Latest / Toadstool Sports / Best Bets Today | 6-0 Vikings Are Underdogs?! | NFL, NBA, NHL & CBB Picks Sunday

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Best Bets Today | 6-0 Vikings Are Underdogs?! | NFL, NBA, NHL & CBB Picks Sunday · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yeah, believe it or not, college basketball is actually beginning
0:04
Speaker 1: in less than an hour. I got to talk about
0:08
Speaker 1: it at least before the game tips off, although I
0:10
Speaker 1: don't really have much to say about it. It's not
0:11
Speaker 1: a play for me or anything, but figured I would
0:14
Speaker 1: get this show in a little bit earlier. We went
0:16
Speaker 1: 3-2 on the show yesterday, or if you want me
0:20
Speaker 1: to call it 3-1-1, I mean, I could because that's
0:23
Speaker 1: what I was able to do. I told people to
0:25
Speaker 1: wait and try to get a 3 on Maryland and
0:27
Speaker 1: try to get a 17 on on Rutgers. The three
0:30
Speaker 1: did actually show up and I got one at like,
0:33
Speaker 1: I think I actually got it at minus 113. So
0:36
Speaker 1: luckily that wound up with a push as Maryland, they
0:40
Speaker 1: were in that game like the whole time. It just,
0:42
Speaker 1: I don't know. It was just the way that the
0:45
Speaker 1: way that the final score fell, they lost by three,
0:47
Speaker 1: not good. So if you got the two and a half,
0:49
Speaker 1: you did not win. So I've counted it as a
0:51
Speaker 1: loss in my record right now. Cause I never updated
0:53
Speaker 1: it or whatever, but it's debatable. Cause I said, wait
0:56
Speaker 1: for the three. on that, so I don't know. I'm
0:58
Speaker 1: deciding to call it a loss on here, though. It
1:01
Speaker 1: was a winning day, either way you look at it, though.
1:03
Speaker 1: Rutgers was able to cover regardless of which number you
1:05
Speaker 1: got on that. They only lost by seven, so that
1:07
Speaker 1: was a winner, even though Michigan put up more points
1:10
Speaker 1: than I probably thought they would, but it was still
1:13
Speaker 1: an easy cover for Rutgers. Temple was the other loss.
1:17
Speaker 1: I mean, they could have covered. I mean, they did
1:20
Speaker 1: not give up many points in that game. Low-scoring game
1:23
Speaker 1: like that, the underdog has a pretty good chance to cover,
1:25
Speaker 1: but it's just All their scoring drives wound up being
1:28
Speaker 1: field goals, and that was it. They were never able
1:31
Speaker 1: to get a touchdown. If they got one touchdown, I
1:33
Speaker 1: think they probably would have covered. Didn't happen. That was
1:37
Speaker 1: the end of that one, and then we won with
1:39
Speaker 1: Georgia Southern, even though they didn't score a lot, but
1:41
Speaker 1: their defense showed up, and I think they only allowed
1:44
Speaker 1: three points in the game. So we got the low-scoring
1:48
Speaker 1: favorite cover with Georgia Southern. My NBA continued to roll,
1:53
Speaker 1: even though my other NBA leans were all pretty bad yesterday.
1:56
Speaker 1: But the game that I thought was the best, the play,
1:59
Speaker 1: was a win on the Portland Trailblazers. Easy blowout win
2:03
Speaker 1: with another NBA favorite coming through. I think I'm 10-3
2:08
Speaker 1: now in the NBA. Is that right? Something like that.
2:11
Speaker 1: So we're on a roll there. Go check out my
2:13
Speaker 1: NFL show. The NFL doesn't start until the afternoon. There's
2:16
Speaker 1: no Europe NFL show. unlike college basketball today. So you
2:23
Speaker 1: can go check out the NFL show. I did it
2:25
Speaker 1: last night. Thanks for everybody who hung out there except
2:28
Speaker 1: for that one guy. I gave up one play. Dude,
2:31
Speaker 1: I'm only going to have one play today, and I
2:33
Speaker 1: already gave it out on the NFL show. I'll mention
2:36
Speaker 1: it again at the end of this show and go
2:38
Speaker 1: over the final NFL market read as I usually do,
2:41
Speaker 1: but I do not like the board today at all.
2:43
Speaker 1: I don't like the NFL board. It's a short board
2:46
Speaker 1: for the other sports. Don't have a whole lot there,
2:49
Speaker 1: but I'm going to talk about it. And then congratulations
2:53
Speaker 1: to the Golden State Valkyries winning the WNBA title and
2:57
Speaker 1: making sure that Angel Reese did not win it. Angel Reese,
3:01
Speaker 1: since like the middle of that series or she did
3:02
Speaker 1: that crazy, you know, whatever that was or she. made
3:07
Speaker 1: a scene, basically. She played horrible since that moment, and
3:11
Speaker 1: I believe she set a record for the most turnovers
3:14
Speaker 1: by a single player in a WNBA Finals series, although
3:18
Speaker 1: it went seven games, so, I mean, you know, and
3:22
Speaker 1: it used to be a five-game series until last year,
3:24
Speaker 1: so you can't really, you know, you can't put too
3:27
Speaker 1: much stock into that, but it's still a hilarious stat,
3:30
Speaker 1: and she still might have had, like, I think she
3:31
Speaker 1: had a really high turnovers per game rate, so... And
3:36
Speaker 1: she shot horribly since that moment in time as well.
3:39
Speaker 1: So I like the fact that she lost. I'm not
3:43
Speaker 1: upset about that. Plus, I did give out a lean
3:44
Speaker 1: on the Golden State side yesterday. So there you go.
3:47
Speaker 1: The market didn't even agree with it. But all right,
3:50
Speaker 1: we'll get into NHL first after the intro.
4:10
Speaker 2: You got a slip in your palm and a hole.
4:13
Speaker 1: In your chest Black coffee on the felt, man.
4:16
Speaker 2: You look like a mess Three-team parlay turned to dust
4:21
Speaker 2: in your hand Now you stare at the chips like
4:24
Speaker 2: they made you this man But don't you go quiet,
4:28
Speaker 2: don't you fade from the floor Your name still means
4:32
Speaker 2: something to somebody for sure Put the glass down, baby.
4:38
Speaker 3: Look at me.
4:39
Speaker 4: Now Hold on, hold on Not tonight, not now Hold on,
4:53
Speaker 4: hold on Let me pull you out That fell.
5:00
Speaker 2: Up by its heart But it don't get the.
5:06
Speaker 3: Crown Hold on, hold.
5:10
Speaker 1: On, stay with me now.
5:37
Speaker 2: I don't know.
5:38
Speaker 1: Is it Sunday? It feels really weird.
5:39
Speaker 3: I don't know.
5:40
Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is ever. It's a blur.
5:44
Speaker 1: We're actually talking about college basketball first. I misspoke. I'm
5:47
Speaker 1: an idiot. Of course, I've got to mention college basketball
5:49
Speaker 1: because we have to have every sport playing in Europe now, man. Apparently,
5:55
Speaker 1: that's what we have to do. We have Notre Dame
5:57
Speaker 1: and Villanova kicking off the college basketball regular season with
6:01
Speaker 1: this neutral site game that's in Rome this is coming
6:06
Speaker 1: up at 9 30 a.m eastern I don't have a
6:09
Speaker 1: whole lot on this game I am not going to
6:12
Speaker 1: be betting it Villanova is a seven and a half
6:15
Speaker 1: point favorite in this game which makes sense I guess
6:19
Speaker 1: I mean they're the better team here everybody kind of
6:22
Speaker 1: knows that I mean they have all the name recognition
6:23
Speaker 1: behind them Notre Dame I mean they're not uncompetitive at
6:27
Speaker 1: least based on what we've seen from them the last
6:29
Speaker 1: couple years I mean They have the ability to compete, especially,
6:33
Speaker 1: you know, they show up a decent amount of time
6:35
Speaker 1: as an underdog. Villanova, I mean, they didn't look good
6:38
Speaker 1: when they– Villanova looked pretty bad in the tournament last year,
6:42
Speaker 1: I will say that. I don't know. And these teams
6:44
Speaker 1: have changed a little bit, of course, and whatever. I mean,
6:47
Speaker 1: you know me, I'm a scheduling spot type of better here. So, like,
6:52
Speaker 1: I don't make many plays in the first game. And
6:55
Speaker 1: we're going to have a ton of games tomorrow. Tomorrow's
6:58
Speaker 1: the huge opening day of college basketball, and that's going
7:00
Speaker 1: to be the focus. But I'm not even sure I'm
7:03
Speaker 1: going to give out any plays, even though there are
7:05
Speaker 1: over 100 games being played. I have to try to
7:08
Speaker 1: break all of them down before I do the show.
7:10
Speaker 1: I think I'm going to do the show tonight. I
7:12
Speaker 1: have to figure out how to break it all down
7:13
Speaker 1: before that. It's going to get ridiculous. I don't even
7:16
Speaker 1: know if I'm going to have any plays, man. Like
7:17
Speaker 1: I said, the opening games, it's going to be all
7:20
Speaker 1: about perception. Do we think the perception is awful? on
7:23
Speaker 1: any of these teams, and, well, Villanova is slightly public here,
7:26
Speaker 1: 59% of the tickets, 54% of the cash, um, total
7:31
Speaker 1: is somewhat low in this one, um, you know, in
7:34
Speaker 1: the one, I mean, I think that is pretty low,
7:36
Speaker 1: I forget, college, college basketball, hold on, yeah, I think
7:39
Speaker 1: that is pretty low in the 140s, yeah, I'm trying
7:42
Speaker 1: to get out of football brain here, get out of
7:45
Speaker 1: WNBA brain and get back into college basketball brain here, yeah, um,
7:49
Speaker 1: I think it's a somewhat low total in this one,
7:51
Speaker 1: so maybe it does make more sense to Leantor is
7:54
Speaker 1: taking the points with Notre Dame in this one. And
7:56
Speaker 1: it all is going to kind of come down to
7:58
Speaker 1: which one of these teams is going to be better
8:00
Speaker 1: at the travel situation. I have no idea. Like, you know,
8:05
Speaker 1: which one of these teams will handle that better? No clue.
