Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 311 - 7/2/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 311 - 7/2/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 311 of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:36
Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
0:39
week. We are now just two days away
0:41
from one of my favorite holidays of the year.
0:43
Of course, you know what it is, 4th of July, Independence Day,
0:47
America's birthday, which is a great day to bet on the Nathan's
0:50
Hot Dog eating contest. Load up on hot dogs, hamburgers,
0:55
adult beverages, all that kind of stuff.
0:57
Just be careful with the fireworks.
0:58
We don't want any JPP issues here going on.
1:02
By the way, guys, even though it is kind of a holiday week and
1:05
everyone's maybe, I don't know, taking days off or kind of just
1:08
loading up for Friday. We got some work to do.
1:10
We're going to try to turn a profit here today as we look
1:14
once again at the Major League Baseball board.
1:16
So today's a huge day because they're 18 games overall.
1:19
A couple have already gone final.
1:21
You got a lot of double headers. We got a lot of late games here.
1:24
I found three games that fit our model.
1:26
Sharp data-driven plays with good line movement, good bet
1:30
splits, good system matches as well as one particular with a
1:33
very good sharp mush edge for tonight.
1:36
So a three pack overall guys. Going to see if we can go 2 and
1:38
1 eke out a winning day. Before we dive into our plays
1:42
here for tonight, couple things looking toward last night.
1:46
Bit of a disappointing night. 1 and 2 -. 1.44 units.
1:50
Did have a great hit with the Chicago Cubs getting it done,
1:53
which is nice to see at Wrigley, but the Braves, how are the
1:57
Braves so bad? Man?
1:58
Even the betting market, the sharps like the Braves, they get
2:00
shot out for nothing. Remember that was a massive
2:03
steam move toward Atlanta like -160 up to -200 even out a
2:07
little bit of CLV and it was actually a nothing, nothing
2:10
game. I, I had a bunch of things I had
2:11
to do with the wife last night and I couldn't really check the
2:15
scores until later. I pop open the game and on my
2:18
smartphone and I saw it was nothing, nothing in like the 7th
2:21
inning. I'm like, OK, at least you're
2:22
not losing. We can eka, you know, eka run
2:24
across to win this thing. Nope, Atlanta's bullpen blows it
2:27
late. So Braves, you stink.
2:29
And then the Mariners losing six to three against Kansas City
2:33
just couldn't really get anything going offensively.
2:35
So out of the Braves and Mariners, you're hoping to get
2:38
at least one of those. Adam with the Cubs have a
2:40
winning night, but no Braves and Mariners.
2:42
A lot of sound. So 1 and 2 -, 1.44 units.
2:46
You guys know the drill. So we can start a new winning
2:48
streak here for today. Now before we dive in our MLB
2:51
plays, I did just want to mention one thing.
2:53
Of course, Rhythm, who you know and love by now, who does a
2:56
great job of powering this podcast.
2:58
I was lucky enough this morning to get coffee with Megan, who is
3:02
the CEO, the brains behind Rhythm.
3:04
We are kind of mapping out our plan for the rest of the summer
3:07
and going to football season. I can't tell you everything
3:10
we've talked about, but I would just tell you there are a lot of
3:13
amazing upgrades in the pipeline for Rhythm.
3:16
But actually, one of them I can't tell you about because it
3:19
came out today officially. It is in the rhythm map.
3:22
Listen to this. Ready WNBA player props.
3:26
That's right, Rhythm who added MLB this year?
3:29
And as MLB player props locked and loaded every day starting
3:33
Opening Day this year, you knew about that.
3:36
But we did have WNBA models and predictions in the Rhythm map,
3:39
but we didn't have player props. And one thing I respect about
3:42
rhythm quite a bit is that they're not just going to add
3:44
things just to add them. They're going to add things,
3:47
take their time and release them when they have confidence in
3:50
them and they've met all the checks and balances.
3:52
So I knew they were coming at some point, but I didn't know
3:55
when. But I was talking to me again.
3:57
And she's like, Yup, our WNBA props went Live Today.
4:00
So shout out to the team at Rhythm for continuing to
4:03
innovate and add new, new features to the app.
4:06
So if you like to bet WNBA or you like to bet player props in
4:09
the WNBA, Honestly, I don't know what other company has WNBA
4:13
player prop models. I would assume Rhythm's the only
4:16
one, or maybe someone else does, but I don't think they're nearly
4:18
as good as what Rhythm and their AI backed model can predict.
