Latest / Masters in Business / At The Money: Algorithmic Harm with Professor Cass Sunstein
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.
- 0:26Speaker 2: Algorithms are everywhere. They determine the price you pay for
- 0:30Speaker 2: your Uber, what gets fed to you on TikTok and Instagram,
- 0:35Speaker 2: and even the prices you pay in the supermarket. Is
- 0:40Speaker 2: all of this algorithmic impact helping or harming people? To
- 0:45Speaker 2: answer that question, let's bring in Cass Sunstein. He is
- 0:49Speaker 2: the author of a new book, Algorithmic Harm, Protecting People
- 0:53Speaker 2: in the Age of Artificial Intelligence, co written with ornbar Gil.
- 0:58Speaker 2: Cass is also a professor at Harvard Law School and
- 1:02Speaker 2: is perhaps best known for his books on Star Wars
- 1:06Speaker 2: and co authoring Nudge with Nobel Laureate Dick Taylor. So, pass,
- 1:12Speaker 2: let's just jump right into this and start by defining
- 1:16Speaker 2: what is algorithmic harm?
- 1:20Speaker 3: Okay, So let's use Star Wars. So let's say the
- 1:23Speaker 3: Jedi Knights use algorithms, and they give people things that
- 1:28Speaker 3: fit with their tastes and interests and information, and people
- 1:32Speaker 3: get If they're interested in books on behavioral economics, that's
- 1:35Speaker 3: what they get at a price that suits them. If
- 1:38Speaker 3: they're interested in a book on Star Wars, that's what
- 1:41Speaker 3: they get at a price that suits them. The Sith
- 1:44Speaker 3: by contrast, take advantage with algorithms of the fact that
- 1:48Speaker 3: some consumers lack information and some consumers suffer from behavioral biases.
- 1:54Speaker 3: So we're going to focus on consumers first. If people
- 1:57Speaker 3: don't know much, let's say about healthcare product, an algorithm
- 2:01Speaker 3: might know that that they're likely not to know much
- 2:04Speaker 3: and might say, we have a fantastic baldness cure for you.
- 2:08Speaker 3: Here it goes, and people will be duped and exploited.
- 2:12Speaker 3: So that's exploitation of absence of information. That's algorithmic harm.
- 2:16Speaker 3: If people are super optimistic and they think that some
- 2:19Speaker 3: new product is going to last forever, when it tends
- 2:22Speaker 3: to break on first usage, then the algorithm can know
- 2:26Speaker 3: those are unrealistically optimistic people and exploit their behavioral bias.
- 2:31Speaker 2: So I referenced a few obvious areas where algorithms are
- 2:37Speaker 2: taking place. Uber pricing is one the books you see
- 2:43Speaker 2: on Amazon is algorithmically driven. Clearly, a lot of social
- 2:48Speaker 2: media for better or WORSEUS algorithmically driven, and even things
- 2:53Speaker 2: like the sort of music you like on Pandora. What
- 2:56Speaker 2: are some of the less obvious examples of how algorithms
- 3:02Speaker 2: are affecting consumers and regular people? Every day.
- 3:07Speaker 3: Okay, So let's start with us straightforward once and then
- 3:10Speaker 3: we'll get a little subtle. So straightforwardly, it might be
- 3:13Speaker 3: that people are being asked to pay a price that
- 3:18Speaker 3: suits their economic situation. So if you have a lot
- 3:21Speaker 3: of money, the algorithm knows that maybe the price will
- 3:23Speaker 3: be twice as much as it would be if you
- 3:26Speaker 3: were less wealthy. That I think is basically okay. It
- 3:31Speaker 3: leads to greater efficiency in the system. It's like rich
- 3:34Speaker 3: people will pay more for the same product than poor people,
- 3:38Speaker 3: and the algorithm is aware of that. So that's not
- 3:41Speaker 3: that subtle. But it's important. Also, not that subtle is
- 3:45Speaker 3: targeting people based on what's known about their particular tastes
- 3:49Speaker 3: and preferences. Let's put wealth to one side, and so
- 3:52Speaker 3: it's known that certain people are super interested in dogs,
- 3:55Speaker 3: other people are interested in cats. And there we go,
- 3:59Speaker 3: and all that is very straightforward's happening. If consumers are
- 4:02Speaker 3: sophisticated and knowledgeable, that can be a great thing to
- 4:07Speaker 3: make markets work better. If they aren't, it can be
- 4:10Speaker 3: a terrible thing to make consumers get manipulated and hurt.
