Latest / iwon™ podcast with Michael J Thomas / Amazon, Meta and Uber + Founders Building with AI | iwon podcast Summer Sessions with Michael J Thomas | Episode 11
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to the i1 Summer Sessions.
- 0:02It's me, Mikey.
- 0:04Hopefully this is a bit like Bob Ross narrating you through tech and what's going on.
- 0:10This session is designed to cover the summer period.
- 0:14We're all out and about and during our holidays and whatever.
- 0:17I thought it would be quite useful to sit down and review what's really going on because everybody's talking about it.
- 0:25Normal episodes will resume because after all, it wasn't overnight.
- 0:30And I try and bring on the best guests to tell you stories from people who've been there and done it.
- 0:35Please do subscribe if you haven't already.
- 0:37And please put your feet out and relax.
- 0:40I will walk you through what's going on with AI with the big companies.
- 0:45Like I said.
- 0:46Hopefully you say it sounds like Bob Ross narrating.
- 0:50Text her if you did.
- 0:52Hope you find this soothing nice and I hope you have a wonderful summer holiday.
- 0:55I'll be back in two weeks with another episode of this.
- 0:58Normal Episodes will resume just after summer.
- 1:01Have a fabulous holiday if you're taking one.
- 1:03I thought it would be really cool to look at what Amazon, Uber Meta and Humeta Health could teach founders about AI.
- 1:13A founder recently sat down with me one to one and he showed me his new products.
- 1:18He had built it using AI in just nine days.
- 1:24It works, it looks good and he was really proud of it.
- 1:28Then I asked him one question.
- 1:30What happens when a paying customer has a problem that you didn't think about?
- 1:36What happens when it happens on a weekend, you know, out of hours?
- 1:42He didn't have much to say.
- 1:45He wasn't entirely sure.
- 1:47I mean really, it was just a prototype.
- 1:50AI has completely changed what founders can build really quickly.
- 1:54In the past you might have needed a technical co founder, a team of developers and months of work.
- 2:00But now you can build a first version in just days.
- 2:04That's amazing.
- 2:05But there is a bit of a problem.
- 2:08Getting something to work for a demonstration is not the same as building something robust.
- 2:15The good news is that showcasing a concept is much simpler than ever before.
- 2:23Almost anyone can do it honestly.
- 2:25Hit up level whatever your tool of choice is.
- 2:29Base 44, whatever.
- 2:30None of them are sponsoring me.
- 2:32I'm just throwing some names out there.
- 2:34The bad news is that it's still difficult to build something that really is secure, compliant, reliable.
- 2:43Most importantly, if you're building a software business, especially an enterprise, being able to provide proper support, possibly more difficult than it's ever been.
- 2:54Because having read what I've read, there are also tons more vulnerabilities this is where small businesses especially and bootstrapping founders can get into serious trouble.
- 3:09A demonstration could be amazing.
- 3:11It can impress investors and attract even your early enterprise customers.
- 3:17And it could look completely finished.
- 3:21But customers don't buy demonstrations, they buy everything that happens after it.
- 3:26That's what they bought.
- 3:29That means things like the one off use case, the security, the reliability, the SoC2, all, all that stuff and most importantly, the support needed when things don't work as they should.
- 3:42That means, you know, the Sunday morning phone call, the middle of the night call when something important to their business is broken that you provide.
- 3:51That's really when you find out whether you built a product or merely built something that works.
- 3:59Even Amazon has struggled with this.
- 4:02Amazon has some of the best engineers and systems there are.
- 4:07Recently, Amazon Web Services CEO, his name is Matt Garman, explored different ways of using AI effectively.
- 4:15And he talked about the first being vibe coding.
- 4:18And there's a danger that somebody accepts the output as is.
- 4:23The second one is augmented coding.
- 4:26AI accelerates the work, but there are experienced people in the background who remain responsible for its quality.
- 4:33And that distinction sounds simple, but maintaining standards that you need and consistency then that you need across teams of thousands is not easy.
- 4:47The FT and the Guardian reported that Amazon's coding agent, which I believe is called Kiro K I R O if you want to look this up, was involved in a interruption out after part of a production environment where
- 5:02they were developing was deleted and then recreated.
- 5:07This caused 13 hours of disruption.
- 5:10Like Amazon, think about the cost to them.
