Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process

Transcript

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: Fall systems, going clear the left? What is going on?
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: Everybody Happy? Wednesday, Thursday, Friday. Whenever you're listening, we're talking
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: some UFC A different face down below. Our man, Big
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: Marley is on vacation in Florida. I'm with the Man,
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: the myth, the legend. Sheets very excited to do a show.
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: I think this might be our first show. Maybe we
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: did a three man booth. But Sheets someone I respect
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: very highly in every single d FS sports. MMA is
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: probably my favorite sport nowadays Football is up there, but
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I love the sweats. Sheets is again one of very
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: very sharp in MMA streets m habes. You can usually
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: find them above you in the leader boards. It's a
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: twelve fight card. Twelve fights is my magic number I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: always talk about. We're at the Apex smaller cage. As
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: you can see on the stone, nine of the twelve
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: fights are expected to finish or at least have a
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: minus next to it. A couple of coin flips right there,
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: but I think that's gonna be a solid card. Fingers crossed.
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: Nothing is canceled, but no time to waste. Sheets bring
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: you in. I appreciate you doing this, and yeah, I'm
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: excited for our for our hour hour and a half
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: talk whatever it may be, how we doing. Everything's good, man.
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: You know, these guys do such a great job, and
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: I'm just happy to talk fights with them. Usually I
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: do a lot of stuff on my own, you know,
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: and that can get like somewhat lonely.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: And I'll tell you, even like some of the ship
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: in Nation videos to do by myself.
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know if you saw me, but like literally
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: whenever they have that that intro music coming in, even
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: by myself, I like, I like starting hump that stuff.
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: Uf I don't know who wrote that, but that's really
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: really good shit. But yeah, I mean, part of the
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: reason why I continue to get obsessed with UFC is
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: from originally from you and you and Marley like getting
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: me kind of up, you know, getting me involved in
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: the sport in the first place. Now again, I've kind
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: of morphed and developed since then, and with DFS caring
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: less about the fights, and it's kind of like kind
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: of like the kind of like a little stupid when
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: you think about it, Like I try to dismiss my
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: idea of like who's gonna win and who I like
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: and what's gonna be good and all that stuff, and
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: I've turned into one of those freaking guys that just
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: regard these things just kind of like data points on
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: a freaking spreadsheet and stuff like that. And it's a
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: little annoying, it's it's but that's what happens with all
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: of DFS. I mean DFS. Listen, the Knicks freaking won
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: the championship for the first time since I've been a lot,
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: you know, not since I've been a lot in a
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: long time.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: I just don't even care, you know what I mean.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: I'm not like one of those guys that just don't
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: even care about sports anymore because of the stupid DFS thing.
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: But but you have seen is the closest I get
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: to really actually getting into the sport along with that,
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: because I listen tells in last week's UFC at the
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: White House. Listen, let's face it, from a DFS perspective,
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: it was a stupid freaking slate.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: Uh. I ended up chopping the winner.
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: And and you know what, if Gaigee didn't completely smash
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I would have it would have actually cast for twenty
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: five thousand instead of like fifty eight hundred, wow.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: For eighty seven hundred.
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah, if he had because if he had, if I
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: had just gotten there enough, he would have been in
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: the flex and I'd be chopping with only a few
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: people for twenty five thousand. But because he's like really smashed,
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: then the captain ones got there.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: But but but every.
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: Time I watch the UFC, you know, you see the
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: punishment that these freaking people are willing to take. And
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: I remember the first UFC card I ever went to
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: live was I saw Gaichee versus Chandler as part of
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: the prelims for uh for Uzman versus I think Covington
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: and I couldn't breathe after that Gaichee Chandler fight and
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: reminded me of that, you know, when when when Gatechee
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: was fighting to Poory. You know it's like, I I know,
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: it's like so much marketing or stuff like that, but
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: when they talk about the BMF belt and stuff and
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: that these guys really are fucking bad mother efforts, you
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: know what I mean, Like to be able to take
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: a punishment that gats He took. I mean I watched
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: that second round like six times since the since it ended.
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: And how the hell he survived that second round, not
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: even survived, but to like turn it around and like
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: inflict his own punishment. And then even for Tiporia, you know, listen,
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: you know obviously lost, but to take some of those
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: knees that he took, and you know, like just what
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: these people do in the ring, it's just this is
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: just crazy.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: And the reason I bring this up is from a
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: DFS perspective.
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: One of the edges I think you get from not
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: you know, getting too invested in your fight analysis is
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: that we as kind of like storytellers, try to like
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: come up with some like order, you know what I mean, say, Okay,
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: like if A wins, it's gonna because of this, but
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: if B wins, it's gonna be because of that, and
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: they turn into this binary thing. But at the end
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: of the day, there's so much care like in these
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: fights that to think that way just kind of I
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: just think it kind.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: Of misses the boat. You know. It's so funny.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: When I was doing my breakdown of that fight last week,
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: even I said, listen, I know what you guys are
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: gonna think. There's gonna be a tough take, But believe
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: it or not, gay Chie does win that fight twenty
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: percent of the time, you know, because that's what Yann say,
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: you know, just like what I sit back in the
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: day where nobody believed that Morob could ever lose to
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: Yan in that fight, right, because we're used to we're
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: used to just Morob just like taking everybody down. And
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: this he listening. He took Yon down a zillion times
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: to fight before or whatever. Why wouldn't he. But just
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: because he's likely to win doesn't mean he's always gonna win.
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: And when you're dealing with an ownership game, when you're
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: balancing all that stuff, you gotta learn to like not
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: think of things that they're either going to happen or
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: they're not. Like everything is a percentage, Everything has got
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: a shot. I guess maybe when you get older and
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: you've seen so much shit go down, you know what
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, I.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: Mean between people, between people running into.
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: The world, I mean the World Trade Center to long
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: term capital destroying the markets, the two thousand and eight
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: and that's COVID. You know, you see so much shit
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: you then like say, well, twenty percent chance to win.
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: That's that to me, that's like the sun going up
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: and down, you know what I mean? Like that, yeah,
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: was all the time. So so that's since we've last
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: spoke again as you know, I mean, become much more
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: of kind of the evil Empire as far as this goes,
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: you know, like listen, yeah, I think that.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: XYZ is gonna win.
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, if someone's thirty
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: percent to win and they're twelve percent owns, you probably
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: should give them a shot in this particular sport.
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you've helped me a lot with that, for sure,
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: because I am someone I mean you always mention it,
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: Charles Oliver versus Michael Chandler when I say I go
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: all the way and I have one hundred percent, and
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: I mean I went on, I went out a big
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: down swing in m in man. When you're not taking
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: first in this sport, you're pretty much not winning with
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: especially the chop City kind of like NFL Showdown. But yeah,
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: you've helped me a lot, Big Marley, Like looking at odds,
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: if it's seventeen percent chance to finish and they're nine
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: percent owned, usually that could be a play. And it's
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: all about your roster. We talk about that lot a lot.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: You can eat chalk, but if you have chalk in
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: three spots, maybe you should do something different. In a
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: couple other ones. Leaving salary in MMA obviously is a
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: way to get different this card I think is I mean,
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: we have a couple big favorites, but they are priced efficiently.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: We don't have any like underdogs right now. Is the
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: favorites a good amount are expected to finish a main
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: event when we will get there. I do think is
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: you can fade. There is a chance that it stays
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: on the feet almost the whole time, expected to go
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: to the championship round. So I don't think there's just
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: one fight you have to be all in on. You
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: rarely do that anyways. And yeah, I like looking at
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: contest flashback. This is a good time to get some
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: marketing of the way a shipping nation dot Com our
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: homepage over here, as you can see, are all acts
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: especially usually ninety nine dollars now forty nine dollars get
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: you content to all of the sports above the US
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: Open tomorrow. Sheets already did a video in our discord
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: to check that out. It's leverage lane, big boy prizes
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: out there in the industry. Excited to build some golf
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: after this, we got MMA, of course, NASCAR on Sundays,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: and she plays all these sports. I can't keep saying, well,
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: you know what it's like.
