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Episode 571 - 9/2/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome to episode 570.
• 0:17
  One of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast.
• 0:21
  Powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
• 0:30
  What's going on, everyone? Happy Wednesday, another day.
• 0:33
  Here in the arena, guys. It's officially hump day.
• 0:36
  That means we are. Halfway through our work week,
• 0:38
  of course. We're now one day closer to the.
• 0:41
  NFL Kickoff, Literally a. Week.
• 0:44
  From tonight, Wednesday night. We got the Patriots and the
• 0:46
  Seahawks. That lines hovering around 3
• 0:49
  1/2. Although I am seeing a couple.
• 0:50
  Of shops. Juice it a little toward New
• 0:52
  England. Plus 3 1/2. -115 so we really
• 0:55
  got to stay plugged. Into these hooks key.
• 0:57
  Numbers really identify where the juice is trending.
• 1:00
  Again, if that three and F gets down to three, that's a great
• 1:03
  sign for New England, so. Haven't met the game yet,
• 1:05
  something to keep. An eye out for, but I do.
• 1:07
  Have for today guys, some college football talk lined up
• 1:11
  because there is a. Play we talked about yesterday
• 1:13
  where I was hoping for a three that.
• 1:15
  Three ain't coming and. It's actually getting down.
• 1:18
  To 1 1/2 it was at 2. And a half now it's getting down
• 1:21
  to 1 1/2, so. I did find a book still.
• 1:23
  Offering the best number available.
• 1:25
  So I want to re up a play we talked about yesterday and
• 1:28
  really kind of explain how we use.
• 1:29
  Rhythm to our advantage. Combining rhythm predictions.
• 1:32
  With what the betting? Market is telling us but.
• 1:34
  Then I also have. Another college football bat for
• 1:36
  you, So there's a play. Coming up tomorrow as well,
• 1:40
  tomorrow we have. About a 13 game slate, Summer
• 1:42
  added. Extra games, small games like
• 1:44
  you. Know I.
• 1:44
  Don't have anything on. Delaware or Merrimack, or, you
• 1:47
  know, Kennesaw State. West, Georgia.
• 1:49
  So a lot of those are smaller games, don't have much on them,
• 1:51
  but there is one. Game pretty heavily bet that is
• 1:54
  right up. Our alley, so I'm going.
• 1:55
  To give you a. Play for tomorrow.
• 1:57
  So I have two college football players to talk about.
• 2:00
  And then of course, one day closer here.
• 2:01
  To the. NFL so I.
• 2:03
  Still will have most likely some NFL win totals.
• 2:05
  The only one I've. Bet so.
• 2:07
  Far is the Texans over? 9 1/2 had that in pocket.
• 2:11
  I think over a month ago at this point.
• 2:13
  But might have a couple more wind totals.
• 2:14
  I got a new. E-mail from.
• 2:15
  My buddy John Ewing at Bet MGM. With the updated updated.
• 2:18
  Wind total data so. Bets in dollars line.
• 2:21
  Movement, so stay tuned for that.
• 2:23
  But we have, we have a week left here.
• 2:24
  It's. Really right around the corner,
• 2:26
  but. Also we got some time so.
• 2:27
  Those of you. Who've been asking, hey, what do
• 2:29
  you got for wind totals again, only Texans over 9 1/2 right
• 2:32
  now, but a few others I'm looking at and we'll.
• 2:34
  Talk about those. Between now and.
• 2:36
  And we can leave and keep doing up until.
• 2:38
  Next Friday? Really.
• 2:38
  Before the season starts. Even though during the year they
• 2:41
  have. Adjusted win totals as well, but
• 2:43
  a lot of the value you're. Going to find beforehand.
• 2:46
  So 2 college football plays we'll talk about then we're
• 2:48
  going to get right. Back to Major League.
• 2:50
  Baseball, I know. It's brutal out there.
• 2:52
  MLB Betters. I know it's not.
• 2:54
  Just me. I've been.
• 2:54
  Talking to a few of. You.
• 2:56
  I'm wondering if this is an omen.
• 2:57
  From the betting gods. Saying hey, don't give.
• 2:59
  Away all these units and MLBML. B Super.
• 3:02
  Erratic right now. Maybe we should transition away
• 3:04
  from Emily. Toward football a little bit,
• 3:06
  but I do have a three pack of sweats for you today, guys.
• 3:09
  I'm going to see if we can go 2IN1 eek out of winning day,
• 3:11
  which the way it's gone. Lately I will gladly.
• 3:14
  Take a 2IN1 if we can produce a winning night.
• 3:16
  Lastly, just. Wanted to mention the.
• 3:18
  Survivor contest is still available.
• 3:20
  I was tweeting up a storm. I'm not a big video guy.
