Latest / The Money Puzzle / Special Edition - Australia's Top Financial Adviser tells all
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm
- 0:13Speaker 1: James Kirby. Welcome aboard everybody to a special edition of
- 0:17Speaker 1: the show. You may know I've been associated with the
- 0:20Speaker 1: Top one hundred and fifty Barons Financial Advisor's List, which
- 0:24Speaker 1: is produced by us at The Australian in conjunction with
- 0:27Speaker 1: Barons of New York. Well, it's out today and this year,
- 0:32Speaker 1: this year we have a new number one financial advisor
- 0:35Speaker 1: in Australia which is a big deal. I'll tell you why,
- 0:38Speaker 1: because there hasn't been a new number one for five years.
- 0:42Speaker 1: And it is Matthew Cassidy of the Partner's Wealth Group
- 0:47Speaker 1: and I've got him on the show him, Matthew, how are.
- 0:50Speaker 2: You very well? Thank you, James, I'm very good morning.
- 0:53Speaker 1: Great to have you on. Matthew has been on the
- 0:55Speaker 1: show before, folks, so it's good to have him as regular.
- 0:57Speaker 1: Best we know him on the show and he is
- 1:01Speaker 1: obviously both a top advisor but very good on the
- 1:04Speaker 1: big picture as well.
- 1:05Speaker 2: Matthew.
- 1:06Speaker 1: I mean, I just did a lot of work this
- 1:08Speaker 1: time of the year on the whole advisory scene and
- 1:13Speaker 1: a couple of things I wanted to ask you, but
- 1:15Speaker 1: just quickly, just for the listeners, and you know, if
- 1:17Speaker 1: you're not across this stuff, you know, financial advisors basically
- 1:20Speaker 1: there was fifteen thousand of them left in Australia. There
- 1:22Speaker 1: was about thirty ten years ago or so. That's the
- 1:26Speaker 1: first sort of big piece of news. The second major
- 1:31Speaker 1: change in the industry is apart from the fact that
- 1:35Speaker 1: they've become very expensive and even an ordinary every day
- 1:39Speaker 1: around the corner suburban advisor will cost you maybe three
- 1:42Speaker 1: and a half thousand dollars a year. But apart from that,
- 1:46Speaker 1: there's also been something of a split where people like
- 1:50Speaker 1: Matthew at his partner's wealth group and other groups they have,
- 1:54Speaker 1: they're very much sort of sailed off into a sort
- 1:57Speaker 1: of a league of their own. And then there is
- 2:01Speaker 1: a gap, I suppose for in the market, and that's
- 2:03Speaker 1: something that I would probably talk about. But Matthew, so
- 2:06Speaker 1: think the first things first, you know, I want to
- 2:09Speaker 1: ask you, what can people reasonably expect from an advisor?
- 2:15Speaker 1: And I'm thinking about top advisors, not just you, but
- 2:18Speaker 1: that's that whole sort of corehort that's on the group.
- 2:21Speaker 1: What do you do that's above and beyond what might
- 2:26Speaker 1: be reasonably expected. How come people like you wrapped up
- 2:30Speaker 1: to the top of this list.
- 2:33Speaker 3: So having a financial advisor is a dedicated financial professional.
- 2:38Speaker 3: I was seeing all components of your financial wellbeing for
- 2:41Speaker 3: yourself and your family. I think that also gives consideration
- 2:45Speaker 3: to your other broader business interests over the last you know,
- 2:50Speaker 3: I've been in this industry for twenty five years, and
- 2:53Speaker 3: the industry today to what it was when I first entered,
- 2:56Speaker 3: looks materially different, and the service offering that we have
- 2:59Speaker 3: is also materially different. The Australia, in terms of its
- 3:04Speaker 3: tax regime for accumulating wealth is complex on a world scale.
- 3:09Speaker 3: Last week I was in Singapore speaking with some wealth
- 3:11Speaker 3: management firms, and certainly in the US as well, it is.
- 3:14Speaker 2: Not as complex as it is in Australia.
- 3:15Speaker 3: And the questions that we think about when we sit
- 3:18Speaker 3: down with clients is not simply what do we do
- 3:22Speaker 3: to invest your capital? But it gives consideration to components
- 3:25Speaker 3: like tax structural advice. We work alongside fifty plus accounting firms.
- 3:31Speaker 3: We try to ensure we incorporate the tax structural side
- 3:34Speaker 3: into what we do with our accounting partners. Retirement planning, investment,
- 3:39Speaker 3: advice including private markets, insurance advice, legal services including a
- 3:43Speaker 3: state planning, lending, family office and subfamily office. So to me,
- 3:48Speaker 3: what a top advisor will do is collaborate amongst our
- 3:53Speaker 3: broader team of professionals within the business that all have
- 3:56Speaker 3: certain areas of expertise, and together they're much stronger. And
- 3:59Speaker 3: we've got to catch cry within our business Strugma together.
