Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Fantasy Football Deep Dive with Sean Koerner | Part 2

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Fantasy Football Deep Dive with Sean Koerner | Part 2 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:09
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorite's presented by Draft Kings. The crown
0:12
Speaker 1: is yours. We are an Action Network podcast. I'm Brandon
0:16
Speaker 1: Kravit to your host. Back at it with the first
0:18
Speaker 1: lady of the pod, Kendrim Middleton, and the return of
0:22
Speaker 1: our go to fantasy analyst Sean Kerner, the projections guru
0:27
Speaker 1: here for Action Network. He's been doing this for the
0:31
Speaker 1: last twenty plus years, one of the most accurate fantasy
0:34
Speaker 1: football rankers in the business. Now, Sean, we're back for
0:39
Speaker 1: part two. We will get into our biggest moves of
0:43
Speaker 1: the offseason, how it impacts those players and the players
0:45
Speaker 1: around them in fantasy in just a moment. These two
0:49
Speaker 1: other clowns on this show have and give me a
0:51
Speaker 1: hard time because I have purchased the latest Fantasy football
0:56
Speaker 1: magazine off the shelves at the local growth restore. Do
1:00
Speaker 1: you still do this? I mean, it feels like, with
1:03
Speaker 1: so much info online, you're pumping out stuff that you
1:06
Speaker 1: don't need to do this anymore. There's just something nostalgic
1:09
Speaker 1: for me about spending how much that you charge him
1:12
Speaker 1: for this?
1:13
Speaker 2: Uh yep, okay, yeah?
1:17
Speaker 1: Ten ninety nine on the handheld mag Where do you
1:20
Speaker 1: land on.
1:21
Speaker 3: That about buying fancy magazine. The magazine, Yeah, I have
1:26
Speaker 3: done that recently. Like if my wife and I were
1:28
Speaker 3: going to the beach and I need some reading material,
1:32
Speaker 3: I'll pick up a fancy magazine. Back when I was younger,
1:35
Speaker 3: like I mentioned, I was obsessed with fancy football. I
1:39
Speaker 3: was supposed to be doing summer reading. And my dad
1:42
Speaker 3: would kind of barge in my room and catch me
1:45
Speaker 3: reading a fancy football magazine instead of my book, and
1:49
Speaker 3: he would tell me, you gotta read your book. Unfortunately,
1:52
Speaker 3: you can't get a career reading fancy football magazine, so
1:56
Speaker 3: get back to reading your book. So I guess I
1:58
Speaker 3: proved him wrong on that one.
2:00
Speaker 1: Plus, there's just something that's more more, more more sanitary,
2:06
Speaker 1: perhaps about taking the magazine into the bathroom with you
2:09
Speaker 1: than your phone than your phone.
2:11
Speaker 2: You guys don't wipe your phones down every day?
2:14
Speaker 1: Are you supposed to do it every day?
2:15
Speaker 2: You know your phone is statistically less clean than your toilet.
2:19
Speaker 1: That does make sense, Yeah, that makes every day.
2:24
Speaker 3: I don't think i've ever I've ever cleaned my phone,
2:26
Speaker 3: so that's that's a problem.
2:28
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think my phone is going I think my
2:30
Speaker 1: phone is growing algae.
2:32
Speaker 2: I know looks like the US Capital.
2:36
Speaker 1: With that said, we've got fantasy breakdowns to get to
2:39
Speaker 1: with Sean Kerner as he spreads more of his great
2:42
Speaker 1: fantasy wisdom. But right now it's my turn as we
2:45
Speaker 1: chat about the best sports app in the land, DraftKings.
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3:15
Speaker 1: the game. The crown is yours. Let's get to at
3:20
Speaker 1: five through one the biggest moves in fantasy football that
3:26
Speaker 1: happened this offseason, whether it's via the draft, free agency, trade,
3:29
Speaker 1: or whatever, and the way that it impacts those individual
3:33
Speaker 1: players and the players around them. We did six through
3:37
Speaker 1: ten in the prior episode. Go and check that out.
3:39
Speaker 1: Carnell Tate, DJ Moore, David Montgomery, TUA to the Falcons.
3:44
Speaker 1: Cash the ticket. There we are now a newly minted
3:49
Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings podcast. You've got the Vikings cap on. One
3:54
Speaker 1: of the reasons we have fallen in love is because
3:56
Speaker 1: they once again have a quarterback that we can believe
4:00
Speaker 1: then Kyler Murray, so a QB one. The guy that's
4:06
Speaker 1: being drafted right now is quarterback twenty. That feels like
4:09
Speaker 1: an absolute steal Sean. Should we be all in on
4:13
Speaker 1: Murray with the Vikings?
