Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Mark Zuckerberg Always Knew What He Was Doing: Joe Nocera
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, along
- 0:04Speaker 1: with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day
- 0:06Speaker 1: we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts,
- 0:10Speaker 1: along with essential market moving news. Kind the Bloomberg Markets
- 0:13Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts,
- 0:17Speaker 1: and on Bloomberg dot com. Mark Zuckerberg always knew. This
- 0:21Speaker 1: is how jon Oh Sarah starts his column on Facebook,
- 0:24Speaker 1: which she says only has itself to blame for a
- 0:27Speaker 1: drastic remedy which might be in the works on the
- 0:29Speaker 1: part of a g s all around the country. Let's
- 0:31Speaker 1: bring in Jono Sara now for our Bloomberg Opinion piece
- 0:34Speaker 1: of the day. Joe obviously a Bloomberg Opinion columnists covering business.
- 0:39Speaker 1: So Joe, what did Mark Zuckerberg always know? Hi, Banni.
- 0:43Speaker 1: He always knew that these companies that he was buying
- 0:48Speaker 1: and telling the government it was just a little, a
- 0:51Speaker 1: little purchase. We're in fact, companies that he could see
- 0:56Speaker 1: might one day proved to be a serious competitor, and
- 1:00Speaker 1: he was cutting off competition with these purchases, even though
- 1:04Speaker 1: it was two thousand twelves in the case of Instagram
- 1:07Speaker 1: and two thousand fourteen in the case of what's happened,
- 1:10Speaker 1: if it was going to become such a problem, you
- 1:13Speaker 1: know that a g s around the country want something
- 1:16Speaker 1: done about it, Why didn't regulators stop those purchases at
- 1:19Speaker 1: the time. Well, to be honest, I don't think regulators.
- 1:23Speaker 1: I think I think Markael Zuckerberg was a lot more
- 1:26Speaker 1: foresighted about this sort of thing then the regulators were.
- 1:30Speaker 1: So for instance, you know, one of the reasons they
- 1:33Speaker 1: let Instagram go through was because Instagram had no revenue.
- 1:37Speaker 1: So the thought was, well, if Instagram has no revenue,
- 1:40Speaker 1: then they're really not expanding markets uh their market share
- 1:43Speaker 1: by buying Instagram. Um. You know. The other thing is
- 1:46Speaker 1: that at the time there were other photo apps, so
- 1:49Speaker 1: the idea was, well, you buy Instagram. You know, there's
- 1:52Speaker 1: still companies like uh Camera I think it was called
- 1:56Speaker 1: Camera Anywhere or something like that. Camera also, yes, Camera Awesome,
- 2:01Speaker 1: which no longer exists of course. So um, so I
- 2:04Speaker 1: think the regulators were you know, honestly, I don't think
- 2:08Speaker 1: Mark Zuckerberg and Facebook were completely straight with the regulators
- 2:11Speaker 1: about their rationalpha buying these companies. And second of all,
- 2:14Speaker 1: I don't think the regulators were foresighted enough to see
- 2:16Speaker 1: the potential harm down the road. So what's your outlook
- 2:21Speaker 1: for what happens with the FTC and these forty eight
- 2:24Speaker 1: attorneys general dual antitrust suits now to undo both the
- 2:28Speaker 1: merger of Facebook and Instagram as well as the takeover
- 2:31Speaker 1: of What'sapp. Does the succeed eventually? It's really hard to
- 2:36Speaker 1: know because, um, you know, if this goes to court,
- 2:41Speaker 1: you know, it's gonna be a couple of years before
- 2:43Speaker 1: there's a trial. That's That's that's point number one. Um,
- 2:46Speaker 1: And who knows, you know how you know, Facebook, no
- 2:49Speaker 1: doubt try to settle in some way that does not
- 2:53Speaker 1: uh force them to give up Instagram and What's App. Um.
- 2:57Speaker 1: And you know, like if you take the Microsoft case
- 3:00Speaker 1: as an example, Yes, the district court judge in that
- 3:03Speaker 1: case ordered that Microsoft be broken up into two parts,
- 3:07Speaker 1: but that was eventually overruled by the by the appeals court.
