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S8 EP462 - It's Prime Day!! · The Dawghouse Fantasy Football

• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Lord, I got to remember to plug a stupid cable
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: in to make this internet go faster.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Well, it is Thursday. It is week two for the NFL.
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: We have a good game on the Prime Channel this week.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Detroit going into Buffalo. So we're going to go over it.
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: I know a lot of people.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Are having issues with their waiver wires and stuff, people
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: getting injured. Jordan Mason went down. I had Jordan Mason
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: go down. Luckily, I had one spot where I could actually.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: Put him on IR still. He's on an A.J. Brown team,
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: so I am hurting quite a bit on that one.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: But it kind of is what it is. We're dealing
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: with the injuries. Any questions on that? I know I've
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: had questions.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: DMed to me. for multiple people, and we just kind
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: of get it through and do our thing. But I'm
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: going to fix this stupid fucking thing. There we go.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: I forgot what I was going to talk about. Oh,
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: I should probably go through the whole thing. Find me
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: on Twitter at DoghouseFF.
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: Where is it? Where is it? I forgot.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: It's like right there. DoghouseFF on Twitter. At RoyDog underscore
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: 13 over on YouTube and over on Instagram. At RoyDog13
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: over on the old Ticker Talk.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: And Dennis M. Roy over on Facebook slash Messenger. You
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: can find me all over in there. So, like I said, we're.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: Going to go over the Detroit and Buffalo game.
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: We're going to kind of just stick with that one.
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: Shorter episode today. Good. daughter has softball practice. Maybe, um,
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: it is raining.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know how many other people are dealing with
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: the rain, but up here in Wisconsin slash.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: Illinois, it is just, it won't stop.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: So, but, uh, let me get the old spreadsheet up
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: here and I'm going to remove my face And there
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: is our Thursday Night Primer. Detroit at Buffalo. Buffalo opened
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: as a 3.5 point favorite. 53.5 was the over-under. Currently,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is a 5.5 point favorite. 54.5 is the current over-under.
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: So both numbers have gone up.
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: A lot of people betting on the Buffalo side, which
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: means for this game, the advantage.
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: Is actually going back towards Detroit. Detroit. Hate to say it,
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: but in fact, I would probably tell you.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: That I would bet towards the Detroit side at plus 5.5. 54.5
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: is a little high for a Thursday night game, especially
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, both defenses are fucking horrible.
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: So it's not out of the realm of possibilities, but
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: From what I've been reading, the advantage is actually on
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: the under for this game. By a considerable margin.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: Let's go take a look at the game. We're going
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: to start on the Detroit side here. I'm actually going
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: to fix one thing that I've been looking at.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: So it's a little bit bigger. Hey. We're going to look.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: On here.
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: So what did we have last week?
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: You know, going against Buffalo, uh, CJ Stroud, uh, did okay. Uh,
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: David Montgomery, uh, not great yard, not a terrific yardage
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: day was good enough, but he was getting the touchdowns
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: in there.
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: Um, including in the passing.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Down work wide receiver wise, uh, the number one Nico, uh,
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: Nico on the outside, uh, was the main guy there.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Everything else was pretty much kind of spread it around
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: against the Buffalo Bills.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: Kicking-wise, Buffalo was 13th.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: They allowed seven points to the kicker, so Jake Bates
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: probably looking at probably looking at more extra points than
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: you are field goals in there, so I don't know
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: if we're going to stray towards the kicker on there. Now,
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: everything that I– the guys that I'll include in here
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: will all be on the site.
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: So, looking on there.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus, since it is a subscription site, I
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: am not going to let you see that. But let's
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: just start at tight end. Sam Laporta is going to
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: probably be a highly, you know, utilized guy here. against
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Cole Bishop at safety, and we're going to include the
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: linebacking core in there too. Actually questionable for this game.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: They believe he's going to play, but.
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: Laporta actually has a disadvantage not.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: Only against Cole Bishop, but with Bernard and Williams in
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: the linebacking core.
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: Slight edge to the Buffalo Bills on there, so.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: It's quite possible that we might look to kind of
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: fade Laporta as much as I'd want to utilize him.
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: Like I would utilize him as seasonal.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: But in terms of like DFS for showdown slate, I'm
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: probably going to pass on there.
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: You got a slight disadvantage.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: We'll start with wide receiver three because Tesla is going
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: to be, you know, looked.
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: At for value on there coming in. Let's see.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Tesla is 2,800 over on FanDuel, 3,800 over on DK.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: So he's going to probably be a pretty popular paydown option.
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: For the wide receiver position. But you look at the
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: number one in St.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: Brown lining up primarily in the slot going against DeAlford,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: has a decent advantage in there.
