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NFL Week 1 is Here! The Clown Carr? To The Moon! · Three For The Money

• 0:00
  Okay, okay, okay. We're here. We're back. And so is the NFL.
• 0:21
  Oh, man, I'm ready. Let's go.
• 0:27
  Let's fucking go. Me and Sean are gonna be in Vegas tomorrow. It's gonna be a gong show.
• 0:32
  It's gonna be crazy. But before we get into the NFL action, let's just do like a short
• 0:39
  little recap of how college betting went. Chris, do you want to go first?
• 0:45
  Sure. It was a roller coaster. So let's see Thursday. Yeah, Thursday is the first day.
• 0:54
  I went five and oh, Friday, I went oh and four. To start the day Saturday, I went four
• 1:02
  and oh, the rest of the day, I went oh and six. And Sunday, I went three and oh, or no,
• 1:10
  what I do Sunday, Sunday in college, I went three and oh, and then I guess the streak
• 1:16
  was broken because Monday night, I went one and oh, so let's go.
• 1:20
  All right, 14, 14 and 10 overall, but it was it was not a fun 14.
• 1:28
  That's a very streaky stat.
• 1:33
  I've never like had a run like that ever. That was insane.
• 1:39
  Are you gonna say?
• 1:42
  Oh, I was on I was gonna say hell yeah, that's a lot better than I did.
• 1:49
  How'd you do?
• 1:50
  Oh, I did terrible. I let's see. I know on Friday, I lost all of my bets.
• 1:58
  Hey, send me your man.
• 2:01
  Thursday, I think I went two and one and then Saturday, I ended up going three and five
• 2:11
  and then Sunday, I went three and oh, so I'm down on the week on the on the weekend, but
• 2:19
  oh and then I lost Monday. That was that was not fun. Clemson is close to being on the
• 2:25
  list, but we'll we'll see.
• 2:29
  I think they kind of deserve to be on it now.
• 2:32
  Yeah, I also didn't get to watch the game because our internet was out. So I cannot
• 2:39
  appropriately determine if they definitely should have won that game.
• 2:45
  Oh, yeah.
• 2:47
  They only touched on the scored. They got the ball on Dukes like 20 off a muff punt.
• 2:53
  So they never put like a drive together.
• 2:57
  Yeah, they suck, dude. Like it's I got no Duke is like good, but damn, they're gonna
• 3:08
  need to play a hell of a lot better than that.
• 3:12
  Yeah, I mean, I just thought like Duke was a basketball school. Clemson where you play
• 3:17
  football.
• 3:19
  See here's how I know that the state of Clemson football is in trouble. They have white running
• 3:24
  backs.
• 3:26
  They've never had they've always had like dudes at running back. They now they're I
• 3:32
  remember the guy's name. But yeah, it's Caucasians at running back. Yeah, they're they're screwed.
• 3:38
  All right. Well, Sean, how did how did you do?
• 3:45
  So overall, I went 10 and 14. But I was I'm up for units. And it's thanks to a $50 free
• 4:01
  bet that the kind people over at Fandle gave me that I put on Georgia Tech plus seven and
• 4:06
  a half. And if not for that, I would be down pretty bad. Pretty bad.
• 4:14
  Happy for you.
• 4:16
  Well, yeah. Sorry.
• 4:20
  That that was that was that game was wild. Yeah, that's second. The second half was wild.
• 4:25
  The second half was crazy. And there was one point where I was like, Oh, this is gonna
• 4:31
  be easy. Like this was the easiest bet to put a $50 free bet on. And then like the second
• 4:38
  half happened. And I was like, Oh, no, I'm gonna lose all of my bets today.
• 4:44
  To I'm glad I didn't join the club on you guys on Friday of going 0 and 3. But yeah,
• 4:54
  I went on for I lost the Hawaii game. I had the under.
• 5:00
  I stayed up and watch that game and I had the under as well.
• 5:04
  You stayed up and watching under? Well, I just wanted to watch football. Like and then
• 5:10
  I was I mean, I was already 0 and 3. So I was like, if this loses, I really don't care.
• 5:14
  It's what it's not going to like salvage my day. And so yeah, I was like, Oh, this is
• 5:20
  going under. And then Hawaii puts a drive together like a minute left and scores. I
• 5:24
  was serious. Meaningless touchdown. I was serious.
• 5:28
  However, the same thing happened to us for the LSU Florida State game for the over. That
• 5:37
  was awesome. That was what we I think all three of us had the over.
• 5:41
  Mm hmm. Yeah. So Florida State definitely did not have to score on their on their last
• 5:49
  possession. But I'm sure as glad they did. I don't even think they were really trying
• 5:56
  to. They were just like they were just running the ball. They were just getting like 15 yards
• 6:00
  of clip. So I was like, Well, I just keep doing it.
• 6:05
  Yeah, that was that was a sweat at the end. And then it turned out that the sweat was
• 6:12
  not needed. Yeah, because they scored and then LSU like ran the kickoff back or something.
• 6:16
  I don't know. I went to take a piss and I came back and it was they had scored.
• 6:20
  Same. I went to go take a piss and I was like, What happened? Yeah.
• 6:28
  Yeah. Well, that's probably it for the recap for the college recap. We're probably not
• 6:34
  going to do too much talking about college football. We'll probably just do a really
• 6:39
  like a short real recap at the beginning of these episodes since NFL football is back.
