Latest / The Jake Wimberly Podcast / Chris Hardy Interview

Transcript

Chris Hardy Interview · The Jake Wimberly Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Taking in on a Friday to the weekend we go
• 0:02
  Speaker 1: and also into August. Believe it or not, Tomorrow's August First,
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: brought to you by Meristar Casino.
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: Get out and play today. Get out to the Bottlenight
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: Blues Bar.
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Four great restaurants on the property, and don't forget about
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: the Gurkys Cigar Lounge. You can go to the hotel,
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: but you'll need a reservation. Keith Hardy best sports book
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: manager in the state. And that's not flexing on that.
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: That is absolutely true. If you don't believe it, go
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: see and talk to him. He is on your radio.
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  Speaker 3: Keith.
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: Welcome in, sir, How are you, Jake.
• 0:30
  Speaker 3: My man? I appreciate thanks for having me on. You
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  Speaker 3: wouldn't believe me, but I've actually got some customers.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I believe that you probably do.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: It's Friday afternoon, and look, we're getting closer to football,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: and uh, you know people are gonna put money in,
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  Speaker 1: probably on NBA futures, Major League Baseball, a lot of
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  Speaker 1: football futures.
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: That sports book is hot, but it's fishing to get
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  Speaker 2: real hot.
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  Speaker 3: Oh yes, sir, you know what. That's one thing we've
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: been getting. Some of it's been coming in been getting
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: some futures. I know you and Baby were talking about
• 0:58
  Speaker 3: Mississippi State winn in a conference game.
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we got a question from one of our listeners,
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  Speaker 1: can they win more than one conference game? And we
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: were kind of chalking out and taking the ones off
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  Speaker 1: we felt like would be losses. And I think there's
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: four opportunities for victories in the conference this year, at
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  Speaker 1: least at face value. And I think it's South Carolina
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  Speaker 1: on the road, Missouri at home, Auburn at home, and
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  Speaker 1: Vanderbilt at home. And you know, if they can play
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: better defensively, they're going to score points.
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: I think they'll win a couple of conference games.
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: Well, Jake, we've got them over under a team total
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  Speaker 3: at four and a half. I'm liking the over.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I like the over two for Mississippi State.
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  Speaker 1: You know, but for Jeff Levy, he needs to be
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  Speaker 1: over the over, meaning you know, it can't be just
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  Speaker 1: over the four and a half. He at five. He
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  Speaker 1: needs to get to six. You know, he two went.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: Beaver made a good point. He won two games this
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  Speaker 1: first year coming off a disastrous year from Zach Arnett,
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: and I know they won a few more ball games
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  Speaker 1: that year. But that team was lethargic. It was bad
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  Speaker 1: off the field. On the field was a mess. So
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: he comes in and you know, look he created some
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  Speaker 1: of the mess too his first year, Jeff Levy. But
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  Speaker 1: from two wins to five, I mean, if they make
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: that two or three game progression again this year, I
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: think you got to start saying, hey, look he's doing
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: something in Starbville.
• 2:15
  Speaker 3: Why do you want to see some progress? Hey, Jake,
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  Speaker 3: So we've got Home Miss at over under seven and
• 2:20
  Speaker 3: a half, but it's at minus one fifty nine eighty games.
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  Speaker 3: That shouldn't be any problem for All Miss.
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  Speaker 1: What do you think I wouldn't say it won't be
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  Speaker 1: any problem, but I think All Miss wins eight. I've
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: got him at eight and four, and I wouldn't be
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: you know, I think that that flex window of sorts
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: of wins and losses lived somewhere between eight and ten.
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  Speaker 2: It may fall at nine.
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  Speaker 1: I mean there's some games on that schedule that you know,
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: could get dicey for All Miss. You know they don't
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: have a cake walk week one. I believe they're gonna
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: be somewhere around a five to seven point favorite over
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  Speaker 1: Louisville Week one on a neutral site, LSU at home,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: you know, at Florida having a host, Missouri at Texas,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: Georgia at Oklahoma. Uh, there's gonna be some you know,
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  Speaker 1: some four quarterball games on Saturdays where Ole miss is
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  Speaker 1: gonna have to hold on.
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  Speaker 3: I got one minus one fifty nine. I thought that
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  Speaker 3: was a little high, but uh, and I guess that
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  Speaker 3: means y odds makers they like eight. Hey, I've got
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: value for you, Jake. I got some value for you.
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: Penn State over nine and a half plus one twenty eight.
