Latest / The Fourcast / How to take on Trump’s ‘unhinged’ politics | Rutger Bregman
Transcript
- 0:00Hello and welcome to the forecast.
- 0:02With the world still reeling from Donald Trump's tariffs,
- 0:05there's more bad news as the International Monetary Fund has
- 0:07slashed the UK's growth forecast and says that the global economy
- 0:11will see a significant slowdown. Add to that wars in Europe and
- 0:15the Middle East, climate change and the promise and the peril of
- 0:18AI. Is it possible to find hope
- 0:21amongst this constant chorus of doom and gloom?
- 0:24Well, one person who thinks they might have an answer is I guess
- 0:28today Rutka Brakeman, a progressive historian famous for
- 0:31taking on the Davos billionaires.
- 0:33Rutka, good to see. You thanks for having me.
- 0:35So one of the reviews about your book said it was wonderfully
- 0:38dangerous. Is it dangerous?
- 0:41It is a you'd like it. To be dangerous, it is a bit
- 0:43dangerous. It encourages people to join a
- 0:46cult, if you will, of radical do gooters who want to devote their
- 0:49career, their lives to some of the most pressing issues that we
- 0:52face as a species. I think that the waste of talent
- 0:55that is currently going on is one of the greatest waste of our
- 0:58time, even worse than plastic straws, if you will.
- 1:01And yeah, the book is a call to arms for for the best and
- 1:06brightest among us in particular, who are currently
- 1:09often, you know, stuck in consultancy jobs and finance
- 1:12jobs and corporate law jobs. And I think they could.
- 1:15Do they? Really like those jobs.
- 1:17Well, maybe. Maybe some of them do, and maybe
- 1:19they like the paycheck in particular.
- 1:22And you think that's wrong? No, not necessarily.
- 1:25I am just inspired by examples throughout history of elites
- 1:30redefining what it means to be successful.
- 1:32I mean, in this country, the United Kingdom, we've seen the
- 1:36greatest movement for human rights this world has ever seen,
- 1:39the abolitionist movement. I'm personally from the
- 1:41Netherlands and we didn't stop, you know, the slave trade or or
- 1:44engaging that because we thought it was bad the British forced
- 1:48us. So I spend a lot of time
- 1:52studying that movement and I realized.
- 1:53Are you right about it? Of course in your.
- 1:55Book. Yeah, exactly.
- 1:55Moral ambition. And I, I, I realized that it was
- 1:58part of a bigger societal shift that was all about redefining
- 2:02what it means to be successful and, and, and living a different
- 2:06kind of life. So is the key to this book that
- 2:08you're appealing to essentially smart people, you know, who've
- 2:11got excess intelligence, excess capacity, excess energy, you
- 2:15think they're using it in the wrong way and say, come on, get
- 2:18on board for something that you will feel that will make you
- 2:21feel good about yourself, that you might be remembered for.
- 2:24Yeah, Yeah. At the pearly gates.
- 2:25Yeah, yeah. I think the most ambitious
- 2:27people should be working on the most important global problems
- 2:30is it's it's as simple as that. We've got currently three types
- 2:34of waste of talent. We've got people who aren't very
- 2:37ambitious and aren't very idealistic.
- 2:39They're stuck in the so-called BS jobs.
- 2:41It's a highly technical term, you know, that scientists use to
- 2:44describe those socially meaningful, meaningless jobs.
- 2:47And it's about 25% of the population, according to a big
- 2:51survey. Give us an example of that job.
- 2:54Well, HR managers, marketeers, consultants, corporate lawyers,
- 2:57I mean, a lot of people stuck in cubicles and it's not me saying
- 3:01it about their jobs. That would be unfair.
- 3:03I mean, people can be the judge of the social value of their own
- 3:05job. So it is people saying it about
- 3:07their own work. I think that's tragic.
- 3:09But we also have a lot of people who are ambitious but not very
- 3:14idealistic, right? And then we talk about all these
- 3:16Harvard graduates, the Oxbridge get graduates who could, you
- 3:21know, build a rocket that brings us to Mars, but instead instead
- 3:25they become quants or something like that.
- 3:27And. Where does a historian or a
- 3:28journalist fit into that? It depends on what they work on,
- 3:30obviously, so I wouldn't want to live in a world without
- 3:33historians. I think that history has a lot
- 3:35to offer us, especially right now as things are quickly
- 3:41getting darker. Yeah, umm, we like to think that
- 3:44we're, we are so exceptional. I currently live in the United
- 3:47States, and I mean, that's a country in particular that likes
- 3:50to think that it is very exceptional.
