Latest / Disguised Coverage / Inside Bills vs Cowboys: Preview, Schematics, X's & O's, & more| DC

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Inside Bills vs Cowboys: Preview, Schematics, X's & O's, & more| DC · Disguised Coverage

• 0:00
  It's thirty eight. All bills can win in here, Wake puts it down,
• 0:03
  the kick is on the way and dock m the bell good one?
• 0:07
  How the hell that one home? How one? They were a party one
• 0:14
  not party way? Incredible? Why not combat by my bell? Jacksonville's perfect
• 0:21
  record on the line right here, quick kicking, look excited? Touchdown Kyle
• 0:43
  Williams touchdound amazing, unbelievable. They puttied william Who's hats to full back and
• 0:56
  he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle. What's good? Folks,
• 1:18
  family, friends, loved ones, enemies, friendemies, wizards, which
• 1:22
  is muggles, mud bloods, people, Middler to another episode of this Guy's
• 1:25
  coverage. The only podcast in existence that gives you an equal amount of blueberries
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  in each month and is presented by the best pizza in Buffalo, New York,
• 1:32
  that is One Pie Pizza. Find the online menu in the episode show
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  notes, whether here on YouTube or whichever podcasting app and or platform you are
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  listening to this show on or watching this show on. I also wanted to
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  plug this real quick for my friends at One Pie Pizza, Toys for Tots,
• 1:48
  drive and donation. I've been speaking about it the last couple of weeks.
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  They're starting to wrap that up as they push everything forward towards the holidays.
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  So stop in, treat yourself with some delicious homemade blue cheese, cup
• 1:57
  and chart, pepperoni pizza, great sweet sauce, pot and cheese, and
• 2:00
  also, you know, do some good for the community. Like I said
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  all the time, Christmas is my favorite holiday. I know that's the same
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  for a lot of people. But for some people it's not a good time.
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  So you know, stop in. You know, get the opportunity to
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  win some prizes if that, you know, tickles your fancy in terms of
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  making you a little more given come this holiday season. But you know,
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  get some of the best pizza in Buffalo, and also do some good for
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  the community and the people in it and help out some people who could use
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  it. I am, of course, Anthony Preaska, your host of this
• 2:25
  show. Find me on Twitter at pro Underscore Underscore and that's Pro two unders
• 2:29
  Scores. A n t into night's episode. I am joined in the first
• 2:32
  half of this episode by one of my favorite guests to go inside Bills versus
• 2:38
  Cowboys. We're gonna talk schematics, x's and o's top matchups three from each
• 2:42
  of us, as we do here on this show when I have guests who
• 2:45
  no ball, so that way we can talk about scheme, structure and all
• 2:47
  that fun stuff. In the back back end, Oh no, that is
• 2:51
  right back end of this episode, I'm going to get into a film breakdown
• 2:54
  of some pieces coming out of the Kansas City Chiefs game, the game that
• 2:59
  the Buffalo Bill's one was an important one, and we're gonna go over some
• 3:01
  schematics of some things that Joe Brady's been doing on offense, dive into some
• 3:06
  of those pieces, things that he's been building upon, things that have been
• 3:07
  working well and driving success for this offense. So back end of the episode,
• 3:12
  some film breakdowns of what Joe Brady and the Bill's Offense is doing.
• 3:15
  But in the forefront, the meat of this episode. Like I said,
• 3:19
  I am joined by one of my favorite guests making his third appearance this season,
• 3:24
  mister j Pacosta from ESB Nation. The Bills are one and one in
• 3:29
  your appearances thus far. I had you on for Dolphins Week Awesome episode,
• 3:32
  Bill's one, had you on for Jaguars Week Awesome episode. Bills played like
• 3:37
  crap and lost and it was super ironic because a whole bunch of the things
• 3:39
  we talked about in that episode is what came to fruition for the Jags,
• 3:44
  and the Jags won that game. So here we are. The potential rubber
• 3:46
  match breaking episode is the Bills sit one in one. You technically sit one
• 3:51
  in one, and I'm pumped to hev you on the show. Like I
• 3:53
  mentioned your dude who who knows ball? Your Twitter game is awesome, You're
• 3:55
  writing game is awesome with esp Nation. I enjoyed the hell Audia you know,
• 4:00
  the previous two times you were on. So I'm pumped to welcome you
• 4:01
  back for a really tremendous game that should be fun schematically, and I'm pumped
• 4:05
  to talk about it with you. And thanks for coming back, no problem,
• 4:09
  thanks for having me on again. We are one and one. Something's
• 4:12
  got to give at this point. This feels like the uh. This feels
• 4:15
  like the traditional like wrestling feud where one guy wins one then another guy wins
• 4:20
  at the next pay per view. They got to settle it with a blowoff
• 4:23
  match at Mania, and this feels like the blowoff match at Mania for the
• 4:28
  Bills. Like this this is last week was the biggest game of the year.
• 4:31
  Now this week is the biggest game of the year. Every week going
• 4:33
  forward is the biggest game of the year for this team, and it's really
• 4:38
  exciting. I think there's gonna be two really good teams going head to head
• 4:42
  and some really fun players going ahead to head. That think's gonna be really
• 4:45
  cool. I looked the way you broke that down because I love wrestling.
• 4:47
  You love wrestling, and it's it's man, it feels like every single match
• 4:53
  is like do or die. I can't believe this a match game, but
• 4:55
  match works if we're going with the wrestling thing, like every game is just
• 4:58
  do or die for this Buffalo Bill's team. And yeah, like you know
• 5:01
  what, it's funny too, like there's no I don't know who the face
• 5:05
  and the heel is here, Like we don't really know who's gonna get like
• 5:08
  that rubber match victory. This isn't like a John Cena scenario where you're like,
• 5:12
  well, you know, Sena's gonna win the third match, Like he's
• 5:14
  coming away out of this victory. It's like the Kevin Owen Sceena field.
• 5:15
  And I remember he won that first one, and I remember a bunch of
• 5:18
  my friends being like, bro, like, they're really gonna do it.
• 5:20
  They're gonna pus Kevin Owens. I'm like, they're gonna do two more matches
• 5:24
  and Sena's gonna win them both. They're like, no, dude, it's
• 5:26
  not gonna happen. I'm and behold that happened. But neither of us are
• 5:29
  John Cena, and we'll see what happens. Coming out of this game and
• 5:31
  going into it JP, like you said, man, like they're this game
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  schematically is awesome, but also from an individual player standpoint, especially like with
• 5:39
  the Cowboys, they got some studs this year that are rolling on both sides
• 5:44
  of the ball that go in and fit really well with like who they are
• 5:46
  schematically and from a structure standpoint, it's part of the reason they're sitting there
• 5:50
  at ten and three and had a really impressive victory against the Philadelphia Eagles.
• 5:55
  One of those impressive players, depending on how you define impressive or what you
• 6:00
  like, is Dak Prescott, who is balling out this year, and you
• 6:04
  and I were talking about him offline before we dive into the matchup pieces and
• 6:09
  the structure pieces of this show. Give me your thoughts on Dak Prescott.
• 6:13
  He you know, you can define it as like he's a top blank quarterback
• 6:16
  in the NFL. You know, do you rank him somewhere? Do you
• 6:19
  use certain you know verbiage to describe who and what he is because he plays
• 6:25
  so technically sound and produces and is also like super hated and gets knocked all
• 6:30
  the time by people. Where does Dak Prescott sit in your eyes? Well,
• 6:34
  currently among quarterbacks right now, I mean he is arguably playing at the
• 6:38
  highest level of any quarterback in the league this year. I mean he has
• 6:43
  just been a buzzsaw of efficiency. That is where when you watch the Cowboys,
• 6:47
  they are the most brutally efficient NFL offense right now. They can just
• 6:54
  hammer away at like the twelve yard Like we make jokes about it on Twitter.
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  Dak Prescott has never seen a seam route he does not throw. He
• 7:02
  will throw the twelve to fifteen yard seam route. That is like, if
• 7:06
  we're gonna keep it with wrestling, this is the John Cena five knuckle shuffle.
• 7:12
  Gonna He's gonna throw the five nuble shuffle. You know, sometime during
• 7:15
  that match, no matter what happens, he's throwing that five knuckle shuffle.
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  This is Dak's five moves of doom and the seamball. He is just so
• 7:24
  efficient with his movement. He is a teach tape quarterback. I think with
• 7:29
  the way that he moves, the way he understands understands coverages pre and post
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  snap. I think a perfect play from the Eagles game is one of the
• 7:38
  first seam routes he throws. He knows what the coverage is, looks off
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  the middle defender the middle safety, and then fires a laser in there the
• 7:47
  Brandon Cooks throw at the end of the first half, just in just that
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  post disgusting heat check throw. But I feel like with Dak Prescott, we
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  see the star on the side the helmet and go, oh, he's a
• 8:01
  Cowboys quarterback. He's not that good, And so I feel like we're kind
• 8:07
  of gonna Tony Romo Dak Prescott. And by that I mean Tony Rovo was
• 8:13
  really good, but he never really got like the attention or the like or
• 8:18
  built up as like, yeah, he was one of the better quarterbacks from
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  that like twenty like thirteen to like twenty sixteen, twenty seventeen period of football,
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  But he doesn't get that because he was a Cowboys quarterback. So we're
• 8:33
  always going to be like, Oh, he plays for the Cowboys, Oh
• 8:37
  do it in the playoffs, Oh, can't win the big one when This
• 8:39
  year they've been one of the most efficient, one of the most effective offenses
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  in the NFL, especially after losing to San Francisco. I think that San
• 8:48
  Francisco game kind of I say it all the time. It's like in animes
• 8:52
  or in a movie, the main character has to get beat up once.
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  You got to get beat up early, or beat up sometime by the bully.
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  The Niners are the bully. You gotta get beat up. It's like
• 9:03
  okay, sticking with wrestling, you gotta get squashed u h. Sometimes,
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  like with Dani O'Bryan, he had to lose. He had to lose early
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  in order for you to build the sympathy. The Cowboys went got smoked by
• 9:18
  the forty nine ers early in the season, but then did self scouting out
• 9:22
  of that. They were so static beforehand. Now now it's just so much
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  more movement, and now that you're joining that movement with players playing at their
• 9:30
  highest level, this offense is so fun and so efficient to watch. I'm
• 9:35
  enjoying watching Dak this year, he's been amazing. Yeah, he's just like
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  he said, like he just so efficient, so surgical, so precise,
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  like and it's so funny too, like that you mentioned the seam ball piece,
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  Like I just remember hitting like he hits the tight ends on it so
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  much, and I remember being like, oh, like, man, Daldon
• 9:50
  Schultz is so great for that. It's like, now we're just gonna put
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  Ferguson in and like just do the same thing because it's really more Dak than
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  anything else. And he just lasers it in there and he's sitting right now.
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  It's funny mention the forty nine ers, like Rock Purty is number one
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  in terms of quarterbacks and the EPA per play Dak Prescott is number two,
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  right ahead of Josh Allen in terms of EPA per play and then uh EPA
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  plush completion percentage over expected composite. Dak Prescott is also second in that regard.
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  So kind of like any efficiency metric you want to look at, Dak
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  is there like leading the pack. And just again, this Cowboys team is
• 10:22
  rolling. They got studs all over on both sides of the ball. But
• 10:26
  Dak, you know, for better or for worse, is always going to
• 10:28
  be that focal point. And like you said too, like when you play
• 10:31
  for the Cowboys, it's so easy because you know how they get built up
• 10:37
  as America's team. Even if they suck, they're gonna get primetime games and
• 10:39
  they're gonna get talked about all the time, so they're super easy to hate.
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  Like I hate the Cowboys. And granted, I'm like a Buffalo guy
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  and I wasn't really conscious during the Super Bowl losses of the nineties, but
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  I hate the Cowboys for taking those away from, you know, my potential
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  childhood. But it's so easy to hate the Cowboys. And I remember thinking,
• 10:54
  you know, it's ironically with the Jags. I think back when they
• 10:58
  lost to the Jags last year and the multiple like deflection interceptions, like where
• 11:01
  his receivers are just dropping it's popping into the air, and everyone's like,
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  here's Dak with another like three interception game. It's like two of those were
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  put right into his guy's hands and they just booted it and it got picked.
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  Like especially the Rayshawn Jenkins won in I think that was the one in
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  ot Or lately Yeah, right, okay, and just but people look at
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  and just want the opportunity to like hate on Dak And it's so funny to
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  see how like polarizing of a player is because, like he said, like
• 11:26
  for the people who you know, quote unquote no ball, he is like
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  that teach tape quarterback. Like he said, like his footwork, his eyes,
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  where he goes in his progression, his ability to go from like one
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  to two to three to ford, his decision making, and then something we
• 11:41
  were talking about offline, he's been more willing to use his legs a bit
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  more this year, not necessarily to like scramble and get yards, although he
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  is doing that more, but just to evade and create things off script.
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  Like even the opening touchdown to Cede Lamb against the Eagles is him evading and
• 11:56
  like trying to extend the plane hit CD on that drag, and it's a
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  tuddy like him being more willing to run and use that athleticism that he has,
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  even though he is so robotic and mechanical and not in a bad way.
• 12:09
  I've always thought he had more athleticism that he than he was tapping into,
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  especially like Grenny's a different quarterback now, but especially when he looked at
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  what he was in Mississippi State, which is more of like that dual threat
• 12:18
  kind of hammer type of quarterback. And so it's fun to see him tap
• 12:22
  a little bit into that athleticism and pair it with his efficiency and precision and
• 12:28
  just who he is. Yeah, and they've been super impressive to watch,
• 12:31
  Like you look at the statue, look at the metrics, you watch him
• 12:33
  on tape, like everything with the with their offense is just precision, precision,
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  precision, and it's so fun to watch. I want to bring this
• 12:39
  comment from RJ. RJ said, does that make Josh Allen will Osprey?
• 12:43
  I love the will Osprey reference, But two, I refuse to compare Josh
• 12:48
  Allen to anyone ever. I did before the season started, I did like
• 12:52
  a random tweet of NFL quarterbacks and their dragon balls the counterpart, and I
• 12:58
  called Josh Allen because he was a combination of all these different things, just
• 13:03
  like Sell was like all these different pieces. And so many people came at
• 13:07
  me to be like, no, Josh Allen has to be Goku Goko,
• 13:09
  Josh Allen Goku, and I was like, they were like, why would
• 13:13
  he be selling? I gave my reason and they're like, oh, that
• 13:15
  makes sense. But it still sucks. I refuse to compare Josh Allen to
• 13:18
  anyone ever, but I do appreciate this reference. So I don't think Josh
• 13:22
  Allen's Will Austrey. Although that's really good. My wrestler compareson for Josh Allen
• 13:26
  has always been Jeff Hardy, Like, Wow, that's Hardy good. Like,
• 13:31
  look he's got he's got everybody behind them. But you just know he's
• 13:35
  gonna jump off something. Yeah, he's gonna jump off of something very high.
• 13:39
  It doesn't we don't know if it's gonna hurt him or the other person
• 13:41
  more, but it's gonna look really cool. Yeah, he's gonna run like
• 13:45
  one yard by the sideline and throw it across his body. Sometimes it might
• 13:50
  work, sometimes it doesn't. But hey, that's what you sign up for
• 13:52
  when you watch a Jeff Hardy match. Like, we know what's gonna happen
• 13:56
  here. Somebody's gonna bring out a table, somebody's gonna go off a ladder.
• 14:00
  Like I just keep remembering the Summer Slam with Hit with Jeff Hardy to
• 14:03
  see him punk. He's going through that announce table. Yep, somebody's going
• 14:07
  with that announced table. Josh Allen, if there were announced tables on the
• 14:11
  field. Josh Allen's going through an announced table. Absolutely, He's just waiting
• 14:15
  to swanton, bomber whisper in the wind through something. And it doesn't matter
• 14:18
  if you know he's in WWE or if he's in TNA. He's just like,
• 14:22
  Hey, what's the highest point in this arena? Cool? Can I
• 14:24
  jump off of that through something? Yeah? Well, like the guy you're
• 14:28
  going against doesn't really want to take that move. Oh, it's fine,
• 14:31
  he can move off the table. I'll just go jump And that's Josh Allen
• 14:37
  right, Like, dude, you already got the first down. You don't
• 14:39
  have to go through that. Okay, he tried to go through that guy,
• 14:41
  Okay, cool? Cool? Sure, Like, Hey, it might
• 14:45
  not work, but it's gonna look really fun. I like it. I
• 14:48
  like it a lot. Oh. I like the way that sets the table
• 14:50
  for Oh. I didn't even mean that as a punt, but that was
• 14:52
  actually super funny. I like the way that sets the table for this conversation.
• 14:56
  For those of you playing at home, myself and JP are each going
• 15:01
  to give our top three schematic components pieces. However you want to verbalize it,
• 15:05
  that will decide bills versus cowboys. They could be large scale or they
• 15:09
  could be granular. It could be one side of the ball versus the other.
• 15:11
  It could be a specific formation, personnel, grouping, player, position,
• 15:16
  group, coach. Anything and everything is on the table as wide scale
• 15:18
  or as granular and niche as we want it to be. JP doesn't know
• 15:22
  my answers and I don't know his, so we keep it organic. We
• 15:26
  might have the same, we might have different Who knows, we might fight,
• 15:28
  God knows. It's up to everyone, and that'll be fun for those
• 15:31
  of you playing at home live chat questions, thoughts, comments, concerns,
• 15:35
  throw them up into the chat. Let us know what you think of our
• 15:37
  answers and our reasonings. Feel free to put your own matchup pieces into the
• 15:41
  chat. That's part of what makes the live engagement so fun. And with
• 15:45
  that said, JP, the floor is yours. Feel I don't know if
• 15:48
  you have him ranked like first, second, third, but feel free.