- 4:14Speaker 3: Here's something a little more subtle. If an algorithm knows
- 4:18Speaker 3: for example, that you like Olivia Rodrigo, and I hope
- 4:22Speaker 3: you do, because she's really good, then there are going
- 4:24Speaker 3: to be a lot of Olivia or Rodrigo songs that
- 4:27Speaker 3: are going to be put into your system. And let's
- 4:30Speaker 3: say no one's really like Olivia Rodrigo, but let's suppose
- 4:33Speaker 3: there are others who are vaguely like her, and you're
- 4:36Speaker 3: going to hear a lot of that. Now, that might
- 4:38Speaker 3: seem not like algorithmic harm, that might seem like a
- 4:42Speaker 3: triumph of freedom and markets, but it might mean that
- 4:46Speaker 3: piece of people's tastes will calcify, and we're going to
- 4:49Speaker 3: get very bulkanized culturally with respect to what people see
- 4:54Speaker 3: in here. So they're going to be Olivia or Arigo people,
- 4:56Speaker 3: and then they're going to be led Zeppelin people, and
- 4:58Speaker 3: they're going to be Frank Sinatra people. And there was
- 5:00Speaker 3: another singer called Bach. I guess I don't know much
- 5:03Speaker 3: about him, but there's Bach, and there would be Bach people.
- 5:06Speaker 3: And that's culturally damaging, and it's also damaging for the
- 5:11Speaker 3: development of individual tastes and preferences.
- 5:14Speaker 2: So let's put this into a little broader context than
- 5:19Speaker 2: simply musical tastes and I like all of those, so
- 5:23Speaker 2: I haven't become bulkanized yet. But when we look at
- 5:29Speaker 2: consumption of news media, when we look at consumption of information,
- 5:33Speaker 2: it really seems like the country has self divided itself
- 5:38Speaker 2: into these happy little media bubbles that are either far
- 5:42Speaker 2: left leaning or far right leaning, which are is kind
- 5:45Speaker 2: of weird because I always learned the bulk of the
- 5:48Speaker 2: country and the traditional bell curve, most people are somewhere
- 5:53Speaker 2: in the middle. Hey, maybe they're center right or center left,
- 5:56Speaker 2: but they're not out on the tails. How does the
- 6:00Speaker 2: these algorithms affect our consumption of news and information?
- 6:07Speaker 3: About fifteen twenty years ago, there is a lot of
- 6:10Speaker 3: concern that through individual choices, people would create echo chambers
- 6:16Speaker 3: in which they would live. And that's a fair concern
- 6:19Speaker 3: and it has created a number of, let's say, challenges
- 6:23Speaker 3: for self government and learning. What you're pointing to is
- 6:29Speaker 3: also emphasized in the book, which is that algorithms can
- 6:34Speaker 3: echo chamber you. An algorithm might say, you know, you're
- 6:38Speaker 3: keenly interested in immigration, and you have this point of view,
- 6:42Speaker 3: so boy, are we going to funnel to you lots
- 6:44Speaker 3: of information because clicks are money, and you're going to
- 6:48Speaker 3: be clicking, clicking, clickling, click kicking, And that might be
- 6:50Speaker 3: a very good thing from the standpoint of the seller,
- 6:54Speaker 3: so to speak, or the user of the algorithm, but
- 6:56Speaker 3: from the standpoint of view, it's not so fantastic. And
- 7:00Speaker 3: from the standpoint of our society it's less than not
- 7:04Speaker 3: so fantastic, because people will be living in algorithm driven
- 7:09Speaker 3: universes that are very separate from one another, and they
- 7:13Speaker 3: can end up not liking each other very much.
- 7:16Speaker 2: Even worse than not liking each other. Their view of
- 7:19Speaker 2: the world aren't based on the same facts or the
- 7:23Speaker 2: same reality. Everybody knows about Facebook and to a lesser degree,
- 7:28Speaker 2: TikTok and Instagram and how it very much bulkanized people
- 7:33Speaker 2: into things. And we've seen that in the world of media.
- 7:37Speaker 2: You have Fox News over here, in MSNBC over there.
- 7:41Speaker 2: How significant of a threat does algorithmic news feeds present
- 7:48Speaker 2: to the country as a democracy, self regulating, self determined democracy.