4:22
But if you did want to either enter a new market or maybe you
4:25
bet WNBA player props anyway and now you can use them as part of
4:29
your checklist. Just know that once you get into
4:32
the Rhythm app, you will now see WNBA player prop predictions, so
4:37
have at it. But anyway, guys getting back to
4:39
do what we love to do, it's grinding sharp, data-driven
4:42
place, trying to eke out a profit and a very difficult
4:45
market that we just got to keep grinding at because as you guys
4:48
know by now, no one gets rich quick overnight.
4:50
We grind away, chip away and post as many winning days as we
4:54
can. That's always the goal.
4:55
So 3 pack overall. These are all later games.
4:59
First one on the board for me. Let's go right back to Wrigley
5:01
Field, 8 O 5:00 PM Eastern Time. First pitch, the Cubbies hosting
5:05
the Cleveland Guardians. Now the Cubs were 50 and 35 on
5:09
the year. Had a big win for us last night.
5:11
Five to two took care of business as a -, 200 home
5:14
favorite pitching rematch here for tonight, we have the
5:17
Guardians, who are 40 and 43, going with the righty Tanner
5:21
Bybee. I used to call him Tanner BB
5:23
until I listen to a call and I heard that it's pronounced
5:26
Bybee. So Tanner Bybee, four and eight,
5:28
3.9. OERA and the Cubs, meanwhile,
5:31
are going to go with the lefty Shota Imanaga, who's once again
5:34
having a good year. Ever since he came over from
5:36
Japan, four and two, 2.54 ERA. And he was actually hurt for a
5:40
bit. And once he's come back, he's
5:42
gotten right back to his winning ways.
5:44
But anyway, what do we see across the market for this one?
5:46
Well, this is one of those ain't broke.
5:47
Don't fix a place. Because the Cubs came through
5:50
for us last night and for this one tonight, going right back to
5:53
Chicago, This game open Cubs around a -, 150 home favorite,
5:57
Cleveland around a + 135 row dog.
5:59
And we've now seen the Cubs get steamed up -150 up to -160 some
6:05
shops even as high as -165 S good move toward Chicago.
6:10
I was able to get -160 at Bet MGM.
6:13
I believe they're still available at Bet MGM -160.
6:16
But again, shop around because some books or most of the market
6:19
is at -165 Aside from the line move, I really like the bet
6:23
splits on the Cubbies tonight. If you look at DraftKings, 84%
6:27
of money line bets, nearly 90% of money line dollars are on the
6:31
Cubs. And then at Circa out in Vegas,
6:34
83% of money line bets, 98% of money line dollars on the Cubs.
6:38
So both DraftKings and Circa are showing a really good low bets
6:42
higher dollars. One way Pro and Joe split in
6:45
favor of the Cubbies. You probably have in the public
6:47
say give me Cubs better record at home.
6:49
Whereas wise guys, they don't really care about that.
6:51
They bet the value of the number compared to what their
6:54
projections have. So maybe when this thing open
6:56
-150 they had Cubs -160 -, 165 to begin with, which is why they
7:01
hit Chicago. And remember wise guys always
7:04
bet numbers and not teams. So aside from the line move and
7:07
the good bet splits, one system match caught my eye.
7:11
Obviously this is an inter league matchup.
7:13
Lack of familiarity historically has benefited the quote UN quote
7:16
better team. But in particular non division
7:19
home favorites off a win getting at least $0.05 of line movement
7:22
in their favor. Those teams are 122 and 65 this
7:25
year. That's a 65% win rate, 3% ROI.
7:28
And then if we isolate the Cubs in particular, the Cubs this
7:32
year are 40 and 1869 percent, 11% ROI as a favorite.
7:38
That makes them the number one chalk team in baseball, the best
7:41
chalk team when they're laying a minus number, they produce the
7:43
best results of any team in baseball.
7:46
Take it a step further, when they're a favorite and getting
7:48
line movement in their direction, they're even better.
7:51
The Cubs have gone 36 and 12. That is a 75% win rate with a
7:55
20% ROI. Another angle here to back to
7:59
the play for Chicago is a correlative betting favorite low
8:02
total. So we have a total in this game
8:05
of eight and really that bodes well historically for the
8:08
favorite lack of or the fair amount of expected runs scored
8:11
more likely to come from quote UN quote, the better team was
8:13
expected to win. I'm going to make on the Cubs
8:15
offense, hopefully getting to Bybee on the year.