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: People say that when the NFL season is not around,
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: you know who cares? I mean, do you know what's
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: happened in the last like ninety six hours?
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: Like in sports, Like.
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: I when I went out to Vegas, right, I flew
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: out on a Friday, and first in like in order,
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: you had the World Cup with the USA just just
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: showing out.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: And it's so funny. I was at Circa and there.
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: Was like seventeen screens on the US on the US
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: soccer team, and at the bottom right there was a
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: little TV of like Jacob Mizowski put it on like
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: a legendary freaking pitching performance. So now I fly back
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: get in Saturday to see the knicks and all that stuff,
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: and just when you can't breathe, Sunday comes you have
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: that ridiculous UFC card and oh, by the way, the
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: Stanley Cup finals finished, you know what I mean? And
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: then you blink and you have the US Open. So
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: there's there's all kinds of stuff going on. And so
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: here's I have a question. So you mentioned that the
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: the twelve fights is kind of like your magic number,
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: So this is the way I kind of look at it.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: So for me, like the way I look at these
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: GPP cards is is it a card where you can
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: just kind of play good plays or you have to
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: like engage in funny business. And funny business to me
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: means some combination of low salary like geomeine filtering, you know,
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: just just kind of screwy stuff, you know, with with
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: your lineups to try.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: To get unique.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: And for me, like thirteen is more like that that
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: that number that I kind of need. But the thing
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: is is that if you have a twelve fight card,
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: you can get away with it as long as and
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: you mentioned this, as long as there's no lock, you know,
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: as long as thank god there's no replacement fighters yet, right,
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: that can become a lock. And there's also no fight
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: that is everybody's gonna play that you can't faign. Now,
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: usually that means the main event, but sometimes you know,
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: when you get those Terrence McKinny fights, when it's eighty
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: two hundred and eight K where you just have to
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: play it, you know, And if you have twelve fights
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: and a main event you can fade, then I think
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: you're okay.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: So I rate this car similar to you.
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: I think it's like a it's a nice like B
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: minus as.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: Far as seven goes seven and a half out of ten.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: I actually, right now, I don't think anyone will be
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: over forty five percent owned. We will see if I
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: am right when it's all said and done. But yeah,
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: there's twelve fights and no one's over forty five percent,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: then it's a solid card in terms of that. But
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: I do agree. Third, when I say twelves of magic number,
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: once we get to eleven half the times, I don't
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: even play GPPs, so that's what I mean there. But yeah,
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: we'll get right into it. Actually, yeah, let me just
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: finish my thing over here again. Ship a Nation dot
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: com usually ninety nine dollars now forty nine dollars. You
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: do get Sabersim, which our man Cheeks was talking about.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: You do get access to our Discord bottom left. Join
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: the Nation. There's a couple other packages. Do you want
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: to get in for cheaper to give us a try
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: five days four nineteen dollars again does get Sabersim and
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: Discord as well, And we do have single sport options.
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: If you are just playing MMA, it goes on pretty
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: much every single week. You can get our content for
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: less than a dollar day and just twenty dollars more
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: for Sabersim as well. We would love to have you
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: most definitely do get in the discord. I said, we
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: go bottom in the top right away. Those sheets the
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: first fight of the night. So I put these odds
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: up on Tuesday, and I always like to do that
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: to compare where the money has gone since then. So
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: first fight of the night Shane Collins and O Tar
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: tens to Love minus two hundred is Collins Odar plus
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: one seventy minus one ten for this fight to finish,
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: we have Collins plus one ninety inside the distance O
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Tar plus three to twenty five. So Shane Collins has
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: taken a little bit of money since Tuesday was minus
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: one eighty now minus two hundred. He actually opened minus
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: one fifty, then got to minus one ninety, then was
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: back to minus one fifty five, and he has taken
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: some money since this fight was announced on last Friday.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: This card was put together, the last one on the card.
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: So I'll throw it to you to kick us off.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: What are you doing in this first fight?
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: The fact remains is that no matter what people say,
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: nobody has any idea who these people are.
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: You know, especially DFS players, you know.
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: And so what's good about that is you have to
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: kind of rely on a little external content and a
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: little a little bit of the odds. Okay, because the
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: first thing I like to look at is, does any
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: of these guys have like an extreme like takedown upside
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: Like if they have like that, that's good. That's gonna
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: be their their paths of victory and everybody knows it.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: And if the answer is no, which seems to be
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: the case here, that that you are at least relying
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: on the inside the distance prop to to to to
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: govern whether you're gonna play. Now, Shane Coms, from what
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: I've heard, is like a boxer, you know. And when
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: you have boxer versus striker, whatever it is, the good
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: thing is it's pretty, you know, pretty cut and dry,
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: you know. And now you've an eighty five hundred dollars
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: fighter and we start with a favorite right who is
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: like you said, plus one one eighty inside the distance
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: something like that. I mean, it's fine, you know, Like
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: the only thing that makes it okay is that the
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: rest of the car kind of stinks too, you know.
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: It's with respect, So there's no like these huge inside
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: the distance lines that you really are gonna have to
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: play with this. You don't have those like eighty six
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: hundred dollars guys with minus one no plus one twenty or.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: Something like that, so he doesn't have a lot of competition.
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: But in general these types of fights I end up
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: just not getting to because all you're getting is the
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: inside of the distance prop and when you have minus
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: eighty six hundred at minus at plus, you know whatever,
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: he is one eighty inside of distance. To me, that's
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: somebody that I'll get in one fifty max, just because
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: I just get like a lot of people. But if
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: I had to hand pick three max twenty max, there's
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: just no way I'm getting either of these guys.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: Honestly, all right, fair enough, I think I have a
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: little more interest. I also on some like unknown fights
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: like this, where it's lower level. There's more unknowns. It
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: was just made on last Friday, Like maybe one of
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: these guys. Cardio is way worse. They're not nearly as
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: in shape, and we know if once the guest saint
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: goes in MMA punches, add up in bunches late second
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: round finish, third round finish, they can really pour it on.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: So plus one ninety thirty four and a half percent,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: that is as likely to finish. I do think he
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: comes in lower own than that, and I do think
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: Shane Collins he's also taking twenty cent cents Tuesday, So
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: what also why I don't love Manel cop and the
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: Horigucci fight. So if you just go Cop to Shane
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Collins and leave one hundred and you don't play the
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: main event, that is one way you can eliminate a
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: lot of dupes there. So I think I have a
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: little more interest in this fight than you. Tanzaloni side,
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: I don't like as much. But if I mean, if
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: he wins at seventy seven hundred and plus three twenty
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: five inside the distance isn't terrible for his let me
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: just make sure I got there right. Yeah, plus three
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: twenty five inside the distance is twenty three and a
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: half percent at seventy seven hundred. I don't love it.
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: I don't hate it. I do prefer Collins in this fight,
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: but there's more unknowns. Again with both guys nake in
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: the UFC debut, haven't fought great competition, and it's a
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: short note. It's a late notice ad for them both.
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: So I'll have a little bit, but it's not my
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: favorite fight on the card by any means. We'll keep
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: a rolling next fight on the card, good sized favorites
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: and the most likely fight to finish levon Jacoli minus
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: three ten taken on Leon Chabazion plus two sixty minus
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: four hundred. For this fight to finish, we have Jacoli
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: minus one ninety inside the distance, Shabazi and plus three fifty.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: You see Shabazi and you think of Edmund's brother, but
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: Shabazi is actually a grappler in this one unlike his brother,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: And the props do show that Shabazian to win by
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: Koh plus two thousand, Shabazian to win by sub plus
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: three seventy five, Jacoli to win by sub plus nine
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: to seventy five. Jacoli to win by Koh minus one fifty,
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: Jacoli also taking some money on the inside the distance
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: prop was minus one sixty five now minus one ninety.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: This fight seems pretty's strong to me. I do think
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Jacoli will be one of the highest owned fighters. Minus
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: one ninety inside the distance is obviously good. Plus two
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: fifteen in round one is solid as well. Shabazi and
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: if he wins, I think he scores. So yeah, this
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: is a fight I will definitely be playing a good
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: amount of Obviously I expect the field too as well.
