Latest / The Fourcast / Minneapolis ICE shooting: innocent victim or ‘domestic terrorist’?
Transcript
- 0:00It is impossible for someone to show you that video from
- 0:03yesterday and prove to you, well, this is terrorism.
- 0:05But that message, because it was propagated so early by this
- 0:08administration, is being accepted by millions of people
- 0:12without a second thought. And that is very alarming
- 0:15because it expands beyond this incident.
- 0:18What happens when there's an act of terrorism?
- 0:20Well, what you do is you increase a law enforcement
- 0:22presence and you crack down on the potential perpetrators.
- 0:25There are folks inside this administration, people I worked
- 0:27with in the first Trump administration, who have been
- 0:30waiting for and looking for a pretext for a domestic terrorism
- 0:35crackdown. Hello and welcome to the
- 0:41forecast an innocent woman shot dead in her car by aggressive
- 0:45ICE officers who've terrorized the city, or a domestic
- 0:48terrorist who weaponized her vehicle and tried to kill an
- 0:51agent who was lucky to escape with his life.
- 0:54The competing narratives over what exactly happened at
- 0:57Minneapolis yesterday are now entrenched, and the fallout from
- 1:01the shooting has gone national and is going global.
- 1:04All this happening in the middle of President Trump's aggressive
- 1:07immigration push with thousands of federal agents deployed to
- 1:11Minneapolis as the White House tries to demonstrate toughness
- 1:15ahead of the midterm elections. Protests are spreading and the
- 1:19city's become the latest battleground in a national fight
- 1:22over immigration policing and political strategy.
- 1:26Well, today on the forecast, we speak to Miles Taylor, who
- 1:28worked in the Department for Homeland Security in the first
- 1:31Trump administration and has since become a very vocal critic
- 1:35of the president. And Minneapolis based journalist
- 1:37Madison McMahon, who's been reporting from the scene.
- 1:40So let's just go, you know, to the scene itself.
- 1:43Let's go to Minneapolis and talk to Madison.
- 1:46Madison. I mean, we saw the
- 1:48demonstrations last night. There was a vigil, I think
- 1:50overnight, the the actual shooting itself was played again
- 1:54and again and again on cable television.
- 1:57But with these two very different takes depending on who
- 2:00you were watching, What's the latest, you know, on the ground?
- 2:03What's the mood in the city? And to what extent do people
- 2:05there think that they are in the heart of this kind of
- 2:08battleground? Well, the city of Minneapolis is
- 2:11no stranger to being at the heart of conversations about
- 2:15police brutality and in racial violence.
- 2:21This is where George Floyd was murdered in 2020.
- 2:25Just a. Few blocks away, right?
- 2:26Yeah, yeah. The shooting of Renee Goode was
- 2:28just a, you know, less than a mile from where the murder of
- 2:31George Floyd occurred. So this is a community that
- 2:36already is wary of law enforcement that has come out
- 2:41and and demonstrated in mass against law enforcement
- 2:45violence. And yesterday's shooting was
- 2:48definitely a reminder of that for the people of South
- 2:50Minneapolis. This morning we saw some renewed
- 2:55protests at the federal building outside of Minneapolis where the
- 3:00local ICE agency is headquartered.
- 3:04A complicating factor here is that, you know, in 2020, the
- 3:06protests were against the Minneapolis Police Department
- 3:09specifically. And now we're seeing protests
- 3:12against federal law enforcement, which complicates things.
- 3:16You know, ICE are not the people who are responding to protests.
- 3:19And so we didn't see things escalate, you know, like they
- 3:24did in 2020. Yesterday, there was some
- 3:26deployment of of tear gas as ICE agents were leaving the scene.
- 3:32But, you know, not that type of stand off as the Minneapolis
- 3:36police left, for example. So some key differences and some
- 3:39similarities to 2020 we're seeing here.
- 3:42Yeah, and I want to get to the, you know, the the differences
- 3:44and especially the sort of potential pitting of of federal
- 3:47agencies against local or state law enforcement agencies in a
- 3:50minute, because that is that could be quite dangerous.
- 3:52Just before we get to that Madison, I mean, Minneapolis has
- 3:56had a very troubled recent history with ICE agents, hasn't
- 4:00it? And of course, it's not the only
- 4:01city that falls into that category.
