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Lee Sterling - @Paramount Sports · The Sean O'Connell Show

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  Speaker 1: As you are listening to a Sean O'Connell show, your
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  Speaker 1: source for the best huts football company. Here's OC from
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  Speaker 1: the Murdoch Hyundai Studio of ESPN seven hundred ninety two
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  Speaker 1: to one half.
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  Speaker 2: Am more super Bowl talk right here on the Shan
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  Speaker 2: O'Connell Show. Bryce Larsen and Jordan Bianucci in for Sean
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  Speaker 2: O'Connell holding it down for him right here on the
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  Speaker 2: OC Show and pushing forward this afternoon as we get
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  Speaker 2: into the weekend on a football Friday edition of the show.
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  Speaker 2: Our friendly sterling for Paramount Sports joining us now on
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  Speaker 2: the Shan O'Connell show. Lee, great to have you back on.
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  Speaker 2: How excited are you for the Super Bowl this weekend?
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  Speaker 3: I'm excited. I'll either be jumping up and down the
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  Speaker 3: end of it or not wanting to talk to anyone
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  Speaker 3: for a couple of days. What's amazing is I can
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  Speaker 3: put it out as I rate my selections from ten
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  Speaker 3: to fifty units. Here's a couple of years, I put
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  Speaker 3: it as twenty unit plays. And I hear from people
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  Speaker 3: when you lose, they bet five times their normal amount.
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  Speaker 3: I mean, who does things like that? So maybe I've
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  Speaker 3: been doing it so long, but you got to treat
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  Speaker 3: it as one game. Maybe a little bit extra, but
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  Speaker 3: betting three, four or five times your normal amount just
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  Speaker 3: makes no sense.
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  Speaker 2: Well, let's dive into some of these bets. What are
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  Speaker 2: we looking at here? We looking at prop bets? Are
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  Speaker 2: we looking at the spread? What do we got going?
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  Speaker 3: We're going to look at everything and we're going to
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  Speaker 3: do Let's start off first with the national anthem. I
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  Speaker 3: got to talk about the national anthem. My daughter as
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  Speaker 3: an actress, and she's been handicapping it now and over
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  Speaker 3: the last eleven years, she's gone we call it ten
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  Speaker 3: oh in one. So she won the first nine all
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  Speaker 3: pretty easy, and then what happened? She ends up the
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  Speaker 3: Reba MacIntire disaster. Rebat decides to sing the last line twice,
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  Speaker 3: So my daughter had it under by singing it twice.
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  Speaker 3: It ended up going over. The sportsbook were left in
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  Speaker 3: a conundrum, and what did they do? Most of them
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  Speaker 3: paid off both sides as a goodwill gesture, so it
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  Speaker 3: was something they hope never happens again. Then last year
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  Speaker 3: I had her studying it and she said, you know what,
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  Speaker 3: this is going to be the closest one yet. We're
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  Speaker 3: going to go under. It went under by one second,
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  Speaker 3: so last two have been crazy. Now she said, this
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  Speaker 3: is going to be a little easier. Charlie Pute is
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  Speaker 3: singing the national anthem, And so she comes back two
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  Speaker 3: days later and she says, I've got it. I said, okay,
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  Speaker 3: where do I find some of his national anthem? She goes, Oh,
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  Speaker 3: he's never sang the national anthem. And I'm like, so,
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  Speaker 3: how are you so confident? She goes, he did an
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  Speaker 3: interview a couple of weeks ago on with Ryan Seacrest,
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  Speaker 3: and in it he mentioned that he's going to be
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  Speaker 3: singing it with a choir and an orchestra. So even
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  Speaker 3: though let's say they sing, let's say he starts off
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  Speaker 3: singing and the choir and orchestra play by themselves or
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  Speaker 3: sing by themselves, and then he finishes. That way, it
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  Speaker 3: all counts as long as he starts and finishes. So
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  Speaker 3: she feels pretty confident it's going over the minute and
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  Speaker 3: the minute, almost two minutes minute. I think they got
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  Speaker 3: a half second short of two minutes. So she feels
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  Speaker 3: it's going to finish in something like ten two fifteen.
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  Speaker 3: So we're going to go over on the national anthem.
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  Speaker 2: So how did they decide. How does sportsbooks decide to
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  Speaker 2: pay these things out or not? Like, is there certain
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  Speaker 2: stipulations that they have with some of these crazy prop bets.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, it starts from the first note word singing out
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  Speaker 3: of the anthem singer and the last note. Now they
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  Speaker 3: made it the last note. It used to be the
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  Speaker 3: last word was brave, but since REEB McIntyre repeated the
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  Speaker 3: line twice, they've changed that to be the last the
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  Speaker 3: last note that they sing. So they're not going to
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  Speaker 3: put out huge, you know, dollar figures that you can
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  Speaker 3: bet on it. Usually the over under you can bet
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  Speaker 3: on the national Anthem is like five hundred dollars, and
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  Speaker 3: most sportsbooks haven't even put out the total yet, so
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  Speaker 3: just maybe twenty twenty five percent have. They'll put it
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  Speaker 3: out probably tonight or tomorrow morning.