8:09
Speaker 1: This is a weird thing, man. Like, I don't think
8:12
Speaker 1: we've ever seen this before in college basketball, if I'm
8:14
Speaker 1: not mistaken. So I have no clue. And then there
8:17
Speaker 1: is going to be a game at midnight, which I'll
8:19
Speaker 1: just talk about right now. This game, I actually... felt
8:23
Speaker 1: a little bit more strongly about, which is High Point
8:26
Speaker 1: and Liberty. And this is a neutral site game as
8:28
Speaker 1: well in Rock Hill, South Carolina, which I forget which
8:33
Speaker 1: arena that is. I believe High Point is in North Carolina.
8:36
Speaker 1: I know Liberty is in Virginia. So I guess the
8:40
Speaker 1: location here probably helps High Point a little bit. I mean,
8:44
Speaker 1: both of these schools are like, I don't know. It
8:47
Speaker 1: seems like these are both schools that get a lot
8:49
Speaker 1: of like, you know, conservative establishment money right now getting
8:54
Speaker 1: pumped into both of them. I don't know what else
8:56
Speaker 1: to say about it, but I think High Point is
8:58
Speaker 1: going to be overvalued in this one because everybody saw
9:02
Speaker 1: what they did the last couple of years. They made
9:03
Speaker 1: the tournament two years in a row. They score a lot,
9:07
Speaker 1: and everybody loves that, and they pulled off the upset
9:10
Speaker 1: in the tournament last year against Wisconsin before, you know,
9:14
Speaker 1: going down against Arkansas after that, but basically the last
9:18
Speaker 1: thing people remember is, oh, yeah, High Point They score
9:21
Speaker 1: a ton. They made the tournament multiple times. They upset Wisconsin.
9:25
Speaker 1: So the Publix, to me, I believe they're going to
9:27
Speaker 1: be on high point here, even though we do see
9:29
Speaker 1: 57% of the tickets, 84% of the cash on them.
9:33
Speaker 1: They opened around seven more so, and now it's seven
9:35
Speaker 1: and a half. I would lean towards fading them, though.
9:38
Speaker 1: I would lean towards Liberty in this one, even though
9:41
Speaker 1: I don't think Liberty's that good. I mean, Liberty was
9:45
Speaker 1: one of the best teams in their own conference last year,
9:47
Speaker 1: at least. And high point... Yeah, they're good. They dominated,
9:52
Speaker 1: pretty much dominated their own conference. It was basically them, Winthrop,
9:55
Speaker 1: and then everybody else. But they're in a weak conference, dude.
9:59
Speaker 1: I think Liberty's conference is probably a little bit better
10:02
Speaker 1: than High Point's. Obviously, Liberty is not the better team,
10:07
Speaker 1: and these teams are a little bit different this year
10:08
Speaker 1: as well, but Yeah, I mean, after what we saw
10:11
Speaker 1: last year in Liberty, I think Liberty failed to even
10:14
Speaker 1: win their conference last year, if I'm not mistaken, right?
10:17
Speaker 1: So nobody is really thinking about Liberty anymore at this point,
10:20
Speaker 1: even though Liberty is a team that has made the
10:23
Speaker 1: tournament out of that conference a couple of times recently,
10:26
Speaker 1: including two years ago, I'm pretty sure. So that Liberty
10:29
Speaker 1: program is still a pretty good, they have good sports
10:33
Speaker 1: programs there at this point. So I think they can compete.
10:36
Speaker 1: I'd probably lean towards taking the points. in that one.
10:38
Speaker 1: I considered maybe even actually doing it, but yeah, I'm
10:41
Speaker 1: going to pass. Uh, those are my thoughts on the, uh,
10:45
Speaker 1: college basketball games. Uh, thank you. Fig nuts. What's up, man?
10:50
Speaker 3: Yes.
10:50
Speaker 1: The basketball chaos will be starting. Well, it's starting. Yeah.
10:55
Speaker 1: In about a half hour. If you really want, if
10:57
Speaker 1: you really want to go there and then, uh, we
10:59
Speaker 1: have the midnight game and then tomorrow we have a
11:01
Speaker 1: whole slate of games. I'm going to try to see
11:03
Speaker 1: if I can find anything I want to actually do there. Um,
11:08
Speaker 1: That's a good point. Notre Dame, the Catholics are playing
11:11
Speaker 1: near the Vatican. Why did I not think of that? Although, well,
11:16
Speaker 1: Villanova is a Christian university as well, but they're, what
11:22
Speaker 1: are they? Are they Jesuit? I forget. I forget what
11:25
Speaker 1: they are. But yeah, it'll be the Catholics against a
11:28
Speaker 1: non-Catholic Christian school here. So yeah, this is like the
11:31
Speaker 1: Holy War here, basically. Yeah, but you're right. Yeah, maybe
11:35
Speaker 1: it's rigged and maybe Notre Dame... Wins for that reason.
11:38
Speaker 1: John Rico, what's up, man? Thanks for hanging out, everybody.
11:41
Speaker 1: Love seeing you again. New faces here. Let's go. I
11:45
Speaker 1: appreciate it, everybody. Hopefully I can give out some good
11:48
Speaker 1: info here, although I don't like much that's going on
11:51
Speaker 1: on the board today, as I said. Moving over to
11:53
Speaker 1: the NHL board here. We do have five games here.
11:56
Speaker 1: NHL Network's got a doubleheader with a game in the
11:59
Speaker 1: afternoon with Winnipeg at Carolina. Carolina's obviously the better team here,
12:04
Speaker 1: and they're a huge favorite. Winnipeg, not playing well at
12:08
Speaker 1: all right now. They've lost, I think, I don't know, seven,
12:10
Speaker 1: eight games in a row, something like that. I mean,
12:13
Speaker 1: at some point, they're going to win another game. They're
12:16
Speaker 1: coming off getting blown out by Florida, but they're in
12:18
Speaker 1: a spot where they're playing a third game in four days,
12:21
Speaker 1: a fourth game in six days, all in different cities,
12:24
Speaker 1: so that's still not really that easy. It's just a
12:26
Speaker 1: tightly packed schedule here for Winnipeg, even though they should
12:31
Speaker 1: at least get up for this game and try to
12:33
Speaker 1: win it. You know what I mean? I don't think focus...
12:36
Speaker 1: is going to be an issue for them. But I'm
12:37
Speaker 1: not sure it's going to be an issue for Carolina
12:39
Speaker 1: either because they're coming off kind of a bad game
12:41
Speaker 1: against Columbus, and they haven't played since Thursday. So Columbus
12:45
Speaker 1: does have a rest advantage here, and they have a
12:47
Speaker 1: little bit of momentum, and they don't really have anything
12:49
Speaker 1: big upcoming either. They're playing a pretty weak schedule for
12:53
Speaker 1: a while here. So I don't really want to fade Carolina,
12:57
Speaker 1: although the money is doing that, though. Carolina's public, 90%
13:00
Speaker 1: of the tickets on them, 80% of the cash. So
13:01
Speaker 1: the money... does seem to be somewhat fading them here
13:07
Speaker 1: as a really public favorite. I mean, you can't lay
13:09
Speaker 1: a money line like this in hockey at all. Carolina
13:12
Speaker 1: is like minus 270, whatever here. Probably, the money is
13:16
Speaker 1: probably fading them just because the price is so crazy.
13:19
Speaker 1: So I'd probably not disagree, really. I guess I would
13:23
Speaker 1: probably slightly lean towards taking that with Winnipeg. And because
13:27
Speaker 1: of the rest situation, I think that's jacking up the
13:30
Speaker 1: line on Carolina a little bit further. So there might
13:32
Speaker 1: be a little bit of line value at least there
13:35
Speaker 1: if you play Winnipeg as like a plus one and
13:37
Speaker 1: a half puck line dog there but do I want
13:40
Speaker 1: to do it no no I don't uh yes uh
13:44
Speaker 1: it is difficult to predict what these teams are going
13:47
Speaker 1: to be uh we'll see if I can find any
13:49
Speaker 1: like perception angles like what I'm going to do when
13:51
Speaker 1: I break down tomorrow's massive board is um well first
13:55
Speaker 1: of all at least for me there are a lot
13:57
Speaker 1: of uh division two teams that are getting involved there
13:59
Speaker 1: and I just kind of just so that I could
14:01
Speaker 1: simplify things and not have to deal with too much.
14:04
Speaker 1: I just kind of– I throw those games out pretty much. Like,
14:07
Speaker 1: I just handicap the Division I stuff just to– just
14:11
Speaker 1: so I don't have to do as much, even though
14:13
Speaker 1: I might be losing some situational spots there, whatever. But
14:17
Speaker 1: what I'm going to look at is, like, is there, like,
14:20
Speaker 1: a line that just looks way off or something and
14:23
Speaker 1: look into, like, why that might be. Like, because if
14:25
Speaker 1: it's a line that goes against what the public perception–
14:29
Speaker 1: would most likely be thinking, then that's kind of where
14:31
Speaker 1: I focus. I always do that, but, like, especially in
14:35
Speaker 1: game one where there's no scheduling spot to look at yet,
14:37
Speaker 1: it's all about, like, is the perception of what these
14:41
Speaker 1: teams are now this year, like, way off or something?
