Latest / Elon Musk Podcast / Will Elon Musk's xAI project solve the Fermi Paradox?
Transcript
- 0:00The Furby paradox is mind boggling.
- 0:03If the universe is so vast and so old, why haven't we found any
- 0:07evidence of intelligent extraterrestrial life?
- 0:11The universe is about 13.8 billion years old, and there are
- 0:14billions of galaxies in the universe, and each Galaxy
- 0:17contains billions of stars and many of these stars have planets
- 0:21that could potentially support life.
- 0:23And the laws of physics seems to be the same everywhere in the
- 0:26universe, so the chemical reactions.
- 0:28The led to the formation of life on Earth could have happened on
- 0:31other planets too. So if life is common in the
- 0:36universe, then intelligent life should be common as well.
- 0:40But we haven't found any sign of intelligent extraterrestrial
- 0:45life yet, and there are many possible explanations for the
- 0:49Fermi Paradox. People think that intelligent
- 0:52life is rare, that we're just simply the first ones to evolve
- 0:55and try to find other life out there.
- 0:58Others believe that intelligent life is common, but that we have
- 1:01not been able to detect it because they're too far away or
- 1:04because they use a form of communication that we just don't
- 1:07understand. And Elon Musk is trying to solve
- 1:11this problem. He believes that artificial
- 1:13intelligence will be the key to answering the question of why
- 1:17we, as an advanced civilization have yet to encounter
- 1:20extraterrestrial life, despite statistical probabilities
- 1:24suggesting otherwise. And in his recent Twitter Spaces
- 1:29must detail the mission of XAI. It's his new company, and he's
- 1:33not a stranger to space exploration.
- 1:36He has SpaceX working on the Starship to take people to the
- 1:40moon and to Mars eventually. But there are other things that
- 1:44are unexplained, and XAI aims to develop an artificial general
- 1:49intelligence that will surpass human cognitive capabilities.
- 1:53The a GI, as Musk has said. Is not simply a tool to solve
- 1:57complex mathematical problems or to perform intricate analytical
- 2:01tests. It would go beyond our current
- 2:03grasp of the universe. The safering, the enigmas of
- 2:06dark matter, dark energy and gravity.
- 2:09These are the fundamental forces and elements of the universe.
- 2:13Fermi's genius also led him to a different conclusion.
- 2:16Why of any civilization with even a modest level of rocket
- 2:20technology, they could colonize the entire Galaxy within 10s of
- 2:24millions of years. Given enough incentive, why
- 2:27haven't we seen them? It's also since spark a myriad
- 2:30of proposed solutions from the scientific community.
- 2:33One theory suggests that other civilizations, mirroring our own
- 2:36dependency on fossil fuels, might have selfdestructed due to
- 2:40unsustainable practices before they had the chance to reach out
- 2:44across the interstellar void, other explanations proposed that
- 2:49alien radio signals are yet to reach Earth.
- 2:52That intelligent life forms might reside in the interiors
- 2:54rather than the exteriors of planets, or perhaps that they're
- 2:57technologically superior. Aliens might exhibit the great
- 3:01indifference towards lesser intelligent species such as us,
- 3:04kind of like what we do to ants or what we do to bugs.
- 3:08And at the core of Musk's fascination with the Fermi
- 3:11Paradox is this concerned that we may be the only beacon of
- 3:15intelligence in the universe. This is a troubling thought
- 3:17considering the nature of life on Earth.
- 3:20In a tweet from 2018, Musk said This is why we must preserve the
- 3:26light of consciousness by becoming a space faring
- 3:28civilization and extending life to other planets.
- 3:32And Musk isn't alone at XAI. The team comprises former
- 3:36luminaries of A I organizations such as Open A I and DeepMind,
- 3:41as well as tech giants Microsoft and Tesla and Google.
- 3:44Additionally Dan Hendricks, director of the Center for a I
- 3:47Safety. Is serving as an advisor, and in
- 3:50recent years, the Center for a I Safety has been vocal about the
- 3:54possible risks A I can pose to humanity's future, mitigating
- 3:58these threats alongside other societal scale dangers like
- 4:02pandemics and nuclear war. And in May, hundreds of A I
- 4:05experts, scientists, and CEO's echoed the sentiment in a joint
- 4:09statement. However, Elon Musk, while deeply
- 4:12involved in a I advancement, didn't sign this particular
- 4:15statement. Instead.
