
Democrats Are Favored. But By How Much?
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A hot new model has entered the villa! (Shout-out to Love Island fans.)
On today’s episode, Geoffrey Skelley of Decision Desk HQ joins me to walk through DDHQ’s new 2026 midterm forecast model, why it gives Democrats the advantage in the House, and why election forecasters disagree so sharply about the size of that advantage.
We also check in on two big upcoming…
The skinny
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