Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Teva CEO: We Have Capability To Distribute Vaccine In U.S.
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, along
- 0:04Speaker 1: with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day
- 0:06Speaker 1: we bring you interviews from ceo, market pros, and Bloomberg experts,
- 0:10Speaker 1: along with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets
- 0:13Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts,
- 0:17Speaker 1: and on Bloomberg dot com. Tiva Pharmaceuticals reported earnings this morning.
- 0:22Speaker 1: The stock is off about seven point four percent today's
- 0:24Speaker 1: trading eleven dollars and eighty six cents a share. But
- 0:26Speaker 1: here today the stock is not nearly Let's break down
- 0:30Speaker 1: the earnings and the key issues facing Tiva Pharmaceuticals. We
- 0:33Speaker 1: do that today with Corese Schultz, CEO of Tiva Pharmarmaceuticals.
- 0:37Speaker 1: Cour thanks so much for joining us here. Let's kick
- 0:39Speaker 1: it off, get right to it. Talk to us about
- 0:41Speaker 1: your earnings for the most recent period and your outlook
- 0:44Speaker 1: for this year. Thanks Paul, great to be with you
- 0:47Speaker 1: and Monny. I think the earnings report for the fourth
- 0:50Speaker 1: quarter is a really solid one, and I think the
- 0:52Speaker 1: whole report for twenty is also very solid. You could say,
- 0:56Speaker 1: we had, of course, lots of operational challenges due to
- 0:59Speaker 1: the COVID nineteen pandemic pandemic, but in all manufacturing sites,
- 1:03Speaker 1: in our whole logistical network, we managed to overcome it.
- 1:07Speaker 1: Basically serve the two on a million patients we serve
- 1:09Speaker 1: every day without Generics in a pretty steady way, and
- 1:13Speaker 1: supporting healthcare systems worldwide. At the same time, we managed
- 1:17Speaker 1: our cost well, so they were down for the third
- 1:20Speaker 1: year in a row. We managed to increase our earnings slightly,
- 1:24Speaker 1: which was also positive. And then we continue to pay
- 1:28Speaker 1: down debt. And I'm shure you know by now over
- 1:31Speaker 1: the last three years, I've been paying down the two
- 1:34Speaker 1: ten billion dollars and we'll continue to do so in
- 1:38Speaker 1: in this year and in the common years. So all
- 1:40Speaker 1: in all, we've stabilized the business. Yes, core of favorable
- 1:44Speaker 1: credit markets for sure. I want to ask you about
- 1:46Speaker 1: that more in a moment, But first, the vaccine distribution
- 1:50Speaker 1: in Israel has been among the best in the world,
- 1:52Speaker 1: and you've obviously been very much part of that. How
- 1:55Speaker 1: does that continue and have you have you plans to
- 1:58Speaker 1: expand that internationally if you advice for other countries. So
- 2:03Speaker 1: it's absolutely correct that we are taking care of the
- 2:05Speaker 1: whole logistical side of the vaccination program in Israel. So
- 2:09Speaker 1: basically picking up the cargo from the cargo plane signated
- 2:14Speaker 1: our chio logistics center, repacking, ensuring freezing and cooling and distribution,
- 2:20Speaker 1: making sure it gets out to the four hundred vaccination
- 2:22Speaker 1: centers in Israel, and that it's the right amount that
- 2:26Speaker 1: gets to the right center at the right time. All
- 2:28Speaker 1: all of course to ensure that we have a maximum
- 2:32Speaker 1: utilization of the vaccines that Israel is receiving from FIFER
- 2:36Speaker 1: and from Moderna at at the current important time. So
- 2:40Speaker 1: we have great i'd say, insight into how that works
- 2:43Speaker 1: right now, I would say the only country where we
- 2:46Speaker 1: really have an operational capability to to help out in
- 2:49Speaker 1: the same way would probably be in the U s
- 2:52Speaker 1: where we have the distributor company called and and we'll
- 2:55Speaker 1: be more than happy to help out the distribution. We're
- 2:59Speaker 1: not currently law, but but who knows, maybe in the
- 3:02Speaker 1: common months there will be a role for us to
- 3:04Speaker 1: play there to secure fastness effective distribution of vaccines relevant locations.
- 3:12Speaker 1: So UH core Tiva is one of the Farmer Circle
- 3:14Speaker 1: companies that is being sued by the US as relates
- 3:17Speaker 1: to the opioid crisis. Also, company is part of an
- 3:20Speaker 1: alleged drug fixing. Cartel talk to gives an update on
- 3:24Speaker 1: these legal issues, because I'm not reading some Wall Street research.
