Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Quick Hit | January 20, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:00H h. Fall system's gone clear you left. What's up? Guys,
- 0:37Rio here gonna be breaking down this seven game Saturday slate. I'm feeling a
- 0:42little bit under the weather of today, so I'm gonna keep this one short
- 0:44and sweet as always. Hit the like and subscribe button definitely helps us out
- 0:48a time. Uh this out screening real quick? There we go. Yeah,
- 0:55definitely, uh good slate here a nice seven game slate on this Saturday
- 1:00game. Kicking off the night for US San Antonio Spurs taking on the Washington
- 1:03Wizards two forty two over under with the Wizards favored by three, should definitely
- 1:07be a good game to attack. Got too awful defenses facing off against each
- 1:12other. Spurs will get in Victor Webbin Yama back tonight. He's in a
- 1:17great spot versus this Wizards defense that ranks dead last subrim defense and dead last
- 1:21in DVP to the center position. So definitely like him a lot. As
- 1:23a spin up option. I think Devin Bissel is a great great option to
- 1:29six point six k Calton Johnson, Trey Jones, Jeremy Sochan definitely all in
- 1:34good spots here in a pace up spot, So I like all of those
- 1:37guys think this is definitely a game to attack. Probably gonna want a guy
- 1:41from both sides on tonight's slate. On the Wizard side, Kyle Kuzma is
- 1:47the high upside spin up option. He gets a great matchup versus the Spurs
- 1:52defense that allows a ton of points to three point shooters. I think that
- 1:53he's in a really good spot eight point four K, very reasonable, Tys
- 1:59Jones when he's beginning the minutes. He's been been crushing six point three K
- 2:02in a good spot. He's flashed really big upside the last two games.
- 2:07He's gotten thirty one to thirty seven minutes, had fifteen assists last games versus
- 2:10last game versus the Knicks as well, So don't mind him at six point
- 2:15three K. Marvin Bagley going to continue to get all the SENTI minutes that
- 2:21he can handle. This Wizard team is going to be without Daniel Gafford again,
- 2:23so he's gonna gonna start and me in his first game with his new
- 2:28team, got to thirty nine minutes and he should benefit from a pace of
- 2:30spot. I think that he's a great play at five K. Would not
- 2:37mind a little bit Jordan Poole either. This could be a spot that he
- 2:38could definitely attack versus this Spurs team that's a terrible and three point defense.
- 2:43I don't mind Jordan Pool with five point nine K, but yeah, definitely
- 2:46a good game to attack. First one on the slate, so I definitely
- 2:50like both sides of that game. Next one, we got Philadelphia seventy six
- 2:53ers taken on the Charlotte Hornets with two eight over under Philadelphia favorite by ten.
- 3:00On the Philly sides really just embiid or bust. I'm seeing him with
- 3:04a Q tag LISTID right now, so we'll have to monitor that, but
- 3:07I would expect him to play. He beats up on bad matchups all the
- 3:12time, so he's in a really good spot at eleven point five K.
- 3:15This Hornet's defense is just terrible bottom five, room defense, bottom two and
- 3:19DVPZ to center position, so he's in a great spot on the Hornets side.
- 3:27LaMelo Ball got a midday downgrade with the ankle injury, which is something
- 3:30he's He's dealt with a lot in his young career. So if you were
- 3:34to miss then we could look to a bunch of guys on this Hornet side.
- 3:37Terry Rozier would obviously see you know his his role tick up from a
- 3:40usage and ball handling standpoint, he would be a great play at seven point
- 3:44six K. I think Ish Schmith and Nick Smith Junior would both see xtender
- 3:49round two at the point guard position, so they would be they'd be viable
- 3:53spend down options as well, would not mind them, And then guys like
- 3:57Miles Bridges, PJ Washington, Brandon Mouton would all see a usage upstick uptick
- 4:01as well. If Nick Richards were to miss here, then we can go
- 4:04right back to PJ. Washington five point four K. But if Embida's in,
- 4:08don't like the matchup for him as much. Embiad is just an elite
- 4:13foul drawer, so it would be a really tough spot for him if he
- 4:16were to be starting at the center position. But definitely got to keep an
- 4:19eye on the injury designations for that game. Next one on the slate,
- 4:25Cleveland Cavalier has taken on the Atlanta Hawks two twin nine over under Cleveland favored
- 4:30by three. Also another injury spot with Trey Young listic question will he missed
- 4:34last night and John to Murray was given the reins as the lead point guard
- 4:40for this Hawks team. If Trey Young were to miss, I think that
- 4:45de John Murray is a fine play at AK. Yeah, He's definitely got
- 4:49plenty of upside at that price tag. And it is a tougher matchup versus
- 4:54this Cleveland defense that has been one of the better teams all season long.
