Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Instant Reaction: Nvidia Sales Forecast Falls Short
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- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.
- 0:08Speaker 2: Let's talk in video and video shares did shed more
- 0:10Speaker 2: than two percent ahead of its earnings report that are
- 0:13Speaker 2: due in the coming minutes. The stock up more than
- 0:15Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty percent so far this year. It
- 0:17Speaker 2: is the top performer in the S and P five
- 0:19Speaker 2: hundred and the NASDAQ one hundred. Let's go down to
- 0:22Speaker 2: Bloomberg Technology co host ed Ludlow, who joins us from
- 0:26Speaker 2: our San Francisco bureau, ed the most important numbers you're
- 0:30Speaker 2: watching in just a few minutes. When these earnings cross,
- 0:33Speaker 2: what are they?
- 0:34Speaker 3: I mean, all of them.
- 0:35Speaker 4: It's probably the most important earnings report in my career,
- 0:38Speaker 4: which is not quite as long as both of yours.
- 0:40Speaker 4: But you go straight to the data center business, and
- 0:43Speaker 4: not necessarily for the quarter gone. We have a good
- 0:46Speaker 4: sense of how that will go. Will probably be twenty
- 0:48Speaker 4: five billion dollars of data center revenue. You have to
- 0:50Speaker 4: go straight to the outlook or the guide for the
- 0:53Speaker 4: fiscal third quarter because that answers the only question we have,
- 0:57Speaker 4: which is what is the staying power of this AI
- 1:00Speaker 4: investment cycle?
- 1:03Speaker 1: And you know the thing is, I think about the expectations,
- 1:06Speaker 1: how high they are ed, and we've seen the stock,
- 1:09Speaker 1: which we saw it sell off kind of like early
- 1:12Speaker 1: or mid June, right, and then yes, we saw an
- 1:15Speaker 1: equal bounce like about twenty seven percent from that low
- 1:19Speaker 1: over the summer. So expectations going into this are super high,
- 1:23Speaker 1: which makes me think, does it have to be a
- 1:25Speaker 1: tremendous beat as we've come to expect from this company,
- 1:29Speaker 1: otherwise there's going to be a little bit of disappointment
- 1:31Speaker 1: or some questions.
- 1:32Speaker 4: Well, let's take the third quarter fiscal third quarter guide example.
- 1:36Speaker 4: You know, the average analyst estimate is thirty one point
- 1:38Speaker 4: nine billion dollars, but at the very top end of estimates,
- 1:41Speaker 4: you're talking thirty eight thirty nine billion dollars. There are
- 1:44Speaker 4: some on the street who have very high expectations. I've
- 1:48Speaker 4: learned from people like you at Bloomberg over the years.
- 1:50Speaker 4: One market session a market does not make. This is
- 1:53Speaker 4: a stock up one hundred and fifty percent year to date,
- 1:56Speaker 4: but almost one thousand percent from its October twenty twenty
- 1:59Speaker 4: two bear market low. It was incredibly overbought January through March,
- 2:03Speaker 4: and then again in June and July, and retail investors
- 2:06Speaker 4: continue to pile in that sets us up for some tension, I.
- 2:08Speaker 2: Think, yeah, speaking attention, about thirty seconds away from when
- 2:12Speaker 2: we are expecting those numbers.
- 2:14Speaker 1: Doc is up one point six percent here ahead of
- 2:16Speaker 1: the earnings. So we're just waiting for Nvidia to cross.
- 2:19Speaker 1: So we're seeing some trade ahead of the results, actually crossing,
- 2:23Speaker 1: some optimistic trading, if you will. As we said, the stock,
- 2:26Speaker 1: which was a little bit lower today, it's bouncing here
- 2:29Speaker 1: almost two percent here in the aftermarket. So I don't know,
- 2:32Speaker 1: seven seconds and we expect these numbers.
- 2:34Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna let Ed Ludlow take a look at
- 2:36Speaker 2: his Bloomberg terminal, as we do expect these numbers to take.