- 5:14Amazon did come out and said that AI hadn't caused the interruption.
- 5:21It said the problem was caused by misconfigured access controls and disputed the claim that it had affected Amazon Web Services.
- 5:29But Amazon also said it had introduced additional safeguards after the event, including mandatory peer review.
- 5:39Peer review Humans.
- 5:42That's the important part.
- 5:44Whatever label you place on it, Amazon still learned from it and strengthened the controls around access to its production environments.
- 5:52Amazon has the engineering talent, the review processes and enormous resources.
- 5:59So if you're a small 5 or 10 person startup where everybody is racing to ship new features and to build new things, and I'm not saying this is an argument against using AI as an assist, quite the opposite.
- 6:13It's an argument for reviewing what the word assisted actually means inside your company.
- 6:19AI could write the first pass of the code, but humans still need to understand it, test it, challenge it and ultimately take full responsibility for it.
- 6:29That's a lot to ask somebody.
- 6:31And that brings me to the second point.
- 6:33More does not automatically mean more.
- 6:36What do I mean by that?
- 6:37Uber offers an interesting lesson on this.
- 6:40Essentially, the TLDR version of this would be More code does not automatically mean more value Uber, its development teams adopted cloud code.
- 6:53Early usage spiraled, but so did the amount they spent.
- 6:58They reportedly used their full year budget for AI in the first four months.
- 7:04It's the OO enter.
- 7:05McDonald's then questioned whether the increase could be connected directly to more useful features for customers.
- 7:14He wasn't sure.
- 7:16And that's the bit that founders should pay attention to.
- 7:18More work may have been completed technically because more code was being produced, but the commercial value wasn't clear.
- 7:28It reminds me of something that I see in marketing all the time.
- 7:32Doing more content does not always create more demand.
- 7:36More website traffic does not always mean more customers.
- 7:40More meetings do not always lead to better choices, better decisions.
- 7:46And more code does not always create a better product either.
- 7:50Activity, that is what you put in is easy to measure, but the value of that effort is much harder to measure.
- 7:58That doesn't make value less important, it makes the measurement more important.
- 8:05The biggest AI companies are still working it out.
- 8:08Meta is another example.
- 8:10They were projected to spend as much as 145 billion on AI infrastructure in this entire year.
- 8:17It's one of the largest corporate bets, let alone on AI on anything ever.
- 8:24At the same time, they're now exploring ways to commercialize some of that.
- 8:30So the data centers.
- 8:32Recently Reuters reported that Meta was considering turning it in part of it, certainly into a cloud business that could sell access to spare computing power.
- 8:43And they also reported that Meta and Anthropic were having those very discussions about Meta sharing up to $10 billion worth of compute over the next two years.
- 8:56Now, those discussions may not result in anything, to be clear, but that doesn't mean Meta has lost faith in AI either.
- 9:05It just means Meta starting to think about the infrastructure.
- 9:09How will it be used?
- 9:11Who else might pay for it?
- 9:14How can that become an additional source of revenue for us?
- 9:17Even at Meta scale, building capacity is only one part of it.
- 9:23There still needs to be a business.
- 9:26And so for founders, you should ask yourself the same questions before investing too much time and money into every new AI inverted commerce opportunity.
- 9:37Sure, you could build it, but who needs it?
- 9:40What would they pay for it?
- 9:41Why will they continue using it, and what responsibility?
- 9:47Talked about it earlier.
- 9:48Support, et cetera.
- 9:50Will you be accepting by doing it?
- 9:53I get it that those questions are less exciting than generating a working prototype for a new idea in a weekend, but they're also the questions that determine whether you have a business around AI or AI flavored or AI
- 10:12assisted that actually lasts.
- 10:15And Humana Health had a very similar reckoning recently.
- 10:23Their founder is called Dr.
- 10:25Jeremy Freese.
- 10:26Humada Health.
- 10:28The company operates in healthcare, as the name suggests.
- 10:32And they've gotta be really careful, right?
- 10:34They're dealing with people's personal, medical, private information, right, as well as clinical processes, security, and obviously the serious consequences if those things fell into the wrong hands.
- 10:49Writing in Forbes, Freese argued that building an MVP may now appear easier than it's ever been.
- 10:58But producing and deploying something reliably at scale is not easier.
