Latest / Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning / Ray Stagich, WOR Weather Channel meteorologist Interview

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Ray Stagich, WOR Weather Channel meteorologist Interview · Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Well, as we get closer to the weekend, apparently we
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: get closer to a more accurate forecast, and everybody is
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: still talking about this Nor'easter. So let's bring in WOR
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: meteorologist Ray Stajic to get the latest.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: Ray, it looks a little more clear now.
• 0:21
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, certainly a Nor'easter, I think that's a
• 0:24
  Speaker 3: factor pretty close to it. And then impacts, I guess,
• 0:27
  Speaker 3: is where You know, the big questions come in. Is it,
• 0:31
  Speaker 3: you know, strong winds, 40-plus where we get into tropical
• 0:34
  Speaker 3: storm force winds? Probably not New York City and the
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: five boroughs west and north of that. But there'll be
• 0:39
  Speaker 3: a cutoff probably even around the Nassau and Suffolk County
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: line where we may see winds, especially as you get
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: out further toward the east, exceed 40, 50 miles per
• 0:49
  Speaker 3: hour at some of the gusts. Certainly a greater risk
• 0:53
  Speaker 3: for damaging winds, which could bring down some trees, power lines.
• 0:57
  Speaker 3: There could be some power outages. Now, I do mention
• 0:59
  Speaker 3: that even for us here in New York City because
• 1:02
  Speaker 3: we're still leafed out. I mean, we're going to get
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: winds that could gust maybe 35-plus miles per hour. And
• 1:08
  Speaker 3: with the trees being leafed out, there's a better opportunity
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: for maybe some branches to break, maybe some small trees
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: to come down. So there could be some problems with
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: some spotty power outages. So that's the wind piece of it.
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: And then you've got the rain piece. The heaviest rain, again,
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: will be east. Flooding from rain coming out of the
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: sky I don't think is going to be a problem.
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: There could be totals that could get up to a
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: half inch, maybe up to an inch, but again, higher
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: totals east. It's really all about the flooding coming from
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: the water that's on the ground, meaning the Atlantic.
• 1:41
  Speaker 4: That's all coming in.
• 1:42
  Speaker 3: The coastal flood advisories and watches and statements are already out,
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: especially during high tides, too. South-facing shores of Long Island,
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: maybe New York Harbor, going to see a water rise.
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: Minor to moderate flooding is expected. Now, obviously, with all that, Larry,
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: we're looking at, you know, we're still, what, two days out?
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: And things could change, track further toward the west, could
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: bring bigger impacts in here to the city. Off to
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: the east could bring less impacts. But right now, I
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: think there'll be some impacts. The question will be, will
• 2:13
  Speaker 3: they be greater than we're thinking right now, or will
• 2:15
  Speaker 3: they be less than we're thinking right now? There's still
• 2:18
  Speaker 3: some of the fine details that, as we now cast
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: probably from this point forward, basically updating with every major
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: model run later this morning, and then again tonight, every
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: about 12 hours or so, we'll have a little better
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: picture about what's going on.
• 2:31
  Speaker 4: Now, hold on.
• 2:31
  Speaker 5: I'm looking at all of your brethren and your sisters
• 2:34
  Speaker 5: in solidarity on the boob tube, and they're pumping fear, fright, hysteria,
• 2:40
  Speaker 5: and I mean, they're hyping it.
• 2:42
  Speaker 6: It's the lead story.
• 2:44
  Speaker 5: You would think it's Superstorm Sandy round two, this nor'easter.
• 2:49
  Speaker 6: Floods get... fill up the sandbags now. I mean, they
• 2:54
  Speaker 6: are really.
• 2:55
  Speaker 5: Pumping it as a potential crisis. You're sort of like,
• 2:58
  Speaker 5: you got a cup of coffee in your hand. You're like, hey, mention, mention, poco, poco,
• 3:03
  Speaker 5: you know.
• 3:04
  Speaker 4: Well, you know, that's just not my gig. You know
• 3:08
  Speaker 4: what I mean? It's kind of like, here's the information, right?
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: And there'll be coastal flooding, and for some, moderate flooding
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: is still going to bring water into places that don't
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: really want to have water, but You know, looking at
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: a Sandy, no, it's not going to be a Sandy.
• 3:22
  Speaker 4: So let's get that out of the picture. Right.
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: And it's going to be, you know, something that becomes
• 3:28
  Speaker 3: further toward the West could be worse. But I really
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: don't think we're going to be looking at, I don't know,
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: I don't know if the right word's catastrophic, but it's
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: certainly going to have impacts. The question is going to be,
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: you know, where will they be right now? it's going
• 3:41
  Speaker 3: to be from probably the greatest impacts, coastal flooding. So,
• 3:45
  Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, there's a little hype around it because
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: just because of the slow movement of the storm and
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: because of the persistent onshore flow that's already occurring. I mean,
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: we're already seeing the water rise along the Atlantic beaches,
• 3:56
  Speaker 3: especially down further South and around Chesapeake Bay at one
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: to two feet. So that persistent kind of push in
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: with a gradient wind with a high pressure to the
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: North and then developing low certainly will cause problems. But Sandy, no, no,
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: but I don't want to discount that there won't be
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: some impacts for some, especially from the flooding piece of it.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: So I can give you the answer to this mystery
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: on why it's being hyped. I emailed a friend of
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: mine that's a meteorologist down in Philadelphia, and I said,
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: so are you hyping the storm?
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: What were the ratings last night? All he texted back
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: was up 80%.
• 4:32
  Speaker 4: Yeah, well, I mean, listen, that's what we do. That's
• 4:37
  Speaker 4: a piece of it, and I just... I don't know.
• 4:41
  Speaker 3: And especially still, you know, me, I'm like three day Ray.
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: I'm like, you get to it outside of three days.
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: Forget it. I'm not touching it today. Next model run
• 4:50
  Speaker 3: later this morning, tomorrow. I'm sure we'll talk tomorrow. They'll
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: probably have a higher confidence forecast and we can be
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: talking tomorrow. And at this time talking about, you know,
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: anything from this thing's going further East and we'll have
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: even less impacts to, and we're shifting a little further West.
• 5:05
  Speaker 3: And again, we may see more significant impacts. There's plenty
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: of time.
• 5:09
  Speaker 5: You should have been dancing. You should have been on
• 5:11
  Speaker 5: dancing with the stars. You have danced around this question
• 5:15
  Speaker 5: now two days in a row.
• 5:16
  Speaker 4: All right.
• 5:17
  Speaker 6: Forget the shoreline. Forget the sandbags.
• 5:20
  Speaker 5: We've got the three biggest festivals each year in New
• 5:23
  Speaker 5: York city taking place this weekend. The last two days
• 5:26
  Speaker 5: is San Gennaro packed. You got the third Avenue festival
• 5:30
  Speaker 5: and Bay Ridge packed. You got the Atlantic annex, uh,
• 5:33
  Speaker 5: from Barkley center to, uh, the East River along Atlantic Avenue, packed.
• 5:38
  Speaker 6: That's Saturday, Sunday. Is it going to be a wipeout?
• 5:42
  Speaker 6: Is it going to be raining? Come on, Ray. You
• 5:44
  Speaker 6: got to cough up a little bit here.
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: Yes, it will be.
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: Raining, and it will be fairly windy. Now, as I said,
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: I mean, it ain't pretty when it's windy, when you've
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: got gusts of 35 miles per hour, and the rain's
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: coming down.
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: The rain could be blowing around. It's not going to
• 6:00
  Speaker 4: be pretty.
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: Okay, so poncho while I'm eating my sausage and peppers.
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: Who's that? Is that Curtis or is that Larry Poncho?
• 6:07
  Speaker 4: Poncho on lefty.
• 6:08
  Speaker 5: Well, is the worst day Saturday or Sunday?
• 6:14
  Speaker 6: So maybe they can get in a festival on Sunday.
• 6:17
  Speaker 6: What is worse?
• 6:18
  Speaker 3: I think worse later Saturday into Saturday night, early Sunday.
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: That's like the whole weekend right there.
• 6:24
  Speaker 4: Hey, Ray, Ray. Wait, did you miss the part where
• 6:27
  Speaker 4: I said slow moving?
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: No, no, I don't want to hear slow moving.
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: You guys just hear what you want to hear.
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: No, we haven't heard anything we want to hear yet.
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: Not one thing we want to hear yet did we hear.
• 6:37
  Speaker 6: You see, we like ratings.
• 6:38
  Speaker 4: It's not going to be pretty.
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: We like ratings. Oh, there you go.
• 6:41
  Speaker 4: Hold on.
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: I stepped on the... It's not going to be pretty?
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: How unpretty is it going to be?
• 6:47
  Speaker 4: Do you want me to say I'm not going outdoors?
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: I wouldn't. Oh, I ruined it for everybody.
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: Because of flying objects?
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: Oh, no.
• 7:00
  Speaker 4: Rain, wind.
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: See?
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: 35 mile per hour gust. Did we miss all this
• 7:04
  Speaker 4: in this five, six minute conversation?
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: I think I did.
• 7:07
  Speaker 4: I'm not going outside.
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: Death and destruction?
• 7:09
  Speaker 6: Oh, my goodness.
• 7:10
  Speaker 4: No. No. I won't go that far yet. Please don't.
• 7:14
  Speaker 4: But I'll leave an opportunity and just a little window
• 7:16
  Speaker 4: there for that.
• 7:17
  Speaker 5: All right. What worried me a bit, you gave me
• 7:19
  Speaker 5: a little caveat into your thinking.
