Latest / In the Loop AI / THIS WEEK IN AI: Nvidia Acquires HuggingFace, Leopold vs SEC, New Waymo Chip
Transcript
- 0:00Ejaaz: The very same company that just got hacked by a rogue open AI model just got
- 0:04Ejaaz: acquired for $13 billion by none other than NVIDIA.
- 0:09Ejaaz: Jensen Huang believes so strongly in owning open source models in America and
- 0:14Ejaaz: he's made his biggest purchase yet.
- 0:16Ejaaz: But that's not without cause. NVIDIA just reported their earnings and they had a record quarter.
- 0:21Ejaaz: They earned almost $100 billion in just three months and the company is growing
- 0:25Ejaaz: 100% year over year. This is unprecedented for the most valuable company in
- 0:29Ejaaz: the world worth over $5 trillion. And every single bank has raised their price
- 0:34Ejaaz: targets for the NVIDIA stock.
- 0:35Ejaaz: But that's not all in this week's roundup. We had a new secret model that revealed
- 0:39Ejaaz: to be GPU's new GLM 5.3 flash, which competes at the level of Fable and OpenAI
- 0:44Ejaaz: GPT 5.6, but at a fraction of the cost.
- 0:47Ejaaz: We've got Leopold updates, unfortunately, of the bad kind, where he's being
- 0:52Ejaaz: probed by the SEC, where they've subpoenaed a bunch of banks for accusations of insider trading.
- 0:58Ejaaz: And we finally have an update on robots from the worlds of Waymo,
- 1:02Ejaaz: autonomous driving, and Tesla. All that and more on this week's Roundup.
- 1:06Josh: To start with the NVIDIA quarterly revenue, I want to give you a sense of how
- 1:10Josh: outrageous this company is.
- 1:11Josh: NVIDIA's quarterly revenue now exceeds the annual revenue of roughly 480 of the S&P 500.
- 1:20Josh: That is a crazy statistic, how big it is. NVIDIA is printing about just over
- 1:25Josh: a billion dollars in cash every single day that it operates.
- 1:28Josh: So the day you're listening to this, NVIDIA is printing a billion dollars of
- 1:32Josh: revenue. And that number is going to go up. They're projecting huge amounts
- 1:35Josh: of growth over the next quarter.
- 1:37Josh: And they're guiding now for 70% year-over-year growth in 2028 relative to the
- 1:43Josh: expectations, which were 44%.
- 1:45Josh: So this earnings report was about as good as you can guess.
- 1:49Josh: And wall street's kind of rewarding them now i mean the stock is up it was down
- 1:52Josh: after trading but it is now up seven percent
- 1:55Josh: early market we're looking on screen now at all of the banks that have changed
- 1:58Josh: their price target after reading this earnings report pretty much every single
- 2:01Josh: one of them has raised it significantly higher with the highest being four hundred and twenty dollars
- 2:06Josh: per share and for like to grow that much as a five trillion dollar company is
- 2:11Josh: a meaningful amount of revenue and i think this is very high signal that
- 2:15Josh: The market's still in a really strong spot. NVIDIA is basically saying like,
- 2:19Josh: hey, guys, we know we have a lot of competition. We know everyone's trying to
- 2:21Josh: build their own thing. In fact, Jensen was on CNBC yesterday and he was asked
- 2:25Josh: about OpenAI's Jalapeno chip.
- 2:26Josh: I don't know if you saw the CJ's. It was very cool because Jalapeno is a really
- 2:30Josh: great model and they are a really great chip. And they came out and said,
- 2:32Josh: hey, this is actually more efficient than the NVIDIA chips.
- 2:35Josh: And Jensen was like, dude, we're the kings here. We've been doing this for 33
- 2:38Josh: years. You've been doing this for three months.
- 2:41Josh: Will talk to you when you've actually produced a chip, when you've put it into
- 2:44Josh: data centers and when you've scaled this thing.
- 2:46Josh: He does not seem concerned. The market really liked that. And now it seems like,
- 2:50Josh: I mean, NVIDIA is really off to the races and there's no end in sight.
- 2:53Josh: Everyone wants the chips.
- 2:55Josh: They are sold out for as much as they can make them. They're basically operating
- 2:58Josh: fully at capacity and they have a very clear path to dominating more and more of the industry.
- 3:02Josh: They're growing bigger by the day. They now are working with five of the largest
- 3:05Josh: banks in the world to help fund the build out of more data centers using NVIDIA GPUs.
- 3:10Josh: And it's this like unbelievable business. The entire world of AI is centered
- 3:13Josh: around this one company.
- 3:14Josh: And the earnings report is saying it's going to be like this for a while.
- 3:17Josh: So buckle up because we are up only for the foreseeable future.
- 3:21Ejaaz: I just want to show everyone a chart which basically shows NVIDIA's revenue
- 3:26Ejaaz: breakdown. This is unbelievable.
- 3:28Ejaaz: Over the last, you know, a year or so. And it's just absolutely exponential and crazy.
- 3:32Ejaaz: Now, I want to give a bit of background as to why this is happening with NVIDIA,
- 3:37Ejaaz: especially recently. Why do they continue to earn more money even though everyone's
- 3:40Ejaaz: accusing them of, you know, building up this massive bubble?
- 3:42Ejaaz: Well, there's a few things that are happening.
- 3:44Ejaaz: The most obvious one being is they've just raised the prices of all their GPUs by 15%.
- 3:49Ejaaz: Now, granted, a lot of that is because the cost of memory has absolutely soared.
- 3:53Ejaaz: So, you know, those memory stocks have also been very volatile recently.
- 3:56Ejaaz: NVIDIA has to pay the most for memory to build their own GPU.
- 3:59Ejaaz: So that's a main reason why they're projecting more revenue in the future.
- 4:02Ejaaz: That may not necessarily correlate with the profit side of things.
- 4:06Ejaaz: The second thing is, you know, your point around jalapeno, which is OpenAI's
- 4:09Ejaaz: new custom AI chip, which they're building themselves. Typically,
- 4:13Ejaaz: they buy from NVIDIA, but now they're building their own selves.
- 4:16Ejaaz: Some people see this as a potential threat, you know, like Google's TPUs are
- 4:20Ejaaz: to NVIDIA's kind of moat.
- 4:21Ejaaz: And Genset's response is simply, we own the moat for generalized GPUs,
- 4:27Ejaaz: for generalized AI chips.
- 4:29Ejaaz: That means any AI lab, whether you are a Neolab, so a smaller AI lab,
- 4:33Ejaaz: or a large hyperscaler or whether you are anthropic or open AI can use NVIDIA
- 4:38Ejaaz: GPUs for whatever type of model. And by the way, it's not just LL apps.
- 4:42Ejaaz: It's financial models. It's fine-tuned models. It's models that can help make
- 4:45Ejaaz: scientific breakthroughs.
- 4:46Ejaaz: Jensen owns that entire mode. When you compare it to what OpenAI has built,
- 4:50Ejaaz: Jalapeno, that's known as an ASIC. It's a very specialized thing.
- 4:53Ejaaz: They have to prove that out at scale. We haven't even seen these things in operations.
- 4:56Ejaaz: We're going to see it by the end of the year. So NVIDIA's response to this is
- 5:00Ejaaz: we still very much control 70% to 85% of the entire market, and we aren't going anywhere.
