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Ryan Bridge: The Nats stand a chance this election · Early Edition with Ryan Bridge

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: The coalition is failing on two numbers that matter to
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  Speaker 1: most of US voters. The most, inflation is up over
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: three percent, not as bad as the Aussies, not helped
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: by Trump. But wage growth two percent this year. The
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: prediction the cost of buying stuff is going up quicker
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  Speaker 1: than we can afford to pay for it by working
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  Speaker 1: our real wages are basically a bit shite. Sorry be
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  Speaker 1: say you know. When Luxon set the election date in January,
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  Speaker 1: he said people needed to feel the recovery, feel a
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: recovery happening. Well they're not. That's why the right track
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: wrong track poll results look the way that they do.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Most of us reckon that we're heading in the wrong
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  Speaker 1: direction because they are, and people generally and rightly link
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: their individual circumstances to that of the country. Now some
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  Speaker 1: of you might be annoyed by this, but these are facts.
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: You can't argue with them. However, they do not mean
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: labor is getting back into government, far from it. Elections
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: are about choices. Is the other guy hawking as wear
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: has got something better to offer? Labour's got three doctors'
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: visits at already stretched GP clinics at a world of
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  Speaker 1: financial and tax uncertainty with the Greens Anti Party Mardi
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  Speaker 1: at their site. As I said from the beginning on this,
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: this coalition will be re elected because they are relatively
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  Speaker 1: stable and Kiwi's generally mostly give first time as a
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: second shot. These wage inflation numbers are not good for them,
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  Speaker 1: but not fatal either. The risk of the unknown, the
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: devil you don't know, is, especially during a crisis like this,
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  Speaker 1: will in the end get Luxen re elected Prime Minister.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: I still don't think that Kiwi's when they come to
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  Speaker 1: polling booths in November will want to risk getting out
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  Speaker 1: of the frying pan only to end up in the fire.
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge. Listen live
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: to News Talks at b from five am weekdays, or
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: follow the podcast on iHeartRadio