• 15:52
  Whichever one you want to start with the floor is yours and I will follow
• 15:54
  suit godspeed. So my first one is kind of going on for the Josh
• 16:00
  Allen thing again is and if you see me on Twitter, I know I
• 16:07
  compare a lot of quarterbacks to the song that's playing in their heads. So
• 16:11
  this is my first one. Josh Allen needs to go into break stuff mode
• 16:15
  on this game. He has to go into break stuff mode. I've always
• 16:18
  said every quarterback has a song playing in their head rock parties is free Bird
• 16:22
  because when he hears, specifically the guitar solo, because if he hears a
• 16:26
  guitar solo, we don't know what's gonna happen after that, but he just
• 16:30
  knows, Oh, it's free Bird time, and he's gonna go driving off
• 16:33
  the cliff. Josh Allen just break stuff because sometimes things just need to be
• 16:38
  broken. It's a game with the Jeff Hardy thing. And what I mean
• 16:41
  by that schematically is as much as I think the Cowboys defense is really good,
• 16:47
  like right now, they're six in EPA for play against the run according
• 16:49
  to Sports Info Solutions, but they have not had the ball like run on
• 16:53
  them a lot. If you look at sports Info Solutions through the first thirteen
• 16:57
  games of the season, of course, their twentieth in rushing attempts against the
• 17:02
  defense, and we're I think this team can be gotten, and I think
• 17:06
  the Eagles were getting there. The Eagles were moving the ball really well,
• 17:10
  but the turnovers kind of threw them off. They were able to move the
• 17:14
  ball on the ground. The Cowboys played really light up front, like of
• 17:18
  course, they only rostered three linebackers going into the season, and one of
• 17:21
  those linebackers playing right now is two hundred and five pounds. Playing a two
• 17:25
  hundred and five pound linebackers really cool when everybody's throwing the ball. But it's
• 17:29
  not that cool when you have a right guard who's three hundred and thirty pounds
• 17:32
  hitting you in the face. That kind of sucks. I think they can
• 17:37
  have I think the Bills can have the advantage on the ground if they want
• 17:40
  it, especially if they use Josh Allen in the run game. I think
• 17:42
  that's something that Joe Brady has leaned into a lot. I think even before
• 17:47
  this season with Ken Dorsey and kind of the mantra around the Bills in previous
• 17:52
  years was you know, it's a big game when Josh Allen's running on the
• 17:55
  Zion runs. Now you're starting to see that week over week. You can
• 17:59
  tell that Josh Allen and healthy. I think they need to embrace that quarterback
• 18:03
  run game, especially against this Cowboys team because like, look, man,
• 18:07
  he is again this is break stuff mode. He needs he needs to get
• 18:11
  something to break, and unfortunately it's going to be some poor Cowboys defensive back
• 18:15
  who have to try and tackle Josh Allen running at him. It's like trying
• 18:19
  to tackle an elk that's off of like a four logo. Dude, you
• 18:26
  are on for like crazy on point with the analogies of the comparisons tonight,
• 18:30
  I like that piece a lot. And you know what's funny, I debated
• 18:36
  doing you know, I remember scouting the Cowboys coming a little bit in the
• 18:41
  offseason because oh when you know, it was rumored, like not rumored,
• 18:45
  but when it seemed like Jordan Poyer wasn't going to come back to the Bills,
• 18:48
  one of my favorite replacement options for him was Donovan Wilson from the Cowboys.
• 18:52
  So I watched a bunch of Cowboys tape watching, you know, for
• 18:56
  Donovan Wilson, and then watch some of their tape going into the year,
• 18:59
  just because of how good they were as a defense last year, how much
• 19:00
  they changed and did some things, and one of the big things that stands
• 19:04
  out is just yeah, like they're undersized personnel groupings and they're throwing out like
• 19:10
  Malik Hooker out there with jay Ron Curse and with Donovan Wilson, and then
• 19:12
  now this year it's like you got Bellet linebacker and Clark at linebacker, and
• 19:17
  Clark's two forty, but Bell's sitting there at two o five. So like
• 19:18
  even when you're in like a Nickel personnel grouping, you're still basically in dime
• 19:23
  because like Belle is like a linebacker, but he's the size of like a
• 19:26
  defensive back and the rushing pieces that go with it. I love that you
• 19:30
  kind of Again, this isn't one of my points, but I love you
• 19:32
  kind of TV me up for it because I have notes on it. Like
• 19:36
  you said, six and EPA per attempt as a defense you know, against
• 19:38
  them, which is tremendous, So like six best for those you know listening
• 19:42
  and playing at home. And when you look at total EPA, they're seventh
• 19:47
  in terms of total EPA on the ground, which is like, okay,
• 19:48
  that's still pretty good. But if you look at success rate, which is
• 19:52
  the measure of like how many players are generating generating positive EPA against them,
• 19:56
  they are thirty first in the NF, ahead of only the Carolina Panthers,
• 20:02
  and this Buffalo Bills team comes into this game first in EPA per attempt on
• 20:07
  the ground, and that is not just due to Josh Allen. That is
• 20:10
  due to the success they've seen with James Cook and Latavious Murray and Ty Johnson.
• 20:14
  Now who has been you know, one of the things we were talking
• 20:17
  about on the show once Brady took over for Dorsey was you know, who's
• 20:21
  going to be like that person that gets inserted into the lineup that makes you
• 20:23
  go like, oh, this is somebody who Joe Brady believes in. Nobody
• 20:26
  was guessing it was going to be Ty Johnson, and it's been Ty Johnson
• 20:29
  who's been effective out of the backfield. They've got a legitimate like group in
• 20:33
  the back that can run the ball consistently. They've got a good athletic offensive
• 20:37
  line, they can get downhill on teams. They've got concepts that work,
• 20:41
  mainly tackle wrap and dart and duo. They're still leaning into those pieces like
• 20:44
  they did earlier in the year, and then they'll bust out mid zone when
• 20:45
  they need it. They're still leaning into that, but now they've incorporated more
• 20:51
  of that Josh Allen run game A lot of it with scrambles like him,
• 20:53
  Joe Brady's spreading teams out and given Allen that opportunity to use his legs.
• 20:57
  From a, you know, an off scripts amble perspective, but also the
• 21:00
  design pieces are starting to come back a little bit, and I really feel
• 21:03
  like the Bills can get the Cowboys defense in that regard. One, if
• 21:07
  you're running it all the time, you kind of help neutralize Michael Parsons a
• 21:11
  little bit because he's a terror coming off the edge of the pass ruds.
• 21:14
  But two, you're good at running the ball. Dallas is good at defending
• 21:18
  it kind of but not really. And also from a size perspective, that's
• 21:22
  a matchup that favors the Bills, especially if they're going in these six ozero
• 21:26
  line sets like they love to do, and they're throwing David Edwards out there
• 21:30
  as like a quasi tight end, but he's really a six offensive lineman,
• 21:33
  Like, how does Dallas match that? Even if the Bills stay in twelve?
• 21:37
  Dallas probably feels like, Okay, cool, we're gonna match it with
• 21:38
  our regular personnel. But the Bills can match teams downhill. It's such a
• 21:42
  fun schematic piece considering like what the numbers are, but also what the matchup
• 21:48
  dictates and tells you. I love that point so much. Yeah, and
• 21:51
  you hit on it a little earlier with the Cowboys defense. The Cowboys want
• 21:55
  to get you to second and long and third and long. That's when they
• 21:57
  get into those games where you're gonna have Michael Parsons lined up over a center
• 22:02
  or over a guard. You can't do that on second and four because they're
• 22:06
  just gonna run it right at him, because that's not what he does.
• 22:10
  Michael Parsons is amazing, but he's not a nose tackle, you know,
• 22:14
  so I think just leaning into like, look, they're gonna play light.
• 22:18
  They're gonna kind of dare the Bills, like, hey, run the ball,
• 22:22
  go ahead. They are built to defend like spread offenses. They're built
• 22:26
  to defend teams that want to throw the ball a lot because they want you
• 22:30
  to get in the second and third and monks. Take those rbos and just
• 22:33
  turn them into rs. Just run, just run it. And you use
• 22:37
  Josh Allen not only as like the battering ram, but as a threat in
• 22:41
  the run game. Use his threat of like taking off. Use that in
• 22:47
  the run game. It doesn't always have to be like, oh, Josh
• 22:48
  Allen QB power fifteen times, but use that threat, use the option as
• 22:53
  like, oh, like he could take off. That's gonna slow down that
• 22:56
  defense. What you want to do to the Cowboys defense is just slow them
• 23:00
  down a little bit. You don't have to like necessarily like overwhelm them physically,
• 23:06
  that'd be great, but just slow them down, slow up the timing,
• 23:10
  slow up the process a little bit. For that defense. I love
• 23:12
  it. And then they've they've been adept at, you know, incorporating more
• 23:17
  I mean especially you know it's no like secret like Joe Brady RPO like LCU
• 23:21
  like that whole piece, but they've incorporated more RPO elements or you know,
• 23:25
  just adding just adding like past tags to their run concepts to make things start
• 23:30
  to open up a little bit. And Alan has been better at whether it's
• 23:34
  you know, him flipping the switch and realizing like, oh, oh I
• 23:37
  got to get my stuff together because Dorsey got fired, or Joe Brady has
• 23:41
  been able to tap into Alan a little bit more. Like earlier in the
• 23:44
  year, we saw just kind of basic stuff like you know, like if
• 23:48
  it's a if it's an RPO piece, or like a run like more like
• 23:51
  the past tag, like you know you gotta we're gonna run Dart, but
• 23:52
  we got a bubble screen over there. It's basic like if the numbers in
• 23:56
  the box are advantageous to the run, you run. If the numbers are
• 24:00
  advantageous to the pass, throw the bubble, and he just like wasn't doing
• 24:04
  it. He'd have like three over two on the bubble. He'd be like,
• 24:07
  I'm gonna throw the bubble and it's like, no, that is not
• 24:10
  what the math says. He'd and then you'd go back later and they'd be
• 24:12
  like eight in the box and he'd be like, you know what, I'm
• 24:15
  gonna hand it off on Dart. It's like, no, that's not where
• 24:17
  the numbers are. He's been better with his decision making and the Bills are
• 24:21
  finding more success with these pieces, and that's just another like option and what
• 24:26
  makes this Bills Offen so dangerous. Once they are able to run the ball,
• 24:30
  then you start building and getting into their RPO world and their pass tag
• 24:33
  world, let alone like Josh Allen actually keeping it and then you start to
• 24:37
  get into that you know, modern day triple option football where he can hand
• 24:41
  it off, he can keep it, he can pass it. And then
• 24:44
  adding in the propensity for the Cowboys defense to play man coverage, and now
• 24:48
  you're stressing, all right, cool, can we create some traffic? Can
• 24:49
  we get a pick? Can we get a rub here or there? Like,
• 24:52
  there's all these opportunities to start to present themselves that all stem from Josh
• 24:56
  Allen's legs and break stuff and that overall run game for the Bills. Like,
• 25:02
  oh, I like that point. Yeah, And even with the point
• 25:04
  that you made about man coverage, if they play man coverage, you can
• 25:08
  just run it. Like, if Josh Allen sees it and they're playing man,
• 25:14
  just go like I'm not saying like, go one, read and fly
• 25:18
  like, but if he has it in this game and there's a lane,
• 25:22
  and this is the biggest thing with playing against Josh Allen and the Bills.
• 25:25
  You cannot play two man against the Bills and Josh Allen because Josh Allen will
• 25:29
  run. He is the most effective scrambler in the NFL, not only in
• 25:34
  just getting first downs but generating explosive plays with his legs. This is gonna
• 25:40
  be one of those games where if he doesn't see it, break stuff mode,
• 25:45
  just go go full go full berserker like this is like we're going straight
• 25:48
  in the dungeons and dragons, like, go full barbarian berserker, tear it
• 25:53
  up like it has to be like Josh Allen, threat of run game and
• 25:57
  just get at them, don't let don't let them dictate the flow of the
• 26:03
  game. I love that piece, and I love that schematic aspect as well
• 26:07
  of the man coverage piece. You know, and for those again playing at
• 26:11
  home, when you are in man coverage, that basically takes a defender kind
• 26:17
  of out of the run fit. And so if they're out of the run
• 26:18
  fit, then that gives you opportunities to kind of gash defenders and defenses.
• 26:22
  And that's another piece that you know, kind of actually ties into one of
• 26:26
  my points later. So I like you sat on the table again, well
• 26:27
  done, well done. I never know which order to go, And because
• 26:33
  I treat everything equally, I'm just going to tie this one in since we've
• 26:34
  kind of talked them on them a little bit. Usually I go very schematic,
• 26:38
  like it's very much like this formation or this personnel grouping versus this,
• 26:42
  or how this does this and the domino effect. Two of my three to
• 26:47
  night are just one player related because Dallas has two players that I think are
• 26:52
  phenomenal. One I'm going to lead with the first, Michael Parsons, Like
• 26:55
  let's just talk like that and like that. My first point, you're just
• 26:57
  ford. First schematic piece is how the bill handle Michael Parsons. We talked
• 27:00
  about him a little already, but his numbers just bananas. He's tied for
• 27:07
  first in pressures with eighty two. He's got six point three per game.
• 27:11
  He's first in PFF's pass rush productivity, which is a formula that combined sacks,
• 27:15
  hits, and hurries relative to how many times a player rushes the passer.
• 27:19
  And then he's also fourteenth in pass rush snaps from a volume perspective.
• 27:23
  So the fact that he's first in past rush productivity considering he gets a ton
• 27:27
  of pass rus snaps, speaks to how effective he is down in and down
• 27:32
  out. He's first in ESPN's pass rush win rate at thirty seven percent.
• 27:37
  Miles Garrett, who is kind of everyone's like unanimous defensive player of the Year,
• 27:41
  is second at thirty percent. So Parsons has a seven percentage point higher
• 27:47
  pass rush win rate than Miles Garrett, who's been killing everybody. Parsons is
• 27:52
  also second in PFF's win percentage. He's eighth in sacks. He is just
• 27:57
  a game wrecker at the position in every which way, every sense of the
• 28:03
  word. He's got pass rush moves. From an initial standpoint, he's got
• 28:06
  counters. He can beat you around the arc with speed and athleticism. He's
• 28:10
  got ben he's got strength, he's got shocked and popped in his hands.
• 28:14
  He can go through you with a bull rush or just that speed to power
• 28:18
  element that he possesses. It all starts with you with that speed and athleticism.
• 28:22
  And I don't like saying that because I really feel like he's a five
• 28:25
  tool player at edge and can do anything and everything. But that speed and
• 28:27
  athleticism you have to honor it going around the arc like because he'll beat you
• 28:33
  in an instant, but then if you open up too much, he's just
• 28:36
  gonna turn it and then go through you like he did to Lane Johnson on
• 28:40
  several reps. That is the most impressive pass rush move I have seen this
• 28:45
  season, going through Lane Johnson, who again the week before, Nick Bosa
• 28:51
  tried to do the same thing to Lane Johnson and got stonewalled. The entire
• 28:55
  game. MICHAEH. Parsons get it on the first drive and helped him into
• 29:00
  Jalen Hurts like this is it is a He's a typhoon of just power and
• 29:07
  explosion. And it's not just like it's not explosion how you think of,
• 29:12
  oh, bend around the corner, which he can do. It's explosion in
• 29:17
  terms of I'm going to go upfield for two steps and then I'm going to
• 29:21
  go right through you and if you overseet. He has so many just amazing
• 29:26
  inside counters, whether it be an inside spin, inside swim move, he
• 29:30
  has such a he's still developing that tool, that tuebox of inside counters.
• 29:37
  But it also doesn't really matter because he's so quick and so strong and so
• 29:42
  explosive, and he's so like he's not like Max Crosby is legitimately relentless.
• 29:51
  But Micah Parsons never stops moving. That's the thing. Like he's always constantly
• 29:57
  putting together move. It's never I'm gonna do this and then stop. It's
• 30:03
  oh, I'm gonna do this. This doesn't work, I'm gonna do this.
• 30:04
  If this outside moved doesn't work, I'm gonna spin. If the spin
• 30:07
  doesn't work, I'm gonna cut back outside either way. I'm going to get
• 30:11
  this quarterback one way or another. Yeah, he's just a whirling dervish of
• 30:15
  like moves on top of moves and like speed and strength and technicality, and
• 30:22
  he's terrifying off the edge. And it doesn't like you said, like,
• 30:23
  it doesn't matter who he goes against, like cool, if you're a regular
• 30:27
  like tackle cool, he'll probably probably gonna get you. Even if you're one
• 30:30
  of the best in the league, he's still probably gonna get you. And
• 30:33
  the ones where he goes through you and this is just like a mentality thing
• 30:36
  for me, Like I feel those one like those are the ones that take
• 30:38
  your soul as like a tackle or an offensive line And it's one thing to
• 30:41
  be like, oh, man, he got me on the spin, or
• 30:44
  man, that was a great cross chop he got me, or I was
• 30:47
  a little slow out of my stands and he beat me around the arc.
• 30:49
  It is a completely different thing for a dude to go through your chest and
• 30:53
  drive you into the backfield and you can't anchor, you can't do anything,
• 30:57
  and you're just off kilter and he's going through you en route to your quarterback
• 31:02
  that takes your soul. That is a like very discouraging, disappointing feeling to
• 31:07
  have when you just get ran through by Micah Parsons. And then on top
• 31:11
  of that, so you got Parsons, who's an absolute stud I was surprised
• 31:15
  that this one, Dante Fowler is tied for third in past rush productivity.
• 31:18
  You have DeMarcus Lawrence at thirty fourth, and then you have Dorn's Armstrong at
• 31:22
  forty third like they've got, and then you have like o Diggy Zuo who's
• 31:26
  also a positive force up front, and like, we'll see what happens with
• 31:29
  Hankins, but they've got a good rotation on that D line aside from Parsons,
• 31:33
  but it's spearheaded by just this unicorn of an edge rusher that and like
• 31:40
  you said, like and then okay, cool, if you're gonna get in
• 31:41
  second long or third and long and it's predictable. Now we start to play
• 31:45
  matchup games and are we gonna line them up over your guard or do we
• 31:48
  line them up over your center? And then we know we try to put
• 31:52
  you into five zero protection and we start to game you up a little bit
• 31:55
  and see what happens, and then it starts to like you start to play
• 31:59
  into that hand, and which you don't need to do, because even if
• 32:01
  you're not playing into that hand, he's still gonna win. But if you
• 32:06
  set up that opportunity even more, if you get into those third and lungs
• 32:08
  and third and predictables, that's when it gets even scarier. And the Bills
• 32:13
  offensive line on the hole this year has been so much better than it has
• 32:15
  in recent years. Spencer Brown, though at right tackle, although much better.