- 5:06Ejaaz: Now, the second bit of news on NVIDIA that I'm most excited about is this acquisition,
- 5:11Ejaaz: Josh, the $13 billion acquisition of this open source platform called HuggingFace.
- 5:16Ejaaz: Now, for those of you who don't know, So HuggingFace is basically this platform
- 5:20Ejaaz: which hosts open source AI models.
- 5:23Ejaaz: So typically when you are an AI lab, and you can be an AI lab,
- 5:28Ejaaz: if you launch an open model, you can deposit it or upload it onto the HuggingFace platform.
- 5:33Ejaaz: It's where everyone goes to check out the latest open source model.
- 5:36Ejaaz: And you can do a few things when you're on this platform. You can upload your
- 5:39Ejaaz: own data sets to fine tune different open models to kind of create your own version.
- 5:43Ejaaz: A very good example I like to use is Fujipu.
- 5:46Ejaaz: You know all their GLM models? They have about, I think it's like 10 official
- 5:50Ejaaz: models, but they're collectively around 155,000 GLM models that exist on Hugging Face.
- 5:57Ejaaz: And some are financially tuned for financial trading. Some are financially tuned
- 6:01Ejaaz: for research and all these other different niche use cases.
- 6:03Ejaaz: And you can go up, sign up on an account and get access to it.
- 6:06Ejaaz: Now, I ask myself, why on earth is Jensen paying 50X the amount of money that
- 6:13Ejaaz: Hugging Face earns to acquire this open source model? Like, doesn't he just
- 6:17Ejaaz: care about Anthropik and OpenAI? Well, the answer is simple.
- 6:19Ejaaz: Jensen cares deeply about open source because he believes in a world where it's
- 6:24Ejaaz: not just going to be Claude or GPT running the world.
- 6:26Ejaaz: It'll be hundreds and hundreds of very niche and also very broad models that
- 6:31Ejaaz: run the world. And people can collaboratively use different models at different
- 6:34Ejaaz: times. Agents run the entire world.
- 6:36Ejaaz: Why this is a bull case for NVIDIA and Jensen in particular is.
- 6:40Ejaaz: Guess what? They all need to run on his GPUs. So he's been investing heavily.
- 6:44Ejaaz: He invested in Poolside, I believe, last week for $9 billion to acquire 100
- 6:49Ejaaz: of their employees so that he can build new open models.
- 6:52Ejaaz: He's investing tens of billions of dollars in Nemotron, which is NVIDIA's own
- 6:55Ejaaz: open source model, over the next couple of years.
- 6:58Ejaaz: And now he's made the third and biggest purchase of his entire kind of like
- 7:01Ejaaz: focus for open source. So this is a very specific strategy that I think the
- 7:05Ejaaz: banks are rewarding. And that's why they're raising their price targets as well.
- 7:08Josh: It's amazing to see all these acquisitions happening we have open router now
- 7:11Josh: we have hugging face going hugging face is essentially the github for open source
- 7:15Josh: ai it's where everyone goes to build these things it seems like there's
- 7:18Josh: three reasons they would do this and there's three reasons why nvidia has kind
- 7:22Josh: of been very adamant about moving to open source the first being what we just discussed
- 7:27Josh: open ai is building their own custom chips google is building their own custom
- 7:30Josh: chips amazon's building their own custom chips everyone is trying to build
- 7:34Josh: alternatives to the nvidia gpus it's very difficult to do but they're working
- 7:37Josh: on it so open source is a hedge in a way against its own best customers where
- 7:41Josh: it allows them to find more use cases more
- 7:45Josh: need and demand for tokens that can be generated in the case that they lose
- 7:49Josh: some of that market share to these other large companies the second is like
- 7:52Josh: open weights seems to very much be where the volume is going we're starting to see the trend
- 7:57Josh: Somewhat ossify in the sense that open weights models and open source models
- 8:01Josh: are producing a lot more tokens because they are cheaper to use they're mostly
- 8:05Josh: effective enough to get the job done for most people and
- 8:09Josh: a lot less tokens are going towards frontier intelligence to some extent that
- 8:13Josh: frontier intelligence is much higher profit margins it's going to be worth a
- 8:16Josh: tremendous amount of money for the people that use it
- 8:18Josh: but the amount of use cases that require frontier intelligence are going down
- 8:22Josh: because the quality of the open source models are going up so quickly so therefore
- 8:26Josh: um why would you not lean into that and if you are a gpu provider who gets paid
- 8:31Josh: per token generated and your performance for what to generate tokens and
- 8:35Josh: how many tokens you can generate on a like a per second basis open weights is
- 8:39Josh: definitely where you want to be you want to be able to cater towards the open
- 8:42Josh: source community that's going to be generating a tremendous amount of this inference
- 8:45Josh: and then the final part is just like the moat is continuing to move up the stack so like
- 8:49Josh: we have the gpus then nvidia is going to
- 8:52Josh: kind of optimize these models built for cuda which works by default with their GPUs, and...
- 8:57Josh: There will be a one-click deployment onto the nvidia cloud and there's just
- 9:01Josh: this huge vertical integration that they get by being supportive of open source
- 9:04Josh: and building tools for the open source community to very easily deploy on their gpus
- 9:08Josh: and that seems like the strategy and that is a strategy that is going to perform
- 9:11Josh: very well because as we know the cloud based businesses in these companies have
- 9:16Josh: insane profit margins they print cash and nvidia is like right in the middle
- 9:21Josh: of that so really exciting news from nvidia this week can
- 9:23Ejaaz: I can i put my tinfoilhound for.
- 9:25Josh: A second. Yeah, well, you guys, please.
- 9:26Ejaaz: You reminded me of something just now. So NVIDIA actually doesn't have a really
- 9:30Ejaaz: good cloud business at all, which seems remarkable for the guys that actually
- 9:34Ejaaz: create the GPUs that they then sell to Amazon and Google. They're on it.
- 9:37Ejaaz: Don't count them out. They make a bank of money.
- 9:38Ejaaz: Well, do you know about the margins for these cloud providers?
- 9:42Ejaaz: So like, okay, typically when AWS has their cloud system, like forget about AI, right?
- 9:47Ejaaz: And Google has, what is it? Google Cloud GCP.
- 9:50Ejaaz: They typically make around 80% margins. But with AI cloud, they make only 40
- 9:55Ejaaz: to 50% because guess who's taking the bulk of the profit? It's Jensen, right?
- 10:00Ejaaz: And so they kind of want to be independent. They want to build their own chips.
- 10:02Ejaaz: But Jensen hasn't been focused on building his own cloud provider.
- 10:06Ejaaz: They had a service called DGX and it kind of didn't make much money at all.
- 10:11Ejaaz: My conspiracy theory is this. He's purchasing Hugging Face,
- 10:16Ejaaz: which one of their mainly used products is this thing called the inference service,
- 10:21Ejaaz: where basically not only can you go on and download these open models,
- 10:24Ejaaz: then there are hundreds of thousands, there's actually three million of them,
- 10:27Ejaaz: but you can inference them there on the platform
- 10:31Ejaaz: by just kind of clicking a button and that gets routed to different like neoclouds.