- 4:01Speaker 3: And the twenty three year journey of being an advisor
- 4:04Speaker 3: as well has certainly or twenty three years within partner's
- 4:07Speaker 3: wealth group has certainly taught me a lot. And I'll
- 4:09Speaker 3: probably share this term with you before you know, success
- 4:12Speaker 3: leaves clues over a long period of time, and I
- 4:13Speaker 3: think if you can learn off.
- 4:14Speaker 1: Those, yes, tell me about this complexity on an international
- 4:19Speaker 1: scared does it hamper does it hamper wealth ACU relation?
- 4:23Speaker 1: Does it hold people back across the board that we
- 4:26Speaker 1: have such an enormously complex system, particularly obviously in relation
- 4:29Speaker 1: to super I.
- 4:31Speaker 3: Think at times when people are very busy running their families,
- 4:34Speaker 3: running their life, running a business, to then have some
- 4:37Speaker 3: dedicated time to focus on their wealth plan.
- 4:41Speaker 2: When it is complex, I think create some friction.
- 4:44Speaker 3: So we encourage people to engage with an advisor to
- 4:48Speaker 3: try to understand where they are, where they're getting to,
- 4:51Speaker 3: and what are some strategies to actually help them improve
- 4:54Speaker 3: their situation. And I think the encouraging part of what
- 4:57Speaker 3: we do every day is to really give clients sights
- 5:00Speaker 3: and their families clarity about where they sit, where they
- 5:03Speaker 3: can head to, and help unbundle some of the complexity
- 5:06Speaker 3: with the tax structures, because you know, you don't need
- 5:10Speaker 3: the friction with this.
- 5:11Speaker 2: You need a clear path.
- 5:12Speaker 3: And we all know that when you've got less friction
- 5:14Speaker 3: in your own mind about where you're heading, it does
- 5:16Speaker 3: give you the opportunity to focus on what you do best,
- 5:18Speaker 3: which is running your family, running your career, and being
- 5:20Speaker 3: successful in your own right, which is one thing we're
- 5:22Speaker 3: extremely passionate about.
- 5:24Speaker 1: So I'm guessing when you were listing there what you do.
- 5:29Speaker 1: I'm assuming what you're telling me is that you do
- 5:31Speaker 1: a lot more. I mean you charge more, but you
- 5:34Speaker 1: do a lot more. So at your level, it's not
- 5:37Speaker 1: quarterly call. It's quite a thorough and it can run
- 5:42Speaker 1: right across I presume it runs across every aspect of life,
- 5:45Speaker 1: from a financial life, I mean from property to wills estates,
- 5:50Speaker 1: but active management shares the balance of your portfolio.
- 5:54Speaker 2: How deep does it go?
- 5:55Speaker 1: Do you like to suggest schools to people?
- 5:59Speaker 2: It is real broad.
- 6:00Speaker 3: I think you know, while your role and your engagement
- 6:03Speaker 3: is often around their financial affairs, if you're fully invested
- 6:05Speaker 3: in the relationship, you really use your contacts to solve
- 6:08Speaker 3: any issues you've got within within a family situation. And
- 6:12Speaker 3: in this last year, I've referred people to medical professionals
- 6:14Speaker 3: for surgery because they've had ailments. I've dealt with getting
- 6:18Speaker 3: psychologists involved for family issues. We've dealt with trying to
- 6:22Speaker 3: help younger members of their family in financial literacy. And
- 6:26Speaker 3: you know it's helping clients with travel agents, it could
- 6:30Speaker 3: be involved buying property, attending options for them.
- 6:33Speaker 2: I think if you're you know when we always.
- 6:35Speaker 3: Say that we're all in on a client scenario, and
- 6:37Speaker 3: I think if you're all in and you understand there
- 6:40Speaker 3: and you use your expertise to benefit the family, I
- 6:42Speaker 3: think that can be incredibly powerful. So it's like you
- 6:44Speaker 3: paid to do role A, but it so often roll
- 6:47Speaker 3: BC and do the clients really value And I think
- 6:49Speaker 3: if you can show that you're all in a relationship,
- 6:51Speaker 3: you do become an extended part of the family to
- 6:53Speaker 3: help them navigate and enjoy life. And I think a
- 6:56Speaker 3: key part of wealth is getting to the stage directs
- 6:59Speaker 3: you can enjoy your life and not be bogged down
- 7:01Speaker 3: by the complexity. And I think that's a nice challenge
- 7:04Speaker 3: for everyone to get to to ensure that when they're
- 7:06Speaker 3: overseas or they're enjoying their their prosperity, that they're not
- 7:09Speaker 3: concerned about the things and they can leave the worry
- 7:11Speaker 3: to some other parties that they trust to do that.
- 7:13Speaker 1: What about the limits of what you do that I
- 7:15Speaker 1: presume there's a point of which you hit a limit.
- 7:17Speaker 1: You're talking about families for instance. I mean if a
- 7:20Speaker 1: brother and sister simply hate each other and they get
- 7:23Speaker 1: on over nothing and their fate all the time, and
- 7:26Speaker 1: they're sitting around the table talking about what they're going
- 7:28Speaker 1: to invest in, it must be difficult.