14:44
Speaker 1: And are the odds makers telling you something different than
14:47
Speaker 1: what that perception is? You know what I mean? Because
14:49
Speaker 1: I would listen to the odds makers when something like
14:52
Speaker 1: that is going on. The next hockey game is Minnesota-Washington.
14:57
Speaker 1: This is the best game on the board. This is
14:59
Speaker 1: a good game. Both teams good. Minnesota is coming off
15:03
Speaker 1: a loss to the Islanders, so not really a great
15:05
Speaker 1: loss there. So they could be in bounce-back mode here
15:08
Speaker 1: after that. They're returning home from a road trip, by
15:11
Speaker 1: the way, so that was a tough spot. Sandwiched in
15:13
Speaker 1: between two road trips, in fact, but you know I
15:16
Speaker 1: always talk about teams returning home from road trips, they
15:18
Speaker 1: tend to not do well because they get distracted having
15:21
Speaker 1: to get back home after being away for a long time.
15:25
Speaker 1: That may have happened there. The Islanders Got through that
15:27
Speaker 1: game in overtime. Usually when that happens, though, the team
15:31
Speaker 1: that does play poorly in that return home spot tends
15:34
Speaker 1: to bounce back in the next game. So you might
15:36
Speaker 1: be looking for that with Minnesota here in this one.
15:40
Speaker 1: Washington is coming off an easier game, though. They got
15:43
Speaker 1: some momentum right now. They just beat Nashville. Like, who cares?
15:46
Speaker 1: They've won five of their last six games. And they're
15:50
Speaker 1: not going to overlook this game either. So I expect
15:52
Speaker 1: both teams to show up for this one here. Minnesota
15:55
Speaker 1: is getting all the money, though. Washington has 51% of
15:59
Speaker 1: the tickets on them, 92% of the cash on Minnesota.
16:02
Speaker 1: The line is about to pick them. I'm kind of surprised.
16:06
Speaker 1: I thought the public would at least have more of
16:07
Speaker 1: a lean towards Minnesota here because they've been better recently
16:11
Speaker 1: than Washington has, and these teams are fairly evenly matched,
16:15
Speaker 1: as the oddsmakers are telling you. They're telling you Minnesota's
16:18
Speaker 1: slightly better, basically. You know, I mean... It's a game
16:22
Speaker 1: that I don't really have much of a feel for
16:24
Speaker 1: as far as the scheduling situation, though. So if you
16:27
Speaker 1: want to go with what the market read is saying,
16:29
Speaker 1: at least for now, this is a late afternoon game.
16:32
Speaker 1: It's saying Minnesota. They're getting all the money here. My
16:36
Speaker 1: first read on this was actually to kind of disagree
16:39
Speaker 1: with that, though. So do what you want with that info.
16:42
Speaker 1: Sometimes when I disagree with the market, I'm right. So
16:44
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, Minnesota... I mean, they have
16:49
Speaker 1: the better record. So to me, I felt like the
16:52
Speaker 1: public were going to be on them a little bit.
16:54
Speaker 1: Plus the fact that they did lose a three-game win
16:56
Speaker 1: streak with that last loss. And they have more recent
16:59
Speaker 1: travel going on than Washington does. So I think the
17:02
Speaker 1: spot does set up maybe a little bit better for Washington.
17:05
Speaker 1: So I don't know. That game's hard to figure out
17:07
Speaker 1: as well. You're doing a six-prop parlay. Wait, you won
17:12
Speaker 1: that one? Whoa. All right. There you go. And you
17:18
Speaker 1: bought snacks, all right, for football. There you go. I
17:23
Speaker 1: recommend against parlays on this show, just so you know,
17:26
Speaker 1: people that know me, because I'm all about grinding and
17:29
Speaker 1: the long-term profit, man. So it's all straight betting for
17:33
Speaker 1: me and basically just... be tight, aggressive, essentially just fire
17:38
Speaker 1: on the games that you think have the best edge
17:40
Speaker 1: for you and stay away from everything else. Uh, parlays.
17:44
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, like I would say that you should
17:46
Speaker 1: just know what they are. Like they're more like for
17:49
Speaker 1: like entertainment purposes, like, you know, just it's fun money. Basically.
17:54
Speaker 1: I would not like put serious money on it. You
17:57
Speaker 1: know what I mean? Uh, or, you know, you got
17:59
Speaker 1: to consider them to be like a lottery ticket or
18:01
Speaker 1: something like that. Cause like, The books want you to
18:03
Speaker 1: do parlays. That's why they promote them so much because
18:06
Speaker 1: they know that they're giving you odds that look good. Like, oh,
18:09
Speaker 1: I'm getting plus, you know, plus 800 on this parlay
18:12
Speaker 1: or whatever. When really behind the scenes, the odds makers
18:16
Speaker 1: know that based on the actual odds that that parlay
18:20
Speaker 1: is going to hit, you should actually probably be getting
18:22
Speaker 1: like plus 1000 on that parlay. You know what I mean?
18:27
Speaker 1: So negative expected value on those types of bets. Yes, exactly.
18:32
Speaker 1: All right. Next up, Utah and Philadelphia. But yeah, I
18:37
Speaker 1: did not have a great opinion on that Minnesota-Washington game.
18:40
Speaker 1: I mean, sometimes I just don't. It's hard to figure out.
18:42
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah. Sometimes I don't have a strong opinion, man.
18:45
Speaker 1: It's the way that it is. I talk about every
18:47
Speaker 1: game pretty much on the show, though. Not going to
18:50
Speaker 1: be the case with college basketball, though. It's just way
18:52
Speaker 1: too many games. And I'll try to talk about all
18:53
Speaker 1: the big games and whatever. Utah is coming off upsetting.
18:57
Speaker 1: Or not upsetting. They beat Pittsburgh. I think they were
19:00
Speaker 1: a favorite probably on the road at Pittsburgh. They got
19:02
Speaker 1: upset by Pittsburgh, you know, overtime a couple days ago.
19:06
Speaker 1: Now they're going to the other end of Pennsylvania to
19:08
Speaker 1: Philadelphia here. Or no, what am I talking about? They
19:13
Speaker 1: almost got upset. They beat Pittsburgh. I'm out of it today, man.
19:16
Speaker 1: My mistake. For some reason, I thought they lost that game,
19:19
Speaker 1: but they won in overtime. Now they're going to Philadelphia.
19:22
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't see this being a particularly bad
19:24
Speaker 1: spot for Utah. It just seems like they're, you know,
19:27
Speaker 1: They're playing some unimportant games all in a row here,
19:29
Speaker 1: but nothing to really distract them away from focusing on
19:33
Speaker 1: these games either. Philadelphia's not playing well. They've lost three
19:38
Speaker 1: in a row. It could be a little bit more
19:39
Speaker 1: of a bounce back for them because they just got
19:41
Speaker 1: smoked by Washington in their last game, and I believe
19:44
Speaker 1: they have one extra day off compared to what Utah
19:46
Speaker 1: has right now. I'll lean towards Philly here. I mean,
19:49
Speaker 1: Utah is a very heavy favorite at minus 160-something, and
19:53
Speaker 1: even though the oddsmakers are telling you Utah is a
19:56
Speaker 1: significantly better team here, and I'm not going to disagree
19:58
Speaker 1: with that, I think it's going a little bit too
20:01
Speaker 1: far to have them as a minus 160-something road favorite here.
20:04
Speaker 1: They are public 78% of the tickets. 83% of the
20:08
Speaker 1: money on them as well. But I would probably lean
20:10
Speaker 1: towards Philadelphia here. I just think, you know, we're at like,
20:16
Speaker 1: what do you want to call it? It's like the
20:17
Speaker 1: bottom of the market on the flyers pretty much right now.
20:20
Speaker 1: So they're probably a little bit undervalued at this point.
20:24
Speaker 1: So getting them as a huge dog at home off
20:27
Speaker 1: a horrible, well, not a horrible loss because Washington's good,
20:30
Speaker 1: but like a blowout loss might be the way to
20:32
Speaker 1: look there. So you can get Philadelphia. Like I would,
20:36
Speaker 1: Make a plus one puck line on that or whatever.
20:39
Speaker 1: Thank you, sir. Well, on this show, I get very
20:42
Speaker 1: ornery sometimes. You can see that happen on the NFL
20:44
Speaker 1: show last night. But that guy was being a chat
20:48
Speaker 1: spammer and trying to direct the conversation away from sports
20:52
Speaker 1: and being a huge asshole. Edmonton is playing at the Rangers. Edmonton,
20:57
Speaker 1: really good start to the season. They faced a fairly
20:59
Speaker 1: easy schedule, though, for the most part. And they're on
21:02
Speaker 1: a back-to-back right now. And I did lean towards them yesterday.
21:07
Speaker 1: which I went against the market with that lean yesterday.
21:09
Speaker 1: It wasn't a play or anything, but they easily beat
21:12
Speaker 1: the Islanders yesterday, so they're on a back-to-back. They're staying
21:15
Speaker 1: in the New York City area, though, playing the Rangers,
21:18
Speaker 1: but they do have New Jersey on deck, and New
21:20
Speaker 1: Jersey has been a good team. Rangers have kind of
21:23
Speaker 1: fallen apart, which the Rangers weren't expected to be good anyway.
21:26
Speaker 1: They had a good start to the season, but they
21:28
Speaker 1: lost to Sterk and... Rangers have not really been that
21:31
Speaker 1: good since then, so I do think this could be
21:33
Speaker 1: a spot where Edmonton does overlook them. Edmonton is going
21:37
Speaker 1: to have to go back to their second-string goalie here, Levy,
21:41
Speaker 1: however you pronounce his name, Levi. They've been okay with
21:45
Speaker 1: him in net, though, so I don't think it really
21:46
Speaker 1: matters which goalie you're getting, although Jari, however you pronounce
21:51
Speaker 1: his name, he pitched two shutouts in a row in
21:54
Speaker 1: their last two games, though, so I think it will
21:56
Speaker 1: be a downgrade here, switching to their other goalie here.