- 10:36Ejaaz: So my whole thing is Jensen is not only providing the chips,
- 10:40Ejaaz: but he's buying a company where he can effectively churn into his own cloud
- 10:44Ejaaz: business that can compete with AWS and GCP.
- 10:47Ejaaz: It's a really genius thing because he just focuses on open source models,
- 10:50Ejaaz: but he can build that out into private models in the future if he so chooses to do it.
- 10:54Ejaaz: The second thing is, remember last week when we spoke about NVIDIA raising $500
- 10:58Ejaaz: billion to basically back a lot of the purchases that end up going back to himself?
- 11:04Ejaaz: Well, a question that we had on that show was, what happens if he can't sell the chips?
- 11:09Ejaaz: Well, guess what? If he's purchased Hugging Face, he could just sell the chips
- 11:13Ejaaz: to Hugging Face to serve that same cloud business. So there's like this kind
- 11:17Ejaaz: of circular virtuous loop, but it makes sense from a business sense.
- 11:21Ejaaz: And I think that that's how he might be trying to play it. It is a very smart
- 11:24Ejaaz: business model. I like seeing NVIDIA expand beyond just making bleeding edge
- 11:29Ejaaz: GPUs. He's like a very smart businessman, obviously.
- 11:31Josh: And Jensen, we trust, man. The dude, he's got to figure it out.
- 11:34Josh: He's been projecting these crazy revenue numbers for years now.
- 11:37Josh: And he just like happens to be right every time so at some point you got to
- 11:40Josh: trust the guy that's been doing this for 33 years and say like all right maybe
- 11:43Josh: he knows he's talking about here we have some other stuff yeah this is very important
- 11:47Josh: We were right first of all we recorded an episode got published yesterday if
- 11:50Josh: you're listening to this we promise you a follow-up here's the follow-up there's
- 11:53Josh: a mystery model that gave 100 trillion tokens of availability out to the public
- 11:58Josh: totally for free they said here come and use it do whatever you want with it
- 12:01Josh: it's all on us for a full week
- 12:03Josh: We're not going to tell you who it is, though. We discovered yesterday who it
- 12:05Josh: was, and it is Z.ai. It's the people that brought you GLM.
- 12:09Josh: And it's their new model, 5.3 Flash. This looks like a normal model.
- 12:13Josh: This is all fine. Until I was reading through this, I realized that all of those
- 12:17Josh: tens to hundreds of trillions of tokens that were generated were not only generated
- 12:21Josh: for free, but they were generated entirely on a chip cluster that runs on Chinese silicon,
- 12:28Josh: which is a first of its kind.
- 12:30Josh: I don't think we've ever had an instance in which Chinese silicon has produced
- 12:34Josh: this amount of tokens and this amount of intelligence. Exactly.
- 12:38Josh: As the benchmarks come out, we've started to discover that it's about opus tier
- 12:41Josh: agentic level, which is very good. This isn't Frontier, but it's 15 cents per million tokens.
- 12:48Josh: And it understands video, audio, and text. So this is a really impressive model out of China.
- 12:54Josh: And on the back of our Robot Olympics episode, EJs, that we just recorded talking
- 12:58Josh: about how dominant the robots are, now I'm seeing that they are actually getting
- 13:02Josh: silicon to work at scale with pretty quick inference and a lot of it.
- 13:05Josh: Like, I'm like, oh, wow. OK, China's like they're making moves this week.
- 13:09Ejaaz: Yeah, it's concerning a little bit. And I'll tell you why.
- 13:12Ejaaz: Recently, America, at least for the last like four months, has imposed export
- 13:16Ejaaz: bans on China, meaning that they
- 13:18Ejaaz: don't allow NVIDIA to sell chips to China, which, by the way,
- 13:22Ejaaz: just to kind of reference the quarterly earnings from NVIDIA,
- 13:24Ejaaz: all that money was made by not even selling a single chip to China.
- 13:27Ejaaz: Very impressive because China was like, you know, a major profit revenue holder.
- 13:31Ejaaz: But anyway, for the Chinese Silicon, right?
- 13:34Ejaaz: They're like looking at this, they're looking at this export band.
- 13:36Ejaaz: They're like, damn, we can't train Frontier models without NVIDIA chips.
- 13:40Ejaaz: I guess we need to build our own. And whilst they haven't built a good enough
- 13:45Ejaaz: chip that can be used to train their own AI models, they still use various different
- 13:49Ejaaz: techniques to kind of circumvent that, such as distillation.
- 13:52Ejaaz: They can build an amazing chip to inference the model, which by the way,
- 13:57Ejaaz: is where all the money is going to be made in AI by a vast order of magnitude versus pre-training.
- 14:04Ejaaz: When you look at the Chinese chip companies about six months ago,
- 14:07Ejaaz: they were two and a half years behind.
- 14:09Ejaaz: So can someone please explain to me how six months later, they're now here running
- 14:15Ejaaz: the top stack of one of the top open source models, which happens to compete
- 14:19Ejaaz: very well with US frontier models purely on Chinese silicon.
- 14:22Ejaaz: Now, if you're wondering, who's the company that built these AI chips?
- 14:25Ejaaz: Look no further than Huawei. They released a bunch of different things.
- 14:29Ejaaz: I think it's called, actually i'm not going to try and make this up because i can't,
- 14:33Ejaaz: uh remember the name of the exact chip but the cluster became live or got announced about a month ago
- 14:39Ejaaz: and now it's at full scale production now partly they're being forced to use
- 14:44Ejaaz: these chips because the chinese state government has mandated them to just not
- 14:47Ejaaz: rely on invidia chips for anything and they replied and said we can't do it
- 14:50Ejaaz: for training but we can do it for inference so let us do it
- 14:53Ejaaz: and this is the first real example and i don't know if you
- 14:56Ejaaz: used uh the model when it was in the aux alpha
- 14:59Ejaaz: stage um but okay so you you saw like it was pretty good right
- 15:02Ejaaz: but you would get a response really quickly it was super cheap didn't cost you
- 15:05Ejaaz: anything and so it functions very similarly to an nvidia inference stack and
- 15:09Ejaaz: yeah it is scary man like what happens when they
- 15:12Ejaaz: own the chip infrastructure layer and the robotics hardware manufacturing layer
- 15:16Ejaaz: like what else is left it's just they're.
- 15:18Josh: Making a lot of progress in a way that's like definitely a little unnerving
- 15:21Josh: i'm like okay this is this is new
- 15:23Josh: and i mean this is kind of the expectation right is you like i know huawei is
- 15:26Josh: banned in the united states a lot of the devices you can't really get them they're
- 15:29Josh: not sold anywhere the inverse is happening and what does a country do that doesn't
- 15:33Josh: have access to chips well they have to go and build their own
- 15:35Josh: and now they're going to continue to build their own and scale them and
- 15:38Josh: It's going to be really interesting to see how this plays out.
- 15:41Josh: They are not the only ones building chips, though, because we have a new company
- 15:44Josh: that's building chips. And this one I'm far more excited about.
- 15:46Ejaaz: Something good about Google. Look at this beauty. Is that what you're telling me? Is this Waymo?
- 15:50Josh: Yes. Waymo is looking good, man. So Waymo has this new vehicle, first of all. Oh, hi.
- 15:54Josh: And then even more importantly, they have a new chip architecture that they're
- 15:57Josh: introducing into this new vehicle design.