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  Speaker 1: Penn State over nine and a half plus one twenty eight. Oh, Keith,
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  Speaker 1: that's a slam dunk. They're gonna get to him. I mean,
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  Speaker 1: I mean go through this schedule. I mean they play Temple,
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  Speaker 1: they play Buffalo, they play a Wisconsin team that's the
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  Speaker 1: shell of itself. They played Northwestern. That's four.
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  Speaker 3: Uh.
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  Speaker 1: They'll also play Purdue that's five, Minnesota six, Rutgers seven.
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  Speaker 2: Sorry, Keith. Uh, they play.
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  Speaker 1: Maryland that's eight, and they need two more with games
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  Speaker 1: against Washington on the road, Michigan on the road, and
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: then USC at home. So I think they can get
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  Speaker 1: to ten.
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  Speaker 3: I listen, I got one more. I wanted to let
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  Speaker 3: you know about we've got Georgia at over nine and
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  Speaker 3: a half, over under nine and a half miaus one
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  Speaker 3: eighty six.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Georgia over nine and a half.
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  Speaker 1: And you know, I know it's that when you start
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  Speaker 1: getting up at you know, totals at nine and a
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  Speaker 1: half and ten and ten and a half and eleven,
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  Speaker 1: those become very slim margins. But I think this Georgia
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  Speaker 1: team is very good offensive line wise, they could be
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  Speaker 1: the best in the conference, one of the best in
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  Speaker 1: the country. They've got, you know, a flat dog at
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  Speaker 1: quarterback and gunner Stockton. They're gonna be able to run
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  Speaker 1: the ball. That defense is going to be good. I
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: like Georgia over nine and a half.
• 4:41
  Speaker 3: And Jake, you know, we're less than a week away
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  Speaker 3: from the Hall of Fame Game in the NFL.
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, the Hall of Fame Game. I don't
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  Speaker 2: know that people keep it on.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: Maybe they keep it on for background noise, but I
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  Speaker 1: think a lot of people tune in initially. I know
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  Speaker 1: I will, just because it's the first football we actually
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: get to see, and you know, you can it just
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: kind of it's one of those welcome gifts of like, hey,
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: we're here.
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  Speaker 2: Uh, so I can't wait for it.
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: Yeah that means, you know, the Hall of Fame game
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  Speaker 3: means the season is about to start, right, So yeah,
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  Speaker 3: I'm looking forward to it.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: That next Thursday, were vision with Keith Hardy.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: He is a sportsbook manager Adam Arastar casino, And of
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: course I get out, get the bet builder and shop around.
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: So, Keith, when you look at some other teams, you know,
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  Speaker 1: there's there's some some good nuggets out there, you know,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: as far as futures are concerned and the totals, you know,
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: let's take another one. And I know you get a
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: lot of people that, uh, and let me get over
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  Speaker 1: here to college and not the h not the NFL.
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: When I look at futures, Let's go to LSU because
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: you get.
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  Speaker 1: A lot of teams, you know, a lot of people
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  Speaker 1: that come in and play LSU. Let me get their
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: their number real quick, Louisiana. Let's see there they are.
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: We've got LSU at eight and a half.
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  Speaker 2: Jake, Now, Tiger fans are going to slam the over,
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  Speaker 2: you know that.
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  Speaker 3: And eight and a half minus one thirteen.
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: Yeah, minus one.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: And Keith, tell people what that means when you hear
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  Speaker 1: that eight and a half, but the minus one thirteen
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  Speaker 1: or if it was a minus one fifty kind of
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  Speaker 1: explain that for everybody.
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  Speaker 3: Well, whenever you're Jake, whenever you're looking at a vet
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  Speaker 3: and you're looking at the odds. Next to the odds,
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: they'll have a it'll there'll be a plus or minus number.
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  Speaker 3: The minus number is what you have to risk to
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  Speaker 3: win one hundred, and the plus number is what one
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  Speaker 3: hundred will pay you. Now, typically you know on a
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  Speaker 3: point spread, everything is minus one ten, but you'll see
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  Speaker 3: the money line often is it doesn't have a point spread,
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  Speaker 3: that'll have a plus or minus. So for example, if
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  Speaker 3: a team's a big favorite, like I'm looking at Week
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  Speaker 3: one right now, let's see a big favorite. Okay, the
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  Speaker 3: Cardinals are at the Chargers. The Chargers are minus ten,
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  Speaker 3: but the money line is minus five hundred. That means
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  Speaker 3: you would have to risk five hundred to win one hundred.
