Latest / The Death Of Journalism / Episode One Hundred Ninety Five: Nice Guys
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome episode number one hundred and ninety five of the
- 0:03Speaker 1: Death of Journalism podcast. My name is John Zigler. I'm
- 0:06Speaker 1: your host on today's show. The vice presidential debate goes
- 0:09Speaker 1: as expected.
- 0:11Speaker 2: Only nicer.
- 0:13Speaker 1: The news media uses Hurricane Helen for their climate change agenda,
- 0:18Speaker 1: some very personal thoughts on the deaths of the Kimbe
- 0:21Speaker 1: Mutumbo and Pete Rose, and my favorite former liberal network
- 0:26Speaker 1: news anchor David Schuster joins us for another great discussion. Well,
- 0:34Speaker 1: as expected, the vice presidential debate was won by a
- 0:39Speaker 1: small margin in my opinion and the opinion of seemingly
- 0:42Speaker 1: most people, by the Republican candidate JD. Vance over the
- 0:46Speaker 1: Democratic candidate Tim Waltz. It was nowhere near a knockout blow.
- 0:52Speaker 1: I think it was kind of interesting the strategy that
- 0:56Speaker 1: Vance seemed to employ, which was to be as like
- 1:00Speaker 1: and as nice as possible and seemingly not go for
- 1:04Speaker 1: a knockout blow. I'll get to what that might mean
- 1:08Speaker 1: in just a little bit, But overall, I thought that,
- 1:11Speaker 1: as I predicted, Vance won the debate, but that it
- 1:15Speaker 1: really won't make that much of a difference. It's not
- 1:19Speaker 1: going to move the needle, I don't think significantly when
- 1:22Speaker 1: it comes to the presidential race, it's very very difficult
- 1:25Speaker 1: for a vice presidential debate.
- 1:27Speaker 2: To do that.
- 1:28Speaker 1: As long as both of the candidates are deemed to
- 1:32Speaker 1: be quote unquote qualified or plausible presidents, then I don't
- 1:37Speaker 1: think it really matters very much. As was the case
- 1:42Speaker 1: with ABC and the presidential debate there, the CBS moderators
- 1:48Speaker 1: were absolutely terrible, especially at the start. I thought they
- 1:52Speaker 1: were actually worse at the start than the ABC moderators were.
- 1:57Speaker 1: There had been taught that they were not going to
- 1:58Speaker 1: fact check, and then they did do some fact checking,
- 2:02Speaker 1: but it was sporadic at best. Nora O'Donnell, with whom
- 2:06Speaker 1: I've had a history, I know you've heard that probably
- 2:10Speaker 1: a lot in the past, but it's true in this
- 2:12Speaker 1: case as well. Not only did we both go to
- 2:15Speaker 1: Georgetown University, but in the two thousand and eight election,
- 2:19Speaker 1: or at least the aftermath of the two thousand and
- 2:21Speaker 1: eight election, after I put out my Mediam Malpractice, How
- 2:27Speaker 1: Obama Got Elected and Palin Was Targeted documentary, I did
- 2:30Speaker 1: a couple of different interviews with Nora O'Donnell back when
- 2:33Speaker 1: she was on MSNBC, and it's really quite startling and
- 2:38Speaker 1: I think rather telling that here she is now the
- 2:42Speaker 1: former CBS news anchor who is deemed to be non
- 2:47Speaker 1: partisan enough to be moderating vice presidential debates, when during
- 2:53Speaker 1: this era, her MSNBC era, she was openly partisan.
- 2:58Speaker 2: I mean, she's clearly far left.
- 3:01Speaker 1: And you know, when I had confrontations whether I told
- 3:04Speaker 1: her twice on the air that she ought have been
- 3:06Speaker 1: she should have been fired for inaccurate statements that she
- 3:11Speaker 1: made about Sarah Palin. And here she is now in
- 3:15Speaker 1: twenty twenty four, pretending and allowed to pretend that she's
- 3:20Speaker 1: some sort of objective newsperson, and she decided that the
- 3:26Speaker 1: second most important question, I think theoretically at least there
- 3:30Speaker 1: was the second question of the debate should be.
- 3:32Speaker 2: About climate change.
- 3:34Speaker 1: And not only was that inherently biased, but the way
- 3:37Speaker 1: she handled it was utterly absurd, even ending the discussion
- 3:41Speaker 1: with some meaningless or superfluous alleged fact about how all
- 3:48Speaker 1: experts believe that the Earth is warming at an historic rate,
- 3:53Speaker 1: which is just not accurate and ridiculous and we don't
- 3:56Speaker 1: know that, and there's all sorts of problems without assertion,
- 4:00Speaker 1: not to mention that it's exposing extreme bias on the
- 4:04Speaker 1: topic in particular because obviously it is portrayed that somehow
- 4:09Speaker 1: Democrats are all in favor of magically curtailing climate change,
- 4:14Speaker 1: whatever the hell that means, and that Republicans think that
- 4:17Speaker 1: it's a hoax. So I thought that was right off
- 4:20Speaker 1: the bat, really irritating from a moderator perspective. Maybe the
- 4:25Speaker 1: worst example of bias, though, came from Nora o'donald's cooderator
- 4:31Speaker 1: during the Springfield, Ohio discussion, where she fact checked or
- 4:36Speaker 1: attempted to fact check JD. Vance and then cut his
- 4:40Speaker 1: mic off when he tried to say, wait a minute, no,
- 4:43Speaker 1: you got this wrong, and was incredibly condescending in cutting
- 4:49Speaker 1: Vance off, basically saying, you know, thanks so much for
- 4:52Speaker 1: telling us what the law is. It was really, frankly
- 4:56Speaker 1: as bad as ABC only bitch year Now. It got
- 5:00Speaker 1: a little less offensive as the debate went on, but
- 5:04Speaker 1: the tone was already set that this was a very
- 5:08Speaker 1: biased situation, very similar to what happened in the ABC
- 5:13Speaker 1: presidential debate between Trump and Harris. But Vance held his
- 5:18Speaker 1: own He was very polished, he didn't get upset, he
- 5:23Speaker 1: didn't get sidetracked. You know, he's a good debater. He's
- 5:27Speaker 1: a better debater than Tim Waltz, as was expected to
- 5:30Speaker 1: be the case. It was not a difficult prediction to
- 5:33Speaker 1: make that the guy that went to Yale Law School
- 5:37Speaker 1: would be a better debater than the guy who mocks
- 5:40Speaker 1: people who get into Yale. That's really not a difficult prediction,
- 5:44Speaker 1: and that's pretty much.
- 5:45Speaker 2: The way things went down.
- 5:47Speaker 1: However, I was frustrated by the fact that Vance, in
- 5:52Speaker 1: my opinion, missed several opportunities. Now it's possible that some
- 5:57Speaker 1: of this was by design, as I've already empled, but
- 6:01Speaker 1: I hate ad Vance's response on climate change. I hated
- 6:06Speaker 1: it on a couple different levels. The first level I
- 6:09Speaker 1: hated it on was that it accepts the entire premise.
- 6:14Speaker 1: I cannot stand the fact that Republicans or conservatives constantly
- 6:19Speaker 1: feel forced to accept the premise that climate change is proven,
- 6:26Speaker 1: that it's man made, that we could do something about
- 6:30Speaker 1: it if we wanted to, that it would be worth
- 6:32Speaker 1: doing something about if we could do something about it.
- 6:36Speaker 1: I can't stand that, because you're seeding way way too
- 6:40Speaker 1: much of the argument to the other side, and Vance
- 6:44Speaker 1: absolutely did that. And this is a topic where you know,
- 6:48Speaker 1: I thought JD. Vance was the great slayer of PCBs
- 6:53Speaker 1: liberal media narratives, and I thought he came up tiny
- 6:57Speaker 1: on this particular topic. But more importantly than that, I
- 7:01Speaker 1: think bringing climate change into the aftermath of Hurricane Helene
- 7:06Speaker 1: provided a really tremendous chance for Advance to cut this
- 7:12Speaker 1: off at the knees, and that would be to say, look,
- 7:17Speaker 1: you guys can do your climate change debate. I think
- 7:21Speaker 1: there's problems with your premise on that entire situation, but
- 7:26Speaker 1: that's not what the core issue here is.
- 7:28Speaker 2: The core issue here.
- 7:29Speaker 1: Is that Americans, a lot of Americans are in deep,
- 7:33Speaker 1: deep trouble right now, and we need to be doing
- 7:36Speaker 1: everything we possibly can to help them.
- 7:39Speaker 2: And to be trying to.
