Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / 🚨Silver Supply Shock & Short Squeeze Alert!🔥Ethereum & Polygon Analysis
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: A silver shock is starting to hit the industry. This
- 0:02Speaker 1: is a commodity you guys don't want to miss it,
- 0:04Speaker 1: and how it plays into crypto is very interesting. Stay
- 0:07Speaker 1: tuned for that. Let's get into the first tweet right here.
- 0:09Speaker 1: This is Bullion Star, who goes into an issue around
- 0:13Speaker 1: the tightening of the labor or excuse of the silver market.
- 0:16Speaker 1: One thing they're noticing is the wholesale supply also customers
- 0:20Speaker 1: lining up before opening. If you don't know Bullion, these
- 0:23Speaker 1: guys are a big silver and gold supplier, both in
- 0:26Speaker 1: the US, New Zealand, Singapore, etc. Point being is they
- 0:30Speaker 1: are getting out there where a lot of demand is
- 0:33Speaker 1: happening on physical silver, and this is one of the
- 0:36Speaker 1: reasons why we're seeing so much movement on the silver market.
- 0:39Speaker 1: I think a lot of people got caught really flat
- 0:42Speaker 1: footed here. If you look at just some of the
- 0:43Speaker 1: key points here, silver lease rates, the cost of borrow
- 0:46Speaker 1: London silver overnight have spiked one hundred percent annualized. This
- 0:50Speaker 1: is hitting an all time high. If you look at
- 0:52Speaker 1: the chart right there, you just don't see this in
- 0:54Speaker 1: comparison to previous years. This is a titan move and
- 0:59Speaker 1: one of the things that happened on the show before.
- 1:01Speaker 1: We've had any Scheckman, and we had him on a
- 1:03Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago kind of breaking down where silver
- 1:06Speaker 1: was going and what could be happening now. And he's
- 1:09Speaker 1: out there in the field. It looks like trying to
- 1:11Speaker 1: actually acquire silver. This was a clip from today. Take
- 1:15Speaker 1: a look at what he had to say.
- 1:16Speaker 2: One of my large distributors in Miami sent me an
- 1:19Speaker 2: email almost identical to that Monday morning saying, we are
- 1:23Speaker 2: not taking any orders until we get a grasp on
- 1:25Speaker 2: the premiums and on the spread. If I go out
- 1:28Speaker 2: and I buy three hundred thousand ounces of silver right now,
- 1:31Speaker 2: in order for me to hedge it, I have to
- 1:33Speaker 2: use a colmex contract that's two bucks back of spot.
- 1:37Speaker 2: That doesn't work. Normally, I'd buy five million dollars worth
- 1:40Speaker 2: of silver in my warehouse and short five million on
- 1:44Speaker 2: COMEX to hedge my exposure. We got a problem, Yeah, all.
- 1:49Speaker 1: Right, So he is hitting it right there. They do
- 1:51Speaker 1: have a problem in how to deal with this. One
- 1:53Speaker 1: thing to consider is this right here at USA sending
- 1:57Speaker 1: silver bars to London. London. Basically the silver shock is
- 2:01Speaker 1: sending kind of shockways around the world. Because London. There's
- 2:05Speaker 1: many articles that have said London's actually not the case,
- 2:08Speaker 1: and then there of course kind of countering that with
- 2:10Speaker 1: don't worry, the USA is to our rescue. Andy actually
- 2:14Speaker 1: goes the opposite of this in this clip.
- 2:16Speaker 2: Take a look even the Bloomberg article that says that
- 2:19Speaker 2: there are ships that are being loaded up to send
- 2:21Speaker 2: silver over to London. I don't believe that at all.
- 2:24Speaker 2: There is not a chance in hell that the metal
- 2:26Speaker 2: can move over there fast enough to meet these demands. Yeah,
- 2:29Speaker 2: you're talking millions of dollars, So what the physical demand
- 2:32Speaker 2: right now would eat that up for lunch. And if
- 2:35Speaker 2: supply were just fined, they wouldn't need this pr push.
- 2:38Speaker 2: So it's tariffs bs it is, and borrowing costs in
- 2:42Speaker 2: London that is spiked to one hundred percent annualized. What
- 2:46Speaker 2: this tells us is that the demand for physical silver
- 2:48Speaker 2: at the highest level. The day is short cannot deliver
- 2:51Speaker 2: is the day that silver breaks free. No delivery, no trust.
- 2:55Speaker 2: And if COMEX or the LBMA fails to deliver, it's
- 2:59Speaker 2: not a dip, it's a lift off of silver, and
- 3:01Speaker 2: the concagion that would come out of that would be extraordinary.
- 3:04Speaker 2: Trying to tell you that I've never seen anything like this.
