Latest / Tiger Territory: A Detroit Tigers Podcast / Colt Keith Is Detroit's Best Value
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: And welcome into another episode of Tiger Territory, part of
- 0:12Speaker 1: the Foul Territory Network. Be sure to subscribe to our
- 0:15Speaker 1: feed Tiger Territory wherever you get your podcasts. I am
- 0:19Speaker 1: karens Deckley with me as always as a man who
- 0:21Speaker 1: would gladly donate his hamsterring to Dak Prescott. Right now,
- 0:25Speaker 1: he is, Cody Stavedhagen.
- 0:26Speaker 2: How you doing? Oh? Doing all right? It's quickly become
- 0:30Speaker 2: a depressing football season for me between the esteemed Oklahoma
- 0:34Speaker 2: State Cowboys and the Dallas Cowboys. So I hope all
- 0:37Speaker 2: you Lions fans out there are enjoying this. I might
- 0:41Speaker 2: convert over to Lionsism for the rest of this season.
- 0:44Speaker 2: Here there you go.
- 0:45Speaker 1: We'll see if the people think that's a good or
- 0:48Speaker 1: a bad thing. Onto some good stuff, some award news, Cody,
- 0:55Speaker 1: We'll we'll get the easy one out of the way.
- 1:00Speaker 1: School Bull if you ever heard of him. He was
- 1:03Speaker 1: named Tiger of the Year by the Detroit chapter of
- 1:06Speaker 1: the Baseball Writers Association of America. That is, of course
- 1:11Speaker 1: something that you are a part of, and he was
- 1:13Speaker 1: a unanimous selection. So I would say, reveal your ballot,
- 1:19Speaker 1: But it seems pretty seems it seems pretty straightforward. There
- 1:24Speaker 1: was that one of your easiest because you do have
- 1:26Speaker 1: other awards that you vote on both, you know, with
- 1:28Speaker 1: the team and then nationally. Was that one of your
- 1:32Speaker 1: easier and you just vote in a presidential election, no politics,
- 1:35Speaker 1: but the voting did just happen. So was that the
- 1:37Speaker 1: easiest vote you've had this fall?
- 1:41Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 1:41Speaker 2: Easiest, easiest this fall and easiest in my short history
- 1:45Speaker 2: voting for a Tiger of the Year as well. I
- 1:47Speaker 2: mean there's been a couple of years where it's fairly
- 1:49Speaker 2: clear cut, but none quite like this. Like last season
- 1:52Speaker 2: was hard. It was like I no one quite stood out.
- 1:55Speaker 2: Probably the best player was Eduardo Rodriguez, but he was
- 1:59Speaker 2: heard in this time and then once and has good
- 2:01Speaker 2: in the second half. So you know, people voted for
- 2:04Speaker 2: Spencer Porkles in last year, which we talked about before.
- 2:06Speaker 2: I did not vote for fork last year, but this
- 2:09Speaker 2: year you send one. So it was like, all right,
- 2:11Speaker 2: one is Scooble. Two not very hard either, Riley Green,
- 2:15Speaker 2: all right, we're done here. And I think I was
- 2:18Speaker 2: happiest that Schooble was a unanimous selection, because there have
- 2:22Speaker 2: also been some wonky votes from the Detroit BBWA chapter.
- 2:26Speaker 2: We could see over the years Michael Cabrera get some
- 2:29Speaker 2: random like honorary vote and just kind of some strange
- 2:33Speaker 2: stuff I think pop out, you know, because this chapter
- 2:37Speaker 2: it does include the core beat writers, but you also
- 2:39Speaker 2: got like Mitch Album is still part of the chapter,
- 2:43Speaker 2: and like some old heads you know, who I'm sure
- 2:46Speaker 2: are very respected writers but haven't covered a Major League
- 2:48Speaker 2: baseball game in like fifteen twenty years. So I'm a
- 2:52Speaker 2: little bit sensitive about how this award gets voted on.
- 2:54Speaker 2: Sometimes I was very pleased to see no one overthought it,
- 2:57Speaker 2: no one got cute schooble unanimous selection.
- 3:01Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean there was you know sometimes every now
- 3:05Speaker 1: and then you get those people that's like, well I'm
- 3:07Speaker 1: just always gonna go with like a positional player, right right,
- 3:12Speaker 1: that can happen, yeah, and you just have one vote.
- 3:14Speaker 1: I mean, you know, there's only one guy who's been
- 3:18Speaker 1: unanimous right in the Hall of Fame, right, so, like,
- 3:21Speaker 1: you know, you just get you just you know, it happens,
- 3:25Speaker 1: you know, So like I was kind of curious whether
- 3:27Speaker 1: that would be the case. It was not. That's okay, Uh,
- 3:30Speaker 1: but it did get me thinking, you know, because we're
- 3:31Speaker 1: gonna be talking about school bl here uh next week
- 3:35Speaker 1: sometime and uh for a much bigger award. And Scott
- 3:41Speaker 1: Harris talked about it this past week in San Antonio
- 3:44Speaker 1: for GM meetings, the school Lil extension thing. So should
- 3:49Speaker 1: they sign Schooble to an extension? That's not necessarily where
- 3:53Speaker 1: I want to go right now. What I want to
- 3:55Speaker 1: say is where is the higher motivation for a school
- 4:01Speaker 1: bol extension? Because I think both sides have compelling arguments.
- 4:05Speaker 1: For either side Number one Tigers, this it would be
- 4:09Speaker 1: a great kind of like propelling the momentum of the
- 4:14Speaker 1: season into next season. You have your face of the
- 4:17Speaker 1: franchise locked up for you know, however many years. But
- 4:21Speaker 1: then there's also injury risk and uh and he and
- 4:25Speaker 1: he's already kind of gone through it in his time
- 4:28Speaker 1: in the Major League. So like you know that that's obvious,
- 4:31Speaker 1: that's obvious for.
- 4:31Speaker 2: School Bul you have had injuries.