- 7:42Speaker 1: Misdirect or distract from that by bringing in the obvious
- 7:48Speaker 1: political issue of climate change global warming is not helpful
- 7:52Speaker 1: to anybody. I think he would have had plenty of
- 7:54Speaker 1: moral high ground to say this is not where the
- 7:58Speaker 1: focus ought to be, and for the news media to
- 8:01Speaker 1: knee jerk go to climate change global warming when there's
- 8:08Speaker 1: obviously far more important things going on with regard to
- 8:12Speaker 1: the response and real lives at stake and people in real,
- 8:16Speaker 1: real trouble, I think is not only a good point,
- 8:20Speaker 1: but it's also potent politically, especially considering the fact that
- 8:25Speaker 1: North Carolina is a swing state and is one of
- 8:29Speaker 1: the states and not the state most negatively affected by
- 8:33Speaker 1: the hurricanes. So I thought that was a huge missed opportunity.
- 8:36Speaker 1: In fact, that was very early on in the bait
- 8:39Speaker 1: I tweeted that I thought at that point Vance was losing.
- 8:43Speaker 1: People went bananas because they thought he was actually winning
- 8:47Speaker 1: the debate because he was much more polished than Waltz was,
- 8:50Speaker 1: who appeared to be nervous, especially early on. It's amazing
- 8:55Speaker 1: to me people when you say something like twenty minutes
- 8:58Speaker 1: into a bait into a debate that someone is losing,
- 9:01Speaker 1: that doesn't mean they've lost or that the other guy
- 9:05Speaker 1: is doing fantastic. But I got bombarded with negative comments
- 9:09Speaker 1: about that because people, at least on the right were very,
- 9:12Speaker 1: very invested in the idea that Vance was doing great.
- 9:15Speaker 1: And again I acknowledged and acknowledged during an act of
- 9:19Speaker 1: the debate that Advance quote unquote one the polling was
- 9:24Speaker 1: not necessarily indicative of that. It appeared as if Vance
- 9:28Speaker 1: won some of these snappoles by a very very small margin,
- 9:31Speaker 1: although it also appears as if Waltz's approval rating improved
- 9:36Speaker 1: more so than Vance's did. Dvance's did improve, but Waltz's
- 9:40Speaker 1: by some accounts improved dramatically, which didn't shock me, because
- 9:46Speaker 1: while Waltz made a lot of missteps, he did come
- 9:49Speaker 1: across as likable, and that's, unfortunately what matters to a
- 9:54Speaker 1: lot of people. So I think Waltz probably did a
- 9:58Speaker 1: little bit better, at least as far as what his
- 10:01Speaker 1: mission was. Then a lot of conservatives want to believe
- 10:05Speaker 1: because they look at what Waltz did and they see, well,
- 10:08Speaker 1: this guy was nervous, he was wrong on the issues.
- 10:11Speaker 1: He had a bad moment, which I'll get to involving
- 10:15Speaker 1: his lie that he was there during the protest at
- 10:18Speaker 1: Tianum And Square in China.
- 10:20Speaker 2: In June of nineteen eighty nine.
- 10:23Speaker 1: And so that, combined with other factors, I think has
- 10:27Speaker 1: conservatives thinking that Waltz.
- 10:29Speaker 2: Did a really poor job.
- 10:30Speaker 1: But I don't think that as far as what his
- 10:33Speaker 1: mission was that he did. He didn't do a great job,
- 10:37Speaker 1: but he came across as likable, and you know, he
- 10:40Speaker 1: was substantive on most of the responses.
- 10:44Speaker 2: He dodged a couple of the questions.
- 10:46Speaker 1: Vance dodged one that I think is going to be
- 10:49Speaker 1: problematic for him, probably one of the few memorable moments
- 10:53Speaker 1: in the debate. But back to the missed opportunities that
- 10:57Speaker 1: on the part of JD.
- 10:58Speaker 2: Vance.
- 10:59Speaker 1: I thought the climate change was a huge missed opportunity.
- 11:02Speaker 1: I also thought that later in the debate, this whole
- 11:06Speaker 1: threat to democracy issue, which you know, Vance got caught
- 11:12Speaker 1: because Waltz asked him whether or not Trump won the
- 11:15Speaker 1: twenty and twenty election, and he dodged the question. And
- 11:19Speaker 1: I'm sure a lot of people thought that Vance did
- 11:21Speaker 1: a great job in saying, the real threat to democracy
- 11:25Speaker 1: is the threat to free speech. And obviously I'm a
- 11:28Speaker 1: free speech advocate. I totally understand where Vance was coming from.
- 11:31Speaker 1: I actually thought his answer was quite elquent and passionate.
- 11:36Speaker 1: But I also thought that was a missed opportunity because
- 11:42Speaker 1: if the issue is threat to democracy, right, and you're
- 11:46Speaker 1: truly trying to distract from the fact that you don't
- 11:49Speaker 1: want to answer whether or not Trump won the twenty
- 11:51Speaker 1: twenty election, which you know, unfortunately, I understand Advance was
- 11:55Speaker 1: caught in an impossible situation there because he can't piss
- 11:59Speaker 1: off the boss, even though Trump himself is effectively recently
- 12:03Speaker 1: acknowledged that he did indeed lose the twenty twenty election.
- 12:07Speaker 2: To me, it's absolutely.
- 12:10Speaker 1: Unbelievable and a huge missed opportunity. The Vans didn't even mention.
- 12:15Speaker 1: If we're going to talk about threats to democracy, how
- 12:18Speaker 1: is it that having a democratic presidential candidate that has
- 12:22Speaker 1: never received one vote to be president is in all
- 12:29Speaker 1: keeping with the idea of protecting democratic norms. I mean,
- 12:34Speaker 1: that's the greatest proof of hypocrisy I can think of
- 12:38Speaker 1: in modern presidential times. The entire democratic campaign is based
- 12:43Speaker 1: on protecting democracy. When they just had a coup, They
- 12:49Speaker 1: just got rid of their nominee who got all the votes,
- 12:53Speaker 1: and replaced them with no democratic process, no legitimate vote.
- 12:59Speaker 1: What's whoever, with a person who has never received a
- 13:03Speaker 1: vote for president?
- 13:05Speaker 2: How do you not mention that?
- 13:08Speaker 1: I would love to know whether or not that was
- 13:10Speaker 1: strategic or whether or not that was simply a misstep
- 13:14Speaker 1: on Vance's part. Why would you choose free speech as
- 13:20Speaker 1: the rebuttal on threat to democracy when you could use
- 13:25Speaker 1: this opportunity to highlight the illegitimacy of the entire Harris
- 13:30Speaker 1: Walt's argument on democracy not to mention the legitimacy of
- 13:34Speaker 1: her entire candidacy, and they did not do that. Vance
- 13:39Speaker 1: did not do that, And I thought that was a
- 13:41Speaker 1: missed opportunity. But I also thought that probably the most
- 13:44Speaker 1: memorable moment in the debate.
- 13:47Speaker 2: Which I've already alluded to.
- 13:48Speaker 1: The whole China question, was another missed opportunity for Vance,
- 13:54Speaker 1: and this was when Tim Waltz, much to my surprise,
- 13:57Speaker 1: was actually asked a legitimate question by the CBS moderators, who,
- 14:03Speaker 1: other than on this particular point, were obviously biased in
- 14:07Speaker 1: Waltz's favor and against Jade Vance. He was asked and
- 14:11Speaker 1: the only reason, let's be clear about why he was
- 14:13Speaker 1: asked about this, it was because the New York Times
- 14:16Speaker 1: validated the story that Waltz had lied about being in
- 14:22Speaker 1: Tienamen Square or in China during the protests, the very
- 14:26Speaker 1: famous protests in Tianamen Square in June of nineteen eighty nine.
- 14:31Speaker 1: He was not in China at that time. He had
- 14:34Speaker 1: never been to China yet at that time, but he
- 14:37Speaker 1: claimed to be. And it's clear.
- 14:39Speaker 2: As day that he lied about this, and he was
- 14:43Speaker 2: asked about it.
- 14:44Speaker 1: Which is, you know, it's amazing that we have to
- 14:46Speaker 1: be almost shocked when a Democratic candidate is asked a
- 14:51Speaker 1: legitimate question that the moderators clearly know could be bad
- 14:55Speaker 1: for them. That only happens, maybe once in a debate.
- 14:59Speaker 1: It happened, and in the presidential debate when Harris was
- 15:03Speaker 1: asked about her various positions on the issue of fracking,
- 15:08Speaker 1: which I also thought Trump didn't do a very good
- 15:10Speaker 1: job of taking advantage of, and you know, was not
- 15:15Speaker 1: a situation where Harris was harmed nearly as much as
- 15:18Speaker 1: she should have been.
- 15:19Speaker 2: Well, this response from.
- 15:22Speaker 1: Waltz is probably the most memorable from the entire debate
- 15:27Speaker 1: because at first he tries to dodge it. I mean
- 15:29Speaker 1: he he really He goes into the you know, I'm
- 15:32Speaker 1: from a middle class family response, which is now cliche.
- 15:36Speaker 2: Whenever you're in.