- 3:07Speaker 2: In all the years I've done this, I have never
- 3:09Speaker 2: ever ever seen anything quite like this.
- 3:11Speaker 1: All right, So just to be clear, Andy runs an
- 3:14Speaker 1: organization that sells silver and gold. He actually might be
- 3:18Speaker 1: onto something, and of course I think the market thinks
- 3:20Speaker 1: he's onto something. The race to move gold bars out
- 3:22Speaker 1: of London is so frantic they're even in the cargo
- 3:25Speaker 1: of your flight to JFK coming out of the Wall
- 3:28Speaker 1: Street Journal. This simply means that they are trying any
- 3:30Speaker 1: means necessary to be able to get raw materials of
- 3:34Speaker 1: these commodities moving to these centers where you can actually
- 3:38Speaker 1: start to do physical delivery, because that is a big
- 3:40Speaker 1: business in the silver and gold community. Now I want
- 3:43Speaker 1: to go to a couple more clips here. This next
- 3:45Speaker 1: one will go into a little bit around what he's
- 3:47Speaker 1: talking about. How long this could last. Take a look.
- 3:51Speaker 3: So does that mean that we could just as easily
- 3:55Speaker 3: see a major pullback.
- 3:57Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this, and as God
- 3:59Speaker 2: is my witness, I made a purchase myself today. Big
- 4:03Speaker 2: players are going to receive margin calls and things are
- 4:06Speaker 2: going to start to get crazy within a week. If
- 4:08Speaker 2: this continues, no one in the country will have stuff
- 4:10Speaker 2: for immediate delivery.
- 4:11Speaker 3: Wait within a week.
- 4:12Speaker 2: If this continues with this, why not? Yeah, absolutely, it's
- 4:16Speaker 2: that serious. Two billion dollars would obliterate everything that's in
- 4:20Speaker 2: the in the Western market in terms of physical supply, all.
- 4:23Speaker 1: Right, So you got to think about that, if you
- 4:25Speaker 1: only had a week's worth of supply of anything out
- 4:27Speaker 1: there in a commodity, especially, imagine the price shock that
- 4:30Speaker 1: that is going to send through the industry and especially
- 4:32Speaker 1: around the industry of silver or commodities like silver. This
- 4:35Speaker 1: is something that's being used in all sorts of technologies.
- 4:38Speaker 1: So it's a raw material, rare earth type raw material
- 4:42Speaker 1: that is now being pressured globally, and this is why
- 4:45Speaker 1: you're seeing such a move on the price of silver.
- 4:48Speaker 1: We also see this with with gold also accelerating up
- 4:51Speaker 1: the charts. Here's Mike Maloney, he's a Bank of America
- 4:54Speaker 1: and he's talking about the silver price prediction a little crazy.
- 4:58Speaker 1: Take a look.
- 4:59Speaker 4: Bank of America now sees sixty five.
- 5:01Speaker 5: Dollars silver plase gungling idiots. This could happen before the
- 5:05Speaker 5: end of the month. This is a forecast for next
- 5:08Speaker 5: year twenty twenty six.
- 5:11Speaker 2: They think that's going to happen, so gold.
- 5:13Speaker 5: Might hit forty two hundred by the year five thousand. Right,
- 5:17Speaker 5: These people are so far behind the curve and they
- 5:20Speaker 5: do not seem to understand or take into account human
- 5:24Speaker 5: psychology or math or math.
- 5:29Speaker 1: All right, guys, that's goldbugs, silver bugs understanding the market.
- 5:33Speaker 1: The fact that we've already hit forty two hundred on gold.
- 5:36Speaker 1: We've also seen these price targets that have been clearly
- 5:40Speaker 1: missed by some of the biggest ones out there, including
- 5:42Speaker 1: Bank of America, completely missed it. They're going to completely
- 5:44Speaker 1: miss it on silver as well. I want to go
- 5:47Speaker 1: over to this right here, which is Token i's commodities.
- 5:49Speaker 1: You can kind of see the explosion right here. And
- 5:51Speaker 1: remember there's no TOKENI silver yet, but see the tether gold,
- 5:55Speaker 1: Paxos gold all skyrocketing right there. There are a couple
- 5:59Speaker 1: of places is where you can still gain access to
- 6:02Speaker 1: it from a Token I side of thing, and I'll
- 6:04Speaker 1: show you that in a second before we jump there.
- 6:06Speaker 1: You can actually get silver over on your I Trust
- 6:09Speaker 1: capital account. So if you want to do long term
- 6:12Speaker 1: trading and do a tax free you can actually do
- 6:15Speaker 1: it over at I Trust or one of our partners,
- 6:17Speaker 1: perfect timing for them of what's happening in the silver market.