- 4:35Speaker 1: So this makes this this set sets you up for life,
- 4:38Speaker 1: This sets you up for life. Getting the extension that
- 4:41Speaker 1: he would be you know, eligible for for is the
- 4:44Speaker 1: wrong phrasing, but you know that he would garner and
- 4:48Speaker 1: that would be great. However, you know, to use an
- 4:53Speaker 1: economic term price is always gonna go up, so like
- 4:57Speaker 1: he is, technically he could be quote losing money. Now,
- 5:02Speaker 1: no one's gonna cry about it, but he would be
- 5:05Speaker 1: tenerally losing money if he didn't go another year that
- 5:08Speaker 1: when he was dominant, you know, even like go into
- 5:12Speaker 1: his contract year. Basically like his price should he maintain health,
- 5:17Speaker 1: will only go up. So I was kind of curious
- 5:20Speaker 1: your thoughts about, like, not necessarily should they agree to it,
- 5:25Speaker 1: because we could talk about that hypothetical for ever. But
- 5:29Speaker 1: who has the larger motivation to try to do something
- 5:33Speaker 1: like that this offseason?
- 5:36Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, the comments came out from Scott Boris
- 5:39Speaker 2: r GM meetings as well, and it's kind of like, yeah,
- 5:41Speaker 2: you know, we'll maybe talk about that, like seemed very
- 5:44Speaker 2: you know, noncommittal. I think if one party is more motivated,
- 5:49Speaker 2: it has to be the Detroit Tigers, And the arguments
- 5:52Speaker 2: are there for maybe reasons schoogle should be interested in this,
- 5:55Speaker 2: But again, Boris is not a risk averse agent. He
- 6:01Speaker 2: is not seeing the world so much in like what
- 6:04Speaker 2: if he gets hurt? He is most likely advising Schooble
- 6:08Speaker 2: how much higher the ceiling for any potential deal could
- 6:11Speaker 2: be if he wins back to backscy Young, three cy
- 6:14Speaker 2: youngs in a row, like he is playing for the ceiling,
- 6:18Speaker 2: and which sets the market then for all of Scott
- 6:21Speaker 2: Boris's other players and players in the rest of the league.
- 6:25Speaker 2: That is a very intentional thing for the Tigers. We
- 6:29Speaker 2: still don't know for sure. I mean, Scott Harris has
- 6:30Speaker 2: kind of been like, oh, yeah, we want to you know,
- 6:33Speaker 2: keep young talent or whatever, but he hasn't been super
- 6:35Speaker 2: forthright on this topic either. We don't know for sure
- 6:38Speaker 2: that the Tigers are comfortable extending any pitcher seven, eight, nine,
- 6:43Speaker 2: ten years because the inherent risk that comes with that too.
- 6:47Speaker 2: But if I had to choose one party, I'm choosing
- 6:48Speaker 2: the Tigers because how many more teams were as dependent
- 6:54Speaker 2: on one player as the Detroit Tigers and a pitcher
- 6:58Speaker 2: who only throws ones every five days. But in terms
- 7:01Speaker 2: of singular importance to a team this past season, I mean,
- 7:04Speaker 2: I'd say Bobby Witt junior with the Royals, and there's
- 7:09Speaker 2: not a ton else coming to mind. I mean, the
- 7:12Speaker 2: Tigers like need Scooble, and although they do have other
- 7:15Speaker 2: young talent and the organization is in a good spot
- 7:18Speaker 2: and producing more talent, like their success right now is
- 7:21Speaker 2: still very dependent on him and his presence and his health.
- 7:26Speaker 2: And so if I have to choose one, I think
- 7:28Speaker 2: the Tigers will have more incentive to do a deal here.
- 7:32Speaker 1: And as I often do, I remind people of players' ages.
- 7:38Speaker 1: And he is about to turn twenty eight years old. Yeah,
- 7:41Speaker 1: he's about to turn twenty eight years old. So wherever
- 7:44Speaker 1: that's worth, you would like to think that he's one
- 7:47Speaker 1: of the guys that you would like to bet on
- 7:50Speaker 1: to make that extension you know, worth it or whatever.
- 7:52Speaker 1: But it's baseball, it's pitchers. I think you bring up
- 7:55Speaker 1: a great point in the sense that we have no
- 7:58Speaker 1: idea whether they think this is it's a needed deal,
- 8:01Speaker 1: like they'd be in the Tigers organization like they could
- 8:06Speaker 1: you know, they could very well raise this, you know
- 8:08Speaker 1: what I mean, just be like like, all right, we
- 8:10Speaker 1: max out this asset and we're gonna move on and
- 8:14Speaker 1: use these other assets and you know, rinse and repeat,
- 8:17Speaker 1: like for all we know. That could be a thing.
- 8:19Speaker 1: So from a fans point of view, you want to
- 8:22Speaker 1: have guys like Schoolble locked up for a long time
- 8:24Speaker 1: and and make them sort of the face of your
- 8:26Speaker 1: franchise and a guy that's gonna represent your franchise on
- 8:30Speaker 1: like promotional materials all star games and video games and
- 8:34Speaker 1: and all that stuff. But Scott Harris has kept basically
- 8:40Speaker 1: everything including this like close to the best. And and
- 8:43Speaker 1: I will say congrats to the national media that are
- 8:50Speaker 1: interviewing Scott Harris probably for the first or second time
- 8:52Speaker 1: and having it to deal with his non committal nature.
- 8:59Speaker 1: That's that's how he's It's not personal. We had him
- 9:02Speaker 1: on the podcast too, and uh and and he was
- 9:04Speaker 1: like that, and Cody talked to him several times and
- 9:07Speaker 1: and he's like that. Then, I mean, that's that's how
- 9:09Speaker 1: he's gonna operate. He's never gonna try to put himself
- 9:11Speaker 1: in a corner verbally like that, don't like that. Whatever,
- 9:16Speaker 1: that's how he's gonna be. So I think I think
- 9:23Speaker 1: if this was a Mike Illich team, he would be
- 9:26Speaker 1: extended because Mike tended it to value like sort of
- 9:30Speaker 1: that's those sentimental reasons that we said, like, uh, you know,
- 9:34Speaker 1: why sign somebody for better or for worse? But that
- 9:37Speaker 1: was kind of how he operated. Again, we also don't
- 9:40Speaker 1: know how Chris views stuff like this because you know,
- 9:44Speaker 1: we're talking about so much uncharted territory with this franchise.