• 6:45
  And that's what we're really known for here. Three for the money. NFL football. So the
• 6:50
  picks will be on Twitter, however. Oh, yeah. Yes, the picks will always be on Twitter.
• 6:56
  So follow if you want to make some money with us. Or if you want to fade me, which is probably
• 7:04
  the play that you should do, go ahead and drop us a follow. All right. Well, anyway,
• 7:13
  let's get to the real football. Let's get to the professional football. Let's get to
• 7:18
  the NFL football. So first game we got going. We have the Titans visiting the New Orleans
• 7:26
  Saints and the Saints are favored by three at home. I think all the books have this at
• 7:35
  like three. But I'm just going to go ahead and throw it to Sean. What do you think, Sean?
• 7:41
  I mean, obviously, you got to go. Tits here, right? Yeah, this is a display. This is a
• 7:51
  this is a rat line. This is ratty as hell. See, my problem with this line is that the
• 8:06
  votes are getting the favorite here because they're at home. But they also think that
• 8:11
  the Titans are just going to be worse than Derek Carr. And I really don't think the Titans
• 8:19
  are going to be as bad as everybody says they are. And I know we're we are on the public
• 8:28
  side on this. I think there's like 70% of that game is on the Titans. 70% of the bets
• 8:37
  are on the Titans. The last I saw. But those are 70% of the smartest Americans in America.
• 8:47
  Honestly, well said. I mean, I agree. I mean, Titans as a dog, Vrabel as being a dog. I
• 9:05
  don't know what the numbers are exactly. But I know he's covered and often one outright
• 9:12
  more often than not. So I'm with you for that reason. Tits money line. Let's go. Are you
• 9:18
  taking money line? Yeah, I'm not. Okay. I don't care about the points money line. I'm
• 9:23
  just going to take the spread. I'm going to take plus three or plus three and a half or
• 9:26
  whatever. I'm gonna keep it. I probably I probably should but it's week one. Who cares?
• 9:31
  Let it ride. Damn straight. I don't think it's very good. So yeah, that neither of these
• 9:39
  divisions, both the AFC and NFC South are not good. So some could argue pretty bad.
• 9:48
  Pretty like South is the worst division in football. Both divisions for both conferences.
• 9:58
  Worst divisions. Yeah. Yeah, well, what you got? I mean, the Titans are the play here.
• 10:06
  I mean, I, I'm not a Saints believer. I think that the Saints have probably more talent
• 10:15
  overall. But I think that for able is just loves being a an underdog. And I think he he
• 10:22
  likes getting his teams up to to to play at these that these like levels, you know, I
• 10:31
  don't I don't care that 70% of the public is on is on the Titans because they're right.
• 10:36
  I mean, Ryan Tannehill is better than Derek Carr. I if you've ever watched this show and
• 10:42
  we've talked about Derek Carr, you know, I am not a Derek Carr guy. I think he's incredibly
• 10:48
  overrated. He's going to throw an interception at least one this game and Alvin Khmer suspended
• 10:55
  for the first four games. I mean, we're it's the Titans are the play Titans plus three.
• 11:03
  Since we are going to be in Vegas, I might just go money line because I just I don't
• 11:11
  know. I mean, of course, they're our team, obviously. But I think I think Titans plus
• 11:15
  three is the is the play here. All right. Next game, we have the San Francisco 49ers
• 11:25
  visiting the Steelers in Pittsburgh. And the 49ers are favored by two. Chris, what do you
• 11:34
  what do you think here? I'm rocking with the dog again, Pittsburgh, I'm taking the spread
• 11:40
  of this time plus two and a half. I mean, I think I love Brock Hardy, don't get me wrong,
• 11:48
  would not shock me if we saw a little you just come back to earth, at least first half
• 11:55
  of the season, maybe like now everyone's got enough tape on him. He's also coming off an
• 12:02
  injury. I think the Steelers defense is really good with TJ Watt, especially. I I just love
• 12:09
  Steelers. I think can you pick it's gonna be all he's gonna take a step forward this year.
• 12:13
  I think pickings might be a top 10 receiver time the season's done. So yeah, Steelers plus
• 12:19
  two and a half. I love it. Okay, Sean, what do you think? This is an absolute underplay.
• 12:31
  I've already locked this in under 40 and a half. Chris, you just said it. I think party
• 12:38
  might take a step back. Both defenses are absolutely monstrous on the field. Lock in
• 12:45
  that 40 and a half while you still can before it goes down. Because this game is going under.
• 12:51
  It's going under. I can see that, especially with Bosa, like just got just signed his deal.
• 12:57
  Bosa just got paid. Yeah, he's got paid is the highest defensive player in the NF ever in the NF.
• 13:06
  So lock in that under. I got it. I already locked it in. I locked it in a few days ago at 40 and a
• 13:13
  half. I'm not sure what the books have it at now. But go ahead and lock it in as soon as you hear
• 13:21
  this because it's going under. I like that. Well, what you got? Well, I like that underplay. And I
• 13:32
  do think it's probably going to go under. But I'm taking Niners. Taking the Niners minus two here.
• 13:37
  Bosa, I did some research, came here with some stats. Steelers are typically pretty bad on the
• 13:46
  week one on week ones. See 1319 and one against the spread in the past. However many that is
• 13:55
  49 and one as a dog in week one and five and 10 straight up against the spread when they're at
• 14:03
  home in week one. Well, I can't prepare. I did not see that. Will with the rare stat. Yeah.