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: But I don't think anyone comes in crazy on. Like
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: I said from the top, So do you have similar
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: thoughts or different?
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: A little different in the fact that that I don't
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: see how this this guy ends up being that popular
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: only because again Jacoli, Yeah, well just because no one
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: knows who he is, you know what I mean, Like
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: he's he's a it's this first of all, it's a
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: second fight of the night.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: Nobody likes that anyway. And it's a guy, which is
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: the wrong way to play, which we both know. But
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: every fight's independent to each other.
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: Well, we're just talking about what people are, you know,
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: and and then what happens is and this is made
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: a really really good point about about when guys are
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: making their debuts, when the guys are just not known
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: too well, there's a lot of variants. Okay, because like
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: this past weekend at UFC, like I thought, everything was
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: very perfectly well aligned and well priced to whatever you
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: want to Why because we've seen all those guys fight
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: like one hundred times.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: Okay, there's no.
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: Secrets with all that all these guys are new all
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: not all of it.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: These guys are secrets. Nobody really knows.
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: You're getting like a little sketchy tape, you know, and
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: whatever it is. And the thing that people don't realize though,
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: is that variance goes both ways. What a lot of
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: people think is, wow, these who is this guy to
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: be minus three ten?
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's all kinds of variants here.
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: Well, variance doesn't necessarily mean that he's under that he's
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: over that he's overvalued. It could be that he's just
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: that much better than Leon. And the minus three ten
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: looks like minus six hundred. And when a lot of
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: people just you know, they screw it up. They say, well,
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: you know what, I'm not gonna trust this guy minus
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: three hundred because you know, maybe I'll play it like
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: a pick them. Well, why don't you look at it
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: the other way? Why don't I don't don't trust the
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: other guy? And even at plus two sixty, and we'll
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: just gotta pile on Leon's levan.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Sorry.
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: So yeah, min is inside the distance That is typically
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: a inside the distance prop that correlates more to like
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: a ninety three ninety four hundred hour fighter so ninety
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: one hundred is just an incredible price for him. So
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: as far as the metrics go, he's just gonna show up.
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: I think as like you said, one of if not
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: the best play. Now you hit it right on the
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: head though, if in fact he is going to show
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: up as the best play.
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: And this is this is what you really have to
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: remember to do in ufcity.
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: This is the most important thing about getting leverage and
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: playing GPPs is if you can find a guy whose
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: metrics are so obvious that makes him a good play,
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: if you can just invent any way for his opponents
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: to be even a reasonable play, then you should play
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: the opponent as well. Okay, because you get all that
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: leverage against all that ownership, that you can play a
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: guy who might not even be a great play if
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: you're sure that the guy you're you're pitting against is
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: a great play that everybody's gonna see. So you mentioned
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: that Leon is possibly like a grapple that's gonna be
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: his path to victory. I mean, to be honest, that's
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: good enough for me, you know what I mean. Like
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: and that plus his the leverage you're gonna get, I
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: think over to even if it's not the most popular.
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: He's certainly gonna get up there with those metrics. How
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: do you not, you know? And I'll say something else.
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: The people that are going to play a lot of him,
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: the people that don't like get scared of the of
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: the early fights or whatever, are gonna be the sharper,
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: better players. So to get leverage on them is even
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: more important, you know. So, so I definitely think that
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: you have to play Leon. And I'll tell you this
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: in a twelve fight card. You know what else is
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: live the Marlea whatever her name was, man, Yeah, the
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: marleaku Man win win with win with twenty points as
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: in a loss variation, and all you need is Leon
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: to get like one or two takedowns, you know, and
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: get twenty five points or thirty points, and next thing
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: you know, you know, no other underdog wins and he's
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: in all the optimals. Okay, So I agree with you.
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: I like I like Leon obviously, but you definitely need
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: to play Levon in the decent amount of your lineups.
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: Yep. Definitely one of the best fights to target, regardless
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: the ownership. I'm going to be playing quite a bit
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: of it, and I do not see Leon getting much
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: I do think Levon will be one of the highest owned,
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: but there's enough people in the upper tier that I
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: do think it gets spread out. Why sent always in here?
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: Great to see yep, everyone's supporting sheets. Oh we ask
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: is the like button and subscribe button helps us out
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: a ton moving from the most likely fight to finish
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: to the most likely fight to go the distance? Carol
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: host of minus one twenty taken on the one of
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: Santos plus one hundred minus four fifty for this fight
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: to go the distance, Santos the underdog with the slightly
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: better inside the distance prop at plus five hundred, Hosa
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: at plus six hundred. I mean, right away you look
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: at this, it feels like an easy fade. One thing
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: I do want to mention on the Hosta side. As
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: you can see on the stone, she throws solid volume
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: in her three decision wins in the UFC one eleven,
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: one oh nine, and one oh eight, And that was
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: her first three fights, and then her last two decisions
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: have scored one oh five and ninety four. So Hosta
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: hash shows she can't get there in a decision win.
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: With that being said, she's taken on Juana Santo's who
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: a judo practitioner and most of Carol Hosa's wins. I
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: believe it was five of those or four of those five,
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: she has at least one takedown in those fights. So
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure she's gonna be wrestling much in this one,
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: but she has kind of shown when she gets there
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: she does mix in takedowns. It's gonna be really low loan.
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: So I was just trying to make a case to
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: maybe get some. But I'm curious here your take.
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: You know, what's cool is that is that is that
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: you and I don't talk about these fights beforehand and
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: we give our takes. And one of the things that
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: I always I hated about that content is that the
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: people that just like agree with each other like all
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: the time or whatever it is. And what's cool, what's
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: cool about us is don't even know what the other
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: person's gonna say. So see, I'm looking at the other way.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: So I pull up Santos literally just be an idiot,
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: like pull up her game log, like she has like
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: a zillion hours of control time in like her last
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: two Stars. I mean, she said three takedowns against Melissa,
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: against Crowton, who's pretty freaking pretty good herself, and then
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: two takedowns against Liz bo Is pretty big, and then
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: you have nine minutes of control time and nine minutes
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: of control time, and then against Stephanie Egger, who, if
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: I'm not mistaken.
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: Pretty good grappler in her own right.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Santos had nine minutes of control time there, and
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: and that was like the worst of her performances as
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: far as fantasy points goes.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: She's always seems to be doing well.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: Now, look she's got I think that I was gonna
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: look at the other way. I thought that Santos was
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: gonna come off as being like really really popular, and
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: I was gonna come up with with with with the
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: other side as being like a weird little bit of
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: pivot against her. But but again it's only Wednesday, so
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: I haven't done my ownership projections yet. What's gonna keep
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: this fight, Uh, what's gonna make this fight owned is
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: just because of the pricing, you know, Like whenever you
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: have like these these eighty three seventy nine horr fights,
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: they just make line.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: Of constructions so easy that people are just gonna play these.
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: They're both gonna be I think, I really do think
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: they're both gonna be twenty five percent on I really do.
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: I think Hosta might be like sixteen, Santo's like twenty two. Yeah.
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: Maybe, but but I think that that this fight is
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: is very live for a lot of activity. I mean,
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: like you have I think that Santos is gonna be
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: going for takedowns. And if you're telling me that that
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: that Hosa can grapple too, then you have reversals, you
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: have all kinds of crazy stuff going on.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: For me, I would really probably start with Santos and
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: even lolmost like a cash game, you know, I don't
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: know that that's the way I looked at it least.