- 2:40Speaker 2: These numbers to cross imminently right now. As a reminder
- 2:43Speaker 2: in Kiga notes, let's do this typically hits at twenty
- 2:45Speaker 2: pass all right.
- 2:46Speaker 1: Second quarter revenue folks, thirty billion dollars estimate was twenty
- 2:50Speaker 1: eight point eighty six billion, So again that is a beat.
- 2:53Speaker 1: Company approving an additional fifty billion dollars in share buyback. Again,
- 2:57Speaker 1: the stock up about two and a quarter percent here
- 2:59Speaker 1: in the after market.
- 3:00Speaker 2: Yeah, the company c's third quarter revenue at thirty two
- 3:03Speaker 2: point five billion plus or minus two percent. The company
- 3:06Speaker 2: maintains its quarterly dividend at one cent per share. Second
- 3:10Speaker 2: quarter data center revenue that is a very important metric
- 3:13Speaker 2: to keep an eye on. That as the vast majority
- 3:14Speaker 2: of the company's revenue coming in at twenty six point
- 3:17Speaker 2: three billion dollars, beating estimates of twenty five point oh
- 3:20Speaker 2: eight billion dollars. So justin gross margin for the second
- 3:23Speaker 2: quarter coming in right above, just above estimates, seventy five
- 3:26Speaker 2: point seven percent, Carol estimates were for seventy five point
- 3:29Speaker 2: five percent.
- 3:30Speaker 1: All right, we're talking with Ed Ludlow, the co host
- 3:32Speaker 1: of Bloomberg Technology, and you said the numbers, you're watching
- 3:34Speaker 1: all of them, but you did single out initially the
- 3:37Speaker 1: data center revenue, which we were expecting about twenty five billion.
- 3:40Speaker 1: That's a bee.
- 3:41Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a B.
- 3:42Speaker 4: I mean, I've got the ticker for after I was
- 3:44Speaker 4: trade in front of me, and my eyes are bouncing
- 3:45Speaker 4: all around, and I think the market's taking a few
- 3:47Speaker 4: seconds to make up its mind.
- 3:49Speaker 3: Let's just run through it.
- 3:50Speaker 4: Thirty two point five billion dollars plus all minus two
- 3:53Speaker 4: percent is basically, I think in line with the thirty
- 3:56Speaker 4: one point nine billion dollars that the street was looking for.
- 3:59Speaker 4: I'll do the math on the point in due course.
- 4:01Speaker 4: An impressive beat, I suppose on data center revenue in
- 4:05Speaker 4: the second court had just gone in overall revenues. Then
- 4:08Speaker 4: we asked the question, why why was it better? You know,
- 4:10Speaker 4: they telegraphed that pretty well. And my goodness, don't you
- 4:14Speaker 4: love it when there's consistency, when something that we were
- 4:17Speaker 4: talking about continues to happen. And that is shareholder friendly policy.
- 4:20Speaker 4: And I think that fifty billion dollars of edition will
- 4:23Speaker 4: share buybacks, no one would be sort of disappointed with that.
- 4:27Speaker 3: The stock up, you know, ish in after hours.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, we had a we were talking earlier
- 4:32Speaker 2: about if things came in in line with expectations, because
- 4:35Speaker 2: expectations were so high, you might not see a huge reaction, Carol, Right,
- 4:39Speaker 2: even with a fifty billion dollars share buyback, we're barely
- 4:42Speaker 2: seeing stock move in the after hours.
- 4:44Speaker 1: Yeah, just up about one percent. Hey, dig it into
- 4:46Speaker 1: the press release. You're going to talk with Jensen Wong,
- 4:48Speaker 1: founder and CEO n Vidia later on. He says hyper
- 4:51Speaker 1: demand remains strong and the anticipation for a blackwell is incredible.
- 4:56Speaker 1: He said the company rechieve record revenues as global data
- 4:59Speaker 1: centers are in full throttle to modernize the entire computing
- 5:03Speaker 1: stack with accelerated computing and generative AI. Like, we know
- 5:06Speaker 1: this guy knows how to speak and talk about his company,
- 5:10Speaker 1: his market, his industry. But what are you looking for
- 5:14Speaker 1: as you go through this press release and what are
- 5:16Speaker 1: you thinking about that conversation you're going to have with it?