21:59
Speaker 1: The Rangers... have a huge rest advantage actually in this
22:03
Speaker 1: game they haven't played since Monday the 26th so they've
22:06
Speaker 1: had almost a week off and they lost their last
22:08
Speaker 1: three games all pretty terribly giving up a ton of
22:12
Speaker 1: goals I think that break for the Rangers came at
22:14
Speaker 1: a very good time because I talk about these breaks
22:17
Speaker 1: like kind of similar to like an NFL bye I
22:20
Speaker 1: think when that break happens when you're playing really poorly.
22:23
Speaker 1: I think that's the best time to have that break
22:25
Speaker 1: because you can work on fixing things. You can disrupt
22:28
Speaker 1: that losing momentum. So I think this is the strongest
22:31
Speaker 1: play actually on the NHL board here. I would play
22:33
Speaker 1: the Rangers if I was going to play this one.
22:35
Speaker 1: Problem is the odds makers also know that they have
22:38
Speaker 1: a huge rest advantage here. So they're actually favored in
22:41
Speaker 1: this game. The Rangers around minus 125. And I think
22:46
Speaker 1: because maybe the professional money thinks that that line is
22:49
Speaker 1: just going too far in that direction. maybe an overreaction
22:53
Speaker 1: to the huge rest edge, that the money is actually
22:56
Speaker 1: coming in on Edmonton here. 57% of the tickets and
23:00
Speaker 1: 89% of the money on Edmonton. And when I talk about,
23:04
Speaker 1: you know, ticket versus cash percentage here, I want to,
23:08
Speaker 1: typically I want to side with where the cash percentage
23:11
Speaker 1: disparity is because the ticket percentage is like, that's the
23:15
Speaker 1: large quantity, but small percentage. You know what I mean?
23:19
Speaker 1: It's a lot of small money bets. That's where the
23:22
Speaker 1: public is. But the cash is more representative of potentially
23:28
Speaker 1: fewer bets, but bigger money bets. You know what I mean?
23:31
Speaker 1: So usually that's how you kind of figure out where
23:34
Speaker 1: is the public versus where is the professional money actually
23:37
Speaker 1: at here. And sometimes they will be on the same side.
23:40
Speaker 1: But this game, I don't agree with it. If the
23:42
Speaker 1: professional money is coming in on Edmonton here, I don't agree.
23:45
Speaker 1: I would play the Rangers here. Plus, it just looks really,
23:50
Speaker 1: really weird to see the Rangers being favored. I mean,
23:53
Speaker 1: look at these teams' records. It looks so easy to
23:56
Speaker 1: take Edmonton as an underdog, doesn't it? You would think
23:58
Speaker 1: the public would be all over that. How would they
24:01
Speaker 1: not be? It's one of the best offenses in the
24:03
Speaker 1: entire league. They're a 10-2 team or whatever the hell
24:06
Speaker 1: they are. Rangers have been awful recently. Nobody in the
24:12
Speaker 1: public is going to be on the Rangers in this one,
24:14
Speaker 1: so I like the Rangers for that reason. I know
24:16
Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a steep price on them
24:18
Speaker 1: there because of the huge rest edge, which the oddsmakers know,
24:21
Speaker 1: but I think it's still in a reasonable price range,
24:26
Speaker 1: to be honest. Just asking them to win the game,
24:29
Speaker 1: so that's how I would lean there. Some value on
24:32
Speaker 1: the Flyers? Yeah, I mean, I think so, but Yes, correct. Yeah, Edmonton, yeah,
24:40
Speaker 1: hot start, but they did play a lot of bad
24:42
Speaker 1: teams in there too. They also lost a game to
24:45
Speaker 1: Vancouver early on. They gave up a ton of goals
24:48
Speaker 1: in two games against Vancouver early on. So, you know,
24:51
Speaker 1: people are talking about, oh, well, Edmonton's defense is like fixed.
24:54
Speaker 1: I'm not so sure about that. The last game here
24:58
Speaker 1: is Ottawa and Anaheim. Ottawa just blasted the Sharks 5-1.
25:04
Speaker 1: But Ottawa, they're already in the state of California. They've
25:08
Speaker 1: been in the Pacific time zone for a while now already. But,
25:12
Speaker 1: you know, they're on a back-to-back here, though. They just
25:14
Speaker 1: beat San Jose yesterday. So it's going to be a
25:17
Speaker 1: little bit difficult for them to flip it back around.
25:19
Speaker 1: They'll switch back to their other goalie here, Johansen. Ottawa
25:24
Speaker 1: kind of hurting right now because Omar, I believe he's
25:26
Speaker 1: still hurt. So their number one goalie, yeah, he's hurt.
25:29
Speaker 1: I don't know when he's going to come back. He's
25:31
Speaker 1: got a back injury. So Ottawa definitely having to downgrade
25:36
Speaker 1: their goaltending situation because of that. Maybe not the greatest
25:40
Speaker 1: spot for them, though, because, again, it's the third game
25:42
Speaker 1: in four days, fourth game in six days, actually, all
25:44
Speaker 1: in different cities. The good news for them is they're
25:46
Speaker 1: not changing time zones here or anything. But to me,
25:50
Speaker 1: I don't know why the NHL schedules things like this where,
25:53
Speaker 1: They have teams play LA and Anaheim while they're out west. Okay, cool,
25:56
Speaker 1: but they always have to play San Jose in between
25:59
Speaker 1: the two. It makes no sense. Why wouldn't you just
26:01
Speaker 1: play LA and Anaheim when you're down in Southern California
26:04
Speaker 1: and then go up to San Jose or vice versa?
26:07
Speaker 1: Why are you going up to Northern California in between
26:12
Speaker 1: those two games and then back to Southern California again?
26:15
Speaker 1: It's kind of ridiculous. So I don't really love the
26:17
Speaker 1: spot for Ottawa here. Anaheim's a below 500 team. They've lost...
26:22
Speaker 1: whatever this is, a bunch of recent games here. They've
26:24
Speaker 1: only won one game in their last, uh, I don't
26:27
Speaker 1: know how many games that is. Uh, they've won one
26:29
Speaker 1: game in their last, uh, about eight games or something
26:32
Speaker 1: like that. Probably. Uh, they just lost two really high
26:35
Speaker 1: scoring games at home against Vancouver. That's not a good loss, uh,
26:39
Speaker 1: against Buffalo. That's a more acceptable loss for sure, but
26:43
Speaker 1: Anaheim not playing well. However, they're staying at home. They
26:46
Speaker 1: probably don't want to go winless on this homestand. Um,
26:50
Speaker 1: They do have Vancouver next, even though that is technically
26:52
Speaker 1: a quick revenge game. I don't think they're going to
26:55
Speaker 1: be looking ahead to that. I think they're going to
26:57
Speaker 1: focus on this game. They have extra rest here. They're
27:00
Speaker 1: staying at home. I would rather have Anaheim in this one.
27:03
Speaker 1: Ottawa looks like they're getting the money, but I don't
27:06
Speaker 1: agree with that. 60% of the tickets, 81% of the
27:08
Speaker 1: cash on them. They dropped a little bit from minus
27:11
Speaker 1: 120 basically down to about minus 118. Very slight move
27:15
Speaker 1: downward there. Even though it does look like the cash
27:18
Speaker 1: is actually on Ottawa here, I disagree. I would play
27:21
Speaker 1: Anaheim in that one. It almost looks still too easy
27:24
Speaker 1: to play Ottawa, even though, yeah, the oddsmakers are telling
27:26
Speaker 1: you they're the better team. Okay, fine. They probably are,
27:30
Speaker 1: but are they that much the better team? They should
27:32
Speaker 1: be favored like this on the road in this type
27:35
Speaker 1: of spot? I don't really think so. So, yeah, getting
27:38
Speaker 1: Anaheim as a home dog I think is the right
27:40
Speaker 1: approach there. Yes. Yeah, I mean, it's a gauntlet. A
27:45
Speaker 1: lot of games in quick succession there. All right, we
27:47
Speaker 1: have NBA. Four games in the NBA. I don't like
27:50
Speaker 1: any of these games either, man. Maybe I'm being too
27:53
Speaker 1: selective so you can bash me, but whatever. My Boston
27:57
Speaker 1: Celtics are at the Orlando Magic here in the first
28:00
Speaker 1: game of the slate here. This is in the afternoon,
28:04
Speaker 1: by the way, so there is some afternoon NBA here.
28:08
Speaker 1: Celtics are coming off beating Chicago, but they really blew
28:11
Speaker 1: out Chicago in that game. I think the Celtics just
28:15
Speaker 1: I think they pretty much left the building early in
28:17
Speaker 1: that game because the Celtics were winning that game by
28:19
Speaker 1: like 30 points in the third quarter and then they
28:22
Speaker 1: somehow only won by 14. I think they just completely
28:26
Speaker 1: stopped trying. The Celtics do this a lot, man. They
28:28
Speaker 1: get way too complacent and sometimes they blow leads. The
28:32
Speaker 1: good thing is they had a massive lead in that
28:34
Speaker 1: game and the Bulls have such a terrible defense that
28:37
Speaker 1: The Bulls couldn't hold them in check enough to make
28:39
Speaker 1: a comeback or anything like that. But what I'm saying
28:42
Speaker 1: is I think the Celtics played better in that game
28:44
Speaker 1: than it looked. And the Celtics, by the way, they're
28:46
Speaker 1: a 22-point collapse against Detroit away from being undefeated right now. So,
28:51
Speaker 1: you know, the tales of the Celtics' demise because of
28:54
Speaker 1: the Jalen Brown trade were obviously exaggerated. The Celtics are
28:58
Speaker 1: still one of the top teams in this conference here.