- 15:37Speaker 1: Trouble, you do, like Kamala Harris, does I'm from a
- 15:41Speaker 1: middle class family if that's a question you don't want
- 15:44Speaker 1: to answer, And then, much to my surprise, there was
- 15:49Speaker 1: a follow up because he clearly did not answer the question,
- 15:53Speaker 1: and when pressed, Waltz completely melts down, calls himself a knucklehead,
- 16:00Speaker 1: is really reduced into literal silence, And in a rational
- 16:05Speaker 1: world this would have really left the mark. This would
- 16:10Speaker 1: have this would have been very, very problematic for the
- 16:13Speaker 1: Harris Waltz campaign, But I'm not really sure that it
- 16:17Speaker 1: will be. But for the record, here's what it sounded
- 16:20Speaker 1: like during the vice presidential debate.
- 16:22Speaker 3: Said you were in Hong Kong during the deadly Tieneman
- 16:25Speaker 3: Square protests in the spring of nineteen eighty nine. But
- 16:29Speaker 3: Minnesota Public Radio and other media outlets are reporting that
- 16:32Speaker 3: you actually didn't travel to Asia until August of that year.
- 16:37Speaker 3: Can you explain that discrepancy?
- 16:39Speaker 4: Yeah, well, and the folks out there, it didn't get
- 16:41Speaker 4: at the top of this. Look.
- 16:43Speaker 5: I grew up in small, rural Nebraska town of four
- 16:47Speaker 5: hundred town that you rode your bike with your buddies.
- 16:49Speaker 5: Still the street lights come on, and I'm proud of
- 16:51Speaker 5: that service. I joined the National Guard at seventeen, worked
- 16:54Speaker 5: on family farms, and then I use the GI bill
- 16:57Speaker 5: to become a teacher, passionate about it a young tea.
- 17:01Speaker 5: My first year out, I got the opportunity in the
- 17:03Speaker 5: summer of eighty nine to travel to China thirty five
- 17:06Speaker 5: years ago.
- 17:06Speaker 4: Be able to do that.
- 17:07Speaker 5: I came back home and then started a program to
- 17:11Speaker 5: take young people there. We would take basketball teams, we
- 17:14Speaker 5: would take baseball teams, we would take dancers, and we
- 17:16Speaker 5: would go back and forth to China. The issue for
- 17:19Speaker 5: that was was to try and learn. Now, look, my
- 17:21Speaker 5: community knows who I am. They saw where I was at.
- 17:24Speaker 5: They look. I will be the first to tell you
- 17:27Speaker 5: I have poured my heart into my community. I've tried
- 17:30Speaker 5: to do the best I can, but I've not been perfect,
- 17:32Speaker 5: and I'm a knucklehead at times.
- 17:34Speaker 4: But it's always been about that.
- 17:35Speaker 5: Those same people elected me to Congress for twelve years,
- 17:39Speaker 5: and in Congress I was one of the most bipartisan people,
- 17:42Speaker 5: working on things like farm bills that we got done,
- 17:45Speaker 5: working on veterans benefits, and then the people of Minnesota
- 17:48Speaker 5: were able to elect me to governor twice. So look,
- 17:51Speaker 5: my commitment has been from the beginning to make sure
- 17:54Speaker 5: that I'm there for the people, to make sure that
- 17:56Speaker 5: I get this right.
- 17:57Speaker 4: I will say more than anything.
- 17:59Speaker 5: Many times, I will talk a lot, i will get
- 18:02Speaker 5: caught up in the rhetoric, but being there, the impact
- 18:05Speaker 5: it made, the difference it made in my life. I
- 18:08Speaker 5: learned a lot about China. I hear the critiques of this.
- 18:10Speaker 5: I would make the case that Donald Trump should have
- 18:12Speaker 5: come on one of those trips with US. I guarantee
- 18:15Speaker 5: you he wouldn't be praising hijingping about COVID, and I
- 18:19Speaker 5: guarantee you he wouldn't start a trade war that he
- 18:21Speaker 5: ends up losing.
- 18:22Speaker 4: So this is about trying to understand the world.
- 18:25Speaker 5: It's about trying to do the best you can for
- 18:27Speaker 5: your community, and then it's putting yourself out there and
- 18:30Speaker 5: letting your folks understand what it is my commitment. Whether
- 18:33Speaker 5: it be through teaching, which I was good at, or
- 18:35Speaker 5: whether it was being a good soldier or was being
- 18:37Speaker 5: a good member of Congress, those are the things that
- 18:39Speaker 5: I think are the values that people care about.
- 18:42Speaker 3: Governor. Just to follow up on that, the question was,
- 18:45Speaker 3: can you explain the notancy.
- 18:48Speaker 5: All I said on this was is I got there
- 18:49Speaker 5: that summer and misspoke on this, So I will just
- 18:53Speaker 5: that's what I've said. So I was in Hong Kong
- 18:58Speaker 5: and China during the democracy protest went in and from
- 19:02Speaker 5: that I learned a lot of what needed to be
- 19:05Speaker 5: in governance.
- 19:08Speaker 3: Thank you, Governor.
- 19:09Speaker 1: Now that was awful. I mean that was really really bad,
- 19:14Speaker 1: and there was you know, there was blood there, but
- 19:20Speaker 1: instead of there being a follow up, and I acknowledge
- 19:23Speaker 1: that this is this is very difficult, and this is
- 19:26Speaker 1: a situation where Vance has to make an instantaneous decision.
- 19:29Speaker 1: Do you let the blood just flow on its own
- 19:33Speaker 1: or do you stick the knife in and twist it?
- 19:37Speaker 1: Do you make sure that people understand what they just
- 19:41Speaker 1: saw and how big a deal it is? And you know,
- 19:45Speaker 1: the moderators, I think purposely immediately switched subjects and put
- 19:51Speaker 1: Vance on the defensive, and he decided he elected to
- 19:55Speaker 1: not focus at all on what just happened with now personally,
- 20:02Speaker 1: and it's just partially you know, my philosophy on these things.
- 20:05Speaker 1: I think that was a mistake. See, I think people
- 20:08Speaker 1: are stupid, and I think Republicans get very, very very
- 20:13Speaker 1: few opportunities to really nail Democrats to the wall in
- 20:18Speaker 1: a situation where the news media doesn't have that much
- 20:22Speaker 1: power to spin it because people are seeing it live
- 20:26Speaker 1: for themselves, and this was one of those opportunities. Waltz
- 20:32Speaker 1: was wounded, but Vance did not go in for the
- 20:36Speaker 1: knockout blow. And to me, it would have been very effective,
- 20:41Speaker 1: if done right, if Waltz had said two things. There's
- 20:46Speaker 1: two things there that needed to be emphasized that needed
- 20:52Speaker 1: to be focused on, it needed to be made clear.
- 20:55Speaker 2: One was that this.
- 20:57Speaker 1: Was not just a misstatement, because it is an obvious
- 21:02Speaker 1: lie and it's consistent with Waltz's mo and Dvance could
- 21:09Speaker 1: have listed several of the other situations that were remarkably
- 21:13Speaker 1: similar where Waltz has greatly exaggerated and or lied about
- 21:19Speaker 1: his biography, and that he could have done the same
- 21:22Speaker 1: thing with Harris, and he could have said that this
- 21:26Speaker 1: team Harris Waltz has an authenticity problem, has a credibility problem.
- 21:33Speaker 1: They are not ready for prime time. They are telling
- 21:36Speaker 1: you things about themselves that are clearly not true. And
- 21:41Speaker 1: I think, if done properly, could have been very very
- 21:44Speaker 1: effective and would have been, you know, the mic drop
- 21:49Speaker 1: moment of this debate, and would have clearly created a
- 21:54Speaker 1: viral clip that even the news media probably would have
- 21:58Speaker 1: had to play on a pretty significant level. Instead, we
- 22:04Speaker 1: have just this very awkward response from Waltz that frankly
- 22:09Speaker 1: requires the news media to do too much heavy lifting
- 22:13Speaker 1: in providing context for why this is so bad. Now,
- 22:17Speaker 1: the other part of this equation that Vance could have
- 22:20Speaker 1: jumped all over is that, yeah, Tim Waltz, it's one
- 22:25Speaker 1: thing for you to lie about when you went to
- 22:29Speaker 1: China to make it sound more dramatic than it actually was.
- 22:32Speaker 1: But why have you apparently been to China thirty times?
- 22:36Speaker 1: That only happens if China thinks that you are useful
- 22:42Speaker 1: to them. Why does China think you are useful to them?
- 22:46Speaker 1: Why have you said so many things about China that
- 22:51Speaker 1: make it sound like you are a Chinese sympathizer and
- 22:56Speaker 1: that philosophically you seem agree with China on a lot
- 23:03Speaker 1: of things. That is something I think Vance should have said.