- 7:31Speaker 3: Well, there's always some challenges and some difficulties, and that's
- 7:34Speaker 3: obviously not pleasant when you say those playing out.
- 7:37Speaker 2: I think the key thing is you also need to stay.
- 7:40Speaker 3: In your lane regarding what you do well, but also
- 7:42Speaker 3: refer out to other areas of advice that you believe
- 7:45Speaker 3: other experts have got capability. In an example of that
- 7:49Speaker 3: is a state planning where you know, taking care of
- 7:52Speaker 3: intergenerational wealth and thinking about issues more broadly for the
- 7:56Speaker 3: family is a really specialized area. It goes beyond having
- 8:00Speaker 3: powers of attorney and a state plan in place. It's
- 8:03Speaker 3: thinking about the complexity of families. It could be thinking
- 8:05Speaker 3: about God forbid of anything happens to the mum and dad,
- 8:09Speaker 3: who's going to take care of the kids into the future.
- 8:11Speaker 3: Are they going to stay in the family home or
- 8:12Speaker 3: are they not? How do we think about education for them?
- 8:14Speaker 3: And so I think therese highly specialized areas. You need
- 8:17Speaker 3: to have strong relationships, have you within partner's wealth group
- 8:21Speaker 3: as we really have that capability inside the firm again
- 8:25Speaker 3: twenty three plus years to do that. But the ability
- 8:27Speaker 3: for people to come into our firm and have that
- 8:30Speaker 3: professional a plug and play into the advised conversation we
- 8:32Speaker 3: find incredibly powerful. And particularly with the more complex families
- 8:36Speaker 3: that we have that have broader needs, the ability to
- 8:39Speaker 3: come in here and have one conversation and then they
- 8:41Speaker 3: have their key advisor to organize those various engagements I
- 8:45Speaker 3: think is incredibly powerful.
- 8:47Speaker 1: There are many more I mean literally, there are more
- 8:50Speaker 1: people in Australia every year. But more to the point,
- 8:54Speaker 1: there is also as you mentioned, intergeneration with there is
- 8:59Speaker 1: an enormous chance fare of wealth due to happen. I mean,
- 9:02Speaker 1: it always happens, but there is this particular occasion due
- 9:05Speaker 1: to the useful sort of per capita high levels of
- 9:09Speaker 1: per capita wealth in Australia and lucrative and market a
- 9:13Speaker 1: really big attractive market for financial advice out there with
- 9:18Speaker 1: lots of demand. But the industry that you're in has
- 9:22Speaker 1: actually shrunk. It's going nowhere in terms of its number
- 9:26Speaker 1: of people who are in it. If you do recruits
- 9:29Speaker 1: very few passages through into it. Did you expect that
- 9:32Speaker 1: to happen? And do you think there is anything that
- 9:35Speaker 1: could change that.
- 9:38Speaker 3: I think there's been a huge change over the last
- 9:40Speaker 3: seven or eight years with the professionalism within the industry,
- 9:42Speaker 3: and I think that is fantastic. You know, from the
- 9:45Speaker 3: industry I entered twenty five years ago to what it
- 9:47Speaker 3: is like, it's chalk and chose, and I think they added,
- 9:51Speaker 3: you know, the added professionalism and the added legislative overside
- 9:54Speaker 3: of the industry I think is just essential. Statistic I
- 9:57Speaker 3: recently heard is that the Australians superannuation system is now
- 10:00Speaker 3: four trillion dollars, it's growing to ten trillion dollars by
- 10:04Speaker 3: twenty forty and the current size of the superannuation market
- 10:06Speaker 3: is above the israil banking system. Yet the regulation still
- 10:11Speaker 3: has some catch up to do, so you know, safeguard
- 10:13Speaker 3: to Purple's well being, I think is really important. But
- 10:16Speaker 3: I think the important thing for wealth management professionals simply
- 10:19Speaker 3: running businesses is to reinvest in the talent within the
- 10:22Speaker 3: business and do things like a professional year to make
- 10:24Speaker 3: sure that you can give guidance to younger people in
- 10:27Speaker 3: the industry, give them a career. And I think the
- 10:30Speaker 3: forward looking firms are making big investments into those areas
- 10:33Speaker 3: to really develop the talent and really have that talent
- 10:37Speaker 3: emerging over the coming years into being financial professionals. I
- 10:40Speaker 3: guess the challenge is the cost of advice is also
- 10:44Speaker 3: materially increased, and I saw your article this morning in
- 10:47Speaker 3: the newspaper about AI and impact that's making as well.
- 10:50Speaker 3: And I think what advisors love is being in front
- 10:54Speaker 3: of clients, but clearly there's been an increase in the
- 10:56Speaker 3: cost of advice and some of the regulations. So I
- 10:58Speaker 3: think we're all working through the ability to do what
- 11:01Speaker 3: we do best, which is sit in front of clients
- 11:02Speaker 3: and solve problems for them.
