Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Gambling Recap | Week 7

Transcript

NFL Gambling Recap | Week 7 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: six five. We are part of the Action Network. Today
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: is our Sunday recap episode. I am Chad Milman and
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: I am joined by my bff, my companion, my compadre,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: my co host, Professional Better, Simon Hunter.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Hello, say men, Hello Chad. How are you doing? Brother dude?
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I think we're feeling pretty good and we're going to
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: get into why in a second. But things are looking,
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: as they say in show business, pretty pretty pretty good.
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: We do have a lot to discuss. I don't want
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: to spend too much time on preamble as a reminder,
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  Speaker 1: Action Network YouTube page. All right, we are three and
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: one heading into the evening, Simon. We had Baltimore minus
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: two and a half. We will discuss. We had Atlanta
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: plus two and a half. That was tough. We had
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh plus three and a half, just like we planned.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: We had the Los Angeles Chargers plus five and a half.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Oh no good. And then tonight, I'd say one of
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: the biggest bets you and I have had all season collectively,
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles minus two and a half against the Miami Dolphins.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: Line opened at one and a half, moved up to two,
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: moved up to two and a half. Eagles got a
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: lot of good injury news. Dolphins have some challenges on
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: defense with some players being out. We'll get into all
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: this games we considered but passed on. There wasn't a
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: ton of disagreement this week, like we didn't. We barely
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: spoke this morning. I was traveling on the way back,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: but we kind of locked in on the teams that
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: we agreed on Friday. I think if either of us
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: had pushed on games we had leans on earlier in
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: the week. Maybe I've been going back and forth on this.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: Maybe you have an opinion. Maybe we would have been
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: four and four and oh heading into the afternoon games.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: I love the Bears, you lean Giants. We knew the
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: Pats were the right side. We didn't have the courage
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: to pull the trigger. But as I was walking up
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: to do the podcast, like I was thinking about the
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: games we were most confident in. I don't think we
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: would have taken out which were the chargers in the Eagle,
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: So I think we would have ended up in the
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: exact same spot no matter what games. If we took
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: any games out and put in the Bears or the
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: Pats or anybody.
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: Else, Yeah, we weren't going to miss today. Honestly, the
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: only reason I was going to have is take out
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: the Chargers was because I knew some sharp groups have
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: come in on them, and I was like, dude, it's
• 3:55
  Speaker 3: never a good when they're they're pros coming on the Chiefs.
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: I said that to you, I think on Thursday Show,
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: where it's like I didn't like that. And then you know,
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: I sco in the Google doc putting our picks for
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: convince me and I see raybaonn Is on the Chargers
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: and it's like, the Dude's didn't send me percent Like
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: these guys, they were really sharp and I trust in them,
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: but I also have a lot of respect for Chris.
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: So that was the only move was gonna make. We
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: were gonna put the Bears in. I put that out
• 4:19
  Speaker 3: this morning in the tweet, though it was the last one.
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: I was the Bears, and that was just the Bears.
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: When I went to two and a half and all
• 4:25
  Speaker 3: the money was flying in on the Raiders and the
• 4:28
  Speaker 3: number was not budgeting back to three.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: I was like, all right, that's that's a good spot
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: to be in.
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: So yeah, we could have maybe got out of it,
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: but I think we had a good number on the Ravens.
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: The Ravens went up to minus three and a half.
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: Obviously hindsight didn't matter. But yeah, it's it's a nice
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: week where you know, people give us a lot of shit.
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: We make a lot of stupid picks because we backed
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: bad quarterbacks. We always talk about playing certain spots and
• 4:54
  Speaker 3: it's like you just gotta do it, like long term.
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: Right now it's we're on pace. We lose time the Eagles.
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: Guess what we did this week? We went three for
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: two sixty. Every week I say that's our goal. And
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: you know, I thought this week Ritter had me kill myself.