29:02
Speaker 1: They're the better team against Orlando. Orlando is without Bonchero
29:06
Speaker 1: still here. Does that mean the Celtics are definitely going
29:09
Speaker 1: to cover as a road favorite here? No, obviously not.
29:12
Speaker 1: Orlando just got a nice upset win over Toronto, though,
29:15
Speaker 1: and they're coming home from a road trip. They've been
29:18
Speaker 1: on the road for basically a week where they went
29:19
Speaker 1: to New York and beat the Knicks, by the way,
29:21
Speaker 1: up there, which I believe that was a win I
29:24
Speaker 1: gave out on the show, I'm pretty sure. Then they
29:26
Speaker 1: got killed by Toronto in what was a letdown spot, basically,
29:29
Speaker 1: coming off of that. Then they bounced back and zigzagged
29:32
Speaker 1: and beat Toronto in the next game, which I believe
29:34
Speaker 1: I gave out a lean on that one correctly as well.
29:37
Speaker 1: Return home spot, though, you know I don't like that.
29:40
Speaker 1: um get a team it's been away for a week
29:42
Speaker 1: now they're back home having to come back through customs
29:45
Speaker 1: back down to Florida from Canada you know um maybe
29:50
Speaker 1: stuff to do at home I mean They're not going
29:52
Speaker 1: to be unfocused against the Celtics. They're still going to
29:55
Speaker 1: show up because it is the Celtics, but it's still
29:58
Speaker 1: a really tricky spot there. So I think if I
30:00
Speaker 1: was going to play this game, I think I would
30:01
Speaker 1: rather be on the Celtics here. The Celtics have 81%
30:04
Speaker 1: of the tickets, 95% of the cash, though. But you
30:08
Speaker 1: know they're going to be a pretty public road favorite,
30:10
Speaker 1: as you can see here. But it looks like maybe
30:12
Speaker 1: professional money might be joining the public on that one.
30:15
Speaker 1: I don't know. Uh, Celtics are a six and a
30:17
Speaker 1: half point favorite in that one, but it, it does
30:20
Speaker 1: also kind of look too easy to lay the points
30:22
Speaker 1: with the Celtics. I'm staying away, but I'll have a
30:24
Speaker 1: slight lean towards my Boston Celtics in that one. Uh, no,
30:28
Speaker 1: but I got to throw bias out the window, man.
30:30
Speaker 1: No bias. I'll play against the Celtics. Probably I play
30:33
Speaker 1: against them more often than I play on them. So, um,
30:37
Speaker 1: And this is just a lean anyway. Brooklyn at Indiana.
30:41
Speaker 1: Both of these teams are on my good side right
30:44
Speaker 1: now because they both got me wins in their last
30:47
Speaker 1: game by getting blown out. So I faded both these
30:50
Speaker 1: teams in their last games. Brooklyn, it was because they
30:53
Speaker 1: took the Celtics to the limit and almost beat them
30:57
Speaker 1: in a game of buzzer beaters in Boston. Brooklyn fell
31:00
Speaker 1: just short, so I thought it was going to be
31:02
Speaker 1: a major flat spot after that. I was correct. They
31:04
Speaker 1: got destroyed by the Pistons. After that, though, it could
31:07
Speaker 1: be a bounce-back spot for them now. And the Pacers
31:10
Speaker 1: just embarrassed them, by the way. Before that Celtics game,
31:14
Speaker 1: Brooklyn lost to this Pacers team 136-109 in Brooklyn. So
31:19
Speaker 1: that was recent, and now Brooklyn gets a chance to
31:22
Speaker 1: return the favor in Indiana. So I think that is
31:25
Speaker 1: a little bit of a motivator for Brooklyn, whereas Indiana
31:28
Speaker 1: might have a little bit more of a tendency to
31:31
Speaker 1: maybe overlook Brooklyn. for that reason. Indiana's also a very
31:35
Speaker 1: injured team right now. I think Halliburton's not listed on
31:39
Speaker 1: the injury report here, but I think he is. He
31:42
Speaker 1: had some injury, and it seemed like he was going
31:43
Speaker 1: to be out indefinitely, so you can correct me if
31:45
Speaker 1: I'm wrong about that, but I don't think he's playing
31:48
Speaker 1: or anything. Indiana's got some other injuries to deal with, too,
31:52
Speaker 1: right now. Hold on, let me see. There's a bunch
31:56
Speaker 1: of guys on their injury report. Zubac, I think, has
31:59
Speaker 1: been out. He's still out. Nesmith, game-time decision. Toppin, game-time decision. Yeah,
32:04
Speaker 1: McConnell is not going to play here, it looks like. Furphy,
32:08
Speaker 1: as well, is out for a long time. But I
32:10
Speaker 1: don't know if he's played at all. But yeah, this
32:12
Speaker 1: Indiana team is a bit of a mess right now
32:15
Speaker 1: as far as the injuries, again. They're coming off a
32:17
Speaker 1: blowout loss against the Heat, where, like I said, I
32:20
Speaker 1: also faded Indiana in that game. Gave that out on
32:24
Speaker 1: the show. Indiana was coming off a huge effort against
32:26
Speaker 1: the 76ers, falling just short. So similar to my handicap
32:30
Speaker 1: on that Brooklyn-Detroit game, I thought Indiana was going to
32:33
Speaker 1: be really flat in that next game. So I was
32:36
Speaker 1: right about that. Now you've got both teams coming off
32:39
Speaker 1: of blowouts here. Indiana is still the better team. This
32:43
Speaker 1: Brooklyn team is still really bad. But, yeah, I mean,
32:48
Speaker 1: they might be going with an eight-man rotation. I don't know. Indiana.
32:51
Speaker 1: Although I don't know how the injury– like how the
32:55
Speaker 1: roster stuff really works. Like if you're allowed to add
32:58
Speaker 1: players at some point when you have that many guys injured,
33:01
Speaker 1: I'm not really sure how that works. Um, I think
33:04
Speaker 1: I'd probably lean slightly towards the nets here. I mean,
33:07
Speaker 1: both teams are going to be in bounce back spots.
33:09
Speaker 1: Usually when that's the case, I'm going to lean towards
33:11
Speaker 1: the better team and that is Indiana. But, um, Indiana
33:14
Speaker 1: is only three and a half point favorite here. They've
33:16
Speaker 1: gone down from four and a half. I think they
33:18
Speaker 1: probably only get about one for home court though. Um,
33:21
Speaker 1: 57% of the tickets are on Indiana, 91% of the
33:25
Speaker 1: cash on them. So the professional money looks like it
33:28
Speaker 1: is strongly backing Indiana, but I slightly disagree. I think
33:33
Speaker 1: the thing that's pushing me towards Brooklyn in that game
33:35
Speaker 1: is that quick revenge angle there, which that doesn't mean everything.
33:39
Speaker 1: You don't really want to overrate that, but I think
33:41
Speaker 1: it means something in the early going. But I think
33:45
Speaker 1: it would mean more, like, if Indiana was coming up
33:46
Speaker 1: with a nice win or something, they'd have much more
33:49
Speaker 1: of a tendency to overlook this Brooklyn team, right? Like,
33:52
Speaker 1: both teams are probably still going to want to get
33:53
Speaker 1: this win. So those are my thoughts on that. Also,
33:57
Speaker 1: I totally forgot we're in the middle of cup play here.
34:00
Speaker 1: I don't think these games are part of the cup, though. So, yeah, like,
34:04
Speaker 1: the NBA Cup stuff started the other day. But, dude...
34:08
Speaker 1: I got to figure out which games are cup games
34:10
Speaker 1: and which ones aren't. I just handicap everything like it's
34:13
Speaker 1: a regular season game, though, for the most part, because
34:15
Speaker 1: it's just, I don't know, the cup is just stupid,
34:18
Speaker 1: and the motivation just kind of works out the same anyway. Yeah. Yeah,
34:25
Speaker 1: I don't know either. If these teams are allowed to
34:28
Speaker 1: add players or not or something when they have too
34:29
Speaker 1: many guys injured, are they allowed to call guys up
34:33
Speaker 1: from the G League? And what I will say with
34:36
Speaker 1: the Cup games is there's a little bit of a
34:38
Speaker 1: different motivational aspect to it where the teams that have
34:41
Speaker 1: real championship possibilities tend to not play as well in
34:46
Speaker 1: the Cup, but it's still like a new thing. And
34:47
Speaker 1: last year, obviously, as I pointed out, we saw two
34:50
Speaker 1: of the best teams in the league still made the
34:52
Speaker 1: Cup final there, which was OKC and San Antonio last year.
34:56
Speaker 1: All right, the Clippers are at Golden State. This one...
35:02
Speaker 1: My first read on this was I like the Clippers
35:04
Speaker 1: here because Golden State is coming off three big wins
35:06
Speaker 1: in a row. I believe all of them were upsets.
35:09
Speaker 1: They beat the Nuggets on the road by 20 points.
35:12
Speaker 1: Big upset there. They upset the Timberwolves and I took
35:15
Speaker 1: a loss on the show in that game. I thought
35:17
Speaker 1: it was a letdown for Golden State. Plus, I thought
35:20
Speaker 1: first game without Anthony Edwards, you were going to get
35:22
Speaker 1: value on the T-Wolves, and they were going to show
35:24
Speaker 1: up and play well, and that did not happen. Then
35:27
Speaker 1: after that, Golden State maintained their level of effort again,
35:30
Speaker 1: and they beat the Lakers in their last game too,
35:32
Speaker 1: and not only beat them, but they beat them significantly, 112-95.