- 5:19Speaker 4: Yeah, my eyes went straight to the Blackwell commentary and
- 5:22Speaker 4: the anticipation being high. Excitement, anticipation are interesting words, but
- 5:28Speaker 4: they are not a granular explanation of what's happening with Blackwell.
- 5:32Speaker 4: The reporting was that due to the complexity of its design,
- 5:36Speaker 4: it has two compute dies basically think about two triangles
- 5:40Speaker 4: with a split between them, because it's so big.
- 5:42Speaker 3: It's so much bigger.
- 5:43Speaker 4: Than any other high performance GPU that's gone before it.
- 5:46Speaker 4: And the reporting was that this presented a production challenge
- 5:50Speaker 4: and so we want some specific detail on that. But
- 5:53Speaker 4: again this is classic Jensen Wang that everything is intact,
- 5:56Speaker 4: the AI investment cycle is there, and clearly he's bullish
- 5:59Speaker 4: because in video is ninety nine percent of the market
- 6:03Speaker 4: for this range of AI accelerators.
- 6:05Speaker 2: Shares bouncing around a little bit, but they are now
- 6:07Speaker 2: lower by about two point two percent in after hours
- 6:10Speaker 2: trading AD I do wonder what the demand story is
- 6:14Speaker 2: from customers, and now that we're seeing the latest results
- 6:19Speaker 2: from in video, what's the story that you're seeing? I
- 6:22Speaker 2: should say shares continue to move lower, down about three
- 6:24Speaker 2: percent and after hours.
- 6:25Speaker 4: So this is why we go straight to the guide
- 6:28Speaker 4: or outlook for the current period or the fiscal third quarter.
- 6:31Speaker 4: Because of the timing of Nvidia's earnings today August twenty eighth,
- 6:34Speaker 4: it comes at the end of earning season where the
- 6:37Speaker 4: capital expenditures guidance from the biggest Nvidia customers has been
- 6:42Speaker 4: and gone. So if you look at the capital expenditures
- 6:44Speaker 4: guidance of a Microsoft I think Carol pointed out very
- 6:47Speaker 4: smartly that about forty five percent of Microsoft capex goes
- 6:50Speaker 4: directly to Nvidia. We knew that they were committed to spending,
- 6:53Speaker 4: but how confident is in video in that trend continuing
- 6:57Speaker 4: over a longer time horizon. You look at the stop
- 7:00Speaker 4: after hours down now almost five percent. One has to
- 7:03Speaker 4: keep their feet on the ground and ask is that
- 7:05Speaker 4: so severe? Is it so surprising given how high a
- 7:10Speaker 4: bar this quarter was and how lofty expectations were.
- 7:13Speaker 2: One hundred and fifty percent higher so far this year
- 7:16Speaker 2: at five percent decline after earnings that beat estimates but
- 7:20Speaker 2: didn't blow estimates out of the water.
- 7:22Speaker 1: Well, I think you go to the outlook, like you
- 7:24Speaker 1: keep you know, emphasizing ed this high idea and I
- 7:27Speaker 1: know you put it out on the on the blog
- 7:29Speaker 1: of what came in all right, better than what the
- 7:33Speaker 1: average estimate was. But when you think about the high
- 7:36Speaker 1: numbers that some were expecting almost as much as thirty
- 7:39Speaker 1: eight billion dollars for that third corent revenue, like that
- 7:42Speaker 1: is going to color how investors, you know, react to
- 7:45Speaker 1: this number. They were expecting more, a lot more.
- 7:48Speaker 4: Yeah, And like I know that this is something that
- 7:51Speaker 4: Bloomberg people always say, but you also just have to
- 7:54Speaker 4: give some sort of context of where the stock trades. Right,
- 7:58Speaker 4: it is a stock that trades at thirty eight times
- 8:00Speaker 4: forward twelve month earnings. Again, I always look at Relative
- 8:04Speaker 4: Strength Index RSI and the terminal, but one data set
- 8:08Speaker 4: that I've tracked is that retail investors have absolutely piled
- 8:11Speaker 4: into this.
