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NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NFL Best Bets Monday 11/10/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's how I'm gonna start off this show.
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows?
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. But I
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Could possibly have, back to you as I always am
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me. Own five the
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: Slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all. What's up, everybody?
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: It is towed back with you from Better Off Dead, Monday,
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: November tenth, doing the show a little bit early. Today
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: was a pretty good day on the show, mostly because
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: NFL was really good again. We were three and oh
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: with the NFL plays. We're I think eight and one
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: in the NFL now over the last three weeks, so
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, obviously, I'm pretty happy about that because the
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: NFL is considered to be one of the more difficult
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: sports to beat, and I doing pretty well with it.
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: The rest of the board yesterday, it was a bit lackluster,
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: and it wound up being either a five three and
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: one day or six two in one, depending on what
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: number you got on the first college basketball game that
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: was up, which was the first game up was Western Michigan,
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: and it was plus eight when I did the show,
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: but I went to look at the number and like,
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: I think either before the show was done, or right
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: as as soon as I was done with the show,
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: I looked at the number.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: And it was nine and a half.
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: So whatever number you guys got, it mattered because the
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: game ended nine, Like Western Michigan was just kind of
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: hanging right around that number the whole time. It could
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: have gone either way, and that was one of those
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: ones that really depended on the number that you got.
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: So at eight, obviously it was not a winner. At nine,
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: it was a push. So that would have actually been
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: I guess a five to two and two day if
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: you had the plus nine on that. And they covered
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: the nine and a half, losing by exactly nine because
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: they actually got fouled on a three point attempt right
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: near the end of the game and they hit all
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: three free throws that actually cut the game to seven.
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: So after that it looked like they might cover every number,
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: and then I think they might have fouled again.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Stupidly, because that's a little bit ridiculous.
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: Like the seven, as I point out, in basketball, is
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: a key number, like teams usually won't foul again once
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: they're down seven, especially at that point there were like
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: five seconds left, so why would you foul again?
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: Which I think is what happens. So that's kind of bs.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean hopefully you guys got the better
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: number on that than nine and a half.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: I mean for the purposes of this show.
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you want to track it as a
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: loss five three and one, I don't know. I mean
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: I kind of want to track it as a win,
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: just because as soon as I was done with the show,
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: like I hadn't put it into my Action Network tracking
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: again and I was like, oh, it's already nine and
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: a half, all right, So I don't know whatever you
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: want to do with that one.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green College Basketball easy win there, they won by
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: margin easy, and then Loyal of Chicago was kind of
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: a letdown, man.
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: I mean that that was a close game most of
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: the way, and if you got the really really early
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: number on it, you would have covered.
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: Because they lost by two.
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm tracking that when it's a loss though,
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: because that number wasn't out there at all. They could
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: have won the game, and they had a really nice
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: second half. They were down in the first half, they
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: took the lead in the second half. I think they
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: were up by about seven to nine points maybe in
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: the middle of the second half. Lost most of the lead,
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: and then they were hanging on to a slim lead
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: at the very end, and the very end was just
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: back and forth, kind of one of those North Texas
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: style games where it's low scoring and it was just
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: really close at the end, back and forth, and it
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: was it just became a coin flip basically. But if
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: you had loyal Chicago, like the plus one and a half,
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: you're kind of on sort of the right side of that.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: When it comes down to a coin flip, it's like.
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: More likely than not, the team that is the underdog
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: is probably gonna at least cover that. But no, they didn't.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: They lost by two. The one and a half was
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: a loser. Not too happy about that. Hockey was very mediocre.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: I mean it started out nice with the La Kings
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: being able to win in regulation three to two.
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: That was back and forth.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: I think they were up one goal a couple of
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: different times in the game, but they were able to
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: get it done, winning with a goal in the third
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: period to win.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: It in regulation. So that worked out.
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: If you went moneyline on the whole game on that,
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: when it paid a little bit more, you got the
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: win as well. Vancouver wand up I believe taking the
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: game into overtime. So when you have an underdog that
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: takes the game into overtime, you kind of know you're
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: you sort of got that game correct. Vancouver played pretty
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: well in the game, like the game was close the
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: whole way pretty much except when they were down two
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: to nothing, but they tied it back up at two
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: to two, and then it was a one goal game
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: for the rest of the game, even though they were
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: never leading in the game, but they were never down
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: by more than one after that send.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: It into overtime.
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: They lost, But if you did what I recommended with
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: the split bet, you would have pushed the bets. So
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: that's what I'm counting that one as that was the push.
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: And then Winnipeg not even close. But dude, again, Winnipeg
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: statistically they played better than what the score looked against Anaheim,
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: like it was a close game.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: Statistically, I don't know what that was.
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know how Anaheim peeps winning all these games,
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: just like there has to be a letdown at some point,
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: like unless we're just completely misandicapping this Anaheim team, but still, like.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: Even the best teams, like they're gonna.
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: Have a letdown at some point in there where they
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: played all these teams in a row that are good.
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: I just don't know how they keep doing it. And
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: then football, obviously Miami Dolphins.
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: That was that was laughable.
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: I can't believe how bad Buffalo was in that game,
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: and really really bad for me because in football fantasy football,
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna take another loss this week. Even though Jonathan
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: Taylor got me forty eight points, I'm still gonna lose
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: because I had so many no shows yesterday and you know,
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: Mahomes and Rice are on Bob. A lot of my
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: guys did nothing, including Matt Prader as my kicker that
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: I decided to stream this week because I figured, at
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: least Buffalo is gonna be able to score something against Miami.
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: He should have kicking opportunities here. No, he had one
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: extra point late in the game and that was it
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: because when Buffalo scored their first touchdown, they were down
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: sixteen and nothing, so they went for two.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: Absolutely ridiculous.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: Man, But the handicap on that game was great, as
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: Miami won the game outright and it was just a
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: laughably bad game for Buffalo. So we got that one right.
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: Baltimore Ravens got the win. They were not good at
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: the start of the game. They were losing the game
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: for a while, and then they turned it on in
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: the second half and they wound up taking a fourteen
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: point lead late in the game. After early in the
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: game they were down by a touchdown, but they completely
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: swung it around. They did give up a touchdown to
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: let the Vikings cut it back to one score, but.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Baltimore was able to hold.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's defense starting to play a little bit better and
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: Vikings did have another possession there at the end of
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: the game, but they couldn't get anything done. Baltimore able
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: to get that one done for us, and then pretty
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: easy with the Chargers on the night game as well.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: Just no offense out of the Steelers in that game
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: at all. I didn't really see it, but I think
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: the final in that game was what did the final
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: wind up being, was like, I don't know, twenty five
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: to ten or something like that. It was like, I
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: think it was twenty five to three or something like.
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh was winning three to two and then they basically
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: didn't score again until they got a garbage touchdown at
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: the end. I think they didn't even really have any
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: effect on anything, So that was easy as well. Jeffrey,
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: what's up, Thanks for hanging out. Vegas has lost money, No,
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: I don't think so, because like the public has done bad,
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: So when the public's doing bad, Vegas is winning. Like
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: in the NFL, the public outweighs the professional money more
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: often than not. The worst result for the books yesterday
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: was the Detroit Lions very public side, although I thought
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: the Detroit might cover that because Dan Campbell.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: One thing I forgot to mention is Dan Campbell.
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: Really really fires up his team after a bad performance
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: after a loss, and on top of that, it was
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: revenge for the playoffs last year.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: So he had to figure Detroit was gonna show up,
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: which is.
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Why I didn't really love the Washington side in that
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: game at all. But I recommended a team total on
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: Detroit instead, which that would have been an easy winner
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: if you did play that, because they scored forty four points,
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: so they went way over their team total. So yeah,
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, Dan Campbell in a situation like that, he
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: doesn't take his foot off the gas.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: That's the thing.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: He just he basically runs up the score when he's angry.
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: So that's what happened in that game partially, so I
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: don't know, but no, I mean the public has been
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: doing bad, like they the public lost I think probably
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: a majority of those games. Yesterday they lost on the Panthers,
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: they lost on the Bills, and those were both outright losses.
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: So the books also, like the Buffalo loss, took out
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: a lot of like teasers and parlays too, so I
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: think the books have been doing fine. All right, let's
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: get into today here. I'm gonna have one college basketball
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: play skipping hockey today, two NBA plays, and I am
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: gonna give out a play on the Monday night football game,
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: which you probably already know what it is, although I
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: forgot to bring up the schedule here for it, which
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: I will, and I gotta zoom in because it's way
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: too small on the screen. Otherwise, all right, college basketball,
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, there's some afternoon and actually late morning games
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: here involving Division two teams which I don't really handicap,
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: so whatever, I'm not gonna go into great detail in
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: most of these games because there's almost no handicap.
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: To be seen with any of these. New Haven and U.
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: Mass Lowell a little bit interesting because they both played
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: against Yukon earlier, and UMass Lowell got absolutely obliterated by
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: Yukon by whatever that is, what is that sixty three
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: points something like that. They got annihilated, whereas New Haven
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: actually played pretty well against Yukon, only losing by twenty four.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: So people might look at that and think, oh my god,
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: New Haven, there's this huge underdog here. Oh wait, I
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: forgot pregame doesn't even have their name in the system yet.
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: UMass Lowell is actually a ten to a half point
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: favor here, so the oddsmakers are telling you there's still
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: the better team. Their UMSS Lowell is one of the
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: better teams in the American East, which is a better
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: conference than the ANEC, which is where New Haven is
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: and New an I don't expect that much out of
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: them this year, and it's their first season in Division one.
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: They face the difficult schedule though, I mean, they played
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: two big conference teams. They just got crushed by Penn State.
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: But now they're having to go on the road again
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: up to UMass Lowell unfamiliar territory here. It is still
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: a New England matchup, so you could argue they're gonna
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: get up for it for that reason, but UMass Lowell.
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, their only loss is that one on the
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: road at Yukon. They won easily at home against a
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: D two team earlier. I would lean to laying the
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: points with U Mass Lowell in this one of those
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: New Mass Lowell seems to do pretty poorly as a
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: favorite though, just in the last few years, so I
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: would have my reservations about that. But if people do
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: that transitive handicapping thing and just see that New Haven
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: was way better against Yukon than New Mass Lowell was,
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna have a tendency to want to
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: take the points there, and the oddsmakers are kind of
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: indicating that you should do otherwise. Yukon is also playing today,
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: but they're playing Columbia, the New York City IVY League team.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: It's not a whole lot to see there. I mean,
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: Yukon is a legit team this year. They are one
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: of the top teams in the country. They're ranked fourth,
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: which I don't know if what they're ranking really is.
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: I mean ken Bom has them sixth, so they're not
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: really over ranked. They're thirty four point favorite in that one.
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: There's nothing to really talk about with that game. I'm
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: just mentioning the Yukon is playing today. We need some
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: better matchups, guys, That's what we need here. Vegas loss
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: on week ten and one on week nine. What is
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: Grok know though? Grok doesn't really know shit really, I mean,
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: it's just Grok is some bullshit AI and Groc pretty
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: much lies because it's programmed to do.
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: So. Nothing is a lock at all.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: But I like the Packers tonight. I'm gonna go with
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: my situational handicapping. There are no locks ever in handicapping.
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: We have this Indiana State SIU Edwardsville game. This is
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: a weird game to me because ken Bum has SIU
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: Edwardsville as the better team and he has them winning
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: by like six points in this game. But the line
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: is down to one one and a half, so I
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: don't know if there's some injury. I tried to look
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: at injury information here and I couldn't find anything, because
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: why would they be down from a four and a
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: half point favor to one and a half point favorite.