- 4:03Tell us a little bit about that. Right.
- 4:05I think for people outside of the US, I, I, I think it's
- 4:09important to talk about what, the way that the residents of,
- 4:15of cities have been responding to ICE.
- 4:17I mean, there has been a mass movement to train people to
- 4:22alert the public when ICE is carrying out an operation, to
- 4:27come out and demonstrate and in some cases, disrupt ICE
- 4:30operations. So that seemed to be kind of the
- 4:33situation yesterday when Renee Good was killed.
- 4:36There were some, there was a ICE vehicle that was stuck in the
- 4:39snow. Some people were blowing
- 4:42whistles. They were honking horns.
- 4:43They were drawing attention to the fact that ICE was present in
- 4:46the neighborhood, drawing people out to protest and disrupt.
- 4:50We don't know specifically what Renee Good was doing there.
- 4:52There's still a lot we don't know about what her involvement
- 4:54may have been in these organizations, but her car was
- 4:58parked there. So we don't know Madden if she
- 5:01was part of that disruption exercise.
- 5:05Eyewitnesses on the scene told me that she was yelling at ICE
- 5:09agents and had blocked their vehicles with her car.
- 5:13But what we don't know is how involved she may have been in
- 5:15some of these organizations that are doing that, whether she was
- 5:18kind of an independent bystander or if she was someone who was,
- 5:22you know, you know, tightly incorporated into the
- 5:25organizations that are protesting.
- 5:27Nice. Right, Miles.
- 5:29Miles Taylor, let's get to you. I mean, one thing that really
- 5:31struck me about this, and it's not the first time I had this
- 5:33impression in President Trump's second term, is how quick the
- 5:37administration was to jump on this incident and politicize it,
- 5:41frankly. I mean, you had Kirsty Gnome
- 5:43appearing, I think first of all, in Brownville, Texas, sooner
- 5:46soon after the shooting, wearing a cowboy hat and basically
- 5:50saying that Renee Goode was a domestic terrorist, you know,
- 5:53without any shadow of a doubt stating that she was using her
- 5:56vehicle, you know, to try and harm ICE agents.
- 6:00It was an act of domestic terrorism.
- 6:03What happened? It was our ICE officers were out
- 6:05in enforcement action. They got stuck in the snow
- 6:08because of the adverse weather that is in Minneapolis.
- 6:11They were attempting to push out their vehicle and a woman
- 6:13attacked them and those surrounding them and attempted
- 6:15to run them over and ram them with her vehicle.
- 6:20She seemed to row back from that just a little bit later on in
- 6:23another statement that she made on the in Minneapolis later that
- 6:26day. And the president himself also
- 6:29at first seeming to jump on this.
- 6:31I mean, the fact that it's being politicized quite overtly by the
- 6:36administration and that you don't get the usual calls for
- 6:39calm that you would expect. How significant is that?
- 6:44Well, look, all I can tell you is what I would have done when I
- 6:50was chief of staff at DHS, which I was in the previous Trump
- 6:55administration. I've been there with a lot of
- 6:58these same characters. And what I would tell you is
- 7:02after you have an officer shooting where an American
- 7:06citizen is killed, what you don't do is then fire more
- 7:10rhetorical shots because you dramatically increase the risk
- 7:15of escalation, inflaming the community and putting more
- 7:19people in danger. And you certainly don't do that
- 7:21before you have all of the facts.
- 7:23And yet, as you noted, the secretary went out there
- 7:26publicly and said this was an act of domestic terrorism,
- 7:29accused the victim of being a terrorist.
- 7:33So if I was there right now, this is honestly the
- 7:35conversation I would be having. I would be talking to the
- 7:38secretary about resignations up and down the chain of command up
- 7:42to and including her and my own, because this is the type of
- 7:46thing, this is the type of rhetoric, like I said, that is
- 7:49like follow on shots after the incident itself.
- 7:53And, and keep in mind here this week, here is the context.
- 7:57The administration was surging ICE agents into Minnesota under
- 8:02the auspices of investigating fishy accounting at
- 8:06kindergartens. Okay, fishy accounting at.
- 8:08Kindergartens, that's. Right.
- 8:11And the responding with massive armed lethal force.
