Latest / 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary / ActBlue’s Alleged Foreign Donations Exposed
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: Welcome to the Three Martini Lunch.
- 0:04Speaker 2: Grab a stool next to Greg Karambas of Radio America
- 0:07Speaker 2: and Jim Garrity of National Review.
- 0:10Speaker 3: Three martinis coming up.
- 0:13Speaker 4: So glad you're with us for the Friday edition of
- 0:16Speaker 4: the Three Martini Lunch. Yes, we've made it to Friday.
- 0:18Speaker 4: I think we're all happy about that. That's a good martini, Jim.
- 0:22Speaker 4: One thing we know Republicans have going for them this
- 0:24Speaker 4: election cycle is they have a lot more money than Democrats,
- 0:27Speaker 4: which is good for them because there's a lot of
- 0:29Speaker 4: things that they don't have going for them this cycle.
- 0:31Speaker 4: And we'll talk about that a little bit more today.
- 0:36Speaker 4: are getting seems to be a little suspicious too. A
- 0:40Speaker 4: new report from the House Judiciary Committee has just dropped,
- 0:44Speaker 4: and there are screenshots on townhall.com about this. And according
- 0:48Speaker 4: to townhall.com, they show staff knowingly waving through foreign donations
- 0:53Speaker 4: using verification methods that are very shady. Whole thread at townhall.com there.
- 0:59Speaker 4: It says, ActBlue told Congress its passport verification stops foreign
- 1:03Speaker 4: donors from but their own policy says otherwise, that it
- 1:06Speaker 4: only checks that the number has the right number of characters.
- 1:09Speaker 4: No database check, no real verification ever. Here's the actual
- 1:13Speaker 4: statement in the text thread. We use some very basic validation,
- 1:17Speaker 4: number of characters, to ensure that the number entered is
- 1:20Speaker 4: a valid passport number, but we do not verify the
- 1:22Speaker 4: information in any other way. We do not, for instance,
- 1:25Speaker 4: check the information provided against a government database. We merely
- 1:28Speaker 4: store the information and continue with the contribution flow. So
- 1:33Speaker 4: what actually gets a foreign donation approved at ActBlue? A
- 1:36Speaker 4: supervisor's own words, quote, the donor is foreign but correctly
- 1:40Speaker 4: entered their billing address. Approved. Another one. Donor sometimes has
- 1:44Speaker 4: an IP in Hong Kong, but none of their other
- 1:47Speaker 4: signals raise any eyebrows.
- 1:48Speaker 2: Approved.
- 1:49Speaker 4: Here's one that should end the debate. They say a
- 1:51Speaker 4: donor's information pointed entirely to Canada. ActBlue, though, approved it
- 1:56Speaker 4: anyway because, and this is a real quote, Twitter seems
- 1:59Speaker 4: to confirm that they are a real person. And so
- 2:03Speaker 4: it goes on to say it happened more than once.
- 2:05Speaker 4: Another foreign flag donor got waved through because they had
- 2:08Speaker 4: a LinkedIn account. Social media profiles now count as campaign
- 2:13Speaker 4: finance law compliance. And when their own legal counsel tried
- 2:17Speaker 4: to flag this, they kept deleting his requests from the
- 2:20Speaker 4: thread and just basically ignored him. So, Jim, it's Democrats. So,
- 2:25Speaker 4: you know, who knows if they're ever going to. face
- 2:27Speaker 4: any consequences for this. I know Jim Jordan and others
- 2:30Speaker 4: have tried to dig into ActBlue a lot up on
- 2:33Speaker 4: Capitol Hill, and that's where this report is coming from.
- 2:35Speaker 4: So we'll see if there are any consequences, but it's
- 2:38Speaker 4: good to know just how brazen this is, even if
- 2:40Speaker 4: it is horrible.
- 2:41Speaker 1: I was going to say this is good work by
- 2:43Speaker 1: the Congress, the legislative branch. Hey, executive branch, what you doing?
- 2:48Speaker 1: Anybody at the Department of Justice want to investigate this
- 2:50Speaker 1: sort of thing? Seems like a pretty good one. So
- 2:52Speaker 1: I remember hearing about similar allegations about foreign donations being accepted, Greg,
- 2:58Speaker 1: during the Obama 2008 campaign, which, you know, listeners with
- 3:01Speaker 1: long memories, that was so long ago, Greg, it predates
- 3:04Speaker 1: our podcast. So the Obama 2008 campaign was, you know,
- 3:07Speaker 1: breaking all kinds of campaign records for campaign fundraisers. And
- 3:10Speaker 1: no doubt there was a lot of genuine enthusiasm for
- 3:13Speaker 1: Obama back in the period leading up to the 2008
- 3:15Speaker 1: presidential election. But did that mean that everything coming in,
- 3:19Speaker 1: the gobs and gobs of money, that all of it
- 3:21Speaker 1: was coming from legitimate sources? And there were always lingering
- 3:24Speaker 1: questions about was there enough verification, as you're seeing in
- 3:27Speaker 1: these anecdotes of Act Blue there. So one of the
- 3:31Speaker 1: things that jumps out at me, Greg, now people know
- 3:34Speaker 1: that I go to a lot of different places, usually
- 3:35Speaker 1: on reporting trips, and they're not the most scenic countries
- 3:39Speaker 1: you could possibly go to. I don't donate to presidential
- 3:42Speaker 1: campaigns or political campaigns at all, in part out of
- 3:46Speaker 1: a principle that people question my objectivity, Greg, and also
- 3:50Speaker 1: because I'm really cheap, and I don't want to. So
- 3:53Speaker 1: stop spamming me, and stop spamming Doris and Donna as well,
- 3:58Speaker 1: for long-time listeners sketching that in-joke. Okay, would you travel
- 4:02Speaker 1: abroad to, say, Hong Kong, and then choose to donate
- 4:05Speaker 1: to a political campaign? It seems like odd timing. You
- 4:08Speaker 1: figure you'd just wait until you come home. Oh, I'm
- 4:13Speaker 1: viewing the Taj Mahal in India, and I just had
- 4:15Speaker 1: this urge to donate to AOC or some other Democrat
- 4:19Speaker 1: or something like that. Secondly, when you do this traveling abroad, Greg,
- 4:22Speaker 1: can you go to the security line and say, look,
- 4:24Speaker 1: I don't have my passport, I don't have my ID,
- 4:27Speaker 1: but Twitter seems to confirm that I am a real person.
