Latest / The Starting Block / Jesse Pollak reveals plans for Base as exchange competition heats up
Transcript
- 0:08Welcome back to The Starting Block.
- 0:10Happy Thursday to you wherever
- 0:11you're joining us from around the
- 0:13world.
- 0:14If you've never watched the show
- 0:15before, welcome. My name's Gareth
- 0:16Jenkinson. I'm your host,
- 0:18head of multimedia here at The Block
- 0:20as well.
- 0:21It's a great pleasure to have you
- 0:22with us today. And if you are
- 0:23joining us for the first time,
- 0:24you've missed a lot in the last six
- 0:26weeks since we launched the show.
- 0:28We started off with a bang, with a
- 0:30big interview with CZ in
- 0:32Abu Dhabi. If you haven't watched
- 0:33that, I would like to ask you
- 0:35to go to The Block's YouTube
- 0:36channel. Go and check out that
- 0:37interview and if you don't already
- 0:39subscribe because we're putting out
- 0:40a load of great content on our
- 0:42YouTube channel.
- 0:43And if you're watching us here on X
- 0:45this afternoon, please like and
- 0:46retweet the stream so we can get
- 0:47more people to join us for our big
- 0:49show today. It's a great pleasure to
- 0:51have Jesse Pollack from BASE and
- 0:53Coinbase joining us in a few minutes
- 0:55time to chat to us about
- 0:57goings on at BASE, what's happening
- 0:59at Coinbase, the landscape in
- 1:00general, really looking forward to
- 1:01that conversation.
- 1:03And of course, plenty to
- 1:05talk about. But before we do that,
- 1:07we are going to jump into the block
- 1:08briefing. And if you are here for
- 1:10the first time, the block briefing
- 1:11is a quick rundown of the top
- 1:13stories you need to know in
- 1:14the last 24 hours, curated,
- 1:16of course, from the block's
- 1:18newsroom. We've got the best news in
- 1:20the industry. So it's a great
- 1:21pleasure for me to cover
- 1:23some of the stories that our
- 1:24fantastic journalists in our
- 1:26newsroom have been covering over
- 1:28the last twenty four hours.
- 1:29So without further ado, let's
- 1:31jump into the block, briefing this
- 1:32afternoon. Our first headline.
- 1:34Russia just made a major move.
- 1:37President Vladimir Putin has signed
- 1:38a landmark law creating
- 1:41the country's first real regulatory
- 1:42framework for crypto setting rules
- 1:44for exchanges, custodians,
- 1:46brokers, and investors.
- 1:48Retail traders can now buy the most
- 1:50liquid coins but they're capped at
- 1:51around $3,700 a
- 1:53year per platform and qualified
- 1:56investors face no limits
- 1:57and exchanges must register and
- 1:59meet minimum capital requirements.
- 2:02There is one big caveat.
- 2:03Crypto still can't be used to pay
- 2:05for goods and services inside
- 2:06Russia. The law takes effect
- 2:08from September the 1st,
- 2:11marking a sharp shift from Moscow's
- 2:13long skeptical stance against
- 2:15crypto.
- 2:17Over in Washington, the clock is
- 2:19ticking on the Clarity Act.
- 2:20As of Wednesday afternoon, Senate
- 2:22Majority Leader John Thune
- 2:24hadn't filed the Klochen
- 2:26vote needed to move the crypto
- 2:28market structure bill forward and
- 2:30the chamber breaks for a month long
- 2:32recess.
- 2:33On Friday, one Democratic
- 2:36staffer called it at a standstill,
- 2:38pointing to three sticking points,
- 2:40ethics around President Trump's
- 2:42crypto ventures, illicit finance,
- 2:44and Senate Agriculture Committee
- 2:47text.
- 2:47Analysts at TD Cowan think the
- 2:49bill could be 10 votes short of
- 2:52the 60 needed, still
- 2:54backers insist it doesn't die in
- 2:55August, it could pass next
- 2:58month.
- 2:59Then Coinbase is pushing further
- 3:00beyond crypto, starting today.
- 3:02Eligible UK users can
- 3:04trade nearly 4,000 US stocks,
- 3:0624 hours a day, five days a week,
- 3:09right alongside their crypto and
- 3:11cash. Trades are commission free,
- 3:13fractional shares, start at just one
- 3:14pound, and you can fund with pounds
- 3:16or USDC.
- 3:18Coinbase says it's the first crypto
- 3:19native app to offer US
- 3:21equities in the UK.
- 3:24UK boss, Keith Groves,
- 3:25who we've had on the show before,
- 3:27calls it part of the everything
- 3:28exchange strategy.
- 3:29Bringing stocks, stable coin
- 3:31savings, and borrowing under one
- 3:32roof with more products for the UK
- 3:34and the EU expected to
- 3:36come soon. I'm sure we'll touch base
- 3:37with Jesse on that move a
- 3:39little bit later in the show today
- 3:40as well.
- 3:41Then a sobering report from
- 3:42Chainalysis, violent wrench attacks
- 3:44on crypto holders have already
- 3:46netted criminals more than $30
- 3:48million in the first half of
- 3:502026, putting this year
- 3:52on pace to beat 2025's
- 3:54record 58 million, and
- 3:56France is now the epicenter.
- 3:58The firm ties the surge to a 2024
- 4:00breach of French tax
- 4:02records that exposed wealthy
- 4:04holders' names and addresses.
- 4:06Incidents have spread well beyond
- 4:07Paris and attackers are increasingly
- 4:09targeting victims' families.