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: All right, I like it, Yeah, I mean I do
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: think Santos will be higher own four hundred less better
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: money line value, and she is the one more likely
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: to grapple. I probably prefer her to host it, just
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: because again, when Hosta does score over one hundred, usually
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: she is getting a takedown or multiple and I don't
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: think this is the matchup for her to really do that.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: She throws solid light kicks, We'll be looking to keep
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: it on.
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: The solid solid leg kicks. Though it does don't make
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: us don't make us any money, right.
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: And they don't unless that UoT. Who was it someone
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: against Omar Morales, No, no, no guy Chris Gutierrez. Chris Gutier
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: is against Omar Moreles got TKO leg kicks. No, but
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: the other guy who got the TKO leg kicks.
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: Remember there's a guy recently who was as who got
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: a replacement fight, so he was like sixty five percent
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: owns at like seventy eight seventy six hundred.
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: Oh Fernandez, I think it was Kuayed Fernandez.
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: And and and people didn't play him because they were
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: they were saying that, well, even though he's got all
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: the moneyline value, he doesn't have a lot of finish
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: up side because always going to do is go for
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: leg kicks.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: And meanwhile he.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: Just white, some white guy, right, he's just bazillion.
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: Who's was it?
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: I thought it was some of the guy Okay, no, that.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: Fans was the winner.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: But the guy he beat was some like some white
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: guy from England I think or something like that, and
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: he just just destroyed his leg and he just basically
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: got a first round KO from leg kicks.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: Harry Hardwick, Yeah, yeah, yeah. I was also thinking when
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: you were talking about like being live and just the
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: damage that uh these guys in a dure or endure.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: I my favorite UFC event to this day was actually
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: one that you solo shipped. Do you have any idea
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: shows how good sheets is Austin Texas? So many, so
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: many of them, right Calvin Cator josh Emmett, like three
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: years ago in Austin, Texas. I mean, man, it was
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: one of the best events. I think thirteen of the
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: fourteen finished. Damn the man hooked me up with flour seeds.
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Phil Hawes against uh Duran Wynn. If anyone wants to
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: go out and see violence, I mean, man, when you're
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: down there and you guys here with these guys go through,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: it was absolutely insane. Roman Dalitze knocked out Kyle Daukas
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: and his first uf C stint with a knee, broke
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: his nose. I mean, these guys are just absolutely violent,
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: And yeah, you solo shipped that one sheet. So one
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: of my favorite, my favorite event to this day live
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: I've been blessed to be at multiple Yep, all right,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: we'll keep it rolling. Next Fight on the Car one
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: of the biggest favorites, Michael as well minus four to
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: fifty taking on gastam Blanos plus three to fifty plus
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: one hundred for this fight to finish as well, plus
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: one forty inside the distance Bolanos plus five eighty. Tough
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: for me to get much Bolanos. But if you're talking
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: about Leon getting there in a loss, I mean Bolanos
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: at sixty eight hundred, he's three hundred less and it's favored,
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: slightly favored to go the distance as well, ninety four hundred,
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: like Levan looks like a way better play in a vacuum,
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: and he is three hundred less. I do think that
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: keeps ownership kind of less, especially because like be a
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: Mesquite when people want to find the two hundred, like
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: they will. I do think this fight is going to
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: be pretty low owned. What do you think he'll do?
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the problem with Balanos is he doesn't have that
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: that that get there in.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: A lost style. You know, he's like basically a pure
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: kickbox I think, isn't he? I mean, yeah he is.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: But I mean if Leon, that fight's supposed to be
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: heavily favored to finish, So even two takedowns, he gets
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: twenty five if this fight goes fifteen minutes and it's
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: a war because that as well throws a lot of volume.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: So if he lands ninety five significant strikes in a
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: war that way, yeah.
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: So ninety four hundred at plus one forty inside the
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: distance or one twenty, that's not gonna work for me.
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: The only time that will is if it also comes
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: with a bunch of takedowns, and that's not as well
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: as jam you know, So you're right that it's going
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: to be low owned. And you know, if you run
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: this through a simulator, you know, if it's gonna be
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: plus one. If he's plus one, thirty is to finish
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: and he's you know, eighteen percent owned instead of thirty,
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: he's gonna show up.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: But if we're just talking about like best.
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: Plays, I mean you just got to go elsewhere like
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: the the guy you mentioned before.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Chukawai's definitely on its face it's a better play. Yep. Yeah,
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: not much more to add there. I do think in
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: really chalky lineups, I mean, Aswell lands almost eight significant
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: strikes per minute, like Chets mentioned, he's plus one forty
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: inside the distance. That's forty one percent, and I think
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: his ownership might be half of that. So when you're
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: just going that way alone in the big portfolio lineups
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: as well. Is my preferred play, even with a lot
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: twenty six hundred more than Polanos. Next fight on the car.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: This fight was actually supposed to take place two months ago.
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: Alan Nosimento taken on Mitch Riposo and not Smento minus
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: one ninety Riposo plus one sixty five plus one twenty
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: for this fight to finish all the finishing equity on
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: the Nacimento side at plus one forty Riposo plus eight hundred.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: You're talking about someone that wants takedowns. Nasmento is one
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: that does. With that being said, his control is so
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: good on the mat, his opponents rarely get up so
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: he can keep dumping him down, and he does not
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: do too much damage on top. More control and submission
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: versus damage, so eighty eight hundred. He wants to get
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: it to the mat inside the distance props solid, price
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: is solid, but it is favored to go the distance,
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: and I do think if it does go all fifteen minutes,
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: more than likely this fight bus still for me, not
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: cement to over Aposo, even for being fourteen hundred more
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: tough for me to get much Mitroposo on this card
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: as a plus eight hundred inside the distance prop against
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: someone that's gonna be looking to control them on the
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: mat the whole time. And yet on the.
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: Other hand, I mean, you have Raposo who's like just
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: two fights removed from having six takedowns.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: You know, so every matchups different, every matchup's different.
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: And you know, again it's gonna this is gonna fly
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: in the face of what I said before.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: And listen, we're we're human beings.
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: We love to tell stories, right, so we love to
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: like come up with and and we love to vibe
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: these things. And to me, it's just like Riposo goes
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: out like their freak, like amaniac, you know, whatever it is,
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: he'll go for and takedowns and then like then like
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: Nascimento will like latinum or something or or reverse him
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: in subib or whatever it is. It's the question of
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: how many points that it's not just the question how many.
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: Points Pacimento scores.
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: But there are variations where Nascimento gets like subs that
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: don't score all too much.
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: But he's priced to move, you know what I mean.
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: Like it's not like he's ninety three hundred, you know,
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: he's he's under nine k right. I mean it's to me,
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: it's it's it's sort of I want to say, a
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: tough fade.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: But it's one of.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: Those things where if you're if you're doing twenty match,
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: you're doing single entry, you're doing cash.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: I literally have no problem.
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: With this, you know, just playing Nascimento and except the
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: fact that he might win and get ninety you know,
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: or ninety five or something like that in a twelve
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: fight card though to play in the lottery. Uh, this
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: is one where I don't think that my sims and
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: my process is gonna get me all that much of it,
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: you know, because you need you need ceiling for that
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: type of thing. And Nascimento to me is not a
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: ceiling guy. You know, He'll he'll do what he has
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: to do, he'll get his whatever.
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: But I think.
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: Riposo is gonna be the one bringing the action.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, I just do.
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: And in those two situations, I mean, like i'd I'd
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: rather not go too heavy on the guy that's gonna
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: be and I want say backing up, that's not gonna
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: be bringing the action. So uh, I do like Nascrumento.
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: I think he's priced to move and I think that
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: that even in low risk, I think he's a pretty
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: pretty strong play. Like if you started with him and
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: and and what's the name in Chakelly. Those are two
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: very reasonably priced guys. I mean, given their given their metrics.