- 4:31Speaker 1: Is that sufficient identification?
- 4:33Speaker 4: No?
- 4:34Speaker 1: Okay. Then why is it okay for political donations? Because
- 4:37Speaker 1: we're supposed to... I could hear the typical low information
- 4:41Speaker 1: Democrats saying, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa. Foreign donations to Democratic
- 4:45Speaker 1: campaigns is a proud tradition going back to Johnny Chung
- 4:48Speaker 1: and the donations in Al Gore's fundraising at the Buddhist
- 4:52Speaker 1: temple back in the 1996 campaign. So there might be, oh,
- 4:55Speaker 1: it's totally normal for foreign campaigns to donate to Democratic campaigns. No, no,
- 5:00Speaker 1: it's not. It's against the law. And there have long
- 5:03Speaker 1: been suspicions about that. There was also some earlier report
- 5:05Speaker 1: where like a guy in a trailer had donated like $ 90, 000
- 5:10Speaker 1: to a variety of Democratic campaigns and they'd all been
- 5:14Speaker 1: automated and they'd all been in a certain, it all
- 5:16Speaker 1: looked like somebody basically used this guy's name and ID,
- 5:19Speaker 1: wasn't using his own money because the guy didn't have
- 5:21Speaker 1: the money to funnel massive amounts of money to particular campaigns. Shockingly,
- 5:27Speaker 1: the Democrats, entirely possible that this is happening on the
- 5:29Speaker 1: Republican side too, Greg, but I would point out My
- 5:32Speaker 1: sense is based on what I've and I'm writing about,
- 5:35Speaker 1: you know, grift in conservative, sorry, conservative air quotes for
- 5:39Speaker 1: those who are only getting the audio version organizations for
- 5:42Speaker 1: a long time. It's always Americans for a better America.
- 5:45Speaker 1: But in those cases, what they do is they collect
- 5:48Speaker 1: the donations and then they don't spend them on the
- 5:51Speaker 1: Republican candidates. And I don't know about you, Greg. I
- 5:53Speaker 1: think of amongst the right of center grifters. There's an
- 5:56Speaker 1: honesty there. It's honest script. They're keeping the money for themselves.
- 5:59Speaker 1: They're not passing it along to help their candidates. And
- 6:02Speaker 1: this is a real legitimate disadvantage to Republicans. I'm saying
- 6:05Speaker 1: that only half tongue in cheek because ActBlue clearly sends
- 6:09Speaker 1: along a significant portion of that donation onto the actual
- 6:12Speaker 1: Democratic campaigns. Absolutely right.
- 6:14Speaker 4: And so again, like you said, the Justice Department should
- 6:17Speaker 4: be on this. A lot of people related to ActBlue
- 6:19Speaker 4: have refused to testify before the House Judiciary Committee, which
- 6:23Speaker 4: doesn't necessarily mean they've committed crimes, but it certainly doesn't
- 6:26Speaker 4: look good, as we saw with Anthony Fauci and so forth.
- 6:29Speaker 4: But you mentioned the Clinton fundraising scandal. And I remember
- 6:33Speaker 4: when the investigation of that was going to make Fred
- 6:35Speaker 4: Thompson the leading presidential candidate in the year 2000, as
- 6:38Speaker 4: he was chairing that investigation on the Senate side. But then,
- 6:41Speaker 4: you know, he had Johnny Chung and John Wong and
- 6:46Speaker 4: Gal Gort, the Buddhist temple. And Americans were like, oh,
- 6:48Speaker 4: this is like whitewater. This is complicated. We need something simple.
- 6:52Speaker 4: And then, you know, oh, Clinton and the intern. Oh, wow.
- 6:55Speaker 4: You know, then we can understand that scandal. But everybody's
- 6:59Speaker 4: glazed over at Chinese fundraising, which should have been a
- 7:02Speaker 4: massive scandal. But in the end, they got away with it.
- 7:05Speaker 1: Way back in the day, Greg, I was the public
- 7:06Speaker 1: relations employee of the Capitol Steps, a musical comedy troupe.
- 7:11Speaker 1: And they did a song about Johnny Chung. And the
- 7:16Speaker 1: name of it was, give you a sense of how
- 7:17Speaker 1: comedy and political correctness standards have changed, Greg. To the
- 7:21Speaker 1: tune of Secret Agent Man. That tune from the early 60s.
- 7:26Speaker 1: Secret Asian Man. And unsurprisingly, it's a whole different world
- 7:31Speaker 1: back then, kids. You could make fun of all kinds
- 7:33Speaker 1: of things. But on the one hand, I want to
- 7:38Speaker 1: say fond memories. They fired me. I was really bad
- 7:40Speaker 1: at my job. But I also want to point out
- 7:42Speaker 1: that there was this sense that like, you know, the
- 7:46Speaker 1: Chinese government's funding a presidential campaign. Oh boy, that incorrigible
- 7:51Speaker 1: Bill Clinton.
- 7:52Speaker 4: Yeah, they got one song out of that scandal. That's
- 7:54Speaker 4: live box.
- 7:55Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 7:56Speaker 4: I think they got two or three albums out of
- 7:57Speaker 4: the Lewinsky scandal. So yeah, those were the glory days.
- 8:02Speaker 4: In any event, will there be consequences? I'm not holding
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- 9:36Speaker 4: All right, Jim, Hassan Piker is still in the news.