- 8:15So in a lot of ways, to Americans, this has the
- 8:18hallmarks of Kent State 1970. That's when 4 unarmed student
- 8:23protesters were killed by the National Guard.
- 8:25And it set off a wave of protests in the United States.
- 8:29In a lot of ways, this feels like that.
- 8:32Is there anyone, as far as you know, in your position today at
- 8:36the Department of Homeland Security who's having more
- 8:39difficult conversations with the secretary?
- 8:41Christina, I'm saying don't go this far.
- 8:44You've overstepped a line. Try and row him back.
- 8:46Or are they all basically, you know, one team behind her and
- 8:49behind the president? If there are folks of
- 8:53conscience, I've yet to see them.
- 8:55And, and I'll say this, watching how this played out, it's very
- 8:59clear to me that this is not a one off or a fog of war
- 9:03accident. And and you have to go back in
- 9:05time a little bit to see that Donald Trump has been
- 9:09conditioning ICE to shoot 1st and explain later.
- 9:13He's been doing that for months. And the message from the top has
- 9:16been pretty unmistakable. If you go back to July, for
- 9:18instance, the president melted down after protesters vandalized
- 9:23ICE cars. He said, you know, these were
- 9:25brand new vehicles he'd given them and they showed total
- 9:27disrespect for law order. What he said after that was he
- 9:30was directing the secretary of Homeland Security to give total
- 9:34authorization to use whatever means necessary against
- 9:38protester thugs. That's what the president said.
- 9:40And in the in the wake of that, we have seen ICE engage in
- 9:44illegal entry, warrantless arrests, arrests of U.S.
- 9:47citizens, violent assaults. I mean, things that I never saw
- 9:50the agency do when I was helping to oversee it.
- 9:52And now to a lot of Americans, that looks like the president
- 9:56has given them a license to kill.
- 9:59And we have not seen folks within the agencies stand up and
- 10:03say, Mr. President, we can't do this.
- 10:05If anything, they are reflexively defending officers
- 10:08even when video shows it might be the indefensible.
- 10:12Now, the administration would reply to that, hang on a minute.
- 10:15This is what the American people voted for.
- 10:17They knew what my anti immigration agenda was when I,
- 10:21you know, was on the ballot last year.
- 10:23I won, you know, convincingly. And this is what they're now
- 10:26getting. ICE agents are going in there to
- 10:28the poor people who shouldn't be in our country.
- 10:30That's what they would say. Yeah, and I would respond to
- 10:33them that that's a bold lie. The three things they told
- 10:37America that ICE was going to do if Donald Trump got re elected
- 10:41was 1, ICE was going to go after dangerous criminal aliens, 2.
- 10:45ICE would not be harassing U.S. citizens.
- 10:47And three, ICE would be following all rules and it would
- 10:50be following the law. Well, let's go to that first lie
- 10:53about ICE going after criminal aliens.
- 10:55If you look at the recent arrest statistics, only 10% of recently
- 11:00arrested and detained immigrants have criminal records.
- 11:03In other words, 90% of the people ISIS arresting right now
- 11:07are people without criminal records, students, families,
- 11:09parents, people who've been here for decades.
- 11:12OK, that's a huge deal. And it's something that people
- 11:14are starting to pick up on and say even conservatives like Joe
- 11:17Rogan, who supported this president.
- 11:19Wait a second, Mr. President, you said we were going after
- 11:21criminal aliens, and now 9 and 10 of people you're picking up
- 11:24are not that second lie about ICE not harassing U.S. citizens.
- 11:27I mean, Christine Gnome just testified before the US
- 11:29Congress. No, we're not harassing U.S.
- 11:30citizens In the wake of a report coming out showing that hundreds
- 11:34of Americans have been arrested by ICE, swept up in these raids.
- 11:38I'll remind folks that's unconstitutional.
- 11:40That's against our United States Constitution.
- 11:42And then finally, that claim that ICE is following the law.
- 11:45Let me tell you what Tom Holman said this week.
- 11:47The borders are at the White House, he said.
- 11:49I have not seen ICE act outside of policy.
- 11:52I'll tell you what, either one of two things is true.
- 11:55Either Tom Holman knows he's lying through his teeth, or
- 11:58somehow he has secretly authorized ICE to break the law.