- 4:12The one bright spot here, fewer
- 4:13attempts are succeeding, about
- 4:15a quarter down roughly half
- 4:17from last year.
- 4:19Lastly, Jack Dorsey's block felt the
- 4:21crypto slowdown last quarter.
- 4:23Bitcoin ecosystem gross profit
- 4:25fell 31% year
- 4:27over year to $72 million
- 4:29after the company deliberately cut
- 4:31some cash app Bitcoin fees.
- 4:33Bitcoin revenue slipped 13% to
- 4:351.89 billion.
- 4:38The block also took an $88
- 4:40million paper loss on its Bitcoin
- 4:42holdings. It holds just
- 4:44over 9,000 Bitcoin.
- 4:46Still total gross profit rose 25%
- 4:49and block raised its full
- 4:51year forecast to 12 and a half
- 4:53billion. Shares, though, reversed
- 4:55an early four and a half percent.
- 4:57Pop to trade lower after
- 4:59hours. That's it for the block
- 5:01briefing. We will be taking a very
- 5:02short break.
- 5:03We will back on air with
- 5:05Jesse Pollack. Don't go away, we'll
- 5:07see you shortly.
- 5:10Okay, I'm being told by my producer
- 5:12in my ear that Jesse is here, he's
- 5:15backstage, so I'm gonna welcome him
- 5:16onto the show. Jesse Pollak, head of
- 5:18base.
- 5:19It's a great pleasure to have you
- 5:20here. I think the last time we saw
- 5:21each other was in person at Token
- 5:222049 last year.
- 5:24A lot has happened since.
- 5:25First things first, how are you?
- 5:26Thank you.
- 5:30Not sure if Jessie can hear me.
- 5:34Oh, I'm doing great.
- 5:35I'm doing great. Sorry about that.
- 5:36Yeah, we got it.
- 5:38Uh, uh, doing great, uh happy
- 5:40Thursday. How are you doing?
- 5:42Yeah, very, very good.
- 5:44First things first, I want to
- 5:45apologize to you, because a few
- 5:46weeks ago, you put out your big
- 5:48tweet saying that
- 5:50there was some changes afoot
- 5:52at bass. And I misread that, and I
- 5:54was like, oh, Jesse's handing bass
- 5:55over to Koby.
- 5:57And then the hordes
- 5:59of ex-trolls were
- 6:01going at you, and I almost had to
- 6:03mute the notifications there.
- 6:04So I'm sorry about the
- 6:05misunderstanding, but you
- 6:07are still the head of bass.
- 6:08You've handed over the...
- 6:10The app to Kobi and I think it's
- 6:12a good place to start the show and
- 6:13perhaps just talk a little bit about
- 6:14that.
- 6:16First things first, the thinking
- 6:17that went into that and how long
- 6:19that had been brewing.
- 6:21Yeah, I'd say it's
- 6:23been something that me and Coby have
- 6:24been talking about for a few months.
- 6:27Really the focus shift
- 6:28for me was we're just seeing so
- 6:30much growth on tokenization
- 6:33on trading on payments on
- 6:34financing on base the chain.
- 6:37And so leaning in on that
- 6:39and making sure that I'm focused on
- 6:40that was kind of my top
- 6:42priority and Jordan
- 6:44Kobe is an incredible builder,
- 6:47incredible trader. And as we shifted
- 6:49the base app to really focus on
- 6:50training, it felt like a natural
- 6:51opportunity for him to take on more
- 6:53and to kind of accelerate that
- 6:55product with me focusing back on
- 6:57the chain. And I'd say just a
- 6:59few weeks in, we're seeing like
- 7:00pretty good results from it.
- 7:02The app is shipping super fast.
- 7:04I think they're building on a lot of
- 7:05the momentum. We built up the first
- 7:06half this year.
- 7:07And then on the chain side,
- 7:09we're just seeing more and more
- 7:10demand from kind of
- 7:12more established businesses that
- 7:14are looking to use base to
- 7:16trade crypto
- 7:18and soon stocks and pretty much
- 7:20any asset to do payments
- 7:23globally with dollar stable coins
- 7:24like USDC, but also
- 7:26Increasingly, this whole cohort of
- 7:2920 plus currencies we have with
- 7:30other stablecoins in
- 7:32Mexico and Argentina,
- 7:34in Nigeria, where folks are using
- 7:36their native currencies on base, and
- 7:38then also with financing, where
- 7:39folks are lending out capital
- 7:42building consumer experiences around
- 7:43that to earn yield.
- 7:44You see this in the Coinbase app and
- 7:46a bunch of other Neobanks,
- 7:47Neobrokerages, as well as enabling
- 7:49borrow products like borrowing
- 7:51against your Bitcoin and soon
- 7:52borrowing against stocks.
- 7:53And so that demand, I
- 7:56think, has just been incredible to
- 7:57see and it's growing really quickly
- 7:59month over month. And so I'm focused
- 8:01on growing that.
- 8:04When it comes to, you know, base the
- 8:05app, have you guys been doing a
- 8:07lot of sort of market research and
- 8:09looking at other players in the
- 8:10space and perhaps what other
- 8:12people are doing well and then
- 8:13looking to emulate that?
- 8:15Because I think, I mean, even in the
- 8:16media landscape, when we designed
- 8:18the show, we sat there
- 8:19looking at all the other shows that
- 8:21are out there and like, damn, that
- 8:22looks good. That doesn't look so
- 8:24good. Maybe we should try and like
- 8:26get a blend of all these things
- 8:27together.
