Latest / Brian Thomas / Inside Scoop with Breitbart News - John Carney
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Just Shibato six here fifty five kr CD talk station.
- 0:04Speaker 1: It being Tuesday, it is that time of week I
- 0:06Speaker 1: always look forward to. It's time for the inside scoop.
- 0:09Speaker 1: But breit Bart News starting with a recommendation my listening
- 0:12Speaker 1: audience bookmark bright BARTR E I T B A RT
- 0:15Speaker 1: dot com. You're glad you did a lot of great work.
- 0:17Speaker 1: They do each and every day, and one of the
- 0:19Speaker 1: guys does some fantastic work. Welcome back to the fifty
- 0:21Speaker 1: five KRC Morning Show. Economics editor at bright Bart John Carney,
- 0:24Speaker 1: good to have you back on today, my friend.
- 0:27Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks for having me. So.
- 0:29Speaker 1: Factory orders have increased because of the artificial intelligence surge.
- 0:33Speaker 1: I thought a I was going to put everybody out
- 0:34Speaker 1: of a job, John, I know that's boiled down, but.
- 0:39Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I mean that is the complaint about AI
- 0:43Speaker 2: is that it's, you know, it's going to be so
- 0:46Speaker 2: good at what it does that it's going to cause
- 0:48Speaker 2: mass unemployment.
- 0:49Speaker 3: I'm a skeptic of that, but in the meantime, at
- 0:54Speaker 3: least in the near term, it's definitely causing a lot
- 0:58Speaker 3: of factory work in the US to be done.
- 1:02Speaker 2: And we're seeing this. It shows up in the GDP numbers.
- 1:05Speaker 2: It showed up in factory order numbers, and I think
- 1:09Speaker 2: it's important that people understand the factory order numbers are
- 1:11Speaker 2: not just They're not measured from the consumer side or
- 1:15Speaker 2: even from the businesses making the order side. It's these
- 1:19Speaker 2: are orders being measured from at US factories. So these
- 1:23Speaker 2: aren't you know, orders going into order things from China
- 1:26Speaker 2: or Mexico or even Germany. These are orders that are
- 1:31Speaker 2: expanding at a very rapid rate in the US, so.
- 1:36Speaker 1: We're we're able to domestically meet demands. One of the
- 1:40Speaker 1: hard lessons that we learned out of COVID nineteen is
- 1:42Speaker 1: that we don't make anything anymore. I know that's a
- 1:44Speaker 1: broad brush statement, so don't hold me to that, John,
- 1:46Speaker 1: because we still make things. But the vast amount of
- 1:49Speaker 1: things we bought from China. The revelation that are of
- 1:52Speaker 1: our pharmaceuticals were coming from China, that all these you know,
- 1:54Speaker 1: electronic goods and things were all coming from China. So
- 1:58Speaker 1: have we righted the ship over the past five five years.
- 2:00Speaker 2: John, not yet. I wish we had corrected course completely.
- 2:07Speaker 2: Of course, we actually are seeing a lot of imports
- 2:09Speaker 2: as well. Uh. Frankly, because we we went way overboard
- 2:14Speaker 2: with the industrialization in the US, so we can meet
- 2:18Speaker 2: some of it. One of the good things that has
- 2:20Speaker 2: been happening, though, is that we're seeing a lot of
- 2:25Speaker 2: expansion of capacity in the US. We are we are
- 2:27Speaker 2: building more factories where and a lot of the equipment
- 2:31Speaker 2: we're seeing purchaser are actually well. We went through a
- 2:34Speaker 2: period of time and this is sert of mind blowing
- 2:37Speaker 2: to people, where a lot of the orders from for
- 2:40Speaker 2: US manufacturers were actually going to support manufacturing abroad. So
- 2:48Speaker 2: companies would buy things to you know, machinery used to
- 2:51Speaker 2: make consumer products, and then they would ship those to China.
- 2:56Speaker 2: So we made the things that we're shipping our jobs abroad. Well,
- 2:59Speaker 2: we're not doing that as much anymore. We're actually now
- 3:01Speaker 2: making more of the things so that we can use
- 3:04Speaker 2: them here in the US for making things. It's going
- 3:07Speaker 2: to take some time to completely reverse that. It's not
- 3:10Speaker 2: going to come used.
- 3:11Speaker 1: No, of course, building factories is a multi year process anymore.