- 12:01Because I know just as much about this as Tom, and I've
- 12:03watched every single day on social media feeds, ICE do
- 12:07things that are completely outside of policy, the policy
- 12:10both Tom and I were responsible for implementing in that first
- 12:14Trump administration. So this is not what the American
- 12:17people voted for. They voted for something very
- 12:19different that was sold to them and now the administration is
- 12:22moving the goal post. Although to be fair to Tom
- 12:24Holman, he was also on CBS News last night saying, actually,
- 12:30let's not rush to judgement, you know, in brackets, unlike some
- 12:33of my colleagues. And let's find out what the
- 12:35investigation, what the body cams actually what story they
- 12:38tell on the ground. So I think you know, So he he
- 12:41was slightly more judicious there than than some of the
- 12:43people in the administration. Madison Mcgrahan, if I can get
- 12:46back to you. I mean, Miles referred to it.
- 12:49But how does it feel in Minneapolis?
- 12:51Does it feel like a city that is kind of under ICE occupation and
- 12:55the mayor yesterday, using some very fruity language amongst
- 12:59other things, referred to the fact that ICE was tearing
- 13:01families apart? What they are doing is not to
- 13:04provide safety in America. What they are doing is causing
- 13:09chaos and distrust. They're ripping families apart.
- 13:14They're sowing chaos on our streets and in this case, quite
- 13:18literally killing people. Is that true and give us some
- 13:23description of that? Yes, it certainly feels like
- 13:26that. I was speaking to my editor
- 13:28today. He pointed out that the number
- 13:30of ICE agents in the Twin Cities right now is several times, that
- 13:35is several times the size of the local Police Department.
- 13:38So it really does feel like they are everywhere in terms of the
- 13:43way that they're carrying out their operations.
- 13:45They're getting in and out quickly.
- 13:47It seems like they're kind of going in arresting one person or
- 13:51a small group and then getting out before people really have
- 13:53time to congregate around them. Like I said before, that's
- 13:56that's kind of the goal of a lot of the residents is to disrupt
- 13:59these things. Now they're getting in and out.
- 14:02So we're seeing these kind of isolated standoffs.
- 14:06I and yesterday's shooting just really ramped up the stakes and
- 14:10made the tensions significantly higher.
- 14:12I think we're also going to see more people going to these
- 14:15trainings, getting involved in these organizations that are
- 14:18combating ice. I mean, you saw that in the turn
- 14:21out at the vigil. Yes, last night.
- 14:22I mean, thousands of people on the block where Renee Goode was
- 14:25shot and the organizers of the vigil urging people to get
- 14:30involved in, you know, the groups that are working to
- 14:33protest and disrupt ice operations.
- 14:36And I think we should talk about Renee Goode herself a bit.
- 14:38Tell us about her. What I know.
- 14:39She was 37 year old and she had a six year old son.
- 14:42Tell us a bit more about her. What kind of a person was she?
- 14:45You know, we're still learning about that.
- 14:47She, We know that she was a poet.
- 14:49We know that she played music. She was a recent arrival to the
- 14:54Twin Cities. We know she spent some time in
- 14:55Missouri and I believe Colorado. But, you know, it's been just
- 15:02about 24 hours since she was killed.
- 15:04And we're still, you know, working on getting in touch with
- 15:07people who knew her to really get a portrait of what kind of a
- 15:10person she was. Just on, on Minnesota, I mean,
- 15:15you know, the president just a few weeks ago launched this very
- 15:18aggressive tirade against Somali, the Somali community in
- 15:22your state, which is sizeable, basically telling them to go
- 15:25back home, even though the majority of them are American
- 15:27citizens. So, I mean, Minnesota has been a
- 15:30bit of a battleground for this administration, hasn't it?
- 15:33It has been. And, you know, people outside
- 15:36the US may recall that our governor, Tim Walz, was selected
- 15:41to be the vice presidential nominee.
- 15:43So I that really put our governor and our state on the
- 15:46national scale. Tim Walls himself became a a
- 15:50frequent target of Donald Trump and that's continued even after
- 15:54Donald Trump won his re election campaign.
- 15:56Tim Walls came back to Minnesota and Walls actually earlier this
- 16:01week suspended or ended really his campaign for a third term
- 16:06because of some of these fraud issues.