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: It doesn't really make any sense. Ken Bum's telling you
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: they're the better team right now.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: I believe they actually won the Ohio Valley last year.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: Because they were the sixteen seed that got crushed by
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: Houston in the tournament. Indiana State's been good recently, but
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: you know, they lost their best dude from a couple
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: of years ago, Robbie of Vila transferred to Saint Louis
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: for last year's season, So Indiana State kind of fell
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: back down after that, So they're not really as good,
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: although people kind of remember the name for that reason
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: and because Larry Bird went there. But we're but we're
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: decades removed from that.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: Wait, are we? What?
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: Fifty percent of tickets sixty five percent of the couch
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: in Indiana State? Though, I just I don't fully understand
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: what's going on with that line, and as far as the.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: Scheduling is concerned.
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: In that one, Indiana State does have to play Duke
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: in four days, so I mean it does set up
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: a potential look ahead there SIU Edwardsville there, I believe
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: in Indiana as well, and they might consider themselves to
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: be a little bit of a little brother here, so
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: they might actually step their game up a little bit
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: more for this. Although they do have Drake up next,
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: but that Drake team is not the Drake team of
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: two years ago. It's not the Drake team of last year.
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: It's a different Drake every year.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: Two years ago it was Devrees and Davrees the coach
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: and his son. They transferred to West Virginia. Last year
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: Drake had that new team with Ben McCollum and his
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: guys that came up from Northwest Missouri State or whatever
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: it was. Now they're gone and those guys went to Iowa.
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: So it's insane, dude. So it's a new Drake team
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: again this year. So I don't know if they still
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: draw your attention just because it's the name Drake and
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: there's still one of the better teams in the Missouri
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: Valley Conference.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm kind of leaning towards SIU Edwardsville in
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: that game just because it's such a discrepancy between the
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: line and what Ken bamb is telling you. But Ken
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: Bump could get stuff wrong early in the season. We
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: do with Western Kentucky against Eastern Kentucky is just kind
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: of hilarious because it's a cross state matchup there. These
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: two teams are in different conferences. Western Kentucky obviously has
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: the better program history and they're in kind of the
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: better conference. The Conference USA against wherever Western East is
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: the Eastern Kentucky.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: I think he's in the A Sun.
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so Eastern Kentucky might consider themselves to be a
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: little bit of the little brother. Although I believe Eastern
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: Kentucky has a bigger game up next. Well, they play
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: Vandy next, it's a pretty big game, but I doubt
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: that they overlook Western Kentucky at home, and everybody kind
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: of knows the name Western Kentucky, so I would kind
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: of lean towards Eastern Kentucky here, and they're actually a
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: favorite up to two points. So not really knowing anything
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: about these teams, I do think the public, if they
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: look at this game, would have a tendency to want
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: to play Western Kentucky because they remember Western Kentucky being
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: good repeatedly. Like Western Kentucky had that nice couple of
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: years when they made the tournament a couple of times,
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: one of them where I got them right making the
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: Sweet sixteen in my bracket that year that they did
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: that in what was that two thousand and seven, No,
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: two thousand and eight, maybe two thousand and eight, I think, yeah,
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: so that.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: Was the year. I think they had Courtney Lee.
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: Back then and wound up in the NBA, and then
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: they had a couple other really good players too, h Rodriguez,
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: Lopez and then whoever else they had. I forget, so
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: people might remember that from back then. Uh, they just
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: have a bigger name though. I'm just reminiscing about my
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: my awesome upset bracket in two thousand and eight that
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: totally failed in the later rounds. But I hit so
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: many first round upsets that year. Man, my bracket was
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: crazy that year. I had Ciana over Vandy, I had
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: I had San Diego over Yukon as well, just because
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: I'm that insane and I just hated Yukon. I think
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: the only one I didn't get right was Villanova upset
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: and Clemson that year into twelve five, I think I
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: had basically all the other ones that year. I had
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: a couple of the second round ones right as well.
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: The Davidson beating a good Zaga.
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: Is what it was. I think it was something. No
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: Davidson beat them in the first I don't even remember,
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: because that was I think that was the year Steph.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: Curry with Davidson ran to the Elite eight, if I'm
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: not mistaken, and they almost beat Kansas if I remember.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: I don't remember.
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: Anything, though, but I did have them getting to the
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: sweet sixteen round as a ten seed, so I had that,
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: and then I think I had Duke getting upset in
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: the second round by maybe West Virginia something like that.
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know my autism mine, but anyway, let's get
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: back to this seedon Hall not that big of a
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: favorite against a not very.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: Good Fairfield team.
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: Although Fairfield seems to be kind of on their way
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: up a little bit in the Mattac Conference.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: This Scene Hall team, I know, they made.
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: The tournament a few years in a row pretty recently,
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: but they're way down. It looks like right now they
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: were terrible last year and I don't think that they've
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: improved really. They're down for fourteen to a thirteen point
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: favorite here, so the money looks like it's kind of
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: coming in on the Fairfield side. Seaton Hall plays a
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: lot of ugly, low scoring games, kind of too, so
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: you never really want to lay points with them, in
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: my opinion. But they're coming off a really, really bad
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: game where they almost lost to Wagner. They're only able
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: to beat Wagner by seven at home. Wagner in Northeastern
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: Conference team, although they're one of the better Northeast Conference teams,
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: but still not great.
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Stetson against Miami.
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: Stetson is a little brother situation there against Miami, but
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: Miami is gonna be a massive favorite, so I don't
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: really think there's anything to really look at there. They're
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: more than a thirty point favorite. Not really something I'm
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: interested in. Looking at Eastern Michigan at pitt you could
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: argue that pitt isn't a look ahead because they do
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: have West Virginia next, which is I mean, there's a
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: rivalry between those two schools more so in football, but
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: could be a little bit of a look ahead there.
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: Maybe Eastern Michigan catches them by surprise. Pittsburgh's down from
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: eighteen and a half to eighteen here, so Pittsburgh not
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: favored by that much really in that game. I'd probably
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: look to take the points with Eastern Michigan there, but
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: don't really have an opinion otherwise. The one kind of
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: big game today is Mississippi State against Iowa State at
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: eight pm on ESPNU, and this is in Sue Falls,
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: South Dakota. For some reason, which I believe is that
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: might be the place that hosts the Summit League tournament
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: that hosted some games earlier this year. I don't even know.
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: It might be a different basketball arena and Sue falls.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: I'm not even sure what the name of that arena is,
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: the Sanford Pentagon.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: That's not good. There's gonna be some.
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: Department of Defense corruption going on here. Iowa State's ranked
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: sixteenth in the country. I mean, they're not really the
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: same team as last year because they lost two of
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: the three best players are gone, like the guy that's
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: returning his mom.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: Silovich, who is pretty good.
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: He's kind of a big man who can do other
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: things as well, so they do still have him back.
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: Mississippi State kind of an under the radar program though.
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: People just seem to not really like them because they're
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: not a great offensive team. But I think I would
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: probably look to take the points of Mississippi State in
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: this one, just because early season, I think you get
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: bias in the line towards the team that was the
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: better team the previous year, and now that you have
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: all this turnover coming into the new year, you don't
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: really know exactly who these teams are yet. I'm not
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: gonna deny that Iowa States still good and ken Bom
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: does still have them ranked very high. He has them
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: twelve in the country and second defensively so far. So
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: he actually does have them, and they're known for playing
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: deep beense too under I always forget their coach's name, Austilberger.
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: I think I'm getting that wrong.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: Whatever the hell is named Ottenburger? What tj Ottsenberger or
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: something like that. Still well coached team.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: Not gonna deny that they're good. They're actually even a
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: little bit under ranked.
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: According to ken Pomsissippi State's not that far behind though,
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: a twenty eighth so he's got Mississippi State is kind
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: of a well rounded team here as well. To me,
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: I think Mississippi State can hang within that number. I
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: would probably lead towards taking the points. Iowa State's a
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: little bit public. I mean, if there's gonna be any
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: game the public is looking at tonight, it's probably gonna be.
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: This one Mississippi State. Excuse me. Iowa State's a five
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: point favorite.
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: They do have a little bit of an advantage in
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: the venue though, because of course Sioux Falls is a
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: lot closer to.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: Iowa than it is to Mississippi.
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: Seventy five percent taken seventy nine percent of the cash
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: on Iowa State, but the line drops slightly from five
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: and a half to five with juice. I just think
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: if you faded like the perception of last year, maybe
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: there's a little bit of value in the line there
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: with Mississippi State, Cleveland State at Northwestern Cleveland State. They're
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: coming off only winning by one against whoever the hell
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: Capital is, which their Division two, So there wasn't even
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: a line on this. You know, Cleveland State had to
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: have been essentially a big favorite in this game, and
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: they almost lost the game outright. You gotta think they
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: just completely overlooked this Capitol team. So I expect a
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: better performance out of Cleveland State here, and maybe they
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: were looking ahead to Northwestern. And not only that, but
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: it looks like it was almost kind of a sandwich
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: spot because Cleveland State, as like a seventeen to eighteen
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: point underdog, almost beat Loyola Chicago in their opener, so
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: they almost pulled out a huge upset there. So that
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: probably took a lot out of them, and they had
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: this big game up next against Northwestern. But now that
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: they almost got caught against a far inferior Capital team,
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: this I mean Cleveland State's showing all these really disparate
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: results here, I think they probably go into Northwestern and
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: actually play well. Northwestern they have bigger games coming up.
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, they have DePaul next. I know that, you know,
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: you wouldn't think that would be that big, but De
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: Paul is still a big East team, and De Paul
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: they're in Chicago, like in the Chicago area, so that
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: is a geographic game.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: Between Northwestern and De Paul.
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: I just think it is a bigger game for De
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: Paul though, because the Northwestern has just been the better program.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: So I'm not quite ready to jump in on Cleveland
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: State here, but that is the way I would lean.
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: Northwestern does have Virginia, South Carolina, Oklahoma State, Wisconsin, and
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: Ohio State all up next, so they actually play all
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: big conference teams within the next month or so, and
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: a couple of Big Ten games in there as well.
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: So interestingly, yeah, I would take the points with Cleveland
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: State in this one. Northwestern got some of the early money.
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: It looks like they're up to twenty one and a
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: half now with juice up from twenty. Northwestern is also
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: a team that plays really ugly. Usually they play really slow,
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: so you do tend to want to take points with
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: them if you can, Like they're they're not really that
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: great in the favorite role. Let's just put it that way,
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: like covering big numbers. Yeah, I would take the points
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: of Cleveland State in that one. I'm kind of tempted.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: It's close to a play for me. Mister Pinsey. What's
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for hanging out. You know what?
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: Should we add one more college basketball play? What does
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: ken Bom have to say about this?
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: Not that I want to show all of his secrets.
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: As always, I recommend I recommend go buy ken Bom
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: because it's pretty cheap and he's still got the best
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: like college basketball analytics. It's only like an annual payment
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: of like thirty bucks. Now for Northwestern, they are a
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: better defensive team and offensive team as well, and he
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: has them very very slow tempo as well. So those
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: things seem to line up to be a team like
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: they profile as a team that you definitely.
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: Want to fade as a favorite.
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: He's got them winning this game by eighteen, so that
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: doesn't look too bad either as far as potentially fading them.
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're coming off some easy games, but they
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: didn't put up a lot of points. They haven't crossed
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: the eighty threshold yet, So this is an offense that
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: is not terrific. You know what, Let's do it. Let's
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: add this play and we'll have two plays today. We'll
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: play Cleveland State here. Let me see what can we
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: get on this number here? Let me see, Actually, network
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: looks like it's showing you the complete office. I mean,
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: it is showing you what we see in a pregame
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: here with the twenty one and a half, I mean,
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: with the line moving up to that.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: Twenty one and a half.
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: But it could be one of those early moves that
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: you just shouldn't read that much into. You can get
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: twenty one and a half on this I mean, I
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: know that's not a key number in basketball, it's not football, but.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think.
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: Cleveland State could definitely hang within this number. So let's
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: add a basketball play here. Cleveland State plus twenty one
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: and a half. So that'll be that one. Maybe it'll
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: get even.
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: A little bit higher, who knows, all right, so that'll
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: be one play. Let's see.
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: Santa Clara and Xavier actually might be a decent game
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: because Santa Clara has actually been a fairly decent team
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: in the West Coast Conference recently.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: It is their first road game, though, their first.
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: Time leaving the Pacific times on having to go all
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: the way to I believe Cincinnati is where Xavier is.
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: That's gonna be a weird travel spot for them, I think,
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: without a doubt. So it doesn't look like a great
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: travel spot for Santa Clara. Xavier is just staying at
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: home with those Xavier. Xavier's not looked good so far.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: They barely won each of their first two games here
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: against inferior opponents Marison Lemoyne, and maybe Xavier is just
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: not as good as we thought they would be this
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: year because they did lose their coach and some of
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: their best players, and Sean Miller went over to Texas
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: and took some of their players. Xavier does have Iowa
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: up next, so that could be a little bit of
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: a look ahead. So I'm not quite ready to do this,
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: but I mean, my opinion is kind of a lean
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: to Xavier here, but the money is really disagreeing with
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: it down from four and a half to three sixty
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets fifty six percent in the cash. So
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: I don't really want to do it, of course, but
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: I kind of disagree with the market reading that one.
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: Nate, what's up man, thanks for hanging out. Boozer.
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I forgot dude, Carlos Boozer, former Duke, or I
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: should say Duke alumnus, Carlos Boozer. I totally forgot his
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: brother his excuse me, his sons. They're twin brothers. I
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: think he's got a bunch of sons, but two of
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: them are on Duke now, the Boozer brothers. They're Carlos
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: Boozer's twin sons.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: Penzy, did I say Hi? I don't even remember if
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: I said.
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: I apologize if I did already, but yes, hello, all right.
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: The other play I'm gonna have is We're gonna lay
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: the points with Grand Canyon. I know the line has
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: gone up a little bit in this One's the money
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: is seemingly agreeing with this. It's up from eighteen to
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: twenty and a half or twenty one. I saw twenty
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: and a half out there. Once you get into these
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: numbers like this, they're not really key, but of course
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: every possession does matter a little bit.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: But they're playing Illinois here, and I just think that the.
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: Spot lines up decently for a blowout on Northern Illinois.
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, they're coming off playing Wisconsin, which is
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: a fairly difficult matchup. All though of course they didn't
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: play particularly well. They lost by twenty five. They actually
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: covered in the game because they're twenty eight and a
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: half point underdogs. But now they're going from Wisconsin all
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: the way out to Arizona to play Grand Canyon. Looks
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: like kind of a difficult travel spot to me for
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: Northern Illinois. I don't think they usually have to go
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: out and play teams this far west. And meanwhile, Grand Canyon,
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be in an angry mood here
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: man because they lost a Youngstown State shockingly, another team
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: from further east, Youngstown from Youngstown, Ohio. Somehow, Youngstown went
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: into Grand Canyon and beat them as fifteen and a
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: half point underdogs. Grand Canyon had a terrible shooting performance
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: from three point ranger, which is really pretty much the
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: difference in the game fifteen point four.
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is an outlier.
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: Don't expect that to happen again in Youngstown show forty
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: four point four percent from three that's an outlier as well.
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: So definitely some some outliers going on In this game,
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: Grand Canyon did still dominate the rebounding battle, which you
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: like to see again because that's the more predictable stats.
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: I do like a team it's gonna dominate on the interior.
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: Grant Canyon did lose the turnover battle too, which usually
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: doesn't happen at home, and that is a fixable thing
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: because that's really a mental thing. It's mental mistakes is
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: what really causes most of the turnovers, So I think
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: they can fix that not lose the turnover.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: Battle this time.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: Usually the home team that's the better team does not
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: lose the turnover battle. So I see signs here that
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: tell you that this was a bit of an outlier
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: of a A result here should regress back to some
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: sort of mean and it should focus Grand Canyon.
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: Because that was just a stupid loss.
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: So I like Grand Canyon. They should I think they
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: should win this game easily. Hopefully we get that one
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: as well. All right, what else do we have here?
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: Holy Cross hilariously is out in elevation.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: They already just lost to BYU badly by over forty points.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: Now they got to go to Utah.
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, not an easy opening schedule for this Holy
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: Cross team, man, So maybe we'll get to a point
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: where Holy Cross might be a little bit undervalue just
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: because they faced such a difficult schedule so far.
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: But we'll wait to see on that.
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: And then Saint Thomas and Washington State, this is only
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: gonna be an ESPN plus. But this is actually a
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: pretty interesting game, man, because Washington State obviously has a
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: lot of name recognition because they were in the PAC twelve.
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: They've made the tournament repeatedly recently, including I think either
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: last year or the year before that they were in
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: the tournament, so they're considered to be this big name.
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: They have a lot of name recognition.
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: Still, I don't think people really know who Saint Thomas is.
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas. In my opinion, I think they should have
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: won the Summit League last year. They were the best
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: team in the Summit. They're not bad, dude, the Saint
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: Thomas Tommy's and I believe they have Yeah, they have
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: Austin Hero by the way, on their team. Who is
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: Tyler Hero of the Miami Heat. That's his younger brother.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: Austin Hero is on this Saint Thomas team. I don't
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: know if he's as good, but he's a name at least,
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: and maybe he will be a hero. But I kind
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: of like Saint Thomas in this game. Mental though going
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: out to the Pacific Coast a little bit difficult. They
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: already did it this year, but they got blasted by
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: Saint Mary's. Although Saint Mary's is better than Washington State
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: Saint Mary's, they're like the class of the WCC. We
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: know it's Saint Mary's and Goodzag. It's those two teams
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: and then everybody else in Washington State is everybody else.
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: But that at least prepared Saint Thomas for kind of
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: the grind of having to go out to the Pacific Coast.
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: They got a win against Army last time out, which
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: was an unimpressive win over Army. Saint Thomas was an
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: eighteen and a half point favorite and they didn't cover
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: in the game. So not a great performance out of them.
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: Maybe they were looking ahead here. It could have been
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a sandwich spot with travel, so
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: it wasn't a great spot. But I kind of expect
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: them to show up better in this game. Washington State
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: actually has more travel because they actually had to go
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: from Washington from home to Davidson because this is the
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: the double Brian Coburger spot because he had Washington State
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: facing Davidson after Davidson faced the Sales.
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: Brian Coberger's other school that he.
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: Graduated from, which is, again, dude, I don't think it's
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: a coincidence.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: And I don't understand.
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: How you get a college basketball schedule like that and
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: why Davidson I don't know. And Washington State did play
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: Idaho the game before that too, which is that's not
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: that I mean, that's not weird because Washington State and
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: Idaho are just up the road from each other across
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: the border. They're like sister university, so I think they
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: probably always play each other. But still, it's a lot
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: of weird stuff going on with that, with Coburger references
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: going on here, the Idaho four case very very you
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: know me, I'm a true crime aficionados, so whatever. Washington State, though,
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: they are owned two to start the season, so they're
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking for their first win still, so I'm
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: not gonna say they're gonna be unmotivated here, but they
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: do have their huge rival Washington up next, and you
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: know that's always one of their biggest games because Washington
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: is in the Big Ten now, Washington State wound up
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: in this lesser conference, the WCC, so they always consider
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: themselves to be a little brother. Even before that they
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: did so they could potentially overlook.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: Saint Thomas for that reason.
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: And again multiple cross country trips here from Washington State
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: having to go to Davidson in the Caroline as now
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: back home, I would lean to Saint Thomas.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: And this one, the money seems to agree with it.
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: Washington State down from two and a half to one.
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: If you can watch that game, I think it might
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: be a fun game to watch, so figured out would
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: point that out them. I'm not gonna make a play
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: on that. And then we do have Ucla as an
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: action tonight.
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: But they're a massive faith against West Georgia.
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: But for some reason West Georgia they have to go
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: all the way out to Ucla and play them out there.
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: Good luck with that, yeah, I mean Ucla is a
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: huge favorite there.
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: What else can I say about that? Will they cover
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: a massive number?
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: Who knows?
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: But obviously they should win either a thirty four point
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: favorite there. All right, I'm gonna any more water here.
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to go to another intermission here for
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: a minute. Here, I will bring up the hockey slate
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: for now, which will be next. I don't have any
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: plays in hockey today. There are only four games. There's
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: there are maybe some interesting angles here, but hold on
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: one second and I will be back in a second.
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: I'm back, all right, what's up, guys? Hopefully guys can
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: still hear me?
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: Oh man, I've voice is just I just dude, instinctively,
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: I just talked too loud. I don't know what I
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: need to do about it, and I need water badly.
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: All right?
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: In hockey here, By the way, college basketball off to
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: a good start. I mean we're off to a six
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: and oh start to start college basketball, so I am
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: happy about that. I think now we're about what are
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: we like nine and five or nine four and one
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: something like that.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: I mean it's still We're still up, so I'm happy.
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: About it, but I want to get a little bit
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: better there. Some of these early games are a little
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: bit difficult. Edmonton Vans freaking out after the nine to
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: one loss, captain's of goalie skip media. I mean, I'm
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: gonna talk about Edmonton, so I'll I'll let you guys
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: hang on for a minute and then I'll talk about it.
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: Because Uh yeah, I mean I have some opinions on
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: that Edmonton game, and they might actually disagree with the
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: market here. Yeah, how do you pronounce his name?
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: D recital?
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: I forget, but yeah, I mean the whole team is
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: gonna be pissed.
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: Dude.
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: That's basically the crux of that handicap in that game.
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: Not gonna be a play for me though. We do
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: a first.
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: Game up as the Islanders and the Devils. The Islanders
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: are coming off a nice win, which is a win
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: for us on the.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: Show at the Rangers. I mean, what else is new?
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: Oh my god, the Rangers got shut out again at home?
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: Yeah they did, so the Islanders are coming off.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: A pretty big win.
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: I mean they always you know, it's a big deal
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: for the Islanders when they go into the into Madison
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: Square Garden and shut out the Rangers. Dude, the Rangers
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: are so unbelievably bad at home.
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: It's ridiculous.
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: Like they've they're own seven at home now, or I
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: guess they might have some overtime losses in there, but
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: they've lost all seven home games and they've been shut
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: out in five of them.
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's just insane.
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: I can't believe how bad the Rangers aren't home, but
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: we can keep riding that phenomenon. But the Islanders could
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: be maybe in a little bit of a letdown spot
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: after that. They are playing a third game in four days.
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: They're only traveling to New Jersey, though it's not a
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: huge travel spot here, and you've got to think they
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: will still get up for this game too if they can.
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: So I'm not really exactly thrilled to fade the Islanders here,
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: but I do think the spot is probably a little
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: bit better for New Jersey because the Islanders are still
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: coming up. What is a big win for them. New
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: Jersey did beat Pittsburgh in a shutout. Excuse me, a
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: shutout a shootout, not a shutout a shootout, although Pittsburgh,
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, they got a good record. So will New
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: Jersey be like in a letdown spot after that? My
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: opinion is no, but I'm not really sure. I mean,
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: I kind of like New Jersey in this one. They
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: are at least staying at home, they have a little
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: bit more rest. The money looks like an initially disagree's
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: driving the line down for minus one seventy five to
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty one, but eighty four percent of the
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: tickets and ninety three percent of the cash coming in
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: on the Devil, So the money is kind of a
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: kating on the Devils. At this point, I don't really
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: disagree with it, but I really don't have a strong
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: opinion here at all.
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: Zach, what's up, man? You're a Devils fan. Try dry citle? Okay,
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: that should be for some reason.
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: It sounds like that should be like a dry cleaning
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: business or something. He should open a dry cleaning business
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: and call it dry citle. The Edmonton Vanders showed her tits.
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: That is Oiler Kate is her name. Unfortunately, she has
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: fake tits. Although I'm not a fan of fake tits,
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: but as far as fake tits go.
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: They're not bad.
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: She she wound up doing like a spread for Playboy,
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: So so that's out there. You can check that one out.
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: You guys might might enjoy that. I'm not saying I
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: don't enjoy it. She's probably mad, yeah, I mean.
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: She's She's a crazed Oiler fan, so they probably need
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: her back.
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: They need her to show up. She needs to come
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: to this game tonight to try to fix what's wrong
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: with them. Nashville is at the Ray Oh my god.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: The Rangers have a home game tonight and the money
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: is fading them. The Rangers are up from minus what
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: seventy one to minus one eighty eighty seven percent of
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: the tickets on the Rangers.
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: Why is the public on the Rangers? Dude?
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: They just hate Nashville that much. I mean, yeah, Nashville.
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: I mean they've been a money burner for me pretty
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: much too over the last couple of years. I just
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: I can't get Nashville right, I mean they I just can't.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: I can't do it. I can't figure this team out.
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: I continue to think they're just kind of an undervalue team.
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: But the public doesn't want anything to do with them
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: as usual. But really, the public's gonna be on the
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: Rangers when they still have not won at home. There's
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: absolutely no way that I could play the Rangers in
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: a home game until they shown me that they could
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: actually break this curse.
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is I think they're cursed.
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: It's ridiculous. It's the curse of the Crider. Since they
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: let Cryder go, their offense has been non existent at home.
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: That's the curse, dude. My man Chris Criyder, He's on Anaheim. Now,
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: as followers of the show may know, one of my
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: co workers, shout out to Paul at my first company
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: that I worked for back in the day. Paul from
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: this area, his son because Crider's from from Massachusetts. Paul's
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: son played hockey with Crider in high school and so,
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: like Chris Kreider is like his son's best friend.
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: Basically from high school. So he knows Chris Crider. So
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: shout out to Cryder and to Paul. I don't know Crider, I.
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: Know Paul, though I don't know Paul's son either, but yeah,
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: I mean kind of a little bit of a tie
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: in there. But yeah, dude, I think it's like the
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: Curse of the Vambino Ranger style. Like since they traded
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: him away, he's still a great offensive player. He's been
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: good with the Docks. I see him showing up on
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: the scoreboard all the time. So he's scoring goals out there,
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: and Anaheim's playing way way better this year with him.
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: So I don't know what the Rangers are doing here? Man,
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: Will they finally be able to get a win here?
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: Is a big favorite at home. I mean, you got
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: to think that they should kind of be able to
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: do it man against an inferior Nashville team.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: Nashville is not really in a good spot either.
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, they were just at home and they played
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: Dallas pretty tough, although it was a noon in net
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: sosorrows likely back in net here for Nashville, who is
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: their better goaliel though at this point hasn't even mattered.
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: They've lost seven of their last eight games, or they've
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: actually lost eleven of their last What does that eleven
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: of their last fourteen games I think have been lost
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: is for Nashville. I mean they've been bad, dude, Although
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: some overtime losses in there too, But coming out of
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: a big game against Dallas or you play them that
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: close and now you have a single game up in
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: New York and then remember they have to go and
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: face Pittsburgh. This is part of my handicap against Pittsburgh.
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: Yesterday Nashville has to pack their bags and they gonna
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: go play Pittsburgh in Sweden over the weekend, so or
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: starting on Friday. So that is kind of a look
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: ahead spot too. So I think this is a pretty
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: bad spot for Nashville. Like I think the Rangers are
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: actually the better spot here, So I don't agree with
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: the market here.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: Like situationally, it sets up nicely for the Rangers. They're
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: staying at home.
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: They just took another ugly home loss, Like they have
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: to get up for this game. You gotta think that
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: they have to. So I don't agree with the market
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: in that one. Like I would find I would probably
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: play the Rangers if I was forced to play it,
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: but obviously I can't do it until they show me
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: that they can win, Like if they don't win at
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: home in this spot, right, I think Nashville is actually
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: in a sandwich spot here, then I don't know what
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: to tell you this Ranger team. Yeah, I mean they're really, really,
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: actually bad if they can't win this game, Like that's
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: what I'll say about that they should.
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: Win this Uh yes, well yeah, I mean my job
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: that I was just rep.
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: He was the first job that I had out of college,
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: which was a long time ago at this point, I've
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: worked at multiple different companies in my career, but yeah,
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: my most recent job, Yeah, I got docks because I
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: covered the Kanye West feel good hit of the summer.
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: If you want to call it that, you know what
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: I'm talking about. I don't want to get this this
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: channel nuked. I covered Kanye West's big hit that got
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: canceled from everywhere. I got docks because there are too
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: many people that just hate me online. People called up
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: my company and my company fired me over it.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: So that's what happened. Yeah, I mean, I don't know
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: what else to say about that. Crider.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he's doing well in Anaheim. Uh yeah, Heed Crider
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: needs to yeah bet against his own team.
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: A scoring own goal. I don't think that's gonna happen.
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: Those own goals are so rare, although the Bruins did
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: it this year.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: But the Bruins are.
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: Actually playing pretty well right now, so I'm not going
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: to complain too much. Friday afternoon game is in Oh yeah,
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: it's in the afternoon, probably right, because it'll be a
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: night game in Sweden.
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Jeffrey, you're always a Buffalo wild Wings man. Uh, yes, sir, Uh,
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: that's that's all right. I mean, I don't know. I mean,
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: I guess I didn't necessarily fit in there. I mean,
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: these big corporations in blue cities, they do not jive
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: with anything except like progressive politics. Man, like you're not
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: allowed to stray from it, and like I know that, Like,
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: there are other people that I worked with that would
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: like like talk one on one with you and at
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: least like they would like admit, they would admit that
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: they like voted for Trump and stuff like that, you
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: know what I mean, Like, but they wouldn't even say
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: that publicly, you know what I mean. Although Trump has
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: been a major disappointment as well. Uh, but I don't
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: want to get into politics on the show. Really the
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: rest of the Hockey Slate, we do have the Edmonton
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: game to talk about here. Columbus ed Edmonton, Edmonton, dude,
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're in such an embarrassed spot here. I
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: think they've lost three games in a row. But they
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: lost to Saint Louis. I mean, Saint Louis is at
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: least better than the record looks right now. And then
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: they lost to Dallas and fuck you ad Block, I
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: hate that shit. They lost to Dallas in a shootout
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: on the road. I mean, you can't really knock Edmonton
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: for that. But then they came home and they got
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: absolutely embarrassed by Colorado.
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: I know Colorado's good, They're one of.
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: The best teams in hockey right now, but nine to one,
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: you lose to anybody nine to one at home. That
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: is really really embarrassing. And now they've had at least
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: a day off here, they're.
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: Staying at home.
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: I do think you're gonna get You're gonna get a
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: focused Edmonton team here.
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: You gotta think.
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: I think the fact that they skip the press conference,
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: I'm fine with that, Like I mean as far as
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: like I mean, I'm not an Edmonton fan, like I'm
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: kind of an Edmonton but.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: I think that indicates that they're gonna be focused on this.
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: Like the only thing that you don't want to see
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: in a press conference is like seeing a team like
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: kind of like underplaying something.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: Like you want the team to be like kind of
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: serious about it.
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: Like basically you want the mental state to be like
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: we still have things that we can fix, and in
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: this case, it's like we're so pissed off, we're not
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: even gonna talk to you. I actually think that's good, uh,
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: because I think that means that they are gonna come
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: out in an angry mood here. They're certainly the better
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: team over Columbus Columbus. Columbus is towards the end of
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: a road trip here, although Columbus is probably gonna show
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: up focus here too. They did have some days off
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: between Wednesday and Saturday. They haven't won a game on
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: the road trip yet, so you gotta think they will
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: be trying to focus here. They have one more game
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: on the road trip tomorrow, and they're gonna actually be
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: in an Edmonton sandwich tomorrow, which I don't even know
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: if they have sandwiches in Edmonton.
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know what they would eat up there.
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: Some Canadian sam which it doesn't make any sense to
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: us in the States, as most Canadian food does not.
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: But yeah, they're still trying to get a win on
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: the road trip, so I expect both teams to actually
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: be focused here, and when that's the case, I usually
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: lean towards the better team. Although the money is disagreeing.
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: Edmonton down for minus one night into minus one sixty
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: eight sixty nine percent of tickets on them, fifty five
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: Come in on Columbus. I don't really agree with that.
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: I mean I would lean somewhat towards Edmonton here, and
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: I don't really expect them to lose that game after
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: such an embarrassing loss, Like, yeah, Columbus would like to
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: win that game but again, if you get an angry
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: focused Edmonton team at home and they're the better team, they.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: Should win that game.
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: And then Florida and Vegas is the latest game on
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: the slate here. This is actually probably my strongest opinion
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: on the hockey board here. Florida they're coming out of
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: an ugly loss to San Jose on Saturday, so I
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: think I'm gonna expect them to bounce back here. And
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: they're one and two on the road trip, so I
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: kind of expect them to play better and try to
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: split this road trip here.
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: At two and two, I.
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: Think they got caught by San Jose. I mean, Bobrovsky
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: got rested in that game, so Florida did not have
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: their better goaliean net there. They had also just beaten
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: the Kings, which was a bigger game, and they had
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: this Vegas game coming up next, so I think they
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: kind of got caught in a sandwich spot, a spot
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: where they just kind of didn't.
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: Take it seriously. I think they should bounce back here.
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: The one issue I have with it is that Vegas
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: is gonna be kind of in revenge mode because Vegas
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: did lose at Florida back on October twenty fifth, although
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: that does show you the Florida has the ability to
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: beat Vegas. I think that was a play for me
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: on the show, if I remember correctly, I think I
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: gave out Florida on that game. So that was a
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: winner for us, I believe. But Vegas, I mean, they're
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: gonna be focused for that reason. Vegas did just lose
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: in a more difficult game though they're staying at home,
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: but they played this upstart and team and they lost
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: in overtime. On Saturdays, it's a little bit more of
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: a difficult game to bounce back from. So if it
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: weren't for the revenge spot for Vegas here where I
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: think they will be looking for some revenge on Florida.
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: I do kind of like Florida here. I think Bobrovski's
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: gonna be back in net here. Vegas is the public
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: side here just because the record is better. Florida is
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: kind of around five hundred right now and a somewhat
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: injured team.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: But I still know that Florida is bad.
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, the oddsmakers are telling you Vegas is only
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: the slightly better team here with a number like this,
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: they're out for minus one forty one, forty two, ninety
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: two percent of tickets, so they're very public and ninety
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: seven percent of the cash for now. But I would
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: probably play Florida money Line in that one if I
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: was gonna, if I was gonna play any of these
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: games on this entire hockey board today, That's what I
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: would do. Man or an hour in. All right, we
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: got NBA and then we will have the one football
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: game today.
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: All right, NBA.
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: I mean I have a few opinions here. First game,
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: Lakers at Charlotte. The Lakers, they did just have kind
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: of an embarrassing loss, losing at Atlanta, and that's Atlanta
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: without Trey Young. I think the Lakers just they must
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: have just not shown up for that game, because they
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: lost that game by twenty points. I don't know what
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: happened in that game, but the Lakers were on a
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: big win streak. They'd won five games in a row,
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: and sometimes you take a loss like that, it will
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: hang you over a little bit into the next game.
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: Although I know last time they took a loss, they
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: did bounce back and they.
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: Won at Minnesota.
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: And I assume the Lakers were an underdog in that game,
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: so they did not fail to cover in that one.
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: But sometimes you do get hung over a little bit
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: after you lose a win streak like that. They're playing Charlotte,
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: which might not be a team that you totally focus on,
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: and the Lakers do have Oklahoma City up on Wednesday,
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: which is gonna be a big ESPN game, and of
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: course it's Oklahoma City. It's the returning champs, first time
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: the Lakers see them this year, and that's gonna be
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: a huge game.
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: So this is a pretty major look ahead spot.
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: So I do like Charlotte in this game, and Charlotte
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: is coming up that loss for us that really really
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: pissed me off. I thought it was a much better
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: spot for Charlotte in this game against Miami.
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: And if you look at what happened in this game,
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: I mean I did talk about it.
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: Charlotte dominated this game on the interior, They out rebounded
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: Miami by twenty fifty seven to thirty seven, and they
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: still lost the game.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: And why did they lose? Oh yeah, well they lost
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: the turnover battle eighteen to eight.
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: But also they only shot thirty eight point one percent
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: from the field and twenty five point six percent from three,
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: whereas Miami shot fifty one point five percent from the
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: field and forty two point nine percent from three major
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: major outlier shooting.
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: Here, Charlotte was.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: Still like in the mix to potentially still cover that
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: number towards the end of that game, and they still
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: didn't do it. I mean that pissed me off because
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: the rebounding, being the most predictable stat and the best predictor,
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: was heavily in the hornets favor in that game. I
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: think Miami got to the free throw line more the
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: game too. That really pissed me off. So that game
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: wasn't what it looked like. Charlotte actually played better in
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: that game than it looked like. And even though this
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: is a return home spot for Charlotte, their trip only
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: took them to New Orleans and Miami, that's not really
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: a true like road trip return spot. They're not gonna
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: overlook the Lakers, obviously. I think they will show up
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: for the Lakers. So I like Charlotte plus the points
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: in this one. This is actually close to being a
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: play for me because that Laker to OKC spot that
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: looks like a major look ahead spot to me. So
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: I would take the points with the Hornets if I
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: was gonna play this one. It's close eighty five percent
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: of tickets seventy nine percent of the cash on the Lakers,
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: so they are public with less of the money on them.
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I like the Hornets to cover in that
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: one Detroit and Washington. Should I save it for the
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: I'll save it for the end. We'll have a little
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: bit of a best bet segment at the Meral. I'll
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: give up two NBA plays and you're not gonna like
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: this one. I don't even like it, and it's still
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: one of my plays, so you know what it is.
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: And then I have a play in the NFL game
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: as well. Dirty sock, what's up man? Thanks for hanging
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: out again. All right, and I apologize for going earlier today,
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: but I'll give out the college basketball plays again at
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: the end of the show. You can go back and
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: see my analysis on it or follow me on Instagram
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: and I'll put out the analysis on Instagram as well.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: Portland at Orlando.
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: Orlando's on a back to back and they just finished
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: a back to back. Well, they finished two straight games
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: against the Celtics, and I was correct about the game yesterday.
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: The Celtics got the win and Covery yesterday they covered
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: as an underdog and one out right. Celtics were correct
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: in the zigzag spot yesterday.
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: Those are big games.
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's always pretty big when you play the Celtics,
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: even though they were a bit down this year. So
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: Orlando coming off a close game against the Celtics after
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: beating them the game before that, Now they got a
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: Western Conference team coming in, even though yes it is Portland.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Portland's pretty good this year.
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: But Orlando might overlook it, man, because Wednesday they're also
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: in an ESPN game. They're in the other game that's
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: on ESPN, and that big doubleheader on Wednesday, Orlando's got
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: to play the Knicks.
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: That's a pretty big look I had spot.
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: I think, so this kind of looks like a sandwich
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: spot to me for Orlando here, So I really I
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: don't like Orlando in this spot. Portland is only five
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: and four as well, so that kind of makes them
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: more likely to be overlooked. Although Portland's coming off a
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: couple of big games themselves, man, and look at this
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: run they've been on since Halloween. They beat Denver at home,
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: they came fairly close with the Lakers at home. They
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: beat Oklahoma City at home dealing with them their first loss,
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: and then they started the road trip and they played
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: a tough, high scoring game at Miami and they just
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: barely lost the game, as Portland was actually three and
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: a half point favorites in the game though, but this
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: is a difficult game against Miami.
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: They just barely lost. So I don't really love the spot.
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: For Portland here either, although I kind of think Orlando
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: is in the worst of the two spots here. The
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: money seems to be saying Orlando right now, even though
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: they did drop from a three point favorite to a
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: two and a half point favorite fifty five percent tickets
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: eighty one percent of the cash coming into the Magic.
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: Magic are still kind of in the midst of figuring
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: things out as far as their new tempo and style
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: of offense, which I still don't know why they're doing that.
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: I slightly lean to the Trailblazers in this game plus
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: the points, because I don't like the spot for the
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: Magic at all, but the money is seemingly kind of
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: saying otherwise, so we'll see.
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: Charlotte nineteen nineteen offensive rebounds effort. That's exactly what you
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: want with an underdog like Charlotte Man and they were
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: up to a seven point underdog when that game went off.
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: It was five when I had given the playout in
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: the morning, and then it was seven later in the day.
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, So you could have gotten seven on that
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: if you played it later in the day and they
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: didn't cover any of the numbers. But yeah, that's what
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: you want with an underdog effort like that. And if
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: they're rebounding like that, there's no way that they should
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: lose by that margin. I mean, it's just ridiculous.
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: Thank you.
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: Sorry, Yeah, the parlay was able to hit, although you
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: could have had an extra parlay piece with tonight's play,
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: but but that's another chance of losing the parlay. So
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: it's good that you hit the that you hit the
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: parlay man, And yeah, all the all the straight bets
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: won in addition to the gay bet. Yeah, and dude,
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: NFL has been good and recently I'm happy about it.
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: I'm doing well in the overall pick them as well.
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: I'm like, I think I'm hitting above sixty picking every
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: game against the spread, which is almost impossible, although ESPN
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: gives you some stale ish lines because they lock them
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: on like Tuesday but even so, I'm still running it
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: like a ridiculous rate, Like I'm in the top like
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: six hundred on ESPN right now in the spread games.
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: So if I can continue to do to do really well,
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: I might be like in the mix there at the
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: end of the year.
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm in a pick five pool on Splash.
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: Sports where it's basically it's similar to the Vegas Super
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: contest that they do, where you have to pick five
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: NFL games against the spread every week and you have
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: to beat enough people in the field.
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: That you're in the money.
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: And I'm in the money right now, in the kind
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: of in the middle of the pack that's in the money.
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: So I'm I'm doing well there, but I want to.
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Continue to do well.
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: The last couple of weeks have been really good for
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: me four and zher this week going into tonight where
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: I do have Green Bay as my fifth pick this
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: week in that one obviously yesterday, in that game, I
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: use the three plays I give on on the show,
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: and I use New Orleans as my fourth play yesterday,
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: so all of those hit New Orleans with an outright
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: win baby against the very very bad Carolina Panthers, who
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: should not have been above five hundred. All right, Cleveland
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: and Miami, this is a pretty big game, even though
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: you gotta pay attention to what the injury situation is here.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: Tyler Hero is still injured. He's not gonna be back
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: out of bio. Looks like he's missing this game as well,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: and he'll be back potentially in the next game. So
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: you do have a pretty injured Miami team, although they
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: are actually undefeated at home, so Miami has been good
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: at home. Cleveland's only three to two on the road,
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: so Cleveland not as good on the road as they
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: are at home, at least to start the season. Cleveland
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: obviously is the better team and the more intact team
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's coming off a nice win over Chicago.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: Though Chicago hot start to the season, Cleveland was able
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: to beat them. Now they're starting a road trip. Although yes,
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: when you start a road trip usually will be focused.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: And want to get it off on the right foot.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: And they actually played Miami again on Wednesday, and that
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: is not one of the ESPN games, So not.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: Exactly a look ahead.
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you think it's gonna be a look ahead,
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: then that means they're gonna be focused on this game
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: because it's the same opponent. Is it gonna be a
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: little bit of a let down atter Chicago? I mean,
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: that would be my concern that I would have with Cleveland,
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: other than the fact that maybe they overlooked Miami a
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: little bit because Miami's really injured and Miami's good at home.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: Remember so they don't even have a loss at home,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: and you're just asking them to cover as an underdog
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: in this game. Miami had that nice win over Portland
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: as an underdog. Now they're playing Cleveland here. Obviously, I
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: think Miami is gonna show up.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: I kind of.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: Expect both teams to show up, but I do think
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: the line is probably too high and the heat have
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: been good enough at home. Calvs, maybe take them a
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: little bit lightly. I would take the points with the
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: heat if I was gonna play this. Not one of
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: my stronger opinions. My strongest opinion I've talked about so
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: far as obviously the Hornets, but seventy three percent of
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: ticket sixty one percent of the cash on Cleveland. They
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: dropped a little bit from an eight point favorite to
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: a seven and a half point favorite. I would take
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: the points of the heat if I was gonna play it.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: Miami's gotta win one of two. Yeah, but yeah, I mean.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens, because they're gonna be.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: In kind of a reverse injured player spot in the
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: second game if out of bio comes back that one,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: but it will also be probably it'll be a zig
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: zag spot if there's like an outlier result in this
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: first game, if it's an outlier in either direction. So actually,
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: if the heat win tonight, the Calves might be a
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: good look in the zig zag spot in the next game. Yeah,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: I mean, the scheduling is crazy in the NBA. I mean,
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: I've really really done well in the NBA, like throughout
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: the whole time I've been doing this though, it's been
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: like my best sport, and it's been my best sport
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: by a significant margin over the last few years as well.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know what it is, but I just see
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: the NBA pretty well. We're off to a decent start
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: in the NBA this year as well. I mean I
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: think I was initially off to what like a six
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: and one start to start something like that to start NBA.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: It's falling off a little bit, but we're still definitely
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: up in the NBA this year. Okay, although we did
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: have an zero to three NBA day the other day
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: which really really pissed me off, and I think it
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: should have been two to one, all right. And the
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: only the only game that was like an absolute loss
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: was the team that I'm gonna play today.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: So isn't that great Spurs at Bowls?
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: Uh Spurs coming into this game after that not great
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: performance at home against New Orleans where I gave out
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 2: New Orleans as a play in that game. The one
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: thing I forgot to mention in the game, which I
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: did mention in comments, was that the Aaron Fox also
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: came back.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: That was his first game of the season for UH
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: San Antonio.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: So he's he's like a pure scorer. He doesn't play
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: good depfense.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: So I thought that working him back into the mix
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: was gonna be a little bit of a problem as well,
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: especially because you have him, he's like he's gonna be
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: their best offensive player, and then you have Wemba Wemby,
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: who is their best defensive player and has been one
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: of their better offensive players too, And it's like kind
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: of this almost like a clash potentially between the two,
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: Like they got to figure out their roles and whatever.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: I'm not saying they hate each other or anything like that,
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: but I'm saying that they got to figure out their
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: roles kind of made it a little bit of a
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: tougher spot with Fox back in there. Spurs still won
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: the game. They could have covered probably too, but New
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: Orleans was able to close the gap at the end
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: and they actually cut it to three late in the
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: game and wound up losing by the by the key
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: number of seven, which seems to happen very often. I
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: gave up New Orleans plus eleven in that game, so
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: we got the win. I think San Antonio might be
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: a little bit more focused after that, because they were
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: coming off beating Houston the game before that, man and
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: playing real tough against La the Lakers the game before that,
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: so I thought it was a bad spot for San Antonio.
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: But now, coming off a lackluster performance, I think they
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: might be focused here against Chicago. It's second game with
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: Fox now, so they'll have a little bit more chemistry
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: built up with him after they figured out what was
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: going on, they played a game with him. Chicago is
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: coming off a pretty difficult loss to Cleveland and the
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road treble. That was a quick
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: road trip that only took them to Milwaukee and Cleveland,
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: so not a long road trip. So I don't really
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: consider that to be one of those bad road trip
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: or turn spots, whether they're gonna be totally distracted or whatever.