- 8:11Speaker 3: Stock of late.
- 8:12Speaker 4: It had all of the hallmarks of something that was
- 8:14Speaker 4: set to swing in. I have direction based on options
- 8:17Speaker 4: market trading, and I think the point that I'm making
- 8:20Speaker 4: without telling our audience about how the sausage is made
- 8:22Speaker 4: too much. One very wise editor said on our planning
- 8:25Speaker 4: call that even if it beats expectations or street or
- 8:28Speaker 4: consensus estimates, this is a likely outcome because of where
- 8:32Speaker 4: we've positioned ourselves in the market going into the print.
- 8:35Speaker 2: Meaning that expectations are just so high for this company.
- 8:40Speaker 3: Correct.
- 8:40Speaker 4: Yeah, Directs, I think, Tim, that's probably the understatement of
- 8:44Speaker 4: the century.
- 8:46Speaker 2: Well, you know, you're also dealing with base effects. As
- 8:48Speaker 2: we mentioned, the comps are really tough given where this
- 8:51Speaker 2: was a year ago and where investors expected to go
- 8:55Speaker 2: in terms of growth rate. I mean, as Abigail do
- 8:57Speaker 2: a little pointed out on our cair you know they
- 8:59Speaker 2: were seeing what north of two hundred percent growth some quarters.
- 9:02Speaker 1: Well, you know, this is something I used to think
- 9:04Speaker 1: about with Apple, like when it didn't live up to expectations,
- 9:08Speaker 1: it got harder and harder to move the needle on that.
- 9:11Speaker 1: And yet when you look at the numbers and I
- 9:14Speaker 1: understand it's all relative, and you've got to give the
- 9:16Speaker 1: context in terms of growth and so on and so forth.
- 9:19Speaker 1: And video is still selling a lot of stuff, right,
- 9:21Speaker 1: and it is the game in town if you want
- 9:24Speaker 1: those advanced AI chips.
- 9:26Speaker 4: Okay, guys, I'm really sorry to go on attendent. These
- 9:28Speaker 4: headlines are super important in videos saying it expects several
- 9:32Speaker 4: billion dollars in Blackwell revenues in the fourth quarter. I
- 9:36Speaker 4: King's just hit the button on the red headline. I'm
- 9:38Speaker 4: not surprised. Yeah, that this was the question that in
- 9:42Speaker 4: video makes a commitment to bring a new generation of
- 9:45Speaker 4: its AI accelerator to market annually, and there have been
- 9:48Speaker 4: the reporting on the design challenges about Blackwell. What in
- 9:51Speaker 4: Vidia's confirming is that they will book really really significant
- 9:55Speaker 4: revenue on that product in the early stage of its ramp,
- 9:58Speaker 4: in the final three months of the calendar year or
- 10:00Speaker 4: its fiscal fourth quarter. But they do make a concession
- 10:04Speaker 4: that they had to change the Blackwell mask production step.
- 10:07Speaker 4: I have to plead ignorance on the technicalities of that.
- 10:09Speaker 4: I'm going to run to Ian's desk and ask him,
- 10:11Speaker 4: but they are at least talking about it.
- 10:13Speaker 3: I think that this.
- 10:13Speaker 4: Commentary comes from not the earnings released necessarily, but the
- 10:17Speaker 4: CFO commentary that comes as an appendix to it.
- 10:21Speaker 3: So we'll dig into that as we go.
- 10:22Speaker 2: Is several billion dollars not sufficient?
- 10:26Speaker 1: Ed, what is several billion dollars?