- 9:38Speaker 4: Abdul El-Sayed keeps getting asked about this all the time,
- 9:41Speaker 4: and his response is always the same. It's like, why
- 9:44Speaker 4: are we talking about a Twitch streamer from California and
- 9:47Speaker 4: what he said? And the answer is, well, because you
- 9:49Speaker 4: invited him onto the campaign trail numerous times and were
- 9:53Speaker 4: joined at the hip with him. We've all seen the
- 9:54Speaker 4: picture of you guys bumping fists there at one of
- 9:57Speaker 4: the campaign events. And he said some horrible things. including
- 10:00Speaker 4: America deserved 9-11 and things like that. And so Abdul
- 10:04Speaker 4: El-Sayed refuses to distance himself. And let's face it, if
- 10:08Speaker 4: he did, we'd still call him out on it for
- 10:10Speaker 4: being hypocritical because of how close they were before. So
- 10:13Speaker 4: he's between a rock and a hard place. But You know,
- 10:15Speaker 4: Piker loves Piker even more than he loves Abdul El-Sayed.
- 10:19Speaker 4: So he's more than happy to do major media interviews,
- 10:22Speaker 4: including this one with Alex Thompson of Axios. You might
- 10:25Speaker 4: remember Alex Thompson working with Jake Tapper. They were shocked,
- 10:29Speaker 4: shocked that Joe Biden was cognitively impaired in the, well,
- 10:33Speaker 4: for most of his presidency, let's be honest. Here is
- 10:35Speaker 4: Hassan Piker talking with Alex Thompson and suggesting that America
- 10:40Speaker 4: is a worse terrorist entity than Al-Qaeda.
- 10:44Speaker 3: You once said that America is the top dog in terrorism.
- 10:48Speaker 4: Yes.
- 10:49Speaker 3: Do you think America then is worse than Al Qaeda?
- 10:51Speaker 3: Pound for pound as far as the number of deaths. Yes,
- 10:54Speaker 3: we have caused tremendous terror all around the world. I
- 10:59Speaker 3: think that that is not only terror that we are
- 11:02Speaker 3: waging on regular civilians in nations in the periphery, but
- 11:07Speaker 3: it's also having consequences on ourselves. It's having dramatic consequences
- 11:12Speaker 3: on the home front. One clear example of this is
- 11:15Speaker 3: what we did in Minop, right? There's no distinction between
- 11:19Speaker 3: blowing up a school, triple tapping it with tomahawk missiles,
- 11:22Speaker 3: if you're killing 140 schoolgirls, that is an act of terror.
- 11:26Speaker 3: This doesn't mean that all Americans are terrorists, but the
- 11:29Speaker 3: reality of the matter is we have to create an
- 11:32Speaker 3: environment of accountability to ensure things like that never happen again.
- 11:35Speaker 4: Jim, we've talked about this a lot. Assuming that happened,
- 11:39Speaker 4: it's not because we intended for it to happen. It's
- 11:42Speaker 4: way different than terrorists flying commercial airliners into skyscrapers in
- 11:45Speaker 4: the Pentagon and that sort of thing. And so This
- 11:49Speaker 4: false equivalency or whatever he's doing here is not only insane,
- 11:53Speaker 4: but it's also got probably, I'm sure, a lot of
- 11:55Speaker 4: people on the left just going, stop doing interviews.
- 11:59Speaker 1: We were just talking about donors in our last martini.
- 12:01Speaker 1: We've seen lots of times where a candidate for office
- 12:05Speaker 1: or an elected official gets in trouble because of one
- 12:07Speaker 1: of their donors. And the traditional defense is, well... I
- 12:11Speaker 1: don't know that donor. I can't control who donates to me.
- 12:14Speaker 1: I didn't know that this person had committed terrible financial
- 12:18Speaker 1: fraud or had an OnlyFans or any of these other
- 12:22Speaker 1: scandalous things. The next step is when, well, actually, here's
- 12:25Speaker 1: a picture of you with this donor. And then the
- 12:27Speaker 1: traditional expense is, well, this was at a rope line,
- 12:30Speaker 1: an event. I shook a million hands that day. I
- 12:33Speaker 1: take pictures with a lot of people. It doesn't mean
- 12:35Speaker 1: I know anything about them, blah, blah, blah. In this case,
- 12:38Speaker 1: as you mentioned, Hasan Piker did several events on college
- 12:41Speaker 1: campuses in Michigan for Abdullah Syed. Abdullah Syed is described
- 12:45Speaker 1: to him as a friend. There are pictures of them
- 12:47Speaker 1: fist bumping, and I believe they attended an event the
- 12:50Speaker 1: day before the Democratic primary. So like the idea, and
- 12:53Speaker 1: now all of a sudden he's just this Twitch streamer
- 12:55Speaker 1: in California. All of a sudden it's like he's like Voldemort.
- 12:58Speaker 1: You know, he won't even say his name out loud,
- 13:01Speaker 1: which doesn't really, you know, hold water. Abdullah Syed has
- 13:04Speaker 1: nobody to blame but himself for this. If you hadn't
- 13:06Speaker 1: invited him, You might see Republicans trying to tie Hassan Piker,
- 13:10Speaker 1: but Hassan Piker would basically be the left-wing equivalent of, like,
- 13:12Speaker 1: Nick Fuentes. You don't see Republican candidates for office inviting
- 13:16Speaker 1: Nick Fuentes to speak with them at events and stuff
- 13:19Speaker 1: like that. But there's kind of a point that I
- 13:23Speaker 1: think is getting missed in all of this controversy, Greg,
- 13:25Speaker 1: and it is that Hassan Piker is a moron. And
- 13:28Speaker 1: I don't just mean he's a moron because of his viewpoints,
- 13:31Speaker 1: which I think is certainly sufficient evidence to come to
- 13:33Speaker 1: that conclusion, but point out He says that pound for pound,
- 13:36Speaker 1: the US is more destructive than Al-Qaeda is. He doesn't
- 13:40Speaker 1: understand what pound for pound means, because that would assumedly
- 13:43Speaker 1: mean that by size, how much terrorism have you committed?