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: But it's a weird single game home stand against a
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: Western Conference team. Although I know San Antonio has been good,
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: so you might want to still get up for that game.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: But Chicago did just lose close to Cleveland, and they
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: could have won this game, Like this is close towards
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: the end of the game between Chicago and Cleveland. Here,
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: Chicago was winning the game late in the game. They're
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: up seven with six minutes left. They were still winning
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: the game in the final couple minutes by multiple possessions,
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: and then wound up losing the game still, so you
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: got to think that's a bit of a heartbreaking loss.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: Now they're coming back home for one game and then
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: right away they have to go back out on the
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: road and play Detroit. Although they did beat Detroit to
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: open the season. But that's a big game too the
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: way Detroit's been playing, and probably bigger than this game,
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: just because that's a conference game.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: I think it might be a divisional game as well,
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: So this looks like a bad spot even though San
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: Antonio is good. I think the spot.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: Sets up a lot better for the Spurs to be
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: more focused coming off kind of a bad game. Spurs
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: are up from one to three and a half here,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: sixty seven percent ticket, seventy six percent of the cash.
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: On the Spurs. It sounds like I like the Spurs
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: quite a bit in this game. I do.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: This almost made my card. I just have one kind
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: of issue with it, which is that we don't know
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: what the Josh Giddy situation is, which I think is
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: why the line is where it is, because I don't
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: think the Spurs would be a three and a half
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: point favored if there wasn't something else going on here.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: I think Giddy might not play in this game. He's
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: day to day right now. He played in his he
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: played in their last game, but he's basically Chicago's like
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: star players. Still, he's averaging twenty one point four points
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: super game. He is out, then it's gonna make it
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: an injured player spot for Chicago.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: So that will give Chicago.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: A little bit more motivation and a little bit more
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: of an you know, a little bit more value in
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: the line, right it's the injured player spots. It means
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: the line has to adjust to him being out, and
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: the team might like show up a little bit more
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: focused because, oh my god, our best player is out.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: We got to step up our game here.
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: So that's the one hesitation that I kind of have
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: with that. I like san Antonio in the game. Otherwise, Yeah,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you forced me to give you a
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: picking out, and I would still lean a lane the
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: points of san Antonio, but I don't like that injured
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: player spot.
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: That's kind of like messing with it.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: But I would say, though, is if it's announced that
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: Giddy is actually gonna play and then you see the
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: line drop a little bit, then I might actually recommend
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: playing san Antonio. I won't make it an official play
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: on the show, but I think that's probably maybe the
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: way I would handle it. Milwaukee is at Dallas. Yeah, Milwaukee,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: they're coming out of a tough game against Houston, Manor
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: they played pretty close against Houston at home actually yesterday,
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: and now they're playing out on the road here against Dallas.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: Don't really love that as far as the spot.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: They're playing a third game in four days, going out
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: on the road off a tough game against Houston. I
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: don't really have anything up next though, I mean, Charlotte's
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: not really going to be a look ahead. But I
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: don't love the spot for Milwaukee here As far as
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: Dallas has concerned them, Dallas, I mean they're in an
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: okay spot. I think even though they're returning over from
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: a road trip, they're playing a third game in four
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: days two though, so you do have to watch out
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: for that. The road trip only took them to Memphis
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: and then Washington, though, so it's not one of those
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: long road trips where a bunch of stuff builds up
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: that you have to do back at home. It is
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: still a third game in four days, though in different cities,
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: so I don't love that. As far as the spot,
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: they did just be Washington though, which I think what
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: that will do is it won't make you overconfident, but
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: it breaks along losing strength. They had a four game
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: losing streak, so I think that will give them some
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: new momentum at least coming into this game.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: So I do like Dallas in this game, but.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: This is a potentially reverse injured players spot for Dallas
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: which mostly is because Anthony Davis might come back here,
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: so you got to look figure out what's going on.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: With the injury report here.
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: Man, it looks like so you got Lively and Gafford
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: are both game time decisions, But really the big one
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: is Anthony Davis.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's the key guy here really, so I
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: think if.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: He comes back, he's gonna have to work his way
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: back into the lineup, and I think that's gonna mean
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: that the line will shift a bit, and then you
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: won't really get as much value on Dallas and they
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: have to get used to playing with him again and whatever,
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: even though.
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: He should improve the team.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: I mean he's good defensively as well and whatever, but
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: I'm not really looking to actually play Dallas in his
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: first game back. The Bucks are a two point favorite
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: with a little bit of juice now, but they're very public.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: Public doesn't want anything to do with this MAVs scene,
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: with the bad start that they've had, and they still
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: their offense has been bad.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: They don't really have a point guard.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: Still, eighty six percent of the tickets, only fifty seven
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the box. But the MAVs
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: are also not quite as bad as they've looked so far,
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: because they've dealt with a lot of injuries to their
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: like forwards and to their big men basically, so they're
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: gonna start getting a bit healthier and probably start playing
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: a little bit better. If you force me to give
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: you a play in that one, I would take the
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: points with the MAVs, but I don't love it.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: Lenny Wilkins died.
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: Holy shit, former Atlanta Hawk. He played on the Hawks, right,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: and then we'll see the coach on the Hawks as well.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: I don't know I remember him. I could picture him
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: in my head. Man, that brings me back. Uh shit,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: that sucks, man, All these people dying all right?
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: New Orleans at Phoenix. I like Phoenix in this one.
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: I mean New Orleans is coming off that nice performance
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: against the Spurs where they played fairly close against the Spurs.
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: They were within three late in the game against the Spurs.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: Now they're going to Phoenix. They have to go out
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: a little bit further west here. I don't love the
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: spot for New Orleans here. Zion is still out. Zion
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: Williamson is still out for New Orleans. He looks like
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: he might be back in their next game, so he's
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: still out, so they might have some difficulty on the
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: interior here Phoenix, though, I mean they're coming back from
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: sweeping a home and home against the Clippers, which might
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: have been feeling a little bit good about themselves, So
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: I don't love the spot for Phoenix. They did just
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: go to LA for the second of those two games,
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: so it was only a one game road trip. Still
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: is a better spot to me for Phoenix. Here and Phoenix,
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: they are playing a little bit better now. They won
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: four of the last five. They're up from six to
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: eight and a half, so money looks like it certainly
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: has come in a little bit on the suns.
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: I don't really know that.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: There's any injury situation that's really triggering that line move.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: Williamson's betten out and he's still out, so there isn't
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: really anything that I think is really moving that line
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: like that. Jalen Green is actually out again for Phoenix,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: so he only played seven minutes. He's only played two games, dude.
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: He was the big part of the Durant trade. He
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: came back, he had a really good game against the
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: Clippers in his first game, and now he's out again.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: He played seven minutes in the second game and got
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: hurt again and he's out against That does kind of
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: make it an injured player spot, I guess for Phoenix
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: as well, So a little bit of an extra motivating
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 2: factor for Phoenix, but they should play a little bit better.
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: The line is a little bit high, though, so I
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: do worry about that a little bit. It looks a
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: little bit too high for me, especially at eight and
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: a half. I don't know why with Green being out.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: Green's the biggest injury in this game. Why would the
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: line move up on the Suns. I don't know, So
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: I don't really see a lot of line value there,
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: even though the spot, excusely the spot. The spot says
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: the Suns in this game. Phoenix is a good team,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: good defense. I don't know how good they really are.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: But what do you mean by it's a bad time
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: for them to cover? I'm not sure what, Like, what
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: do you mean? I think this the spot is better
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: for Phoenix in that game in my opinion, I just yeah,
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: I mean, I just don't like the number, like that's
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: the only thing I don't like about it.
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: Really.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: He coached the Cavs and the Hawks. Oh, he played
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: for the Bucks, So I didn't think he played for
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: the Hawks.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: I guess I just remember him coaching.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: Then maybe I'm a little bit too young at this point.
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: Minnesota at Utah. Minnesota is coming in off of blasting
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: Utah two games ago, by the way, so they beat
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: Utah by forty points in Minnesota. They're not gonna take
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: Utah seriously here, man. They just go out to start
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: the road trip and they annihilated Sacramento as well. So
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: Minnesota looking pretty good right now against a couple of
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: teams that aren't really that good. And I think maybe
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: some bonus was still out for that game against Sacramento.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: They're now playing on a back to back though, in
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: a third game in four and days, all in different cities,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: having to go into elevation and play this Utah team
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: that they already just totally embarrassed, and then they do
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: Sacramento again next and then Denver. Yeah, I mean, the
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: spot sets up better for Utah in my opinion. I
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: just think Minnesota just might not show up for this
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: game and you're gonna be asking them to lay like
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: a ton of points on the road here.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: Utah hasn't played since that game against Minnesota.
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: But the problem that I have with Utah is they're
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip and they've been on
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: that road trip since Halloween, so they have not been
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: home for a long time. So I do worry about that,
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: the fact that they have to get stuff done back
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: at home, home life to return to It's usually a
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: spot red look to fade a team like that, especially
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: a pretty bad team like Utah. Utah certainly worse without
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: Kessler two, which sucks really really bad.
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: Injury for them, man.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: But yeah, got to think they're gonna be focused when
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: the last time they played they were getting absolutely embarrassed
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: by Minnesota, and now that's what they're playing again here.
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: So I would lean to the Jazz plus the points
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: here it's only seven and a half, so it almost
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: looks too easy to lay the points with the Jet
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: with the Wolves here, sixty percent of tickets on the Wolves,
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: sixty percent of the cash on the Jazz. I like
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: the Jazz and that one plus the points.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Jazz not looking good.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: I mean that's that's a reason to be on the
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 2: Jazz because it basically means you're gonna get more value
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: and focused from them. And I might do it if
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: it wasn't for the fact that they were returning over
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: from a road trip, which I just can't do it
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: in a spot like that, but I still would lean
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: that way. All Right, let's get to the best bets
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: and then I'll be in the end of the show.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: We're gonna have two NBA plays. One of them.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: Like I said, you're gonna hate this first one, even
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: I really really don't like it. We're back on the
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 2: Wizards again, Wizards plus twelve. We're gonna fade Detroit. Detroit's
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: off to a hot start. Man, I know the Wizards
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: might be the worst team in the entire NBA, but
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: the market is agreeing with this. The Pistons are down
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: for twelve to eleven and a half now with juice,
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: I think there are probably still twelves out there. It's
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: not a huge difference anyway, ninety two percent of the
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: tickets on the Pistons, seventy percent of the cash coming
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: in on Washington. I do not like the spot for
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: Detroit here. Detroit's off to an eight and two start.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: I don't believe that they're actually quite as good as this.
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're as good as Cleveland, obviously. I
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: think they're better than Chicago. Do I think they're better
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: than Milwaukee? Probably not, at least if Milwaukee's healthy, I
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: wouldn't say so.
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: So I think Detroit's a little bit overvalued right now.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: Caid Cunningham is certainly good, but he is really just
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: kind of the guy there. But now we got a
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: situation where Detroit's on a back to back. They played
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: yesterday and they beat Philadelphia on the road yesterday.
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: That was a big win.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: Detroit was the favorite, but full and be it I
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: think was out in the game. But it's still big
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: when you beat the Sixers. Man, the Sixers is still
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: one of those teams. I mean, I'm assuming the Sixers
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: are going are gonna be back in the playoffs this year.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, there's still a good team, at least when
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 2: they're healthy. That's still a big win. And now Detroit's
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: having to go from playing in New York against Brooklyn
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: and then beating in Philadelphia yesterday back home, so they're
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: playing a third game in four days, all in different cities,
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: and actually a fourth game in six days as well,
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: and they have to play Chicago next and you know
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: that's gonna be a big game. And not only is
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: the Chicago next. But Detroit only has two losses. Guess
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: who one of those losses was against and it was
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: the first game of the season.
