Latest / Toadstool Sports / Thursday BEST BETS | Thursday Throw Up | MLB & WNBA | 7/30/26

Transcript

Thursday BEST BETS | Thursday Throw Up | MLB & WNBA | 7/30/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your checks.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: The black coffee on the felt man, you look like
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 3: Three teen poulette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet? Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: Your name steal mean something on somebody for show? Put
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: the glass down, baby, look at me?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: No, hold on, hold on nothing nice?
• 0:56
  Speaker 4: Now, hold on, hold on.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Me, but don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: And stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 5: Now, what's up? Bird? When it's towed? Back with you
• 1:29
  Speaker 5: with toadsl Sports for Thursday, July thirtieth. Not a good
• 1:35
  Speaker 5: day in the show yesterday. Obviously it was one and
• 1:39
  Speaker 5: two because the one of the plays was a no play.
• 1:44
  Speaker 5: It started out nice, as we I felt like a
• 1:46
  Speaker 5: genius again as we had Philadelphia in the first five.
• 1:50
  Speaker 5: They were winning six to one, I think going into
• 1:52
  Speaker 5: the bottom of the fifth, so it's like, yeah, they're
• 1:54
  Speaker 5: obviously gonna win that one. I got a little closer.
• 1:58
  Speaker 5: It was six' three the end of. Five, obviously it
• 2:01
  Speaker 5: was still enough for them to get the job them for,
• 2:03
  Speaker 5: us and then their bullpen completely imploded and they lost the.
• 2:06
  Speaker 5: Game but we Had we had them the first five
• 2:08
  Speaker 5: and there's no way they should have lost that. Game
• 2:12
  Speaker 5: but the first five obviously was. Correct we got it.
• 2:14
  Speaker 5: Right things went downhill after that we. Did we had
• 2:19
  Speaker 5: no play In Milwaukee San francisco BECAUSE i don't know,
• 2:21
  Speaker 5: why But drohan was, scratched so he did not. Pitch
• 2:26
  Speaker 5: and AS i, MENTIONED i said with The philadelphia WHEN
• 2:28
  Speaker 5: i did say play action on The miami, side that
• 2:30
  Speaker 5: one didn't really wind up matter And gusto, started so,
• 2:33
  Speaker 5: whatever it just mattered That luzarda was gonna start for,
• 2:37
  Speaker 5: us which he.
• 2:37
  Speaker 6: Did Milwaukee San.
• 2:39
  Speaker 5: Francisco that was a. Lot like most of that handicap
• 2:42
  Speaker 5: was based on the starting. Pitching web pitched and he
• 2:44
  Speaker 5: pitched pretty. Well, again he does well Against, milwaukee But
• 2:48
  Speaker 5: drohan didn't, pitch And milwaukee went with a bullpen, game
• 2:50
  Speaker 5: so that wind up being in no. Play colorado that
• 2:54
  Speaker 5: ONE i said play, action and Indeed San diego did
• 2:58
  Speaker 5: put an opener in front of, camp So canning wasn't
• 3:01
  Speaker 5: in the game until like the third. INNING i still liked,
• 3:04
  Speaker 5: it And colorado just. Couldn't they couldn't put any offense
• 3:06
  Speaker 5: on the, board, MAN i thought they would at least
• 3:09
  Speaker 5: do something, offensively especially Once cannon got in. There didn't, happen.
• 3:13
  Speaker 5: Though they wound up losing the game three to. ONE
• 3:15
  Speaker 5: i think it was three to nothing at the end of, five.
• 3:17
  Speaker 6: So that was a.
• 3:18
  Speaker 5: Loser Cleveland. Cincinnati you, know it landed. Seven it didn't go.
• 3:23
  Speaker 5: Over there were eighteen hits in that, game, Though i'm
• 3:26
  Speaker 5: pretty sure plus ten walks. Combined and you're telling me
• 3:30
  Speaker 5: that that game's only going to produce seven.
• 3:32
  Speaker 6: Runs it's kind of.
• 3:33
  Speaker 5: Bullshit there were a lot of guys stranded on base
• 3:36
  Speaker 5: in that. Game kind of pissed me. Off cantillo was
• 3:39
  Speaker 5: better THAN i thought he would. Be singer was not very.
• 3:41
  Speaker 5: Good the fielding also didn't help. Him but, YEAH i,
• 3:45
  Speaker 5: mean there were enough guys on base THAT i think
• 3:47
  Speaker 5: that game should have gone, over and it did.
• 3:49
  Speaker 6: Not so that angers me move on to.
• 3:53
  Speaker 5: Today i'm gonna have two baseball players today on a,
• 3:55
  Speaker 5: shorter somewhat Shorter thursday. BOARD i think they're, ten and
• 4:00
  Speaker 5: THEN i don't like THE, wnba So i'm skipping. That
• 4:03
  Speaker 5: there are three games. There, yeah let's do, it, man
• 4:07
  Speaker 5: we have some afternoon action in. Baseball some of these
• 4:10
  Speaker 5: series are finishing because a lot of these teams are
• 4:14
  Speaker 5: starting weekend, series and then there are a lot of
• 4:16
  Speaker 5: series that are, starting and there are some some four
• 4:19
  Speaker 5: game series that are, finishing and there are some series
• 4:23
  Speaker 5: that started. YESTERDAY i think that are. HAPPENING i don't, know,
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: ACTUALLY i think it's mostly starts of new series. Here,
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: anyway the afternoon, games these are all series that are being,
• 4:33
  Speaker 5: completed and then teams are gonna have to get ready
• 4:36
  Speaker 5: for their new series over the. Weekend texas And Tampa
• 4:38
  Speaker 5: bay is the first game up at twelve ten Pm.
• 4:41
  Speaker 5: Eastern Tampa bay got the win, yesterday WHICH i was
• 4:45
  Speaker 5: correct in my opinion on that. Game they won three
• 4:47
  Speaker 5: to not think so they were able to bounce back
• 4:50
  Speaker 5: after the kind of unexpected loss in the first game
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: of the. Series split series right, now so both teams
• 4:56
  Speaker 5: probably will show up for, this but it does not
• 4:59
  Speaker 5: look good far as the pitching situation For texas, here
• 5:03
  Speaker 5: although you're gonna have to pay a bit of a
• 5:04
  Speaker 5: price if you. Want Tampa texas only is one guy
• 5:07
  Speaker 5: out of the bullpen. Yesterday their bullpen's been struggling, though
• 5:10
  Speaker 5: just kind of. Unexpectedly this website won't Load Tampa bay's
• 5:15
  Speaker 5: four guys out of the. Bullpen they're the better bullpen.
• 5:18
  Speaker 5: Though Tampa bay's ringing third In whip even though THE
• 5:21
  Speaker 5: era is still above. Four But texas is worse than
• 5:25
  Speaker 5: Both Whip Andy ray by quite a. Bit they're. SEVENTEENTH
• 5:28
  Speaker 5: i don't know what's going on with This texas bullpen
• 5:30
  Speaker 5: THAT i expected to be good, again but it. Isn't
• 5:33
  Speaker 5: but they are at least more rested right. Now, STILL
• 5:35
  Speaker 5: i Think tampa has the bullpen edge. Here tampa does
• 5:38
  Speaker 5: have the hitting edge as. Well they're, eighth and they're
• 5:40
  Speaker 5: also really good at. Home by the, Way Tampa bay
• 5:43
  Speaker 5: as a team good home. Record texas is sixteenth in.
• 5:47
  Speaker 5: Hitting texas is going with a bullpen, game AND i
• 5:50
  Speaker 5: think it's because they have not had a day. Off
• 5:52
  Speaker 5: so if you look at five days, ago it Was,
• 5:54
  Speaker 5: evaldi so he would be the next guy up in the.
• 5:56
  Speaker 5: Rotation BUT i think they're gonna have him pitch tomorrow
• 6:00
  Speaker 5: be my guests as he listed on. HERE i don't,
• 6:02
  Speaker 5: know but, yeah SO i think because they want to
• 6:06
  Speaker 5: give their, starters especially an older guy Like, valdi a
• 6:09
  Speaker 5: day of rest here so they don't have to pitch
• 6:12
  Speaker 5: five days. Later and this.
• 6:13
  Speaker 6: Team you, know the team hasn't had any days.
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: Off they're going with a bullpen game, here which IS
• 6:18
  Speaker 5: i don't think is gonna be a good. THING i
• 6:19
  Speaker 5: don't think we need to really go into the stats, here,
• 6:22
  Speaker 5: like just know that it's a bullpen game For texas
• 6:24
  Speaker 5: and their bullpen hasn't really been that good and they're
• 6:27
  Speaker 5: going up Against shane. McClanahan it was a legitimate starter
• 6:30
  Speaker 5: For Tampa. Bay he's having a good season coming back from.
• 6:33
  Speaker 5: Injury three point h NINETY, ra one point one to four.
• 6:36
  Speaker 5: Whip he's been good throughout his career or. Too he's
• 6:40
  Speaker 5: been really good at home this year one point eight
• 6:42
  Speaker 5: to Eight Homie ray with an opponent of batting average
• 6:45
  Speaker 5: below two. Hundred he looks to me in a decent
• 6:48
  Speaker 5: form right now as. Well he's not striking out a
• 6:50
  Speaker 5: ton of guys, recently but he is still pitching effectively
• 6:53
  Speaker 5: for the most, part keeping runs off the, board except
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: for whatever happened in This Red sox, game but he
• 6:58
  Speaker 5: bounced back pretty well Against cleveland and the game after.
• 7:00
  Speaker 5: That he's got a low hit rate as walk rate
• 7:03
  Speaker 5: is not, great but it's, fine and strike out rate is.
• 7:06
  Speaker 5: Okay as, well so, yeah he's generally pretty. Good numbers
• 7:10
  Speaker 5: Against texas are also, good but it's a small. Sample
• 7:13
  Speaker 5: fourteen at, bats only four their hitters have faced. Him
• 7:16
  Speaker 5: they only have two, hits which are both actually home
• 7:18
  Speaker 5: runs From berger And, duran Not Jaron Duran Ezekiel. Duran four,
• 7:24
  Speaker 5: strikeouts one, walk one forty three average seven seventy one ops,
• 7:28
  Speaker 5: though which is a little bit high because of the home,
• 7:30
  Speaker 5: runs but very small sample. SIZE i expect McClanahan to
• 7:34
  Speaker 5: probably pitch well. Here the total seems pretty low, here
• 7:39
  Speaker 5: given that on The texas side it's a bullpen. Game
• 7:41
  Speaker 5: the total seven and a half money coming in on
• 7:44
  Speaker 5: the under here, TOO i mean there's not a lot
• 7:47
  Speaker 5: of leeway. There If texas is pitching screws. UP i, mean,
• 7:51
  Speaker 5: yeah you don't have a lot of room for error.
• 7:52
  Speaker 5: THERE i kind of like The Tampa bay, side but
• 7:56
  Speaker 5: the money's not agreeing with. It eighty seven percent of
• 7:58
  Speaker 5: the tickets seventy seven percent of the cot, them so
• 8:00
  Speaker 5: they're very. Public they've gone up from minus one twenty
• 8:03
  Speaker 5: eight to minus like one sixty. ALMOST i think that's
• 8:06
  Speaker 5: because they Probably texas probably had a starter listed and
• 8:10
  Speaker 5: then they changed to a bullpen, game So i'm assuming
• 8:12
  Speaker 5: that's why the line moved that. Much like money alone
• 8:16
  Speaker 5: is not going to do, that especially when it's it
• 8:18
  Speaker 5: looks like it's just public money that's On. Tampa but,
• 8:21
  Speaker 5: yeah the actual professional money looks like it's coming in Against,
• 8:24
  Speaker 5: tampa probably because the price is considered to be. High
• 8:27
  Speaker 5: BUT i Think tampa probably wins the. GAME i think
• 8:30
  Speaker 5: they have the advantages throughout that. Game so that's my
• 8:34
  Speaker 5: thought on. That Kansas city At. Minnesota Kansas city got
• 8:38
  Speaker 5: the win yesterday four to, nothing SO i don't know
• 8:42
  Speaker 5: how that. Happened they were able to bounce back and
• 8:44
  Speaker 5: they were able to Beat Joe. Ryan is that really
• 8:46
  Speaker 5: what happened? Here, yeah Daub knock somehow Outpitched Joe. Ryan absolutely.
• 8:52
  Speaker 5: INSANE i don't know what to tell you about. That
• 8:55
  Speaker 5: minnesota save their bullpen because they Use rojas After, ryan
• 9:00
  Speaker 5: so they basically didn't use any of their relievers. Yesterday,
• 9:03
  Speaker 5: ROJAS i guess you want to call him a long relief.
• 9:05
  Speaker 5: Man he's the only guy they. Used Kansas city only
• 9:08
  Speaker 5: used two guys out of the. Bullpen these are still
• 9:10
  Speaker 5: very bad. Bullpens Kansas city's dead last In whip and
• 9:15
  Speaker 5: second worst Ra minnesota is not that far above that
• 9:19
  Speaker 5: at twenty ninth bad bullpens.
• 9:21
  Speaker 6: Here, Still minnesota is the better.
• 9:23
  Speaker 5: Offense they're eleventh time at The Yankees Kansas city in.
• 9:26
  Speaker 5: Nineteenth Noah cameron is pitching For Kansas city. Here he's
• 9:33
  Speaker 5: not been as good this year as he was last.
• 9:35
  Speaker 5: Year he's got a four point nine to THREE era
• 9:37
  Speaker 5: one point four to one. Whip he's better on the road,
• 9:40
  Speaker 5: though four point eight road E. Ara SO i think
• 9:43
  Speaker 5: moving the walls in In coppet the stadium has definitely affected,
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: him as he's not pitched well in that stadium this.
• 9:48
  Speaker 5: Year but on the road he's been pretty solid and
• 9:50
  Speaker 5: his opponent batting average is pretty low here on the
• 9:53
  Speaker 5: road two twenty, nine coming off a good road outing Against,
• 9:56
  Speaker 5: detroit rere shut them out for seven.
• 9:58
  Speaker 6: Innings that was good to those walk.
• 9:59
  Speaker 5: Right he has kind of been high, recently so he
• 10:03
  Speaker 5: was coming off two pretty bad starts to where you
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: give up a lot of. Runs cameron's been a little
• 10:07
  Speaker 5: bit all over the place this, year, man but he
• 10:10
  Speaker 5: is more trustworthy on the. Road, still his hit rate
• 10:13
  Speaker 5: is too. High he's giving up too many. Hits his
• 10:15
  Speaker 5: walk rate isn't too. Bad his strikeout rate is okay as,
• 10:17
  Speaker 5: well so he's been too hittable has really been the,
• 10:20
  Speaker 5: problem although recently the walks have become an. Issue he's
• 10:24
  Speaker 5: generally been good Against, minnesota, though and they already have
• 10:27
  Speaker 5: sixty four at bats against him two h three, average
• 10:30
  Speaker 5: four to seventy seven, ops eighteen to two strikeout walk,
• 10:33
  Speaker 5: ratio so they really have not done a lot of
• 10:35
  Speaker 5: damage Against. Cameron so it looks like he draws at
• 10:37
  Speaker 5: least a decent match up here where he's pitching against
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: the team he generally does well. Against andy's on the,
• 10:42
  Speaker 5: road where he's generally, Better So cameron might actually pitch well.