- 13:48Speaker 1: Or destructive capacity per capita? Well, there are 330 some
- 13:53Speaker 1: million Americans out there, and Al-Qaeda at its total was like, what, 10,000 guys, 15?
- 13:58Speaker 1: Never more than 100,000 guys, right? So for sheer amount
- 14:03Speaker 1: of money spent or number of Americans, by all of
- 14:06Speaker 1: those capacities, the U.S. is actually not as destructive as al-Qaeda.
- 14:10Speaker 1: Particularly when you look at something like the 9-11 attacks, al-Qaeda,
- 14:14Speaker 1: pound for pound, using that phrase accurately, is probably one
- 14:17Speaker 1: of the most destructive organizations that has ever existed in
- 14:19Speaker 1: human history. The second thing that comes to mind, he says, well,
- 14:22Speaker 1: not all Americans are terrorists. Thank you for that generous concession, Mr. Piker. Um,
- 14:28Speaker 1: but I, by the way, no, the other meaning of piker,
- 14:31Speaker 1: it's kind of funny to say that he's being generous,
- 14:32Speaker 1: but generous. But anyway, the other thing, so you know what?
- 14:35Speaker 1: So you're right. Not every American is a terrorist. In fact,
- 14:38Speaker 1: I think very few Americans are terrorists. It really takes
- 14:40Speaker 1: some effort to get into that. You don't accidentally stumble
- 14:43Speaker 1: into terrorism. However, do you know what every member of
- 14:45Speaker 1: Al Qaeda is Greg?
- 14:47Speaker 4: A terrorist.
- 14:48Speaker 2: A terrorist.
- 14:49Speaker 1: So once again, pound for pound, Al-Qaeda is much more
- 14:52Speaker 1: of a terrorist organization than the United States of America is,
- 14:55Speaker 1: which means Hasan Piker frequently uses words that he doesn't
- 14:59Speaker 1: really understand or concepts or stuff like that. And a
- 15:01Speaker 1: part of it also is, I was on Hugh Hewitt's
- 15:04Speaker 1: program yesterday, and Hugh Hewitt's program is about three hours
- 15:07Speaker 1: a day. And I said, Hugh, if you had to
- 15:09Speaker 1: speak for like 12 hours a day, five or more
- 15:11Speaker 1: days a week, how often would you get in trouble?
- 15:13Speaker 1: And Hughes said, thank God for the Federal Communications Commission
- 15:15Speaker 1: that prevents him from saying terrible, you know, and it
- 15:18Speaker 1: was just kind of this recognition that we should not
- 15:19Speaker 1: be surprised that Hasan Piker says stupid things. I would argue, though,
- 15:23Speaker 1: that in a world full of podcasters, as we've mentioned
- 15:26Speaker 1: many times, Greg, any two schmoes can get a podcast.
- 15:29Speaker 1: If you talk long enough, sooner or later, something's going
- 15:32Speaker 1: to come out and it's going to sound stupid. If
- 15:34Speaker 1: you do it for 12 hours a day or more, one,
- 15:36Speaker 1: not as, you know, you're going to say stupid things,
- 15:38Speaker 1: controversial things out of just, you know, the need to
- 15:40Speaker 1: keep saying things. But what's more, you're going to... First
- 15:45Speaker 1: of all, I don't think it's very good for your
- 15:46Speaker 1: mental health. And it was just kind of this recognition
- 15:49Speaker 1: that sooner or later, Hasan Paik... There are lots of
- 15:52Speaker 1: left-wing podcasters and streamers out there. What makes him stand
- 15:55Speaker 1: out is his willingness to say things like, America deserved 9-11.
- 15:59Speaker 1: And America is a worse terrorist force than Al-Qaeda is.
- 16:01Speaker 1: And Hamas is morally superior to Israel. And things like that. Otherwise,
- 16:06Speaker 1: you and I would not be talking about him. He
- 16:08Speaker 1: would not be so controversial to be on the campaign
- 16:10Speaker 1: trail with Abdullah Syed. And nobody would really care because
- 16:13Speaker 1: the world is full of left-wing streamers in pocket that
- 16:15Speaker 1: nobody cares about, right? This is what makes Hasan Piker unique.
- 16:19Speaker 1: This is what makes Hasan Piker newsworthy. And if Abdullah
- 16:22Speaker 1: Syed really wants to win this race, he's got to
- 16:24Speaker 1: come out and say, he says a lot of crazy stuff.
- 16:26Speaker 1: I'm not responsible for that guy. I don't agree with
- 16:28Speaker 1: the stuff he says. Instead, he's like, I barely heard
- 16:30Speaker 1: of this Twitch streamer who there's a lot of pictures
- 16:33Speaker 1: of me campaigning with. Yeah, no kidding.
- 16:35Speaker 4: No kidding. And so in a Twitter meeting of people
- 16:39Speaker 4: I don't want to spend any time with, Jill Filipovich
- 16:42Speaker 4: says to Piker, I truly don't mean to sound like
- 16:45Speaker 4: a reactionary right winger, but if you genuinely hate the
- 16:48Speaker 4: United States and think it's the worst, most evil country
- 16:50Speaker 4: on earth, but you're a wealthy person with a job
- 16:52Speaker 4: you can do from anywhere, why do you live there?
- 16:56Speaker 4: And he says, beautiful question. Happy to answer. I'm an
- 16:58Speaker 4: American citizen. I love this country in spite of its
- 17:01Speaker 4: dark chapters because I'm I believe in its promise and
- 17:04Speaker 4: its people. It's up to us, people of good conscience,
- 17:06Speaker 4: to continue the struggle to unlock its true potential. Jim,
- 17:10Speaker 4: it was just days ago he went on a rant
- 17:12Speaker 4: because his internet connection wasn't working that great. I realize
- 17:16Speaker 4: this will be about 90% bleeps, but here's his reaction
- 17:19Speaker 4: to just that.