• 14:15
  Yeah. This is a new year. This will be Willy Stats. So I'm taking the Niners. I think the Niners are
• 14:28
  the most complete team. Kind of goes along with that under. It's not a huge spread. It's probably
• 14:34
  going to be a little bit of a closer game. I do think the Niners are just so much better than the
• 14:39
  Steelers. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, that's basically it. Brock and Niners minus two or two and a half
• 14:49
  whatever it is for whatever book you're in. Next game, dolphins at Chargers. Chargers are home
• 14:58
  favorites by three. And I'm going to take this one. I'm going to start this one off. I'm going
• 15:06
  Chargers minus three. And I'll tell you why. Every year, the Chargers are always the most injured
• 15:15
  team in the NFL. It never starts out like that, but it always ends like that. And so here we are
• 15:23
  week one. Nobody's injured. So I'm taking the Chargers. They have dogs everywhere on that team.
• 15:32
  If you look at that roster, you got great players all through it. Yeah. And the dolphins have a
• 15:40
  really weak O-line, not much on defense. So I'm going Chargers minus three. It's an easy play for
• 15:47
  me here. Is Jalen Ramsey out? Jalen Ramsey is out. Okay. That's going to be going to be a killer.
• 15:57
  Then I'm just going to go ahead and say mine if that's okay, Chris. Yeah, go for it. Cool.
• 16:04
  I'm going to rock the over on this one. This is going to be an absolute offensive clinic that is
• 16:12
  going to be put out on the field. It's I think 100 points could be scored on in this game.
• 16:19
  And we're lucky enough to have it at 50 and a half. Hell yeah. And that's what you want.
• 16:28
  Week one. This is like the best game on. It's at 330, right? Yep. Yeah. This is like the best game
• 16:36
  on at 330. Two explosive offenses on both sides. Just go and add it. And I know the Chargers,
• 16:46
  their defense is pretty good. It's pretty good. But the Dolphins seem kind on the on the weaker side
• 16:55
  to me. But yeah, you got to rock that over. Got to rock that over. Chris, what you got?
• 17:06
  The same thing for the same reasons you have. I think, I mean, you said it perfectly.
• 17:14
  Dolphins, I think they're healthy. I think their offense last year when Tua was playing,
• 17:19
  they were slinging it all over the yard. I think they'll do it again. I just don't believe in the
• 17:25
  Chargers whatsoever. But the Dolphins, they kind of bit me in the ass a few times last year. So
• 17:33
  let's rock that over. Let's see a shit ton of points scored. I'm excited.
• 17:37
  And that should be a really good game. That's another thing too. It's like, I really don't believe
• 17:43
  in either team to like really do anything this season, if I'm being honest. So why not just
• 17:52
  put on an offensive clinic? Yeah, week one. Just go ahead. Why not? Just why not? Why not?
• 18:01
  Anything could happen. Anything could happen. It's week one. Football is back. The NFL is back.
• 18:07
  We're back. We're back. We're back. That's right. All right. Next game Sunday night football.
• 18:18
  Cowboys at Giants. Giants are home dogs by three. Giants plus three. Chris, what do you got for me here?
• 18:30
  I'm excited. Sunday night football. Give me the G-man plus three, three and a half all damn day.
• 18:41
  I don't have any faith in the, I know the Cowboys have just been wamping the Giants
• 18:45
  the last X amount of years. I don't believe in them. The Cowboys, that being said this year,
• 18:51
  their new OC, they're just going to give them, take a little time to get that going. I think
• 18:56
  McCarthy's calling plays. He's a bozo. So I mean, the Giants got better on defense. They love, I mean,
• 19:06
  they're going to be amped up playing for table. I think they had the best record against the spread
• 19:10
  last year. I remember what it was off the top of my head, but they were covering machines there for
• 19:15
  a while. So I love the Giants here. It's that divisional dogs, excuse me, divisional dog stat
• 19:23
  I brought up last week, 31, 12 and one against the spread in the last three years, whatever it was.
• 19:30
  So let's just do it. G-man plus three and a half. I hate the Cowboys. Let's ride.
• 19:38
  That's good. I also have the G-man here for your stat that you gave out.
• 19:44
  Yeah, divisional dog. It's at home. I mean, it's New York. They have to go to MetLife.
• 19:55
  That, and nobody wants to see the Cowboys win. Well, that's not true. A lot of people want to see
• 20:00
  the Cowboys win. Yeah, I think a lot of people. Yeah, they have a lot of fans, but let's make
• 20:07
  them sad. Let's make them sad on Sunday night football. Damn straight. John. Yes.
• 20:18
  What do you do God? I'm glad you asked, Will, because I'm going to be the black sheep.
• 20:27
  I'm going to take the Cowboys minus three and a half. Okay.
• 20:31
  Okay. And I've got stats for you. Fine, gentlemen.
• 20:39
  So the Dallas Cowboys are 11 and one straight up in their last 12 games against the Giants.
• 20:48
  Dallas Cowboys are nine and three in their last 12 games against the New York Giants.