• 10:45
  Speaker 5: Here Bailey ober is pitching for The twins four point
• 10:49
  Speaker 5: five SIX era for. Him his whip is a bit
• 10:52
  Speaker 5: better though at one point twoy five kind of indicates
• 10:54
  Speaker 5: HIS era maybe shouldn't quite be that, high THOUGH i
• 10:57
  Speaker 5: don't think he's really that, good but he's been doing
• 11:00
  Speaker 5: alright this, year and he's been way better at. Home
• 11:02
  Speaker 5: so both starting pitchers here are in the better of
• 11:05
  Speaker 5: their home road. Splits, here he's got a two point
• 11:07
  Speaker 5: six to eight HOMEY ra compared to over seven on
• 11:10
  Speaker 5: the road in a one ninety five point a batting
• 11:13
  Speaker 5: average at home compared to way over three hundred on the,
• 11:15
  Speaker 5: road So ober is way better at. Home wasn't particularly
• 11:19
  Speaker 5: good in his last out and got hit around At,
• 11:21
  Speaker 5: cleveland but that was on the, road and he had
• 11:23
  Speaker 5: just Seen cleveland at home not long before.
• 11:25
  Speaker 6: Then he pitched well in that.
• 11:26
  Speaker 5: START i, Mean ober is a little bit of a roller.
• 11:29
  Speaker 5: Coaster he tends to either pitch quite well or not
• 11:33
  Speaker 5: well at. All he's got a reasonable hit rate, here
• 11:37
  Speaker 5: his walk rate's pretty.
• 11:38
  Speaker 6: Low strike out rate is not high.
• 11:39
  Speaker 5: Though he doesn't strike anybody, out even though he's a
• 11:41
  Speaker 5: big dude at six,' nine just not part of. His
• 11:45
  Speaker 5: thing he is generally pretty Good Against, kansas, city though
• 11:48
  Speaker 5: and they're not a good offense on the road seventy
• 11:50
  Speaker 5: two at bats two to eight, average allowed six point
• 11:53
  Speaker 5: twenty two, o ps eighteen to one at strikeout. Walk
• 11:56
  Speaker 5: ratio so with both starters and the better of their
• 11:59
  Speaker 5: home road splits in with good, MATCHUP numbers i think
• 12:02
  Speaker 5: this game probably is a first Five under the money
• 12:06
  Speaker 5: actually seems to agree. With that at sixty five percent
• 12:08
  Speaker 5: of the tickets and seventy three percent of the cash on.
• 12:10
  Speaker 5: THE under i wouldn't go full game, on it even
• 12:13
  Speaker 5: though the. Bullpen's arrested these are. Bad bullpens full game
• 12:16
  Speaker 5: totals at nine or even nine and, a half and
• 12:19
  Speaker 5: you kind of have to do that because these teams
• 12:22
  Speaker 5: just generally don't, pitch well and these two pitchers don't
• 12:25
  Speaker 5: exactly have the greatest overall. Numbers either, BUT yeah i
• 12:28
  Speaker 5: think it could be a sneaky under given what we
• 12:30
  Speaker 5: just looked. AT there i would make it first, five
• 12:33
  Speaker 5: only but you'll probably. Get about you might even be
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: able to find a five for that, number there which seems.
• 12:39
  Speaker 5: Pretty reasonable, though again when it's a, high total it
• 12:42
  Speaker 5: worries ME if i want to try to, go under
• 12:44
  Speaker 5: because the odds makers are kind, of, saying yeah we
• 12:46
  Speaker 5: don't really think it's going to be that, low scoring
• 12:48
  Speaker 5: but you get more value on the.
• 12:50
  Speaker 6: Number though Yankees And.
• 12:51
  Speaker 5: White Sox The white sox avoided the sweep by, winning
• 12:54
  Speaker 5: yesterday so this is a two to one. Series now
• 12:57
  Speaker 5: it was an extra. INNING game i think it went.
• 12:59
  Speaker 5: Ten Innings The white sox came out with. The Win
• 13:03
  Speaker 5: white sox used a lot of. Relief pitchers they use
• 13:05
  Speaker 5: Five the Yankees, Al, yankees yeah also. Used five yankees
• 13:10
  Speaker 5: are the better. Bullpen here they're. Ranked fourth all they
• 13:13
  Speaker 5: have the SECOND. Best Era white sox have been decent
• 13:16
  Speaker 5: out of. The bullpen, they're eighteenth BUT their era is
• 13:19
  Speaker 5: a little bit better. Than that yankees offense, is eleventh
• 13:23
  Speaker 5: Tiede with Minnesota And, san FRANCISCO which i. DON'T buy
• 13:27
  Speaker 5: i don't even buy any. OF that i Think the
• 13:29
  Speaker 5: yankees are the better offense out of the three. Of
• 13:31
  Speaker 5: Those white sox are not too far behind, at fourteenth
• 13:34
  Speaker 5: tied With. The, a's, okay YEAH just i clicked on
• 13:40
  Speaker 5: the wrong. Window there, HANG on i went back into
• 13:44
  Speaker 5: my chrome WINDOW where i have stream yard going, all,
• 13:48
  Speaker 5: right yeah, all right and then we have a started.
• 13:51
  Speaker 5: Pitching Here ryan weathers is pitching For the. Yankees here he's.
• 13:55
  Speaker 5: BEEN decent, i mean he's obviously not one of their,
• 13:57
  Speaker 5: better starters but the back end Of the yankees rotation
• 14:00
  Speaker 5: is really not. That bad he's got a four point TWENTY,
• 14:02
  Speaker 5: five era one point two to. Seven whip he's been
• 14:06
  Speaker 5: actually better on the road three point eight. To Nine
• 14:09
  Speaker 5: roady ray the better batting average allowed on the road.
• 14:12
  Speaker 5: As well yankees have won his last. Three starts he
• 14:15
  Speaker 5: was good in two, of those but he is kind
• 14:17
  Speaker 5: of alternating good and bad, starts here and if, that
• 14:19
  Speaker 5: continued that would mean he would do bad in. This
• 14:22
  Speaker 5: start he's had a good command ratio, this month high,
• 14:26
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate low, walk rate but his hit rate has,
• 14:29
  Speaker 5: been high so usually don't see that type of combination
• 14:32
  Speaker 5: on the course of.
• 14:33
  Speaker 6: The season it's been a little.
• 14:36
  Speaker 5: Bit different his hit rate is a little bit lower
• 14:37
  Speaker 5: than that on the course of, the season his walk
• 14:39
  Speaker 5: rate is, fairly low his strike out rate, is high
• 14:42
  Speaker 5: so his numbers overall don't really look too. Bad here
• 14:45
  Speaker 5: numbers Against The white sox also don't look, too bad
• 14:48
  Speaker 5: and twenty seven at bats one forty eight average allowed
• 14:50
  Speaker 5: four to sixty, six ops nine to two strikeout, walk
• 14:54
  Speaker 5: ratio and he did pitch well against them In the
• 14:57
  Speaker 5: bronx Back on, june eighteenth holding them to one run
• 15:00
  Speaker 5: and six and a third innings on, three hits, eight strikeouts,
• 15:02
  Speaker 5: one WALK so i Lean towards weather is actually probably pitching,
• 15:06
  Speaker 5: well Here And white soxs is Going With, sean burke
• 15:09
  Speaker 5: who has been debatably their best starter this year at
• 15:12
  Speaker 5: this point three point one TO, ninety ira one point
• 15:15
  Speaker 5: one to two whip and he's been really. Good recently
• 15:17
  Speaker 5: he's been a little bit worse at home for, some
• 15:20
  Speaker 5: reason three point seven to ONE homey i rail though
• 15:23
  Speaker 5: his opponent batting average at home is about the same
• 15:25
  Speaker 5: as it is on, the road so that seems a little.
• 15:27
  Speaker 5: Bit misleading but he's been excellent in the Month of
• 15:29
  Speaker 5: july with a one point four ray across four starts
• 15:33
  Speaker 5: thirty five to two strikeout. Walk ratio, this month, he's,
• 15:37
  Speaker 5: been yeah just in, full command high, strikeout rate not,
• 15:41
  Speaker 5: walking anybody not allowing a bunch of. Hits either he's
• 15:44
  Speaker 5: allowed two or fewer runs in all. Of these somehow
• 15:47
  Speaker 5: took a loss in his last Start, against houston even
• 15:49
  Speaker 5: though he was quite good. There, too uh offense didn't
• 15:53
  Speaker 5: help him at all in. That, One yeah burke is
• 15:55
  Speaker 5: in very good form. Right now he pitched well Against
• 15:57
  Speaker 5: the yankees in that series on the, same day actually
• 16:00
  Speaker 5: matched Up against weathers and pitch well and got the
• 16:02
  Speaker 5: win in that when it went seven and a third
• 16:04
  Speaker 5: and allowed woner. AND run I think i said that
• 16:06
  Speaker 5: was the same Day, as weathers, but whatever both pitchers
• 16:09
  Speaker 5: did pretty. Well there burke allowed five, hits there, eight strikeouts.
• 16:13
  Speaker 5: One walk burke has a low hit rate on, the
• 16:15
  Speaker 5: season pretty low walk right here, as well high, strikeout
• 16:18
  Speaker 5: rates so his numbers.
• 16:19
  Speaker 6: Look good and Against.
• 16:20
  Speaker 5: The yankees if he's been not as Good as weathers in,
• 16:24
  Speaker 5: this Matchup but burke, HAS been i would. Say okay
• 16:28
  Speaker 5: in twenty, at bats two fifty average seven to sixty
• 16:30
  Speaker 5: eight ops is a, little HIGH but i mean he's
• 16:34
  Speaker 5: only allowed two extra base, hits here a Double from
• 16:36
  Speaker 5: volpi and a home run, for McMahon so on ten
• 16:39
  Speaker 5: strikeouts there's a lot of, strikeouts too and. Two WALKS
• 16:43
  Speaker 5: so i think, THIS game i think it's. An under
• 16:46
  Speaker 5: that's THE way i would play. THIS game i think
• 16:48
  Speaker 5: both started pitchers actually have a decent match. Up here
• 16:51
  Speaker 5: they're both, not bad and the bullpens might be able.
• 16:56
  Speaker 5: To hold although you gotta worry about the bullpens a
• 16:58
  Speaker 5: little bit because of the, You suggests and if you
• 17:00
  Speaker 5: want to make it a first, FIVE under i wouldn't
• 17:03
  Speaker 5: really disagree with, that either although the totals right on
• 17:05
  Speaker 5: that key number seven and, a half which means you're
• 17:07
  Speaker 5: probably looking at three and a half in the, first
• 17:10
  Speaker 5: five and, YOU know i don't really love that three
• 17:12
  Speaker 5: and a. Half number if you can find, a four
• 17:14
  Speaker 5: it's a little bit, More TEMPTING but, i mean the
• 17:17
  Speaker 5: bullpens are still, decent enough and maybe you could just
• 17:20
  Speaker 5: extend this to the. Full game the starters might get
• 17:23
  Speaker 5: you more of the, way there you KNOW what, i
• 17:25
  Speaker 5: mean than just the. First five so sometimes you have
• 17:28
  Speaker 5: to kind of balance, it, between like do you think
• 17:30
  Speaker 5: these starters are going to go deeper into the game?
• 17:32
  Speaker 5: Than that and based on what these guys did in
• 17:34
  Speaker 5: their last outing against, these teams they both went like
• 17:37
  Speaker 5: at least, six innings so that might happen.
• 17:39
  Speaker 6: Again here the money seems to agree with the under.
• 17:43
  Speaker 5: Sixty four percent of the tickets and sixty one percent
• 17:45
  Speaker 5: of the cash on, The over, SO yeah, i mean
• 17:47
  Speaker 5: that would be my best lean on this would be
• 17:49
  Speaker 5: to take, the under either full game or. First five,
• 17:52
  Speaker 5: You KNOW i'm i go back and forth on WHICH one. I,
• 17:55
  Speaker 5: PREFER really i would maybe, FULL game I guess i
• 17:58
  Speaker 5: would say fifty nine percent of the ticket Around, the
• 18:00
  Speaker 5: yankees seventy eight percent of the cash On The. White
• 18:02
  Speaker 5: sox the money is also Backing The white sox at a,
• 18:05
  Speaker 5: small price at around minus one fifteen.
• 18:08
  Speaker 4: OR so.
• 18:10
  Speaker 5: I don't have a good read on. THE side i
• 18:12
  Speaker 5: THINK generally i Would say burke is Better, than weathers
• 18:14
  Speaker 5: But the yankees have the better. Bullpen here weathers has
• 18:18
  Speaker 5: the better matchup numbers, as WELL so i don't have
• 18:21
  Speaker 5: a great read. ON that I think i, would say
• 18:22
  Speaker 5: if you're gonna Play The, WHITE sox i would probably
• 18:24
  Speaker 5: only go first, five though.
• 18:25
  Speaker 6: Because they won't have a.
• 18:27
  Speaker 5: Bullpen ADVANTAGE so i think THAT'S what i would say about. That,
• 18:30
  Speaker 5: game kyle What's up theys for? Hanging out thanks for?
• 18:34
  Speaker 5: Coming back Cubs In saint louis IS On espn unlimited
• 18:39
  Speaker 5: AS the tv game in the afternoon because it IS
• 18:43
  Speaker 5: An Nl central divisional matchup and it's been it's become
• 18:48
  Speaker 5: a series Again Because saint louis won yesterday three, to
• 18:51
  Speaker 5: two After the cubs kind of had the stranglehold on
• 18:54
  Speaker 5: the series. Before That the cubs are the, better TEAM
• 18:56
  Speaker 5: and i think in, THIS game i Think the cubs
• 18:58
  Speaker 5: have the better, starting, pitcher bullpen. And Hitting the cubs
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: use three guys out of the, Bullpen Yesterday saint louis,
• 19:05
  Speaker 5: used Five And saint louis is already the lesser of the,
• 19:08
  Speaker 5: two bullpens so that's not good. For Them saint louis
• 19:11
  Speaker 5: is twenty first. And Bullpen the cubs, are fifteenth So
• 19:16
  Speaker 5: the cubs have the bullpen. Edge here cubs are fourth,
• 19:19
  Speaker 5: in offense they have an advantage here. As Well saint
• 19:21
  Speaker 5: louis is. Twenty fifth this is a more pitcher friendly
• 19:25
  Speaker 5: stadium Here In. Saint louis cubs are Going With Javier
• 19:28
  Speaker 5: assad AND what i will, say is if you're gonna play,
• 19:30
  Speaker 5: THIS game i think you should probably pick. Just that
• 19:33
  Speaker 5: payante needs to start For the Cardinals because asad is probably,
• 19:37
  Speaker 5: gonna pitch But the cubs might put an opener in front,
• 19:39
  Speaker 5: of Him because assad has been back and forth between
• 19:42
  Speaker 5: the bullpen and the starting rotation, this year so it's
• 19:44
  Speaker 5: not out of.
• 19:44
  Speaker 6: The Question the cubs might put an opener in front.