- 23:09Speaker 1: So there's two elements to the Waltz blown answer on
- 23:13Speaker 1: Tieneman square. One, this is his mo about exaggerating and
- 23:18Speaker 1: lying about who he is and that Harris has the
- 23:20Speaker 1: same problem. And two, so why all the trips to China?
- 23:24Speaker 1: And what do you really think about China? Why do
- 23:28Speaker 1: they think you're their friend? And none of that happened.
- 23:32Speaker 1: And I don't think that that was a particularly effective
- 23:37Speaker 1: strategy by Vance. I think that was a missed opportunity.
- 23:40Speaker 1: But I acknowledge that I have a different philosophy on
- 23:43Speaker 1: these debates because I think these debates are the one
- 23:47Speaker 1: golden opportunity where a Republican has at least the chance,
- 23:52Speaker 1: and it only happens once or twice during a debate
- 23:55Speaker 1: because the moderators are generally protecting the Democrats. They only
- 23:59Speaker 1: have one or two opportunities to really make it clear
- 24:05Speaker 1: to the average voter at home who's not paying that
- 24:08Speaker 1: close attention as to what's really going on here, and
- 24:13Speaker 1: I think this opportunity was largely missed that now. I
- 24:16Speaker 1: acknowledged that the Waltz blunder is going to be one
- 24:20Speaker 1: of the two most memorable moments from this debate, but
- 24:24Speaker 1: I don't think, you know, people are going to really
- 24:26Speaker 1: remember this debate very long, and I don't think it's
- 24:28Speaker 1: going to have much impact when all is said and done.
- 24:31Speaker 1: The second most memorable moment was when Vance didn't answer
- 24:35Speaker 1: who won the twenty twenty election.
- 24:37Speaker 2: I've already dealt with that.
- 24:39Speaker 1: I don't know what Vance is supposed to say there,
- 24:42Speaker 1: although you know, if he had worked it out with
- 24:44Speaker 1: Trump prior to the debate and Trump didn't have such
- 24:47Speaker 1: an ego problem, he could have said just a couple
- 24:50Speaker 1: of weeks ago, Donald Trump acknowledged that he lost the
- 24:53Speaker 1: twenty twenty election. But I'm here to focus on the
- 24:56Speaker 1: future and make sure that he doesn't lose this particular
- 25:00Speaker 1: election because the country can't afford it, or something along
- 25:03Speaker 1: those lines. That would have been the answer I would
- 25:06Speaker 1: have preferred. But if we're going to talk about not
- 25:08Speaker 1: answering questions, you know, Waltz tried his best not to answer.
- 25:12Speaker 1: I don't think even really still answered the Tieneman square question.
- 25:17Speaker 1: He also never answered the question when is it too
- 25:20Speaker 1: late to have an elected abortion, which was one of
- 25:24Speaker 1: the few direct and theoretically difficult questions that Waltz was
- 25:29Speaker 1: asked by the moderators. Of course, there was no follow
- 25:32Speaker 1: up on this one because this is this is part
- 25:35Speaker 1: of the liberal religion, so that the question was asked effectively,
- 25:40Speaker 1: which is a good question. I mean, Republicans are constantly,
- 25:44Speaker 1: you know, getting played on this issue because, you know,
- 25:48Speaker 1: like Ron DeSantis did in Florida, they have to set
- 25:52Speaker 1: what they think the law ought to be, which you know,
- 25:56Speaker 1: I disagree politically with the six week standard of when
- 26:01Speaker 1: an abortion is still legal, but okay, fine. At least
- 26:06Speaker 1: Republicans have generally picked a date, picked the time period,
- 26:11Speaker 1: been specific about what they think the law ought to be.
- 26:14Speaker 2: Democrats will never do.
- 26:16Speaker 1: This, and Waltz was specifically asked about this, and once
- 26:20Speaker 1: again completely and totally dodged the question. Will any Democrat
- 26:28Speaker 1: This is amazing to me, It's a pretty simple request.
- 26:32Speaker 1: Will any Democrat ever be forced to answer that incredibly
- 26:37Speaker 1: basic question? When is it too late to have an
- 26:42Speaker 1: elected or elective abortion?
- 26:45Speaker 2: When is that time? At what point is it too late?
- 26:51Speaker 1: I have never heard a Democrat directly answer that question
- 26:57Speaker 1: or be forced to ask answer that question. And Waltz
- 27:00Speaker 1: was not forced to answer that question by the moderators
- 27:03Speaker 1: because there was no follow up. But boy, that would
- 27:07Speaker 1: be an interesting answer to finally get.
- 27:09Speaker 2: When is it?
- 27:11Speaker 1: They won't tell you because they know that as soon
- 27:15Speaker 1: as they answer that question, they will piss off a
- 27:19Speaker 1: portion of one of their key voting blocks. Because there's
- 27:24Speaker 1: no good answer to these people, because here's the bottom line.
- 27:27Speaker 2: Philosophically, they really.
- 27:29Speaker 1: Believe that you could have an abortion from an elective
- 27:32Speaker 1: perspective whenever you wanted it. In fact, they could probably
- 27:36Speaker 1: have it after birth philosophically, but they know they know
- 27:42Speaker 1: that if they say that one they'll piss off their base.
- 27:44Speaker 1: But also they'll maybe more importantly, they'll reveal themselves as
- 27:49Speaker 1: really being pro abortion and not pro choice because philosophically, morally, logically,
- 27:57Speaker 1: there's absolutely positively no argument to be made for a
- 28:02Speaker 1: seven to eight month, nine month abortion. First of all,
- 28:06Speaker 1: you got plenty of time to make that decision. You're
- 28:09Speaker 1: obviously well aware that you're pregnant, and the science has
- 28:13Speaker 1: proven time and time and time again that at that
- 28:16Speaker 1: point the fetus is more than viable. You have a
- 28:18Speaker 1: by all accounts, a human being in your body at
- 28:23Speaker 1: that point. So you know, most people, the vast majority
- 28:28Speaker 1: of voters, are going to be offended if they believe
- 28:32Speaker 1: that you think that it's morally and legally fine to
- 28:36Speaker 1: kill your baby in eight or nine months. So that's
- 28:39Speaker 1: why Democrats politically are smart to never answer the question.
- 28:42Speaker 1: But my frustration is the media never forces the issue.
- 28:47Speaker 1: They barely ever bring it up. I was surprised it
- 28:50Speaker 1: was brought up in the debate last night, but there
- 28:52Speaker 1: was no follow up when Waltz one hundred percent never
- 28:56Speaker 1: answered the question and Dvance, once again missing an opportunity,
- 29:00Speaker 1: did not jump all over that to try to at
- 29:04Speaker 1: least put a focus on the fact that Waltz was
- 29:08Speaker 1: not answering this important question. So that's my general analysis.
- 29:14Speaker 1: I gave you know, grading on an old school scale,
- 29:17Speaker 1: where a's actually were difficult to get back in the
- 29:19Speaker 1: olden days. I gave Vance a B. I gave Walts
- 29:24Speaker 1: a C plus. I gave the moderators a D plus.
- 29:28Speaker 1: I think the advance one on points and polish. I
- 29:32Speaker 1: don't know that it makes a lot of difference, if
- 29:34Speaker 1: any difference, in the campaign itself. I do think that
- 29:39Speaker 1: the most interesting element of this whole situation strategically was
- 29:44Speaker 1: the fact that both candidates were exceedingly nice to each other.
- 29:50Speaker 1: I think too nice. I think actually both candidates were
- 29:54Speaker 1: too nice to each other. I think Vance missed opportunities
- 29:58Speaker 1: to go in for the kill on Waltz, and I
- 30:01Speaker 1: think Waltz was probably too nice to dance. From the
- 30:05Speaker 1: perspective of this could theoretically subconsciously be good for Trump,
- 30:13Speaker 1: because how do you make the argument of you're Democrats
- 30:17Speaker 1: that Trump is super scary, this threat to democracy, He's
- 30:21Speaker 1: an ogre, a monster, but his vice presidential candidate is
- 30:26Speaker 1: seemingly a pretty nice guy, and I agree with him
- 30:28Speaker 1: and a whole lot of stuff. Subconsciously, I don't know
- 30:33Speaker 1: that that works now for a lot of people.
- 30:35Speaker 2: They're never going to think about it that way.
- 30:37Speaker 1: But I did get that sense that I wonder if
- 30:41Speaker 1: strategically this is a bad move by Waltz. Now I realize,
- 30:46Speaker 1: you know, he's from Minnesota, and Minnesota people are supposed
- 30:49Speaker 1: to be super nice, right, And maybe that's just who
- 30:52Speaker 1: he is, maybe that's just his persona. But I got
- 30:55Speaker 1: to believe that there are some liberals out there that
- 30:58Speaker 1: are a little antsy about how nice Waltz was to Vance.