- 3:27Speaker 1: They do weigh on the stock. What's the latest, Yeah,
- 3:30Speaker 1: So the latest on the opioid litigation is really that
- 3:35Speaker 1: we more than a year ago agreed to a framework
- 3:38Speaker 1: with the states and the plane of lawyers that represent
- 3:42Speaker 1: the subdivision, so counties, citizen and so on, and unfortunately
- 3:46Speaker 1: we have not sort of got across the finishing line
- 3:49Speaker 1: and we don't have the framework settlement turned into firm settlements.
- 3:53Speaker 1: We did this together with four other companies, the three
- 3:56Speaker 1: big distributors in Johnson and Johnson, and nobody has reached
- 4:00Speaker 1: the point where, you know, everybody signs a firm settlement.
- 4:04Speaker 1: One of the reasons is that we have fifty states involved,
- 4:07Speaker 1: we have fift planning lawyers, five companies, and even though
- 4:10Speaker 1: each company does their own settlement at the end of
- 4:12Speaker 1: the day, it has just proven difficult to get everybody
- 4:15Speaker 1: to sort of sit down and do the final details.
- 4:18Speaker 1: And it has not helped that the COVID nineteen pandemic
- 4:22Speaker 1: has delayed basically all trials, so all the trials that
- 4:27Speaker 1: could have been trigger points by motivating people to get
- 4:30Speaker 1: the framework into a firm settlement. All these trials have
- 4:33Speaker 1: been delayed and they're still being delayed due to COVID nineteen,
- 4:37Speaker 1: so I'm very optimistic that the actual framework will be implemented.
- 4:42Speaker 1: We are offering free generics box and for all states.
- 4:45Speaker 1: That's a key product in sort of treating overdose, so
- 4:49Speaker 1: basically reducing deaths from overdoses, which is a key concern
- 4:53Speaker 1: of course, in the phase of the substance misuse among
- 4:57Speaker 1: the American population. The other companies are basically offering cash
- 5:01Speaker 1: that can be used to help get people off their
- 5:05Speaker 1: situation with substance abuse. So the only good solution for
- 5:09Speaker 1: the American public is, of course, as this framework gets
- 5:12Speaker 1: into a firm settlement, and I hope this will happen.
- 5:15Speaker 1: I'm optimistic it will happen, but I'm a little doubtful
- 5:18Speaker 1: about the timing, simply due to the fact that there
- 5:21Speaker 1: is no legal pressure on the parties to get signed
- 5:24Speaker 1: on the door line. So speak yeah, well, we'll definitely
- 5:28Speaker 1: continue to follow that one. Finally, Core, you talked about
- 5:31Speaker 1: the credit markets. Obviously they're hugely favorable for likes of Tever.
- 5:35Speaker 1: In fact, yields now lower than when they were still
- 5:39Speaker 1: rated investment grade by ratings agencies before it have it
- 5:42Speaker 1: became a fallen angel? Do you continue to just raise
- 5:45Speaker 1: raise money on the credit markets to pay down debt?
- 5:49Speaker 1: So we only raised money, you could say, when we
- 5:51Speaker 1: have to, because we're paying down debt out of our
- 5:53Speaker 1: operational cash throw as we go along. We did that
- 5:56Speaker 1: last year with roughly two billion. We're going to do
- 5:59Speaker 1: this year with a bit more than two billions. And
- 6:02Speaker 1: the next time where we really need to refinance, that
- 6:05Speaker 1: is in two thousand twenty three, or that's the ditch
- 6:08Speaker 1: stack of two thousand twenty three, that's about around four billion.