- 4:57They've held up even without Evan Will and Daris Garland out of the lineup two,
- 5:01So it is a tougher matchup. But I think that he's gonna see
- 5:05all the usage he can handle. So de Jonta Murray would definitely be fine,
- 5:10would be fine going back to Sidi Bay and Bogdan Bogdanovitch at five point
- 5:14nine K and five point five K. But Bogdanovic did get also a mid
- 5:18day downgrade with a knee injury. If I'm not mistaken, I'm not seeing
- 5:27I listed, but I think that he got downgraded here it is ankle injury.
- 5:31So yeah, if you were to miss and Trey Young were to be
- 5:38out, Garrison Matthews mint priced, I guess he would be in play.
- 5:42Trent Forrest three point eight K. I think Patty Mills would even see extended
- 5:45run, but probably just they'll condense the rotation a lot more and give guys
- 5:49that are in just all the minutes that they can handle. Atlanta has been
- 5:55known to run a pretty tight rotation around seven to eight guys most nights.
- 6:00But yeah, on the Cleveland side, it's a really good spot for pretty
- 6:03much everybody. Donald Mitchell, Jared Allen, Max Shrew's Sam Merrill all on
- 6:09play here. The Hawks have been one of the worst defenses overall this season,
- 6:13their bottom five defensive rating, bottom two Brian defense, bottom eight three
- 6:15point defense, and bottom three and transition defense. So Donald Mitchell in a
- 6:18really good spot here. Sam goes for Jared Allen. I think that he's
- 6:23he's kind of turned the corner as a you know, he's been doing more
- 6:27with the assist numbers have picked up, his scoring has been up lately.
- 6:30I think that he's got a ton of upside eight K. I like him
- 6:33a lot, but we should see Sam Merrill get some extent. A run
- 6:38two with cars Slivert was a doubtful. It's a really good matchup for three
- 6:43point shooters and pace up spots. I think that Sam Merrill is firmly in
- 6:46play as a value option at four point three K. That's gonna do it
- 6:49for that game. Move on to Toronto versus the New York Knicks got Toronto
- 6:54or two twenty nine over under Knicks favored by eight. Got a couple of
- 6:58revenge spots here at OJ and and ob RJ bay Mental quickly going to take
- 7:00on their former teams here. Raptors defense has really fallen off since the Ogn
- 7:06Andobi trade. They've been giving up a ton of three point shots. Rem
- 7:11defense has been terrible as well without Yakapertle down there. So yeah, the
- 7:16Knicks are in a really good spot here. I think Jayleen Bronson and Julis
- 7:19Ryandad have a ton of upside at their respective price tags. I would probably
- 7:23want to be a max one of those two unless you're getting into a full
- 7:26game stack situation. But they're both firmly in play at eight point eight and
- 7:30eight point seven k. I think I slightly prefer Jalen Brunson in this matchup,
- 7:35just kind of the Raptors defense kind of funneling to three point shooters a
- 7:40little bit more, and I think Brunson has a little bit more chops there
- 7:42in terms of three point shooting. Harnstein, He's fine. It's kind of
- 7:47just a cash game option almost seven K. I don't know how much upside
- 7:50he really realistically has there in this type of matchup, but I think that
- 7:54he's totally fine at six point eight K. Yeah, I don't mind Og
- 7:59Andobe either at sub six k five point nine K for him, he's been
- 8:01playing a ton of minutes since he entered the starter rotation for this next team.
- 8:07Yeah, played forty three plus minutes in three straight games. Probably gonna
- 8:11be extra motivated going against his former team. So I think Og makes a
- 8:13ton of sense here tonight. Small forward and power forward eligible as well.
- 8:18If Josh Hart were to miss Dante DiVincenzo minutes would be a lot safer.
- 8:22He saw thirty thirty eight minutes last game with no Josh Hart's I think that
- 8:28he would be a fine option. And yeah, like I mentioned, the
- 8:33Raptors defense have been funneling to three point shooters. I think that he has
- 8:35a little bit of upset at five point eight K on the Raptor's side.