- 31:03Speaker 1: One because they hate Vance, but also because I think
- 31:05Speaker 1: they see the issue. As I just laid it out,
- 31:08Speaker 1: there were a lot of members of the mainstream news
- 31:11Speaker 1: media that seemed to be unsatisfied with Waltz's performance and
- 31:15Speaker 1: seemed to acknowledge that Vance won. Now, the media is
- 31:21Speaker 1: wrong about a lot of things, but I did find
- 31:23Speaker 1: that to be interesting and potentially significant that even members
- 31:28Speaker 1: of the mainstream media, clearly not conservatives, were seemingly in
- 31:32Speaker 1: the camp that Vance got the better of Waltz in
- 31:36Speaker 1: this debate. But from a bigger picture perspective, why were
- 31:41Speaker 1: both guys so nice to each other? I don't know,
- 31:45Speaker 1: but I have a theory, and it seems to me
- 31:49Speaker 1: as if the most logical explanation for why both candidates
- 31:54Speaker 1: were super exceedingly nice to each other.
- 31:58Speaker 2: Is that it appears as if.
- 31:59Speaker 1: Both campaigns are rather confident in where they currently stand
- 32:06Speaker 1: with regard to winning the election. And that's the only
- 32:11Speaker 1: way I can make this make sense that Vance didn't
- 32:14Speaker 1: go in for the kill because he was just trying
- 32:16Speaker 1: to be safe, because the Trump campaign seemingly thinks that
- 32:22Speaker 1: they're in a very good position, and you could make
- 32:26Speaker 1: a similar argument for the Harris Waltz campaign. So for
- 32:29Speaker 1: both sides, when this is really the last opportunity, sir,
- 32:34Speaker 1: seems like it the last opportunity to speak unvetted effectively
- 32:39Speaker 1: to the American people in front of a big audience.
- 32:43Speaker 1: For both of them to be rather conservative, not politically,
- 32:48Speaker 1: but strategically when it comes to their strategy, I thought
- 32:52Speaker 1: was really interesting and quite telling. It reminded me a
- 32:56Speaker 1: little bit Vance's strategy here being super nice and not
- 33:01Speaker 1: going in for the kill reminded me a little bit
- 33:04Speaker 1: of Mitt Romney's strategy in the last presidential debate with
- 33:08Speaker 1: Barack Obama in twenty twelve, where and I'll never forget this,
- 33:13Speaker 1: I mean, I was watching with a bunch of fellow
- 33:15Speaker 1: conservatives at a friend's house and you know, the narrative
- 33:19Speaker 1: was that Romney was on the verge of winning this
- 33:22Speaker 1: thing and was in good shape for winning this thing.
- 33:25Speaker 2: And I didn't believe that.
- 33:27Speaker 1: I thought he needed to go in for the kill
- 33:30Speaker 1: because I thought Obama was still the favorite, and everybody
- 33:35Speaker 1: else at the party was really pretty happy with the
- 33:37Speaker 1: way that Romney had performed in the last debate, and
- 33:41Speaker 1: I was desponded because I thought he had kicked the
- 33:45Speaker 1: field goal when he needed to go for it on
- 33:48Speaker 1: fourth and one for the touchdown. And as it turns out,
- 33:53Speaker 1: I think I was right that they miscalculated. They thought
- 33:57Speaker 1: they only needed a field goal, and I was pretty
- 33:59Speaker 1: certain they need the touchdown, and the field goal didn't
- 34:03Speaker 1: hack it. Well, it felt similar. It felt similar. Now
- 34:07Speaker 1: I don't know, you know what the political reality is
- 34:09Speaker 1: for sure, because nobody does at this point, but it
- 34:12Speaker 1: felt similar that the Trump campaign believes that they're in
- 34:17Speaker 1: a good enough position where they did not need Dvance
- 34:21Speaker 1: to take any real chances. Now we'll see how that
- 34:25Speaker 1: strategy works out, but that putting it all together logically,
- 34:30Speaker 1: that's how I interpreted Dvance's strategy, And you can make
- 34:35Speaker 1: a similar argument with regard to Waltz. Now, obviously somebody's
- 34:38Speaker 1: wrong here. Both parties, both campaigns can't be right that
- 34:43Speaker 1: they're in very very good position with a month ago.
- 34:47Speaker 1: But that tends to be the way campaigns work. They
- 34:50Speaker 1: tend to be rather optimistic.
- 34:52Speaker 2: Now.
- 34:53Speaker 1: As far as the way I see the campaign currently going,
- 34:56Speaker 1: I have not changed as of this episode my electoral
- 35:00Speaker 1: college projection for what would happen if the election was
- 35:04Speaker 1: over today. I am keeping my electoral college projection at
- 35:09Speaker 1: two hundred and seventy six votes for Kamala Harris and
- 35:12Speaker 1: two hundred and sixty two votes for Donald Trump. That
- 35:15Speaker 1: has unchanged from the previous podcast episode. By the way,
- 35:19Speaker 1: the New York Times, for better or for Worse has
- 35:22Speaker 1: it exactly that number, two seventy six for Harris and
- 35:26Speaker 1: two sixty two for Trump. Currently, but this thing is
- 35:29Speaker 1: right now, still on a razor's edge. All of the
- 35:34Speaker 1: swing states are still in play. I think Michigan is
- 35:39Speaker 1: probably the most likely state to go in one direction,
- 35:43Speaker 1: and that is for Kamala Harris. But all the other
- 35:45Speaker 1: swing states Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada
- 35:51Speaker 1: are really on a razor's edge. They could go either way,
- 35:54Speaker 1: and so from an electoral college perspective, I don't think
- 35:59Speaker 1: it's possible to become confident in either candidate winning this race.
- 36:03Speaker 2: With a month left to go.
- 36:06Speaker 1: Now, I want to go back to the response to
- 36:09Speaker 1: Hurricane Helene, and I talked in the last episode about
- 36:13Speaker 1: this double standard in the way that the news media
- 36:17Speaker 1: is portraying the response to Hurricane Helene in comparison to
- 36:21Speaker 1: how they they used Hurricane Katrina in two thousand and
- 36:25Speaker 1: six to end the Bush presidency and to damage Republicans
- 36:31Speaker 1: in that mid term election, and they did so very,
- 36:34Speaker 1: very effectively. I want to make something clear. I'm not
- 36:37Speaker 1: a big believer in government now. Disasters are one of
- 36:41Speaker 1: the few areas where government can be very effective. But
- 36:45Speaker 1: I don't really believe that there's that much difference in
- 36:49Speaker 1: most cases between the Republican response to a disaster and
- 36:54Speaker 1: the democratic response to a disaster. I think it's all
- 36:57Speaker 1: about perception, and the news media obviously is a big part,
- 37:02Speaker 1: not as big as they used to be, but still
- 37:03Speaker 1: a big part of creating perceptions. And they created a
- 37:08Speaker 1: perception post Katrina that was overtly political and I thought
- 37:14Speaker 1: grossly unfair to George W. Bush, especially when you have
- 37:18Speaker 1: New Orleans, a very liberal city run by a Democratic mayor,
- 37:23Speaker 1: they had a democratic governor, and somehow we just decided
- 37:27Speaker 1: for the first time ever that the president was primarily
- 37:31Speaker 1: responsible for hurricane recovery and that somehow the levees being
- 37:36Speaker 1: breached in New Orleans was.
- 37:38Speaker 2: George Bush's fault.
- 37:39Speaker 1: Well, we have a somewhat similar situation here, only now
- 37:44Speaker 1: we have a swing state in a presidential election, North Carolina,
- 37:49Speaker 1: where it's very obvious that there is a disaster and
- 37:54Speaker 1: there are signs perceptions that the Biden administration is not
- 38:01Speaker 1: on top of this. We got Biden on the beach
- 38:04Speaker 1: literally during the weekend after this happened, and you've got
- 38:09Speaker 1: Kamala Harris putting out tweets with pictures of herself on
- 38:13Speaker 1: a plane. By the way, I remember very specifically that
- 38:18Speaker 1: Bush got tortured for looking over the Katrina aftermath in
- 38:22Speaker 1: a plane because he didn't want to create a disturbance
- 38:25Speaker 1: on the ground. But we've got, you know, from a
- 38:28Speaker 1: perception perspective, all sorts of opportunities for the news media
- 38:33Speaker 1: to say, hey, wait a minute, is the Biden Harris administration.
- 38:37Speaker 2: Really on top of this?
- 38:40Speaker 1: And then we have a couple of comments made by
- 38:43Speaker 1: I guess our president, Joe Biden at least appears to
- 38:47Speaker 1: be our president. No one knows for sure, but a
- 38:50Speaker 1: couple of comments from him that if George Bush had
- 38:53Speaker 1: said them, would have absolutely created a firestorm post Katrina,
- 39:00Speaker 1: because the media was very eager to create a negative
- 39:03Speaker 1: Bush narrative after Katrina. The most dramatic episode occurred at
- 39:10Speaker 1: the White House, where Biden was finally, you know, pretending
- 39:14Speaker 1: that he was in charge and on top of this
- 39:17Speaker 1: whole situation.