- 16:09And just briefly on Governor Waltz, what's he been saying?
- 16:13Is he, you know, using a more cautious land than the mayor of
- 16:16Minneapolis? And, you know, is he, you know,
- 16:19I think he was suggesting possibly sending out the the
- 16:21National Guard. Is that actually going to
- 16:23happen? Is that a possibility?
- 16:25It's certainly a possibility. He has told the National Guard
- 16:29to be prepared to deploy if needed.
- 16:32Again, another parallel to 2020. He, you know, Tim Walz,
- 16:36activated the National Guard to quell some of the protests after
- 16:40the police murder of George Floyd.
- 16:42So we kind of just told them be ready for something like that to
- 16:44happen again. A lot of the activists here want
- 16:48to see him use the National Guard to protect people from
- 16:53ICE. Yeah, Which, you know, would
- 16:55spark a whole bunch of constitutional questions and
- 16:58possibly put an even bigger target on Minnesota's back.
- 17:02I mean, Miles, what I found really fascinating is this
- 17:04prospect, which is potentially really alarming, of two
- 17:07agencies, one state and one federal had loggerheads with
- 17:10each other. I mean, that's a recipe for
- 17:12division and disaster, isn't it? I mean, how worried are you
- 17:15about this whole, you know, the texture of America kind of
- 17:20falling apart, coming apart to the seams because of, you know,
- 17:23the federal government is using a federal agency, ICE against
- 17:27state and local authority. And we saw this in Chicago, you
- 17:32know, we saw this to some extent, you know, in here in, in
- 17:36DC where ICE agents were on the streets, although, of course,
- 17:39you know, there is no state here.
- 17:41But that's, that's kind of worrying, isn't it, for the
- 17:43future of America? Yeah, I mean, look, you don't
- 17:46have to take my word for it that the administration's falsehoods
- 17:49here are having an impact on Americans confidence.
- 17:53In fact, if you look at Gallup polls, recent Gallup polls,
- 17:56trend lines and Americans trust in the federal government are
- 18:00plummeting. They are absolutely plummeting
- 18:03year over year. What does that mean?
- 18:05Well, that means that overall public safety is damaged by
- 18:09this. So specifically when it comes to
- 18:11federal law enforcement, if members of the public are losing
- 18:14trust in law enforcement, I'll tell you having, you know, run
- 18:18what is the biggest law enforcement agency in America at
- 18:20DHS? If they don't trust you, they
- 18:23don't report crimes to you, they don't cooperate with you during
- 18:26investigations. And as a result, the criminal
- 18:29situation gets worse. Everyone is less safe.
- 18:32It also bleeds over into wider law enforcement.
- 18:35So when trust in federal law enforcement like ICE is going
- 18:37through the floor, people don't go check every police officers
- 18:40badge and say, ah, you're part of this agency or that agency.
- 18:43They start to lump them together, their heads.
- 18:44And so that overall social fabric is affected by this
- 18:49decreased faith in law enforcement.
- 18:50And I will tell you from having talked to other law enforcement
- 18:53leaders, people at other agencies are really worried
- 18:57about this. They are saying what ICE is
- 18:59doing is making all of us look bad and it's affecting public
- 19:03safety writ large. So that's the big, big macro
- 19:06concern right now with everything we are seeing with
- 19:09this agency. It's interesting, actually, just
- 19:11on the stage behind Christy Norm, the Homeland Security
- 19:13secretary, I think on both occasions yesterday in Texas and
- 19:16in Minneapolis, you saw, you know, the representative of the
- 19:20Army of ICE, of the local police.
- 19:22None of them look very happy, I have to say.
- 19:24They, they're all, you know, you can just imagine that scenario
- 19:27that you've just outlined playing out in their own minds
- 19:30repeatedly under these circumstances.
- 19:32Miles, I just want you to tell me a little bit more about ICE,
- 19:35because we know that ICE was perhaps the biggest beneficiary
- 19:38of the big beautiful budget. That's right.
- 19:40I mean, ICE has now become the largest federal law enforcement
- 19:45agency in America, and as you know, larger than the armed
- 19:48forces of most nations, and it's still growing.