- 10:30Speaker 4: I mean the relatively significant after hours decline is now
- 10:33Speaker 4: sort of less significant. That might give you a sense
- 10:35Speaker 4: of how investors feel about that. But I think the
- 10:38Speaker 4: idea was that, you know, this is a product that
- 10:42Speaker 4: we're not talking I've said this to you guys so
- 10:44Speaker 4: many times, and I almost don't apologize for it. When
- 10:46Speaker 4: we talk about an AI chip, we're not talking about
- 10:49Speaker 4: this little thing you can hold in your hand. The
- 10:51Speaker 4: core technology, yes, is probably about the size of a sandwich,
- 10:55Speaker 4: but it goes into a rack that goes into a server,
- 10:59Speaker 4: a big three hundreundred pounds server box in rows and
- 11:02Speaker 4: rows that fill out a data center. And that's the
- 11:04Speaker 4: scale that we're talking about. So when you produce it
- 11:07Speaker 4: at scale, it presents a challenge. And to me that
- 11:10Speaker 4: the shipment of several billion dollars seems substantive in this instance.
- 11:16Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting. I feel like, you know, we're going
- 11:18Speaker 1: to want a little bit more in terms of specifics
- 11:20Speaker 1: about Blackwell and what those shipments in terms of the
- 11:23Speaker 1: fourth quarter what exactly means, because that's outlook fourth quarter
- 11:26Speaker 1: not so far away, and you do wonder if that's
- 11:28Speaker 1: something that moves the needle significantly. This is everything that
- 11:31Speaker 1: you know people have been talking about.
- 11:32Speaker 2: Hey, Ed, before we let you go, you have a
- 11:35Speaker 2: conversation with Jensen coming up a little later, a special
- 11:38Speaker 2: edition of Bloomberg Technology, an exclusive interview with Jensen Wong.
- 11:42Speaker 2: Just the last forty five seconds we have with you,
- 11:45Speaker 2: give us how without giving away the questions, tell us
- 11:47Speaker 2: how you're thinking about this.
- 11:49Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that you know me. I love details.
- 11:51Speaker 4: So I'm going to ask about Blackwell, although it's Bloomberg
- 11:54Speaker 4: policy not to give questions in advance of interview, and
- 11:56Speaker 4: I'm sure somebody from Nvidia is listening, but that's the question.
- 11:59Speaker 4: And then I heard you talking to remain boss Stick
- 12:01Speaker 4: about his surprise that revenue comes from just five players.
- 12:06Speaker 4: I thought I'd been saying that on our network every
- 12:08Speaker 4: week the last two years.
- 12:09Speaker 3: But that is the question.
- 12:11Speaker 4: When do you move beyond that, you want to sell
- 12:14Speaker 4: to smaller and medium sized enterprises, governments and other public institutions.
- 12:18Speaker 4: Do you have some evidence that that's already happening.
- 12:21Speaker 2: That's a point that Ian King brought up at the
- 12:22Speaker 2: top of our two o'clock hour right here on Bloomberg
- 12:24Speaker 2: TV in Bloomberg Radio. I'm going to tell Romaine to
- 12:27Speaker 2: listen to you more, Ed, so he's not surprised in
- 12:30Speaker 2: the future.
- 12:31Speaker 3: Sy A lot going on, all.
- 12:32Speaker 1: Right, Good luck, kiddo. With that, we'll be listening to
- 12:34Speaker 1: that interview Ed La La, co host of Bloomberg Technology
- 12:37Speaker 1: at Bloomberg TV and again Bloomberg Technology, we'll have that
- 12:42Speaker 1: half hour special at six thirty pm Wall Street Time,
- 12:45Speaker 1: highlighted by that exclusive interview that Ed will have with
- 12:49Speaker 1: the CEO of Nvidio, Jensen Wog. And right now we've
- 12:51Speaker 1: got Sure's of Nvidia down about five point one percent
- 12:54Speaker 1: here in the aftermarket.
- 12:56Speaker 2: Happening quickly. The reaction has been big. It was nothing
- 13:00Speaker 2: and then it was more than it was eight percent.
- 13:02Speaker 2: It was like three percent.