• 19:47
  Speaker 5: Of him but he's probably gonna get like kind of
• 19:49
  Speaker 5: a starter's. Workload HERE and i Don't think asad is,
• 19:52
  Speaker 5: that good but he's pitched pretty well when he's pitched
• 19:55
  Speaker 5: this year three point EIGHT six era one point one,
• 19:58
  Speaker 5: two whip although he's been bad on the though five
• 20:00
  Speaker 5: point one To One roadie ray the two seventy five
• 20:04
  Speaker 5: upon a, batting average so that's. Not GOOD and i
• 20:06
  Speaker 5: worry about how deep he's gonna go in this GAME
• 20:08
  Speaker 5: because i lean To the cubs in, this GAME and
• 20:10
  Speaker 5: i actually consider putting it on. My card the bullpen's
• 20:13
  Speaker 5: gonna have to do some work here For, the, cubs
• 20:15
  Speaker 5: THOUGH because i Don't think asad is.
• 20:17
  Speaker 6: Gonna really give you that.
• 20:18
  Speaker 5: Many innings he pitched well last time Out, against pittsburgh shut,
• 20:22
  Speaker 5: them out but it was only for three innings and
• 20:24
  Speaker 5: he had pretty much a. Clean sheet he only put
• 20:26
  Speaker 5: one guy on base with. One hit, BUT yeah i
• 20:30
  Speaker 5: just don't know how many innings he's gonna, go here
• 20:31
  Speaker 5: although he's been pitching pretty well throughout the Month of july,
• 20:34
  Speaker 5: here though but in. Short stints he's got a low
• 20:37
  Speaker 5: hit rate on, the season low, walk rate strike got
• 20:39
  Speaker 5: rate is low, as well though he doesn't strike, anybody
• 20:41
  Speaker 5: out SO that's. I guess one of the other concerns
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: with him is. Advanced analytics guys definitely don't like a profile.
• 20:48
  Speaker 5: Like that oh, my god this guy pitches. To contact
• 20:51
  Speaker 5: we can't. Have that some guys are successful at, doing,
• 20:53
  Speaker 5: it though over a. Long term asad has been pretty
• 20:56
  Speaker 5: good Against the cardinals, as well and fifty three at
• 20:58
  Speaker 5: bats two forty, five AVERAGE seven oh one oh ps
• 21:01
  Speaker 5: twelve to five strike out, Walker ratio so the ratio
• 21:04
  Speaker 5: not that, good there kind of expected because he's not
• 21:07
  Speaker 5: really a, Strikeout guy but the rest of the numbers are,
• 21:09
  Speaker 5: pretty GOOD so i Think the cubs pitching probably is
• 21:14
  Speaker 5: gonna show up and. Deliver here payonte on the other
• 21:17
  Speaker 5: Side For, saint louis he's got decent numbers here on,
• 21:19
  Speaker 5: the season three point seven TO, seventy ra one point
• 21:22
  Speaker 5: two to. One whip he's been way worse at, home
• 21:25
  Speaker 5: though four point four to EIGHT homye ra two seventy
• 21:27
  Speaker 5: five upoint a batting every so both of these pitchers
• 21:30
  Speaker 5: actually are in the worst of their home road. Splits
• 21:33
  Speaker 5: here pionte is coming up of a really good outing here,
• 21:36
  Speaker 5: at home though he pitched really Well, against cincinnati which
• 21:40
  Speaker 5: might be a decent. Sign there he was okay in
• 21:42
  Speaker 5: his previous Start, against arizona got blown up in the
• 21:45
  Speaker 5: start before that here at Home, against milwaukee and the
• 21:48
  Speaker 5: start before that he was good on the Road at
• 21:51
  Speaker 5: chicago At, the cubs so he pitched well Against the.
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: Cubs there he Faced the cubs here at home earlier
• 21:55
  Speaker 5: this year and was not, as good so that start
• 21:58
  Speaker 5: did not go well. For, him overall he's got a
• 22:01
  Speaker 5: reasonably low hit rate here is walk rate's. Pretty low
• 22:03
  Speaker 5: strike out rate is. Not, high uh he is a
• 22:06
  Speaker 5: guy that gets a lot of ground. Ball outs he
• 22:08
  Speaker 5: doesn't strike a ton of, guys out but gets guys
• 22:10
  Speaker 5: to put it into the ground. A lot ALTHOUGH sometimes
• 22:13
  Speaker 5: i don't, like that, you know like if your Name Is,
• 22:15
  Speaker 5: david peterson perhaps All the peterson pitch well again the,
• 22:19
  Speaker 5: other day speaking Of, the cubs, But yeah payonte has
• 22:21
  Speaker 5: been able to kind of, sustain this so he's not.
• 22:23
  Speaker 5: That bad but he's not been good Against the cubs.
• 22:27
  Speaker 5: In general though in ninety nine at bats they have
• 22:29
  Speaker 5: a three forty three average nine to fifty, five ops
• 22:32
  Speaker 5: So the cubs have definitely gotten. To him fourteen to
• 22:35
  Speaker 5: eleven strike out walk ratio also. Really bad SO like,
• 22:39
  Speaker 5: I said, I would i would Play the CUBS if
• 22:40
  Speaker 5: i was gonna, play this and it was close to
• 22:42
  Speaker 5: being a play. FOR me i have some concerns WITH.
• 22:45
  Speaker 5: A sod the money seems to be All Over saint
• 22:48
  Speaker 5: louis at this point though seventy percent of tickets On
• 22:50
  Speaker 5: the cubs seventy eight percent of the Cash On. Saint
• 22:52
  Speaker 5: Louis saint louis at minus one twenty or so here
• 22:56
  Speaker 5: the line hasn't moved. THAT much, i mean the pub
• 23:00
  Speaker 5: book is going to Play the cobs because like you're
• 23:02
  Speaker 5: getting the team with the better records, An underdog like
• 23:04
  Speaker 5: the public's gonna come in, that way you KNOW what,
• 23:06
  Speaker 5: i mean especially when it doesn't look like one picture
• 23:09
  Speaker 5: is that much better than. The OTHER so i could, Understand,
• 23:12
  Speaker 5: that yeah the public's coming in On. The cubs it's
• 23:14
  Speaker 5: one of those, misleading LINES which i don't really like
• 23:17
  Speaker 5: joining the public when the line, looks misleading like it
• 23:19
  Speaker 5: looks too easy to Play, the cobs. You know but
• 23:22
  Speaker 5: given what that matchup, looks like if you force me
• 23:24
  Speaker 5: to play, THIS game i think that IS what i, would,
• 23:26
  Speaker 5: do THOUGH but i Don't love that's that's why we
• 23:30
  Speaker 5: have the ability. To, choose man you don't bet everything on,
• 23:33
  Speaker 5: the board you KNOW what. I mean so THAT'S what
• 23:36
  Speaker 5: i think about. That game the money's coming in on
• 23:37
  Speaker 5: the over or, excuse me on the under.
• 23:39
  Speaker 6: As well at eight and.
• 23:40
  Speaker 5: A half i would worry about the under because you
• 23:43
  Speaker 5: got both pitchers who are in the worst of their
• 23:45
  Speaker 5: home road, SPLITS here i don't Really and ponte just gets,
• 23:49
  Speaker 5: jacked up usually By. The CUBS so i don't love any.
• 23:52
  Speaker 5: Of that one other way that you could, play this
• 23:54
  Speaker 5: by the way you could Take the cubs over their
• 23:56
  Speaker 5: team total is actually probably a decent way to. Approach
• 23:59
  Speaker 5: this if you worry about what the pitching is gonna,
• 24:01
  Speaker 5: look like just go With the cubs to tee Off,
• 24:04
  Speaker 5: on payante you KNOW what, i mean because they usually
• 24:07
  Speaker 5: do and he's not good. At home you probably Need
• 24:10
  Speaker 5: the cubs to score, five runs but that's, pretty reasonable
• 24:14
  Speaker 5: and you'll get all nine innings out of them because
• 24:16
  Speaker 5: they're on, the road so they will be guaranteed to
• 24:19
  Speaker 5: bat in the, Ninth innings so that might be a
• 24:21
  Speaker 5: way to. Play that actually is probably that is actually
• 24:23
  Speaker 5: the best way to. Play, this actually Even though cubs
• 24:26
  Speaker 5: as an underdog doesn't really look that bad, to, ME
• 24:28
  Speaker 5: says i think they have, the Advantages but cubs team
• 24:30
  Speaker 5: total over is definitely a way that you could approach.
• 24:33
  Speaker 5: That game i'm not enough of a team totals guy
• 24:36
  Speaker 5: that that one didn't come to me, Right away but
• 24:38
  Speaker 5: next game is one of. My plays this is mostly a,
• 24:48
  Speaker 5: situational PLAYER though i actually think the starting pitching matchup
• 24:52
  Speaker 5: is kind of in our favor. As well we're Gonna
• 24:53
  Speaker 5: take washington in the first five at plus. One fourteen
• 24:57
  Speaker 5: and the only reason for the first five IS Because
• 24:59
  Speaker 5: i i'm never Gonna trust. WASHINGTON'S bullpen i just can't,
• 25:03
  Speaker 5: do it Even though atlanta is going to be in
• 25:05
  Speaker 5: a situation where they have a very overworked, bullpen HERE
• 25:09
  Speaker 5: but i just can't Trust washing. Its Bullpen so i'm
• 25:11
  Speaker 5: gonna go first five with this and hope that the
• 25:13
  Speaker 5: situation can get. Us there if you want to go,
• 25:16
  Speaker 5: full game you could. Do that You'll get you'll probably
• 25:18
  Speaker 5: get them at a bigger. Underdog price but we're Gonna
• 25:20
  Speaker 5: fade atlanta in. Some. Way, here atlanta they're coming home
• 25:24
  Speaker 5: from a, road trip and YOU know i talk. About
• 25:25
  Speaker 5: that they Went to baltimore On. The mets it's not
• 25:27
  Speaker 5: that big of a deal saying On The, east coast
• 25:30
  Speaker 5: but still they're traveling back home after being off being
• 25:33
  Speaker 5: away for. A week and, YOU know i talk about
• 25:35
  Speaker 5: this when a team returns home from, the road a
• 25:37
  Speaker 5: lot of times, they're distracted they have to get back
• 25:39
  Speaker 5: to home. Life whatever atlanta has some nice padding IN
• 25:42
  Speaker 5: The nle east here, right now so they don't really
• 25:44
  Speaker 5: have to worry that. Much currently And the washington's in
• 25:48
  Speaker 5: second to last place now in, the division so it
• 25:51
  Speaker 5: might be a Team that atlanta might overlook a, little
• 25:54
  Speaker 5: bit Even though washington's had a. Good offense so it
• 25:56
  Speaker 5: should be a negative Spot for atlanta because it's a return.
• 25:59
  Speaker 6: Home spot it could be.
• 26:00
  Speaker 5: A distraction but it's worse than That because atlanta put
• 26:03
  Speaker 5: a double, header Yesterday so atlanta might come out a bit,
• 26:06
  Speaker 5: tired here which SHOULD affect i think it should affect the,
• 26:08
  Speaker 5: whole team like the offense and. The bullpen, but again
• 26:11
  Speaker 5: my Problem is washington's bullpen is just. SO bad i
• 26:14
  Speaker 5: can't really get on Board with. Washington's BULLPEN but i
• 26:17
  Speaker 5: wanted To fade atlanta some way here, because again return
• 26:21
  Speaker 5: home spot plus having played two, games yesterday that's gonna tire. Them.
• 26:24
  Speaker 6: Out man, You know atlanta used pretty much their whole.
• 26:28
  Speaker 5: Bullpen yesterday they, used yeah like, literally everybody at least
• 26:32
  Speaker 5: for a, little bit seven. Relief pitchers washington used. Four yesterday,
• 26:37
  Speaker 5: SO yeah i don't really want To. Trust washington IT'S like,
• 26:40
  Speaker 5: I said washington is starting a road, trip though coming
• 26:42
  Speaker 5: off a home Loss. To TORONTO so i think it's
• 26:45
  Speaker 5: a good Spot for washington because, one thing when you're.
• 26:48
  Speaker 5: At home one good thing is if things aren't, going
• 26:50
  Speaker 5: well you just get out and go on. The road,
• 26:52
  Speaker 5: JUST generally i think a road trip start is a,
• 26:54
  Speaker 5: good thing like. You're focused, Of course washington's gonna focus
• 26:58
  Speaker 5: because they're playing the best team in. Their division to
• 27:01
  Speaker 5: start the, road trip you want to get the road
• 27:02
  Speaker 5: trip off on the. Right foot, but yeah usually it's
• 27:05
  Speaker 5: a focused spot regardless of whether you have some good
• 27:08
  Speaker 5: momentum right now or if whatever you're doing at home.
• 27:10
  Speaker 5: WASN'T working i think, either way starting the road trip
• 27:13
  Speaker 5: tends to. Focus YOU so i think it's a focus Advantage.
• 27:16
  Speaker 5: For WASHINGTON as i kind of, Alluded to washington has
• 27:19
  Speaker 5: the better. Offense here washington's, number one tied With, the
• 27:23
  Speaker 5: dodgers So the dodgers just got back into a tie.
• 27:26
  Speaker 5: With them, washington's good and they're also very good on
• 27:28
  Speaker 5: the road at putting. Up offense atlanta is ninth. In
• 27:31
  Speaker 5: Offense but atlanta's not that good at, Home Offensively so
• 27:35
  Speaker 5: washington has some good offensive home road. Splits here, and
• 27:39
  Speaker 5: YES like, i said the bullpen advantage still kind of Lies.
• 27:42
  Speaker 5: With atlanta they're number two in, bullpen here number three,
• 27:45
  Speaker 5: in Era though washington is twenty six WITH an era,
• 27:50
  Speaker 5: OVER five i just can't. Trust that WITH an era
• 27:52
  Speaker 5: half one and a half, RUNS worse i can't get
• 27:55
  Speaker 5: on board. With that, BUT again i wanted to find
• 27:58
  Speaker 5: some way of jumping In on. Washington here and there
• 28:00
  Speaker 5: are other aspects of this GAME that i like, as
• 28:02
  Speaker 5: WELL which i will point out in. A second let
• 28:05
  Speaker 5: me just make sure, THAT yes i got, that Right
• 28:08
  Speaker 5: because milwaukee's bullpen actually got blown up yesterday by The.
• 28:11
  Speaker 5: Stupid giants, So yeah atlanta is definitely the third best
• 28:14
  Speaker 5: bullpen in ray. Right, now now some other THINGS that
• 28:17
  Speaker 5: i like About This jake irvin is Pitching. For washington
• 28:20
  Speaker 5: i'm gonna consider him to be a veteran at. This
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: point he's, Twenty nine he's been in the majors for
• 28:25
  Speaker 5: four years at. This Point, BAS again i know his
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: numbers aren't really. That good he had one pretty good
• 28:30
  Speaker 5: season in twenty twenty four and it looked like he
• 28:32
  Speaker 5: was trending in the, right direction but last year he
• 28:35
  Speaker 5: was a. Lot WORSE so i don't know what the deal, Was,
• 28:37
  Speaker 5: THERE like i don't know his walk rate went up.
• 28:40
  Speaker 5: And Whatever, but irvin there are SOME things i do,
• 28:44
  Speaker 5: like here and one IS why i was pointing out
• 28:46
  Speaker 5: that he's, a veteran is he's coming back from the.
• 28:48
  Speaker 5: Injured list he pitched early this season and he wasn't
• 28:51
  Speaker 5: doing that great five point two TO three era one
• 28:53
  Speaker 5: point three to five whip mediocre stuff here. At best
• 28:57
  Speaker 5: but the fact that he's coming back from the, INJURED
• 28:59
  Speaker 5: list i think he's gonna be excited to get back
• 29:01
  Speaker 5: out there and he gets to face a good Team.