• 32:20
  He's playing average to above average in a lot of ways. They've given
• 32:22
  him a ton of help whenever they've played legitimate ed rushers. The Raiders game
• 32:27
  was easy because, you know, no disrespect to anybody, There's no one
• 32:30
  else on that front aside from Max Crosby. So it was like, cool,
• 32:31
  We're just literally gonna line up a tight end or running back always to
• 32:35
  the right, and we're gonna chip Crosby every single time. Chip chip,
• 32:37
  chip, chip chip, whether it was direct or indirect. Washington very similar
• 32:42
  piece where chip and sweat where chip and young Like, we're gonna do that
• 32:45
  with regularity. I wonder how much help they give Spencer Brown. They did
• 32:50
  it again, a bit with Kansas City. He struggled at times, but
• 32:52
  kind of held his own a bit of Kansas City. But when going up
• 32:55
  against those elite dudes, and this is no you know, no knock on
• 32:59
  Spencer Brown going up against the lead dudes, they are going to stretch you
• 33:00
  out. But when the Chiefs would put Chris Jones on that outside, he
• 33:04
  would struggle a little bit. And Chris Jones is in that tier of pass
• 33:07
  rusher that you do not want to see. And I wonder how consistent this
• 33:12
  offensive line is going up against the player of Michael Parson's caliber, especially on
• 33:15
  that right side against Spencer Brown, how much help do they have to give
• 33:20
  him, especially now that they've been leading into more you know three x two
• 33:22
  full spread looks to spread out defenses and take advantage of Allen scrambling ability,
• 33:28
  like you talked about. But if you're not confident in your line holding up,
• 33:31
  whether it's one position or multiple, then it starts to monkey with your
• 33:37
  you know, ability to kind of commit to those spread looks because you don't
• 33:39
  feel confident in your past protection integrity. Yeah, and if we're sticking with
• 33:44
  comparisons to pro wrestlers, Michael Parsons is w CW. Goldberg. Wow,
• 33:50
  it's it's going to end quick. It's going to end brutally. Spirit jack
• 33:54
  hammer, that's spear jack hammer. We're getting in, we're getting up,
• 33:58
  we're getting our moves off. We're going through the smoke. We're doing the
• 34:01
  little uh your next we're doing we're doing the jumping thing. But we're doing
• 34:07
  we're getting our we're getting our moves off. Guys, Michael Parsons gets in
• 34:10
  and just the explosion. That is the biggest thing. It is. He
• 34:15
  goes from zero to sixty in an instant. I do wonder how much help
• 34:21
  Buffalo gives, especially, like you said, when they go to those empty
• 34:23
  open sets. One thing that we saw that Seattle did when they would go
• 34:27
  to those empty open sets, Dallas would just game them, and they would
• 34:30
  game them so much from those mud fronts. And that's really where they want
• 34:35
  to get you. They want to be able to put both those guys up
• 34:37
  there and be like, Okay, we might bring six, so you might
• 34:40
  have to bring send help, or if you don't send help, you're gonna
• 34:44
  end up wasting a blocker, or we're gonna get a one on one.
• 34:46
  And I wonder how much help they give Spencer Brown and do they kind of
• 34:52
  have a hey find eleven on every every passing down. You gotta find them
• 34:57
  because they're gonna line them up everywhere. They're gonna line them up inside of
• 35:00
  the Marcus Lawrence on passing downs. They're gonna put them over a left tackle,
• 35:04
  over the right tackle. They might put them up over the center.
• 35:07
  But you have to know where he is at all points in time during the
• 35:10
  game. Yeah, are you going to slide to him? Are you looking
• 35:14
  for like a chipper? Like are you gonna instead of going you know,
• 35:15
  true spread or are you gonna do kind of that rams spread with the you
• 35:20
  know the chip help on each side of the offensive line that they did a
• 35:22
  ton of the Super Bowl run that more teams have done recently, Like it
• 35:25
  can really put you in a bind. And I love the two man game
• 35:29
  or the game piece in general that you mentioned with what the Cowboys did against
• 35:31
  Seattle because from a overall offensive line standpoint, when the Bills have struggled,
• 35:37
  not just on an individual level, that right side O Cyrus Torrens has been
• 35:39
  phenomenal as a rookie, Like he's really been a nice consistent anchor no pun
• 35:44
  intended for the Bills offensive line. Him and Spencer Brown have really worked well
• 35:46
  together going back to the preseason, but they have struggled at times when you
• 35:51
  game them up. They will struggle at times with you know, passing off.
• 35:54
  And when I say struggle, it's not like, eh, somebody kind
• 35:58
  of got through. It's like, no, it, this was blown and
• 36:00
  there's a free runner coming on the inside. Or the Spiker just comes completely
• 36:04
  free, or the Spiker takes both out and the looper is clean, and
• 36:07
  that's even worse. Like you could use Parsons, you know, just to
• 36:10
  win a one on one, or use him as that Spiker and let him
• 36:15
  just kill two dudes and then force them to try and get the looper or
• 36:19
  stress their communication and who's picking up the looper up now we just let the
• 36:22
  Spiker go, Like it just creates all of these leverage scenarios when you're placed
• 36:27
  into that situation. Oh man, But he's so awesome to watch. He's
• 36:30
  so amazing. He's amazing, And I love the Goldberg com but I'm always
• 36:35
  torn by it. Like Goldberg has some of my favorite wrestling memories as a
• 36:37
  kid, like when he beat Raven and when he jackhammer like the Giant,
• 36:42
  and when he beat Hogan like on Nischel, like so many awesome moments.
• 36:45
  But my favorite wrestler of all time is also Brett Hart. So Colberg kills
• 36:49
  me because he ruined Brett Hart, like I very always got so conflicted with
• 36:52
  Golberg all the time. See, and I kind of wonder for this game,
• 36:57
  do the Bills kind of invite the cowboys, like yeah, flits us
• 37:00
  Flitch, Josh Allen, see what happens? You know, if you want
• 37:02
  to get into a Chaos battle with King Chaos, like you really want to
• 37:07
  do that? Okay, we'll play that game like we're cool rocking with Josh
• 37:10
  Allen under pressure because hey we signed up for this one. It's like,
• 37:15
  oh, I get we're really reaching every reference. It's like in uh jiu
• 37:21
  Jitsu Kaisen anime is going on right now. It's amazing. There's a character
• 37:23
  Megamine and anytime the cards are down, he is summoning a giant giant curse
• 37:31
  that is going to kill him but also everybody in the area. It's like
• 37:36
  Chaotsu from Dragon Ball z N. He is going to blow himself up,
• 37:40
  but he's going to blow everything else up too? Do you invite that with
• 37:45
  Josh Allen and the Bills, Do you want to go, Hey, we're
• 37:47
  gonna try it. We're gonna slitch you. Yeah, we're gonna We're gonna
• 37:50
  live with this, k I'll see what happens. I don't think you want
• 37:52
  to play that game, because, hey, sometimes it might not work,
• 37:55
  but if you don't get you have to blitch Josh Allen with some dudes that
• 38:00
  wear double digit jersey numbers. You can't have a single digit jersey number trying
• 38:05
  to tackle him. That's not that's not going to work. So I wonder
• 38:08
  if they kind of instead of blitzing, do they show the pressure and then
• 38:14
  drop off. Is it kind of like another like simulated pressure kind of game
• 38:17
  from them, where we're trying to make it so that Josh Allen thinks he
• 38:22
  sees something but then he actually doesn't see it. Like again with Jeff Hardy
• 38:27
  comparison, we want to make it look like we're lying down so you can
• 38:30
  swanton Obamas or we're gonna get the knees up at last minute. So I
• 38:35
  wonder if they kind of do they kind of invite the chaos in this game,
• 38:38
  or do they kind of like no, no, no, no,
• 38:39
  no, we're not gonna We're not gonna let him go off the leash.
• 38:42
  We're gonna try and constrain that a little bit. I'm the as soon as
• 38:45
  you mentioned like that chaos piece and kind of inviting it, like it brought
• 38:49
  me back to the Marshawn Lynch quote where he's like, I know I'm gonna
• 38:51
  get got, but I'm gonna get I'm gonna like I'm gonna get mine,
• 38:53
  like I'm gonna give mine more than I get got, or like something like
• 38:57
  that, Like and that's kind of what Josh Allen is like, You're like,
• 39:00
  Okay, you're gonna get me, but I'm gonna get you more than
• 39:01
  you get me, and then you kind of like play chicken or that Russian
• 39:05
  Roulette type of piece. And again that's why I think the run is so
• 39:07
  important, Like run right at Michael Parsons, run right at this Cowboys defense
• 39:12
  that is more undersized in terms of their personnel and what they like to do
• 39:15
  and use or try to mitigate or neutralize their best weapon or their best piece.
• 39:21
  And then again ties into the RPO game and pass tags and play action
• 39:24
  and all that like, it's there's so many things that stem from this one
• 39:28
  player, which again I think speaks to the gravity he has as a player.
• 39:32
  Like Parsons, is just absolutely wild in all like good ways, well
• 39:37
  good ways if you're a Cowboys fan, bad ways if you're anybody else.
• 39:39
  Point number two for you, mister Jpacosta. What do you got? So
• 39:44
  I'm not sure how to phrase it, but Dak Prescott against the Bills aggression.
• 39:51
  And what I mean by this is when Dak is hot, when he's
• 39:55
  on time, he is the one of the best quarterbacks the NFL. When
• 40:00
  he's on time, he is when he is unfazed. He has been better
• 40:05
  against pressure this year, of course, because like you said, he's able
• 40:07
  to use his legs a lot more. But it's kind of going to go
• 40:12
  into a point that I made earlier in the year. When you wrot me
• 40:15
  on for the Dolphins, you need to slow them down, and how you
• 40:20
  slow them down is slowing up the timing. We talk a lot about the
• 40:23
  song that Josh Allen has in his head. Dak Prescott has the orchestra,
• 40:29
  like the live orchestra, playing in his head, and that's great. That
• 40:32
  is phenomenal When the band is going, the band sounds perfect. But when
• 40:37
  somebody is just a pitch flat, or somebody just plays a wrong note at
• 40:42
  the wrong time, the band blows up. The band mess up, like
• 40:45
  everything just shuts off. So you want to disrupt the timing, you want
• 40:50
  to And I think, I think, I always think back to that San
• 40:54
  Francisco game the forty nine ers beat them up up front physically at the line
• 41:01
  of scrimmage. They were and not even talking about the defensive line, the
• 41:06
  defensive backs. They were slowing up the timing of this offense because it is
• 41:12
  still it's still based in a West Coast Mike McCarthy. It's so much timing,
• 41:17
  and Dak is so much of a timing quarterback where he is one,
• 41:22
  two three, I know where everything is one hitch ball out. You want
• 41:27
  to slow him down just a little bit. I'm not saying like it's a
• 41:30
  full proof, like it's gonna turn him into a bad quarterback. But what
• 41:32
  you want to do against the league's best is make them slow down a little
• 41:37
  bit. Just slow them down just a tick, Just give give your pass
• 41:40
  russ a little bit more time to get there. So I wonder if you
• 41:45
  lean, if the Bills lean more into We're gonna press at the line of
• 41:47
  scriptage. We're gonna try and be physical. We're gonna try and throw them
• 41:51
  off a little bit if you want to. If you want to beat our
• 41:53
  guys deep, go ahead and try. You have to make that outside throw.
• 41:57
  You have to compete with not only a defender, but with the out
• 42:00
  with the sideline. Go ahead and see if you can make that low percentage
• 42:02
  throw. But you gotta try and disrupt that timing, disrupt the rhythm and
• 42:08
  the flow of that offense. Because the Cowboys offense gets into a flow,
• 42:13
  they will score on every drive. Once it starts cooking, Like it's so
• 42:17
  hard to like really get him to stop. And like, I love that
• 42:22
  point that you made. And again it harkens back to what we talked about
• 42:24
  earlier, like this offense is so efficient, it's so rhythmic. But if
• 42:29
  you can get them out of that rhythm, it doesn't mean you're going to
• 42:30
  stop them. But that's when you start to kind of throw a little bit
• 42:32
  of a wrench into the machinery a little bit and try to cause some inefficiencies.
• 42:37
  And uh, you know, it's funny for Bills fans out there.
• 42:40
  You know, Kurt Warner did a bunch of breakdowns of the Bills offense before
• 42:45
  Dorsey got fired and after Dorsy got fired, and one of the things he
• 42:46
  talked about was Josh Allen's feet not necessarily being in lockstep with the routes and
• 42:52
  within the progressions for the Bills offense. And it's the opposite with the Cowboys,
• 42:58
  like Dax drops, dacks, footwork, his eyes, everything is in
• 43:01
  lockstep with the routes. It is very like you said, one, two,
• 43:06
  three, ball out, and then the receiver knows, like I take
• 43:08
  seven steps and I do this, I'm gonna turn in. The ball's gonna
• 43:10
  be there. Everything is based on timing and rhythm and report and if you
• 43:15
  can throw off that timing, if you can throw off that report and sometimes
• 43:19
  again it doesn't have to be the prettiest thing. Like you know, two
• 43:21
  hand jams aren't ideal mostly on the outside, but you know, throw a
• 43:23
  two hand jam, just do something if you have to add a half a
• 43:27
  second or maybe like a whole second, if you can and just throw that
• 43:30
  off a little bit. Trying to add beats to das drop back. And
• 43:34
  you know, as much as we talked about him tapping into some more of
• 43:37
  his athleticism this year. I think you do have to try to make him
• 43:39
  playoff script. You cannot let him sit one two three boom, one two
• 43:44
  three, four five boom. You cannot let him sit and scan and go
• 43:46
  from one to two and from two to three and whatever he has to do.
• 43:50
  You have to get him off his spot. You have to get him
• 43:52
  off the rhythm, off the timing. Easier said than done. There's a
• 43:55
  reason they're ten to three and not a lot of teams have done it.
• 43:58
  There's also you know, you know, talking about that Niners team, one
• 44:01
  of the best defenses, if not the best defensive football, especially at that
• 44:04
  time with Hufongo when he was still out there before he was banged up.
• 44:07
  Like they have a really good blueprint for it with their with the size they
• 44:10
  have overall in the defense. But such a big, fast, physical,
• 44:15
  angry type of defense. And I love the way you phrased it, like
• 44:19
  it's that aggression and it doesn't necessarily mean like, oh, hit everybody really
• 44:22
  hard and blitz. It just means like that mentality of challenging the Cowboys receivers
• 44:28
  and pass catchers and linemen as well on every single play in order to disrupt
• 44:31
  their comfortability and their rhythm that they're trying to operate within. Yeah, we
• 44:36
  talked about it up front with Josh Allen and the offense, and my first
• 44:39
  point, you have to be the aggressor in this game. You cannot sit
• 44:44
  back and let the Cowboys run layup lines on you. You know, you
• 44:49
  you have to kind of you got to be able to show so you got
• 44:52
  you gotta get a hand in the face. You know, we talked about
• 44:54
  like with rhythm. You think about a lot of great three point shooters.
• 44:58
  It's coming off a screen, the three, that's rhythm, spot up jumper,
• 45:01
  that's now they're in a rhythm. And then you get like Klay Thompson
• 45:06
  scoring sixty points on two dribbles, Like that's that's what the Cowboys offense can
• 45:09
  do. But what you do is you gotta get a hand in the face,
• 45:15
  get the hip pocket, stay stay there with them, don't let them
• 45:17
  get comfortable, force them to play off scripts, force the play out of
• 45:22
  that rhythm. You know, that's how they beat you. Fine, but
• 45:25
  you're not going to let them kind of just march up and down the field
• 45:30
  on you. With that efficiency that they play with. So it's not just
• 45:34
  like, oh, we're gonna play, we're gonna blitz, We're gonna be
• 45:37
  Like I think aggression gets kind of skewed to talk about defense in the NFL
• 45:43
  and in football in general, we think of aggression as Oh, we're gonna
• 45:45
  blitz a lot and we're gonna like do all this really cool thing like.
• 45:50
  No, Like, aggression can also just mean jam at the line of scrimmage,
• 45:53
  press the line scrimmage, playing, playing a bit more upfront, playing
• 46:00
  stronger up front. You want to disrupt their timing, make them think other
• 46:05
  things, change the picture defensively, you know, just do something to get
• 46:10
  them off of that rhythm. Yeah, it's just it's playing on the fore
• 46:15
  like the forefront and playing on your front foot, and it can be you
• 46:19
  know, and I that's kind of why I mentioned like, I don't want
• 46:22
  anybody to think like aggression and be like, oh cool, that means they
• 46:23
  need a blitz Moore. No like aggression to me, Like you said,
• 46:27
  like, one of the things that's aggression for me is disguising your fronts and
• 46:30
  disguising your coverages, like constantly spinning safeties, rocking and rolling you know,
• 46:34
  making them think we're going to rush these for but psych we're actually running to
• 46:37
  simulate a pressure and we're running these four like delay blitzes and creepers and like
• 46:40
  all this stuff things that you are doing to tax an opponent physically but also
• 46:46
  mentally, and that's what you need to do. You need to try to
• 46:49
  change the picture on Dak. You need to try to get this offense off
• 46:52
  script and off rhythm and out of that comfort zone because if you let them
• 46:55
  live in that zone, like they're just going to gouge you, and it
• 46:59
  might be like, you know, a couple of body shots and a couple
• 47:00
  like good slices to the gut, or it might just be like death by
• 47:04
  a thousand cuts, because Dak will be comfortable with ever, like with whatever.
• 47:07
  He'll hit that that seam and he'll take some chunks or hit a sale
• 47:09
  concept and take those chunks, but he's comfortable. Just Nickel and Diamond you
• 47:13
  down the field and like you can die both ways and they both suck.
• 47:17
  I like that. I like that. I'm gonna stick on that Cowboys offense
• 47:21
  side of the ball. I gotta mentioned two of my three points tonight are
• 47:24
  just player specific So the first one was how the Bills handled Michael Michael Micah
• 47:29
  Parsons. The second point for me is how the Bills deal with Ceedee Lamb.
• 47:34
  I had a lot of injuries on my fantasy team this year. Ceedee
• 47:36
  Lamb kept me afloat for a good chunk of this year. And somebody who
• 47:44
  I feel, I feel like he's been noted as a very good receiver for
• 47:50
  I feel like really since I kind of comeing in, especially getting you know,
• 47:53
  the eighty eight from the Cowboys and getting that nod from Michael Urban and
• 47:58
  being able to rock it, but like what he's done this year. I
• 48:00
  mean the three straight games with over ten catches and over one hundred and fifty
• 48:04
  yards receiving, and you look at his numbers and he's another just an absolute
• 48:09
  stud. So raw statistics, he's third in receiving yards, tied for fourth
• 48:14
  and receiving touchdowns, third in catches. Fifty eight point five percent of his
• 48:19
  snaps come in the slot, forty point five percent come out wide. I
• 48:22
  think people often think like, oh, well, he's their slot receiver.
• 48:24
  Yeah, but also no, they will line him up anywhere and everywhere,
• 48:29
  and he can win anywhere and everywhere. He's got true legitimate inside outside versatility
• 48:35
  with his release package, the size, the physicality, the speed, the
• 48:38
  quickness, the precision, he can gut you from anywhere inside outside, It
• 48:43
  doesn't matter. You want to put him in an X, you want to
• 48:44
  put him in motion, you want to do whatever like he can get you.