• 3:23
  But I'm trying to up my social media game.
• 3:25
  How? To keep up with you, you
• 3:26
  youngsters out there. I'm almost 40 years old.
• 3:29
  So I'm not the biggest, you know, Tik.
• 3:32
  Toker. Tweeter but I have been putting
• 3:34
  out some videos. I wanted to mention that the
• 3:36
  Applebaum. Survivor contest we're now up
• 3:38
  to. 131. Entries so shout out to you
• 3:41
  guys. Thank you if.
• 3:42
  You haven't done it yet. You can click that link on the
• 3:44
  top. Of my profile page at Josh.
• 3:46
  Under Score Insights on Twitter. You can always shoot.
• 3:49
  Me a direct message. If you have any questions and
• 3:51
  you can always get that. Link in the bio description of
• 3:53
  the pod. Now we're running a little
• 3:55
  promo. If you signed up before last
• 3:56
  night at midnight, you're in entered.
• 3:57
  Into a raffle to win a free entry into the three.
• 4:00
  Million. Dollar Splash Survivor contest.
• 4:02
  Which is usually. $100 entry. We're going to do that raffle
• 4:05
  here shortly. I got to.
• 4:06
  Talk to Splash. They're going to randomize.
• 4:08
  It and pick. Somebody who sign?
• 4:09
  Up, out. Of the 131 so.
• 4:11
  Definitely stay tuned for that. But you can still sign up.
• 4:14
  It's still available. You can sign up.
• 4:15
  Until September. 13th up until 1.
• 4:19
  O'clock when all the games start on that Sunday, so come on.
• 4:21
  Down if you haven't done it yet, just.
• 4:23
  Get in now, make it easy on. Yourself if you've.
• 4:26
  Already signed up? Now I'm going to rely on you.
• 4:28
  I'm going to. Challenge you to find.
• 4:29
  Someone else to sign up and bring into.
• 4:31
  The pool because the. More people we get.
• 4:32
  Into the. Survivor contest, the bigger the
• 4:35
  payout. Become, so it's.
• 4:36
  Just better for everybody. With that being said guys, real
• 4:39
  quick recap of yesterday. Just brutal.
• 4:41
  O and three. -3 units O and 6 minus. 6 units, the last.
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  Two days. I mean it just.
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  Absolutely ridiculous. Padres lost. 4:00 to 3:00 to
• 4:50
  Cincinnati. Royals six to three.
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  Losers against Miami? Even the Dodgers.
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  It's so. Bad out there you can't even
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  count. On the Dodgers to come through.
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  For you. Lose 13 day to Saint.
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  Louis so. I'm not going to, you know, give
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  you the. Whole spiel, the pep talk.
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  How to just continue? To grind, there's ups and downs,
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  we know. That by now not satisfied,
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  disappointed, frustrated. But again, sometimes baseball.
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  Gets a little crazy. When you get into.
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  September, we've had a Goodyear overall.
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  I don't want to. Continue to, you know, basically
• 5:19
  forfeit some units here so. We're going to continue to grind
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  baseball again. 3 plays for tonight but I don't know if
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  it's. Just me, but I have been talking
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  to a few of you and just again. Systems that have cast all year
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  long. Have not come through.
• 5:32
  Over the last few. Days so.
• 5:33
  Maybe that is something to do with, you know, kind of the
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  stretch run here where? Teams are loading up for the
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  playoffs. Other teams.
• 5:39
  You know. Are out of.
• 5:39
  It they're. Bringing up youngsters.
• 5:41
  Whatever it is, it can get a little.
• 5:43
  Funky in September, so. Let's just.
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  Keep that in mind. As we transition further into.
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  Football. With that being said, let's talk
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  about some college football games because there's a bunch of
• 5:53
  games here lined up for Week 1 and I have a few games that I
• 5:56
  want to hit on. So the first one that I wanted
• 5:58
  to mention, it's a game. We talked about yesterday.
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  And that game happened. To be the Nevada.
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  Wolfpack at home. Against Western Kentucky, that
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  is coming up here. On Saturday.
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  Night at 10:30. PM Eastern Time and really the
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  The point of this game is that it is a blueprint play in terms
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  of betting market adjustments. You know, data info combined
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  with what? Rhythm is predicting, so if you
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  remember. We talked about.
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  This game yesterday and. We were trying to get greedy
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  saying can we get a three? Now.
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  To reset the stage. Western Kentucky.
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  They come in here with a. Adjusted or an updated?
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  Win total of. 6 1/2. Over -180.
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  Nevada 4 1/2 under -140. 5 S. Western Kentucky is predicted.
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  To be the better. Team.
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  Western Kentucky was nine and four last year.
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  Nevada was 3:00 and 9:00 so. Nevada.
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  Is again the worst team on paper.