• 29:03
  Speaker 5: Like atlanta And like i've, BEEN saying i like veterans
• 29:06
  Speaker 5: coming back from the injured LIST because i think they
• 29:07
  Speaker 5: actually tend to get excited and the team can rally
• 29:10
  Speaker 5: around them and whatever the team, Likes THEM so i
• 29:12
  Speaker 5: actually think it's a. Good Spot, and irvin he pitched
• 29:16
  Speaker 5: only IN single a AND double a in. His rehab
• 29:19
  Speaker 5: he had like a quick rehab with a couple, of
• 29:21
  Speaker 5: starts but he Completely DOMINATED like i think only like
• 29:24
  Speaker 5: one guy reached base against him. In, whatever well he
• 29:27
  Speaker 5: pitched like eleven innings ACROSS single a AND, double A
• 29:30
  Speaker 5: and i know it's not, great competition but he completely
• 29:32
  Speaker 5: shredded them in his. Rehab starts so he looked really
• 29:36
  Speaker 5: good in his, rehab STUFF so i think he's ready. To,
• 29:38
  Speaker 5: go man and pitchers like him could get overlooked a.
• 29:41
  Speaker 5: Little bit he also has a good home road split
• 29:44
  Speaker 5: for this pitching. This season he was way better on
• 29:47
  Speaker 5: the road before he went down three point seven to
• 29:50
  Speaker 5: SEVEN road era one sixty two road upon upon a.
• 29:53
  Speaker 5: Batting average he was way better on. The road, at
• 29:56
  Speaker 5: home he a lot of SEVEN plus era with a
• 29:59
  Speaker 5: three point thirty on, batting average so way way better on.
• 30:02
  Speaker 5: The road oh and by, the way his last start
• 30:04
  Speaker 5: before he, went down he had a five inning no
• 30:07
  Speaker 5: hitter in this exact Stadium against Atlanta, in atlanta, seven strikeouts,
• 30:13
  Speaker 5: one walk no hitter for, five innings and that was
• 30:15
  Speaker 5: his last start before he. Got injured so he was
• 30:19
  Speaker 5: either trending in the right direction or he just pitches
• 30:21
  Speaker 5: well Against. THE braves i don't know exactly which. One
• 30:23
  Speaker 5: is he did pitch Against the braves at Home in
• 30:26
  Speaker 5: april this year, as well and did okay in. That start,
• 30:29
  Speaker 5: not great but he was excellent in his last start
• 30:32
  Speaker 5: before he. Went down but that was so long ago at,
• 30:34
  Speaker 5: this point that was over two, months ago That the
• 30:37
  Speaker 5: braves are not going to be recently familiar, with him
• 30:39
  Speaker 5: at least at. This one, although yes Obviously the braves
• 30:41
  Speaker 5: are familiar, with him he's been in their division for,
• 30:43
  Speaker 5: a while but he's had the upper hand. Against him
• 30:46
  Speaker 5: in one hundred and fourteen, at bats which is a huge,
• 30:48
  Speaker 5: sample Size the braves have only hit two to eleven
• 30:51
  Speaker 5: off with a six twenty. Five ops the only issue
• 30:55
  Speaker 5: has been the walks, eleven walks twenty. Eight strikeouts all
• 30:58
  Speaker 5: the rest of these numbers, Are Good so irvin has
• 31:01
  Speaker 5: had the upper hand Against. The brave so we get
• 31:03
  Speaker 5: a good matchup, for him possible motivation returning from the.
• 31:07
  Speaker 6: Injured list he's good on.
• 31:08
  Speaker 5: The road all the negatives in the SITUATION that i
• 31:10
  Speaker 5: already talked About with, atlanta again like this is a
• 31:13
  Speaker 5: spot where there are a lot of THINGS that i, like,
• 31:15
  Speaker 5: Here man and as Far, as irvin, you know just
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: overall what. He does he does have a kind of
• 31:20
  Speaker 5: low hit. Rate here his walk rate was clearly too,
• 31:23
  Speaker 5: high though and his strikeout rate. Was high so that's
• 31:25
  Speaker 5: one good thing is he strikes out a lot of
• 31:27
  Speaker 5: guys at the major, league level so he does have
• 31:29
  Speaker 5: the ability to fool hitters. For sure but he's just, too. Wild,
• 31:33
  Speaker 5: Dude again he's one of those guys if he could
• 31:35
  Speaker 5: fix how wild, he is he'd be a significantly, better
• 31:38
  Speaker 5: pitcher but you just saw all the, other stuff good, matchup.
• 31:41
  Speaker 5: Numbers WHATEVER and I think irvin has way more Upside Than,
• 31:44
  Speaker 5: grant holmes who's Pitching for. Atlanta here he's got a
• 31:47
  Speaker 5: three point SEVENTY, ninety ra which is, pretty solid but
• 31:49
  Speaker 5: his whip is. Not great one point three to six
• 31:52
  Speaker 5: indicates that he's getting away with putting guys. On base
• 31:55
  Speaker 5: his he ry should be higher than it is. Right
• 31:57
  Speaker 5: now holmes has actually been worse at home, this year
• 32:00
  Speaker 5: even though he was better at home. LAST year i,
• 32:02
  Speaker 5: don't know but this year has been worse at home
• 32:04
  Speaker 5: four point one to THREE, home ra and his opponent
• 32:07
  Speaker 5: batting average is also worse. At home he's been pretty.
• 32:10
  Speaker 5: Mediocre recently he's been going exactly five innings and all of.
• 32:13
  Speaker 5: His outings he's been holding opposing offenses down. Reasonably well
• 32:17
  Speaker 5: but he's not striking. Anybody out he's not going deep
• 32:20
  Speaker 5: into his pitch, count here, And yes atlanta has won
• 32:22
  Speaker 5: his last, four STARTS but i, don't, know man there's
• 32:26
  Speaker 5: SOMETHING that i just don't think he's just he's not
• 32:28
  Speaker 5: going out there. And dominating at the, very least he's
• 32:31
  Speaker 5: got an okay hit. Rate here his walk rate is too,
• 32:33
  Speaker 5: high though so both of these pitchers walked too. Many
• 32:35
  Speaker 5: guys holmes has been a little bit susceptible to the,
• 32:39
  Speaker 5: home run which might not be good against an Offense like,
• 32:42
  Speaker 5: washington's either and he has a fairly low strikeout rate here,
• 32:46
  Speaker 5: as well so he's not he doesn't have stuff that's
• 32:49
  Speaker 5: as Good, as irvin's. YOU know I mean irvin pitcher
• 32:52
  Speaker 5: with the higher, ceiling Here and Holmes against. Washington here
• 32:57
  Speaker 5: his numbers are not. That bad in forty three, at
• 32:59
  Speaker 5: bats he's telling them two thirty, three average which is.
• 33:01
  Speaker 5: Pretty low but they've hit him, for power, so again
• 33:03
  Speaker 5: the home runs might be a little bit of. An
• 33:05
  Speaker 5: issue they do have an eight seventeen, ops often which
• 33:08
  Speaker 5: is above that seven to fifty THRESHOLD that. I use
• 33:11
  Speaker 5: thirteen to three strikeout. Walk, ratio yeah he's alloted three
• 33:15
  Speaker 5: on runs. To. Them whatever the strake out walk ratio is,
• 33:17
  Speaker 5: pretty good, BUT yeah, I mean I prefer irvin plus the,
• 33:21
  Speaker 5: situation here uh plus the home road Splits. Favorite, irvin
• 33:24
  Speaker 5: yeah we're Gonna take washington in the first five here in.
• 33:27
  Speaker 5: THIS one i think this has a lot going. For
• 33:29
  Speaker 5: IT so i. LIKE it i think it's the strongest
• 33:31
  Speaker 5: of the situational angles on the board, as well and
• 33:34
  Speaker 5: the money seems, to agree and it seems like we
• 33:36
  Speaker 5: have a Pros versus joe's here with eighty three percent
• 33:39
  Speaker 5: of the Tickets on atlanta fifty seven percent of the Cash,
• 33:41
  Speaker 5: on Washington and atlanta for the full game is a
• 33:44
  Speaker 5: pretty high price at minus one, forty something and that
• 33:47
  Speaker 5: line has dropped a, little bit so we see a
• 33:48
  Speaker 5: little bit of reverse line movement against The public. Atlanta
• 33:52
  Speaker 5: side the line has moved against them a, little bit
• 33:55
  Speaker 5: which means that is also an indicator there's some Money playing.
• 33:58
  Speaker 5: Washington here some of it has to do with the
• 34:00
  Speaker 5: full game price Here on atlanta being. Pretty high, but
• 34:03
  Speaker 5: yeah we're gonna just take the bullpen Out for washington
• 34:06
  Speaker 5: though EVEN though I know atlanta's bullpen is, very UNRESTED
• 34:09
  Speaker 5: so i still wouldn't Disagree with washington. Full game but
• 34:12
  Speaker 5: we're gonna take the first five on the money line
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: as a little bit of. An underdog if you want
• 34:16
  Speaker 5: to take them on the, run line that was it
• 34:19
  Speaker 5: about minus, one twenty so that's not even really. That
• 34:21
  Speaker 5: bad you want to take them plus to have run
• 34:23
  Speaker 5: in the, first five you can do that. As well
• 34:25
  Speaker 5: if you, DO that i would say still put some
• 34:26
  Speaker 5: amount of the bet on the, money, line though because
• 34:29
  Speaker 5: it's fairly likely if they, cover that they'll have the lead,
• 34:32
  Speaker 5: as well you KNOW what. I, mean like the only
• 34:34
  Speaker 5: way they could cover it and not is if, it's
• 34:36
  Speaker 5: tied which is certainly that's still certainly a. Possibility Though,
• 34:40
  Speaker 5: all right our next game up is gonna be my
• 34:44
  Speaker 5: final play of, the day Which is miami And, the
• 34:46
  Speaker 5: mets the other team involved in the double, Header yesterday
• 34:49
  Speaker 5: and the only WAY that i could really see to
• 34:52
  Speaker 5: play THIS that i think gives us the biggest advantage
• 34:55
  Speaker 5: is to take. THE up i, LIKE it i like
• 34:57
  Speaker 5: the under Here in miami And, the mets AND mostly
• 35:00
  Speaker 5: i like to starting. Pitching matchup, AND again, i Know
• 35:02
  Speaker 5: the mets bullpen is pretty unrested here because of the double,
• 35:05
  Speaker 5: Header yesterday so WHY do i want to? Do, this
• 35:08
  Speaker 5: Well the mets bullpen is still not, that Bad and
• 35:12
  Speaker 5: miami's bullpen is decent, as well and these. Two Starters
• 35:16
  Speaker 5: what i'm hoping is that the starters are gonna get
• 35:18
  Speaker 5: us deeper than just the five, innings here save. The
• 35:20
  Speaker 5: bullpens a little, bit HERE and i think it's enough
• 35:22
  Speaker 5: that we can get this. Under plus you, Know me
• 35:25
  Speaker 5: my first five unders have been just crashing and. Burning
• 35:28
  Speaker 5: recently and the three and a half is just a
• 35:30
  Speaker 5: number that gives you no, leeway there you KNOW what.
• 35:32
  Speaker 5: I mean like pitchers might be a little bit shaky
• 35:35
  Speaker 5: early and then, settle down and then this kind of
• 35:37
  Speaker 5: allows for that. To happen and then if the pitchers
• 35:39
  Speaker 5: can get you a little bit deeper into, the game
• 35:41
  Speaker 5: then you don't have to have as much usage out of.
• 35:43
  Speaker 5: The bullpens, but Yes the mets did go into a double.
• 35:47
  Speaker 5: Header yesterday they split the, DOUBLE header, i Believe with,
• 35:49
  Speaker 5: atlanta yesterday and it was flipped FROM what i thought it.
• 35:51
  Speaker 5: WOULD be I thought atlanta would win game one and
• 35:54
  Speaker 5: lose Possibly lose, game two which. Was close both, were close.
• 35:57
  Speaker 6: Low, scoring games but the.
• 36:00
  Speaker 5: Reverse happened now For, the mets they did use most
• 36:03
  Speaker 5: of their. Bullpen yesterday they used, six guys but no
• 36:08
  Speaker 5: single pitcher really came in for a ton. Of pitches
• 36:11
  Speaker 5: and it's pretty conceivable some of these guys could pitch,
• 36:14
  Speaker 5: again Today, although williams, their closer. Might not but they
• 36:17
  Speaker 5: didn't use Anybody. On tuesday On, a monday they only used,
• 36:20
  Speaker 5: two guys so their bullpen isn't really in that bad
• 36:24
  Speaker 5: of a rest shape if you look. At It and
• 36:26
  Speaker 5: miami they didn't use a ton of their bullpen, Yesterday
• 36:29
  Speaker 5: either they only used three Guys and miami was involved
• 36:32
  Speaker 5: in that crazy, Comeback though so both teams are in bad.
• 36:36
  Speaker 5: SITUATIONAL spots i would say Because the mets are coming
• 36:39
  Speaker 5: up that ridiculous double Header, against atlanta a huge double
• 36:43
  Speaker 5: header series. For them miami just had that ridiculous comeback To,
• 36:46
  Speaker 5: sweep philadelphia so they could be in a. Letdown Spot
• 36:50
  Speaker 5: the mets could be in a hangover, spot HERE but
• 36:52
  Speaker 5: i think that affects the hitting to. SOME degree i
• 36:54
  Speaker 5: think when a team is in a spot, like that
• 36:56
  Speaker 5: the let down or, THE hangover i think the hitting
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: could be effected by it because it's basically it's kind of,
• 37:01
  Speaker 5: a distraction like it draws your, focus elsewhere you KNOW what.
• 37:05
  Speaker 5: I MEAN so i like that as far as IT'S
• 37:07
  Speaker 5: under i think both offenses might be kind of in
• 37:10
  Speaker 5: a distracted, Spot here and as far as the, Offense
• 37:13
  Speaker 5: is miami's, ranked seventh which, is GOOD but i don't
• 37:16
  Speaker 5: think that they're really, that GOOD so, i mean. WE'LL
• 37:19
  Speaker 5: see i guess this is Not, in, miami though which
• 37:22
  Speaker 5: is a more hitter friendly park Than The, mets stadium
• 37:24
  Speaker 5: But The mets park is not exactly hitter's. Paradise Either
• 37:29
  Speaker 5: the mets offense hasn't been, as GOOD so i think
• 37:31
  Speaker 5: we don't really have to worry about playing an under
• 37:33
  Speaker 5: in a game with their offense twenty seventh ranked offense To,
• 37:36
  Speaker 5: the mets Tied, with seattle and the bullpen's generally are ranked.
• 37:41
  Speaker 5: Pretty Good the marlins, are fifth although their era has
• 37:44
  Speaker 5: climbed a little Bit Recent the mets, are seventh but
• 37:46
  Speaker 5: these are still capable bullpens Here, and dagger what's, up
• 37:52
  Speaker 5: man thanks for. Hanging out we don't have enough people
• 37:54
  Speaker 5: in the chat that a tower is actually gonna. Happen here, starting,
• 38:00
  Speaker 5: pitching though is a huge aspect.