- 16:00Josh: And it seems like it's a fairly large improvement. I know you were going through
- 16:03Josh: the blog post, so maybe you could walk us through. But my understanding is that
- 16:06Josh: Waymo is about to get a serious upgrade.
- 16:08Josh: And not in the sense that it's going to cost less because these cars i think
- 16:11Josh: the number was like 260 000 per jaguar waymo like it's still very expensive
- 16:15Josh: but the chip that handles it
- 16:17Josh: is now 20 times more powerful than it was over the last eight years and that
- 16:21Josh: seems to make a meaningful difference in terms of the quality of your ride that
- 16:24Josh: you can actually go out and get today
- 16:25Josh: if you live in one of the areas you can go and ride away more fully autonomously
- 16:28Josh: i've done it you just i think you've done it um incredible company that has
- 16:31Josh: a really meaningful upgrade to the hardware today
- 16:34Ejaaz: So a few things with this new chip that they just created.
- 16:39Ejaaz: In prior Waymo generations, so in prior vehicles, because they have like so
- 16:43Ejaaz: many sensors, how many are there? Like 15 to 20 sensors? It's like cameras, proximity sensors.
- 16:49Josh: A lot of bulky ones, man. It looks crazy.
- 16:51Ejaaz: Sorry, I have to say it. I respect Google a lot. One of the ugliest autonomous
- 16:55Ejaaz: cars out there. The new ones are cool.
- 16:56Ejaaz: The new ones are cool, but mainly they've been horrific. The point is
- 17:00Ejaaz: the car has to ingest a lot of data translate that data into some kind of an
- 17:06Ejaaz: action, which is steer right, steer left, break, you know, get this person safely
- 17:11Ejaaz: from A to B as quickly as you can.
- 17:13Ejaaz: Now, in order to process all that information, you need a really powerful AI chip.
- 17:18Ejaaz: Waymo didn't have that. So they kind of used a hybrid of like a chip and a cloud
- 17:24Ejaaz: service. Now, that's kind of dangerous because what if the cloud service kind of breaks connection?
- 17:29Ejaaz: You end up being in a whole pot of mess.
- 17:32Ejaaz: Now with this new chip it brings all the compute on board the actual device
- 17:38Ejaaz: the device in this case being a car which i think is really cool so the entire
- 17:41Ejaaz: system josh is being run locally on device
- 17:45Ejaaz: in the single car so when in the trunk.
- 17:47Josh: Of the car i love that visual that they show exactly yeah
- 17:49Ejaaz: Wait let me let me get the the visual up yeah that's.
- 17:52Josh: Why they are showing the trunk if it wasn't clear for the last one it's like
- 17:54Josh: yeah all of that compute lives sitting underneath the trunk there.
- 17:58Josh: It's so, so cool. Pretty cool. Yeah. Yeah.
- 18:00Ejaaz: And it's a single chip or a cluster of these different chips.
- 18:03Ejaaz: And so it takes the input data from the sensors.
- 18:06Ejaaz: It processes everything through this one chip, which by the way,
- 18:10Ejaaz: is 20X more powerful and is 5X cheaper.
- 18:14Ejaaz: They lessen the cost. So do you remember in our last Waymo episode,
- 18:17Ejaaz: Josh, we were like, why do each of these cars cost like 100K?
- 18:21Ejaaz: It's because like more 260 or 280. Oh my God.
- 18:25Ejaaz: 260K. Yes. Now it costs cost $25,000 a car to pop out because they were able
- 18:31Ejaaz: to create the silicon chip and reduce the cost down and run everything lower.
- 18:34Josh: Is that real? This new car costs $25,000?
- 18:35Ejaaz: Dude, look at this. Wait one second. Where's the breaking news? Yeah, over here.
- 18:39Ejaaz: So it used to cost $100,000 to $125,000. Come to the street at Wall Street.
- 18:44Josh: Okay, this is an important distinction we
- 18:46Ejaaz: Need to make. Talk to me. Talk to me. Is this Miss Info? Tell me. Tell me. No, no, no.
- 18:49Josh: So this is for the hardware. This is not for the vehicle. Okay,
- 18:54Josh: that's where I was getting confused.
- 18:55Josh: So the hardware part is like the sensor suite that sits on top of the vehicle.
- 19:01Josh: So I guess it was like $125,000 for the last one on top of a $100,000 vehicle.
- 19:05Josh: This one's $25,000 on top of an assumed lower cost vehicle. So that's an important distinction.
- 19:10Ejaaz: Yeah, yeah, sorry, sorry. Just to be clear, we're talking about the chip hardware
- 19:14Ejaaz: here, like all of that, which kind of like, you know, makes the car sexy and
- 19:17Ejaaz: do the cool thing, right?
- 19:19Ejaaz: And so the point is, with this new chip,
- 19:22Ejaaz: been able to achieve a few things. Number one, it runs locally on the car,
- 19:26Ejaaz: which means it's cheaper to run.
- 19:28Ejaaz: It's way more effective. So it's quicker. It's way more reliable.
- 19:31Ejaaz: And it's incredibly efficient. So it costs Google less. It costs Waymo less,
- 19:36Ejaaz: which is why they've been able to kind of reduce the cost by like three to four
- 19:41Ejaaz: X, which is very impressive for any successive generation.
- 19:43Ejaaz: I just think it's a really cool bit of hardware device. You know,
- 19:45Ejaaz: we like hardware on this show. And I'm happy Waymo's taking this path forward.
- 19:49Josh: Very good. It looks cool it looks like a fun science experiment like the car
- 19:51Josh: itself looks interesting the new ohi it's
- 19:54Josh: fun it's different it looks like disney world this is a really cool promo video
- 19:57Josh: showing it oh my god wow yeah it's it's like a unique design i mean granted
- 20:02Josh: if you were to design a fully autonomous car i'm not sure why there's two seats
- 20:05Josh: still facing forward in the way they are with the steering wheel
- 20:07Ejaaz: Hang on wait did he turn around in this let's see josh.
- 20:10Josh: I'm not sure oh no no he's he's turning his body around so we mentioned the
- 20:15Josh: cost of these sensors is it's about 25 000 for the suite, the hardware, the sensors.
- 20:20Josh: You know what else is $25,000 each as?
- 20:22Josh: The entire CyberCab from Tesla, the whole thing, including the vehicle. It will be $25,000.
- 20:28Ejaaz: $25,000 per vehicle?
- 20:30Josh: Per vehicle, with the whole sensor stack. So what you'll notice with the Waymos
- 20:33Josh: is they have this huge amount of spinning LiDAR sensors and very complicated sensor stack.
- 20:39Josh: The Robotaxi that we're seeing on screen here, the CyberCab from Tesla,
- 20:42Josh: has, I think it's eight cameras, very similar to the ones that are sitting in
- 20:46Josh: your smartphone right now.
- 20:47Josh: So basically, if you imagine the camera's on your smartphone,
- 20:50Josh: they are placed into a vehicle and put in the right place.
- 20:53Josh: That combined with the cost of the actual vehicle is...
- 20:57Josh: Probably going to fall around $25,000 in terms of cost of goods sold.
- 21:00Josh: And it works. And it is being deployed starting September 3rd at scale.
- 21:04Josh: So what we see here is actual production ready level cybercabs that are going
- 21:09Josh: to be going around a select few cities.