- 13:03Speaker 1: Did you go down as much as eight percent at
- 13:05Speaker 1: one point. It's been bouncing around and we've seen, yeah,
- 13:09Speaker 1: some interesting moves here. And we are seeing as I mentioned,
- 13:12Speaker 1: Naszak one undred many futures there down about two percent here,
- 13:16Speaker 1: So we're seeing some drag. Not coming and done completely,
- 13:19Speaker 1: but it's interesting. Let's see what Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Semiconductor
- 13:23Speaker 1: Alice kun John Sabani has to say about that, he
- 13:26Speaker 1: joins us. He's out there in our San Francisco bureau.
- 13:28Speaker 1: All right, top of mind for you, cun John, tell
- 13:31Speaker 1: us about the quarter? Do they do Okay? How's the outlook?
- 13:35Speaker 1: It seems like there's a little bit of disappointment here.
- 13:38Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I think they did really good as
- 13:40Speaker 5: part of our expectations. I'm sure the Nvidia obsesses and
- 13:46Speaker 5: might be disappointed given the magnitude of the beat, which
- 13:49Speaker 5: we had called out to be in the single digit range,
- 13:53Speaker 5: and especially against the lofty, unsustainable expectations that some of
- 13:58Speaker 5: the again Nvidia opssis have been forming. But fundamentally in
- 14:01Speaker 5: terms of long term, in terms of the competitive landscape,
- 14:05Speaker 5: everything remains intact. We don't see any big risks out
- 14:08Speaker 5: of this earning so far.
- 14:09Speaker 2: Do you see any softness when it comes to the outlook?
- 14:14Speaker 2: Even though it did it exceeded some expectations, it didn't
- 14:18Speaker 2: exceed the loftiest expectations. Are you seeing signs of softness
- 14:21Speaker 2: with its customers?
- 14:24Speaker 5: I wouldn't call it a softness in terms of demand.
- 14:27Speaker 5: I would rather call it more of a timing. I mean,
- 14:30Speaker 5: in the given last thirty days, we have come to
- 14:32Speaker 5: know about the black Well delays, right, But as we
- 14:35Speaker 5: had called out in our preview, there's enough demand for
- 14:38Speaker 5: the Hopper series and the supply for that has come along,
- 14:42Speaker 5: so they have the ability to ship more and more
- 14:45Speaker 5: to this demand, which kept them intact and the guidance
- 14:49Speaker 5: still came to a bait. Of course, I think you know,
- 14:51Speaker 5: the DLA might actually push out the magnitude of beat
- 14:54Speaker 5: which we would have expected into twenty five calendar twenty five,
- 14:58Speaker 5: which might actually drive increased to the upside of twenty
- 15:01Speaker 5: five numbers. As we get more details on it.
- 15:03Speaker 2: Help can textualize this for us in Video expects to
- 15:07Speaker 2: ship several billion dollars of Blackwell revenue in the fourth
- 15:11Speaker 2: quarter of the year. I feel like Carol, I'm parsing
- 15:14Speaker 2: a fed statement here.
- 15:15Speaker 1: It will kind of vague.
- 15:16Speaker 2: What does several mean? Kun John? Is that a lot?
- 15:20Speaker 2: Or is that disappointing to investors?
- 15:23Speaker 5: I wouldn't call it completely disappointing. Again, given what we
- 15:26Speaker 5: came to know over the last four weeks. When we
- 15:29Speaker 5: were working on the previous two weeks ago, we thought
- 15:32Speaker 5: it will be very little volume. So the several billion
- 15:35Speaker 5: actually is good in a way and comforting that Okay,
- 15:38Speaker 5: there will be some shipment, and it's not completely delayed
- 15:42Speaker 5: until the first Q fiscal quarter, so I wouldn't call
- 15:45Speaker 5: it completely disappointing.
- 15:46Speaker 1: So we are watching big tech falling after Nvidia their results,
- 15:52Speaker 1: as I mentioned, the Nasdaq one under many futures in
- 15:54Speaker 1: the aftermarket down one point six percent. Uh, it's you know,
- 15:59Speaker 1: I'm looking at the q Q that also we see
- 16:02Speaker 1: it down about half a percent. I mean, when it
- 16:04Speaker 1: comes to the AI story and the build out and
- 16:07Speaker 1: the spend, you sound really comfortable with what we've got
- 16:10Speaker 1: from Nvidia, that that narrative, that story, that actuality is
- 16:14Speaker 1: still intact. Is that a fair assessment of how you
- 16:18Speaker 1: see this?