• 38:01
  Speaker 6: OF this i like the starting.
• 38:03
  Speaker 5: Pitching men these are, two young, talented PITCHERS so i
• 38:06
  Speaker 5: still think it might be a little bit under the,
• 38:07
  Speaker 5: radar here although the oddsmakers obviously know, they're good which
• 38:10
  Speaker 5: is why they're hanging a really low total of. Seven
• 38:13
  Speaker 5: here but at least we're on that key, number seven,
• 38:15
  Speaker 5: you know so if it lands on that, key number
• 38:18
  Speaker 5: which you need to break the three to. Three tie
• 38:19
  Speaker 5: at least it'll push the bet. For Us But juri
• 38:22
  Speaker 5: perez is pitching For. The marlins, he's. SOLID dude i
• 38:26
  Speaker 5: know he's had multiple arm, surgeries already but he's so
• 38:29
  Speaker 5: young that it looks like he's just kind of. Overcoming
• 38:31
  Speaker 5: that he's got some pretty nasty stuff and a really weird.
• 38:35
  Speaker 5: Wind up he's tough to pick up. His pitches he's
• 38:37
  Speaker 5: really tall, as well a three point FIVE six era,
• 38:40
  Speaker 5: for him one point one point. One whip he's only
• 38:43
  Speaker 5: been a little bit worse on the road three point
• 38:45
  Speaker 5: eight six roadyra but his opponent of batting average on
• 38:47
  Speaker 5: the road is excellent at one point, Eight five so
• 38:50
  Speaker 5: it looks like he just kind of struggles a little
• 38:51
  Speaker 5: bitout the walks on, the road but his walk rate
• 38:54
  Speaker 5: hasn't even been. That, Bad recently miami's lost his last,
• 38:57
  Speaker 5: three starts but none of that was really, his fault,
• 39:00
  Speaker 5: you know either the bullpen imploded, behind him or the
• 39:03
  Speaker 5: offense didn't do anything, behind him, or both because he
• 39:06
  Speaker 5: allowed three or few earned runs on all. Of those
• 39:08
  Speaker 5: and that's been the case since he's come back. From
• 39:11
  Speaker 5: injury he missed about, a month came back In, late
• 39:13
  Speaker 5: june and he's been pretty much lights out. Since then he's,
• 39:16
  Speaker 5: been very very good, since then, allowing yeah more than
• 39:20
  Speaker 5: two earned runs only once during that. Entire stretch and
• 39:23
  Speaker 5: he's faced some decent offenses in here and had to
• 39:26
  Speaker 5: pitch in some really hit or friendly, parks too and
• 39:28
  Speaker 5: was able to do pretty. Well there he's got a
• 39:30
  Speaker 5: low hit rate on. The season he's very difficult. To
• 39:32
  Speaker 5: hit if there's one knock. On HIM like, i said it's,
• 39:35
  Speaker 5: the walks but he seems to be getting that under
• 39:37
  Speaker 5: control a, bit too and his strike got rate. Is high,
• 39:40
  Speaker 5: so yeah generally. He's good he's got. Good stuff he's
• 39:43
  Speaker 5: facing a weak met offense here that's now Without won soto,
• 39:46
  Speaker 5: as well and he's dominated them in the past thirty
• 39:49
  Speaker 5: three at bats, against them they have, eleven strikeouts three
• 39:52
  Speaker 5: walks against some one to twenty, one average three seventy six.
• 39:55
  Speaker 5: Oh ps, so yeah he has dominant numbers Against this,
• 39:58
  Speaker 5: mets lineup and it's in a sample size is at least.
• 40:01
  Speaker 6: A decent size that we can.
• 40:03
  Speaker 5: Gauge something and on the, Other side noel McLain is
• 40:06
  Speaker 5: pitching For. THE mets i think he's their, best starter
• 40:09
  Speaker 5: even though he's. Really young, and yes at some point
• 40:11
  Speaker 5: you do have to worry about his, innings TOTAL which
• 40:13
  Speaker 5: i keep saying these, young pitchers they might fall off
• 40:16
  Speaker 5: a little bit as they throw more innings than they.
• 40:18
  Speaker 5: Have BEFORE but i still look, at like what did
• 40:21
  Speaker 5: this pitcher doing their last start, and WHATEVER and i
• 40:23
  Speaker 5: don't really see him doing that much. Worse yet so
• 40:27
  Speaker 5: McClain's been good three point THREE, two era one point
• 40:30
  Speaker 5: one to. ONE whip i know he's been worse at
• 40:32
  Speaker 5: home four point three TO, three ra but his opponent
• 40:35
  Speaker 5: batting average is still at two, thirty one so that's.
• 40:37
  Speaker 5: Not bad so it's really been the walks that have
• 40:39
  Speaker 5: been kind of the issue for him. At home but
• 40:41
  Speaker 5: he's not really showing signs of. Struggling yet like last,
• 40:44
  Speaker 5: TIME out i believe we won with an under in.
• 40:47
  Speaker 5: That game he pitched Against, the dodgers one of the
• 40:50
  Speaker 5: best offenses, in baseball and two of the runs that
• 40:53
  Speaker 5: he allowed were unearned in, that game and he's still
• 40:55
  Speaker 5: lasted six innings there and was pretty efficient with. His
• 40:58
  Speaker 5: pitches didn't get to the one, hundred pitch so he's
• 41:01
  Speaker 5: still pitch well on, that outing and he's been good
• 41:03
  Speaker 5: all throughout the Month of, july here high, strikeout rate
• 41:06
  Speaker 5: reasonably low, walk rate low, hit RATE, low era and.
• 41:09
  Speaker 6: THE ones i mean he's.
• 41:10
  Speaker 5: Pitching well he's been good really since well really, all
• 41:14
  Speaker 5: season but since the beginning Of the june he's really
• 41:16
  Speaker 5: only had one. Bad start it was Against, the cubs
• 41:19
  Speaker 5: and it looks like he kind of got unlucky in
• 41:21
  Speaker 5: that one because he didn't really put that many guys.
• 41:23
  Speaker 5: On base, so yeah there's not a lot to dislike here.
• 41:25
  Speaker 5: About McClane he's got a low. Hit rate his walk
• 41:28
  Speaker 5: rate again is really the only thing that you can
• 41:30
  Speaker 5: kind of pick. At here walk rate's a little, bit
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: high strike cut rate is. Quite high so he has
• 41:34
  Speaker 5: the ability to blow guys away at the major league
• 41:37
  Speaker 5: level as well and. Fool them he's going Up, against
• 41:41
  Speaker 5: MIAMI who i don't really think is like an elite,
• 41:43
  Speaker 5: caliber offense EVEN though i know their numbers have them
• 41:46
  Speaker 5: ranked in the. Top Ten but miami's ozer for thirteen lifetime,
• 41:50
  Speaker 5: off him they haven't seen him. That much seven of
• 41:53
  Speaker 5: their hitters have, face him, but yeah they don't even
• 41:54
  Speaker 5: have a hit.
• 41:55
  Speaker 6: Off him they do have.
• 41:56
  Speaker 5: A lot, of walks, five walks two. Strike cuts but
• 41:58
  Speaker 5: still it's a zero adding average at two seventy. Eight ohps,
• 42:02
  Speaker 5: so yeah McClain's done well. Against them, i'm gonna, you
• 42:06
  Speaker 5: know just go with what my initial reaction on this,
• 42:08
  Speaker 5: was under and THEN after i dug into all the
• 42:11
  Speaker 5: matchup numbers, and stuff THAT'S where i land.
• 42:14
  Speaker 6: The, under uh that's what we're going.
• 42:15
  Speaker 5: With you it looks like the money's kind of playing
• 42:17
  Speaker 5: the over here seventy one percent of tickets ninety one
• 42:19
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on. THE over i don't agree.
• 42:23
  Speaker 5: WITH it i don't see that being. THE case, i,
• 42:24
  Speaker 5: mean again the total is really low for. A reason
• 42:27
  Speaker 5: and as far as, the Side the mets are favored
• 42:29
  Speaker 5: at about minus one thirty sixty nine percent of tickets
• 42:32
  Speaker 5: ninety two percent of the cash On. THE mets i
• 42:35
  Speaker 5: could see the argument For, The mets BUT if i
• 42:36
  Speaker 5: was gonna Play, THE mets i might limit it to
• 42:38
  Speaker 5: the first five just because they're bullpen worries, me man
• 42:44
  Speaker 5: because they used a lot of their.
• 42:46
  Speaker 6: Guys yesterday.
• 42:47
  Speaker 5: You Know although i'm still playing the under at the,
• 42:48
  Speaker 5: seven though JUST because i don't want to go under
• 42:50
  Speaker 5: three and a half in the, first five although if you,
• 42:52
  Speaker 5: did that if you went first, FIVE under i would
• 42:54
  Speaker 5: Not really i'm not gonna disagree, with it you KNOW what,
• 42:57
  Speaker 5: I mean like that would be the second best way
• 43:00
  Speaker 5: to play this game still in. My opinion, but Yes
• 43:03
  Speaker 5: the mets look like they're getting, the MONEY and i
• 43:05
  Speaker 5: kind of agree, with it but it would mostly be because,
• 43:07
  Speaker 5: it's like why Are the, mets favored you KNOW what?
• 43:10
  Speaker 5: I mean when they have the worst? Record here oh,
• 43:11
  Speaker 5: my god You're getting miami with the team with the
• 43:13
  Speaker 5: better record as, An, underdog like how is? That, possible
• 43:16
  Speaker 5: seeah that has to be kind of leaning Towards, the
• 43:18
  Speaker 5: METS although i THINK if i, DID that i would
• 43:19
  Speaker 5: go first five only to avoid their. Unrested bultpen but,
• 43:23
  Speaker 5: then again when you have a game that's supposed to
• 43:25
  Speaker 5: be low scoring and a pitching duel, like THIS as i,
• 43:29
  Speaker 5: always say usually that means there's value with the underdog
• 43:31
  Speaker 5: because if it's expected to be a low scoring, closer
• 43:33
  Speaker 5: game the underdog has a better chance to pull.
• 43:35
  Speaker 6: It off, you know, All right Pittsburgh.
• 43:39
  Speaker 5: And cincinnati cincinnati Played, against cleveland you have today the
• 43:44
  Speaker 5: lost six. To one we lost on the over in,
• 43:46
  Speaker 5: that GAME which I think we kind of got screwed on.
• 43:48
  Speaker 5: THAT one a lot of guys stranded on base in.
• 43:51
  Speaker 5: That game it definitely had the look of an overgame
• 43:55
  Speaker 5: as far as like how many guys reach base in,
• 43:57
  Speaker 5: The game and Even though cantilla, was good only lasted
• 44:00
  Speaker 5: four innings in. The game, SO yeah i think we
• 44:04
  Speaker 5: got kind of screwed. On That but cincinnati is staying
• 44:06
  Speaker 5: at home here. Awful loss pittsburgh is coming in of
• 44:09
  Speaker 5: an ugly home shutout Loss. To arizona so a lot
• 44:11
  Speaker 5: of times teams will bounce back when they lose, like
• 44:14
  Speaker 5: that and they're starting a road trip quick Trip from Pittsburgh.
• 44:18
  Speaker 6: To, cincinnati plus starting.
• 44:19
  Speaker 5: A road trip is usually a. Focused spot usually want
• 44:21
  Speaker 5: to get off on the. Right foot but both teams
• 44:23
  Speaker 5: should be. Focused here cincinnati is not going to overlook
• 44:26
  Speaker 5: a team that's above them in. The division the starting
• 44:29
  Speaker 5: pitching matchup looks real ugly in, this, game THOUGH and
• 44:33
  Speaker 5: i don't love the, bullpens either so you kind of
• 44:35
  Speaker 5: Know where i'm going with. This one this one almost
• 44:37
  Speaker 5: made the cut, for me which would be. The over
• 44:40
  Speaker 5: as you could probably tell me Hide that cincinnati used
• 44:47
  Speaker 5: four relief. Pitchers yesterday they're not a. Good bullpen pittsburgh
• 44:51
  Speaker 5: is not. Much better pittsburgh only us, one, guy though
• 44:53
  Speaker 5: and It, was lowzinsky kind of a long. Relief man
• 44:56
  Speaker 5: cincinnati's twenty fifth, In bullpen pittsburgh. Twenty third either of
• 45:00
  Speaker 5: these bullpens or trustworthy in. My opinion pittsburgh is a.
• 45:03
  Speaker 5: Good offense, they're third although they're a little bit worse on,
• 45:06
  Speaker 5: the road but. Still, good cincinnati they've struggled in. That
• 45:09
  Speaker 5: department they're. Twenty third they're gonna have to find some.
• 45:12
  Speaker 6: Offense.
• 45:12
  Speaker 5: HERE man i think they might Here because pittsburgh is
• 45:15
  Speaker 5: in a similar Spot to TEXAS where i Talked. ABOUT
• 45:18
  Speaker 5: texas i think they Were pushing valdi Back because texas
• 45:21
  Speaker 5: had no days off and they don't want to have
• 45:23
  Speaker 5: their pitch or pitch on five. Days rest, to me
• 45:25
  Speaker 5: it Looks like pittsburgh is doing that Today With, paul
• 45:28
  Speaker 5: schemes because he'd be next up in. THE rotation i
• 45:30
  Speaker 5: think they're gonna push him to tomorrow because they haven't
• 45:32
  Speaker 5: had any, days off so they want to have him
• 45:35
  Speaker 5: on The regular what's considered regular rest nowadays is six
• 45:40
  Speaker 5: days after you, Last Pitch so pittsburgh looks like they're
• 45:43
  Speaker 5: going with a bullpend game here because They Have johan
• 45:45
  Speaker 5: ramirez listed as. The starter he's only gonna be an. Opener,
• 45:49
  Speaker 5: here basically he's in, his thirties his whip isn't. VERY good,
• 45:52
  Speaker 5: i mean there's not a whole lot to really. See
• 45:54
  Speaker 5: here you just Know that pittsburgh is going with a.
• 45:56
  Speaker 5: Bullpen game SO what i will, say is if you're
• 45:58
  Speaker 5: gonna look at this game Or the, TEXAS game I
• 46:01
  Speaker 5: think i might have already mentioned it With the, texas
• 46:02
  Speaker 5: GAME but i would only pick that the, actual, well
• 46:05
  Speaker 5: actually in This Game, PITTSBURGH cincinnati i would just go
• 46:07
  Speaker 5: action with this one and play the over because we
• 46:10
  Speaker 5: don't even we don't know if either of these starters
• 46:12
  Speaker 5: is actually gonna be the, starter HERE and i don't
• 46:14
  Speaker 5: think it.
• 46:15
  Speaker 6: REALLY mad i think.
• 46:15
  Speaker 5: It's gonna be kind of a pseudo bullpen game from both.
• 46:18
  Speaker 5: Sides here so, THIS game i would literally just play
• 46:20
  Speaker 5: at ACTION and i would take. The Over In Texas,
• 46:24
  Speaker 5: TAMPA bay i would pick McClanahan, must start and don't
• 46:27
  Speaker 5: pick a Starter for texas because you don't know what they're.