- 17:20Speaker 2: Because I'm in the United States of America, the most
- 17:26Speaker 2: dog country on the planet, the absolute worst country on
- 17:31Speaker 2: the planet, straight up, bar none, a capitalist hole.
- 17:35Speaker 4: Jim, I can just feel the love oozing from that.
- 17:37Speaker 1: Greg, I really wish you hadn't played that in large
- 17:40Speaker 1: part because you and I have occasionally had internet problems
- 17:44Speaker 1: at Casa de Garrity, interrupting our attempts to, and I
- 17:47Speaker 1: gotta say, my reaction, not as different from Hasan Piker's
- 17:51Speaker 1: as I'd like it to be. Not nearly blaming capitalism,
- 17:54Speaker 1: just blaming my internet service provider and or when the
- 17:57Speaker 1: power goes out after a storm or something like that.
- 17:59Speaker 1: But just his broader argument of, oh, why do you
- 18:01Speaker 1: still live here if you think this country is a
- 18:03Speaker 1: worse terrorist force than Al-Qaeda is? Guys, if you think
- 18:08Speaker 1: that Hasan Piker has a plausible and strong argument When
- 18:12Speaker 1: you go home tonight to your loved significant other, your wife,
- 18:15Speaker 1: your girlfriends, tell her, I don't love you as you are.
- 18:18Speaker 1: In fact, you have many dark chapters in your history
- 18:21Speaker 1: and many glaring flaws. But I love your potential of
- 18:24Speaker 1: what you should be. If you're lucky, you'll be sleeping
- 18:27Speaker 1: on the couch. In all likelihood, you may get some
- 18:31Speaker 1: object hurled at you. Not that I would ever justify that.
- 18:34Speaker 1: I'm just going to observe. He's not the first lefty
- 18:36Speaker 1: we've heard this from. And... People have always said that
- 18:39Speaker 1: the conservative mindset, ideally conservatism is rooted in gratitude. Conservatives
- 18:44Speaker 1: look at America and they see everything that's going right
- 18:46Speaker 1: and they say, God, I love this country. We are
- 18:47Speaker 1: so lucky to be here. We're lucky to be born here.
- 18:50Speaker 1: We're lucky to have immigrated here. This is terrific. Folks
- 18:53Speaker 1: on the left look at the country and they see
- 18:55Speaker 1: what's wrong. And we should point out, the country has problems.
- 18:58Speaker 1: And they look at the flaws. They look at the
- 19:00Speaker 1: ways we don't live up to our values. They look
- 19:01Speaker 1: at our times when we're too materialistic or we're not
- 19:04Speaker 1: able to help out the people who are really struggling
- 19:06Speaker 1: in life. And that's an important element of it. But
- 19:09Speaker 1: they focus so much on that, they can't see anything
- 19:11Speaker 1: that's going right. And they only see darkness like, well,
- 19:14Speaker 1: America really stinks, but it could be someplace worthwhile someday.
- 19:18Speaker 1: And when you do that, you want to hurl rotten
- 19:20Speaker 1: fruit at them.
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- 20:18Speaker 4: Q-U-O dot com slash 3ML. All right, Jim, on to
- 20:28Speaker 4: our third martini now. Don't really know how to qualify
- 20:31Speaker 4: this one, but our regular listeners know that Jim was
- 20:33Speaker 4: not here on Wednesday. He was hanging out with a
- 20:36Speaker 4: bunch of Cubans. and we can't talk a lot about
- 20:40Speaker 4: what exactly happened, but he was with the Cubans here
- 20:44Speaker 4: in Washington, D.C. They invited him. So, Jim, why did
- 20:48Speaker 4: they invite you? I know you're not allowed to talk
- 20:49Speaker 4: about it, but what did you learn that you can
- 20:52Speaker 4: talk about? And I know you've written about it today
- 20:54Speaker 4: for the.
- 20:55Speaker 1: Morning, Joel. So, when I got the invitation, I called
- 20:59Speaker 1: up my Ukraine buddies and said, this is not the
- 21:01Speaker 1: Russians trying to grab me, right? And they're like, yeah,
- 21:04Speaker 1: probably not. Oh, there's like a less than 1% chance
- 21:06Speaker 1: of that. It turns out that another very distinguished longtime
- 21:10Speaker 1: conservative journalist was also attending this meeting and had recommended
- 21:13Speaker 1: me to be included. And despite having strong and bile
- 21:21Speaker 1: in the back of my throat producing feelings about how
- 21:24Speaker 1: the Cuban regime treats its people, When you get a
- 21:27Speaker 1: chance to meet with foreign officials in a situation like this,
- 21:30Speaker 1: and it's obviously a newsworthy country, a country that's of
- 21:33Speaker 1: great interest to American readers, sure, I'll sit down and
- 21:36Speaker 1: have the meeting on bringing ways to make sure that
- 21:39Speaker 1: I can get out of it, what is technically Cuban
- 21:41Speaker 1: territory as well. By the way, fascinating, I did not
- 21:43Speaker 1: know this until I went there. Late April 2020, some
- 21:48Speaker 1: nut in the middle of the night goes to the
- 21:50Speaker 1: Cuban embassy, raises a AK-47, and shot like 20-some rounds
- 21:56Speaker 1: into it, and they still have the pockmarks on the columns.
- 21:59Speaker 1: This is in 16th Street in Washington, D.C. They have
- 22:03Speaker 1: a gate there, but you can still see the pockmarks
- 22:05Speaker 1: in them, and they apparently went through windows and into
- 22:08Speaker 1: the walls up there. Thankfully, nobody was hurt. This guy
- 22:12Speaker 1: had been born in Cuba, naturalized American citizen. I know
- 22:16Speaker 1: it's going to shock you, Greg. He had mental issues.