8:18
Cubs have the better offense of these two teams.
8:21
They're hitting 257 as a team, 125 home runs, 458 runs scored.
8:26
Guardians are only hitting 225 as a team, 81 homers, 305 runs
8:31
scored. Then if we isolate this match up
8:33
so we have a ready for Cleveland going in a lefty for Chicago.
8:37
Well Chicago is hitting 260 against righty's this year.
8:39
That's the 4th best in baseball. Cleveland is only hitting 220
8:43
against southpaws. That ranks 29th in baseball.
8:47
Bybee in particular, has a 4.96 ERA on the road this year versus
8:52
2.57 at home. So he's been pretty good at
8:54
home, struggled on the road. Hope that continues.
8:57
And overall, Cleveland is 2 and seven in his last nine starts.
9:00
Oh, by the way, Little home Rd. Edge Cubs having another
9:03
Goodyear at Wrigley, 26 and 15 record at home.
9:06
Cleveland only 20 and 23 on the road.
9:09
So the Cubs got us a win last night.
9:11
I'm hoping we get a little more of the same here tonight.
9:13
We got a line move. Good bet, splits, good system
9:16
matches, better bats. I'm going to bank on in Managua,
9:19
hopefully pitching well in the Cubs bats getting to Bybee.
9:22
I'm on the Cubbies. I got them at -160 at Bet MGM
9:26
again. Shop around some books and or
9:28
most of the market now up to around -165 Next bet let's go
9:33
out to the desert. 9:40 PM Eastern Time tonight, the San
9:36
Francisco G Ben visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks now going
9:41
into it. The Diamondbacks have taken the
9:43
first two games of this four-game series.
9:45
Diamondbacks are now back over 543 and 42 record.
9:49
They won the opener 4:00 to 2:00 as a + 125 home dog member.
9:52
We had them on Monday with some plus money which was nice and
9:55
then they won again yesterday 8 to 2 as a -130 home favorite.
10:00
So the rematch here for tonight, we got the G men who are 45 and
10:04
41 going with the ready Landon Roop.
10:07
He's six and five with a 3.43 ERA this year.
10:10
Meanwhile, the Snakes are going to go with the fellow righty
10:12
Merrill Kelly, who's seven and four with a 3.49 ERA.
10:16
Now, what are you seeing across the market here?
10:18
Well, surprisingly, it's not G men to bounce back plus money.
10:23
It's steam here hitting Arizona. I like Arizona in this one,
10:26
guys. The Snakes opened around a -,
10:28
130 home favorite. We've not seen Arizona get
10:31
steamed up to -145 some shops even now -150 I jumped on
10:36
Arizona at -145 at Caesar's again.
10:39
I'm seeing some books even go past -150 now.
10:42
So a good sign that the that the snakes keep getting hit in this
10:45
spot. But aside from this, this line
10:47
move toward Arizona, we have a really good bet split at Circa
10:50
out in the desert. Arizona is only getting 46% of
10:53
money line bets, but 98% of money line dollars.
10:57
So a big, big, sharp, contrary and low bets higher dollar split
11:01
tells us those wiseguy wagers in the desert backing Arizona here.
11:05
Arizona does have a big edge at the plate.
11:07
Let's hope that continues tonight.
11:09
They're hitting 255 as a team, 126 homers, 444 runs scored.
11:14
San Fran's only hitting 2:30 as a team.
11:16
Eighty home runs and 353 runs scored.
11:20
Dig into these, you know, these matchups here a little bit
11:23
deeper. The Diamondbacks are hitting 247
11:25
at home. That's the 10th best home
11:28
batting average in baseball and they're also hitting 257 against
11:31
righty's. That's 7th best.
11:32
So they're top ten at home and against righty's flip side, G
11:36
men, they're hitting 220 on the road, that ranks 27th and
11:39
they're hitting 235 against righty's that ranks 25th.
11:42
So they are bottom 10. Bottom.
11:43
Like, you know, what is it bottom, bottom 5?
11:45
Basically Merrill Kelly, hope he shows up tonight for us.
11:50
He has pitched well in the month of June.
11:52
He posted a 2.79 ERA and five starts in the month of June.
11:56
Meanwhile, Roop, he has a 4.56 ERA on the road versus 1.85 at
12:01
home. So he's been really good at
12:02
home. He struggled on the road.
12:04
Oh, by the way, recent performance, hopefully Arizona's
12:07
starting to get a little hot here.