• 20:52
  And the Giants are one in five against the spread in their last six games when playing at home
• 21:03
  against the Cowboys. Well, I know, I know you gave up the stat and it's, it's respectable. And I'm
• 21:11
  taking a few of your division stats that you gave out, Chris. I'm taking a few of them that
• 21:17
  we're just not talking about, but they will be on the Twitter. This is the one that I'm not going
• 21:23
  to be taking that I'm not going to fall into the trap. It's just the numbers aren't there for me.
• 21:34
  The stats aren't there. They don't line up. The stars aren't realigning. They're not doing anything.
• 21:40
  I know Cowboys have a lot of fans, but they also have way more people that hate them.
• 21:45
  Right? Yes. So coming in as the favorite
• 21:57
  at an away game, man, it's, it's tough for me to say that I'm taking Dallas,
• 22:05
  honestly, because it doesn't make any sense. After the season that the Giants had last year,
• 22:11
  they had an incredible season. Yeah, man, I, I, I can't, I can't bet against these numbers.
• 22:21
  They're too good. They're too good. That's okay. I, I understand.
• 22:27
  NUMBERS, NERDS. NERDS makes money. Some of them. Okay. Well, that's Sunday Night Football.
• 22:43
  Seems we're a little torn here, but you know what? It's all going to have to be decided on the great
• 22:47
  iron. Next game, last game, Monday Night Football. We got bills playing at the Jets Monday Night
• 22:58
  Football 9 11 Jets are home dogs by two and a half. And the last time, last time I, I checked
• 23:10
  Fandle, they were at two and a half. I think it was Fandle. This one, I don't know. This one's kind
• 23:20
  of racking my brain here. I'm probably taking Jets plus two and a half here. It's just their home
• 23:29
  divisional dogs. It's just, I don't know. The numbers are there for, for, for that stat. But
• 23:35
  what do you, what do you guys think? I don't, I don't really feel strongly either way. I can see this.
• 23:40
  I see this two ways, actually. I see this Jets barely win or the bills fucking stompa.
• 23:52
  There is no, there's no in between in this game that I, that I see in, in Will's orb of, of seeing
• 24:01
  games. Will's game seeing orb. So that's the way I see it. I'm going to take the points.
• 24:11
  Chris, do you, do you have any, anything to, any light to shine?
• 24:19
  I wish I could say I do not really. I don't have a strong feeling either way. I know I gave that
• 24:25
  amazing stat with the divisional dogs. I'm not going to fade it necessarily, but I'm going to take
• 24:31
  Bill's money line. It's a little juicier. I think it's a guy at 135 on MGM. I just think they're
• 24:38
  better. I know the Jets got their shiny new toys and everyone's all excited. It's going to be a
• 24:45
  wild state. It's going to be packed house and Rogers has played. I know he's amazing, but
• 24:51
  he's still old and he's played like a drive of football in the last six months. So I maybe
• 25:01
  might take them a little bit to get going. I think the bills, this needs to be a super bowler
• 25:06
  bust, like at least get to the super bowler bust here for the bills. I think they just,
• 25:11
  they come out hungry. They want to prove something. It's hard to hear about the jet. Everyone's
• 25:16
  just been talking about the Jets all off season. So for that, Bill's money line. Sean, what do you
• 25:23
  think? So correct me if I'm wrong, but Sunday night football is played at MetLife and then Monday
• 25:34
  night football is also played at MetLife? Yes. Yes. I believe so. That's correct. Interesting.
• 25:43
  See, I've already locked in the Jets money line. I think, well, my reasoning behind it,
• 25:55
  obviously 9-11, New York, even though they're playing New Jersey, most of that city recognizes
• 26:05
  the Jets as their team. But now I'm kind of leaning towards the under because we all know
• 26:16
  how much Josh Allen likes to slip. Yeah. And I feel like Sauce Gardner is going to get a weight.
• 26:24
  That field is going to be tore up from the previous night. And I'm just now realizing that
• 26:32
  live. Do they play on turf? That's a good question. I don't remember.
• 26:42
  It would not surprise me if they played on turf just because two teams play there.
• 26:48
  Let me, they probably thought of that. Let me look it up. Hold on. All right.
• 26:52
  Okay.
• 27:01
  You'll talk amongst yourselves, I guess. Okay. Okay. The bills are better. So turf,
• 27:09
  new field turf was installed just this off season in MetLife. So maybe it won't be tore up.
• 27:18
  And maybe that Jets money line is looking a little better.
• 27:26
  Hell yeah. There's just, I mean, I think I'm, I do think I'm falling into a trap here.
• 27:33
  But it's just, you know, they, everybody's going to be on the Jets coming out of hard knocks,
• 27:42
  coming out of the off season. Aaron Rodgers getting traded, all these Alan Lazard going to Green Bay,
• 27:50
  or going from Green Bay to the Jets. You know, he's bringing weapons with him.
• 27:56
  It's, this definitely smells like a trap, but it wouldn't surprise me either way that this game
• 28:04
  goes. Like if the bills blow them out, I'll be like, all right, but if the Jets win, I'll be like,
• 28:11
  that makes sense. That's how I feel. So I took Jets money line. I get that. I think we're all kind
• 28:19
  of like, I mean, it's money enough football, so we're going to bet it, but I don't really know.
• 28:26
  Which is exactly what you want from your handicappers. True. Also, both teams do have a good defense.
• 28:35
  Yeah, I was thinking about that. 46 and a half. Yeah. Jets defense has gotten
• 28:44
  miles. They're the only, they're the, they won any games last year.
