Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3965 Iran PANICS As Saudi Arabia & UAE Team Up To END Them!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:21[SPEAKER_00]: Iran thought it had figured out the game, stole the negotiations, keep the straight closed, run out the clock, wait for the midterms, watch the maga coalition fracture under $5 gallon gas and the political weight of a war that isn't ending.
- 0:37[SPEAKER_00]: That was the plan.
- 0:38[SPEAKER_00]: That was always the plan.
- 0:40[SPEAKER_00]: And then something happened, something that nobody saw coming.
- 0:46[SPEAKER_00]: three phone calls, three golf leaders, and the scheduled American assault and Iran that was 24 hours from launch stood down.
- 0:56[SPEAKER_00]: Stigma the very end of this video because we're about to find out why the Gulf States just pulled off perhaps the single most brilliant diplomatic maneuver in the modern Middle East and why it just ended Iran as we know it.
- 1:12[SPEAKER_00]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, you're a Patre professor who'd help you make sense that the madness with breaking news and analysis, you're not going to get anywhere else.
- 1:21[SPEAKER_00]: So you know what to do, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button.
- 1:24[SPEAKER_00]: Alright, let's set this stage because this story really only makes sense.
- 1:28[SPEAKER_00]: If you understand the full context of what's we've been watching build for the last two months, the straight-of-war moves has been effectively closed since late February when American and Israeli strikes decapitated Iran's military and political leadership and the IRGC retaliated
- 1:47[SPEAKER_00]: By blockading the world's most critical energy choke point, 20% of the world's seaborn oil used to pass through that narrow strip of water every single day, it's been shut from months, gas prices in America, have climbed more than $1 a gallon, Brent Crude briefly touched $95 a barrel.
- 2:07[SPEAKER_00]: At the same time, by late March,
- 2:09[SPEAKER_00]: Iran had launched over 3,000 attacks on Gulf Arab states hitting Kuwait Saudi Arabia and the UAE with drones and missiles.
- 2:20[SPEAKER_00]: The UAE had drones near its Barakat nuclear plant just days ago.
- 2:26[SPEAKER_00]: Saudi Arabia was intercepting Iranian projectiles entering from Iraq this very week.
- 2:31[SPEAKER_00]: So let me paint the picture for you as clearly as I can.
- 2:36[SPEAKER_00]: The gold states had been getting bombed by Iran for the last two months.
- 2:40[SPEAKER_00]: And now we just got reports, in fact, President Trump just confirmed this, that these very same gold states that Iran has been bombing, just picked up the phone and asked Donald Trump not to bomb Iran back this week.
- 2:55[SPEAKER_00]: Trump has signaled that he was ready to resume bombing Iran because of their stall tactics, but these very same gold states are asking for more time.
- 3:04[SPEAKER_00]: Why?
- 3:06[SPEAKER_00]: Why on earth would Saudi Arabia and the UAE and Qatar nations had spent the last three months or so as Iran's target practice step in to save Iran from a full American assault?
- 3:20[SPEAKER_00]: The answer to that question reveals something very profound about what's actually happening in the Middle East right now and it's not what the legacy media is trying to spin.
- 3:31[SPEAKER_00]: To understand the golf intervention, you've got to understand the Abraham Accords.
- 3:37[SPEAKER_00]: Not as a P steel, but as a strategic architecture that's absolutely key here.
- 3:43[SPEAKER_00]: When Donald Trump broke the Abraham Accords in 2020, what he was really building wasn't a feel good handshake.
- 3:50[SPEAKER_00]: He was building a lasting regional framework is Rayleigh military intelligence muscle plus Arab economic power and American strategic backing equals a regional order that contains Iran without requiring a catastrophic full-scale war.
- 4:10[SPEAKER_00]: The vision was never bummer on into the Stone Age in one blow.
- 4:15[SPEAKER_00]: The vision was structural deterrence, a network of shared interests, intelligence relationships, air defense integration, and commercial partnerships so deep, so interlocking that Iran would eventually find itself strategically suffocated, unable to threaten unable to export terrorism, unable to enrich uranium,
- 4:38[SPEAKER_00]: not because it was completely obliterated, but because it was encircled.
- 4:44[SPEAKER_00]: And what just happened, three gold phone calls to Trump, a pause in the strike, is not a departure from that vision.
- 4:52[SPEAKER_00]: What we have to understand is that it is that vision, operating and its most sophisticated level.
- 5:00[SPEAKER_00]: Here's the key insight that nobody's reporting.
- 5:04[SPEAKER_00]: The Gulf states did not call Trump because they felt sorry for Iran.
- 5:08[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, they don't.
- 5:10[SPEAKER_00]: These Sunni nations would love nothing more than to see the Shiite radicals eliminated.