- 6:12Speaker 1: That's more than what we expect our operational cash flow
- 6:14Speaker 1: will be. So we will look like to do a
- 6:17Speaker 1: refinancing about a year from now, where we will look
- 6:19Speaker 1: at refinancing two thousand twenty three and potentially some of
- 6:23Speaker 1: two thousand twenty five. All right, well we have to
- 6:27Speaker 1: say goodbye to you there, but thank you very much
- 6:29Speaker 1: for giving us some of your time today earnings day
- 6:31Speaker 1: and then always always such a busy day. That's Coral
- 6:35Speaker 1: Schultze is a pharmaceuticals a CEO, joining us there after
- 6:39Speaker 1: an excellent earnings season. You know, coming off of those
- 6:46Speaker 1: march loads of last year, the sps of about seventy five,
- 6:50Speaker 1: and a lot of folks are starting to get worried
- 6:52Speaker 1: about a bubble. And when you see stories like the
- 6:55Speaker 1: game stop and all the spacks coming out, just adding
- 6:58Speaker 1: to the concerns about are we a bubble? Uh? In
- 7:01Speaker 1: this particularly in the equity markets. Let's chat about that
- 7:04Speaker 1: with Jim Paulson. He's a chief investment strategist for the
- 7:07Speaker 1: Louthhole Group. Joining us on the phone from Minneapolis, Minnesota. Jim,
- 7:10Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us again here again a
- 7:13Speaker 1: extraordinary move off the march lows here. How are you
- 7:17Speaker 1: viewing the markets right here? Yeah, Paul, thanks for having
- 7:21Speaker 1: me today. Yeah, I am. I think that you know,
- 7:25Speaker 1: there's certainly a lot of the indicators, sentiment indicators and
- 7:28Speaker 1: like have certainly come up a fair amount and should
- 7:33Speaker 1: could certainly bring in will bring sometime this year correction. Uh,
- 7:37Speaker 1: I think we we could get at least one of those.
- 7:40Speaker 1: I think it's going to come a little later, but
- 7:42Speaker 1: I think that's very possible. But this this narrative that's
- 7:45Speaker 1: out there, it's gotten really strong. This the idea of
- 7:49Speaker 1: the bubble major market mania bubble that's developing, it will
- 7:54Speaker 1: resolve the collapse like the dot com collapse. I think
- 7:58Speaker 1: that's got really low probability. Um. Yes, we've we've come
- 8:03Speaker 1: up a lot from them March lows. But but if
- 8:07Speaker 1: you look at over the last year, we might be
- 8:09Speaker 1: up fifteen over the last three years, I think we've
- 8:13Speaker 1: analyzed around thirteen. And during the last two years, for example,
- 8:18Speaker 1: of twenty four months, roughly this this SP five hundred
- 8:22Speaker 1: has suffered to cline in late eighteen and thirty four
- 8:27Speaker 1: percent decline last year. I just can't tell you another
- 8:30Speaker 1: period where we ended up in a bubble during the
- 8:34Speaker 1: twenty after twenty four month period where we had two
- 8:36Speaker 1: really nasty our markets almost over the same time period.
- 8:40Speaker 1: And then if you look more broadly, Paul Um you
- 8:44Speaker 1: know Russell large value UH international markets have gone nowhere
- 8:49Speaker 1: for the last three years. There's still roughly flat and
- 8:52Speaker 1: until November small caps hadn't moved higher. So I think
- 8:57Speaker 1: it's overblown, I really do. You know. One of the
- 9:01Speaker 1: things that presses me is talk about the Greenspan put well,
- 9:08Speaker 1: we've got a vaccine. Put how much you're going to
- 9:11Speaker 1: sell this market off when you know that by faller
- 9:16Speaker 1: or so by the end of this year, there's pandemic
- 9:18Speaker 1: is gonna wind down a lot more. We've got a
- 9:20Speaker 1: policy put, We've got another trillion dollar stimulus for MEEF
- 9:24Speaker 1: package coming. It seems like every month, how much you're
- 9:27Speaker 1: gonna sell off in the face of that, We've got
- 9:29Speaker 1: an earning revival put going on earn These estments are
- 9:33Speaker 1: coming up every day, and we've gotta we've got a
- 9:35Speaker 1: bubble watch put. Can we really have a bubble when
- 9:38Speaker 1: so many are worried about it? I don't know. Those
- 9:40Speaker 1: are the things I throw out. I guess, for how
- 9:43Speaker 1: long can the federal Reserve and fiscals TOI met a
- 9:46Speaker 1: slash pandemic relief keep the demand coming for these companies.
- 9:50Speaker 1: I mean, you walk around any major city right now
- 9:52Speaker 1: and it's absolutely it's terrifyingly bare well. The lonnie I,
- 10:00Speaker 1: I personally don't know if we need a lot of
- 10:02Speaker 1: our stimulus. That one of the things that's greatly underestimated
- 10:06Speaker 1: is that there's about a one year to two year
- 10:08Speaker 1: lag and historically between when stimulus is introduced and when
- 10:12Speaker 1: it starts to really impact the economy. So we're going
- 10:14Speaker 1: to get a lot of juice from what we started
- 10:16Speaker 1: to introduce last year, let alone the new stuff we're
- 10:20Speaker 1: bringing now into the party. And at the end of
- 10:23Speaker 1: the day, Um, the real issue is reopening and it's stimulus.