• 28:51
  I mean, that's often certainly wasn't doing it for him. It's, oh, are you forgetting about Spencer
• 28:57
  Knight? No, that's not him. Who was that? Mike White? Spencer Knight is a goalie. He's the goalie.
• 29:07
  I think it's like a swimmer or something. No. Mike Knight, the white Knight. Oh,
• 29:16
  that's where I get confused. That's where I get confused. Okay. Obviously, I don't know his name,
• 29:23
  so it doesn't matter. We should just move on because I'm making a fool of myself.
• 29:31
  That was great. All right. Well, that's going to do it for the NFL slate.
• 29:37
  What we have next is our surefires, ones that everyone loves.
• 29:41
  We know, we know the people love them. There are double unit guaranteed not to lose plays.
• 29:49
  Chris, what is your double unit surefire play?
• 29:52
  I'm glad you asked, Will. I'm pretty excited about this one.
• 29:58
  Going to be fading. Quarterback who showed flashes last year, but overall played pretty terribly.
• 30:09
  He's getting a lot of hype coming into this season. Get some MVP futures, which is insane.
• 30:14
  I'm talking about Justin Fields. My first surefire pick of this new season is Packers' Moneyline.
• 30:22
  I don't know why this is a quarterline pick-up. This makes no sense to me. I know the Bears,
• 30:28
  like, yeah, Justin Fields will probably be better. They got a couple new receivers for him.
• 30:33
  That's fine. Their defense is so bad. It was one of the worst in the league last year.
• 30:44
  It lost them several games. So for that reason, I know Jordan Love, second NFL,
• 30:51
  second or third NFL start. I can't remember exactly. He looked pretty good in preseason.
• 30:56
  I know it's preseason, but I don't think he'll have any trouble with just the God-awful Bears defense.
• 31:04
  There's a reason the Bears haven't won this rivalry or haven't won a matchup in this rivalry in five years.
• 31:11
  I guess you could say Aaron Rodgers, but we don't have to talk about that.
• 31:17
  It's in their head. The Bears know they're going to lose. Bears fans know they're going to lose.
• 31:22
  Packers Moneyline all day. I love it. It's in Chicago, correct?
• 31:30
  Yeah. I'd bet it if they were playing on the moon. I don't care.
• 31:43
  All right. Sean, what is your surefire pick? My double unit surefire guaranteed to win
• 31:50
  pick is the Titans plus three, three and a half plus two plus one, whatever it is.
• 32:01
  If the Titans are a dog, give it to me because I'm taking it. I don't care if they're on the road.
• 32:09
  I don't care if they're playing an AFC opponent. I don't care if Derek Carr is the best quarterback
• 32:13
  in that league, which is pretty suspect if we're being honest, but give me the Titans all day.
• 32:23
  I do not care if 70% of the public is on this pick. Vrable loves being a dog.
• 32:31
  The Titans are going to come out and show that we are not as bad as everybody says we are.
• 32:37
  Give me the Titans plus three, three and a half, whatever. I don't care if it's
• 32:47
  plus if it's a pick them at this point. If the Titans are a dog, I am taking it
• 33:00
  in speech. I have a stat to point out to you, Sean. I think you'll enjoy
• 33:05
  the Tennessee Titans slash Houston Oilers franchise has not lost a game in New Orleans since 1993.
• 33:16
  They've only played there like four times, but still.
• 33:22
  I remember that season the Titans were absolute dog shit. I think the only two games we won
• 33:33
  were against the like future O and 16 Lions, which we almost lost, and then the Saints in New Orleans.
• 33:44
  And we ended up winning it in overtime. That game rocked. I remember Delaney Walker had some
• 33:52
  like wild catch that went for like a 60 yard touchdown or something. It was crazy. I think that
• 33:57
  was in overtime. If I'm not mistaken, I can't remember. I think that game went to overtime.
• 34:04
  Was that Malarkey or was it Malarkey? That was like one of Malarkey's like, because
• 34:11
  he was an interim. Yes. Yes. He got fired like midseason and then Malarkey took over and then
• 34:18
  they won a game and everybody was like, Oh my God. I was like, No, this guy is actually kind of terrible.
• 34:24
  But I mean, Malarkey won us a playoff game against the Chiefs. It wasn't Patrick Mahomes, but
• 34:33
  yeah, but Chris, I do love that stat. We haven't lost a game in New Orleans since when? 1993.
• 34:45
  That was before I was born. That's 30 years.
• 34:47
  What are you? Yeah. St. Speedy Oilers 3321. You know what? Fuck it. We're switching it up live.
• 35:00
  Just give me the money line. Just give me the money line. Damn straight. Just give me the money
• 35:04
  line is my surefire pick. Fuck the plus three. Give me the money line. Damn straight. I will
• 35:10
  still be taking plus three because I've already locked it in. But also the money line. Also the
• 35:16
  money line. Double down. I am doubling down. This is this is as double down as you can get.
• 35:24
  This is like a triple down. Well, it's like a two and a half, like a double and a half. Okay.
• 35:32
  Double. I don't know. Will. All right. Will, I'm dying to hear your surefire pick.