12:08
They're hitting 248 over their last 10 games of the team ERA of
12:12
3.64 G men kind of going the other way.
12:15
Last 10 games are only hitting 210 as a team with a 4.55 ERA.
12:20
So you had it all up here, guys. Snakes have won the first two.
12:23
You might say to yourself, hey, take San Fran to claw back, but
12:26
we got to respect the market. At least I have to.
12:28
You can do whatever you want, but I'm going snakes here.
12:30
Good sharp steam in their favor. Good sharp contrarian split at
12:34
Circa, as well as some good advantages here on the bump and
12:38
in the batter's box. So I don't know up here, guys,
12:40
I'm going Arizona, my buddy. Darush, where you at?
12:44
Let's go snakes tonight. I got a -145 at Caesar's again.
12:47
Shop around. Some books now around -150 last
12:52
bed of the night. Let's get some revenge in the
12:54
Pacific Northwest. 9:40 PM Eastern Time we got the Kansas
12:58
City Royals visiting the Seattle Mariners.
13:01
Now these non division opponents, they split the first
13:03
two games of this four-game set the Mariners who are 44 and 41
13:07
on the year. They won the opener six to two
13:10
as a -, 160 home favorite. Then the Royals, who are 40 and
13:13
46, bounced back with a six to three win yesterday, much to my
13:17
chagrin because I was on Seattle and you saw the Royals come
13:20
through as a + 115 dog last night.
13:23
So pitching match up for tonight, we got Kansas City
13:26
going with the lefty Noah Cameron.
13:28
He's two and four with a 2.79 ERA.
13:31
Mariners, meanwhile going to go with the ready Logan Gilbert.
13:34
He is 2 and two with a 3.55 ERA. So what do you see across the
13:38
market here? Will this game open?
13:40
Seattle around a -, 165 -, 170 Home favorite.
13:44
Kansas City around a + 140 + 145 Rd.
13:48
Dog and the wise guys seem to be hammering Seattle in this one
13:52
because we've seen Seattle get steamed up -165 -, 170 now up to
13:57
-180 - 185. I got Seattle -175 a little bit
14:02
earlier today from Bet MGM. If you want to get those better
14:06
numbers, go sign up for the All Systems Go Best Bet picks, which
14:09
are available as soon as I place them.
14:12
They'll pop open on the juicer lap.
14:13
You can follow along and support the pod for $4.99 a week.
14:17
Basically a cup of coffee, but I got a -175 now the best number
14:22
looks like it's -180 at FanDuel. Some shops are -185 even -190 so
14:27
pretty good steam on Seattle here.
14:30
If you look at Circa, Mariners are getting 64% bets but 99% of
14:35
money line dollars. So it tells me out at Circa in
14:38
Vegas, you got a lot of wise guy money hammering Seattle.
14:41
Now, aside from that line movement in that bet split, we
14:43
have a really good correlative betting favorite low total
14:46
system match here because Seattle is becoming more and
14:49
more of a favorite, a bigger favorite.
14:51
And the total in this one is 7 and it's not 7 / - 120.
14:55
A lot of books are 7 under -115 - 120.
14:58
So typically going to see a bigger favorite in a very low
15:01
total. You know, does that mean A4
15:03
nothing win by Seattle? You know, 3 three to one win,
15:06
something like that. Well, hopefully because because
15:08
I'm on Seattle. But anyway, the Mariners also
15:11
going to bank on their offense getting to Cameron.
15:13
They are hitting on the year, 248 with 111 homers, 389 runs
15:18
scored. Royals, meanwhile, only hitting
15:20
244 with 58 homers and 285 runs scored.
15:24
Seattle, by the way, going up against lefties in general and
15:28
they're facing a lefty tonight. They've done pretty well, their
15:31
11th best batting average against southpaws hitting 249.
15:35
Casey, meanwhile, facing Gilbert already, they're only hitting
15:37
247 against ready. That ranks 18th in baseball.
15:41
Gilbert, who I've been high on for a while now, good, good
15:44
young stud pitcher. I think he was hurt a little bit
15:47
this year on the road as ERA is 6, not very good, but at home,
15:51
2.35. So if we pitch as well at a
15:54
Safeco or T-Mobile, whatever they call it nowadays.
15:58
And then the Royals, by the way, only two and seven and the nine
16:01
starts made by Cameron. And oh, by the way, a little
16:03
cherry on top. I popped open the Juice Reel app
16:07
and noticed an 11% sharp mush edge on Seattle.