- 21:10Josh: In the announcement post, could we pull that up so I can read it off?
- 21:13Josh: I'm not sure exactly which ones is going. I know there is one in Austin.
- 21:17Josh: I know there's one in Dallas. So yeah, Austin, Dallas, Houston, Miami, Orlando, Tampa.
- 21:22Josh: If you live in any of those places, you can go and get in a cybercab right now.
- 21:26Josh: And I think this is going to be a really unique and interesting inflection point
- 21:30Josh: for the autonomous vehicle world
- 21:33Josh: in general, because we have Waymo that's making really good progress.
- 21:36Josh: And Waymo is right now much more accessible. They're doing many more miles per day.
- 21:40Josh: And people have gotten comfortable with it. If you live in Los Angeles,
- 21:42Josh: if you live in San Francisco, having Waymos go around, it's just a part of your
- 21:46Josh: life. And you don't even think twice about it now.
- 21:49Josh: The CyberCab has an opportunity to really change that in the sense that the
- 21:52Josh: cost per mile on the cyber cab will be significantly less than that of the waymo
- 21:55Josh: when you look at the waymo vehicle it has like these big bumpers that's really
- 21:58Josh: big and it's not a very efficient car
- 22:00Josh: the cyber cab has much more efficiency which allows it to decrease the cost
- 22:04Josh: per mile and it's going to be really interesting to see how they're able to scale that because
- 22:08Josh: Waymos notoriously are geofenced they work in very specific locations i've been
- 22:12Josh: using a tesla fully self-driving for years now and
- 22:15Josh: with no oversight they work anywhere so as soon as regulation comes online We
- 22:18Josh: may see a world in which like 12 months from now, cybercabs are just roaming around everywhere.
- 22:23Josh: And we have the opportunity to get in them, drive them around.
- 22:25Josh: And the idea is that you'll never need to own a car because the cost per mile
- 22:29Josh: will be so low that it will offset any expenses incurred by actually buying
- 22:33Josh: the physical vehicle. So really cool time.
- 22:36Josh: For autonomous vehicles, autonomous cars in general. Keep an eye out for Wemo.
- 22:39Josh: Keep an eye out for the Tesla event that's happening next week.
- 22:41Ejaaz: You know where I'm not going to be keeping my eye out? In New York City.
- 22:44Josh: Because they like to just ban all innovation.
- 22:47Ejaaz: New York City sucks, man.
- 22:48Josh: It sucks, man.
- 22:49Ejaaz: It's so brutal. It's so cool, but it sucks. Like, bring us the new tech early
- 22:53Ejaaz: on, for goodness sake, please.
- 22:55Ejaaz: Now, I want to have a call out just very quickly on this particular topic, Josh.
- 22:59Ejaaz: Producer Luke, we love him. He is in one of these places. He's in Austin.
- 23:03Ejaaz: Guess how many times he's rode in a robo-taxi? Go on, guess.
- 23:06Josh: Well, I think once, maybe.
- 23:08Ejaaz: I think it's zero, dude. I think it's zero.
- 23:10Josh: He may have done one, but it wasn't a cyber cab.
- 23:12Ejaaz: I don't trust it. That image was AI generated. I need to see you, Luke.
- 23:17Ejaaz: I know you'll listen to this because you're editing this right now.
- 23:19Ejaaz: Like, I need to see you in a cyber cab, dude. It would be awesome.
- 23:22Josh: Anyway, moving on. We'll get a fact checker in here.
- 23:24Ejaaz: Who is our favorite investor in the world, Josh?
- 23:26Josh: Oh, you mean the 25-year-old who was fired by OpenAI, raised a billion dollars
- 23:30Josh: and then had 45 and then lost it all and then Citadel bought it all out and
- 23:33Josh: now he's being investigated by the SEC?
- 23:35Ejaaz: Wow, actually a very good, succinct summary. That's a very ChatGPT-esque,
- 23:39Ejaaz: Josh. Very impressive. Yes, that is actually it. That guy.
- 23:42Josh: Wait, but what's his name again?
- 23:44Ejaaz: Yeah, Leopold Ashenbrenner.
- 23:45Josh: Oh, yeah, that one, that one, Leopold. Yeah, yeah, that's right.
- 23:47Ejaaz: Okay, listen, like my hands are up for those of you who are about to like write nasty comments, right?
- 23:53Ejaaz: We love Leopold Ashenbrenner. I still think his thesis isn't intact.
- 23:56Ejaaz: He just, you know, don't trade with leverage, kids.
- 23:59Ejaaz: But he is now being investigated by the SEC or rather specifically,
- 24:04Ejaaz: the SEC has subpoenaed a bunch of banks which facilitated situational awareness
- 24:09Ejaaz: funds, which is Liverpool's fund, trades out of suspicion that potentially the,
- 24:15Ejaaz: there was insider trading. Now, this is something that we have kind of briefly
- 24:18Ejaaz: referenced and spoken about on the show.
- 24:21Ejaaz: Ajit Balwit, who is now officially Leopold Ashenbrenner's wife,
- 24:25Ejaaz: is the chief of staff at Anthropik.
- 24:26Ejaaz: And there's a few other types of things going on there. But effectively,
- 24:29Ejaaz: the question is, has Leopold been kind of getting information and trading on
- 24:33Ejaaz: that information when he should have kind of like publicly disclosed it? We don't know.
- 24:37Ejaaz: But this is just another kind of pitfall into this whole,
- 24:41Ejaaz: probe where, you know, Leopold's been taking hits, hit after hit recently
- 24:45Ejaaz: um he recently got back into the game actually he's like gotten a new open book
- 24:48Ejaaz: he made a 400 million dollar private investment in some other company goodness
- 24:51Ejaaz: knows where he got 400 million dollars from but he's doing the thing and technically
- 24:55Ejaaz: the fund is still up but yeah just curious to see why this all ends up i don't
- 24:58Ejaaz: know if you have any thoughts on this josh.
- 25:00Josh: Yeah it's mostly just like people don't like leopold and what does it take to
- 25:03Josh: open an investigation you file a complaint someone says okay we've acknowledged
- 25:06Josh: your complaint now there's an open investigation and then you can report the investigation
- 25:10Josh: it could be nothing it could be something chances are it's probably nothing
- 25:14Josh: and i think leopold's just down people want him to be down even more and chances
- 25:19Josh: are he's going to be just fine this will kind of blow boat over and there won't
- 25:22Josh: really be much that comes from it
- 25:24Josh: um in leopold we trust man i'm still rooting for the guy i'm excited to see
- 25:27Josh: the new 13f to see what on earth is going to be
- 25:30Josh: on the comeback portfolio after the entire public one got wiped out so
- 25:34Josh: we'll keep our eyes peeled as we always do on leopold I'm also seeing some charts
- 25:38Josh: here, EJS, on Fable 5 and Anthropic and like enterprise sales and businesses.
- 25:44Josh: What is what are we showing here?
- 25:46Ejaaz: I just think there's some chartsmithing going on here. So like a few things
- 25:51Ejaaz: going on here. So the Financial Times released a chart and it shows the usage
- 25:55Ejaaz: of Anthropic's different models over time.
- 25:59Ejaaz: And I don't know if I can open this up, Josh. I don't know if this makes it
- 26:02Ejaaz: makes it a little tricky for you.