- 7:56Speaker 3: Really significant? And there's algorithms and then there's large language models,
- 8:01Speaker 3: and they can both be used to create situations in which,
- 8:05Speaker 3: let's say, the people in some city let's call Los Angeles,
- 8:09Speaker 3: are seeing stuff that creates a reality that's very different
- 8:13Speaker 3: from the reality that people are saying, and let's say,
- 8:16Speaker 3: boise Idaho. And that can be a real problem for
- 8:20Speaker 3: understanding one another and also for mutual problem solving.
- 8:26Speaker 2: So let's apply this a little bit more to consumers
- 8:29Speaker 2: and markets. You describe two specific types of algorithmic discrimination.
- 8:36Speaker 2: One is price discrimination and the other is quality discrimination.
- 8:41Speaker 2: Why should we be aware of this distinction? Do they
- 8:44Speaker 2: both deserve regulatory attention?
- 8:47Speaker 3: So if there is price discrimination through algorithms in which
- 8:52Speaker 3: different people get different offers depending on what the algorithm
- 8:56Speaker 3: knows about their wealth and tastes, that's one thing, and
- 9:00Speaker 3: it might be okay. People don't stand up and cheer
- 9:03Speaker 3: and say hooray. But if people who have a lot
- 9:06Speaker 3: of resources are given an offer that's not as let's
- 9:09Speaker 3: say seductive, as one that is given to people who
- 9:14Speaker 3: don't have a lot of resources, just because the price
- 9:17Speaker 3: is higher for the roots than the poor, that's okay.
- 9:19Speaker 3: There's something efficient and market friendly about that. If it's
- 9:24Speaker 3: the case that people who are let's say, not caring
- 9:30Speaker 3: much about whether a tennis racket is going to break
- 9:33Speaker 3: after multiple uses, and other people who think that tennis
- 9:36Speaker 3: racket really has to be solid because I play every day,
- 9:40Speaker 3: and I'm going to play for the next five years.
- 9:43Speaker 3: Then some people are given the let's say, immortal tennis racket,
- 9:47Speaker 3: and other people are given the one that's more fragile.
- 9:51Speaker 3: That's also okay, so long as we're dealing with people
- 9:55Speaker 3: who have a level of sophistication. They know what they're
- 9:57Speaker 3: getting and they know what they need. It's the case
- 10:00Speaker 3: that for either pricing or for quality, the algorithm is
- 10:05Speaker 3: aware of the fact that certain consumers are particularly likely
- 10:10Speaker 3: not to have relevant information, then everything goes haywire. And
- 10:14Speaker 3: if this isn't frightening enough, note that algorithms are an
- 10:18Speaker 3: increasingly or an increasingly excellent position to know. This person
- 10:24Speaker 3: with whom I'm dealing doesn't know a lot about whether
- 10:28Speaker 3: products are going to last, and I can exploit that.
- 10:31Speaker 3: Or this person is very focused on today and tomorrow
- 10:35Speaker 3: and next year doesn't really matter. The person's present biased
- 10:38Speaker 3: and I can exploit that. And that's something that can
- 10:42Speaker 3: damage vulnerable consumers a lot, either with respect to quality
- 10:47Speaker 3: or with respect to pricing.
- 10:48Speaker 2: So let's flesh that out a little more. I'm very
- 10:52Speaker 2: much aware that when Facebook sells ads, because I've been
- 10:56Speaker 2: pitched these from Facebook. They could target an audience based
- 11:02Speaker 2: on not just their likes and dislikes, but their geography,
- 11:07Speaker 2: their search history, their credit score, their purchase history. Like,
- 11:11Speaker 2: they know more about you than you know about yourself.
- 11:15Speaker 2: It seems like we've created an opportunity for some potentially
- 11:21Speaker 2: abusive behavior. Where is the line crossed from Hey, we
- 11:27Speaker 2: know that you like dogs and so we're going to
- 11:30Speaker 2: market dog food to you to we know everything there
- 11:34Speaker 2: is about you, and we're going to exploit your behavior
- 11:37Speaker 2: biases and some of your emotional weaknesses.
- 11:42Speaker 3: Okay, So suppose there's a population of Facebook users who
- 11:46Speaker 3: are super well informed about food and really rational about food.
- 11:54Speaker 3: So they particularly happen to be fond of sushi, and
- 11:59Speaker 3: Facebook is going hard at them with respect to offers
- 12:03Speaker 3: for sushi and so forth. Now let's suppose there's another population,
- 12:09Speaker 3: which is they know what they like about food, but
- 12:12Speaker 3: they have kind of hopes and false beliefs both about
- 12:19Speaker 3: the effect of food on health. Then you can really
- 12:22Speaker 3: market to them things that will lead to poor choices.