4:15
Speaker 3: Yeah, I definitely like getting him in that range. And
4:19
Speaker 3: this this gives me similar to vibes when I was
4:22
Speaker 3: high on Sam irrationally high and Sam Darnold heading into
4:26
Speaker 3: his twenty twenty four season with the Vikings because I
4:29
Speaker 3: thought he could kind of revive his career there under
4:33
Speaker 3: Kevin O'Connell and he had, you know, one of the
4:34
Speaker 3: best receivers in the game in Justin Jefferson. And last year,
4:38
Speaker 3: same thing with like Daniel Jones once it was official
4:41
Speaker 3: he was going to be the colt Sweek one starter.
4:43
Speaker 3: I thought he could revive his career there. I'm getting
4:45
Speaker 3: the same vibes here with Kyler Murray. You know it
4:47
Speaker 3: wouldn't shock me if Kyler Murray burns me once again.
4:51
Speaker 3: But yeah, I just don't see how he isn't the
4:54
Speaker 3: starting quarterback from day one. And you know, in order
4:57
Speaker 3: for him to lose a job, he'd have to get
4:58
Speaker 3: hurt or really because you know, JJJ McCarthy was literally
5:03
Speaker 3: one of the top memes of twenty twenty five for
5:05
Speaker 3: being asked, so you know, they had to bring in somebody.
5:10
Speaker 3: So I think Kyler Murray he's still young enough. He's
5:13
Speaker 3: he's got that rushing upside where he could be a
5:15
Speaker 3: top five, top ten fancy quarterback. And again, he has
5:20
Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson as disposal. You know, he has Jordan Addison,
5:24
Speaker 3: Jwan Jennings, TJ. Howkinson, he has plenty of weapons around him.
5:28
Speaker 3: So if he gets the week one job, which I
5:31
Speaker 3: think he should, he has all the upset in the world.
5:34
Speaker 3: And yeah, I think just kind of the concern and
5:36
Speaker 3: the uncertainty is why he's going that late. But that's
5:39
Speaker 3: that's the perfect time to kind of take a fire
5:41
Speaker 3: and a quarterback.
5:42
Speaker 2: I want to talk about the opposite side of this,
5:45
Speaker 2: now that the dust is kind of settled, it's probably
5:47
Speaker 2: gonna be Jacobe Prissent out in Arizona. What does this
5:50
Speaker 2: do for the value for Marvin Harrison Junior and Trey McBride.
5:55
Speaker 3: Well, it's funny because I'm kind of, you know, gushing
5:58
Speaker 3: about Kyler on Minnesota, but I think him being gone
6:01
Speaker 3: helps Marvin Harrison Junior and Trey McBride because ironically, when
6:05
Speaker 3: he went down and Burssett took over, both those players,
6:10
Speaker 3: you know, finally score touchdowns, finally, you know, being more productive.
6:14
Speaker 3: So that probably, by.
6:16
Speaker 1: The way, Sean is not a ringing endorsement of Kyler Murray.
6:19
Speaker 3: With the Vikings, It's not no for for Kyler Murray's
6:23
Speaker 3: fancy value. We just want him running, so he he
6:26
Speaker 3: might not help the value of Justin Jefferson or Jordan Edison,
6:30
Speaker 3: but I think being in that that scheme, that system
6:33
Speaker 3: will help him. So it's kind of a double edged sword,
6:36
Speaker 3: but yeah, I think that kind of helps Marvin Harrison
6:39
Speaker 3: and Trey McBride. But you know, if there's such a
6:42
Speaker 3: dumpster fire where you know, at the end of the season,
6:45
Speaker 3: you know they're they missed the playoffs. During take mode,
6:49
Speaker 3: we could see you know, Carson Beck take over, and
6:51
Speaker 3: I think that that would definitely hurt their fancy value
6:54
Speaker 3: at the worst possible time, you know, during the fancy playoffs.
6:58
Speaker 3: So that would be a concern for me. But on paper,
7:01
Speaker 3: I think having present takeovers the tank commander is a
7:05
Speaker 3: good thing for both those pass catchers.
7:07
Speaker 1: We will get back to the Arizona Cardinals in a moment,
7:09
Speaker 1: because they drafted a very intriguing running back who is
7:12
Speaker 1: towards the top of our list. That is a podcast
7:15
Speaker 1: tease Mike Evans to the forty nine ers at number four.