- 3:12Speaker 1: And and although Microsoft wound up being sanctioned, they wound
- 3:15Speaker 1: up remaining the same company that they once were. So
- 3:19Speaker 1: it's it's way too early to think that it's either
- 3:23Speaker 1: going to be broken up or it's not going to
- 3:25Speaker 1: be broken up. It's just there's no there's just no
- 3:27Speaker 1: way to know. Is it bad for corporate America that Facebook, Instagram,
- 3:34Speaker 1: and What'sapp or all one big company? Now? I certainly
- 3:40Speaker 1: think it's it's bad for consumers, um. I mean, the
- 3:45Speaker 1: the main issue is that there's no competition in the
- 3:48Speaker 1: social media space. They're just none. So if you don't
- 3:52Speaker 1: like Facebook's privacy policy, where are you going to go?
- 3:56Speaker 1: You go to Instagram, you're still in Facebook. If you
- 3:59Speaker 1: go to What'sapp, you're still on Facebook. Where you close
- 4:01Speaker 1: your browser and open a book, well you could, you could,
- 4:05Speaker 1: you could, but who does that in this world that
- 4:07Speaker 1: we live in? I mean, but that's sort of the problem,
- 4:10Speaker 1: isn't it? Isn't it a joe? People have really embraced
- 4:14Speaker 1: social media as a way of connecting, and it's it's
- 4:18Speaker 1: almost like they can't do without it. All of these
- 4:21Speaker 1: studies on addiction and so on, they really sort of
- 4:24Speaker 1: hit the point. People have now got so used to
- 4:27Speaker 1: messenger and you know, posting updates on Facebook that it's
- 4:32Speaker 1: almost like the phone was. It's become a utility. Well,
- 4:36Speaker 1: I agree with you. I agree with you about that. Um,
- 4:40Speaker 1: but I would say, uh, turning Facebook into a utility
- 4:44Speaker 1: is is even is more than even the Justice Department
- 4:47Speaker 1: you can hit the FTC can handle at this point.
- 4:50Speaker 1: But but look, if you had I need to, if
- 4:53Speaker 1: you had um, Instagram and What's App as separate entities
- 4:59Speaker 1: from Facebook, they could compete on the basis of privacy.
- 5:03Speaker 1: They could compete on the basis of how are you
- 5:06Speaker 1: going to use your data? They could compete on the
- 5:08Speaker 1: basis of what kind of ads will we put in
- 5:11Speaker 1: front of you or what kind of disinformation? Will we
- 5:13Speaker 1: have this information or will we not have you know,
- 5:16Speaker 1: you can have that kind of competition. UM and and
- 5:19Speaker 1: and I think that's really what the g S and
- 5:22Speaker 1: the and the and the FTC are are trying to accomplish.
- 5:29Speaker 1: Is there time, I mean, is it too late, I
- 5:31Speaker 1: should say, for this to succeed in the sense that
- 5:35Speaker 1: you know, even What's Up founder left because of how
- 5:39Speaker 1: you know, the what'sapp was turning into under the Facebook banner.
- 5:45Speaker 1: Is the train gone so long from the station that
- 5:48Speaker 1: it's going to be hard to bring it back? Um? Well,
- 5:51Speaker 1: you know Facebook has not really integrated those two apps, uh,
- 5:57Speaker 1: you know, um intertwined it is Facebook, so they you know,
- 6:01Speaker 1: breaking it up would actually be in those terms relatively simple.
- 6:06Speaker 1: The question is who would run those companies? And you know,
- 6:09Speaker 1: we're getting way ahead of ourselves. But my, my, my
- 6:12Speaker 1: strong guess is that the government would not allow some
- 6:16Speaker 1: Facebook executive to to go over to Instagram and they
- 6:21Speaker 1: have to undoubtedly find new leadership. UM. And so I
- 6:25Speaker 1: don't think it's it's I really don't think it's too
- 6:27Speaker 1: late in that sense. In a in a legal sense,
- 6:30Speaker 1: that's a different question. And the problem there is that
- 6:33Speaker 1: the courts over the last two or three decades has
- 6:37Speaker 1: become very tolerant of mergers and has used a very
- 6:41Speaker 1: standard called the consumer welfare standard to decide, uh, if
- 6:44Speaker 1: a merger is okay or not. That really UM makes
- 6:48Speaker 1: it almost impossible to put a glove on the big
- 6:52Speaker 1: tech companies. So that has to change over their course
- 6:57Speaker 1: of the next few years in order for Facebook to
- 6:59Speaker 1: be broken up. Will it hope, Joe? Will it hope?