16:11
So 11% more of the sharper winning betters who have
16:14
downloaded Juice Reel and synced up their books are going with
16:16
the Mariners, which is where I want to be.
16:18
So we got a good steam move, We got a favorite low total.
16:21
I didn't even mention non division favorite.
16:23
Lack of familiarity. Another edge to Seattle but good
16:26
splits, good moves as well as on the bump and hopefully better
16:30
offense as well. And a sharp mush edge from Juice
16:33
Reel. So add it all up, I'm on Seattle
16:35
-175 Again, looks like your best number now is -180 but doesn't
16:41
sound that bad because some books are as high as -190 So 3
16:45
pack overall, Cubs, Arizona, Seattle.
16:48
Let's find a way, hopefully to get 2 out of 3 eke out a winning
16:51
night. So that about does it for
16:53
episode 311 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast,
16:57
powered by Rhythm. Of course.
16:58
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
17:01
And I start first, as always, by saying thank you Gracias.
17:05
I appreciate you guys. Thank you for taking the time
17:07
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
17:10
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
17:13
with me. If you do enjoy this pod, if you
17:15
value the insights, whether you tail fade, pick and choose, or
17:19
just, you know, sit back and like the breakdowns because you
17:22
like to stay glued to the betting market.
17:24
Whatever the case may be, for whatever reason, you listen.
17:26
I hope you listen because you value the insights And maybe
17:29
you, you know, use this pod, you know, as maybe one of the many,
17:33
many variables or boxes to check off when you're making your own
17:36
bets. But if any of that is the case
17:38
and you want to let me know you appreciate the pod, could you do
17:41
a very basic, simple thing for me?
17:43
Could you please give this podcast a five star review on
17:46
Spotify or iTunes? If you want to leave a nice
17:48
comment under the review section or recommend the pod to a friend
17:52
or click that follow button on Spotify or iTunes.
17:55
I would go a long way to helping us to continue to grow the pod.
17:58
So thank you as always, guys, for tuning in.
18:02
Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown data-driven
18:05
sharp contrarian betting betting based on what the market is
18:08
telling us where the smart money is going, taking a contrarian
18:11
approach, looking at line movement, bet split system
18:14
matches, leaning on our friends at Rhythm and Juice reel.
18:16
If this style of betting appeals to you and you want to learn
18:18
more about data-driven betting, lucky for you, I wrote a book
18:23
about data-driven betting actually written 2.
18:25
But the first one. If you want to go to Amazon.com,
18:28
just type in the everything guide to sports betting.
18:31
It is a great starter for someone who's brand new into
18:34
sports betting or even someone who's, you know, kind of
18:36
intermediate, maybe someone who bets a lot but really doesn't
18:39
know what they're doing or doesn't really even pay
18:42
attention to what the market is just telling them.
18:45
If that's the case and you want to pick up a copy of the
18:46
Everything Guide, it would mean a lot to me.
18:48
It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
18:50
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
18:53
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
18:56
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
18:58
a bankroll management plan, how to go contrarian.
19:01
It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
19:03
Betting. While you're picking up the
19:05
everything got on Amazon, stay on Amazon and then you know what
19:08
you should do next. You should pre-order a copy of
19:10
my new book. It actually comes out a month
19:13
and 10 days from today comes out August 12th.
19:16
It's called the NFL sharp betting playbook.
19:20
Been working on it for about 3 years.
19:21
It's got everything I've learned over time and really just
19:25
provides a blueprint on how to attack the NFL with systems,
19:29
strategies, tips, all that included.
19:31
So if you would like to pre-order the NFL Sharp Betting
19:34
Playbook, you would make me very happy.
19:36
You would make my publisher Triumph Books very happy.
19:39
So bring the everything guide as well as the Sharp Betting
19:42
Playbook to the sports book. I'll sign up for you.
19:44
I'll buy a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games
19:47
together next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
19:50
Juice Reel yet? Well, I told you about Rhythm,
19:51
they just added WNBA props today, which is amazing
19:55
algorithm, great for their AI backed models and predictions.
19:58
Juice Reel Great for just a bunch of different reasons.
20:02
This is the part of the pod where I'm going to pass out the
20:04
hat. If you have a $5.00 bill you'd
20:05
like to pop into the hat, now is the time.
20:08
If you enjoy the pod, it is free.