- 9:48Speaker 1: You know Chris. Chris is like that as well, so
- 9:53Speaker 1: very fascinating. I would be curious, but people think you
- 9:56Speaker 1: can hit him. Hit us up on x Roming known
- 9:58Speaker 1: on Twitter at Cody Stavenhagen. I'm at Kieran Underscore Steckley
- 10:02Speaker 1: pop pages at Tiger Territory Underscore. Tell us what you think.
- 10:06Speaker 1: Where is the greater motivation for the Tigers to or
- 10:11Speaker 1: or for a potential extension between the Tigers and school.
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- 11:16Speaker 1: Moving on to another award season special, the Tigers had,
- 11:23Speaker 1: you know, for a team that had the reputation of,
- 11:25Speaker 1: you know, they have no bats and they're you know,
- 11:28Speaker 1: this hokey pitching bullpen day stuff with one good pitcher
- 11:33Speaker 1: school ball thing. Tigers had two nominations for the Silver Slugger,
- 11:38Speaker 1: so that would be Riley Green and Colt Keith. Riley
- 11:45Speaker 1: Green continues to earn the accolades that will kind of
- 11:48Speaker 1: get him into, you know, like higher conversation. I talked
- 11:52Speaker 1: about that from the first time technically that was part
- 11:55Speaker 1: of the Foul Territory network with AJ and Eric were
- 11:58Speaker 1: basically being like, like, this guy needs to be considered
- 12:01Speaker 1: at a higher level. This would be an example of
- 12:03Speaker 1: that that will get announced here in a couple of days,
- 12:06Speaker 1: but cold Keith Cody cold Keith a Silver Slugger nomination.
- 12:11Speaker 1: Second base is different from the outfield. But what did
- 12:14Speaker 1: either one of those nominations give you a little bit more?
- 12:18Speaker 1: I don't want to say surprised, because they obviously had
- 12:20Speaker 1: good seasons, but sort of like, oh, because for me
- 12:23Speaker 1: it was Keith, I was like, oh, okay, but outfield's
- 12:27Speaker 1: pretty deep, so like you know, Green get in there
- 12:30Speaker 1: is obviously a great honor as well.
- 12:33Speaker 2: Yeah, I was definitely surprised that cold Keith was nominated,
- 12:36Speaker 2: not that he had a poor season or anything. I mean,
- 12:39Speaker 2: he had the rough start and then performed pretty well
- 12:41Speaker 2: after that, although at some point we're gonna have to
- 12:43Speaker 2: talk about his slow finish to the season because he
- 12:46Speaker 2: really seemed to hit a wall there. But just then,
- 12:49Speaker 2: you look at American League second basement and it's not
- 12:51Speaker 2: hard to be reminded that they're not a ton of
- 12:55Speaker 2: great candidates. You know, there's jose L Tuvey, and there's
- 12:57Speaker 2: Marcus Simeon, who had a down year, And then if
- 13:00Speaker 2: you start looking for a third, you could dock yourself
- 13:03Speaker 2: into Glabor torrez or Andresaminez or Michael Massey, and it's like, well,
- 13:11Speaker 2: Colt has as good of a resume if we're a
- 13:13Speaker 2: Silver Slugger as any of them, which really speaks to,
- 13:16Speaker 2: I think the weakness of the second base position in
- 13:19Speaker 2: the American League. Look, and Colt's not gonna win it
- 13:22Speaker 2: this year, but definitely makes you think, Okay, if he
- 13:24Speaker 2: can stick at second base, if he can build on
- 13:27Speaker 2: the defensive improvements we saw later in the season, he
- 13:30Speaker 2: could certainly win this award in the future. I think
- 13:33Speaker 2: it's a prize he got this nomination, but it does
- 13:36Speaker 2: kind of remind you of one of the reasons probably
- 13:39Speaker 2: why the Tigers have seemed intent on him remaining at
- 13:41Speaker 2: second base. He could be a perennial Silver Slugger winner,
- 13:45Speaker 2: you know. And if he plays even league slightly below
- 13:48Speaker 2: average defense, I mean, he could be a four plus
- 13:51Speaker 2: win player. This is just one more kind of insight
- 13:55Speaker 2: and be like, oh, yeah, like, I guess maybe their
- 13:57Speaker 2: line of thinking does make some level of sense in
- 13:59Speaker 2: that regard.
- 14:01Speaker 1: Yeah, And sticking with Keith here for a second, because
- 14:03Speaker 1: I think we all know Riley Green's credentials and and
- 14:06Speaker 1: his potential, and how I don't think twenty four home
- 14:10Speaker 1: runs is his ceiling with Cole Keith. What was it
- 14:13Speaker 1: like forty something games that he went like before he
- 14:17Speaker 1: hit his first career home run something like that, And
- 14:22Speaker 1: you know, you say, he kind of you know, hit
- 14:25Speaker 1: a wall there, which is true, but then you look
- 14:27Speaker 1: at the macro. He was two seventy two batting average
- 14:31Speaker 1: over his last one hundred and two games, So like,
- 14:34Speaker 1: that's that's pretty good. This is a guy who had
- 14:38Speaker 1: I would say, like, uh, about as full a rookie
- 14:43Speaker 1: year as somebody could possibly have. You started out with
- 14:47Speaker 1: the extension, You made your major league debut, You're you know,
- 14:50Speaker 1: playing a I don't want to say new position, but
- 14:54Speaker 1: a you're committed to a position for the first time
- 14:58Speaker 1: over there at second base. You you know, work very
- 15:01Speaker 1: hard about changing your body. You go through rookie struggles,
- 15:04Speaker 1: there's people calling for whether you should be sent down,
- 15:08Speaker 1: and then you kind of kick it in the gear.
- 15:10Speaker 1: You help this team. Because I was reading the quote
- 15:12Speaker 1: from his contract extension press release, he's like, I want
- 15:16Speaker 1: to be the best player I can be and help
- 15:18Speaker 1: the Tigers win a World Series, which is obviously cliche
- 15:20Speaker 1: as cliche goes, right, However, that was like, if you
- 15:26Speaker 1: wanted to say, is he on track for that. Technically,
- 15:29Speaker 1: you would have to say yes, because he was a
- 15:31Speaker 1: Silver Slugger nominee made some impressive plays at second mase.