• 46:29
  Speaker 5: Gonna do it's a. Bullpen game but in, THAT one
• 46:32
  Speaker 5: i had the Lean Towards tampa bay and, that one
• 46:34
  Speaker 5: although the money didn't agree. With me, but anyway back to. This,
• 46:36
  Speaker 5: game yet this game kind of has overwritten all Over
• 46:40
  Speaker 5: and i'm tempted to do it and just play it
• 46:43
  Speaker 5: as ACTION because i don't think either starter is gonna
• 46:46
  Speaker 5: get gonna give us. Much Here rrett louder is listed
• 46:48
  Speaker 5: as the starter For. The reds he, Might start he
• 46:50
  Speaker 5: might come out of the bullpen after an opener. Who
• 46:52
  Speaker 5: knows his numbers are. Pretty bad five point six pot,
• 46:55
  Speaker 5: one era one point five to seven whip is. Really
• 46:58
  Speaker 5: bad the only thing that kind of saves him maybe
• 47:01
  Speaker 5: is that he is good at home three point Zero
• 47:03
  Speaker 5: nine homie er two thirty five upon a, batting average which.
• 47:07
  Speaker 5: Is good but he's still a, bad. Pitcher dude he
• 47:10
  Speaker 5: did pitch well last time Out Against saint louis after
• 47:12
  Speaker 5: he was making a run of. BOPEN appearances i think
• 47:15
  Speaker 5: he might have made a start in. This One At,
• 47:17
  Speaker 5: saint louis it was a pitcher friendly park against a,
• 47:19
  Speaker 5: week offense and he pitched. Well there pittsburgh is not a, week,
• 47:23
  Speaker 5: OFFENSE though i would Not, trust louder and last time
• 47:26
  Speaker 5: He faced pittsburgh Was, at PITTSBURGH where I know pittsburgh
• 47:29
  Speaker 5: hits better, at home but he got absolutely thrashed in.
• 47:32
  Speaker 5: That start he gave up eight runs on five hits
• 47:34
  Speaker 5: and one of the third innings and four walks on top,
• 47:38
  Speaker 5: of that so he he only got four guys out
• 47:40
  Speaker 5: and he put thirteen guys. On base or, excuse, ME
• 47:45
  Speaker 5: nine i can't do. Math ANYMORE nine, I was i
• 47:47
  Speaker 5: was adding the eight to.
• 47:48
  Speaker 6: The five i'm.
• 47:48
  Speaker 5: An, idiot yeah nine guys on base and eight of.
• 47:52
  Speaker 5: Them scored, but yeah is?
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: That?
• 47:54
  Speaker 6: Good, yeah, no no it's.
• 47:55
  Speaker 5: Not good louder has a high hit, rate here high,
• 47:58
  Speaker 5: walk rate low strike out rate, as well, but yeah my,
• 48:02
  Speaker 5: STROKE brain i. Don't know it doesn't allow me to
• 48:04
  Speaker 5: discern between columns and. Rows, ANYMORE man i hate. It
• 48:09
  Speaker 5: anyway it makes it makes me Seem like i'm an idiot,
• 48:12
  Speaker 5: at Math which. I'M not, cs MAJOR perfect SAT and
• 48:16
  Speaker 5: sat two. Math. Scores man so and, you know did
• 48:21
  Speaker 5: like a decent amount of advanced math. In college but
• 48:24
  Speaker 5: whatever up, through calculus linear algebra and differential equations. And
• 48:30
  Speaker 5: shit all, Right, ANYWAY yes i DON'T think i have
• 48:34
  Speaker 5: a whole lot else to say, about this, But, oh louder.
• 48:37
  Speaker 5: That's right louder's Numbers, Against pittsburgh i'm pretty sure, they're
• 48:42
  Speaker 5: awful but let me make Sure that, UH yeah i
• 48:46
  Speaker 5: mean they're. Pretty bad he has twelve at bats, against
• 48:49
  Speaker 5: them they have seven hitters of face and, five walks.
• 48:51
  Speaker 5: NO strikeouts a lot of that was in. THAT start
• 48:54
  Speaker 5: i just showed you three thirty three average one twenty nine.
• 48:57
  Speaker 5: Oh ps, so yeah this game over is the ONLY
• 49:01
  Speaker 5: way i would. PLAY it i. Like it it has
• 49:04
  Speaker 5: overwritten all over it. For me fifty eight percent of
• 49:07
  Speaker 5: the tickets on, the under eighty percent of the couch on,
• 49:09
  Speaker 5: the over the totals nine and. A half, i mean
• 49:13
  Speaker 5: my concerns are really Just the cincinnati offense just hasn't
• 49:16
  Speaker 5: been getting the, job Done and louder at least has
• 49:20
  Speaker 5: been better, at home and those are kind of be
• 49:22
  Speaker 5: my only issues. With it it's not on my card,
• 49:24
  Speaker 5: right NOW but i THINK if i was gonna add,
• 49:25
  Speaker 5: another one that would be the next.
• 49:27
  Speaker 6: ONE up i like.
• 49:27
  Speaker 5: That, one yeah the over in, THAT game, i, THINK
• 49:31
  Speaker 5: yeah i don't KNOW if i have, another game but
• 49:32
  Speaker 5: would really be. THAT close i do like the Under
• 49:35
  Speaker 5: In Yankees white sox a, decent AMOUNT but i think
• 49:38
  Speaker 5: this one is. Better yeah out of the games that
• 49:41
  Speaker 5: are not on the card, for me this is the
• 49:43
  Speaker 5: one Over In. Pittsburgh cincinnati speaking, Of Overs Red sox
• 49:47
  Speaker 5: a's did not go over. Again yesterday we've had low
• 49:51
  Speaker 5: scoring games in, this series in this horrible.
• 49:53
  Speaker 6: A stadium we've had no.
• 49:55
  Speaker 5: Offense Happening the a's offense has been bad for a.
• 49:59
  Speaker 5: While now In The red sox offense seems to have
• 50:01
  Speaker 5: fallen back into their old ways of not being able,
• 50:04
  Speaker 5: to hit even though they've hit better on the road.
• 50:06
  Speaker 5: THIS year i don't know what's going. On Here The
• 50:08
  Speaker 5: red sox are able to win the game in extra
• 50:10
  Speaker 5: innings yesterday four. To two sandoval actually pitched pretty well
• 50:14
  Speaker 5: For The. Red sox both pitchers pitched way BETTER than,
• 50:16
  Speaker 5: I thought Sandoval. AND lopez i don't know how the
• 50:19
  Speaker 5: offense has got nothing going against those. Two guys those
• 50:22
  Speaker 5: two guys. Are Garbage the a's used four guys out of.
• 50:25
  Speaker 5: The bullpen speaking, of Garbage the a's bullpen is. Total
• 50:28
  Speaker 5: Garbage The red sox used a lot of, their bullpen
• 50:31
  Speaker 5: though they had To use chapman again to close the
• 50:33
  Speaker 5: game in the bottom of the tenth. Or. WHATEVER yesterday
• 50:37
  Speaker 5: a lot of guys came out of. The bullpen these
• 50:39
  Speaker 5: five guys out of the, bullpen yesterday by, the way
• 50:43
  Speaker 5: just to throw, it out there a lot of extra inning,
• 50:44
  Speaker 5: games yesterday but some of them involved teams that aren't.
• 50:46
  Speaker 5: Playing today so the ones That did Chicago And saint
• 50:49
  Speaker 5: louis had the ten, inning game these, Two Teams red
• 50:51
  Speaker 5: Sox and a's had the ten, inning Game And Yankees,
• 50:54
  Speaker 5: white SOX as i, already mentioned went. To twelve so
• 50:56
  Speaker 5: those are some bullpens that are not rested. Right Now
• 50:59
  Speaker 5: The red sluck still have a huge bullpen. At here,
• 51:01
  Speaker 5: in fact their bullpen e rash for the moment. BELOW three,
• 51:06
  Speaker 5: i mean that's, pretty unsustainable but they have a. Good
• 51:09
  Speaker 5: bullpen they're number one IN both ERA, and whip And
• 51:12
  Speaker 5: the a's bullpen is the WORST in era, by far
• 51:15
  Speaker 5: horrible and almost THE worst whip as well at. Twenty
• 51:18
  Speaker 5: eight you could definitely make the argument this is the
• 51:20
  Speaker 5: best versus the worst bullpen in this. Matchup Here red
• 51:24
  Speaker 5: sox offense. Is twentieth they've been at least a little
• 51:27
  Speaker 5: bit better for the most part over the last month,
• 51:29
  Speaker 5: or so, but recently very recently not. As good And,
• 51:32
  Speaker 5: the A'S like, i said they've kind of fallen. Off
• 51:34
  Speaker 5: recently They lost loangoliers to a season enging ending injury
• 51:38
  Speaker 5: right at the, trade deadline so they couldn't try to.
• 51:41
  Speaker 5: Trade Him, oh god they're tied With The white sox
• 51:44
  Speaker 5: right now. At fourteen there's still a capable offense Though the.
• 51:47
  Speaker 5: A's Are The red sox are Going With sonny. Gray here,
• 51:51
  Speaker 5: this does on the surface look like a huge pitching
• 51:53
  Speaker 5: mismatch Towards The red, sox here like they should win,
• 51:57
  Speaker 5: this Game But i'm i'm not gonna, guarante obviously and
• 52:01
  Speaker 5: you have to lay a huge price if you want
• 52:03
  Speaker 5: to Play The red. Sox here gray is having a
• 52:05
  Speaker 5: good season though two point seven TO eighty ra one
• 52:08
  Speaker 5: point one to six whip one of the better. Offseason
• 52:11
  Speaker 5: Moves The red sox had a couple of really good.
• 52:12
  Speaker 5: Offseason moves Gray and suarez both. Good moves gray has
• 52:17
  Speaker 5: been a little bit worse on the road two point EIGHT.
• 52:19
  Speaker 5: Six roadra his opponent batting average does go up a
• 52:22
  Speaker 5: bit on. The road didn't pitch well last Time, against
• 52:25
  Speaker 5: toronto but it was a weird situation where he Was
• 52:28
  Speaker 5: shutting toronto out into the sixth inning and then he
• 52:31
  Speaker 5: couldn't get anybody out in the. SIXTH inning i don't
• 52:33
  Speaker 5: know what that. Was like they got six straight hits
• 52:36
  Speaker 5: off him in the sixth inning and then that was
• 52:37
  Speaker 5: it and he was out of. The game so he
• 52:39
  Speaker 5: was pitching well into. That point generally he's. BEEN good,
• 52:42
  Speaker 5: i mean prior, to that he'd allowed more than three
• 52:45
  Speaker 5: or runs only one other time over the. Entire season
• 52:47
  Speaker 5: so it does look like more of a blip for
• 52:50
  Speaker 5: him more than. Anything else i'm looking at his. Overall
• 52:53
  Speaker 5: numbers he's got a low hit, rate here his walk rates.
• 52:55
  Speaker 5: Very low he doesn't really, walk guys strike got, raidedst
• 52:59
  Speaker 5: mediocre doesn't really strike a lot of, guys out but
• 53:01
  Speaker 5: he does get a lot of, soft CONTACT which i
• 53:03
  Speaker 5: know the advanced analyticaliz don't. Like that he gets a
• 53:06
  Speaker 5: lot of ground ball outs, as well which is one
• 53:07
  Speaker 5: thing you want. To know in this, a stadium you
• 53:10
  Speaker 5: don't really want to necessarily back guys that are extreme.
• 53:14
  Speaker 5: Flyball pitchers gray is not one. Of those he has
• 53:17
  Speaker 5: a decent ground ball fly ball, split here and he
• 53:20
  Speaker 5: doesn't allow that many, home runs but it's, YOU know,
• 53:23
  Speaker 5: i mean he could give it up on any, given.
• 53:25
  Speaker 5: Day Though the a's have kind of mediocre ish numbers
• 53:28
  Speaker 5: against if they haven't hit him, for power though they've
• 53:30
  Speaker 5: only hit him for contact two seventy six average, against
• 53:33
  Speaker 5: them six fifty four ops in twenty nine, at bats
• 53:36
  Speaker 5: six to three strike up, walk ratio only one extra
• 53:41
  Speaker 5: base hit here double. Form, McNeil generally I think gray
• 53:46
  Speaker 5: is going to bounce back and have a decent. Start
• 53:48
  Speaker 5: here we don't know that. For Sure the a's are
• 53:52
  Speaker 5: Going With, mason barnett who is a young PITCHER who
• 53:55
  Speaker 5: i think has been back and forth between the bullpen
• 53:57
  Speaker 5: and the. Starting rotation his numbers are not horrible four
• 54:00
  Speaker 5: point SEVEN, four era one point three TO, eight whim
• 54:03
  Speaker 5: But the a's have lost his last. Six appearances but,
• 54:07
  Speaker 5: then again the a is just in general losing every
• 54:09
  Speaker 5: single one of. These games but some of it has
• 54:11
  Speaker 5: been partially his fault because he's made these relief appearances
• 54:14
  Speaker 5: and he's not. BEEN good i think he made a
• 54:16
  Speaker 5: start last Time against minnesota and that didn't go, Well
• 54:19
  Speaker 5: EITHER so i don't Really. TRUST barnett, i mean he's
• 54:22
  Speaker 5: not in good. Form here his hit rate is, actually
• 54:25
  Speaker 5: okay but his walk rate is way. Too high strikeout
• 54:29
  Speaker 5: rate is. Also okay so really the problem with him
• 54:31
  Speaker 5: is that he walks too. Many guys his home run
• 54:35
  Speaker 5: rate is maybe a little bit of a concern in
• 54:37
  Speaker 5: a stadium. Like this he is definitely flyball heavy at
• 54:41
  Speaker 5: the very least looking at his. Numbers overall he did
• 54:44
  Speaker 5: pitch last year a bit. Too him. He didn't he
• 54:47
  Speaker 5: wasn't good at all, Last year and actually he didn't
• 54:49
  Speaker 5: start at all. This YEAR so i thought that was
• 54:50
  Speaker 5: a Start, against minnesota but. It wasn't he hasn't made
• 54:53
  Speaker 5: a start yet. This year he made five starts For
• 54:56
  Speaker 5: the a's, last year and his walk rate was enormous.
• 54:58
  Speaker 5: Last year he wasn't good last year. At all maybe
• 55:01
  Speaker 5: they see something in him and maybe at some point
• 55:03
  Speaker 5: he'll turn it around a, little bit because again it's
• 55:06
  Speaker 5: really the walks that have been the huge issue. For
• 55:08
  Speaker 5: him but we'll see in. THIS game i, would say
• 55:10
  Speaker 5: if you're gonna play this game, AT all i would
• 55:12
  Speaker 5: Say pick gray, Must start but don't pick a starter
• 55:15
  Speaker 5: For the a's because it might not Even. Be barnett
• 55:18
  Speaker 5: but it Looks like barnett will pitch at some point in.
• 55:20
  Speaker 5: This game In The red sox in eighteen, at bats
• 55:22
  Speaker 5: seven hitters of face and they've housed them three eighty
• 55:25
  Speaker 5: nine batting average eight to ninety four. Oh ps they
• 55:28
  Speaker 5: don't have any home, runs often but they've definitely hit
• 55:30
  Speaker 5: them for strikeouts. Two walks, SO yeah, i mean this
• 55:34
  Speaker 5: game is hard to figure out what to. DO with
• 55:36
  Speaker 5: i THINK maybe i finally could bank on some runs
• 55:40
  Speaker 5: and go With Like red sox team total over might
• 55:42
  Speaker 5: be a way to play. This Game The red sox,
• 55:45
  Speaker 5: are public but they're getting some of the money. As
• 55:47
  Speaker 5: well they're in the minus one seventies eighty seven percent
• 55:49
  Speaker 5: of the tickets eighty eight percent of. THE cash i
• 55:52
  Speaker 5: don't want to play a team it's that public and
• 55:53
  Speaker 5: lay a price. LIKE that i wouldn't, do it even
• 55:56
  Speaker 5: Though The red sox should have the pitching edge throughout.