- 8:29Can you talk a little bit about the
- 8:30process of...
- 8:32Redesigning or re-approaching what
- 8:34base the app is and how it should
- 8:35look and feel.
- 8:37Yeah, I'd say this
- 8:39is kind of product, which is always
- 8:40a mix of talking to customers,
- 8:42seeing what other folks are doing,
- 8:44and then having your own intuitions
- 8:46and kind of long-term perspectives
- 8:48that shape what you actually build.
- 8:50You know, I would say at the beginning
- 8:51of this year, we
- 8:52saw that where the most demand was,
- 8:54was really on the trading front.
- 8:56And so that was a shift in focus for
- 8:58us. We spent the last six months
- 9:00investing there.
- 9:01Today, you can trade any asset
- 9:03across pretty much any crypto
- 9:04ecosystem on the base app.
- 9:05We've always said that base is for
- 9:07everyone, it's a bridge, not an
- 9:08island, and so that's been
- 9:09important.
- 9:10We're rolling out new features like
- 9:12predictions and perps, so
- 9:14that you can train those.
- 9:16And we're really focused on making
- 9:17it so that it's the easiest place
- 9:20for folks to just get started.
- 9:21And so you can sign up in any
- 9:23country around the world with just
- 9:24an email and within
- 9:26seconds can be trading.
- 9:28Saving, earning rewards
- 9:31on your USDC and pretty
- 9:33much doing anything you want to with
- 9:34money, all powered by
- 9:36crypto behind the scenes.
- 9:38And so I think that's the direction
- 9:39that we're really leaning
- 9:41towards is making a simple
- 9:43experience that anyone can get
- 9:44started with basically instantly
- 9:45that gives you access to every
- 9:47product from a financial services
- 9:49perspective and is available
- 9:50globally.
- 9:52When it comes to the
- 9:54competitive landscape, obviously,
- 9:55there's been a huge focus
- 9:57on Robinhood Chain coming out and
- 10:00I saw plenty of people
- 10:02in the Ethereum ecosystem sharing
- 10:04screenshots of the revenue
- 10:06that Robinhood Chain was earning
- 10:08in the first couple of weeks after
- 10:09it had gone live and
- 10:11a bit of a pump in meme
- 10:13coins there and obviously,
- 10:15tokenized stocks trading.
- 10:16But it's very clear to see
- 10:18that an L2...
- 10:20Or a much faster infrastructure
- 10:22is what people want.
- 10:25But obviously that puts a stake in
- 10:27the ground.
- 10:28From the outside looking in, it's
- 10:29very much a direct competitor to
- 10:31base. What are your general thoughts
- 10:33on that coming to market?
- 10:35And has that kind of lit a fire
- 10:36under your bum, preferably
- 10:38to get
- 10:40cracking?
- 10:42Yeah, well, I'd say we see
- 10:44kind of folks entering the market as
- 10:46validation of what we've been doing.
- 10:47We've been working on building base
- 10:49now for for three years.
- 10:50We've built an incredible economy.
- 10:52You know, there's almost
- 10:54five billion dollars of assets that
- 10:56are in the DeFi ecosystem
- 10:58on base.
- 10:59We're seeing, you know, a billion
- 11:00plus of trading volume on a daily
- 11:01basis, you know, trillions
- 11:03of dollars of stable coins moving on
- 11:05our payment rails. And so I'd
- 11:08say we're excited about where we're
- 11:09at and.
- 11:10I think we feel like we're
- 11:12at the very beginning of a long
- 11:13journey to upgrade the global
- 11:15financial system.
- 11:17Maybe 1% of the way there and
- 11:19seeing folks like Robinhood,
- 11:21Stripe and others come in and say,
- 11:23hey, we want to follow a similar
- 11:24strategy. We want to kind of
- 11:26take a part of
- 11:28this technology stack that we have
- 11:30and bring it on chain.
- 11:31And I think that that's just like an
- 11:33awesome thing for the world.
- 11:35The more folks we have that are
- 11:37working to upgrade the system,
- 11:40the faster we're going to be able to
- 11:41do it. And the pie is so big that
- 11:43I'm not worried about, you
- 11:45know, feeling like boxed out or
- 11:47competitive as the primary dynamic.
- 11:50I will say, like, it's fun to
- 11:51compete with folks. I've always been
- 11:53an athlete. And that means that
- 11:55I like showing up and working my
- 11:57hardest and learning and seeing what
- 11:58people are doing and then just
- 12:00trying to get better. And so that's,
- 12:02I think, been energizing.
- 12:03But again, I feel like we're in
- 12:05a really good position.
- 12:07We've been building, we're going to
- 12:08keep building, and we're excited to
- 12:10have a lot of other folks building
- 12:11alongside us.
- 12:13I watched your
- 12:15appearance on Ansem's show,
- 12:17The Market Bubble, and obviously,
- 12:18you guys had a lot of fun in that
- 12:19show and thought it was a really
- 12:21great kind of candid conversation.
- 12:22I wanted to get your thoughts just
- 12:23on meme coins, because I
- 12:25think you tried to coin it
- 12:27differently. It was
- 12:29creator coins?
- 12:30Is that like the term that
- 12:32you like to go for?
- 12:33Do you still see a fundamental
- 12:35difference between that and
- 12:37meme coins?
- 12:38And what are your general thoughts
- 12:39on Ansems' approach to meme coins
- 12:40and how he kind revived
- 12:42what a lot of us were thinking was
- 12:44kind of just a dead narrative
- 12:46in this industry.