- 11:05Speaker 1: So the thing is that the numbers have changed. Right,
- 11:09Speaker 1: It's literally quite difficult to get into an advisor now, right,
- 11:12Speaker 1: and I presume by definition it's more difficult to get
- 11:15Speaker 1: into a good one. And you were saying like you're
- 11:18Speaker 1: basically thaking less is more, and I'm sure that was
- 11:20Speaker 1: true to a point, right. So there was a lot
- 11:22Speaker 1: of there was a lot of bad operators in financial advice.
- 11:26Speaker 1: There's a lot of people who were de fact or
- 11:27Speaker 1: salespeople who were posing virtually as advisors and so shrunk
- 11:31Speaker 1: very severely. No profession has been cut in half like
- 11:34Speaker 1: we've seen, but it needs to grow now. I would think,
- 11:37Speaker 1: is there anything that can happen that would make it
- 11:38Speaker 1: more accessible to more people?
- 11:41Speaker 3: You know, the concept of robo advice, you know, I
- 11:44Speaker 3: think it hasn't had a lot of traction in Australia
- 11:47Speaker 3: to day. It's been I think it's been extremely complex
- 11:49Speaker 3: for any business to scale robo advice. I've seen last
- 11:53Speaker 3: week in Singapore, I saw a really smart operation. There
- 11:56Speaker 3: was a firm about five years ago I saw in
- 11:58Speaker 3: the US doing this really effectively. I'm just not quite
- 12:00Speaker 3: sure the technology has been available to scale robo advice
- 12:04Speaker 3: within Australia. But you know, financial educational literacy I think
- 12:08Speaker 3: is an absolute key, a key part of us financial
- 12:11Speaker 3: professionals need to do. And having some understanding an earlier
- 12:14Speaker 3: stage about how you navigate this area, how you make
- 12:17Speaker 3: us start in a really secure way, I think is important.
- 12:19Speaker 3: So I think that robo advice and digital advice at
- 12:22Speaker 3: the introductory level will emerge. I think it's necessary because
- 12:26Speaker 3: you know, the cost of engaging with advice has increased
- 12:29Speaker 3: probably thirty percent over the last two or three years,
- 12:31Speaker 3: and therefore, you know, businesses are needing to charge increased
- 12:34Speaker 3: prices to navigate those increased costs.
- 12:37Speaker 1: One last question before we go to the break, and
- 12:38Speaker 1: then we will move on to what I know people
- 12:40Speaker 1: will really enjoy, which is basically the having you having
- 12:44Speaker 1: access to you through the show. You talked about financial literacy.
- 12:47Speaker 1: It is really important. In the UK they've just introduced
- 12:51Speaker 1: compulsory financial literacy in schools. In New Zealand they've introduced
- 12:56Speaker 1: it to the core curriculum. In Australia, we have actually
- 12:59Speaker 1: fallen behind on all we see D scores. We were
- 13:02Speaker 1: higher a few years ago. Do you think it should
- 13:04Speaker 1: be in the school system.
- 13:07Speaker 2: I would strongly encourage that.
- 13:09Speaker 3: You know, the average person starts work, they start earning
- 13:13Speaker 3: an income, and you know that they start thinking about
- 13:16Speaker 3: what do I do?
- 13:17Speaker 2: You know, how do I navigate this? How do I
- 13:18Speaker 2: get ahead?
- 13:19Speaker 3: And you know, one of the one of the big
- 13:21Speaker 3: themes that's still a major issue in the capital cities
- 13:23Speaker 3: around Australia is the multiple of annual income to a
- 13:26Speaker 3: quiet property within twenty of the major cities. You know,
- 13:30Speaker 3: that is a major problem that unless you've got the
- 13:32Speaker 3: Bank of Mamma data assisting you with that. You listen
- 13:35Speaker 3: to one of your great podcasts on that issue, is
- 13:37Speaker 3: that it's really challenging. So how do you actually get
- 13:40Speaker 3: ahead and how do you start making some positive impacts
- 13:43Speaker 3: on that? And we do know that I think Warren
- 13:45Speaker 3: Buffett calls it the eighth wonder of the world, that
- 13:47Speaker 3: the power of compound interest over time really helps you
- 13:50Speaker 3: to navigate that. So the earlier start, the better, and
- 13:52Speaker 3: I think getting into the market and getting investing in
- 13:55Speaker 3: an early age is the key to that.
- 13:57Speaker 1: Okay, I suppose parts of horn Bullets compounding is that
- 14:00Speaker 1: he lives so long so live a long time is
- 14:03Speaker 1: very good too, isn't it? Which you find not the
- 14:06Speaker 1: advisors by the way, folks, but you look at the
- 14:08Speaker 1: rich list and the average age. Let me tell you
- 14:11Speaker 1: that comes that living a long time is a key
- 14:13Speaker 1: part of it. Okay, we are going to talk to
- 14:15Speaker 1: Matthew about what's going on in investing in a moment.