• 55:58
  Speaker 5: This game, BUT yeah i mean that's a high. Price
• 56:01
  Speaker 5: tag the total is still high because It's an a's game.
• 56:04
  Speaker 5: At home ten to ten and a half is the total.
• 56:07
  Speaker 6: Money is coming in towards the.
• 56:08
  Speaker 5: Over here, but yeah given, all that if you Think
• 56:11
  Speaker 5: The red sox are the more likely team to win
• 56:14
  Speaker 5: the game and the money's coming into the over that
• 56:16
  Speaker 5: does kind of Support The red sox to go over
• 56:20
  Speaker 5: their team total. APPROACH here i think that might BE
• 56:22
  Speaker 5: what i. Would do you're gonna need to probably score, six,
• 56:24
  Speaker 5: runs though and they haven't done that in this, entire
• 56:27
  Speaker 5: series but maybe. They will maybe they'll be able to
• 56:29
  Speaker 5: break out the bats here against a bad ace pitching
• 56:33
  Speaker 5: staff that they're gonna get to face for all. Nine
• 56:35
  Speaker 5: Innings And red sox do have that good track record
• 56:38
  Speaker 5: at least in that small Sample. Versus, barnats yeah that
• 56:40
  Speaker 5: might be the better approach in. That game, all right
• 56:43
  Speaker 5: let me see what are we. At here i'll take a,
• 56:48
  Speaker 5: break now and then i'll do the late the, two
• 56:51
  Speaker 5: Well The red sox game is also a. LATE game
• 56:53
  Speaker 5: i should have taken the break. Before That but i'll
• 56:55
  Speaker 5: finish the two other late, late GAMES The nl west
• 56:59
  Speaker 5: games say if you want to call, them that And
• 57:01
  Speaker 5: then i'll do THE w nba. AS well i. DON'T
• 57:03
  Speaker 5: know i don't have any more, plays Though but i'll be. Right. Back,
• 57:12
  Speaker 5: YEP inside i want to. Kill myself we were on
• 57:17
  Speaker 5: own seven run over the last two days.
• 57:19
  Speaker 6: After tonight it was just.
• 57:20
  Speaker 5: Complete bullshit so That's that's i'm gonna start off this
• 57:23
  Speaker 5: Show horrible sunday one. AND five i don't even know
• 57:26
  Speaker 5: what to tell you, ABOVE that i just don't want
• 57:29
  Speaker 5: to do. THIS anymore i have never seen anything. Like
• 57:32
  Speaker 5: this man with the. Slump continuing two, straight losses not
• 57:37
  Speaker 5: a good day. At all, OWN four i have not
• 57:42
  Speaker 5: had a. Good, season man with wookends the Slump that,
• 57:46
  Speaker 5: i'm on and the, Slump continues i've reached. Into, Pink
• 57:50
  Speaker 5: actually i'm going to burn my Browins, HAT man i
• 57:53
  Speaker 5: don't know what is going on with the bruins? Arch
• 57:56
  Speaker 5: hape is that what?
• 57:57
  Speaker 6: IT is i don't even Know it's, MARCH ninth i
• 58:00
  Speaker 6: think who? Even, KNOWS man i don't know.
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: What day it.
• 58:03
  Speaker 5: Is ANYMORE but i don't even know what day it? Is,
• 58:05
  Speaker 5: anymore man back with you after the worst DAY that
• 58:09
  Speaker 5: i could, Possibly have back with YOU as i always
• 58:12
  Speaker 5: AM until, i die at least oh and two yesterday
• 58:17
  Speaker 5: and yesterday it did not go well. For me, own
• 58:19
  Speaker 5: five the worst Month that i've ever had in my
• 58:23
  Speaker 5: eighteen years. DOING this i don't know what to even
• 58:25
  Speaker 5: tell you about. This anymore to, the slumps the, slump
• 58:28
  Speaker 5: discontinuous the. Slump continues somebody fucking, kill. ME please i.
• 58:35
  Speaker 7: Don't even KNOW what i should do at this point
• 58:37
  Speaker 7: other than potentially end it all, All, Right Uh, San Francisco.
• 58:46
  Speaker 5: San Diego san diego's on a nice little. Run here
• 58:50
  Speaker 5: they won five games in a, row here although the
• 58:53
  Speaker 5: last two were Beating the rockies, at home which Is
• 58:56
  Speaker 5: Whatever san francisco will be. Traveling In So san diego
• 59:01
  Speaker 5: is Not Traveling san. Francisco Is san francisco is coming
• 59:04
  Speaker 5: in From slaughtering. Milwaukee yesterday but that was. That game
• 59:07
  Speaker 5: there was a no play for us on the Show
• 59:09
  Speaker 5: BECAUSE drohan i don't know if he was SICK or
• 59:12
  Speaker 5: i don't know what the. Deal Was so drohan didn't start,
• 59:14
  Speaker 5: the game and it was a full bullpen Game from
• 59:17
  Speaker 5: milwaukee spur of, the moment and it went very poorly.
• 59:19
  Speaker 5: For Them. SAN francisco i still don't really Like This san,
• 59:23
  Speaker 5: francisco team not Just because i'm Biased, against Devers But
• 59:27
  Speaker 5: san francisco used three relief. Pitchers yesterday their bullpen hasn't
• 59:30
  Speaker 5: really been. That Good san diego used more, than that they,
• 59:33
  Speaker 5: used five but they do have the. Better bullpen but
• 59:36
  Speaker 5: they Did Use mason miller for the third day in the,
• 59:39
  Speaker 5: last Four so miller likely. Unavailable Here So san diego is.
• 59:44
  Speaker 5: Gonna win they're gonna need to have the game, intact
• 59:48
  Speaker 5: ALREADY which i don't know if they Will Because san
• 59:51
  Speaker 5: diego can't hit. The ball as far as, The Bullpen
• 59:54
  Speaker 5: san diego is still the. Better bullpen they're tenth And
• 59:57
  Speaker 5: the giants are. Twenty fourth, hitting Wise the giants are the.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 5: Better team, they're ELEVENTH like, i said tied With the
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 5: yankees And. THE twins i still don't think they're, that
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 5: good although they keep having these, explosions RANDOMLY but i
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 5: don't think they're gonna put up that much offense in
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 5: this Series In, san diego in a very pitcher, Friendly
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 5: Park san diego's offense. Has struggled they're twenty fifth High With.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis robbie ray is pitching this Game For. San
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 5: francisco he's. BEEN okay a three point one TO sixty
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 5: ra makes him look, really good but his whip is
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 5: not great at one point three, to one so, in
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 5: INDICASE his era should probably be closer to like the,
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 5: four range and that is what he's been doing on.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 5: The road he's been worse on the road four point three.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 5: TO five roadyra with a much higher opponent batting average
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 5: on the road at two. Sixty nine but this is
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 5: a pitcher friendly, park here so this might be more
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 5: in line with what he's used to, at home because
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 5: Of Course sar francisco has a pitcher friendly park. As
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 5: well ray pitched well at home last, time out but
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 5: he was kind of struggling leading into, that start and
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 5: his walk rate has been. Really bad his eray is good.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 5: This month he hasn't really allowed many runs, at all
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 5: but he's gotten. Really lucky he's putting a lot of guys.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 5: On base he's walking way too, many guys so that
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 5: seems pretty unsustainable. To me he's got a low hit
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 5: rate on, the season but his walk rate is. Very,
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 5: high again you can't, Do, that like you can't continue
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 5: to do that and HAVE an era. This low and
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 5: his strike out rate is. JUST okay i don't KNOW
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 5: if i want To trust ray in, this. SPOT man
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 5: i think things are gonna unravel for him at. Some
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 5: point LIKE his era is, misleadingly low he walks way too,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 5: many guys And Against san diego he's actually not. Good
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 5: either in a big one hundred and ten at bat
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 5: sample size two seventy three average nine hundred ops thirty
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 5: to fourteen strike out walk.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 6: Race here this.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 5: IS bad a Lot Of san francisco's hitters do some
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 5: damage against, him Here, man all like all the guys
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 5: you would think pretty much all. Damage Him Bogart's france
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 5: machado does okay. Against him we're in. Hefo, all actually
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 5: the only guy that you would expect to do well
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 5: against him that Doesn't is TATISSE and I. Guess merrill
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 5: everybody else in this lineup pretty much has yet all
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 5: the other big names have done a lot of damage,
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 5: Against him, SO yeah i Don't think ray is going
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 5: to do. That. WELL Here jp sears is Pitching For,
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 5: san diego and he's a guy that it was weird
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 5: to me that he wasn't on a major league roster
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 5: because it's like, this guy you look at some of
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 5: the guys that are on major league rosters and You
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 5: think sears isn't worthy of being.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 6: On one like that made no sense.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 5: To me he was pitching in the miners this year
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 5: and he wasn't even doing that well in. The minors
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 5: but we see Him what sears has been able to
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 5: do like in. The majors he's, not like he's not
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 5: a guy that should be out Of the majors like
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 5: he's a. Mediocre pitcher he's actually put up some alright
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 5: numbers Here For san diego, so far three point EIGHT,
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 5: six rra one point one TO. Eight whip for, some
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 5: reason he's been worse at home so far four Point Five.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 5: Homie race so it's not even the ballpark factor that's
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 5: really making his numbers look. Good here he's not going deep,
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 5: into outings, so yeah you're probably not gonna get a
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 5: ton of innings out of, him here but he's been
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 5: at least. Fairly effective he's got a low, hit rate
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 5: walk rate isn't, too bad strike out rate, is okay
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 5: gets a lot of kind of soft contact that's kind
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 5: of what, he DOES which i know advanced analytics are
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 5: gonna a're gonna tell you that he sucks because. Of
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 5: that his Numbers Against san francisco are not too, bad
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 5: either in fifty two at bats two, fifty average six
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 5: to FIFTY, six ops fifteen to three strikeout, walk ratio
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 5: so some good command.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 6: Numbers there, So yeah i'm Gonna Lean.
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 5: San diego in this one. FULL game, I mean i
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 5: think they still probably have the, bullpen edge even though
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 5: their bullpen's a little bit less. RESTED here I think
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 5: sears matches up Better than. Ray here sears might be
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 5: a little bit under the. Radar here ray is not
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 5: as good AS the zra makes. Him look sears probably,
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 5: isn't either but, you know at least his whip is
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 5: kind of in line with what his. Era is rays.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 5: IS Not u the line's gone up a, little bit
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 5: so some money has come In On san diego seventy
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 5: five percent, of tickets eighty seven percent of the cash.
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 5: On them it's gone up from minus one thirty something
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 5: into the minus, one forties so it looks like some
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 5: of the actual money Is playing San. Die here money
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 5: also on the under eight and. A half, I mean
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 5: I guess i could see the argument, for that if
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 5: you think that both these offenses are pretty questionable and
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 5: maybe the pitching can get the. JOB done i, don't,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 5: KNOW though i THINK if i was gonna, play, It
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 5: though i'd probably just money line it in the full
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 5: Game With san diego as long as it's in the
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 5: minus one forty. SOMETHING ranch i know it's a little
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 5: bit pricey, There though but you gotta also kind, of
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 5: QUESTION like, i, MEAN well, i mean you have, to
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 5: Question should sears really be a favorite, like, THAT though i.
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 5: DON'T know, i mean the oddsmakers don't just throw money,
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 5: away THOUGH so i. Don't know and then WE Have,
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 5: Mlb Network The, Latest Game The Late, Late Game The
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 5: late Late shows seattle And. The dodgers seattle got the
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 5: first game in the series in a, dramatic finish and
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 5: then Yesterday the dodgers got, one back so the series
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 5: is split. Right now both games are. PRETTY competitive i
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 5: still Think the seattle team is not as bad as
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 5: their record. LOOKS like i still think there's a pretty
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 5: good chance they can win their division because their division
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 5: is pretty tight at the top. Of it dodgers not
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 5: an easy opponent, to, beat though But the dodgers also
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 5: have a ton of patty in. Their Division the dodgers
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 5: are going to win their division by twenty plus. Games
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 5: Probably the dodgers use three. Relief Pitchers yesterday seattle used three.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 5: AS well I think seattle has the, better bullpen even
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 5: though they're ranked eleventh And the dodgers are. Ranked Eighth
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 5: of seattle's got A better era by about a. HALF
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 5: run I think seattle's bullpen is the. Better one dodgers
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 5: obviously have the way, better offense they're back in. First
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 5: place they're Tied with washington as the best offense, in
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 5: BASEBALL although i think they're actually better on the road than.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 5: At home although they're still very good. Either way seattle
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 5: has struggled offensively. All season they're, twenty seventh tied With.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 5: The mets if you look at who they have and,
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 5: their lineup they're capable of doing a lot better. Than
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 5: that we also have The the Battle of asia.
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 6: Here between these two.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 5: Starting Pitchers brian wu is Pitching.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 4: For.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 5: Seattle here wu is better than his ra. LOOKS man
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 5: i keep. Saying this you look at what he's done
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 5: the last couple. Of seasons he's been a very, good
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 5: Pitcher like cy young. Contending pitcher he's got a four
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 5: point THREE seven era, this year but his whip is
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 5: one point one FOUR and i know usually his his
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 5: whip is actually usually better, than this but that whip
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 5: INDICATES his era should be lower than. IT is i
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 5: don't know exactly what's been going On with wu other
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 5: than the home runs that he's allowed might kind of
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 5: be throwing his numbers off a. Little bit but he's
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 5: also been really bad on, the ROAD and i don't.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 5: GET it, I mean i understand why he's good at
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 5: Home because seattle's a very picture. Friendly park but Like,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 5: with wu you expect like he what his typical, numbers
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 5: are LIKE two era, at home THREE something era on,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 5: the road you KNOW what.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 6: I mean but instead HIS.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 5: Whole mira looks about where it. Should be HIS road
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 5: era is six point five two and upon a batting
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 5: average above. Three. HUNDRED yeah i don't know what's going on, with,
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 5: HIM man i don't know why he's been so hittable on.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 5: The road he struggled again last time on the Road. Against,
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 5: texas yeah two. Hittable again it's very. Very.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 6: Strange man he still has a.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 5: Low hit rate on the season because he's been really good.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 5: At home his walk rate's. Quite low he doesn't really.
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 5: Walk anybody his home run rate actually isn't really, that
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 5: high so it's not really the home runs that are really.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 5: Doing it and his strike out rate, is okay he's
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 5: not a huge strike. Up PITCHER but i Still think
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 5: wu is gonna go on a run here in the
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 5: late half of the season and get his numbers back
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 5: down because he's been good throughout.
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 6: His career, so, this yeah it just doesn't.
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 5: Make sense how bad he's been on, the road his
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 5: numbers are pretty good Against the dodgers here. As well
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 5: in twenty two at bats one eight two. Average allowed that's.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 5: Pretty good six seventy, one ohps four to four strikeout.