- 12:25Speaker 3: And I've made a stark distinction between fully rational which
- 12:29Speaker 3: is kind of economic speak, and you know, imperfectly informed
- 12:34Speaker 3: and behaviorally biased people. Also economic speak, but it's really intuitive.
- 12:38Speaker 3: There's a radio show maybe This Will Bring It Home,
- 12:41Speaker 3: that I listen to when I drive into work, and
- 12:43Speaker 3: there's a lot of marketing about a product that is
- 12:48Speaker 3: supposed to relieve pain. And I don't want to criticize
- 12:52Speaker 3: any producer of any product, but I have reason to
- 12:55Speaker 3: believe that the relevant product doesn't help much. But the
- 13:00Speaker 3: the station that is marketing this product to people, this
- 13:04Speaker 3: pain relief product, must know that the audience is vulnerable
- 13:09Speaker 3: to it, and they must know exactly how to get
- 13:12Speaker 3: at them. And that's not in the interest of that's
- 13:15Speaker 3: not going to make America great again.
- 13:18Speaker 2: To say the very least. So we've been talking about algorithms,
- 13:23Speaker 2: but obviously the subtext is artificial intelligence, which seems to
- 13:29Speaker 2: be the natural extension and for the development of algos
- 13:34Speaker 2: tell us how as AI becomes more sophisticated and pervasive,
- 13:39Speaker 2: how is this going to impact our lives as employees,
- 13:43Speaker 2: as consumers, as citizens.
- 13:48Speaker 3: Chat GPT, chances are, knows a lot about everyone who
- 13:54Speaker 3: uses set. So I actually asked chat GPT recently, I
- 13:58Speaker 3: use it some not huge. I asked it to say
- 14:01Speaker 3: some things about myself, and it said a few things
- 14:05Speaker 3: that were kind of scarily precise about me based on
- 14:10Speaker 3: some number dozens, not one hundreds. I don't think of
- 14:13Speaker 3: engagements with chatch ept. So large language models that track
- 14:18Speaker 3: your prompts can know a lot about you, and if
- 14:22Speaker 3: they're able also to know your name, they can, you know, instantly,
- 14:26Speaker 3: basically learn a ton about you online, and we need
- 14:30Speaker 3: to have privacy protections that are working there. Still, it's
- 14:33Speaker 3: the case that AI broadly is able to use algorithms,
- 14:38Speaker 3: and generative AI can go well beyond the algorithms we've
- 14:42Speaker 3: gotten familiar with both to make the beauty of algorithmic engagement,
- 14:48Speaker 3: that is, here's what you like, here's what you want,
- 14:52Speaker 3: we're going to help you, and the ugliness of algorithms,
- 14:57Speaker 3: here's how we can exploit you to get you to buy.
- 15:00Speaker 3: And of course I'm thinking of investments too, so in
- 15:03Speaker 3: your neck of the woods, it would be a child's
- 15:05Speaker 3: play to get people super excited about investments, which AI
- 15:09Speaker 3: knows the people with whom it's engaging are particularly susceptible to,
- 15:14Speaker 3: even though they're really dumb, engagements.
- 15:17Speaker 2: Really really interesting. So since we're talking about investing, I
- 15:23Speaker 2: can't help but bring up both AI and algorithms trying
- 15:28Speaker 2: to increase so called market efficiency, and I always go
- 15:34Speaker 2: back to Uber's surge pricing. As soon as it starts
- 15:38Speaker 2: to rain, the prices go up in the city. It's
- 15:42Speaker 2: obviously not an emergency. It's just an annoyance. However, we
- 15:47Speaker 2: do see situations of price gouging after a storm, after
- 15:52Speaker 2: a hurricane, people only have so many batteries and so
- 15:54Speaker 2: much plywood, and they kind of crank up prices. How
- 15:58Speaker 2: do we determine what is the line between something like
- 16:02Speaker 2: surge pricing and something like, you know, abusive price gouging.
- 16:08Speaker 3: Okay, so you're in a terrific area of behavioral economics.
- 16:12Speaker 3: So we know that in circumstances in which let's say
- 16:16Speaker 3: demand goes up high because everyone needs a shovel and
- 16:22Speaker 3: as a snowstorm, people are really mad if the prices
- 16:26Speaker 3: go up, though it might be just a sensible market adjustment.