• 48:47
  But again, like going back to the numbers, seventh in yards per
• 48:51
  route run, he only has four drops on one hundred and twenty nine targets.
• 48:55
  He's dude like nuts. He's seventh in EPA per target amongst one hundred
• 49:00
  and sixty eight players that have at least thirty targets. He's first in total
• 49:05
  receiving EPA. He's thirteenth in QB rating when targeted, He's seventeenth in yards
• 49:12
  per target. He's second in first downs like advanced Metric, raw metric.
• 49:19
  You look at him and he's like ahead of the pack, and in a
• 49:21
  league that is stacked and loaded with receivers. And I don't know if it's
• 49:25
  playing with Dak or playing in Dallas. But and this isn't necessarily like a
• 49:30
  knock on anybody else, Like we know what Jamar Chase can do, and
• 49:31
  justin Jefferson, even Stefan Diggs in Buffalo, like there are a multitude of
• 49:36
  ultra talented receivers. I don't think Ceedee Lamb gets his due for being like
• 49:40
  a true, like dominant dude as a wide receiver and the pairing of him
• 49:46
  with Dak Prescott. We talked about, you know, Dak in efficiency and
• 49:50
  precision and all this and rhythm and timing, and Cedee Lamb fits so perfectly
• 49:54
  into what Dak does in this offense because how good he is as a route
• 49:59
  runner, like the precision, the deception, the suddenness, the pace,
• 50:02
  and the timing. He is a true like craftsman at the receiver position.
• 50:07
  But he's also got speed and athleticism and juice and hands, and he can
• 50:12
  go up and high point the football and climb the ladder. He can also
• 50:15
  take a shot. He also is a willing blocker, like they'll use him
• 50:17
  in like insert him in the run game, let alone use him on the
• 50:21
  outside for screens and stuff. Like he really can do it all and is
• 50:25
  just an absolute stud. Like we talk about what Michael Parsons is on the
• 50:30
  defensive side of the ball, and I know on the offensive side of the
• 50:32
  ball, aloud of every lot of everything comes back to Dak Prescott because he's
• 50:37
  the quarterback of you know, quote unquote America's team. And then the other
• 50:39
  the little pieces like Tony Pollard gets talked about, and you know, Ferguson's
• 50:44
  been talked about a bunch now and Lamb gets recognized. But I don't think
• 50:46
  he truly gets his just due in terms of being an absolute stud and the
• 50:51
  metrics speak to it. And then you put on the tape and he's just
• 50:54
  cooking dudes like on you know, double moves and just simple out routes and
• 50:58
  he sets you up and ktch you with a quick little one two or a
• 51:00
  rocker step and leaves you in the dust like he's athletic, He's precise.
• 51:05
  He is a perfect fit in this offense and partner for Dak Prescott. And
• 51:09
  how do the Buffalo Bills, you know, deal with him? Are they
• 51:13
  rolling coverage to him? What do they do when he is in the slot?
• 51:15
  How much man do they play? Do they bracket him? Do they
• 51:17
  choose to try and put Rasoul Douglass on him versus Benford? Or is it
• 51:22
  whatever side he goes to is where he goes Also within that, how does
• 51:25
  Dallas deploy him they Is this more of a slot game for CD? Is
• 51:30
  it more of an outside game for him? Like where do they want to
• 51:32
  attack this Bill's defense and how? And especially with the vulnerability for this Bill's
• 51:38
  defense still being on the interior, Tyrell Dobson is not a good coverage linebacker.
• 51:43
  The other option there is Dorrian Williams, who isn't there from a processing
• 51:46
  perspective as a rookie, and then Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer, who have
• 51:50
  been star warts for this Bill's defense, have lost a bit of a step
• 51:53
  this year. I think putting CD Lamb like in the slot and having him
• 51:58
  be that seam defender for these balls Dak along with Jake Ferguson stress that interior
• 52:01
  of the Bill's defense and then force the Bill's defense to deal with Ceedee Lamb
• 52:07
  either with a specific player or bracketed coverages or rolling things his way and going
• 52:10
  with you know, split field looks or half field stuff to try and I
• 52:14
  don't know, do you throw more of a cloud corner at him to try
• 52:16
  and disrupt him and have somebody else over the top, Like how do they
• 52:20
  play Ceedee Lamb because he's a legitimate stud in the league, and he's going
• 52:23
  to demand gravity that comes his way. And you kind of hit on the
• 52:29
  point my final point going here, but we'll get to that my point later.
• 52:34
  But the thing that stands out the most about Ceedee Lamb is the body
• 52:37
  control. Oh good point, and that's just the way that he moves.
• 52:43
  I think, I think all the time. I don't remember who the quote
• 52:45
  is from. I can't believe I'm not attributed to this quote incorrectly. But
• 52:50
  the best in the world at what they do are able to make the difficult
• 52:52
  things look easy. Ceedee Lamb makes route running and separation look easy. He
• 53:00
  just glides on the field. Like there's the double move into the sail route
• 53:07
  that he ran on the Eagles on Sunday well against Bradbury, right where he
• 53:09
  just left him in the dust, just completely fooled him. There was one
• 53:14
  in the slot I think against It was either against Killey Ringo or one of
• 53:20
  the other nickel defenders for the Eagles like bro It was Roby where he faked
• 53:25
  to the inside and then went back out and I was like, man,
• 53:28
  like, what do you do? And one thing that Dallas has done so
• 53:34
  well since the forty nine ers game is they've moved him around, they've kind
• 53:37
  of match up hunted for him, you know, And it's not just like,
• 53:39
  oh, we're gonna line him up out here and he is going to
• 53:42
  be better than you. Like, he can do that, but you want
• 53:45
  to create a wider margin for error for your best players because that's going to
• 53:50
  help them out in the long run. So I just I love the body
• 53:53
  control and what he can do. Also after the catch, he's I think
• 53:59
  that's kind of an underrated part of his game, but he is. He's
• 54:00
  really good after the catch. So I wonder if this is gonna be kind
• 54:06
  of a Taron Johnson game, Like are they are they just gonna lock him
• 54:09
  but he's in the slot. Is this is this a lock him on and
• 54:14
  forget about it, or is this gonna be a oh we're gonna try and
• 54:16
  bracket him on the inside whenever he's there, we're gonna cloud to the outside.
• 54:21
  If he goes in motion, we're just gonna have to bracket. Or
• 54:23
  if he moves and they like one of the things that cowboys do is they'll
• 54:27
  motion him into a bunch or a stack. Is this okay, tarn you
• 54:32
  got eighty eight and we're locking you on him. You lock that coverage and
• 54:36
  then we'll play we'll like top hat the coverage or like the outside corner will
• 54:40
  take the receiver if he goes outside, and the safety will take the receiver
• 54:44
  if he goes inside. Like, is this gonna be a tarn Johnson?
• 54:47
  You have to be the most valuable defender on the field, which he has
• 54:52
  been, and he is for the Bills defense. But this is really the
• 55:00
  I wrote a little bit uh in grad school about why the free safety defense
• 55:05
  has kind of changed the NFL and how nickel defenders are getting bigger, and
• 55:08
  one of the people I highlighted in that story was Tarren Johnson. This has
• 55:13
  to be the Tarren Johnson game, Like, this is the reason why he
• 55:17
  is the most valuable defender on the field, and this is gonna be the
• 55:22
  you know where we might lock him on and say, hey, we're gonna
• 55:24
  lock you onto eighty eight and then worry about everybody else. And then if
• 55:30
  he's got to play with regularity against Ceedee Lamb in the slot and then also
• 55:36
  maintain runfit responsibility like that stuff. But then also if he's playing man,
• 55:40
  he's locking him up that he's not necessarily going to be in that run fit.
• 55:44
  We know the Cowboys can run the ball and like to run the ball,
• 55:45
  so how does that start to fit? Like he's another similar to what
• 55:50
  Parsons is on the defensive side of the ball. I feel like Cede Lamb
• 55:53
  is a starting point for all these different avenues and offshoots because how you choose
• 55:59
  to fend Ceedee Lamb, Like, I think that's where the conversation has to
• 56:02
  start. Granted, Dak is the straw that stirs the drink when it comes
• 56:07
  to this Cowboys offense, but you have to start with, Okay, how
• 56:09
  are we covering Ceedee Lamb? What are we doing with Ceedee Lamb? Because
• 56:13
  then everything the rest of your coverage is your run fits. All of it
• 56:16
  stems from that one player. And that's the gravity that he has. And
• 56:20
  I love the body control point that you mentioned, like everything just seems so
• 56:24
  smooth and he just seems like so swagged out, like his cleats are dope
• 56:29
  and he's got the chains and everything just fits perfectly, like he's got a
• 56:31
  dope receiver aesthetic, Like oh, he's just he just crushes it, like
• 56:37
  with how he moves and how he operates like and again he's helped my fantasy
• 56:40
  teams significantly this year with what he does. But like, I also think
• 56:45
  like people don't realize, like how nuts that is three straight games of ten
• 56:51
  catches and over one hundred and fifty yards, including one where he had eleven
• 56:54
  catches for one hundred and ninety one And he can do it in so many
• 56:59
  ways, Like he can get vertical, he can work in the underneath,
• 57:00
  he can work in the intermediate, he can beat Man, he can beat
• 57:04
  zone like ooh, like he's just he's a real And I don't think he
• 57:07
  gets talked about enough in that conversation. And I don't know if it's because
• 57:13
  he does work a lot in the slot, like granted he can live in
• 57:15
  both, but he is more slot, like I mentioned, fifty eight point
• 57:19
  five percent in the slot versus forty point five percent out wide, And I
• 57:22
  don't know if that's part of the reason. But I really feel like I
• 57:27
  don't think he's in the same tier as like the Chases and the Jeffersons,
• 57:30
  but he's close in that second tier or maybe starting to creep up into the
• 57:34
  bottom of that first tier. I really don't think he get he gets talked
• 57:36
  about as being a good receiver, but he's really one of the elite like
• 57:38
  dudes at that position in the league, and I don't think he gets talked
• 57:42
  about it like enough. I think he doesn't get talked about like that enough
• 57:45
  because kind of like what you said, he's more of a he kind of
• 57:49
  operates in between slot and out wide. But I think it's something about the
• 57:53
  movement where it just it just looks so like I'm not gonna say it's boring,
• 58:00
  because I don't think it's boring, but he doesn't get talked about that
• 58:05
  much because it just looks so easy out there, like nonchalant, Like it's
• 58:08
  just a nonchalant like, oh, okay, I'm gonna run this sale route
• 58:12
  for fifteen yards, gonna be wide open, Like okay, cool, We're
• 58:15
  gonna run this stop route, get four yards of separation, and we're gonna
• 58:20
  just continue with the rest of our game. Do the little point that he
• 58:23
  does for the first Yeah, it's one of the coolest celebrations in the league,
• 58:30
  just one of the most consistent. Like he's so he's so good at
• 58:32
  doing it after every first down. It does not matter the situation, doesn't
• 58:38
  matter what if they're up or down in the game, just go ahead.
• 58:42
  Eddi's seconded, And like I said, he's seconded first down. So he
• 58:45
  does it all the time, like you almost every catch you see him doing
• 58:47
  it and after him like, oh it must be a first down. Get
• 58:50
  your shots up, kid, That's exactly what it is. Hey, you
• 58:52
  get it, You celebrate, you got it, man. But yeah,
• 58:57
  it's gonna be so interesting to see how they defy. It really starts like
• 59:01
  and if I'm Dallas again, like I'm putting him in the slot, like
• 59:04
  I am forcing Taron Johnson to be occupied by him, or I am stressing
• 59:09
  those linebackers and the spine of the defense from a coverage standpoint, And then
• 59:15
  then I'm starting to see, okay, cool, Then can I isolate Brandon
• 59:16
  Cooks and use his speed outside or see what I can do and like where
• 59:20
  else we can get to. But I'm throwing him on the inside. Again.
• 59:22
  I love everything that he can do, and I'm probably throwing him on
• 59:24
  the outside a bit, but I'm starting him in that slot, using him
• 59:29
  as that power slot piece to also helping the run game. But just I'm
• 59:31
  bringing that gravity on the interior and stressing kind of a weaker or vulnerable point
• 59:37
  for this Bill's defense, which has been on that spine again. Another another
• 59:42
  awesome piece that stems from a player aspect. All right, bring it home
• 59:45
  in the home stretch. Your third point, which I know is potentially related
• 59:47
  to this a little bit, and you're saving it. What do you got
• 59:51
  for your last matchup point for Bill's Cowboys? My third point is related to
• 59:53
  CD LAMB? But how are the Bills going to defend CD LAMB in motion?
• 59:59
  So ceedee Lamb in motion this year as a point sixty eight EPA per
• 1:00:02
  target. That's pretty good. Almost point Yeah, I believe it's a sixty
• 1:00:09
  six point seven percent positive play rate according to Sports Info Solutions. That's insane,
• 1:00:15
  insane, you know, it's pretty good. That's also pretty good.
• 1:00:19
  You know that's something that again, this Cowboys offense has changed so much from
• 1:00:24
  the forty nine Ers game. And really I kind of think it was Mike
• 1:00:28
  McCarthy going, hey, we can put our best player in the motion.
• 1:00:31
  That's crazy, like he saw Kyle Shanahan doing all this wild stuff with CMC
• 1:00:37
  and Deebo Samuels, Like, huh, I could do that? Why did
• 1:00:39
  I do that and the offense is just taken off. So I just wonder
• 1:00:45
  how are they going to defend Ceedee Lamb in those motions? Because how what
• 1:00:49
  the Cowboys do? They're so intentional with this motion and it's not just creating
• 1:00:53
  the stacks and the bunches schematically, it is getting Ceedee Lamb a free release.
• 1:01:00
  So it's getting him a free release, a two way go. Like
• 1:01:02
  you said, like he has been a slot receiver. He's been outside slot
• 1:01:07
  like operated in between both for his most of his career. But he kind
• 1:01:12
  of gets thought of as a slot receiver because of earlier his career with Amari
• 1:01:15
  Cooper, he was kind of a slot guy. But what's the best thing
• 1:01:19
  to do for your alpha receiver? Get him into a stack where he doesn't
• 1:01:23
  have to do with somebody hitting him at the line of scrimmage. Let him
• 1:01:27
  run at you. You know, It's kind of like I think Brandon Thorne
• 1:01:31
  made this comparison early on this year where receiver the receiver dB battle is a
• 1:01:38
  lot like offensive line defensive line. Bro he I guess you were saying I
• 1:01:44
  when I first started following him that conversation is what he ended up following me
• 1:01:49
  back after and he said that point. He was like, oh, yeah,
• 1:01:52
  like the fight, the hand fighting in the battle between offensive line and
• 1:01:54
  defensive line, mimics and mirrors defensive backs and wide receivers. And we went
• 1:01:59
  on a whole thread conversation about Yeah, yeah, that's awesome. Sorry,
• 1:02:04
  it's just flipped because you think about what receivers do with the footwork and hand
• 1:02:08
  coordination, it looks exactly like a defensive lineman. I made a comparison when
• 1:02:15
  he first made that thread. I was like, Oh, this goes into
• 1:02:19
  my perfect thought that justin Jefferson and von Miller moved the same way. Nice,
• 1:02:22
  they're kind of they've kind of moved similar ways. Ceedee Lamb kind of
• 1:02:27
  moves in that kind of gliding, graceful way where he's kind of got like
• 1:02:31
  figure skater ankles where you can kind of he can bend and turn. Oh
• 1:02:38
  it's so easy just to hip an ankle flexibility. And now you're giving him
• 1:02:43
  a free release to run at your safety or nickel corner to kind of give
• 1:02:49
  him another two way go. It's that intentional motion that's going to be very
• 1:02:53
  interesting to see how the Bills cover it. They do they protect their linebackers
• 1:02:59
  by having to say the overtop and be like, Okay, if this guy
• 1:03:01
  tries to run it over, we're gonna have the backside safety poach or sit
• 1:03:06
  there like okay, here comes eighty eight. If he comes over this way,
• 1:03:09
  you got him. If he doesn't, I got him going back this
• 1:03:13
  way? Is it going to be hey? If he goes into motion,
• 1:03:16
  it's like a stack. It's Taron Johnson like, okay, move, I
• 1:03:21
  got him. It's like when you're playing when you see when you're watching basketball
• 1:03:24
  and you try to go like a two man pick and roll game, and
• 1:03:28
  the best defenders like, no, move, move, get out, get
• 1:03:30
  out the way, just go just go over to pick. I'm here like
• 1:03:35
  I'm forcing you to. If you want to get your shot off, you
• 1:03:37
  gotta do it in my face. Yeah. So I wonder if this is
• 1:03:42
  going to be a you gotta get in his face or is this going to
• 1:03:45
  be a hey if he runs this way at of motion, we gotta have
• 1:03:50
  something. We got something for if he's in the slot and when he goes
• 1:03:52
  into motion, because they're going to be motioning him inside. They're gonna be
• 1:03:57
  motioning him into a stack and to get a free realm. Yeah, and
• 1:04:00
  you can't let him yea. And even if he's just static in the slot,
• 1:04:03
  like he's gonna have that two way go, it's a problem. If
• 1:04:05
  you had the motion piece into it and the potential leverage that it creates,
• 1:04:09
  then you start to get into a whole nother world to hurt against this Cowboys
• 1:04:11
  offense. I looked up, you know, the motion pieces on SIS and
• 1:04:16
  so amongst yeah, amongst all players with at least ten targets, he's sitting
• 1:04:20
  there at fourth at point six to eight EPA per target Adam Feeling. Granted
• 1:04:25
  he only has ten. Adam Feelin's EPA is point eighty seven in motion like
• 1:04:30
  Adam the Adam Feeling resurgence and renaissance in one of the worst offenses in the
• 1:04:35
  NFL. Every week there is some stat that I see Adam Theeelen related that
• 1:04:41
  blows my mind that I and then like you watch Panthers games, if anybody's
• 1:04:45
  watching Panthers games, because they're ugly, and he's just like left and right
• 1:04:47
  getting open and making catches, like it's wild point eighty seven for Adam Thielen,
• 1:04:50
  Like that's crazy. It's like it's like Sean Livingston with the Warriors.