35:35
Speaker 1: This has got to be a letdown spot at this
35:39
Speaker 1: point after that three-game run for this Golden State team
35:42
Speaker 1: that's old, and they've got a lot of injuries going
35:46
Speaker 1: on here too. I think you've got to lean to
35:48
Speaker 1: the Clippers here. The thing about Golden State is, though,
35:51
Speaker 1: you're not going to get as good of a line
35:52
Speaker 1: on the Clippers here because Golden State has already announced
35:55
Speaker 1: that they're resting guys here. So Steph Curry's not playing
35:58
Speaker 1: in this game. And I don't even know if Draymond
36:00
Speaker 1: Green has played yet, but he's going to be out
36:02
Speaker 1: as well. So you're going to get way shorter of
36:06
Speaker 1: a line here. And that's my problem with it. Like,
36:09
Speaker 1: if Curry was going to play in this game or whatever...
36:11
Speaker 1: I might be giving out a play on the Clippers here,
36:13
Speaker 1: but I don't think I could do it at the
36:15
Speaker 1: lower number here. Even though I'm still going to lean
36:18
Speaker 1: towards the Clippers here, but at this lower number, I
36:21
Speaker 1: don't think I could do it. But on the other hand, though,
36:24
Speaker 1: I will continue to lean to the Clippers because when
36:27
Speaker 1: a team like Golden State, when they're intentionally arresting players
36:30
Speaker 1: like this, that does signal that they just don't care
36:33
Speaker 1: about this game. You know what I mean? Although, again,
36:36
Speaker 1: the line value won't be as good because the oddsmakers
36:41
Speaker 1: all know that that's what they're doing, so the line's
36:43
Speaker 1: going to be lower on that team. Also, I mean,
36:47
Speaker 1: there is an argument that the players that get to
36:49
Speaker 1: play instead will step it up, right? There is the
36:52
Speaker 1: argument that they get excited to play because, oh, we
36:54
Speaker 1: don't usually get to play or fill this larger role,
36:56
Speaker 1: so let's go out there and play well. You know
36:58
Speaker 1: what I mean? For the Clippers, though... So situationally, the
37:02
Speaker 1: spot sets up better for the Clippers. The Clippers are
37:04
Speaker 1: sitting at one of four and they just got smoked
37:07
Speaker 1: by the Timberwolves. So I think the public betters, they're
37:10
Speaker 1: going to look at this and think this looks really
37:12
Speaker 1: easy to play Golden State at like a small favorite
37:15
Speaker 1: price here. Oh, Golden State on this really good three
37:17
Speaker 1: game win streak. And they just beat the Timberwolves who
37:21
Speaker 1: just killed the Clippers. So this is easy, right? You
37:23
Speaker 1: got to take the Warriors here. I'm going to say no,
37:26
Speaker 1: that's not the way you should handicap this. The Clippers
37:29
Speaker 1: have faced a difficult schedule, man. I mean, they opened
37:31
Speaker 1: with an easy win over the Kings, but since then
37:34
Speaker 1: they have not played any teams that aren't good. Like,
37:37
Speaker 1: all the teams they've played since then are playoff teams. Lakers, Thunder, Timberwolves.
37:41
Speaker 1: I expect all those teams to make the playoffs. So
37:43
Speaker 1: they've had no let-up in the schedule. So even though
37:45
Speaker 1: I don't think the Clippers are very good, I think
37:47
Speaker 1: they're probably better than the record looks right now. And
37:51
Speaker 1: they were competitive in those first two games on the
37:53
Speaker 1: road against the Lakers. and the Thunder before they got
37:57
Speaker 1: kind of blown out in the last two games. But yeah,
38:00
Speaker 1: I would rather be on the Clippers' side here. However,
38:03
Speaker 1: you do have to worry about the fact that they're
38:05
Speaker 1: changing time zones here. And the fact that this, I believe,
38:08
Speaker 1: is kind of a later game. Yeah, it's at 8.30 p.m. And,
38:12
Speaker 1: you know, I don't like teams when they're going from
38:15
Speaker 1: either the Eastern time zone or the Central time zone to...
38:18
Speaker 1: I don't like it when they go out West to
38:20
Speaker 1: the Pacific time zone and have to adjust to that
38:22
Speaker 1: time zone for a late-night game. because they're playing late
38:25
Speaker 1: on their biological clock, and I think that's the worst
38:28
Speaker 1: biological clock spot, and you can really kind of fatigue
38:31
Speaker 1: at the end of that game. So that would be
38:33
Speaker 1: one somewhat of a concern that I have with the
38:35
Speaker 1: Clippers here. That plus, I think you're not getting too
38:37
Speaker 1: much line value now, because again, the oddsmakers know that
38:41
Speaker 1: Golden State's resting a bunch of guys. The money is
38:44
Speaker 1: still agreeing with the Clippers, though. I still agree with that,
38:46
Speaker 1: but you're having to take two and a half now,
38:48
Speaker 1: or two with the Clippers, again, because the oddsmakers... having
38:52
Speaker 1: to account for the fact that Curry's not playing and whatever.
38:54
Speaker 1: 69% of the tickets on Golden State, 50-50 on the cash.
39:00
Speaker 1: But it's not an injury. When a guy gets unexpectedly injured,
39:04
Speaker 1: the team tends to step up their level of play.
39:06
Speaker 1: But in a scheduled rest game like this for Curry,
39:10
Speaker 1: et cetera, you know, I mean, that's a little bit
39:13
Speaker 1: of a different thing, again, where I think it's like
39:16
Speaker 1: the team's mental state is more like, we don't care
39:18
Speaker 1: about this game, you know what I mean?
39:19
Speaker 3: So.
39:21
Speaker 1: I would lean towards the Clippers in that game, yeah.
39:24
Speaker 1: And I don't believe any, none of these teams are
39:26
Speaker 1: on back-to-backs, I don't think, so you don't have to
39:27
Speaker 1: worry about any of that. And then we have Toronto.
39:30
Speaker 1: at the LA Lakers here. Toronto just lost to the Magic,
39:34
Speaker 1: but they're having to fly cross-country now for an even
39:36
Speaker 1: later game, a 9 p.m.
39:37
Speaker 2: Game.
39:39
Speaker 1: And one of the longest trips that you could possibly,
39:41
Speaker 1: I think this is probably the longest possible trip in
39:44
Speaker 1: the NBA, right, going from Toronto to L.A., I think
39:49
Speaker 1: because there's no– I would say it would be– well,
39:51
Speaker 1: Miami to Portland is really long, too. There's no Seattle
39:55
Speaker 1: team is what I was about to say. But this
39:56
Speaker 1: is a long trip for Toronto to go out to L.A. And, again,
40:00
Speaker 1: East Coast team having to travel west to start this
40:03
Speaker 1: road trip here, it's going to be difficult on their
40:05
Speaker 1: biological clock. So I don't love that for Toronto, having
40:08
Speaker 1: to go way out west like that. Toronto, you know,
40:12
Speaker 1: should be kind of in a bounce-back spot. If they
40:14
Speaker 1: did lose as a home favorite to the Magic– in
40:17
Speaker 1: that zigzag spot where the Magic bounce back after getting
40:21
Speaker 1: blown out by Toronto in the previous game. But the Lakers,
40:25
Speaker 1: I think, are going to be in a bounce-back mode
40:26
Speaker 1: too here. Lakers coming off that loss to the Warriors,
40:29
Speaker 1: really ugly loss that I mentioned there. So I would
40:34
Speaker 1: lean towards the Lakers here. The Lakers, they're returning home
40:36
Speaker 1: from a quick road trip, but I don't think that
40:38
Speaker 1: matters that much. And they're staying in California here, so
40:41
Speaker 1: they don't have to change time zones. So I would
40:43
Speaker 1: rather have the Lakers in this game if I was
40:45
Speaker 1: going to play it. they opened four and a half,
40:47
Speaker 1: but they're down to two and a half, three, so
40:50
Speaker 1: there might be an injury going on here for the Lakers,
40:52
Speaker 1: I'll look in a second, 65% of the tickets, 86%
40:54
Speaker 1: of the cash on the Lakers, so the money is
40:59
Speaker 1: seemingly backing the Lakers here, even if they are mildly public.
41:02
Speaker 1: And I would agree with that. I'd lean towards the
41:05
Speaker 1: Lakers here, but of course this is the NBA, man.
41:07
Speaker 1: Like you see these lines move and it's like, well,
41:09
Speaker 1: what's going on? Like the NBA, because I think Greg
41:12
Speaker 1: Popovich was kind of the one that started this. We
41:14
Speaker 1: have teams that are just going to randomly rest players and,
41:17
Speaker 1: you know, just injuries seem to happen way more often.
41:19
Speaker 1: So you got to account for all that crap here. Uh,
41:21
Speaker 1: Kawhi Leonard, by the way, still out for Toronto. Uh,
41:25
Speaker 1: doesn't look like there's any huge injury for the Lakers. Um,
41:28
Speaker 1: T Tiero or however you pronounce his name is a
41:32
Speaker 1: game time decision here. He's, I think the, the bigger, uh,
41:36
Speaker 1: he's the guy of bigger importance between him and Zaire
41:39
Speaker 1: Williams here. Uh, but not like a massively significant injury
41:42
Speaker 1: for the Lakers there. So yeah, I don't know what's
41:44
Speaker 1: going on with that line being reduced, but yeah, I
41:47
Speaker 1: would lean unless maybe Toronto's getting somebody back in this game,
41:50
Speaker 1: but even if that's the case, whatever, I would lean
41:53
Speaker 1: towards the Lakers in that one. And I think that
41:56
Speaker 1: is it, man. Just in time for people to go. Oh, well,
42:00
Speaker 1: we got to do the market real quick. I was
42:01
Speaker 1: going to say you can go watch that Catholic game,
42:04
Speaker 1: the Rome game for the college basketball tip off there,
42:08
Speaker 1: which I did not have a play on, but slightly
42:11
Speaker 1: for me to Notre Dame and that one plus the points,
42:13
Speaker 1: but nothing crazy there. Let's do the NFL final market
42:17
Speaker 1: read here. You can go watch my NFL show from
42:20
Speaker 1: last night. You can get the detailed analysis of every game.