- 39:19Speaker 2: As he was.
- 39:19Speaker 1: Leaving the podium, a reporter, much to my surprise, actually
- 39:24Speaker 1: asked him a question about whether or not he's really
- 39:27Speaker 1: on top of the response to the hurricane, and he
- 39:30Speaker 1: angrily snapped at the reporter and you know, basically said, look,
- 39:36Speaker 1: I've been on the phone for almost two hours while
- 39:38Speaker 1: I was at the beach, seemingly being annoyed by the
- 39:42Speaker 1: fact that he was forced to be on the phone
- 39:44Speaker 1: for wherever long it was. And here's what that sounded like.
- 39:51Speaker 1: And the hurricane is for president, why weren't she and
- 39:53Speaker 1: Vice President Harris Sharon Washington commanding this?
- 39:58Speaker 2: I was communisian.
- 39:59Speaker 3: I was on the phone at least two hours yesterday
- 40:02Speaker 3: in the day before as well.
- 40:03Speaker 4: I commend it's called telephone.
- 40:05Speaker 2: It's all my security. It's not important for the company
- 40:08Speaker 2: to see.
- 40:11Speaker 1: Now, in a world where the news media was truly
- 40:15Speaker 1: fair and there were no massive double standards, that would
- 40:20Speaker 1: be enough to create a very negative narrative. We've got
- 40:24Speaker 1: Biden on the beach when this happens, and him complaining
- 40:28Speaker 1: about being on the phone.
- 40:29Speaker 2: For a couple of hours.
- 40:31Speaker 1: Now, what that actually means to the the response itself,
- 40:36Speaker 1: I have no idea, Probably nothing in the real world.
- 40:40Speaker 1: But again we're talking about perceptions and what the media
- 40:44Speaker 1: decides they want to make a narrative out of, and
- 40:46Speaker 1: what they decide, eh, we're gonna let this one pass. Well,
- 40:50Speaker 1: they know they know that this is a potentially dangerous
- 40:54Speaker 1: narrative for Democrats because North Carolina is a very key
- 40:57Speaker 1: swing state and if go all Katrina on Biden and
- 41:04Speaker 1: on Harris, that would be very, very potentially negative towards
- 41:09Speaker 1: the chances of Biden and Harris or Harris and Biden or.
- 41:13Speaker 2: Harris being the actual candidate.
- 41:14Speaker 1: Now, after the big switcheroo of Harris winning the presidential election,
- 41:19Speaker 1: so even though that.
- 41:21Speaker 2: Was a spark right there. The clip you just heard
- 41:23Speaker 2: was a spark that could have created an inferno.
- 41:26Speaker 1: It did not, at least not as of this moment,
- 41:29Speaker 1: because the news media has no interest in that happening. Instead,
- 41:33Speaker 1: as the vice presidential debate proved with Nora O'Donnell's ridiculous
- 41:37Speaker 1: second question, the media has decided, Well, the narrative that
- 41:41Speaker 1: we're most comfortable with here in the aftermath of the
- 41:45Speaker 1: hurricane is climate change. Yeah, that's it, climate change, global warming.
- 41:50Speaker 1: And I warned you on this podcast before the hurricane
- 41:54Speaker 1: even hit that that would be exactly what would happen
- 41:58Speaker 1: if the hurricane turned out to be as bad as
- 42:01Speaker 1: feared and it was actually worse than feared. And this
- 42:05Speaker 1: was particularly frustrating to me because as someone who follows
- 42:09Speaker 1: this entire issue very very closely and keeps track of
- 42:14Speaker 1: all these predictions that the so called experts make, I
- 42:18Speaker 1: was very very curious and even predicted on this podcast
- 42:23Speaker 1: that as to whether or not anybody in the news
- 42:26Speaker 1: media was going to at least provide the context that
- 42:30Speaker 1: all the so called experts going into this hurricane season
- 42:34Speaker 1: had predicted that this would be the most active hurricane season,
- 42:39Speaker 1: maybe on record, way above average now for the record,
- 42:46Speaker 1: on average, there are about fourteen named storms in the
- 42:50Speaker 1: Atlantic during hurricane season. The so called experts were saying
- 42:55Speaker 1: we could have up to twenty five twenty five name
- 43:01Speaker 1: storms because you know, climate change, global warming. Well, Helene
- 43:07Speaker 1: was either the eighth or ninth, depending on how you
- 43:12Speaker 1: frame it. You know, at most the ninth named storm
- 43:17Speaker 1: in this season, which is almost over, and so they're
- 43:22Speaker 1: not gonna hit fourteen.
- 43:24Speaker 2: In fact, the National Weather Service has already.
- 43:28Speaker 1: Indicated that they didn't think they did this a couple
- 43:31Speaker 1: of weeks ago, that they did not think we were
- 43:33Speaker 1: going to hit the average of fourteen named storms for
- 43:37Speaker 1: this particular year. So inherently, inherently, there at least ought
- 43:44Speaker 1: to be a pumping of the brakes on this entire
- 43:48Speaker 1: connection between Hurricane Helene and climate change, global warming, because
- 43:54Speaker 1: the so called experts have been totally wrong just a
- 43:59Speaker 1: couple of mon months ago. Now, just because one hurricane
- 44:02Speaker 1: happens to you know, hit at exactly the wrong time,
- 44:06Speaker 1: in the wrong place, and have a ton of rain
- 44:09Speaker 1: associated with it, and and you know, create all this damage,
- 44:13Speaker 1: which by the way, has happened before in this exact
- 44:16Speaker 1: location about one hundred years ago, but also happens somewhere
- 44:21Speaker 1: on a yearly basis. You know that, to me, they
- 44:27Speaker 1: ought to be at least part of the context of
- 44:29Speaker 1: the story. If you're going to go in the climate change,
- 44:31Speaker 1: global warming direction, can you at not at least acknowledge
- 44:37Speaker 1: that up until Helene, this has been a very, very
- 44:40Speaker 1: inactive hurricane season, directly in contradiction of the predictions made
- 44:47Speaker 1: by the same experts you're relying on to tell us
- 44:51Speaker 1: the climate change global warming is one hundred percent real.
- 44:54Speaker 1: Shouldn't that at least give you some pause? Well no, now,
- 45:00Speaker 1: as I predicted, the news media has just simply ignored
- 45:03Speaker 1: the fact that these predictions are wrong for this year.
- 45:07Speaker 1: And again, these are not long term predictions. These are
- 45:09Speaker 1: predictions that were made just a few months ago. Earlier
- 45:13Speaker 1: this year, look out, it's going to be a record
- 45:16Speaker 1: year for hurricane activity. Well, because there was one really
- 45:21Speaker 1: bad storm that caused more damage than expected doesn't change
- 45:27Speaker 1: the fact that your prediction was wrong. And they keep changing,
- 45:31Speaker 1: you know, shifting the goalposts on. Wait a week, is
- 45:34Speaker 1: it global warming, your climate change that does it increase
- 45:36Speaker 1: the frequency or does it increase the intensity? Well, even
- 45:41Speaker 1: if you use the intensity argument, for which there's no
- 45:44Speaker 1: actual data.
- 45:46Speaker 2: Even if you do that.
- 45:48Speaker 1: Okay, this was a hurricane for a category for hurricane
- 45:52Speaker 1: really bad, not unprecedented. Happens basically every year, So it's
- 45:57Speaker 1: just it's astonishing, and in some ways it's not shocking,
- 46:01Speaker 1: but in other ways it really is just stupefying how
- 46:06Speaker 1: brazen they are when they like an agenda, they like
- 46:11Speaker 1: a narrative. The facts be damned, it doesn't matter. And
- 46:14Speaker 1: let me give you an example. Here's an ABC News article.
- 46:18Speaker 1: They we've just gone right past the response and you know,
- 46:23Speaker 1: the recovery and trying to help people. We've gone right into,
- 46:26Speaker 1: as that vice presidential debate proved, We've gone right into
- 46:30Speaker 1: using this to promote our climate change global warming agenda.
- 46:34Speaker 1: ABC News headline, deadly Ashville tragedy shows there are no
- 46:40Speaker 1: climate change safe havens experts. Oh my god, that gives
- 46:46Speaker 1: me odgena because it reminds me so much of the
- 46:48Speaker 1: whole COVID panic whenever experts are quoted. And you know,
- 46:53Speaker 1: I was going to go through this whole article because
- 46:55Speaker 1: it's just such bullshit, but you know, I don't even
- 46:59Speaker 1: want to do it.
- 47:00Speaker 2: I don't even think I need to do it.
- 47:01Speaker 1: You can look it up for yourself if you google
- 47:04Speaker 1: that headline. Deadly Ashville tragedy shows there are no climate
- 47:08Speaker 1: change safe havens.
- 47:09Speaker 2: It's all about and an experts are the source of this.