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  But games aren't played on paper, you know They're played
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  in this matchup. And you do have a lot of.
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  Unpredictable things happening in week 1, but.
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  Really. We talked yesterday about.
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  Taking. Nevada and the reason why I
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  like. The Nevada Wolfpack here is
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  that. Everybody and their mother.
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  Is on Western Kentucky better team?
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  Better record last year, however.
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  Even though Western Kentucky. Is a huge public.
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  Play right now. I'm seeing.
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  Let me just flip over my notebook.
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  Here. I'm seeing Western Kentucky
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  taking upwards of. Let's see where they at.
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  Let's see 70. 8% of bets here on Western.
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  Kentucky. So pretty much everyone's
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  playing Western Kentucky, but they open as high as minus. 4
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  1/2 - 4 -. 3 and a. Half.
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  We talked yesterday at the. 2 1/2 trying to be.
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  Selective and get the key number of.
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  Three. Well, I don't.
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  Know if that's coming anymore because I looked.
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  At the book today. At all my books in Massachusetts
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  that are available to me, I'm. Looking for a three.
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  Not only do I not. See a three.
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  But I'm seeing this line down to.
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  Western Kentucky. -1 1/2. So this.
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  Is a great sign. You might be.
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  Oh this is annoying. Hey I wanted a 3.
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  It's down to 1. And 1/2.
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  Man, I missed the good number. This is a game.
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  Where you say, hey, I'll take that. 2 1/2 because a lot of
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  games are down to 1 1/2 but I did find one book.
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  Still offering Nevada Plus. 2 1/2 it's bet MGM so plus 2 1/2
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  minus one O 8. So I jumped on that.
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  The reason why I took the 2 1/2 is because.
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  Three ain't coming and. We're even lucky enough now to
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  get. 2 1/2. Because again, games of.
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  Most books are getting down to. 1 1/2.
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  Bally Betten fanatics are down to two, but again, this thing's
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  getting down to. 1 1/2 so 3 ain't coming.
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  Now we're just trying to. Be with the sharp play and.
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  Get the best number we can, so. That is, of course, Nevada.
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  Now, the other thing with Nevada.
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  They are getting at. DraftKings only 22%.
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  Of spread bets so super contrarian play heavily bet.
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  Game late night again, everyone playing Western Kentucky lines.
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  Moving to Nevada, Classic sharp reverse line move.
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  But if you go over to Circa. 62% Spread bets 90. 6% spread
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  dollars on Nevada. So circa again, not.
• 8:53
  Far you know Reno. Versus Vegas, maybe it's.
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  Some sharp money at Circa hammering, Nevada.
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  But we have a. Market move toward Nevada and
• 9:02
  then our friends at Rhythm are telling us to also.
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  Take the. 2 1/2. Before it falls to 1.
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  And a half because. Rhythm actually has Nevada.
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  Favored in this game. Nevada -0 Point. 7 Now yesterday
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  in this the. Shout out to rhythm because
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  they're always. Updating their models.
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  Yesterday, rhythm had Nevada. -0.1 So basically a pick.
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  Them very. Ever so slight, Nevada.
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  They went from -0.1 to -0.7, so this line is moving further.
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  Or basically the rhythm prediction.
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  Is moving. More heavily toward.
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  Nevada so. Again, I'm I'm very.
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  Proud of us for. Identifying.
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  Nevada yesterday. It's actually.
• 9:38
  A great sign. Like again, you're mad because
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  you can't get the three and. Again, you better have a bet.
• 9:43
  MGM account and at least get. That 2 1/2.
• 9:45
  But it's a good. Sign that we identified.
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  A sharp play. And basically CLV the lines
• 9:49
  moving. Toward.
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  The sharp play so I I. Put in plus 2 1/2.
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  Nevada from Bet MGM. Little bit earlier today.
• 9:57
  Just a shameless promotion. Sign up to get the best bet
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  picks. That I make on juice real
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  because. For 10 bucks a week or 25 bucks
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  a month, you'll. Get these plays as soon as I
• 10:05
  make them and if you want to, hopefully.
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  Jump on good numbers, you'll get that alert.
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  Even quicker, so Nevada plus 2 1/2.
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  Again, we'd really love to get that 2 1/2 if you can get a
• 10:14
  better MGM angle here, but again, a lot of books.
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  At 2:00 if you. Only get a.
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  Two, I'll take the. Two I mean.
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  Again, you can even think of a money.
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  Line play the way this thing is getting so sharp, but I did take
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  2 1/2. From Nevada, another.
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  Play that I want to talk about. It is a game.
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  For tomorrow. So tomorrow.
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  Which is November. Or sorry.
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  November September 3rd. There is an 8:00 game that
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  happens. To me, the most heavily bet.
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  Game of the Night. And it's Colorado.