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: As far as our posto goes, I just don't just
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: don't think I could do it. You know, he's gonna
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: he's gonna give you a sweat, I guess, but I
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: just think at the end of the day, uh, get
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: there in a loss.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: Maybe is he really gonna take down Naciamento. I don't know. Yeah,
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: it's tough for me to see him get there in
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: the loss because I think he'll be on his back
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: controlled most of the times when he does lose. If
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: he wins, I think he's mainly keeping on the feet.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: As far as not Cimento. Like again, I don't love it,
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: but I think somewhere where I'd want to be around
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: is his first round prop plus three fifty twenty two
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: percent if you're telling me he gets a first round finish.
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: Obviously a quick sub can still score ninety two, but
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: I would take my chances. So I think somewhere around
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: that twenty two percent mark, not Cemento, maybe a little higher,
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: not much, Mitch Rposo love for me. We'll keep it
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: rolling to the second biggest, our second highest price and
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: the second biggest favorite, Beatrix Mosquita minus six hundred taking
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: on Melissa Mullins minus or excuse me, plus four to fifty.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: This fights minus three twenty five to finish. Mosquito the
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: best inside the distance prop on the slate at minus
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: two to eighty Mullins plus nine hundred Mosquito in round
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: one plus one forty. So these are two primary grapplers,
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: but there is levels to everythingsque one of the best
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: grapplers in the world. When we're talking woman's fourth degree
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: black belt ten time, I be JJF world champion. If
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: you just google her names, you can go and find
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: all these other awards. She gets into the match, she
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: is nasty ground and pounds and missions and yeah, Melissa Mellens,
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: I think is in for I'm not even a long
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: night because I think she probably gets finished in the
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: first or second. The question is at ninety six hundred,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: what do you want and how much do you think
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: you'll get it for?
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: We're not going to do too many of these, right,
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: So if I'm stupid about something.
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: I'm not going to take the same heat as like
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: you guys do for always coming back. There's no such thing.
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, I when you do this long enough, it
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: goes in one ear out the other ear.
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: I mean who I mean, who died and left be
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: a mosquito like the leader of the Free World. I
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: don't know, like she Okay, I'm literally dismissing those last
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: two fights. I mean, I think those were as much
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: of layups as she could possibly give somebody coming into
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: the UFC, especially ron Down. I mean that was that.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: That's a joke, Okay.
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: All I know, not All I know is that Melissam
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: Owens had three takedowns in her last fight, two takedowns
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: to fight before that, and one takedown the right fight
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: before that.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah, she did get kot or whatever it is. I
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: think that she can put.
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: Up enough resistance to keep Mosquito from from from winning
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: the slate.
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: How about that? Yeah, I mean that's so so so so. Uh.
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: And as a matter of fact, I think that she
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: could be the Malik Man, the Marik Man.
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: She does have some marike Man possibilities here. If she
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: can get like, you know, a takedown and and two
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: minutes of control time. You know, who knows, Uh, maybe
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: maybe she gets in there. Now. Again, it's not something
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna put a lot of money on myself, but
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: it's one of those things where I run my sims
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: and I run my process and I get like twelve
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: percent of mulblins.
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: I'm like, that's pretty cool, you know what I mean?
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: Like, so, you know what, So I like to say,
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: you know, the good thing betting twelve percent of mullins
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: is that.
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: Eighty eight percent of my lineups are probably in shape,
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: you know.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: Yeah, but who knows, you know? So I I think
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: that that that that the Mosquito Fighter.
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, she's just.
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: Like you said, she's a you know, four thousand degree
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: champion and like stuff that is not UFC. Okay, I'm
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: just saying it's a little different. Uh So, I'm I'm
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: probably not going to end up with all that much
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: of a ninety six hundred dollars women fighter with a
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: excuse me, but it inside the distance line of is
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: it even even minus one ten?
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: No, it's minus two eighty plus two eighty. No, it's
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: minus mine minus too eighty. Yeah, you know what, maybe
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: plus one round one? Oh my god minus one twenty
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: win minus one twenty to win by submission.
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: Like I said, that's why I let the That's why
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: I let the calculator do it for me. But I'm
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: not gonna be the slightest bit surprised if this if
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: she busts you.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean when you're talking Mullins like this is
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: numbers and this is I've tried to get better. MMA
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: is the one sport I deviate a little bit because
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, like the projection wise, because you're too smart,
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: you know too much. Right, No, I'm not. It's definitely
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: costing me way more than it's helped me. But it's
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: a sport where I mean, the projection is so much
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: about win equity and only one person can get those
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: winning points. And yeah, so I mean I just Melissa
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: Mallens gets a takedown. I think she gets try and
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: gold their armbard when she's on top off her back
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: right away. But with that being said, plus four fifty
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: to wins eighteen percent, she probably is gonna come in
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: half of that ownership. And if Melissa Mullins wins this fight,
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: I mean I think she's gonna score I don't know
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: how necessarily mosquita gases, she knocks her out, whatever it
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: may be that way, but forget the inside the distance
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: prop just money line sixty six hundred eighteen percent and
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: she'll be lower owned than that. That feels like she's
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: to me in large Field Attorneys. Next fight on the card,
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: good real life fight right here. Not sure as much
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: for DFS. We have Venetias de Olivera taking on Andre
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: Peeley minus two sixty five Olivera plus two twenty five
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: Phely minus won thirty for this fight to finish, Olivera
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: plus one thirty inside the distance Phelly plus four to
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: twenty five. I mean, I'm I'm the little salty. I
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: would had the shipper if Olivera beat Mario Batista last
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: time out. Turns out the dude's fighting with a fractured arm.
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: He had twenty five seconds of cardio. He talked about
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: a really bad weight cut, so he moved up from
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: one thirty five to one forty five for this fight.
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: And Andre Feely had quite the fight last time as well,
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: plus four hundred underdog against Jose Delgado, split decision loss.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: Was a very very close fight, but man, Andre Pheeley's
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: been there, done that, always fight for your dollar, he
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: salid all around, Oliver has power. Yeah, I'm coin flipped
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: to finish. I'm curious what you're gonna do in this one. Actually,
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: before you do go this fight. On Tuesday was minus
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: two thirty. Now it is minus two sixty five, oly Bear,
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: So he has taken some money since Tuesday. But he
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: opened minus three fifty and like thirty minutes later was
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: already down to minus two forty. So line's moved quite
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: a bit. What are you doing?
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: I don't know what order, by the way, but we're
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: gonna get back to the other one, right the Uh.
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm going based on the stone, which is what
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: I'm showing. But yep, I I go based on topology
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday, so they have it on this order. Sometimes
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: it gets mixed. I'm looking elsewhere it's higher, but based
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: on the stone, we'll get to all of them.
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, So I to be honest, I I was a
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: little You can't be surprised with anything, but I was
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: a little bit surprised with that decision.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: I really did think Pheley won.
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: I thought that I thought that the grappling in the
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: second and third round. I really thought that he had
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: earned it. I was very surprised, actually, and.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: I like that Delgado a plus money. I think it
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: was because one of his takedowns was twenty five seconds left,
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: which was the round that like it might have been
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: just too late where I thought he lost the striking before.
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: But I mean these judges are blind. Anyway.
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: That was salty because I had I had a lot
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: of Delgatto and so I was gonna lose regardless as
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: he wasn't gonna get there DFS wise, you know. So
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: I was like, well, at least maybe I'll get like
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: eighty points if the Delgatto wins or something. And I
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: was actually surprised they gave it to me. I really
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: thought that feel he had had earned that. He's he's
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: like a tough out and all of AA is kind.
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: Of a head case, you know in a way.
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: But again, like the numbers are pretty good, you know,
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: plus plus one thirty inside the distance right for for Delgado,
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: I mean for for Olvera at eighty nine hundred, I
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: mean sort of similar.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: To the Yeah, that's pretty much the same, sort of similar.