- 5:17[SPEAKER_00]: Instead, they called Trump because a full-scale American assault on Iran right now in this specific moment would have destroyed the very architecture that they've been building.
- 5:29[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, think about what that strike would actually mean for the Gulf, not for Iran, for the Gulf.
- 5:36[SPEAKER_00]: Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has bet his entire legacy on vision 2030, tourism tack, financial diversification of post-oil Saudi Arabia that's a global destination and investment hub, a full-blown regional war that triggers the last remaining Iranian missile savoes on re-odd that shuts down Saudi ports that sends oil markets into chaos, that scares away every western investor who is finally beginning to take the kingdom seriously.
- 6:04[SPEAKER_00]: That doesn't just cost money, it kills the vision entirely.
- 6:09[SPEAKER_00]: Similarly, for the UAE, the stakes are equally existential.
- 6:13[SPEAKER_00]: Dubai is a key transit port for trade with Iran.
- 6:17[SPEAKER_00]: The two countries share robust commercial ties, and the UAE just signed an 8.4 billion dollar arms deal with Washington.
- 6:26[SPEAKER_00]: They're not a country that can afford to be in the middle of a regional infernal inferno.
- 6:34[SPEAKER_00]: Doha shares with Iran the world's largest natural gas reservoir, the South Pahr's North Dome field, and Iran reduced to rubble is an Iran that can no longer be a business partner and energy partner, even to stabilizing presence, however complicated across the Gulf.
- 6:55[SPEAKER_00]: These three nations have decided rationally and strategically that a destroyed Iran is actually worse for them than a contained Iran.
- 7:06[SPEAKER_00]: But at the same time, they also send a message to Tehran.
- 7:11[SPEAKER_00]: They made very clear that any Iranian retaliatory attacks on U.S. facility facilities in the Gulf would have consequences for Iran's relationships with those same Gulf nations.
- 7:22[SPEAKER_00]: Iran is going to need the help of these Gulf nations to rebuild desperately as it economically suffocates.
- 7:29[SPEAKER_00]: In other words,
- 7:30[SPEAKER_00]: The Gulf countries are squeezing both sides simultaneously.
- 7:34[SPEAKER_00]: They're pressing Washington to pause the military option and they're pressing Tehran not to exploit that pause.
- 7:42[SPEAKER_00]: That's not weakness.
- 7:44[SPEAKER_00]: That's diplomacy at a level of sophistication.
- 7:47[SPEAKER_00]: that frankly should be astonishing to anyone paying attention and it could never have happened without the Trump Broker Abraham Accords, but it gets even richer.
- 7:58[SPEAKER_00]: Because we now know that these very same golf countries have been conducting covert air strikes against Iran.
- 8:07[SPEAKER_00]: The same countries lobbying on behalf of Iran are also lobbying bombs into Iran.
- 8:14[SPEAKER_00]: What on earth is going on here?
- 8:15[SPEAKER_00]: Well, that's exactly what we're about to find out.
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- 10:37[SPEAKER_00]: At the exact same moment, the Gulf States were on the phone with Trump asking him to stand out militarily.
- 10:42[SPEAKER_00]: We're now finding out that Saudi Arabia and the UAE were indeed conducting covert offensive strikes inside Iran.
- 10:52[SPEAKER_00]: It's not speculation that's been confirmed by both Reuters and the New York Times citing U.S. officials.
- 10:58[SPEAKER_00]: So let that sit with you for a moment.
- 11:00[SPEAKER_00]: The same nations asking Trump to pause the aerosol are themselves quietly hitting targets inside Iranian territory.
- 11:09[SPEAKER_00]: The same nations Iran has been bombing from months, chose to diplomacy in Washington and covert action in Tehran simultaneously.
- 11:21[SPEAKER_00]: This proves they're not protecting Iran, they are managing Iran, they are applying pressure precisely where they want it and releasing pressure precisely where it benefits their long term strategic interest.
- 11:38[SPEAKER_00]: This is the Abraham Accords architecture
- 11:41[SPEAKER_00]: operating in the region at full maturity.
- 11:46[SPEAKER_00]: Think about what's changed since 2020, when the Abraham Accords were first signed.
- 11:50[SPEAKER_00]: So back then, the architecture was theoretical.
- 11:54[SPEAKER_00]: The Gulf States would normalize relations with Israel, Sharon, intelligence, coordinate on air defense, and together with Washington deter Iran through strength.
- 12:05[SPEAKER_00]: Iran laughed at all.
- 12:07[SPEAKER_00]: They called it a paper agreement between American client states who would fold the moment real pressure arrive.
- 12:13[SPEAKER_00]: Well, that pressure has arrived.
- 12:15[SPEAKER_00]: And the Gulf States obviously didn't fold.
- 12:18[SPEAKER_00]: They evolved.