- 12:47Yeah, I think like memes,
- 12:50like what is dead will never die.
- 12:52Like I think people have called for
- 12:53the death of memes for many,
- 12:55many years and they
- 12:57aren't dead yet and I don't think
- 12:58they're gonna die.
- 12:59In general, my take on
- 13:01memes is both memes
- 13:03and content coins and creator coins,
- 13:05they're all forms of what I would
- 13:07call attention assets where
- 13:09they're basically trying to take the
- 13:11attention that all of us give
- 13:13to our screens, our devices,
- 13:15our scrolling.
- 13:16And translate that into
- 13:18kind of like financial value.
- 13:20And I'd say memes are doing that
- 13:22in the form of like taking kind of
- 13:24mimetic attention value.
- 13:26Creator coins are doing in the in
- 13:27the kind of taking the attention
- 13:29that a single creator attracts and
- 13:31directing that into value.
- 13:32Content, our thesis there
- 13:34was that you can even do that with
- 13:36like a single piece of content,
- 13:38which maybe could turn into a meme,
- 13:40maybe is connected to the creator.
- 13:42And I think that this
- 13:44is one of the most novel
- 13:45experimental,
- 13:48primordial soup areas of
- 13:50crypto.
- 13:51And it's also something
- 13:54that I think we're going to keep
- 13:56seeing a lot of experimentation
- 13:57around. And so I'm
- 13:59excited. I love what Ansem's doing.
- 14:01I think we've seen a ton of
- 14:03meme energy on base over the last
- 14:05three years.
- 14:06And I I think seeing
- 14:08folks continue experiment around
- 14:11how do we take the attention that
- 14:13all of us give to the internet and
- 14:15turn it into the financial value
- 14:16that crypto kind of enables through
- 14:18tokenization and then redistribute
- 14:20that financial value to the
- 14:22communities and the creators and the
- 14:24folks who create all
- 14:26the memes and
- 14:28the creativity that drives
- 14:30that attention. I think it's a
- 14:31totally worthy and exciting
- 14:33experiment and I'm excited
- 14:35to see it keep happening.
- 14:37And so I'd say broadly.
- 14:40Yeah, I'm fired up about what ANSIM
- 14:41is doing. Fired up to see more of it
- 14:42on base, and I think we're very
- 14:44early in that journey.
- 14:47I wanted to tell a little bit about
- 14:49agentic finance because I think it's
- 14:52kind of brewing, but it's
- 14:54going to hit us like a train when it
- 14:56finally properly unlocks.
- 14:58I think that that's the
- 15:00infrastructure that based Robinhood
- 15:01chain, a lot of L2s,
- 15:04Solana, a lot other competing
- 15:06L1s are really looking at
- 15:08unlocking because we all know
- 15:10that AI agents would
- 15:12be far better suited to using
- 15:14blockchain.
- 15:16Rails and not having
- 15:18to have KYC, etc.
- 15:20We're already seeing like X4-02, I
- 15:21think it was in April, had like
- 15:23$48 million and 85%
- 15:25flowing through base.
- 15:26So it looks like that's already
- 15:28happening. Can you talk a little bit
- 15:29about your thesis on agentic
- 15:31trading and what that's going to
- 15:33look like in the next six months to
- 15:34a year? Because AI is moving so
- 15:36quickly that it's
- 15:38very difficult to predict what's
- 15:39going to happen or even know what's
- 15:41gonna happen in a year's time.
- 15:42Yeah, it is moving really quickly.
- 15:45And it's been awesome to see that
- 15:46kind of get started and then grow
- 15:48quickly on base.
- 15:49And like you said, I think that
- 15:50something like 90%
- 15:53of Agenda X42 transactions are
- 15:55happening on base today.
- 15:56That's a mix of payments and
- 15:57trading. And I think it's only going
- 15:59to grow from here.
- 16:00I'd say my general thesis is that
- 16:02agents are kind
- 16:04of software-defined beings.
- 16:07And that means that the native
- 16:09form of money that they're gonna,
- 16:10you know, choose.
- 16:12Thank you.
- 16:13When they go to reach for value is
- 16:15gonna also be software.
- 16:16And that's what crypto is.
- 16:17Crypto is money as software that's
- 16:20running on these global decentralized
- 16:21rails that let anyone access
- 16:23it without having to sign up
- 16:25or KYC or do any of the
- 16:27kind of laborious things we've
- 16:28gotten used to in the legacy
- 16:29financial system.
- 16:30And so that means that agents can
- 16:32get a wallet, can get started, can
- 16:34transact, can buy content
- 16:36with X4 or two or pay
- 16:38other agents all
- 16:40instantly and in a language that
- 16:42they natively understand.
- 16:43And so I think starting with that
- 16:45kind of base assumption, this is the
- 16:46toolkit that agents are going to
- 16:47reach for.
- 16:49You then have to just think, okay,
- 16:50well, how big is that going to get?
- 16:52And it's like, I think there's gonna be
- 16:52billions, trillions of agents that
- 16:54are working both on behalf of humans
- 16:56and in more sovereign ways where
- 16:57they're actually setting their own
- 16:59goals and figuring out how to
- 17:00coordinate together. And they're
- 17:01going to be choosing crypto as the
- 17:03platform that they do that on.
- 17:04And so over the next few years, I
- 17:06think we'll see a pretty big
- 17:08explosion of.