- 19:52And to staff that expansion, what the administration has
- 19:55done, because it's been very hard to meet those numbers, is
- 19:58they've lowered qualification standards while openly lowering
- 20:03recruitment standards. And soliciting people from MAGA
- 20:08fan bases, from the president's fan bases that they know that
- 20:10they can inspire to come and join the mission.
- 20:13And they're doing that with with memes and online propaganda
- 20:17about cleansing the homeland. I mean, some very, very
- 20:20provocative messaging to try to fill their ranks.
- 20:22The consequence, of course, is that law enforcement officials
- 20:25have warned that the agency is going to be fielding under
- 20:29trained, under qualified and ideologically motivated federal
- 20:34officers to roam the streets of American cities.
- 20:37And you combine that with the fact that the president is
- 20:40arming them with this use all means necessary authorities,
- 20:45you've got a recipe for many more incidents like we saw
- 20:49yesterday in Minnesota. So this is, in a sense, a
- 20:52witch's brew of potential corruption and violence.
- 20:57We are seen by making this agency so big, so fast and
- 21:00unprepared to meet the moment. So Madison, I mean, you know, we
- 21:04go back to the murder of George Floyd that, you know, the police
- 21:08officer who murdered him ended up being tried and convicted
- 21:11and, you know, is in jail. And I'm sure that after that,
- 21:13the mini Minneapolis police tried really, really hard to to
- 21:17repair relations with the local community and so on.
- 21:20So what was what was their attitude when they saw ice
- 21:23officers behaving that they did yesterday and and a few weeks
- 21:26before? Yeah, Minneapolis Police Chief
- 21:30Brian O'Hara said, you know, condemned the actions yesterday
- 21:33and basically said that he couldn't see any justification
- 21:36for using lethal force in that situation.
- 21:39Minneapolis, like many American cities, has what we call a
- 21:43separation ordinance, which means that local police are not
- 21:48allowed, according to city rules, to assist ICE in
- 21:51immigration enforcement. They can assist with criminal,
- 21:54with criminal matters, but they're not supposed to help ICE
- 21:58arrest people solely because of their immigration status.
- 22:02So our local police leaders have reiterated that, But the scene
- 22:07on the ground is often confusing.
- 22:09Like Miles said, people aren't always thinking, you know, what
- 22:12particular agency is this law enforcement officer with?
- 22:15There's a broader anti law enforcement sentiment that's
- 22:18been growing because of the agent, because of the actions of
- 22:20ICE that I do believe Minneapolis police see damaging
- 22:24their community relationships. When I was on the ground
- 22:27yesterday in the immediate aftermath of the shooting,
- 22:31Minneapolis police were present. City leaders said that was
- 22:35because this is an active crime scene they're investigating.
- 22:38But people were insulting the police.
- 22:40They were throwing snowballs at them.
- 22:44You know, So there's kind of, you know, there's certainly is a
- 22:46visible disconnect between the attitude of the leadership or at
- 22:49least their public statements and what the public perception
- 22:52of them is in Minneapolis right now.
- 22:54I mean, Miles, what I find so alarming about the state of
- 22:57America today, and, you know, it's been accelerated by the
- 23:00second Trump presidency, but it was there before as well.
- 23:03It said there are two rival versions of the truth here.
- 23:07You know, think back to what Kellyanne Conway, you know,
- 23:11Trump's chief strategist communications officer in the
- 23:14first administration, said. These are our rival facts.
- 23:18So 1/2 of America thinks that Renee Good was a domestic
- 23:21terrorist and the other half of the country thinks that she was,
- 23:25you know, murdered by ICE officers who are overreaching
- 23:28their power. The president, as far as I can
- 23:31see, has done very little to calm down tempers, you know, and
- 23:34to to make everyone step back from the brink a little bit
- 23:37because that's not the way he operates.
- 23:39I mean, the rival versions of truth about something like this
- 23:42again, that's a recipe for disaster, isn't it?
- 23:45It really is. And, and, and because there are
- 23:47rival versions, it doesn't mean that there's no objective truth.
- 23:51I mean, I look, I will tell you I, I remain a Republican and a
- 23:54conservative, but you know, I, I've spent 20 years responding
- 23:58to terrorist attacks in the United States, in the UK, in
- 24:02other countries. And terrorism has a very
- 24:05specific definition. It is intentional violence meant
- 24:09to intimidate or coerce A civilian population.