42:23
Speaker 1: I gave up one play because I really hate the
42:25
Speaker 1: board this week, but we're going to be on the
42:26
Speaker 1: Jets minus one and a half. I think they're catching
42:30
Speaker 1: the Raiders in a bad spot here. I think we're
42:32
Speaker 1: getting the better defense with the Jets. And there's a
42:35
Speaker 1: reason why the Jets are favored. And the Raiders, because
42:37
Speaker 1: their offenses still look good and whatever, and they have
42:39
Speaker 1: the better record over the Jets. And because the Jets
42:42
Speaker 1: are coming off an embarrassing loss this The public is
42:45
Speaker 1: all over the Raiders here, and I think that that's stupid.
42:48
Speaker 1: The Raiders are a public underdog. Really ridiculous. So, yes,
42:52
Speaker 1: we're going to be on the Jets. Anyway, looking at
42:54
Speaker 1: the market read here real quick, I'm surprised Detroit is
42:58
Speaker 1: public to some extent. I am. I really expected the
43:01
Speaker 1: public to be, oh, we're getting points in Minnesota here,
43:03
Speaker 1: but the real money, I'm pretty sure, is on the
43:05
Speaker 1: Lions there, and I do agree with that one. I just,
43:09
Speaker 1: I'm not going to be leaning towards the team. It's
43:11
Speaker 1: an undefeated team getting points. You know what I mean?
43:14
Speaker 1: It doesn't work out well usually. This deep into the season,
43:17
Speaker 1: as I pointed out last night, the history is very
43:20
Speaker 1: much against Minnesota there. Every team that's been in this
43:23
Speaker 1: type of spot, when they have six plus games under
43:27
Speaker 1: their belt and they're still undefeated, if they're an underdog
43:30
Speaker 1: in a game, all of them have lost and failed
43:32
Speaker 1: to cover the spread at this point. It's 0-4, I think.
43:35
Speaker 1: I know it's a small sample size, but still there's
43:38
Speaker 1: kind of a reason for it. So I'd prefer Detroit
43:41
Speaker 1: in that one, even though I don't exactly love the
43:43
Speaker 1: scheduling setup for them. The money is definitely agreeing with
43:45
Speaker 1: me on the Jets fading the public, so I like
43:48
Speaker 1: that one. The money is coming in on Dallas, but
43:51
Speaker 1: I'm going to continue to disagree with that one. I'd
43:53
Speaker 1: be leaning to Arizona in that game, plus the points.
43:57
Speaker 1: I don't understand how Dallas... I expected Dallas to be
44:00
Speaker 1: way more public than this with less of the money
44:03
Speaker 1: on them, so I don't get that. The money is
44:05
Speaker 1: starting to disagree with me on Tampa Bay versus Atlanta,
44:08
Speaker 1: but I like Tampa Bay... in that one. I'm not
44:10
Speaker 1: going to be on Atlanta after they pulled off that
44:12
Speaker 1: massive upset against the 49ers. You can go watch my
44:15
Speaker 1: full analysis on all of that, but the market is
44:18
Speaker 1: hard to read in that game anyway. My lean in
44:20
Speaker 1: that one remains Tampa Bay, though. I do agree with
44:25
Speaker 1: the market read on Baltimore Buffalo. I like Baltimore in
44:27
Speaker 1: this one. Buffalo is a Pretty heavy public side with
44:30
Speaker 1: a lot less of the money on them. Lamar Jackson
44:33
Speaker 1: is coming back, which normally I don't like that because
44:35
Speaker 1: I think it causes the line to over-adjust. But in
44:38
Speaker 1: a case like this where Baltimore is the anti-public dog
44:41
Speaker 1: and they're coming off a really embarrassing loss, I think
44:43
Speaker 1: Baltimore is the way to look in that game. Indy
44:47
Speaker 1: and Jacksonville, really difficult to figure out because Jacksonville was
44:50
Speaker 1: going to be a 7.5-point favorite. Then Indy started a
44:54
Speaker 1: fire sale, basically, which kind of indicates they're Packing it
44:58
Speaker 1: in for the season, so now Jacksonville's a 10-point favorite.
45:01
Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Jacksonville. I probably prefer
45:03
Speaker 1: Jacksonville just because they are coming out of a bye,
45:07
Speaker 1: which should help them with that return from two weeks
45:09
Speaker 1: in London. And Indy's coming off a punishing performance against
45:12
Speaker 1: Minnesota last week, where we got that game right on
45:15
Speaker 1: the show. That was a play I gave out. Indy
45:17
Speaker 1: covered the spread there and almost won. I don't like
45:20
Speaker 1: laying double digits, though, man. And this might be a
45:23
Speaker 1: game they still show up for because it's a big
45:25
Speaker 1: divisional game, so that would worry me. But I have
45:27
Speaker 1: a slight, very slight lead towards Jacksonville there, and the
45:30
Speaker 1: money does seem to agree with that one. But at
45:33
Speaker 1: 10 instead of 7.5, it makes it a lot more
45:35
Speaker 1: difficult to really justify that. 10 is another key number,
45:39
Speaker 1: and now you're talking about double digits. The money is
45:42
Speaker 1: slightly indicating on Cincinnati, but I do not agree with
45:44
Speaker 1: that one. I would only lean towards taking the points
45:46
Speaker 1: with the Titans in that one, even though they're kind
45:48
Speaker 1: of fire sailing as well there. I don't think you
45:52
Speaker 1: can justify laying double digits with the Cincinnati Bengals coming
45:55
Speaker 1: off a monster win over the Ravens. Those are my
45:59
Speaker 1: thoughts there. The money is coming in on the Pittsburgh
46:03
Speaker 1: Steelers side there in the Cleveland-Pittsburgh game. I don't like
46:06
Speaker 1: that either. The one good thing for Pittsburgh there is
46:09
Speaker 1: that Cleveland has lost 22 regular season games in a
46:13
Speaker 1: row at Pittsburgh. So history is very much against Cleveland
46:17
Speaker 1: in this game. And it's technically a revenge spot for
46:20
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh after the earlier game this season. The home teams,
46:23
Speaker 1: the regular season games, the home teams have won the
46:26
Speaker 1: last 29 matchups between these two teams. No, that's not
46:31
Speaker 1: quite right. Pittsburgh has won 22 home games in a row.
46:34
Speaker 1: Cleveland has won seven home games. Yeah, I think it's
46:36
Speaker 1: seven home games in a row. Maybe it's six. Whatever
46:39
Speaker 1: it is. So the home team, yeah, has won a
46:42
Speaker 1: lot of the recent games. However, I can't be on
46:44
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh when they're coming back from France with no time off.
46:48
Speaker 1: That has been a horrible spot for these teams coming
46:51
Speaker 1: back from Europe with no time off. They've lost and
46:53
Speaker 1: failed to cover every single time, so... I think I
46:57
Speaker 1: have to lean towards the Browns in that one. It
46:58
Speaker 1: looks like it's going to be a low-scoring game, so
47:01
Speaker 1: getting all the points that you can in that game
47:03
Speaker 1: might matter. I would prefer the Browns, even though I
47:07
Speaker 1: know that the Browns are overrated. They're not as good
47:09
Speaker 1: as their record would indicate, but I also think Pittsburgh
47:11
Speaker 1: is probably not as good as their record either, even
47:13
Speaker 1: though I do think they're better than Cleveland, though. Then
47:18
Speaker 1: we have Chargers-Rams. I think this one's easy. I think
47:21
Speaker 1: you can only lean to the Chargers in this one,
47:23
Speaker 1: plus the points. Rams Republic with less than the money
47:26
Speaker 1: on them. Chargers coming out of a winless team coming
47:29
Speaker 1: out of a bye. You got to look towards that side.
47:32
Speaker 1: And that was one of the heavy leans that I
47:35
Speaker 1: gave out on the show last week with the Miami Dolphins.
47:38
Speaker 1: They won the game outright. I would not be shocked
47:40
Speaker 1: if the Chargers win this game outright. I wouldn't. So
47:44
Speaker 1: they're playing in their home stadium, even though they're technically
47:46
Speaker 1: the road team and they're not going to get that
47:48
Speaker 1: much crowd support. But I still like that one. The
47:51
Speaker 1: money has flipped and it does agree with me on
47:53
Speaker 1: Kansas City again against Denver. I like Kansas City in
47:56
Speaker 1: that one. I felt that the public would have a
47:58
Speaker 1: slight tilt towards Denver there based off of recency bias,
48:02
Speaker 1: even though it is technically in-season revenge. But I still
48:04
Speaker 1: think Kansas City wants this game so they can reclaim
48:08
Speaker 1: the division from Denver. You know what I mean? And
48:10
Speaker 1: Kansas City has a difficult upcoming schedule, and Denver does not.
48:14
Speaker 3: So.
48:15
Speaker 1: If Denver wins this game, they're probably going to win
48:16
Speaker 1: the division because of the difficulty of the upcoming schedule.
48:20
Speaker 1: Kansas City, yeah, I like Kansas City in that one.
48:23
Speaker 1: And after Kansas City looked brutally bad in their last game,
48:26
Speaker 1: people are going to be off of them a little
48:28
Speaker 1: bit because of recency bias. New England is very public
48:31
Speaker 1: against Miami. Some of the money appears to be on
48:34
Speaker 1: New England too, but I think I would take the points.