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: Going on there.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: And he's got the advantage across the board against all
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: three starting corners and will have the advantage against the
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: safeties as well. Amon Ross coming in, third highest priced
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: player on this slate, 11-6 over on FanDuel, 10-4 over
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: on DK. So looking at him, is it quite possible
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: to put him in the MVP spot?
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: Yes, but I don't know if I'm going to stray
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: over there.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: A lot of people are shitting on Jamo, Jamison Williams,
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: the wide receiver two for Detroit.
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: He did not have a good game.
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: My opinion on there, and we watched the game, is
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: that Jared Goff just had an absolute shit-tastic day. Granted,
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: Williams could have caught a couple of those balls that
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: were dropped, but they were really, really lame throws. He
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: missed out on two potential touchdowns in that game. He's
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: going to be lining up against Christian Benford, who had
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: a shit day against Nico Collins. So Jamo, 9,200 on FanDuel,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: 74 over on DK. So you're getting one hell of
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: a value over there and over on Yahoo, where he's
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: seventh highest priced player on that slate versus the sixth
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: highest priced player.
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: Over at FanDuel. So Jamison is actually somebody that I'm
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: circling in there. He's got a.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Good advantage against the whole secondary in there. Not quite
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: as good as Amon Ross St. Brown, but Williams is
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: more of the downfield threat for the Detroit Lions. So
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: he is definitely in play there. Golf, I don't hate
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: just because it was a complete shit game.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: For him, but.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: 10-6 over on FanDuel and 9,600 over on DK, good
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: for fourth across the board.
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm going.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: To necessarily utilize Goff in the passing game, or I
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: should say if he's really a necessity.
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: High-priced player in there. I have left out one guy
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: so far.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: And I think he's the real guy that we're supposed
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: to have. And that's uh mr jameer gibbs at running
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: back uh second highest price player over on fando so
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: you do get a discount over there uh at 12.4
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: uh he is the highest price player over on yahoo
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: and dk uh dk be priced at 12k so i
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: do like gibbs he got the heavy workload last week
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: or uh on sunday generally you know you would think
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: you know, going from Sunday to a Thursday game. We
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: kind of try to fade out those running backs. But
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: here's the problem. There's nobody else on the Detroit Lions
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: that's really going to get touches that are going to
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: be worth a shit.
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: Do you really see.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: Jacob Saylors doing anything out in the open field, let
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: alone are they going to give him the goal line
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: work over Gibbs, who proved last week that he is
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: just a complete stud?
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't think so. So Gibbs going
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: against the Buffalo Bills, 17th ranked DVOA rush defense, 26th
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: ranked versus the running back in the passing game.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: I think that was a huge spot for Jameer Gibbs
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: with Buffalo 27th in DVP rank, allowing 33.9 DraftKings points
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: per game. If we look at Go back to the
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: other spots. Jared Goff, the Buffalo Bills were the 23rd
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: ranked DVOA pass defense, 18th in points allowed to the
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: position at 18.5 on DK. As far as the wide
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: receivers are concerned, we're right in this bracket here. This
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: has changed from last year, so I am going through this. DVOA,
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: all right here in this big box with the tracking bar.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Wide receiver one, they are 24th in DVOA, 10th versus
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: the wide receiver two. And then 30th versus the wide
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: receiver three. So what you are seeing here, this is
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: based off of Nico Collins' production. This is based off
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: of Xavier Hutchinson for Houston. And then this is based
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: off of everybody else. So this was a cumulative effort
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: for Houston. Most of those guys were lining up in
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: the slot. This is primarily Jalen Knowles' work.
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: In the slot.
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: So going against the Alford. So this, you can kind
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: of go back up to wide receiver one for Amon
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: Ross since he lines up in the slot primarily. 24th DVOA,
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: you can pretty much put that for Jamison Williams in here.
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: I'm just being honest.
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: When you look at these numbers, you kind of have
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: to adjust based on how the previous teams have run
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: their offenses.
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: And it's never always just in a straight line, right?
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: Some of your wide receiver ones like Lydon McConkie line
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: up in the slot versus the outside at the X
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: or the Y. So you have to take that into
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: account on there, especially if you see once we get
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: tracking huge dips or.
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: Huge increases for like one week, right?
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: So DVP-wise, the Bills are 25th in overall points allowed
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: to the wide receiver position as a whole, 40 DK
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: points per game. Tight end, then we go here, 10th
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: in DVOA versus the tight end. So this is versus
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: Dalton Schultz. They actually had four tight ends on the
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: field at any given time. So they pretty much shut
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: down that position. LaPorta is better than every single tight
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: end that hit that field for Houston. So 15th in
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: DVP rank at 14.4 DK.
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: Points per game. So that was cumulative effort.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: And LaPorta is in play.