- 14:19Speaker 1: Back in a second. Hello, and welcome back to the
- 14:30Speaker 1: Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm James Kirby and I'm talking
- 14:33Speaker 1: to Matthew Cassidy, the newly crowned top advisor in Australia,
- 14:38Speaker 1: number one on the one hundred and fifty Baron's Top
- 14:41Speaker 1: one fifty list of the Partner's Wealth group and you
- 14:44Speaker 1: and your colleague Robert Hand there at number five. And
- 14:49Speaker 1: to see the group being so well represented. Now as
- 14:54Speaker 1: I speak, I want to I don't want to get
- 14:57Speaker 1: too into the thickets too quickly, but but many people
- 15:01Speaker 1: believe we're at the upper end of I think very
- 15:04Speaker 1: broadly now in terms of how investing has changed and
- 15:07Speaker 1: how people approach investing. Passive investing and dtfs have become
- 15:12Speaker 1: really big of recent times, and a lot of people
- 15:15Speaker 1: have been very comfortable and had met good money in
- 15:19Speaker 1: recent years because the markets have been so good, and
- 15:22Speaker 1: to some extent that means I won't say you don't
- 15:24Speaker 1: need a financial advisor, but you could do quite well
- 15:27Speaker 1: with no advice in recent times because in the bull market,
- 15:30Speaker 1: you know, all mistakes are concealed and everybody does okay. Now,
- 15:35Speaker 1: in a separate role, I'm on an investment committee and
- 15:38Speaker 1: we had a presentation from a highly ranked investment manager
- 15:42Speaker 1: of which you would sit through many, I'm sure, but
- 15:45Speaker 1: their point was that this is the top of a bullmarket.
- 15:48Speaker 1: We don't know when it ends, but from here we
- 15:51Speaker 1: may have a much tougher, more volatile, more challenging market ahead. Similarly,
- 15:58Speaker 1: Raphael ant Of aren't of the Future Fund surprised? I
- 16:02Speaker 1: think many people this week talking about how the Future
- 16:05Speaker 1: Fund is expecting more volativity, how the Future Fund is
- 16:08Speaker 1: actually moving away from passive income to some extent and
- 16:11Speaker 1: going back into active and going into gold. On top
- 16:14Speaker 1: of all that, where do you think the passive investment?
- 16:17Speaker 1: What do you think of that whole contention I've put
- 16:19Speaker 1: in front of you, that ETFs and passive income allows
- 16:22Speaker 1: people to operate without advice.
- 16:27Speaker 2: You know, passive versus active.
- 16:29Speaker 3: I think when we give consideration to what your game plan,
- 16:32Speaker 3: your strategy is, it's got to come down ultimately to
- 16:36Speaker 3: your strategy, your time frame for investing. And I think
- 16:39Speaker 3: this is where an individual advisor or an advisor can
- 16:42Speaker 3: assist with the family we're referring to sort of Warren Buffert,
- 16:45Speaker 3: Berkshire Hathaway. I've been across there on three occasions more
- 16:48Speaker 3: than the team think twenty to thirty years ahead on
- 16:50Speaker 3: some strategies. So if you think about are you going
- 16:52Speaker 3: to try to time the market over a short period
- 16:55Speaker 3: of time if you have a superannuation fund and you've
- 16:57Speaker 3: got twenty years to accumulate capital, I think it comes
- 17:01Speaker 3: down to you down to ultimately to risk management. Clearly,
- 17:03Speaker 3: we've had a very good run in markets, and being
- 17:06Speaker 3: in an index fund that's done very well has obviously
- 17:09Speaker 3: been fantastic from a return perspective, But what now and
- 17:12Speaker 3: where are the risks emerging? And how do you ensure
- 17:14Speaker 3: that you're not deploying capital at the wrong time in
- 17:16Speaker 3: the market.
- 17:17Speaker 2: And when you think about.
- 17:19Speaker 3: You know, the twenty five years I've been in this industry,
- 17:20Speaker 3: the biggest risks actually come from deploying money into a
- 17:24Speaker 3: market at the wrong time, whether it be you know,
- 17:27Speaker 3: two thousand and one September eleven, whether it be two
- 17:30Speaker 3: thousand and seven before the GFC, you know, pre COVID,
- 17:33Speaker 3: we had a you know, I think it was a
- 17:34Speaker 3: twelve year run of thirteen plus percent returns in the
- 17:38Speaker 3: S and P five hundred. So clearly valuations were stretched,
- 17:41Speaker 3: and when you're deploying capital, you actually need to think
- 17:43Speaker 3: about it is the time on deploying capital appropriate? And
- 17:47Speaker 3: I think what a future fund Another other investors are
- 17:51Speaker 3: saying at the moment is now is the time to
- 17:52Speaker 3: show some caution. At a point in time where you've
- 17:54Speaker 3: had well above market for a couple of years in
- 17:56Speaker 3: a row performance of markets, you do need to give
- 17:58Speaker 3: consideration to risk manager gold. Gold over this last period
- 18:03Speaker 3: of time appears to be ultimately a head against the
- 18:07Speaker 3: US dollar weakness, and I think gold in its essence,
- 18:10Speaker 3: by owning an et if you're not really getting an
- 18:12Speaker 3: income and return off gold, you do if you're potentially
- 18:14Speaker 3: with a gold producer listed on the market, but by
- 18:17Speaker 3: owning ultimately you don't, so you want to make sure
- 18:18Speaker 3: you're getting the.
