Latest / Winning Cures Everything | College Football / Week 1 Explodes: UMass Upset, LSU Lawsuit, Sharp Money

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Week 1 Explodes: UMass Upset, LSU Lawsuit, Sharp Money · Winning Cures Everything | College Football

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: In October of 2024, UMass beat somebody. And then they
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: lost 16 straight games. 16. They went 0-12 last season.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: They finished dead last in the MAAC. That's right. Thursday night,
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: they walked into Piscataway. They were a 29.5 point underdog
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: and they beat Rutgers by 16. And That's the biggest
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: upset in FBS football since Kansas walked into Austin back
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: in 2021. It's the worst upset loss Rutgers has taken
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: since the FBS-FCS split in 1978. And it happened in
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the first game of the season in 2026, before most
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: of y'all had even finished setting your DVRs. Twelve hours later,
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: the Southeastern Conference had sued one of its own founding
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: members in federal court. Coach Prime is back. Let me
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: buckle up. College football is back. It's completely lost its mind.
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: Can you believe it? It's football. I've been watching it
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: for 40 years. Are you kidding me? You're listening to
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: Winning Cures Everything. Game day, baby. Wake up or get out.
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: Here's your host. A confident young man. A superb athlete.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: Gary Segers. Welcome in. This is Winning Cures Everything. It's
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: a college football podcast. I'm your host, Gary Seegers, at
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: GaryWCE on the socials, most active on X. And of course,
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: make sure and subscribe here on the audio podcast and
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: on the YouTube page if you hadn't already done that.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: Numbers have been very, very good for the first week
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: of the season. I'm excited about it. Hopefully you are
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: as well. Let me go on and give you a
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: schedule heads up heading into next week because we all
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: know this is Labor Day weekend. It's a little bit crazy.
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: Week one does not end until Monday night, September 7th.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: I am going to be out of town this weekend.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: SMU and Florida State are going to finish up pretty
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: late Labor Day evening. Like I said, I'm going to
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: be traveling. The week one wrap and the week two
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: preview may land a little off the normal rhythm this
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: coming week. So don't panic if the next drop is
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: a You know, a day late or two days late
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: or whatever. But I will get this stuff out. I promise.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: You guys know at this point, I'm pretty regimented when
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: it comes to the season. But this is an odd
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: time of year. Odd time of year. Don't forget to
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: subscribe wherever you're listening. Apple, Podcast, Spotify, YouTube, all that
• 2:48
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• 2:51
  Speaker 1: helps us out tremendously in the algorithm and it has
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: started to pick up. So thank you for that. And
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: if you want to be a member, if you want
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: to support the show, buymeacoffee.com slash winningcures is the way
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: to do that. Keeps the lights on for us. Thursday
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: night was wild. The headline is the 29.5 point favorite,
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: or sorry, the 29.5 point underdog that won outright by
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: more than two touchdowns. I mean, UMass just, that Pop
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: Watson kid was unreal. And it felt like almost everybody
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: had it on because everybody was like, what is happening here?
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: That is crazy. The last time that UMass scored 37
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: points or more in a game was in 2023 against
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State. It's only the second time since 2019
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: that they have scored over 30 in a win. And
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: it happens so weird. Rutgers had a 12-play, 75-yard scoring
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: drive right out of the gate. And then UMass scored
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: 30 unanswered points. I mean, make it make sense. They
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: had a touchdown on each of their first three possessions. So,
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: Pop Watson III, 197 yards, three touchdowns, 80% completion rate.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: He is the first UMass player with three passing touchdowns
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: at an 80% clip since Liam Cohen. In 2008, yes,
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: that guy that is now the head coach of the
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars. Like, that is absolutely insane. Elijah Faulkner, the
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: wide receiver, caught two of those. Joseph Griffin Jr. took
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: a 31-yarder to make it 21-7. I mean, this was
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: just all around, like, UMass could be a really good
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: football team. I mean, it's just... And if you really
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: start to, like, dive into it, it's, I'm not going
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: to say it was, like, revenge. I'm not going to
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: say that. But the head coach, Joe Harisimak, or Harasimiak,
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: I think that's how you say it. Joe Harasimiak. He
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: was the Rutgers defensive coordinator from 2022 through 2024, looks like.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: That is insane. I mean, that is so crazy. So
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: he left to take the UMass job, and it looks
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: like he has built this thing up. Pretty nice, really.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: Pretty nice. That was a really good win for UMass.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, good gracious. And what a way to start
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: off the college football season. Huge upset to just go
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: on and let us know that, hey, none of y'all
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: know anything. about what to expect out of this college
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: football season. Because I sure didn't have that one on
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: my bingo card. There are so many people that had
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: Rutgers in different money line parlays, and you just don't know. Like,
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: it's insane. College football is nuts. All right, so the
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: big game, the headline game of the night. Colorado comes back,
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: beats Georgia Tech 14-13. Blocked field goal as time expired.
