- 14:32Speaker 1: it just goes to show you why they're trying to
- 14:35Speaker 1: cover up the Social Security, Medicare stuff, why they're trying
- 14:38Speaker 1: to reframe the tax thing into an IRS thing.
- 14:40Speaker 3: Rick Scott is terrible.
- 14:42Speaker 2: This thing is written so vaguely that this does not
- 14:45Speaker 2: necessarily contradict the Rick Scott sunsetting plan.
- 14:48Speaker 1: Exactly.
- 14:49Speaker 2: Does not contradict it.
- 14:50Speaker 3: No.
- 14:50Speaker 2: That's still active.
- 14:52Speaker 1: And they've all taken votes that line them up with
- 14:55Speaker 1: the Rick Scott plan.
- 14:56Speaker 3: Right. All right.
- 14:57Speaker 1: So Republicans won't be able to pass this agenda so
- 15:00Speaker 1: long as Joe Biden is president. But they will be
- 15:02Speaker 1: able to launch all kinds of investigations, including impeachment proceedings
- 15:05Speaker 1: against Biden or his cabinet. Here's South Carolina Republican Nancy
- 15:09Speaker 1: Mace on Meet the Press this weekend.
- 15:11Speaker 5: You expect an impeachment vote against President Biden if Republicans take.
- 15:15Speaker 3: Over the House?
- 15:16Speaker 6: I believe there's a lot of pressure on Republicans to
- 15:19Speaker 6: have that vote, to put that legislation forward and to
- 15:22Speaker 6: have that vote. I think that is something that some
- 15:25Speaker 6: folks are considering.
- 15:26Speaker 3: Wow.
- 15:27Speaker 6: Again, I'm someone who wants to, yeah, I want to
- 15:29Speaker 6: follow the Constitution.
- 15:31Speaker 2: It's really important.
- 15:31Speaker 6: Oversight's important.
- 15:33Speaker 2: But if these impeach Biden votes come up, how are
- 15:36Speaker 2: you going to vote?
- 15:38Speaker 6: Again, I'm going to read how that bill is filed,
- 15:41Speaker 6: what's in it, what evidence there was. I didn't vote
- 15:44Speaker 6: to impeach the former president of the United States because
- 15:46Speaker 6: I felt like due process was stripped away. I will
- 15:49Speaker 6: not vote for impeachment of any president if I feel
- 15:51Speaker 6: that due process has been stripped away for anyone.
- 15:53Speaker 1: What a fine public servant. You guys think it's weird
- 15:57Speaker 1: that Chuck didn't ask what Republicans might impeach Biden for?
- 15:59Speaker 2: I just skipped that one important question. Would you vote
- 16:02Speaker 2: for impeachment? For fucking what? That's like a really big
- 16:06Speaker 2: part of it.
- 16:07Speaker 3: It's irrelevant.
- 16:08Speaker 2: Look, I don't know if your history buffs listening, but
- 16:11Speaker 2: that's a big part of it. Why?
- 16:13Speaker 3: This is, you know, like this is not a Chuck
- 16:15Speaker 3: specific problem, though. I mean, like the Republican cynicism around
- 16:18Speaker 3: impeachment is so baked into the political cake and expectations
- 16:21Speaker 3: for Republicans that they're like, yeah, well, Democrats impeached Trump twice.
- 16:24Speaker 3: So Biden should expect to be Impeached at least once. Why?
- 16:27Speaker 3: Did he hold up military aid to Ukraine? Did he,
- 16:30Speaker 3: you know, send a mob into the capital? No, whatever.
- 16:33Speaker 3: Who cares?
- 16:33Speaker 1: Let's not even get into it. Ted Cruz basically admitted
- 16:36Speaker 1: this on his podcast. He was like, yeah, he'll be
- 16:38Speaker 1: impeached whether it's justified or not.
- 16:41Speaker 3: It's just revenge.
- 16:42Speaker 2: It's just revenge. They will find their reason. They've been
- 16:45Speaker 2: floating Afghanistan. They've been floating the border. And they obviously
- 16:48Speaker 2: are not fans of Hunter Biden.
- 16:49Speaker 3: Go for it. Impeachment, very unpopular.
- 16:52Speaker 1: I was going to say, it doesn't seem too... politically
- 16:55Speaker 1: astute for Republicans at this stage in the midterm campaign
- 16:59Speaker 1: to openly talk about impeaching Joe Biden?
- 17:02Speaker 3: I think yes, like the MAGA base that they're desperately
- 17:04Speaker 3: trying to cling to wants blood and reciprocity. So I
- 17:08Speaker 3: think this is a message targeted at those people. I
- 17:10Speaker 3: think you, you, talk about this on Fox News and
- 17:13Speaker 3: right-wing radio and everywhere else. But no, I mean, I
- 17:16Speaker 3: don't think this is your message for swing voters that
- 17:18Speaker 3: you're going big with on ads.
- 17:19Speaker 2: Yeah, it's sort of a preview of coming attractions if
- 17:21Speaker 2: they do win the House, because they're in that Washington
- 17:23Speaker 2: Post story about the Freedom Caucus basically saying, we're going
- 17:26Speaker 2: to want a whole bunch of changes that give us
- 17:28Speaker 2: more power if we're going to ever vote to make
- 17:29Speaker 2: Kevin McCarthy speaker. And His only response is, can we
- 17:32Speaker 2: just do this after the election, please?
- 17:34Speaker 1: Right. Yeah, they might say it to their base, but
- 17:38Speaker 1: they don't want to talk about this at all. And
- 17:40Speaker 1: I hope they get asked about it more. And I
- 17:42Speaker 1: think Democrats should incorporate it into their message. Like, you
- 17:45Speaker 1: give Republicans the House. You think that they're actually going
- 17:49Speaker 1: to take care of inflation? They're going to do anything
- 17:51Speaker 1: that you want to be done? No, they're going to
- 17:52Speaker 1: protect Donald Trump. run investigations for him, run investigations about Biden.
- 17:57Speaker 1: It's going to be investigations for two years.
- 17:59Speaker 2: It's going to be a circus.
- 17:59Speaker 3: It's Trump-adjacent stuff. The oversight agenda is like DOJ politicization,
- 18:04Speaker 3: which is saying that Trump was unfairly targeted by the FBI,
- 18:08Speaker 3: COVID origins, and then big tech censorship. So it's all
- 18:11Speaker 3: very Trump-adjacent grievance stuff.
- 18:13Speaker 1: Investigate Fauci. Investigate... We should get to the bottom of
- 18:17Speaker 1: that guy. We should get to the bottom of that guy.
- 18:18Speaker 1: We should investigate. Bring, you know, Hal Garland down there.
- 18:21Speaker 1: Kevin McCarthy already said, you know, clear your calendar to
- 18:23Speaker 1: Merrick Garland because he had the audacity to try to
- 18:27Speaker 1: retrieve the nuclear secrets that Trump stole and stashed in
- 18:30Speaker 1: his fucking beach house.
- 18:31Speaker 3: Clear your calendar, sir.
- 18:32Speaker 1: So they're going to do that for a couple years.
- 18:34Speaker 2: You shouldn't clear his calendar. Propose some fucking dates. We're
- 18:38Speaker 2: trying to run a government here. Honestly, the most annoying ask.
- 18:40Speaker 3: Do you have time for lunch in the next six weeks?
- 18:42Speaker 2: No, give me a specific date.
- 18:43Speaker 1: You send me the invite.
- 18:44Speaker 2: You send the dates and then I'll say I'm busy.
- 18:46Speaker 1: I'll either say accept or I'll say tend to.
- 18:47Speaker 3: Do you have time for a quick call about what?
- 18:49Speaker 2: About what?
- 18:50Speaker 3: Could it be an email? Kevin.
- 18:53Speaker 1: So, Lovett, you mentioned that there's only one reference to
- 18:57Speaker 1: abortion in the platform, a promise to protect the lives
- 18:59Speaker 1: of unborn children and their mothers. This is, of course,
- 19:02Speaker 1: after Lindsey Graham proposed a national abortion ban just a
- 19:05Speaker 1: few weeks ago. And after just this weekend, when a
- 19:08Speaker 1: judge in Arizona ruled that an 1864 law in that
- 19:12Speaker 1: state that bans nearly all abortions must now take effect
- 19:16Speaker 1: because of the Dobbs decision. Republicans in competitive races clearly
- 19:20Speaker 1: do not want to talk about abortion. Is that a
- 19:22Speaker 1: plausible strategy at this point?
- 19:25Speaker 2: Plausible strategy. I'm sure that's what they'll try to do.
- 19:27Speaker 2: It's our job to make sure it doesn't work. And
- 19:30Speaker 2: remind everyone everywhere all the time that every that that
- 19:33Speaker 2: abortion is on the ballot in every congressional race.
- 19:36Speaker 3: Abortion is on the.