- 10:29Speaker 1: Can't really do that, but we're going to get that.
- 10:33Speaker 1: I mean, the biggest stimulus in the room isn't the
- 10:35Speaker 1: fiscal policy or monetary policy. It's a shot in the
- 10:38Speaker 1: arm because by you know, if you think that sentiments
- 10:42Speaker 1: too giddy right now in the investment markets, what's it
- 10:45Speaker 1: gonna be like on VC day when we declare victory
- 10:48Speaker 1: over COVID in the fall and there's gonna be heard
- 10:52Speaker 1: that's fascinated and they are free to roam again and
- 10:56Speaker 1: taking entertainment and social interaction demand. That will be spin.
- 11:03Speaker 1: I mean, people are going to feel a palatable route.
- 11:05Speaker 1: Do you should rethink this whole vaccine thing? Jim? What
- 11:07Speaker 1: do you think? So? Jim? Where are you in terms
- 11:12Speaker 1: of are you in this rotation play that's worked so
- 11:16Speaker 1: well for investors released since September? Kind of you know,
- 11:19Speaker 1: maybe on the margin, lightning up on the Apples and
- 11:21Speaker 1: the Amazons of the world and and looking for some
- 11:24Speaker 1: of those cyclical names, maybe some of the small cap
- 11:26Speaker 1: names that in fact would and will benefit from a
- 11:29Speaker 1: reopening here. How do you feel about that? Where where
- 11:32Speaker 1: are you? Yeah? I definitely, uh, we've been overweighted what
- 11:38Speaker 1: I call broader marketplace or UH at least since the
- 11:42Speaker 1: middle last year or so. But you know, I would
- 11:45Speaker 1: include you know, small caps, cyclicals, UH value stocks, high
- 11:51Speaker 1: beta and international markets in that mix. I definitely want
- 11:56Speaker 1: to be overweighted there, but I wouldn't exactly I be
- 12:00Speaker 1: their way to tack the new era. But I don't
- 12:02Speaker 1: think I totally get out of it. I think it's
- 12:05Speaker 1: going to continue. It's gonna underperform, probably, but it's gonna
- 12:09Speaker 1: continue to participate, and it holds you up on bad days,
- 12:13Speaker 1: you know, if it really the cyclicals and those more
- 12:15Speaker 1: violably broader marketplace have greater volatility, and on those days,
- 12:20Speaker 1: if you own some new era, it's gonna hold you up.
- 12:22Speaker 1: So I own some of both. One of the things
- 12:24Speaker 1: I'd say, Paul is that what I found consumer confidence
- 12:28Speaker 1: is still very depressed. And Tavanni's point, you know, people
- 12:33Speaker 1: still feel pretty concerned about where we're at here. But
- 12:37Speaker 1: if we are going to get people vaccinated here, I
- 12:40Speaker 1: think consumer confidence is going to rally even more. And
- 12:44Speaker 1: what I found is a very close relationship between improvements
- 12:47Speaker 1: in main street confidence and what happens to these broader
- 12:51Speaker 1: marketplaces like small caps and and I think there's still
- 12:55Speaker 1: quite a bit of that ahead of us when you
- 12:56Speaker 1: look ahead over the next year. Well, I'm looking forward
- 12:58Speaker 1: to speaking to you throughout this whole process. No doubt
- 13:01Speaker 1: it's going to be a fascinating year. Thanks for joining today.
- 13:04Speaker 1: Jim Pulls in a CEE IO at the loose Hold Group.
- 13:09Speaker 1: The second impeachment trial of former President Trump really gets
- 13:13Speaker 1: underway today. Let's get the latest with June Grasso, Bloomberg
- 13:17Speaker 1: News legal analyst, host of Bloomberg Law. You can hear
- 13:20Speaker 1: that weeknights at ten pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio.