- 17:09Different use cases of folks paying
- 17:11each other, of them trading
- 17:13and of them, you know, inventing
- 17:15new financial primitives that I
- 17:17think enable them to do things
- 17:18more quickly, more efficiently in
- 17:21a way that folks can capture more
- 17:22value. One thing that I'm super
- 17:24excited about that's kind of growing
- 17:25really quickly on base right now is
- 17:27this whole kind of space
- 17:29of tokenized inference.
- 17:30I don't know if you've seen this,
- 17:31but this is invented by
- 17:33the Venice team with
- 17:35DM, where they basically took
- 17:37inference, which is the
- 17:39the thing that you use to run an
- 17:40agent and tokenized it so that
- 17:42anyone could then trade
- 17:44and and kind of
- 17:46Find the fair market value of that
- 17:48inference and then agents could
- 17:49actually have sovereign access to it
- 17:51where they could hold the inference
- 17:52And use it over time in a way
- 17:54that they could have kind of a
- 17:55guarantee that they'd be able to
- 17:56continue to operate What that's then
- 17:58enabled is a whole market
- 18:00around the tokenized inference where
- 18:02people are buying and selling it at
- 18:04a discount, where that's enabling
- 18:06agents to then come in and get
- 18:07access to inference more cheaply.
- 18:09And then folks are building tons of
- 18:10demand sources around it where it's
- 18:12now like flowing in, in terms of
- 18:14demand to get access that cheaper
- 18:15inference. And so I think that kind
- 18:17of financial experimentation
- 18:21is kind of uniquely possible
- 18:23on chain. You can't have
- 18:25kind of a free market for inference
- 18:27that anyone can plug into, that
- 18:28anyone could build financial
- 18:29primitives on top of, and that
- 18:31anyone globally can kind of plug
- 18:33into from a demand perspective on
- 18:35any other platform in the world.
- 18:36And so seeing that happen on base, I
- 18:38think, is a really good indicator
- 18:40of where we're going.
- 18:41I think it's just going to get more
- 18:42and more complex and more and more
- 18:43powerful.
- 18:45That's beautiful. I really like that
- 18:46anecdote because we saw that, you
- 18:48know, the deep end kind of movement
- 18:49a year or two gain a head of
- 18:51steam and then kind of fall off a
- 18:53little bit. And I'm I'm curious as
- 18:55to why. But I guess it's just most
- 18:57people were a lot more willing to
- 18:59just pay for a, you know, entropic
- 19:01subscription or, you
- 19:03know, chat GPT subscription
- 19:05and then go and use these, you know,
- 19:06centralized models.
- 19:08But there is a whole world out
- 19:10there where we will use
- 19:12decentralized models.
- 19:13And then there are
- 19:15marketplaces for inference and all
- 19:17these kind of different things.
- 19:18So I really like that.
- 19:19I'm going to have to dig into that.
- 19:20I think the next time we
- 19:22have you back on the show.
- 19:24I wanted to chat to you a little bit
- 19:25about prediction markets,
- 19:27and we're also seeing a bit of an
- 19:29arms race there with all the big
- 19:30major centralized exchanges kind of
- 19:32onboarding prediction markets and
- 19:34giving that to users.
- 19:35I keep seeing hilarious tweets of
- 19:37people like, Coinbase, please stop
- 19:39pinging me with these notifications
- 19:41to trade on random prediction
- 19:42markets.
- 19:43The volumes will tell you otherwise
- 19:45that, you know, there's huge demand
- 19:46and people want to be playing with
- 19:48prediction markets.
- 19:49How do you see that playing out on
- 19:50base? And what's your, what's you're
- 19:51plan there?
- 19:52Yeah, I think prediction markets are
- 19:53obviously a huge and very
- 19:55fast growing category and
- 19:58it's permeating kind of day to day
- 19:59life. I was just at dinner last
- 20:00night with my family and we
- 20:02were talking about something and
- 20:04someone was like, well, what's
- 20:05whether the prediction markets say?
- 20:06And that's like a totally new
- 20:08phenomenon where a couple of years
- 20:10ago, maybe you like,
- 20:12you know, look on the Internet and
- 20:14see what people are saying on
- 20:14Twitter or you'd look to try and
- 20:16find a poll.
- 20:17But now it's like for pretty much
- 20:19any question about the future, you
- 20:20can go and see what the prediction
- 20:22markets say.
- 20:23And that is, that's pretty
- 20:25awesome. I mean, that is what we
- 20:26talked about 10 years ago,
- 20:28we were starting building cryptos,
- 20:31like, you know, free information is
- 20:33going to be enabled by open and
- 20:35free markets.
- 20:36And I feel like prediction markets
- 20:38are finally fulfilling that vision.
- 20:40And so it's just been awesome to
- 20:41see. And it's it's, it's had a
- 20:43really cool impact on culture,
- 20:45putting aside the, you know,
- 20:47growing pains that I think are
- 20:48inevitable whenever you're bringing
- 20:50a new technology to market.
- 20:51In terms of what we're seeing on
- 20:52base, we're seeing a lot of
- 20:54prediction market activity.