- 19:36Speaker 2: Ballot in every statewide race and drive home the point
- 19:40Speaker 2: that they can try to moderate all they want in
- 19:41Speaker 2: the three weeks before an election. But they are on
- 19:43Speaker 2: the record for the year, five years, 10 years, 20
- 19:46Speaker 2: years before. And no matter what they say, no matter
- 19:49Speaker 2: how they try to allow. to their actual agenda, their
- 19:51Speaker 2: goal is to ban abortion everywhere without regard for the
- 19:57Speaker 2: health of women and pregnant people.
- 19:59Speaker 1: That's it. And this is especially true now in Arizona,
- 20:02Speaker 1: which has some of the tightest and most competitive midterm
- 20:06Speaker 1: races in the country. Tommy, what do we know about
- 20:08Speaker 1: where the candidates, the major candidates are on this issue
- 20:11Speaker 1: in Arizona and how this ruling might change the race?
- 20:14Speaker 3: I mean, the ruling in Arizona just put into place
- 20:16Speaker 3: an abortion law that mandates two to five years in
- 20:19Speaker 3: prison for anyone who provides abortion services. So Blake Masters
- 20:23Speaker 3: was incredibly anti-abortion. He just scrubbed his website, though, so
- 20:27Speaker 3: we don't really know anymore. It's all a big mystery now. Yeah,
- 20:30Speaker 3: and everything disappears on the internet. Carrie Lake is also
- 20:32Speaker 3: a right-wing loon, although until recently she was an Obama supporter. So,
- 20:35Speaker 3: you know, I think The job is to tie these
- 20:39Speaker 3: candidates around this decision and make a very compelling case.
- 20:42Speaker 3: The hard part is going to be when they all
- 20:43Speaker 3: try to pull a DeSantis and change the conversation to immigration, crime, inflation,
- 20:48Speaker 3: and manufacture a caravan narrative with Fox News. And, you know,
- 20:52Speaker 3: that's the fight.
- 20:54Speaker 2: And one other piece, too, is just this is not
- 20:56Speaker 2: perspective anymore. It's already happening, right? This is already happening.
- 20:58Speaker 2: People are already having to leave states to get health care.
- 21:02Speaker 2: Women with with issues unrelated to being pregnant or being
- 21:06Speaker 2: unable to get the treatment and care that they need
- 21:08Speaker 2: in states that have put in place bans.
- 21:10Speaker 3: So it's here.
- 21:11Speaker 2: They are getting exactly what they want. They can't pretend
- 21:13Speaker 2: they're not. It's not for the future. It's now.
- 21:15Speaker 1: I think in the Pennsylvania governor's race, one thing that's
- 21:19Speaker 1: really hurt Doug Mastriano, aside from being a fucking lunatic,
- 21:23Speaker 1: is we say abortion's on the ballot everywhere. In Pennsylvania,
- 21:26Speaker 1: Doug Mastriano is governor. He signs an abortion ban on
- 21:29Speaker 1: day one, full, complete abortion ban. If he's not, if
- 21:32Speaker 1: Josh Shapiro is governor, abortion remains legal in Pennsylvania, right?
- 21:35Speaker 1: Like it's that simple. Arizona, now Carrie Lake and Blake
- 21:39Speaker 1: Masters are sort of in that position in Arizona. Blake
- 21:41Speaker 1: Masters tried to erase the website, even though he has
- 21:43Speaker 1: called abortion. He does his own web IT stuff. Yeah,
- 21:47Speaker 1: he does not use Squarespace. He has called abortion demonic.
- 21:51Speaker 1: He wanted a constitutional amendment to ban abortion. That's how
- 21:55Speaker 1: extreme it was. Carrie Lake said, you know, this weekend
- 21:57Speaker 1: in response to this, she said, oh, I'm I'm pro-life,
- 21:59Speaker 1: and she started attacking Katie Hobbs for saying, she's like, oh, well,
- 22:03Speaker 1: she's saying that if you have a miscarriage, that she's
- 22:06Speaker 1: confusing it with abortion care. Well, it's like, you know what?
- 22:08Speaker 1: All the abortion clinics in Arizona are shutting down now.
- 22:11Speaker 1: So health of the mother, life of the mother, whatever
- 22:14Speaker 1: it may be, women are not going to have access
- 22:16Speaker 1: to abortion care.
- 22:17Speaker 3: It's nearly identical, an abortion and the care you have
- 22:19Speaker 3: to receive after miscarriage. It's the exact same fucking thing.
- 22:23Speaker 3: So do not try to let anyone... fuzz this up.
- 22:26Speaker 1: Ted Cruz was doing the same thing over the weekend,
- 22:28Speaker 1: trying to say, oh, we're all for the health and
- 22:30Speaker 1: life of the mother. We would never do that. Well,
- 22:32Speaker 1: when abortion access is banned everywhere and a doctor has
- 22:35Speaker 1: to fucking call a lawyer before giving a woman care
- 22:38Speaker 1: because they're not sure if it's within the letter of
- 22:40Speaker 1: the fucking random law that was written 100 years ago.
- 22:43Speaker 3: Yeah, re-upped in 1906, right, where the lawyer could get
- 22:45Speaker 3: two to five years. By the way, Doug Mastriano, to
- 22:47Speaker 3: your question of can they avoid talking about this issue,
- 22:51Speaker 3: I mean, that's a guy who is just running something
- 22:54Speaker 3: interesting off the grid campaign where he doesn't talk to
- 22:57Speaker 3: any mainstream media no he just does like the q
- 22:59Speaker 3: anon variety hour on twitch or whatever.
- 23:01Speaker 1: Doesn't get a lot of folks uh coming to these
- 23:03Speaker 1: rallies either 50 people five zero showed up at his
- 23:06Speaker 1: event not raising a lot of money over the weekend
- 23:08Speaker 1: but that is interesting you know and i when i
- 23:10Speaker 1: did this um uh focus group in pittsburgh i talked
- 23:13Speaker 1: to um Rebecca Katz, who's John Fetterman's senior advisor, and
- 23:17Speaker 1: Malcolm Kenyatta, who ran against Fetterman in the primary. And
- 23:20Speaker 1: I was asking them about, you know, is Josh Shapiro,
- 23:23Speaker 1: do you think, is he going to go big on
- 23:24Speaker 1: democracy as a theme because of Mastriano and Mastriano wanting
- 23:27Speaker 1: to overturn the election? And they were like, no, I
- 23:29Speaker 1: think the easier play here is abortion. They're like, you
- 23:33Speaker 1: don't have to, you have to be creative about it.
- 23:35Speaker 1: He wants to ban abortion in the state of Pennsylvania completely.
- 23:39Speaker 1: That is unbelievably unpopular. And if he just runs on
- 23:42Speaker 1: that issue the whole time, he could definitely win. And
- 23:44Speaker 1: sure enough, he's ahead in the poll. So we shall see.
- 23:47Speaker 2: All right.
- 23:48Speaker 1: When we come back, we'll talk to our old pal,
- 23:50Speaker 1: David Plouffe. That's where you do all your podcasting? I
- 24:02Speaker 1: see you got a fancy mic there.
- 24:05Speaker 4: Yeah, well, I used to do it in a closet.
- 24:07Speaker 4: I have an office I share in the Presidio with
- 24:09Speaker 4: some guys, but the Wi-Fi was spotty. So I found
- 24:11Speaker 4: this nice spot in my house. It's pretty quiet, unless
- 24:13Speaker 4: my dogs bark.
- 24:14Speaker 3: Yeah, well.
- 24:15Speaker 4: If they do, I'll shoot them today. This is a
- 24:18Speaker 4: real podcast, so we can have no dog barking.
- 24:20Speaker 3: We literally have a dog right here that might bark,
- 24:22Speaker 3: so you're good.
- 24:22Speaker 2: At any moment.
- 24:23Speaker 1: Just go put them on your roof.
- 24:25Speaker 3: A Romney joke?
- 24:26Speaker 2: All right, yeah. No context for a Romney joke. Can
- 24:29Speaker 2: we make those now?
- 24:31Speaker 4: I don't know if we can make Romney jokes. Oh, wait, oh.
- 24:34Speaker 3: Oh, yeah.
- 24:34Speaker 1: What?
- 24:34Speaker 6: Yeah, no.
- 24:35Speaker 1: Have you heard Dan lately?
- 24:36Speaker 2: Hey, David Plouffe, question for you. Are you ready to
- 24:39Speaker 2: apologize for the fact that trying to beat Mitt Romney
- 24:42Speaker 2: destroyed democracy? Why didn't you realize when you were running
- 24:47Speaker 2: a campaign against Mitt Romney that what you should have
- 24:50Speaker 2: done is just waved a little white flag and shown
- 24:53Speaker 2: him how to get into the White House? Because otherwise,
- 24:56Speaker 2: Republicans would decide then that they were fucking fascist.
- 25:00Speaker 1: He's just trying to bait Plouffe, aren't you?
- 25:02Speaker 3: We should keep that in and do the intro and
- 25:04Speaker 3: we should roll from there.