- 3:52But we see things that can be a dangerous thing.
- 3:54Yeah, we've seen these things before.
- 3:56You know, we've seen democracy breaking down before, and we
- 4:00need people to take a stand against that.
- 4:02But I'm also quite critical of some of my friends on the left
- 4:05and some progressives who are maybe idealistic but not
- 4:08ambitious at all. We've got so many people who are
- 4:10utterly obsessed with their own footprint.
- 4:12For example, they don't fly, they don't eat meat, they don't
- 4:15use those plastic straws. But in the best possible
- 4:18scenario, they have a footprint of 0 and they might as well not
- 4:22exist, which is not very ambitious to me.
- 4:24And same is true for all those educated elites who spend a
- 4:28decade policing language, saying you can't say this, you can't
- 4:32say that. You have to use all the right
- 4:33words to describe all the injustices in the world.
- 4:36Well, that's also not very ambitious, and that's not how
- 4:39you actually help people. So where does someone like Elon
- 4:41Musk fit in to this, You know, Rubric?
- 4:44Because I'm here's someone, you know, who's trying to fix the
- 4:45problems of the planet, you know, trying to fix the problems
- 4:49of industry, of, of vehicular traffic and is trying to fix the
- 4:52problems of government. He would say to them, not
- 4:54everyone would recognize that, but that's what he would say.
- 4:56And he has been rewarded, you know, quite lavishly by, by
- 4:59shareholders. The question is, are we talking
- 5:01about Elon Musk? Pre Twitter post Twitter, I
- 5:04think the man sadly went nuts. But before that you got to
- 5:08recognize that he built 2 amazing, amazing companies.
- 5:11And I'm often quite frustrated by, again, some people on the
- 5:14left who say, oh, he's, he's, you know, fake.
- 5:18He's not smart. He's just doing with government
- 5:20subsidies or whatever. I mean, obviously he's taking
- 5:23billions of dollars in government subsidies.
- 5:26And that's exactly what it should do.
- 5:27That's what those subsidies were intended for.
- 5:29And he built an amazing company. Like the whole transition
- 5:32towards electric cars. Thank you, Elon.
- 5:35Uh, so, but. He's trying to apply the same
- 5:37principles to slimming down government.
- 5:39Now, you could say that he's doing a terrible job of it or
- 5:42he's being dishonest about it. But in his own, in his own mind,
- 5:45as someone who's, you know, maybe heard your Clarion call to
- 5:49be ambitious and morally ambitious, he thinks he's doing
- 5:51the right thing. And I just wonder if the problem
- 5:53is that what is moral ambition to one person is morally
- 5:57reprehensible to someone else. Sure.
- 5:58And it's very hard to find the common denominator.
- 6:00Look, I'm not a moral philosopher and I don't want to
- 6:03get into a boring debate about what is morality, what is.
- 6:05Good. What is called moral ambition?
- 6:07That's true, but I think that a lot of us are on the same page.
- 6:09So I think that a lot of people will agree that the fact that
- 6:1215,000 kids die today from easily preventable diseases is
- 6:16not very good. The fact that we are utterly
- 6:18unprepared for the next pandemic is not very good.
- 6:21The fact that 80 billion animals are slaughtered every single
- 6:25year and live in pretty horrific conditions in so-called factory
- 6:29farms is not very good. So I don't try to be very
- 6:33controversial here and I'm mainly saying like these are
- 6:35clearly very big problems. These are very talented people.
- 6:39Like maybe those people should do something about those very
- 6:43big problems. So we have these incredible, you
- 6:45know, global challenges, you know, which we keep talking
- 6:48about, whether it's, you know, the promise in the peril of AI,
- 6:51whether it's climate change, whether it's the next pandemic.
- 6:53And yet at the same time, what we're seeing is that national
- 6:56borders, you know, personal borders, walls, you know,
- 7:00frontiers are popping up left, right and center.
- 7:03So the trend at the moment is nationalism, selfishness, if you
- 7:07like, with a vengeance. So how do you, how do you
- 7:10breakthrough to that? Because that's not just about
- 7:13you're, you're wasting your life.
- 7:14You're much too clever to be a consultant.