- 7:01Speaker 1: These A G S and the FTC that you know,
- 7:04Speaker 1: many many early workers in Silicon Valley that totally believed
- 7:08Speaker 1: in in the projects, let's say, of connecting the world
- 7:11Speaker 1: have now turned against Silicon Valley for the reason you
- 7:14Speaker 1: know that it did become the monster that everybody got
- 7:19Speaker 1: eaten up by Will it hope that that so many
- 7:22Speaker 1: of those employees have now turned against Facebook absolutely, because
- 7:28Speaker 1: let's face it, those people are the ones who wouldn't
- 7:30Speaker 1: want on the witness stand um. Also, more importantly, almost
- 7:35Speaker 1: as just as importantly, is the fact that both Republicans
- 7:38Speaker 1: and Democrats in Congress really are become anti big tech,
- 7:44Speaker 1: so anti Facebook, anti Amazon, anti anti Google, and so uh,
- 7:49Speaker 1: there's a decent possibility that legislation of some sort will
- 7:53Speaker 1: pass anti Truss legislation will pass in the next Congress,
- 7:57Speaker 1: not this one, but in the next Congress that could
- 7:59Speaker 1: well um put strictures on these companies and make it
- 8:03Speaker 1: easier to break them up. Joe, we will watch this
- 8:07Speaker 1: with absolute interest, but it's going to be years, as
- 8:11Speaker 1: we heard earlier from Dave Wilson, So Joe, we expect
- 8:13Speaker 1: that you'll be following it as well and keeping us
- 8:15Speaker 1: up to date with your Bloomberg opinion columns out really
- 8:18Speaker 1: all week on the Bloomberg and please do follow Jonah
- 8:21Speaker 1: Sarah for all of his wonderful columns. That's Jonah Sarah,
- 8:24Speaker 1: Bloomberg opinion columnist joining us and his latest column. Facebook
- 8:28Speaker 1: has only itself to blame for drastic remedy, and our
- 8:35Speaker 1: thanks to Emily Chang for bringing us that wonderful interview
- 8:38Speaker 1: with newly minted billionaire Brian Chesky his golden retriever, Sir
- 8:44Speaker 1: Richard Parker. I'm sure we'll also benefit from this I
- 8:47Speaker 1: p O. As we said, we are waiting for the
- 8:50Speaker 1: first trade. Emily brought the news of where it was
- 8:54Speaker 1: being priced to Brian, and I can tell you because
- 8:56Speaker 1: I saw the screen his eyebrows raised when she said
- 9:00Speaker 1: one thirty nine. That's of course now moved up even
- 9:02Speaker 1: higher to one fifty And we haven't even had a
- 9:04Speaker 1: first trade yet, so it's not done yet. We're off
- 9:07Speaker 1: to the races. Let's bring in Mundy Singh for a
- 9:10Speaker 1: little bit of intelligence here. Mundy senior tech industry analyst
- 9:15Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Intelligence and has been listening to that interview
- 9:18Speaker 1: as well. A b n B. The I p O
- 9:21Speaker 1: priced at sixty eight dollars. We're looking at more than
- 9:23Speaker 1: double that now, and Emily put that to Brian Chesky
- 9:27Speaker 1: and he was extremely surprised. Are there dangers here, Maundy
- 9:30Speaker 1: that it's going to be overpriced? I think so, especially
- 9:35Speaker 1: you know when you look at evaluation of about fifteen
- 9:39Speaker 1: to twenty times sales for a new I p O
- 9:42Speaker 1: and a mature company like Airbnb. Airbnb is not a
- 9:46Speaker 1: startup or you know, an early stage company like Snowflake was,
- 9:49Speaker 1: you know, a couple of months back. So this is
- 9:52Speaker 1: a company that will likely have five billion dollars in
- 9:55Speaker 1: revenue next year. And for any you know, high growth company,
- 10:00Speaker 1: the most important thing investors care about is growth. So
- 10:04Speaker 1: you know, we are still coming out of the pandemic,
- 10:07Speaker 1: and yes, there will be a vaccine driven recovery next year,
- 10:11Speaker 1: but beyond that, I'm not so sure Airbnb can keep
- 10:15Speaker 1: growing at thirt top line every year. And that's the risk.