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: I you know, I'm not Cumno's got a little bit
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: more you know, grappling upside, but.
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that he's right in there, and and
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: and I would I think that that Peely is just
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: don't you sort of have to play him at seventy
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: three hundred.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think so he's very competitive in every fighting.
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: He always, like you said, as title says, he fights
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: for your dollar, and he fights for your dollar with
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: with take that also, So yeah, I think that that
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: that's like underdog you have to play.
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: I agree. I hope you played some Daniel Shireman in
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: tournaments for baseball though Grand Salami for the Guardians, so
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: I know she's always has some action there, but nothing matters,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: always an action everywhere. I just I just.
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: Don't know why people keep playing Carlos. He is just
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: the freaking worst.
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: Well I played him in cash today, so that means
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: he's probably But yeah, I mean, nothing nothing in MLB
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: until that A's Pittsburgh game means anything today. So the
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: little Shireman there, Yeah, yeah, I don't love this. Like
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Olivera's props in that look good, but like I mean,
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: I Feely fights for my dollar. He can make it boring.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: And if Oliver is not getting a first or second
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: round finish, and not even all second round finishers are
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: guaranteed to be optimal. It's a little harder for me.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: But with that being said, Olivera hits really hard. He's
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: now at his proper weight class and Phelly has been
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: knocked out. He's been finished in seven of his thirteen losses,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: and I believe four of those he's been knocked out.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: So Olivera is live for a ko at any time.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: I do prefer Phey for sixteen hundred less though, next fight.
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: Scherman, if you pair him with Gavin Williams, you're not happy, though.
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: I haven't looked at anything. I just you have the
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: home run notifications on your phone or no? No, thank god,
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: Oh gosh, she's yeah. Home notification is title town right now,
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: there you go. No.
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: Next, Gavin Williams is minus has minus five Fantasy points forland.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: What's row Donna, He's got twelve? All right, I'll take
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: twelve in cash. It was a it was a bad
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: It was a bad baseball. You played ba You Blake
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: played baseball? You you really playing all play at all sheets? Yeah?
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: Play it all all in cash? Not too many attorneys,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: all right, we'll keep it rolling. Next fight on the card,
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: we got Mrtisi Ali mago Metov minus three oh five
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: taking on Melsick, bagdas Arian plus two fifty five minus
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: two ten for this fight to finisher or Magametov minus
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: one ten inside the distance Bagdasari and plus three seventy five.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: This mago Metav guy's making his UFC debut off the
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: contener series ten and oh five wins by Ko, five
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: wins by sub and he has an Ov at the
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: end of the name at only nine K. That all
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: seems pretty good to me. Only gets better when you
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: see Melsick is just a striker, So it feels like
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: Magametov should go and get takedowns early, and if he
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: does so, he has all the upside in the world.
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: My two favorite high or upper tier plays Levan that
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: we talked about and mago Metov. They don't break the
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: bake easy pass for him. Both. With that being said,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: I think they're probably two of the highest on on
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: the slate, which then brings mel Sick in the play
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: for me, not only because I mean a plus two
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: fifty five against an Ov that's ten and zero feels
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: like most of the time it's like minus five hundred
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: for guys in that spot and that'll Sick's good on
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: the feet with UFC competition, but I mean his takedown
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: defense isn't great. I think OV wrestles and puts up
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: a good score, but I'm interested in this fight for sure.
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: Was minus one ninety to finish Tuesday now minus two ten.
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean to to turn a to coin a
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: phrase from from Nads.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: I guess we're kind of in agreeance on this one.
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: Uh you got?
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, I didn't even think that he was gonna
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: do much wrestling. I just think he was just gonna
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: knock him out. But in either case, he's got like
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: a a minus inside the distance line at nine k,
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: that's that's just too low. I mean, if you're looking
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: to really you know, price these things. When I look
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: at like ninety one hundred, ninety two hundred dollars fighters,
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: that's when you need like minus one ten. So here,
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: nine k is just is just fine. Like him chocole A,
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: like you mentioned Nacimento, these three guys look very very strong.
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: So uh, now do you have it in you though?
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: Titled to go for some leverage and play the Bagdasarian,
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: you know you hit it right on the head.
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: I mean in that well you almost did.
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: You said, he doesn't really have any any striking, but
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: I don't really care too much.
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: No, he doesn't, he doesn't have grappling, he hasn't read.
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: I don't really care too much if the guy he's
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: against is going to be like really popular. So so
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: here's the thing you have to everybody's got to understand.
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: Okay about like this fight again, as I mentioned earlier,
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: this guy Bagdasarian, whether you believe it or not, is
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: going to win this fight about twenty five percent of
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: the time. It seems impossible, right, but but but it's
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: just the case. I mean, he's he's ad three even
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: big adjusted and barely a three to one underdog, which
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: means twenty five percent of the time the dude wins.
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: So what happens in the twenty five percent of the
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: time that dude wins, Well, does he score well, I
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: mean he's got to score something. But more to the point,
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: on a twelve fight card, he knocks out a guy
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: that's gonna be really popular.
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: Now, how popular is it gonna be? Again, same same issue.
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna be that popular because, like
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: you said, Chill Kelly is gonna take some money. Nascia
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: Mento is gonna take some money, so maybe it's not
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: such extreme leverage, but I'm telling you it just doesn't.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: I've just seen too much shit. You know, if you
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: play one fifty and you do just do not do stuff.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: I can't impose this upon all you guys. Enough. Do
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: not x guys out of one fix if you get
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: if you don't get to them because your projections are
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: or you know, don't get there. If you don't get
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: to them because your sins don't get there, that's fine,
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: but don't manually X them out because in your head
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: you just can't imagine them winning. This guy is gonna
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: win this fight twenty five percent of the time, whether
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: you believe it or not. And when he does, he's
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: gonna knock out thirty five percent of the pool.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you can't. Most of his wins is
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: well is by finish, he's plus two to fifty five
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: money line plus three seventy five inside the distance, so
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: seventy two hundred. Also, like I said, usually when there's
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: a Magameta of ov that's undefeated when they're making their
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: UFC debut, that especially against someone that can't grapple. Usually
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: we see minus five to fifty minus six hundred. This
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: line is telling me that Melsick is pretty live in
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: this fight. And to my point about Magameta trying to grapple,
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: the lines have moved so by TKO Magametta opened plus
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: two seventy and now he's plus two seventy five. He
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: open plus two seventy by sub and now he's plus
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: two twenty five. So some money has come in on
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: his subprop as well. But definitely a good fight to
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: target in my opinion. What's up with Taos and what
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: is up Little Neck? Phenomenal job in the NBA showdown
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: streets by our man Little Neck. All right, next fight
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: on the card, we got Andre Lima, the highest priced
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: and biggest favorites at minus six fifty taking on Kevin
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: borhas plus four seventy five minus one twenty for this
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: fight to finish, Lima plus one ten inside the distance.
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: Borhas plus seven hundred this fight to finish open minus
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: one fifteen, now minus one twenty. I mean this, this
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: feels like an easy XL fight. I mean lim I
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: think needs to wrestle, wrestle wrestle to get there. And
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: even if he does that, like is one it will
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: one to twelve be enough in ninety seven hundred, which
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: I mean one twelve would be amazing for him in
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: my opinion, So he's better everywhere. Borjas is a striker,
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: so maybe he wrestles. I mean, yeah, you play one fifty,
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: you're gonna play some, but let me throw it to you.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: If you're playing twenty teams or less, what do you
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: think you're doing in this one? I will go a
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: step further. And I've said this before and some of
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: my other content.
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: I can't imagine playing a ninety seven hundred dollars fighter,
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: regardless of what his metrics are.
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you if.
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: You sign me up for a first round finish, I
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: still don't think ninety seven hundred works. You know, the
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: only the only way a ninety seven hundred works is
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: if you have one of those cards where you have
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: that seventy three seventy four hundred dollars fire who's a
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: replacement fighter?