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 5: Walk ratio wo not usually a guy that, walks them,
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 5: many guys but mostly It's been otani that does the
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 5: damage off and he's three to six of the home
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 5: run and two of. The walks the rest of this
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 5: lineup has not done really Anything, against wu so it's
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 5: pretty much Entirely just otani that does. That Damage so
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 5: wu should be able to pitch pretty, well, here man
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 5: EVEN though i know how bad he's been on, the
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 5: road but this looks like a matchup where he should.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 5: Pitch Well roki sasaki is pitching For. The dodgers he's
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 5: been up. And down he's a guy that, YOU know
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 5: i questioned his mental state and things, like that but
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 5: it looks like he's kind of gotten. Right. Again recently
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 5: he's got a four point seven TO one era one
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 5: point two to nine whip is not. Too bad he's
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 5: been better, at home although recently the numbers have kind of.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 5: Gotten closer four Point Six, homie ara so his splits
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 5: aren't really that significant at. This point but he's pitching.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 5: Better recently his last three starts have. Been good he's
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 5: gone five to two thirds innings or more in all.
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 5: Of them had a good start on the road Against,
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 5: the yankees even though he hasn't really been that good
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 5: of a, road pitcher but that was a good start
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 5: from him against a good lineup Like. The, yankees yeah
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 5: he's been pitching. Well again three earned runs or fewer
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 5: allowed in those last. Three outings, pretty good although one
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 5: of them was at home Against, the ROCKIES who i
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 5: still question what their offense really is capable of on.
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 5: The road and Then, the mets where the other opponent.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 5: They based they're. Not. Good obviously sasaki has got a
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 5: low hit rate here is walk rate is kind. Of
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 5: high so that's the main issue with him is the
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 5: walks and the. Home runs he's got to figure out,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 5: the walks but he allows a lot of. Home runs
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 5: he's somewhat fly, ball heavy but maybe he's got a.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 5: Little bit he's gotten a little bit unlucky with the
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 5: amount of home runs he's allowed because he doesn't really
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 5: necessarily profile is a guy that allows that many, of
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 5: them and his strike gout rate. Is high, SO yeah
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 5: I mean sasaki he is capable. Of, pitching well he's
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 5: in good form. Right now mariners only have six at
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 5: bats against some five of their hitters of face and
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 5: three thirty, three average one, thousand ops two, strike outs.
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 5: No walks it's such a small, sample size there's not
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 5: a lot to really take away.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 6: FROM that.
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 5: I think the arguments in this game might mostly be
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 5: for an under eight and. A half is the total
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 5: here fifty two percent of tickets eighty one percent of
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 5: the cash on. THE under i THINK if i was
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 5: gonna play this game, AT all I think i would
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 5: go under ninety one percent of tickets Around the dodger
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 5: sixty five percent of the Cash. On seattle so the
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 5: money's Back in seattle at about minus one fifty. Or
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 5: so the lines dropped a little bit On the, dodgers
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 5: here so the money gets Back. In SEATTLE and i
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 5: would agree with That if wu didn't scare the hell
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 5: out of me on, the, road MAN if wu was
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 5: even moderately better on, THE road i would agree. With
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 5: THAT like i Think generally wu is the. Better PITCHER
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 5: plus I think seattle has the, better BULLPEN so i
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 5: would agree with the slight Lean, to SEATTLE but i
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 5: think maybe the under has more ways of. Hitting there
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 5: but that's not A game i'm gonna.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 6: Get, Involved.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 5: In garrett? What's? Up Yep the braves winning their their
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 5: division is pretty. Shitty though i'm just gonna put that.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 5: Out there philadelphia is not really, that GOOD as. I
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 5: said they have a negative. Run differential they just get
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 5: away with their bad hittings sometimes because they have three
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 5: really good, starting pitchers, which again having a good starting
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 5: rotation like, that though can. Carry you, and Yeah the
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 5: braves Just got smith shaver. BACK yesterday i think he,
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 5: pitched OKAY but i. DON'T know i don't look at the.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 5: Box Score chris sale was BETTER than. I thought he
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 5: generally is not good at all Against, The METS so
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 5: i Don't know, philly's roster yeah, IS okay. I don't
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 5: i don't really get why their hitting has been. So
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 5: bad they have a lot of good hitters in. Their lineup,
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 5: all right let's go TO a wnba here and that'll
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 5: be the end of. THE show i don't have any
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 5: plays IN the. Wnba today we Have Two amazon. Prime
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 5: games these are all. Night games is a Doubleheader on
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 5: Amazon prime Minnesota and toronto is the first Game at
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 5: toronto and these two teams just Played. In minnesota minnesota
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 5: won the game. By seven minnesota did not cover and
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 5: if you look at what happened in, that game it, was,
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 5: Close Dude like toronto was hanging around in this game
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 5: right near. The END so i think maybe that's Gonna
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 5: shock minnesota back in to focus a, little bit because
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 5: if you think about, what happened we were coming out
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 5: Of The All. Star break minnesota was hot going Into
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 5: The All, star break WHICH so i think their momentum
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 5: might have been a little. BIT disrupted i think they
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 5: weren't quite ready. For, this wow they're talking about plumb
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 5: potentially getting traded To A. Golden, state now that would.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 5: Be Crazy golden state would be pretty stacked if.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: That.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 6: Happens, anyway YEAH.
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 5: So I think minnesota kind of got caught coming out
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 5: Of The All star break in a bad, momentum Spot
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 5: and toronto almost actually pulled off the upset like it
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 5: was a three point game in the final minute of
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 5: the Game BEFORE toronto i think committed some fouls at
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 5: the end and lost. By seven toronto was in a
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 5: decent spot coming out Of The All star break because
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 5: they've gone in on a, bad note on a. Losing
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 5: STREAK so i think the script my flip Here in
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 5: minnesota might actually pay more Attention to, toronto now although
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 5: you might have to worry about is there a potential
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 5: look Ahead from MINNESOTA because i think They're. Playing, indiana
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 5: yeah They play Indiana on sunday on A big abc,
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 5: afternoon game have to go Up against Caitlyn. Clark man
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 5: so maybe there's a look. Ahead THERE but i think
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 5: after That, game minnesota after the Game, Against toronto minnesota
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 5: might be shocked into a little bit more. Focus here
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 5: minnesota Does have collier, back NOW although i think she
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 5: didn't really get onto the stat sheet in the last game, she,
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 5: played right she. Must have she came back right Before
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 5: The all. Star break yeah. She played she was okay in.
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 5: The game, but Yeah this minnesota team they're GONNA be
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 5: i mean they were already the best team and adding
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 5: the best player in the. League, back Yeah this, minnesota
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 5: team if they don't win, the championship there's gonna BE
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 5: something i think. Pretty wrong, BUT yeah i would lean
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 5: towards laying the Points with, minnesota here although it's not
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 5: Really something that's Exactly something i'm known, for doing laying
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 5: twelve and a half on. The road but it looks
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 5: like the money. Does agree toronto's got the public action
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 5: eighty one percent of the tickets and seventy six percent of.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 5: THE cash i don't know that the public is really
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 5: doing that and Coming in Toronto, on toronto but they
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 5: might think this line is, Too, high, like Hey if
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 5: toronto can Almost beat minnesota on, the road then Of
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 5: course toronto could cover as a double digit underdog. At, Home,
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 5: RIGHT yeah i don't know. ABOUT that, I mean minnesota
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 5: is the way better. Team here so, And AGAIN minnesota
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 5: i think was just cold coming out Of The All.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 5: Star breaking it almost, got CAUGHT so I think minnesota
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 5: probably puts more focus. INTO this i would lay It
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 5: with MINNESOTA if i was gonna. Play it Connecticut. At
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 5: chicago this is one ugly game here between two of
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 5: the lesser teams in. The league chicago still is actually
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 5: hold On its chicago plays It's Thee all. STAR break
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 5: i think. They, Haven't no chicago has not played since
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 5: Before The All. Star breaking they did actually play well
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 5: in their last two games Before They all, star breaking
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 5: though they. Lost both they Lost at atlanta And At
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 5: new york by a combined, Three points so those are
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 5: tough opponents and they almost were able to beat both
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 5: of them on. The Road so chicago did actually play
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 5: fairly well going into. The break so what does that
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 5: mean for? The break like they win in on a,
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 5: Losing streaks so does that mean the break is gonna
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 5: break their losing momentum or were they playing well in
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 5: those games despite losing them and is the break gonna hurt?
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 6: THEIR momentum i.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 5: Don't know Man in chicago Does have, vegas next which
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 5: is gonna be a Big game saturday AFTERNOON. On cbs
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 5: it is possible maybe they Do overlook. Connecticut here connecticut
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 5: might have a little bit of an advantage because they
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 5: did play once already out of, the Break and i'm
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 5: PISSED because i think they should have covered for us
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 5: and they didn't. Do It but connecticut having played out of,
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 5: THE break i think that's a good like, momentum starter
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 5: and they played Okay against washington and the game wound
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 5: up being higher SCORING than. I, EXPECTED yeah I think
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 5: i would slightly Lean towards connecticut here for. That reason
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 5: the fact that they do have a game under their
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 5: belt already coming out Of The All. Star break but, Then,
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 5: again chicago this might be a revenge Spot because connecticut
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 5: played Them in connecticut Back on june, twenty second and
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 5: it was Embarrassing. For chicago connecticut beat them by almost,
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 5: thirty points ninety two to. Sixty three connecticut's the worst
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 5: team in. The league so If that chicago the last
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 5: time He, played connecticut that's. What, happened yeah that might
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 5: focus you a. Little bit so that does warring me a.
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 5: LITTLE bit I think i'm Slightly lean, connecticut here but
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 5: the money's laying the Points. To chicago fifty four percent
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 5: of the Tickets, around connecticut sixty five percent of the
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 5: cash They. In chicago so there's a strong market read
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 5: On the chicago side here a minus four and. A
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 5: half i'm not going to come in and try to
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 5: fade a strong market read. LIKE that i don't have
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 5: a strong opinion on the, game Either so i'm. Staying
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 5: away and then we have the, biggest games the second
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 5: Game On, amazon prime between two teams that definitely don't like,
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 5: Each Other new York. And vegas vegas should be pretty.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 5: MOTIVATED here I know vegas Of The returney. Champs Whatever
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 5: but vegas has lost both games they Played Against new york.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 5: This year they lost In The commissioner cup, preview game
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 5: which is a regular, season game Back on june, twenty
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 5: third and then a week later that Was in new
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 5: that Was, in vegas by. The way vegas. Lost that
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 5: then a week later they Went To new york For
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 5: The commissioner's CUP and I think i gave it out
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 5: as a play on, the Show and vegas fell short and.
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 5: Didn't cover they. Lost again so this might be a
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 5: revenge Spot for. VEGAS here, i mean revenge, isn't Like
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 5: oh i'm, angry, Necessarily right but it's more like they're
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 5: going to be focused on this game more because they
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 5: lost both Games To new, york already Including The.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 6: Commissioner's cup but also.
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 5: They're Gonna want they're gonna be able to make adjustments
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 5: based on what went wrong in, those games you KNOW what.
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 5: I MEAN so I think vegas should be the more motivated,
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 5: team here although both teams should. Show up vegas did
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 5: play one game out of the. Break already they had
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 5: an easy Win over portland out of the break and
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 5: they're staying at home off, of that SO that's i
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 5: think that's a good Spot for vegas for. That Reason
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 5: the liberty aren't really in a bad spot, either though
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 5: because they played coming out Of The all star break.
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 5: As well THEY beat la only by four points on,
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 5: the road so they got a game under their belt
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 5: on the road In the pacific, time zone So the
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 5: liberty are already adjusted To the pacific. Time zone so
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 5: that makes the spot a lot less bad For the
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 5: liberty because they're already out there In The las vegas
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 5: area basically already not that FAR from, la really so
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 5: that will Help the liberty a little. Bit here and
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 5: the fact that they played a not so good TEAM
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 5: in la and barely BEAT them la without plomb, As
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 5: well i'm pretty sure So the liberty may have been
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 5: looking ahead.
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 6: TO this i don't really See the liberty not being.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 5: FOCUSED here I like vegas to get the, job, then
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 5: though to make the adjustments and finally get.
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 6: This win the money kind of.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 5: Disagrees with those sixty seven percent of tickets seventy six
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 5: percent of the Cash On, new York So new york
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 5: looks a little, bit public but the money's coming in
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 5: their way. As well vegas is laying five and a
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 5: HALF but i STILL think i would do that Even
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 5: though vegas has struggled at home. This, year man they're
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 5: only eight and five, at Home but liberty have not
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 5: been good on. The road they're eight, and seven And
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 5: the west has just been a, stronger, Conference man so
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 5: possibly another reason In like minnesota a little, Bit TODAY
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 5: but i Would leave vegas laying the points in, that
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 5: one and that's gonna. Do it those are all the games.
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 5: FOR today i have two plays today. Once again those
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 5: Plays Are washington nationals. FIRST five i like the situation
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 5: and the. PITCHING matchup i like a lot of aspects of.
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 5: That game my only Problem is washington's bullpen not. Being
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 5: good like that's the ONLY reason i really don't want to,
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 5: back Them because atlanta does have a very overworked. Bullpen
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 5: here but we're Gonna. Take, washington uh definitely a, spot
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 5: play but also the STARTING pitching i think is somewhat
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 5: of a hidden Advantage. For washington there First five washington,
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 5: money line and then we're also taking the Under in
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 5: miami And. The mets so we have a LOT Of
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 5: nl east action going. On today, AND yes i Know
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 5: the mets also did have to play in, the doubleheader
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 5: yesterday and overworked. Their BULLPEN but i showed you that the,
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 5: rest situation, you know isn't maybe that bad because they
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 5: were fully rested the day. Before that so we're. STILL
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 5: gonna i still think the best way to play that
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 5: is to take the under seven in the. Full games
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 5: that's what we're. Doing there my camera keeps going out,
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 5: of focus which is Ridiculous unless i'm just, blind now
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 5: is it?
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: My?
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 5: Eyesight, no yeah my camera's just a piece, of shit,
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 5: all right it's part of it is because OF the
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 5: tv behind. Me there should stop. Doing that that's gonna.
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 5: Do it learn it Tone, On twitter learn it Tone,
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 5: on instagram like subscribe to the, channel here, you know leave,
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 5: replies whatever or tell people. About it use the, hype
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 5: BUTTON which i don't even know what the hell that.
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 5: THING does i don't even see IT when i look on,
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 5: my PHONE so i. Don't know we're, On, Audio, Apple
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 5: spotify speaker check it out there. As. Well uh Covered
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 5: in yuke is my yuke channel on YouTube you covers.
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 5: And originals you can check That out paedreon dot com
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 5: sas learned to tote if you want to support me
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 5: that way and you get Some Bonus, Yuke stuff loser
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 5: Casts every, tuesday night And The New york Giants g.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 5: Spot Podcast that's gonna? Do. It peace.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 3: If the doc, starts talking hand me, the phone that's
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 3: somebody and so let.
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: Somebody know you do not have to.
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: Lose. This round, hold.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 4: On hold on, nothing tonight not no, hold on hold,
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 4: hold on let. Me pull you are that bad luck,
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 4: bite time but it don't get. The Crown, hold on.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: Hold on stay with, me made, hold on, Hold on you're.
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: Still here no