- 25:04Speaker 1: You should keep that in.
- 25:06Speaker 2: Yeah, we're keeping it in. Well, perfect.
- 25:08Speaker 1: On the pod today, in case you didn't know, former
- 25:10Speaker 1: Obama campaign manager and senior White House advisor, our old
- 25:13Speaker 1: boss and current podcast colleague, the first few episodes of
- 25:16Speaker 1: his new season of Campaign HQ are out now. David Plouffe,
- 25:19Speaker 1: welcome back to the pod.
- 25:21Speaker 4: Well, John, I never thought we'd be referred to in
- 25:24Speaker 4: that way, podcast college.
- 25:25Speaker 2: I don't consider us podcast college. I consider us podcast competitors.
- 25:29Speaker 1: That was the dream in 2008, Plouffe. That's why we
- 25:32Speaker 1: signed up. We knew that someday we'd be podcasters.
- 25:34Speaker 4: I'm in the single A. But, you know, the minor
- 25:36Speaker 4: leagues are good. It's lovely ballparks.
- 25:38Speaker 2: Yeah, you get to know the fans.
- 25:40Speaker 4: It's a more intimate experience.
- 25:42Speaker 3: Yes, exactly.
- 25:42Speaker 1: You get invited on Hacks on Tap once in a while.
- 25:46Speaker 3: Sweet gig if you can get it.
- 25:47Speaker 1: All right, Plouffe, we're six weeks out. How are you
- 25:52Speaker 1: feeling about these midterms?
- 25:54Speaker 4: Well, John, I know you're on the polar coaster. I
- 25:56Speaker 4: know Tommy and John try and keep you off that.
- 25:58Speaker 1: Plouffe, Plouffe.
- 25:59Speaker 4: It's hard.
- 25:59Speaker 3: John literally turned to me and Lovett the other day
- 26:02Speaker 3: and he said, it's getting.
- 26:03Speaker 2: Chilly outside, some fall weather, going to be some poles soon.
- 26:06Speaker 3: And he wasn't kidding.
- 26:07Speaker 2: That's word for word. Word for word. It's getting chilly out.
- 26:10Speaker 2: Rubbed his hands together. We're going to get some poles soon.
- 26:15Speaker 4: That's a disturbing image.
- 26:17Speaker 1: I did say that.
- 26:18Speaker 2: It was so sweet. It was like you got to
- 26:20Speaker 2: see him as a little boy for a moment.
- 26:23Speaker 3: Anyway, sorry.
- 26:24Speaker 4: Are you in your 40s yet, Favreau?
- 26:25Speaker 3: I am, unfortunately.
- 26:26Speaker 2: Oh, he's deep in them.
- 26:27Speaker 4: This is what happens.
- 26:28Speaker 2: You can barely see 40.
- 26:30Speaker 4: You get excited about polls in the winter. These didn't
- 26:33Speaker 4: happen to you in the 20s. Listen, I think that
- 26:38Speaker 4: a couple of things can be true. The environment's as
- 26:40Speaker 4: good as any Democrat had any right to hope. you know,
- 26:43Speaker 4: probably four or six months ago. And this is still
- 26:46Speaker 4: a super challenging election. So we always talk about the
- 26:49Speaker 4: outliers in off years. 2002 was one when Bush was
- 26:52Speaker 4: president in the aftermath of 9-11-98, which was a result of,
- 26:57Speaker 4: you know, a Republican overreach on impeachment. But let's remember,
- 27:00Speaker 4: even in that election, which is a great Democratic election,
- 27:02Speaker 4: we won zero Senate seats and won five House seats.
- 27:05Speaker 4: So this is going to be really hard. You've got,
- 27:07Speaker 4: we're the party in power. I think about 25% of
- 27:10Speaker 4: Americans say the economy is in good shape. But they're
- 27:14Speaker 4: balancing that off with, you know, Dobbs, abortion, the fight
- 27:19Speaker 4: for democracy, the fact that the Republican brand and many
- 27:21Speaker 4: Republican candidates are just shit awful. So you put that
- 27:24Speaker 4: all together. And, you know, I think you might have
- 27:27Speaker 4: said six months ago we wouldn't have had a chance
- 27:29Speaker 4: to hold the Senate and we'd lose 50 House seats.
- 27:31Speaker 4: You know, now it looks like we have a chance
- 27:33Speaker 4: to hold the House or at least keep those gains
- 27:35Speaker 4: very minimal so we can win it back in 24.
- 27:38Speaker 4: And the Senate looks quite plausible. And a lot of
- 27:41Speaker 4: these governor's races look positive. That being said, it's going
- 27:43Speaker 4: to be super close. We shouldn't kid ourselves. Here's the
- 27:45Speaker 4: thing about the polar coaster, John. When one party is
- 27:47Speaker 4: doing well in polls, and that's tended to be us
- 27:50Speaker 4: the last six years, but it's been Republicans in other cycles,
- 27:54Speaker 4: you're at your ceiling in polls. You're like 49, 48,
- 27:56Speaker 4: and the other opponent's at 44. Well, they're going to
- 28:00Speaker 4: get most of the vote back. So what matters is
- 28:03Speaker 4: 100% of the vote and how does that get allocated.
- 28:05Speaker 4: And my sense is Republicans are going to gain from
- 28:07Speaker 4: that dynamic. But right now in most states, Particularly in
- 28:10Speaker 4: the Senate, I'd rather be us than them. And that's
- 28:11Speaker 4: a pretty remarkable thing to say.
- 28:13Speaker 3: So David, I listened to the last three episodes of
- 28:16Speaker 3: Campaign HQ. You went deep on Pennsylvania and Nevada and Georgia.
- 28:20Speaker 3: The weirdest race, if we can start there, I'd say
- 28:23Speaker 3: is Pennsylvania because you've got Fetterman and Shapiro running like
- 28:28Speaker 3: pretty traditional, not traditional campaigns. Like Fetterman is not a
- 28:30Speaker 3: traditional candidate. They're running a really smart digital campaign, but
- 28:34Speaker 3: they're running campaigns. They're running TV ads. They're doing interviews
- 28:37Speaker 3: and stuff. You have Dr. Oz, who's a weirdo, but
- 28:39Speaker 3: he's running a recognizable race and he's going to spend
- 28:41Speaker 3: money and he's going to talk to the press. And
- 28:43Speaker 3: then you have Doug Mastriano, the Republican candidate for governor,
- 28:46Speaker 3: who's just on Mars, right? The guy is not running
- 28:48Speaker 3: TV ads. He doesn't have any money. He doesn't talk
- 28:51Speaker 3: to mainstream media sources. And it's like, he's just running
- 28:54Speaker 3: kind of like a QAnon adjacent kind of weird strategy.
- 28:58Speaker 3: You're someone who used to work on campaigns. You ran
- 29:00Speaker 3: a million campaigns. How do you figure out how to
- 29:03Speaker 3: run against that? Like this guy's running an off the
- 29:05Speaker 3: grid strategy. You're trying to run traditional strategy? How do
- 29:09Speaker 3: they figure this out?
- 29:11Speaker 4: Well, I think their digital and their social has been
- 29:14Speaker 4: pretty smart and modern and not super traditional. I mean,
- 29:18Speaker 4: so I think in that way, they've really run, I think,
- 29:20Speaker 4: a campaign a lot of Democrats can learn from. Fetterman's
- 29:24Speaker 4: now getting back out on the trail. So that's the
- 29:25Speaker 4: thing about that campaign. Your candidate was sidelined for a
- 29:27Speaker 4: long time. So it's super challenging. So listen, what's an election?
- 29:32Speaker 4: Election's about candidates, and it's about messages, and it's about timing.
- 29:35Speaker 4: It's about so many things, as you guys know. But
- 29:37Speaker 4: it's also about math. How many votes do I need
- 29:39Speaker 4: to win? Pennsylvania is a perfect example of what is
- 29:43Speaker 4: it required to win. A Democrat, by definition, has to
- 29:46Speaker 4: win the center of the electorate because there's more conservatives
- 29:48Speaker 4: than liberals in Pennsylvania. And you've got to make sure
- 29:51Speaker 4: you either win the turnout game or don't get followed.
- 29:54Speaker 4: So I think Fetterman and Shapiro both in different ways
- 29:57Speaker 4: are making appeals to the true swing voters that live
- 29:59Speaker 4: outside of Pittsburgh, in those suburbs outside of Philadelphia, in
- 30:04Speaker 4: the center part of the state on Harrisburg, but also
- 30:06Speaker 4: trying to motivate the base. So I think those two
- 30:09Speaker 4: races may diverge a little bit. I mean, again, we
- 30:11Speaker 4: can't believe a poll, but it does look like Shapiro
- 30:14Speaker 4: may win that race. You're not going to Pennsylvania by
- 30:17Speaker 4: 20 points, but he may win it by a margin.