- 15:35Speaker 1: He didn't come without his struggles, but there were some
- 15:37Speaker 1: there were times where I was like, all right, Keith,
- 15:39Speaker 1: I think he did get better over the course of
- 15:40Speaker 1: the year. Defensively, I thought his hands got better at
- 15:44Speaker 1: the turn over the course of the year, and then
- 15:47Speaker 1: he helped the team make it to the second round
- 15:48Speaker 1: of the playoffs within you know, like what seven eight
- 15:51Speaker 1: outs or whatever of the alcs. So it's like, you know,
- 15:55Speaker 1: kind of on the right track. But it brings me
- 15:59Speaker 1: to the contract because it's been a while, Cody, and
- 16:04Speaker 1: I don't know when the last time you looked at
- 16:06Speaker 1: it is, but it's been a while since. I like,
- 16:08Speaker 1: really like looked at the contract extension that he signed
- 16:12Speaker 1: in January, and I was I was looking at I
- 16:15Speaker 1: was like, man, I mean, good on him. He got cash.
- 16:20Speaker 1: But now we're looking at you know, if you want
- 16:23Speaker 1: to be on pace guy on pace guys like he's
- 16:25Speaker 1: looking to be one of the better bargains in baseball
- 16:28Speaker 1: because in twenty twenty five he's gonna make three point
- 16:32Speaker 1: five million dollars. Then it's four million, then it's four
- 16:37Speaker 1: million again, that it's five million, that it's five million again,
- 16:40Speaker 1: and now we're to twenty thirty, and then it's ten million,
- 16:44Speaker 1: thirteen million, fifteen million, with some incentives that will be
- 16:49Speaker 1: kicked back there if I read this correctly, kicked back
- 16:51Speaker 1: at the end there. So he's not making more than
- 16:53Speaker 1: five million dollars in a season until twenty thirty, twenty thirty,
- 16:59Speaker 1: and at that time he's going to he's twenty eight
- 17:00Speaker 1: years old. Those are like, I think we could probably
- 17:05Speaker 1: say this, this is already looking like a bargain.
- 17:07Speaker 2: What do you think? Yeah, I mean I thought it
- 17:10Speaker 2: would always look like a bargain, and now that we've
- 17:12Speaker 2: seen a full year of Keith in the big leagues,
- 17:14Speaker 2: it definitely looks like a bargain. You know, Fangrafts has
- 17:18Speaker 2: a dollar per war metric one win above replacement on
- 17:21Speaker 2: the open market is still worth roughly eight million dollars,
- 17:25Speaker 2: So according to Fangrafts, col Keith was worth fourteen point
- 17:28Speaker 2: four million this past season. That's playing poor defense for
- 17:32Speaker 2: a lot of the year, depending on your metric of choice,
- 17:34Speaker 2: and really struggling for his first month plus in the
- 17:38Speaker 2: big leagues. He's worth fourteen point four million dollars. Now
- 17:41Speaker 2: important to remember, if col Keith hadn't signed this deal,
- 17:44Speaker 2: he would be making the league minimum for you know,
- 17:46Speaker 2: last year in the next two years as he was
- 17:49Speaker 2: pre armed. So he's getting more money in his pockets.
- 17:52Speaker 2: But it does remind you in theory his value is
- 17:54Speaker 2: only going to rise over the next few years. There's
- 17:58Speaker 2: some security in the contray in the years, like what
- 18:01Speaker 2: if he gets hurt, what if he moves to first
- 18:04Speaker 2: base and the bat doesn't quite fully play there, Like
- 18:07Speaker 2: maybe he's not going to be this thirty million dollar
- 18:10Speaker 2: player in the contract does kind of account for that.
- 18:13Speaker 2: At the same time, I always felt this is a
- 18:16Speaker 2: contract just kind of there's a very limited ceiling on that.
- 18:20Speaker 2: Like I don't blame Colte for taking his money and
- 18:23Speaker 2: taking the security, but I think, especially maybe those option
- 18:26Speaker 2: years at the back end, like I would have wanted
- 18:29Speaker 2: to see a higher aav there. On the end of that,
- 18:32Speaker 2: there's a guy who's not not only is he not
- 18:34Speaker 2: going to make more than ten million, he's not going
- 18:36Speaker 2: to make more than what fifteen million. Ever, like under
- 18:40Speaker 2: the terms of this deal, and if you are a
- 18:44Speaker 2: subscriber to you know, dollars per war. He's already worth
- 18:48Speaker 2: almost fifteen million, starting to look like a great play
- 18:52Speaker 2: from the Tigers. And you know, I always said this,
- 18:54Speaker 2: I'm sure cold Keith was happy the day he signed
- 18:57Speaker 2: that contract. How long until he starts thinking like, oh
- 19:00Speaker 2: h m, you know so and so is making this,
- 19:02Speaker 2: and so and so is making this and I'm only
- 19:04Speaker 2: making this. I mean, I think a lot of people
- 19:07Speaker 2: do that in their jobs. Right, You sign a contract
- 19:10Speaker 2: and you feel good about it, and then you start thinking, oh, well,
- 19:14Speaker 2: what if I would have asked for X or you know,
- 19:16Speaker 2: you start looking around the office and you think, oh,
- 19:19Speaker 2: that person makes more than me, Like, hm, I don't
- 19:22Speaker 2: know about that, And you definitely do wonder if Cole
- 19:24Speaker 2: Keith will feel that way in a couple of years.
- 19:27Speaker 1: Do you have a grasp of his like what kind
- 19:31Speaker 1: of player he like projects to be? Because again, like
- 19:35Speaker 1: you look at you look at his numbers this year
- 19:36Speaker 1: he's a silver slug or nominee nominee, So like we
- 19:40Speaker 1: understand that we're talking about that. However, like it is
- 19:43Speaker 1: second base and it seems like he's still a guy
- 19:47Speaker 1: that we're gonna be looking for where's his actual real fit?