• 1:04:57
  You know, he's the old man, the why getting bucket, you know,
• 1:05:00
  the bank shot jumper. He's not gonna play a lot of defense,
• 1:05:02
  you know, like he's only gonna play one half of the court. But
• 1:05:05
  hey, you get him on that block. He's hitting the fadeaway jumper every
• 1:05:10
  time. So it's really fun watching him. But yeah, you think about
• 1:05:13
  those guys that go in motion, You think about what they do, like
• 1:05:15
  the Tyler Boyds, George Kittles, Travis Kelcey. Like, yep, again,
• 1:05:19
  that's another like Travis Kelcey going into motion. It's gonna have to be
• 1:05:25
  kind of like that because he is such a vocal like he is a gravity
• 1:05:30
  he has gravitational pull when he goes in the motion. Is very much like
• 1:05:33
  Travis Kelcey because you have to know what he's going to do and where he's
• 1:05:38
  going to be in that motion. You're not gonna always be able to sit
• 1:05:42
  there a line of scrimmage and jam him. So you gotta have a plan
• 1:05:45
  for Okay, this guy's going in the motion. Here he comes like,
• 1:05:48
  this is gonna have to be a two man game or hey, I got
• 1:05:53
  him, just move and it's funny too, like so Ceedee Lamb like presents
• 1:05:59
  even more of a problem with from because he's Ceedee Lamb. But also teams
• 1:06:01
  going back to the Bills game against the Packers last year, have really,
• 1:06:10
  I don't want to say struggled, but they've been exposed and made vulnerable at
• 1:06:13
  times by just simple pre stamp motion from offenses and because they usually do the
• 1:06:17
  same thing every time, like if you motion from left to right, they're
• 1:06:20
  gonna bump according to bump it exactly, and it's always a bump at the
• 1:06:25
  second level, like you know what you're going to get, and if you
• 1:06:28
  time that snap right, you can out leverage them to that front side,
• 1:06:31
  or if you tie it into the run game, you can beat them backside
• 1:06:34
  on the weak side because they bumped over to the front to match that motion.
• 1:06:39
  That's happened, and teams have manipulated them time and time again with these
• 1:06:43
  motions. Philadelphia did it a bit this year, especially in that ot play,
• 1:06:47
  but going back to last year, like the Jets even did it because
• 1:06:50
  you know Laflur coming from a the flur tree like that pack the Packers kind
• 1:06:54
  of put that out there and the Bills adjusted really well to Miami's motion game
• 1:06:59
  earlier this year, but you saw teams use motion to out leverage or outgap
• 1:07:04
  the Bill's defense again out leverage them in the past game or out use them
• 1:07:09
  to like mess up their gap scheme and then gap integrity against the run.
• 1:07:12
  Like it can be such a devastating thing when it's anybody motioning based on how
• 1:07:15
  the Bill's rules are defensively for adjusting to that motion. But then you add
• 1:07:20
  on top of it that it's ceedee lamb, Like you kind of have to
• 1:07:24
  bump because you have to respect that unless you're just going with straight man.
• 1:07:28
  And then if you're going with straight man, then it's more easily discernible for
• 1:07:30
  Dak and he can recognize what's going on. And that's why you have to
• 1:07:34
  add more of like okay, like he might be locked in man, but
• 1:07:38
  we're not in man where and you know, or we're man to that side
• 1:07:41
  and we're cover two to this other side. Like trying to throw these split
• 1:07:44
  field coverages like they did to Kansas City last year in that Week five game
• 1:07:47
  where they they were bust they bust out everything in that game. They were
• 1:07:50
  throwing half field coverages. They were busting out the odd mirror front from Georgia
• 1:07:54
  and what they were doing just like all these pieces. But you really have
• 1:07:57
  to given how efficient this offense is, again the gravity that Ceedee Lamb has,
• 1:08:01
  Yeah, this has to be a game where you gotta make any of
• 1:08:04
  the other receivers beat you. Like it's I'm cool with this being a Michael
• 1:08:10
  Gallup Gates. I was literally gonna say that you gotta make it a Michael
• 1:08:13
  Gallagy if you want it to be a Brandon Cooks game. Sure, Like
• 1:08:16
  why why not? Yeah? Why not? If this is a Jake Ferguson
• 1:08:18
  game. Okay, I'm cool with Jake Ferguson being the guy that ended up
• 1:08:23
  beating us, But if you're gonna let Ceedee Lamb kind of dictate again,
• 1:08:28
  it ties back into if you're going to let Ceedee Lamb and the Cowboys dictate
• 1:08:31
  the flow of this offense using motion And again you made a great point about
• 1:08:35
  motion to run because of how the Bills play and they bump everybody. It's
• 1:08:41
  gonna be another one where they motioned CD bumped Aaron Johnson out the runfit and
• 1:08:45
  they run where he wasn't Or is this going to be a we're gonna motion,
• 1:08:50
  We're gonna bump, and we're gonna get ceedee lamb on a linebacker.
• 1:08:54
  This this is gonna have to be a chess match kind of game. I
• 1:08:57
  think there's gonna be a we're gonna throw every everything and the kitchen sink at
• 1:09:00
  you. You might think we're gonna be in man, but maybe just we're
• 1:09:03
  gonna lock CD and we're gonna play zone everywhere else. It's gonna have to
• 1:09:08
  be a game where and you brought up a great point about the Dolphins,
• 1:09:13
  and I think the Dolphins motion is kind of different. Actually have a story
• 1:09:15
  coming out of about this tomorrow. The Dolphins motion is different because they are
• 1:09:23
  more vertical displacement. They want to motion to get you down the field with
• 1:09:27
  threat of speed and then dagger and run the dig with Tyreek Hill right behind
• 1:09:32
  it. And they want they want to pull that coverage and drink the zone.
• 1:09:34
  And then they want you to think, oh my gosh, Jalen Waddles
• 1:09:39
  running at me. He he runs like a four flat, So we're flying,
• 1:09:44
  We're flying out the roof to try and cover that. And then Tyreek
• 1:09:46
  Hill, who runs a three flat, just runs right behind them. Where
• 1:09:49
  I think the Cowboys motion is different is they want to dictate angles and leverage.
• 1:09:57
  It's more, Okay, we might not have the same burn as they
• 1:10:00
  do, but we're gonna motion into a stack or into a bunch and force
• 1:10:03
  you to be like, Okay, how are we gonna play this. You're
• 1:10:06
  gonna have to dictate. You're gonna have to show the coverage as you're getting
• 1:10:11
  into it. So that motion at the snap. As soon as CD gets
• 1:10:14
  into that stack, Dack's gonna see, oh, you're bumping it inside.
• 1:10:17
  We have outside leverage. That's kind of the you can run the option round.
• 1:10:21
  It's what made It's what made Cooper Cup and the Rams just so amazing
• 1:10:26
  on offense is they use that motion. They're dictating the leverage and the angles.
• 1:10:30
  Football, especially on offense, is geometry. It is just finding the
• 1:10:35
  angles, finding different ways to increase the margins where everybody else, everybody is
• 1:10:43
  just as good of an as an athlete. So now you have to dictate
• 1:10:45
  using angles and using math to kind of win at the NFL level. And
• 1:10:53
  the Cowboys do that so perfectly because there are a timing and rhythm based offense.
• 1:10:58
  If they could dictate those angles in that leverage, you have no chance
• 1:11:02
  of winning. No, it's so stressful and it's and it's a great point
• 1:11:06
  like it that's where that chess match comes in, because then it's like,
• 1:11:11
  okay, like I know that you know what we know and vice versa,
• 1:11:16
  and so how can you kind of spin that on its head? Like can
• 1:11:19
  you make them think like, oh, okay, here comes man coverage and
• 1:11:23
  nope, it's something else, like what can you do on the fly from
• 1:11:25
  an adjustment standpoint? Which is why Sean McDermott's gonna be so important in this
• 1:11:29
  game, like how able is he to disguise coverage to disguise what they're doing
• 1:11:32
  on the back end because Dak is so good at discerning those pieces just on
• 1:11:38
  his own. Mike McCarthy is very adapt at giving him resources to help him
• 1:11:43
  discern what's going on from a coverage standpoint. And then on top of it,
• 1:11:46
  you got this precision based offense with these pieces that execute at this high
• 1:11:51
  level like ceedee lamb, like it just it can put you in a blender,
• 1:11:55
  like mentally, whereas I love that comparison with the Dolphins offense, it's
• 1:11:59
  so not that it's not mentally taxing because it is, but so much of
• 1:12:01
  it is just like speed and that vertical displacement, where this Dallas offense is
• 1:12:06
  more of like a mental chess piece and chess match, and that taxing element
• 1:12:12
  from a horizontal piece again tied to that West Coast element, which is timing
• 1:12:15
  and angles in geometry. Like oh Man very well said, I'm so excited
• 1:12:18
  for this game, Like I'm very nervous because I like the Bills obviously,
• 1:12:20
  but just as a football fan, man, this one's gonna be good,
• 1:12:25
  all right, My last one, this one is more schematic, not individual
• 1:12:27
  player based. Bills offense versus the Cowboys when they're in Cover one, real
• 1:12:32
  simple staple of this Cowboys defense right now, they have one hundred and thirty
• 1:12:39
  six Cover one snaps that is the most in the league and thirty four point
• 1:12:43
  five percent of their past defense snaps on the year when playing cover one,
• 1:12:48
  their third in EPA per play, they're first in total EPA and they have
• 1:12:54
  the twelfth lowest quarterback rating against. Of those one hundred and thirty six Cover
• 1:12:59
  one snaps, forty five of them have come on third down, which is
• 1:13:02
  tied for the third most in the league and is also thirty three point one
• 1:13:05
  percent of their overall Cover one snaps, but they're kind of middling on third
• 1:13:10
  down win in Cover one fourteenth and EPA per play fourteenth and EPA and the
• 1:13:14
  fifteenth lowest rating against. How does that fit in against the Bills? Weall
• 1:13:18
  I'll tell you Josh Allen fifth most Cover one snaps against on the year.
• 1:13:25
  He is fourth in EPA, seventh in positive play percentage. Then this is
• 1:13:28
  out of forty qualifying quarterbacks, fourth and EPA, seventh in positive play percentage,
• 1:13:32
  eighth in rating, first in on target percentage, second in catchable percentage,
• 1:13:38
  eighth in yards third and touchdowns. But it's also very interesting. So
• 1:13:42
  you see those Josh Allen success numbers, and I think some people might think,
• 1:13:45
  oh, well, Stefan Diggs is his dude, Diggs must be cooking
• 1:13:48
  against Cover one this year, and that is false. Out of fifty five
• 1:13:53
  qualifying players, not just receivers. Out of fifty five qualifying players, Stefan
• 1:13:58
  Diggs thirty six in EPA per target against Cover one, thirty fourth in total
• 1:14:02
  EPA thirty fourth and positive play percentage, thirty fourth in yards per route run,
• 1:14:08
  and thirty third in yards per catch. How does this bill's offense hum
• 1:14:14
  or continue to hum against Cover one? Who wins that battle? It's weird
• 1:14:17
  to say cover one because it's the brand, but like it's also a coverage.
• 1:14:20
  I've never said it this much in a show. And so that's like
• 1:14:24
  a huge piece, Like we know the Cowboys want to live in this single
• 1:14:27
  high world. And then when they're running Cover one, usually Hooker is going
• 1:14:30
  to be that post safety. They're using Donovan Wilson in creative ways, but
• 1:14:33
  he's usually going to be that robber or that rat. They'll line them up
• 1:14:36
  on the line and have him be the low hole player. They'll do so
• 1:14:40
  many fun things with him. He had that nice strip on Jalen Hurts against
• 1:14:43
  Philadelphia, like he's just so good in and around the line of scrimmage.
• 1:14:46
  And again, if they're showing him usually in a two high shell pre snap,
• 1:14:50
  he's coming down in some way as that robber. So kind of iding
• 1:14:55
  that how do they function against this coverage? And then what does Dallas do
• 1:14:59
  with a in that? From a takeaway standpoint, Dallas is tied for seventh
• 1:15:03
  and takeaways with twenty one, but they're only three off the lead, which
• 1:15:06
  is who is the Denver Broncos at twenty four and they're tied for fourth in
• 1:15:10
  interceptions with thirteen. Granted, like all of them have come from Deron Bland
• 1:15:14
  and they've all been taken back for touchdowns. Do they turn Josh Allen over?
• 1:15:17
  Can they start them off negatively and get him into that negative you know,
• 1:15:20
  snowball routine and snowball effect like we talked about, you know, both
• 1:15:24
  previous times when we were on the show. Like, I think that's the
• 1:15:27
  bigger picture. But baked within that is that niche piece of this is the
• 1:15:31
  Cowboys go to formation defensively or coverage scheme. I should say, they have
• 1:15:35
  the horses for it, they have the defensive coordinator for it. They execute
• 1:15:40
  it at a high level. They still disguise it a bit, but they
• 1:15:43
  really don't have to because of how well they play it. And then also
• 1:15:45
  paired with what they have up front, they can play man coverage and disrupt
• 1:15:49
  your timing and get in your kitchen because they trust that Michaeh Parsons or DeMarcus
• 1:15:54
  Lawrence, Dante Fowler, somebody's gonna win up front quickly for him. So
• 1:15:58
  I think this is another one that kind of ties into. The points we
• 1:16:00
  made earlier with Cover one is this is kind of gonna be a Josh Allen
• 1:16:04
  scramble game, you know on third earlier I was like it kind of ties
• 1:16:09
  in, but I wanted to keep it. Yeah, on third downs this
• 1:16:12
  year, Josh Allen is thirteenth among qualifying quarterbacks with of course five scrambles on
• 1:16:17
  third down and epa per attempt the point five to seven, and you kind
• 1:16:21
  of think, oh, thirteenth, But he leads the NFL and rushing and
• 1:16:26
  scrambles on third down like he that's something like he is built in to be
• 1:16:30
  like, Okay, you're gonna play, man, I'm just gonna go.
• 1:16:32
  I'm taking it out like this. This gotta be a game where if you
• 1:16:35
  don't have it, just go. Because the Cowboys, I think what you've
• 1:16:41
  brought up is a very good point about how much Cover one they play.
• 1:16:44
  It's because they have the personnel to play all that Cover one. They flood
• 1:16:46
  the field with dbs. Everybody is like two hundred with anybody and do anything.
• 1:16:51
  Everybody's like one hundred and ninety to two hundred and five pounds, So
• 1:16:56
  cool. If none of those guys are open, just take your two,
• 1:17:00
  one hundred and forty pounds Ostrich and run like just go and force him to
• 1:17:04
  tackle. And you brought up some really good points with Stefan Diggs and the
• 1:17:10
  success rate against Cover one? Is this gonna come? Is this gonna have
• 1:17:14
  to be a Gabe Davis game? Is this is gonna be a Gabe Davis
• 1:17:16
  or a Kincaid game? I don't know, because I've said it before on
• 1:17:21
  Twitter. Gabe Davis is football Jr. Smith. Sometimes he's gonna get thirty
• 1:17:28
  points, gonna make like ten threes contested jumpers all working, or he's gonna
• 1:17:32
  go over fifteen and it's just gonna look really bad. Is this gonna be
• 1:17:35
  a Kincave game? You know you might have the matchup versatility because you've got
• 1:17:42
  the bigger guy. Is gonna be a James Cook out of the backfield?
• 1:17:45
  I love the touchdown to James Cook against the Chiefs where they got him out
• 1:17:48
  in the backfield vertically. I think the and Shaq says it all the time
• 1:17:55
  on TND is that you need the others to step up in this game.
• 1:18:00
  You need you need somebody outside of Stefan Diggs to create some separation, create
• 1:18:04
  some to win you know, you need some winners outside of Stephan Diggs because
• 1:18:09
  best believe they're gonna know who this ball is going to, and they're probably
• 1:18:12
  gonna put Gilmore on Stefan Diggs, and we know big game Gilmore is nobody
• 1:18:17
  to be messed with. I mean, he took that aj Brown match up
• 1:18:21
  personally, So that's gonna be something that's gonna be watch out for. Is
• 1:18:27
  this gonna have to be a Gabe Davis is gonna be Is it going to
• 1:18:30
  be Dunt Kinkaid trying to win those matchups? Or is this gonna be more
• 1:18:34
  of a Josh Allen. If I don't see it, I'm gonna run.
• 1:18:38
  I think I would lean more on the go Josh Allen berserker mode run because
• 1:18:44
  again, force force them to tackle. It's gonna be cold. Tackling in
• 1:18:48
  the cold sucks, Like that hurts, and I think we kind of we
• 1:18:55
  turned it into a meme because of course, but marshn saying run through an
• 1:18:58
  mf or face like over and that hurts, especially in the cold, Like
• 1:19:02
  no, that that's not fun getting hit in the face, liked It's like
• 1:19:08
  Mike Ties. Everybodys got play until they get punched in the mouth. Yeah,
• 1:19:11
  look, punch him in the mouth, Like, let Josh out get
• 1:19:15
  Josh Allen some runs early in the game. Just see just see how it
• 1:19:18
  responds. Like it's like it's like throwing a jab out there. Heay,
• 1:19:21
  we got this in the book, you know, like how do they respond?
• 1:19:26
  Because if they don't respond well and you get into a passing down,
• 1:19:30
  just take off. I think there's gonna be a big Josh Allen scramble to
• 1:19:33
  keep drives a live game. It's funny that you mentioned like does this have
• 1:19:38
  to be a Gabe Davis game or Dulon Kincaid game of those qualifying wide receivers
• 1:19:45
  or targets in general? I should say, uh, pass catchers in general
• 1:19:48
  against cover one, Gabe Davis is tenth in EPA per target at point five
• 1:19:54
  to six against Stefan Diggs is going back to my notes here, thirty six
• 1:20:00
  at point zero eight. So gave Davis is almost a full half a point
• 1:20:04
  better than Stefan Diggs against Cover one. You want to know, it's also
• 1:20:08
  crazy you know who amongst qualifying UHI or pass catchers, you know who number
• 1:20:14
  one, who's number one in EPA per target against Cover one? Who is
• 1:20:16
  it? CD Lamb? Cool? You know what his EPA per target is
• 1:20:21
  point nine to seven, Oh my god, like coly All and a man
• 1:20:29
  point ninety seven right against Cover one on thirty eight targets. Like, that's
• 1:20:34
  a lot. It's absurd, Like that's what nuts to be that high?
• 1:20:41
  Bro, Like right, Like, what do you like? That's nuts?
• 1:20:44
  Like to be at almost a full point per target on thirty eight targets.