• 35:37
  Okay. Well, my surefire pick is the Washington Manders minus seven playing the piss poor Arizona
• 35:50
  Cardinals. It's it's in Washington. And if you watch any of the preseason with Sam Howell at
• 36:00
  quarterback, this guy's a stud. This guy played really, really well in the preseason. And in the
• 36:07
  one or two games that he played last year at the end of the season for for Washington.
• 36:13
  And if you look at the roster that the Manders have, they got dogs at every single position.
• 36:21
  They can win this game by two touchdowns at least. And we all know that the Cardinals are tanking.
• 36:27
  They're playing Josh Dobbs. No offense to Josh Dobbs. That's what I did a lot.
• 36:32
  I did a lot for us. I was not slander on this show.
• 36:40
  I respect Josh Dobbs. But he is a backup QB.
• 36:46
  This is third NFL start something like that. It's not very good. And the Cardinals are tanking.
• 36:54
  They're gonna they're trying to get rid of Kyler Murray. They're tanking for Kayla Williams.
• 36:58
  That fraud. He made the list. But anyway, I'm taking Manders minus seven. They can easily
• 37:08
  easily cover this game in Washington. New owner, new vibes, new team. Let's go.
• 37:20
  I'm glad you like it because I'm going to parlay all of our picks. And it's going to be
• 37:26
  the Surefire parlay. And it's going to hit and we're going to make a boatload of money.
• 37:32
  And we're going to be rich. Yeah. So it's going to hit while we were in Vegas.
• 37:39
  Put it all on black.
• 37:45
  All right. Surefires are done.
• 37:50
  We got some some bonus plays after that. I have I have two bonus plays.
• 37:54
  Do you guys have any like bonus plays? Yeah. Yeah.
• 38:03
  Chris, are you betting on all of the games? Maybe.
• 38:08
  All right. Okay. So we got the ones we already talked about. We won't go back over those again.
• 38:15
  Starting tomorrow night. No, no, no, no. Bandit picks those. Oh, okay. That's right.
• 38:21
  Can I at least give he's going to pick a side, right? Yeah. All right. I'm taking the over
• 38:27
  either way. Okay. Okay. So okay. Okay. Okay. Let's see. We were all on Panthers plus three and a
• 38:34
  half commanders first half minus three and a half Browns plus two and a half Texans Ravens under
• 38:41
  44 Jags Colts under 45 Buccaneers team total under 19 and a half Seahawks minus five and a half
• 38:51
  Broncos minus three and a half. Dolphins chargers we said equals minus four.
• 38:58
  And then the rest we had already talked about. So yeah, every game. I'm not I just I'm just doing
• 39:07
  this for a week. I'm not doing this. You I mean, I'm going to be honest. No, we'll see how if I
• 39:14
  if I do really well, we'll we'll see. But yeah, I'm going to be honest. Like when I was looking at
• 39:21
  the the lines today, I was like, yo, I see a play in all of these. Oh, yeah. Like I just started
• 39:27
  going when I was doing research, I just started going down a rabbit hole. I was like, Oh, like this,
• 39:31
  I like this, I like this. And I think by the end of it, I was like, I have like all but three games.
• 39:36
  So I might as well find a play in one of those or in those that I kind of like. And that's how we
• 39:43
  got here. Hell yeah. Well, do you have any bonus plays? Yes, I have. I think I have two. Yeah,
• 39:57
  I have two bonus plays. One, we're going to be in Vegas. I'm taking the Raiders plus four.
• 40:03
  Thought about making him a firefighter, but I kind of hate the Raiders. This is purely a
• 40:09
  vibes play and also backed up by Chris's divisional stat. So I'm taking the Raiders.
• 40:18
  Sean Payton, being the coach of the Broncos does scare me. So but we're we're in we're in Vegas,
• 40:26
  I have to take the Raiders. And then my only other play is Texans plus 10.
• 40:35
  And yeah, it's gross. Okay, I don't like it. But the numbers have backed it up. Okay.
• 40:43
  I saw this stat on TikTok. Lamar Jackson is one in 15 against the spread when he is favored
• 40:53
  by three or more points. What? Yeah. Wow. Yep.
• 41:05
  That's wow. Yeah, that doesn't spread because make sense. Listen, because all of all the all the
• 41:15
  I guess the AFC North they get big spreads. Yeah, they are one of the best teams in well,
• 41:25
  I mean, they were, you know, when when Lamar won MVP, you know, they were just favored by so much
• 41:31
  all the time. And so past 16 games, when he's been favored by three or more,
• 41:39
  he is one of 15 against the spread. And so Ravens are going to win this game easily.
• 41:46
  They ain't going to cover. And, you know, CJ Stroud could be pretty good.
• 41:55
  And I think that's it. I kind of go to Texas. I was thinking about taking the Texans,
• 42:02
  but because I didn't know that wild stat, but I just I was like tens of a lot of points, but
• 42:09
  it's the Texans. I can't. Yes. Yeah, I just I couldn't pull the trigger. So that's why I took the under.
• 42:18
  I'm taking the Texans. They got they definitely got better in the offseason. They got, you know,
• 42:23
  they got CJ Stroud. They got Willie Anderson. They drafted really well.
• 42:27
  John Metchie is coming back from leukemia, you know, forgot about him. Yep. I've heard he's
• 42:37
  balling in practice and in preseason. So it's going to be it's going to be I mean,
• 42:45
  it might not be a good game, but it has a lot of points. Actually horrible.