- 7:17It's, you know, you need to have a different mindset.
- 7:19You need to cheer up a little bit, you know, be more positive.
- 7:22That's the tricky part, isn't? It I am unashamedly
- 7:25cosmopolitan, so I take inspiration from the great
- 7:30abolitionists who came before us, the suffragettes who fought
- 7:33for the women's right to vote. And what I see in that history
- 7:37of moral progress is the drive to expand the moral circle so
- 7:41that we don't just care about our own people.
- 7:43I mean, I'm a I'm a father. Obviously I care much more about
- 7:46my own kids than other kids, But I also have the ability to
- 7:50expand my moral circle and I have a career anyway, so I might
- 7:52as well do some good with it. And indeed, if you want to have
- 7:57the biggest possible impact, then often it does make sense to
- 8:01have a more international perspective.
- 8:03I know you had a falling out with Tucker Carlson, once
- 8:07Trump's favorite journalist. But I mean, if you look at the
- 8:10Trump world, I know you know, not everyone's bought into it.
- 8:14He has divided the world. But the point is that there are
- 8:17people who firmly believe in the United States and even
- 8:20elsewhere, that his particular brand of politics is the answer
- 8:25to our problems of not just prosperity, but community,
- 8:29family, all these things. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 8:32That's the fundamental political divide right now.
- 8:35It's on the one hand you have a 0 sum world view, the belief
- 8:39that yeah, if other people come into your country, they only
- 8:42come to take things away from you.
- 8:46And yeah, like with everything I have in me, and I think this is
- 8:50true for a lot of other people. Yeah, we want to fight against
- 8:52that because it's not in my view, not true.
- 8:55I am deeply, deeply worried. As I said, I currently live in
- 8:59New York. I sometimes got the feeling that
- 9:01Europeans don't always realise just yet how bad the situation
- 9:06is. We're talking about a real
- 9:08chance of an authoritarian breakthrough in the next couple
- 9:11of years. I live there, you know, on an
- 9:14immigrant visa. People are kicked out left and
- 9:16right if they are critical of the regime currently.
- 9:20That's what currently happening for me.
- 9:22This is not normal politics anymore.
- 9:24This is not left versus right. This is good versus evil.
- 9:27Well, I mean, I, I think we'll talk about left and right in a
- 9:29minute because those labels seem to have been diluted somewhat.
- 9:32But there's a reason why Trump got elected the first time
- 9:37slightly less convincingly and the reason why he got elected a
- 9:40second time more convincingly. And there's a reason why, you
- 9:44know, he has this extraordinary following.
- 9:46I mean, it is a cult like follow.
- 9:47You talked about a cult at the beginning.
- 9:49And I think those people, yeah. I just wonder how you
- 9:52breakthrough, whether you should even bother where you're
- 9:54bothering to breakthrough to those people who voted for him
- 9:57to say I want to understand why you're so angry, you know, and
- 10:01then maybe we could use that rage in a different.
- 10:03Way. So I think it's a lost.
- 10:04I worked in a journalism platform for a long time in the
- 10:07Netherlands, where we would always say like we need to break
- 10:09out of our bubble. And I was always like, should we
- 10:11really? Like I want my friends to read
- 10:13my pieces in. Very often they don't.
- 10:16Even so, in this book I am talking to my own people because
- 10:21I'm frankly a bit angry at them. You know so many of them.
- 10:26Angry with your own people or the other people or my own
- 10:28people? Because many of us went to great
- 10:31universities, maybe we went to Oxford or Cambridge, and we
- 10:34wrote these application essays when we wanted to get in.
- 10:37And we said that we were going to, you know, make a massive
- 10:40difference. We were going to take on global
- 10:42hunger. We were going to build
- 10:43affordable housing. We were going to accelerate the
- 10:45clean energy transition. And look at us, what are we
- 10:48doing? So I'm not really interested in
- 10:51preaching at MAGA people or anything like that.
- 10:53I think you want to preach. At your own people.
- 10:55Exactly, exactly. And I think a big reasons why.
- 10:57Progressive are really annoying. Yeah, sure, but I, I guess I'm
- 11:02more effective if I am trying to convince people in my own circle
- 11:09than if I, you know, and. And by the way, half of the
- 11:12country already has an essential job, right?
- 11:15Teachers, plumbers, nurses, care workers.
- 11:17They don't need some lecture about moral ambition from me.