20:10
It cost you nothing. But if you want to let me know
20:12
you like the pod and, and just you know, tip your bartender,
20:15
tip your podcast host. I would love for you guys to
20:18
sign up to get the all systems go best bet picks exclusively
20:21
and officially and only found on the Juice Reel app.
20:24
So by paying $4.99 a week, you're going to get the plays as
20:28
soon as I put them in. So for example, you know,
20:31
getting Seattle -175 and now they're, you know, 5-10 cents
20:36
higher than that. Or maybe the Cubbies game,
20:38
you're going to get these plays earlier in the day and hopefully
20:40
beat some closing lines and you're supporting the pot.
20:42
And you're also going to get so many other great features of
20:44
juice rail, including the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage
20:47
plays, the shop for the best line futures, the detailed game
20:50
breakdowns, bets in dollars for spread money line in total from
20:54
people have synced up their sports books.
20:56
And of course, a running import card of your action to keep you
20:59
honest and, you know, figure out your strengths and weaknesses.
21:01
So download Rhythm and download Juice Reel.
21:03
Give them a five star review in the App Store.
21:06
Next, do you have a live odds page?
21:08
You need a live odds page. I cannot stress enough why you
21:12
need a live odds page. It's so important for the number
21:15
one reason that you need to be able to track the market in real
21:17
time. The live odds page allows you to
21:19
do that. There are many live odds pages
21:21
out there. What's the full metal jacket
21:23
one? There are many rifles out there,
21:25
but this one is mine. One of my favorite movies by the
21:29
way. Stanley Kubrick.
21:29
But anyway, the live odds page from Odds Logic is the best
21:35
around. It's also the best value.
21:38
If you are interested in giving it a shot, go to
21:40
thislinkoddslogic.com/josh 123. It'll give you a 7 day free
21:46
trial and 50% off your first month.
21:48
It's got all the different books, including the market
21:50
setting books. You can identify.
21:52
Steam. When odds get lit up in red, you
21:54
know they're changing and moving.
21:57
You can of course pull up the line history, get detailed live
22:01
scoring and live in game wagering odds.
22:03
It's all included with Odds Logic, so give it a shot.
22:06
Odds logic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
22:11
today's pod. Episode 311.
22:14
Are you guys a fan of 311 the Band?
22:15
I'm a big fan actually saw them in concert a while back.
22:19
It's always 311 days, usually March 11th, but episode 311 in
22:22
the pod, maybe, maybe I'll fire up all mixed up or down.
22:26
Big fan of 311. Anyway, last two final thoughts.
22:31
One, whether I see you at the Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin
22:34
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
22:36
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
22:39
Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
22:43
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
22:45
down, or Billy Walter sends his number runners where the lowest
22:48
juice possible is found at the South Point.
22:50
Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
22:52
swim pool. When you cash a big ticket at
22:54
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me
22:57
and you're going to show me a nice Cubbies ticket from last
23:00
night. Whatever you do Braves,
23:01
Mariners. Pathetic.
23:03
Can't believe both of those are losers.
23:04
Thought like we'd at least get one of those.
23:07
But anyway, remind me not to lay a big number with the Braves.
23:10
They just cannot get it together this year.
23:13
But anyway, guys, first one's on me, next one's on you.
23:15
Will post up and sweat some of these baseball games together
23:17
tonight. As always, 1 and 2, two and one,
23:21
you know, 3 and OO and three. Great night, bad night, mediocre
23:25
night. Somewhere in the middle.
23:26
Whether we're hot, whether we're cold, whether we're always
23:28
grinding, which is pretty much the perpetual grind of being a
23:31
sports better. We can never let a good day or a
23:34
bad day influence US one way or the other into a good bet or out
23:38
of a good bet, or into a bad bet, I should say.
23:42
So we just got to stay the course and keep grinding long
23:44
term. And you guys might know by now,
23:46
but if you don't, it goes a little something like this
23:48
against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
23:52
avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
23:54
If we can do that long term, I'm confident we're going to be
23:57
successful sports bettors. So enjoy your Wednesday,
24:00
everybody. Hope you have a great hump day.
24:02
I'll be right back at it tomorrow, which will be a big
24:05
Thirsty Thursday edition. Episode 312 of the All Systems
24:09
Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
24:12
Good luck everybody and you better go get your hot dogs and
24:15
hamburgers because 4th of July, it's coming up here quick, but
24:19
I'll see you guys tomorrow and then hopefully we'll finish off
24:21
the week right on 4th of July. But good luck and let's get some
24:25
winners on the diamond.