7:19
Speaker 1: After twelve productive and loyal years in Tampa, we have
7:23
Speaker 1: Evans finally donning a different jersey. Are you excited about
7:26
Speaker 1: the prospects of Evans catching passes from party but maybe
7:30
Speaker 1: more importantly in a mic or not a Mike Shanahan.
7:34
Speaker 1: That's dad a Kyle Shanahan offense. He's a little long
7:38
Speaker 1: in the tooth. He's gonna be thirty three by the
7:40
Speaker 1: time we get to August.
7:41
Speaker 3: Yeah, like this move, Like I think the days of
7:45
Speaker 3: Mike Evans being a top ten wide receiver are long gone.
7:50
Speaker 3: But this, I think this move helps the Niners offense
7:53
Speaker 3: in general and Rock Purty. This is this kind of
7:56
Speaker 3: reminds me this time last year I was talking about,
7:59
Speaker 3: you know, Avante Adams going to the Rams potentially helping,
8:04
Speaker 3: you know, fix Matthew Stafford. Matthew Stafford's red zone was
8:08
Speaker 3: he had the season before, so I was announcing that
8:10
Speaker 3: my first bet of the season was Stafford over twenty
8:13
Speaker 3: two and a half passing touchdowns. I don't know if
8:17
Speaker 3: this is going to be the same dynamic here, but
8:19
Speaker 3: I think this is going to help rock Perty significantly
8:22
Speaker 3: in the red zone because you know, they have George Kittle,
8:27
Speaker 3: Ricky Piersall, Christian McCaffrey can kind of soak up a
8:31
Speaker 3: lot of those targets between the twenties help move the ball.
8:34
Speaker 3: But once they do get in the red zone, that's
8:36
Speaker 3: where I think Mike Evans should help them and help
8:39
Speaker 3: you know, brock Perty's upside. So I think this kind
8:42
Speaker 3: of helps take some of the pressure off Evans where
8:44
Speaker 3: he doesn't have to be the alpha, you know, all
8:46
Speaker 3: the way down the field and he could just kind
8:48
Speaker 3: of maximize his usage in the red zone and score
8:53
Speaker 3: you know, touchdowns on their offense. So I think this
8:56
Speaker 3: is a good move for him and his is you know,
8:58
Speaker 3: the later stage of his career, and I think a sneaky,
9:01
Speaker 3: sneaky boost to brock Perty's value.
9:04
Speaker 1: Okay, I my ears perked up when he started comparing
9:09
Speaker 1: the forty nine ers to the Rams what Devontae Adams
9:11
Speaker 1: did for Stafford, who just won the NFL MVP Award.
9:15
Speaker 1: This is a guy I haven't really given much thought to.
9:18
Speaker 1: He's a quarterback and that's brock Party at twenty to
9:22
Speaker 1: one over on DraftKings to win MVP. I guess the
9:27
Speaker 1: concern would be that Christian McCaffrey just gets so much
9:29
Speaker 1: of the credit for the being the engine of the offense.
9:31
Speaker 1: But is that a way that you would look at
9:35
Speaker 1: backing Party as well, beyond the fantasy lens.
9:39
Speaker 3: Yeah, because, like I said, it's not that crazy to
9:41
Speaker 3: think that having a guy like that could kind of
9:44
Speaker 3: unlock his past touchdown ceiling some over what we saw
9:48
Speaker 3: with Matthew Stafford last year. I mean, McCaffrey could get
9:52
Speaker 3: hurt and then you know, the entire offense falls on
9:56
Speaker 3: Party shoulders. The Niners can easily have you know, fourteen
10:00
Speaker 3: plus win season or something like that. So I think, yeah,
10:03
Speaker 3: Party having you know, twenty to one you said MVP ticket, Yeah,
10:08
Speaker 3: it makes a ton of sense. I think yeah, like
10:11
Speaker 3: we kind of need to see what's up with George Kittle.
10:14
Speaker 3: We're not positive he'll be ready for week one, but
10:16
Speaker 3: if he's looking, you know, closer to one hundred percent
10:19
Speaker 3: for week one, that would, you know, make it even better.
10:23
Speaker 2: I have kind of a one and a half slash
10:26
Speaker 2: two parter here.
10:27
Speaker 1: One.