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that was Chicago.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: So I think Detroit is gonna have some revenge in
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: mine here. When you only have a couple losses on
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: the season and you get to play the team that
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: doubt you one of those losses, that's big. And then
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: they do a Philadelphia up again after that. I think
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: that's gonna be big, man. So I think Detroit it's
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: a sandwich spot. I don't really see them taking Washington totally,
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 2: totally seriously here, and you're asking Detroit to cover this
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 2: big number here, We're gonna take the points with Washington.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: In this one.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: I know it's horrendously ugly, but this is not a
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: good spot for Detroit, and I think Detroit's a little
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: bit overvalued right now, So take the points with Washington.
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: The Pistons are another good team. I am the Pistons whisper,
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: but I'm dude. I've been good on the Pistons when
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: they've been an underdog, like they've just been so undervalued,
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: like the last couple of years. Well one of those
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 2: years they weren't that undervalued. It was just that the
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 2: games that they actually won a couple of years ago,
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: I was on like every single one of them because
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: the Pistons, they just play well as an underdog when
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: they're facing a team that's in a bad spot. But
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: but yeah, the Pistons, We'll see if I'm I'm a
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: whisper when when they're favored. I was right about the
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: Bulls in the first game of the season. It wasn't
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: a play for me, but I said lean to the
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: Bulls plus the points and that one, so I had
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: that one correct as well. I mentioned long winning streaks
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 2: when they lose because I think when you finally lose
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: the winning streak, it hangs you over. Dude, in no way,
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: I'm not going to step in front of a winning
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: streak unless there's a reason to do so. I am
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: a streak buster, so I do like to find a
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: spot where you think it might happen and bust that streak,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: and I've been decent at doing that.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: But other than that, I do not want to.
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: Dude, you don't want to go in front of a
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: streak like, because it's just a streak is momentum, So
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: I don't want to do it unless there's a really
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: good reason to do it. They're tired out from play Phoenix. Yeah,
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: I mean that's part from playing at Philadelphia. I mean,
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: Maxie the Maxi Pad. That's part of the handicap for sure.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: I mean they played.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: Yesterday, Maxie.
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, he'll, I guess speed you up as far
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: as how Philadelphia plays their game. So yeah, that's all
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: part of the handicap. I mean the Wizards also didn't
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: play yesterday. So another part of the handicap is the
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: rest situation. They're the Wizards last playing on Saturday. Oh,
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: I didn't even I didn't even talk about the Wizards
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: part of it. Wizards are on a long lost streak
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: and I'm jumping in front of that train. But yeah,
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: the Wizards, they lost to Dallas.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: In their last game. They played decently in the game, though.
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: Now they're going out on the road.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: I think when you have a lost streak at home
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: like that, it is good to just leave go on
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: the road.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: You can kind of just focus on playing basketball again.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: So I don't mind that. I think it's a decent spot.
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: It's not a bad spot for Washington. I mean, a
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 2: team like that can't really afford to be unfocused and
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: then the last game we're gonna lay the points of
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: the Clippers in the late game here. I think the
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: Clippers might be a little bit undervalued right now because
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: their start.
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: To the season.
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: Season has been bad throughout from four and a half
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: to five years, seventy four percent of tickets, ninety five
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Clippers. One of the
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: only things I don't love about this is the maybe
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: the injury situation here with the Clippers with mostly well,
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: it was Hardened, so mostly it was Harden though, and
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: Harden was out for like personal reasons, and I believe
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: he came back in the last game, so it's gonna
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: be his second game back. Yeah, so I don't worry
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: about that as much. So Harden came back, And a
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: lot of times I talk about this when a guy's
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: when your star player like Harden has been out, which
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: he was out the previous game for personal reasons, whatever
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: that was, then he came back. Sometimes that first game back,
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: you don't really get a great performance out of him.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: And he had a lot of assists, but he was
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: a terrible He had a terrible shooting game. He was
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: four to fifteen from the floor. That's not gonna happen again.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: So I think Harden is gonna be a lot better
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: in this game. And now it's his second game back,
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: so I actually think it's kind of that like second
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: game back from the reverse injured players about or from
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: the reverse missing player spot.
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, what was it when he was out for
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: personal reasons? I don't know.
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: You do have the other factor with Kawhi Leonard, but
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: Leonard is an old man and he's he's just still out,
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: so that's not really a factor here anyway. It'll factor
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: into the line a little bit. But Leonard, I mean,
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: he's in and out of the lineup so much. I
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: don't think him being in and out really affects the
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: team that much anymore. So I like that it's hard
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: in second game back. I think LA is gonna play
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: better for that reason, and I do not like the
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: spot for Atlanta. Atlanta's still without Trey Young, by the way,
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: so they're still shorthanded. And what are they doing. Their
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: last game, they beat the LA Lakers by twenty points. Man,
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: that is a monster win, and now they're having to
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 2: go out on the road.
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: That was on Saturday. They're playing a third game at
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: four day as well.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: The first two were at home and they should have
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: won for me, by the way, against Toronto, and that
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: was a total implosion by Atlanta against Toronto, and Atlanta
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: had a bad shooting game. They won the rebound battle.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: That was some bullshit. And that loss for me on Friday,
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: I was pissed. But yeah, they come back, they beat LA.
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: Now they're going out on the road to face the
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: lesser LA team and this means they're crossing all the
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: time zones with only one day off, they're having to
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: go out to the Pacific coast for a late night
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: game that's gonna be late. You know how I talk
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: about this late with your biological clock, And I know
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 2: usually I say first game of a road trip, you
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: tend to be a little bit focused or more focused.
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 2: I don't think so in this spot. I think it's
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot because they just beat the Lakers by
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: twenty and dealt the Lakers one of their few losses
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: on the season without Trey Young still by the way,
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: for Atlanta, Lakers still without Lebron but whatever, they have
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: Luca there and whatever. Now Atlanta's gotta play this really
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: late night game, which is gonna be difficult for an
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: East Coast team, and the Clippers have not been playing well.
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: So I think you're gonna get a focus Clipper team here.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: Clippers just lost that home and home against Phoenix. They
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: have a day off as well, but they're staying at home,
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: so the travel spot is way better. I mean, they've
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: been at home since Halloween. Basically the only trip they
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: made was that one trip to Phoenix. And yeah, they've
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 2: lost like all these games. I don't know how well.
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: One of them was Oklahoma City. I mean, that's why
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: they lost that. But I mean, Harden, you know, missed
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: one of the games. Kawhi Leonard has been out for
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: a while, He's missed some of those games. So I
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: don't know what do you really take away from any
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: of that. I don't take much away from it except
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: but I think you're gonna get a focused Clipper team
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: that is not as bad as the record looks right now.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: Yes, I know they have Denver up next, but do.
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: You really think the Clippers are gonna look ahead when
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: they're three and six right now?
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: I think they have to show up for this game.
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: And as far as the Clippers are concerned, all of
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: their wins have come at home.
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: At least, so the Clippers.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: They're three and six, but they're at least three and
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: three at home, so every one of their wins has
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: been at home. They are still certainly better at home than.
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: On the road, which has been the case in this
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: new stadium that they started playing at some point during
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: last season.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: So yeah, we'll lay it with the Clippers. The money
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: seems to be agreeing with that. It's already moving up
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: like to five with juice now. So might have to
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: get on that because it looks like the public percentage
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 2: is slightly on them, but the money is also on them.
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 2: So Clippers, I like it. That's gonna be the play there.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: The Wizards. It was against. I gave them out as
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: a play against Cleveland. I don't know that the Wizards.
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't even say that the Wizards didn't show up
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: in that game.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: I think they did.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: I think they just got man handled by Cleveland and
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: the game got out of hand.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: That's just what it was.
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's just a way better team than the Wizards. I
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: mean sometimes that happens.
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: Like my handicap on that was that Cleveland would overlook
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: them and they didn't really do.
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: That, so that was just that was the way that
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: it was. But this is I'm you know, I'm sticking
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: with what works. I mean, this is what's worked.
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: You know, for decades.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: So I'm trusting the process here and that is what's
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: leading me to me on the Wizards. In this game NFL,
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: we are gonna give out a play at green Bay.
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: I saw it at Bally in Massachusetts on moneyline play
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: at minus one ten. I did see a pick em
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: price at that same book, so it makes sense the
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: pick them was the same. Sometimes we'll see the spread
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: market will actually differ from the money line market, but
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: in this case, they had it the same. All the
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: other books had green Bay at minus one summit reduced juice.
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: So whichever you want to do money line, especially when
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: you get the money line, basically you get the pick
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: them price.
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's no.
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: Reason to not do that because then you just you're
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 2: playing it at the same price that you would anyway,
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: and you're just asking them to win the game instead
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: of risking it being a push. If they win by one,
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: I would still lay the one if that's all you
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: have out there. But I like Green Bay in this
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: game and the market is shifting on this game as well,
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: So we do see the market in agreement with me now,
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 2: and I was hoping we could still get Green Bay.
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: It basically just to pick the winner game, which we do.
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: Pregame is not letting me fucking click on NFL right now.
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: I don't know why fuck you pregame.
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: There. It is.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: So the Packers, they were initially a three point favorite,
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: by the way, so I talked about this on my
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: NFL show on Saturday night.
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: The look I had on this game was.
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: Packers minus three. And this was not an actual move
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: in the market. This was so the look ahead market
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: is a different market. That's the market prior to last
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: week's games. The Packers were minus three.
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: Then last week's games happened.
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: Then the books opened up this new market for the week,
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: and now they're gonna start raising limits and they open
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: it up at Packers minus one. It actually got bet
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: down to like a pick them, and now it's back
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: up to a minus one. And the public looks like
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: they're all over the Eagles. Seventy percent of the tickets,
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: only sixty three percent of the cash. And you know me,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: I like fading the public, especially in a case like
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: this where you're actually getting a good team and the
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 2: public is actually on the road underdog here and you're
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: getting a good team as a home favorite and fading
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: the public. I like doing that, and we're gonna see
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: it in a minute.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: I like the situation as well for the Packers, although
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: I did already talk about it on Saturday nights.
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: You probably if you saw that, you remember what I said.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: But we're getting line value here as well, because again,
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: the look ahead was three, and what happened last week.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: All that happened last week the Eagles were on by
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: so that didn't factor into this number. Literally, this line
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: moved from Packers minus three off of that key number
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: three to Packers being a minus one or a pick
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: them entirely because the Packers.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: Lost to Carolina. That's it. There's no other factor here.
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: The books move the line off of a key number
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: just because of that, and that's an overreaction in one
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: week's results. Man, In these Monday night games, sometimes you
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: do see overreactions in the market to that extent, just
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: because the books know that the public they're gonna be
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: on this game, and this is a big game.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: Eagles, Packers and it's Monday night.
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: Public likes to play Monday Night anyway because they try
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: to make up some of the money they lost on Sunday.
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: And they're gonna be coming in on the Eagles here man.
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: And this especially is an attractive game for better is
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: because it's two good teams, so the.
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: Public's gonna love it. They're gonna be on the over
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: Eighty percent of the tickets, eighty five percent of the cash,
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: and the over the line has gone up a little bit.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: On the total of forty five and a half. I
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: don't like the over them.
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, public might be remembering last year there was
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: that ridiculously high.
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: Scoring game in Brazil early in the season between the
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: Eagles and the Packers. But and I believe the Eagles
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: wound up winning that game. I'm pretty sure if I'm
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: not mistaken, maybe I'm wrong about that, But that game
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: was only.
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: High scoring because the turf in Brazil was like totally
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: messed up. It was all chewed up. So that actually
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: helps the offense, believe it or not, because the defense
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: can't react and they like trip and slide, So like
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: slippery surface has actually helped the offense. It hurts the
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: defense more because the defense has to react to which
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: way the offensive player is going and that could.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: Trip them up more.