- 26:03Josh: We'll move it. We'll move it. There we go.
- 26:06Ejaaz: But if you can have a look over here, you'll notice that Fable growth kind of
- 26:10Ejaaz: like accelerated in mid-June to the kind of the end of July and has kind of been flat.
- 26:15Ejaaz: Now, number one, I don't know where they've got these numbers from because Anthropik
- 26:18Ejaaz: is not a private company, so I don't think these are necessarily reliable.
- 26:22Ejaaz: But the point they're making is it has stagnated.
- 26:25Ejaaz: And instead, people or companies rather are choosing to use some of their other
- 26:29Ejaaz: clawed models. Now, there are many reasons why companies would do this,
- 26:32Ejaaz: whether it's cost, whether it's efficiency, whether it's just kind of like preference
- 26:35Ejaaz: or taste of like the model's personality.
- 26:37Ejaaz: But it's interesting to see that a frontier model isn't being taken up as much as they can.
- 26:41Ejaaz: And the point that they compared this to is that OpenAI's models have seen increased usage.
- 26:46Ejaaz: Now, my comments on this is simple, which is OpenAI is just like has a smaller
- 26:51Ejaaz: user base than Anthropik.
- 26:52Ejaaz: Now, it's still granted very large, but obviously any hike in usage,
- 26:56Ejaaz: which they're particularly seen with Codex specifically, which,
- 26:59Ejaaz: by the way, is a fantastic product, is going to result in a larger uptake or
- 27:03Ejaaz: percentage increase, right?
- 27:04Ejaaz: Whereas with Fable, maybe if the stagnation is the thing, maybe people are just,
- 27:08Ejaaz: you know, factoring in the cost.
- 27:09Ejaaz: Fable is notably, you know, more expensive than a lot of other models,
- 27:12Ejaaz: but it is also operating at the frontier better than any other model.
- 27:15Ejaaz: So I can see why maybe there's a hesitancy, you know, you've got all these new
- 27:19Ejaaz: open source models, GLM 5.3 Flash, and you're thinking, okay,
- 27:22Ejaaz: maybe if I can get 80% of my work done using a cheap model, I'll use Fable for
- 27:26Ejaaz: the other 20%. But the point is, the pie is growing bigger and bigger. And I think this is,
- 27:30Ejaaz: None other than a bit of a hit piece.
- 27:32Josh: Well, it looks like the chart is reflecting the pie growing bigger,
- 27:34Josh: right? It's like the numbers are going up into the right.
- 27:36Josh: The business spending in total based on this chart looks like it's going up.
- 27:41Josh: And maybe this is kind of the phenomenon that we described earlier where there's
- 27:44Josh: just a lot of demand for lower cost tokens, but the overall demand is continuing
- 27:48Josh: to increase. And like perhaps that is a conclusion we can draw from this.
- 27:52Josh: I'm confused what the other actually is. Like, are they talking about like Haiku
- 27:56Josh: or something? Because they have Sonnet, Opus, Fable. What else is there?
- 27:59Ejaaz: I'm not quite.
- 28:00Josh: Sure what's going on here i don't know but hey everyone's having i mean the
- 28:04Josh: models are great on a day-to-day basis i'm still using it i'm getting a lot
- 28:07Josh: of usage out of it and i'm kind of enjoying the time there
- 28:09Josh: so it's um yeah we'll see i think is kind of like where where we can leave this
- 28:14Josh: one is like okay well i'm i'm
- 28:17Josh: sorry for enterprises but like hey we're cooking like for twenty dollars a month
- 28:21Josh: a hundred dollars a month two hundred dollars a month like the tokens are flowing
- 28:24Ejaaz: I think there's a there's another reason though right which is like did you
- 28:27Ejaaz: see this whole debate around zero data retention.
- 28:30Ejaaz: I started yawning when I read that phrase, Josh, because I was like,
- 28:32Ejaaz: oh my God, what do you mean by this?
- 28:33Josh: But like, yeah, oh, sounds fun.
- 28:35Ejaaz: And another big thing for these enterprises is they want to use the latest frontier
- 28:40Ejaaz: models. And to be honest, when you're an enterprise, you don't care about spending
- 28:43Ejaaz: more money if it means you're going to make even more money.
- 28:45Ejaaz: So like, I'll spend money on the most expensive model.
- 28:48Ejaaz: But a big compliance thing that they face is this thing called zero data retention, where
- 28:52Ejaaz: if you have a company, a software company, which you kind of lease their tools
- 28:57Ejaaz: or whatever, and they retain proprietary information for their own usage,
- 29:01Ejaaz: which they could technically use to build better models, which is what Anthropik has to do right now.
- 29:05Ejaaz: But I believe they're in the process of evolving that potentially.
- 29:08Ejaaz: Who knows? This is just rumors at this point.
- 29:10Ejaaz: I believe this is something that will just kind of flip that switch and suddenly
- 29:14Ejaaz: we'll look back on that chart and suddenly it's spiked up growth.
- 29:16Ejaaz: So I just think this is a nothing burger. ZDR is very common.
- 29:20Ejaaz: I don't think OpenAI is enforcing it right now, which might,
- 29:23Ejaaz: be the reason why they're like accelerating faster over the last couple of months
- 29:26Ejaaz: but just something to be aware of.
- 29:28Josh: Okay so maybe the chart is nothing burger but the thing that is real is the
- 29:31Josh: use of tokens and the use of tokens are generated mostly by agents and if you
- 29:34Josh: are working with agents we have just the people for you their name is ledger
- 29:38Josh: ledger is offering a way to build with your ai agents because if you're worried
- 29:42Josh: about security you should be because agents as we know are
- 29:45Josh: not very secure at the moment they're getting very smart very quickly ledger
- 29:49Josh: has an agent stack that fixes this it's a series of open source tools that you
- 29:52Josh: can go and use in order to make sure that the agent
- 29:55Josh: is giving you the expected outcome that you want.
- 29:57Josh: It does this through a three-step process where the agents propose,
- 30:00Josh: the humans approve, and the ledger signers enforce. And this is all open source.
- 30:04Josh: It works everywhere that you work with your AI agents. It works in codex,
- 30:07Josh: it works in cloud code, it works in cursor.
- 30:09Josh: So if you are interested, the link is in the description down below.
- 30:12Josh: Thank you very much to Ledger for sponsoring this episode.
- 30:14Josh: Two nothing burgers in a row. We got to turn this around, man.
- 30:16Josh: Leopold, Anthropic, what do we got? This is not a nothing burger.
- 30:19Josh: This is a something burger.
- 30:20Ejaaz: What if I gave you continual learning robotics model, huh?
- 30:23Josh: Dude, it's a big week for the robots. First, we had the Robot Olympics.
- 30:26Josh: Then we have full self-driving vehicles. Now we have robotic learning.
- 30:30Josh: And this is one of many announcements that I saw this week. There was another
- 30:32Josh: one that I thought was super cool where you can actually go and get paid like
- 30:35Josh: $15 an hour to perform tasks in your house.
- 30:38Josh: And as long as you do that with the camera, that allows you to train the robots.
- 30:41Josh: You will be paid as if you are a full-time employee.
- 30:44Josh: It's like kind of cool, very fun. This is another version of that,
- 30:47Josh: it seems like, where they're just...