• 10:41
  And Georgia Tech. This is most.
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  Heavily bet 8:00. Prime time Thursday night and
• 10:46
  this is a. Ball that just a.
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  Blueprint. You know, wheelhouse.
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  Play, that's what. I'm trying to.
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  Say I'm just a ballpark play. That's.
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  No such thing that. Makes no sense anyway.
• 10:54
  Wheelhouse. Why is it a wheelhouse play?
• 10:57
  Because everyone and their. Mother is on Georgia Tech.
• 10:59
  But this line is staying the same or?
• 11:01
  Falling toward Colorado and the most heavily back game.
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  Of the night. So if we look right now, Georgia
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  Tech is. Getting 77% of spread bets
• 11:10
  everyone and their mother on Georgia Tech.
• 11:13
  Now just from a. Contrarian standpoint most
• 11:15
  heavily back game 8:00 I don't know if there's an ESPN game or.
• 11:18
  What channel it's on? But I know it's a primetime
• 11:20
  game. Just to go contrarian. 77%.
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  Georgia Tech. We want to be.
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  On the 23% side and most. Heavily back game the night,
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  most public bias to go against. We don't just want to be
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  contrarian. We want some.
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  Element of smart money. The element here is a line.
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  Freeze or. RLM play toward Colorado.
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  So even though you're getting. 77% of spread bets on.
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  Georgia Tech Georgia Tech. Open this game -7 Most books are
• 11:44
  down to. 6 1/2. So if everyone's playing
• 11:47
  Georgia. Tech Why are the.
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  Odds makers moving the line dropping at 1/2.
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  Point toward Colorado. Because again, public.
• 11:52
  Club Georgia Tech minus. Seven.
• 11:53
  They'll win by 8 or more. They'll win by double digits.
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  Now they only have to win by a touchdown and an extra.
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  Point Why are the? Odds makers make it.
• 12:00
  Easier for the public. To cash tells me again line.
• 12:03
  Freeze which would. Be 7.
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  Sting 7. Or 7 down to 6 1/2.
• 12:07
  Even though no one's playing. Colorado that'll.
• 12:09
  Be a sharp. RLM play toward Colorado.
• 12:11
  So most heavily back in the night.
• 12:14
  Most. Lopsided contrarian play just to
• 12:16
  fade the public and go Colorado. But really that angle that I
• 12:19
  like with. The the.
• 12:20
  Colorado Buffaloes, is that? Everyone's playing Georgia.
• 12:23
  Tech get the lines moving toward Colorado so.
• 12:27
  You look at Colorado, only 23. Percent spread bets but. 51%
• 12:30
  spread dollars. At DK over at Circa. 52% Spread
• 12:35
  bets 60. 1% spread dollars. And I'm not going to go money
• 12:40
  line, I'm not that bold. I don't know, on the money line
• 12:42
  they're like. +200 but 50. Percent money line bets 76%
• 12:47
  money line dollars at Circa on Colorado as well so.
• 12:50
  Last angle here is. We want to get A7.
• 12:53
  Now if you look around, there really aren't any sevens plus
• 12:57
  six and. F -, 1.
• 12:58
  O2 at Caesars. And FanDuel plus 6 and F -, 1 O
• 13:02
  8 bet MGM. +6 and F + 100 at the score plus 6 and F -. 110 at
• 13:07
  Bally Bet. So what I did is I did buy it.
• 13:11
  Up again, buying points. Long term, not a smart decision
• 13:14
  because you're just paying more. You're taking away.
• 13:16
  From your your profit. And it doesn't always make a big
• 13:19
  difference like you think. However, the one caveat is
• 13:22
  around. A key number again.
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  Colorado loses by 7. Second biggest key number.
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  Or the six. Or the seven.
• 13:27
  After the three, we got to push that bet instead of lose that
• 13:30
  bet. So you could wait.
• 13:32
  Between now and. Tomorrow and just.
• 13:34
  Hope it goes. Back to seven, but again, look
• 13:36
  what just. Happened with Nevada.
• 13:37
  We're waiting for a 3. It's.
• 13:38
  Down to 1 1/2. So what I did is I took the
• 13:42
  lowest juice. +6 and F + 100 at the score.
• 13:46
  And bought it up to. +7 Now it's +7. -125 a little bit.
• 13:50
  Juicy. But again, that's about as high
• 13:52
  as I'll go. Buying up a point.
• 13:54
  And I also like the +7. Because I work.
• 13:57
  At V sin as a. Sports betting analyst.
• 14:00
  And I have two colleagues. That I really respect Matt
• 14:02
  humans. And Wes Reynolds and.
• 14:04
  On the V sin. Best bets page I looked at.
• 14:07
  I looked at this game and I saw that both Maddie.