- 13:23Speaker 1: Joining us on the phone, June, talk to us a
- 13:25Speaker 1: little bit about what we can expect from the actual
- 13:28Speaker 1: trial aspect here going forward. Well, what's going to happen
- 13:33Speaker 1: today is probably starting out the same as yesterday, which
- 13:37Speaker 1: is there were going to be a video presentation of
- 13:41Speaker 1: what happened during the riot, and you can expect that
- 13:44Speaker 1: the house managers are going to lay out their case
- 13:48Speaker 1: in chronological order, so you're going to see a mix
- 13:52Speaker 1: of talking and video, and they're hoping that this will
- 13:57Speaker 1: sort of bring the senators back to that minute when
- 14:01Speaker 1: they faced the crowd and proved to them that President
- 14:05Speaker 1: Trump should be guilty of of inciting the crowd. Are
- 14:10Speaker 1: we absolutely certain that the time has passed when we
- 14:14Speaker 1: might actually have witnesses as that decision come and gone
- 14:18Speaker 1: at this point June, Well, the decision hasn't been made
- 14:20Speaker 1: about witnesses, but the feeling is from all the reporting
- 14:25Speaker 1: that there is probably not going to be any witnesses
- 14:29Speaker 1: because basically of the time factor, you have both sides
- 14:32Speaker 1: wanting this to end quickly. The Democrats want Joe Biden
- 14:36Speaker 1: to be able to get on with his agenda, and
- 14:38Speaker 1: they also want to present a concise case unlike the
- 14:42Speaker 1: last time, and the Republicans just wanted to be over.
- 14:45Speaker 1: But I think they're going to be missing. The House
- 14:48Speaker 1: managers are going to be missing an element of their
- 14:50Speaker 1: case if they don't have witnesses, because we don't know
- 14:54Speaker 1: what president former President Trump's reactions to the riot are.
- 14:59Speaker 1: We would have to hear that from witnesses, and also
- 15:03Speaker 1: the delay he took in doing anything to stop it,
- 15:05Speaker 1: and that goes to his intent and connects him to
- 15:10Speaker 1: the crowd. And that's the important part of their case
- 15:13Speaker 1: and the hard part. They have to connect him to
- 15:16Speaker 1: what happened. And that's bold, sorry jump in, but that's
- 15:20Speaker 1: what I find astonishing. So you can understand how Republicans
- 15:23Speaker 1: may not want witnesses, but I'm not quite sure why
- 15:26Speaker 1: the House managers don't want witnesses so badly. I know,
- 15:29Speaker 1: you join you say that it's the it's the Biden
- 15:32Speaker 1: agenda and so on, but you know, well, no, I
- 15:36Speaker 1: definitely think that they should have some witnesses. I think
- 15:40Speaker 1: that they're afraid that it will get into For example,
- 15:43Speaker 1: if you have a witness, then you have then the
- 15:46Speaker 1: other side is going to call a witness, so it
- 15:48Speaker 1: will drag it out. But I mean, look at Clinton's
- 15:51Speaker 1: impeachment trial, there were witnesses, and right now the Democrats
- 15:54Speaker 1: are in control. There were no witnesses at the last
- 15:57Speaker 1: impeachment trial of Donald Trump because they are Publicans were
- 16:00Speaker 1: in control and didn't want witnesses. So you know, from
- 16:04Speaker 1: my way of thinking, witnesses on at least one the
- 16:08Speaker 1: issue of President Trump's intent would really go a long way.
- 16:12Speaker 1: But also maybe the Democrats the House managers are thinking, well,
- 16:16Speaker 1: nothing is going to get seventeen Republicans to vote with us,
- 16:19Speaker 1: so why drag it out. It's hard to tell, June,
- 16:23Speaker 1: what do you think the Republican or the defendants defense
- 16:28Speaker 1: in fact will be? What a good question, Paul, because
- 16:33Speaker 1: I didn't necessarily get an answer. Yes, I know. The
- 16:35Speaker 1: problem was, you know, yesterday what should have been a
- 16:39Speaker 1: day that was fairly easy for them because they could
- 16:41Speaker 1: have made legal arguments, even though the legal arguments weren't strong.
- 16:45Speaker 1: What we saw that and it sort of echoed what
- 16:48Speaker 1: their brief was. Their first brief was you know, filled
- 16:50Speaker 1: with errors. There was a typo on the first page,
- 16:53Speaker 1: and it was very disjointed. And so the defense yesterday
- 16:58Speaker 1: from Mr Caster, I mean, was rambling, almost nonsensical at times,
- 17:03Speaker 1: and with the second lawyers shown there were conflicting arguments.
- 17:07Speaker 1: It was, you know, it was too soon to try
- 17:09Speaker 1: President Trump. There wasn't enough procedure, he didn't have any time.