- 10:19Speaker 1: When the market values at fifteen to twenty times sales,
- 10:23Speaker 1: the valuations can be cut into half the moment you
- 10:27Speaker 1: know there is a doubt that the growth is going
- 10:29Speaker 1: to decelerate. Mandyp He came out and said that in April,
- 10:32Speaker 1: when they got debt financing, the price they got then
- 10:35Speaker 1: would have priced them at thirty books a share. In
- 10:38Speaker 1: April was obviously a very different time. We were just
- 10:41Speaker 1: into the pandemic and it was the worst of the pandemic.
- 10:44Speaker 1: But that's a huge difference thirty dollars a share. It
- 10:48Speaker 1: shows you how just a sentiment can change absolutely, and
- 10:52Speaker 1: you know they have to go to Silver Lake and
- 10:55Speaker 1: six Streets. Really, these guys are the veterans, you know
- 10:58Speaker 1: when it comes to the private equity investments. So at
- 11:02Speaker 1: that point of time, Airbnb was going through a cash
- 11:05Speaker 1: burn issue. He mentioned about cancelations. Cancelations were at its
- 11:09Speaker 1: peak at that time and they really had to raise cash.
- 11:12Speaker 1: So the market sentiment has shifted completely since then. And look,
- 11:17Speaker 1: other sectors in tech have also done well. We have
- 11:20Speaker 1: seen a lot of software I p s do really well.
- 11:23Speaker 1: The biggest concern I have with Airbnb is online travel
- 11:27Speaker 1: is a saturated or somewhat of you know, a highly
- 11:30Speaker 1: penetrated market when it comes to shift to online. You
- 11:34Speaker 1: look at food delivery. Food delivery is still in the
- 11:37Speaker 1: very early stages of you know, shifting to online. But
- 11:41Speaker 1: in case of Airbnb, it's a consolidated market. You've got
- 11:45Speaker 1: three big players Booking, Expedia, Airbnb. I think what Airbnb
- 11:49Speaker 1: has to show is really good execution, probably take share
- 11:53Speaker 1: from Expedia for it to keep justifying this kind of evaluation.
- 11:58Speaker 1: And he did mention that there how brought back Airbnb experiences,
- 12:02Speaker 1: and they are looking at opportunities in other sort of dimensions.
- 12:06Speaker 1: Certain opportunities are perishable, was the word to use. Certain
- 12:09Speaker 1: are not, and we'll look at those down the road.
- 12:11Speaker 1: So presumably experiences is not a perishable opportunity for them,
- 12:17Speaker 1: and so they brought that back, but they had to
- 12:19Speaker 1: to let some of that go now. He also mentioned
- 12:22Speaker 1: that they took two d and fifty million dollars from
- 12:24Speaker 1: the balance sheet to give it to their hosts at
- 12:27Speaker 1: the beginning of the pandemic. It was a very very
- 12:29Speaker 1: difficult time. There is danger here that they're going to
- 12:31Speaker 1: have to keep tapping that balance sheet every time there's
- 12:33Speaker 1: a hiccup, right, bundyep Well, so Airbnb again is a
- 12:38Speaker 1: gig economy company, and with the gig economy companies, you know,
- 12:42Speaker 1: when you don't have all these people who are kind
- 12:46Speaker 1: of working for you but they are not employees, you
- 12:49Speaker 1: have to keep, you know, using incentives. It's the same
- 12:52Speaker 1: with Uber having to use driver incentives. It's the same
- 12:55Speaker 1: with door Dash having to use incentives for the careers.
- 12:58Speaker 1: And Airbnb has to keep doing things, which is why
- 13:01Speaker 1: we think the cost of doing business for the gig
- 13:04Speaker 1: economy companies is higher than the traditional you know, ok
- 13:08Speaker 1: is like booking an Expedia, So that will weigh on
- 13:11Speaker 1: on the cost side for the near to medium term.
- 13:14Speaker 1: The people want things to be intimate and private. Now,
- 13:18Speaker 1: he was explaining why he thinks the Airbnb has a
- 13:21Speaker 1: leg up on just the general hotel room. He also
- 13:24Speaker 1: said that for business travel, you know, people don't need
- 13:26Speaker 1: to check in at an airport at midnight to have
- 13:28Speaker 1: an eight am meeting anymore anything, so that that will
- 13:30Speaker 1: also help airbnbs business. I mean, there are reasonable expectations,
- 13:36Speaker 1: but are they scientific. Well, so, look, the last time
- 13:41Speaker 1: we had a crisis, financial crisis, Airbnb started back then.
- 13:45Speaker 1: Now we had sort of you know, a six month crisis.