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: They were down 13-7 with less than two minutes left
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: and took a minute and one second to drive down
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: the field and score a touchdown. Beautiful wheel route by
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: Juju Lewis. I mean, just unbelievable. It was ugly football
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: for 58 minutes. At halftime, it was Georgia Tech 10,
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Colorado 7. Colorado only gave up two field goals on defense.
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: Colorado looks good, at least in this game. They slowed
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: down the running game. Their offensive line looked aggressive. They
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: were opening up holes. It looked good. Ball security was
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: just a mess on both sides. Georgia Tech quarterback Alberto Mendoza,
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: he was seen trying to use baby powder on his
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: hands to get a grip on the football. Defensive lineman
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: Lamont Lester racked up three sacks. Like, Colorado had a
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: 38-yard field goal blocked. I mean, everything about this was
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: just such a weird, weird game. Georgia Tech had so
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: many opportunities to score. Ended up with no points when
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: they got down to the one-yard line. They had to
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: kick a 29-yard field goal with 140 to go. And...
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: Up until that last drive, Juju Lewis was 10 of
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: 21 for 64 yards. And then he led an 8-play,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: 75-yard drive to go up 14-13. Like... It's just insane.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: And immediately, of course, there's 40-something seconds left when they
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: go up 14-13. And Mendoza... comes back out, and on
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: the first play, he hits Daylon Pinson for 42 yards
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: to the Colorado 33. You know. And then Burr lines
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: up from 45 as time expires, and the Tennessee transfer
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: who played the last two seasons in Knoxville, Boo Carter,
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: he's the one that got the block on the last
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: field goal of the game. So you had two blocked
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: field goals and all kinds of mess. Look, Colorado went
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: 3-9 last year. That That was a pretty big downturn,
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: and some of the stuff that came out of that
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: program last year was not ideal. I think that's the
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: easiest way to say it. But this is a road
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: win over a Georgia Tech team that went 9-4 last year,
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: and they had AP preseason votes. Like, the offense was
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: genuinely bad for three and a half quarters. Like, I
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: don't know that I'm going to change... anything about my
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: power ratings on these two but but it was it
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: was pretty ridiculous so there was a lot that happened
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: last night Akron got a backdoor cover Missouri walloped Arkansas
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: Pine Bluff UCF 73-6 over Bethune-Cookman Illinois 42-23 on UAB
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: that one yeah they didn't cover that so UAB covers
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: Utah 66, Idaho 14, and then the game late, late
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: last night, the one that was the only one on
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: at 11 o'clock last night that I ended up watching
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: the last you know 15 minutes of whatever it was
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: Buffalo and Albany and Albany was up 17 to 14
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: for a good chunk of that second half it felt
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: like and Buffalo found a way to come back win
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: the ball game 21 to 17 they had to get
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: a turnover on downs inside their own 10 yard line
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: with like less than two minutes left in the game
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: Albany was, you know, doing their thing. Doing their thing.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: And could not quite get it done. Illinois needed a
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: Hail Mary to feel good about themselves. Caden Houser, he
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: found Ty Robinson for 54 yards as the half expired
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: to make it 21-13. UAB, Ryder Burton, had them at
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: 14-13 before that. Now it ended up 42-23. But yeah.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: utah looked good now granted this was an fcs opponent
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: but yeah i mean good gracious devin dampier did his
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: thing uh threw three touchdowns uh way sean parker he
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: got two of them and then ran for another one
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: utah was up 31 to 7 at the half you
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: know they they did whatever they wanted to do uh
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: Minnesota won 59-7. Javon Tracy was pretty much uncoverable in
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: that game. Buffalo and Albany was delayed for two hours
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: and 45 minutes, and it finished kind of late, but
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: that was good. That was not bad. Totals went 7-3
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: to the over last night. Only Colorado and Georgia Tech,
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: which was 27 total points, that was way under the 50.5. But, yeah, Delaware,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: Merrimack went under, and Buffalo, Albany stayed under. The Buffalo