- 12:20[SPEAKER_00]: The RUSI security think tank documented just this month that UAE Israel military coordination has actually deepened during the war.
- 12:31[SPEAKER_00]: Join air defense operations, intelligence sharing on drone threats, technology transfer.
- 12:37[SPEAKER_00]: Israel's muscle proved real.
- 12:40[SPEAKER_00]: And now the error partners in this architecture are developing offensive capabilities of their own, conducting strikes inside Iran that would have been literally unthinkable five years ago.
- 12:53[SPEAKER_00]: That's not the Abraham Accords plateauing.
- 12:56[SPEAKER_00]: That's the Abraham Accords graduating literally to the next level.
- 13:02[SPEAKER_00]: Now, does this mean that Iran is off the hook?
- 13:05[SPEAKER_00]: Absolutely not.
- 13:07[SPEAKER_00]: Let's be crystal clear about where Iran actually stands right now because the pause in the American strike does not mean Iran is escaped.
- 13:15[SPEAKER_00]: It's predicament.
- 13:16[SPEAKER_00]: Far from it.
- 13:17[SPEAKER_00]: Iran's main oil export terminal at Carg Island has had essentially zero loading activity in nearly two months.
- 13:27[SPEAKER_00]: The U.S.
- 13:28[SPEAKER_00]: Naval blockade is holding Iran's storage tanks are full satellite photoshow Iran beginning to physically shut down oil production because there's literally nowhere left to put the oil, no ships getting in, no ships getting out.
- 13:42[SPEAKER_00]: Iran's oil economy is not just hurting.
- 13:45[SPEAKER_00]: It is
- 13:45[SPEAKER_00]: beginning to literally physically stop.
- 13:49[SPEAKER_00]: And that's before you factor in that China Iran's last great patron has publicly aligned with the United States, calling for the straight to remain open and expressing interest in replacing Iranian crude with American oil.
- 14:05[SPEAKER_00]: Both pillars of Iran's survival strategy, Russia and China have cracked simultaneously.
- 14:13[SPEAKER_00]: The IRGC closed the straight of Hormuz thinking that they were hitting America by spiking oil prices.
- 14:20[SPEAKER_00]: They were actually hurting China.
- 14:23[SPEAKER_00]: They're last patron.
- 14:26[SPEAKER_00]: And China noticed, Iran thought China was on its side, well it turns out Xi Jinping is on his own side or China's side, however you want to put it.
- 14:36[SPEAKER_00]: So here's what the big picture actually looks like right now and I want you to hold this in your mind because really is it's genuinely historic.
- 14:45[SPEAKER_00]: You have Israel providing the military and intelligence backbone of a regional anti-Aranian coalition.
- 14:54[SPEAKER_00]: Your Saudi Arabia, the UAE in Qatar, providing the economic muscle, the diplomatic cover, and increasingly the covert strike capability.
- 15:03[SPEAKER_00]: You've got the United States providing the overwhelming military deterrent and the naval blockade.
- 15:09[SPEAKER_00]: You've got China under pressure from a closed straight
- 15:13[SPEAKER_00]: publicly supporting the American position that Iran must stand down on the straight has to be reopened.
- 15:21[SPEAKER_00]: And then, of course, you've got Russian, the background bogged down in Ukraine, completely unable to provide Iran, meaning full support.
- 15:29[SPEAKER_00]: Iran is surrounded economically, diplomatically, militarily.
- 15:36[SPEAKER_00]: And the trap wasn't set in the last two months.
- 15:39[SPEAKER_00]: The trap was actually set back in September of 2020.
- 15:43[SPEAKER_00]: When the Abraham Accords resigned and Trump began building a Middle Eastern architecture designed to do exactly this.
- 15:53[SPEAKER_00]: The Gulf States' phone calls to Trump weren't a lifeline for Iran.
- 15:58[SPEAKER_00]: They were the architects of that trap making sure the trap closes cleanly.
- 16:05[SPEAKER_00]: At a time and in a manner that serves the long-term strategic vision rather than a moment of expedient rage.
- 16:14[SPEAKER_00]: The Gulf States handed Trump a strategic pause.
- 16:17[SPEAKER_00]: They did not hand Iran in a scape.
- 16:21[SPEAKER_00]: The Abraham Accords Architecture is working.
- 16:25[SPEAKER_00]: The trap is closing.
- 16:28[SPEAKER_00]: And Iran is about to find out that the most dangerous thing in the world is not a full American assault.
- 16:35[SPEAKER_00]: It's a patient.
- 16:36[SPEAKER_00]: methodical, multi-front strategic encirclement that was planned in Washington, built in Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Jerusalem, and Doha.
- 16:46[SPEAKER_00]: And that has been running perfectly this entire time.
- 16:52[SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening to this episode of the Turley Talks podcast.
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- 17:09[SPEAKER_00]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.