- 30:19Speaker 4: And the center race is likely to be a little
- 30:21Speaker 4: bit more And so I think if you're the Fetterman campaign,
- 30:24Speaker 4: you have to understand who are those voters, who actually
- 30:27Speaker 4: is considering Shapiro and Oz, and what's the best way
- 30:30Speaker 4: to tear them off Oz. That is probably the campaign
- 30:33Speaker 4: within the campaign that's most important. And then, of course,
- 30:36Speaker 4: are you going to get the turnout of Philadelphia? And
- 30:37Speaker 4: that affects both Shapiro and Fetterman. The one thing I'm
- 30:40Speaker 4: sure that's going to happen again is the Republicans are
- 30:42Speaker 4: coming out. They're going to come out like zombies. They're
- 30:47Speaker 4: coming out like a horde we should all be very
- 30:49Speaker 4: afraid of. So that's the thing you just bake into
- 30:51Speaker 4: the cake. We saw it in 16. We saw it
- 30:54Speaker 4: in 18, despite what happened in the House. They had
- 30:56Speaker 4: really good turnout in a lot of places, and we
- 30:57Speaker 4: certainly saw it in 20. They're coming out in big,
- 31:00Speaker 4: big numbers. And so that's the question. And if you're
- 31:03Speaker 4: a Fetterman, the thing they're very focused on trying to
- 31:07Speaker 4: eat into some of these exurban and rural margins. Biden
- 31:10Speaker 4: did a good job of that. So, you know, if
- 31:11Speaker 4: you can lose these these outlying counties by 65-35 rather
- 31:16Speaker 4: than 75-25, That all adds up in a close race.
- 31:21Speaker 4: So I think they're running a smart race. But I
- 31:23Speaker 4: do think that those two races, of all the states
- 31:25Speaker 4: you look around the country that are battleground states, that
- 31:28Speaker 4: one has the potential for the most divergence. When I
- 31:30Speaker 4: say most divergence, we're talking about 10 points. But is
- 31:33Speaker 4: it possible that those races are not within two or
- 31:36Speaker 4: three points of each other? It's possible.
- 31:39Speaker 2: Fetterman is a uniquely good candidate.
- 31:41Speaker 3: Dr.
- 31:42Speaker 2: Oz seems to be a uniquely bad candidate. And yet
- 31:44Speaker 2: I think everybody has been watching that race and saying, wow,
- 31:46Speaker 2: Fetterman is, the Fetterman campaign seems to be having a
- 31:48Speaker 2: lot of fun. They're doing incredible things online. And what
- 31:52Speaker 2: aspects of what they've been doing to just make their
- 31:56Speaker 2: campaign seem like a fun one to be a part of,
- 31:58Speaker 2: do you think other Democrats could be replicating, even if
- 32:01Speaker 2: they're not going up against someone as conducive to mockery
- 32:06Speaker 2: as Oz?
- 32:08Speaker 4: Well, John, I mean, You do have to be authentic
- 32:11Speaker 4: to your candidate and campaign. I mean, so that's a
- 32:13Speaker 4: lesson we've all learned, which is you just can't plug
- 32:16Speaker 4: and play. So Fetterman seems to be someone, this kind
- 32:19Speaker 4: of campaign suits him. But I think one, they're not,
- 32:24Speaker 4: they don't focus group and test everything they do. They
- 32:27Speaker 4: just go with their gut. And what I love is
- 32:29Speaker 4: it's probably a bunch of people, 22, 23, 24 saying,
- 32:32Speaker 4: I think this is a good idea. And there's not
- 32:35Speaker 4: a lot of friction to get that out in the ether.
- 32:37Speaker 4: So I love that. So I think more campaigns have
- 32:39Speaker 4: to be, more comfortable with throwing an errant pass every
- 32:43Speaker 4: once in a while. And I think to really be
- 32:46Speaker 4: tough on your opponent. I mean, they've really gone at Dr.
- 32:49Speaker 4: Oz's character, I think, in a really, really strong way.
- 32:51Speaker 4: And I think they understand elections. I wish elections were
- 32:54Speaker 4: about policy papers and distinctions on tax rates and how
- 32:57Speaker 4: many people get health care and don't. That's not what
- 32:59Speaker 4: politics is today. It's a performance, unfortunately. And I think
- 33:04Speaker 4: they get that. Now, of course, that's got to be
- 33:05Speaker 4: undergirded by values and who you're fighting for and your
- 33:08Speaker 4: biography and your story. But I think they understand that
- 33:10Speaker 4: it's a performance and you've got to go out there
- 33:13Speaker 4: every day and put your opponent on the defensive and
- 33:14Speaker 4: have some fun. So again, I wish politics wasn't in
- 33:18Speaker 4: that state in the year 2022, but it is. That's
- 33:21Speaker 4: why when we think about who's going to run for
- 33:22Speaker 4: president in 24 or 28, like let's forget the resume
- 33:25Speaker 4: or the paper. In a way, Obama changed that. Trump
- 33:28Speaker 4: changed that. I'm still naive enough to think it should
- 33:31Speaker 4: matter that someone should be a good president, but you
- 33:33Speaker 4: don't have to have a long resume. Like when you
- 33:35Speaker 4: think about all the Democratic candidates, people say, You know,
- 33:38Speaker 4: particularly if Biden doesn't run or even if he does
- 33:40Speaker 4: run in 28, we've got no bench. I mean, you
- 33:42Speaker 4: look at all the people running this time, Tim Ryan,
- 33:44Speaker 4: you know, Fetterman, Mark Kelly, Val Demings, you know, Stacey Abrams,
- 33:49Speaker 4: you know, Beasley. All these people could run for president,
- 33:51Speaker 4: whether they win their race or not. You know, and
- 33:54Speaker 4: so I think that we have to understand that this
- 33:56Speaker 4: is much more performance than policy. And that's just something
- 33:59Speaker 4: the Republicans have understood, I think, much more consistently than
- 34:02Speaker 4: we have.
- 34:03Speaker 1: What do you think's going on in Nevada? Because I
- 34:05Speaker 1: think of all of the Democratic incumbents who are up,
- 34:08Speaker 1: I sort of worry about Cortez Masto the most. And
- 34:11Speaker 1: I think she's a great candidate and running a good race.
- 34:14Speaker 1: But it seems like that, and I listened to your
- 34:15Speaker 1: interview with John Ralston, it sounds like that state is
- 34:20Speaker 1: sort of drifting away from Democrats a bit. You know,
- 34:23Speaker 1: Biden sort of didn't really overperform Hillary in that state,
- 34:28Speaker 1: unlike he did in almost every other state, competitive swing state.
- 34:32Speaker 1: And I'm just not quite sure what's going on there.
- 34:34Speaker 1: But what's your read on that race?
- 34:36Speaker 4: Well, first of all, John, as it relates to 24,
- 34:38Speaker 4: we should be very concerned about Nevada. As you know,
- 34:41Speaker 4: I know you probably spend a lot of time on
- 34:43Speaker 4: the websites where you piece together the 270 electoral votes.
- 34:46Speaker 4: And in a close election, Nevada plays a pretty critical
- 34:48Speaker 4: role in a lot of those scenarios. And so, yes,
- 34:51Speaker 4: Nevada is trending in a challenging. I mean, we see
- 34:55Speaker 4: Wisconsin's doing the same thing. Nevada is excited as we
- 34:58Speaker 4: get about Georgia and Arizona as we should. And hopefully
- 35:00Speaker 4: at some point, Texas will join that party. It's concerning.
- 35:04Speaker 4: So I think that and there's no doubt that. Listen,
- 35:07Speaker 4: I think the pandemic hurt the Nevada economy in an
- 35:10Speaker 4: outsized way. I think you are seeing some some Republican
- 35:15Speaker 4: gains with non-college voters of color there, particularly men, which
- 35:18Speaker 4: is concerning. I'd say this, though. Laxalt is a shit candidate.
- 35:22Speaker 4: He doesn't get the the. headlines that Walker gets or
- 35:26Speaker 4: Masters gets, but this guy's got a long history. He
- 35:29Speaker 4: ran for governor. He's not particularly popular. So I do
- 35:33Speaker 4: think Masto has benefited in that candidate. But yeah, I mean,
- 35:37Speaker 4: I think that she is someone, she's a first term candidate.
- 35:39Speaker 4: Nevada's got a lot of transient folks. It's not like
- 35:42Speaker 4: she's got a deep relationship with a lot of people
- 35:44Speaker 4: in that state. So I worry about that. I think
- 35:45Speaker 4: the governor's race is going to be close as well.
- 35:47Speaker 4: There's also three toss up house races in that relatively
- 35:51Speaker 4: small state. So So, yeah, it's going to require, you know,
- 35:55Speaker 4: holding your vote share with Hispanic voters and certainly with
- 36:00Speaker 4: black voters, getting the right kind of turnout. You've got
- 36:02Speaker 4: to blow out Clark County, not just the city, but
- 36:04Speaker 4: the suburbs. And then, you know, you've got Washoe County.