- 8:39Really just looking to Scottie Barnes here eight point three K. He got more
- 8:43usage last game with the Pascal Siakam trade happening and this team being a little
- 8:48bit thinner, but yeah, he's he's got a really solid price tag eight
- 8:54point three k. He's shown shown a pretty high ceiling too in certain matchups.
- 8:56I think that he's totally fine. Don't love this matchup for RJ.
- 9:03Barrett as much. He's probably gonna I would imagine OJ and Obi would be
- 9:05on him defensively, So don't love the matchup for him. I think Quickly
- 9:11is probably the preferred option for one hundred dollars more seven kuh. Yeah,
- 9:16I think that he's he's got a better matchup. You should see a lot
- 9:18of Jalen Bronson on defense. I think that he could exploit that a little
- 9:20bit. But yeah, like Scotty Barneson, man Quickly on the raptor's side.
- 9:26Next game, got the Memphis Grizzy's taken on the Chicago Bulls two sixteen
- 9:31over under, Chicago favored by seven and a half. Yeah, gonna be
- 9:35a slow paced game, but both these teams have pretty solid value options.
- 9:41You know, the Grizzlies are going to be without John Morant Desmond Baine and
- 9:45the Bulls will now be without Zach Levine for about a week, so should
- 9:50should see usage funnel to the big three in Vucevic, De Roseen, Kobe
- 9:54White. But on the Grizzly side, Yeah, Jackson Junior has taken on
- 10:01a much bigger offensive workload without Baying and John Morant. I think that he's
- 10:05a good option sub sub eight K. This Bulls defense has been more vulnerable
- 10:11to three point shooters. I think that Jeron Jackson, if the shot is
- 10:13falling, could have a pretty big upside at sub sub eight K. I
- 10:20think Vince Williams is is good six point one k uh Lukenard. Like I
- 10:24just mentioned the Bulls defense vulnerable to three point shooters, I think that he's
- 10:28in a good spot. He got to start at the point guard position last
- 10:31time out, so I think that he's pretty safe from a minute standpoint.
- 10:37And yeah, Xavier Tillman also got a mid day downgrade to questionable, So
- 10:41if you were to miss, the Grizzlies would be extremely thin at the center
- 10:45position, so you have to see guys like David Roddy step up. Santi
- 10:50Al Gregory Jackson probably gonna play more minutes as well. I think still is
- 10:56a great value option at four point four K, and would be even better
- 11:00if Exevier tell Me were to miss I like him a ton and he's a
- 11:03pretty solid three point shooter as well, so I think the matchup is good
- 11:05for him. On the Bulls side of things, yeah, DEMARDA Rosen has
- 11:13been the one that's benefited the most from a usage standpoint without Zach Levine on
- 11:18the court of the season. All these guys have really solid price tags and
- 11:22the matchup is not all that bad. The Grizzlies interior defense has fallen off
- 11:26since they got rid of Bismack Biambo. They've been vulnerable to three point shooters
- 11:30all season long, So I think that Kobe White makes a ton of sense
- 11:33on point one k He would probably be my preferred option. I think he's
- 11:35got a ton of upside. I gotta play a huge minutes too with no
- 11:39Zach Lavine, But all these guys make sense, Butavich de Rosen, Kobe
- 11:43White, I probably want to be max two of the three, and then
- 11:50if I have to, I probably want to be full stacking this and just
- 11:52hope that the game stays close. Grizzlies have been pretty competitive lately. They
- 11:56kept, you know, kept the game close enough last night. This is
- 12:00the the Temple Wolves, I believe, So yeah, definitely would be boosting
- 12:05up your upside in terms of a correlation standpoint. And yeah, Patrick Williams
- 12:11four point one K if he plays, totally fine value option. Been a
- 12:16little bit better with Levine off the court, too, so I think that
- 12:20he's he's just fine. Four point one K hasn't really shown great upside,
- 12:22but he'll he'll get the start, should see good minutes. Next game.
- 12:26Oklahoma City taken on Minnesota timber Wolves two twin nine over under, Minnesota favored
- 12:31by three. This is kind of a stayaway game for me. This is
- 12:35a two really solid defenses. SJA can get a really tough matchup versus Jaden
- 12:41McDaniels and Anthony Edwards type guys, So really tough matchup for him. But
- 12:46tamp poy three K is a pretty reasonable price tag. I think that I
- 12:50would slightly lean with the Jalen Williams Josh Guetty side of things. Jayleen WILLMPS
- 12:56has just been on a role late least, going no less than forty four
- 13:00draftings points in four of his last seven games, been nearing fifty in a
- 13:05couple of those games as well, So I think that he's a totally fine
- 13:07option at seven K giddy a little bit less, so I mean he got
- 13:11more. He got up to thirty minutes last game, and you know,
- 13:15he's always been a really solid fantasy point permanut producer has triple double upside.