• 14:09
  Humans and Wes Reynolds. Took Colorado +7.
• 14:13
  So again, blueprint. Play for us everyone on Georgia
• 14:16
  Tech most heavily bet. Primetime game tomorrow.
• 14:18
  But the lines dropping toward Colorado?
• 14:20
  So I did. Take the 6 1/2 + 100 at the
• 14:23
  score. Bought it up to plus 7 -, 125.
• 14:26
  I'm going with a. Contrarian.
• 14:28
  Sharp. Play on the buffs here plus 7.
• 14:31
  Bought it up to -125. Colorado again, along with,
• 14:35
  hopefully. You can get that plus 2 1/2. -1
• 14:38
  O 8. At Bet MGM with Nevada.
• 14:40
  So just a couple college plays. To wet your whistle.
• 14:43
  Now let's enter the the dungeon. The torture Chamber of.
• 14:48
  Major of Major League Baseball right now.
• 14:49
  See if we can just pray to the gambling gods that they can give
• 14:52
  us a two winners here to eke out a winning night because it is
• 14:55
  just brutal out there. But again got.
• 14:57
  Some sharp bets that we're excited to talk.
• 14:59
  About S 1st, but on the board 640.
• 15:02
  PM Eastern Time Let's. Go down to the Trop, where the
• 15:05
  New York Mets are. Visiting the Tampa.
• 15:06
  Bay Rays. Let's talk line moves, bet split
• 15:09
  system matches. Give him my play.
• 15:10
  For this one. So this is rubber match of a
• 15:13
  three. Game into league set.
• 15:14
  The Mets are. 62 and 77 on the year.
• 15:17
  They just won the opener, 3:00 to 2:00.
• 15:19
  Came through as a + 165 road dog.
• 15:21
  Then we saw the. Rays were 83 and 55 bounced back
• 15:24
  with A6. To two win.
• 15:27
  And yesterday. Taking care of business as a -1.
• 15:30
  40 home favorite. So tonight's series finale, the
• 15:32
  Mets are going with Justin Hagen.
• 15:35
  Minh, he's making. His 2026.
• 15:37
  Debut. He was a rookie last year when O
• 15:39
  and 14.56. ERA and 9 appearances.
• 15:43
  Meanwhile, Rays. Are going with the.
• 15:44
  Righty Griffin Jacks 6:00 and 9:00. 3.6. 3 ERA so.
• 15:48
  What have you seen across the market?
• 15:50
  This game open Tampa. Bay.
• 15:52
  Listed around a minus. 160 home. Favorite and the Rays.
• 15:56
  Have gotten steamed up to -175 So again, this, this is the
• 16:00
  angle that we play. It's gone.
• 16:02
  Straight down the toilet. Last couple days but.
• 16:05
  I'm going to keep. Playing it because it's sharp
• 16:06
  long term, so 15 cent. Adjustment toward the raise. 74%
• 16:11
  bet, 77% dollars at DK. Over 90%.
• 16:15
  Bets in dollars on Tampa Bay at Circa.
• 16:17
  Tampa Bay has that. Interleague favorite value A
• 16:20
  lack of familiarity. Historically benefiting quote UN
• 16:23
  quote the better team they also have.
• 16:24
  Correlative betting. There's a.
• 16:25
  Favorite low total? So they're -175.
• 16:28
  Favorite and a total. Game with a total of 8 so.
• 16:30
  Few amount of expected. Runs scored more likely.
• 16:32
  To come from again. Quote UN quote that better.
• 16:34
  Team expected to win. Get a load of this the rays. 56
• 16:38
  and 30. 562. Percent 11% ROI against below
• 16:42
  500. Teams.
• 16:44
  Second best mark in baseball if they're also.
• 16:46
  Coming off a win. Against the below 5. 100 team,
• 16:49
  they're 38 and 1868 percent, 23% ROI when they're favorite.
• 16:54
  And getting line movement in their.
• 16:55
  Direction like they are. Tonight, Rays are 40. 3 and
• 16:58
  2464. Percent 10% ROI, the best mark
• 17:03
  in baseball. Tampa's got.
• 17:04
  The better bats. Hitting two 61329 on base, 624
• 17:08
  runs. Scored.
• 17:10
  We got New York going, hitting 2:30. 5.
• 17:13
  Three O 5 on base 567. Runs scored.
• 17:16
  Meanwhile, the Rays. 47 and 24 at home.
• 17:19
  They are the second. Best home team in.
• 17:22
  Baseball Mets are 30 and 38 on the road.
• 17:25
  So, dear God, Sharp. Steam Move.
• 17:28
  We got. Split system matches.
• 17:30
  Can we win a freaking baseball game?
• 17:32
  It's been so frustrating the last couple days.
• 17:35
  We got to stick with it because again, you get, think you get.