- 22:20Speaker 1: He had gone to see a psychiatrist. He'd been given
- 22:23Speaker 1: antipsychotic medication, but decided he didn't need it. And hey,
- 22:28Speaker 1: what's the worst that could happen? Well, it turns out
- 22:30Speaker 1: this incident is what happened. The cops catch him. They
- 22:32Speaker 1: arrest him. He pleads insanity. And under federal law, if
- 22:38Speaker 1: you're found insanity, they basically hold you until they determine
- 22:42Speaker 1: you're no longer a threat. I assume he's taking his
- 22:44Speaker 1: medication now, therapy, whatever other things are going on, and
- 22:47Speaker 1: after four and a half years of being in a
- 22:49Speaker 1: psychiatric institution and prison, he's a free man. Shot up
- 22:54Speaker 1: a building, could have killed somebody, thankfully didn't. Now walks
- 22:58Speaker 1: the streets a free man. Also in April 2023, somebody,
- 23:02Speaker 1: I'm sorry, February 2023, somebody threw two Molotov cocktails over
- 23:06Speaker 1: the fence at the Cuban embassy. Thankfully, once again, no
- 23:09Speaker 1: one was hurt. Damage for that one was pretty minor.
- 23:12Speaker 1: That perpetrator has never been caught. Now, Greg, you and
- 23:17Speaker 1: I are not fans of the Cuban government, but I
- 23:19Speaker 1: think we believe that you should not shoot at them
- 23:22Speaker 1: unless you're the CIA at Bay of Pigs. Or you
- 23:25Speaker 1: should not throw Molotov cocktails. Diplomats deserve to be protected,
- 23:28Speaker 1: whether they're in, say, Tehran or any other country. The
- 23:33Speaker 1: nice people at the Cuban embassy are not the people
- 23:36Speaker 1: you really have a problem with. Let them go about
- 23:38Speaker 1: their business in peace.
- 23:39Speaker 4: I don't know how nice they are, but they shouldn't
- 23:40Speaker 4: be shot at.
- 23:41Speaker 1: Well, I was going to say, again, that's a minimum bar.
- 23:44Speaker 1: The other thing is the fact this guy was let
- 23:46Speaker 1: out for four and a half years after emptying his
- 23:48Speaker 1: clip at a building, Greg. Look, I really don't like
- 23:51Speaker 1: lenient judges that let people out on the streets because, oh,
- 23:54Speaker 1: we decided you're cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs. We think you're
- 23:56Speaker 1: safe now. Good luck, you know. But it really is
- 23:58Speaker 1: bad when you're embarrassing us in front of the commies, right? Like,
- 24:01Speaker 1: we really want to look tough in front of these guys,
- 24:03Speaker 1: and here you are letting these guys go. Anyway, most
- 24:07Speaker 1: of the meeting was off the record, so I really
- 24:08Speaker 1: can't talk too much about it. The Cuban deputy foreign
- 24:11Speaker 1: minister was there. He's in town for the United Nations
- 24:13Speaker 1: General Assembly meeting next week. Um... They have one on-the-record statement.
- 24:19Speaker 1: He's done other interviews with other publications, and I provide
- 24:22Speaker 1: some links to that. Probably the most interesting thing in
- 24:25Speaker 1: this is that Cuba is enacting a whole bunch of
- 24:27Speaker 1: economic reforms. You might be like, wait, I've seen this
- 24:30Speaker 1: movie before. It didn't really change very much. And there's
- 24:33Speaker 1: understandably a great deal of skepticism about this. Having said that,
- 24:39Speaker 1: Cuba is in about as dire economic straits as you
- 24:41Speaker 1: possibly could imagine. Blackouts from anywhere from 20 hours a day.
- 24:45Speaker 1: Some parts of the entire country, it's basically nearly 24-hour blackouts.
- 24:50Speaker 1: They no longer have Venezuela as an ally sending them
- 24:52Speaker 1: oil because it's under new management. And there's just generally
- 24:56Speaker 1: a sense that they no longer have the embargoes crushing
- 25:01Speaker 1: them every conceivable way. Unsurprisingly, the Cuban government believes it's
- 25:06Speaker 1: never done anything wrong. And all of this is the
- 25:09Speaker 1: fault of the Americans. All of this is the fault
- 25:10Speaker 1: of us warmongering and economic warfare and collective punishment. And
- 25:16Speaker 1: all these things are violations of international law and things
- 25:18Speaker 1: like that. Greg, you won't believe how politely I could
- 25:21Speaker 1: sit and listen when someone is saying something that I
- 25:23Speaker 1: vehemently disagree with. Cuba is basically abandoning communism. It's willing
- 25:31Speaker 1: to try to be more free market. Whether this is
- 25:34Speaker 1: going to work is a very open question, because in
- 25:37Speaker 1: a lot of cases, what they're saying, they want to
- 25:39Speaker 1: have private competitors in certain fields. Tourism, certain parts of
- 25:44Speaker 1: agriculture and food processing, banking. They're describing at some point
- 25:47Speaker 1: like you could have Cubans owning stock in private companies.
- 25:50Speaker 1: That'd be really revolutionary. Like in Castro's country, for that
- 25:53Speaker 1: to happen, that would be a really big sweeping change.
- 25:56Speaker 1: The idea of having a Havana Stock Exchange... probably unthinkable 10,
- 26:00Speaker 1: 15 years ago. The fact that they're thinking about these
- 26:03Speaker 1: things and talking about these things, but you could point
- 26:05Speaker 1: to this and say, well, this is a sign the
- 26:06Speaker 1: embargo is working. This is a sign we should be
- 26:08Speaker 1: squeezing them even harder, that the more they can't have
- 26:11Speaker 1: enough revenue coming in to do that, the more that
- 26:14Speaker 1: we can actually do. On the other hand, there are
- 26:15Speaker 1: a whole bunch of Cubans out there who are not
- 26:18Speaker 1: outright communists, who don't like the regime, and they're getting
- 26:22Speaker 1: hit by the embargo as well. This is not me
- 26:24Speaker 1: arguing for lifting the embargo. This is just kind of
- 26:25Speaker 1: recognizing the human cost there. Either way, I'm glad I
- 26:30Speaker 1: got to have this conversation. Color me very skeptical of this.