- 3:15Speaker 1: You got all the regulatory challenges, you got environmental regulations
- 3:18Speaker 1: and challenges, and insofar as AI itself is concerned, you
- 3:22Speaker 1: got a real problem. And there's this growing backlash against
- 3:24Speaker 1: artificial intelligence facilities showing up. I guess I always stand
- 3:28Speaker 1: from the proposition that, look, this is a global competition,
- 3:31Speaker 1: this AI. Whatever AI is supposed to do for us,
- 3:35Speaker 1: everyone's going headlong toward it. China, We're in competition with
- 3:38Speaker 1: them over the dominance of AI, so we apparently need it.
- 3:41Speaker 1: So there's this growing backlash. So I think primarily built
- 3:45Speaker 1: on this left wing energy policy we face. You know,
- 3:47Speaker 1: windmills cannot supply enough energy to build to run a city,
- 3:50Speaker 1: let alone a brand new artificial intelligence facility that shows
- 3:53Speaker 1: in your neighborhood forcing the energy builds up. You've got
- 3:55Speaker 1: to share with the great consumer of electricity AI. He
- 4:00Speaker 1: wants to do that. Do you see an AI bubble bursting?
- 4:03Speaker 1: Maybe as a consequence of that or because people just
- 4:05Speaker 1: just they're not going to abide John.
- 4:08Speaker 2: So I do always worry. You know, there's a lot
- 4:11Speaker 2: of enthusiasm and a lot of spedding in AI. And
- 4:13Speaker 2: when I see numbers like you know, the electronic products
- 4:17Speaker 2: category in the rising twenty one percent year over year,
- 4:22Speaker 2: that that is a reason for pause, because that's a
- 4:26Speaker 2: lot of sudden surge of investment. But I will say
- 4:29Speaker 2: that we can solve a lot of these problems. Yes,
- 4:32Speaker 2: there is left wing opposition to building AI facilities, building
- 4:38Speaker 2: data servers, but look, the left is going to oppose
- 4:42Speaker 2: all reindustrialization. They don't like factories. One of the reasons
- 4:46Speaker 2: we've lost a lot of factories was not just that
- 4:49Speaker 2: Chinese mercantilism was sponsoring jobs to move abroad, but also
- 4:53Speaker 2: because US policy was actually opposed to upgrading any facilities.
- 4:58Speaker 2: We could do this. There's actually areas in America where
- 5:01Speaker 2: there are where there's spare electric capacity that will blow
- 5:05Speaker 2: people's minds. And you say, how could that be. Well,
- 5:08Speaker 2: areas that used to have electric heavy factories that close
- 5:14Speaker 2: down often still have the generator capacity to power large
- 5:22Speaker 2: manufacturing plants, which means they have extra capacity. So here,
- 5:26Speaker 2: So one solution is you build AI.
- 5:30Speaker 1: Near where we use near the power. Exactly interesting concept, John, Wow.
- 5:35Speaker 2: Yeah. And also you can put it, by the way,
- 5:38Speaker 2: a friend of mine is working on a project to
- 5:41Speaker 2: put a lot of these things underground because that you
- 5:44Speaker 2: automatically get some cooling during the summer months. If you're underground,
- 5:48Speaker 2: park on top of it, it doesn't have to look ugly.
- 5:52Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that. So, but you just mentioned left
- 5:56Speaker 1: wing opposition to AI. So left wing opposition to AI
- 5:59Speaker 1: largely based on the price of electricity and the competition
- 6:02Speaker 1: for energy consumption with the AI facilities. So they're left
- 6:05Speaker 1: wing policies. We don't give us sufficient electricity because they
- 6:08Speaker 1: don't want us to exhale got to get rid of
- 6:11Speaker 1: it in favor of a windmill serves to benefit their
- 6:14Speaker 1: opposition to AI as well. It's nice hand in hand
- 6:16Speaker 1: relationship there. What does the left have against AI? Is
- 6:20Speaker 1: it the apeah?
- 6:21Speaker 2: Look, they they're only lying to you when they say
- 6:26Speaker 2: that they are upset about the price of electricity. What
- 6:29Speaker 2: they don't like about the AI plans is that they
- 6:31Speaker 2: use electricity at all. If it had no impact, they
- 6:34Speaker 2: would still on the consumer price. That would still generate
- 6:38Speaker 2: their opposition because what they really oppose is the use
- 6:42Speaker 2: of energy, frankly, but especially of fossil fuels. And a
- 6:47Speaker 2: lot of our electricity is going to be for the
- 6:50Speaker 2: rest of time supplied by fossil fuels, at least as
- 6:54Speaker 2: long as we are on this earth. You know, maybe
- 6:58Speaker 2: when we have a Mars holiday or someday you know
- 7:01Speaker 2: that won't be oil based, sure, but everything here on
- 7:05Speaker 2: Earth will be oil. Natural gas will be made of carbon,
- 7:09Speaker 2: and they hate that they are going. And frankly, that's
- 7:13Speaker 2: why even I don't even know that they hate AI.
- 7:16Speaker 2: They hate industry. They do not They want us all
- 7:19Speaker 2: to kind of have email server jobs. They do not like.
- 7:23Speaker 1: Consumption is what they hate. Success, American success is what
- 7:27Speaker 1: they hate. They want to undermine the model that has
- 7:30Speaker 1: worked so well for so many people, that has served
- 7:32Speaker 1: the entire globe because we make so much blanking money
- 7:35Speaker 1: that we pay for pretty much every other country in
- 7:37Speaker 1: the world. What would happen if they got their way,
- 7:39Speaker 1: John Carney from an economic standpoint, my economics editor Barke Bart, friend,
- 7:43Speaker 1: if they just was successful in pulling the plug on
- 7:46Speaker 1: this American experiment that has so far been able to
- 7:48Speaker 1: bring about such great things for everyone else who hasn't
- 7:51Speaker 1: gone down our economic experiment road collapse right.
- 7:55Speaker 2: Well, we would have to get used to speaking Chinese
- 8:00Speaker 2: because we will become a colony of China and not
- 8:04Speaker 2: a free and independent nation anymore. We cannot oppose innovation
- 8:08Speaker 2: in the US, And frankly, I don't think it's going
- 8:11Speaker 2: to happen. I think they will succeed in some places.
- 8:14Speaker 2: Vermont may make sure that there is you know, you
- 8:17Speaker 2: can actually look at fracking. If your state passed a
- 8:20Speaker 2: fracking ban, you're in danger of your state making sure
- 8:24Speaker 2: that there is no AI facilities in your state. So
- 8:28Speaker 2: what will happen was is a lot of these facilities
- 8:30Speaker 2: and the construction jobs that go with building them will
- 8:33Speaker 2: migrate to states that are friendlier to them. And by
- 8:37Speaker 2: the way, that's how federalism works. I'm fine with that,
- 8:41Speaker 2: and they will stay out of the states that are
- 8:42Speaker 2: going to give them two hard of a time. You know. Again,
- 8:46Speaker 2: that'll be the experiment people can If they decide that
- 8:49Speaker 2: they don't want it where they live, that's okay. Somebody
- 8:52Speaker 2: else will take it.
- 8:53Speaker 1: Yeah, well, that's kind of like from a global perspective AI.
- 8:56Speaker 1: If we don't do it, then China will do it
- 8:59Speaker 1: and they will get all the benefits of artificial intelligence.
- 9:01Speaker 1: We'll find fall behind the eight ball. You know, we're
- 9:03Speaker 1: talking energy, John Carneie, you mentioned the fossil fuel is
- 9:05Speaker 1: going to be powering the world into the foreseeable future.
- 9:08Speaker 1: If we weren't so resistant to small modular reactors and
- 9:11Speaker 1: could get those put together and in service very quickly efficiently,
- 9:15Speaker 1: AI could pay for and bring its own power source
- 9:18Speaker 1: that it could share with the neighborhood, couldn't it.
- 9:21Speaker 2: Yes, And a lot absolutely small module nuclear reactors are
- 9:28Speaker 2: going to be used in the future. We are, and
- 9:31Speaker 2: we need to make sure that whatever barriers we have, look,
- 9:34Speaker 2: we want it to be safe. But these things can
- 9:36Speaker 2: be done very safely, and we should have a lot
- 9:40Speaker 2: more of them. Also, there's a use there's a lot
- 9:43Speaker 2: of discussion about the use of water, and I just
- 9:45Speaker 2: want to point out that the water that AI facilities
- 9:48Speaker 2: use is used to cool things. It's not contaminated in
- 9:52Speaker 2: the process, right, You're not washing off something dirty. And
- 9:57Speaker 2: the water, by the way, never goes away. It's still.