• 17:37
  Rewarded long term. If you stick.
• 17:39
  With it versus being? Reactionary and going completely
• 17:42
  the other way, which. Again, human nature.
• 17:44
  We almost want to do that. I have that feeling.
• 17:46
  I was even saying to myself, do I just play totals today because
• 17:48
  it's been so ridiculous, but I'm sticking with it.
• 17:51
  I got. Raised -170.
• 17:53
  Three at the score. Next one for you, let's go out
• 17:57
  to Texas. Where the Houston Astros.
• 17:58
  Are hosting the White Sox. 8:10 PM Eastern Time.
• 18:02
  This is the third game before game set.
• 18:04
  They split the 1st 2:00. The Astros who are. 70 and 69.
• 18:08
  They won the. Opener 6 to 3 came.
• 18:10
  Through as a minus. 130 home favorite, then the Chai Sox Who?
• 18:13
  Are 73 and. 65 they once 5 to 1 yesterday as a -1. 15 road
• 18:18
  favorite. So tonight's rematch.
• 18:21
  White Sox are going. With the ready Davis Martin.
• 18:23
  He's 9:00 and 6:00. With a 4.3 to ER a.
• 18:26
  Astros, meanwhile, going with the.
• 18:27
  Righty Hayden W Neski. He is 4 and one with a 3.860 all
• 18:32
  right. What have we seen across the
• 18:33
  market? Well, this game open.
• 18:35
  Astros around a minus. 130 home favorite.
• 18:37
  Chicago around. A + 110.
• 18:39
  Road Dog. And a line.
• 18:41
  Has moved up toward. Houston.
• 18:42
  So I'm going. Astros here, guys.
• 18:44
  They went from -130. Up to -1. 40 Great split at DK
• 18:48
  66. Percent bets 85% dollars.
• 18:51
  Some system matches non division favorite.
• 18:54
  You also have home favorites -140 or less who missed the
• 18:57
  playoffs. The previous year.
• 18:58
  Facing an. Opponent who also missed the.
• 19:00
  Playoffs the previous year. That system is 150.
• 19:02
  Six and one O 2. 61% Win rate 10.
• 19:06
  Percent ROI this year. And if those teams are also
• 19:08
  coming off a loss? That system is 78 and 4365.
• 19:13
  Percent, 17%. ROI this year, Astros are
• 19:17
  believe. It or not the?
• 19:17
  Second most profitable bounce. Back team in baseball they.
• 19:20
  Lose. They come back and go 39 and 29.
• 19:23
  50. 7 percent, 15%. ROI, They're awful loss.
• 19:27
  Tonight, Houston. 'S five and one.
• 19:29
  Was Neski's 6. Starts this year.
• 19:30
  He's given up 3. Earned runs or less and five of
• 19:33
  his six starts overall. Lastly, Martin coming.
• 19:36
  Off the injured list, and he's also.
• 19:38
  Been worse on the road. 5.32 ERA. 3.2 O at home.
• 19:43
  So sharp split, especially a DK. System matches lighting up
• 19:47
  second best bounce back team in. Baseball, dear God.
• 19:51
  Houston. Astros please win tonight.
• 19:53
  I got the Astros. When I get a. -130.
• 19:55
  Five at Caesars. Last bit of the night, let's go
• 19:59
  out to the West Coast. 9:38 PM. Eastern Time, we got the
• 20:02
  Yankees. Visiting the LA Angels.
• 20:05
  Now this is the rubber match of A.
• 20:06
  Three-game set Angels. 53 and 86 on the year just dominated the
• 20:10
  opener. 12:50 came through as a + 110 home dog.
• 20:14
  Then the Yankees got back on track.
• 20:15
  Yesterday they're 79 and. 60 on the year.
• 20:19
  They won seven to three yesterday as a. -190.
• 20:21
  Five Rd. Favorite.
• 20:23
  Tonight's series finale Cam Schlittler, who I'm holding a +
• 20:26
  125 Cy Young ticket. I'm hoping he can.
• 20:29
  Beat out Dylan Cease. He's 12 and 62.
• 20:32
  Point O 9 ERA. Angels, meanwhile, going with.
• 20:34
  Reed Detmers the lefty. He's 4:00 and 8:00. 3.54.
• 20:38
  ERA what? Have we seen across the market?
• 20:40
  Well, this game opened. New York.
• 20:42
  Around a -, 1. 60 Road favorite with the Los Angeles.
• 20:46
  Angels around a + 140 home. Dog and.
• 20:49
  We've seen nothing but movement. Toward the Yankees.
• 20:51
  Yankees have gone. From -160.
• 20:54
  Now to around -170 -, 165 they're getting over 90.
• 20:59
  Percent of bets and dollars at DraftKings.