- 30:50Josh: Basically throwing a ton of data at these models and emerging from that data are
- 30:56Josh: physical capabilities that robots are learning from scratch and they're doing
- 30:59Josh: so in a way that's fairly efficient what i like about this example that we're
- 31:02Josh: seeing on screen right now too is it's not this isn't purely humanoid this is
- 31:06Josh: more of a narrow purpose uh narrow
- 31:09Josh: very specific type of robot that they're working on so it seems like this is
- 31:12Josh: a kind of new paradigm where robots are getting enough data to start meaningfully
- 31:17Josh: progress and get good at these tasks.
- 31:19Josh: And we're seeing so many unique and creative ways of collecting this data. I remember we did one
- 31:24Josh: doordash or something where they were paying dashers to strap cameras to their heads
- 31:28Ejaaz: It was doordash.
- 31:29Josh: It was doordash that way they can like go and collect data for what it looks
- 31:31Josh: like to deliver an item to a person's house and then taking all that data you get the antik
- 31:36Ejaaz: The pokemon go company.
- 31:37Josh: As well that's right that's right yeah so there's all these really creative ways of of
- 31:42Josh: paying humans to collect data to then automate the tasks that they're doing
- 31:46Josh: and i think it's really cool to see the actual progress come from this in terms
- 31:49Josh: of the ability of these robots to do more and more interesting tasks that we
- 31:53Josh: as humans do and maybe we don't want to
- 31:56Josh: and i think a lot of people probably default to like oh this is bad we're paying human beings to
- 32:00Josh: offload the responsibilities to robots but the reality is is like how many people actually
- 32:04Josh: love doing this stuff like how many people love to clean or love to cook or
- 32:07Josh: love to take the trash out or love to like deliver food
- 32:10Josh: there's perhaps much better options on the other side of automating that and
- 32:14Josh: it results in much lower costs for everyone who is using those services so this
- 32:18Josh: seems like a win, even though on the surface, I could see why it's scary.
- 32:21Josh: And this is a really cool example of that in practice. I mean,
- 32:24Josh: this is a pretty sweet video.
- 32:25Ejaaz: Yeah, I mean, just to kind of explain what's going on here, they made a breakthrough
- 32:29Ejaaz: in robotics models. Now, typically, the problem that you have with robotics
- 32:33Ejaaz: models is they're really hard to train in order to get the data to teach it
- 32:36Ejaaz: how to do really complex stuff.
- 32:38Ejaaz: You need to, you know, get those videos like you mentioned, Josh,
- 32:41Ejaaz: and you need to kind of like teach it a million different things that hard code it into a model.
- 32:44Ejaaz: It is incredibly complex and hard to do, which is why we haven't seen a cool
- 32:49Ejaaz: robot in your house as of recently.
- 32:51Ejaaz: The breakthrough these guys made is something called in-context learning,
- 32:54Ejaaz: which means you can feed this robot one video of you making pancakes and flipping the pancake,
- 33:02Ejaaz: and it'll be able to figure it out from that 30-second video and do it itself.
- 33:07Ejaaz: But the craziest part is, Josh, let's say.
- 33:10Ejaaz: I filmed you making a pancake and you flipped it and it fell on the floor,
- 33:14Ejaaz: right? The robot's seen this, right? So presumably you would think it would do the same.
- 33:19Ejaaz: It doesn't do that. It knows when you've made a mistake and it can take it further
- 33:23Ejaaz: and start making multiple pancakes at the same time and then stacking them on
- 33:27Ejaaz: top of each other. It has this intuitive feel.
- 33:30Ejaaz: So an example that they show in this video here, I think they already passed
- 33:33Ejaaz: it, is it uses a kind of dustpan and brush to kind of sweep a block onto the pan, right?
- 33:38Ejaaz: And then they replaced the handle with a banana.
- 33:42Ejaaz: And it was like, what would it do in this case? It realized that it was a banana.
- 33:45Ejaaz: It realized it wasn't a brush, but it still did the same thing and brushed the block onto the pad.
- 33:50Ejaaz: So it has a intuitive understanding of what it needs to do and is willing to
- 33:54Ejaaz: use any and every kind of tool to do the thing, which is the breakthrough in this robotics model.
- 34:00Ejaaz: And I think it's going to get us much quicker to having a robot in our home
- 34:03Ejaaz: that can intuitively just do things without us needing to hard code it or tell it what to do.
- 34:08Josh: Very very so close on the edge of the robot revolution is a good way of describing
- 34:13Josh: it we had the olympic games that we had a full episode about earlier this week
- 34:17Josh: so if you haven't watched that go check that out um
- 34:19Josh: the opening ceremony is a little bit militant for china which is scary so
- 34:24Josh: perhaps like you know take that one with a grain of salt um we have a few rapid
- 34:28Josh: fire ones at the end of this episode my personal favorite here we have a date
- 34:32Josh: for the apple event It's coming. It is September 9th at 1 p.m.
- 34:34Ejaaz: Eastern time. Is this Siri AI, Josh?
- 34:36Josh: Dude, we are finally... No.
- 34:40Josh: It's not going to happen just yet, but basically what this one is,
- 34:42Josh: is the hardware. So there's two types of events. There's the developer conference,
- 34:45Josh: then there's the actual hardware event.
- 34:46Josh: Developer conference released or unveiled Siri. The release of Siri will come
- 34:50Josh: shortly after this hardware event, and it will come paired with the new hardware devices.
- 34:54Josh: The new hardware devices are expected to be a new iPhone 18 Pro,
- 34:58Josh: a foldable device, which I'm incredibly excited to get my hands on.
- 35:02Josh: And more importantly, this is the first event with Apple's new CEO in charge.
- 35:07Josh: Tim Cook isn't going to be on stage here. it's uh john turness who's running
- 35:10Josh: it there's a new guy in charge he's a hardware guy this is all the new hardware
- 35:13Josh: we're going to be getting specifically built for
- 35:16Josh: apple intelligence and man we've been waiting for this for what three years
- 35:19Josh: to get actual intelligence inside these phones so very excited to see how that's
- 35:23Josh: going to play out what the hardware is going to look like how the software will integrate with it
- 35:27Josh: and probably a month from now we will all have brand new iphones with siri intelligence
- 35:33Josh: inside of them and that is a very exciting thing so Oh, please. Fingers crossed.
- 35:36Ejaaz: I mean, the chip thing is cool, right? I saw the M5 Pro and the M6 kind of get
- 35:41Ejaaz: announced and the price points.
- 35:42Josh: Of those are- New Mac Mini, New Mac Studio.
- 35:44Ejaaz: Kind of up there, right? So it's like, I think it's like 900 bucks for the M6
- 35:47Ejaaz: or, and then 1,500 for the M5.
- 35:50Josh: Have you heard the high end of the studio?
- 35:52Ejaaz: Gone. Wait, wait, wait, let me guess, let me guess, let me guess.
- 35:55Josh: You're gonna be wrong.
- 35:56Ejaaz: Three thousand dollars no.
- 35:58Josh: I think it's like eighteen thousand five hundred dollars for them if you want
- 36:01Josh: to maxed out mac studio with like the m6 ultra and all the ram that you can get it's okay
- 36:06Ejaaz: Crazy i'm going into.