- 19:53Speaker 1: Uh in the field, because like I said, he was,
- 19:57Speaker 1: he was a prep third baseman, he played both, you know,
- 20:00Speaker 1: coming up he ends up at second base. There's always
- 20:03Speaker 1: the can anybody you know, is you know anybody gonna
- 20:06Speaker 1: play first base? Is anybody gonna be a valuable first baseman?
- 20:09Speaker 1: I should say, I think at certain points some people
- 20:12Speaker 1: have been like, is he maybe better in a corner outfield? Uh?
- 20:16Speaker 1: I think there's some arm concerns there, shoulder concerns.
- 20:18Speaker 2: Yeah, he's playing the outfield anytime soon.
- 20:21Speaker 1: So yeah, exactly. So it got me thinking a little bit.
- 20:24Speaker 1: I was like, you know, he did make twelve starts
- 20:30Speaker 1: at d H this year. Uh, Like is is are
- 20:34Speaker 1: we looking like at like a twenty eight like when
- 20:36Speaker 1: he's twenty eight, when he's twenty seven, are we looking
- 20:38Speaker 1: at maybe he's like a you know, you would think
- 20:40Speaker 1: hopefully he'd have to get better, but a matching DH
- 20:43Speaker 1: type left handed, because again, like the salary is still
- 20:48Speaker 1: probably gonna be to to the what you would pay
- 20:51Speaker 1: for your for a d H at that time. Outside
- 20:55Speaker 1: of these you know, higher or higher hiring guys that
- 20:58Speaker 1: are super expensive. The Tigers never going after all, So uh,
- 21:01Speaker 1: so like it like where is his place? Because I
- 21:04Speaker 1: was looking at I was like, what if he just
- 21:06Speaker 1: becomes a DH and you're still not paying him all
- 21:09Speaker 1: that much. I don't know. I was just kind of
- 21:11Speaker 1: kicking around theories. Four years from now they're gonna they
- 21:14Speaker 1: are completely valueless.
- 21:16Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a lot to speculate on. If col Keith
- 21:21Speaker 2: is what Cole Keith. We don't know a J. Hinches contract,
- 21:24Speaker 2: but I think cold Keith is going to slightly outdo
- 21:27Speaker 2: him there. But as long as aj Hinges the manager,
- 21:29Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to be such thing as
- 21:31Speaker 2: the DH. I don't know. People in the Tigers and
- 21:35Speaker 2: the Tiger's front office right now already believe in his
- 21:37Speaker 2: defense at second. I think he's probably eventually a better
- 21:41Speaker 2: fit at first. But whatever, they're gonna make the do
- 21:45Speaker 2: the second base thing, probably for as long as they can,
- 21:47Speaker 2: and then then we're talking three four years out, who
- 21:51Speaker 2: knows what the state of the organization is. I'm just
- 21:53Speaker 2: gonna say, like, there's not much value in having a
- 21:55Speaker 2: guy the DH only unless he's truly like unplayable in
- 21:59Speaker 2: the field old and you better be word don Alvarez
- 22:01Speaker 2: at the plate. So I'm gonna go ahead and say,
- 22:04Speaker 2: if col Keith is the d H in four years,
- 22:07Speaker 2: that probably means he is an even better monster at
- 22:11Speaker 2: the plate than we ever thought. Like that's just how
- 22:13Speaker 2: high that the bar would have to be there for
- 22:15Speaker 2: his bat to even remotely like justify that kind of
- 22:18Speaker 2: you know, pegging him to, hey, you're only a DH.
- 22:22Speaker 1: And I'll and I'll say this, part part of my
- 22:24Speaker 1: motivation for even like thinking that is basically like respect
- 22:29Speaker 1: for the caliber of prospect with middle field middle infield
- 22:34Speaker 1: options that the Tigers have been bolstering in their farm system.
- 22:38Speaker 1: So I think it might be a conversation that will
- 22:40Speaker 1: eventually be had.
- 22:41Speaker 2: That's that's all, Like, you know, yeah, I'm worth remembering.
- 22:44Speaker 2: Like a year ago, It's like it was cold Keith
- 22:45Speaker 2: the second basement in the future, and now we're like, oh,
- 22:47Speaker 2: how do we move this guy off first off second base?
- 22:50Speaker 2: Like prospect conversations are, they're interesting, they're fun, but they
- 22:55Speaker 2: are often just ridiculous because we don't know what's gonna happen.
- 22:58Speaker 2: And right now everyone thinks Kevin McGonagall is going to
- 23:01Speaker 2: be the greatest player of all time, and look, I
- 23:02Speaker 2: think his bat's real and he's going to have a
- 23:05Speaker 2: bright future. But like remember when Jayce Young, like I
- 23:09Speaker 2: don't know, Like these guys come up and it's like, oh, okay,
- 23:12Speaker 2: they're pretty good, but they're not stars, and you're always
- 23:14Speaker 2: looking for the next superstar. And how many true superstars
- 23:18Speaker 2: are there in the sport? Like not that many. Not
- 23:21Speaker 2: a lot of these guys reach the ceilings we can
- 23:24Speaker 2: hold for them in our minds when they're hitting three
- 23:27Speaker 2: point thirty in Double A or whatever.
- 23:32Speaker 1: So we'll go from prospects speculation to free agent speculation.