- 13:49Speaker 1: Things will change, I'm sure you know, coming out of
- 13:52Speaker 1: this pandemic. Consumer behavior will change. Now Airbnb will be
- 13:58Speaker 1: able to you know, benefit from that change, but chances
- 14:01Speaker 1: are there will be another startup somewhere who's also trying to,
- 14:05Speaker 1: you know, do things to leverage the change in habits
- 14:09Speaker 1: and and so I think I treat Airbnb as a
- 14:13Speaker 1: mature company. And granted they have created this category alternative accommodations,
- 14:19Speaker 1: but it's not said that they can keep you know,
- 14:23Speaker 1: growing their top line, they have to find new categories
- 14:26Speaker 1: for growth, and there's a still a lot to execute upon. Alright,
- 14:31Speaker 1: man Deep, thank you, Mandy. People will get back now
- 14:33Speaker 1: to his Bloomberg to what's that a b NB taker
- 14:36Speaker 1: to see when the first trade trades. Mandeep Sing is
- 14:38Speaker 1: senior tech industry analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence and of course
- 14:43Speaker 1: giving us some context there around that. Brian Chesky interview
- 14:47Speaker 1: Brian very adept At giving us his personal story, which
- 14:51Speaker 1: of course always goes down well with investors, particularly when
- 14:55Speaker 1: you talk about your mom and dad being so social
- 14:56Speaker 1: workers and how you're going to celebrate with your golden retriever.
- 15:01Speaker 1: Let's bring in now somebody who has been watching with
- 15:04Speaker 1: great interest the Scotus hearings and Funny and Freddy. We're
- 15:08Speaker 1: not going to get a decision from Scotus obviously until
- 15:11Speaker 1: the middle of next year, but Chris Whale and German
- 15:13Speaker 1: of Whale and Global Advisors has lots of thoughts on
- 15:16Speaker 1: what should happen and what will happen. Chris welcome, Oh,
- 15:19Speaker 1: thank you, Vannie. I hope you're well great, Thank you.
- 15:22Speaker 1: So talk to us a little bit about what we
- 15:24Speaker 1: heard yesterday at the Supreme Court. It was happening as
- 15:27Speaker 1: we were live on air, so we didn't get a
- 15:29Speaker 1: chance to actually listen in on the oral arguments. But
- 15:32Speaker 1: if you heard them, what were the orient arguments made
- 15:34Speaker 1: and if you didn't, what would have been made? Well, No,
- 15:38Speaker 1: I I read the summaries. I didn't get a chance
- 15:40Speaker 1: to actually listen to it. I probably will later. But essentially,
- 15:43Speaker 1: the shareholders of Fannie and Freddie Mac, the r sets
- 15:47Speaker 1: private shareholders are arguing that the money's taken by the
- 15:52Speaker 1: Treasury after the failure of these two entities should be returned.
- 15:57Speaker 1: And they're basically saying, well, these are private comp and
- 16:00Speaker 1: ease the received or the excum of the conservatorship was
- 16:04Speaker 1: wrongly imposed upon us, and and you know we should
- 16:08Speaker 1: basically get the companies back for nothing. Um. I take
- 16:12Speaker 1: a different view, which is that the companies did in
- 16:14Speaker 1: fact fail. Congress provided a framework for dealing with this,
- 16:19Speaker 1: and the Treasury required them when they were taken over,
- 16:22Speaker 1: to pay the taxpayer for the rap for the securities
- 16:27Speaker 1: at the issue. In other words, Fannie Freddy Mac mortgage
- 16:30Speaker 1: bonds are triple A rated because the government of the
- 16:34Speaker 1: United States stands behind them. The government of the United
- 16:37Speaker 1: States also stands behind the two corporate entities. The companies
- 16:42Speaker 1: at the plaintiffs and the Supreme Court action are trying
- 16:46Speaker 1: to get control of again. And as you know, during
- 16:49Speaker 1: the Bush administration, there was a lot of talk and
- 16:51Speaker 1: a lot of acts about getting Fannie and Freddy out
- 16:54Speaker 1: of government control. So here we are, and essentially the
- 16:58Speaker 1: plaintiffs are asking the Supreme Court to step in between
- 17:03Speaker 1: Congress and the executive branch and essentially overturned the decisions
- 17:09Speaker 1: made by Treasury with the authority of Congress and return
- 17:13Speaker 1: the moneies to private shareholders. I don't think that's going
- 17:17Speaker 1: to happen so and I've I've felt that way since
- 17:19Speaker 1: day one. Judge Lamberth many years ago came out with
- 17:23Speaker 1: a decision. It basically said, Vanni, I'm sorry, I can't
- 17:27Speaker 1: do anything for you. Go up to Capitol Hill and
- 17:30Speaker 1: he said, this is a political problem. And he's right,
- 17:33Speaker 1: because when Congress creates something, they created Fannie Mae and
- 17:37Speaker 1: Freddie Mack, and then they subsequently sold shares to the public. Okay,
- 17:43Speaker 1: you end up with this hybrid. It's neither public nor private.