10:27
Speaker 2: I'm taking it you think that Ricky Piersall is going
10:30
Speaker 2: to be the number one receiver in this system? And
10:32
Speaker 2: then my second question would be, I feel like the
10:35
Speaker 2: last couple of seasons, and it's gonna sound silly to
10:38
Speaker 2: say this, but like I don't really know if it
10:40
Speaker 2: is the electromagnetic fields that they're dealing with that's causing
10:43
Speaker 2: all of his injuries for them, but it almost feels
10:47
Speaker 2: like every time you're drafting a player from the forty
10:50
Speaker 2: nine ers in fantasy, you're taking a huge risk that
10:53
Speaker 2: somebody is going to get hurt or everyone on this
10:55
Speaker 2: team is going to get hurt, and it's just going
10:57
Speaker 2: to be a rotating carousel of depth them. Do you
11:01
Speaker 2: think that there really is something to this, like injury
11:04
Speaker 2: bug or whatever you want to relate it to for them,
11:06
Speaker 2: because every time I take someone on this team, they
11:10
Speaker 2: get hurt or it bites me in the ass and
11:11
Speaker 2: it makes me want to fall away from taking one
11:14
Speaker 2: of these big names as much of if you get
11:16
Speaker 2: it right, is it a Christian McCaffrey, or where he's
11:19
Speaker 2: gonna stay healthy or not, it can really push you
11:21
Speaker 2: in your projections of your league.
11:24
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm actually a big fan of the substation theory.
11:28
Speaker 3: There's guts something to that. But I also think that
11:31
Speaker 3: you know, Shanahan really rides the players hard in practice.
11:35
Speaker 3: He loves using like game speed practices much more than
11:40
Speaker 3: your average coach. So I think that kind of sets
11:43
Speaker 3: these players up for, you know, more injuries. So it
11:47
Speaker 3: could be a little bit of that, a little bit
11:49
Speaker 3: of the substation. So it's not great that Mike Evans
11:51
Speaker 3: and his hamstrings are going to be practicing may Glass substation.
11:57
Speaker 3: Maybe yeah, so maybe it'll help them. Hopefully it helps them,
12:01
Speaker 3: but yeah, there's definitely something there with just how they
12:05
Speaker 3: practice or something which you know is a bit of
12:08
Speaker 3: a concern. And when it comes to their number one receiver,
12:12
Speaker 3: I don't I don't really think it's gonna be Piercel.
12:14
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be just kind of a spread
12:16
Speaker 3: around similar to the Bills where I think, you know,
12:19
Speaker 3: George Kittle's probably their top receiver, and then you know
12:24
Speaker 3: Pier Soluble chip in. They brought in Christian Kirk, you
12:28
Speaker 3: help out a little bit, so, you know, I just
12:30
Speaker 3: think taking some of that pressure off Evans will help.
12:32
Speaker 3: And then they have christ McCaffrey, who's gonna get five
12:36
Speaker 3: catches the game kind of back, so I think it
12:39
Speaker 3: just kind of helps spread things around. But yeah, hopefully
12:42
Speaker 3: they can stay healthy. They they've done it once, right,
12:46
Speaker 3: I had like to be the last undefeated team a
12:51
Speaker 3: couple of years ago, and that's the only season they've
12:53
Speaker 3: managed to stay healthy. But it's it's always a concern
12:56
Speaker 3: with them. Whether it's a substation or you know, how
12:59
Speaker 3: hard they practice, who the hell knows, but something's there.
13:02
Speaker 1: And Christian McCaffrey just recently passed that four hundred touch
13:06
Speaker 1: threshold too, I believe.
13:08
Speaker 2: So that was also having another baby girl dad watch
13:11
Speaker 2: in full effect, and he gets.
13:13
Speaker 1: Hurt every even numbered year. I think if we're getting numerology,
13:17
Speaker 1: so I'm a little concerned about CMC and fantasy. Let's
13:20
Speaker 1: move to number three. Kenneth Walker goes to the Kansas
13:23
Speaker 1: City Chiefs. We've been waiting for years to see a
13:26
Speaker 1: running back of Walker's caliber land in KC. My last
13:30
Speaker 1: memory of a good running back with the Chiefs was
13:33
Speaker 1: early Kareem Hunt. Andy Reid used to be known for
13:36
Speaker 1: creating fantasy dynamos at the position. Brian Westbrook, Jamal Charles.
13:41
Speaker 1: Should we be expecting that sort of production from Kenneth Walker.
13:47
Speaker 3: Yeah, Like, if they really do intend on using him
13:50
Speaker 3: as a pass catcher as much as they say they are,
13:54
Speaker 3: he definitely has that kind of upside because that's the
13:58
Speaker 3: one thing he didn't really do in Seattle. I mean,
14:00
Speaker 3: he he split a ton of work with Sharbonay, lost
14:04
Speaker 3: a lot of goal line scores to Sharbonay the past
14:06
Speaker 3: couple of seasons, but they they also didn't use him
14:09
Speaker 3: as a pass catcher. So if they do use him
14:11
Speaker 3: as a true three down back, he has a ton
14:16
Speaker 3: of upside. It just kind of remains to be seen.