- 23:40Speaker 1: Speaking of Scott Boris, he did lay. You know, he's
- 23:44Speaker 1: going the bet for his clients, which is what are
- 23:46Speaker 1: you supposed to do? And he's got a big one
- 23:49Speaker 1: in Wan Soto and he's got quite a pretty interesting
- 23:53Speaker 1: one in Alex Brugman as well. He's got letting it
- 23:57Speaker 1: slip that you know he plays you know right, you
- 24:01Speaker 1: know Bregman, you can plays like a base So the
- 24:05Speaker 1: Bregman thing is something that hangs over the Tigers head
- 24:09Speaker 1: until he signs because of like, just like the Korea
- 24:12Speaker 1: stuff from a couple of years ago, obvious need ties
- 24:16Speaker 1: to AJ and the desire to make this team into
- 24:22Speaker 1: a winner. So you take from a winning culture. Now
- 24:24Speaker 1: you could argue that that third one is more about
- 24:29Speaker 1: over the top as opposed to just like create a
- 24:31Speaker 1: winning culture. So like forever that's worth. But Bregman is
- 24:35Speaker 1: going to be the interesting name because even though those
- 24:41Speaker 1: things I just said that ties to the Tigers, there's
- 24:44Speaker 1: not a lot of people that are predicting that he
- 24:46Speaker 1: will sign with the Tigers. I see Yankees, I see Nationals,
- 24:50Speaker 1: I see him. A lot of people think he's coming
- 24:52Speaker 1: back to Houston, which you know, if he did that,
- 24:55Speaker 1: that'd be fine or whatever. I think it was kind
- 24:57Speaker 1: of they let him go out into the field for
- 24:59Speaker 1: the last home game by himself as sort of like
- 25:01Speaker 1: his like curtain call, because it seemed like everybody thought
- 25:04Speaker 1: he was gonna leave. So then if he came back,
- 25:06Speaker 1: that cool moment renders itself pointless. But uh, the athletic, Cody,
- 25:10Speaker 1: You're great colleagues over the athletic he who just subscribe
- 25:13Speaker 1: so you can read all of Cody's great work and
- 25:14Speaker 1: all of his great colleagues. Project Bregman at seven years,
- 25:19Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty nine million dollars. So go back
- 25:24Speaker 1: to the age thing, Like I always like to do.
- 25:26Speaker 1: He is going to be thirty one basically on opening day,
- 25:31Speaker 1: So how's that land for you? Do you have any
- 25:36Speaker 1: other sort of like inklings on what would be the
- 25:40Speaker 1: right move given that number? Alex Bregman seven to eight
- 25:43Speaker 1: seven for one.
- 25:44Speaker 2: Nine seven nine, something about it just seems like more
- 25:49Speaker 2: than the Tigers are going to want to pay. I
- 25:51Speaker 2: guess I don't know that, you know, but it was interesting.
- 25:55Speaker 2: Houston at one point seemed to have been written off,
- 25:58Speaker 2: like as you said, yeah, like okay, he's on there,
- 26:01Speaker 2: And if anyone's commented strongly on it, I think it's
- 26:03Speaker 2: been the Astros and you know, Dana Brown and Jim Crane.
- 26:07Speaker 2: There seems like they want to make a competitive offer
- 26:09Speaker 2: to bring him back. So if they do that, that
- 26:13Speaker 2: could spark a little bit of a bidding war. Are
- 26:15Speaker 2: the Yankees going to outbid? Are the Mets or whoever
- 26:18Speaker 2: else going to get in on this? And if so,
- 26:20Speaker 2: where does that leave the Tigers? That means they better
- 26:23Speaker 2: really sell their culture and he better really want to
- 26:26Speaker 2: go play for a J. Hinch And he better really
- 26:28Speaker 2: want to go play in a park that's not great
- 26:31Speaker 2: for home run hitters in bad weather, you know, like
- 26:34Speaker 2: there's a lot going on here, and if the Tigers
- 26:38Speaker 2: aren't going to have the most lucrative offer, it's going
- 26:40Speaker 2: to be an uphill battle. And I think that's why
- 26:44Speaker 2: you're not seeing him like predicted. In addition to Scott Harris,
- 26:47Speaker 2: who's still been very non like we STI don't really
- 26:50Speaker 2: have any idea how much, if at all, they're willing
- 26:54Speaker 2: to spin. Like you know, GM meetings came and went,
- 26:58Speaker 2: and we didn't really garner any new insight into like
- 27:01Speaker 2: what into the market they're going to be fishing in,
- 27:03Speaker 2: Like we don't know. But then I also think about
- 27:07Speaker 2: it like this, if the Tigers just said fit and
- 27:11Speaker 2: added to their payroll and did a good sales pitch
- 27:15Speaker 2: and they signed Alex Bredman and Christian Walker, would they
- 27:20Speaker 2: not be ale central favorites? I think they would be,
- 27:24Speaker 2: so like you can talk yourself into just like no,
- 27:27Speaker 2: you have some you have a good foundation. You need
- 27:29Speaker 2: to add a lot more bats. Be aggressive, Go get
- 27:31Speaker 2: those bats, Go make the playoffs like go go be
- 27:34Speaker 2: for real. And does that necessarily set back the franchise.
- 27:38Speaker 2: I am not sold that it does now. I think
- 27:41Speaker 2: it would be Realistically, I think the Tigers should get
- 27:45Speaker 2: one hitter of kind of this caliber, and I have
- 27:49Speaker 2: a hard time thinking that's going to be Breadman. But
- 27:52Speaker 2: sometimes I think maybe it should be Alex Bretman.
- 27:56Speaker 1: That's a good way to put it. It should be
- 27:58Speaker 1: I like the positive eye like it for all the
- 28:01Speaker 1: obvious reasons, but it's hard for me to get over
- 28:04Speaker 1: that mental hurdle of thinking that it's going to happen,
- 28:07Speaker 1: which is something that I'm you know, I can speak
- 28:10Speaker 1: for myself here, Like every time you have some kind
- 28:12Speaker 1: of conversation about the Tigers, like everyone expects the spending
- 28:16Speaker 1: of the Mike Ilich era and I have to be like, yeah,
- 28:20Speaker 1: it would be great to go after Breg min or Soto.
- 28:25Speaker 1: I have no evidence to say that that's gonna happen,
- 28:27Speaker 1: so I almost kind of like leave it out of
- 28:29Speaker 1: my mind. Something that would be attention grabbing and uh,
- 28:39Speaker 1: you know cheap relative would be if the Tigers made
- 28:43Speaker 1: a play for Let me see if I get this
- 28:46Speaker 1: right without only reading it without actually hearing it, Roki Sasaki.
- 28:50Speaker 2: Uh, pretty straightforward, right? Yeah?
- 28:52Speaker 1: Yeah, I hope so, but you know, I don't just
- 28:54Speaker 1: want in case I get it wrong. Uh. The latest
- 28:57Speaker 1: pitching sensation from Japan. He is expected to be posted.