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  Speaker 2: Okay, that's good to know. What other bets are we
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  Speaker 2: looking at for the Super Bowl that you have come
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  Speaker 2: up this weekend?
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, a couple of player props. I like, I don't
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  Speaker 3: bet the first person to score. I think it's just
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  Speaker 3: too random. You know, if you're going to a party,
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  Speaker 3: you got twenty twenty five people put all the names
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  Speaker 3: of the receivers running backs, tight ends and quarterbacks in there,
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  Speaker 3: and you know that way, everyone's got a shot at
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  Speaker 3: winning something. You make it a prize or you have
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  Speaker 3: a But I would rather do something like Kenneth Walker
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  Speaker 3: anytime touchdown. I think that's something where you've got a
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  Speaker 3: chance to win. A couple player props. I like Cooper
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  Speaker 3: Cup receiver for Seattle, over fifty over two and a
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  Speaker 3: half receptions in the game. They've gone to him a
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  Speaker 3: lot more of late and real good at reading zone
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  Speaker 3: defenses and knowing where to go when they use certain
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  Speaker 3: coverages or where the seams are in these coverage and
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  Speaker 3: I like him over two and a half receptions. On
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  Speaker 3: the other side, New England receivers Mac Collins, I like
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  Speaker 3: over fifteen and a half yards on his longest reception.
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  Speaker 3: Here's a guy six four two twenty. They don't run
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  Speaker 3: flankers screens for this guy. He's tall, he can jump
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  Speaker 3: out of the gym long arms. They throw the ball
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  Speaker 3: down the field on the sidelines to him early and often,
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  Speaker 3: so I like over fifteen and a half yards and
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  Speaker 3: his longest reception. And Stefan Diggs four and five receptions
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  Speaker 3: the last two games they've been using him. But I
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  Speaker 3: think he's lost his step. And I also think they're
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  Speaker 3: going to use some man on man coverage on the receivers.
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  Speaker 3: That's the legion of boom two defense, So they could
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  Speaker 3: end up curtailing his output. On Sunday, Lee, what do
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  Speaker 3: you see with the over under?
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  Speaker 1: Here?
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  Speaker 2: And I'm not even sure. I haven't looked, I haven't
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  Speaker 2: even seen what it is, but I imagine that they're
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  Speaker 2: thinking it's a somewhat low scoring game.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, they've got it at forty five and a half.
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  Speaker 3: I would rather take the under in the first half
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  Speaker 3: under twenty one points. Why would I say that. I
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  Speaker 3: think both coaches are so good. I think they're going
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  Speaker 3: to feel each other out. Both are great at halftime adjustments.
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  Speaker 3: So super Bowl with two teams that really very few
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  Speaker 3: players have played in the Super Bowl, better I think
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  Speaker 3: to play the under. But for the game I like Seattle.
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  Speaker 3: I just think that this Seattle team, you know, has
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  Speaker 3: really come into their own. They played a tougher schedule.
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  Speaker 3: Look as they've played down the stretch, you know, Rams twice,
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  Speaker 3: forty nine ers twice, actually three times for each team,
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  Speaker 3: and then if you include the playoffs and Newland got
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  Speaker 3: a very easy schedule this year from a last place
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  Speaker 3: finished last year and got to face Denver, you know,
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  Speaker 3: in the AFC Championship with out their starting quarterback. So
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  Speaker 3: to me, it's a game of big plays, explosive plays.
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  Speaker 3: New England just doesn't have those players. I mean, Ramonde
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  Speaker 3: Stevenson is fine, but he's I think he's due to
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  Speaker 3: fumble his them fumbled in six or seven games. And
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  Speaker 3: Trevion Henderson with their guy and they just stopped using him.
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  Speaker 3: He was sitting on big plays. I think he had
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  Speaker 3: three or four touchdowns of more than fifty yards, So
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  Speaker 3: something's wrong. I think also with Drake May with his
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  Speaker 3: shoulder and Sam Donald, seems like the green lights come on.
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  Speaker 3: I like Seattle. I think they went and cover twenty
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  Speaker 3: seven to sixteen.
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  Speaker 2: Hey, did they still offer the ability to bet on
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  Speaker 2: the color of the gate raid that's bored on the
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  Speaker 2: winning game?
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  Speaker 3: Yeah? Yeah, I've never been that desperate to bet something
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  Speaker 3: like that, So I think I bet the coin toss.
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  Speaker 3: Once won it, I'm like, I'm done. I can't do
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  Speaker 3: this anymore.
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  Speaker 2: Hey, So my only question is how in the world
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  Speaker 2: are they like someone can mess with that, you know
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  Speaker 2: what I'm saying. Someone decides which color data rad you're
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  Speaker 2: going with. How do they how do they prevent against
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  Speaker 2: that guy cheating the system?