- 36:07Josh: That things have gotten but hey if you got the money and you want to run some
- 36:10Josh: local inference oh my god there's your cost of entry all these people talking about free models buy
- 36:13Ejaaz: An nvidia gpu at this point dude like what are we doing.
- 36:16Josh: Here that's crazy model that like just how about you just pay for like a subscription
- 36:19Josh: or like an api key i'm like let the big guys serve your inference because it's
- 36:23Josh: getting real expensive to do it locally by the Wait,
- 36:25Ejaaz: Blame the memory manufacturers for this. That's why the price is hiking across everything right now.
- 36:30Josh: And they got great margins too. I was looking at the videos and I'm like,
- 36:33Josh: man, these people are charging way too much money for this. They're driving up all the prices.
- 36:37Josh: Last topic. I thought this was really funny, EJ, as you put it in.
- 36:39Ejaaz: It's like, I'm a watch guy. Yeah, so basically, breaking news,
- 36:44Ejaaz: guys. Arguably the biggest topic of this entire episode.
- 36:47Ejaaz: Sam Altman just ordered seven ultra rare custom Swiss watches from this company
- 36:52Ejaaz: called Vanguard. are, I'm definitely butchering that name, with a branded OpenAI logo on the dial.
- 36:57Ejaaz: No commentary, right? First, let's observe.
- 37:01Ejaaz: Look at this masterpiece. For those who wear Apple Watches, I need you to just
- 37:05Ejaaz: take that thing off your wrist for a second and just appreciate the mastery
- 37:09Ejaaz: that is on your screen right now. This looks so cool.
- 37:12Josh: Can we take a second? Because I just so happen to have an Apple Watch in my
- 37:14Josh: hand. Please. It appears like the band on my Apple Watch looks oddly similar to the band on that
- 37:19Ejaaz: Watch absolutely and that is because the memory component the equivalent of
- 37:24Ejaaz: this is that complex cognitive function that is happening inside the thing who
- 37:30Ejaaz: cares about the plastic strap you can literally you see this little attachment over how many.
- 37:33Josh: Tokens per second does that generate
- 37:35Ejaaz: Oh god not enough not enough but um inscribed on the back of each of these watches
- 37:40Ejaaz: is if agi dot aligned deploy which was written by a programming language python dot Vanguard.
- 37:48Ejaaz: So the point is, I think this is like, you know, Sam kind of like giving a peace
- 37:52Ejaaz: offering before potential rumored.
- 37:54Ejaaz: IPO that I think is coming very soon and he wants to give it to his ranking
- 37:58Ejaaz: order of people that haven't left open air over the last two weeks.
- 38:03Ejaaz: Sorry for the shade. I've just seen a lot of executives leave recently,
- 38:05Ejaaz: but it's a beautiful watch.
- 38:08Ejaaz: People have been discussing what the secondary value of this might be.
- 38:12Ejaaz: And people are guesstimating this would be in the order of 500 K to a million
- 38:16Ejaaz: dollars. I personally think it would be higher because there's only seven of them.
- 38:20Ejaaz: And one of them will be worn by Sam's on Sam's wrist. So that's definitely not going to solve.
- 38:24Josh: This is kind of like um what it like the push presence like when when your like
- 38:29Josh: wife has a child it's like when your executives produce agi please
- 38:34Ejaaz: Please turn off now thank you well.
- 38:36Josh: This like i think this makes sense right it's like when your executives produce
- 38:39Josh: agi like hey guys thanks like here's a million dollar watch type thing um because
- 38:42Josh: i was listening to sam altman or i was reading the time publication of sam altman
- 38:46Josh: and what he was saying and they fully expect to have agi internally by the end of this year
- 38:49Josh: and for those that are not familiar we are about to enter september which means
- 38:53Josh: we are close to the end of this year so maybe perhaps he's getting these custom
- 38:56Josh: made in anticipation of their internal rollout of agi whatever they believe that to be
- 39:01Josh: um so that's just an interesting thing worth noting worth following lovely watches
- 39:04Josh: like hey the limitless guys i mean i'd take a half million dollar watches
- 39:07Josh: i think i'd make shows a million whatever it's going to cost that'd be cool
- 39:10Josh: but that's the round of this is a long one today we're like 40 minutes into
- 39:12Josh: this thing um so if you made it this far man
- 39:15Josh: Thanks for coming along with us on this journey. It's been a good one.
- 39:18Josh: A lot of stuff happening this week.
- 39:20Josh: The things are picking themselves up. The roundup's getting longer.
- 39:23Josh: There's more stuff to talk about.
- 39:24Josh: I'd say it's a big robotics week this week. A lot of robots.
- 39:27Josh: A lot of China talk this week. Good week for the Chinese.
- 39:31Josh: Whether it's good for us, we don't know TBD, but like good week for the Chinese.
- 39:34Josh: Good week for NVIDIA and Jensen.
- 39:36Ejaaz: Hey, it's good for Limitless as well. We're putting out so much content, so much to talk about.
- 39:41Ejaaz: What was the other thing? That was like the open rail acquisition that might
- 39:44Ejaaz: have been last week's news. Who knows?
- 39:45Josh: Who's on track, man?
- 39:47Ejaaz: We are covering anything and everything that is happening in AI and frontier
- 39:51Ejaaz: tech or whatever just makes, you know, Josh and I pretty excited.
- 39:55Ejaaz: And we're doing that four times a week. So if you haven't listened to any of
- 39:57Ejaaz: our episodes this week, please check it out. We also have a newsletter that
- 40:01Ejaaz: goes out to, I think it's like 110,000 of you that are reading our stuff every
- 40:05Ejaaz: single week, twice a week.
- 40:07Ejaaz: We do an essay and we also do the weekly roundup, which if you don't want to
- 40:11Ejaaz: listen to our beautiful, soothing voices telling you about AI,
- 40:13Ejaaz: you can just go read the quick summary digest we are covering you everywhere on spotify apple
- 40:19Ejaaz: as well as youtube if you aren't subscribed if you haven't left us a comment
- 40:21Ejaaz: if you haven't given us a rating what are you doing please do all of that,
- 40:25Ejaaz: send it share it with a friend it helps us out massively josh have i forgotten anything.
- 40:29Josh: I mean you can and i know this is kind of rough for me to say because i haven't
- 40:32Josh: been posting much but on screen our our handles on x are showing and you can
- 40:36Josh: go and follow us there for more information on the day-to-day you just i know
- 40:38Josh: you're always firing off stuff about updates so that's just like a fun little
- 40:42Josh: call out if you've made it this far.
- 40:44Josh: And, you know, you're interested in hearing a little bit more.
- 40:46Josh: I'll work to post more on that platform.
- 40:48Josh: But that's it. Like you can go feel free to like you're dismissed.
- 40:51Josh: Go touch grass. Go enjoy the weekend.
- 40:53Josh: Get off your phone for a little bit. You're now fully up to date and all of
- 40:55Josh: the things. AI frontier technology.
- 40:57Josh: You're in the loop. You can go out to your like weekend barbecue.
- 41:00Josh: I mean, close to the end of the weekend. We're almost we're almost there.
- 41:03Josh: I don't want to think about that.
- 41:04Josh: But yeah, that's pretty much everything. Thank you so much. I mean,
- 41:06Josh: share with your friends if you if you got some that would be interested. And yeah, enjoy.