- 17:47Speaker 1: But the one thing that you can very clearly see
- 17:50Speaker 1: is that these are not independent entities. They're federally chartered
- 17:54Speaker 1: and all of the india of control that you would use,
- 17:57Speaker 1: say in a bank, uh situation or in company if
- 18:00Speaker 1: you're trying to decide who's in control. The government is
- 18:03Speaker 1: still in control. They regulate them, the appoint the officers
- 18:07Speaker 1: or review you know, the appointment of officers and directors.
- 18:10Speaker 1: They have a lot of public policy control over them. Yeah, exactly.
- 18:15Speaker 1: And that is then the powers, which is back to
- 18:18Speaker 1: Mark Calabria. In some ways, he's the f h F
- 18:20Speaker 1: A head. Will he keep his job through the next
- 18:24Speaker 1: administration and what will he do? That's when clear we
- 18:28Speaker 1: have to find out. And again this is in front
- 18:30Speaker 1: of the courts if the president has the power to
- 18:34Speaker 1: remove him for any reason. Remember they litigated over this,
- 18:38Speaker 1: and they also litigated over the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau
- 18:42Speaker 1: because it was a unit terry, single director kind of
- 18:46Speaker 1: a design for the agency. And so what happened was
- 18:49Speaker 1: the courts ultimately said, now the president can remove at
- 18:53Speaker 1: the time, this was Richard Cordrey anytime he wants because
- 18:58Speaker 1: to prevent the president from extra sizing that authority they
- 19:01Speaker 1: judged to be unconstitutional. So my guess is is that
- 19:06Speaker 1: the Biden administration is going to find some way, one
- 19:09Speaker 1: way or another once the courts have ruled to remove
- 19:12Speaker 1: Mr Callabria because he is so far out of step
- 19:15Speaker 1: with both the industry and with what we need today,
- 19:19Speaker 1: I think he's going to have a fairly short half life.
- 19:22Speaker 1: What does it mean for the mortgage industry in the
- 19:24Speaker 1: United States? Chris? Where do you see it headed? Oh?
- 19:28Speaker 1: Next year is going to be another boom year. Profit
- 19:31Speaker 1: margins will be less because competition for those loans is intensifying.
- 19:36Speaker 1: But you know, I'm in the process of buying a
- 19:37Speaker 1: house right now. I got pre approved in a day. Well,
- 19:41Speaker 1: you're though you're special, Chris. No, I'm not special. I'm
- 19:43Speaker 1: telling you that. And this was a non bank. I
- 19:45Speaker 1: won't mention their name, But the non banks are so
- 19:47Speaker 1: much more efficient than the commercial banks. It's frightening. I
- 19:50Speaker 1: got an appointment with Bank America a week later, and
- 19:53Speaker 1: I got pre approved by a non bank next day,
- 19:56Speaker 1: had two. So are there any dangers in the system left? Yes,
- 20:01Speaker 1: if volumes slowed down, then uh. The forbearance that Congress
- 20:05Speaker 1: gave borrowers is going to become a problem because Congress
- 20:08Speaker 1: didn't pay for cleaning up the mass. They left it
- 20:12Speaker 1: with the private sector, and that's unfair. The Congress is
- 20:16Speaker 1: going to have to go back pretty quickly in January
- 20:19Speaker 1: February and provide some kind of support for the industry
- 20:24Speaker 1: to clean up all of the forgiveness and the forbearance
- 20:27Speaker 1: that was provided for and the Cares Act. And it
- 20:30Speaker 1: wasn't just consumer residential mortgage loans, Fotnie, this was business
- 20:33Speaker 1: loans too. You had a lot of states imposed moratoria
- 20:38Speaker 1: on private lending, auto loans, all of these things. Well,
- 20:41Speaker 1: who's paying for that? The note holders and the investors
- 20:44Speaker 1: and the companies that issue these uh these loans. So
- 20:48Speaker 1: we have a kind of a troubling situation because if
- 20:51Speaker 1: we mess up the private bond market, this economy has
- 20:54Speaker 1: got big problems. The reason the US recovered so well
- 20:58Speaker 1: during this mess with COVID is because we still have
- 21:01Speaker 1: a private marketplace. Chris, it's always just fascinating to speak
- 21:05Speaker 1: with you, Chris Whale, And of course author are several
- 21:07Speaker 1: books as well, most recently Ford men. Do look them
- 21:10Speaker 1: up on Amazon dot Com or your nearest bookstore dealer.