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  Speaker 3: To actually wait risk five hundred, you could risk five
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  Speaker 3: dollars to win a dollar. So that is just what
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  Speaker 3: the odds are. Now. The plus number Arizona to win
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  Speaker 3: the game would be plus three seventy five. So when
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  Speaker 3: you see a plus number, that's what one hundred dollars
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  Speaker 3: will pay. And when you see a minus number, that's
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  Speaker 3: what you have to risk to win one hundred.
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  Speaker 2: Very good.
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  Speaker 1: Back to LSU at eight and a half, I still
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: think LSU is over over eight and a half.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, I like I like LSU, Jake, you know, because
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  Speaker 3: I was just looking at the NFL, I wanted to
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  Speaker 3: little this out there. I've got I've got a lock
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  Speaker 3: for you.
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: Week one, Jake, let's do it.
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  Speaker 3: The Chiefs are hosting the Broncos. The Chiefs are minus three.
• 7:47
  Speaker 3: I am loving the Chiefs now I might go minus
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  Speaker 3: two and a half. So that's something to let your
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: listeners know. You can buy a half a point, or
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: a whole point, or several points. For example, in this game,
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  Speaker 3: the Chiefs are minus three, but you can take it
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: down to minus two and a half. That way, you
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  Speaker 3: know three is not a push. I hate to see
• 8:08
  Speaker 3: that that game winning field goal go through the upright
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  Speaker 3: and it just means got tied. So I like to
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  Speaker 3: be minus two and a half. But it goes to
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  Speaker 3: a play. And this is only good for Week one.
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  Speaker 3: Win a team a division game where the team lost
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  Speaker 3: to that team twice last year. In Week one, they
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  Speaker 3: win at a seventy percent clip.
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: How about that? That that's that's some good knowledge. And
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  Speaker 1: of course the Chiefs were thethargic last year. Mahomes was hurt.
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: He's by all accounts healthy. I do like I do
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  Speaker 1: like that. I like the Chiefs to win that ball
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  Speaker 1: game on July thirty first. I like the Chiefs.
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: Uh we know ready? Yeah yeah, if you like to
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: get it ready today, you like it right And in
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: granted that, you know, things can happen if something changes
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: all of a sudden, Mahomes is not gonna start all
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: they be a from points plays. But that but that
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: trend is only good for week one division matchup where
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: the where one team lost both games the previous year,
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: they win it a high cup. It's something like seventy percent.
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: So I just wanted to throw that out there to
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: your listeners.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: Keith, tell everybody to come see you and I appreciate
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: you join us today. There's a lot going on out
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: of a Meristar.
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: Well, Jake, you know it's not just sports betting. It's
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: sports betting at a Maristar. So there's Baccara, Blackjack, Crapston roulette,
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: there's a bottle deck blues bar for great entertainment of course,
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: all your favorite slot machines, video poker, live poker right
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: here next to the sports book. And when you come
• 9:42
  Speaker 3: down and we've got a thirty six foot video wall
• 9:46
  Speaker 3: with forty TVs all around. If there's something on direct
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: TV you want to watch, we can. If we can
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: find it, we're going to put it on for you.
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: You know there's Potter Race and golf, tennis, you'll see NNA.
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: So let us know when you come down. And if
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: you got questions, well we got answers. If you want
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: to know how to put the builder on your phone,
• 10:05
  Speaker 3: or if you wanted to figure out how these future
• 10:08
  Speaker 3: vets were. You have many questions at all, feel free
• 10:11
  Speaker 3: to ask us. And while you're here, you want to
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: get a bite. Bella's got pizza, wings, burgers, if you
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: want to sit down to it. All you can eat.
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: That's the Heritage Buffet, Burdens Steakhouse for fine dining, and
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: of course the Red Lotus that's our Asian cuisine. So
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: lots to do, food and drink. Oh and Jake, all
• 10:32
  Speaker 3: you gotta do is come up to me and say, hey,
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: I heard you on the radio. I heard you on Jake,
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: Wimberley Show and I walk you into the Gurkha Cigar Lounge.
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: Let you pick out a stogy and get you an
• 10:44
  Speaker 3: adult bevy on me. What do you say to that, Jake.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Keith, you got the best dells in town. Sir, thank
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: you so much. Get out and see Keith. Tell you
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: heard him on the radio. Who get your beverage and
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: he will get your cigar from the girk. Keith, have
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: a great rest of the day. Look, we'll talk to
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: you next week.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: Thanks having me, Jake, take care of Thanks.
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: So much, Keith Hardy on your radio, brought to you
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: by Meristarkers. You know, get out and play today at
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: a Meristar back in a bed,