- 16:19Speaker 5: It is and given we look at the fundamentals, especially
- 16:23Speaker 5: from a long term perspective, and not the magnitude of
- 16:25Speaker 5: beat and race quarter to quarter. When you look at
- 16:28Speaker 5: the disc earning season, almost all of the hyperscalers, the
- 16:31Speaker 5: big internet companies, the big cloud players actually announced a
- 16:35Speaker 5: beat to their capex and almost across the board to
- 16:38Speaker 5: their revenues. Right, So that again validates like the demand
- 16:42Speaker 5: is not slowing. Nothing has changed in the last two weeks,
- 16:45Speaker 5: just given the Nvidia results. So I agree with your
- 16:48Speaker 5: comment that we do feel comfortable around the broader dynamics
- 16:52Speaker 5: and the demand tailwinds for the AI chips.
- 16:54Speaker 1: So one of the things we just talked about with
- 16:56Speaker 1: ur Ed Ludlow too, is when you look at the
- 16:58Speaker 1: supply chain function on Nvidia their top customers, it's kind
- 17:03Speaker 1: of a who's who of big megacap tech companies. Microsoft
- 17:07Speaker 1: is their number one customer. Forty five percent of their
- 17:10Speaker 1: cap X goes to Nvidia Meta number two customer, forty
- 17:16Speaker 1: one percent of their CAPEX spend already goes to Nvidia
- 17:19Speaker 1: Super micro Computer, which we've been talking about a lot
- 17:21Speaker 1: in its woes or alleged woes that one about, I
- 17:26Speaker 1: don't know. A big chunk of what they spend also
- 17:29Speaker 1: goes to Nvidia. Alphabet is another one, almost fifty percent
- 17:32Speaker 1: fifteen of their CAPEX goes to Nvideo. So you have
- 17:37Speaker 1: enough confidence that those companies will continue to spend. They
- 17:40Speaker 1: are so important right to the Nvidia growth story. So
- 17:43Speaker 1: as long as you hear from them that they are spending,
- 17:46Speaker 1: you're pretty confident.
- 17:48Speaker 5: Exactly as long as we don't see any negative feedback
- 17:51Speaker 5: from them publicly. The confidence that demains. One more point
- 17:55Speaker 5: to highlight from the CFO commentary letter. This quarter there
- 18:00Speaker 5: percentage of data center revenues from the cloud actually came
- 18:03Speaker 5: down to forty five percent. It had been running over
- 18:06Speaker 5: fifty percent over the last year. So this is even
- 18:09Speaker 5: though on a magnetude terms, a small victory, I still
- 18:12Speaker 5: see it as a positive direction that they're diversifying slightly
- 18:17Speaker 5: slowly but away from the big cloud customers, and the
- 18:21Speaker 5: enterprise and vertical segment is growing significantly faster.
- 18:25Speaker 2: Okay, we got yeah. We heard from Ian King earlier
- 18:31Speaker 2: and also from Ed Ludlow earlier about diversification of revenue
- 18:36Speaker 2: Konjohn and the idea that the company is looking to
- 18:41Speaker 2: get business from governments, smaller companies offloading work that usually
- 18:48Speaker 2: would take place in the cloud to stuff that's on
- 18:50Speaker 2: prem what's that business from your view look like? Are
- 18:56Speaker 2: they making headway there?
- 18:58Speaker 5: They are, definitely. And again the one clear sign is
- 19:01Speaker 5: when you parse out the data center into sort of
- 19:04Speaker 5: three buckets. One is the cloud customers, right, one is
- 19:07Speaker 5: the enterprise, which is a much much more diverse but
- 19:10Speaker 5: smaller pockets compared to the cloud, and the other one
- 19:13Speaker 5: being the internet and vertical companies. We want to continue
- 19:18Speaker 5: seeing the combination of these Internet vertical companies combined with
- 19:21Speaker 5: enterprise continue to grow much faster than the cloud. Look,
- 19:24Speaker 5: the cloud guys have the biggest wallets, so they are
- 19:27Speaker 5: definitely going to drive a majority of the growth. But
- 19:30Speaker 5: we want that percentage that moved from fifty to forty
- 19:32Speaker 5: five to continue moving slower. At the same time, in
- 19:36Speaker 5: media revenues continue to grow as well.