- 24:13And it is impossible for someone to show you that video from
- 24:17yesterday and prove to you, well, this is terrorism.
- 24:19This individual meant to intimidate or coerce the
- 24:21population of the United States by committing an, an act of
- 24:24violence. That's, that's very hard to see
- 24:27there. But that message, because it was
- 24:29propagated so early by this administration, is being
- 24:32accepted by millions of people without a second thought that
- 24:37this was an act of terrorism. And that is very alarming
- 24:40because it expands beyond this incident.
- 24:43What happens when there's an act of terrorism?
- 24:45Well, what you do is you increase a law enforcement
- 24:47presence and you crack down on the potential perpetrators.
- 24:50There are folks inside this administration, people I worked
- 24:52with in the first Trump administration, who have been
- 24:55waiting for and looking for a pretext for a domestic terrorism
- 25:00crackdown on the political opposition in the United States.
- 25:03So the fear right now is that this incident and others like it
- 25:07will be used to try to go to the opposition, to overreact, to try
- 25:11to get protests, to be violent, to justify the administration's
- 25:15crackdowns. Because right now, 2000 ICE
- 25:18officers in a state that has accounting problems with
- 25:22kindergartens does not seem to meet the moment, seems like an
- 25:26overreaction on the side of government.
- 25:28And so this administration is looking for a way to justify
- 25:31that visually. And, and that's why they're
- 25:34hoping that the opposition overreacts.
- 25:37And it's one more reason why commentators are out there
- 25:40saying when people protest, which they will, and it's likely
- 25:43that these protests become nationwide this weekend, that
- 25:47they need to do so peacefully. That's very, very important to
- 25:50remind folks in moments like these.
- 25:52OK. And Madison, in that context,
- 25:54it's quite interesting that the mayor of Minneapolis used, you
- 25:57know, some pretty unacceptable language, you know, for
- 25:59primetime television. He used the F word when he told
- 26:02ICE to get the F out of Minneapolis.
- 26:05You know, I'm sure that that played very well with some of
- 26:07the crowd, but is that helpful, that kind of language when you
- 26:10consider how bitter the divisions are and and do the do
- 26:14the people are kind of organizing against ICE?
- 26:17The grassroots organizations? And I saw them operating in DC,
- 26:20by the way, in the summer and it was really fascinating to see
- 26:23how quickly they were quick they were to organize stuff and warn
- 26:26people about the presence of ICE.
- 26:28Do they get that message what Miles has just outlined?
- 26:31Will they hold back a little bit or will they double down on the
- 26:33demonstrations? I think whether or not his
- 26:36rhetoric was helpful depends on your perspective.
- 26:39Was it helpful in de escalating the tensions that we're feeling?
- 26:43Probably not. But when you look at the city
- 26:47politics, the local feelings here, a lot of people share his
- 26:51sentiment, you know, get ice out of here as fast as you can.
- 26:55So potentially helpful and, you know, creating, you know, better
- 27:02sentiment for the mayor in this town.
- 27:04He's actually been very criticized by a lot of the
- 27:07people who are involved in these immigrant rights groups.
- 27:10So we actually saw him more aligned with these groups.
- 27:15Well, he was mayor during the police killing of George Floyd,
- 27:18so he took a lot of the heat for criticism of the police at that
- 27:23time. And so just like the Police
- 27:25Department, he's been trying to repair his relationships with
- 27:29the community, particularly, you know, civil rights activists,
- 27:34immigrant rights organizations, those kinds of things.
- 27:36So he was actually more with them yesterday than, you know,
- 27:40I've seen in a while. Interesting.
- 27:42I mean, maybe he's trying to repair some past damage there
- 27:45himself. Miles back to you.
- 27:46I mean, you know, the one question I keep being asked when
- 27:50I'm back in the UK is how likely is it that the Trump
- 27:53administration will try and somehow, you know, scrap the
- 27:56midterm elections, come up with some excuse to delay them, you
- 27:59know, use emergency powers in order to to shoot demonstrators
- 28:03on the streets. I mean, you know, these very,
- 28:05very dark scenarios which are played out on various Hollywood
- 28:08screens, but not necessarily on the streets, you know, bring us
- 28:12back to planet reality. How likely is it that the
- 28:15administration will use some of the things that we've seen and
- 28:19take them to the next level? Well, two things are true here.