- 36:07Speaker 4: You remember when we ran back in 08 and 12,
- 36:09Speaker 4: that was one of the definitive swing counties in the country.
- 36:13Speaker 4: It's now moved more blue.
- 36:14Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 36:14Speaker 4: But that's been counteracted by some of those exurban rural
- 36:18Speaker 4: areas really, really turning deep, deep, deep red. So I
- 36:22Speaker 4: think both of those races are sheer toss-up. I think
- 36:25Speaker 4: Cortez Masto got lucky that Laxalt's her candidate and it
- 36:27Speaker 4: wasn't somebody who's kind of a fresher face. The other
- 36:30Speaker 4: thing about Nevada is, I mean, the Secretary of State
- 36:32Speaker 4: there is an election denier. You've got other down-ballot candidates
- 36:35Speaker 4: for Republicans statewide who are election deniers. I mean, they've
- 36:38Speaker 4: gone completely off the deep end there. And so it's
- 36:42Speaker 4: concerning because, I mean, I don't know. We don't know
- 36:45Speaker 4: who's going to, you know, is it Biden-Trump? Are there
- 36:47Speaker 4: other match-ups in 24? But hard to believe Nevada won't
- 36:49Speaker 4: be close. And so if we have that Secretary of
- 36:53Speaker 4: State on the Republican side presiding over that election, it
- 36:55Speaker 4: gets even scarier.
- 36:58Speaker 3: It's been interesting seeing the different strategies evolve in the
- 37:02Speaker 3: major races in Georgia. Stacey Abrams has really embraced Biden.
- 37:06Speaker 3: I think it's a little more of a nationalized race.
- 37:09Speaker 3: She seems a little more comfortable sounding partisan. Senator Warnock
- 37:13Speaker 3: is not attacking Biden, but he's not clinging to him.
- 37:16Speaker 3: He's emphasizing working with anyone, going anywhere, that kind of message.
- 37:20Speaker 3: Do you think that those strategy differences are born of necessity,
- 37:24Speaker 3: given how they've been maybe defined in the states differently?
- 37:29Speaker 3: Or are these differences in approach? What did you take
- 37:31Speaker 3: away from that?
- 37:34Speaker 4: Well, listen, some of your listeners will think this is defeatist.
- 37:37Speaker 4: But if you're a federal statewide candidate in a southern state,
- 37:41Speaker 4: certainly this is true in any battleground state, you have
- 37:44Speaker 4: to be a little more careful. And again, I think
- 37:47Speaker 4: we don't live in a a West Wing episode where
- 37:50Speaker 4: you can say the most liberal thing and voters genuflect
- 37:53Speaker 4: and you win. This is still a really, really tough country.
- 37:57Speaker 4: The Senate is stacked against us. The Electoral College is
- 37:59Speaker 4: stacked against us. So again, as you guys remember, in
- 38:03Speaker 4: presidential races, I mean, we win the popular vote with
- 38:07Speaker 4: great regularity, but to win the Electoral College, you have
- 38:09Speaker 4: to win the middle and you have to do well
- 38:12Speaker 4: enough on the base. And so I think if you're
- 38:15Speaker 4: someone like Warnock, to appeal to those voters that got
- 38:18Speaker 4: you there in the first place, of course, you're not
- 38:20Speaker 4: going to trim your sails on the things you believe about,
- 38:22Speaker 4: but you've got to talk about, I've worked with Republicans
- 38:24Speaker 4: and you're not going to be the same flamethrower. So
- 38:26Speaker 4: I think it is. I think with Abrams, the challenge is,
- 38:29Speaker 4: and she's running a great race, obviously, and she's a
- 38:30Speaker 4: hero to all of us, is Kemp is benefiting from
- 38:33Speaker 4: the fact that Trump attacked him. There's just no question
- 38:35Speaker 4: about that. I mean, Raffensperger may walk to, you know,
- 38:39Speaker 4: I mean, we have a great secretary of state candidate
- 38:42Speaker 4: running against him too, but clearly he's benefited from this.
- 38:44Speaker 4: There's a lesson there, by the way. I don't think
- 38:46Speaker 4: many Republicans will take it. But if you stand up
- 38:49Speaker 4: to this guy just a little bit and somehow you
- 38:51Speaker 4: can survive your primary, the general electorate will reward you.
- 38:53Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 38:54Speaker 1: We've been talking about how these Republican candidates are shit,
- 38:59Speaker 1: as you said, and have given Democrats sort of a
- 39:01Speaker 1: target rich environment. If you were running a Democratic campaign
- 39:04Speaker 1: right now, we've got six weeks to go. What would
- 39:06Speaker 1: you be having your candidate talk about every day? What
- 39:08Speaker 1: would most of your ads be about? What would you
- 39:10Speaker 1: zero in on?
- 39:12Speaker 4: Well, John, I you know, that all depends on who
- 39:14Speaker 4: you're running against and where the polls are and kind
- 39:16Speaker 4: of what what progress you're making against your vote call
- 39:18Speaker 4: or not. But I think campaigns have always had to
- 39:21Speaker 4: be a balance between. And again, if you're an incumbent,
- 39:24Speaker 4: you definitely need to make this a referendum, not a choice.
- 39:27Speaker 4: But no matter who you are, open seat challenge. incumbent,
- 39:31Speaker 4: there's got to be a blend of here's what I'll do.
- 39:33Speaker 4: Here's who I am. Here's who I'm fighting for. And again,
- 39:35Speaker 4: policy secondary to the values, the policy that supports that.
- 39:39Speaker 4: You always did a great job, all you guys, in
- 39:40Speaker 4: all your communication and understanding that when you were writing
- 39:45Speaker 4: releases and speeches. You've got to do both. There's got
- 39:49Speaker 4: to be positive out there, there's got to be comparative,
- 39:51Speaker 4: and there's got to be rip-roaring negative. You just got
- 39:54Speaker 4: to paint the picture of what will happen if this
- 39:57Speaker 4: person gets elected specifically and then generally their party takes control.
- 40:01Speaker 4: Democracy is probably over. Women are going to lose even
- 40:05Speaker 4: more healthcare rights. They'll try and ban abortion on the
- 40:09Speaker 4: federal level. They'll cut taxes for the wealthy even as
- 40:12Speaker 4: we're losing jobs in what looks like to be a recession.
- 40:15Speaker 4: You got to paint the picture. And none of that
- 40:17Speaker 4: is gilding the lily because the evidence is there. But again,
- 40:21Speaker 4: if you're managing a campaign, there's dials. How do I
- 40:26Speaker 4: get to the number of votes I need to get to?
- 40:27Speaker 4: And a lot of that's geographic breakdowns, demographic breakdowns, but
- 40:32Speaker 4: it's a blend of making sure you're winning enough true
- 40:35Speaker 4: swing voters and they still exist and making sure every
- 40:39Speaker 4: race I ran, you tried to overestimate your opponent. Like
- 40:42Speaker 4: they're going to turn out more voters than we think.
- 40:45Speaker 4: So if we think, If our model says they're going
- 40:47Speaker 4: to have 100 voters turn out, let's assume they turn
- 40:50Speaker 4: out 110. Can we beat that? So that's the challenging thing. Now,
- 40:54Speaker 4: we have seen candidates throughout history in our party be
- 40:57Speaker 4: able to have the same message that can both motivate
- 41:01Speaker 4: and persuade swing voters and excite the base. And so
- 41:05Speaker 4: I think what I would do in the close of
- 41:07Speaker 4: a campaign is just all that matters is my vote goal.
- 41:11Speaker 4: And maybe you do a little more persuasion because you're
- 41:13Speaker 4: feeling better out the base, or maybe not. Or maybe
- 41:15Speaker 4: it's 50-50. But also to put your opponent on the defensive.
- 41:20Speaker 4: A lot of people decide to vote, to volunteer at
- 41:23Speaker 4: the end. A lot of people haven't even checked into
- 41:25Speaker 4: these elections, even though ballots are starting to go off.
- 41:28Speaker 4: So timing's important. So you want to make sure you've
- 41:30Speaker 4: left some good moments here for the end so you
- 41:33Speaker 4: can close in a really, really strong way. I mean,
- 41:35Speaker 4: I think that's one of the challenges. If you remember
- 41:37Speaker 4: back in 16, the last debate ended so early in
- 41:40Speaker 4: that presidential race. Hillary had like three weeks to And,
- 41:44Speaker 4: you know, I think that was a long way to
- 41:46Speaker 4: the finish line.
- 41:47Speaker 2: Yeah, plus you had James Comey jumping out of a
- 41:49Speaker 2: trash can.
- 41:49Speaker 3: Jimmy C.
- 41:51Speaker 2: So, you know, you talked about the environment being tough.
- 41:54Speaker 2: And yet we've had a few places where there are
- 41:56Speaker 2: these glimmers of hope. You had New York 19. You
- 41:58Speaker 2: had that vote in Kansas around abortion access. What lessons
- 42:02Speaker 2: do you draw from those surprising wins on abortion and
- 42:07Speaker 2: how it should play? And what lessons don't you draw
- 42:09Speaker 2: from it?
