″“Holy shit” graphs and how to get more of them” by June Jimenez

LessWrong (30+ Karma) · Oct 18, 2026 · 11m

We are likely in a situation where the most powerful models in the world are internal models, and, here's a key distinction, potentially even models that are never intended to be released to the public (i.e. a model designed to provide internal uplift on capabilities during training but that is not intended to be / not particularly suitable for commercial purposes.)

Internal-external information and capability gaps can distort both public and regulatory perception of frontier capabilities and dangers. If the internal frontier is three or six months ahead, such a gap is worrisome if the labs…