• 42:50
  Yeah, I think this game is if Chris is betting the under and then you're in the Texans spread,
• 42:57
  like I think that game that game is going to be unwatchable. Yeah, I mean, we're not gonna watch it.
• 43:03
  Well, let's let's get in. Let's get a nice 21 13 and get the hell out of there. Yeah. Yeah, I like that.
• 43:11
  Yeah, I like that. I like that. That's that's a convincing win. And that's a hopeful sign
• 43:21
  for the Texans that they made the right pick in Stroud. So I think that's I think that's all my plays.
• 43:30
  Sean, did you say your place? No, I did not. But I can't. All right. You can. Yes. Okay.
• 43:37
  Okay. So out of the plays, we didn't discuss excluding Thursday night, because that's for
• 43:44
  that's for the dog. I don't know where he went, but he's gone. I got Brown's Moneyline
• 43:52
  for you, Chris, for that stat you gave out. I got the Jags minus four and a half.
• 43:59
  I got Philly minus three and a half. I got Panthers plus three and a half. And I got the
• 44:07
  Chargers minus three for you will. That's not the pick I was giving out when we were talking about it.
• 44:16
  But I took it earlier. I've got two plays in that Chargers dolphins game.
• 44:22
  I do think that the Chargers will cover that game pretty easily.
• 44:25
  Okay. They should the numbers back it up.
• 44:31
  The numbers being the I do have another one.
• 44:36
  I'm also writing Raiders plus four just simply vibes. Take that with a absolute grain of salt.
• 44:43
  I do not trust Jimmy G. I do not trust really anyone on that team, but Devonte Adams and
• 44:53
  unfortunately he has to catch a ball from Jimmy Garoppolo. So
• 45:00
  that defense is going to be so bad too. Yeah, it's going to be it's going to be a dogfight.
• 45:06
  It's going to well no it's not going to be a dogfight. It's going to be a fucking ass beating.
• 45:13
  But it is a good play when you go to a state when you when you travel to a state and you are
• 45:19
  allowed to gamble you must take the home state and we me and will are taking the Las Vegas Raiders
• 45:30
  plus four and a half. Just win baby.
• 45:37
  So yeah, it's a little al Davis for you. It is a it is a pure is a pure vibes play.
• 45:43
  I did little to know I did no research on this. I shouldn't even say little. Yeah, I did no research
• 45:49
  on this. This is backed up by Chris's monster set though. But I'm fading. Yeah, that is you're
• 45:58
  fading like a number of those. I'm fading to out of two and a half. I guess you could say
• 46:07
  I took the bill's money line. But yeah, I mean, I'm taking let's see I'm taking Panthers, Browns,
• 46:15
  Giants and Packers. So hell yeah.
• 46:23
  Cool. Well, that's going to be it for us for this NFL week. Just a little closing thoughts from me.
• 46:29
  I think Alabama is going to fucking destroy Texas. Really? Yes.
• 46:35
  I see seven. Oh, man, I was looking at that and I was like, I don't know. I really don't know.
• 46:43
  I do know. I watched that Texas game. I mean, I watched that Texas game. That game last year.
• 46:51
  Do you watch the game last year? Yeah. Yeah. No, no, I didn't. If viewers was healthy,
• 46:57
  they would have won that game. Yeah, Texas would have won that game easily.
• 47:01
  I mean, see, I don't know. You were stinks.
• 47:05
  That stinks. He cut his hair. Now he stinks. They cover against rice.
• 47:12
  Like, dude, come on. It's a billion degrees outside.
• 47:16
  Like they have zero energy and you couldn't cover against fucking rice. All right.
• 47:22
  That's my closing thoughts. Texas might be on the list. Yeah.
• 47:31
  Does anybody else have any closing thoughts? I do. Nebraska plus three all day.
• 47:38
  I respect it. So I think I told you all this earlier. This has a chance. I saw it on Twitter
• 47:45
  to be the most bet on college football regular season game of all time. And I would say
• 47:50
  80% of those tickets are going to be on Colorado. So there's a reason those buildings in Vegas
• 47:56
  are so shiny. It's because the public's stupid. So Nebraska plus three might sprinkle money
• 48:02
  online if I'm being honest. I respect that pick wholeheartedly.
• 48:08
  But I did. MGM did give me a free bet and I did put it on Colorado. So.
• 48:13
  Oh, well. So when this line opened, it was obviously before the
• 48:31
  it was obviously before week one, it was before Colorado beat TCU. And that line,
• 48:40
  Nebraska was favored by seven. Yeah, something like that. That's insane that now they're plus
• 48:51
  30. It is. It is insane. But when I saw it when I saw it on whatever day Monday or Tuesday,
• 49:01
  I thought, excuse me, I thought Colorado should be favored by touchdown.
• 49:06
  Yeah. Just after I mean, after they just bent TCU's defense over a barrel for 60 minutes,
• 49:14
  and Nebraska sucks. Is this a vibes play? Or is this like you actually believe in prime?
• 49:23
  Me? Yeah, I'm betting on Nebraska. Oh, I'm sorry. This is I think, I guess, I think.