- 21:14Speaker 1: Talking to Chris, they're about Fanny Freddie. Of course we're
- 21:18Speaker 1: not going to get any resolution on that anytime soon,
- 21:20Speaker 1: that's for sure. All Right, it's time not to talk
- 21:24Speaker 1: packaged foods. When is it not time to talk packaged foods.
- 21:29Speaker 1: Let's bring in Xavier uncle Vic who is CEO of
- 21:31Speaker 1: Amy's Kitchen. Savir first, give us, you know, the the
- 21:35Speaker 1: overview of what happened to you from the beginning of
- 21:37Speaker 1: the pandemic to now. Did you see a surge or
- 21:41Speaker 1: did people just stay away completely from stores and you
- 21:43Speaker 1: know there therefore hurting your sales? Good morning, good afternoon.
- 21:49Speaker 1: Thank you for welcoming me. Yes, definitely, we've seen a
- 21:53Speaker 1: significant surge and we were as a company delighted to
- 21:57Speaker 1: help those consumers needs. But the pandemic peak has been
- 22:02Speaker 1: significant for our business. For me, growth in sales or
- 22:08Speaker 1: frozen minimum of fifty for frozen foods to a maximum
- 22:13Speaker 1: of a hundred sixty percent growth in sales during the
- 22:16Speaker 1: peak of the pandemic for our soups, you know, um,
- 22:20Speaker 1: and we were, we were, you know, definitely challenged to
- 22:24Speaker 1: those orders by our customers and consumers. They're happy also
- 22:28Speaker 1: to mobilize to help the consumers to feel better, eating
- 22:32Speaker 1: better and healthier as well. Yeah, and you know, we
- 22:36Speaker 1: all know the Amy's Kitchen packaged foods from our local
- 22:39Speaker 1: drain reader CPS or what have you. You're really everywhere
- 22:42Speaker 1: and there are two hundred and fifty varieties of your
- 22:46Speaker 1: packaged foods, and you're also in thirty countries. I have
- 22:49Speaker 1: to ask, are the spacks circling listen? We were probably independent,
- 22:55Speaker 1: family owned business. Sure, I think this is this is
- 22:58Speaker 1: something that we're super delighted to be when it comes
- 23:01Speaker 1: to the nature of our company. And at the moment
- 23:05Speaker 1: of time, Yes, our family founders have been massively contacted
- 23:09Speaker 1: in the past today where they're very much willing to
- 23:12Speaker 1: stay remain independent and family owned as a business. And
- 23:16Speaker 1: there's there's a value to this because it allows us
- 23:19Speaker 1: to think and act long term and do the right
- 23:21Speaker 1: thing according to our purpose and our values. And and
- 23:25Speaker 1: we're allotted today to be in a position where we
- 23:27Speaker 1: can we can grow and develop from within and uh
- 23:32Speaker 1: and having a great team and great employees at Amy's
- 23:36Speaker 1: that are very much supporting our growth agenda and and
- 23:40Speaker 1: helping the world to be in a very place in
- 23:43Speaker 1: in in a way, sure, but is it not tempting
- 23:47Speaker 1: to take some of the capital or some of the
- 23:49Speaker 1: ideas so that you could scale up even further. I
- 23:51Speaker 1: mean you're doing a pretty good job of scaling already.
