Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: Fall system's going clear the left of what is going on?
- 0:37Speaker 2: Everybody happy Thursday, Friday, Saturday. Whenever you're watching, hope you're
- 0:41Speaker 2: having a great day. We are back talking some UFC
- 0:44Speaker 2: thirteen fights in the Apex. It looks like like a
- 0:47Speaker 2: revamped apex, though I think they added more seats and
- 0:50Speaker 2: more fans. I'm excited to see how it looks. More importantly, though,
- 0:54Speaker 2: thirteen fights. That's good for DFS. I don't know if
- 0:57Speaker 2: we can expect thirteen by tomorrow after wayans with how
- 1:00Speaker 2: it's usually been, but fingers crossed we keep all thirteen.
- 1:04Speaker 1: How are we doing this fine? Afternoon, Big Marlin?
- 1:07Speaker 3: Good? Yeah, they we lost the fight. I was looking
- 1:10Speaker 3: forward to having had time to research the other guy,
- 1:13Speaker 3: so we're gonna save that one for our members. But
- 1:15Speaker 3: I was I was feeling pretty good about this card.
- 1:18Speaker 3: I did a podcast last night, so I feel like
- 1:22Speaker 3: have a little refresher going into this one, I guess,
- 1:25Speaker 3: but I didn't talk about too much DFS stuff, and
- 1:28Speaker 3: I am struggling to find some underdogs on this card.
- 1:30Speaker 3: I think there's a couple of popular ones I'm fine with,
- 1:32Speaker 3: but looking forward to talking this out with you and
- 1:37Speaker 3: hopefully we don't lose a fight, but I feel at
- 1:39Speaker 3: this point I'm just used to losing at least one
- 1:42Speaker 3: the day before.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Yeah, I am too. I mean, I'm hoping we don't,
- 1:45Speaker 2: but yeah, I'm definitely used to it. I'm not surprised
- 1:48Speaker 2: by any means, like you did mention, as you can see,
- 1:52Speaker 2: like not everything's filled in. So Basher I was supposed
- 1:55Speaker 2: to fight sayitin or Maga Mettov was gonna be awesome.
- 1:57Speaker 2: Fight mid tier was like minus one thirty plus Normaga
- 2:01Speaker 2: metoff out so in his Yanni Vasquez And yeah, like
- 2:05Speaker 2: Big Marley mentioned, we will have slate plan. It'll have
- 2:08Speaker 2: all of my breakdown, Big Marley's fight rankings, s will
- 2:11Speaker 2: have his breakdown projections, ownership. We don't even have a
- 2:14Speaker 2: line out for that fight yet, so we will skip
- 2:16Speaker 2: that fight when we do go and talk about it.
- 2:19Speaker 2: We got ysn in here sites, but tell you, Mike
- 2:22Speaker 2: Spencer appreciate everyone.
- 2:23Speaker 1: Hanging out live or on playback. Oh we asked.
- 2:26Speaker 2: Is the like button and the subscribe button helps us
- 2:28Speaker 2: out a ton And if you do want to join
- 2:30Speaker 2: us at the Nation, all you gotta type in is
- 2:32Speaker 2: ship in nation dot com. Join the Nation in the
- 2:35Speaker 2: bottom left, and you can get a daily pass if
- 2:37Speaker 2: you want to do that. On Saturday, we'll have our
- 2:39Speaker 2: football content up for the super Bowl. Then it's nine dollars.
- 2:43Speaker 2: Get you Sabersim all of our content in all sports.
- 2:46Speaker 2: No discord though, but if you sign up now, I
- 2:49Speaker 2: think probably the best deal five days for nineteen dollars.
- 2:51Speaker 2: You do get super Bowl content, NBA content, PGA Showdown
- 2:56Speaker 2: content for the Waste Management MMA of course, and now
- 3:00Speaker 2: or not NASCAR excuse me, and NHL. Nascar actually should
- 3:03Speaker 2: be coming back pretty soon. Maybe it's next week, but yeah,
- 3:06Speaker 2: a lot of sports going on. You can get in
- 3:08Speaker 2: as low as nine dollars or five days for nineteen dollars.
- 3:11Speaker 2: Discord Sabersim content for everything broad slide overview. I'm just
- 3:17Speaker 2: looking at your fight rankings quick only one five stars,
- 3:21Speaker 2: a couple four stars.
- 3:22Speaker 1: I'm in agreement with you.
- 3:23Speaker 2: I'm not sure how high scoring this card will be,
- 3:26Speaker 2: but I'm also struggling with some underdogs. A lot of
- 3:28Speaker 2: big favorites on this card. Again, I put these odds
- 3:31Speaker 2: up on Tuesday, so we'll see the line movement. There
- 3:35Speaker 2: has been a couple of fights that have had a
- 3:36Speaker 2: good amount of live movement too, from Tuesday to Thursday.
- 3:39Speaker 2: So I always like using this as a reference and
- 3:42Speaker 2: you can see where the money goes. Obviously, always follow
- 3:44Speaker 2: the money and I mean pretty much everything in life.
- 3:47Speaker 2: So anything, any initial thoughts for you before we go
- 3:50Speaker 2: fight by fight?
- 3:51Speaker 3: No, I mean that main event is going to be
- 3:54Speaker 3: the one I'm really focused on, and then I think
- 3:56Speaker 3: you can make a case to use pretty much anybody
- 4:00Speaker 3: us on this card, or make a case to fade
- 4:02Speaker 3: anybody else on this card for sure?
- 4:04Speaker 2: Are you gonna if you had one hundred and fifty teams?
- 4:06Speaker 2: Are you locking that Batista only verifight not.
- 4:10Speaker 3: I wouldn't make a rule, but I would hope that
- 4:12Speaker 3: I end up with at like one hundred and forty
- 4:14Speaker 3: six or something at least.
- 4:16Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I mean, I agree, I most I don't
- 4:21Speaker 2: think I'm gonna make a rule, but almost all of
- 4:23Speaker 2: my lineups, I'm planning on having that fight. But like
- 4:26Speaker 2: last week, the Vault fight, it busted. We did talk
- 4:28Speaker 2: about that a little bit. So when that does bust,
- 4:30Speaker 2: you have a lot better chance at a solo ship.
- 4:32Speaker 2: For there was one last week, two hundred thousand big ones.
- 4:36Speaker 2: So yeah, we'll hopefully have some uh some members some
- 4:40Speaker 2: shipping nation logos at the top of the leader boards
- 4:43Speaker 2: for this week's prizes are still good. Five pm Eastern
- 4:46Speaker 2: again at the Apex. No time to waste. We're going
- 4:49Speaker 2: Boytom the top like always. Claudia Segula minus one fifty
- 4:52Speaker 2: Priscilla catch Aware plus one thirty minus one thirty five
- 4:56Speaker 2: for this fight to finish, catch Aware the underdog plus
- 4:58Speaker 2: one eighty five inside the this since Segula plus two fifty.
- 5:03Speaker 2: So actually, when I wrote this fight up earlier today
- 5:06Speaker 2: and ketch Aware was plus one forty inside the distance
- 5:10Speaker 2: now plus one eighty five. Segula was plus three to
- 5:13Speaker 2: fifty inside the distance now plus two fifty. So just
- 5:18Speaker 2: hours ago again I wrote this up. The fight to
- 5:21Speaker 2: finish hasn't changed it mine. It's one thirty five, but
- 5:24Speaker 2: the favorite Segula has taken some money her inside the
- 5:26Speaker 2: distance prop ketch Aware has went the other way. Curious
- 5:29Speaker 2: to hear your take on this one. I'm definitely gonna
- 5:31Speaker 2: play it.
- 5:32Speaker 1: I like it.
- 5:32Speaker 2: I think ownership. I'll throw it to you first and
- 5:35Speaker 2: I'll talk about mine. Segoula, Ketchaware, what we got.
- 5:38Speaker 3: Yeah, I think, I mean this is like the fight
- 5:42Speaker 3: that I love to play, and I also hate to
- 5:44Speaker 3: play because it's the first fight of the night and
- 5:47Speaker 3: if you pick a side on it, it's usually me
- 5:50Speaker 3: that's screwed the first fight of the night, But this one,
- 5:52Speaker 3: I would want to take sides on both. With just
- 5:54Speaker 3: EMM and me, I would want to be overweight to
- 5:56Speaker 3: both because I don't think either one's going to get
- 5:58Speaker 3: too much ownership, and they both have one hundred point potential.
- 6:02Speaker 3: Catchawaere is gonna be She's gonna be marching forward trying
- 6:05Speaker 3: to knock out Segula. That's her game plan in every
- 6:08Speaker 3: single fight. She'll eat shots to give hers uh and
- 6:11Speaker 3: then Segula is the more technical striker. She's not gonna
- 6:14Speaker 3: have much power behind her shots. But I think she's
- 6:17Speaker 3: the more likely wrestler here, and I think if she
- 6:19Speaker 3: gets into top control, she will be active with their
- 6:21Speaker 3: strikes there, and either one of these these ladies could
- 6:24Speaker 3: get a finish. I'm not gonna rely on it, so
- 6:27Speaker 3: I picked it to go to a decision, But even
- 6:29Speaker 3: in the decision, I think Segula could score well here
- 6:32Speaker 3: against Catchaware, especially if she's laying in takedowns along the way.
- 6:36Speaker 3: I put it as a three in a three because
- 6:38Speaker 3: I prefer Segula, but that thousand dollars could go a
- 6:41Speaker 3: long way in a fight that I'm not confident on
- 6:44Speaker 3: in at all. And plus one twenty five for a
- 6:46Speaker 3: seventy six hundred dollars fighter who can get ninety plus
- 6:50Speaker 3: points and all win, I mean that's pretty solid. So
- 6:52Speaker 3: I'm absolutely fine moving down from Segula to Catchaware if
- 6:56Speaker 3: that's what I need to do. But my pick is
- 6:59Speaker 3: Segula to get two or three rounds on the school cards.
- 7:03Speaker 2: I am worried Ketchaware does get pretty up there in
- 7:06Speaker 2: terms of ownership in the lower tier. I mean, plus
- 7:08Speaker 2: one thirty for seventy six hundred and plus twenty five
- 7:11Speaker 2: inside the distance is very good on a card that's
- 7:14Speaker 2: difficult to find underdog.
- 7:16Speaker 1: So I'm still gonna play her.
- 7:17Speaker 2: I mean again, seventy six hundred plus one eighty five
- 7:20Speaker 2: plus one for everything I just said. I'm playing her
- 7:23Speaker 2: because I think she's a good play. But I do
- 7:24Speaker 2: think the field will play quite a bit of her.
- 7:27Speaker 2: And like you said, Ketchaware fights are fun. She just
- 7:29Speaker 2: walks forward, blocks punches with her face, and throws bombs,
- 7:33Speaker 2: so she easily can get a first round, second round
- 7:35Speaker 2: knockout whenever. If she does, it'll score well. But I
- 7:38Speaker 2: have a lot of interest in Segula in chalk your lineups,
- 7:41Speaker 2: which again, if you're playing the main event, if we
- 7:44Speaker 2: got again no line on this Baschrod fight. But if
- 7:46Speaker 2: Baschrot's minus four hundred and you plug in Baschrod and
- 7:49Speaker 2: then you go playing al Meda kooney of in the
- 7:52Speaker 2: mid tier, that's gonna be popular, then you got to
- 7:54Speaker 2: look somewhere to get different. Sagoula is definitely someone I'm
- 7:57Speaker 2: gonna play again. Ketchaware fights usually fun. I think Catchawear
- 8:01Speaker 2: forces Togola to do something. She's not known to be
- 8:04Speaker 2: a wrestler. But man, if there's ever a fight to
- 8:06Speaker 2: wrestle and mix in takedowns, this is the fight. Catchwear
- 8:09Speaker 2: not great, takedown defense, not great off her back, and
- 8:13Speaker 2: Sigola can win a striking match as well lands a
- 8:16Speaker 2: little more volume. Catch Awear very hit able. I do
- 8:19Speaker 2: like to see plus three hundred down and plus two
- 8:21Speaker 2: to fifty inside the distance. And again, if Catchawear does
- 8:24Speaker 2: get ownership like I think she does, you get some
- 8:27Speaker 2: leverage that way too. So first fight of the night,
- 8:29Speaker 2: I mean, sign me up. I play a lot of teams,
- 8:31Speaker 2: so I don't really worry first fight, second night, or fight.
- 8:34Speaker 2: They're all independent to each other. It means nothing in
- 8:37Speaker 2: terms of dfs. It's more of an emotional thing for people.
- 8:40Speaker 2: If you play one lineup, you pick wrong, you're drawing
- 8:43Speaker 2: dead all card. I'll embrace that for sure. Again, I
- 8:45Speaker 2: play a lot of lineups, though, but I think this
- 8:47Speaker 2: is a great fight to target to kick off the card,
- 8:50Speaker 2: and I will definitely be playing both sides.
- 8:52Speaker 3: And it's also great. I mean when you do take
- 8:54Speaker 3: a side and you're right that person, yeast of the
- 8:56Speaker 3: card is just that much better for sure.
- 8:59Speaker 2: Absolutely you're locked in, even more so looking at all, right,
- 9:01Speaker 2: when's my next fighter going to be fighting?
- 9:03Speaker 1: For sure? Always a great feeling. Let's go to the
- 9:06Speaker 1: next fight.
- 9:07Speaker 2: A mid tier fight Muen gaffer of minus one forty
- 9:10Speaker 2: Jacob Wicklas plus one twenty minus one fifty for this
- 9:13Speaker 2: fight to finish, Wicklas plus one eighty inside the distance
- 9:16Speaker 2: Gaffro plus two twenty another.
- 9:19Speaker 1: Fight I like.
- 9:20Speaker 2: So on Tuesday when I put up the odds, it
- 9:22Speaker 2: was plus one hundred to finish. Now it's minus one fifty.
- 9:25Speaker 2: A lot of money coming in on the under Wicklas
- 9:28Speaker 2: the underdog open plus two thirty inside the distance now
- 9:31Speaker 2: plus one eighty, gaffer of open plus three hundred inside
- 9:34Speaker 2: the distance now plus two twenty. And I think this
- 9:37Speaker 2: fight probably comes in under owned because I think people
- 9:40Speaker 2: will go to the Dalmata Kunia fight more rightfully so depending.
- 9:44Speaker 1: On where the ownership is.
- 9:46Speaker 2: And then the Boscherat fight with side like what this does.
- 9:50Speaker 2: Assuming he's a minus three hundred or greater favorite. The
- 9:53Speaker 2: price doesn't move, It's already came out on FanDuel and DraftKings.
- 9:57Speaker 2: It's not gonna move. So he'll be very popular for
- 10:00Speaker 2: his money line alone. But man like, if that fight's
- 10:03Speaker 2: favorite like this vast quiz dude doesn't look bad again,
- 10:06Speaker 2: we're not going to talk about that fight as much.
- 10:08Speaker 1: I need to look into it a little more.
- 10:10Speaker 2: But if he's going to be really popular, all that
- 10:12Speaker 2: does is nike the Gaffro Wicklas fight even less owned.
- 10:16Speaker 1: I really like the fight.
- 10:17Speaker 2: I've I've grown to like the mid tier quite a
- 10:19Speaker 2: bit on this card, and I wouldn't be shocked at
- 10:22Speaker 2: this fight outscores. Al made a Kunia at the end
- 10:24Speaker 2: of the day, just say ol media. When we talk
- 10:26Speaker 2: about that controls round one, coonia of knocks him out
- 10:29Speaker 2: in two. He scores eighties. So sign me up for
- 10:31Speaker 2: this fight. Give me both sides. I'm picking gaff Rom,
- 10:34Speaker 2: but yeah, I'd love to get overweight on both guys.
- 10:37Speaker 2: How do you see it?
- 10:39Speaker 3: I don't like it as much as you, but I
- 10:41Speaker 3: am cool with it. Who you which do you like more?
- 10:43Speaker 3: This fight or the one we just talked about?
- 10:45Speaker 1: This fight? Yeah?
- 10:47Speaker 3: Interesting, I think I like the one we just talked
- 10:49Speaker 3: about more, But it's also because I don't have a
- 10:51Speaker 3: strong feeling either way on this fight. It was one
- 10:54Speaker 3: of those where give me the plus money whoever that
- 10:57Speaker 3: guy is.
- 10:58Speaker 2: I will say these are two of my favorite on
- 11:00Speaker 2: the card at ownership, Okay, I think I think They're
- 11:03Speaker 2: going to be relatively low own and I'm going to
- 11:05Speaker 2: be eaten chalk at spots. So yeah, it's two of
- 11:08Speaker 2: my favorites to kick off the card, which yeah, sounds weird.
- 11:11Speaker 3: Yeah, and I am cool with this fight. I just
- 11:13Speaker 3: I don't have a lean either way. I think wick
- 11:15Speaker 3: Lax is the more dangerous grappler, the higher paced striker.
- 11:21Speaker 3: Gafferov's the better wrestler, stronger wrestler, the more powerful striker,
- 11:25Speaker 3: probably the better overall striker, but he's just low volume,
- 11:29Speaker 3: and he he's low volume, and he also draws his
- 11:33Speaker 3: opponent into being lower volume than normal too, So it's
- 11:36Speaker 3: almost the Gafferov side that I don't care too much for.
- 11:38Speaker 3: But Wicklas is usually pretty aggressive right out of the gates.
- 11:42Speaker 3: He'll go for takedowns often as well. But he did
- 11:45Speaker 3: only score sixty nine points in his in his debut win.
- 11:49Speaker 3: I thought he all that looking for sixty nine, but
- 11:52Speaker 3: I could also see this fight just being so fifty
- 11:55Speaker 3: to fifty that it does go the distance. We don't
- 11:57Speaker 3: even know who's about to win. And if that's the case,
- 11:59Speaker 3: is there going to be a score. I don't know, man,
- 12:01Speaker 3: So I'm just fine with either side of this one.
- 12:04Speaker 3: My preferred play is gonna be Wicklas, though I'd rather
- 12:06Speaker 3: save that two hundred dollars. However, if Gafarov was the
- 12:12Speaker 3: eight k er out have been saying, he's my preferred
- 12:14Speaker 3: play here. So really zero lean at all for me
- 12:16Speaker 3: in this fight. I have no idea what to think,
- 12:19Speaker 3: and I do think it's gonna be a close fight,
- 12:21Speaker 3: and it's gonna be back and forth We're gonna see takedowns, reversals.
- 12:26Speaker 3: The striking is gonna be close as well, so big
- 12:29Speaker 3: wide range of margins in this fight.
- 12:31Speaker 2: I do want to mention so the wick Las I
- 12:33Speaker 2: don't have any significant strikes per minut or takedowns. And
- 12:36Speaker 2: the don Chenko fight, this is their second UFC fight
- 12:39Speaker 2: for both lately, like when it's just one UFC fight
- 12:43Speaker 2: and it feels like an anomaly, Like the don Chenko
- 12:45Speaker 2: numbers are crazy. The wick Las fight, I mean Paty
- 12:49Speaker 2: wrestled them. I mean, yeah, he was a big underdog
- 12:51Speaker 2: against Patchy Mix. I don't even know if Paty Mix
- 12:54Speaker 2: might just be buns. At the end of the day,
- 12:56Speaker 2: I thought Pati won the fight. He had more takedowns,
- 12:58Speaker 2: he controlled them regardless, though I didn't think the numbers
- 13:02Speaker 2: told the true story, which is why I didn't put
- 13:04Speaker 2: it there. But yeah, gaffrof can be boring. I think
- 13:07Speaker 2: people will game log watch and see that. But I
- 13:09Speaker 2: think Wiklax is going to bring the pressure and force
- 13:12Speaker 2: Gaffrov to fights. So yeah, like two of my favorite
- 13:16Speaker 2: fights at Ownership and ones that I'll be playing both
- 13:18Speaker 2: sides of. There is some better fights that I like
- 13:20Speaker 2: straight up, but I think the field will catch on
- 13:23Speaker 2: to it more, whereas these two, I think maybe the
- 13:25Speaker 2: field might be lacking a little bit.
- 13:27Speaker 1: But yeah, I love to see Tuesday.
- 13:29Speaker 2: Plus one hundred for the fight to finish now to
- 13:31Speaker 2: minus one fifty's that's a lot of money on the
- 13:34Speaker 2: under right there in the mid tier allows you to
- 13:36Speaker 2: leave money pretty easily as well, So I like it.
- 13:40Speaker 1: What's up, Tyler, great to see. I hope you're having
- 13:43Speaker 1: a great night. Keep a rolling.
- 13:45Speaker 2: Next fight on the card, big favorite Wing Cang minus
- 13:48Speaker 2: three fifty taking on Uarda Mora plus two eighty five
- 13:51Speaker 2: minus one zero five for this fight to finish, weighing
- 13:54Speaker 2: plus one fifty inside the distance more of plus five
- 13:57Speaker 2: hundred another one that inside distance Wang open plus two
- 14:02Speaker 2: forty five inside the distance now plus one fifty more
- 14:06Speaker 2: open plus three thirty five inside the distance now plus
- 14:09Speaker 2: five hundred. This fight in general to finish open plus
- 14:13Speaker 2: one twenty five now minus one oh five. I'm gonna
- 14:16Speaker 2: play a little Wang to get different again when I'm
- 14:19Speaker 2: playing the main event, when I'm playing all made, if
- 14:21Speaker 2: I'm eating a lot of chalk, I am fine playing
- 14:24Speaker 2: some Wang and getting different. Like more people will play
- 14:27Speaker 2: Ola J. Check and leave thee hundred for sure don Chenko.
- 14:31Speaker 2: I don't love the idea of going don Chenko to
- 14:33Speaker 2: Wang leaving four hundred. But in the flagship, if it
- 14:37Speaker 2: goes from forty five dupes to two dupes, yeah, then
- 14:40Speaker 2: I'm in for it. And maybe that is the case.
- 14:42Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm gonna play some wing, good striker, a
- 14:45Speaker 2: lot of volume plus one fifty to finish is good.
- 14:48Speaker 2: And I think I'm gonna play some Mora too, just
- 14:50Speaker 2: because if she wins, I think it's through wrestling and
- 14:52Speaker 2: on the mat, And yeah, any win at seven K
- 14:55Speaker 2: I'll take, especially if I know it's gonna be on
- 14:57Speaker 2: the mat. So yeah, I guess I couldn't say it's
- 15:00Speaker 2: one of my favorites, but I think this fight's gonna
- 15:02Speaker 2: be very low owned relative to a lot of the
- 15:05Speaker 2: other ones, and I can make a case for both.
- 15:07Speaker 2: So yeah, as we go up the card, you're gonna
- 15:09Speaker 2: see more fights I don't like at ownership and stuff.
- 15:13Speaker 2: I'm gonna be playing these three, but I will say
- 15:15Speaker 2: it's my least favorite of the three we talked about.
- 15:17Speaker 1: Take it away, what do you see?
- 15:19Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I might move this one to a
- 15:20Speaker 3: three star as well, because I am cool playing either
- 15:23Speaker 3: side of this one. I think it's a striker versus
- 15:25Speaker 3: grapple or matchup where Wang is gonna have too big
- 15:28Speaker 3: of an edge on the feet for Moro, where I
- 15:30Speaker 3: don't see mour having any real chance in a striking
- 15:32Speaker 3: match in this one. And then I also think Mora
- 15:36Speaker 3: could wrestle her way to a victory, and if she
- 15:39Speaker 3: does win, she's gonna outscore that seven K price tag
- 15:43Speaker 3: and she could put up a pretty big number too.
- 15:44Speaker 3: So I like the fact that we could get the
- 15:48Speaker 3: big number for Maura and we could get a knockout
- 15:51Speaker 3: from Wang or just a bunch of strikes and a
- 15:53Speaker 3: win from her. But my worry here is Mora wins
- 15:56Speaker 3: the first round with wrestling, and then Wang wins the
- 15:59Speaker 3: second anthem or finishes in the third, and we don't
- 16:03Speaker 3: get a big score at ninety two hundred. Because that's
- 16:06Speaker 3: how my prediction is. I think the best way to
- 16:08Speaker 3: bet this fight would be to wait till after round
- 16:10Speaker 3: one and then take Wang, And I just think the
- 16:12Speaker 3: takedowns will be harder to come by for Mora. She'll
- 16:15Speaker 3: start to slow down, Wang will start to pick up
- 16:18Speaker 3: the pace, and she'll just start to triple up more
- 16:20Speaker 3: on the feet and those strikes could add up and
- 16:23Speaker 3: put her away. But if she's dropping the first round,
- 16:26Speaker 3: I think that ninety two hundred is just too tough
- 16:28Speaker 3: of us, too tough of a price for me to
- 16:31Speaker 3: want to get overweight too. Anyways, I'm okay matching the
- 16:34Speaker 3: field on her, but I don't want to get too
- 16:35Speaker 3: much overweight at that price tag because I do think
- 16:38Speaker 3: Mora could look pretty good, especially early.
- 16:40Speaker 1: In this fight.
- 16:41Speaker 2: Yeah, that all makes sense, I mean, but I think
- 16:44Speaker 2: that's why Wang might be like fifteen percent. Well at
- 16:47Speaker 2: Jheck might be like forty four percent. You're getting a
- 16:49Speaker 2: lot of leverage, just ways to get different when you're
- 16:53Speaker 2: playing Wang. And I don't think money are going to
- 16:55Speaker 2: click Moura either, So at ownership, this is definitely a
- 16:58Speaker 2: fight I am willing to embrace striker versus grappler, the
- 17:02Speaker 2: undertaking money. Yeah, I'm in on this fight, and it's
- 17:06Speaker 2: not gonna take too much to get overweight, which is
- 17:09Speaker 2: what I like. Again, we're gonna skip the bos Trot
- 17:12Speaker 2: Vasquez fight Big Marlin, and I still got to look
- 17:14Speaker 2: into a little more. We have no odds on the fight, Like,
- 17:17Speaker 2: we don't even know what Vasco is gonna be priced.
- 17:18Speaker 2: If it's minus one thirty plus one ten, Vasquoz is
- 17:22Speaker 2: gonna be seventy nine hundred. I don't think that's the case.
- 17:24Speaker 2: I think more than likely it'll be like a minus
- 17:26Speaker 2: three fifty or something. Again, I have no clue this
- 17:29Speaker 2: Vasco is. That guy doesn't look too bad. But if
- 17:32Speaker 2: that's the case, maybe he's like sixty eight hundred or something.
- 17:35Speaker 2: So a lot of moving pieces. We will have everything
- 17:38Speaker 2: up in the slate playing the fight rankings, and again
- 17:41Speaker 2: you can get that just typeenship nation dot com, Join
- 17:43Speaker 2: the Nation daily passes, five day passes, monthly, you name it.
- 17:48Speaker 2: We have the option over here, and we'd love to
- 17:50Speaker 2: have you at the Nation mid tier fight. I mean,
- 17:53Speaker 2: I already talked about these fights. I like, I am
- 17:55Speaker 2: not gonna make a case for this one Katln Sosa
- 17:59Speaker 2: minus one forty eight Bruna Brazil plus one twenty eight
- 18:03Speaker 2: minus or excuse me, it's minus three twenty five to
- 18:05Speaker 2: go the distance plus two fifty for it to finish,
- 18:09Speaker 2: or Sosa plus three twenty five inside the distance Brazil
- 18:12Speaker 2: plus six seventy five. You can't play every fight, and
- 18:15Speaker 2: I've already talked about some I like, so mid tier
- 18:18Speaker 2: in my opinion is now strong. I like Yo Mada Kuniyev,
- 18:20Speaker 2: I like Gaffrov Wicklex and Javid's probably going to be
- 18:24Speaker 2: a solid play too. So yeah, exit out. If I
- 18:27Speaker 2: had a preferred side, I'm going Sosa because she's doubled
- 18:30Speaker 2: the likelihood of finishing the fight than Brazil, and on
- 18:34Speaker 2: thirteen fight card, I think we need some bit of upside.
- 18:37Speaker 2: But I mean, you can make the case that you
- 18:38Speaker 2: like Brazil more because she's six hundred cheaper. Regardless, I
- 18:41Speaker 2: don't want much of this fight.
- 18:43Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not. I'm just not gonna play this fight.
- 18:45Speaker 3: My pig is actually for Brazil to win. I just
- 18:49Speaker 3: think she's the better at range kickboxer here, and if
- 18:52Speaker 3: she is not at range, she needs to get all
- 18:53Speaker 3: the way in and laying takedowns, and I think she
- 18:56Speaker 3: could grind out man. It's with some takedowns in this
- 18:58Speaker 3: fight too. Susan's gonna be one march and forward, throwing
- 19:01Speaker 3: big time shots and trying to knock out Brazil. But
- 19:04Speaker 3: I just don't rely one hundred and fifteen pounds women
- 19:07Speaker 3: to get knockouts. I'm not gonna play this fight. Period. Brazil,
- 19:11Speaker 3: even in her ceiling, is probably just barely paying off
- 19:15Speaker 3: with ten x this seventy eight hundred, so I'm not
- 19:18Speaker 3: interested in that. I'll look for other underdogs. I mean,
- 19:21Speaker 3: if I have one hundred and fifty, maybe I'll get
- 19:23Speaker 3: a little bit of Brazil. But I highly doubt I
- 19:25Speaker 3: end up with one hundred and fifty on this card,
- 19:27Speaker 3: so I'll be limiting the underdogs that I play, and
- 19:30Speaker 3: I'm just going to x this fight out to make
- 19:32Speaker 3: the rest of the card easier on me.
- 19:35Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, at this point, if you're playing one fifty,
- 19:38Speaker 2: I've looked at a lot of sharp people and what
- 19:39Speaker 2: they do. They almost never x anyone out. I've definitely
- 19:42Speaker 2: been too aggressive in the past, so I wouldn't x
- 19:44Speaker 2: out any fight on this card, that's for sure if
- 19:47Speaker 2: I'm playing one fifty. But I would make sure I
- 19:49Speaker 2: don't have much of this at all. If I play
- 19:52Speaker 2: one fifty, it's in three dollars. Lately, I've been doing
- 19:54Speaker 2: like seventy there some of the flag ship and stuff,
- 19:58Speaker 2: But yeah, I won't have any of this fight if
- 20:01Speaker 2: I'm only making a handful of teams next.
- 20:03Speaker 1: Fight on the card.
- 20:05Speaker 2: This fight was actually announced on Monday, Nikolai vere Tennakov
- 20:09Speaker 2: taking on Nico Price. Mayritennakov minus three hundred Nico Price
- 20:13Speaker 2: plus two to fifty. This fight is minus two fifty
- 20:16Speaker 2: to finish Nickelai minus one forty inside the distance. Excuse me, yeah,
- 20:21Speaker 2: minus one forty inside the distance Price plus four hundred
- 20:24Speaker 2: Nickela in round one plus one forty Nico Price. Both
- 20:29Speaker 2: guys are thirty six years old. Nico Price is more
- 20:31Speaker 2: like a forty six years old and fight years. For me,
- 20:35Speaker 2: the dude has just been in a lot of wars.
- 20:37Speaker 2: He has like a million kids, but he'll show up,
- 20:40Speaker 2: He'll fight for your dollar. He has been knocked out
- 20:42Speaker 2: in five of his nine losses, though, so I definitely
- 20:45Speaker 2: want to Nikolai at eighty nine hundred, like I'd rather
- 20:48Speaker 2: straight up Nikolai overweighing, but I do think he'll be
- 20:51Speaker 2: a lot higher onn I am fine dropping Michelle Oh
- 20:55Speaker 2: to Nickelay and not just leaving the two hundred or
- 20:59Speaker 2: whatever it is. But I'm also gonna play some Nico
- 21:01Speaker 2: Price because if he wins at seventy three hundred, it's
- 21:05Speaker 2: probably a high paced fight. He's probably landing some volume
- 21:08Speaker 2: and the easiest past. The victory in him for this
- 21:10Speaker 2: one is wrestling. If you look at Nickelai's past couple fights,
- 21:14Speaker 2: let me pull it up to get her right. He's
- 21:16Speaker 2: been taken down and almost every single one. Granted they
- 21:19Speaker 2: are against better wrestlers, but four times Soriano took him
- 21:23Speaker 2: down last fight. PUNAHELLI twelve and a half minutes of
- 21:25Speaker 2: control time three times a fight prior seven minutes of
- 21:28Speaker 2: control time to the fight prior seven and a half.
- 21:31Speaker 1: Minutes of control time.
- 21:33Speaker 2: I'm not sure Nico has the gas tank on short notice,
- 21:36Speaker 2: and he's not as willing of a wrestlers as who
- 21:39Speaker 2: he's fought, But I mean the path is there.
- 21:42Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll let you talk about it.
- 21:43Speaker 2: You got Nico winning, I would or Nico as your
- 21:47Speaker 2: preferred play Nico on the betting odds, I'd rather play
- 21:51Speaker 2: two plus two to fifty than lay minus three hundred.
- 21:54Speaker 2: But got into my head I think Nicolay knocks him
- 21:56Speaker 2: out because yeah, I'm a little worried about Nico price.
- 21:59Speaker 1: So take it away. Yeah, another good fight.
- 22:03Speaker 3: I don't know that it's a good fight.
- 22:06Speaker 1: To finish. It could be a good DFS.
- 22:10Speaker 3: Fight, yeah, but I'm not looking forward to this fight
- 22:12Speaker 3: just in general as a fan, I don't know why
- 22:14Speaker 3: they put it together. It's just so they can cut
- 22:16Speaker 3: the loser. And I didn't even know about this fight
- 22:19Speaker 3: when I was doing my research on Sunday. So I'm
- 22:22Speaker 3: I'm doing this podcast last night.
- 22:23Speaker 2: It wasn't on Sunday. It wasn't on Sunday that, yeah,
- 22:28Speaker 2: Nico took this fight on Monday. Nikola I was supposed
- 22:30Speaker 2: to fight the Susday guy and it got canceled, but
- 22:32Speaker 2: Nico took it Monday, so yeah, it wasn't even on
- 22:35Speaker 2: the card on Sunday.
- 22:36Speaker 3: Yeah, So I was like, I was like on the podcast,
- 22:39Speaker 3: like trying to figure the shit out in my head
- 22:40Speaker 3: last night, and I'm like, what, wait, why is this
- 22:44Speaker 3: guy minus three hundred? Anyways, I mean, this guy's not
- 22:46Speaker 3: very good. I think that very Tenakov is the more
- 22:50Speaker 3: technical striker, he's the more dangerous striker. He doesn't look
- 22:54Speaker 3: as washed because he never looked good in the UFC.
- 22:57Speaker 3: But this price is just a I think it says
- 23:01Speaker 3: that everyone's just looking to bet against Nico because they
- 23:03Speaker 3: think he's completely washed. And I could never lay minus
- 23:07Speaker 3: three twenty five on Veritinnikov. I don't know where he
- 23:09Speaker 3: is clearly that much better than Nico. I think even
- 23:13Speaker 3: in a striking match, Nico could win that just based
- 23:16Speaker 3: on volume alone. But it would be smart of Nico
- 23:19Speaker 3: to come in here and look for some takedowns that.
- 23:21Speaker 3: If he can do that, I think he could win
- 23:24Speaker 3: unanimous decision as a plus two seventy five underdog or
- 23:28Speaker 3: whatever he is. So Nico's my pick to win. He's
- 23:31Speaker 3: my preferred play. I will be underweight to Veraitinnikov. And
- 23:35Speaker 3: if I was making like just a couple lineups, three
- 23:37Speaker 3: to five lineups on this card, I'm not playing Veritennikov
- 23:40Speaker 3: at all. I would look to get so those other
- 23:43Speaker 3: people that you say you like, you'd be fine going down.
- 23:46Speaker 3: I prefer waging. I prefer whoever, oh yeah, oh j Chuck.
- 23:49Speaker 3: Of course, someverybody will.
- 23:50Speaker 1: Express him day. What about her Gucci?
- 23:55Speaker 3: I mean, I prefer Horror Gucci because I feel good
- 23:58Speaker 3: about Horror Gucci winning. I don't feel good about him scoring.
- 24:02Speaker 2: I mean, man, that's a strong take for a minus
- 24:04Speaker 2: one forty guy to finish the fight and plus one
- 24:06Speaker 2: twenty in round one.
- 24:09Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I mean.
- 24:11Speaker 3: I could be wrong. If you you could go out
- 24:13Speaker 3: there and blow him away. But I just have never
- 24:15Speaker 3: been impressed with this guy.
- 24:16Speaker 1: No in UFC, I agree.
- 24:18Speaker 2: I mean, the dude's one in three in the UFC
- 24:20Speaker 2: lost that Contender series, Like the Lion feels really wide.
- 24:23Speaker 2: That's why I'd preferred to bet Nico as well. Thirteen
- 24:26Speaker 2: and seven is a pro. But if there's a matchup
- 24:29Speaker 2: like he throws bombs and Nico Price and then knocked
- 24:31Speaker 2: out five and nine times, I'm worried about the chin.
- 24:34Speaker 2: I mean, Robbie Lawler just nicked the guy and he
- 24:36Speaker 2: went down. So I like this fight.
- 24:38Speaker 1: Though.
- 24:40Speaker 3: First if he doesn't get a first round knockout, he can't.
- 24:43Speaker 3: I don't even think he can tin x his price.
- 24:45Speaker 1: Tag second round, you don't think if it's a war
- 24:47Speaker 1: on the feet, I.
- 24:48Speaker 3: Don't think he is going to be active. I mean,
- 24:50Speaker 3: I guess maybe second round, but I still think he's enough.
- 24:53Speaker 1: I think Nico might make him active enough, Like Nico.
- 24:57Speaker 2: Tends to push the face and push the pace and like, yeah, no,
- 25:02Speaker 2: it is short notice, which you might like Nikola I
- 25:05Speaker 2: even more for that at Price gases because Nikola I
- 25:07Speaker 2: was supposed to it's relatively short notice for him. But
- 25:10Speaker 2: he was supposed to fight so's on this card, so
- 25:12Speaker 2: he did have a fight prior where his price didn't.
- 25:15Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, I think I probably prefer Price too.
- 25:19Speaker 2: We need underdogs. We play a salary based game, and
- 25:22Speaker 2: he's sixteen hundred cheaper. So but I like Nikolay more
- 25:25Speaker 2: than you do for the props, and I think he
- 25:27Speaker 2: has them upside. Let's go to the biggest favorite on
- 25:30Speaker 2: the card and everything looks good here, Danil or Daniel
- 25:34Speaker 2: Danil Daniel don Chenko minus seven hundred, Alex Morono plus
- 25:38Speaker 2: five twenty five minus four hundred for this fight to finish,
- 25:41Speaker 2: don Chenko minus two to sixty inside the distance Morono
- 25:44Speaker 2: plus five fifty and then don Chenko and round one
- 25:47Speaker 2: plus one fifty.
- 25:49Speaker 1: So who we just talked about.
- 25:50Speaker 2: Nikolay is more likely to win in round one, according
- 25:54Speaker 2: to bet online than don Chenko.
- 25:57Speaker 1: Interesting. Interesting, Yeah, take it away.
- 26:00Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I think that Morono is more gas than
- 26:03Speaker 3: Nico Price. Let me more washed than Nico Price. And
- 26:08Speaker 3: he's never been really a good fighter. He's a solid fighter,
- 26:13Speaker 3: but he's not dangerous on the feet. He could point
- 26:17Speaker 3: fight his way to a decision win, or he can
- 26:19Speaker 3: grab your neck and submits you but he's not looking
- 26:21Speaker 3: to wrestle that much either, So I think he's big
- 26:25Speaker 3: time on the decline and he's not. He doesn't have
- 26:29Speaker 3: that far to fall from, in my opinion, So I
- 26:33Speaker 3: think john Chenko is not gonna be worried about the
- 26:35Speaker 3: power from Morono. I think the biggest worry here would
- 26:38Speaker 3: be getting his next taken while he's standing like a
- 26:40Speaker 3: standing guillotine here. But don Chenko will accept the punches
- 26:44Speaker 3: from Morono and he's gonna be aggressive. He's gonna be
- 26:47Speaker 3: pushing forward. He's gonna be throwing big shots at Morono,
- 26:50Speaker 3: and he's nasty. Man, This guy's dangerous. I think he's
- 26:53Speaker 3: gonna hurt Morono early. Give me first round knockout for
- 26:56Speaker 3: dom Chenko. I'd pay that extra seven hundred dollars all
- 27:00Speaker 3: day over Veritanakov if I can afford it. So that's
- 27:03Speaker 3: where I'm trying to get to. He's my favorite pay
- 27:05Speaker 3: up for sure on this slate. But ninety six hundred
- 27:08Speaker 3: dollars if it's second round, is it gonna be enough? Man?
- 27:11Speaker 3: I don't know. I'd rather be a first round knockout
- 27:14Speaker 3: if I'm paying ninety six hundred.
- 27:16Speaker 2: I think you will be right about thirty five percent.
- 27:19Speaker 2: I do think Michelle Oljchek due to the five hundred savings,
- 27:23Speaker 2: big favor good props will be higher owned. But after that,
- 27:27Speaker 2: I think it's probably him as the highest zone in
- 27:30Speaker 2: the upper tier with the props, Like I'd be more
- 27:32Speaker 2: confident if people felt better with the dogs or there
- 27:35Speaker 2: was more obvious dogs, but with the mid tier being strong,
- 27:38Speaker 2: especially if for Reid or Javid or Javid sorry, if
- 27:42Speaker 2: he's like minus four hundred, maybe don Chenko's even like
- 27:46Speaker 2: forty percent. If he was minus one twenty, then it's
- 27:49Speaker 2: probably closer to thirty five or lower. And the reason
- 27:52Speaker 2: I say that is most don Cheko teams will go
- 27:54Speaker 2: right to Javid and plug him and Javid and plug
- 27:57Speaker 2: him in right away. But right now I think he's
- 27:59Speaker 2: gonna be at thirty five percent. And yeah, Morono's as
- 28:03Speaker 2: washed as he kids. No chance I'm playing Alex Morono
- 28:07Speaker 2: next fight.
- 28:07Speaker 1: On the card.
- 28:08Speaker 2: Really here, curious to hear your take on this one.
- 28:10Speaker 2: Dustin Jacoby taking on Julius Walker minus won seventy. Jacoby
- 28:14Speaker 2: plus one forty five is Walker minus one fifty five
- 28:17Speaker 2: for this fight to finish Jacoby plus one twenty five
- 28:20Speaker 2: inside the distance, Walker plus three to twenty five. What's
- 28:24Speaker 2: Jacoby round one plus three hundred a little better than
- 28:27Speaker 2: I thought open plus excuse me, three eighty five now
- 28:31Speaker 2: plus three hundred. We know Jacoby is a kickboxer. How
- 28:34Speaker 2: much do you think Julius Walker wrestles or tries two
- 28:37Speaker 2: in this fight, and how much success do.
- 28:38Speaker 1: You think he has.
- 28:40Speaker 3: I definitely think he's gonna try to wrestle. I think
- 28:42Speaker 3: he'll maybe get a takedown or two, but I just
- 28:45Speaker 3: don't see there being too much success even with those takedowns.
- 28:48Speaker 3: I think Jacoby's gonna work his way back to his feet,
- 28:51Speaker 3: and on the feet, Walker's only chances to knock him
- 28:53Speaker 3: out Jacoby's, I mean, even eleven years older than this guy,
- 28:57Speaker 3: Jacoby's gonna be levels above him. And I don't think
- 29:00Speaker 3: Walker can hang really at all, so it could be
- 29:03Speaker 3: Jacoby picking him apart and then knocking them out. But
- 29:06Speaker 3: I think if the wrestling is successful at all, then
- 29:09Speaker 3: I like Jacoby to win a decision here. Maybe he
- 29:12Speaker 3: drops the first round, and then I like him to
- 29:14Speaker 3: win the second and the third. But if that's the case,
- 29:17Speaker 3: I'm not trying to pay eighty seven hundred dollars for Jacoby.
- 29:19Speaker 3: I would want him to either win all three rounds
- 29:21Speaker 3: and put up some good volume or get a knockout.
- 29:25Speaker 3: I don't expect ownership to be too bad, So I
- 29:27Speaker 3: am cool getting some Jacoby exposure. More so because of
- 29:31Speaker 3: the podcast last night Man, they sold me more on Jacoby.
- 29:34Speaker 3: I was kind of indifferent on this fight where I
- 29:36Speaker 3: was okay, maybe getting some Walker exposure because a knockout's cool.
- 29:40Speaker 3: Wrestling is cool, but they just don't think that that's
- 29:43Speaker 3: going to be the case for him. And I'm also
- 29:46Speaker 3: sold on to Walker not being very good. But when
- 29:49Speaker 3: is Jacoby gonna fall off more? That's more so my
- 29:51Speaker 3: question at thirty seven years old. So they talked me
- 29:56Speaker 3: down on the Walker and up on Jacoby, and that's
- 29:58Speaker 3: kind of how I'm thinking my line will end up
- 30:00Speaker 3: this week.
- 30:01Speaker 1: Yeah, I really have nothing to argue.
- 30:03Speaker 2: So interesting this fight open minus won thirty five Jacoby
- 30:06Speaker 2: plus one fifteen Walker shortly after Walker. Let's see yet
- 30:11Speaker 2: that day Walker got all the way to plus one
- 30:13Speaker 2: seventy five February first, and then slowly he's taking some
- 30:17Speaker 2: money and I'll plus one forty five. I agree. I
- 30:19Speaker 2: think Jacoby wins. I don't think Walker is very good.
- 30:22Speaker 2: I know, uh not really is saying the same thing,
- 30:25Speaker 2: shut up, bring the noise. Good to see you in here.
- 30:29Speaker 2: But the reason I'm gonna play Walker is a I
- 30:31Speaker 2: don't like underdogs and just props everything moneyline plus one
- 30:35Speaker 2: forty five for seventy five hundred solid minus won fifty
- 30:39Speaker 2: five for the fight to finish good plus three twenty
- 30:42Speaker 2: five inside the distance, Solid should wrestle if he does win,
- 30:46Speaker 2: easiest past path is wrestling good. So everything just checks
- 30:50Speaker 2: the boxes when you watch the tape and all that.
- 30:54Speaker 2: I agree Walker is kind of a tough click. But
- 30:57Speaker 2: then you bring it back and he's seventy five hundred.
- 31:00Speaker 2: You compare around the range. This is why I do
- 31:02Speaker 2: think Ketchawea is gonna get pretty popular because many will
- 31:05Speaker 2: go there. If you go catch aware down at Julius
- 31:07Speaker 2: Walker and leave one hundred plus or whatever it is,
- 31:10Speaker 2: I think that is one way you can get a
- 31:11Speaker 2: little different. I will be playing Jacoby too, though I
- 31:15Speaker 2: think he stuffs takedowns. He's a much better kickboxer, and yeah,
- 31:18Speaker 2: I think he catches him with the right hand like
- 31:21Speaker 2: kicks are solid. The problem is I'm worried is over
- 31:25Speaker 2: two and a half is plus one oh five if
- 31:28Speaker 2: this round gets if this fight gets to round three,
- 31:30Speaker 2: it's gonna be hard for Jacoby to get there at
- 31:32Speaker 2: eighty seven hundred, so I'm a little hesitant. I prefer Nikola,
- 31:36Speaker 2: I prefer Wang, I prefer Michelle Olijaycheck, I prefer Mario Batist,
- 31:42Speaker 2: I prefer don Chenko. But I do like him more
- 31:46Speaker 2: than for Reid. I do like him more than Horror Gucci.
- 31:51Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm gonna play some Jacoby, but I'm nervous
- 31:54Speaker 2: third round knockout might not be enough. And yeah, he's
- 31:59Speaker 2: plus three hundred round one. Maybe I want to be
- 32:01Speaker 2: somewhere around there. So I might have more Walker than
- 32:05Speaker 2: Jacobi when it's all said and done. And that's just
- 32:07Speaker 2: due to I need underdogs on this card at the
- 32:09Speaker 2: end of the day. And the props like pretty solid
- 32:11Speaker 2: for him with an eleven age eleven year age difference,
- 32:15Speaker 2: which usually does favor the younger fighters. But I agree,
- 32:18Speaker 2: I'm not really sure Walker. I'm not convinced he's any good.
- 32:22Speaker 2: Props just gonna leave me to play some As we
- 32:24Speaker 2: play a salary based game, we'll keep it rolling.
- 32:28Speaker 1: Yeah, I appreciate it.
- 32:29Speaker 2: We're wasting we talk about all the fights as much
- 32:32Speaker 2: as we need to, we think, but we're not gonna
- 32:34Speaker 2: sit here waste your time. Time is valuable in life.
- 32:37Speaker 2: You can always if you do watch it on playback.
- 32:39Speaker 2: What I do on a lot of my podcasts and stuff,
- 32:41Speaker 2: I listen to change the normal to like one point
- 32:44Speaker 2: five X. I know sometimes I might talk a little fast,
- 32:47Speaker 2: but hey, saves you even more time in life. Can
- 32:49Speaker 2: crank that out on the way to work, on the
- 32:51Speaker 2: way to the gym, whatever you have it, or whatever
- 32:54Speaker 2: fits your schedule. Five fights left the other bos Brother
- 32:58Speaker 2: for Reid Bascharatt take on Gene Matsmoto minus two to
- 33:02Speaker 2: seventy Bascharatt plus two thirty Masmoto plus two to fifty
- 33:05Speaker 2: for this fight to finish Basharat plus three hundred inside
- 33:08Speaker 2: the distance Man Tomota plus eight point fifty.
- 33:11Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of tip my hand.
- 33:12Speaker 2: Bascharad is he's such a good fighter, he's fourteen and zero,
- 33:16Speaker 2: but he just doesn't do it for DFS. If it
- 33:19Speaker 2: goes to decision, his decision wins in the UFC. So far,
- 33:23Speaker 2: let me get h let me get it right for sure.