- 11:06And actually it's also really difficult to audit something that you've not got your hands on.
- 11:14The difficult work sits in what you'd call the final mile.
- 11:19The final mile includes everything that your demonstration for your new software does not show.
- 11:24Security that can survive a real attack.
- 11:26Compliant software that holds up during an audit, integrations that keep working as other systems change because we don't operate on an island anymore.
- 11:39And that last 20%, that final mile may take far longer than the first 80%.
- 11:45Producing something sexy, making people want, may look impressive on LinkedIn to say that we've got this new feature or whatever, but what if it doesn't work the way you expect it to?
- 11:57And that's where the actual product lives.
- 12:01And that's why build versus buy is is totally changing.
- 12:07Companies used to ask, especially in enterprise, can we build this ourselves?
- 12:13AI has made it easier for them to say yes.
- 12:16But as with everything, that's not the full story.
- 12:21The better question is, does our future competitive advantage live inside this?
- 12:28Because on one hand, being able to build something doesn't mean you should own it forever.
- 12:35Every piece of software creates an ongoing responsibility.
- 12:39What I mean by that is all the tedious stuff, right?
- 12:41The maintenance, the updates, the security reviews, the documentation, the support, the infrastructure, the compliance, the internal technical knowledge.
- 12:51Somebody still needs to assure customers that the right quality and security is in place.
- 12:58AI may have made the first version of something a piece of cake, but it has made it even more important to keep on top of everything that comes after that.
- 13:09And Gartner did some research and they predicted that more than 40% of agentic AI projects will be canned by the end of 2027 because it costs more to make, they're not sure about the value, and there are very
- 13:28few risk controls in place.
- 13:29There is an optimistic side to this.
- 13:31AI has raised the floor, I.
- 13:33E.
- 13:33It's made it easier to make Prototypes.
- 13:36But it also makes the ceiling, I.
- 13:39E.
- 13:39Doing things the right way much, much more valuable when every demo looks polished.
- 13:46Depth, knowledge, security, compliance, all those things become a real differentiator.
- 13:53So when everybody claims to use AI, better trust becomes the key differentiator.
- 13:58What companies claim versus what they deliver is absolutely everything.
- 14:04So obsess like crazy founders over security, support, compliance and reliability that that can become your moat.
- 14:14That is also the work that nobody gets excited about.
- 14:18The work buyers rarely ask a million things about until they realize it's not there.
- 14:25It's the work that allows both you and your customers to sleep at night.
- 14:31Every high profile failure teaches buyers too.
- 14:37It teaches them to ask better questions about what's behind it all, such as who's responsible when things go wrong?
- 14:45Who's going to support me?
- 14:47How is this tested?
- 14:49What information can IT access?
- 14:53Can we audit the decision making part?
- 14:58Is everything safe?
- 15:00And of course the question that pains every startup versus every huge company, will this company still be there when we need help?
- 15:11So those questions very much favor founders who have built something real and deep and proper.
- 15:19So three questions is one.
- 15:22What would happen if a customer stress tested your product tomorrow?
- 15:27Which things are you not entirely sure about?
- 15:30How are you keeping on top of everything?
- 15:32That means the small details, when you can knock out code in 30 seconds, how are you keeping on top of that and making sure that the back end, the security, the compliance, the support, everything's in place?
- 15:45Is the depth, I.
- 15:48E.
- 15:49How much effort you've gone to to build everything properly clear and the value of your product clear to buyers?
- 15:57In a world where another competitor could create something around the corner, are you demonstrating enough real value to make customers want to stay with you?
- 16:08Building is becoming so much easier, but responsibility hasn't changed.
- 16:14I use AI.
- 16:15I think it's one of the most important technological shifts ever.
- 16:21But believing in AI does not mean switching off our own judgment.
- 16:25Because building with AI, whilst easy, can leave us vulnerable.
- 16:31Building a business people can depend on is still difficult and that's exactly where the opportunities lie.
- 16:37I'd love to hear your thoughts.
- 16:39What are you seeing?
- 16:40What do you think?
- 16:41Let me know in the comments or pop me an email.
- 16:46I'm Michael and this podcast is for founders like you.
- 16:50Please do like comment, subscribe and give us ratings.
- 16:53All of that stuff helps.
- 16:56Have a great day and thank you for listening.