- 42:11Speaker 4: Well, listen, those are actual elections, not polls. So I
- 42:14Speaker 4: think we should all pay a lot of attention to him. And,
- 42:19Speaker 4: you know, that should make us feel optimistic. So here,
- 42:21Speaker 4: the Kansas election was only about abortion. So lesson one is,
- 42:26Speaker 4: to the extent your race can be about abortion more
- 42:28Speaker 4: than anything else, that's a good thing. So I would
- 42:31Speaker 4: keep that front and center with great ferocity. And turnout
- 42:38Speaker 4: was pretty strong. So I think that, you know, it
- 42:42Speaker 4: doesn't mean you at all rest on your laurels, but
- 42:45Speaker 4: as you're thinking about what kind of turnout you can get,
- 42:47Speaker 4: whether that's a House race or a Senate race or
- 42:49Speaker 4: a governor's race, I think you should be looking at
- 42:52Speaker 4: the outer edge of what's possible. So, you know, but
- 42:57Speaker 4: not every race is, no race is only about abortion.
- 43:00Speaker 4: But listen, if you're running for the Senate, every state
- 43:03Speaker 4: that has a competitive Senate race is at least two-thirds pro-choice.
- 43:07Speaker 4: Every state, no matter what, like Blake Masters is erasing
- 43:10Speaker 4: his fucking, you know, stuff on his website. Who cares?
- 43:13Speaker 4: Like this was his position. And if he gets elected,
- 43:16Speaker 4: you know, the first bill he's going to vote on
- 43:18Speaker 4: is to ban abortion federally. And that's the other thing.
- 43:21Speaker 4: This law in Arizona that just got greenlit.
- 43:23Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 43:23Speaker 4: That could make the difference in governor's race, secretary of
- 43:27Speaker 4: state race and center race because it's real.
- 43:29Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 43:29Speaker 2: Okay.
- 43:30Speaker 4: So I think that's the question for you.
- 43:33Speaker 3: What's your advice to all these campaign managers out there
- 43:35Speaker 3: who are trying to run races? They believe everything you're
- 43:38Speaker 3: saying right now. But the last three weeks of the election,
- 43:41Speaker 3: we have another caravan, right, or another DeSantis, you know,
- 43:45Speaker 3: sort of like immigration specific stunt. And they try to
- 43:48Speaker 3: change the message to the border and crime. Like, what
- 43:52Speaker 3: would you do or what would you advise people to
- 43:53Speaker 3: do when that happens for how to manage those closing weeks?
- 43:58Speaker 4: Well, first of all, not to listen to people my generation,
- 44:00Speaker 4: because we're like out of touch with how you communicate today.
- 44:03Speaker 4: That would be my first example.
- 44:05Speaker 2: But I'd say this.
- 44:05Speaker 4: So history is important here. I think our party, for
- 44:10Speaker 4: the most part in the media, thinks Republicans are geniuses. OK,
- 44:13Speaker 4: let's remember the caravan did not work. That was 2018.
- 44:16Speaker 4: What was 2020? There's going to be MS-13 people camping
- 44:19Speaker 4: out in your backyard, raping your family members. That didn't
- 44:23Speaker 4: work either. So I think we should be careful about
- 44:26Speaker 4: assigning too much... value to their stunts. So I would
- 44:30Speaker 4: just execute your game plan. And there's a lot of
- 44:33Speaker 4: things that you can crucify every Republican candidate on. And
- 44:38Speaker 4: so keep that front and center. And again, all these
- 44:40Speaker 4: campaigns have plenty of money. So you can communicate the
- 44:43Speaker 4: message you want to communicate to who you want to
- 44:45Speaker 4: communicate it to. Very different than when you're in office,
- 44:48Speaker 4: when you're much more at the whims of the press story.
- 44:52Speaker 4: So I think you've got your game plan. It's kind
- 44:55Speaker 4: of like a football coach who comes in with their
- 44:56Speaker 4: first 20 plays. You know what you're going to do
- 44:58Speaker 4: those last three or four weeks. And it just doesn't
- 45:01Speaker 4: mean that you can't react to an outside event. But
- 45:03Speaker 4: for the most part, particularly as it relates to your
- 45:05Speaker 4: advertising and your content and what you're driving on the ground,
- 45:08Speaker 4: you just got to stay focused on that. So there'll
- 45:10Speaker 4: be something. We know that. But again, we think that
- 45:13Speaker 4: all this stuff has worked so well in the past.
- 45:16Speaker 4: What was 2012? Remember, Obama's going to cut Medicare. And
- 45:20Speaker 4: they get all these plaudits from pundits about how brilliant
- 45:22Speaker 4: they are putting Democrats on the defensive. And generally, it
- 45:26Speaker 4: hasn't worked.
- 45:27Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah.
- 45:29Speaker 1: Don't freak out. Stick to the game plan.
- 45:30Speaker 3: It's good advice.
- 45:32Speaker 1: David Plouffe, thank you so much for joining us and
- 45:35Speaker 1: for your wisdom. And everyone go check out Campaign HQ.
- 45:37Speaker 1: It's a fantastic podcast.
- 45:39Speaker 2: After you're done with a few crooked pots.
- 45:43Speaker 4: Yeah, you got to get through that whole library.
- 45:45Speaker 2: You know, that's like a game.
- 45:47Speaker 4: So once you're done with Monday, then you can download
- 45:51Speaker 4: stuff on Tuesday, yes.
- 45:52Speaker 1: Thanks, Plouffe.
- 45:53Speaker 2: Great to be with you guys.
- 45:53Speaker 1: All right, talk to you soon. Okay, before we go,
- 46:07Speaker 1: one of our intrepid producers, Olivia Martinez, is here in
- 46:10Speaker 1: studio to host a new game the team came up
- 46:13Speaker 1: with today. Olivia, take it away.
- 46:15Speaker 2: What's up?
- 46:16Speaker 7: I'm Olivia, a producer here at Crooked, and I'm the
- 46:19Speaker 7: deputy chief make-the-guys-play-games-on-the-show officer here on Pots of America.
- 46:25Speaker 3: Who's the chief?
- 46:26Speaker 7: Hallie Kiefer. She's hilarious.
- 46:27Speaker 2: Shout out to Hallie.
- 46:29Speaker 7: Today I'm here to host a new game we've developed
- 46:31Speaker 7: called Q-Tier. Shout out to Elijah for this awesome idea.
- 46:34Speaker 7: Here's how it works. I will give you an unhinged
- 46:37Speaker 7: conservative quote, and you tell me what tier that quote
- 46:40Speaker 7: belongs on. Here are the tiers, which we also have
- 46:43Speaker 7: up on the screen in studio for you. All right,
- 46:46Speaker 7: bottom tier. In our D tier, we have borderline normal.
- 46:50Speaker 7: Going up a level in unhingedness is C tier, your
- 46:54Speaker 7: uncle's Facebook page. B tier is Fox News Addict. A
- 46:58Speaker 7: tier is InfoWars Supplement Users. And finally, our God tier,
- 47:02Speaker 7: the goat tier. The Q tier.
- 47:04Speaker 4: Nice. All right.
- 47:06Speaker 7: But here's the thing. In order for us to move on,
- 47:08Speaker 7: you have to agree on where every single one of
- 47:10Speaker 7: these quotes should go.
- 47:11Speaker 1: Oh, all three?
- 47:11Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 47:12Speaker 7: We're trying to get consensus.
- 47:13Speaker 3: This is like an early 2000s Homeland Security threat level vibe.
- 47:17Speaker 2: Sure.
- 47:17Speaker 3: I like it.
- 47:17Speaker 7: That's what I'm going for.
- 47:18Speaker 2: Great.
- 47:19Speaker 7: And we're ranking the quotes, not the person. Just this
- 47:24Speaker 7: one specific incident from each person.
- 47:26Speaker 1: So try to just not think about the person in
- 47:28Speaker 1: your rankings.
- 47:29Speaker 3: Just a snapshot.
- 47:29Speaker 2: Hate the sin, love the sinner.
- 47:30Speaker 3: Sure.
- 47:31Speaker 2: All right.
- 47:32Speaker 4: Ready?
- 47:32Speaker 7: You ready to play?
- 47:33Speaker 4: Yeah. Yeah.
- 47:34Speaker 7: On Friday, Tudor Dixon made fun of the failed kidnapping
- 47:37Speaker 7: attempt against her opponent, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Here is
- 47:41Speaker 7: a clip.
- 47:42Speaker 8: The sad thing is that Gretchen will tie your hands,
- 47:44Speaker 8: put a gun to your head, and ask if you're
- 47:46Speaker 8: ready to talk. For someone so worried about being kidnapped,
- 47:50Speaker 8: Gretchen Whitmer sure is good at taking business hostage and holding.