- 29:02Speaker 1: He is not physically posted yet. I tried to read
- 29:04Speaker 1: up all this, all these rules and you know, the
- 29:08Speaker 1: rabbit holes and deadlines or whatever. It seems like in
- 29:12Speaker 1: layman's terms, this is not going to be a flat
- 29:15Speaker 1: out bidding war because he will have to be signed
- 29:19Speaker 1: via international bonus pool cash available. So it's not like
- 29:24Speaker 1: yl Moto last year where it's just like literally, who's
- 29:27Speaker 1: the highest bidder or whatever he would have, you would
- 29:30Speaker 1: have to sell him on the environment. It's not going
- 29:32Speaker 1: to be a dollars and cents thing because more or
- 29:35Speaker 1: less a lot of teams are going to be able
- 29:37Speaker 1: to offer similar But the Tigers are going to have
- 29:39Speaker 1: almost as much money as anybody, if I read this correctly,
- 29:42Speaker 1: available to them to try to make a move like that.
- 29:45Speaker 1: And he's young, he's basically free considering what he would
- 29:51Speaker 1: do for you know, interests, tickets, TV revenue, all that stuff. Like,
- 29:59Speaker 1: I see no reason why the Tigers should make a
- 30:02Speaker 1: play like this, because this seems like a market that
- 30:08Speaker 1: you can better understand and thus invest with more confidence,
- 30:12Speaker 1: and so I like the idea. This kind of seems
- 30:16Speaker 1: like outside the box approach because remember the Tigers were
- 30:20Speaker 1: linked to last year and that wasn't really true, but
- 30:25Speaker 1: it was out there, so I don't know. This feels
- 30:28Speaker 1: like maybe Scott Harris, like this could be like a
- 30:30Speaker 1: trick up the sleeve Scott Harris' style going after Sasaki.
- 30:34Speaker 1: So and they do have you know, obviously may under
- 30:37Speaker 1: contract right now that can help with any transition that
- 30:40Speaker 1: can be part of your sales pitch, right so I
- 30:43Speaker 1: think they would have at least a compelling case to
- 30:47Speaker 1: Sasaki if they wanted to go down this route.
- 30:50Speaker 2: Yeah, I think someone put this on Twitter, but like
- 30:53Speaker 2: all thirty teams should be on on Roki Sasaki. He's
- 30:55Speaker 2: going to sign for probably somewhere if I understand this
- 30:59Speaker 2: and all the rules that are ridiculous correctly between like
- 31:02Speaker 2: five point one and seven point six million dollars and
- 31:05Speaker 2: every team has somewhere in that range in their international
- 31:07Speaker 2: bonus pool. So why would you not make a play
- 31:10Speaker 2: for Roki Sasaki? And then it becomes like, Okay, what
- 31:14Speaker 2: do you actually have to pitch to this person? You know?
- 31:19Speaker 2: The Tigers, I guess they have certainly their success with
- 31:21Speaker 2: pictures and their ability to optimize pictures and playing in
- 31:25Speaker 2: what's a little bit overblown to call it a pitcher's park,
- 31:28Speaker 2: but a part that can be friendly to pictures. So
- 31:32Speaker 2: there's something the kin to my I think one of
- 31:35Speaker 2: the most ridiculous overblown stories of last offseason was like, oh,
- 31:39Speaker 2: adding kinto my Ata is going to open up the
- 31:41Speaker 2: Tigers pipeline to Japan, like I do. I don't really
- 31:45Speaker 2: know how much there is in that. I guess if
- 31:46Speaker 2: he wants to ask Kinta or things going in Detroit,
- 31:49Speaker 2: he can, and I have no idea if kinda likes
- 31:51Speaker 2: the city or not. But Keinton might be like, well,
- 31:53Speaker 2: I came here and it's not working out so hot
- 31:55Speaker 2: for me, so I'm not sure that helps you. At
- 31:59Speaker 2: the same time, Sosaki, he seems to have incredible stuff,
- 32:02Speaker 2: not at perfect, not a finished product, but you know,
- 32:05Speaker 2: Sarahs did a great breakdown if you want to know
- 32:07Speaker 2: more about his arsenal in the athletic really good fastball.
- 32:11Speaker 2: The Velo actually took down a little bit last year,
- 32:13Speaker 2: which is odd. Nasty splitter. We know Scott Harris likes
- 32:17Speaker 2: the platoon neutral splitters a slider that's pretty good but
- 32:20Speaker 2: maybe has some room to further improve. Super high ceiling
- 32:25Speaker 2: with this guy. So yeah, every team should make a play.
- 32:27Speaker 2: I'd like it a lot more than if you were
- 32:30Speaker 2: to wait a couple of years and you had to
- 32:31Speaker 2: bid three hundred plus million for an international pitcher, which
- 32:35Speaker 2: is always a little bit of the gamble. So look,
- 32:38Speaker 2: I hope the Tigers make a run at him, but
- 32:41Speaker 2: I would say, like the idea that, oh, they're going
- 32:44Speaker 2: to get Sasaki because Ken Domiata's here, Like I think
- 32:47Speaker 2: that's kind of a ridiculous storyline.
- 32:50Speaker 1: Sure, but like it'd be one of those things where
- 32:55Speaker 1: like if he was looking for a place where he
- 32:57Speaker 1: could have a mentor like, that would be like that
- 33:01Speaker 1: would be like again, just part of the sales pitch,
- 33:03Speaker 1: not necessarily like the pipeline thing or whatever, but it
- 33:08Speaker 1: would be fascinating. It'd be fascinating. They kind of try
- 33:10Speaker 1: to go that route because, like I said, it's it's
- 33:12Speaker 1: it's you're getting a bargain based on his talent. Now
- 33:16Speaker 1: maybe it comes to America and the stinks, but like,
- 33:18Speaker 1: based on his talent, his profile and we saw him
- 33:20Speaker 1: in the World Baseball Classic, like you were, you would
- 33:22Speaker 1: be getting a bargain and you're never gonna you're probably
- 33:26Speaker 1: never gonna get I say never, but you're hardly highly
- 33:29Speaker 1: unlikely to get a player of his talent and hype
- 33:33Speaker 1: for that price point, So like you're right every time
- 33:36Speaker 1: I like.