- 11:21I have been incredibly frustrated by the purity
- 11:25politics that's been so dominant on the left.
- 11:28We talk about it, the the policing of language, the utter
- 11:36inability to actually build things, to actually achieve
- 11:39things. I think we got to have a real
- 11:41honest conversation about why has government become so
- 11:44ineffective? For example, we can say, Oh
- 11:48yeah, clean energy now, but if it's actually illegal to build
- 11:52because of all kinds of red tape, etcetera, well, that is a
- 11:56problem. Why does so many talent flow to
- 11:58the private sector or to Silicon Valley, for example?
- 12:01Well, because you can still build in the virtual world,
- 12:04right? You can still build with bits
- 12:05and bytes, but you very often can't build with real bricks and
- 12:09mortar, right? That's, that's become very
- 12:12problematic both in the UK, in the US, in Europe.
- 12:15So got to have an honest conversation about that.
- 12:17If you don't fix real problems for real people in the real
- 12:19world, then at some point they get very angry and they start
- 12:22voting for, you know, people who don't have the best of
- 12:25intentions. But fixing real problems, we
- 12:27call it, you know, here we love to talk about fixing potholes in
- 12:30the streets, you know, build, you know, housing, all these
- 12:33sort of basic things, infrastructure, roads, better
- 12:36plumbing. This is also the kind of stuff
- 12:38that Donald Trump talks about. Yeah, he talks about it.
- 12:42He talks a lot about it doesn't do much right.
- 12:45I think we can now see that there's no real economic plan
- 12:49here. I've actually spoken to quite a
- 12:51few entrepreneurs also in Silicon Valley who are more on
- 12:53the right side of the political spectrum, who are feeling quite
- 12:56a bit of buyer's remorse. It's been, I mean, if the
- 13:00situation wasn't so bad, it would be funny.
- 13:03What we now have in the US is court politics.
- 13:07You have Donald Trump at the center of it all.
- 13:09And the people who are best at sucking up to him, well, they
- 13:12maybe they get, you know, a little bit of candy.
- 13:16So yeah, you wave with a letter from from the king or something
- 13:18like that. And maybe that works for a
- 13:20while, but this is the situation we're in.
- 13:22It's an utterly unhinged kind of politics.
- 13:25But it's also a cult, isn't it? And it's a kind of revolution.
- 13:28And in the revolution, what happens is that when the
- 13:30revolution doesn't work, mostly, you know, history tells us they
- 13:35double down on the revolution. There's more revolution, it
- 13:37becomes more radical. And then maybe at some stage,
- 13:39you know, there's a there's a correction of course, or there's
- 13:42some bloodletting or there's a counter revolution.
- 13:44Sometimes. So I think I hope, for example,
- 13:47is Poland. Poland also had a lot of
- 13:50democratic backsliding going on a very right wing populist
- 13:54government that was in power a couple of years ago trying to
- 13:59end basically the the balance of powers and the power of the
- 14:02courts. Then there was a big coalition
- 14:05against it from the left to the center to the moderate right.
- 14:10And I think that's exactly what we need right now.
- 14:13All great movements in history, honestly, have been coalitions.
- 14:17It's one of the things that, again, my friends on the left
- 14:20are always, not always the best at working together with people
- 14:23who don't share all their opinions.
- 14:25But it is very important. It's what you see when you study
- 14:28those abolitionists, for example, the great coalition
- 14:30between the Quakers and the evangelicals.
- 14:32You see it in the civil rights movement.
- 14:34People like to think that, oh, they were so radical and
- 14:37purists. No, not at all.
- 14:38The Super pragmatic and I think that's what we need again today.
- 14:43What's really interesting in America, and you see that to
- 14:45some extent here, well in Europe, is that the the
- 14:48storytellers that have that have captured the moment are the
- 14:51storytellers that are angry, the rageful storytellers, mostly on
- 14:55the populist right, but also on, you know, look at Germany on the
- 14:58populist left. There are plenty of those who've
- 14:59kind of ignited the imagination of young voters.
- 15:03Where's the story? Where's the optimistic
- 15:05storytelling in modern politics, the kind of things that you
- 15:08refer to in your book? Yeah, I see there the essence of
- 15:11what could become. So I think you're on the wrong
- 15:13track there. I think you're positive track.