48:36
Speaker 1: in that one with Miami. New England tends to not
48:39
Speaker 1: do that well in Miami. You're getting a ton of
48:41
Speaker 1: points there. Miami at least finally has a win under
48:44
Speaker 1: their belt so they can, you know, the pressure is
48:46
Speaker 1: at least kind of off as far as that's concerned.
48:48
Speaker 1: They don't really have to worry about that anymore. They're
48:52
Speaker 1: not going to be overconfident or anything, but they have
48:54
Speaker 1: some new momentum there. The one thing, though, is that
48:56
Speaker 1: Drake May does do really well as a favorite. He
48:59
Speaker 1: plays well against bad teams, basically, and Miami is definitely
49:02
Speaker 1: a bad team, but I will lean towards Miami plus
49:05
Speaker 1: the points there. And in the Sunday night game, I
49:08
Speaker 1: am leaning towards the Eagles as the underdog here. I
49:10
Speaker 1: just think the stock is so low on this Eagles
49:13
Speaker 1: team now, and it's still, you know, I mean, I
49:16
Speaker 1: know they're without Jalen Hurts, but McKee is getting more.
49:20
Speaker 1: experience Saquon Barkley it'll be his second game back so
49:22
Speaker 1: that should at least help the offense be more balanced,
49:26
Speaker 1: you know what I mean? And if the running game
49:28
Speaker 1: is a threat, then the passing game can open up
49:30
Speaker 1: a little bit more. Washington definitely has the worst defense
49:33
Speaker 1: there at the very least. If you take Philly, you're
49:36
Speaker 1: getting the better defense, getting points at the very least.
49:38
Speaker 1: And I think that's the way I'm going to lean there.
49:40
Speaker 1: Washington is coming out of a bye though, but they
49:42
Speaker 1: went into the bye on a great note, almost upsetting
49:45
Speaker 1: the 49ers. So I would rather have the Eagles in
49:47
Speaker 1: that one. And then Monday night, we'll talk about it
49:50
Speaker 1: more tomorrow. But slight market read indicating towards the Bears,
49:54
Speaker 1: and I do agree with that one. The Bears plus
49:57
Speaker 1: the points, even though they're the worst defense getting points there.
49:59
Speaker 1: But I want no part of Seattle after they looked
50:02
Speaker 1: really good against the Chiefs in that primetime game. I'd
50:05
Speaker 1: rather have the more rested Chicago team there. That one,
50:09
Speaker 1: I haven't decided if I'm going to put that one
50:11
Speaker 1: on the card yet. It's possible. I want to kind
50:14
Speaker 1: of watch the market flesh out a little bit more
50:16
Speaker 1: there and you'll still be able to get at least
50:17
Speaker 1: three on Chicago, maybe three and a half there. So
50:20
Speaker 1: that's where I'm looking there. And that is it for
50:23
Speaker 1: the show here. Fig nuts. Oh, thank you, sir. Thank
50:27
Speaker 1: you for the sub. Thanks for hanging. Or if you're
50:30
Speaker 1: sending me a submarine sandwich, I'll, I'll appreciate that too.
50:34
Speaker 1: You know, dude, I'm fat. Obviously, you know, I like sandwiches. Um,
50:38
Speaker 1: unfortunately I had to shave, uh, for my costume yesterday.
50:41
Speaker 1: So I always look like a, um, an obese baby
50:45
Speaker 1: after Halloween. Um, unless I incorporate my beard into my costume,
50:50
Speaker 1: I'm regrowing the beard, but it's going to take a
50:51
Speaker 1: little while. Um, you're Vikings fan. Yeah. Um, so you
50:57
Speaker 1: probably know that this Vikings team, uh, they're a little
51:01
Speaker 1: bit overrated, man. They have one of the league's best defenses,
51:04
Speaker 1: but they have one of the league's worst offenses. So it's, uh,
51:07
Speaker 1: It's a real crazy dynamic they have going on there.
51:12
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think they're going to be a playoff team, obviously,
51:15
Speaker 1: whatever it is. Even though I said a couple weeks ago,
51:17
Speaker 1: I think there's value betting on them to miss the playoffs.
51:21
Speaker 1: That's not going to be the case anymore. But I
51:24
Speaker 1: still think there's going to be value in fading them
51:27
Speaker 1: for the remainder of the season. I appreciate it, everybody.
51:31
Speaker 1: Learn to Tote on Twitter, Instagram, TikTok as well, sort of,
51:35
Speaker 1: although they... They don't like betting content on TikTok, so
51:39
Speaker 1: I'm trying to find a way around that. I don't know.
51:41
Speaker 1: But yes, like, subscribe to the channel here. Be like
51:44
Speaker 1: Fig Nuts here, my man. Yeah, do all that. Comment,
51:48
Speaker 1: boost this channel. Let's go, man. Toadstool Sports, we're on
51:52
Speaker 1: audio as well. Listening over there helps me out as well.
51:55
Speaker 1: On all the major platforms, Apple, Spotify. If you listen
51:59
Speaker 1: on Spreaker, it gives me an extra boost as well.
52:03
Speaker 1: What else we got? I do ukulele covers. That's it
52:06
Speaker 1: covered in uke on YouTube. Patreon.com slash LearnToToad if you
52:10
Speaker 1: want to support me there. You get like a little
52:12
Speaker 1: bit of bonus uke stuff there though. So it's not
52:15
Speaker 1: sports related for now, but again, I got to think
52:18
Speaker 1: about some better like Patreon content, you know, and I
52:21
Speaker 1: know I have memberships on this channel too, but I
52:23
Speaker 1: haven't really done any members only stuff yet. I got
52:25
Speaker 1: to figure it out, man. Got to do something with that. Um,
52:31
Speaker 1: What else? And Loser Cast every Tuesday night, the comedy
52:35
Speaker 1: podcast that I'm on, because I need to fill that hole, man,
52:38
Speaker 1: after Tower Gang disintegrated, which was one of the best
52:42
Speaker 1: shows of all time, in my opinion, probably because I
52:45
Speaker 1: was on the show. But, you know, yeah, that's all
52:50
Speaker 1: I got, man. Yes, correct. Yeah, it'll be a litmus
52:56
Speaker 1: test for them, Minnesota there. In a way, it is
53:00
Speaker 1: offense versus defense in that game, and I usually like
53:02
Speaker 1: the better defense getting points, and that is Minnesota there.
53:05
Speaker 1: But I don't like playing on undefeated teams that are
53:08
Speaker 1: getting points either, though, because the odds makers are basically
53:10
Speaker 1: telling you not to believe the records there. So, yeah,
53:15
Speaker 1: it'll definitely be interesting. The scheduling spot, though, does look
53:18
Speaker 1: a little bit worse for Detroit because they just had
53:21
Speaker 1: another big divisional win last week. Two big divisional games
53:24
Speaker 1: in a row, and Minnesota had a lackluster game. against
53:28
Speaker 1: the Colts. Minnesota was coming out of their bye, which
53:32
Speaker 1: I felt would disrupt their momentum. So I will admit
53:35
Speaker 1: the scheduling spot I think does actually favor Minnesota a
53:38
Speaker 1: little bit there, but I'm going with more of a
53:40
Speaker 1: market approach on that game. Goff has never lost to
53:44
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray. Yeah, they probably played each other a lot
53:48
Speaker 1: when they were both in the same division, right, when
53:49
Speaker 1: it was Rams-Cardinals there. But, I mean, I wouldn't put
53:53
Speaker 1: too much stock into that because the Rams are just
53:55
Speaker 1: the way better team over the Cardinals throughout that entire stretch,
53:59
Speaker 1: you know what I mean? So it wasn't just Goff
54:01
Speaker 1: versus Kyler, but I think Goff is the better quarterback, though.
54:04
Speaker 1: I'm definitely not sold on Kyler Murray. He's been a
54:09
Speaker 1: loser throughout his career. And even though his team is winning,
54:12
Speaker 1: he's being carried by his defense, probably literally because he's
54:16
Speaker 1: a small guy, so the defense is probably literally picking
54:19
Speaker 1: him up and carrying him. All right, that's going to
54:21
Speaker 1: do it. I appreciate it, guys. I'll probably be back
54:24
Speaker 1: tonight to try to cover all this college basketball that's
54:27
Speaker 1: going on tomorrow. But in the meantime, you can watch
54:29
Speaker 1: my NFL show before that kicks off today. We can
54:33
Speaker 1: go watch this college basketball game in Rome, the Catholic game,
54:37
Speaker 1: and see what's going on there. That's going to do it.
54:41
Speaker 1: Five times. You mean you're talking about the undefeated teams
54:45
Speaker 1: that are an underdog this deep into the season? They
54:48
Speaker 1: might be 0-4. I thought they were 0-4, but yeah,
54:50
Speaker 1: they might be 0-5. Minnesota, by the way, as I
54:53
Speaker 1: mentioned last night, is one of those teams. Back in
54:55
Speaker 1: the Randy Moss era, I'm pretty sure Minnesota had a
54:59
Speaker 1: game where they were undefeated this deep into the season
55:02
Speaker 1: and lost. So I think they are one of those teams.
55:05
Speaker 1: That's going to do it. I appreciate it, guys. Peace
55:09
Speaker 1: for now.
55:12
Speaker 3: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone.
55:16
Speaker 2: Let somebody answer, let somebody know.
55:21
Speaker 3: You do not have to lose this round alone. Hold on,
55:31
Speaker 3: hold on, not tonight. Not now Hold on, hold on
55:42
Speaker 3: Let me pull you out That bad luck fights hard
55:50
Speaker 3: But it don't get the crown Hold on, hold on
55:59
Speaker 3: Stay with me now Hold on, hold on You're still
56:09
Speaker 3: here now guitar solo