- 18:19Speaker 2: Growth on it.
- 18:19Speaker 3: So I think it comes down to ultimately, what is
- 18:22Speaker 3: your long term strategy. One of the things that we
- 18:27Speaker 3: think about that's really important pre retirement is what is
- 18:31Speaker 3: your risk of a major market movement in the two
- 18:34Speaker 3: years prior to retirement? And having gone through the GFC,
- 18:37Speaker 3: it teaches you a lot of things, and your biggest
- 18:40Speaker 3: risk prior to retirement if you're two to three years out,
- 18:43Speaker 3: is actually having a ten to fifteen or twenty percent
- 18:45Speaker 3: reduction in asset values and you actually need to sell
- 18:49Speaker 3: those growth assets to fund in your retirement income. And
- 18:51Speaker 3: so what planning ahead of that with clear strategies and
- 18:55Speaker 3: risk management is essential to safeguard your retirement. I think
- 18:58Speaker 3: that the planning around those things which some people don't
- 19:00Speaker 3: not for consider it, I think comes down to that
- 19:02Speaker 3: decision about are you passive, are you active?
- 19:05Speaker 2: Where's your time frame?
- 19:07Speaker 1: Can you can you just give us some clues as
- 19:10Speaker 1: to what you would see if I said to you,
- 19:12Speaker 1: I have two years ago and I'm worried about the crash.
- 19:15Speaker 1: I've done greation shares, and my allocation to shares has
- 19:18Speaker 1: swelled inadvertently because I've done so well, and now I'm
- 19:22Speaker 1: facing sequential risk because I see it is very clear
- 19:26Speaker 1: that we're at the very top of a market. Where
- 19:29Speaker 1: would you begin the conversation. Would it be just what's
- 19:32Speaker 1: the nature of the other investments that should be considered.
- 19:36Speaker 3: So some let's say you've got your retirement income is
- 19:39Speaker 3: someone wants to be around six percent of your total
- 19:42Speaker 3: investment capital. So if you want to safeguard and you
- 19:46Speaker 3: study the impact and the probability of risk over a
- 19:48Speaker 3: five year period, if you can safeguard two years of income.
- 19:51Speaker 3: So having liquidity in assets apparently around fixed interest for
- 19:55Speaker 3: two years prior to the period of retirement means that
- 19:59Speaker 3: if there was a major market movement on the growth
- 20:01Speaker 3: asset you've got allocated to, then you can actually safeguard
- 20:04Speaker 3: your time and income by that being available. This absolutely
- 20:07Speaker 3: certainty that if there is volatility in growth asset it's
- 20:10Speaker 3: been Australian chairs in sessional chairs, property, infrastructure, private equity otherwise,
- 20:14Speaker 3: then it ensures that you're not needing to sell at
- 20:17Speaker 3: a point in weakness. And I think that's a really
- 20:19Speaker 3: important safeguard.
- 20:20Speaker 1: Yes, okay, that's a pretty traditional view, isn't it. The
- 20:24Speaker 1: two year I haven't to expressed this two years, but
- 20:28Speaker 1: two years utterly liquid basically two years where there's a
- 20:33Speaker 1: cash pile that you have that sits alone, that is
- 20:36Speaker 1: no risk, and you should you wake up in the
- 20:41Speaker 1: morning and watch you just followed by twenty five percent.
- 20:44Speaker 1: You don't have to panic, you don't have to sell
- 20:46Speaker 1: anything you don't want to sell. That's very interesting and
- 20:49Speaker 1: it's very apt. I would imagine at this particular time,
- 20:53Speaker 1: I just wanted to ask you one or two other
- 20:55Speaker 1: quick things. There's been a fashion I say, a fashion
- 20:59Speaker 1: to unlisted assets and private credit and private equity, which
- 21:06Speaker 1: was restricted if you like to sophisticate it. I won't
- 21:10Speaker 1: say sophisticated. That's a classification sophisticated to wealthy and institutional investors.
- 21:15Speaker 1: In the last year or two it has become mainstream.
- 21:18Speaker 1: It has been pushed actually to some degree at retail
- 21:20Speaker 1: investors mums and dads who don't know anything about this
- 21:23Speaker 1: area and have no experience in it. And one of
- 21:26Speaker 1: the things that they may not be aware of is
- 21:28Speaker 1: how illiquid this can be. If there is a crisis
- 21:31Speaker 1: of some sort or just an old fashioned, you know,
- 21:34Speaker 1: hard correction on the market, some of these funds will freeze,
- 21:38Speaker 1: and some of them will partially freeze. Can you tell
- 21:40Speaker 1: me whether you on the single question of whether the
- 21:44Speaker 1: retail investor is a suitable client for unlisted assets. Do
- 21:48Speaker 1: you think they are?