- 47:54Speaker 2: It for ransom. I mean, it's like somebody took a
- 48:00Speaker 2: Chuck Schumer-style soundbite, you know, and put it through the
- 48:02Speaker 2: sociopath machine.
- 48:03Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 48:04Speaker 3: Yeah, because it's really, because it's pithy. Well, it's not pithy.
- 48:07Speaker 3: It's cheesy.
- 48:08Speaker 2: It's cheesy.
- 48:08Speaker 1: It's cheesy, but also evil.
- 48:10Speaker 2: Yes, it's evil. It's more evil than like, you're getting
- 48:14Speaker 2: squeezed at the pump. Well, I'm going to squeeze the
- 48:16Speaker 2: government right back for you. But it's about a kidnapping.
- 48:18Speaker 1: But it's about a kidnapping. I feel like that's Fox
- 48:22Speaker 1: News addict.
- 48:22Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree.
- 48:23Speaker 2: I think it's B tier.
- 48:23Speaker 1: I would say B tier.
- 48:24Speaker 3: Okay, yeah. Does anyone have a.
- 48:25Speaker 2: I would have said A or B.
- 48:27Speaker 3: I think it's B.
- 48:27Speaker 1: It's so early in the game.
- 48:29Speaker 2: I think it's B. I think it's B.
- 48:31Speaker 1: I don't want any Q inflation.
- 48:33Speaker 2: She doesn't actually call for a kidnapping.
- 48:34Speaker 3: But the name Tudor Dixon, it does a lot for me.
- 48:36Speaker 2: It's tough.
- 48:37Speaker 3: It's tough.
- 48:38Speaker 7: That alone could be its own thing.
- 48:39Speaker 2: It's a B. It's a B.
- 48:40Speaker 3: All right.
- 48:41Speaker 7: Great job on consensus.
- 48:43Speaker 3: Thanks, Olivia.
- 48:44Speaker 2: All right.
- 48:44Speaker 3: Don't patronize us.
- 48:47Speaker 7: Number two, Twitter baddie Maggie Haberman has a new Trump
- 48:51Speaker 7: book coming out called Confidence Man. That's another name we
- 48:55Speaker 7: can talk about.
- 48:56Speaker 2: How dare Maggie report what she hears. Stop doing that.
- 49:01Speaker 7: She previewed the book in The Atlantic today by recounting
- 49:04Speaker 7: a conversation she had with Trump about January 6th. The
- 49:07Speaker 7: former president apparently told Mike Pence, Mike, you have a
- 49:10Speaker 7: chance to be Thomas Jefferson or you can be Mike Pence.
- 49:13Speaker 7: He chose to be Mike Pence.
- 49:14Speaker 3: That's so funny.
- 49:15Speaker 7: How Q is it to tell Mike Pence to throw
- 49:17Speaker 7: out the Constitution on the election of 1800?
- 49:19Speaker 2: Hmm. Hard one.
- 49:23Speaker 1: Well, you know, it's... God, has everything been normalized? Much
- 49:26Speaker 1: like the resistance feared?
- 49:27Speaker 3: It's got to be an A tier.
- 49:28Speaker 2: Well....
- 49:31Speaker 1: But it's sort of like... It's... It's like you could
- 49:34Speaker 1: have been Thomas Jefferson.
- 49:36Speaker 3: Evil interpretations of the Constitution have been used by others
- 49:39Speaker 3: to great effect.
- 49:40Speaker 8: Wow.
- 49:41Speaker 1: Okay.
- 49:41Speaker 2: You lost me. Tommy Beschloss over here. All right, fine.
- 49:44Speaker 2: I'm okay with A. I guess I'm okay with A.
- 49:46Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't feel great about it.
- 49:47Speaker 2: I don't love it, but it's fine. A.
- 49:49Speaker 7: Can I ask how many of you know what happened
- 49:50Speaker 7: in the collection of 1800?
- 49:51Speaker 2: We do.
- 49:51Speaker 1: It's pretty fuzzy. Pretty fuzzy.
- 49:54Speaker 3: You let us know if you don't.
- 49:55Speaker 1: Pretty fuzzy. I'm just going to be honest.
- 49:56Speaker 2: I know everything about it, but I don't really want
- 49:58Speaker 2: to talk about it right now. Let's keep going.
- 49:59Speaker 3: Okay, cool.
- 50:00Speaker 7: I actually am just wondering which one of you was
- 50:02Speaker 7: the biggest history buff. I thought it would be Tommy.
- 50:05Speaker 4: No.
- 50:05Speaker 2: No?
- 50:05Speaker 3: No. Strike out. All right. Do you know?
- 50:09Speaker 2: I don't.
- 50:09Speaker 3: Oh, I thought you were going to tell us.
- 50:11Speaker 7: No, sorry. Number three.
- 50:14Speaker 1: So much for informing people.
- 50:16Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 50:17Speaker 7: Ohio House candidate J.R. Majewski recently got caught lying about
- 50:21Speaker 7: his military service.
- 50:22Speaker 3: It's a no-no.
- 50:23Speaker 7: He ran a Facebook ad identifying as a combat veteran
- 50:26Speaker 7: and published a biography stating that his squadron was one
- 50:28Speaker 7: of the first on the ground in Afghanistan after 9-11.
- 50:31Speaker 2: Can I just say, I'm sorry to interrupt, but whenever
- 50:33Speaker 2: I hear his name, Majewski, I just think that that's
- 50:35Speaker 2: a funny thing to say to a rabbi when you
- 50:37Speaker 2: ask for a beer. Bruski Majewski.
- 50:40Speaker 7: Put it on a shirt.
- 50:42Speaker 2: It's what I think every time. Elijah is so small
- 50:47Speaker 2: on the screen, but I can see his little head shaking.
- 50:49Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, definitely shaking.
- 50:51Speaker 2: Bruski Majewski.
- 50:53Speaker 7: In reality, Majewski was stationed in an airbase in Japan
- 50:58Speaker 7: and then deployed to Qatar to load and unload planes.
- 51:01Speaker 7: How QAnon is it to inflate your military credentials?
- 51:05Speaker 3: The reason I think this is borderline normal is because
- 51:07Speaker 3: he got busted and the Republican campaign committees immediately pulled support.
- 51:12Speaker 1: Let me tell you, Majewski was at Donald Trump rally
- 51:15Speaker 1: a couple weeks ago saying a whole bunch of things
- 51:17Speaker 1: that would have got him into Q territory. But the
- 51:19Speaker 1: inflating the military record.
- 51:21Speaker 3: Is not one of them.
- 51:21Speaker 2: Some of our favorite Democrats have done it, too.
- 51:23Speaker 1: As I said, we ran John Takiri.
- 51:25Speaker 7: Yeah, Majewski also stormed the Capitol. He is a big
- 51:28Speaker 7: fan of QAnon memes, and he had a giant Trump
- 51:31Speaker 7: mural on his lawn.
- 51:33Speaker 2: He looks like what would happen if a F-150 that
- 51:35Speaker 2: had never been scratched was a person.
- 51:38Speaker 3: Yeah, that's how he got famous, Olivia, right? He had
- 51:40Speaker 3: the biggest Trump sign ever that he carved into his, like,
- 51:43Speaker 3: multi-acre lawn.
- 51:44Speaker 7: So here's my question. I had a feeling you all
- 51:47Speaker 7: would defend Majewski. So we're going to add a layer here.
- 51:49Speaker 3: Interesting framing.
- 51:50Speaker 7: How QAnon is it to defend someone lying about their
- 51:54Speaker 7: military service?
- 51:55Speaker 3: Wow.
- 51:56Speaker 1: Also borderline normal.
- 51:57Speaker 7: Borderline normal?
- 51:58Speaker 3: It's way too normal. That's like every day.
- 52:00Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 52:00Speaker 2: All right. You heard it here first.
- 52:03Speaker 1: By the way, I was kidding about John Kerry.
- 52:04Speaker 2: Yeah, you're terrible.
- 52:06Speaker 3: Both of you.
- 52:06Speaker 2: Wait, I actually, I don't remember. I thought he didn't.
- 52:09Speaker 2: Didn't we decide that he didn't? All right.
- 52:12Speaker 1: Next one.
- 52:13Speaker 7: During the Truth and Liberty Coalition conference this month, Representative
- 52:17Speaker 7: Lauren Boebert warned of the end times and called for
- 52:20Speaker 7: Christians to rise up. Here's a clip.
- 52:23Speaker 9: The end draw near. We know that we are in
- 52:27Speaker 9: the last of the last days. but it's not a
- 52:31Speaker 9: time to complain about it. It's not a time to
- 52:33Speaker 9: get upset about it. This is a time to know
- 52:36Speaker 9: that you were called to be a part of these
- 52:40Speaker 9: last days. You get to have a role in ushering
- 52:47Speaker 9: in the second coming of Jesus.
- 52:52Speaker 2: Oh, that's a full cue to me. That's a top
- 52:55Speaker 2: end times millennial, you know.
- 52:57Speaker 1: I disagree.