• 1:20:48
  It's not like, oh well he's only got like thirteen targets, that would
• 1:20:50
  still be cool, but no, that's a decent amount of volume. Again,
• 1:20:54
  he's got on the year, he's got one hundred twenty nine targets,
• 1:21:00
  so thirty eight of that, which is a decent chunk, has come against
• 1:21:03
  Cover one and he's averaging point ninety seventy PA per target. Like what do
• 1:21:09
  you do if you think about it like this? The next best person in
• 1:21:14
  that metric is DJ Moore at point ninety five. He has nineteen targets exactly.
• 1:21:19
  It is like half of what the volume CED Lamb is getting. So
• 1:21:25
  I just I want to know what this Bill's team is this and this kind
• 1:21:30
  of goes into the like this kind of goes into the cover one thing,
• 1:21:34
  and of course, like they want you to go to the guy that has
• 1:21:39
  five pick sixes. Is this going to be a goofy Bills game? Is
• 1:21:42
  this going to be a turnover Bill's game? Like, you can't afford to
• 1:21:45
  turn the ball over against this team because they'll score on every drive because they
• 1:21:49
  just did it last week. So if you want to go, like it's
• 1:21:56
  so funny and so interesting, how the Bill's time to tow that line between
• 1:22:00
  chaos and like constraint, because that's kind of a reflection of their quarterback playing
• 1:22:08
  between that playing on that line of chaos and constraint. So I wonder if
• 1:22:13
  the Bills kind of throw costs to the wind and say, screw it,
• 1:22:16
  let's go full chaos mode. You want to bring this you want to bring
• 1:22:19
  this game into the chaos, we can do that. Like, you won't
• 1:22:23
  like it when we go in the chaos mode because nobody, nobody knows what's
• 1:22:28
  about to happen right here. No, not even the Bills. We don't
• 1:22:30
  know, Like we don't know. We're gonna see what happens. We're gonna
• 1:22:32
  go full chout zoo. Like, if you want to chout too this game,
• 1:22:35
  we'll go chout zoo. You don't want to do this the Cowboys.
• 1:22:40
  The Cowboys offense and the Bills. Like the way the Bills want to play
• 1:22:45
  is so much of that Tiger Woods John Daily meme where it's like the Cowboys
• 1:22:49
  are so efficient, they play so well knit, and Josh Allen is throwing
• 1:22:55
  the ball twenty five yards back across his body over the middle of the field
• 1:22:59
  like, hey, it works like you you kind of can't like do anything
• 1:23:03
  about it. So is this going to be a Cowboys game where they play
• 1:23:09
  into that chaos agent that the Bills are or do they want to kind of
• 1:23:14
  constrain that and force them to play within the confines of reality because we've seen
• 1:23:19
  the Bills kind of we've seen the Bills in Josh Allen break reality. Yeah,
• 1:23:25
  with chaos, And I don't think I don't think the Cowboys want that.
• 1:23:30
  I don't think the Cowboys want to play a chaos game. Well,
• 1:23:32
  it's it's so it's just super risk reward. It's that yin and yang of
• 1:23:35
  Josh Allen, like do you like you invite the chaos from him and he
• 1:23:42
  can break you in an instant or he might turn the ball over three times
• 1:23:45
  in three drives and it's like which which one do you get? And I
• 1:23:49
  love that juxtaposition of him and Dak because like Dak is just this buttoned up
• 1:23:54
  and precise like quarterback with everything, and then Josh Allen is like like he's
• 1:23:59
  audition in for like the and one mixtape tour on like every play, just
• 1:24:02
  like like why is he doing that? And it's like, oh cause he
• 1:24:04
  can like it, just does he like? And that's the stuff that really,
• 1:24:09
  like we talked about Michael Parsons like going through dudes and how that takes
• 1:24:13
  your soul. Like those Josh Allen unicorn plays really kill you as a defense
• 1:24:17
  because you've got him like hemmed in and bottled up, and then he just
• 1:24:21
  makes some throw where you're just like, dude like that and that sucks,
• 1:24:27
  Like you can do everything right and then he beats you and you're just like
• 1:24:30
  oh, or he makes some stupid bonehead throw and you pick him off.
• 1:24:32
  You're like, man, I can't believe he tried that throw, and it's
• 1:24:34
  just like which one do you get? And how much of it do you
• 1:24:39
  get? And but again, like and that's why this this team, with
• 1:24:44
  the injuries to Matt Milano, injuries to Daikwon Jones and Trey White, and
• 1:24:47
  everything that's happened on the defensive side of the ball. Why this Bills team
• 1:24:50
  has been so unpredictable this year because even with Ken Dorsey, like this team,
• 1:24:56
  will was gonna go always, will would go as far as Josh Allen
• 1:25:00
  took down. But they had such a good defense that when when healthy,
• 1:25:03
  they are up there in the conversation with you know, the the Eagles defense
• 1:25:08
  and the Niners defense and the Chiefs defense, like the groups that we've seen
• 1:25:11
  like dominate this year, and the Ravens to a degree, like maybe a
• 1:25:13
  tier below. But when you pair that defense with what they had on offense,
• 1:25:16
  it was a true complete football team. And that defense could mitigate that
• 1:25:20
  variance from Josh Allen. But when the defense got banged up and this became
• 1:25:25
  more of a pure offensive team, that's where you saw that unpredictability. Because
• 1:25:29
  you're living and dying with Josh Allen on every single drive, and sometimes he
• 1:25:32
  gives you life and sometimes he kills you. And that's for the Bills or
• 1:25:38
  for the opponent, and you never know which it's gonna be, but usually
• 1:25:42
  you know the risk versus reward. Usually he gives you more reward. But
• 1:25:45
  sometimes it's risk and it's pain over and over for the bills, or it's
• 1:25:49
  paying for the defense you like never know. It's Forrest Gump and life is
• 1:25:53
  a box of chocolate. It's like you don't know what you're gonna get,
• 1:25:56
  and it's chaos. So the funniest thing is fantasy tracks. DVOA now airshots
• 1:26:02
  one of the greatest like football stat sites ever they have. They have a
• 1:26:06
  stat called variants and if, of course one is the most consistent, like
• 1:26:13
  they don't have a lot of variants or total like upheaval and like super positive
• 1:26:17
  plays or super negative plays, and various measures to statistical variants of each weekly
• 1:26:25
  DVOA performance. So one most consistent, most consistent. Thirty two is least
• 1:26:30
  consistent. Do you want to know where the bills are? You know what's
• 1:26:34
  funny is I have the page up, but I didn't want to spoil it
• 1:26:39
  because so I didn't I didn't click and look they have. They are thirtieth.
• 1:26:46
  They they are one of the most high variance teams in the NFL.
• 1:26:51
  Only two teams below them are the Arizona Cardinals and the Cincinnati Bengals, and
• 1:26:58
  you know, this is just that's what they want. They want you to
• 1:27:00
  be like, Oh, we're gonna play that. We're gonna play this chaos
• 1:27:04
  game with them. Let's let's play these cards. You know. It's like
• 1:27:10
  Jesus, oh look, I'm looking at it now. Nineteen point five percent.
• 1:27:15
  They they are the Jekyl and Hide team this year. We're like,
• 1:27:19
  hey, sometimes it's gonna look really, really good. But sometimes it's just
• 1:27:25
  like, man, what are you doing? But that's kind of kind of
• 1:27:30
  the way you want to live and against the team like the Cowboys, who
• 1:27:33
  everything is so buttoned up. Like I said, they want to be on
• 1:27:39
  schedule, just you can take them off schedule with that variance. It's kind
• 1:27:44
  of so I'm sure you've watched Naruto the Drunken Fist Rock Lee. You can't
• 1:27:51
  study the Drunken Fist like you just gotta you gotta try and fight it.
• 1:27:57
  You gotta try and fight it as it happens. But you don't know what
• 1:28:00
  moves are gonna happen. You don't know what you're gonna see flying at you.
• 1:28:02
  You don't know what's gonna happen with this Bills team. So I think
• 1:28:06
  how the Bills kind of toe the line between constraint and chaos between in this
• 1:28:15
  game is going to be a very interesting point as this game the Phillips,
• 1:28:19
  because we could be getting into a point where this game is close, or
• 1:28:25
  we're going into We're going into the game knowing like this is a big game.
• 1:28:28
  We're gonna need Josh Allen to go full super nova mode. And again
• 1:28:32
  we've talked about before, like so that's great. We're giving him the keys
• 1:28:36
  to the car because that's what you want. He is one of the best
• 1:28:40
  quarterbacks in the NFL. You give that guy the keys to the car.
• 1:28:42
  Sometimes that car is gonna end up in a ditch, but like sometimes it's
• 1:28:47
  gonna go flock cruising down the highway. We don't know which game is gonna
• 1:28:51
  be on Sunday, but you kind of got it. You gotta trust them
• 1:28:56
  with it. You gotta trust Josh Allen, trust this Bill's offense to be
• 1:28:59
  like, Okay, we know what the Laknesses are upfront with how light they
• 1:29:03
  are. This might be a Josh Allen kind of battering ram type of game.
• 1:29:08
  I'm kind of reminded of the game against Tampa A couple of years back.
• 1:29:14
  In this we're in the second half, Joe Allen went full like we're
• 1:29:16
  breaking out the run game, the QB power QB pin. Oh, and
• 1:29:20
  that ties back to your point earlier where like they were running RPOs and it
• 1:29:24
  was like forget about the po just it just run run it like this is
• 1:29:28
  this might have to be one of those games yep pin and pole pin and
• 1:29:31
  pole pin and poll QB bash Like yeah, that's where they're hitting it.
• 1:29:34
  And that's also part of the reason why I wanted the Bills to have a
• 1:29:36
  ground game, because I we saw earlier in the year, like when the
• 1:29:42
  Bills would struggle they were trying to box in Josh Allen because you want him
• 1:29:45
  to play with restraint, but also when you do that, you limit some
• 1:29:49
  of what makes him great with that variance play like which brings positives with it,
• 1:29:54
  and it's such a it's such a hard balancing act to allow him to
• 1:29:59
  play with that variants while also trying to make him play efficiently and regulate him,
• 1:30:03
  which is why I wanted the ground games. I felt like a good
• 1:30:06
  run game, whether it was with Josh Allen's legs or the running back ground
• 1:30:11
  game was such a natural variance mitigator, because it was like, we don't
• 1:30:15
  have to worry about him doing anything crazy. Let's just have him hand the
• 1:30:17
  ball off. Oh we're running like six seven yards of pop. Cool,
• 1:30:20
  let's just keep running it. We don't have to even put it in his
• 1:30:23
  hands. Let's give him a rest and then oh cool, the running game's
• 1:30:26
  working. Let's make it easy. Just an RPO. Read that linebacker.
• 1:30:30
  If he comes hit the glance. If not, hand it off, Oh
• 1:30:31
  it's working. Let's just keep working it Like that was that natural variance mitigator.
• 1:30:36
  But if you force it into his hands further, like that's where you're
• 1:30:41
  gonna get it. He might go three hundred and fifty total yards and four
• 1:30:45
  total touchdowns, or he might go three hundred total yards and four turnovers.
• 1:30:48
  Like and that's the risk that you run and if Dallas can force them into
• 1:30:53
  that way, create some sort of turnoverability, man like it just and especially
• 1:30:58
  depending on how it starts off, Like if you get Josh Allen off on
• 1:31:00
  that wrong foot, it gets in his head and like we talked about before,
• 1:31:03
  like he comes back the next play and he's like, Okay, I
• 1:31:06
  got to make up for that interception. All on this one play right now,
• 1:31:10
  and he might throw another one. And then instead of just being like
• 1:31:13
  all right, let me reset, calm down, let's get after it,
• 1:31:15
  he's like, no, now, I got to make up for two interceptions
• 1:31:17
  on the next play. And it's like no, no, no, no,
• 1:31:19
  no no no, and he just he cheese brains it, like you
• 1:31:21
  said the last time, and like you just keep going and going and going.
• 1:31:25
  And against a team that takes the ball away well and that plays aggressively
• 1:31:30
  with their cover one, they are trying to disrupt. They're gonna get physical,
• 1:31:33
  they're gonna tackle you in the open field, like they're gonna come downhill
• 1:31:36
  and play aggressive against you from a coverage standpoint, but also from a front
• 1:31:42
  standpoint, if you allow them to get into that game strip and get comfortable.
• 1:31:45
  We talked so much in this episode about the comfortability for the Cowboys offense,
• 1:31:48
  but it's the same with that defense. If you allow them to get
• 1:31:50
  into a world where it's just like, oh cool, let's just sit and
• 1:31:54
  cover one and rush for and let Parsons do his thing and Lawrence do his
• 1:31:57
  thing. That also obviously works to the voice favor, but it also works
• 1:32:00
  even more in their favor because it puts the Bills in a situation where it
• 1:32:04
  brings more of that negative of Josh Allen out and that chaos builds to a
• 1:32:10
  point where he can't control it, and then it becomes too much variance and
• 1:32:13
  you have no idea what's gonna happen. Yeah, it's gonna be I think
• 1:32:17
  the game flow is going to be huge in this game. I don't know
• 1:32:21
  what exactly the weather is going to be on Sunday, if this is gonna
• 1:32:27
  if this is gonna lean more into a cold like, if this is gonna
• 1:32:30
  be an NFL Films type of football game. Oh, I'd love that where
• 1:32:33
  it's like it's a real it's a December like real cold football game where you're
• 1:32:38
  gonna have to grind it out. I wonder if the Bills kind of just
• 1:32:42
  go all right, let's just run it. Just we're gonna use We're gonna
• 1:32:46
  use the advantages we have with our Kaiju quarterback and just build in the run
• 1:32:51
  game. Just turn the RPOs and the runs, take those read options,
• 1:32:57
  just implement all of them. And it's not saying that because Josh Allen can't
• 1:33:01
  throw in the cold like that's very much not true, but you're playing a
• 1:33:06
  team that wants you to throw the ball on them. They want you to
• 1:33:11
  get into second and long and third and long. Don't give them the chance.
• 1:33:15
  Just hit them in the mouth. Like it's very it's a very simple
• 1:33:18
  thing, like it's it sounds very like simple football brand, like oh,
• 1:33:23
  just hit him, like, no, hit them, Like the defense is
• 1:33:27
  going to slow down, Like that's going to you're gonna think about that like,
• 1:33:30
  dang, I just got hit hard. I don't want to do that
• 1:33:33
  again. If you do that repeatedly throughout the game, each one of those
• 1:33:36
  hits like takes a toll and it wears on you and wears on you and
• 1:33:39
  wears on you, and then you get a different performance late in the third
• 1:33:42
  quarter into the fourth quarter. Yeah, this is gonna have to be a
• 1:33:45
  game where this Cowboys team is in such a rhythm on both sides of the
• 1:33:49
  ball. Yeah, you have to disrupt their rhythm. And what better disruptor?
• 1:33:56
  Like in general, then Josh Allen, he is the is the disruptor
• 1:34:00
  of anything normal on a football field, like he just he just causes chaos,
• 1:34:06
  whether it be because he is the chaos or whether he's playing constrained.
• 1:34:12
  But this is gonna be a This is gonna be such an interesting game to
• 1:34:15
  watch, like through the game tape as it's going live, to see kind
• 1:34:19
  of the to feel that emotion or see how the mood and the game swings
• 1:34:26
  with all the variables that are happening in this game. Yeah, and it's
• 1:34:30
  even like the the last point, like I want to make with that,
• 1:34:32
  Like even on the defensive side of the ball, for the Bills, it's
• 1:34:35
  variance based, Like they get gouged for you know, like on the ground,
• 1:34:40
  like as a good example, like yards per attempt, and they miss
• 1:34:43
  tackles and they have broken tackles and like they're league leaders in terms of yards
• 1:34:46
  after contact per attempt, like all these poor things that are also great at
• 1:34:50
  creating negative plays and they're also great at like stuff percentage and hit it the
• 1:34:55
  line percentage. Like everything is variance based. Like if you run the ball
• 1:34:57
  against the Bills, it's either gonna be like second in twelve or it's gonna
• 1:35:00
  be second and three because they're just coming after you. They're one gap penetrating
• 1:35:03
  coming forward and that's what you get with like Josh Allen, like in the
• 1:35:06
  Bills offense, they're either putting up like thirty nine and forty and it's beautiful,
• 1:35:12
  or they're slugging their way to like an inefficient twenty that looked ugly and
• 1:35:17
  hard, and that's what it is. It's usually one of the other.
• 1:35:20
  There's no like, oh, all right, twenty eight points and we got
• 1:35:24
  there. No, it's either like they boat raised somebody or they struggled and
• 1:35:27
  they got caught in a slog and it's such a good, like you said,
• 1:35:30
  a good juxtaposition in this game, because the Bills are this variants team
• 1:35:34
  that home run or strikeout, like that's what we're doing to the Cowboys are
• 1:35:39
  like, you know what, Now, we're gonna hit a couple of singles
• 1:35:41
  and hit a double here and there. We're gonna sacrifice this guy over to
• 1:35:44
  third and then we'll bring him in after that and then maybe we'll try to
• 1:35:46
  hit a home run later where we're probably still gonna play it and say we're
• 1:35:48
  gonna play good defense. We're gonna pitch and paint the black and hit the
• 1:35:51
  corners. And the Bills are like, nah, bro, we're throwing one
• 1:35:55
  hundred and two every single time. Maybe we'll throw a curveball and then we're
• 1:35:59
  trying to at the plate left and right, and it's such a good juxtaposition
• 1:36:03
  of who the two quarterbacks are, who the teams are defensively offensively, like,
• 1:36:08
  as a football fan, this is gonna be a really fun game,
• 1:36:11
  like schematically, and then all the good players you have on both sides of
• 1:36:14
  the ball. Like, man, I'm juiced up for it and also extremely
• 1:36:17
  paranoid and nervous and ready like I'm about to throw up, Like but yeah,
• 1:36:20
  just the football side. The more I've done, like the podcasting stuff,
• 1:36:25
  the fan in me kind of gets quelled a little bit by just the
• 1:36:28
  overall football fan. I'm just so excited for this game. And this is
• 1:36:31
  when I kind of had marked earlier in the year and a lot of people
• 1:36:33
  were like, no, the Cowboys are gonna be shitty. The Cowboys are
• 1:36:35
  gonna be shitty, and I was like, okay. And when they lost
• 1:36:39
  to Arizona, which knocked me out of my survivor pool, and then also
• 1:36:43
  faltered against San Francisco, I was like, okay, But like you said,
• 1:36:45
  since San fran they've really really turned it around in terms of who they
• 1:36:50
  are, and they come into Buffalo hot and we're gonna see what we can
• 1:36:54
  get. JP, this has been tremendous. You and I went super long
• 1:36:58
  and I didn't even realize it. Like I literally looked up at the clock
• 1:37:01
  like ten minutes ago and I was like I wanted twenty five, Like whoa.