- 20:55We have A couple big
- 20:58apps and protocols that are driving
- 20:59that there's Limitless that
- 21:01has been around for a while that
- 21:03they invented that kind of like
- 21:05short time crypto
- 21:07prediction markets where you're kind
- 21:08of predicting what's the price going
- 21:10to be in 15 minutes that's now been
- 21:12widely adopted across Coinbase and
- 21:13Robinhood and Polymarket and Caoshi
- 21:15and so it's cool to see that
- 21:17innovation start on base with
- 21:18LimitLess we just saw
- 21:20another one called Predlaunch
- 21:22they saw a bunch of growth during
- 21:24the World Cup I think
- 21:26they had like, you know, $10 million
- 21:27or something of that, a volume,
- 21:29which is not huge in the grand
- 21:31scheme of things, but for a new
- 21:32prediction market that's trying to
- 21:33break through was excited to see
- 21:35that early traction.
- 21:36And I think you're going to stay
- 21:37focused really on this kind of
- 21:39exports use case.
- 21:40And so what we're trying to do is
- 21:42just figure out how do we make
- 21:43the chain work better for those
- 21:46use cases. And so that's
- 21:47making it faster, making it
- 21:49lower cost, giving prediction market
- 21:52builders tools that they
- 21:53need in order to.
- 21:54You know structure the markets in
- 21:56more effective ways and have them
- 21:58operate more efficiently And so
- 22:00I'm excited to see and
- 22:02unveil some of the stuff we're
- 22:03working on over the next few months
- 22:04But a lot of progress
- 22:06growth and adoption happening
- 22:07predictor markets and a lot it
- 22:09happening on base
- 22:12In your ex-post that you put
- 22:14out a few weeks ago, you're
- 22:16obviously very candid about this and
- 22:17you'd said that your bet on
- 22:19social had failed.
- 22:20Can you give us a postmortem of
- 22:22what your thesis was, why you
- 22:24think it didn't play out and maybe
- 22:26if that still has legs in
- 22:28the future, because we think back to
- 22:30things like Friend Tech that boom,
- 22:32boomed and bust.
- 22:33There are some great ideas out there
- 22:35that might just be ahead of their
- 22:36time and then come
- 22:38back around a few years later.
- 22:41Yeah, and I'd say the
- 22:44broad thesis was when
- 22:46we were looking, you know, a year
- 22:47and a half ago on kind of where
- 22:49crypto was and how we
- 22:51were thinking about how do we get
- 22:52the next big wave of users,
- 22:54I think the thesis was, hey,
- 22:57social networks are saying that most
- 22:58folks are spending most of their
- 22:59time on. They also have a really
- 23:01powerful virality effect.
- 23:02Where if you get the engine
- 23:04going,
- 23:06you are able to grow the network
- 23:08really quickly.
- 23:09What our bet was, was basically,
- 23:12hey, we want to go and
- 23:14figure out how do we get that viral
- 23:15effect, bringing people into crypto,
- 23:17and we're going to use tokenization
- 23:19as the driver to
- 23:20do that with creator coins and
- 23:24tokenizing content.
- 23:25I think the shift that happened at
- 23:27the beginning of this year is, as we
- 23:29reflected on 2025, what we
- 23:31saw was that we actually didn't need
- 23:33social to drive that growth.
- 23:35We had prediction markets breaking
- 23:37out, we had perps breaking out we
- 23:39had tokenization and stable coins
- 23:40breaking out which was honestly like
- 23:42a pretty different place than we
- 23:43were at the beginning of 2025 or
- 23:46even a little bit earlier than that
- 23:47and so that for us was really
- 23:49just like a shift in focus whereas
- 23:51like okay these things are working
- 23:53they're happening on base today
- 23:54let's lean in there,
- 23:56because we don't need
- 23:58something new in order to get the
- 23:59growth that we're looking for.
- 24:01And so do I think that that means
- 24:02that social with crypto rails is
- 24:04not going to happen?
- 24:05No, absolutely.
- 24:06I think that over time,
- 24:08crypto is going to permeate every
- 24:09single part of our society, because
- 24:11it's a foundation for a
- 24:13better system. And whether that's
- 24:14upgrading finance, or it's upgrading
- 24:16social networks, crypto,
- 24:18is this powerful tool that's going
- 24:19to let us build better,
- 24:20decentralized systems
- 24:23that people actually own and benefit
- 24:25from.
- 24:25Now, I think that over the next five
- 24:27years where there's the most product
- 24:29market fit is in upgrading finance.
- 24:30And that's what we're focused on.
- 24:32And I think, that's a ton of work to
- 24:33do.
- 24:35I thought it was pretty funny that
- 24:37you said in that tweet as well that,
- 24:39you know, Kobe might take
- 24:41base somewhere as the
- 24:43head of base you might not like.
- 24:45What did you mean by that?
- 24:46And like, what are you, what do you
- 24:47expecting from, you know him being
- 24:49the head of the app and where he
- 24:51might take it? Is it just because
- 24:52he's far more trading focused and
- 24:54maybe that's not your cup of
- 24:56tea?
- 24:57No, no.
- 24:58Look, I am
- 25:00a connoisseur of all kinds of
- 25:02assets on base and beyond,
- 25:05and, you know, I've spent a ton
- 25:07of time with traders.
- 25:08And I think that, like, in general,
- 25:09trading is one of the biggest demand
- 25:11drivers for base today.
- 25:12And so it's definitely not that.
- 25:13It's more that the app is,
- 25:16as it's going kind of trading app,
- 25:18it's just it's becoming less base
- 25:19centric.
- 25:20You know, like I think in a in a
- 25:22world where we're building one very
- 25:23narrow use case.
- 25:24The focus of the app was really on
- 25:26like, how do we specifically grow
- 25:28base and how do make this
- 25:30one use case that's built on base
- 25:32work? And I think as we've kind of
- 25:33broadened the aperture to
- 25:36trade everything, you're
- 25:38gonna trade assets everywhere.