- 10:01Speaker 2: And so the water use issue is overwrought. And I mean, sure,
- 10:06Speaker 2: maybe don't put the you know, you have to cool
- 10:08Speaker 2: these things. You need a lot of water. Don't put
- 10:11Speaker 2: it in the desert. I understand that we have a
- 10:14Speaker 2: lot of places where there's a lot where I live,
- 10:17Speaker 2: if you dig a hole in the ground, I have
- 10:19Speaker 2: a well at my house. If you dig a hole
- 10:21Speaker 2: in the ground, you get water. So there's a lot
- 10:23Speaker 2: of places where water is abundantly available.
- 10:26Speaker 1: Right, an excellent point. Though the water doesn't go away,
- 10:29Speaker 1: AI isn't eating it. It goes back into the circulation
- 10:32Speaker 1: in the system. You know, I couldn't. I had to interject.
- 10:34Speaker 1: You don't build an AI facility in the desert where
- 10:36Speaker 1: there's no water, and you shouldn't build a nuclear power
- 10:39Speaker 1: facility in an area that might be subjected to a
- 10:42Speaker 1: tsunami Fukushima, right.
- 10:46Speaker 2: Absolutely, Yeah, you keep it. You keep your nuclear power
- 10:49Speaker 2: off a fault line, You keep it away, you know,
- 10:52Speaker 2: away from any place that might be hit by a tsunami.
- 10:55Speaker 2: But you do. And you keep your AI processing plant
- 10:59Speaker 2: out of any place it gets to one hundred and
- 11:01Speaker 2: twenty degrees in the summertime and doesn't have a you know,
- 11:03Speaker 2: out of quick water. These are very common sense. By
- 11:06Speaker 2: the way, the people building these things know this. They
- 11:08Speaker 2: don't want to you know, nobody wants to build these
- 11:10Speaker 2: things in the desert. They want to build these things,
- 11:14Speaker 2: and they also don't want these things to be is sores,
- 11:17Speaker 2: you know right now. Yes, some of the if you
- 11:20Speaker 2: drive out and you look for one of these things,
- 11:22Speaker 2: you can find it. But they they're not putting these
- 11:25Speaker 2: things in the middle of your beautiful city park. They're
- 11:28Speaker 2: usually act way out of the way, in the back
- 11:31Speaker 2: of a farm somewhere well, can you have to try
- 11:35Speaker 2: to see it?
- 11:36Speaker 1: Or where they put the Amazon processing facilities another giant
- 11:39Speaker 1: kind of squig big football size field or larger square box.
- 11:43Speaker 1: All right, So pivoting over happen to be a fan
- 11:46Speaker 1: of German automobiles. And although I know the German auto
- 11:49Speaker 1: industry is struggling mightily because of the ridiculous energy policies
- 11:52Speaker 1: and the cost of energy there, I think the whole
- 11:54Speaker 1: entire German economy is going to collapse under the weight
- 11:56Speaker 1: of their stupidity. But tariffs, which I may maybe coming
- 12:00Speaker 1: our way in terms of additional tariffs on European cars,
- 12:04Speaker 1: is that what's going to happen, John.
- 12:06Speaker 2: I think Europe is actually going to back down. They
- 12:12Speaker 2: haven't been compliant with what Donald Trump says they agreed
- 12:15Speaker 2: to in Scotland when he was first putting on tariffs.
- 12:20Speaker 2: So they're going to have to have meetings, they're going
- 12:22Speaker 2: to talk, and they are going to bring themselves into compliance.
- 12:26Speaker 2: It's the US economy, and particularly access to the US
- 12:29Speaker 2: market is much too important for the particularly those German
- 12:35Speaker 2: car makers, and those people are very influential in Europe,
- 12:39Speaker 2: and they are not going to allow themselves to be
- 12:46Speaker 2: pushed out of the US market by very high tariffs,
- 12:49Speaker 2: and so I think they will try very hard to
- 12:52Speaker 2: bring themselves in compliance. By the way, a lot of
- 12:54Speaker 2: them also build in the US, and we'll probably see
- 12:58Speaker 2: more of that if the tariffs right. They don't want
- 13:01Speaker 2: to be shut out, so they will build here.