- 13:20Got up to forty four DK points last game versus Utah, but lou Dort
- 13:24was out there, so I think that he probably goes back to seeing twenty
- 13:28four to twenty six minutes. But I think that he's a fine last piece
- 13:33in type guy at six K. Yeah, really not too excited about anybody
- 13:37on the Oklahoma City side. Not really into Chet Holmgren either. Top matchup
- 13:41versus Rudy Gobert, and on the Wolf side, I think Anthony Edwards,
- 13:46Towns and Rudy Gobert are all still a little bit too cheap. Oklahoma City
- 13:50has been struggling a little bit defensively. They're giving up a ton of three
- 13:54point shoot three point three point shots to opposing teams right now, so I
- 13:58think Anthony Edwards makes sense. Eight point four K yeah, I think when
- 14:05the price tags are this close with and Coro Anthony Towns five hundred dollars apart,
- 14:09I would just side with Anthony Edwards. But cat makes sense to his
- 14:13last minion powerfuward center eligible. Rudy Gobert has been awesome lately too, been
- 14:20playing a ton of minutes close to forty most nights in a close game forty
- 14:24seven forty five, forty six and a half fifty forty six DK points where
- 14:28his last five games, so I think that he's totally fine. And the
- 14:31Oklahoma City Room defense has not been that great with Chet Holmgren down there,
- 14:35I think that Ridey Gobert is fine. Last game of the night, Utah
- 14:41Jass taking on the Houston Rockets two thirty eight over under, Houston favored by
- 14:43two. I think this is a pretty good game to attack on the Jazz
- 14:48side. Kind of tough. They're spreading out the rotation. You know,
- 14:52no guys is seeing more than thirty two to thirty three minutes in a game,
- 14:56so I think that it's kind of tough to pin point which guys are
- 15:00gonna be the ones to go off. But I think my favorite would be
- 15:03Coln Sexton. He's just been playing amazingly over the last twenty twenty one games
- 15:07or so that the Jazz have been on this hot streak, and the on
- 15:11ball defense for the Rockets have fallen off a little bit. They got Dylan
- 15:13Brooks back, which would make things tougher for him, but not too certain
- 15:16that Dylan Brooks would be on con Sexton. I think he might guard Lauri
- 15:20Markinen. Actually, you know, I take that back. Brooks would probably
- 15:26be on con Sexton and Jabari Smith would be on Lauri Marktinan I would assume
- 15:31it's a tougher matchup, but Sexton has just been shooting the ball extremely well
- 15:35lately and even got up to thirty four minutes last game, forty two and
- 15:39forty five DK points in the last two games as well, so I think
- 15:41that he is a good play at six point one K. Not too interested
- 15:46in many other guys on the Jazz side. I think Walker Kessler is an
- 15:48okay spend down option. Four point three K should see a round twenty to
- 15:52twenty four minutes off the bench, so I think he's fine. I do
- 15:56have a lot of interest on this Rocket side, though mainly in Fred Van
- 16:02Fleet seven point three K. He shot the ball pretty poorly this season,
- 16:06but this is way too good of a matchup for him. The Jazz always
- 16:08lack with on ball defense and transition defense. They're a huge three point final
- 16:12as well, so I think Fred VanVleet has a ton of upside. Seven
- 16:15point three K. He's probably my favorite point per dollar play on this slate.
- 16:19Sengoon a little bit worse of a matchup for him, but he projects
- 16:22really well for us right now. Eight point one K. Jazz has been
- 16:26a little bit better defensively guarding the rim, but he can get done in
- 16:32multiple ways. I think that he's a totally fine option. Eight point one
- 16:34K and Jabari Smith Jalen Green still like they're pretty cheap as well for their
- 16:40upsides in this type of matchup, so I think that they make a ton
- 16:42of sense to But yeah, that's gonna do it. Thank you for bearing
- 16:47with me while I'm sick right now. But yeah, pretty good Saturday slate.
- 16:51I hope that everybody has a successful and fun weekend. Ye'll see you
- 16:56guys on Tuesday. Let it guys, most hands hands, most hand mans