- 19:38Speaker 1: Just to reset everybody, because nvideo results they are out.
- 19:41Speaker 1: They've been out now for I don't know about fifteen
- 19:43Speaker 1: minutes or so. Our headline story written by Bloomberg's Ian King,
- 19:48Speaker 1: who we talked to at two o'clock ahead of this.
- 19:50Speaker 1: And Nvidia, which is really the chip maker at the
- 19:53Speaker 1: heart of the artificial intelligence boom gave a revenue forecast
- 19:56Speaker 1: that fell short of some of the most optimistic estimates.
- 19:59Speaker 1: Token conser learns that its explosive growth is waning. Third
- 20:01Speaker 1: quarter revenue will be about thirty two point five billion.
- 20:05Speaker 1: The company just put that out. Analysts had predicted thirty
- 20:07Speaker 1: one point nine billion on average, so that was a beat,
- 20:11Speaker 1: but some estimates range as high as thirty seven point
- 20:13Speaker 1: nine billion, so almost thirty eight billion sales in the
- 20:16Speaker 1: fiscal second quarter, which ran through July. They though Tim
- 20:18Speaker 1: did top analyst projection.
- 20:20Speaker 2: I'm looking at Eddian King's commentary on our live blog,
- 20:22Speaker 2: which you should all check out while you're listening to
- 20:24Speaker 2: us on Bloomberg Radio or watching us on YouTube or
- 20:27Speaker 2: Bloomberg Originals. He writes that most questions will zero in
- 20:30Speaker 2: on how many billions of dollars in revenue Blackwell will
- 20:32Speaker 2: generate in the fourth quarter. Yeah, that's that's the question
- 20:36Speaker 2: we've been asking.
- 20:37Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely right, this is what we want to know.
- 20:39Speaker 1: So you know, we're talking also with Bloomberg Intelligence Senior
- 20:42Speaker 1: Semiconductor Alice Kunjohn Sabani who is joining us, and you
- 20:45Speaker 1: seem very comfortable with the report. Stock now just down
- 20:49Speaker 1: about one and a half percent, so there's been a
- 20:50Speaker 1: lot of bouncing around in the aftermarket. What if you
- 20:54Speaker 1: were sitting down with the CEO as our Ed Ludlow
- 20:57Speaker 1: is going to be doing at six pm Wall Street
- 20:59Speaker 1: time or six is it six PMOS six six thirty
- 21:02Speaker 1: pm Wall Street time? What would be some of your
- 21:03Speaker 1: top questions that you'd want to ask? Jensen Wang, co
- 21:07Speaker 1: founder and CEO of the company.
- 21:10Speaker 5: Well, I would definitely want to get extract as much
- 21:12Speaker 5: color as I can into the calendar. Twenty five outlook.
- 21:16Speaker 5: I know he might not provide that, but any more
- 21:18Speaker 5: color I can get on the volume or the dollar
- 21:21Speaker 5: outlook for the Blackwell series would be really would shun
- 21:26Speaker 5: all the concerns that we have right now and sort
- 21:29Speaker 5: of put to bed all the uncertainty.
- 21:31Speaker 1: All right. That really helps a lot because it does
- 21:34Speaker 1: feel like it all comes down to Blackwell, right. It
- 21:36Speaker 1: was kind of going in Kunjan, Thank you so much.
- 21:38Speaker 1: Look forward to reading your research that'll come out a
- 21:41Speaker 1: little bit later and into tomorrow. Bloomberg Intelligence senior semiconductor
- 21:44Speaker 1: analysts kujoh and Sabani on those Nvidia earnings