- 25:39You're gonna add features from
- 25:41different networks where they're
- 25:42powering kind of the backend
- 25:43systems.
- 25:45And for the chain,
- 25:47that might not always be the best
- 25:48thing, but for growing the
- 25:49distribution and making the product
- 25:51the best, I think that's what you're
- 25:52going to have to do. And so that's
- 25:54really what I was talking about
- 25:55there is I think he's going to be
- 25:56focused on just building the best
- 25:57trading product.
- 25:59And I think that that is something
- 26:00where base is going to have to
- 26:01compete on a level.
- 26:04Playing field to make sure that
- 26:05we're providing the best assets, the
- 26:07deepest liquidity, the best
- 26:08execution, and everything
- 26:10that they need in order to
- 26:12build the app that they want to.
- 26:15I wanted to ask very quickly how
- 26:17much sort of AI integrations
- 26:19you guys have going now at
- 26:21base, building the app, you know,
- 26:22building different pieces of
- 26:23infrastructure.
- 26:24I think everyone's leaning into
- 26:26frontier models right now
- 26:27and what
- 26:30you can get out of them is like just
- 26:31incredible.
- 26:33And I mean, I find myself
- 26:35asking these questions more and more
- 26:36on a crypto show than I would
- 26:38like, but that is the nature of
- 26:41the world in which we live now.
- 26:42Yeah, and it's
- 26:44been insane to watch how
- 26:46crypto has kind of, I mean,
- 26:48how AI has transformed how we work
- 26:50over the last nine months.
- 26:51And really starting in December with
- 26:53the release of Opus 4.5, I think,
- 26:55that kicked off this wave of,
- 26:57particularly on the engineering
- 26:58side, just totally changing
- 27:01the way that we work.
- 27:02I mean for me personally, it's
- 27:04just been super fun.
- 27:06I am an engineer by trade, but I
- 27:08haven't written code for kind of
- 27:09like five years prior.
- 27:11Just because I've been focused on
- 27:12growing base and building the team,
- 27:14et cetera, et cetera, but now
- 27:16I'm writing code all the time.
- 27:19Like literally in between meetings,
- 27:20I'm like checking my agents
- 27:23and being like, are they making
- 27:24progress on the different things
- 27:25that I'm building, whether it's
- 27:26internal tools or.
- 27:27Building agents for our go-to-market
- 27:29teams to help them close
- 27:31more leads and grow the
- 27:33financing and trading and payments
- 27:35demand on base or it's
- 27:37literally shipping code on the
- 27:39chain itself and the products that
- 27:40we're building on top of the chain
- 27:41and so personally getting to
- 27:43go from oh like if
- 27:45I wanted to ship something it was
- 27:46going to be like a multi-week
- 27:48process and I was going have to
- 27:49constantly be like fighting
- 27:51everything so now I can like
- 27:52delegate that to agent.
- 27:54And it can go and ship the thing,
- 27:55and then I can do the kind of
- 27:57review, auditing,
- 27:59like kind of almost more managerial
- 28:01responsibilities
- 28:04that I'm pretty good at from having
- 28:05done them for a while, but still
- 28:07actually ship something without
- 28:08having to go and ask a team
- 28:10or do it myself.
- 28:11That has been awesome.
- 28:13And I'm just having so much fun
- 28:15getting to write code again.
- 28:17And then I think for our teams,
- 28:18we're seeing the same thing where...
- 28:19We have a smaller
- 28:21team shipping way faster
- 28:23at a higher
- 28:25quality
- 28:27bar, more security
- 28:29investment and more testing
- 28:31because we're able to build out
- 28:33these harnesses that kind of
- 28:35automate and do a lot of that work
- 28:37that previously humans had to do.
- 28:39And so what I think that that's
- 28:41leading to is you have these kind
- 28:43of engineers who are becoming super
- 28:44engineers, where they're literally
- 28:46doing things that are would
- 28:48have taken 10 engineers or 20
- 28:50engineers before just
- 28:53with one person, because they have a
- 28:54team of agents that are basically
- 28:56working around the clock to ship
- 28:58things. I'd say the biggest place
- 28:59where we're now kind of seeing
- 29:01growing pains is, okay, we now have
- 29:03all of this engineering capacity,
- 29:05how do we make sure we just have
- 29:06good ideas?
- 29:07And that like we have the
- 29:09clarity of thinking on the product
- 29:11side to take
- 29:13all that engineering capacity and
- 29:14turn it into real products that
- 29:16our customers love.
- 29:18And that is
- 29:20an art as much as it is
- 29:21a science and we're
- 29:24figuring out how do we do that
- 29:26as quickly as we can.
- 29:30Yeah, for sure.
- 29:31I think even just as a layman, like
- 29:32I'm a journalist and a broadcaster
- 29:34first and foremost, but what I've
- 29:36been able to do just to someone
- 29:37who's not really a dev is
- 29:39amazing, you know?
- 29:41It puts so much power at your
- 29:43fingertips, so it's been really
- 29:44great. My final question, Jesse,
- 29:45obviously, the sort of Bitcoin
- 29:47community was rocked last week by
- 29:49the cold card exploit, and it's
- 29:51got a lot of people thinking very
- 29:52deeply about the trust assumptions
- 29:54we have, the
- 29:56security of the systems we thought
- 29:57we were using.