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: line move was a bullseye. Like, these are the market
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: stories from Thursday that you need to figure out. Buffalo
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: opened minus 24.5, and it got hammered down to minus 18.5
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: before a kick, like a full six points. And, you know,
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: normally you chase that kind of steam. You don't get there,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: but this was right there. Everybody that bet that knew
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: what they were doing. Knew exactly what they were doing.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: And the Minnesota total was a bullseye as well. That
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: was another one that absolutely everybody knew what they were doing.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: The over cruised in that game. 72% of the tickets
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: were on over 51.5, but only 8% of the money.
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: And the under had 28% of bets on and 92%
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: of the handle. That's wild. The over opened with 83%
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: of the handle, and it collapsed to only 8% by kick.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: Big bets versus handle gaps are not a real signal,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: it appears. It's not a magic wand. So that's the
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: way it goes. Alright, now for the good stuff. Sit down,
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: pour something, let me walk you through the most Louisiana
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: thing that has probably ever happened in college football. The
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: NCAA has been rewriting eligibility rules. Most of you should
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: know that by now. They're moving toward an age and
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: clock-based system. So a whole batch of guys that started
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: their college careers in 2022 looked at the changes and said, wait,
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: why did everybody else get a fifth year but not us?
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: So they sued. And there's more than 40 former college
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: athletes that are plaintiffs in the Louisiana case. 19 of
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: them are football players. The wrinkle that, you know, makes
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: it kind of spicy is the NFL guys, right? Some
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: signed NFL contracts, they went to camp, they got cut,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: now they want to come back to college ball. The
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: NCAA told them, no, you don't get to do that,
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: and a Louisiana judge turned around and said, eh, we
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: don't know that that's accurate. Now, the former Ole Miss
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: tight end Daquan Wright and the former Ole Miss defensive
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: tackle Zavion Harris. Harris spent the camp with the Saints, uh,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: Wright with the Browns. Both played for Lane Kiffin at
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss. Now, Kiffin is now the head coach at LSU, obviously.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: Sankey in the league office, Sankey is the SEC commissioner,
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: he looked at this and said, no, we're not doing that.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: And it wasn't just him. 15 of the 16 SEC
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: schools all said, no, we're not going to allow players
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: that were at NFL camps to come back to college.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: We're not allowing that. And their argument is this. The
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: SEC is a voluntary association. Whether the NCAA thinks a
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: kid is eligible and whether an SEC school can be
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: punished for playing him are two different questions. Sankey's position,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: that was in a sworn affidavit, is that the SEC
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: is not an agent or a functionary of the NCAA.
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: And he also argues that letting guys come back after
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: signing pro contracts creates a competitive disadvantage to and a
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: fundamental unfairness for the players who stayed, and it takes
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: roster spots away from high school kids. And I don't
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: know that that part's necessarily accurate, because they can have
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: up to 105 players on the roster, I believe is
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: the number in the SEC. So there might be open spots.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: You know, it used to be 85. The rest would
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: be on the practice team. Like, who knows? Who knows
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: how LSU is going to do this? But either way,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: the SEC... They laid out some pretty harsh penalties for
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: member schools that end up playing one of these guys.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: And that is a fine of up to 50% of
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: the sports annual operating budget. So you're talking like $ 50 million.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's a lot of money. Suspension of the
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: head coach for up to half the season. And the
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: school gets a loss of voting privileges in conference affairs.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: And the second one is the big one, I think. Well,
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: the first one's the biggest. I mean, obviously, that amount
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: of money... Put you at a severe disadvantage. But also,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: you know, Lane Kiffin could be suspended for six games
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: if they do this. And so all of this happens.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: And then Thursday comes and the SEC had filed an appeal.