• 5:11
  Speaker 3: The guy had three turnovers in the red zone. I know,
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: I'm just gonna run through it where it's like we
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: take these bad quarterbacks and you just stay the course
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: where it's like they'll get us there. You just set
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: them a little faith and uh yeah, shockingly freaking boy
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: Wonder is the only one that disappointed us today, Herbert.
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: So yeah, it's a it's a day of the Really,
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: we talked all week that or all year.
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: I guess that the public has had a nice run.
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: They got slaughtered today, even me and myself got slaughtered,
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: Like I did a stupid public teaser of the Bills
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: for a decent amount of money dead. So yeah, the
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: the public would do for a really bad week like
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: this weekend. Man, did they get the bludgeon this week?
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Well? Look the game that we were afraid to bet
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: that in any other sort them stance, we would have bet.
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: The New England Patriots is huge dogs against the Bills. Like,
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I know why we missed it. I
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: know how we missed it. I don't think we ever
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: would have put it in the contest. Uh No, but boy,
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: oh boy, you know, just so upsetting to have missed
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: the game. I just I just wanted to I want it.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: You know. It's like you want to have the grossest
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: picks possible sometimes in your contest. So you can say, yeah,
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: I wasn't afraid of that.
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: I'm more I.
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: Would say, I'm more more annoyed, probably because we're probably
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: owned three or own for the sharing contest back in
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: the Patriots and then they finally come through and we
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: don't have them in. But I had no issue not
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: having them in. I fucking I hate that team. I
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: hate Mac Jones.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: To your point about you know, all season long, the
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: public has been raking it in. Yeah, back in the favorites.
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: That's why came believe we're doing good.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't blue cashing. Yeah, and today in the
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: early games, these are the dogs that covered Colts, Pats, Bears, Giants, Falcons.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: Every game went over in the early slot except the
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Giants in Washington. And you liked the Giants this week,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: Raybund liked the Giants this week. I think we just
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: felt like we wanted to get a better number in
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: the contest. It wasn't about not liking that game.
• 7:21
  Speaker 3: Yeah, we could have taken it today. I think it
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: might have been three to three and a half. But yeah,
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: we just again, we just had good numbers and we
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: didn't want to lose. The Eagles was another good number.
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: I think that was up the minus three and a half.
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: We didn't want to lose that two and a half
• 7:31
  Speaker 3: on that either.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: Yep, exactly. Someone in the chat has asked, am I
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: growing a beard until the Bears lose? I'm growing a
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: beard in honor of our new quarterback because he's clearly
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: the best passer on the team, and this is who
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: we're going to roll with until we trade. Justin fields
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: and we have entered the Tyson era. That's that's what
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: it's about.
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, he ain't it. So enjoy the win. It was
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: a fun win. You guys beat the Raiders. But no,
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: the same the Saint Rock party. You guys, you want
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: to get the number one pick from Carolina or yourselves,
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: and you take a quarterback, whether it be Drake or
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: Williams whoever. But no, that's we said it. We said,
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: coming to you, the Bears have talent. You just gotta
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: squinch your eyes to see it. But even still that
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: that was just again, we would have had that game
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: and it was like that, that was just a funny game.
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: Or Hoyer, a backup quarterback, was a favorite. And what
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: Horry look like? You looked like a backup quarterback. You
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: couldn't make a single throw, especially on third downs.
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: He was just brutal.
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: So ye had a nice, nice spot for Chad's Bears.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: Baltimore minus two and a half. We nailed this, had
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: it all week from the get go. Yeah, loved it.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: We loved it last Sunday night. We believed the lines
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: were overvalued. We believed the Ravens were undervalued as short
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: home favorites. It was. It was over in the first
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: quarter and you know the Ravens. Here's a good staff
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: from Evan. Nine point one yards per play today, highest
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: in a game in franchise history.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: Damn yeah that.
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: And the funny thing is like I've been up since
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: nine pm Hawaii time, and I couldn't go to sleep
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: because of the Lions. Honestly, Like it was not even
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: that I'm so worried about Miami tonight with this Eagles game.