- 26:33Speaker 1: But that having been said, the Cuban regime is now
- 26:36Speaker 1: functionally recognizing not just the advantages of free market economics,
- 26:42Speaker 1: the necessity of free market economics. The state cannot do
- 26:45Speaker 1: what it needs to do anymore, and it needs to
- 26:47Speaker 1: open it up for at least theoretical private ownership.
- 26:51Speaker 4: I'm not.
- 26:52Speaker 1: You know, there's a long ways to go on this,
- 26:55Speaker 1: and there's every reason in the world to be skeptical.
- 26:57Speaker 1: And in the end, what they're trying to do is
- 26:59Speaker 1: basically become more like China or maybe Vietnam, right? The
- 27:02Speaker 1: system of basically to be, well, we're going to give
- 27:04Speaker 1: you some economic freedom, but we're not going to let
- 27:06Speaker 1: you have any political freedom. By the way, Greg, guess
- 27:10Speaker 1: what percentage of members of the national legislature are members
- 27:14Speaker 1: of the Cuban Communist Party? All of them? 100%. Very good.
- 27:19Speaker 1: Really not that hard. There are 470 members. Hey, Greg,
- 27:22Speaker 1: guess how many of the 470 voted for this package
- 27:25Speaker 1: of economic reforms?
- 27:25Speaker 4: 470. You got everyone.
- 27:28Speaker 1: And I want to point out, just for contrast, back
- 27:32Speaker 1: in 2014, the Russian government, the Duma, their legislature, voted
- 27:37Speaker 1: on formally, legally annexing Crimea. Can you guess how many
- 27:42Speaker 1: voted against that, Greg?
- 27:44Speaker 4: Zero?
- 27:45Speaker 1: Two. Two? One voted no and one abstained. Now, I
- 27:49Speaker 1: actually talked to the guy who voted no. He was
- 27:51Speaker 1: over in Ukraine. He was exiled from the country. He's
- 27:55Speaker 1: now leading the Russian Legion against the Rum. And about
- 27:59Speaker 1: a year after I chatted with him, Russia tried to
- 28:02Speaker 1: kill him by sending a drone into his house. So
- 28:04Speaker 1: I'm not saying that voting no worked out great for him.
- 28:07Speaker 1: I'm just going to point out that in Russia in 2014,
- 28:11Speaker 1: there was more political dissent about the annexation of Crimea
- 28:15Speaker 1: than there was this year in the Cuban National Legislature
- 28:19Speaker 1: for like 177 economic reforms in effect. Gee, it's funny
- 28:22Speaker 1: how you guys always come up 100%. There wasn't a
- 28:25Speaker 1: single person who had any doubts about any of these
- 28:28Speaker 1: reforms at all. Nonetheless, they had really good coffee and
- 28:32Speaker 1: I appreciated the invite and I'd be happy to go
- 28:33Speaker 1: back again.
- 28:36Speaker 4: Well, if they're following the China model, then the average
- 28:38Speaker 4: Cuban citizen has not a lot to look forward to.
- 28:41Speaker 4: The government's going to get rich if this actually happens.
- 28:43Speaker 4: And maybe some certain hand-picked corporations, just like China does,
- 28:48Speaker 4: that are basically affiliated with the government. But the average Cuban,
- 28:52Speaker 4: not so much.
- 28:52Speaker 1: You can be rich. You just can't ever do anything
- 28:54Speaker 1: we don't want you to do.
- 28:55Speaker 4: That's that freedom where I come from.
- 28:56Speaker 1: All right.
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- 30:14Speaker 4: save today. All right, Jim, real quickly in our chaser here,
- 30:23Speaker 4: our eyes kind of bulged this morning when we saw
- 30:26Speaker 4: that not only are Republicans struggling in some of the
- 30:29Speaker 4: swing state Senate races, there's one out in Idaho that
- 30:32Speaker 4: shows that in a head-to-head race, the Democrat is 11.5
- 30:36Speaker 4: points up on incumbent Republican Jim Rish. And if you
- 30:39Speaker 4: throw in the lower candidates, it's down to about a
- 30:42Speaker 4: six-point lead. And you're thinking, if Republicans are in trouble
- 30:45Speaker 4: in Idaho, that could be a significant thing nationwide. But
- 30:49Speaker 4: as we've dug into this, and by us, I mean Jim,
- 30:52Speaker 4: this group that did this poll, Advanced Targeting Research, there's
- 30:57Speaker 4: some questions about their methodology. In fact, Chuck Todd, who's
- 31:00Speaker 4: gone from pretending to be a normal journalist to absolutely
- 31:04Speaker 4: left-wing on Twitter, has basically said, pretty succinctly here, nearly
- 31:09Speaker 4: 90% of respondents on this poll were surveyed via text-to-web
- 31:13Speaker 4: This year's surveys that over-index on that methodology have shown
- 31:16Speaker 4: GOPers performing quite poorly. Either it's a sign of something
- 31:19Speaker 4: with young voters, or perhaps this methodology is missing key
- 31:22Speaker 4: pieces of the actual electorate. My hunch is it's the latter,
- 31:25Speaker 4: but Election Day will be the ultimate barometer, obviously. So, Jim,
- 31:29Speaker 4: the track record here is from what you discovered is
- 31:32Speaker 4: a little bit shady.
- 31:33Speaker 1: Greg, first, I didn't recognize the name. I started digging
- 31:36Speaker 1: into it. Because then I remember American research group, ARG,
- 31:41Speaker 1: and I imagine if you didn't like the results, you'd
- 31:45Speaker 1: see the result, ARG, and that's why they called it.
- 31:49Speaker 1: But then advanced targeting research, first of all, that sounds
- 31:51Speaker 1: like a military contractor. That's kind of an odd name. Okay, fine.