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: But for me, I don't know if I'm going to
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: go here.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: We'll go through Buffalo first. Um, before I kind of
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: ultimately decide, but I believe Jameson is really kind of
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: the guy that's going to get off of this Amon
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: Ross St.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: Brown. And you know, that gives is going to be
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: highly utilized within, uh, the showdown slate. Right.
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: So we're trying to gain an advantage somewhere in there
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: and it could be JMO. Um, and even at an
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: MVP spot. Now we're going to move to the Buffalo
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: Bills side here. I'm going to switch my defensive profile here.
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: All right, here we go.
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: So on the other side, you have Josh Allen, another
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: high-priced guy, a guy that we need to get in there.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: So we're going to have to find some value on
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: the slate if we want to have Gibbs and then
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: have Josh Allen on the other side. Okay.
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: Okay. 13-2 over on Fandle.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: He's the highest-priced player on Fandle and over on Yahoo.
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: On DK, he is 11.4K, good for second. Now, Detroit
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: was rated 13th in DVOA versus Tyler Shuck, but they
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: were 25th in points allowed to Shuck at 29.2 DK points.
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: So Tyler Shuck is not Josh Allen.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: Josh Allen is by far and away the best player
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: on this field this week.
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: And for this game.
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: So we're going to keep that definitely in mind with
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: not only the passing ability but the rushing ability. James Cook,
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: 10-2 over on FanDuel, 9.4 over on DK. He's fifth
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: highest-priced player across the board. Ty Johnson is, again, questionable.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: If he can't go, it's definitely Ray Davis as the
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: backup in there. Is there potential for Ray Davis to
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: steal a touchdown? Quite possibly. Am I banking on it?
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: Probably not.
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: Detroit Lions, 16th in DVOA rush defense, 10th versus a
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: running back in the passing game.
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: So a little bit of taking away that part of
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: the RB game.
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: 16th in points allowed. to the position.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: 25 was the average last week for the total running backs.
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: In DK points, so full point PPR.
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: Wide receiver-wise, you have DJ Moore, Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: Those are your three main guys. Joshua Palmer did come
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: in and catch a touchdown.
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: We talked about it on Monday. He is the fourth wide.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: Receiver that rotates in, not one of the top three,
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: even though he outperform Keon Coleman. So for me, we
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: have DJ Moore as the one, Keon Coleman as a two,
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: and Khalil Shakir as a three. We're going to run
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: it traditionally that way based on the fact that Moore
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: and Coleman will be on the field when Kincaid and
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: Knox are.
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: Both on the field for the 12 formation.
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: So Detroit, 31st in DVOA versus the wide receiver one,
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: that was your Crystal Lave. 22nd against the wide receiver two,
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: that was your Devon Velley. And 26th in DVOA versus
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: the wide receiver plus cumulative, that was Bryce Lance and
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: all the rest of them. 30th in points allowed to
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: wide receivers at 58.6.
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: Now, that should come down.
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: A little bit on there, but we do need to
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: determine– where we're going to go within the passing game
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: itself with Josh Allen. I am looking to potentially fade
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: James Cook III, but even though I'm fading, I'm not
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: saying that you can't roster him. So DJ Moore will
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: get DJ Reed, who just did not have a good
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: game whatsoever in there.
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: Keion Coleman will.
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: See Rak Yassin in their slight advantage. Against him, DJ
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: Moore has quite a bit of an advantage. He has
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: almost a 22% advantage against DJ Reed. And then you
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: got Khalil Shakir in the slot facing Roger McCreary. Slight
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: advantage goes to Shakir. I don't hate it, but he's
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: not Chris Olave. Chris Olave lined up in the slot
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: a little bit too and was burning the shit out
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: of him. So I don't hate Shakir. I just don't
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: know if that's the value guy that I want. I
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: definitely looking at DJ Moore, 8,600 over on FanDuel.
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: Good for seventh. That's your best value there. 7,800.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: Good for sixth highest priced player on DK. Keon Coleman
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: is going to be interesting. That's a ballsy move.
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: At 5,600 and 4,000 on the two slots.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: 17th highest priced player on the on this showdown slate
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: so we are paying attention to DJ Reed though too
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: because he is questionable so if he is not playing
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: I think it's all systems go for DJ Moore on
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: here so just be mindful of that Keon Coleman I
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: don't hate I think a lot of people are going
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: to try and do Joshua Palmer at 3200 on FanDuel
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: and over on DK actually just to kind of save
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: some money in there and they're going to see that
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: points per game on there that's what actually makes me
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: want to kind of go a little bit more Keanu
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: Coleman if I'm going to use it as a value.
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: So against tight ends, apparently Detroit is rated the number
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: three in DVOA, but there are 31st in points allowed
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: to the position at 27.7.
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: Makes no sense to me.
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: I might double-check that. Uh, Juwan Johnson was eating them up.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: So that's why this is a little curious, um, to
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: me on here, but, um, going against safety, Chuck Clark,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: I think Dalton Kincaid, uh, makes for a real decent play.