- 28:23Unfortunately, these aren't conspiracy theories because they
- 28:27come from the president's mouth. I mean, there are things he
- 28:30wants to do, however, he doesn't have the authority to do them.
- 28:35So let me let me start with elections and shooting unarmed
- 28:38people. You know, look, Donald Trump has
- 28:40speculated about canceling elections in the United States.
- 28:44He does not have the authority to do that.
- 28:46Donald Trump has speculated about shooting unarmed
- 28:50civilians. I was on the receiving end of
- 28:52some some of those initial directives years ago when he
- 28:56told us he wanted to shoot people in the legs at the
- 28:59border. I was the one who came out
- 29:00publicly and and talked about that because it was so alarming.
- 29:03Now, we had to remind the president that under the
- 29:05military's rules of engagement, no, we could not do that.
- 29:08No, that was not lawful. But he continued to say things
- 29:12like that throughout his term. So again, like I said, these are
- 29:16things that the President of the United States thinks and says
- 29:19and intends to do, and yet the law doesn't permit him to do it
- 29:22so to. Interrupt Does anyone reminding
- 29:24him today that he can't do that as you reminded him then?
- 29:28I, I worry that they're not. I mean, let me give you a very
- 29:30recent example. Let's look at Greenland.
- 29:32I was also one of the first people to be on the receiving
- 29:34end of the president's request that we take over Greenland.
- 29:37Now, that's something that we conveyed to the president and
- 29:39the White House we thought was an absurd idea and is something
- 29:44that we shrugged off. Now, in a second Trump
- 29:47administration, he's surrounded by advisers who are trying to
- 29:51goad him into taking over the territory of a NATO ally.
- 29:55That is a marked contrast. And I think we are seeing that
- 29:58on a lot of issues in this second Trump administration.
- 30:01There are not people telling him to follow domestic and
- 30:03international law. There are people trying to find
- 30:06him workarounds to domestic and international law.
- 30:09But as it relates to elections, look, I'll say this.
- 30:11The president doesn't have the authority to cancel elections,
- 30:14but I do believe he will try to engage in efforts that you would
- 30:18characterize as voter suppression, try to get the
- 30:20political opposition in certain areas to make it harder for them
- 30:24to vote to in, to decrease their likelihood of voting so that his
- 30:28party is more likely to win. Those are what we're going to be
- 30:31looking out for, those types of efforts of voter suppression.
- 30:34And it's going to be something that the American people need to
- 30:36be very, very aware of. Know your rights training used
- 30:39to be a really boring bureaucratic term.
- 30:41You're going to see around the United States in 2026 a lot of
- 30:44organizations reminding the American people what their
- 30:47constitutional and legal rights are because of what's happening
- 30:51from their government. But to conclude, you know, this
- 30:54first week of the year 2026 was a pretty sobering week in which
- 30:57we were reminded at the beginning of the week with the
- 31:00actions in Venezuela that America thinks might is right
- 31:04and the same thing at the end of the week or towards the end of
- 31:06the week on the frozen streets of Minneapolis.
- 31:09Yeah, I think that's absolutely right.
- 31:11And, and look, I respond to this as someone who has spent many
- 31:14years saying Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela should be removed from
- 31:18power, as someone who's been saying for many years, we need
- 31:21to fix a broken immigration policy in the United States.
- 31:24But neither of those policies, the way they've been executed by
- 31:28this administration, have been done in a way that is lawful.
- 31:31There's a right way and a wrong way to go about things.
- 31:33And I think what's starting to concern so many people, and not
- 31:36just Democrats in the United States, independents and
- 31:38disaffected Republicans, is that this administration is carrying
- 31:42out actions that federal judges continue to find are contrary to
- 31:46the constitution. Dozens of federal judges have
- 31:49ruled this administration has violated the constitution.
- 31:51And in that regard, we are in uncharted territory.
- 31:55OK. On that serving note, that's it
- 31:57for the Forecast. Miles Taylor, Madison McMahon,
- 32:00thank you very much to both of you for coming on this edition
- 32:03of the Forecast. I hope you found it interesting.
- 32:05I certainly did. See you next time.