• 49:31
  Oh, okay. Yeah. I mean, if we've learned anything from Dion Sanders at all, it's that he's a
• 49:39
  fucking winner. That's what he does. He goes somewhere and he wins. And I don't know, it could
• 49:47
  be all these tick tocks I'm getting of all these people just coming into Colorado's facility and
• 49:54
  just giving like, like just an absolute clinic on speeches. So many pump up speeches. I saw one
• 50:04
  today that was Michael Irvin. He was there. He was like, I had to I had to be on a team with Dion
• 50:13
  to win. And then, you know, other you said other things that were just really inspiring.
• 50:20
  Warren sap and he brought in Warren sap and he gave another speech. I keep seeing these daily
• 50:26
  speeches and I'm like, this is too many speeches. This might be too many speeches. But all these
• 50:30
  do get me fired up. It's like, how much can you learn in like a speech? I don't know, whatever.
• 50:38
  This is just like, this is a week two of college football. I'm hoping that this is just like,
• 50:46
  you know, the Vegas is setting such a low line as kind of the trap within the trap or like,
• 51:00
  is Colorado real? Is the are they actually real? Like, yes, they beat a ranked opponent.
• 51:06
  But can they beat someone that is less than them? I don't know. Can they play
• 51:11
  up even to someone who is down? Does that make I don't think that makes sense at all.
• 51:16
  Well, I mean, I truthfully because we're best friends, I know what you're saying.
• 51:23
  But it is kind of like,
• 51:28
  there is that middle ground of you don't know, you know, yeah. And I think this is like,
• 51:37
  this is week two. This is prove it. Like this is like, okay, go out there and prove that you beat
• 51:48
  a team that was in the national championship last year, even though they fell off super hard.
• 51:56
  Go out and prove it again. Like they have to do it again, you know.
• 52:01
  Yes. This is like last week could have been a fluke. Yeah, you also let it in 42 points.
• 52:10
  So they did they did lead in a lot of a lot of points and that game is very close.
• 52:16
  Let's not forget that. Like, if it wasn't, I mean, obviously, like this was crucial,
• 52:22
  but TCU score back through two touchdowns at the goal line. So they if their defense was just
• 52:29
  worth an ounce of shit, they would have probably won that game. But I mean, don't go around Colorado.
• 52:34
  I mean, they got dogs, man. But I just this is strict. Like I believe Dion will turn this program
• 52:41
  around. I just think it's trap spot and I'm feeding the public that's it is nothing against Colorado.
• 52:47
  Don't let the Dion pack come after me and put my head on a stick. Strictly fade the public play.
• 52:54
  You know, I respect the pick. I totally get the other side. Like right right right before I
• 53:05
  I placed that free bet on Colorado. It was just like, I think I saw a tick tock that was like
• 53:10
  Colorado versus Nebraska is going to be like the number one bet on game of the week. It's going
• 53:16
  to overtake every single NFL game. There's going to be more money on this one game than any other
• 53:22
  NFL game. And it's like, okay, well, that very much deters me from taking Colorado, but I'm going
• 53:30
  to do it. And it's a free bet. I mean, come on, like, it's like real money. Yeah, it's not real.
• 53:36
  So go ahead, Chris, what were you going to say? You were obviously going to say something. I'm
• 53:41
  not really honestly. Oh, come on. You had something to say. What do I have to say? I don't know. You
• 53:49
  said you sounded like you wanted to say something. If I did, I forgot what I was going to say. I
• 53:54
  apologize. Okay. Well, I was going to say that I was going to stay as far away from this game as
• 54:04
  possible because this all of this just smelt of cheese for the trap. It just stank all of it.
• 54:14
  That's good. I like that. But now, he's for the trap. But now, I kind of want to bet something,
• 54:21
  but I don't know what it is yet. So I guess you'll have to follow the Twitter to find out what
• 54:26
  it is. Little tease, little tease, little tease for the trap, cheese for the trap.
• 54:36
  I like that. Don't do that again. Okay, I won't do that again. Nicky Minaj song or whatever.
• 54:41
  A cheese in the trap.
• 54:46
  I toss his salad like my name will main.
• 54:51
  Jesus. Is that what you mean? Okay. Well, that's going to be up for us this week.
• 54:58
  Kind of went off the rails a little bit. But yeah, thank you so much for watching.
• 55:03
  Please like, comment, and subscribe. We really appreciate any sort of action you take, whether
• 55:12
  it be watching, downloading, liking, subscribing, commenting. Just tell us we suck if we lose all
• 55:18
  of our bets and then also Twitter. Yeah. Yeah. Seems we only get haters these days.
• 55:25
  But yeah, follow the Twitter for the picks. Let's see. Is that it? Oh, maybe one more thing.
• 55:34
  You should follow us on TikTok because that's where we're going to be giving out the Bandit
• 55:40
  pick for Thursday night football. Bandit chooses a side every Thursday. And he also has the
• 55:48
  All Dog Parley that we all three ride. And we're going to be rich from a dog.
• 55:57
  Yes, he knows dogs. He is a dog and he knows dogs. So he knows the winners.
• 56:05
  And he's going to make us a lot of money over the season. So you should tail and not fade.
• 56:10
  You know, dogs have tails. Bandit doesn't have a tail there. Yeah.
• 56:19
  We won't get into that. Not.
• 56:26
  I guess very anti storm. Yes. Follow us on everything, including TikTok. We'll be giving
• 56:32
  out the Bandit Parley. We'll be giving out Bandit's pick. Yeah. Should we just wrap it up?
• 56:39
  Yeah, let's wrap it up. There's three of us. Now let's make some money.