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: You know, it's it's just.
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: So difficult, just the way fifty thousand divides by six
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: to to to make it with ninety.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: Seven hundred, So it almost in a weird.
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: Way, doesn't matter what his what what what his metrics
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: are and not to mention the fact is metrics stink,
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: Like his metrics are plus one or plus plus money
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: is without really being you know, the big the big
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: wrestler anyway. So yeah, I'm with you. I uh. And
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: the problem is also is that if you like Borjas
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: for some reason, you're not really even you know, getting.
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, listen, it's fine, listen, I'm not gonna.
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: Say that that that I wouldn't sign up for a
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: Borjas win at sixty at sixty six hundred or whatever,
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: but Lima's going to be probably what twenty percent on max?
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so uh.
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: And the funny thing about Borjas Borjas, it reminds me
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: of you know, again, in football, they have all those
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: those coaching trees. You know, they had like the the
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: Belichick coaching trees where everybody have all these guys that
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: play for Belichick. You have the the Seafert and Bill
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: wallsh coach coaching trees, and then you have the the
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: Gruden coaching trees. Like for whatever reason, like Borjas is
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: part of this, like Joshua Van like mm a math thing,
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: Like there's like so many guys that like we're competitive
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: against Joshua Van that people just keep on like referring
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: to like every whatever, Like Charles Johnson is like in
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: a fight, like all people will talk about is how
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: he beat Joshua Van. And anybody who goes against Charles
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: Johnson will say, boy the guy beat Charles Johnson, and boy,
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: Charles Johnson beat Joshua Van. So Joshua Van has like
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: this weird like it's this weird, like this like this
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: mma math Tree, so Borjas always is reminded, always reminded
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: of how competitive.
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: He was against Joshua Van.
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: But again, he's only he's only gonna win this fight
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: what fifteen percent of the time, probably at his price.
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: And if he's gonna.
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: Win the five fifty percent of the time, that's not
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: gonna be good enough unless you could also sign up
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: for an incredible amount of leverage, which you're just not getting.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: So I agree with you xap XP.
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: I don't actually exit out, but in a you know,
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: if you're a handbuilding, let's put this way, I wouldn't
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: play it.
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: I agree. I think this is one of the worst
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: fights on the card to target, probably the worst next
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: fight on the car. This one should be good in
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: real life for sure Christian Rodriguez minus one seventy five
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: taking a Hyder a Meal plus one fifty plus one
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: oh five for this fight to finish a meal the
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: underdog with a slightly better inside the distance prop at
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: plus two sixty versus plus two sixty five for c Rod.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: I mean any time that I'm getting an underdog with
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: a slightly better inside the distance prop at plus two
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: sixty any lands five point eight one significant strikes per minute,
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: I will definitely be playing some highter Emeal. As far
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: as the Sea Rod side, He's just a better real
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: life fighter than dfs. He ruined Ralul Rosas Junior, Austin
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: Austin Dashie, Isaac Dulgarian, Cameron Simon. He was known as
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: the prospect killer. He still kind of is. It's a
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: good fight. Hidermeal is getting up there in age. It's
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: another thing that stands out. Thirty six is Hyder Emel.
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: Twenty eight is Christian Rodriguez. I think Emil pushes the
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: pace in this one. Sea Rod. I expect to mix
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: in his wrestling and grappling mid tier fight. I'm curious
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: to hear your thoughts on it and how it compares
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: to some other mid tier fights like that Shane Collins
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: fight that we talked about, the Karajosa fight. What do
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: you think, Yeah, this is gonna be the other one.
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: You know, I think the Santos Rosa fyte is gonna
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: make sense from a pricing perspective, and this one's gonna
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: make sense for a pricing perspective. All so plus, like
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: you said, I mean, it's all right there in front
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: of you. You know, if you ask seventy five million
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: people about this fight, they'll know what that Hydermeal is
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: very aggressive and he brings it, and he brings it,
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: and he's seventy eight hundred and and that's that's gonna
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: be good enough. And he's going to project well, he's
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: gonna get ownership, which means that you probably have to
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: play both sides. I mean, I know, typically what's his name,
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: Sea Rod is not the guy who's not the ceiling guy.
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: But again, you know, God forbid a Meal ends up
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: thirty percent owned. Uh, you're just gonna want to have
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: the other side of that. And you Knowsten sea Rod
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: likes to likes to counter, likes to counter people, you know,
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: and and e Meal comes in, comes rushing in and
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: the next thing. You know, Uh, Sea Rot will get
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: like maybe a nice second round finish well, second round finished.
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: B O good enough.
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: Maybe maybe not at eighty six hundred, But I agree,
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: I think you have to play both sides of this,
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: and I think that's a it's a really key fight
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: in terms of kind of like low risk contests.
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: Yep, I agree. All right, two fights left, we're chugging along.
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: We got the co main events. Good size favorite Nava
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: Ho Sterling minus three thirty taking an eon, Cute Lava
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: plus two fifty five minus two ten for this fight
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: to finish, Sterling minus one thirty five inside the distance
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: Qute Lava plus three seventy five. Kind of what we
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: talked about. Hyder Emil Cute Lava. He's UFC. Bet has
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: always been known just to be a crazy man. Paints
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: his face like the Hulk, the Ankliath fights just like
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: got comes out guns blazing. But that being said, he's
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: kind of changed his style a little bit as of late. Uh,
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: he has a big overhand, he can wrestle in this fight.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: Navo is the one that keeps it at distance. He
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: out points. Yeah, he sticks with his jab. So I'm
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: like it's minus two ten to finish eight or ninety
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: two hundred and seven k. Both guys have a clear path.
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: Navo expected to finish. Eon can wrestle with the solid
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: inside the distance prop, so it's gonna be owned. I mean,
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: I think you have to play it, but I do
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: have a little reservations in it, just in the sense
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: of if Eon can't wrestle and this I mean Navo
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: three inches in height four inches in reach, if he
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: keeps this fight at distance and use that jab and
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: stick and sticks and moves. As round two finished might
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: not be enough. Round three probably isn't. And we have
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: what over one and a half minus one seventy five.
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: This is tough. I don't think this is the one.
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: I want to be too crazy over the field, but
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: I also just don't want to take a huge stand
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: and be like half underweight. So yeah, I'm this is
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: one of the ones I was most curious to hear
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: your take on.
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: Well, the good thing is this is that like again,
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: uh Sterling wins his fight seventy five percent of the time,
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: the Kulaba wins twenty five percent. The thing about this
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: is that Kudlaba like it his wins. He's gonna smash,
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: so twenty say, twenty five percent of the time he smashes.
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: I do think he's gonna get played.
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: I think people played him before, and I think the Kudlaba,
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: you know, everybody sees what I see.
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: And you know, seven K boy.
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: The other thing, the only thing is that it's very
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: rare that someone seven K is that popular, you know,
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: So so maybe he doesn't get that much. Maybe he's
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: like sixteen seventeen, and I let's put this one. I
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: think that that Sterling's got a lot more competition in
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: his range than Kudlaba.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: Does it his range.
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: So I I like Kudlaba, you know, I would say
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: a lot, but like listen, I can't give absolute lineups
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: up out. But I just kind of put this together
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: like as we're kind of going along, and this one
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: doesn't even have anybody from the main event, and this
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: type of construction like makes like sense. You know, it's
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: not so easy to get this least four hundred on
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: the table too. I don't know if actually gonna play this,
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: but but this looks pretty good, you know what I mean?
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: And Kudlab at seventeen, if he wins, he's gonna smash.