- 4:17Musk added his signature to an open letter issued by the Future
- 4:21of Life Institute in March. This document urged A I
- 4:24companies to initiate a minimum six month moratorium on the
- 4:28training of a I systems more potent than G PT4.
- 4:32Now, given Musk's history with a I, it is well documented
- 4:35concerns about its potential threats.
- 4:37His engagement in this A I safety discourse is hardly
- 4:41surprising. Musk, a founding chair of Open A
- 4:43I together with Sam Altman, Open A I's current CEO.
- 4:46And a consortium of investors committed $1 billion to
- 4:50establish Open A I in 2015. Musk himself claimed to have
- 4:54contributed $100 million to the fund, a figure he has also
- 4:58reportedly have in some instances.
- 5:00The narrative surrounding Musk's exit from Open A I is kind of
- 5:04shrouded in mystery. Musk publicly announced his
- 5:07departure from Open A I in 2018, setting potential conflicts of
- 5:11interest as Tesla began to focus more heavily on A I.
- 5:15And a report from Semaphore in March claimed that Musk had
- 5:18offered to lead open A I, subsequently leaving when his
- 5:21proposal was rejected. Additionally, the Financial
- 5:24Times reported in April the disagreements with the board
- 5:27members and staff over a I safety issues contributed to
- 5:31Musk's departure, and ever since leaving open a I, Musk has been
- 5:35openly critical of the company's shift in direction.
- 5:38In an interview with Tucker Carlson on Fox News in April, he
- 5:41remarked. They are now closed source and
- 5:43they are obviously for profit and closely allied with
- 5:46Microsoft. Now Microsoft and Open AI Share
- 5:49a multibillion dollar partnership that offers Open AI.
- 5:53Edit this out Microsoft and Open AI Share a multibillion dollar
- 5:58partnership that offers Open AI access to Microsoft's cloud
- 6:02computing resources in return for the use of Open Ai's AI
- 6:06systems to enhance Microsoft's products.
- 6:08Now in the same interview, Musk expressed his concern about A I
- 6:11models being trained to be, quote, politically correct and
- 6:15pledged to create a truth GPTA maximum truth seeking a I And
- 6:21his belief in an A I's capability to seek truth
- 6:24underlines his approach to a I safety, a factor that has drawn
- 6:28criticisms from experts and researchers, including ex A I
- 6:32advisor Hendrix. Now concerns are mounting that
- 6:35adding other resource intensive companies to the A I ecosystem
- 6:40could ignite a competitive rush to develop more powerful A I
- 6:43systems undermining and ferds to ensure their safety.
- 6:47Now echoing these concerns, though, Hendrix wrote in April
- 6:50that the emergence of a new major A I development will
- 6:53likely increase competitive pressures, leading to sacrifices
- 6:56in the tradeoff between safety and competitiveness.
- 7:01However, in a recent Twitter discussion with Congressman Ro
- 7:04Khanna and Mike Gallagher must defended his approach, stating
- 7:08that a maximally curious a I one that strives to understand the
- 7:11whole universe would inherently be prohumanity, as humanity is
- 7:16inherently more interesting than its absence.
- 7:19Jess Whittlestone, head of a I policy at the Center for
- 7:22Longterm Resilience, which is a UK based think tank, was less
- 7:26optimistic about Musk's approach.
- 7:28Terming it as pretty unorthodox and quite naive.
- 7:32Will Stone question the clarity and feasibility of an A I being
- 7:35maximally curious and dismiss the presumption that such an A I
- 7:39would naturally be prohuman. Thanks so much for listening to
- 7:42the show today. I do appreciate your time and I
- 7:45appreciate you spending it here with me.
- 7:48If you could take a second and hit they subscribe or follow
- 7:51button on whatever podcast platform that you're on right
- 7:53now, I'd greatly appreciate it. Thanks so much.
- 7:56Take care of yourselves and each other.
- 7:58And I'll see you in the next one.