- 21:50Speaker 3: I think, you know, when we you know, going through
- 21:53Speaker 3: the JFSA, there were clients that I think were saved
- 21:57Speaker 3: some unfortunate advice thinking that, you know, private credit or
- 22:00Speaker 3: fixed interest assets were liquid and then two years down
- 22:03Speaker 3: the path found that due to redemptions, people wanting to
- 22:06Speaker 3: pull money seeing risk and seeing what might have been
- 22:09Speaker 3: a dollar unit price trading at eighty cents, thinking that
- 22:11Speaker 3: was actually liquidity. Answer is it's not so. Private credit
- 22:16Speaker 3: really is a broad sector. Obviously, with the changes in
- 22:20Speaker 3: terms of the banking system post the GFC, there was
- 22:23Speaker 3: some broad changes in terms of what the banks were
- 22:25Speaker 3: willing to actually cond and it was really the emergence
- 22:28Speaker 3: of private credit. And I think given some of the
- 22:30Speaker 3: returns that people have seen, there's been an attraction to it.
- 22:33Speaker 2: But it is it really is a broad sector.
- 22:36Speaker 3: It's a wide spectrum of strategies and what you often
- 22:39Speaker 3: look at and what it actually is can actually be
- 22:41Speaker 3: really different. And therefore receiving advice from people that really
- 22:45Speaker 3: understand this I think is essential, and just looking at
- 22:48Speaker 3: an asset and Saints. That's a great return. I think
- 22:50Speaker 3: is really dangerous. I think the recent review, I think
- 22:55Speaker 3: was a really important step to also step up the
- 22:58Speaker 3: oversight of this particular sect, because, as you're comment, it
- 23:01Speaker 3: is a swelling area of capital and one that it's
- 23:04Speaker 3: due diligence and regulation on.
- 23:06Speaker 1: Okay, So it seems to me, Matthew, what you're saying
- 23:09Speaker 1: is it's okay if you're advised, and it's okay, it's
- 23:14Speaker 1: okay if you are expertly guided through the forest, as
- 23:17Speaker 1: opposed to just wandering in and saying, oh, look at
- 23:19Speaker 1: that eleven percent. Yeah, yeah, okay, very interesting. Okay, Now
- 23:24Speaker 1: we're going to take a short break and we're going
- 23:25Speaker 1: to talk to Matthew about the investment markets. Just I
- 23:29Speaker 1: think very keen to see what he says. I'm speaking
- 23:32Speaker 1: to him on the morning that Nvidia, which represented nine
- 23:35Speaker 1: percent of all Wall Street trade yesterday, has released its
- 23:40Speaker 1: results it being the most important stock in the world
- 23:43Speaker 1: beyond the doubt.
- 23:44Speaker 2: Just now, all right, talk to.
- 23:45Speaker 1: You in a moment. Hello, Welcome back to the Australians
- 23:56Speaker 1: Money Puzzle podcast. James Kirby talking to Matthew Cassy, Partner's
- 24:00Speaker 1: Wealth Group Number one advisor in Australia at the top
- 24:03Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty advisors as of today November the
- 24:07Speaker 1: twentieth to twenty five. Okay, Matthew, we're talking about the
- 24:11Speaker 1: markets and shares. Tell me what you think of this.
- 24:15Speaker 1: I'm just looking at a video of codes coming in
- 24:18Speaker 1: about a video I've been asked to speak about it
- 24:20Speaker 1: here and there on radio.
- 24:21Speaker 2: Et cetera.
- 24:22Speaker 1: One stock, one stock went from a trillion to three
- 24:28Speaker 1: trillion in the blink of an eye, something close to
- 24:31Speaker 1: the entire value of the Australian Superannuation System. Okay, so
- 24:35Speaker 1: it came out with its results. Hey, the results were good.
- 24:38Speaker 1: Yet again, they were higher than expected. Yet again, So
- 24:41Speaker 1: we find that this one stock pulls a sector, which
- 24:44Speaker 1: is AI, which pulls Wall Street, which pulls sixty four
- 24:46Speaker 1: percent of the entire world market with it. How do
- 24:50Speaker 1: you view this market? Is it a convincing Are these
- 24:53Speaker 1: earnings enough to drive the sorel of excitement we have
- 24:56Speaker 1: just now in Wall Street?
- 25:01Speaker 3: I mean the last you know, last two years, two
- 25:04Speaker 3: hundred and seventy percent return, you know, the market cap
- 25:07Speaker 3: four point five trillion dollars at the moment, it is
- 25:09Speaker 3: an absolute powerhouse.
- 25:10Speaker 2: Effectively powering the future of AI.
- 25:13Speaker 3: And I think you know this, we are absolutely on
- 25:16Speaker 3: the start of this AI journey. I think that the
- 25:18Speaker 3: thing that you need to be careful of with this is,
- 25:22Speaker 3: you know, when we're sitting here in two thousand and
- 25:25Speaker 3: one thinking that dot com was taking off, then you know,
- 25:28Speaker 3: it's not a license to print money in this particular area.