• 21:02
  So heavy. Low bets, higher dollars.
• 21:03
  Split in their favor at DK. Along with that line move.
• 21:07
  In addition, the Yankees. Offer some correlative.
• 21:09
  Betting value as a very. You know, decent sized.
• 21:12
  Favorite. But in a very low total game,
• 21:15
  this total is 7. So the fair amount of expected
• 21:17
  runs scored again. More likely to come from quote
• 21:19
  UN quote that better. Team Yankees.
• 21:21
  Would have that non division favorite.
• 21:23
  Value so lack of. Familiarity historically.
• 21:25
  Benefiting once again, the. Better team.
• 21:27
  Based on the minus. Number in.
• 21:29
  Front of the Yankees odds. We also look at couple other
• 21:32
  angles here. If you look at non division Rd.
• 21:35
  favorites off. A win.
• 21:36
  Receiving line. Movement in their direction.
• 21:38
  Facing an opponent who missed the.
• 21:39
  Playoffs. The previous.
• 21:40
  Season Yankees would match. That one as well.
• 21:43
  They're. 81 and 4564. Percent, 9% ROI.
• 21:47
  This year. Schlittler has been really good
• 21:49
  on the road. Fingers.
• 21:50
  Crossed he can pitch well tonight.
• 21:52
  He's 8 and two with a 1.14. ERA on the road.
• 21:55
  Meanwhile. Detmer the Angels are one and
• 21:58
  nine in his last ten starts. Yankees have the better bullpen.
• 22:01
  1st in Baseball 3. Point O 8 ERA. 4.33 for LA 20.
• 22:06
  1st in baseball. Yankees also pretty decent
• 22:09
  against lefties, hitting 243. That's. 12th in MLB Angels.
• 22:13
  Are hitting 236 against Reddy's. That ranks 24th toward the.
• 22:16
  Bottom of baseball? Angels losing team at home 30
• 22:20
  and 43 second. Worst home record in.
• 22:22
  Baseball Yankees 42 and 29. On the road, second best.
• 22:26
  Road record of baseball. So a lot of.
• 22:28
  Books -160 - 1. 70 with New York.
• 22:31
  I did. Find the Yankees -1?
• 22:33
  57A. Little bit earlier today at
• 22:35
  Caesar's. So.
• 22:36
  Ray's Astros, Yankees. Say a prayer.
• 22:40
  See. If we can get two out of three,
• 22:41
  get back on track. In Major League Baseball.
• 22:44
  So that about does it for episode.
• 22:47
  Where we at now? 570.
• 22:48
  One of the all. Systems go sports betting pod.
• 22:52
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
• 22:54
  I start first by. Saying thank you, thank you for
• 22:56
  listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you for grinding in
• 22:59
  the arena with. Me every single day.
• 23:01
  Through the good and. The bad.
• 23:02
  Again, it's been bad last couple nights, which just means we're
• 23:05
  getting ready for a win streak here.
• 23:07
  But it means the the most to me when we're not doing well that
• 23:10
  we still TuneIn and grind and and stick to the model and make
• 23:13
  sharp. Bets so.
• 23:14
  Thank you for taking. The time out of your busy lives.
• 23:17
  To tune into the. Pod each day.
• 23:18
  If you wouldn't mind, could you do me a solid?
• 23:20
  Just give this pod a five star review on.
• 23:22
  Spotify or iTunes? Rate and review.
• 23:25
  Hit click the follow button. Recommend the pod to.
• 23:27
  A friend. Retweet or.
• 23:28
  Like the pod when? I put it out on Twitter.
• 23:31
  Anywhere, all those things would be very.
• 23:32
  Much appreciated. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
• 23:35
  or Juice Reel? Yet.
• 23:37
  Well, if you haven't yet, what are you waiting for?
• 23:38
  Rhythm for. Their AI backed.
• 23:40
  Models and predictions for. Game bets and player.
• 23:41
  Props, Juice reel, so many great.
• 23:43
  Features the Robo. Jackson best bet picks sharp
• 23:46
  mush indicators syncing up your. Sports books you can also.
• 23:49
  Support the pod. By getting the.
• 23:51
  Best bet picks. That I make.
• 23:53
  As soon as I make them, they go. Right to the Juice Trail app.
• 23:55
  Under the ASG. Profile page.
• 23:58
  So 10 bucks. A week or 25?
• 24:00
  Bucks a month to. Get those plays as soon as I
• 24:02
  make them. And again, I consider that a
• 24:03
  tip. Jar pods free.
• 24:05
  If you value the insights, sign up for a week or more of those
• 24:08
  best. Bet picks next if you enjoy the.
• 24:10
  Style of sports. Betting data.
• 24:12
  Driven sharp contrarian betting. Focusing on line movement bet.