- 23:54Speaker 1: You know, if you're in thirty other countries around the world,
- 23:57Speaker 1: but you know, a capital and fusion like that or
- 23:59Speaker 1: an I you is it not at all tempting. It
- 24:03Speaker 1: is always tempting, Yeah, but you you you also have
- 24:07Speaker 1: to reflect about what your long term strategy as a
- 24:10Speaker 1: company and and what the owners of your company wants
- 24:14Speaker 1: to do. And for us, we're delighted to say that
- 24:17Speaker 1: our owners are very much looking to stay in the
- 24:20Speaker 1: course and be independent and and help us to our
- 24:25Speaker 1: challenge the business and the ones that are running the
- 24:28Speaker 1: business to find ability to stay and remain free by
- 24:32Speaker 1: performing better. And this is what we've done for the
- 24:36Speaker 1: last years as a as a leadership team and me
- 24:39Speaker 1: as a CEO, having the objective of driving financial freedom
- 24:45Speaker 1: so we can reinvest and we're not tempted by looking
- 24:50Speaker 1: outside of our our founders and an existing capital savire
- 24:57Speaker 1: and talk to us about a competition between you guys
- 24:59Speaker 1: and the likes of say Bird's Eye or Finders or
- 25:02Speaker 1: some of these others. How do you weight watchers? I mean,
- 25:04Speaker 1: there are so many out there, and yet it is
- 25:07Speaker 1: pretty easy to spot the Amy's packaged foods in your
- 25:10Speaker 1: in your local growth where you've got to, you know,
- 25:12Speaker 1: very definite look and it's it's a niche products, But
- 25:16Speaker 1: how are you keeping your moat around your business? So
- 25:19Speaker 1: first and foremost, as you as you just said, we're
- 25:21Speaker 1: the only family owned business. We're also the only business
- 25:26Speaker 1: that is proposing to consumers um organic, sustainably sourced ingredients
- 25:32Speaker 1: that are making our meals that we cook every day
- 25:36Speaker 1: in our kitchens, and and the way we make our food,
- 25:39Speaker 1: the way we source our ingredients, it is quite unique.
- 25:41Speaker 1: So the way we position ourselves in the marketplace is
- 25:45Speaker 1: not so much looking at our competition and trying to
- 25:48Speaker 1: gain share. We're very much and that's the discussion we
- 25:51Speaker 1: have with all the customers that we do business with.
- 25:55Speaker 1: The whole Foods of the world are independent natural stores,
- 25:59Speaker 1: but also wall Mark and also Target. We look at
- 26:01Speaker 1: it at Amy's helping those customers to grow the category
- 26:06Speaker 1: we're in, so to grow the entree category, to grow
- 26:09Speaker 1: the soup categories. So we keep saying we're not here
- 26:13Speaker 1: to gain share on top of our competitors. We're here
- 26:18Speaker 1: to bring new consumers to the marketplace and grow the categories.
- 26:22Speaker 1: Grow the frozen category, grow the soup category. So for us,
- 26:26Speaker 1: for many many years, when the soup can category was down,
- 26:30Speaker 1: Amy's was growing. When the frozen category were down, Amy's
- 26:34Speaker 1: was growing and helping those customers to grow and to
- 26:38Speaker 1: develop their cells. So it was a very mutual relationship
- 26:41Speaker 1: by helping having consumers being exposed to better food for
- 26:44Speaker 1: them and better foods of the planet. Zavier were pretty
- 26:47Speaker 1: much out of time. But I have to ask you
- 26:48Speaker 1: what was the best selling items through the pandemic and
- 26:52Speaker 1: what your favorite is too. My favorite is the result
- 26:57Speaker 1: of I cannot leave without a beautiful risulto with a
- 27:02Speaker 1: with a mail of those marshrooms being cooked in a
- 27:06Speaker 1: in a night. Choose and the best seller, Uh, it's
- 27:10Speaker 1: not the best seller. It's not the best seller which
- 27:12Speaker 1: was And so where it depends on where we are.
- 27:15Speaker 1: So if you think about pizza vegan bugarita pizza is
- 27:19Speaker 1: our best seller, but it all depends in the channel
- 27:21Speaker 1: we operate, and we're happy to say, and this is
- 27:24Speaker 1: why we're somewhat everywhere but also very customized. Fault customers. Well,
- 27:28Speaker 1: you're making us hungry now, Savier. So Thank you for
- 27:30Speaker 1: that savior. Uncle Vic is the CEO of Amy's Kitchen
- 27:33Speaker 1: and me thank him forward joining Thanks for listening to
- 27:37Speaker 1: the Boomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen to
- 27:40Speaker 1: interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform you prefer.
- 27:44Speaker 1: I'm Bonnie Quinn. I'm on Twitter at Bonny Quinn. And
- 27:47Speaker 1: Paul Sweeney I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast,
- 27:51Speaker 1: you can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio