Latest / Pod Save America / The Primaries Will Continue Until Morale Improves
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- 1:25Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 1:27Speaker 2: I'm Jon Lovett. Tommy Vitor.
- 1:29Speaker 1: On today's show, we'll talk about the war with Iran,
- 1:31Speaker 1: which claimed more American lives over the weekend and wounded dozens,
- 1:34Speaker 1: which the Pentagon is trying to hide. We'll also talk
- 1:36Speaker 1: about ICE being back in the headlines after killing people
- 1:39Speaker 1: in Texas and Maine. Let's talk about how the administration
- 1:41Speaker 1: is responding and what we know about how Trump's deportation
- 1:44Speaker 1: agenda is playing with voters, Latino voters in particular. We
- 1:48Speaker 1: also have a bunch of news from the world of
- 1:49Speaker 1: Democratic primary campaigns. Former Maine Senate President Troy Jackson is
- 1:53Speaker 1: all but certain to be the Democratic nominee to take
- 1:55Speaker 1: on Susan Collins in Maine. There's more chaos in the
- 1:58Speaker 1: Wisconsin governor's race. And AOC and Bernie rallied for Abdul
- 2:03Speaker 1: El-Sayed in Michigan as his primary against Haley Stevens heats up.
- 2:07Speaker 1: But let's start with some big news from the weekend.
- 2:09Speaker 1: Spain's 1-0 win over Argentina in the World Cup final
- 2:13Speaker 1: in the Meadowlands capping off an incredible tournament. No one
- 2:17Speaker 1: is sadder about it ending than Donald Trump, who wasn't
- 2:20Speaker 1: about to let a return to full-on war with Iran
- 2:22Speaker 1: stop him from inserting himself into the closing ceremony.
- 2:27Speaker 2: The president of the United States on the field. It's now,
- 2:50Speaker 2: so they can edit him out of that. Australian broadcaster
- 2:55Speaker 2: at the end there.
- 2:56Speaker 1: Did you guys see the caption of the picture in
- 3:00Speaker 1: The Guardian?
- 3:00Speaker 2: No.
- 3:01Speaker 1: Where Infantino is with Trump, and it's just the two
- 3:05Speaker 1: of them. And the caption is, Gianni Infantino carefully explains
- 3:11Speaker 1: to Donald Trump that he is not part of the
- 3:12Speaker 1: Spanish national team.
- 3:13Speaker 2: That's about right. They're like, The energy of accidentally realizing
- 3:18Speaker 2: you're in the money shot of a beach wedding. You know,
- 3:23Speaker 2: like that is what it reminded me of. They're about
- 3:25Speaker 2: to do it. Get the fuck out of the way.
- 3:27Speaker 1: Did you see the team that the players... were doing
- 3:29Speaker 1: the Trump dance and therefore really appreciating his involvement because
- 3:33Speaker 1: Trump did this to one of them and looking confused,
- 3:36Speaker 1: he just was like, I'm gonna.
- 3:37Speaker 3: Milk a cow back to you. My guess is they're
- 3:39Speaker 3: just happy because they won the World Cup and this
- 3:41Speaker 3: is the best day of their life. That would be
- 3:43Speaker 3: my guess as to why they're happy.
- 3:45Speaker 2: For sure, but if a monkey did a gesture to
- 3:47Speaker 2: me at the zoo, I'd do it back. It wouldn't
- 3:48Speaker 2: be a show of support for his politics.
- 3:50Speaker 1: I might not throw my poo back at him, but.
- 3:52Speaker 2: It's like, yeah, it's like, it's cool to go to
- 3:53Speaker 2: the game. I'd go if I could go.
- 3:55Speaker 3: It's cool to present the trophy, but like, get out
- 3:57Speaker 3: of the way, dude. And he also did this at
- 3:58Speaker 3: the FIFA World Cup final in like 2025. And like,
- 4:02Speaker 3: you can see Infantino trying to get him to leave
- 4:05Speaker 3: the stage.
- 4:05Speaker 2: He just won't do it. He just basks in the
- 4:08Speaker 2: glory of the cheering. Like he genuinely believes it's for him.
- 4:12Speaker 2: I would feel like imposter syndrome and run off there.
- 4:15Speaker 2: I think he also believes he's wanted there. Like, like
- 4:18Speaker 2: I'm Donald Trump. Everybody loves when I'm part of their stuff.
- 4:22Speaker 1: I'd feel imposter syndrome if I was the president of
- 4:24Speaker 1: the United States and the U.S. won.
- 4:26Speaker 2: Right.
- 4:26Speaker 1: Like, I would still say something and be, like, extra proud,
- 4:29Speaker 1: but I wouldn't get in the fucking picture.
- 4:31Speaker 2: And especially with Spain.
- 4:32Speaker 3: Like, the NATO summit a couple weeks ago, he said, quote,
- 4:35Speaker 3: I don't want anything to do with Spain.
- 4:37Speaker 2: They're hopeless. Bad people.
- 4:39Speaker 3: He said he called them bad people because they, like,
- 4:41Speaker 3: didn't support the war with Iran and didn't want us
- 4:43Speaker 3: to use their bases.
- 4:44Speaker 1: Did you see the USA Today did a piece on
- 4:46Speaker 1: the Trump curse?
- 4:47Speaker 4: Yes.
- 4:47Speaker 1: The call-in at the Trump curse?
- 4:48Speaker 2: It was so awesome.
- 4:49Speaker 1: So, I didn't know about all of these, but, so...
- 4:52Speaker 1: Trump said before the World Cup final, he didn't pick
- 4:56Speaker 1: a side, but he said, it's hard to bet against Messi.
- 4:59Speaker 1: Argentina loses. Trump intervenes to get the red card reversed. U.S.
- 5:03Speaker 1: loses to Belgium. Trump shows up at the NBA finals.
- 5:06Speaker 1: It's the only game the Knicks lose. In 2025, Trump
- 5:09Speaker 1: goes to the Washington Commanders game. They lose to the
- 5:12Speaker 1: Lions 44-22. That same year, he goes to the Ryder Cup.
- 5:15Speaker 1: The U.S. loses. They're calling it the Trump curse.
- 5:18Speaker 2: It's so funny.
- 5:19Speaker 3: The other thing about that Commanders game is, so he
- 5:21Speaker 3: goes to the Commanders game. The Commanders get stomped by
- 5:24Speaker 3: the Lions. And then at that same game, a Lions
- 5:26Speaker 3: receiver named Amon Ross St. Brown did the Trump dance.
- 5:28Speaker 3: And then the Lions lose five of eight games and
- 5:30Speaker 3: miss the playoffs.
- 5:31Speaker 2: It's even better. I think it's like, basically, there's three possibilities.
- 5:37Speaker 2: One is that it's luck. The other is that... he
- 5:41Speaker 2: brings a terrible energy everywhere he goes, right? That he,
- 5:45Speaker 2: and that his- That's documented. Right, for sure. And that
- 5:48Speaker 2: like corrupts anyone who's seen to be rooting for, you
- 5:51Speaker 2: can't help with someone playing, knowing that Trump is on
- 5:54Speaker 2: your side, allowed to infect you with the kind of
- 5:56Speaker 2: negativity and failure that surrounds him. I do think it's
- 6:00Speaker 2: worth considering the third possibility, which is much like Odysseus
- 6:04Speaker 2: discovering the Cyclops on his way home. Oh God. Due
- 6:09Speaker 2: to his failure- to observe morality in the conflict in Troy.
- 6:15Speaker 2: Trump is being punished everywhere he goes.
- 6:18Speaker 1: Why are we all catching strays then?
- 6:20Speaker 2: Well, that's take it up with Zeus, my friend.
- 6:23Speaker 1: Are we Odysseus' men? Are we the ones being sacrificed?
- 6:29Speaker 2: I'm not saying the punishment is not clean, you know?
- 6:33Speaker 3: Can I tell you my favorite Trump sports story from
- 6:35Speaker 3: over the weekend? There's a golfer named Bryson DeChambeau. Did
- 6:38Speaker 3: you guys come across this? I saw you tweeting about this.
- 6:40Speaker 3: He had a meltdown at the Open Championship. He got
- 6:42Speaker 3: a penalty for just stepping in tall grass that would
- 6:44Speaker 3: have gotten in the way of his swing, and he
- 6:45Speaker 3: got a two-stroke penalty.
- 6:46Speaker 2: So he throws a hissy fit. Deserved. He totally deserved. Deserved.
- 6:49Speaker 2: He throws a hissy fit, and he sucks.
- 6:50Speaker 3: He's annoying anyway. He throws his hissy fit. He threatens
- 6:53Speaker 3: to not play the next day, basically quit the tournament
- 6:56Speaker 3: and take his ball and go home. He takes all
- 6:57Speaker 3: these rules officials, makes them visit the site, and then
- 6:59Speaker 3: he goes back. In the midst of it, he threatens...
- 7:02Speaker 3: to call Trump and tattle on the mean rules officials
- 7:05Speaker 3: if they don't give him his way.
- 7:06Speaker 2: He also shut down the whole tournament, too, right? They
- 7:08Speaker 2: all had to wait. Hours. And they all had to
- 7:10Speaker 2: wait for him to be done with his fit. And
- 7:14Speaker 2: even the other players who were watching were like, come on, man. Yeah.
- 7:17Speaker 1: I mean, this is what Trump has created. You know,
- 7:20Speaker 1: it's like everyone knows if they're friends with Trump or
- 7:22Speaker 1: they suck up to Trump, they can just tattle and
- 7:24Speaker 1: get what they want or at least try to do that.
- 7:26Speaker 2: Everybody's calling the manager. I want a table. You get
- 7:29Speaker 2: pulled over speeding. You know, I know Trump. But sir,
- 7:32Speaker 2: you don't have a reservation. I know the owner.
- 7:36Speaker 3: Of the German broadcast of the World Cup final. So
- 7:39Speaker 3: they cut to Infantino and Trump in the box. They
- 7:42Speaker 3: show them getting presented the trophy and the announcers go, well,
- 7:44Speaker 3: that's a violation of all the rules. Those two are
- 7:46Speaker 3: made for each other, fascinated by power and by themselves, too.
- 7:50Speaker 1: Good stuff.
- 7:51Speaker 2: Good hit. It's good stuff. Tough to hear from Germans.
- 7:57Speaker 3: The cool part of the story that sort of suggests
- 8:00Speaker 3: the Spanish team would not like Trump's politics is one
- 8:02Speaker 3: of the players, a guy named Nico Williams. His mom
- 8:04Speaker 3: and dad walked 2,000 miles from Ghana to Spain. She
- 8:08Speaker 3: was pregnant with his older brother at the time. Across
- 8:11Speaker 3: the Sahara Desert barefoot, managed to get into this tiny
- 8:13Speaker 3: bit of Spanish territory. to become citizens, and then he's
- 8:16Speaker 3: playing on the national team. That's probably why he wouldn't
- 8:18Speaker 3: like Trump's immigration policies. Yeah, wouldn't like his politics. He
- 8:20Speaker 3: wouldn't be possible with Trump's politics. So, unfortunately, Trump trying
- 8:24Speaker 3: to make the World Cup about Trump did steal the
- 8:27Speaker 3: spotlight from the tournament's real hero.
- 8:29Speaker 1: Let's play it.
- 8:31Speaker 4: We put on the largest sporting event in.
- 8:33Speaker 2: The history of the world.
- 8:34Speaker 4: And everybody, including FIFA and the White House, looks at it.
- 8:37Speaker 4: to the FBI, to our interagency partners, to DHS, to
- 8:40Speaker 4: state and locals, to everybody to figure out how to
- 8:42Speaker 4: get six and a half million people into the U.S.
- 8:45Speaker 4: and into these games without a single major security incident.
- 8:49Speaker 4: We have lived up to that measure because you guys
- 8:52Speaker 4: have put in the time. It's truly, truly incredible. We
- 8:55Speaker 4: just can't say enough about the preparation and the execution.
- 8:57Speaker 1: It's been flawless. He's in every shot. I thought this
- 9:02Speaker 1: was going to be like, you know, Thinking like all
- 9:05Speaker 1: the law enforcement officials who pulled this off, it's like, whatever,
- 9:08Speaker 1: it's fine. Every single shot of that video is Kash Patel.
- 9:12Speaker 2: Imagine if we had a crooked all hands to celebrate
- 9:16Speaker 2: a year of making great content. And through it, we
- 9:18Speaker 2: played a montage. Of just our headshots. No one would
- 9:21Speaker 2: be surprised. Yeah. And when I... Hey, I gotta laugh.
- 9:28Speaker 1: Lean with the chin.
- 9:32Speaker 3: I gotta say, so I didn't watch that video before
- 9:35Speaker 3: so we could see it live. My reaction to that
- 9:37Speaker 3: video is, who is this for?
- 9:38Speaker 2: You know what I mean? Like, who's getting jacked up
- 9:40Speaker 2: to watch Kash Patel? Is it for Donald Trump?
- 9:42Speaker 3: Because he wants you wearing a suit, not like the
- 9:44Speaker 3: weird thin hoodie t-shirt thing.
- 9:47Speaker 1: I think it's probably for Trump. It's also... he's just
- 9:50Speaker 1: in super defensive mode now, Kash Patel, because he thinks
- 9:52Speaker 1: everyone's attacking him unfairly. Right, but it's like, you know,
- 9:55Speaker 1: you think I'm a drunk and you think I fucked
- 9:57Speaker 1: this up and I tweet in the middle of investigations.
- 10:00Speaker 1: just because I try to, you know, before, before. So, like,
- 10:02Speaker 1: I think he's just like, I'm going to, we got one.
- 10:04Speaker 1: We did one okay. And so I'm going to brag
- 10:06Speaker 1: about it now.
- 10:07Speaker 2: It's interesting, though, because it's like, let's just take it
- 10:09Speaker 2: at face value. Let's just not even, forget the aesthetics
- 10:11Speaker 2: of it, which are ridiculous. Kash Patel, in what ways
- 10:13Speaker 2: are you responsible for the World Cup going well? Just
- 10:16Speaker 2: walk me through some of them.
- 10:17Speaker 1: Well, he's saying he's responsible for the World Cup, not...
- 10:20Speaker 1: not going badly.
- 10:20Speaker 2: But that requires, are you, but that, that requires people
- 10:23Speaker 2: wanting it to go badly that he's stymied, right? Like, right. Like,
- 10:27Speaker 2: what are you talking?
- 10:28Speaker 1: I'm sure he's feeling like the, there was, you know,
- 10:30Speaker 1: a planned attack at the UFC fight at the white
- 10:33Speaker 1: house and, and they foiled that. And so he's, he's
- 10:36Speaker 1: probably thinking of himself like I didn't get enough credit.
- 10:38Speaker 1: I need to put out videos from now on when
- 10:39Speaker 1: there's no attacks.
- 10:40Speaker 2: Not enough, not enough likes and faves for that foiled plot. Um,
- 10:44Speaker 2: it's just amazing.
- 10:45Speaker 3: Like here's me waving, getting out of my G five
- 10:48Speaker 3: private jet, man of the people, cash Patel. Also, the
- 10:51Speaker 3: one thing we know that Kash Patel.
- 10:51Speaker 1: Gotta thank his interagency partners.
- 10:53Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 10:53Speaker 3: Kash Patel has been working hard on trying to arrest
- 10:56Speaker 3: New York Times reporters who reported on Trump's.
- 10:58Speaker 2: Air Force One.
- 10:59Speaker 3: Did you see today that the FBI or the DOJ
- 11:03Speaker 3: has subpoenaed records, not only from these journalists, but from
- 11:06Speaker 3: their spouses and one reporter's mother?
- 11:09Speaker 2: Yes. Got the mother's phone records.
- 11:11Speaker 1: I wonder if they'll bring that up to Trump, any
- 11:13Speaker 1: of the reporters in the White House Correspondents Association when
- 11:15Speaker 1: he's on the dais at the Correspondents Dinner.
- 11:17Speaker 2: Maybe the mentalist can... Maybe Dr. O's can, or whatever
- 11:23Speaker 2: his name is, O's man? Whatever his name is.
- 11:25Speaker 1: It's a night where we're putting politics aside and the
- 11:28Speaker 1: fact that you're snooping on our reporters. On my mom. Yeah,
- 11:31Speaker 1: we're just going to put it aside for the night
- 11:33Speaker 1: to just sort of honor being in the same room.
- 11:35Speaker 2: You think O's could guess the mom? Yeah, it's like, yeah, well, yeah.
- 11:38Speaker 2: Why don't they just ask him for the fucking leaguer?
- 11:40Speaker 1: I forgot it's fucking O's.
- 11:41Speaker 2: Yeah, I know. I learned that. I learned that. I
- 11:44Speaker 2: learned that from a magician. Yeah, I really did. But yeah, like,
- 11:49Speaker 2: ask him. He'll know. You should just do that. Mentalize that.
- 11:52Speaker 2: Mentalist it.
- 11:53Speaker 1: Anyway, enough of that. Trump, who just last month told
- 11:57Speaker 1: reporters he was skipping his son's wedding because of, quote,
- 11:59Speaker 1: a thing called Iran, did not feel the same way
- 12:02Speaker 1: about attending the World Cup, probably because, according to the
- 12:05Speaker 1: White House... Iran is no longer much of a threat.
- 12:28Speaker 2: And overwhelming victory on the battlefield.
- 12:31Speaker 1: The United States has all the cards.
- 12:33Speaker 2: The straits are now open.
- 12:34Speaker 1: The Iranian military is now destroyed.
- 12:36Speaker 2: We've won. Let me tell you, we've won. You know,
- 12:39Speaker 2: you never like to say too early you won. We won.
- 12:42Speaker 2: We won the bet. In the first hour, it was over.
- 12:45Speaker 1: Well, apparently someone forgot to tell the Iranians because they've
- 12:47Speaker 1: been attacking U.S. forces all over the Middle East for
- 12:50Speaker 1: the last nine days straight. They've killed at least three
- 12:53Speaker 1: Americans and likely a fourth. That soldier is still officially
- 12:56Speaker 1: considered missing. The Iranian attacks in Jordan have also reportedly
- 13:00Speaker 1: injured dozens of American troops and damaged helicopters, news that
- 13:04Speaker 1: the Pentagon has just decided not to report, according to
- 13:06Speaker 1: The New York Times. And if you're wondering how it's
- 13:09Speaker 1: possible that Iran can still pull off these kinds of attacks,
- 13:12Speaker 1: you're not alone. Here's Fox News' Maria Bartiromo.
- 13:16Speaker 5: I don't understand how it's possible that Iran has the
- 13:19Speaker 5: capabilities to fight this way and continue to try to
- 13:22Speaker 5: lash out at Gulf countries and U.S. military bases because
- 13:26Speaker 5: the U.S. has obliterated Iran's military and the president continues
- 13:31Speaker 5: to reiterate that.
- 13:32Speaker 1: I'm reading these talking points and for some reason they're
- 13:35Speaker 1: not true.
- 13:35Speaker 2: I love the idea of her, hold on a second,
- 13:37Speaker 2: and we just, the camera follows her out down the
- 13:39Speaker 2: stairs to another room with a whiteboard and she starts
- 13:42Speaker 2: doing the math on the whiteboard trying to like figure
- 13:44Speaker 2: out how the thing is like. I don't think they're
- 13:50Speaker 2: telling the truth.
- 13:51Speaker 1: The president would not iterate, let alone reiterate, if something's
- 13:56Speaker 1: not true like this. He would never say that.
- 13:58Speaker 2: Maybe I just haven't been asking my questions loudly enough.
- 14:01Speaker 1: Trump doesn't have a good answer, or really any answer,
- 14:04Speaker 1: to Maria Barbaromo's question. He threatened revenge on Truth Social
- 14:08Speaker 1: and CENTCOM announced more strikes and retaliation. But this is
- 14:12Speaker 1: all he said after the World Cup when reporters asked
- 14:15Speaker 1: about the Americans who were killed.
- 14:16Speaker 2: We feel very badly. But, you know, those great people,
- 14:20Speaker 2: those great patriots were out there fighting that Iran cannot
- 14:23Speaker 2: have a nuclear weapon. This is a far bigger job
- 14:26Speaker 2: that we're doing. We were doing a little job of
- 14:28Speaker 2: stopping them from having a certain capability. Now we're just
- 14:32Speaker 2: ending it. What?
- 14:34Speaker 1: Tommy, would you make a Trump's answer there? Just a
- 14:36Speaker 1: little confusing. And just the general developments over the weekend.
- 14:39Speaker 3: Well, clearly he's pulling from a deep well of empathy
- 14:41Speaker 3: at the top there. But but on the bigger job part,
- 14:45Speaker 3: it's like there's I think there's two ways you interpret it.
- 14:47Speaker 3: One is like his factory setting is stuck on bullshit.
- 14:50Speaker 2: Right.
- 14:50Speaker 3: So he's like, now we're reopening the street. And that's
- 14:52Speaker 3: an even bigger message because he just does hyperbole with
- 14:55Speaker 3: all things. But maybe it is the beginning of a
- 14:58Speaker 3: bigger mission that could include like a permanent escort mission
- 15:01Speaker 3: with the Navy or taking territory on the coast to
- 15:03Speaker 3: try to like permanently.
- 15:04Speaker 2: Claim the Strait of Hormuz. I don't think we know.
- 15:06Speaker 3: I don't think he knows yet probably what he wants
- 15:08Speaker 3: to do. My assumption has been that Trump does not
- 15:10Speaker 3: want to restart the war because he doesn't want to
- 15:11Speaker 3: raise gas prices right now in advance of the midterms.
- 15:14Speaker 3: But the weekend's events show how dangerous the status quo
- 15:16Speaker 3: is and that Iran is learning. The Journal had a
- 15:19Speaker 3: piece about how they've adapted their missiles to move in
- 15:22Speaker 3: the sort of like terminal part of the flight where
- 15:24Speaker 3: they're coming down so they can evade our air defenses.
- 15:27Speaker 3: And we still have tens of thousands of service members
- 15:30Speaker 3: in the Middle East that seem like they're not well
- 15:32Speaker 3: defended at all. And so like either way, like the
- 15:36Speaker 3: reporting is, It makes it sound like he wants to
- 15:39Speaker 3: not go back to a full scale war. But as
- 15:42Speaker 3: you noted, Iran has been hitting targets all over the
- 15:44Speaker 3: Middle East and the Pentagon is putting out statements that
- 15:45Speaker 3: they've hit targets in Iran for the last 10 nights
- 15:48Speaker 3: in a row.
- 15:49Speaker 2: So that's not a war.
- 15:49Speaker 1: What is it?
- 15:50Speaker 2: We are. The war is restarted. It's whether he whether
- 15:53Speaker 2: we whether Trump wants to go so far as to
- 15:56Speaker 2: acknowledge that the ceasefire that has failed has failed.
- 15:59Speaker 1: He sort of has. I mean, he's like the MOU
- 16:02Speaker 1: is done. Who cares? And they've told Congress they're officially
- 16:05Speaker 1: back in war.
- 16:06Speaker 2: I guess the other distinction would be there would be
- 16:09Speaker 2: some explanation for what the strategy is behind what they're
- 16:12Speaker 2: hitting other than as tit for tat. Degrading. Yeah, degrading
- 16:16Speaker 2: capabilities generally.
- 16:18Speaker 1: Yeah, this is, I mean, Trump very well may not
- 16:21Speaker 1: want a return to full-scale war for all the reasons
- 16:23Speaker 1: you outlined, but this is the problem with escalation. Like
- 16:27Speaker 1: it's unpredictable and they strike and then we have to
- 16:30Speaker 1: strike back and then they strike back again. And so
- 16:32Speaker 1: suddenly the space for diplomacy becomes very, very small, and
- 16:38Speaker 1: they just keep going after each other.
- 16:40Speaker 2: Also, Americans are dying. He's at the World Cup. Their
- 16:45Speaker 2: group of families are having the worst experience of their lives.
- 16:49Speaker 2: Their lives are being ripped apart because Trump doesn't want
- 16:52Speaker 2: the war to escalate because of his political reasons. This
- 16:54Speaker 2: is just a blip. He's very sorry. It's very bad.
- 16:57Speaker 2: It's so glib. But you know that if what he
- 17:00Speaker 2: wanted to do was escalate, if Americans had been killed
- 17:03Speaker 2: And he was aiming to start the war or he
- 17:08Speaker 2: would just declare it the greatest violence against the United States.
- 17:13Speaker 2: The American service member are in harm's way being hurt
- 17:16Speaker 2: by this are purely just sort of pawns either to
- 17:21Speaker 2: downplay or lie about what's happening to them if it
- 17:24Speaker 2: doesn't suit your story about how much we're decimating the
- 17:26Speaker 2: military or he can use it as an argument for
- 17:28Speaker 2: why we need to escalate if he so chooses. This
- 17:39Speaker 2: episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. We're finally talking about mental
- 17:41Speaker 2: health openly, but actually reaching out for help is incredibly difficult.
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- 20:02Speaker 1: Think about Benghazi with Obama. Think about Abbey Gate with
- 20:07Speaker 1: Biden in Afghanistan. Now, we now have more Americans killed
- 20:11Speaker 1: than in either of those situations. And this is one
- 20:14Speaker 1: where the president of the United States and his entire
- 20:15Speaker 1: administration have said, the Iran is obliterated. We have won.
- 20:20Speaker 1: The mission is like, not just mission accomplished, like, oops,
- 20:23Speaker 1: there was a banner behind Bush. This was like every
- 20:25Speaker 1: day they're saying that their military is destroyed, decimated. We
- 20:29Speaker 1: control the skies. We control the skies. The strait is open.
- 20:32Speaker 1: And also for nothing. The stated objectives, like they haven't done,
- 20:36Speaker 1: they haven't achieved anything. They didn't destroy the regime. They
- 20:38Speaker 1: didn't get the, They didn't make any progress on their
- 20:40Speaker 1: nuclear program. They didn't destroy their ballistic missile programs. They
- 20:44Speaker 1: didn't destroy the proxies.
- 20:47Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we're in a situation where it feels
- 20:49Speaker 3: frustrating and unsatisfying because they don't care about getting caught
- 20:53Speaker 3: in those lies by the mainstream press the way every
- 20:56Speaker 3: other president in history has. But when you look at
- 20:58Speaker 3: the polling, like this is the most unpopular war in
- 21:01Speaker 3: modern American history. It's going to get worse as gas
- 21:04Speaker 3: prices tick back up. And there's just no end game here.
- 21:08Speaker 3: Like the Iranians want to control the Strait of Hormuz.
- 21:10Speaker 3: Trump can't let that happen. How do you sort that out?
- 21:14Speaker 1: And you want to talk about the Houthis now? And
- 21:16Speaker 1: they announced there's a blockade of Saudi Arabia.
- 21:19Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 21:19Speaker 3: So the Houthis, so back in 2015, the Saudis launched
- 21:22Speaker 3: this disastrous war on the Houthi rebels in Yemen. Hundreds
- 21:25Speaker 3: of thousands of people died because of it, mostly because
- 21:27Speaker 3: of famine. In 2022, they announced a ceasefire and then
- 21:29Speaker 3: some peace talks. So Ben and I were talking about
- 21:31Speaker 3: last week, This kind of fragile ceasefire kind of erupted
- 21:35Speaker 3: because the Saudis bombed the Sana'a airport. I think they
- 21:38Speaker 3: were trying to stop an IRGC plane from landing back
- 21:41Speaker 3: in Yemen that had been at the Supreme Leader's funeral
- 21:44Speaker 3: in Yemen. We were kind of like, uh-oh, that's ominous. Like,
- 21:46Speaker 3: why are we kicking back up this conflict? And so today,
- 21:50Speaker 3: on Monday, the Houthis announced that they're going to embargo
- 21:53Speaker 3: Saudi ships in the Red Sea via the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
- 21:57Speaker 3: So that's the choke point out of the Red Sea border.
- 21:59Speaker 3: to the east where a lot of oil.
- 22:01Speaker 2: And gas flows.
- 22:01Speaker 3: And so I don't know how this would work or
- 22:03Speaker 3: how they would implement it. But if you have the
- 22:05Speaker 3: Strait of Hormuz closed and then access to the Red
- 22:07Speaker 3: Sea shut off, that chokes off like another 5% of
- 22:10Speaker 3: the world's oil and reform petroleum products that pass through
- 22:14Speaker 3: that strait. And so the Saudis, the way the Saudis
- 22:16Speaker 3: have been getting around the Strait of Hormuz being shut
- 22:18Speaker 3: is they have a pipeline that goes west and south,
- 22:20Speaker 3: and they've been pumping oil and gas out and getting
- 22:23Speaker 3: it out through the Red Sea. If they can no
- 22:25Speaker 3: longer do that, it's a huge reduction in supply. At
- 22:28Speaker 3: the same time, you have the Russian oil refinery capacity
- 22:31Speaker 3: has been cut in half due to Ukrainian strikes. You
- 22:33Speaker 3: have all the oil reserves depleted because of the war,
- 22:36Speaker 3: because we all just spent it down to try to
- 22:38Speaker 3: keep costs low. And then China had been limiting imports
- 22:42Speaker 3: during the conflict. Now they're ramping them back up.
- 22:45Speaker 2: So you could really see a serious supply shock in
- 22:48Speaker 2: price increase. So one to watch.
- 22:49Speaker 3: I mean, maybe the Houthis are not actually going to
- 22:52Speaker 3: go through with this and they'll try to calm things
- 22:54Speaker 3: down with the Saudis. But Um, this is kind of
- 22:56Speaker 3: like the nightmare scenario in terms of energy prices.
- 22:59Speaker 1: And oil went over $ 90 a barrel briefly over the weekend.
- 23:03Speaker 1: It's now in the eighties, but gas is up to
- 23:05Speaker 1: $ 4 a gallon again. Um, and this is right at
- 23:08Speaker 1: the beginning of this new phase of the war.
- 23:10Speaker 2: And the Houthis don't have to completely control, uh, this
- 23:15Speaker 2: waterway to create a bunch of fear and force ships
- 23:19Speaker 2: to either, uh, delay, go around, uh, raise the cost
- 23:24Speaker 2: of insurance, what have you, right? And, you know, having
- 23:27Speaker 2: Iran and Iranian proxies in charge of these two choke
- 23:30Speaker 2: points through a quarter or more of the world's oil
- 23:34Speaker 2: goes through is really sort of, once again, showing how
- 23:39Speaker 2: much more powerful Iran has gotten because of this conflict.
- 23:41Speaker 2: Even the language the Houthis used was just basically, well,
- 23:44Speaker 2: this is, Trump is doing a blockade on a blockade
- 23:46Speaker 2: in the Strait of Hormuz. We're going to do a
- 23:48Speaker 2: blockade on a blockade on this side too. That's just
- 23:50Speaker 2: how it goes.
- 23:51Speaker 1: Meanwhile, Republican the Republican Congress has done absolutely nothing to
- 23:55Speaker 1: rein him in on this. You have a few voted
- 23:57Speaker 1: for like a war powers resolution and that's about it.
- 23:59Speaker 1: And now, you know, they have a week before they
- 24:02Speaker 1: all go on break until mid-September and the House is
- 24:05Speaker 1: trying to pass the NDAA, also the. the supplemental yeah
- 24:11Speaker 1: extra like billions and billions and billions of dollars more
- 24:14Speaker 1: which is just absolutely fucking crazy nuts billions of dollars
- 24:17Speaker 1: so ice is back in the news for all the
- 24:18Speaker 1: wrong reasons after agents shot and killed one unarmed man
- 24:21Speaker 1: in houston texas and another in bitterford maine both men
- 24:25Speaker 1: were fathers and husbands who had been living and working
- 24:27Speaker 1: in america for years both were driving at the time
- 24:30Speaker 1: and both were victims of mistaken identity by ice After
- 24:34Speaker 1: the shooting in Maine, DHS Secretary Mark Wayne Mullen ordered
- 24:37Speaker 1: a temporary pause on vehicle stops by ICE officers, a
- 24:40Speaker 1: pause that Susan Collins quickly took credit for, which was
- 24:44Speaker 1: then overturned by Trump in less than 48 hours after
- 24:47Speaker 1: an intense right-wing backlash to Mullen. Despite the fact that
- 24:50Speaker 1: ICE has arrested a record number of people since Mullen's
- 24:52Speaker 1: been confirmed, even hitting Stephen Miller's 2,000 arrest per day
- 24:56Speaker 1: quota a few times this month. This is, of course,
- 24:58Speaker 1: thanks to the $ 170 billion that Susan Collins and her
- 25:02Speaker 1: fellow Republicans funneled to ICE. which seems to be giving
- 25:05Speaker 1: badges and guns to anyone who wants them, the ex-wife
- 25:08Speaker 1: of the agent who killed the person in Maine told
- 25:11Speaker 1: the AP that because her ex-husband has a history of
- 25:14Speaker 1: violent behavior and serious psychiatric issues, when he told her
- 25:18Speaker 1: ICE had hired him, quote, she thought he was having
- 25:20Speaker 1: a mental health episode and didn't believe him.
- 25:23Speaker 2: Jesus.
- 25:23Speaker 1: This is the guy who killed the person in Maine.
- 25:26Speaker 1: And now, according to the New York Times, federal agents
- 25:28Speaker 1: recently received a written notice that the FBI would, quote,
- 25:31Speaker 1: no longer investigate confrontations with immigration agents, supposed to be
- 25:36Speaker 1: handled now internally through DHS. This is a report that's
- 25:39Speaker 1: been denied by both the Department of Justice and the
- 25:42Speaker 1: Department of Homeland Security. So I feel like after Minnesota
- 25:47Speaker 1: and Nome's firing, we were all worried that nothing would
- 25:49Speaker 1: actually get better. It would just get quieter. Sure enough,
- 25:53Speaker 1: even Trump's approval on immigration has sort of crept back up,
- 25:56Speaker 1: though it's still slightly underwater. What do you make of
- 25:59Speaker 1: the administration response to the killings in Texas and in Maine?
- 26:02Speaker 2: So yeah, that Homan was going to be some kind
- 26:04Speaker 2: of a step up from Bovino and from Kristi Noem.
- 26:07Speaker 2: The fear was they would continue doing what they were doing,
- 26:10Speaker 2: but not as ostentatious. I do think the fact that
- 26:14Speaker 2: they determined that these sieges upon cities were counterproductive politically
- 26:22Speaker 2: was a win that continued, but that doesn't mean they
- 26:24Speaker 2: haven't been more competently and quietly aggressive. And they have
- 26:29Speaker 2: continued to put people like this out into the field.
- 26:33Speaker 2: We already know they reduced the amount of time these
- 26:35Speaker 2: people are trained. They lowered their standards. They've been desperate
- 26:38Speaker 2: to recruit. So this is a direct result, not just
- 26:41Speaker 2: what the Trump administration is doing, but what Congress has
- 26:44Speaker 2: done to fund and give them the resources to rapidly
- 26:48Speaker 2: hire people who have no business using a gun, let
- 26:53Speaker 2: alone using a gun as law enforcement as part of
- 26:56Speaker 2: the federal government. You read about this guy's background before
- 26:59Speaker 2: he's in ICE. This is just a fucking... troubled guy.
- 27:02Speaker 2: He had a terrible head injury. He was doing door dash.
- 27:05Speaker 2: He was doing correction. He just was all over the place.
- 27:07Speaker 1: Violent towards his own kids. I thought that the blowback
- 27:10Speaker 1: to Mullen was very telling, too, on the right. Because
- 27:14Speaker 1: it kind of goes to the point that he's not
- 27:16Speaker 1: running the department, really. This is just like Miller's policies,
- 27:20Speaker 1: and he tries to do something on his own to pause,
- 27:22Speaker 1: and then Trump immediately just backs off.
- 27:23Speaker 3: Yeah, I wonder if Mullen got a call from Susan
- 27:25Speaker 3: Collins directly, because they're Senate colleagues and they probably know
- 27:28Speaker 3: each other. But yeah, I mean, this is officer in Maine.
- 27:30Speaker 2: He shot and killed a man in front of his
- 27:31Speaker 2: three-year-old daughter. It's fucking evil.
- 27:34Speaker 3: And it shows that the policy has not changed much,
- 27:38Speaker 3: but the PR strategy has. I mean, Nome and Bovino,
- 27:40Speaker 3: like you said, they were being pressured to make 3,000
- 27:43Speaker 3: arrests a day. And to do that, they would have
- 27:46Speaker 3: Border Patrol invade a city like an army and occupy
- 27:49Speaker 3: it in the flashiest way possible. That included flying Blackhawk
- 27:52Speaker 3: helicopters over Chicago or having little social media people filming
- 27:55Speaker 3: all the stuff they were doing and then releasing it
- 27:57Speaker 3: because they were.
- 27:58Speaker 2: Proud of it.
- 27:58Speaker 3: And Mullen is still trying to hit 2,000 arrests a day,
- 28:01Speaker 3: but the arrests are spread out all over the country
- 28:03Speaker 3: and he's less thirsty for press attention than Noam was,
- 28:06Speaker 3: although- Probably doesn't want it.
- 28:07Speaker 2: Low bar.
- 28:08Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 28:09Speaker 3: DHS is still lying about all these incidents. They're de
- 28:12Speaker 3: facto covering up for all these officers, but they're doing
- 28:15Speaker 3: it in a slightly less gratuitous way. It's not like
- 28:18Speaker 3: Minnesota where they're saying Rene Good and Alex Preddy were
- 28:20Speaker 3: domestic terrorists or that Preddy was trying to massacre police, right?
- 28:24Speaker 3: That was the intention to massacre police was like the
- 28:26Speaker 3: line afterwards. And so- Trump, though, is still making it
- 28:29Speaker 3: clear that he doesn't care if innocent people are killed.
- 28:32Speaker 3: He wants the dangerous practices like the vehicle stop arrest
- 28:36Speaker 3: to continue if it means more deportations.
- 28:39Speaker 2: So it is.
- 28:40Speaker 3: Like they've definitely put a less flashy shine on their policies,
- 28:44Speaker 3: but it is still very much the same dangerous, abusive practice.
- 28:49Speaker 2: And that you can't give in to the libs, right?
- 28:51Speaker 2: Like you can't, if something terrible happens and there's a
- 28:54Speaker 2: call from your enemies to be restrained, to show any
- 28:58Speaker 2: kind of restraint. You can't give in to that because
- 29:02Speaker 2: that is what led us here, right? Like that's the problem.
- 29:04Speaker 2: We have to prove we're really tough.
- 29:06Speaker 1: Well, the Post had a good story on this about
- 29:08Speaker 1: the sort of the blowback to Mullen. And, you know,
- 29:11Speaker 1: it came from all the usual sort of right-wing media
- 29:14Speaker 1: online spaces, but also the Heritage Foundation. And there's people
- 29:17Speaker 1: in the Heritage Foundation making the point that Tommy did,
- 29:20Speaker 1: which is they're all saying like, oh, Collins probably called
- 29:23Speaker 1: mullen because they're senate colleagues and this is the problem
- 29:26Speaker 1: with having someone at dhs from the senate because you're
- 29:29Speaker 1: trying to please all those people who are too moderate
- 29:32Speaker 1: and we have to just put you know foot on
- 29:34Speaker 1: the gas for the deportation agenda and it doesn't matter
- 29:36Speaker 1: it doesn't like we're just going to keep going like
- 29:39Speaker 1: stephen miller doesn't care if it's unpopular. He doesn't care
- 29:43Speaker 1: if people get killed. He doesn't care if what the
- 29:46Speaker 1: detention center conditions are. He doesn't care what he just
- 29:49Speaker 1: wants to do it. He just wants to get it
- 29:50Speaker 1: done and thinks that he is like, and the only
- 29:52Speaker 1: thing that's going to stop him is tremendous public pressure.
- 29:55Speaker 1: Like the kind we saw after Minneapolis or, Democrats winning
- 29:58Speaker 1: Congress and being able to reign Trump in that way
- 30:01Speaker 1: with the power of the purse.
- 30:02Speaker 2: Well, look, his, his immigrant Trump's of immigration ratings were
- 30:06Speaker 2: in the drop precipitously around the time of, uh, the, uh,
- 30:10Speaker 2: killings in Minnesota. They have slowly but surely ticked back up.
- 30:15Speaker 2: They're not above 50 and they're still, you know, they're
- 30:17Speaker 2: not as high as they once were, but the, when
- 30:22Speaker 2: the attention comes off of it, it kind of, it
- 30:25Speaker 2: kind of reverts to a mean that, And the baked
- 30:28Speaker 2: in assumption, I think, on their part is people know
- 30:31Speaker 2: that even if he goes too far, he is strong
- 30:34Speaker 2: on this issue. It is a symbol of how he
- 30:36Speaker 2: is strong as a president. I think that is the
- 30:38Speaker 2: deeper reason he can justify politically continuing to do this. Yeah.
- 30:43Speaker 1: And I think that because it's not in the news
- 30:46Speaker 1: and people aren't seeing the excesses of the deportation project,
- 30:51Speaker 1: Trump's deportation project, it's like they want, most people want
- 30:55Speaker 1: border security to And unfortunately, most people want, like, approve
- 30:59Speaker 1: of the deportations in general. They just think that it's,
- 31:02Speaker 1: you know, when they don't see the excesses in the news,
- 31:04Speaker 1: they think, well, they're deporting all the right people, right?
- 31:07Speaker 1: They're deporting the violent criminals and that's that. And they
- 31:09Speaker 1: forget about what happened in Minnesota and stuff like that.
- 31:11Speaker 1: And you've got to, this way you're just going to
- 31:12Speaker 1: keep reminding people. And my people, you know, coming out
- 31:16Speaker 1: in Maine and Texas to protest this is important to
- 31:20Speaker 1: keep it in the news.
- 31:20Speaker 2: Yeah, there's also just like a fundamental problem in, When
- 31:25Speaker 2: there is a mass shooting and 12 people are killed
- 31:28Speaker 2: in one place, that is national news. If there are
- 31:31Speaker 2: 12 heinous murders committed by people who should not have
- 31:36Speaker 2: access to guns, that does not get the same coverage
- 31:38Speaker 2: because they are distributed, even though it is the same
- 31:40Speaker 2: level of harm. And so, yes, they are not wrong, right?
- 31:45Speaker 2: That just people do not pay as much attention when
- 31:48Speaker 2: these sort of injustices are distributed. And I know there's
- 31:50Speaker 2: no good answer for that other than continue to talk
- 31:52Speaker 2: about it. Pots of America is brought to you by HIMSS.
- 32:02Speaker 2: ED is more common than guys talk about. The good news.
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- 32:08Speaker 2: is simple. He's always saying how he doesn't have it.
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- 34:59Speaker 1: to cookunity.com slash crooked. One big question about the political
- 35:06Speaker 1: impact is how this plays with Latino voters in the
- 35:09Speaker 1: midterms and beyond. Our friend Carlos Odio at Eckies Research said,
- 35:12Speaker 1: always reminds us that the economy, not immigration, is still
- 35:15Speaker 1: the top concern for Latino voters. In fact, their latest
- 35:18Speaker 1: poll shows Trump's approval with Latinos has significantly decreased for
- 35:22Speaker 1: the first time since last summer, mainly because his ratings
- 35:24Speaker 1: on the economy and cost of living have collapsed. Dan
- 35:27Speaker 1: talked with Carlos for this week's Polar Coaster, which you
- 35:29Speaker 1: can listen to if you're a Friend of the Pod subscriber.
- 35:31Speaker 1: If you're not, please consider joining at crooked.com slash friends
- 35:34Speaker 1: so you can get subscriber-only shows like Polar Coaster, along
- 35:37Speaker 1: with ad-free versions of your favorite Crooked shows, now including
- 35:40Speaker 1: Runaway Country with Alex Wagner. That said, Carlos Zaneckis also
- 35:44Speaker 1: found that around two-thirds of Latinos think Trump has gone
- 35:48Speaker 1: too far on enforcement and deportation. And among Trump 2024
- 35:51Speaker 1: voters who are Latino who regret their vote, immigration overreach
- 35:55Speaker 1: was one of the top reasons cited. What did you
- 35:57Speaker 1: guys make of all that polling in terms of how
- 35:59Speaker 1: Democrats should handle this issue from now until the midterms?
- 36:03Speaker 2: I mean, I think the takeaways there are Trump's approval
- 36:06Speaker 2: is down.
- 36:07Speaker 3: Many Latinos now regret voting for Trump, but Democratic approval
- 36:09Speaker 3: is not necessarily up. So we need to treat Latino
- 36:12Speaker 3: voters like they're swing voters, which they are.
- 36:13Speaker 2: They have been.
- 36:15Speaker 3: We're still way behind where we were with Latino voters
- 36:17Speaker 3: in 2018. Carlos had a good message, which was basically like,
- 36:20Speaker 3: don't scold people for voting for Trump. You just say
- 36:22Speaker 3: you were lied to. Trump promised you a bunch of
- 36:24Speaker 3: stuff he didn't deliver. You're welcome back in the Democratic Party.
- 36:26Speaker 3: I think that sounds exactly right. But I do think
- 36:29Speaker 3: it's like The thing you hear from a lot of
- 36:32Speaker 3: activist groups is that Democrats only show up in the
- 36:34Speaker 3: last month of an election. It's all GOTV messaging, turnout messaging.
- 36:37Speaker 3: It's not persuasion messaging. It's not early enough. And I
- 36:40Speaker 3: think that's a lesson we need to learn this time.
- 36:43Speaker 2: Yeah, looking at immigration specifically, I just think you can
- 36:46Speaker 2: reflect what is true and also comes across in the polling. Democrats,
- 36:50Speaker 2: I think, really did have, for a long time, had
- 36:54Speaker 2: their heads in the sand around the difference between uh,
- 36:59Speaker 2: believing in immigration and, uh, opposing a lawless border, right?
- 37:06Speaker 2: Like there was just a difference. And, uh, there, there
- 37:09Speaker 2: was kind of a, uh, I think like, um, treating
- 37:11Speaker 2: people like they were pretty stupid about it. Um, but
- 37:14Speaker 2: now I don't think it's very hard to say, like,
- 37:16Speaker 2: we believe in a, in, uh, uh, controlling the border,
- 37:20Speaker 2: but you, the, they're terrorizing communities or terrorizing families. You
- 37:24Speaker 2: can enforce our immigration laws in a way that is
- 37:26Speaker 2: not cruel and capricious and violent and chaotic. And in
- 37:32Speaker 2: the same way, he has failed to, because of his
- 37:35Speaker 2: incompetence and chaos, failed to address the reason so many
- 37:38Speaker 2: people gave him a chance. Cost of living is up.
- 37:41Speaker 2: Gas is up. Everything is up. He's focused on all
- 37:43Speaker 2: the wrong things. On immigration, we have seen so much
- 37:46Speaker 2: chaos and so much violence and none of it was necessary.
- 37:50Speaker 2: He was elected to do to bring down the cost
- 37:53Speaker 2: of living and bring some order to places where people
- 37:56Speaker 2: felt as though there wasn't enforcement at the border. Now
- 38:02Speaker 2: it's time to have responsible adults who are going to
- 38:06Speaker 2: make good policy and do it in a way that
- 38:08Speaker 2: reflects what people want out of their government without being
- 38:11Speaker 2: so incompetent and cruel. Yeah.
- 38:14Speaker 1: I thought the polling was interesting in that Latino voters,
- 38:16Speaker 1: like most voters, they care about cost of living more
- 38:18Speaker 1: than anything else. So that's the lead message. But you know,
- 38:22Speaker 1: sometimes it's framed as a choice between like, do we
- 38:24Speaker 1: talk about that? Or do we talk about what ice
- 38:25Speaker 1: is doing? And, you know, Carlos and Eggie say that
- 38:28Speaker 1: like Democrats should lift up the stories of the people
- 38:31Speaker 1: who've been killed by ice. Um, and then, but then
- 38:34Speaker 1: makes the point, not just their wrongful deaths, but also
- 38:36Speaker 1: the stories of their families and contributions to their communities. Uh,
- 38:39Speaker 1: the data shows that among Latinos who believe Trump's gone
- 38:41Speaker 1: too far in immigration, most say it's because of the
- 38:43Speaker 1: impact his policies have had on families, children, us citizens,
- 38:46Speaker 1: and legal immigrants. Um, so there is, you know, the,
- 38:50Speaker 1: The stories in the way that we would tell the
- 38:51Speaker 1: stories anyway is what Democrats should be doing. Speaking of
- 38:55Speaker 1: the midterms, one Republican who should be especially vulnerable on
- 38:57Speaker 1: her unqualified support for ICE is Susan Collins, who is
- 39:00Speaker 1: now likely to face Democrat Troy Jackson in November. Jackson
- 39:04Speaker 1: is Maine's former state Senate president who just lost the
- 39:07Speaker 1: 2026 primary for governor. He's also a fifth generation logger
- 39:10Speaker 1: from about as far north and rural as Maine gets.
- 39:13Speaker 1: It's on the border of Canada where he's where Troy
- 39:16Speaker 1: Jackson's from. Jackson won't officially be nominated to replace Graham
- 39:19Speaker 1: Plattner until the party convention this weekend. But he ran
- 39:22Speaker 1: the table at the county level meetings where delegates were
- 39:24Speaker 1: chosen to the point where all of his major competitors
- 39:27Speaker 1: have now dropped out.
- 39:29Speaker 2: So I. I pretended to be a dermatologist, and I
- 39:32Speaker 2: gave him a sort of head-to-toe mole check, and he's clear.
- 39:37Speaker 2: So no moles and nothing else. So I just, I
- 39:40Speaker 2: had to, you know, put on the stethoscope, that whole thing.
- 39:43Speaker 2: You know, he kept on his underwear. I'm not a
- 39:44Speaker 2: fucking maniac.
- 39:46Speaker 1: Early thoughts on Troy Jackson, who's always been our favorite
- 39:50Speaker 1: in this race, who we always thought would.
- 39:51Speaker 2: Be the Senate candidate. I have no thoughts on Troy Jackson.
- 39:53Speaker 2: I'm going to spend a little more time looking.
- 39:55Speaker 3: I have thoughts on huge credit to the main Democratic
- 39:57Speaker 3: Party for throwing together a process this quickly.
- 39:59Speaker 2: That must be hard. If Jackson gets it, hopefully that
- 40:02Speaker 2: will go a long.
- 40:03Speaker 3: Way towards bringing along the Plattner voters, who are probably
- 40:06Speaker 3: pretty pissed off, and the volunteers who were left hanging
- 40:08Speaker 3: when he withdrew.
- 40:09Speaker 2: We're still in a tough spot.
- 40:12Speaker 3: Plattner left us a mess. We're behind in fundraising. We're
- 40:15Speaker 3: behind in name ID. Uh, hopefully now this can become
- 40:18Speaker 3: a referendum on Donald Trump and how voting for Susan
- 40:20Speaker 3: Collins is a vote for the Donald Trump agenda.
- 40:22Speaker 1: But yeah, it seems like he's, um, already moving towards that, uh,
- 40:27Speaker 1: talking all about Susan Collins and, and, and it's what
- 40:30Speaker 1: could have been a very contentious couple of weeks here. Yeah.
- 40:33Speaker 2: They figured it out.
- 40:34Speaker 1: They figured it out. Like credit to the main democratic
- 40:36Speaker 1: party credit to all of, uh, Troy Jackson's challengers to
- 40:39Speaker 1: who like, instead of hanging into the convention of all
- 40:42Speaker 1: dropped out and are all supporting him now, which is great.
- 40:44Speaker 1: just so people know who Drury Jackson is. Um, he,
- 40:47Speaker 1: so he was state Senate president. He was reelected, um,
- 40:50Speaker 1: in last in 2022 and one of the reddest, reddest
- 40:53Speaker 1: parts of Maine. Uh, I looked up there in the
- 40:56Speaker 1: first district, the state Senate district registration. There is 36% Republican,
- 41:01Speaker 1: 19% Democrat, 45% no party preference. Okay. So that is, uh, independent.
- 41:07Speaker 1: That is an achievement, uh, winning, winning that district. Um,
- 41:11Speaker 1: internal polls, there's only been a few internal polls with
- 41:14Speaker 1: him and Collins. They have him tied or slightly ahead.
- 41:16Speaker 1: So it's too early for that. Um, he's got pretty
- 41:19Speaker 1: much all of Graham Platner's positions. Um, he doesn't, maybe.
- 41:23Speaker 2: Well, some of his older positions, sort of just more
- 41:26Speaker 2: recent political ones, I'd say probably.
- 41:28Speaker 4: Yes.
- 41:28Speaker 1: Political positions, political positions. Um, maybe, maybe not as, maybe
- 41:32Speaker 1: not quite as charismatic as, uh, as, as, you know,
- 41:35Speaker 1: he's a little, he's a little, little gruffer. You know what?
- 41:38Speaker 2: We'll see.
- 41:39Speaker 1: He came in third for governor and used to be
- 41:41Speaker 1: very conservative on abortion and gay rights. And over the years,
- 41:44Speaker 1: now he gets like 100% ratings from abortion and gay
- 41:47Speaker 1: rights groups.
- 41:47Speaker 4: Great.
- 41:48Speaker 1: So he's sort of changed over time.
- 41:49Speaker 3: I realize our process is not ideal, but in South Carolina,
- 41:52Speaker 3: Republicans are like, hey, Lindsey Graham, you're dead.
- 41:54Speaker 2: What if your sister just takes over? That's weird. Hey,
- 41:57Speaker 2: we're in the market for a Lindsey Graham in a wig.
- 41:59Speaker 2: That's so weird. They're just handing a Senate seat to
- 42:01Speaker 2: Lindsey Graham's sister? Yeah.
- 42:02Speaker 1: And so there hasn't been a lot of like... you
- 42:06Speaker 1: didn't give us a process. Why did you give us
- 42:08Speaker 1: this guy? I think for Troy Jackson, it's like, it's
- 42:11Speaker 1: name ID, right? Like people don't, I don't think even
- 42:14Speaker 1: people in Maine, right? Like you're the state Senate. Does
- 42:16Speaker 1: anyone know the state Senate president? I don't even know
- 42:19Speaker 1: who the head of the legislature is here. And an
- 42:21Speaker 1: assembly is in California.
- 42:22Speaker 2: Do you guys going to be very complicated? I'm not
- 42:24Speaker 2: doing pop quizzes today.
- 42:27Speaker 3: Just so folks know, it's not just the Lindsey Graham
- 42:28Speaker 3: sister is, is, finishing out the seat she's announcing she's
- 42:33Speaker 3: going to run for it i.
- 42:34Speaker 2: Know and i just want to be clear we don't
- 42:36Speaker 2: know for you know maybe she has great and interest
- 42:40Speaker 2: like she works with the blind i don't know gotta
- 42:42Speaker 2: there's a chance let's just let's just be cool we've
- 42:45Speaker 2: loved we always thought lindsey graham's sister was a reasonable
- 42:48Speaker 2: person who could have a conversation with let's give her
- 42:50Speaker 2: a chance before she if you discover that she makes
- 42:52Speaker 2: lauren bobert look like hakeem jeffries.
- 42:56Speaker 1: Unfortunately, Nancy Mace has dropped out of that race and
- 42:58Speaker 1: won't be running now.
- 42:59Speaker 2: It's so funny.
- 42:59Speaker 1: She said she'll continue to shitpost. She literally said that.
- 43:02Speaker 2: That's great. She posted, just when I thought I was out,
- 43:04Speaker 2: they pulled me back in from Godfather Part 3. The
- 43:07Speaker 2: least requested person ever being like, fine, I'll do it.
- 43:11Speaker 2: They being yourself? Right. The voices?
- 43:14Speaker 1: Turns out Maine isn't the only speed bump on the
- 43:16Speaker 1: road to a blue wave. The Wisconsin gubernatorial primary just
- 43:19Speaker 1: got a little jolt over the weekend when Lieutenant Governor
- 43:21Speaker 1: Sarah Rodriguez ended her campaign. after revealing serious financial mismanagement
- 43:25Speaker 1: by her campaign manager. She was one of the leading
- 43:30Speaker 1: candidates in the polls. Her dropping out set off a
- 43:33Speaker 1: panic among the state's more moderate and establishment Democrats, who
- 43:36Speaker 1: are worried that Francesca Hong, the DSA-backed candidate who's leading
- 43:40Speaker 1: in the polls, won't be able to win in November. So,
- 43:43Speaker 1: even though former Lieutenant Governor and Senate candidate Mandela Barnes
- 43:47Speaker 1: is still close to Hong in the polls, Wisconsin Democrats
- 43:50Speaker 1: convinced Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley who'd ended his own
- 43:54Speaker 1: campaign a week earlier to get back in the race.
- 43:57Speaker 1: And then Governor Tony Evers, who had been staying out
- 44:00Speaker 1: of the primary, endorsed Crowley. Seems like they got everything
- 44:04Speaker 1: under control up there in Wisconsin, huh?
- 44:07Speaker 2: I keyed into this because when I saw the Sarah
- 44:11Speaker 2: Rodriguez press conference, and I was watching this video, and
- 44:15Speaker 2: I really hadn't been paying close attention to this primary,
- 44:17Speaker 2: to be honest. But then I watched the video, and
- 44:19Speaker 2: just someone at the podium being like, here is when
- 44:21Speaker 2: I found out we were being robbed. Here is when
- 44:23Speaker 2: I found out there was not enough money here and there.
- 44:26Speaker 2: Then I realized there was a problem over here. And
- 44:28Speaker 2: I was like, oh boy, I mean, I guess it's
- 44:30Speaker 2: good to get ahead of this, but I don't know
- 44:31Speaker 2: how you can win a campaign for governor when you're
- 44:33Speaker 2: just getting, when your finances are so fucked.
- 44:35Speaker 3: I still feel like I'm missing something in the Sarah
- 44:37Speaker 3: Rodriguez story. The campaign manager double counted donations so they
- 44:41Speaker 3: had less money than expected. Then that same staffer puts
- 44:44Speaker 3: out a press release that's like, we're doing a million
- 44:46Speaker 3: dollar ad buy. The candidate is like, Hey, where's our ads?
- 44:50Speaker 3: I don't ever see them on TV. Turns out the
- 44:52Speaker 3: ad buy was fake because again, they didn't have the money.
- 44:55Speaker 3: They put out their filing and she has like 35
- 44:58Speaker 3: grand on hand.
- 44:59Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 45:00Speaker 2: So that's obviously bad, but do you have to drop
- 45:03Speaker 2: out for that? Well, like, I mean, you couldn't have
- 45:06Speaker 2: stuck it out. I just think that if you're running
- 45:07Speaker 2: to be the chief, something, something else, I get the argument.
- 45:10Speaker 3: Like it looks incompetent. You can't manage your own campaign.
- 45:12Speaker 3: You can't manage your own finances, but it's like, I
- 45:13Speaker 3: don't know. The primary is August 11th.
- 45:15Speaker 2: Like I feel like there must be more we're going
- 45:16Speaker 2: to learn about what happened. And by the way, when
- 45:18Speaker 2: I say Rob, I have no idea. It just sounded
- 45:20Speaker 2: like someone at least insinuating that money was going out
- 45:24Speaker 2: the door illicitly.
- 45:26Speaker 1: Anyway, she's gone.
- 45:28Speaker 2: May her memory be a blessing.
- 45:31Speaker 1: This is an important race. We don't want a Republican
- 45:34Speaker 1: as governor in Wisconsin in 2028 when there will be
- 45:36Speaker 1: a presidential election to certify. And so really important that
- 45:41Speaker 1: we replace Tony Eves with a Democrat. I'm kind of
- 45:43Speaker 1: confused about... Why they didn't rally around Mandela Barnes. So
- 45:50Speaker 1: Mandela Barnes, who we've known Mandela for a while. He
- 45:54Speaker 1: also ran in 2022 for Senate. He came like 26,000
- 46:00Speaker 1: votes shy of winning in a year where it was
- 46:03Speaker 1: a 2022 midterms. It was a more Republican leaning year.
- 46:07Speaker 1: And he's close to Hong in all the polls. He's
- 46:11Speaker 1: probably like ahead of Rodriguez in some polls. Several polls
- 46:14Speaker 1: show him ahead of the Republican candidate, Representative Tom Tiffany.
- 46:19Speaker 1: And Crowley, who I don't know much about, David Crowley,
- 46:23Speaker 1: but when he suspended his campaign, he never got more
- 46:25Speaker 1: than 5% of the vote in any of the polls.
- 46:28Speaker 1: He never hit beyond 5%. And then somehow Evers went
- 46:32Speaker 1: out and endorsed him and not Barnes.
- 46:36Speaker 2: I don't understand it either. Other than he lost before,
- 46:39Speaker 2: they could use that same playbook again. If he lost
- 46:42Speaker 2: to Ron Johnson, he's going to lose again. It's confusing.
- 46:45Speaker 1: Like 20% of primary voters have already cast their ballots.
- 46:47Speaker 1: It's almost impossible that David Crowley is going to win this.
- 46:51Speaker 1: What him getting back into the race may do is
- 46:53Speaker 1: assure that Hong is going to win.
- 46:56Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 46:57Speaker 3: I mean, all the whispering in those articles is they
- 46:59Speaker 3: think Mandela Barnes is basically just as progressive as Hong
- 47:02Speaker 3: and therefore will have all the same problems. I think
- 47:04Speaker 3: they're all kind of whispering about bad polling. I have
- 47:06Speaker 3: no idea if that's true, but that's when like Politico
- 47:08Speaker 3: reports on this and stuff.
- 47:09Speaker 2: Yeah. The strategy is baffling.
- 47:11Speaker 1: Yeah. But it's so funny because it's one thing to
- 47:14Speaker 1: think Barnes is also too progressive, just like Hong. And
- 47:19Speaker 1: so Crowley would be the most electable candidate. Like I
- 47:22Speaker 1: get that argument is that I may not agree with it,
- 47:24Speaker 1: but I get it as a legitimate argument. But then saying, okay,
- 47:28Speaker 1: so we'll put him in the primary with two weeks left.
- 47:30Speaker 1: He never hit 5%. And somehow he'll vault ahead of
- 47:34Speaker 1: the other two candidates.
- 47:35Speaker 3: They're just hoping that the Tony Evers endorsement will do it,
- 47:38Speaker 3: it seems.
- 47:41Speaker 2: There has been a lot of great polling, but also
- 47:43Speaker 2: the polling's had them all pretty low, too. So maybe
- 47:45Speaker 2: they're hoping there's just a lot of people that have
- 47:47Speaker 2: made up their minds. They're coming late. Yeah, the other,
- 47:49Speaker 2: also just to say, like, Barnes was lieutenant governor of
- 47:51Speaker 2: the state. He's not, like, coming from nowhere, right?
- 47:53Speaker 1: I'll just say this. Like, if Hong wins the primary
- 47:56Speaker 1: and loses the general, it is not, this is not, like,
- 48:00Speaker 1: let's blame DSA. This is the establishment decided to put
- 48:03Speaker 1: in someone else, potentially split the vote with Barnes, and
- 48:07Speaker 1: that's where we ended up where we did.
- 48:09Speaker 2: Not to mention after Sarah Rodriguez had to end her campaign.
- 48:12Speaker 1: Right, of course.
- 48:12Speaker 2: I mean, there was some flame out coming. I think
- 48:14Speaker 2: everyone in Wisconsin was just like, Jesus Christ, what do
- 48:16Speaker 2: we do? Right. We're scrambling. Right.
- 48:18Speaker 1: But that's what I'm saying. The Crowley thing is the
- 48:20Speaker 1: weird part. It's not like no one could have seen
- 48:22Speaker 1: the Sarah Rodriguez thing coming, but the Crowley thing is
- 48:24Speaker 1: just a weird thing to do.
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- 49:32Speaker 1: All right, let's end with Michigan where there's a... A
- 49:40Speaker 1: very chill, congenial Senate primary between former Crooked host Abdul El-Sayed,
- 49:44Speaker 1: who the three of us are supporting, and Congresswoman Haley Stevens,
- 49:47Speaker 1: who we're hoping to have on the show as soon
- 49:49Speaker 1: as she can make it work. The polling is relatively
- 49:52Speaker 1: sparse and a bit all over the place in a
- 49:54Speaker 1: race where the biggest issue dividing the candidates is Israel.
- 49:57Speaker 1: Abdul wants to end all USA to Israel. Stevens does
- 50:00Speaker 1: not and has the support of AIPAC, who's spending heavily
- 50:03Speaker 1: in this race. Abdul is also in favor of more
- 50:06Speaker 1: progressive policies like abolishing ICE and Medicare for all. which
- 50:09Speaker 1: is one reason he's been endorsed by AOC and Bernie Sanders,
- 50:12Speaker 1: who were in the state this weekend campaigning with him.
- 50:14Speaker 1: Here's a clip from one event.
- 50:16Speaker 5: They want us to think that these forces are too
- 50:19Speaker 5: powerful for us to overcome, that this is just how
- 50:23Speaker 5: things are.
- 50:25Speaker 1: There's $ 50.
- 50:26Speaker 2: Million in this race because they're expecting a return. It's
- 50:32Speaker 2: an investment. They've taken to calling me dangerous. Now I
- 50:39Speaker 2: don't know why you would call somebody who looks like me,
- 50:42Speaker 2: with a name like mine, dangerous. If you're a corporation
- 50:46Speaker 2: wanting to buy a politician with their PAC, I'm dangerous.
- 50:51Speaker 2: If you're APAC and want to send our money abroad,
- 50:54Speaker 2: you damn well better believe I'm dangerous. If you're somebody
- 50:59Speaker 2: who wants government to work for you, I'm not dangerous.
- 51:04Speaker 2: I might just be the one person running for U.S.
- 51:06Speaker 2: Senate who actually wants to serve you.
- 51:11Speaker 1: Thoughts on one of the last and maybe most contentious
- 51:14Speaker 1: Democratic primary of the year?
- 51:15Speaker 3: I mean, I hate that this has gotten jammed into
- 51:17Speaker 3: the Graham Platner discourse frame, at least on social media,
- 51:20Speaker 3: because like Abdul and Graham Platner are absolutely nothing alike.
- 51:23Speaker 3: And anyone suggesting otherwise is trying to smear Abdul in
- 51:27Speaker 3: a really disgusting way and just clock that when you
- 51:29Speaker 3: read these tweets and Judge them accordingly.
- 51:34Speaker 2: Some of the issues in the race are nationalized.
- 51:35Speaker 3: Like there is frustration at the establishment and Chuck Schumer
- 51:38Speaker 3: for picking candidates.
- 51:39Speaker 2: That's part of the race. There's Gaza. There's AIPAC spending.
- 51:42Speaker 3: But if you watch the debates or watch them on
- 51:44Speaker 3: the stump, it is very local. It's a lot of
- 51:46Speaker 3: auto industry talk. There's a lot of anger at shitty
- 51:49Speaker 3: utility companies.
- 51:50Speaker 2: Everyone in the.
- 51:51Speaker 3: Race made a video about a bridge from Detroit to
- 51:53Speaker 3: Canada that Trump was shutting down. They're talking about health
- 51:57Speaker 3: care premiums. So, look, I'm supporting Abdul because I consider
- 52:00Speaker 3: him a friend. I think he's really smart. I think
- 52:01Speaker 3: he's good on the stump. He's taken principled positions on
- 52:04Speaker 3: stuff I really care about. I think he'd be a
- 52:06Speaker 3: good senator. It's like it's no deeper than that. I'm
- 52:09Speaker 3: not a Haley Stevens hater in any way, shape or form.
- 52:11Speaker 3: If she wins the primary, like I will wholeheartedly support her.
- 52:15Speaker 2: No matter who wins.
- 52:16Speaker 3: This is going to be a really tough race. Mike
- 52:18Speaker 3: Rogers is a good, strong Republican opponent. We barely beat
- 52:22Speaker 3: him last time. So I think what's most important is
- 52:24Speaker 3: whatever happens. come August 5th, like everybody's got to put
- 52:27Speaker 3: down the little Twitter knives, stop nursing your little grudges,
- 52:30Speaker 3: making this about some bigger thing, some factional intraparty thing,
- 52:34Speaker 3: and let's come together and win this race. And we
- 52:35Speaker 3: have to do a little faster than people have been
- 52:37Speaker 3: doing it up in Maine because there's.
- 52:39Speaker 2: A lot of lingering bullshit happening. You know, there's debate
- 52:42Speaker 2: about Medicare for all, which is largely a symbolic debate,
- 52:45Speaker 2: even if you support Medicare for all. The next Democratic Congress,
- 52:49Speaker 2: if we're so lucky to have a Democratic Congress, we'll
- 52:51Speaker 2: have Trump as president. Like there's no hope of passing
- 52:54Speaker 2: Medicare for all, but it is a symbol of a
- 52:58Speaker 2: willingness to go bigger, go against the establishment, be willing
- 53:01Speaker 2: to say something that may not be as popular broadly,
- 53:05Speaker 2: but shows that you're willing to fight. Now, what AOC
- 53:10Speaker 2: says there, like, oh, they're buying the seat. It's pretty clear.
- 53:19Speaker 2: Haley Stevens has said she will support military aid and
- 53:22Speaker 2: aid to Israel. Abdul will not, right? They're investing to
- 53:24Speaker 2: get behind a candidate who will support continuing to give
- 53:27Speaker 2: military aid to Israel. But that is a symbol of
- 53:32Speaker 2: what happens if either one of them is in the Senate.
- 53:35Speaker 2: And put the big ideological distinctions between them aside, Haley
- 53:41Speaker 2: Stevens is a reliable Democratic vote. She doesn't have a
- 53:43Speaker 2: particularly strong ideological point of view. You go to her website,
- 53:46Speaker 2: it's a lot of nuts and bolts, bring money home
- 53:48Speaker 2: to Michigan and policies. She supports a public option. She
- 53:52Speaker 2: supports reforming ICE. She's just a reliable Democratic vote. Abdul
- 53:56Speaker 2: is someone who will push on the party from the left.
- 53:59Speaker 2: That is what he would do in the Senate. Now,
- 54:01Speaker 2: I think that's a good thing. I think it's good
- 54:02Speaker 2: to have people that have a strong point of view
- 54:06Speaker 2: and want the Democratic Party to stand for something clear.
- 54:09Speaker 2: But in the end, either way, neither one of them
- 54:14Speaker 2: is going to be able to enact any kind of
- 54:16Speaker 2: specific agenda. It's just a question of what you want
- 54:18Speaker 2: in a What do you believe a Democratic Senate should
- 54:21Speaker 2: look like? Which is why it becomes a proxy between
- 54:23Speaker 2: Bernie and Schumer and all the rest.
- 54:25Speaker 1: I do think with the Senate race, because you're there
- 54:28Speaker 1: for six years, ideally this person is there for a
- 54:32Speaker 1: Democratic president and a Democratic Congress. And then hopefully the
- 54:38Speaker 1: next Democratic president does make a move to expand health care.
- 54:42Speaker 1: Who knows how far they'll be able to go, but ideally.
- 54:44Speaker 1: And so, you know, they will get to do, they
- 54:46Speaker 1: will get to set the agenda, hopefully. In some ways.
- 54:50Speaker 1: But I think, but to your point, I mean, this
- 54:52Speaker 1: always happens with primaries, right? Which is because the candidates
- 54:56Speaker 1: are generally similar on their policy platforms. You try to
- 55:02Speaker 1: find differences that then become magnified in the heat of
- 55:05Speaker 1: a race that then make it seem like it is
- 55:07Speaker 1: this Manichean struggle between good and evil for the supporters
- 55:12Speaker 1: on either side. And look, I think in this one,
- 55:14Speaker 1: you're right. Israel is a clear dividing line. That is
- 55:16Speaker 1: where their policy, I mean, She supports aid to Israel
- 55:18Speaker 1: with no conditions whatsoever. And he wants to cut it off.
- 55:22Speaker 1: And even some of the other races where AIPAC has
- 55:25Speaker 1: played in, I think the difference hasn't been so clear.
- 55:28Speaker 2: She's on the right edge of a dwindling minority of
- 55:31Speaker 2: Democrats who are taking that position. Even in the Senate,
- 55:34Speaker 2: I mean, the vast majority of Democratic senators are closer
- 55:37Speaker 2: to Abdul's position now than they are to Haley Stevens.
- 55:39Speaker 1: Right. And so then the other thing you would do
- 55:41Speaker 1: is you'd make it about electability. And I do think
- 55:44Speaker 1: it's been hard to make this race about electability grounded
- 55:49Speaker 1: in a lot of firm data because look at the
- 55:52Speaker 1: polls that we've had have been from not really high
- 55:55Speaker 1: quality pollsters. There's been a lot of internal polling from
- 55:58Speaker 1: both sides. We don't have like a New York times
- 56:01Speaker 1: Sienna poll or a lot of really good polling. And so,
- 56:03Speaker 1: and in the polling that we have, um, you know,
- 56:06Speaker 1: at the beginning of the race, it seemed like Stevens
- 56:09Speaker 1: was performed slightly better against Mike Rogers than Abdul. Now
- 56:12Speaker 1: it seems like Abdul has like a point or two
- 56:14Speaker 1: on her. or they're tied. So it's really hard to
- 56:17Speaker 1: make an electability argument. So therefore, now you're just fighting
- 56:20Speaker 1: over personality.
- 56:22Speaker 3: What they're really fighting about is like, they're hand-waving at
- 56:25Speaker 3: the policy shit, but they're like, his name's Abdul El-Sayed
- 56:27Speaker 3: and he's a Muslim guy.
- 56:28Speaker 2: That is what is happening.
- 56:30Speaker 3: It is, I mean, I'm not saying Haley Stevens specifically
- 56:32Speaker 3: is saying that, but a lot of Abdul's opponents are
- 56:35Speaker 3: When they say electability, that is what they mean.
- 56:37Speaker 2: And that is what has gotten a little ugly.
- 56:39Speaker 1: Well, and to your earlier point, and now they're doing the, well,
- 56:42Speaker 1: he's got some of the same consultants. And so Graham
- 56:46Speaker 1: Plattner wasn't vetted. And it's like, Abdul has been vetted
- 56:49Speaker 1: because he ran for governor of Michigan. And that's why
- 56:51Speaker 1: his name ID is so high in the first place.
- 56:54Speaker 1: And he's been like, you know. He's served in public office.
- 56:57Speaker 2: Right, he's very different. He wasn't plucked out of obscurity.
- 56:59Speaker 2: And the big controversy was about whether or not after
- 57:02Speaker 2: he got his MD, PhD, he technically did a residency.
- 57:04Speaker 2: It's very different than a Nazi tattoo and a sexual
- 57:07Speaker 2: assault allegation.
- 57:08Speaker 1: But is it like both candidates now? I've seen them
- 57:11Speaker 1: in interviews be like, well, this race isn't really about
- 57:13Speaker 1: Israel and everyone else wants to make it about Israel
- 57:15Speaker 1: and Gaza, but we want to make it about Michigan.
- 57:18Speaker 1: But even there... there's not a lot of like, there's
- 57:21Speaker 1: not a fight about healthcare. Like you're for Medicare for
- 57:23Speaker 1: all and I'm from the public option, let's duke it out.
- 57:26Speaker 1: You're for abolishing ICE, I'm for reforming ICE, let's duke
- 57:28Speaker 1: it out on that. There's surprisingly little attacks from both
- 57:32Speaker 1: of the supporters at least on the policy issues and
- 57:34Speaker 1: more on.
- 57:36Speaker 3: It's more like money-driven policy issues. It's like you've taken
- 57:38Speaker 3: all this money from corporations or AIPAC or others, therefore you're.
- 57:42Speaker 2: Beholden to them.
- 57:42Speaker 3: That is kind of the proxy for a lot of
- 57:44Speaker 3: the political fights. But for Haley, it's like there's a
- 57:46Speaker 3: similarly weird thing happening online with her, which is like
- 57:50Speaker 3: a lot of people are plucking up speeches where they
- 57:51Speaker 3: think she looks goofy and sharing them. And then it
- 57:53Speaker 3: turns out maybe people like those speeches.
- 57:55Speaker 2: We don't really know. Well, I was, I was into
- 57:57Speaker 2: like there, like there's moments where she's kind of goofy
- 58:00Speaker 2: and like kind of, she's like, we gotta let her rip.
- 58:02Speaker 2: We gotta stick it to them. And like, it's kind
- 58:04Speaker 2: of sweet. And, uh, there's this kind of aesthetics where
- 58:09Speaker 2: if someone who has seen a centrist or pro-Israel does
- 58:12Speaker 2: something that is slightly cringe that it, or it happened
- 58:15Speaker 2: to Mallory McMurrow too, when she was in the kind
- 58:17Speaker 2: of Elizabeth, uh, warren rolled to do when they were
- 58:19Speaker 2: mad at her like this is so embarrassing you're so
- 58:22Speaker 2: embarrassing it's cringe like this is the problem is the
- 58:24Speaker 2: probably don't understand real people because you understand what broken-brained
- 58:27Speaker 2: online people think is funny anymore but if uh... uh...
- 58:30Speaker 2: this but abd abdul has made play cringy content and
- 58:34Speaker 2: but his these you know he's good for the movement
- 58:37Speaker 2: and so those things aren't as bad i was thinking
- 58:38Speaker 2: of when i'm like schumer farted on the senate floor
- 58:41Speaker 2: and i i do think he did not make the
- 58:43Speaker 2: most of it i think you should have done about
- 58:45Speaker 2: how we are having a gas crisis he'd What happened
- 58:47Speaker 2: to the man? Schumer used to be the guy at
- 58:49Speaker 2: the gas station. There was a moment where he could
- 58:51Speaker 2: have made news about it. He fucked it up.
- 58:52Speaker 1: Sorry, I was just unblocking the straight of four motors.
- 58:54Speaker 2: Exactly.
- 58:54Speaker 1: Exactly.
- 58:55Speaker 2: Look, not the only, not the only waterway they were
- 58:57Speaker 2: having trouble getting things through these days at my age.
- 59:00Speaker 2: But so, but, but I knew, but if like mom
- 59:02Speaker 2: Donnie farted during press conference, there would be stories about
- 59:05Speaker 2: how like, man, everybody's farting again. He's so good at this.
- 59:09Speaker 2: He's so good at this.
- 59:09Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 59:10Speaker 4: This.
- 59:10Speaker 2: This is a master at work. He made such a joke.
- 59:13Speaker 2: This is why we need Medicare for all he'd say
- 59:15Speaker 2: or something. I don't know. How did he get to farting? Because, because,
- 59:19Speaker 2: because there's a lot of like, right.
- 59:21Speaker 1: Cause it's, cause it's stick it to him.
- 59:22Speaker 2: There's a stick it to him. But, but at the
- 59:23Speaker 2: same time, it's like, okay, you want to be this
- 59:25Speaker 2: sort of like hard scrabble kind of salt of the
- 59:28Speaker 2: earth campaigner, but also like, your campaign is propped up
- 59:30Speaker 2: by tens of millions of dollars of outside money. And John,
- 59:34Speaker 2: to your point, like one of the reasons that debate
- 59:36Speaker 2: is about that outside money and about Israel is because
- 59:39Speaker 2: she as an establishment figure doesn't have like a clear,
- 59:43Speaker 2: other than just bringing money home for vision, they'll auto
- 59:45Speaker 2: bail it. Like what's the policy place where she feels
- 59:47Speaker 2: so strongly she wants to pick a fight with Abdul
- 59:49Speaker 2: over it?
- 59:49Speaker 1: Well, this is, this is, yes. And I know this
- 59:53Speaker 1: is naive of me, but like, as we head into
- 59:55Speaker 1: a presidential primary season, like, My wish is that the
- 1:00:00Speaker 1: factional war within the Democratic Party is fought over different
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: policy positions because there are plenty of differences between the
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: left and the center left. And I think sometimes what
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: the establishment center left, whatever we want to call them,
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: more moderate Democrats does is they look at the progressive
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: movement and progressive candidates and they either take umbrage or
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: dismiss them or say or just like attack, attack, attack.
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: And it's like, try to you got to be for something. Yes.
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: You got to be excited about your candidates and you
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: got to run candidates who are exciting and charismatic and
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: have something that they really want to get done, but
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: they default to. And you can kind of hear this with,
- 1:00:38Speaker 1: and I'm not saying Stevens does this, but some of
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: her supporters do. It's like, but she works so hard
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: and she's just, she's got her head down and she
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: works hard. And that's like the, that's like the thing
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: for all the establishment candidates is like, they just, they're servant,
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: they're public servants and they're working hard. It's like, yeah, everyone's,
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: everyone in public life who's running for office is working
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: hard and doing a lot.
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: Of good stuff. She's sort of a throwback.
- 1:00:54Speaker 3: It's sort of a throwback campaign. Like there was a,
- 1:00:57Speaker 3: not that long ago, most campaigns were like, I'm going
- 1:00:59Speaker 3: to deliver for my state. I'm going to bring home
- 1:01:01Speaker 3: the bacon. I'm going to get earmarks and pork barrel
- 1:01:04Speaker 3: and just like build a fucking airport over here.
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: And you know what? If Susan Collins wins, that's why.
- 1:01:08Speaker 3: And Haley, like, it sounds like that's the kind of
- 1:01:11Speaker 3: campaign she's running. Now, somewhere along the way, we found
- 1:01:14Speaker 3: this desire where we also want people to be national
- 1:01:16Speaker 3: figures and have national profiles and see value in that too.
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: There's a bit of a race here.
- 1:01:21Speaker 3: On the goofy content thing, like, Abdul has put out
- 1:01:24Speaker 3: videos that were so cringy that I sent them to
- 1:01:26Speaker 3: his consultants and I said, no more of this.
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: Was he in a hat?
- 1:01:29Speaker 3: I don't remember which one it was. It might have
- 1:01:31Speaker 3: been more than one, but like he's put out a
- 1:01:32Speaker 3: lot of corny shit. Now, I think there are people
- 1:01:34Speaker 3: rightly pointing out that I think Haley is treated differently
- 1:01:37Speaker 3: because she is a woman. There's a lot of misogyny
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: and sexism in the messaging you'll see on Twitter about
- 1:01:43Speaker 3: these videos. They're also just kind of cringy videos at times.
- 1:01:45Speaker 3: And like sometimes she's a goofy messenger and sometimes he's
- 1:01:48Speaker 3: a goofy fucking messenger.
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: It's not always loaded to say that, too. Like, that's
- 1:01:51Speaker 2: the other part of this. Well, this is where, like.
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: The attention economy has made people do crazy things. Yes.
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: Like, there's a whole range of issues that are just
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: not really that much a part of a Democratic debate. Education.
- 1:02:01Speaker 2: One of the most important issues where Democrats have lost
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: ground for the last 10 years. Yep. Or five years,
- 1:02:05Speaker 2: or six years. And, like, I'll say something that would, like...
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: This is one of the reasons why, if Rahm runs
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: for president... like it will be good because he will
- 1:02:15Speaker 2: be the person that clip it right. Shut up. I
- 1:02:17Speaker 2: saw Austin point right after it will be good.
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: It will be, it will be cause send it.
- 1:02:23Speaker 2: He will for, he will, he will, he will have
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: that kind of old school democratic politics where he like, he,
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: he's not now starring on the sun. Next stream is
- 1:02:31Speaker 2: how Ari gets it back on a survivor too. Fuck.
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: Because he will force debates about these questions on his
- 1:02:38Speaker 2: road to not being the nominee and like on a
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: broad range of issues that will like kind of like
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: in the way that Haley Stevens is not causing, not
- 1:02:46Speaker 2: kind of forcing questions back over to Abdul on policy questions.
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: I think you need center left figures who do that
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: because we need to have those big debates. That's all.
- 1:02:54Speaker 3: Well, Haley's big attack on Abdul in the debate was like,
- 1:02:57Speaker 3: you haven't released your tax returns yet. And I just wonder, like,
- 1:03:00Speaker 3: it was another kind of like, it felt like an
- 1:03:01Speaker 3: old school criticism of someone.
- 1:03:03Speaker 1: I just wonder.
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: Who called him a celebrity?
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: Well, it feels like he's attacking her on money, right? Like,
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: you've got all this money being spent on your app,
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: so she's like, I want to do a money thing.
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: It's not illegitimate. I'm just wondering if voters care. I
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: can't tell.
- 1:03:13Speaker 1: We'll find out. Who knows? Speaking of Bernie, CNN reported
- 1:03:18Speaker 1: over the weekend that back in March, when he backed
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: a challenger to a Democratic House incumbent in North Carolina,
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: Hakeem Jeffries called him and warned him against meddling in
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: House primaries. arguing that it's divisive and a drain on
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: limited resources that could go to beating Republicans. Another member
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: who was on the call said Sanders, quote, seemed not
- 1:03:33Speaker 1: to care.
- 1:03:34Speaker 2: What do you guys think?
- 1:03:36Speaker 1: Which seems, I absolutely buy that.
- 1:03:38Speaker 2: The most Jolene phone call. Like, please, please. I know
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: you can take these districts. Please stop. Please stop. He's
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: my man.
- 1:03:47Speaker 3: It's like, I get why Hakeem Jeffries would not want
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: divisive primaries. I can't imagine any scenario where he thought
- 1:03:55Speaker 3: Bernie Sanders... would care. I can't, it's hard to imagine
- 1:03:57Speaker 3: a conversation Bernie Sanders would care about less.
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: Other than the debate, the interview I had with him
- 1:04:02Speaker 2: where he tried to get out of it a few
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: minutes early. Where he did this. That sucked.
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: This is another problem with like the establishment argument is it's,
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: the response is always like, no, no, no, these primaries
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: shouldn't happen or these candidates, guess what? The candidates are
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: going to run. People are going to sign up and
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: they're going to run for office and they're going to
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: be from all political persuasions. And doing the whole, and
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: Hillary started this in 2016 with Bernie, right? It's like,
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: they're not real Democrats, and they don't respect the Democratic
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: Party as an institution. It's like, you know who doesn't
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: respect the Democratic Party as an institution?
- 1:04:37Speaker 2: America. And actually, and more specifically, Democrats.
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: Exactly. So it's like, not the greatest argument to be like,
- 1:04:43Speaker 1: how dare you, Ron, and how dare you upset our primaries.
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: It's like, go beat them. Beat them with better ideas.
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: beat them by saying that like their ideas are bad
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: or their ideas aren't going to resonate with most American people.
- 1:04:54Speaker 1: Like there's plenty to go after before just being like.
- 1:04:56Speaker 2: Don't run.
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:04:58Speaker 2: It's a, you know, these are people trying to do
- 1:05:00Speaker 2: a hostile takeover of a failing enterprise. You know, if
- 1:05:04Speaker 2: you think they're not the right people to lead, you
- 1:05:06Speaker 2: got to make a much better case to the shareholders
- 1:05:07Speaker 2: because they're looking at your record and they're thinking, I'm
- 1:05:09Speaker 2: going to kind of take a shot on these people.
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, also look at the Republican party. Did that
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: work really well for them, for all the establishment figures
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: in the Republican party when they were like, No, Donald
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: Trump can't be it.
- 1:05:19Speaker 2: Good point.
- 1:05:20Speaker 3: And also they're facing their own version of this. Like
- 1:05:22Speaker 3: in Arizona, Andy Biggs is probably going to be the
- 1:05:24Speaker 3: Republican gubernatorial nominee.
- 1:05:26Speaker 2: He's a lunatic.
- 1:05:27Speaker 3: In Iowa, my buddy Rob Sand is up against this
- 1:05:30Speaker 3: complete unknown dude whose primary work background was like working
- 1:05:34Speaker 3: for the Koch brothers for a decade. He doesn't even
- 1:05:37Speaker 3: live in the state. He's in Iowa half the time.
- 1:05:39Speaker 2: He's in Kansas. That Colorado guy that's like, yeah, when
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: I was a kid, I killed people. What's up? What
- 1:05:44Speaker 2: of it?
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: What of it?
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: We all do it.
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: Wait, what?
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: Go back. That's one of the all time interviews. So
- 1:05:51Speaker 2: I killed someone. What of it?
- 1:05:53Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:05:53Speaker 3: No, they've, they've nominated this lunatic in Iowa who wants
- 1:05:56Speaker 3: to like ban the MRNA vaccine. Uh, he wants COVID
- 1:05:59Speaker 3: vaccines off the shelf. He's like, Marxist hijacked the curriculum
- 1:06:02Speaker 3: in Iowa. There was a debt decade of Republican rule,
- 1:06:05Speaker 3: but they're not backing away from him. The, the, the,
- 1:06:08Speaker 3: the RGA is going to put tens of millions of
- 1:06:10Speaker 3: dollars on air behind this guy.
- 1:06:12Speaker 2: So it's anyway.
- 1:06:13Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, Like you said, I think it's going to
- 1:06:17Speaker 1: be a bumpy couple weeks in these primaries, but once
- 1:06:20Speaker 1: August comes and goes, we're all behind the nominee, satellite,
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: whoever it may be. Did you see that on the
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: sidelines of one of the events with Abdul Politico asked
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: AOC about running for president, and she said, I can't
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: say that I've ruled it out. She also talked about
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: her own definition of what Big Tent means. General thoughts
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: on how she's preparing for the possibility of a run
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: in 28? We've talked so much about elections that are
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: happening in November, we get a little treat to talk,
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: just a tiny bit of speculation before we end the pod.
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a little bit of like, there's like an
- 1:06:52Speaker 2: Axios story about like, about AOC embracing kind of Obama-style
- 1:06:56Speaker 2: hope and change as sort of some, as like evidence
- 1:06:58Speaker 2: of her shift in preparation for running. And I don't
- 1:07:02Speaker 2: really think it like reflects, like if you go, I
- 1:07:05Speaker 2: think AOC has evolved as a public figure and I
- 1:07:07Speaker 2: think she has learned a lot since she's been in Congress.
- 1:07:10Speaker 2: But I think part of what her appeal has always
- 1:07:12Speaker 2: been is that She's asked and she says, I don't
- 1:07:16Speaker 2: come from a working class family. I didn't come from
- 1:07:19Speaker 2: a militant leftist family. That's just reading the stage directions
- 1:07:24Speaker 2: a little bit. But her appeal has always been that
- 1:07:27Speaker 2: she hasn't sounded like what Republicans want her to sound like.
- 1:07:30Speaker 2: She sounded so much more optimistic and hopeful. And she's also,
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: by the way, said something similar about not ruling out,
- 1:07:37Speaker 2: I think a month ago, this is going to be
- 1:07:39Speaker 2: something that keeps happening. But whether she runs for Senate
- 1:07:41Speaker 2: or president or neither... she's going to use the power
- 1:07:45Speaker 2: she has. And she is, I think, a more important
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: and attention-worthy figure as long as the possibility of running
- 1:07:51Speaker 2: for president is out there. The single best way to
- 1:07:53Speaker 2: get media coverage is to suggest that you're going to
- 1:07:55Speaker 2: run for president.
- 1:07:56Speaker 1: She's smart.
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: She knows that.
- 1:07:58Speaker 3: This will get her attention for her ideas. I don't
- 1:07:59Speaker 3: know if she's going to run or not. It feels
- 1:08:03Speaker 3: like she might.
- 1:08:03Speaker 2: The only size.
- 1:08:06Speaker 3: Tent we are allowed to have is circus. Our tent
- 1:08:10Speaker 3: has got to be gigantic at this point. We need
- 1:08:12Speaker 3: to fit a lot of people underneath this thing. So
- 1:08:13Speaker 3: I'm glad she's saying that. I will say that.
- 1:08:16Speaker 1: She, if I were her and I were thinking of
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: running for president, she is, and she's probably being told
- 1:08:24Speaker 1: and knows herself because she's very, very smart that like,
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: you know, her risk is that she's seen as too
- 1:08:30Speaker 1: left and too extreme. And she's seen all the polling data,
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: I'm sure. And if you're going to run for president
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: and you at least want to prepare for the possibility
- 1:08:38Speaker 1: that you might, I think she's doing all the right
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: things that you would do, which is that it made
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: me less than her answers, right? About like, are you
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: running or not? Like the, the way that, um, she's
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: endorsing or not endorsing, certainly she didn't endorse Graham Platner. Uh,
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: she hasn't endorsed this, um, this progressive challenger in Michigan
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: in a house seat.
- 1:08:57Speaker 2: And then wasn't on stage for the, like, she's like
- 1:08:59Speaker 2: being very careful.
- 1:09:00Speaker 1: She's being very careful, but not in a way that
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: seems like cautious. Like she's just being deliberate in her rhetoric, right?
- 1:09:05Speaker 1: Like she said, you know, you can have a clear
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: vision for what we're trying to accomplish as a country
- 1:09:09Speaker 1: and also include everyone in it and show that everyone
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: has a place in that as well. It's just, it's not,
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: it's not the same as you hear from many of
- 1:09:18Speaker 1: the DSA candidates today. Except Mamdani, I should say.
- 1:09:21Speaker 2: Yeah. I take her also at her word when she
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: was asked about this previously, like what she's looking for
- 1:09:24Speaker 2: is sort of outcomes, right? She's not just about her
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: and her position. And if you think in 2020, there's
- 1:09:29Speaker 2: obviously going to be a big contentious and very important primary.
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: Either the vote of the left will be divided or
- 1:09:35Speaker 2: it will be united behind one figure. If it is her,
- 1:09:39Speaker 2: she knows that as that person, she knows how responsible
- 1:09:43Speaker 2: and capable and careful she will be and deliberate about
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: how to hold that position. whether it is as the
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: nominee or as the person who helps unite the party
- 1:09:52Speaker 2: behind whoever the nominee would be. And that is like
- 1:09:57Speaker 2: the figure who is right to like represent like what
- 1:10:01Speaker 2: comes after Bernie is someone who, A, just truly believes
- 1:10:04Speaker 2: in this fight and representing it as persuasively as possible,
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: but also like Bernie and AOC understand that if the
- 1:10:10Speaker 2: more moderate candidate wins, it is just as important to
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: get behind them. She.
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: comes across as someone who takes very seriously her role
- 1:10:18Speaker 1: in the party, whatever it may be, and her role
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: in politics, which is a good thing to see. All right,
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: that's our show for today. Dan and I will be
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: back with a new show on Friday. Pod Save America
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: is a Crooked Media production. Our show is produced by
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: Austin Fisher, Saul Rubin, McKenna Roberts, and Farrah Safari, with
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: Reed Cherlin, Elijah Cohn, and Adrian Hill. Our team includes
- 1:10:37Speaker 1: Matt DeGroat, Ben Hefcote, Jordan Cantor, Charlotte Landis, Kiril Pelleviv,
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