• 1:37:04
  So I hope I didn't keep you long. But this is awesome as
• 1:37:06
  hell, like every time sitting down and talking ball with you and x's and
• 1:37:10
  o's and stats and metrics and all that stuff, like you've in a short
• 1:37:15
  time become one of my favorite guests. So I appreciate you taking the time.
• 1:37:17
  I know it was a bit last minute, like I'm always horrible with
• 1:37:20
  like setting things up, So I appreciate you taking the time, joining me,
• 1:37:25
  going along with me. Here. You crushed it. The floor is
• 1:37:27
  yours, plug, whatever you got. I appreciate the hell out of you.
• 1:37:30
  No, this was awesome. Thanks for having me. I always love
• 1:37:32
  coming on because I know I can bring in references to anime so pro wrestling
• 1:37:36
  and just talk about ball all the time. Of course, like you said,
• 1:37:41
  getting of the show, I'm a writer for XP Nation covering the NFL
• 1:37:45
  College football NFL Draft basically wherever football is being played. I'm probably gonna be
• 1:37:51
  tweeting about it, gonna be on threads talking about it. Have a pretty
• 1:37:56
  cool piece coming out tomorrow. I kind of hinted that earlier, just talking
• 1:38:00
  about kind of the general a general trend I've seen in the NFL when it
• 1:38:03
  comes to motion and how some of the top teams that use motion at snap
• 1:38:08
  used in different ways. So that's gonna be a pretty cool story. I
• 1:38:12
  was really excited working on it and I was like, man, this looks
• 1:38:14
  really cool. Of course, established the fun Every Friday, it's my column.
• 1:38:18
  I write about anything that I find fun in football, whether it be
• 1:38:21
  players, scheme, games, just things that I think are really cool in
• 1:38:27
  football, whether it be you know, I could be writing about XFL,
• 1:38:30
  UFL, maybe USFL, you know, you know they merge a little bit.
• 1:38:34
  Maybe I'll write about Maybe I'll write about Canadian Football League. If somebody
• 1:38:38
  drops all twenty two for Canadian football, I will find it. I'll find
• 1:38:42
  it there, but just follow me on social media. At Acosta thirty two
• 1:38:46
  Underscore JP Jpacosta thirty two on Threads. But again, this is awesome.
• 1:38:51
  I always enjoy coming on because I know we're going to talk so long and
• 1:38:55
  we're gonna have so much fun. Bro, I had a blast. You
• 1:38:58
  crushed it. I'm going to power on and break down some Joe Brady game
• 1:39:01
  tape and some stuff from this game against the Chiefs, but enjoy the rest
• 1:39:05
  of your Tuesday night. Again, you crushed it. As always. I
• 1:39:09
  appreciate the halia, thanks for taking the time, and yeah, godspeed,
• 1:39:12
  I see you later. Man, one of my favorite guests every time.
• 1:39:18
  Just awesome, awesome, awesome, dude, let's throw up the over late
• 1:39:24
  there. Want to grab this carmic coming from Carl one. Carl, thank
• 1:39:27
  you for being here and thinking for the super Jack Carl says, I realize
• 1:39:29
  you are both stack geeks, but how much can you rely on stats?
• 1:39:32
  And the bills look totally different after the swap from Dorset to Brady so one,
• 1:39:38
  I do use a lot of stats in advanced metrics, but I'm a
• 1:39:40
  film guy first and foremost, both here on the show and in the film
• 1:39:43
  room with Eric Wednesdays at seven pm. Nice plug. I don't think.
• 1:39:46
  I do think there are different wrinkles and elements to this Bill's offense under Joe
• 1:39:50
  Brady. I'm gonna pull up some of them right now as we get into
• 1:39:53
  the tape, I don't think the bills look totally different after the swap from
• 1:39:58
  Dorset to Brady. Again, there are different elements and wrinkles, like the
• 1:40:00
  motion, the four strong formations, some of the option route pieces are still
• 1:40:05
  present. Dorsey is using different window dressings and scheming things a bit differently for
• 1:40:11
  sure, Like it's not the same offense completely, But I don't think it
• 1:40:15
  looks totally different. I don't think you're looking at some brand new offense,
• 1:40:17
  and I don't think that's a knock against Brady. I think it's just the
• 1:40:20
  time at where you are, like, you're not gonna get this far in
• 1:40:24
  the season, get a new offensive coordinator, uninstall the old offense, and
• 1:40:29
  then install a new one. Like that's just not gonna happen. So Dorsey,
• 1:40:33
  I'm sorry. So Brady has to dance with a lot of what you
• 1:40:38
  know, Ken Dorsey brought to the dance already. But he's just dressing it
• 1:40:42
  up a little bit again with some of the motion pieces, some of the
• 1:40:45
  four strong concepts. Like what he's doing to dress concepts up and or lock
• 1:40:49
  some more things in place is different than than what Dorsey is doing, But
• 1:40:54
  I don't think the offense looks totally different. There are differences, yes,
• 1:40:58
  but totally different is too strong a verbage for me. But I recognize the
• 1:41:02
  notion in thought, especially from a points perspective and sometimes ease of operation.
• 1:41:06
  You look at the Bills offense and see what they did against the Jets and
• 1:41:09
  see what they did against the Eagles, and it's like, man, like,
• 1:41:12
  this offense seems brand new. They're just hitting on things a little different.
• 1:41:15
  Also, some of it is also tied to and not to give like
• 1:41:19
  Dorsey a pass or knock Brady at all. Some of it is just tied
• 1:41:23
  to Josh Allen's playing better, like Josh Allen has gone back to making Josh
• 1:41:27
  Allen plays. Whether or not that can be tied to Joe Brady and by
• 1:41:30
  how much that's open for debate, but a lot of it goes on to
• 1:41:34
  that piece. But thank you Carl for the super chat. And yeah,
• 1:41:36
  like you said, for sure, it's the same playbook, but it's being
• 1:41:39
  called differently. Yeah, I think the sequencing is different the players that he's
• 1:41:43
  utilizing. So for me, schematically, I still think it's similar. But
• 1:41:46
  exactly your point, there's a different rhythm and sequencing to what Joe Brady is
• 1:41:49
  doing. Again, even some of the player usage right like Ty Johnson was
• 1:41:54
  a non factor. And I know that's not world changing, but it's those
• 1:41:57
  little things like the insertion of Ty Johnson is a good microcosm for the differences
• 1:42:00
  under Brady. Does that change the integrity of the offense? No, not
• 1:42:03
  really, but it has a different effect and a different impact, and that's
• 1:42:08
  what Brady is doing. Different turnings of different dials, different buttons being pushed,
• 1:42:12
  and more importantly when he's turning those dials, when he's pushing those buttons,
• 1:42:16
  and the sequencing of all of it. So I think that's a good
• 1:42:18
  point, Carl, and I appreciate you for it. As I mentioned earlier,
• 1:42:23
  as we start to switch segments, now, if you haven't already,
• 1:42:26
  please please please and think you drop alike on this video. It goes as
• 1:42:29
  sincerely long way to its helping myself in the entire team to track and trend
• 1:42:30
  in front of more eyes and ears. So if you have not already,
• 1:42:34
  please please please and think you drop alike on this video myself and the entire
• 1:42:40
  brand. Again, it helps the video and the channel to track and trend
• 1:42:43
  in front of more eyes and ears. So whether you're watching live now or
• 1:42:45
  listen or watching later on YouTube, here, please drop alike on this video
• 1:42:48
  if you would be so kind. I'm going to share my screen now,
• 1:42:54
  and actually I'll bring up the banner real quick so we know what we are
• 1:42:58
  doing, so peace. I want to talk about is four strong formations under
• 1:43:02
  mister Joe Brady. And to do that, we are going to share the
• 1:43:08
  screen here and let's look at some tape. Let's look up some tape.
• 1:43:15
  Okay, so Joe Brady and actually that's not even spelled correctly, and four
• 1:43:21
  strong I don't like the way that was titled. There you go, four
• 1:43:25
  strong formations. Boom, Sorry manal for the banners. Okay, So,
• 1:43:29
  like I mentioned, four strong formation pieces. So all the four strong formation
• 1:43:33
  is is four eligible receivers to one side of the field and one to the
• 1:43:39
  opposite side of the field. So if we're looking at this play right here
• 1:43:42
  that I have queued up, you see you have four to the top running
• 1:43:45
  back in the backfield and then trips bunch right in front of them. Stefon
• 1:43:48
  Diggs at the bottom of your screen is the one. So there's literally four
• 1:43:53
  eligibles to one side, one eligible to the opposite side, and the whole
• 1:43:57
  piece or the benefit of what you get from a four strong formation is they
• 1:44:01
  really have the ability to mess with the defense's ability to distribute routes and and
• 1:44:05
  or space routes properly. You can pull or drain coverage versus zone, you
• 1:44:11
  can create traffic versus man. Overall, you stress the communication. Overall,
• 1:44:16
  you stress the communication and coverage rules for a defense. Again, they're spacing
• 1:44:21
  their ability to distribute the routes. You're stressing them by putting all these players
• 1:44:26
  into these zones and again stressing zone coverage and man coverage as well. First
• 1:44:31
  play that we have queued up here for the Buffalo Bills. So I got
• 1:44:36
  some ironically, one, two, three, four plays here to show for
• 1:44:40
  the four strong formations that Brady used in this game. He did some of
• 1:44:43
  it against the Philadelphia Eagles. It's something he's tapped into a little bit.
• 1:44:46
  He's been successful with it in terms of generating openings for Josh Allen and giving
• 1:44:50
  him some easy buttons. So the first play here is early on in this
• 1:44:56
  game for the Buffalo Bills. It is at six minutes and twenty eight seconds
• 1:45:00
  in the first quarter. What you're gonna get I have Regie Gillium highlighted there
• 1:45:04
  in the backfield, and then I have Willie Gay highlighted for the Kansas City
• 1:45:09
  Chiefs linebacker at the second level. You're gonna get Regie Gillium return motion technically
• 1:45:15
  like a return orbit motion, as he's gonna go around Allen and James Cook.
• 1:45:17
  And when you get that return motion, what that does is as I
• 1:45:21
  start to play the video here so you can get this return motion Regie Gillium,
• 1:45:26
  So there he goes to that side and watches the orbits back around.
• 1:45:30
  So return motion is normally just like if you come this way and then let
• 1:45:32
  me undo that switch the little thing. Either. Return motion is normally just
• 1:45:36
  like if you come this way and then go back this way. Because Reggie
• 1:45:40
  Gillium like comes this way and then returns this way, but goes around,
• 1:45:43
  calling it like a return orbit motion. But again let's hit play. There
• 1:45:46
  there goes Reggie Gilliam, See boom, pops it back out in that return
• 1:45:50
  orbit fashion. That return motion it forces a defense to transfer a player multiple
• 1:45:57
  times, make multiple adjustments. It can also create fridge foreign offense and if
• 1:46:00
  you see, like just watch the defense react to Reggie Gillium, like they
• 1:46:04
  bump and they shift with him. Willy Gay widens out and then Willy Gay
• 1:46:08
  has to go back and he starts communicating right. So that's the example of
• 1:46:11
  you know, forcing the defense to transfer a player multiple times, like they
• 1:46:15
  bump left and then they have to go back, they communicate, they adjust.
• 1:46:17
  I highlighted Willy Gay because he is the defender that gets put into conflict
• 1:46:21
  here. He's going to vacate his area. Dawson Knox is going to replace
• 1:46:26
  him. The whole idea with what this motion does and the four strong formation
• 1:46:30
  is it makes the passing window wider for Josh Allen and gives him a simple,
• 1:46:34
  easy decision. You also see Nick Bolton at that second level to the
• 1:46:39
  top of mister Willy Gay who's highlighted. He gets influenced as well. What
• 1:46:43
  you're gonna end up getting is the Kansas City Chiefs with four defenders over two
• 1:46:46
  for the Buffalo Bills and then an easy aspect inside for mister Dawson Knox.
• 1:46:53
  So boom, there goes Regie Gilliam. I'm gonna slow it down. Willy
• 1:46:57
  Gay immediately you see him highlighted here. He's immediately calling out Reggie Gillium going
• 1:47:00
  outside, He's pointing, he's yelling everything. Watch the Chiefs defense shift with
• 1:47:05
  it. And then Dawson Knox is wide open. So Willy Gay goes to
• 1:47:12
  the right and eventually so I know Cook is out here too, So one
• 1:47:15
  to two three Bills players. Willy Gay was going this way, so I'm
• 1:47:18
  gonna count him as one, two, three, four, So you basically
• 1:47:21
  have four over three and then you have a vacated spot for Dawson Knox again,
• 1:47:27
  So just watch Willy Gay, watch him flow to the football and follow
• 1:47:31
  Reggie Gillium. We'll not flow to the football, flow with Reggie Gilliam's motion,
• 1:47:34
  and watch him vacate a spot. Easy. And that's all you're doing.
• 1:47:40
  You're influencing the defense, making them transfer a player multiple times with that
• 1:47:44
  return orbit motion from Reggie Gilliam vacating a space. And again, this is
• 1:47:49
  a simple little tweak that we've seen Joe Brady do more pre snap motion,
• 1:47:54
  more making the defense have to communicate and adjust in real time. We're on
• 1:47:59
  the floor. I creates the opportunities for mistakes, and what you get here
• 1:48:01
  Willy Gave vacates his zone falls down. Dawson Knox is wide open. Show
• 1:48:06
  it to you from the end zone angle. So that's Nick Bolton highlighted there,
• 1:48:11
  number thirty two. Here's Willy Gay number fifty. This is Reggie Gilliams
• 1:48:14
  already come in motion here. Now he's about to orbit back around. You
• 1:48:17
  can see the effect here, like look at Bolton and Willy Gay both communicating
• 1:48:23
  and pointing to the right like they are seeing that motion. They are honoring
• 1:48:27
  that motion. They think the ball is going that way. Willy Gay is
• 1:48:30
  literally Willy Gay is literally like pointing and yelling boom boom boom boom boom.
• 1:48:39
  And watch how hard he goes with that motion and skirt has the brakes on,
• 1:48:43
  wipes out, like look at that passing window, like this is absolutely
• 1:48:45
  gorgeous for Josh Allen. And again if we look from that sideline angle,
• 1:48:53
  this is where that four strong concept comes in. So this one is nice
• 1:48:55
  because it's the motion tied with the four strong concept. You have defenders flooding
• 1:49:00
  this area because they have to honor the one, the two, the three,
• 1:49:03
  and the four. Like it's as much as you know JP talked about
• 1:49:06
  earlier. Like offenses spacing and angles and geometry. Sometimes defense is just math
• 1:49:11
  against the run and against the past. And if you have that many potential
• 1:49:15
  eligibles to one side, you have to throw more bodies out there, which
• 1:49:19
  commits more to that side, which gives you the opportunity to influence those defenders.
• 1:49:25
  Bring somebody back against the grain into this open window, and then you
• 1:49:29
  have all this space here because there's only one eligible to this side. Boom,
• 1:49:35
  Really nice again, play from the end zone angle. Just look at
• 1:49:39
  that second level. Get influenced. Simple Boom, also want to pull.
• 1:49:45
  So this is Willie Gay. This is from the other angle like you.
• 1:49:48
  I just wanted to highlight this because you can see him right there briefly,
• 1:49:54
  like he's looking and he's saying like ah damn man, like he knows like
• 1:49:59
  they got got like they got fooled. And it's just like those little nuances
• 1:50:02
  like this is when you know you're kind of really clicking, like you're fulling
• 1:50:04
  defenders, you're creating easy buttons for your offense. This is a nice job
• 1:50:10
  from mister Joe Brady. Now let's go show another play for Buffalo bills.
• 1:50:15
  Here another four strong option for the Bills. This is roughly what it turns
• 1:50:20
  into. This is the touchdown to James Cook, It's roughly like a four
• 1:50:24
  by one again for strong formation, all go half back seam. You're gonna
• 1:50:29
  get Trenchurefield, who highlighted there for the Bills. You're gonna get him going
• 1:50:32
  across the formation in a fly or jet motion. He's gonna have two roles
• 1:50:38
  on this play. One he's gonna cause the safety Mike Edwards, who I
• 1:50:41
  have highlighted as well. It's gonna cause Mike Edwards to spin down. And
• 1:50:45
  then the other function that he has is he's just gonna stay in that underneath
• 1:50:48
  area in the flat. He's gonna become the checked out if needed. So
• 1:50:51
  we're gonna start with this piece again. What do we have here? Cook,
• 1:50:57
  Kincaid, Gabe Davis. So we've got three to the side right,
• 1:51:00
  a little bit of a different look pre snap and then post snap from the
• 1:51:03
  previous one we saw. The previous four strong formation was more in a bunch.
• 1:51:06
  Look now we have a different alignment, different formation, but the idea
• 1:51:11
  is still the same because a four strong formation just means you have four eligibles
• 1:51:15
  to one side. Transhurefield goes in motion. Now again another motion piece,
• 1:51:20
  another window dressing, another opportunity to create leverage and out leverage the defense,
• 1:51:27
  or give them some misdirection, give them some eye candy, at the very
• 1:51:30
  least, something else for them to think about and adjust to on the fly.