• 24:15
  Split system matches. Taking a contrarian approach.
• 24:18
  If this style of betting has. Appealed to you You want to
• 24:20
  learn more? About data-driven betting.
• 24:22
  Or you want to get ready for the football season.
• 24:25
  Or maybe you know someone who could use?
• 24:26
  Some data-driven tips. They got a birthday coming up.
• 24:28
  Whatever the case may be, I would love for.
• 24:31
  You to go to Amazon.com and. Then type in the.
• 24:34
  Everything Guide to sports. Betting or type?
• 24:36
  In the NFL, sharp. Betting Playbook.
• 24:38
  Grab one of my books, or both if you want to be a.
• 24:40
  Hero and then bring. Them to the sports book I'll
• 24:43
  sign them for. You I'll.
• 24:44
  Buy you a beer. Or ginger ale.
• 24:46
  We'll sweat some games together. Lastly, do you have a live odds
• 24:51
  page? Well, if you don't, you need
• 24:53
  one. It's such a critical tool just
• 24:55
  from the example of that Nevada. Game.
• 24:57
  Or, you know, finding the 2 1/2 instead of the 1 1/2, finding
• 25:00
  the seven. Or the book giving you the best
• 25:02
  juice on 6 1/2. With Colorado.
• 25:05
  It can be the. Difference between a win and a
• 25:06
  loss. So you got to have a live odds
• 25:08
  page just allows you to stay. Tapped and dialed into.
• 25:11
  The betting market. So you.
• 25:13
  Ever want to? Give it a shot.
• 25:14
  Odds logic is the. Best around all you.
• 25:16
  Got to do is go to. Odds logic dot.
• 25:18
  Com slash Josh. 123. That'll give you a. 7 day free
• 25:23
  trial. And 50.
• 25:24
  Percent off your first month of service.
• 25:27
  So that about does it for episode 5. 71 of the.
• 25:29
  ASG pod as always guys, two final thoughts one.
• 25:34
  Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City Twin.
• 25:36
  River in Rhode Island. The Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 25:38
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut.
• 25:41
  At the Encore in Boston. Plain Ridge park casino MGM
• 25:44
  Springfield. Or the Nash.
• 25:45
  And my neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts in New
• 25:48
  Hampshire. They're out in the desert.
• 25:49
  Where the true. Grinders get down where Billy
• 25:51
  Walter sends. His number runners.
• 25:53
  Where the lowest juice. Possible is found at the South
• 25:55
  point. Or sweat and sharp.
• 25:56
  Contrarian plays. Jumping in the stadium swimming
• 25:59
  pool when you. Catch a big ticket at Circa?
• 26:00
  You're. Going to walk up to me, You're
• 26:02
  going to show me Padres, KC and the Dodgers.
• 26:05
  We're going to RIP them up. And we're going to, I don't
• 26:07
  know. Pray to the betting.
• 26:08
  Gods. We're going to turn our our
• 26:10
  shirts inside out. Whatever it takes to.
• 26:13
  To get off a losing streak because sometimes it drives you
• 26:15
  nuts, because I think we're. Making sharp bets we're.
• 26:18
  Getting CLV just. Teams aren't.
• 26:20
  Aren't coming through for us, so let's see if we can get the
• 26:21
  luck. To turn our direction.
• 26:24
  Hopefully starting tonight. So coming off an O and three,
• 26:27
  three and O2 and. 11 and two. Winning night, Losing night.
• 26:30
  Hot Streak. Cold Streak.
• 26:31
  Again, we're down. Right now we can't get 2 down.
• 26:33
  When we're up, we can't get. Two up.
• 26:35
  We got to stay the course. Grind Think long term discipline
• 26:38
  with our bankroll management. Flat batting bet to risk one.
• 26:42
  Unit. We're looking for those system.
• 26:43
  Plays games that are against the public.
• 26:45
  With the house with the pros flat bet avoid.
• 26:48
  Parlays and get that COV if we can do that.
• 26:51
  I can. I can, I can't.
• 26:53
  Guarantee you nothing's a guarantee.
• 26:54
  Or lock, but I'm pretty confident we're going to be
• 26:56
  winning sports betters long term.
• 26:58
  So hope everyone has a great. Wednesday night again,
• 27:00
  football's. Back in our lives, which is
• 27:02
  great. So get ready.
• 27:04
  We got sweats coming up in college.
• 27:05
  Starting tomorrow. Let's even get some winners for
• 27:07
  tonight and MLB though. So good luck.
• 27:09
  Everybody have a great Wednesday night and I'll see you.
• 27:11
  Tomorrow for episode. 572. Of the all systems.
• 27:15
  Go sports betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 27:18
  Good luck. Everybody and have a.
• 27:19
  Great, Wednesday night.