14:19
Speaker 3: And I think you forgot to mention Larry Johnson, one
14:23
Speaker 3: of the best Chiefs running backs back in the day.
14:26
Speaker 3: So you know, I just think that you know, Kenth
14:29
Speaker 3: Walker now has double digit touch upside, you know, fifty
14:33
Speaker 3: plus catch upside, but the markets onto that he's being drafted,
14:39
Speaker 3: you know, inside the top twelve currently, so you know
14:43
Speaker 3: you're not going to fool anybody with that, but I
14:45
Speaker 3: think he has a ton of potential on the Chiefs.
14:48
Speaker 1: Obviously Priest Holmes as well. We're gonna mention some some
14:51
Speaker 1: Chiefs Goods.
14:53
Speaker 2: Where does this move Zach Charboney for you?
14:57
Speaker 3: So, Charbonay has been one of my favorite backup over
15:00
Speaker 3: the years. I always loved taking him because you know,
15:03
Speaker 3: whenever Walker was out, he'd be a top five back.
15:06
Speaker 3: But unfortunately sharbon Ay, you know, he tore his a
15:10
Speaker 3: c L super late. I believe it was in the playoffs, right,
15:14
Speaker 3: So I don't right, was it in the playoffs?
15:17
Speaker 1: I'm not sure it was.
15:19
Speaker 3: Yeah, it had to be like wild card round, right,
15:22
Speaker 3: I think that's when, Yeah, it was had to be
15:26
Speaker 3: the first round, right, because that's that's when Kenneth Walker
15:30
Speaker 3: really just started to rupt. So I don't think he's
15:33
Speaker 3: gonna be ready week one, and then they just spent
15:35
Speaker 3: the first round pick on Jendarium Price. So even when
15:40
Speaker 3: he is back and healthy, I think Price is going
15:42
Speaker 3: to be a real threat and if anything could be
15:45
Speaker 3: you know, the next Kenneth Walker, where you know, at
15:47
Speaker 3: best Charbonne is going to be in a you know,
15:49
Speaker 3: more of a fifty to fifty split with him, So
15:51
Speaker 3: I think that that definitely caps a lot of the
15:54
Speaker 3: upside that Charbonay was going to have post Kenneth Walker there.
15:58
Speaker 2: Do you think that that's a little bit of a
15:59
Speaker 2: sleeper there be a running back tandem to take.
16:03
Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely early in the season. I think you know,
16:06
Speaker 3: Price is going to be the lead back as long
16:09
Speaker 3: as sharbon is out, because again, I don't think Sharbony
16:12
Speaker 3: is gonna be ready week one. Although there is a
16:15
Speaker 3: little bit of a wrinkle here where they really started
16:17
Speaker 3: to use a J barner a lot more in the
16:19
Speaker 3: tush push, especially near the goal line at the end
16:23
Speaker 3: of last season. So where sharbon Ay did see a
16:27
Speaker 3: lot of goal line work, you know, his first few seasons,
16:30
Speaker 3: a J barner could be you know, scoring two to
16:34
Speaker 3: three of those going forward, So something to look out
16:37
Speaker 3: for that could kind of hurt Sharbonney's ceiling. But I'm
16:40
Speaker 3: a big fan of taking Price, you know, in that
16:43
Speaker 3: like early RB three range because he should have that
16:47
Speaker 3: value early in the season and then if he's playing well,
16:49
Speaker 3: I mean, they spent a first round pick on him,
16:51
Speaker 3: so it's not like a lock. They're going to just
16:53
Speaker 3: turn it over to Scharbonay when he's back. They could
16:56
Speaker 3: envision Price being their lead back going forward.
16:59
Speaker 1: Yeah, first, a first round running back is is like
17:03
Speaker 1: a lock for usage on a team. I was just
17:06
Speaker 1: had a flashback and talking about random Seahawks players that
17:10
Speaker 1: are on this team. To Kendra's Jake Bobo bet during
17:14
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I don't think that one cashed half
17:20
Speaker 1: a catch.
17:20
Speaker 2: I think over half a catch against his hometown team
17:23
Speaker 2: in the Super Bowl.
17:25
Speaker 1: Bobo was a no, no, he had.
17:29
Speaker 3: Got a target, right.
17:30
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's go to number two. Jeremiah Love to the
17:34
Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals, drafted at three in the NFL Draft. Insanely
17:38
Speaker 1: talented player on a terrible team. They do have some
17:42
Speaker 1: offensive weapons, though, if you believe in Marvin Harrison Junior trade,
17:45
Speaker 1: McBride is legitimately one of the best tight ends in football.