- 15:15So it's not 2015 anymore. It's not a time where you say,
- 15:19oh, we're going to do good by doing well and let's give a Ted
- 15:22talk about it and bring the community together and have some
- 15:24nice. Conversations.
- 15:25I'm referring to that. I think this is a time for maybe
- 15:29you could call it moderate anger, right?
- 15:31You could still be angry at the state of the world, but but
- 15:35still be how do you say that sensible and moderate and
- 15:38compromising in your approach? I'm I'm I'm very angry about
- 15:42what I consider the betrayal of elites.
- 15:44You know, we have so many educated elites and they're the
- 15:47big betrayal is not a lack of empathy, a lack of listening to
- 15:51Trump voters or reform. Voters to match.
- 15:54Match their anger with my anger, that's what you're saying.
- 15:57I think that sometimes there just to fight anger that can
- 16:00motivate people, because here, as I said, the big betrayal is
- 16:05the the lack of actually contributing to the common good.
- 16:09So that that is the betrayal. Yes, of the elites.
- 16:11Exactly what other people like to call the elites, yeah.
- 16:14Yeah, yeah. And honestly, for me, writing
- 16:15this book, writing about moral ambition, also, you know, it
- 16:21helped me to take a long, hard look in the mirror.
- 16:23I've spent a decade of my career in the awareness industry,
- 16:26standing on the sideline, you know, giving my opinion, looking
- 16:29at the people who are in the arena, doing the actual work.
- 16:32And I started experiencing this emotion that I like to describe
- 16:35as moral envy. I think more journalists could
- 16:39use some moral envy because, you know, for us, and I guess I'm
- 16:43not really a journalist. Anymore what is moral envy?
- 16:45It is. It is just looking at those
- 16:47people who are doing the good work, who are taking the risks,
- 16:50who have this entrepreneurial approach, who don't always
- 16:53succeed, who have to sacrifice, who have to, who fall and then
- 16:57stand up again. It's something I I deeply
- 17:01admire. Just getting back to the
- 17:02sacrifices that you're asking people to make by giving up.
- 17:05You know, that that job in consulting and banking, I mean,
- 17:08a lot of jobs that you would classify as kind of relatively
- 17:12useless, let's say, well, the world would continue spinning
- 17:14without those jobs. Those are jobs that don't pay
- 17:17particularly well, but they pay enough to pay someone's
- 17:19mortgage, you know, to provide, you know, 3 square meals a day.
- 17:22And I mean, when people are squeezed economically, yeah, you
- 17:26know, do they then still have the luxury to think about doing
- 17:29the morally right thing or not? Money matters Margaret Thatcher
- 17:32had this excellent saying when she said that the Good Samaritan
- 17:36didn't just have good intentions.
- 17:38You have cash, you have money as well, right and in the fight
- 17:40against some of the biggest problems we face, we need money.
- 17:43So I Co founded an organization called the School for More
- 17:46Ambition. We like to see ourselves as the
- 17:48Robin Hoods of talent. We take away these people out of
- 17:51the Bermuda Triangle of talent, consultancy, corporate law and
- 17:55finance and we convince them to work on some of these most
- 17:58important things. For example, the fight against
- 18:00the the tobacco industry is one of the causes we took up in
- 18:03Europe. What you quickly realize if
- 18:05you're working on that is that there's a total lack of capital
- 18:08here. So there what you also need is
- 18:10entrepreneurial people, people who have built great companies,
- 18:13skilled those companies who climbed the first ladder of
- 18:15success and who are now like, OK, let's use that capital to
- 18:19make a big difference. Again, abolitionists,
- 18:21suffragettes, they weren't financed by the government.
- 18:24They weren't financed, you know, with some fancy corporate ad
- 18:27deal or whatever. No, they were financed by brave
- 18:30individual philanthropists. So money is important.
- 18:33But, you know, especially in America where philanthropy is
- 18:35also tax deductible, They're they're for.
- 18:38Now, actually, but, well, Trump is going to crack at he's going
- 18:40to come. I'm sure he might.
- 18:42I wouldn't be surprised at all. But you know, there's some very,
- 18:44very rich individuals and you've met them, you know, they, they
- 18:47show up at Davos and they say we want to be taxed more, we want
- 18:50to pay more money in taxation. And, and indeed, many of them
- 18:53could, and they wouldn't be missing meals if they did.
- 18:56But they're not the real challenge, are they?