- 6:19Speaker 1: So check out I Trustcapital dot Com. We'll leave a
- 6:22Speaker 1: link down below so you can kind of learn a
- 6:24Speaker 1: little bit more about a CRYPTOIRA but also using gold
- 6:27Speaker 1: and silver, So go there. One other thing you got
- 6:30Speaker 1: to look at is this right here, tim Is. We've
- 6:31Speaker 1: had them on the show before. They rushed out to
- 6:33Speaker 1: get more silver as NFTs on their marketplace. You can
- 6:37Speaker 1: kind of see it. And then here was the tweak
- 6:39Speaker 1: coming in from Mani yesterday tm and sold many tokenis
- 6:43Speaker 1: RBA silver ounces. So again more demand on what's happening
- 6:47Speaker 1: over within the silver market in general. This is a
- 6:50Speaker 1: project and platform we've been watching here recently. I'm hoping
- 6:54Speaker 1: to get their CEO on. But it's called Denario, and
- 6:56Speaker 1: the cool thing is it's tokenized and you can still
- 6:59Speaker 1: get physical deliveries. Look at the TVL that's climbing within
- 7:03Speaker 1: DSc and Denario. The other thing that you have to
- 7:06Speaker 1: consider is this right here, almost this keeps climbing crazy.
- 7:10Speaker 1: But here's the interesting thing I want you to pay
- 7:12Speaker 1: attention to. These are the blockchains that they're on right there, guys,
- 7:15Speaker 1: Polygon Algoran plume, sonium, and B and B token I
- 7:18Speaker 1: silver over on uniswap, So that might be an angle
- 7:21Speaker 1: if you look at that right now and do a
- 7:23Speaker 1: TOKENI silver swap on uniswap right around fifty bucks, So
- 7:28Speaker 1: a pretty good deal in reality in comparison to what
- 7:30Speaker 1: we're seeing on physical silver. So let's take a look
- 7:33Speaker 1: at some yields on some of these Donario and also Rus.
- 7:37Speaker 1: This is one where you're able to go out and
- 7:39Speaker 1: earn some yields on TOKENI silver, and you can kind
- 7:43Speaker 1: of see the yields right there. But the point is
- 7:45Speaker 1: yields will be coming as we start to see this
- 7:47Speaker 1: market continue to move. Let's take a look here on
- 7:51Speaker 1: Polytrade and you can see it right there, commodities and
- 7:53Speaker 1: four x Donarios T silver. There's Arius or Rus right
- 7:57Speaker 1: there and Donario silver coins, so all of this over
- 8:01Speaker 1: on Polygon. Pay attention, guys, this is where it gets
- 8:04Speaker 1: a little bit interesting. Ethereum layer twos have been out
- 8:07Speaker 1: performing during this major recent correction, and this could be
- 8:12Speaker 1: good for Polygon because remember Polygon has been madic, which
- 8:17Speaker 1: is what it used to trade under. All of that
- 8:18Speaker 1: has been now reshifted I want to go over to
- 8:21Speaker 1: a clip because here is a little bit of what
- 8:24Speaker 1: sand Deep was talking about about L two season just
- 8:26Speaker 1: now beginning. Take a look.
- 8:28Speaker 4: So I think it was sixty two percent of tokenized
- 8:30Speaker 4: global bonds or on Polygon, which is obviously the majority,
- 8:33Speaker 4: which is incredible.
- 8:33Speaker 3: So we are the number one daily active users on USDC,
- 8:37Speaker 3: number one even above ahead of Base. Now we believe
- 8:40Speaker 3: that it's our time. This is what we do, this
- 8:42Speaker 3: is what we are good at.
- 8:43Speaker 4: So it's like six months ago, I think you hit
- 8:45Speaker 4: like an all time low.
- 8:46Speaker 3: All the L twos combined, Arbitram Optimism, Polygon combined at
- 8:50Speaker 3: less than ten B or ten eleven B today Hedera
- 8:52Speaker 3: hashgraph that has higher valuation than Polygon, Arbitram Optimist of combined,
- 8:57Speaker 3: all these three combined are lower valued than has Club,
- 9:00Speaker 3: which is an L one. This is basically a market
- 9:03Speaker 3: or pricing around el One's. Market is very heavily priced
- 9:05Speaker 3: around el On's. The markets will start reversing their pricing
- 9:08Speaker 3: of L two's also, which is extremely misplaced right now
- 9:11Speaker 3: and lower price all.