- 17:14Speaker 1: But then it was too late to try him because
- 17:16Speaker 1: he was out of office, and there were factual mistakes
- 17:19Speaker 1: about the timeline of impeachment. So I mean, I suppose
- 17:22Speaker 1: what their best argument will be is what the hardest
- 17:26Speaker 1: part of the House Manager's cases, which is proving that
- 17:30Speaker 1: connecting President Trump to the actual assault on the capital,
- 17:35Speaker 1: and that is I mean, that's going to be tough.
- 17:37Speaker 1: If this for a criminal case, which it's not. I
- 17:39Speaker 1: don't think you could prove that beyond a reasonable doubt
- 17:41Speaker 1: with the kind of evidence they have. Now it's not
- 17:44Speaker 1: a criminal trial, and the as we've seen before, the
- 17:47Speaker 1: senators can do whatever they want. But I think that
- 17:50Speaker 1: that element is going to be something that the defense
- 17:52Speaker 1: can really focus on. You know President Trump speech, yes
- 17:55Speaker 1: it was, it was heated, but he also said, which
- 17:58Speaker 1: isn't played very much. What there was also a part
- 18:00Speaker 1: of that speech, because I listened to the whole thing
- 18:02Speaker 1: where he said, let's go to the capitol, let's march peacefully.
- 18:06Speaker 1: There was one there was one sentence about marching peaceful.
- 18:08Speaker 1: They could take that sentence and use that to make
- 18:11Speaker 1: their case that he did not want them to storm
- 18:15Speaker 1: the capitol. He had no idea that this was going
- 18:17Speaker 1: to happen. And since there'll be no witnesses, most likely
- 18:20Speaker 1: they may be able to make a good argument out
- 18:22Speaker 1: of that. I mean, they have a case to make.
- 18:24Speaker 1: Very very briefly, do introducing some of these new videos
- 18:27Speaker 1: or anything. Does that help with state cases or d
- 18:31Speaker 1: A cases down the line in any way. Well, I
- 18:34Speaker 1: think that those videos are what the federal prosecutors and
- 18:38Speaker 1: the FBI have been looking at to try to and
- 18:41Speaker 1: they've been charging people based on those videos. I mean
- 18:44Speaker 1: you'll see a charge and you'll see what the charges
- 18:47Speaker 1: and then you see the video of that person doing
- 18:50Speaker 1: something like throwing, you know, breaking through barriers. So yes,
- 18:54Speaker 1: those videos are going to be used. And that's tough
- 18:57Speaker 1: evidence to get by. It's very hard to say, for example, oh,
- 19:01Speaker 1: I didn't take this out of I didn't steal anything
- 19:03Speaker 1: from the capital when there's a picture of you, you know,
- 19:05Speaker 1: walking out with the podium of Jesse Pelosi. So I mean,
- 19:09Speaker 1: that is really tough to have it. I expect a
- 19:11Speaker 1: lot of play deals and I think the fans are
- 19:13Speaker 1: going to try to flip a lot of people. June,
- 19:16Speaker 1: we have to leave it there, but thank you so much,
- 19:19Speaker 1: and of course we'll be tuning into Bloomberg Law for
- 19:21Speaker 1: further updates. Kristin Bryant is a Bloomberg opinion columnists covering
- 19:27Speaker 1: industrial companies, also spacks and so much more. But he's
- 19:30Speaker 1: written a great column on Elon Musk's bitcoin bet. He
- 19:34Speaker 1: says it's a bean encounter as a nightmare. Chris, thanks
- 19:37Speaker 1: for joining. So the backstory is that Ellen decided to
- 19:42Speaker 1: put eight thirty billion dollars worth of Tesla's cash, not
- 19:46Speaker 1: his own cash, but Tesla's cash into bitcoin, and of
- 19:49Speaker 1: course we saw a variety of responses. So many of them,
- 19:53Speaker 1: as you can imagine, were absolutely thrilled with this idea,
- 19:55Speaker 1: and you know, recommended other companies do the same. But
- 19:59Speaker 1: what say you, was that advisable? M hm? So, to clarify,
- 20:04Speaker 1: a one and a half billion dollars of Tesla's cat
- 20:06Speaker 1: has gone into the bit climates is still an awful
- 20:09Speaker 1: lot in the context of Tesla's overall cash balance of
- 20:12Speaker 1: about nineteen billion, and yes, obviously a very risky approach
- 20:18Speaker 1: given how volatile bitcoin is. But the point of my
- 20:22Speaker 1: column is to focus on on a rather geeky point,
- 20:25Speaker 1: which is how you account for bitcoin, because cryptocurrencies are
- 20:30Speaker 1: still so new that the accounting authorities haven't yet developed
- 20:34Speaker 1: sort of real standards to how this is done, or
- 20:36Speaker 1: at least the ones that they have sort of imposed
- 20:38Speaker 1: on on bitcoin is sort of pretty outdated, and the
- 20:43Speaker 1: accounting of the bitcoin is going to cause Tesla all
- 20:45Speaker 1: kinds of problems, as I can explain. Um, the chief
- 20:51Speaker 1: problem is this, Essentially, if the price of bitcoin falls,
- 20:54Speaker 1: then Tesla will have to book an impairment that this
- 20:57Speaker 1: price goes back up again. It's not allowed to write
- 20:59Speaker 1: up the value of its bitcoin holding, so in a sense,
- 21:02Speaker 1: it can only lose Chris here. You know, as we've
- 21:07Speaker 1: seen companies, obviously the line item on the balance sheet
- 21:10Speaker 1: is cash and marketable securities. Bitcoin arguably is I guess
- 21:15Speaker 1: it's a marketable security, but it's a very violatile one,
- 21:17Speaker 1: as you point out in your column here. Um, so
- 21:21Speaker 1: what is a company like Tesla going to do here?