- 25:30Speaker 3: You know, you need to pick the right assets, the
- 25:32Speaker 3: right sector. But without doubt, this AI theme is going
- 25:35Speaker 3: to continue to accelerate. And in VideA is absolutely the
- 25:38Speaker 3: pinnacle stock actually with that, and so you know, the
- 25:41Speaker 3: further the further growth of this is absolutely going to accelerate.
- 25:45Speaker 2: I think.
- 25:45Speaker 3: I think the thing is, particularly after such a strong run,
- 25:49Speaker 3: you know, where does your allocation the assets sit. You know,
- 25:51Speaker 3: it would appear that this trend will continue. Will we
- 25:54Speaker 3: have some a market correction moving forward? Obviously on a
- 25:57Speaker 3: valuation basis, there's some risk of that, but it's going
- 26:00Speaker 3: to be hard to suggest that's not the continuous run.
- 26:03Speaker 2: Where do competitors come into this into the future.
- 26:05Speaker 3: Are they going to maintain their current market share? Is
- 26:08Speaker 3: a new theme of buying some of the services they
- 26:11Speaker 3: provide get overtaken by someone else. I mean, therese are
- 26:13Speaker 3: all risks when you look at a stop that you
- 26:15Speaker 3: need to consider, and again, look at your portfolio, think
- 26:18Speaker 3: about your allocation, and if you've had a really good
- 26:20Speaker 3: run on at trim it. Because everything plans out the
- 26:22Speaker 3: way you think it is into the future and your
- 26:24Speaker 3: wealth is a steady accumulation is an important thing thing
- 26:29Speaker 3: as opposed to big shocks with over allocation in a
- 26:32Speaker 3: particular sector.
- 26:34Speaker 1: So when you said trim it, be willing to sell
- 26:37Speaker 1: your winners or at least offload tea profits regularly. Is
- 26:41Speaker 1: that as something you would suggest.
- 26:45Speaker 3: I remember twenty odd years ago there was a client
- 26:48Speaker 3: with a mining stock and this wasn't an overly wealthy family,
- 26:52Speaker 3: and they had a stop which went from twenty cents
- 26:54Speaker 3: to five dollars, and we really strongly encourage them to
- 26:57Speaker 3: trim their five million dollars allocation. And that five million
- 27:00Speaker 3: was out of a total portfolio of five and a
- 27:02Speaker 3: half and our advice that didn't proceed with that, in
- 27:05Speaker 3: the stop managed to go down to twenty cents.
- 27:07Speaker 2: And they lost a lot of that.
- 27:08Speaker 3: I think these things just leave a bit of a
- 27:11Speaker 3: something with you over a long period of time, And
- 27:14Speaker 3: again you know, from a risk management perspective, you know
- 27:16Speaker 3: everyone is going to have an allocation when VideA in
- 27:18Speaker 3: their international portfolio.
- 27:19Speaker 2: It's at such a large part of the index.
- 27:20Speaker 3: But when some of these stocks become above five percent,
- 27:24Speaker 3: ten or twenty or thirty percent, it does create risk
- 27:27Speaker 3: that if your timing's not right on it, then it
- 27:30Speaker 3: does create risk for you. And the safeguarding your cap
- 27:33Speaker 3: over a long period of time, I think is the
- 27:34Speaker 3: key to accumulating wealth and not making large mistakes. So
- 27:38Speaker 3: I think that's an amazing business. I think it's going
- 27:39Speaker 3: to continue on a really positive run. It's absolutely got
- 27:43Speaker 3: the best business to oversee the future of AI. But
- 27:45Speaker 3: tonight everything also runs in a uniform and uniform manner
- 27:48Speaker 3: moving forward.
- 27:50Speaker 1: Yes, a hell of a story, Matthew. The goals meaning
- 27:53Speaker 1: reminds me, and you're thinking about mistakes reminds me of
- 27:56Speaker 1: Just to finish off the buffet, leaned about the number
- 27:58Speaker 1: one rule of investing is don't lose money, and the
- 28:01Speaker 1: second rule is don't forget the first rule. Sounds like
- 28:04Speaker 1: that seems to be pretty close to your heart. Okay, hey,
- 28:07Speaker 1: look very good to have you on the show this morning,
- 28:10Speaker 1: and congratulations I know you for a long time, and
- 28:12Speaker 1: I know you're on the list for a long time.
- 28:14Speaker 1: And it's nice to see someone someone new and fresh
- 28:17Speaker 1: coming on to and someone who's willing to talk about
- 28:20Speaker 1: all aspects of investors for everyone. I really do and
- 28:22Speaker 1: our listeners appreciate that. Okay, Matthew Cassidy, thanks very much,
- 28:27Speaker 1: we'll talk again. Much sent Matthew Cassidy there of the
- 28:31Speaker 1: Partner's Wealth Group. Okay, any questions, Let's have some correspondence
- 28:35Speaker 1: the Money Puzzle at the Australian dot com dot au.
- 28:38Speaker 1: Talk to you soon.