- 9:12Speaker 1: Right, so extremely mispriced, lower price right now. Stripe launched
- 9:16Speaker 1: the stable coin subscription on Polygon and Base now think
- 9:19Speaker 1: stable coin subscriptions primarily because that could be anything including
- 9:26Speaker 1: reoccurring payments. So think Netflix bills, any kind of bills
- 9:30Speaker 1: out there that have reoccurring payments, as well as subscription
- 9:34Speaker 1: platforms out there utilizing stable coins now on Polygon and Base.
- 9:38Speaker 1: So that's where the L two explosion could be coming.
- 9:41Speaker 1: If you look further over here from coinbased markets. One
- 9:44Speaker 1: thing to consider here is this migration that is happening.
- 9:47Speaker 1: All of this is happening between the fourteen and seventeen.
- 9:50Speaker 1: So this is Mattic to Paul token and sand Deep
- 9:54Speaker 1: even talks about that this is the biggest problem that
- 9:56Speaker 1: Polygon had. Let me go to a clip real quick,
- 9:59Speaker 1: he'll explain a little bit more. Take a look.
- 10:01Speaker 3: Secondly, we upgraded from Mattic open to poll. Okay, here,
- 10:04Speaker 3: everybody knows Matic is now poled. Yeah, but think about
- 10:07Speaker 3: that average trader in Turkey who's basically dives a uber
- 10:11Speaker 3: or rand the bodega. They have no clue. They just
- 10:14Speaker 3: they just saw that Matic is no longer there.
- 10:15Speaker 4: Yeah, okay, so for you, it's not talken about problem.
- 10:18Speaker 4: It's a problem.
- 10:18Speaker 3: It's a narrative problem. It's Token at like two percent
- 10:20Speaker 3: is like as low as it gets, tell me one
- 10:22Speaker 3: single project which has lower inflation than us, Like you know,
- 10:25Speaker 3: you see Solana for example, as seven percent relation. But
- 10:27Speaker 3: should the name go back to being Matic, like at least.
- 10:29Speaker 4: On exchanges, change the token taker back to mat Yeah thicker, Yeah,
- 10:32Speaker 4: that's nice.
- 10:33Speaker 3: But let's see what people say.
- 10:34Speaker 1: All right, So you see it right here, the migration
- 10:36Speaker 1: timeline starting to move, and of course with it, what
- 10:39Speaker 1: we're seeing is the acceleration around Mattic. And of course
- 10:42Speaker 1: all this ties into what's happening even in the silver
- 10:45Speaker 1: markets in general. Remember though, robin Hood delisted Cardano, Polygon Solana,
- 10:51Speaker 1: Remember that, guys, you guys remember that? Well, where do that?
- 10:55Speaker 1: What I mean by that is coming back all the
- 10:57Speaker 1: way to twenty twenty three, we're do a realist of
- 11:00Speaker 1: Polygon over on Robinhood. When that happens, who knows what
- 11:04Speaker 1: could happen of course with polyon token. All right, let's
- 11:06Speaker 1: take a look at goal versus Eth first to five K.
- 11:11Speaker 1: You can kind of see eth as leading it out
- 11:12Speaker 1: right here at around sixty three percent. So most likely
- 11:15Speaker 1: that's going to happen in terms of Eth being the
- 11:17Speaker 1: better play. But if you flip that and say, okay,
- 11:20Speaker 1: let's go into silver. With all of this supply shock
- 11:24Speaker 1: brewing right now, silver could actually be as equal of
- 11:28Speaker 1: an investment over all compared to ETH. So I don't know,
- 11:32Speaker 1: I'm probably going to play kind of fifty to fifty
- 11:34Speaker 1: on this right now. This is getting a little bit dicey.
- 11:36Speaker 1: If you look at ETH right now, even on a
- 11:38Speaker 1: forty percent move, that would put ETH at around fifty
- 11:41Speaker 1: six hundred. I'll kind of zoom in on that for
- 11:43Speaker 1: you guys, right around fifty six hundred with about a
- 11:45Speaker 1: forty percent move. Silver about the same position, probably around
- 11:50Speaker 1: eighty dollars on silver. And that's what Andy is kind
- 11:52Speaker 1: of pointing to is we could see an eighty dollars silver.
- 11:56Speaker 1: Silver is trading a little under sixty bucks right now.
- 11:59Speaker 1: So you guys take it for what it is, not
- 12:01Speaker 1: investment advice, but you guys should be doing your research
- 12:04Speaker 1: right now around how all this plays into the crypto
- 12:06Speaker 1: markets and investing in general. If you're not part of
- 12:08Speaker 1: the Diamond circle, get in. It's a great place to
- 12:10Speaker 1: get additional content from me and follow me out there
- 12:13Speaker 1: on X at Paul Baron. We'll catch you next time
- 12:15Speaker 1: right here on The Paul Baron Show,