- 33:26Speaker 2: Eighty one, eighty six, eighty eight and sixty five in
- 33:29Speaker 2: those wins. He's had three takedowns, five takedowns, four takedowns,
- 33:33Speaker 2: and two takedowns, So even when he does have success wrestling,
- 33:37Speaker 2: he hasn't scored more than ninety in a decision. This
- 33:40Speaker 2: fights minus three hundred to go the distance Gene Masmotos
- 33:43Speaker 2: seventeen and one. I don't know if Baschroz does it,
- 33:46Speaker 2: he does it, I don't I'm not going to play much.
- 33:49Speaker 1: I'm struggling with what to do with Matsumoto.
- 33:51Speaker 2: Like, he's a good fighter, and I like playing good
- 33:54Speaker 2: fighters at seventy two hundred, but Baschat's also a good fighter,
- 33:57Speaker 2: and he limits opponents upside and scoring, So I don't
- 34:01Speaker 2: love it by any means he falls down the list.
- 34:03Speaker 2: But I mean if no dogs win on this card
- 34:06Speaker 2: are very few and he wins and he scored sixty eight,
- 34:09Speaker 2: it could be enough. So I think he's my preferred play,
- 34:12Speaker 2: but I don't love it.
- 34:14Speaker 3: Yeah, this is like the opposite of that Nico Price fight,
- 34:17Speaker 3: where I'm not excited for this fight in DFS, but
- 34:20Speaker 3: I'm looking forward to it in real life. Both of
- 34:23Speaker 3: these guys are good fighters. Basharat is just the full package.
- 34:27Speaker 3: He's good everywhere where, Matsumoto is a dangerous grappler. He's
- 34:30Speaker 3: probably gonna have to grab a neck of Basharat, and
- 34:33Speaker 3: he's also a good boxer, so if he could just
- 34:35Speaker 3: keep it in boxing range, I think he could win
- 34:37Speaker 3: the strike the striking. But Basharat is really good at
- 34:41Speaker 3: keeping the length, and he's the more well decorated striker.
- 34:44Speaker 3: He's gonna be throwing a lot more lad kicks. He's
- 34:47Speaker 3: not a high volume striker, but he's not as low
- 34:50Speaker 3: volume as his brother is, and he's a good wrestler.
- 34:54Speaker 3: He can lean in multiple takedowns in every round of
- 34:57Speaker 3: the fight, and he can go hard for three for
- 35:00Speaker 3: three full rounds. So I definitely like bash Ratt and
- 35:03Speaker 3: pretty much every fight that he's in I'm picking him
- 35:05Speaker 3: to win here. But I do think he scores eighty
- 35:09Speaker 3: points something like that, and at nine K, eighty points
- 35:12Speaker 3: isn't gonna cut it. So I got this as a
- 35:14Speaker 3: two star for that reason. I'm not gonna get to
- 35:16Speaker 3: too much Matsumoto either, because I'm so high on Bashrett.
- 35:21Speaker 2: Yeah, we see that fight identical, like to see that
- 35:25Speaker 2: next fight on the car, and I'm excited for this
- 35:27Speaker 2: one in real life DFS, you name it signed me up.
- 35:30Speaker 2: Michelle Olive J check minus five hundred, Mark Andre Barrio
- 35:33Speaker 2: plus three seventy five minus four fifty for this fight
- 35:37Speaker 2: to finish Michelle oli j check minus two to fifty
- 35:40Speaker 2: inside the distance Burial plus four sixty five Oli j
- 35:43Speaker 2: check round one plus one hundred.
- 35:46Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's really simple.
- 35:47Speaker 2: Why you want to play Michelle oli j check minus
- 35:50Speaker 2: four hundred for fight to finish on Tuesday now minus
- 35:53Speaker 2: four fifty minus three sixty money line old J check
- 35:56Speaker 2: now minus five hundred.
- 35:58Speaker 1: It all looks good.
- 35:59Speaker 2: Best round one prop on the slate ownership though he
- 36:02Speaker 2: might be forty five percent, he might be like fifty,
- 36:05Speaker 2: he's gonna probably be one of the highest owned on
- 36:07Speaker 2: the slate, so that naturally gives me interest in the
- 36:10Speaker 2: Mark Andre Barrio side. He'll fight for your dollar. I
- 36:13Speaker 2: A'm worried that Chin might just be going at this
- 36:15Speaker 2: point at thirty five and Ben cracked. But man, if
- 36:18Speaker 2: he wins half the field close to it is dead.
- 36:21Speaker 2: With oli jcheck, you assume he's got to score pretty well. Yeah,
- 36:26Speaker 2: so give me both sides. Burial for the leverage. Doesn't
- 36:29Speaker 2: take much to get overweight. He'll be very low owned,
- 36:31Speaker 2: and yeah, Old J Chuck looks a good chalk to me.
- 36:34Speaker 1: How do you see it?
- 36:35Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll be under on Olid J Chick here, but
- 36:38Speaker 3: he is a good play because plus one hundred first
- 36:40Speaker 3: round that I mean fifty percent chance he scores over
- 36:44Speaker 3: ninety points, more likely one hundred plus points, So that's
- 36:47Speaker 3: absolutely solid. But the ownership will be there on him,
- 36:50Speaker 3: and I'm just really not willing to get leverage on
- 36:53Speaker 3: that ownership if if this gets out of the first round,
- 36:57Speaker 3: I'm not even sure he's gonna win the fight, but
- 37:00Speaker 3: I know he's not gonna score well. And if it
- 37:02Speaker 3: gets out of the first round, I'm gonna start liking
- 37:05Speaker 3: Burial's chances to win the fight a lot more. He
- 37:07Speaker 3: could land a takedown or two along the way. He
- 37:09Speaker 3: could put up volume, and I think that a decision
- 37:12Speaker 3: in this fight is gonna end up pretty close. So
- 37:15Speaker 3: give me the underdog to pull off the split decision.
- 37:18Speaker 3: I don't think he's gonna put up a big score,
- 37:21Speaker 3: but at seventy one hundred, I think he could put
- 37:23Speaker 3: up more than ten X. Marc Andre Burial is gonna
- 37:26Speaker 3: be my leverage playing this one. I'm gonna at least
- 37:28Speaker 3: double the field on Burial.
- 37:31Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I like your confidence in it. I'm gonna
- 37:34Speaker 1: have a lot Old J. Check. I know that.
- 37:36Speaker 2: I mean plus one hundred and fifty round one, or
- 37:39Speaker 2: maybe it's like forty seven.
- 37:40Speaker 1: I mean, because they put the juice.
- 37:42Speaker 2: Usually if they think it's fifty percent, they'll put minus
- 37:45Speaker 2: one ten.
- 37:46Speaker 1: But still I'll probably have about fifty percent Old J. Check.
- 37:49Speaker 2: And if you get fifteen percent Burial, that very well
- 37:52Speaker 2: might be overweight on the slates. Twenty percent definitely will be.
- 37:57Speaker 2: And yeah, if Old J Chuck loses, about half the
- 37:59Speaker 2: field's going down. So sign me up for this fight.
- 38:02Speaker 2: Are you gonna look to live bet? You think of
- 38:04Speaker 2: Old J Check? If it gets out around one, you
- 38:06Speaker 2: give Burial the advantage.
- 38:12Speaker 3: Well, I don't know that I would want to live,
- 38:13Speaker 3: but I think i'd have a better chance. I think
- 38:16Speaker 3: i'd get a better number right now than I would
- 38:18Speaker 3: after round one. So now I don't think i'd be
- 38:20Speaker 3: looking to live bet unless unless Old J Chick is
- 38:24Speaker 3: really throwing some big time punches, and I think he
- 38:26Speaker 3: might slow down, right, I think the line's off right now.
- 38:29Speaker 2: I might bet it pre fight, Yeah, I mean it
- 38:32Speaker 2: keeps moving, so maybe this is uh, this is where
- 38:36Speaker 2: you buy the dip and it changes. Sorry sore subject
- 38:39Speaker 2: for all the crypto guys.
- 38:41Speaker 1: Out there, including myself.
- 38:42Speaker 2: Not not good in the streets right now, but yeah,
- 38:45Speaker 2: definitely a lot of money has been going on to
- 38:48Speaker 2: the old j check side a dollar and some change
- 38:52Speaker 2: since Tuesday, three fights left. Really really curious to hear
- 38:56Speaker 2: your take on this one. I mean, this is the
- 38:58Speaker 2: this is the finny Melku fight of last week where
- 39:02Speaker 2: it's really really close and it's very polar and people
- 39:04Speaker 2: have a lot of different takes on it. Jelton all
- 39:07Speaker 2: made up minus one sixty Reese's von Cooney of plus
- 39:11Speaker 2: one forty.
- 39:12Speaker 1: Minus two to fifty for this fight to finish.
- 39:14Speaker 2: I'll made a plus one zho five inside the distance
- 39:16Speaker 2: Cooney of plus two forty. So looking at this fight,
- 39:20Speaker 2: open minus two twenty to finish, now minus two fifty.
- 39:24Speaker 2: I'm made to open minus five to fifty favorite in
- 39:27Speaker 2: this one. And then twenty five minutes later or an
- 39:30Speaker 2: hour later, was minus one fifty five, got as low
- 39:34Speaker 2: as minus one thirty three on Monday, and now he
- 39:39Speaker 2: got some buyback and is now minus one sixty Four's
- 39:43Speaker 2: ears man, I'm all ears well, I know I'm playing
- 39:45Speaker 2: it in DFS, but I'm really curious of how you
- 39:48Speaker 2: how you think it goes.