- 47:13Speaker 1: It's all about climate refugees. Who the fuck are these
- 47:17Speaker 1: climate refugees? Like people are nomadically looking around for where
- 47:22Speaker 1: we can be safe from climate change. There's no evidence
- 47:27Speaker 1: that this is first of all, needs to be a reality,
- 47:31Speaker 1: or that it is a reality.
- 47:32Speaker 2: If this was the case.
- 47:35Speaker 1: The price of beachfront property, especially on the southern eastern coast,
- 47:42Speaker 1: would be nose diving. Nobody would be living there, especially
- 47:47Speaker 1: not liberals. But that's not the case. We've seen no
- 47:52Speaker 1: indication of that over the last twenty years or so,
- 47:56Speaker 1: during the whole climate change global warming that has been
- 48:00Speaker 1: largely created by the news media. So it's this idea
- 48:05Speaker 1: that there are climate refugees just looking for a safe
- 48:09Speaker 1: place and now even Ashville, North Carolina, and the western
- 48:12Speaker 1: part of North Carolina is no longer a safe haven
- 48:17Speaker 1: from climate change is just so preposterous. A it's a
- 48:24Speaker 1: fluke situation. It's unfortunate, but it's not unprecedented. This exact
- 48:30Speaker 1: same thing, as I said before, happened in our own
- 48:34Speaker 1: recorded history.
- 48:36Speaker 2: And then don't even get me started on the fact.
- 48:37Speaker 1: That our recorded history is a micro second when it
- 48:42Speaker 1: comes to the history of the globe. I mean, it's
- 48:45Speaker 1: just it is the height of human narcissism to think
- 48:51Speaker 1: that somehow anything that happens in a very short amount
- 48:55Speaker 1: of time during our lifetimes is somehow indicative of what
- 49:00Speaker 1: a climate is doing, or that we're responsible for it,
- 49:03Speaker 1: or that we can do anything about it, even if
- 49:06Speaker 1: we wanted to do something about That's the part of
- 49:08Speaker 1: this debate that really pissed me off is what is
- 49:12Speaker 1: it that they think we can do, even if I
- 49:14Speaker 1: grant you everything, what do they think we can do
- 49:17Speaker 1: about it? It's the freaking climate. We have no control
- 49:22Speaker 1: over the climate. And by the way, it should be
- 49:24Speaker 1: pointed out.
- 49:25Speaker 2: It's the climate.
- 49:26Speaker 1: People that constantly say you're not allowed to talk about weather. Well,
- 49:32Speaker 1: isn't a hurricane weather? A hurricane is weather. It's literally weather.
- 49:38Speaker 1: It's not climate. Now, I get if you suddenly have
- 49:43Speaker 1: a series of years where the number of storms or
- 49:46Speaker 1: the intensity of storms has significantly increased, that that's a
- 49:51Speaker 1: trend that would be climate we've not seen that. In fact,
- 49:56Speaker 1: up until Helene, we saw the opposite of that this year, dramatically,
- 50:00Speaker 1: the opposite of that.
- 50:02Speaker 2: But the hypocrisy here is stark.
- 50:04Speaker 1: They always talk, well, well, no, you can't talk about
- 50:06Speaker 1: cold weather when we're talking about global warming. No, no,
- 50:09Speaker 1: you can't talk about cold weather. That's just weather. No, no, no,
- 50:13Speaker 1: we got to talk about climate. Well, what the fuck
- 50:14Speaker 1: are you doing with regard to a hurricane? One hurricane
- 50:18Speaker 1: is clearly weather. It just drives me crazy. And then
- 50:22Speaker 1: I think that's partially why I had such a negative
- 50:25Speaker 1: reaction to the I thought rather lame answer by jd
- 50:30Speaker 1: Vance last night during the vice presidential debate. Now, I
- 50:34Speaker 1: have on numerous occasions made the comparison between what is
- 50:40Speaker 1: happening with climate change, global warming and what already occurred
- 50:44Speaker 1: with regard to the COVID panic. They are remarkably similar,
- 50:49Speaker 1: and I think they are related in so many different ways.
- 50:54Speaker 1: And there was another example of how incredibly deeply invested
- 51:00Speaker 1: the liberal media is in a fairy tale regarding the
- 51:04Speaker 1: COVID panic. This is from the Los Angeles Times, and
- 51:09Speaker 1: they had a headline in this week's paper depression was
- 51:14Speaker 1: rising among young people in southern California, COVID made it worse.
- 51:22Speaker 1: Depression was rising among young people in southern California. COVID
- 51:25Speaker 1: made it worse. First of all, COVID didn't make it worse.
- 51:30Speaker 1: The COVID panic made it worse. Gavin Newsome made it worse.
- 51:34Speaker 1: The lockdowns made it worse. Closing schools for a year
- 51:39Speaker 1: made it worse. Eliminating high school and college athletics made
- 51:44Speaker 1: it worse. Not being able to get together with your friends,
- 51:48Speaker 1: not being able to have graduations, not being able to
- 51:52Speaker 1: have weddings, not being able to have funerals, that made
- 51:56Speaker 1: it worse. And by the way, it's not just depression
- 52:01Speaker 1: among young people. I know this anecdotally here in southern California,
- 52:06Speaker 1: but also the statistics back this up. We're mostly talking
- 52:10Speaker 1: about young white males, young white males.
- 52:14Speaker 2: Not exclusively obviously, but largely.
- 52:18Speaker 1: Young white males, because they are realizing just how utterly
- 52:22Speaker 1: fucked they are in southern California, that they are now
- 52:27Speaker 1: essentially being treated like minorities in the early nineteen sixties,
- 52:32Speaker 1: that they have no shot, none And you know so,
- 52:37Speaker 1: Gavin Newsom is responsible for this in so many different ways,
- 52:41Speaker 1: but for the La Times to claim it was COVID.
- 52:44Speaker 2: No, it was not COVID.
- 52:46Speaker 4: It was the.
- 52:46Speaker 1: COVID panic, and it was the reaction to the COVID
- 52:49Speaker 1: panic driven by Gavin Newsom that has caused so many
- 52:54Speaker 1: young people in southern California to be depressed.
- 52:59Speaker 2: So to me, that was a step.
- 53:00Speaker 1: Belongs in the COVID Hall of shame when it comes
- 53:05Speaker 1: to media headlines. Depression was rising among young people in
- 53:08Speaker 1: southern California.
- 53:09Speaker 2: COVID made it worse. No, we the La Times.
- 53:13Speaker 1: Helped make it worse because we were cheerleading a panic
- 53:16Speaker 1: that caused the lives of especially young people to be
- 53:20Speaker 1: destroyed unnecessarily for an extended period of time. Now, I
- 53:24Speaker 1: have said consistently the biggest mistake the Trump campaign is
- 53:28Speaker 1: making is not emphasizing California.
- 53:32Speaker 2: California.
- 53:33Speaker 1: California, California ought to be the theme of the Trump
- 53:36Speaker 1: campaign when it comes to tying California to Kamala Harris
- 53:41Speaker 1: and California and Gavenusom are continually playing right into Trump's
- 53:45Speaker 1: hands here, but he's not using it, or the campaign
- 53:49Speaker 1: is not using it anywhere near the way that they should.
- 53:52Speaker 1: In my opinion, there are so many things that Newsom
- 53:55Speaker 1: has done in just the last few weeks that would
- 53:57Speaker 1: have been tremendous campaign fodder. I'm not even being able
- 54:01Speaker 1: to talk about all of them because I'd have to
- 54:03Speaker 1: devote the entire podcast to what Newsom is doing and
- 54:06Speaker 1: all the laws, all the absurd laws that he's signing.
- 54:10Speaker 1: I do want to mention one in particular, although I'm
- 54:12Speaker 1: not sure this is one that Trump could really use,
- 54:15Speaker 1: but it hits me because I have a personal experience
- 54:19Speaker 1: in this area, and I am positive that this is
- 54:23Speaker 1: going to cause enormously negative side effects and unintended consequences
- 54:30Speaker 1: that Newsom is either too stupid to understand or too evil.
- 54:34Speaker 1: They're so evil that he doesn't even care about. But
- 54:37Speaker 1: this is regarding a law that Newsom just signed that
- 54:40Speaker 1: is now banning legacies at private universities private universities from
- 54:51Speaker 1: being allowed extra help when it comes to entry into
- 54:58Speaker 1: their schools. Words, it is now illegal in the state
- 55:02Speaker 1: of California to give the child or the grandchild of
- 55:08Speaker 1: somebody who went to a private school any advantage when
- 55:14Speaker 1: it comes to admission to that university or to that school.