- 52:59Speaker 3: Springsteen yells rise up in a song and you guys
- 53:01Speaker 3: give him a Grammy, you know?
- 53:02Speaker 1: Oh, interesting.
- 53:03Speaker 2: Wow.
- 53:04Speaker 3: You libs.
- 53:05Speaker 7: Tommy's gone full Republican.
- 53:07Speaker 3: You libs, welcome us to the DNC.
- 53:08Speaker 2: Yeah, look at this guy. He's, yeah. Salt of the earth,
- 53:13Speaker 2: Tommy Vitor.
- 53:13Speaker 3: My city of ruin.
- 53:14Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 53:15Speaker 3: Okay. With these hands.
- 53:16Speaker 7: We got consensus here?
- 53:18Speaker 3: Sure, yeah. I'm on our team.
- 53:19Speaker 1: That's the cutest thing I've heard today.
- 53:21Speaker 2: All right.
- 53:21Speaker 3: That's super cute.
- 53:22Speaker 7: And the last one, Donald Trump re-truthed an image of
- 53:25Speaker 7: Jesus beckoning for you to follow him with the caption,
- 53:29Speaker 7: Jesus is the greatest, President Donald Trump is the second greatest.
- 53:33Speaker 7: How Q is it to call yourself God?
- 53:36Speaker 3: That Jesus graphic looks sort of inlodden to me.
- 53:39Speaker 7: He compared himself to Jesus.
- 53:40Speaker 1: He said second. It was very clear he said second.
- 53:43Speaker 2: Yeah. I think politicians comparing themselves... Politicians claiming that Jesus
- 53:49Speaker 2: is on their side is... Pretty normal.
- 53:54Speaker 1: But saying that you're the second greatest. God is the
- 53:56Speaker 1: greatest and you're the second greatest.
- 53:57Speaker 3: We've got to go up.
- 53:58Speaker 1: We've got to go up for sure.
- 54:00Speaker 2: I think it's Fox News addict. That's where I think
- 54:04Speaker 2: it goes.
- 54:04Speaker 3: Just sort of an outrageous statement that can only be
- 54:08Speaker 3: made okay by the conservative media infrastructure that defends everything
- 54:12Speaker 3: he does and says. Yeah. Is that their argument?
- 54:14Speaker 1: That's right.
- 54:14Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 54:15Speaker 1: That's right.
- 54:15Speaker 3: How about Brett Baer emailing the head of Fox News
- 54:18Speaker 3: and asking for them to pull back the Fox News
- 54:21Speaker 3: early election calls in Arizona? He's a straight shooter for you.
- 54:23Speaker 3: He's a straight shooter one, though.
- 54:25Speaker 2: I mean, in fairness to Brett Baer, they got a
- 54:27Speaker 2: little lucky on that call. It was a little early.
- 54:30Speaker 7: It was a little early.
- 54:31Speaker 2: It was a little early. I'm glad it worked out.
- 54:33Speaker 2: I'm glad it worked out.
- 54:34Speaker 3: In fairness to Brett Baer, put that on a t-shirt
- 54:37Speaker 3: on his tombstone.
- 54:37Speaker 1: Remember on Thursday when I defended Brett Kavanaugh?
- 54:40Speaker 2: Well.
- 54:41Speaker 1: We got another Brett defender on the pod today.
- 54:43Speaker 7: All right, on to the next one. Matt Gaetz offered
- 54:46Speaker 7: a preview of the agenda ahead, which you all just
- 54:50Speaker 7: talked about, saying, I'm going to play a critical role
- 54:53Speaker 7: as top member of the House Judiciary Committee, where we're
- 54:56Speaker 7: going to be driving a lot of oversight and potentially
- 54:59Speaker 7: even impeachments. How cute is it to promise to investigate
- 55:02Speaker 7: your political opponents for anything, everything, and nothing at all?
- 55:06Speaker 2: That's Fox News tier. That's a Fox News tier to me.
- 55:08Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 55:09Speaker 1: Might be Uncle's Facebook.
- 55:10Speaker 3: It's becoming borderline normal.
- 55:11Speaker 2: Yeah. I'm going to say I actually think that's right.
- 55:13Speaker 2: I go down. Go down. Uncle's Facebook. Uncle's Facebook.
- 55:16Speaker 7: Uncle's Facebook.
- 55:17Speaker 2: And Peach Biden is all over Uncle's Facebook.
- 55:19Speaker 3: All right.
- 55:20Speaker 7: And our last one in response to New York Attorney
- 55:24Speaker 7: General Letitia James announcing her investigation into Trump. He's been
- 55:30Speaker 7: truthing that she is a racist.
- 55:33Speaker 3: Oh, yeah.
- 55:34Speaker 1: Which is, again, something all over your uncle's Facebook.
- 55:36Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the most uncle's Facebook thing. Letitia James is
- 55:39Speaker 2: the real racist, is what Facebook exists to do. That's
- 55:42Speaker 2: basically what the metaverse is. It's a bunch of uncles saying, well,
- 55:47Speaker 2: if I can't say the N-word, why do you get
- 55:50Speaker 2: to say what you get to say?
- 55:51Speaker 1: That's it.
- 55:52Speaker 7: This is bringing out something in all of you.
- 55:54Speaker 3: Yeah, but they're doing it in Roblox or something? Is
- 55:55Speaker 3: that your point about the metaverse?
- 55:57Speaker 2: They're doing it in Minecraft.
- 55:58Speaker 3: How did you get the metaverse into this?
- 55:59Speaker 2: Because that's what they're in there doing. They're bottomless. The
- 56:03Speaker 2: fact that also in the metaverse, nobody has genitals is also,
- 56:06Speaker 2: I think, important to.
- 56:07Speaker 3: Keep in mind. Where the fuck are you hanging out on?
- 56:08Speaker 7: Yeah, how do you know that?
- 56:10Speaker 2: It's just, that's what he put out there. Those kind
- 56:11Speaker 2: of floating torsos on the metaverse.
- 56:14Speaker 1: That was your reaction, huh?
- 56:15Speaker 2: To what? To the metaverse? Well, it was just sort
- 56:18Speaker 2: of like, it was like, oh, you're not a person
- 56:19Speaker 2: in here. Where are the genitals?
- 56:22Speaker 1: Olivia, fantastic game.
- 56:24Speaker 2: Great job. Thank you.
- 56:26Speaker 1: Thank you to David Plouffe for joining us. Thank you
- 56:27Speaker 1: to Olivia and the team for their wonderful game, Q-Tier.
- 56:31Speaker 1: And we'll talk to you later.
- 56:33Speaker 2: Here's the thing, the reason I think they didn't put
- 56:34Speaker 2: genitals in the metaverse is because they were so afraid
- 56:39Speaker 2: of politics. They're like, we can't deal with gender in
- 56:41Speaker 2: the metaverse, so whatever.
- 56:43Speaker 1: It's just made up. They're just a conspiracy theory.
- 56:45Speaker 3: What is it we're referencing when you say these claims?
- 56:47Speaker 2: All the pictures on Mark Zuckerberg's video were just sort
- 56:50Speaker 2: of floating upper bodies.
- 56:52Speaker 1: Oh.
- 56:52Speaker 2: Because I think they don't want, they also don't want
- 56:54Speaker 2: people making funny images inside the metaverse, you know? So
- 56:57Speaker 2: there's no one that likes.
- 56:57Speaker 1: I think there'll be plenty of funny business inside the metaverse.
- 57:00Speaker 1: That's probably half the point. Yeah.
- 57:02Speaker 2: I don't understand the difference between the metaverse and just
- 57:04Speaker 2: Second Life. Remember when there was Second Life? And then
- 57:07Speaker 2: like John Edwards was like, I got a headquarters in
- 57:09Speaker 2: Second Life. Come visit me in here. I'm having an
- 57:11Speaker 2: affair in here too.
- 57:13Speaker 3: Somebody trashed his Second Life headquarters.
- 57:16Speaker 1: Is this still happening?
- 57:17Speaker 2: Yeah. Let's have some nice music under this.
- 57:19Speaker 1: I hope people aren't listening to this stuff.
- 57:21Speaker 2: I don't care.
- 57:26Speaker 1: Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. The executive
- 57:29Speaker 1: producer is Michael Martinez. Our senior producer is Andy Gardner Bernstein.
- 57:33Speaker 1: Our producers are Olivia Martinez and Haley Muse. It's mixed
- 57:36Speaker 1: and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Kyle Seglin and Charlotte Landis
- 57:40Speaker 1: sound engineer the show. Thanks to Tanya Sominator, Sandy Gerard,
- 57:43Speaker 1: Hallie Kiefer, Ari Schwartz, Andy Taft, and Justine Howe for
- 57:46Speaker 1: production support. And to our digital team, Elijah Cohn, Phoebe Bradford,
- 57:50Speaker 1: Milo Kim, and Amelia Montuth. Our episodes are uploaded as
- 57:54Speaker 1: videos at youtube.com slash crookedmedia.