- 18:58The real challenge is that the people in the kind of lower
- 19:00tiers who don't earn that much money, but there are millions of
- 19:03them. Yeah.
- 19:04And you need safety in numbers to actually make to affect
- 19:07change. Don't.
- 19:08I'm not certain really. There's a great quote from
- 19:11Margaret Mead, the anthropologist who once said
- 19:14that we should never doubt that small grips of thoughtful,
- 19:17committed citizens can change the world.
- 19:18In fact, it's the only thing that ever has.
- 19:21So Peter Thiel, the right wing venture capitalist, has this
- 19:24great saying that he says what's the opposite of a consultancy?
- 19:28Well, it's a cult. It's a small group of people who
- 19:31are really committed to an ideal that they're willing to fight
- 19:33for. Now that's not necessarily good.
- 19:35You could argue that some of the worst dictatorships started as
- 19:38as a cult, but it's also true for some of the greatest, most
- 19:42beautiful movements we've we've actually seen.
- 19:45But then it rubs up against democracy, doesn't it?
- 19:47You could argue, for instance, that, you know, climate change,
- 19:50you know, driven by a small number of committed people, is a
- 19:52kind of cult. You know, we see the scientific
- 19:54sense of it, etcetera, etcetera. Trump comes along and says this
- 19:58is all you know, a lot of BS. You know, you know, you who
- 20:01still drive your diesel powered truck in Wisconsin, you should
- 20:04be giving your vote to me and not to those other people.
- 20:06And, and climate change in America at least, is now a dead
- 20:09agenda. Yeah, I mean, that is the
- 20:11problem, isn't it? You you may sneer at the kind of
- 20:14vast majority. You may not need them for your
- 20:15project, but they still have the vote and they can upend your
- 20:19best intentions. Sure, sure.
- 20:21But how? So you do need to persuade.
- 20:22How did those ideas enter the mainstream?
- 20:25You know, it was a small group of very committed people and it
- 20:29started in the early 70s. So back then you had a corporate
- 20:33lawyer named Lewis Powell who was actually on the board of Big
- 20:36Tobacco. He had spent much of his years
- 20:39railing against the scientific evidence on the dangers of
- 20:41smoking. And he wrote the so-called
- 20:43Powell memo, which is today seen by historians as the blueprint
- 20:48for corporate Americans political takeover.
- 20:50And they built this whole ecosystem, the Heritage
- 20:53Foundation, the American Enterprise Institute, many
- 20:57political action groups, and they had an incredible
- 21:01perseverance to really change the country, in my view, for the
- 21:05worst. But there's a lot of admire
- 21:07there as well. I mean, this is what it takes.
- 21:10Back then, in the 60s and the 70s, most people were Social
- 21:13Democrats. They were Keynesians, you know,
- 21:15followers of the British economist John Maynard Keynes.
- 21:18And they, they really succeeded in, yeah, creating this
- 21:23political revolution. So that is honestly what it
- 21:26takes. That's the kind of perseverance
- 21:28that you need. And what I see on the other side
- 21:30of the political spectrum is not nearly enough of that.
- 21:34So I see people who are, you know, who think on like AI don't
- 21:37know a monthly basis or even a daily basis.
- 21:40You know, they have a project here or there.
- 21:42They're not really serious about building coalitions.
- 21:45They're also not really serious about getting the necessary
- 21:47capital act to actually build a counter movement.
- 21:51And that's what we need if we want to be morally ambitious
- 21:53about this. What I'm hearing from you, and
- 21:55correct me if I'm wrong here, is that, you know, basically there
- 21:58should be a sort of almost the right to rule for smart people.
- 22:02Smart people with talent should run the show, and less smart
- 22:06people should basically trust in their smart people to run the
- 22:09show better than, you know, the messiness of democracy, because
- 22:12the messiness of democracy produces things like.
- 22:14That sounds like played out to me like we need philosopher
- 22:17kings. No, I that's not.
- 22:19What you're coming from? I think we have to be very
- 22:21worried about that kind of society because very smart
- 22:23people are less smart than we like to think they are.
- 22:26I am saying though, that it is not enough to just check your
- 22:29privilege, you also got to use it.
- 22:31We live in the reality that some people just have much more
- 22:37wealth, have much more talent, much more cultural capital or
- 22:41access to certain kind of networks.
- 22:43I'm saying use what you have to make a big possible difference
- 22:47and to move towards a much more equal and equitable world.