- 31:54Speaker 1: You're targeting research. The website of the company does not
- 32:00Speaker 1: give you a great deal of details about its background.
- 32:02Speaker 1: I asked one of the AI programs, how long has
- 32:04Speaker 1: this company been in existence? And it couldn't give me
- 32:06Speaker 1: any good answers on that. I did find a reference
- 32:09Speaker 1: to it in a newspaper article for Wyoming's Senate primary
- 32:17Speaker 1: back in 2024. So they didn't just get created this year.
- 32:20Speaker 1: So apparently they've been around since at least 2024. Still
- 32:23Speaker 1: not a particularly long time. And it was that one
- 32:26Speaker 1: poll of registered voters in which they said that, you know,
- 32:30Speaker 1: Reid Rasner was going to unseat Senator John Barrasso. Basically,
- 32:35Speaker 1: the idea was that Rasner had decent name ID. Barrasso
- 32:39Speaker 1: is still the senator. So that clearly did not shake
- 32:41Speaker 1: out the way Rasner wanted to happen there. Beyond that,
- 32:45Speaker 1: not a lot of references to this pollster. So it's
- 32:48Speaker 1: very hard to evaluate them based on their past performance
- 32:52Speaker 1: in stuff like this. I'm very skeptical. Now, here's the thing.
- 32:55Speaker 1: I would point out, though, that my colleague Dan McLaughlin
- 32:58Speaker 1: just did a really comprehensive... Dan McLaughlin is one of
- 33:01Speaker 1: those guys who lives for Excel spreadsheets and loves to
- 33:04Speaker 1: plug in data and do all kinds of stuff. But
- 33:07Speaker 1: he's like, look, the polling for Republicans look bad. If
- 33:10Speaker 1: Trump's approval rating is around 40%, you would expect Republicans
- 33:13Speaker 1: to be polling pretty badly, but not necessarily in Idaho,
- 33:16Speaker 1: not necessarily in a bunch of other cases. And then
- 33:18Speaker 1: the other thing is that in a case like Texas,
- 33:20Speaker 1: and we've talked about Ken Paxton versus James reanimated Howdy
- 33:24Speaker 1: Doody Doll Tallarico plenty of times on this podcast. You know,
- 33:28Speaker 1: that one's doing pretty well. But Ken Paxton is a
- 33:30Speaker 1: uniquely flawed Republican nominee. I don't see any reason why
- 33:33Speaker 1: Rish would be a uniquely flawed nominee. And we've seen
- 33:37Speaker 1: a bunch of these kind of fly-by-night pollsters show up,
- 33:39Speaker 1: show us, oh, look, the Democrats are way ahead. And
- 33:42Speaker 1: in one of the primaries, was it the.
- 33:45Speaker 4: Michigan, for starters.
- 33:47Speaker 1: There was also the Wisconsin governor's race with Francesca Hong,
- 33:51Speaker 1: where somebody just came out and said, yeah, we just
- 33:53Speaker 1: made up some numbers and we wanted to see how
- 33:57Speaker 1: widely they would get cited on social media. And they
- 33:59Speaker 1: got cited far and wide. So because the hunger for
- 34:04Speaker 1: polling numbers greatly outpaces the ability to do reliable polling numbers... one,
- 34:10Speaker 1: you get these people will make them up entirely, but
- 34:12Speaker 1: also you see a lot more. And you and I
- 34:14Speaker 1: have joked about not just the fundraising campaigns for, uh,
- 34:17Speaker 1: Doris and Donna. Um, but the fact that, you know,
- 34:20Speaker 1: like I'm, I'm getting constantly pull spam texts towards me.
- 34:24Speaker 1: I normally don't, I usually react the way Hassan Piker
- 34:27Speaker 1: reacts when he's not getting his internet service restored quickly enough. Um,
- 34:31Speaker 1: but nonetheless, my ad, like I, you know, so my
- 34:33Speaker 1: sense is, is that Ah, so you're getting the responses
- 34:36Speaker 1: of people who have nothing better to do than to
- 34:39Speaker 1: answer a bunch of questions from somebody who texted them
- 34:41Speaker 1: out of the blue. And again, we talked about not
- 34:43Speaker 1: being able to verify the donor responses. All you know
- 34:46Speaker 1: about a person is their phone number. So how do
- 34:48Speaker 1: you know that they're living in the right House district,
- 34:50Speaker 1: Senate district, or Senate state, or something like that? So
- 34:54Speaker 1: I find it very hard to buy this. Buyer beware
- 34:58Speaker 1: at this time of year. there's a hunger for polls
- 35:02Speaker 1: that will, you know, like people will, particularly when people
- 35:05Speaker 1: see good news for their side, they will eagerly share
- 35:08Speaker 1: that poll and not care if it's a survey of
- 35:10Speaker 1: like nine people.
- 35:13Speaker 4: That's exactly right. So be careful and make sure you
- 35:16Speaker 4: vote regardless of what the numbers say. So Jim.
- 35:18Speaker 1: In fact, if you're in Virginia, if you're in Virginia,
- 35:21Speaker 1: you can vote today. Also, I believe Minnesota and South Dakota.
- 35:24Speaker 4: Utterly ridiculous. Jim, charity of national review. I'm Greg Karambas
- 35:28Speaker 4: of Radio America. Thanks so much for being with us today.
- 35:31Speaker 4: Please be sure to subscribe to the 3 Martini Lunch podcast.
- 35:34Speaker 4: If you don't already, tell your friends about it as well.
- 35:36Speaker 4: Thanks also for your five-star ratings and your kind reviews.
- 35:39Speaker 4: Please keep those coming. Get us on your home devices.
- 35:41Speaker 4: All you have to say is play 3 Martini Lunch podcast.
- 35:43Speaker 4: Follow both of us on X. Jim is at Jim Garrity.
- 35:46Speaker 4: I'm at Greg Karambas. Have a fantastic weekend. Join us
- 35:50Speaker 4: again on Monday for the next 3 Martini Lunch.