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  Speaker 3: Well he could, but like I said, the limit almost
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  Speaker 3: those bets is five hundred dollars. Yet put a lot
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  Speaker 3: of bets. You have to put in sixty bets just
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  Speaker 3: to make thirty grand. So you know you're gonna there's
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  Speaker 3: not there's not there's not sixty legal sports books before
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  Speaker 3: they realize that the same person's betting at them. That's wha.
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  Speaker 3: They've caught a lot of these, you know, these light
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  Speaker 3: of these gambling scandals is you know they they get
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  Speaker 3: There was the one, the Arizona State scandal, had all
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  Speaker 3: these students driving over from Arizona and and you gotta
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  Speaker 3: be smart. I mean, I'm not doing anything illegal, but
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  Speaker 3: I don't want any attention to me. Let's say I
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  Speaker 3: find out about an injury. You know, if I'm in Vegas,
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  Speaker 3: I'm not going to bet two thousand on every game.
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  Speaker 3: If that's the limit, you walk in and you bet
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  Speaker 3: thirteen hundred, fifteen hundred, eight eighteen dollars. You know, they
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  Speaker 3: had these kids betting two thousand dollars a limit at
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  Speaker 3: every single sportsbook they could find when you got twenty
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  Speaker 3: kids walking over betting two thousand dollars and every sportsbook
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  Speaker 3: doesn't take long to figure out something something fishy's going on.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, I remember that one. That one was a that
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  Speaker 2: was a crazy one. Word got around campus. Everybody was
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  Speaker 2: sending everybody to Vegas that weekend. All right, Lee, final
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  Speaker 2: thing for you, I want to get your thoughts on this.
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  Speaker 2: Your thoughts on live betting versus betting before the game starts.
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  Speaker 3: Do you do you.
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  Speaker 2: Prefer one or the other? Do you have an edge
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  Speaker 2: at all if you go with the live betting scenarios
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  Speaker 2: kind of played out, see how it plays early on.
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  Speaker 3: So I do really well with my live betting, but
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  Speaker 3: I just don't do it that often. There's a lot
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  Speaker 3: of games I just don't feel I have the edge. Also,
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  Speaker 3: you have to remember live betting that usually the juice
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  Speaker 3: is minus one fifteen instead of minus one ten, right,
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  Speaker 3: so you got to have a better winning percentage. So
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  Speaker 3: you know, I'm looking for things in football games. I
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  Speaker 3: know quarterbacks. I know the backup quarterbacks well. So sometimes
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  Speaker 3: you know backup quarterback comes in and all of a
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  Speaker 3: sudden they flip the odds and I know the quarterback
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  Speaker 3: and think he might even be better or a lot worse.
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  Speaker 3: So those are some of the things that I look
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  Speaker 3: for in live betting, or certain certain situations where certain coaches.
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  Speaker 3: Last year, for instance, the Miami Heat third quarter maybe
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  Speaker 3: one of the worst teams of all time. I don't
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  Speaker 3: know what they were doing in the halftime. Maybe you know,
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  Speaker 3: they're watching a game show or something, but they came
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  Speaker 3: out and they were just getting absolutely destroyed in the
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  Speaker 3: third quarter. So those are some of the things I
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  Speaker 3: look for when you do live wagering. But you've got
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  Speaker 3: to be really astute and you can't make too many
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  Speaker 3: bets and live wagering if you're betting, I know, people
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  Speaker 3: to chase games things start going bad, and they'll just
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  Speaker 3: keep riding that team and make eight or ten bets
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  Speaker 3: before you know it. You know, I see him at
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  Speaker 3: my local drug store. They're at the cashiers stand all.
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  Speaker 2: Right, Lee, before we let you go, Hey, we think
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  Speaker 2: we think thank you for jumping on with us. You
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  Speaker 2: got to play the week for the people. If they
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  Speaker 2: call you up this weekend, yep.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, all they need to do is call eight hundred
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  Speaker 3: four hundred nine seven four one get our top college
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  Speaker 3: play tonight, I won a seventeen and four run in
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  Speaker 3: the college basketball called eight hundred four hundred nine seven
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  Speaker 3: four to one for Free College Play. Also, we're not
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  Speaker 3: going to reconvene on this show until the Wednesday before
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  Speaker 3: March Madness. But I do a daily podcast on the
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  Speaker 3: locked On network called Locked on Bets. So if you
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: want to hear three wagers that come out, they usually
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: come out by eight in the morning. It's a fifteen
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  Speaker 3: minute podcast. Just go to either YouTube, Spotify, Apple, type
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: in locked on Bets, subscribe and like and get three
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: bets and three to four bets. And it takes fifteen
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: minutes tops each and every day just typing those words
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  Speaker 3: locked on Bets.
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  Speaker 2: All right, appreciate you, Lee, Thanks for your time today.
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  Speaker 3: Okay, thanks guys.
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  Speaker 2: That is Lee Sterling of Paramount Sports. Really good stuff today,