- 29:59And especially just for Bitcoin is
- 30:00impacted like this by this,
- 30:02you know, like we did everything we
- 30:04did. We did the self custody and
- 30:07you know the unfortunately there was
- 30:08an issue and there was an exploit
- 30:10and they've lost all their Bitcoin.
- 30:11And it's kind of like a huge wake up
- 30:13call to everyone to be like we
- 30:14thought that things were secure and
- 30:16they worked well, but now we need to
- 30:17go back and audit everything.
- 30:19And there's been a huge movement.
- 30:21Led by the guys at Anchor Watch and
- 30:23I think Jack
- 30:25Dorsey's team at Block, reviewing
- 30:27a load of open source Bitcoin code
- 30:29and just submitting
- 30:31to all these teams all the
- 30:33vulnerabilities that are out there
- 30:34using frontier models like
- 30:36Kimi.ai.
- 30:38What's your general thoughts on this
- 30:39for the industry and do you think
- 30:41it's a big wake-up call?
- 30:47Hmm
- 30:50I mean, I think it's definitely a
- 30:51wake up call that we're
- 30:53entering a new era where we're
- 30:56going to have more enabled
- 30:58attackers with AI who
- 31:00are going to be trying to figure out
- 31:01how to, you know, break the systems
- 31:03that we use to secure basically
- 31:04everything that we do.
- 31:06I'd say I'm pretty optimistic that
- 31:08on the flip
- 31:10side, we're also going to much more
- 31:11enabled defenders who are able
- 31:13to kind of aggressively audit
- 31:15everything that we're building and
- 31:17use AI tools to make it so that
- 31:19we can have increasing confidence
- 31:21that we're not going to be at a high
- 31:23risk place. So I
- 31:25don't take it as like the rebuke of
- 31:26self custody. I think self custody
- 31:28is going to end up being the way
- 31:30that almost everyone
- 31:31transacts over time.
- 31:33But I do think that that's going to
- 31:34take time.
- 31:35It's not going to be a transition
- 31:36that happens overnight.
- 31:37And it's going require us to build
- 31:39systems that make it so
- 31:41that self-custody has the
- 31:43same level of assurances
- 31:45and safety.
- 31:47As putting your money in a
- 31:49bank or putting your money in
- 31:50Coinbase where they're managing all
- 31:52that custody for you.
- 31:53And so I
- 31:55think that this is a good learning
- 31:56and it's a good step.
- 31:58Obviously really sad to see
- 32:00and I'm
- 32:02hopeful that people are going to
- 32:03find ways to recover the funds
- 32:06but yeah I think still
- 32:08optimistic about self-custody for
- 32:10sure.
- 32:11Yeah, I remain so.
- 32:14And yeah, I mean, I was pushing up,
- 32:15like pushing back against a lot of
- 32:17people saying like, oh, just custody
- 32:18of Bitcoin and, you know, get
- 32:19exposure through Bitcoin ETFs.
- 32:21Like, no, if you want to use Bitcoin
- 32:22as money, you still need to,
- 32:24you take full control of it.
- 32:26Obviously do it responsibly and make
- 32:28sure that you do as much homework
- 32:30as you can.
- 32:31But self custody is still in my
- 32:33mind, so important for the industry.
- 32:35It's the basis of everything.
- 32:37100%. Yeah. And if you're looking
- 32:39for a great self custody solution
- 32:41for your Bitcoin, you can use the
- 32:42base app.
- 32:44It's native Bitcoin custody.
- 32:46You can move your assets in there.
- 32:48There's I think a couple of billion
- 32:49dollars of assets that
- 32:51are in the base up and it's
- 32:54built by the best at
- 32:56Coinbase who are really focused
- 32:58on making sure that you can do self
- 33:00custody in easy and secure way.
- 33:02So that's a great option for folks
- 33:04who are
- 33:06Yeah, just to add to
- 33:08that, and before we wrap up the
- 33:09show, I think I've seen lots and
- 33:10lots of really trusted
- 33:13people in the industry literally
- 33:15saying this, like one of the issues,
- 33:17and not to bash CoinKite, is that
- 33:18it's a very small team, very niche
- 33:20team, Bitcoin-only wallet,
- 33:23it doesn't have the size and the
- 33:25expertise of perhaps some of the
- 33:26other bigger players in the space,
- 33:28the treasurers, the ledgers,
- 33:30the Coinbase engineering team that's
- 33:32built yourself custodial
- 33:33infrastructure. So.
- 33:35Sometimes you do have to trust
- 33:37people that have a lot more
- 33:38resource, a lot more expertise,
- 33:41um, as much as we want to support
- 33:42small businesses and people that are
- 33:44passionate about certain things,
- 33:46mistakes can happen. And this is why
- 33:47we do kind of as society
- 33:49tend to gravitate towards these
- 33:51things. But Jesse, thank you so much
- 33:52for your time. Thank you for
- 33:53chatting to us today.
- 33:55Uh, we will catch up with you soon,
- 33:56uh, to the audience.
- 33:57Thank you so for joining us on the
- 33:59starting block. We will be back
- 34:00tomorrow to wrap up the week.
- 34:02If you missed any of our interviews
- 34:04with our big name guests.
- 34:05Go and check out our YouTube
- 34:06channel, you can find them there.
- 34:07Otherwise, please follow us on X,
- 34:09like and retweet the live stream so
- 34:10more people can catch up on this
- 34:11conversation with Jesse.
- 34:13We will catch you tomorrow.
- 34:14Have a fantastic one.