17:50
Speaker 1: But I just worry that we're gonna end up in
17:53
Speaker 1: the same territory that a lot of folks landed with
17:55
Speaker 1: Ashton genty a year ago, where he was drafted high
17:59
Speaker 1: in the real draft on a bad team. Defense is
18:02
Speaker 1: key in on him and he just has those those
18:05
Speaker 1: rookie bumps. Is this a guy that you'd be comfortable
18:09
Speaker 1: taking the first round of a redraft league?
18:12
Speaker 3: Well, the good news is you don't have to take
18:15
Speaker 3: him in the first round.
18:20
Speaker 1: Wow. Yeah, And how much of that is just a
18:23
Speaker 1: lesson learned because last year Genty was a first round
18:25
Speaker 1: pick and he bopped.
18:29
Speaker 3: Yeah. Well, the funny thing is he did disappoint he
18:32
Speaker 3: didn't live up to expectations, but he still finishes the
18:34
Speaker 3: RB thirteen, so he probably didn't like, lose your league.
18:38
Speaker 3: If you lost your league, it was on you, not
18:41
Speaker 3: Ash and Genty He's still finished RB thirteen. Because anytime
18:45
Speaker 3: a team spends a first round pick on running back,
18:48
Speaker 3: he's going to get a shit ton of work. And
18:51
Speaker 3: that's going to be the case with Jeremiah Love. I
18:53
Speaker 3: think the important thing for Love is, you know, the
18:57
Speaker 3: Cardinals are going to be bad, They're going to be
18:58
Speaker 3: in a ton of trailing games. Scripts it's going to
19:00
Speaker 3: be key for him to be, you know, the lead
19:02
Speaker 3: pass catching back. And I think that's going to be
19:05
Speaker 3: the case because they have two very good running backs
19:08
Speaker 3: and James Connor and Tyler Aljier, but both of them
19:10
Speaker 3: are more like early down grinder backs than really you know,
19:14
Speaker 3: pass catching specialists. So I think Love should see a
19:17
Speaker 3: ton of that pass catching work. And that's ultimately what
19:19
Speaker 3: kind of helped Ashton Genty finish RB thirteen is he was,
19:23
Speaker 3: you know, catching three to four passes a game at
19:26
Speaker 3: one point, so I think, you know, Love, I am
19:29
Speaker 3: not scared to take him at the RB ten range.
19:32
Speaker 3: Sometimes he falls to RB twelve. I understand a lot
19:36
Speaker 3: of people are kind of concerned with gent, but that's
19:38
Speaker 3: kind of allowing me to take him in the mid
19:40
Speaker 3: late second round. But I think the upsidees there. He
19:43
Speaker 3: has a high floor because again, he's guaranteed a massive
19:47
Speaker 3: workload because you know, they spent a first round pick
19:50
Speaker 3: on him. But I think he's what the seventh highest
19:52
Speaker 3: paid running back in football already, so they kind of
19:55
Speaker 3: have to use him.
19:56
Speaker 2: Right, So his projections are sitting right there with Derek
19:59
Speaker 2: hen If I'm sitting there on draft day needing a
20:02
Speaker 2: running back, am I going with the old man or
20:05
Speaker 2: the young buck in this scenario?
20:08
Speaker 3: Well, I have long stood on the fact that I'm
20:14
Speaker 3: never gonna fade Derrick Henry until he gives me a
20:16
Speaker 3: reason to. So I'm still rolling with my guy, Dereck
20:20
Speaker 3: Henry here. At some point the wheels are gonna come off, right,
20:25
Speaker 3: But until that happens, I'm gonna have to go Derek
20:30
Speaker 3: Henry here, unless unless you're in like a full PPR format,
20:34
Speaker 3: then obviously you know Henry gets a hit, huge hit,
20:37
Speaker 3: but standard happy PPR. I'm still super high on Derek Henry.
20:42
Speaker 3: I think he's going like RB eight or nine right now,
20:45
Speaker 3: which I think is crazy. But yeah, that's that's an
20:48
Speaker 3: unfair question because I'm always too high on Henry.
20:51
Speaker 1: But I'm on the spectrum. I think Derrick Henry. I'm
20:56
Speaker 1: in about three leagues a year. I try not to
20:58
Speaker 1: overmax myself, but Derrick Henry I have never had in fantasy.