• 1:51:34
  Multiple benefits of having motion, real leverage, real separation, opportunity,
• 1:51:41
  real ability to put the defense in a bind or at the very least give
• 1:51:44
  them something to look at, think about, create some sort of hesitation in
• 1:51:47
  what they are doing processing or physical movement. There go Shutfield. Now,
• 1:51:54
  this is what's also nice and nice benefit about this play is it's being run
• 1:51:57
  into a blitz. Trent McDuffie is going to come off the lot. So
• 1:52:00
  the fact that they run for strong into the blitz like somebody's going to be
• 1:52:03
  open and there's a lot of potential options for Josh Allen. Another piece that
• 1:52:08
  I really love about this is the initial line alignment. Here. I'm gonna
• 1:52:13
  go here, so we take off the numbers. Dalton Kinkaid is the two,
• 1:52:15
  James Cook is the three. For those who don't know basically what you
• 1:52:19
  do on offense, well, from a defensive perspective, offensive two. You
• 1:52:23
  number the eligibles outside in, so Gabe Davis is one, Kinkaid is two,
• 1:52:30
  James Cook is three. On this side, Surefield is one, Dawson
• 1:52:33
  Knox's two, like you're just going outside in. So right now, Kinkaid
• 1:52:38
  is the two, James Cook is the three. On the snap, Kinkaid's
• 1:52:42
  going to come inside and Cook's going to come here, so they're gonna flip
• 1:52:46
  roles. Kinkaid, who is the two, becomes the three, and James
• 1:52:49
  Cook, who is the three, essentially becomes the two. And what that
• 1:52:55
  does is on the snap as we go here, watch Okay, so we
• 1:52:59
  got that blitz from mcduffy. He comes through Kinkaid becoming the three and going
• 1:53:03
  inside changes Nick Bolton's responsibility right here. So Nick Bolton has to honor Dalton
• 1:53:12
  Kinkaid, so he goes to reroute Dalton Kinkaid. He's on Kinkaid. Now
• 1:53:16
  we talked about earlier Mike Edwards. Mike Edwards comes spinning up or spinning down,
• 1:53:23
  I should say, because he sees that motion. All his momentum is
• 1:53:27
  carrying him forward. So the same route from Cook works against Edwards because he's
• 1:53:31
  coming forward with that momentum is he spins down to honor the jet motion,
• 1:53:35
  so he's spinning down while Cook is flying upfield on the scene. And then
• 1:53:41
  we get a really quick and good decision from Josh Allen. He hits it
• 1:53:44
  immediately before the defense can even react or just watch this all play out in
• 1:53:48
  real time. There go Srfield, Kin, Kay goes inside, Edwards spins
• 1:53:54
  down, Boom wide open, and the nice little summersault into the end zone.
• 1:53:58
  Again, all these pieces the motion that creates the opportunity for leverage.
• 1:54:02
  And again let's highlight Shurefield here like I mentioned, because he is that checkdown
• 1:54:08
  option. Like if all else fails, Alan can just chuck it down here,
• 1:54:12
  Like if everybody sits and stays and they distribute this correctly, cool,
• 1:54:15
  you've got somebody wide open underneath in a no cover zone. But again what
• 1:54:18
  happens. Edwards comes spinning down so hard and he starts to try and slam
• 1:54:24
  on the brakes here but he can't, and Cook is already by him.
• 1:54:27
  And then on the inside, Bolton is relating to Kincaid, so he's occupied
• 1:54:32
  with Kincaid, and as he's occupied with Kincaid, and as Edwards is spinning
• 1:54:38
  down because of the jet motion or that fly motion. Cook just runs between
• 1:54:42
  both of them on that scene. Tuddy, beautiful the timing again, we'll
• 1:54:49
  running in a real time one more time. Good timing, good design.
• 1:54:56
  We talked about a bunch on the show and in the film room with Joe
• 1:54:59
  Brady's ability to get his running backs involved as primary options in a pass or
• 1:55:03
  just as a natural part of the progression in the route. Distribution is more
• 1:55:06
  than just a check down receiver. Here's another example of that. Again,
• 1:55:11
  great design, and again we get, similar to the first play, we
• 1:55:14
  have motion leading to a for strong formation, which again, for strong formations
• 1:55:18
  they mess with the defense's ability to distribute routes or space them properly. You're
• 1:55:25
  pulling coverage or draining coverage versus zone. You can create traffic versus man.
• 1:55:29
  Overall the whole premise, you are stressing communication and coverage rules for a defense,
• 1:55:34
  and that's what you get a little bit here. You know, Nick
• 1:55:36
  Bolton has to relate to the new number three, which is Dalton, Kincaid
• 1:55:41
  Edwards Cobes flying up too much over the top and they get gouched. Great
• 1:55:45
  play, great call from Joe Brady, great execution, from the offense.
• 1:55:50
  Now another for strong formation from the Bills in this game, but it ends
• 1:55:58
  up being a run. So I have James Cook highlighted there, so Cook
• 1:56:00
  is gonna shift right before the snap to the left side of Josh Allen,
• 1:56:04
  which will then make it a four strong because we've got our three here,
• 1:56:09
  We've got James Cook over here, so that I'll have making it four right
• 1:56:12
  now, we basically got like a three by two, not technically a three
• 1:56:15
  by one with a Cook in the backfield. But again, if we're going
• 1:56:16
  with this numbering thing one, two, three, and then out here,
• 1:56:20
  you've got one and then two, So you've got a three by one with
• 1:56:26
  Cook and a gun look next to Josh Allen. You're gonna get a run
• 1:56:30
  this time instead of a pass. But again, the whole premise this four
• 1:56:32
  strong look and the Bills continuing to run it different options, different variations.
• 1:56:36
  Right the first play we showed came from an initial bunch. We got that
• 1:56:41
  return orbit motion. Second time was more of exploded formation. We got a
• 1:56:45
  jet or fly motion that led to the four by one and then Cook coming
• 1:56:48
  out of the backfield on a switch with Kincaid that created that you know,
• 1:56:54
  jet all go half back singing type of look play call. Now it's just
• 1:56:58
  a run. So again, my whole point in one hour show here is
• 1:57:00
  this four strong formation works in the past, but you can also just run
• 1:57:03
  the ball out of it. And the Bills find success on this one.
• 1:57:06
  So it's a run this time instead of a pass. Watch Cook shift here,
• 1:57:11
  boom. Now it's a four strong because we've got four eligibles to one
• 1:57:15
  side. So its falls in this category. And the big thing I want
• 1:57:17
  to highlight here is just the run execution. And if folks watch this show
• 1:57:23
  enough, you know I am a fan of running the football and I think
• 1:57:25
  it's important for this team. I want you to watch from the end zone
• 1:57:29
  angle here, mister George Carloft is number fifty six off the left edge,
• 1:57:32
  but on the right here on your screen, watches he reads the mesh in
• 1:57:38
  the backfield from Josh Allen, and that mesh holds George car loftis and that
• 1:57:44
  hesitation is the reason that he can't get to James Cook. This is some
• 1:57:46
  of the benefit we're starting to see starting to see with this offense is Josh
• 1:57:50
  Allen starts to run a little bit more either by scrambles or with the design
• 1:57:55
  runs as his legs become more of a legitimate threat. Defenses have to honor
• 1:58:00
  that threat and they get caught in conflict at times. So here's mister George
• 1:58:03
  Carlofti's number fifty six. Watch he comes down. He has to read what's
• 1:58:08
  going on. He displays that surf technique. He's trying to read the mesh
• 1:58:11
  point. Cook already has the ball, but he broke down and he just
• 1:58:15
  had to make sure. Now he reads, but look at his angle is
• 1:58:18
  off. His timing is off just because of that hesitation. Instead of getting
• 1:58:21
  cooked in front of his face and more into his shoulder, he's grasping at
• 1:58:26
  his backside and can't get anything. And then Edwards is forced to make a
• 1:58:30
  play at the second level. Watch it from this angle. Here is mister
• 1:58:33
  George carloftis again, watch it in real time as to honor the mesh point.
• 1:58:40
  Oh and that slight hesitation, look at the angle. If he doesn't
• 1:58:43
  have to honor that, he's able to get more out in front and is
• 1:58:45
  able to take Cook. And especially with Josh Allen's legs paired with a running
• 1:58:48
  back like James Cook who has that speed who has that juice. If you
• 1:58:54
  hesitate against the James Cook, he's gonna burn you because his speed changes angles
• 1:58:59
  and if you're not on point, he's gonna blow by it. And that's
• 1:59:01
  what it is here. Carloftis is just a half step too slow because he
• 1:59:05
  had to hesitate and honor Josh Allen as a runner. And look where he's
• 1:59:10
  trying to get James Cook. He's grasping both arms out extended instead of being
• 1:59:14
  in front and get more of a shoulder into Cook's shoulder or shoulder into the
• 1:59:17
  torso or thighs or just getting a solid grasp. He can't. And that's
• 1:59:21
  all because again at that mesh point. So here's mister George Carloftis. Let's
• 1:59:26
  watch that, watch that mesh boom. See he's sitting, his eyes are
• 1:59:30
  on it. He's trying. Okay, is Alan keeping it? No,
• 1:59:33
  he's not cool. It's a run. Uh oh. And I got the
• 1:59:38
  grasping it air. Also another point I wanted to highlight on this run.
• 1:59:42
  Mister Osirius Torrance and mister Spencer Brown. Look at the wall that they create
• 1:59:46
  for James Cook on this play, just completely sealed off beautiful helps Cook get
• 1:59:56
  to the second level. Watching from this side again Torrence and Spencer Brown go
• 2:00:00
  in real time. Look at that nice double team work to the second level
• 2:00:04
  on Chanal. That's a great job their double team, and Chris Jones Chanal
• 2:00:10
  declares Torrens comes off of him, Climbs gets that paw on the outside,
• 2:00:15
  turns him, seals him. Really good job from them to create in that
• 2:00:19
  wall and helping to create that alley. And then also another good job Mitch
• 2:00:24
  Morse here at center. Watch the slight punch that he gives to ninety three
• 2:00:30
  boom right there that helps turn him and allows McGovern to turn and seal him.
• 2:00:36
  So that help from Mitch Morse is what creates the seal. Here we
• 2:00:40
  talked about Torrens and Brown on the other side help creating the seal, and
• 2:00:44
  then Dawkins wrapping around on that tackle rap slash dark play. We have a
• 2:00:46
  really nice alley way for Cook like as a running back. All jokes aside,
• 2:00:50
  when you're going through the hole, you want to see the backside of
• 2:00:54
  your offensive lineman because you know that that alley, that that hole is sealed,
• 2:00:58
  and that's what you got there. That's beautiful. Get a backside there
• 2:01:00
  backside there, and then Mitch Morse came through and after he helped with this
• 2:01:05
  feed block right here, climbs to the second level, gets a piece of
• 2:01:11
  Nick Bolton, allows Cook to help get by him, and again nice twelve
• 2:01:15
  yard game on second and ten. So another successful aspect and option out of
• 2:01:19
  a four strong look, this time a run instead of a pass, but
• 2:01:25
  success nonetheless. Now let's go to our last play here. Okay, got
• 2:01:31
  Reggie Gillium highlighted there. This is another one with a Reggie Gillium return orbit
• 2:01:35
  motion. Again similar to what we had on the very first play we showed
• 2:01:39
  right, we had a three by one bunch. Look, Reggie Gilliam's gonna
• 2:01:43
  come over here and then he's gonna do the return orbit motion. He's gonna
• 2:01:45
  come back this way around Allen and around Cook. But this time the linebackers
• 2:01:51
  of the second level don't move with him. So Willie Gay and Nick Bolton,
• 2:01:56
  both of these guys right here, this time they don't go with Reggie
• 2:01:59
  Gillium. And this is where you have a nice wrinkle at a nice tweak
• 2:02:02
  from Joe Brady. He's gonna include a fake toss on this one, and
• 2:02:08
  that is what moves Bolton, that is what moves Willy Gay, and that
• 2:02:12
  allows them to both vacate their spot Dawson Knox to clear them and being able
• 2:02:15
  to work into the voided space. So remember that first play we showed,
• 2:02:20
  right, Bolton and Willy Gay were communicating, they were bumping, they were
• 2:02:24
  pushing. Gilliam went on that orbit motion, on that return orbit motion,
• 2:02:28
  Willy Gay went with it, tried to put on the brakes, slipped,
• 2:02:31
  fell wide open for Dawson Knox. Right, there's Reggie. Gilliam goes across
• 2:02:35
  up here, he comes on the return and look at you see some of
• 2:02:39
  the communication. Like Nick Bolton is already talking to Leo Chanal. He's telling
• 2:02:43
  Shanal to bump. So Bolton got the handout. He's talking to Shanal and
• 2:02:47
  you watch remember again that first time Bolton bumped, Willy Gay bumped, and
• 2:02:51
  it created all this space here right, Not this time Bolton has Chanal bump.
• 2:02:59
  Willy Gay and Bolton stay in the center, even though Gilliam's got that
• 2:03:01
  motion going to the side. But so they're both staying in their ground at
• 2:03:05
  that second level. Right, Watch the impact the fake toss has so Allan's
• 2:03:10
  gonna get this ball. He's gonna fake toss it here to cook. Watch
• 2:03:13
  the action from Bolton, watch the action from Willy Gay, because again this
• 2:03:17
  is all designed to get them out of that spot. They go with that
• 2:03:19
  fake toss and what happens. There goes mister Dawson Knox right into that avoided
• 2:03:26
  space, very similar to that first play we show right, but the first
• 2:03:30
  play, the motion, that natural return orbit motion from Gilliam is what drew
• 2:03:36
  Bolton and specifically Willy Gay out of their space. So there goes the orbit
• 2:03:41
  motion, right, but they're not flying with it. They're sitting They're staying
• 2:03:45
  at home because they know what happened the first time they've adjusted. That's why
• 2:03:48
  Chanall is going to be the one to bump out so they can maintain leverage.
• 2:03:53
  So they're sitting there, staying, they're staying home. But then here
• 2:03:56
  comes the toss and it gets them both out and there's Dawson Knox wide open.
• 2:04:03
  Nice little wrinkle from Joe Brady taking something that worked earlier, showing a
• 2:04:08
  very similar look and using this is that whole like I know what, you
• 2:04:13
  know what I know type of thing, showing that similar look and anticipating.
• 2:04:16
  Okay, they're gonna know this is coming. Let's add this little wrinkle to
• 2:04:19
  make sure they clear out that space again. Bolton, Willie Gay. You
• 2:04:25
  see Bolton already starting to communicate to Shanal. He's telling him like, chill,
• 2:04:29
  okay, bump out. We showed it on the other angle too.
• 2:04:32
  But also, you know you're nice. You get that like kind of that
• 2:04:36
  false pull from Osiris Torrance here that helps sell that run action as the front
• 2:04:44
  like reads that flash of color. Nice fake from Cook and from Josh Allen
• 2:04:50
  like Cook his hands up, he's horizontal, he's taking that skip step like
• 2:04:54
  cool, give me the ball. Look at the eyes on Alan, eyes
• 2:04:59
  on Cook, they're read and run. Plus they know the motion went to
• 2:05:01
  that side. So the thought is, Okay, Reggie william is going to
• 2:05:03
  be a lead blocker. Nope, wide open again, look at Ali or
• 2:05:11
  the passing window. I should say for Alan to hit Dawson, Knox could
• 2:05:15
  put him on a little bit more instead of leading him out in front and
• 2:05:18
  kind of out into the hit there from Justin Reid. But that's fine.
• 2:05:24
  It's football again, very similar to the first play, but the wrinkle on
• 2:05:28
  this one is the fake toss to Cook. That is what moves Nick Bolton,
• 2:05:31
  and that is what moves Willie Gay, Whereas the first time Brady called
• 2:05:34
  this, it was just that natural motion that caused them to move. So
• 2:05:38
  this is good building upon something, building upon a concept and a formation,
• 2:05:43
  using the defense's anticipated adjustment against them to create a wide open look and an
• 2:05:48
  easy button for Josh Allen. I expect to continue to see these types of
• 2:05:54
  plays from the Bills offense under Joe Brady. You know these four strong concepts,
• 2:05:59
  aren't you unique to the Bills. They're popular in today's NFL. So
• 2:06:02
  it's nice to see Brady kind of pushing this button to give that easy button
• 2:06:08
  to Josh Allen and this Bill's offense. Again that for strong formation, it
• 2:06:11
  can look and feel different. You can come out in a variety of ways,
• 2:06:15
  but the whole idea is a four strong formation is just four eligibles to
• 2:06:18
  one side of the field and one to the opposite. It could start out
• 2:06:23
  that way, it could motion that way. It could be a return motion.
• 2:06:26
  It could be fly motion, jet motion, orbit, It does not
• 2:06:29
  matter. Whatever gets you to having four eligibles to one side of the field
• 2:06:34
  and one to the opposite, and again the whole idea is it messes with
• 2:06:38
  a defense's ability to distribute routes and space them properly. You can pull or
• 2:06:45
  drain coverages versus zone, create traffic versus man. Overall, you are stressing
• 2:06:48
  the communication and coverage rules for a defense, and like in the one example
• 2:06:53
  we showed, you can also build some runs into it and build some success
• 2:06:56
  that way, which we have seen Joe Brady and this Bill's offense. Do
• 2:07:00
  man, this has been a tremendous episode. I'm wiped, I got I
• 2:07:04
  got here. It's past eleven o'clock before any of you folks leave. Please
• 2:07:08
  please, please and thank you drop alike on this video. It goes a
• 2:07:10
  sincerely long way, Like I mentioned earlier, just having towards helping myself in
• 2:07:14
  the entire team to track and trend in front of more eyes and ears.
• 2:07:15
  So if you have not already, whether you're watching live now or watching later
• 2:07:18
  on YouTube, please please please and thank you drop alike on this video.
• 2:07:23
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• 2:07:27
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• 2:07:40
  a whole. We have you covered every single day of the week for anything
• 2:07:43
  and everything Buffalo bills, varying levels of analysis and entertainment pieces that we got
• 2:07:47
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• 2:07:50
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• 2:07:54
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• 2:07:58
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• 2:08:01
  You know, so tell your loved ones about how awesome it is and
• 2:08:03
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• 2:08:07
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• 2:08:09
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• 2:08:13
  take care of one another. Thank you so much to everybody who tuned in
• 2:08:16
  live. Thank you to everyone who watched later, listen, later, whatever
• 2:08:20
  have you. Thank you for any and every ounce of support you put towards
• 2:08:24
  myself and towards this brand. Thank you very much to Carl for the super
• 2:08:26
  chat. Thank you very much for mister too, mister j. P Acosta
• 2:08:30
  of SB Nation for riding with me for about an hour and a half talking
• 2:08:33
  x's and o's and scheme of Bill's Cowboys. It was awesome the time flew
• 2:08:37
  by, so thank you to him. Thank you everybody who watched live,
• 2:08:41
  watched later, listen later, whatever, have you any kind words that came
• 2:08:46
  through for JP. Appreciate you folks, kind words for myself, all that
• 2:08:48
  good stuff. I appreciate you folks more than you will possibly know. Go
• 2:08:52
  get yourself some one by pizza if you live in the Buffalo area, and
• 2:08:56
  or drop off some Toys for Tots at their location and you get the opportunity
• 2:09:01
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• 2:09:05
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• 2:09:09
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• 2:09:13
  speed. I will see you next week nine pm Eastern next Tuesday for another
• 2:09:16
  episode of Disguise coverage. Or if you're a fan of the film Room,
• 2:09:20
  you can join myself and Eric Turner tomorrow night, Wednesday, December thirteenth,
• 2:09:24
  at seven pm Eastern for another episode of the Cover One Film Room will be
• 2:09:26
  breaking down a bunch of stuff from Bills Versus Chiefs, but until then,
• 2:09:31
  god speed and as always go Bills