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: So that's what happened in that game. Both teams ran
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: the football really well in that game on that surface.
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: And then of course we remember, though part of this handicap,
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: the last time these two teams played, it was actually
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: a lower scoring game in the playoffs.
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: I think this is gonna be the type.
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: Of atmosphere here, so I slightly lean to the under
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: in this game too, But I like the Packers man,
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: and I think the under somewhat correlates to the Packers
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: even though they're a small favored here, because I think
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: the Packers are the better depfense.
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: The Eagles defense has been a little.
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: Bit worse than last year because they lost six of
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: their defensive starters that they had last year, even though
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: I think they did add at least one guy at
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: the trade deadline or maybe a couple. But even so, Packers,
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: they've had a good defense like most of the year,
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: basically all year man this pack, and they have Michael
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: Parsons now as well, although he's hurt. His back is
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: messed up and he has to take an epidural before
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: every game, but he's had an impact. The Packers defense
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 2: is better than their offense if they're a nice balanced team.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: They're starting to get healthy offensively. I think Jacobs missed
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: some time. He's back for the Packers. Grischam Watson misstting
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: most of the season as one of their best receivers.
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 2: He's back as well. So the Packers are getting healthy
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 2: at the right time. I think that revenge angle is
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: a huge angle here because the Packers obviously you remember
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: who ended your season last year man for the Packers,
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: that was the Eagles.
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: The Packers went to Philadelphia.
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: I think I actually gave out a play on the
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: Eagles minus the points in that game and it won.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: But the Packers played pretty well in that game, and
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 2: they had chances to at least cover in that game.
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: But again, the Packers are gonna remember that this is
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: at Lambeau. Now you know Green Bay is gonna show
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: up for this game. They have this game circled and
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: if that wasn't good enough, they're gonna be even more
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: motivated because they dropped that game last week to Carolina
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: and now everybody's making fun of green Bay. The public
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: doesn't want green Bay anymore. So that's gonna motivate them
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: even further. Man, you know that they're gonna get up
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: after that horrible game they had against Carolina. And there
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: was a reason I gave out Carolina as a play
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: on The show Man plus thirteen and a half because
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: green Bay was coming up that huge Aaron Rodgers Bowl
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: in primetime where Jordan Love got to beat Aaron Rodgers
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: man like the mentee beat the mentor in that game.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: That was a huge game for them. So I think
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: it was a big letdown spot for Love and for
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: green Bay playing Carolina in an afternoon game on Sunday.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: They didn't focus on that game, and they had this
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: game up next, which obviously they had circled. There was
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: a primetime sandwich Prime Rib Sandwich between these two primetime games.
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: This is that revenge playoff spot. Even know green Bay
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: wants this game, probably even more than Philadelphia does. So
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: I like green Bay for all those reasons. As I
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: talked about on Saturday night. This was also a misleading
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: result because green Bay actually did play.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: Well enough to win this game.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: They outgained Carolina by more than one hundred yards in
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: the game. They did lose the turnover battle two to one.
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: It wound up being a close final result in green
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: Bay wound up losing the game, but again, they played
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: better than it looked on the scoreboard. Carolina didn't do
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: anything offensively in this game, but that's pretty evident from
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: the scoreboard. But the Packers actually moved the ball against Carolina,
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 2: they just didn't convert it into points.
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: So Packers, I think they're actually a bit undervalued here.
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, I already pointed out how the number moved
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: for no real reason other than that game. So we're
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 2: getting value on the Packers here. And man, the public's
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: gonna want Philadelphia because they've been playing better than green
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 2: Bay recently. People just see green Bay playing these close
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: games against bad teams and then green Bay losing to Carolina.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: Public doesn't like that. They don't want green Bay right now.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: The green Bay's defense is good, they're gonna jump on
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: back on the Eagles, who are the returning champs. And
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: the Eagles are hot again. They've won their last two games,
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: so they're.
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: Looking good again the returning champs. They're six and two.
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: But the Eagles are coming out of a bye, and yes,
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: I know that means they have extra rest, but well,
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 2: first of all, it's a Monday night game, so at
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: the very least, Green Bay hasn't played since last Sunday afternoon,
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: so they do have an extra day compared to what
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: they normally would have at least.
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: But I don't think the buye.
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 2: Is helpful to Philadelphia because Philadelphia had just won two
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: games in a row against Minnesota and the Giants getting
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 2: revenge against the Giants for an earlier loss, so a
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: divisional win normally that wouldn't be that big, but it
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: was revenge and it was a divisional game. But they
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: went into a bye on a two game win streak.
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: And I always talk about this, how I don't think
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: you want to go into the by on a win
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: streak because when you do that, you don't have anything
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: to work on, You don't have anything to fix.
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: Everything's working for you.
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: So I don't think that by actually came at a
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: helpful time for Philadelphia. I think what it's gonna do
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: is slow down their momentum and hurt their momentum a
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: little bit, and they're gonna take a little while to
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: get back up to speed. So I also don't mind
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 2: playing Green Bay in like the first half in this
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: game either or something like that, or first quarter, like
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: playing green Bay to come out with fire after that
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: ugly loss, Philadelphia to start slow. I could see that
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: being the case too, but I basically just do full games.
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: I think green Bay's the right side here. Everything seems
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: to basically line up. I like the situation.
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: This is one of the ones that I key it on.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: When I looked at the schedule at the beginning of
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 2: the week, I said, oh, yeah, I like this one,
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: and it was one of those rare times I actually
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: liked both primetime games a lot. With the Chargers last
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: night in green Bay tonight, I'm making them both plays.
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: Sticking with it. I've liked it all week. I still
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: like it.
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: I think we're getting live value and overreaction in the
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 2: line everything. Man, it's a bounce back situation for green Bay.
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: It's playoff revenge for green Bay. It's a momentum slowing
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: by for Philadelphia here. So yeah, I like it for
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: a lot of reasons. Green Bay money line, pick'm price
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 2: whatever minus one is fine, two, any of those solid options.
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: Let's do it, green Bay. There we go.
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: Man, those are the plays today. You like the under
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 2: in this game as well? Yeah, I prefer the side.
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: I slightly lean to the under but yeah.
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: Russell Crowe as Garring. Wait what movie is that? What
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: movie are we talking about? I like Russell Crowe generally.
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know what movie we're talking about, though, something
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: involving Germany. That Alec Baldwin Nuremberg movie. It's probably propaganda,
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: to be honest, I haven't seen that one. Alec Baldwin
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: weird dude, man. I mean, he's out there accidentally shooting
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 2: cinematographers dead. And Alec Baldwin his current wife, which I
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: think is like his third wife. He stayed with her
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: even though she pretended to be from Spain and faked
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: a Spanish accent for three years.
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: Oh that's not a big lie.
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: I'll just I'll just stay with you, honey, after all that,
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 2: Like it makes no sense, dude, you can look it up.
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: Hilaria, Hilaria Baldwin. It's hilarious. She's from Boston and she
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: lied and said that she was from Spain and faked
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: an accent for years. And Alec Baldwin at least that
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: he didn't know the whole time, but then when it
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: came out, he's like, I love her. I'm staying with her.
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: But this is it's so ridiculous, dude, it makes no sense.
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: No, no refs fixing it for the Eagles held No
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 2: the books. The books are probably gonna need green Bay
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: in this one because the ticket percentage and cash.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: Percentage are both on the Eagles. The public.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 2: There's a heavy influx of public betting on Monday Night.
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: The books pretty much need the public side to lose.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: Depending on what you think, like in which way you
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: think the game is going to be rigged. I'm just
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: sticking with my situational handicapping. Let's get the Windnes today, man,
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: the play is today. College basketball, we got Cleveland State
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: plus the twenty one and a half against Northwestern. I
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: kind of like how that one sets up and Grand
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: Canyon minus the points. This one's going up, so hopefully
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: you get the best number you can on that twenty
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 2: and a half is what I saw is the best
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: number missed out on a couple of the earlier numbers
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: at around eighteen.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: Hopefully it doesn't matter that much.
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: NBA, I know how ugly this is Wizards plus the points,
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: Clippers minus the points, and then NFL we're going with
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: green Bay, which I think that's my favorite of all
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 2: of the games today though.
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers my NFL.
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 2: I've been seeing the NFL really well over the last
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: few weeks, and if we get that one, it'll get
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: me to five and oh in my splash pool. So
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 2: hopefully that does happen for that reason too. Obviously it'll
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: be in my ESPN pickups and stuff like that as
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 2: well on Green Bay.
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: So that's what's gonna happen. What syop?
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 2: What's the Everything's a sy off at this point, man,
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: mister Pinsey, thank you for hanging out. Hopefully, hopefully I
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 2: give you some more winners.
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: Man. We bounced back pretty nicely yesterday.
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 2: Depending on which numbers you got, like I said, it
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 2: was a it was either six two and one, five
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 2: two and two, or five three and one yesterday, So
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: it was a winning day regardless. But depending on which
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 2: number you got in that Western Michigan game, it was
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 2: either a win, a push, or a loss. So I
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: want to get better at college basketball again.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we can do it today. Thank you, sir.
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 2: The NFL, I don't know if it's easy. I think
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: like the situations are just working out in the NFL.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: I'm I'm giving myself credit. I don't think it's been easy.
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 2: The public has been getting drilled in the NFL. The
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 2: public has been really really bad for those weeks, and
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: that means usually that means I'm gonna be doing pretty
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 2: well when that's the case.
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: But I gotta give myself a credit.
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: I think because I've been I think I've been seeing
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 2: it well man, and everything's coming through for me in
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: the NFL. I don't want to jinx it. I hope
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: we get it done tonight with the packers. Let's go,
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 2: let's go pack I need I have an old Aaron
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: Rodgers Packers jersey. It's probably at my parents' house. I
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: should have I was there yesterday. I should have found
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 2: it in preparation for this because I could have worn
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: it today. But that's gonna do it. Thanks guys for
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: hanging out. Learn it tone on Twitter, Learn it tone
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 2: on Instagram. Like subscribe, give me good comments here on
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: the YouTube channel, uh listen on on Spotify iTunes, give
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 2: me a good start, good five star review over there.
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 2: Covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube and
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: then patreon dot com. Learn to toad some bonus content.
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 2: You get a Spotify Yuke fee and you get.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: A yeah, prioritize requests.
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: I keep saying it, and I know I haven't done
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 2: it yet, but I gotta start doing some live Yuke
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: request streams and then maybe start doing something for the patreons. Uh,
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: get build that up a bit more, man. So my
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: voice just has not been good, which is why I
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: haven't done that many uke covers recently. I know there
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: were like two that I haven't put up on Spotify yet,
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: and one was a Charles request. Sorry, Charles, I gotta
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 2: do it, but I at least did it on Twitter
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 2: and YouTube already, so.
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: I gotta get back to it. Gotta figure out ways
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: to fix my voice, save my voice. I appreciate it, guys.
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out again this morning. I'll be back
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: again tomorrow morning, I think, unless uh well, I gotta
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: figure out what I want to do with.
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: College basketball, because one of the days is huge in
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: college basketball, and I forget if it's Tuesday or Wednesday,
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: so depending on which one it is, I kind of
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 2: want to do college basketball the night prior, but sometimes
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: it's hard to handicap college basketball the night prior.
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: We'll see them. I'll figure out what to do about that.
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I don't know if I'm going
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: to be back tonight or not.
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: But we're not really in the full swing college basketball
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 2: yet really, Like once you get into conference play, you
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 2: kind of get the more like the more I don't
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: know what to call it, like the more standardized schedule,
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 2: I guess.
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: So we'll see.
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: I'll look at what tomorrow's board looks like and see
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 2: if I want to do it in the morning. Peace
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 2: for now, guys, Thanks for hanging out.