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: And it was absolute chaos. The judge is William Jordan
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: of Louisiana's 19th Judicial District Court. It was a hearing
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: in Baton Rouge. The players wanted the temporary restraining order
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: upgraded to a preliminary injunction, longer-lasting protection while the case
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: plays out. The SEC wanted the whole thing thrown out
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: as it applied to them. Like, they were named in it.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: Greg Sankey flew down and took the stand. Wright and
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: Harris were there. They sat in the gallery together. There
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: were at least seven bailiffs in the room. And this
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: is for a football eligibility hearing. Like, good gracious. So Jordan...
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: at the end of the day, sided with the players.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: He granted the preliminary injunction. He barred the NCAA and
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: the SEC from punishing any school that signs and plays
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: these athletes. The SEC, of course, disagreed with the ruling,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: but the haymaker is that while Sankey was on the
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: witness stand in Baton Rouge, literally while he was on
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: the stand, the SEC filed a federal lawsuit against LSU
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: in Birmingham. So it was filed Thursday in U.S. District
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: Court for the Northern District of Alabama. Defendants, of course,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: were LSU, the LSU Board of Supervisors, the President Wade Roos,
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: the Athletic Director Vir Jossberry, and the football coach Lane Kiffin.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: The complaint alleges LSU waged a deliberate and coordinated campaign
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: to recruit professional athletes. So what you've got is a
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: conference that's suing one of its own founding members in
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: the first week of the college football season in 2026.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: It And the SEC said this is not about declaring
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: athletes ineligible. Their words are, the SEC does not bring
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: this action to declare any student athlete ineligible or to
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: prevent any student athlete from participating in any athletic competition.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: What they want is a federal judge to declare that
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: the First Amendment protects their right to disassociate from LSU's conduct.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: And that's the right of a private association not to
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: be forced to endorse something it finds contrary to its mission.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: And the Big 12, if it sounds familiar, it should.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: The Big 12 ran the exact playbook back in June
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: against Texas Tech over them potentially playing the quarterback, Brennan Sorsby.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: He bet on his own team when he was at Indiana.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: That's always and forever been an NCAA rule. It's just
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: a thing. And it's the same First Amendment argument, the
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: same fight over who gets to decide it. That one
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: ended with Sorsby never even playing it down for Tech,
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: and he entered the Well, I think he was going
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: to enter the NFL supplemental draft, and they ended up
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: not having one. So, I mean, it is what it is.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: But there's a lot of stuff that's going on here, right? Like,
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: the politics have gotten pretty loud. The Georgia Attorney General,
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: Chris Carr, he sent Sankey a letter that urged him
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: to take all measures available against LSU. He took a
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: shot at the venue, writing that it's no coincidence that
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: the school poised to use this order is in their
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: own backyard, the trial court's own backyard. The Louisiana governor
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: Jeff Landry, he fired back, arguing that calling these guys
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: NFL players is misleading. He said they're college players that
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: the NCAA told were done. The Louisiana Attorney General and
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: the District Attorney, Tony Clay, they're in the middle of it.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: Dabo Sweeney, who plays in Baton Rouge. on Saturday night,
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: he called the whole thing embarrassing for college football. And
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: I agree with him. I agree. When the SEC voted
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: to take action, LSU's President Wade Roos abstained. He was
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: not for, he was not against. So, as of Friday,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: LSU has to submit its 105-man roster to the SEC today.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: Pete Nacos over at On3, he reported that the players'
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: attorney has pushed for the court to hold LSU in
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: contempt if they don't roster the players. Daquan Wright said
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: that he expects to play against Clemson. And then Harris
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: has practiced for two days. If those names are on
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: the roster, the SEC and LSU go from, you know,
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: they go to a live confrontation. And we find out
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: whether the conference can actually punish a school that a
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: state judge has ordered it not to punish. The reason
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: you should worry about this is the eligibility rulebook in
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: this sport has now, like it's being written by county
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: judges and state attorney generals and everything else. Like, there
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: are multiple different players that are going in that have
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: TROs going, right? Missouri's defensive tackle, Sterling Webb, has his
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: own fight going. Like, Sorsby had his. There's dozens more.