- 22:50I think we got to work with the world as it currently exists.
- 22:53I would love to live in some kind of utopian paradise.
- 22:56I don't. I don't think we are there
- 22:58nearly yet. And.
- 22:59And just finally, the phrase as it currently exists is sort of
- 23:02up in the air because AI is in the process of changing that
- 23:06existence, perhaps in a very revolutionary way.
- 23:09How does AI fit into this, this greatest sense of, you know, of,
- 23:12of moral, you know, ambition and personal sacrifice?
- 23:16If AI comes along and says I can do all that so much easier, so
- 23:19much more cheaply than you can. Yeah.
- 23:21So for a long time, experts, historians, sociologists,
- 23:27economists have been predicting that the robots would come and
- 23:30would take all over our jobs. I think we should never
- 23:33underestimate capitalism's extraordinary ability to come up
- 23:36with new, meaningless jobs. Currently it's about 25% of the
- 23:40workforce. That could number could come up
- 23:43quite a bit. I think AI will force us and
- 23:47hopefully also help us to rethink the whole structure of
- 23:50our economy. Basically, I think the time will
- 23:52become ripe for something like a universal basic income.
- 23:55Yeah, I think that'll be essential.
- 23:58I think we will. You think?
- 23:58That'll work. Oh, absolutely.
- 24:01Wrote a whole book about it. I know, I know.
- 24:02But I'm just wondering, you know, at the moment we're
- 24:04finding it very difficult to give, you know, people benefits
- 24:07when they can't work or find it difficult to get work because we
- 24:11feel that actually everyone should be working, you know, for
- 24:13their own crust. If you're putting people on the
- 24:15universal income that has to be paid by someone, I can see the
- 24:17discontent now. Yeah, and there we need just a
- 24:20quite different system of taxation.
- 24:22So currently we mostly tax labour and we don't really tax
- 24:26capital and wealth. That needs to be completely
- 24:29turned around because capital is going to be the great producer
- 24:32of wealth. It's going to be these machines,
- 24:34it's going to be these robots. So if we don't tax that, then
- 24:36how are we ever going to finance the welfare state or anything
- 24:39else? We care about the roads, fix the
- 24:41potholes, etcetera. I think it's that's really
- 24:44essential. But I'm not just talking about
- 24:46the redistribution of wealth. I'm also talking about a
- 24:48redistribution of talent because actually since the 17 and the
- 24:5280s, ever since the tax rates for the rich have been going
- 24:55down, we saw this talent shift as well.
- 24:57It has become more attractive to go to Wall Street, to Silicon
- 25:00Valley, to the city here in London to work in those jobs
- 25:04that are less socially meaningful.
- 25:05And I think that a more reasonable system of taxation
- 25:08where billionaires, for example, actually have the same effective
- 25:11tax rate as middle class people, wouldn't that be nice?
- 25:14I think that will leave let lead more people to work for the
- 25:18government, for example. I think it should become much
- 25:20more prestigious and and normal. If you are, you know you know
- 25:23someone who wants to build things that you go and work,
- 25:26become a public servant. Just one final thought, those
- 25:3010s of millions, hundreds of millions of people on universal
- 25:32basic income, What, what would they do all day long?
- 25:35They video games go ballroom dancing, I mean.
- 25:38So I think I. Had a lot of.
- 25:40Fun. I had a lot of fun for another
- 25:41book looking at all these predictions from the past.
- 25:43So John Maynard Keynes famously said that we would have a 15
- 25:46hour work week in 20-30. Isaac Asimov, the great science
- 25:50fiction writer, he said that the great challenge of the future
- 25:53will be boredom. Bertrand Russell, the
- 25:55philosopher, also thought that this was going to be a big thing
- 25:58and that, you know, the lost product of civilization will be
- 26:00figuring out how to spend our time wisely when the robots will
- 26:03do our work. I'd I'd love to have that
- 26:06challenge. I think we can figure it out.
- 26:09Maybe we've got a banned TikTok, but a.
- 26:11Bold Planet could be a dangerous thing.
- 26:13Yeah, that is that interest. That could be one of those
- 26:16challenges of the future indeed. Brickman, author of Moral
- 26:19Ambition. Thanks for coming on.
- 26:20Thanks for having me. That's it for this edition of
- 26:22the Forecast. Until next time, goodbye.