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: How often is gonna win twenty five percent of the
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: time right, and the seventy five percent of the time
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: the sterling wins. Is he gonna smash all those times? No? Okay,
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: So so I definitely think that you have I had
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: to pick one guy from this fight, it would be Kudolob.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: I like it. That breakdown makes a whole lot of
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: sense to me. Again, just want to head over to
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: the ship and Nation home pays before we get to
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: the main event. Again, if you're tuning in lates, we
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: have a deal ninety nine dollars usually for all access
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: now forty nine dollars for the first month, all of
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: the sports above, Sabersim, the Discord, We have PGA Showdown
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: in there, MMA, NASCAR of course, MLB always going on.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: Next thing. You know, NFL will be here. Very excited
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: for that, but it's still a little too early to
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: talk that bottom left joined the Nation. If you want
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: to get in for cheaper five days for nineteen dollars,
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: Discord and Sabersim included there and then to the right
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: single sport package. We do have MMA as well. It's
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: almost every single week you get projections, ownership, the Stone Fight, rankings,
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: Core Reports, tutorials, you name it. We got it less
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: than a dollar a day and just twenty dollars more
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: for the month. We'd love to have you and definitely
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: do get in the discord if you do join, it's
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: the main event time. This is a great real life fight.
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: We got minel Cot minus one sixty taken on Horror
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: Gucci plus one forty minus won twenty for this fight
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: to finish, Cop plus one fifty inside the distance Horror
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: Gucci plus four hundred COP and round one plus six
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: hundred COP Open minus two seventy five and a whole
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: lot of money has kept coming on the Horror Gucci side,
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: and I mean it makes sense. Ever since he got
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: in second stints in the UFC, he is two to
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: zero and man is he looked absolutely amazing in those
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: two fights. Cop is just a striker. So I talked
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: about it like from the top, I don't love this
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: fight for DFS, assuming that ownership does come in pretty high.
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: Horror Gucci is my preferred play for one k less.
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: Horror Gucci is my pick to win. I think he
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: has more ways to mix it up at his speed
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: on the feats really good. I think he can stick
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: and move. Cop has big boy power though he can
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: get it done at any time, but it mainly comes
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: down to Cop wins a decision at eighty six hundred
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: might not be enough. Cop gets a third round knockout
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: might not be enough. He is eighty six hundred, He's
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: not ninety two hundred. So there's a little room to maneuver.
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: But we talked about some mid tier fights that have
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: upside or Gucci my preferred play. Obviously you're playing one fifty,
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: you're not fading it or whatever. But yeah, if you
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: have like twenty teams, I assume you're having fight phase.
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: I'm curious what you think though.
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah, first of all, your your cash play is actually
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: get gonna get there.
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: You have Rodon is his fourteen point four.
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: To five and they have a three run lead, so
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: so we get the win bonus eighteen points on.
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: You'll sign on for that, I believe for sure. You
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: know how cash games work, though it's it's probably like
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: eighty percent in the two fifty or seventy five percent.
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: There you go. I bet okay.
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: So again, according to the numbers, it's it's a striking battle.
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: It's five rounds and you know the thing is is
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: that the.
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: Problem is that five round the fight being five rounds
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: helps this fight like more than some of the fights
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: with you better finishing upside right, because you get five
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: rounds of volume out of these guys. So if the
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: fight bus you're talking about still like ninety ish.
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: You know, ninety five, we did just see bomb Bomb
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: against ball all get eighty one. That is true. That
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: is true. Granted he was on the winner shout out,
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: I got there barely, but not every card you taking
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: eighty one.
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: So so again then this is like more like vibes again.
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: But here's my view, So.
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: Manel cop I think he's a like legitimate problem, okay,
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: like like and I've listen, we've all been following him
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: like kind of since we all got into like into
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: you know, mm A DFS. And okay, he got smothered
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: by makaiav whatever.
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: Broken toe in that too, I think first round.
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: But but he he Ko and Almabaia in the third round.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Whatever it is.
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: Guy's got freaking fast, freaking hands. And then I was
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: getting all pumped for this freaking roy Val fight. You know,
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: there's gonna be some big war between the two of
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: them and Royal and he just dusted him.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: It's just like you just literally dusted him.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: And and these guys did fight before.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: Okay, when when when cop.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: Was twenty two and and what's his name was twenty
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: eight or whatever it is.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 3: Don't look at all though, right, not not not at all,
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 3: and and I listen and and horror, Gucci came in
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 3: as barely the as like the underdog to Ullham Beckoff,
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 3: and he was just awesome.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: Okay, he he dominated him, and he basically dominated Albazi
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: as well. I don't know, I mean, I don't know
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: if I don't know if I can get if I
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: can continue to bet against this cop dude, you know
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: what I mean? The guy, the guy was just so
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: for looking good against Roy Val. I'm just again, this
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: is why I try not to put my opinions on here,
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: because if I if I look at I I know
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: what I saw.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: I'm never betting against this guy. I just never am.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: But like you said, seventy six hundred, if he wins,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: it's it's gonna be probably five rounds of just a
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: lot of a lot of a lot of activity, you know,
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: So it's seventy six hundred that's probably gonna be good
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: enough to get there. But the more I think about
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: this fight, the more I kind of like just kind
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: of hoping it doesn't get there, you know what I mean,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: and just playing some of these other fights and just
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: hoping that that the fight just goes five rounds, and
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: like you said, you get some bondfime thing where the
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: winner scores ninety or something like that, and it's not
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: enough because they've they're both gonna be what what it
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: it be for? Are they gonna be forty percent each
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: or no?
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: See, I think CoP's gonna probably be closer to the
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: thirty five mark, thirty three. Maybe Horror Gucci I'd be higher,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: probably forty right around that. I think they're similar, but
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: I would if I had to guess right now, I
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: think due to the value not being great and that
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: one K and him taking money, I do think Horror
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: Gucci probably will be higher. I've seen this so many times.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: You can have all these people like in the discord
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: like say, oh my god, I need Corra Gucci for this,
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: I need Horror Gucci for that, I need Horror Gucci
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: for this, I need Horror Gucci for that. Because like
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: all the favorites have come in or whatever, and then
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: like Cop, just dustin in the first one, you know,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: like and then but then it looks at a lot of
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: the way who won, who got there, you know, whatever
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: it is, and then it will be like Cop with
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: four hundred with four favorites and Melissamo was with twelve
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: points or something like that.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: So so talking in existence hopefully not wouldn't be good
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: for me. But yeah, it's definitely a fatable main event.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: And like the just like my thought from the top
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: when we talked about about nine to the twelve, expected
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: to finish with the two biggest favorites like nine and
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: ninety six under pretty priced appropriately, I don't think we're
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: gonna see anyone above forty five percent owned or maybe
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: right around there. So fingers crossed we keep all twelve
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: because if we do, a spread out card is always fun.
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: What's up lone Wolf? Great to see a site in
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: here YSN predicting KO four cop. I always have fun
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: talking with the sheets. We appreciate the like bund and
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: the subscribe button. It does help us out a ton.
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: Definitely do it just for our man sheets for filling
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: in the four is yours? Anything you want to say
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: at UFC Real Life DFS Poker you name it floor
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: as yours?
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: No, I mean you guys are are are with a
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: with a good crew, and you know, I've been trying
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: to help out with some of the stuff that is
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: not talked about too much, like some of the pool
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: stuff I've been kind of kind of dealing with.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: But you guys got to again, You've.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: Got a great community here, and you got got people
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: that are really giving you their best and and UFC
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: is one of again one of my favorite discords to
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: kind of troll, you know, and be around. And uh,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: I'm just happy to fill in for Ma and uh
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: hope hopefully hopefully one of you guys is live for
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: at the end, and hopefully.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: One of you guys what hopefully one of guys ships
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: it there we go. I hope someone watching this show
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: or a ship in Nation logo or whatever Eagle or
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: whatever Sheets has up there up top is a part
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: of the shipper with others. We appreciate everyone hanging out.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: We will be back next week as always, and like
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: bun subscribe button helps us out of ton, we would
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: love to see you in the m M A discord
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: for my man Sheets. I'm titled town, good Luck, be safe, peace,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: and then miss