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: Nobody really knows what eligible means anymore, and the people
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: deciding it are not in Indianapolis or Birmingham. They're all
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: in courthouses. So I guess, you know, We still got
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: to keep talking about this, even though there's games being played. Like,
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: it's just absolutely asinine that this is a real thing. Like,
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: we are still dealing with this. Let's talk about line moves.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Let's talk about market signals and all that kind of
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: stuff for a lot of games this week. Some of
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: the biggest spread moves on the board. Temple opened a 10.5
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: point favorite over Rhode Island. They're up to 14.5. West
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: Virginia opened 17.5 over Coastal Carolina this week. They are
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: now up to 21. Miami was a 21 and a
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: half point favorite over Stanford on the road on Friday night.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: They are now a 24 and a half. So three points, uh,
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: Cal opened as a favorite. They are now a one
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: and a half point dog to UCLA. That's three points
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: and a favorite flip. SMU was a two and a
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. They are now a three and it's
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: just sitting at three. Like I'm after watching that Florida
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: state team. I don't know what to make of that. Uh,
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: And then Oregon jumped up one point. Like that's, you know,
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: Oregon was favored by 24.5 over Boise. Now it's 25.5. Now,
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: interesting trend on that. Dan Mullen, or Dan Mullen, good lord,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: Dan Lanning, he is 9-2 against the spread when favored
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: by like 24 or more. Very interesting. But at the
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: same time, Oregon has never covered a spread against Boise.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: Like they are 0-4. So something to pay attention to. Uh,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: as far as total moves, UConn and Lafayette, uh, that
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: thing is down six full points, 58 and a half
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: to 52 and a half. Uh, Boise and Oregon is
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: down two points, 53 and a half to 51 and
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: a half. Uh, Toledo and Michigan state that, uh, if
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: I've got it down at 49 and a half, it's
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: now down to 46 and a half. So we'll, we'll
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: see what that looks like. Um, The sharpest signals that
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: look like sharp money coming in, Lafayette plus 19.5 at UConn. Toledo,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: Michigan State total, under 46.5. That's 26% of the tickets,
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: but it's 96% of the handle. The under 55.5 on
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: Louisville Ole Miss. Fresno plus 22.5 at USC. And Louisville plus...
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: At 7 or 6.5, whichever you get it at, 49%
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on that, but 86% of the handle.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: So Louisville plus 7 or plus 6.5. The Ole Miss
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: handle flip, that's a wild number. Ole Miss at one
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: point controlled 98% of the spread handle in that game,
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: and that thing has collapsed to 14% the week of
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: the game. So I'm curious if that's casuals or something else.
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know. Michigan State and Toledo
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: is one to watch. Michigan State minus 9.5, 94% of
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: the spread money is on that. The public and the
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: Sharps agree on the side, but it's not really moving.
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: And man, somebody was betting Toledo the other day like
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: they knew what the score was. I don't understand it.
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: Looking at the rosters, looking at What they've got going on,
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: I have no idea. No idea. As far as other
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: games where everybody agrees, like SMU, 90% of tickets, 97%
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: of the handle. And it went from two and a
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: half to three. But like, it's just sitting there. It
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: never went past three. West Virginia minus 21 against Coastal,
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: 80% of the bets, 96% of the handle. But that
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: one steamed. Three and a half points. Let's see. Temple,
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: 74% of the bets, 92% of the handle. It went
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: four points. It moved through several key numbers. It went
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: from 10.5 up to 14.5. I'm curious about UCLA and Cal.