- 13:03Speaker 1: Well, that will be okay, because it seems to me
- 13:06Speaker 1: that building them here is a lot cheaper than building
- 13:09Speaker 1: them in Germany. I mean, they got rid of their
- 13:11Speaker 1: nuclear fleet, they got rid of their coal fire plants.
- 13:13Speaker 1: They are moving. They do not bother with hydraulic fracking,
- 13:16Speaker 1: even though it's widely reported they have enough potential natural
- 13:18Speaker 1: gas that they could frack to provide them with twenty
- 13:21Speaker 1: years at current annual gas consumption rate, so they could
- 13:24Speaker 1: be self sufficient. But this is forcing the price of
- 13:27Speaker 1: the energy through the roof, as you know, John, which
- 13:30Speaker 1: means the product you buy from a German manufacturer is
- 13:34Speaker 1: going to be a lot more expensive in the global
- 13:35Speaker 1: world and in terms of competition than a car from
- 13:38Speaker 1: someplace else. I mean, that just makes sense.
- 13:41Speaker 2: Europe's policies are bizarre when it comes to this, because
- 13:45Speaker 2: the manufacturing will get done and so the energy consumption
- 13:49Speaker 2: will get done. All that their energy policies do is
- 13:52Speaker 2: force that out of Europe. I don't know what. And
- 13:57Speaker 2: when you're talking, you know, even if you're concerned, your
- 14:00Speaker 2: greatest concern in life is climate change. Forcing production out
- 14:05Speaker 2: of your local area to whether it's North America, South America,
- 14:10Speaker 2: Asia or Africa doesn't help you with the issue that
- 14:14Speaker 2: you think you right, It doesn't make any I love
- 14:18Speaker 2: that it's called it's called global climate change for a reason,
- 14:22Speaker 2: and they, you know, yet they're willing to force it
- 14:25Speaker 2: out of their area. Often I wonder if you're secretly
- 14:30Speaker 2: signed a suicide pact and they're just trying to live
- 14:32Speaker 2: up to the terms of their bargain.
- 14:34Speaker 1: John, you couldn't have stated it better than that. I
- 14:36Speaker 1: regularly refer to these these the legislation in terms of
- 14:39Speaker 1: the energy alleged energy production, and it's an impact on
- 14:43Speaker 1: climate as self inflicted wounds. Clearly they are. And the
- 14:47Speaker 1: other component of this is, John, the idea that you yourself,
- 14:50Speaker 1: Germany or European Union whatever, are not going to do
- 14:52Speaker 1: this evil thing called carbon production. You're going to let
- 14:55Speaker 1: somebody else do it so you can virtue signal and
- 14:57Speaker 1: say ha ha, we're not producing carbon bore. Were getting
- 14:59Speaker 1: everything from China or Russia or someplace else that is
- 15:02Speaker 1: belching pollutants into the world. It's preposterous, John, I can't
- 15:06Speaker 1: believe they've gotten away with it this long, but here
- 15:08Speaker 1: we find ourselves.
- 15:09Speaker 2: It's ridiculous one thing that is actually benefiting them. Look
- 15:14Speaker 2: in some ways, Putin, Iran and even China have really
- 15:19Speaker 2: played into our hands on this in that Putin has
- 15:22Speaker 2: made it clear that you don't want to be relying
- 15:25Speaker 2: on Russia for your energy resources. You can't be reliant
- 15:29Speaker 2: on Iran or frankly all the Middle East for you
- 15:33Speaker 2: or oil. This is making the one great world oil
- 15:37Speaker 2: producer that is reliable, safe, has a great ethical government
- 15:43Speaker 2: that's called the United States that's really going to benefit
- 15:45Speaker 2: us for the long long.
- 15:47Speaker 1: Term, Right Bart Economic Senator John Carney. It's always a
- 15:50Speaker 1: pleasure having on the show. John, to look forward to
- 15:51Speaker 1: having you back again. I keep writing the stuff you
- 15:53Speaker 1: write each and every day and again to my listeners
- 15:55Speaker 1: Brightbart dot com. You got a book market and enjoy
- 15:57Speaker 1: what they do there. John, we'll talk against and best
- 16:00Speaker 1: to you and everybody at bright part Yeah, thanks for
- 16:03Speaker 1: having me. My pleasure eight twenty two fifty five Kercit
- 16:06Speaker 1: talk station and so my pleasure to buy my daughter
- 16:08Speaker 1: and Eric rhino shield