- 55:19Speaker 1: Now I understand that this sounds great to liberals. Oh
- 55:24Speaker 1: stick up to the rich white people. And this is
- 55:28Speaker 1: something that Maryland has done already in a similar fashion,
- 55:32Speaker 1: and I'm sure now that California has done it, other
- 55:34Speaker 1: liberal states will be pressured to do similar things. And
- 55:39Speaker 1: this is kind of like, well, you get rid of
- 55:41Speaker 1: affirmative action, which they didn't really do, even though that's
- 55:45Speaker 1: the law in California, and that's what the Supreme Court
- 55:47Speaker 1: has said.
- 55:48Speaker 2: But there's all sorts of ways.
- 55:49Speaker 1: To get around affirmative action when it comes to college admissions.
- 55:52Speaker 2: But you get rid of affirmative action.
- 55:55Speaker 1: We're going to get rid of your affirmative action, you
- 55:57Speaker 1: rich white people, because that's the way they see this.
- 56:01Speaker 1: And to me, this has so many problems. The first
- 56:04Speaker 1: problem is because we're dealing with private schools, this is,
- 56:09Speaker 1: in my view, a blatant violation of the First Amendment
- 56:12Speaker 1: of the Constitution. We have freedom of association, which means
- 56:16Speaker 1: a private school should have the freedom to allow in
- 56:20Speaker 1: whoever the fuck they want to allow into their school.
- 56:24Speaker 1: And the reality of this situation is that I think
- 56:30Speaker 1: legacies like at USC. Let's be clear, USC University of
- 56:33Speaker 1: Southern California is probably the school that will be most
- 56:36Speaker 1: impacted by this.
- 56:38Speaker 2: At USC, you're now going to be disadvantaged.
- 56:43Speaker 1: If you are a child or a grandchild of someone
- 56:47Speaker 1: who went to USC, or a brother or sister, you
- 56:51Speaker 1: will be disadvantaged because in the real world they're going
- 56:54Speaker 1: to be so concerned about breaking the law, especially you know,
- 56:59Speaker 1: everybody involved in it. This is essentially a liberal so
- 57:02Speaker 1: philosophically they're going to agree with this, and so you're
- 57:06Speaker 1: going to be disadvantaged if you would be an idiot
- 57:09Speaker 1: to put in an application that you are related to
- 57:13Speaker 1: anybody that ever went to a private school in California,
- 57:17Speaker 1: whether it's USC or anywhere.
- 57:19Speaker 2: Else, because you will be disadvantaged.
- 57:23Speaker 1: That's unfair. So it's a violation of freedom of association.
- 57:28Speaker 1: It's unfair because effectively these people will be disadvantaged. I
- 57:32Speaker 1: think it's perfectly appropriate for a school to be able
- 57:36Speaker 1: to choose people that are already within their community, family
- 57:42Speaker 1: members of alumni, because it goes to what makes up
- 57:47Speaker 1: a school to begin with. It goes to the community,
- 57:50Speaker 1: it goes to the culture. Not to mention, there's the
- 57:54Speaker 1: issue of most of these people, if they were actually
- 57:57Speaker 1: going to be able to get a child or a
- 57:59Speaker 1: grandchild into a school, have donated to the university, and
- 58:04Speaker 1: a large part of why they have.
- 58:05Speaker 2: Donated to the university is.
- 58:08Speaker 1: They have thought it was going to help them get
- 58:11Speaker 1: their kids or their grandkids into the school.
- 58:14Speaker 2: Well now that's no longer legal. So the reality here
- 58:20Speaker 2: is these people aren't going to donate money anymore. The
- 58:24Speaker 2: only reason why you donate money to.
- 58:25Speaker 1: A school effectively really is, you know, out of ego,
- 58:30Speaker 1: if you want something named in your honor, which is
- 58:32Speaker 1: very rare because it costs a shitload of money, or
- 58:36Speaker 1: you want good sports tickets, or you want to help
- 58:40Speaker 1: get people that are related to you or people that
- 58:43Speaker 1: you're very close to into the school. Well, Gavin Newsom
- 58:47Speaker 1: is just eliminated a huge reason to donate to private schools.
- 58:52Speaker 1: And then there's the other dirty little secret of this,
- 58:55Speaker 1: something I know very very well because I was a
- 58:57Speaker 1: legacy at Georgetown. My parents both Georgetown. I was the
- 59:01Speaker 1: first of four kids to go to Georgetown. And one
- 59:05Speaker 1: of the dirty little secrets about this whole situation is
- 59:10Speaker 1: that guess.
- 59:11Speaker 2: What, legacies pay full freight.
- 59:15Speaker 1: They pay full tuition, which effectively subsidizes the tuition of
- 59:23Speaker 1: people who are not in as good an economic situation.
- 59:28Speaker 1: A lot of poor kids get scholarships or pay virtually
- 59:32Speaker 1: no tuition.
- 59:33Speaker 2: Why can the school.
- 59:34Speaker 1: Afford to do that because they've got a batch of legacies.
- 59:37Speaker 2: That are the only people that are paying the full tuition.
- 59:42Speaker 1: So you got these alumni that are donating to the school.
- 59:46Speaker 2: That's not gonna happen anymore. And now you have these.
- 59:50Speaker 1: Legacies that pay full tuition. Well that's not gonna happen
- 59:54Speaker 1: nearly as much anymore. So guess what's gonna happen. Tuition
- 59:59Speaker 1: is gonna have to go, or the poor kids are
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: gonna have to pay more intuition.
- 1:00:05Speaker 2: Great job, Gavin Newsom.
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: So not only is this wrong, not only is this unconstitutional,
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: it's gonna hurt, in my view, the very people that
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: Newsom is pretending to be helping. Oh, it's gonna feel
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: great to stick it to those rich white guys or
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: kids or the kids of rich white guys, especially at USC.
- 1:00:26Speaker 1: But in the end, it's the people you think that
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: you're helping or making them feel good about themselves that
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: are actually gonna be harmed in this.
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: And I can assure you.
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: I can assure you with one thousand percent certitude. I mean,
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: this is a subject I know a lot about because
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: of my personal experience, I can assure you that Georgetown
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: University allowing me and my siblings after me, but you know,
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: I was the one that probably needed the most help
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: because I wasn't as accomplished academically as as my three
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: siblings were. But Georgetown allowing us four siblings of to
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: Georgetown alumni was economically a blockbuster decision.
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: Georgetown made out like a bandit.
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: Georgetown got four people who played paid full freight for tuition,
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: and then, by the way, there's grandchildren have now gone
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: to Georgetown paying full freight for tuition. Not to mention
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: all the money and service that my father has provided
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: to Georgetown, which is off the charge. Not to mention
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: all the friends of my father who have given money
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: to Georgetown for similar reasons, partially because they thought there
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: was a good chance it would help them get kids
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: into Georgetown. I mean, Georgetown has made no lie millions
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: of dollars from the decision to allow me, most specifically
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: because I was the first of four and my siblings
- 1:01:55Speaker 1: into the university. I went to Georgetown at a time
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: when that was the hot school because the Georgetown basketball
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: program had just exploded with Patrick Ewing, the Saint Almost
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: Fire movie which was about Georgetown, had also just come out.
- 1:02:11Speaker 1: It was the most selective class Georgetown had ever had,
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: and so that you know, that was why it was
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: difficult to get me in. But Georgetown making that decision
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: was a hell of a this decision for Georgetown economically. Now,
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: whether or not it helped them academically or their reputation.
- 1:02:26Speaker 2: I have no idea.
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: But the reality is, if that is a world, which
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: is now in California can't happen. If that can't happen,
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: schools are gonna suffer, and eventually poor kids are gonna suffer.
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: But Newsom is either again too stupid to understand this
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: or too evil to care. Because on the surface, it
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: looks like he's striking a blow against the bad guys,
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: the rich white guys.
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: And it's really infuriating.
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: And most infuriating is USC has so no signs of
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: pushing back against this.
- 1:03:02Speaker 2: That's what's so astonishing.
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: I mean, if we lived in a remotely rational world,
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: USC would immediately be suing over this, if only from
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: the perspective of freedom of association and their right to
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: decide whoever the fuck they want to have entered their school.
- 1:03:19Speaker 2: Frankly, I don't think there's any difference.
- 1:03:21Speaker 1: Between allowing legacies into a school and allowing athletes into
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: a school. You know, you could argue that adding a
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: good athlete to your school is more beneficial in most
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: cases than adding a legacy. Of course, it depends on
- 1:03:37Speaker 1: who that legacy is and how much money their family
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: is willing to give.
- 1:03:42Speaker 2: But it's frankly the same concept.
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: We're allowing an athlete in that may not meet the
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: academic standards because we think it's going to be good
- 1:03:53Speaker 1: for the school. Good for the school from a culture perspective,
- 1:03:56Speaker 1: a publicity standpoint, a monetary perspective, it's essentially the same thing.
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: So philosophically, I don't know how you can not allow
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: legacies by law and still allow athletes to be gaining
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: admission to schools because of their athletic ability. I mean,
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: the whole thing is just it's just insane making.
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