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: Had a really good game last week.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: Uh, 7,600 over on FanDuel, uh, 6,800 over on DK, uh,
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: Dawson Knox didn't get as much run, but there's always
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: that chance for the touchdown and a cheap touchdown. So 4,200
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: over on FanDuel, 2,800 over on DK there. Tyler Bass
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: against Detroit, 11th in points allowed to the kickers, six points.
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: So they're giving up the touchdowns, not so much the
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: field goals.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: Uh, defenses, I just don't really see being in play here. So, um,
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: as far as what I'm looking at for this slate,
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: I think to me, I think Detroit gives them a run.
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: For their money. A lot of it coming off the
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: legs of, uh, one.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: Jameer gives and will be, you know, slightly involved within
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: the passing game. Um, like per usual, uh, But I'm
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: just not buying into Goff just because of how highly
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: priced he is.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: When you can accrue a lot more points.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: Through Amon Ra, Jamison Williams, especially at value. So I
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: do like Jamison at value being slightly, it's like $ 1, 000,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: a little over $ 1, 000 less than.
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: Jared Goff on FanDuel.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: And he's about two grand, a little over two grand
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: lower on Going against that Benford matchup, I like it
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: quite a bit.
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: Defense versus.
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: Pass direction. They were getting beat short. They were getting
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: beat short and to the right.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: In here.
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: This box actually belongs to the defense. So, 30th versus
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: short passing game. Right, short right. So that actually does
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: benefit Tesla a little bit. But I think I'm going
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: to stay away from that. Probably benefits Amonra.
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: And Laporta in there.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: But like I said, I'm probably going to take a
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: shot on Jameson Williams just because I think we're going
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: to get lower ownership there.
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: Than Amonra and Laporta. Brock Wright, no.
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: Liking Josh Allen in here. Going to fade out on
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: James Cook. Value type guys like DJ Moore is not
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: priced up. He's going to be very, very highly owned.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: Going against DJ Reed. I don't hate him in MVP
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: at his price. I don't know why he's that low.
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: So stupid. And then taking a look at Keon Coleman.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: Taking a look at Keon Coleman as kind of an
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: offshoot value guy that nobody's going to really kind of
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: look at.
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: Coleman's always going to be forgotten about. They're going to
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: look at two guys. DJ Moore.
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: Who I believe, in my opinion, you have to have
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: in there. And then they're going to look at Khalil Shakir,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: who that would be kind of the mistake. If you
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: can fit him in, I would say Dalton Kincaid would
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: be the guy. If not, you can kind of go
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: on a shot, on a whim and a prayer for
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: Dawson Knox. But I mean, for Dawson Knox, you're probably
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: only looking at like one catch for two yards and
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: a touchdown. which is fine at what he's priced at.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: But as far as expecting anything more out of that,
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: probably not. Keon Coleman would be your better shot for
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: more yardage with a touchdown on there to kind of
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: pay off. So I would go, if you're going to pay,
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: if you can't, if you're putting your guys in there
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: and you have one spot left, if you have enough
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: for Coleman, I would go there. If not, then you're
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: switching down here to Knox. That's kind of the way
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: that I run it. So, again, Jameer Gibbs. I like
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: Amon Ra. I like Jamison Williams. A little bit of Laporta,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: but I'm probably fading him out. Just because we got
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: to get Josh Allen in there. DJ Moore, decent value,
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: going to be highly owned. You could flip him into
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: the MVP spot and probably be a little bit different.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: For that mid-range price, it's a pretty good spot for
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: an MVP in there. Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid definitely in
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: play for me. But looking at Keon Coleman for a value,
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: for another value guy, if not, you can go down
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: to Dawson Knox.
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: Detroit... 29th in DVOA versus the deep ball.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: So that does actually put Coleman in play along with
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: DJ Moore on there.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: Plus it's the right side. It's the right side.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: So that is, that's the Rocky Haseen side, which Coleman
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: lines up on. So that's your value guy right there.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: That is your definitely first in value guy. Cause that's
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: not going to be Palmer. I guarantee you. So, this
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: is what it is. That is Detroit at Buffalo. And
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: hopefully everybody at the new Highmark Stadium can actually see
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: the game. You know, with all the stupid obstructions that
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: they got.
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: But, you know what? Are we really worried about it? No.
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: But we are taking the Detroit side. At least keeping
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: it close.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: So, Any questions or anything, you know where to hit
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: me up. DoghouseFF over on Twitter. At RoyDogOnTheShore13 over on
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: the YouTube.
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: The YouTube.
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: And on Instagram. At RoyDog13 over on TikTok. And DennisMRoy
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: over on Facebook. Y'all have yourselves a good one.
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: I'll be on.