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: UCLA has 88% of the tickets, 83% of the spread handle,
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: 95% of the money line, but The prediction markets only
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: put UCLA's win probability around 53%. So, I don't know.
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: That thing should be a coin flip, and there's a
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: lot of love for UCLA on the market. We hadn't
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: talked much about Clemson-LSU. It's the most heavily bet game
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: on the whole Week 1 slate. It opened LSU minus 10.5%.
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: It's been up over four months, and it's gone from 9.5
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: to 11.5. It's currently sitting around 10 to 10.5, total
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: of 50.5. And the betting markets are treating Clemson like
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: a top 25 team, even though they're not. The market
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: has rated LSU roughly 10 points better than where they
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: finished the last two seasons. So it's a bet on
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Kiffin and his bunch and that roster that they brought in.
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: I'm curious about it. Injury, injury news, availability notes, all
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: that good stuff. Uh, new this year, all power four
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: programs are required to submit player availability reports during game week. It,
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: LSU is essentially clean. Sam Levitt, he's healthy. Um, you know,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: he had an ankle injury that ended his 2025 season. Um, USC,
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: their starting center that we've talked about that multiple times.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: He's out for the season. Um, Lincoln Riley called it
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: a non-contact freak injury in the first week of camp. So,
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: you know, they, they already played last week, seemed to
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: do okay. We'll see what that means. Uh, Georgia's center,
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: Drew Bobo and their defensive lineman, Gabe Harris are both back.
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: They're taking reps after missing the end of last season. Uh,
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Kirby already said they're good to go. So there's not any,
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: from what I can tell, there's not like huge things.
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: Stanford's offensive line, they're down three starters. You know, there's,
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: there's stuff here and there. Um, Let's see, looking at
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: the big board, nothing too great. Sunday games are going
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: to be interesting. Washington is a 23.5 point favorite. Right
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: now Louisville is a 6.5 point dog to Ole Miss.
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: And Notre Dame a 20.5 point favorite over Wisconsin. And
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: then of course SMU on Monday night a 3 point
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: favorite over Florida State. Yeah, there's a lot going on here.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Like the reshuffled Pac-12 starts getting real data points this weekend.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: You got the Thursday night results and the week zero stuff. Remember,
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: AP poll does not update until Tuesday, September 8th. So
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: nothing you see in this weekend is going to show
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: up in rankings until Tuesday. Utah looks the part. Illinois
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: had AP top 25 votes, but they didn't look very good.
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech got a hit. Like, they got AP votes.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: They lost at home. Colorado, you know, they didn't look good,
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: but they got a win. Like, 64 passing yards through
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: three and a half quarters, that ain't good for that
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: go-go offense. UMass is the most interesting team right now
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: based on week zero and Thursday. They demolished Rutgers. Rutgers,
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: they're in some serious trouble. Greg Sciano was 13-4 in
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: season openers across his two tenures at Rutgers. He had
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: won six straight since returning in 2020. They came in
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: with a returning 1,000-yard rusher and a receiver in K.J.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: Duff who led the country in contested catches, and they
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: could not move the football. on UMass. And their brand-new
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: defensive coordinator, like, did not look very good. So that
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: might be a team to fade. I mean, they got
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: Boston College coming up. That's going to be interesting. So
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: it's going to be wild. So, yeah, it's week one.
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: We've got games on Friday night, Saturday night, Sunday, and Monday.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: We've got a conference suing one of its own founding members.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: We've got UMass sitting at 1-0. Like, I have no
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: idea what this sport is, but I'm not going to
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: stop watching. I can't stop watching. I don't know. Remember,
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: the schedule for this show may be a little scrambled
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: between now and week two. Holiday, travel, all that good stuff. So,
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: So hang with me. Make sure and subscribe. Leave a review.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: If you want to support the show, you can do that. BuyMeACoffee.com
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: slash winningcures. But for now, let's go and get out
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: of here. Until next time, take care of yourself. Take
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: care of each other. God bless college football and hopefully
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: all of your tickets cash this week. Thanks for listening
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: to Winning Cures Everything. Subscribe, leave a review or comment,
• 35:45
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