- 21:24Speaker 1: Because the marketer market on this thing is crazy given
- 21:28Speaker 1: the volatility. So what do they do? Do they hedge it? Well,
- 21:33Speaker 1: that's a good question. I think they didn't say anything
- 21:36Speaker 1: about hedging. Would be very surprised if they hedge it.
- 21:38Speaker 1: I mean, obviously a lot of companies do hedge their
- 21:40Speaker 1: foreign currency exposure. But it seems to me like tesser
- 21:44Speaker 1: Is is making an outright bet here on on the
- 21:46Speaker 1: price of bitcoin. Um, what they're gonna have to do
- 21:50Speaker 1: is is classify as an intangible asset on on the
- 21:54Speaker 1: balance sheet rather than lump it in with their cash
- 21:57Speaker 1: holdings or as a financial investment. And as I say,
- 22:00Speaker 1: well that that might end up doing, unfortunately, is hurting
- 22:03Speaker 1: Tadler's earnings because you might have an odd situation where
- 22:06Speaker 1: let's say the price of bitcoin is sold by one third,
- 22:09Speaker 1: which is historically you know, not unlikely, incredibly volatile acid
- 22:15Speaker 1: um Keadler having bought one and a half billion dollars work,
- 22:19Speaker 1: would have to book a five hundred million dollar lost
- 22:23Speaker 1: against its holdings that quarter, which obviously, you know, for
- 22:26Speaker 1: a company that still isn't that profitable, would actually be
- 22:29Speaker 1: quite problematic. Now, of course, analysts would be able to
- 22:33Speaker 1: look at the market price and say all that, actually
- 22:36Speaker 1: the price of bitcoin is has now gone back up
- 22:38Speaker 1: again and and and so this is uh, you know,
- 22:41Speaker 1: only a paper loss. Nevertheless, my point is that, um,
- 22:46Speaker 1: you know, a lot of people were saying, oh, look,
- 22:47Speaker 1: Tessler has bought bitcoin. Other companies are now going to
- 22:50Speaker 1: diversify their cash holdings and do something similar. I think,
- 22:54Speaker 1: unless these accounting rules are updated, a lot of companies
- 22:57Speaker 1: will be very uh you know, in this inclined to
- 23:00Speaker 1: do that because they don't want to have to explain
- 23:02Speaker 1: to their investors every cause of well, you know, the
- 23:04Speaker 1: price has gone up and down and we're booking and
- 23:06Speaker 1: impairment and are lot you know, we're actually making losses
- 23:10Speaker 1: and it's the profits due to our bitcoin investment. I
- 23:13Speaker 1: think that a lot of let's say, more mature companies
- 23:15Speaker 1: might find that problematic. Have you been able to speak
- 23:18Speaker 1: with anybody who wonders allowed about what might happen? So
- 23:22Speaker 1: we know that central banks have literally, you know, in
- 23:24Speaker 1: the last little while, just begun to take things like
- 23:27Speaker 1: cryptocurrencies seriously, and you know what they might mean for
- 23:31Speaker 1: the financial universe and so on. Is there a world
- 23:34Speaker 1: in which regulators and accounting regulators do have a separate
- 23:39Speaker 1: category for cryptocurrencies? I mean, this morning, he must tweeted
- 23:44Speaker 1: out that he's buying Dodge. Now, well, I think it's
- 23:49Speaker 1: fanness that the accounting authority is recognized that this is
- 23:52Speaker 1: a new world and that they do need to respond.