21:04
Speaker 1: I don't think he's been on one team of mine
21:07
Speaker 1: his entire career. I've always either faded his age, his
21:11
Speaker 1: lack of pass catching, injury, all the reasons. And then
21:15
Speaker 1: all he does is goes out and he's double digit touchdowns,
21:18
Speaker 1: two thousand yards, and I'm the guy that doesn't have
21:21
Speaker 1: Derek Henry on my team. Number one AJ Brown to
21:24
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots. I am seeing Drake May now
21:28
Speaker 1: considered to be a top three Fantasy quarterback. To be honest,
21:32
Speaker 1: I did not look at these rankings until after the
21:34
Speaker 1: trade was done, So I don't know if it's the
21:37
Speaker 1: Brown news that moved him up inside of the top
21:41
Speaker 1: five or if he was already there because of the
21:44
Speaker 1: MVP runner up season that he just had. He's got mobility,
21:48
Speaker 1: is it AJ Brown? And do you agree with what
21:51
Speaker 1: Brown does for the quarterback in terms of fantasy?
21:56
Speaker 3: So right now he was QB six and now he's
21:59
Speaker 3: QB five in Best Ball formats, and I still think
22:02
Speaker 3: that's too low. I do think he is worth being
22:05
Speaker 3: like the third quarterback off the board because if you
22:08
Speaker 3: look at last season, he was QB two and that
22:11
Speaker 3: was year two for him, and you know he had
22:15
Speaker 3: Stefon Diggs, who was, you know, his best receiver yet.
22:20
Speaker 3: But I still think AJ Brown is going to be
22:22
Speaker 3: an upgrade over last season's version of Diggs because he's
22:26
Speaker 3: going to help, you know, open up the passing attack
22:28
Speaker 3: in general. He might open up you know, Drake made
22:31
Speaker 3: a scramble more. You know, if they're putting more attention
22:34
Speaker 3: on Aj you know, he might find more lanes when
22:37
Speaker 3: he's scrambling. But I also think, you know, having Romeo
22:40
Speaker 3: Dobbs there will help open things up in the red
22:44
Speaker 3: zone and you know, take some pressure off aj Brown.
22:47
Speaker 3: So I think the sky's the limit for Drake May.
22:49
Speaker 3: If you remember it was year three where Josh Allen
22:53
Speaker 3: really broke out when they finally they brought in Stefon Diggs,
22:57
Speaker 3: we could see, you know, a similar breakout for Drake
22:59
Speaker 3: May here, who's already coming off a QB two finish
23:03
Speaker 3: and he made the Super Bowl. So the sky's limit
23:06
Speaker 3: when it comes to Drake May.
23:07
Speaker 2: Do you put any stock into the distractions that the
23:11
Speaker 2: Patriots have surrounding them when potentially drafting Drake May.
23:16
Speaker 3: Oh, like the Vraybel stuff?
23:18
Speaker 2: Yeah, because like I mean, right now, everything there's it's
23:21
Speaker 2: been a couple of weeks since something came out, But
23:23
Speaker 2: God forbid more of this crab comes out, or his
23:25
Speaker 2: wife wants him home more, or McDaniels has to take
23:28
Speaker 2: over because he's on an lla. Are these things that
23:31
Speaker 2: you think about?
23:32
Speaker 3: Yeah, Like he had to miss what the third day
23:35
Speaker 3: three of the draft, which is pretty crazy to go
23:37
Speaker 3: to counseling. So those things add up. I'm hoping Drake
23:41
Speaker 3: May can overcome it and this doesn't become a distraction
23:45
Speaker 3: for him. I wouldn't not draft Drake May because of it,
23:49
Speaker 3: but it's definitely just a concern in general when it
23:51
Speaker 3: comes to the Patriots, and maybe you know, this trade
23:55
Speaker 3: for AJ Brown will kind of take some of the
23:57
Speaker 3: heat off, but like, yeah, it has not been a
24:00
Speaker 3: good offseason for the Patriots at no fault of Drake May.
24:03
Speaker 3: So I'm just hoping it doesn't become a distraction. But
24:07
Speaker 3: I'll still be locking him in. If he's the fifth
24:10
Speaker 3: quarterback just sitting there in the draft, I'll still take
24:12
Speaker 3: him despite you know, the Shenanigans.
24:16
Speaker 1: As weird as it sounds, I think it would actually
24:18
Speaker 1: enhance Drake May's fantasy value. If Rabel wasn't there, you
24:21
Speaker 1: would have an offensive coordinator become the head coach. Rabel's true.
24:25
Speaker 1: The loss of Rabel would probably impact their defense more
24:28
Speaker 1: than their offense. And then if you have higher scoring games,
24:31
Speaker 1: you'd have to kind of go down the you'd have
24:32
Speaker 1: to travel the path.