• 7:21
  Speaker 6: And if it goes west, remember what you said there?
• 7:24
  Speaker 5: If it goes west, then that impacts me because, you know,
• 7:27
  Speaker 5: Friday I'm heading up to Marshall, New York, to rescue
• 7:30
  Speaker 5: the 16,000 beagles. People are on their way up there.
• 7:35
  Speaker 6: That's like 18 minutes south.
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: Of Utica, New York.
• 7:39
  Speaker 6: What's it going to be like there? To save the beagles.
• 7:44
  Speaker 4: Drive fast and you'll get out of it pretty quick.
• 7:46
  Speaker 4: Save the beagles, you'll be fine.
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 7:50
  Speaker 6: He's pretty clear on that, Larry.
• 7:52
  Speaker 5: Everything else, he's doing the tango, the cha-cha, everything else.
• 7:58
  Speaker 4: Nobody cares in Utica. They don't care. You know, they're hardy,
• 8:04
  Speaker 4: those upstaters. I'm one of the upstaters.
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: Rain, wind, who cares? Ten feet of snow, no big deal.
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: You need to bring some of that down into the
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: city here and everybody's like, Throws a fit. I mean,
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: a little rain, a little wind.
• 8:16
  Speaker 4: Deal with it. Spotty power outage. Again, I'm not going outside.
• 8:20
  Speaker 6: You're so laid back, Ray. Come see, come saw.
• 8:23
  Speaker 5: Live and let live. Hey, it could change tomorrow. Don't
• 8:27
  Speaker 5: worry about it. But he ain't going out. A little rain,
• 8:29
  Speaker 5: a little wind.
• 8:31
  Speaker 6: You pinned him down. Are you going out this weekend?
• 8:34
  Speaker 5: No.
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: Because he doesn't want to get wet.
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: That's the whole thing. He doesn't want to get wet.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: And he apparently doesn't have a house along the shoreline.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: If he had a house along the shoreline, this would
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: be a bigger deal. Yeah, because, I mean, the shore
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: communities are talking about pulling cars. I mean, they don't
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: want people to park, and they want to make sure.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: Some of the parking garages are saying, here, you can
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: have free parking. Come put your car in our place.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: So they're taking this pretty seriously, unlike you.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: Well, that's not really how I want it to be painted.
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: But I was like, well, the coastal areas, that's where
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: the greatest impacts will be. And I just feel like.
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: They have enough.
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: Information and from living there that they know what minor
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: to moderate flooding during high tide. And by the way,
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: as a full moon too, that's not going to help
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: is going to bring, I think for the majority of
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: the population, right?
• 9:23
  Speaker 4: Yeah. That's where I'm kind of aiming at the majority
• 9:26
  Speaker 4: of the population, meaning. So yeah. Yeah.
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: We're just giving you a hard time.
• 9:31
  Speaker 4: We'll give you, but he's on his feet.
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: But tomorrow you pretty much will have this nailed down.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't expect any big changes. If there are,
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: trust me, I'll come in here screaming.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: I'm looking right now at the news. Wind gust at
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: 45 mile an hour, waves up to 13 feet. Where's 45?
• 9:55
  Speaker 4: Probably Long Island.
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: North Carolina.
• 9:58
  Speaker 4: Yeah. See, once again, you start putting out false information.
• 10:03
  Speaker 4: Somebody just caught that like me and said, when's the
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: 45 mile per hour?
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: I was teasing.
• 10:07
  Speaker 4: And you could have just left that if I didn't
• 10:09
  Speaker 4: say where.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: I was teasing about North Carolina. They did it. This
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: is a New York forecast for our area. I think
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: it's one of those up to things, you know.
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: You go by the most extremes on the TV news,
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: but it's going to be something we don't, we do
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: know at this point, it's going to be something. And
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: why don't we talk again tomorrow and we'll be kinder.
• 10:27
  Speaker 4: Yep. Yeah.
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: I mean, we, I don't, we're laughing now, but we
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: might not be laughing Saturday.
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 10:34
  Speaker 4: Again. Yeah.
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: Again, impacts will be, I'd say somebody say rate on
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: a scale one to 10, like a five, a.
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: Five, unless you live along the shoreline, it might be higher.
• 10:44
  Speaker 4: Sure.
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: Eastern long Island. The winds will gust 50-plus. Montauk, point
• 10:48
  Speaker 3: out that way. You're going to get 50-mile-an-hour winds.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: Oh, wow.
• 10:52
  Speaker 4: Okay.
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: We're ready. Thank you.
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: All right, Ray. I think we got it. I think
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: we got it.
• 10:57
  Speaker 4: Thanks.
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: We'll talk to you again tomorrow if you do come back.
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: Ray Stajic, meteorologist for WOR.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: Thanks a lot.