- 33:37Speaker 2: Sasaki going this route. It seems to me that this
- 33:40Speaker 2: is what you do if you just really want to
- 33:42Speaker 2: play in the majors and you want to bet on
- 33:45Speaker 2: yourself a little bit. This is what Shoeotani did going
- 33:49Speaker 2: this route, where he signed as like a Stani, signed
- 33:52Speaker 2: a minor league deal as an international amateur rather than
- 33:54Speaker 2: the full out posting bidding war. And obviously it's worked
- 33:58Speaker 2: out okay for mister Otan in the financial realm. But
- 34:03Speaker 2: I do think Sasaki is an interesting target for another
- 34:06Speaker 2: reason that we've already seen kind of a lot happen
- 34:10Speaker 2: in the pitching market early this winter, just a couple
- 34:13Speaker 2: of weeks ago, I pitched Nick Pivetta as a great
- 34:16Speaker 2: fit for the Tigers, and turned out the Red Sox
- 34:19Speaker 2: offered him a qualifying offer, which was a little bit surprising,
- 34:24Speaker 2: I think to some people in Boston circles. But basically,
- 34:27Speaker 2: what this means the Tigers would have to forfeit a
- 34:29Speaker 2: draft pick if they were to sign a player who
- 34:31Speaker 2: rejects a qualifying offer. Several other pitchers who I think
- 34:35Speaker 2: made a lot of sense for the Tiger Sean Manaia,
- 34:37Speaker 2: Luis Severino, who they were interested in last offseason, Nick Martinez.
- 34:41Speaker 2: All these guys are going to come with qualifying offers
- 34:43Speaker 2: attached to them the Tiger. A qualifying offers should not
- 34:47Speaker 2: necessarily preclude the Tigers from signing a free agent like
- 34:51Speaker 2: Alex Bregman's, but consider that if you sign two free
- 34:57Speaker 2: agents who have a qualifying offer attached to them, you're forfeiting.
- 35:00Speaker 2: I believe you were third and fourth highest draft pick.
- 35:02Speaker 2: The Tigers would as a revenue sharing team. Based on
- 35:06Speaker 2: how Scott Harris seems to approach the draft, I just
- 35:08Speaker 2: don't see them doing that. I think it would be
- 35:11Speaker 2: well worth forfeiting your third or whatever highest draft pick
- 35:15Speaker 2: for a hitter of the Alex Bredman, Christian Walker ilk.
- 35:19Speaker 2: I'm not sure I would do it for Nick Pavetta, right,
- 35:24Speaker 2: So it makes you wonder if some of these pictures
- 35:26Speaker 2: are already crossed off the list. Interestingly enough, a guy
- 35:30Speaker 2: who did not receive a qualifying offer, one Walker Buehler
- 35:33Speaker 2: of the Dodgers, who I thought would and who I
- 35:36Speaker 2: thought maybe would take it. The fact he didn't, I
- 35:39Speaker 2: think that door just got a lot more open for Detroit,
- 35:41Speaker 2: although I'm still not sold Bueller's only going to sign
- 35:44Speaker 2: a one year deal whatever ends up happening within But
- 35:47Speaker 2: I think the Bueler thing looks a lot more realistic
- 35:49Speaker 2: than it did a couple of weeks ago. And you
- 35:52Speaker 2: could argue it strengthens the reason for all thirty teams
- 35:55Speaker 2: to get in on Roki Sasaki. This guy might be
- 35:58Speaker 2: the best value of some of your other targets have
- 36:00Speaker 2: a qualifying offer attached to him like that doesn't again
- 36:03Speaker 2: shouldn't necessarily preclude them from being signed. But I think
- 36:06Speaker 2: it just lowers the interest level, maybe lowers the total
- 36:11Speaker 2: dollar value you're you're now willing to attach to that contract.
- 36:15Speaker 2: So already some really interesting dominoes beginning to fall in
- 36:19Speaker 2: the pitching market.
- 36:22Speaker 1: Very true, and I tend to I tend to think
- 36:24Speaker 1: Scott Harris is going to be clinging to those draft picks,
- 36:28Speaker 1: probably as a general purpose. He would probably also say
- 36:31Speaker 1: that the team is not accomplished or good enough to
- 36:37Speaker 1: negate those picks or whenever, as part of the overall
- 36:40Speaker 1: billion of the team. Maybe you make like a real
- 36:44Speaker 1: alcs run you got a game seven or something like that.
- 36:46Speaker 1: It's like you just need this over the top that
- 36:48Speaker 1: might preclude it, but like he's gonna I feel like
- 36:51Speaker 1: he's going to keep those options open. And also if
- 36:54Speaker 1: you're if you're him and you're the front off, you think, well,
- 36:56Speaker 1: we can get seven eight's out of player X that
- 37:00Speaker 1: we would get out of Nick Martinez or you know whatever.
- 37:04Speaker 1: So we're just gonna go to player X and save
- 37:06Speaker 1: the draft picks, you know.
- 37:08Speaker 2: So it's exactly how they're gonna think.
- 37:10Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, Cody, anything else before we get out
- 37:14Speaker 1: of here.
- 37:15Speaker 2: No, we are all good. Stay tuned. We are scheduled
- 37:18Speaker 2: to have Tiger's manager A. J. Hinch on our next episode,
- 37:22Speaker 2: which should come out Thursday.
- 37:24Speaker 1: So if you want to hear aj Hinch, what you
- 37:27Speaker 1: gotta do is you gotta subscribe to Tiger Territory wherever
- 37:29Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, and then subscribe to us on
- 37:32Speaker 1: YouTube as well Tiger Territory in order to see our
- 37:37Speaker 1: interview with one A. J.
- 37:39Speaker 2: Hinch. So if you're watching this on YouTube right now,
- 37:43Speaker 2: go hit that little subscribe button. You probably haven't clicked
- 37:45Speaker 2: it yet, Just give it a little click that actually
- 37:47Speaker 2: really helps us out.
- 37:49Speaker 1: It's a little dopamine when you do that, get the
- 37:51Speaker 1: you know, get the notification bell to or whatever. It
- 37:53Speaker 1: makes it feel good, helps us out as we grow
- 37:55Speaker 1: the show in this new venture Tiger Territory as a
- 37:58Speaker 1: part of the ball Teartory Network. So for Cody Stable Hagen,
- 38:04Speaker 1: I am Kierens Eckley, everybody, have a great week.