24:33
Speaker 2: But Kravitz is out, I like it.
24:37
Speaker 1: A J Brown or DeVante Smith. Who would you draft
24:39
Speaker 1: first in fantasy? That's the former Eagle and the current Eagle.
24:44
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would lean AJ Brown just because of Drake May,
24:48
Speaker 3: but DeVonta Smith is now my top ten as well.
24:50
Speaker 3: I think he's, you know, his ceiling is going to
24:52
Speaker 3: be unlocked with AJ Brown not there and hurts feeling
24:56
Speaker 3: the need to, you know, kind of force the ball
24:57
Speaker 3: to a J. Brown.
24:58
Speaker 2: He was always enough.
24:59
Speaker 3: I think, yeah, so both both are my top ten.
25:03
Speaker 3: I would lean AJ, but I would not be shocked
25:05
Speaker 3: if Smith has a career here Sean Kerner.
25:08
Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, you can find all of his work
25:10
Speaker 1: over at actionnetwork dot com. Phenomenal of what you do.
25:13
Speaker 1: Glad we got a chance to chop it up and
25:15
Speaker 1: hopefully our Minnesota Vikings can do something special this year.
25:19
Speaker 1: It is time for our Draft Kings plant the flag
25:22
Speaker 1: segment of the day set up.
25:25
Speaker 3: I'm trying to plant my flag here. Okay, you're really
25:28
Speaker 3: planning your flag in that thing.
25:30
Speaker 1: Today we're going in the opposite direction. We are going
25:33
Speaker 1: to nominate a fantasy bust, the man who will ruin
25:37
Speaker 1: your fantasy leagues. And I'm gonna take this one before
25:41
Speaker 1: you snatch it from me, Kendra. I think it's Christian McCaffrey,
25:45
Speaker 1: and I've been a big CMC guy throughout the course
25:47
Speaker 1: of his career, but there's just too much working against him.
25:51
Speaker 1: He turned the dreaded thirty it's a classic drop off
25:54
Speaker 1: point for running backs over four hundred touches last season.
25:58
Speaker 1: He's been injury prone throughout the court of his career.
26:01
Speaker 1: Last year he played all seventeen games and a pair
26:03
Speaker 1: of playoff games. It's just unreasonable to be super optimistic
26:09
Speaker 1: on CMC and he's going way too early for my blood.
26:12
Speaker 1: So this will be the first year of his career
26:15
Speaker 1: that I've sold on Christian McCaffrey. But here we are.
26:18
Speaker 2: What if it comes out that him and Olivia are
26:20
Speaker 2: having another.
26:20
Speaker 1: Girl, well, and we need to reassess things. You know,
26:24
Speaker 1: we have become a clairvoyant podcast. So I uh, right now,
26:29
Speaker 1: I would take him and at the end of round one,
26:32
Speaker 1: not at the beginning of round one.
26:33
Speaker 2: Okay, I'm gonna go DJ Moore just because I'm a
26:37
Speaker 2: Bills hater, always have been, always will be. Sorry, not sorry,
26:41
Speaker 2: just too many mouths to feed in that offense, and
26:44
Speaker 2: I would like to see Khalil Shakir have another resurgence,
26:47
Speaker 2: so I'm cheering for him. I'm also cheering for Keyon Coleman,
26:50
Speaker 2: which means DJ Moore, Sorry, I also think that the
26:53
Speaker 2: two headed monster at tight end there between Dalton and
26:55
Speaker 2: Dawson too many mouths to feed. And I just I
26:59
Speaker 2: think think the Bills are due for a reality check
27:02
Speaker 2: with how the AFC is gonna be a lot better
27:03
Speaker 2: again this year.
27:05
Speaker 1: If he's gonna blow up again, it's gonna be with
27:08
Speaker 1: Josh Allen as his quarterback. But there's a reason why
27:11
Speaker 1: this guy is on team number three at this point.
27:15
Speaker 1: If you want to fade these fools, you can do
27:16
Speaker 1: so over on DraftKings. That'll do it for today's episode
27:20
Speaker 1: special thanks to our producers David Paine and Gifford Gold, Stats,
27:23
Speaker 1: Sound Evit, Abrams the Favorites. We'll be back right here
27:27
Speaker 1: on the Action Network YouTube page and wherever you download
27:30
Speaker 1: your favorite podcast. So our show today has been presented
27:32
Speaker 1: by Draft Kings. The Crown is yours. Action Network reminds
27:47
Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care
27:50
Speaker 1: about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four
27:54
Speaker 1: to seven at one eight hundred Gambler