- 39:50Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't feel confident either way. I almost made
- 39:52Speaker 3: this a five star though, because I think it's one
- 39:54Speaker 3: we kind of have to prioritize. It is right there
- 39:57Speaker 3: in the mid range and it could be completely one
- 40:01Speaker 3: sided either way in this one. Almeida, complete physical freak,
- 40:05Speaker 3: can wrestle with the best of them. But that's what
- 40:07Speaker 3: he's gonna have to do. He's gonna have to go
- 40:09Speaker 3: in there, wrestle early and often. When he lands takedown,
- 40:12Speaker 3: he's gonna have to keep top control, and he just
- 40:14Speaker 3: doesn't do it enough in that top control, but he
- 40:18Speaker 3: can keep thirteen minutes of control time and that starts
- 40:21Speaker 3: to add up along with you know, six takedowns or
- 40:24Speaker 3: wherever he gets in the fight. He's also alive to
- 40:26Speaker 3: get a submission here. He just doesn't want to strike
- 40:28Speaker 3: with anybody. So Kuniev is gonna have a clear striking edge,
- 40:31Speaker 3: and if al Media can't get takedowns, it could be
- 40:34Speaker 3: a one way road for Kuniev here. Kuniev also a
- 40:38Speaker 3: dagasteine wrestler, so what happens if he gets a takedown
- 40:41Speaker 3: on Almeida. I think Almeida could be in a lot
- 40:44Speaker 3: of trouble off of his back, but I don't feel
- 40:48Speaker 3: confident in this one. I just think Almeida is gonna
- 40:51Speaker 3: be too big, too strong, He's gonna have a lot
- 40:53Speaker 3: of early success with the wrestling. So give me Almeida
- 40:55Speaker 3: to win the first two rounds, hopefully not get finished
- 40:58Speaker 3: in the third. But idea, if I'm overweight on Almeida,
- 41:01Speaker 3: hopefully he wins that third round two and if he does,
- 41:03Speaker 3: I expect over one hundred points from him. I want
- 41:08Speaker 3: to be really heavy on this fight, but I do
- 41:10Speaker 3: think it could be like a Almeida wins the first half,
- 41:13Speaker 3: Konie wins the second half, and then we don't get
- 41:15Speaker 3: a score from either one of them. So I'm not
- 41:17Speaker 3: gonna be all in for that reason, I would guess
- 41:20Speaker 3: I have this in three fourths of my lineup. Though.
- 41:23Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm definitely playing it, but by no means. When
- 41:26Speaker 2: I locked this fight, I just because Almide has like
- 41:30Speaker 2: willingness to do nothing when he's on top and just
- 41:32Speaker 2: be like the Volkov fight, like he shouldn't have lost it.
- 41:34Speaker 2: But the UFC is almost trying to send him a message,
- 41:37Speaker 2: you can't land nine significant strikes in a fifteen minute fight,
- 41:41Speaker 2: and like, if this fight does get to the third
- 41:43Speaker 2: round and props agree with me, like I think al
- 41:46Speaker 2: Maid has just gassed at that point, and Coony of
- 41:48Speaker 2: he was impressive against Blades, Like Blades are really good wrestlers.
- 41:51Speaker 2: We know Cooney have in round three plus eight fifty
- 41:54Speaker 2: to finish, I'll made a plus twelve hundred Roun one.
- 41:57Speaker 2: It's I'll made a plus two to fifteen Coonia plus
- 42:00Speaker 2: seven twenty five. And then round two the gap closes
- 42:03Speaker 2: plus five fifty Geltin plus seven to fifty Kuonieb. The
- 42:06Speaker 2: longer this fight goes, the more it favors Coonieb in
- 42:09Speaker 2: my opinion, Like if KONEV tries to wrestle in round one,
- 42:12Speaker 2: he's just a donkey. Jelton's gonna reverse him. He's gonna
- 42:15Speaker 2: get on top, he's gonna do something. But if he
- 42:18Speaker 2: shoots for a takedown in round three or something like,
- 42:21Speaker 2: I think he can easily get it. And if he's
- 42:23Speaker 2: on top, Jeltin just doesn't really have the cardio there,
- 42:27Speaker 2: So I think Jelton's gonna shoot a double like takedown
- 42:30Speaker 2: ten seconds into the fight or less probably get it,
- 42:33Speaker 2: but if he doesn't get it, it's gonna be a
- 42:35Speaker 2: little scary. And if I'm Cooneya's corner, I'm telling him
- 42:38Speaker 2: right away, like get ready for that knee up the
- 42:40Speaker 2: middle because he always just shoots real, just explodes across
- 42:45Speaker 2: the cage. Double leg can get into it because he
- 42:47Speaker 2: cannot strike, but man, his his back takes his jiu jitsu,
- 42:52Speaker 2: it's pretty nice. So I truly don't know if he
- 42:56Speaker 2: If he can get the first round finished, great, but
- 42:58Speaker 2: I am nervous the longer the fight goes. I don't
- 43:01Speaker 2: have a strong take like last week I did on
- 43:04Speaker 2: the Malcoon Kunya or Finny. I really have no strong take.
- 43:09Speaker 2: I'm gonna let ownership kind of dictate. I guess whoever's
- 43:11Speaker 2: lower owned if there is a significant difference, is my
- 43:14Speaker 2: preferred play, But I'm not really sure it's gonna be
- 43:17Speaker 2: a significant difference. If I do think this fight's gonna
- 43:20Speaker 2: be a decent bit higher on though than that Gaffer
- 43:23Speaker 2: wicklas fight. And I am fine playing no Almeida and
- 43:27Speaker 2: playing Gaffer or No Almeida and Wicklax, like I'm gonna
- 43:31Speaker 2: have some fight fades in this one.
- 43:33Speaker 3: What was Fandul doing price and Kunia higher than nol Meda?
- 43:38Speaker 1: Oh, I know, well, I mean what are they? First
- 43:40Speaker 1: of all?
- 43:40Speaker 2: Usually they have fifth like the usually fifteen's of the
- 43:44Speaker 2: what the favorite is at the lowest like a pick
- 43:46Speaker 2: them fight. So these they have on price, like the
- 43:49Speaker 2: equivalent to DraftKings is Kunia of is seventy nine hundred
- 43:53Speaker 2: and al Made is like seventy seven hundred. So it's
- 43:56Speaker 2: a lot harder to get away on FanDuel. But that
- 43:58Speaker 2: being said, Fandal doesn't reward control time.
- 44:03Speaker 3: And they give points for like stuff takedowns. I guess,
- 44:06Speaker 3: so they're almost price on that in.
- 44:07Speaker 2: Form no stuff takedowns, submission attempts. You get submission attempts,
- 44:11Speaker 2: but you do not get top control.
- 44:14Speaker 3: Sold fand in years.
- 44:16Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm in the Fandle streets and uh for the
- 44:19Speaker 2: head to heads, you can find me if you want tournaments.
- 44:22Speaker 2: They win a couple of chocolate bars if you take No,
- 44:24Speaker 2: it's a little better than that, but not relative to DraftKings.
- 44:27Speaker 2: But yeah, that is a good shout. Uh, both guys
- 44:30Speaker 2: are miss priced on Fandle. With that being said, though
- 44:32Speaker 2: I made a scoring fits or his style is a
- 44:36Speaker 2: lot worse on fandle.
- 44:37Speaker 1: Than it is DraftKings. Good shout though, good good notice.
- 44:41Speaker 2: All right, two fights left co main event time. I
- 44:45Speaker 2: mean Morigucci comes back to the UFC and makes a
- 44:48Speaker 2: statement against segir own Backov and now finds himself as
- 44:51Speaker 2: a minus three fifty three favorite, ticking on a Miro
- 44:54Speaker 2: Bosi coming off one and a half year layoff plus
- 44:57Speaker 2: two to eighty eight plus one sixty for this fight
- 44:59Speaker 2: to finish, Horror Gucci plus two hundred Albasi plus seven hundred.
- 45:04Speaker 2: I'm not gonna play much of this fight. I agree
- 45:06Speaker 2: with your two star. I agree Horror Gucci is my
- 45:08Speaker 2: preferred play. A. Bazi is a wrestler orra. Gucci man
- 45:13Speaker 2: his takedown defense, his distance management looked elite last fight
- 45:16Speaker 2: against the Gear. Not sure Albazi will have much success,
- 45:19Speaker 2: and if he does, I think Corgucci probably gets up.
- 45:22Speaker 2: The problem with Horrigucci is he's the second highest price
- 45:24Speaker 2: on the card in a fight favored to go the
- 45:26Speaker 2: distance at minus two hundred.
- 45:28Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't see myself playing too much of
- 45:30Speaker 1: this one. What about you? Yeah?
- 45:32Speaker 3: I just think Horror Gucci is gonna be better than
- 45:35Speaker 3: him a lot faster than him everywhere, and Albosi probably stronger,
- 45:40Speaker 3: maybe could have an early wrestling edge with his strength
- 45:43Speaker 3: as well, but I don't think he's gonna have that
- 45:45Speaker 3: much success with his wrestling in this fight. And I
- 45:49Speaker 3: think Horror Gucci is gonna be higher volume, just a
- 45:52Speaker 3: better overall striker. He could lay and takedowns of his own.
- 45:55Speaker 3: He's more dangerous everywhere. But ninety three hundred dollars is
- 45:59Speaker 3: a high price to pay for Hora Gucci, especially if
- 46:02Speaker 3: he is gonna get taken down throughout this fight and
- 46:05Speaker 3: not be scoring. I would want him to dominate all
- 46:08Speaker 3: three rounds for ninety three hundred, and even if that
- 46:10Speaker 3: was the case, we might not score enough. So I'm
- 46:13Speaker 3: not gonna be too heavy on this fight. But for me,
- 46:15Speaker 3: it's gonna be Horror Guccier pass.
- 46:18Speaker 1: I like it.
- 46:19Speaker 2: I see it the same, and it's the main event time.
- 46:22Speaker 2: What a DFS fight, what a real life fight. I'm
- 46:24Speaker 2: super pumped for this one. Mario Batista minus one forty
- 46:28Speaker 2: eight Venetius Olivera plus one twenty eight minus won sixty
- 46:32Speaker 2: five for this fight to finish. Batista plus one fifty
- 46:36Speaker 2: five inside the distance, Olivera plus two to twenty five.
- 46:40Speaker 2: So as you can see a lot of line movement
- 46:42Speaker 2: on the Olivera side. On Tuesday, Batista is minus one
- 46:45Speaker 2: eighty five. Now he's minus one forty eight. And I
- 46:49Speaker 2: wrote this up on Tuesday that oliver I thought would
- 46:52Speaker 2: be higher own than Mario Batista with these odds right here.
- 46:56Speaker 2: And the reason I thought that is the lack of
- 46:59Speaker 2: value on this more times than not leads you to
- 47:02Speaker 2: the main event underdog. Last week, Diego Lopez was six
- 47:05Speaker 2: percent higher owned than Alexander Volkanowski now, and I thought
- 47:10Speaker 2: the underdogs were a lot stronger.