- 23:55Speaker 1: It's been on their radar for a few years now. Interestingly,
- 24:00Speaker 1: Japan's accounting authorities I think are the most forward thinking here.
- 24:03Speaker 1: They've already got a policy where essentially they allow companies
- 24:06Speaker 1: to to mark to market the value of their holdings
- 24:11Speaker 1: the international as of the i f r S rules,
- 24:14Speaker 1: which are used widely outside of UH the United States,
- 24:18Speaker 1: they're a bit different, but they they're slightly more nuanced
- 24:21Speaker 1: than the US approach, So I think, yes, they are looking.
- 24:24Speaker 1: But interestingly, the the US had an opportunity in October
- 24:28Speaker 1: when they find Financial Accounting Standards Board met to decide
- 24:32Speaker 1: they were going to look at and going forward in
- 24:35Speaker 1: terms of their technical agenda, and they declined to make
- 24:39Speaker 1: cryptocurrencies and item on that agenda suggesting and they don't
- 24:42Speaker 1: see it as a big parity, and it may well be,
- 24:45Speaker 1: of course, but you know, Tesla remains an outlier. I
- 24:48Speaker 1: wrote about another company, micro Strategy, which had put you know,
- 24:51Speaker 1: a billion dollars into its UH into bitcoin, and they've
- 24:55Speaker 1: already seen you know, the price go up a lot
- 24:58Speaker 1: and their share prices booming. But the same time they've
- 25:00Speaker 1: also had to book impairments already because the price is
- 25:02Speaker 1: so volatile. But apart from these two prominent outliers, and
- 25:06Speaker 1: also Squares invested a bit, you haven't yet seen a
- 25:08Speaker 1: lot of other companies do this. And as I said,
- 25:12Speaker 1: given these accounting issues, until they're solved, maybe big way
- 25:15Speaker 1: so what do we has Tesla said Chris, kind of
- 25:19Speaker 1: what they want to do with this investment. Do they
- 25:21Speaker 1: view it as an investment per se? Why did they
- 25:24Speaker 1: do this? Well, I mean the in the disclosures they
- 25:30Speaker 1: say it's a matter of diversifying their cash holdings. And
- 25:34Speaker 1: I suppose you know, literally you because it said, well, okay,
- 25:36Speaker 1: we don't get much return on on cash at the moment,
- 25:40Speaker 1: so why not look for other opportunities. But of course
- 25:43Speaker 1: I don't think anybody takes that, uh, you know literally
- 25:46Speaker 1: in the center. Of course, there are far safer opportunities
- 25:49Speaker 1: to diversify your cash holdings. I mean, this is is clearly,
- 25:53Speaker 1: you know, a bet on on bitcoin, and and one
- 25:56Speaker 1: that's probably taken some of its investors by surprise. I
- 25:59Speaker 1: think there were some reporting out of the Times of
- 26:03Speaker 1: London this morning that some of the investors have said, well, look,
- 26:07Speaker 1: we're happy for you to do this, but you know,
- 26:09Speaker 1: there should be some limit on how much you should
- 26:11Speaker 1: be able to invest in in bitcoin, because you know,
- 26:15Speaker 1: Taysler until recently it was pretty cash strapped. Last year,
- 26:19Speaker 1: of course it went out and raised about twelve billion
- 26:22Speaker 1: from um investors. Now much more cash on the balance sheet,
- 26:27Speaker 1: but I think a lot of investors would be pretty
- 26:28Speaker 1: upset if they weren't spent it all on bitcoin, because
- 26:31Speaker 1: quite clearly the price can go up, but it can
- 26:32Speaker 1: also go down. Fascinating story, Chris, thanks for bringing it
- 26:36Speaker 1: to us. Chris Bryant Calmness covering industrial companies for Bloomberg Opinion.
- 26:40Speaker 1: He's based in Berlin. Thanks for listening to the Boomberg
- 26:45Speaker 1: Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen to interviews at
- 26:48Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or whatever a podcast platform you prefer. I'm
- 26:52Speaker 1: Bonnie Quinn. I'm on Twitter at Barney Quinn and Paul
- 26:55Speaker 1: Sweeney I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast,
- 26:58Speaker 1: you can always catch us worldwide Bloomberg Radio m