- 16:31Speaker 3: So as a first approximation, if there's a spectacular need
- 16:35Speaker 3: for something, let's say, shovels or umbrellas, the market inflation
- 16:41Speaker 3: of the cost, while it's morally abhorrent to many, and
- 16:44Speaker 3: maybe in principle morally abhorrent from the standpoint of standard economics,
- 16:49Speaker 3: it's okay. Now, if it's the case that people under
- 16:53Speaker 3: short term pressure from the fact that there's a lot
- 16:56Speaker 3: of rain are especially vulnerable and some kind of emotionally
- 17:02Speaker 3: intense state, so they'll pay kind of anything for an umbrella,
- 17:07Speaker 3: then there's a behavioral bias which is motivating people's willingness
- 17:11Speaker 3: to pay a lot more than the product is worth.
- 17:14Speaker 2: So let's talk a little bit about disclosures and the
- 17:18Speaker 2: sort of mandates that are required when we look across
- 17:21Speaker 2: the pond, when we look at Europe, they're much more
- 17:24Speaker 2: aggressive about protecting privacy and making sure big tech companies
- 17:29Speaker 2: are disclosing all the things they have to disclose. How
- 17:32Speaker 2: far behind is the US and that generally and are
- 17:36Speaker 2: we behind when it comes to disclosures about algorithms or
- 17:40Speaker 2: AI I.
- 17:42Speaker 3: Think we're behind them in the sense that we're less
- 17:45Speaker 3: privacy focused. But it's not clear that that's bad, And
- 17:50Speaker 3: even if it isn't good, it's not clear that it's terrible.
- 17:54Speaker 3: I think neither Europe nor the US has put their
- 17:58Speaker 3: regulatory finger on the actual problem. So let's take the
- 18:03Speaker 3: problem of algorithms not figuring out what people want, but
- 18:08Speaker 3: algorithms exploiting a lack of information or a behavioral bias
- 18:13Speaker 3: to get people to buy things at prices that aren't
- 18:16Speaker 3: good for them. That's a problem. It's in the same
- 18:20Speaker 3: universe as fraud and deception, and the question is what
- 18:23Speaker 3: are we going to do about it. A first line
- 18:25Speaker 3: of defense is to try to ensure consumer protection, not
- 18:29Speaker 3: through heavy handed regulation. I'm a long time University of
- 18:33Speaker 3: Chicago person. I have in my DNA not liking heavy
- 18:37Speaker 3: handed regulation, but through helping people to know what they're
- 18:42Speaker 3: buying and helping people not to suffer from a behavioral
- 18:47Speaker 3: bias such as, let's say, incomplete attention or unrealistic optimism
- 18:52Speaker 3: when they're buying things. So these are standard consumer protection
- 18:55Speaker 3: things which many of our agencies in the US, home
- 18:59Speaker 3: grown America. They've done that, and that's good and we
- 19:04Speaker 3: need more of that. So that's first line of defense.
- 19:07Speaker 3: Second line of defense isn't to say, you know, privacy, privacy, privacy,
- 19:12Speaker 3: though maybe that's a good song to sing. It's to
- 19:14Speaker 3: say right to algorithmic transparency. So this is something which
- 19:19Speaker 3: neither the US, nor Europe, nor Asia, nor South America
- 19:23Speaker 3: nor Africa has been very advanced on. So this is
- 19:27Speaker 3: a coming thing where we need to know what the
- 19:29Speaker 3: algorithms are doing. So it's public what's Amazon's algorithm doing?
- 19:35Speaker 3: That would be good to know, and it shouldn't be
- 19:38Speaker 3: the case that some efforts to ensure transparency invade Amazon's
- 19:43Speaker 3: legitimate rights.
- 19:45Speaker 2: Really, really fascinating, thanks Cas. Anybody who is participating in
- 19:51Speaker 2: the American economy and society, consumers, investors, even just regular
- 19:57Speaker 2: readers of news, needs to be away of how algorithms
- 20:01Speaker 2: are affecting what they see, the prices they pay, and
- 20:05Speaker 2: the sort of information they're getting. So with a little
- 20:09Speaker 2: bit of forethought and the book Algorithmic Harm, you can
- 20:13Speaker 2: protect yourself from the worst aspects of algorithms. And AI,
- 20:19Speaker 2: I'm Barry Redults you're listening to Bloomberg's at the Money