- 47:11Speaker 1: Last card than this card.
- 47:14Speaker 2: Now with the line movements I expect Olivera, I mean
- 47:17Speaker 2: he might be fifty five percent owned and Bautista might
- 47:20Speaker 2: be like thirty seven percent owned. So the more I
- 47:24Speaker 2: thought about it, and the more this line movement has come,
- 47:27Speaker 2: I think when it's all said and done, I don't
- 47:29Speaker 2: know if I want to use the word over owned
- 47:31Speaker 2: is oly Vera, but I think he probably will be.
- 47:33Speaker 2: And I think the sharp play is Mario Batista, and
- 47:36Speaker 2: I think the easiest path the victory for him is
- 47:39Speaker 2: to wrestle. With that being said, I want to hear
- 47:42Speaker 2: you're just screw the DFS. Take you can touch on
- 47:45Speaker 2: that a little bit, real life. Gun to your head.
- 47:47Speaker 2: Who's winning this fight? Because man, is this is a
- 47:50Speaker 2: great one.
- 47:51Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna take Bautista because of the five rounds,
- 47:55Speaker 3: maybe three rounds. You favor ala Vera, but this is
- 47:58Speaker 3: gonna be a really fun fight. I think it's gonna
- 48:01Speaker 3: be tough for a style like Olivera's to go that
- 48:04Speaker 3: hard for twenty five full minutes. I just think he's
- 48:07Speaker 3: gonna start to slow down as the fight moves along,
- 48:10Speaker 3: maybe towards the end of the third and then that
- 48:12Speaker 3: fourth rounds gonna be that much tougher, and then the
- 48:15Speaker 3: fifth round I expect Bautista to completely be there. I mean,
- 48:19Speaker 3: unless he's eating big shots, he could start to gas
- 48:21Speaker 3: himself because I do think Olivera is the more dangerous
- 48:24Speaker 3: fighter in this one. He's gonna be the one that's
- 48:26Speaker 3: aggressive in this fight, trying to hurt Bautista, and he
- 48:29Speaker 3: could do that. He could also land a couple of
- 48:31Speaker 3: takedowns along the way. But Bautista is just the cleaner
- 48:35Speaker 3: fighter all around. I think he's the more technical striker,
- 48:38Speaker 3: the better overall grappler, more likely wrestler, and I do
- 48:42Speaker 3: agree that he should look to wrestle. That would be
- 48:44Speaker 3: where his big his biggest advantage of this fight would
- 48:47Speaker 3: be aside from that possible cardio advantage late in the fight,
- 48:52Speaker 3: and I don't even know that that's a true thing.
- 48:54Speaker 3: And that's more so based on Olivera's style. He just
- 48:57Speaker 3: can't go balls to the walls for twenty five minutes.
- 49:00Speaker 3: It just doesn't. It just doesn't work like that, Otherwise
- 49:02Speaker 3: everybody would do it. So give me Bautista to win
- 49:07Speaker 3: three rounds to Oliver's two. But I expect this to
- 49:11Speaker 3: be a high paced fight for twenty five minutes. Both
- 49:15Speaker 3: guys could get takedowns, both guys could get knocked downs.
- 49:18Speaker 3: I'm looking forward to this one. I think this one
- 49:20Speaker 3: is must watch TV.
- 49:22Speaker 2: Oh what a banger. I mean everything Moivera throws his herd.
- 49:25Speaker 2: His leg kicks are nasty, like his knee against I
- 49:29Speaker 2: think I.
- 49:29Speaker 1: Was soapi was that who that was against?
- 49:31Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 49:31Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean just highlight reel. If you haven't
- 49:34Speaker 2: seen that, go check that out. But he was taken
- 49:37Speaker 2: down to control a little bit in that fight, which
- 49:39Speaker 2: is a concern. But yeah, what he did to Ricky
- 49:41Speaker 2: Simone's leg. I mean, the dude's nasty. He's he's definitely
- 49:44Speaker 2: went on a run, and it's cool to see he's
- 49:46Speaker 2: taking money by Bautista.
- 49:49Speaker 1: He's more well rounded fighter, probably better.
- 49:51Speaker 2: Cardio has fought the better competition, but man Oi Vari's stuff.
- 49:56Speaker 1: This is this is one hell of a fight.
- 49:58Speaker 3: Yeah, And I've been talking about star power the last
- 50:00Speaker 3: couple of weeks, of the lack thereof of star power
- 50:02Speaker 3: in the UFC. If Oli Aaron knocks out Batista, he's
- 50:06Speaker 3: got the star power where he could really be the
- 50:10Speaker 3: guy that the UFC needs. So I feel like the
- 50:12Speaker 3: UFC maybe would want him to win this fight too,
- 50:14Speaker 3: but you would almost think that they would set that
- 50:17Speaker 3: up for three rounds if they really want to lean
- 50:18Speaker 3: his way.
- 50:20Speaker 2: I think they do want it, got it. I think
- 50:22Speaker 2: they do want it, But yeah, I think they also
- 50:24Speaker 2: just like, all right, if he's got to be thrown
- 50:27Speaker 2: to the wolves at some point in a five round fight,
- 50:30Speaker 2: let's figure it out on a fight night card and
- 50:32Speaker 2: then they will know in a pay per view card like, yeah,
- 50:35Speaker 2: this dude has I think the potential, the fighting style,
- 50:37Speaker 2: the height to headline a pay per view card if
- 50:40Speaker 2: he really is that guy when it's all said and done.
- 50:43Speaker 2: So I'm pumped for this fight. What on a card
- 50:46Speaker 2: that's kind of lackluster in terms of may like entertainment. Maybe,
- 50:50Speaker 2: like I hate to say, there's gonna be some boring
- 50:52Speaker 2: fights throughout, there's gonna be some fun fights, But I
- 50:55Speaker 2: don't see how this fight isn't fun when it's all
- 50:57Speaker 2: said and done. As you can see just the Stone
- 50:59Speaker 2: show it both guys over five significant strikes per minute,
- 51:03Speaker 2: one and a half takedowns about from both. Sign me
- 51:06Speaker 2: up for this. We'll have close to one hundred percent.
- 51:08Speaker 2: But yeah, if Bautista like wrestles in round one or
- 51:12Speaker 2: has some success and then only very knocks him out
- 51:14Speaker 2: in two, oh fuck, he's seventy four hundred.
- 51:17Speaker 1: How does this fight not get there?
- 51:21Speaker 3: Second round submission.
- 51:22Speaker 1: Second round submission?
- 51:23Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, and even then at eighty eight hundred, I mean,
- 51:26Speaker 2: it's not drawing dead to get there, But yeah, that's
- 51:28Speaker 2: that's probably the most likely. Or a nutshot or ipoke
- 51:31Speaker 2: like sahudo or random stuff happens and all Jamain Sterling
- 51:35Speaker 2: Peter jan was on pace to be the highest scoring
- 51:38Speaker 2: fight at both times, and then that knee to the
- 51:40Speaker 2: head and you know what I mean, A no contest
- 51:43Speaker 2: like it's the UFC. There's variance on variants, on variants,
- 51:46Speaker 2: which is why some people hate it, which is kind
- 51:50Speaker 2: of why I love it. You got to embrace it.
- 51:51Speaker 2: You can pick the right fight and get everything right,
- 51:53Speaker 2: and the three morons sit in cage side see it
- 51:57Speaker 2: differently and then you lose that way. So it's a
- 51:59Speaker 2: part of the game we play. But five pm Eastern
- 52:03Speaker 2: at the Apex, thirteen fights fingers crossed. We keep all thirteen.
- 52:07Speaker 2: We would love to have you at the Nation again.
- 52:09Speaker 2: If you do want to join ship Nation dot com,
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- 52:17Speaker 2: you can see all of the options daily pass as
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- 52:22Speaker 2: Oliver UFC content will be up tomorrow. I think the
- 52:24Speaker 2: best deal five days, four nineteen bucks because it'll get
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- 52:43Speaker 2: annual versus.
- 52:44Speaker 1: Monthly, etc. Big Marley.
- 52:46Speaker 2: Final thoughts before we get on out here. I think
- 52:48Speaker 2: we're off next week.
- 52:49Speaker 1: I believe.
- 52:50Speaker 3: I think you're right. Yeah, well yeah, hopefully it's a
- 52:53Speaker 3: good car. Hopefully we do keep those other fights. I'm
- 52:55Speaker 3: gonna go watch this Vasquez guy. I'll put my notes
- 52:58Speaker 3: and all my stars and in the fight rankings over
- 53:01Speaker 3: a ship at Nations to go check those out. If
- 53:03Speaker 3: you a member. If you're not, then become a member
- 53:05Speaker 3: and go check it out. But good luck to you, title,
- 53:08Speaker 3: good luck to everybody listening. Enjoy the super Bowl. Good
- 53:11Speaker 3: luck on that as well. Take you down again this year, Title,
- 53:15Speaker 3: But yeah, let's enjoy this card and let's hopefully have
- 53:17Speaker 3: a sweat.
- 53:18Speaker 1: Hey, you won last week or two weeks ago. I
- 53:20Speaker 1: won a little two weeks ago.
- 53:22Speaker 2: Maybe we can both parlay that in to sitting at
- 53:24Speaker 2: the top of the Super Bowl leader boards. After sitting
- 53:27Speaker 2: up top at the MMA leader boards, I appreciated Big Marley,
- 53:30Speaker 2: always good talking fights with you.
- 53:32Speaker 1: Always appreciate everyone hanging.
- 53:33Speaker 2: Out YSM Tayo's bring the noise, our man, Tyler Sights,
- 53:39Speaker 2: Mike Spencer, you guys, the real ones, and many watching
- 53:42Speaker 2: on playback. We appreciate you as well like subscribe on
- 53:45Speaker 2: the way out, we will see you in the discord.
- 53:47Speaker 2: For Big Marley I'm titled, tell him be safe, good
- 53:50Speaker 2: luck this weekend.
- 53:51Speaker 1: Peace. Had masters.
- 54:13Speaker 2: Have made mist.
- 54:15Speaker 3: Neither had the mist. And then Mistee Nether hanyste and
- 54:26Speaker 3: then step Mother hast