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: It really was a Lion some thing where it's like
• 9:28
  Speaker 3: when am I overlooking here? And like am I overlooking something?
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: And like calling people just going through because I had
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: a lot of money and Chad knows this.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: I had a lot of money invested all week.
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: Into this Ravens side, and I didn't get it like this,
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: like the number cap moving towards back down to two
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: and a half, and I was just like, who who
• 9:46
  Speaker 3: are these pros betting this Lions team? Like this is
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: just such a naturally a bad spot, a spot they'll
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: lose and they play sluggish. And it wasn't even like
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: they were playing sluggish. I mean they were playing hard,
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: they just couldn't get anything going. It all fell back
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: to golf, like he was just missing throws and that
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: that Ravens defense played really well and then offensively, I
• 10:05
  Speaker 3: mean they steamrolled it. It was fourteen. Nothing like that huge
• 10:08
  Speaker 3: fourth and one I feel like early in the.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: Game where Lamar ran it in. Uh yeah yeah.
• 10:14
  Speaker 3: Those those are nice, nice hits by us where it's
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: like me and you aren't the biggest guys betting favorites,
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: but that number pops Sunday night, and we were both
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: right on it where it was like that that's that's
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: where you come.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: In on this Lions team.
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: So we said it all week lines, got all the
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: got all the flowers, right MVP golf. There are people
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: are powering them number one or number two best team
• 10:35
  Speaker 3: of football because the Eagles and the forty nineers had lost.
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: And it's just I.
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: Try to always tell people, like the media is really
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: stupid there. Their whole point is to make you feel
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: good and want to click on their stuff and read
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: their stuff. So like they got their money's worth from
• 10:47
  Speaker 3: Lions fans this week they came back down on earth.
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: You guys are a really good team. Nothing changes to
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: still have you above Dallas power at number three, But
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: you saw what it can be like when it's when
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: it's January. You guys have to go to San Francisco,
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: where you have to come to Philadelphia? Are you really
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: going to back off unless the number is above three
• 11:07
  Speaker 3: and a half four? So that's just my whole point,
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: Like I'm not here to beat you Detroit fans. You
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: just have to look at it from a betting angle.
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: That's all I look through, a prism up like everything
• 11:15
  Speaker 3: I look through is a be any angle where it's
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: like I do think you guys are good. My job
• 11:19
  Speaker 3: is to shit on you because we have to try
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: to get people to fade the Lions.
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: Like that's the hardest part.
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: It's like I'm trying to convince you even myself. I
• 11:26
  Speaker 3: told you I didn't sleep all night. I've been up
• 11:29
  Speaker 3: coming up on almost you know, eighteen hours straight here.
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: So I love with Detroit's built there. We talked Ben Johnson.
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: I think he's gonna be a great head coach next
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: year for some different team. But they got humbled today,
• 11:40
  Speaker 3: which I think is really.
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: Good for Detroit.
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: They were just they were on an absolute bender. I mean,
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: breaking all these little records that the Lions hadn't set
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: in forever. They got humbled really quick in that game.
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: So great read by us Chad felt good to get
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: an easy win.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: One of the best stats I heard today was the
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: Lions hadn't started the season six and one since nineteen
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: fifty eight. Shit, which is just futility. I will say,
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: it's totally feudile. But also and I also thought this
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: was a really good point by the announcers in the
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: Lions Ravens game. Lamar has faced the NFC in seventeen games.
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: He's sixteen to one straight up and his one loss
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: came versus the Giants last season. But one of the
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: announcers was talking about how he dominates against the NFC
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: and that there's a little bit of a lot of
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: the teams that he sees on a regular basis in
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: the AFC get used to his pace of play and
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: he's just a different player at a different speed than
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: what a lot of NFC teams faced. And what was
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: really interesting today and we started to see this last
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: week against the or against the Steelers a couple weeks ago,
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: but the receivers for the Ravens were converting, and today
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: they were. They were catching the ball. He's thrown the ball,
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: different arm angles, a lot more confidence, a lot more
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: comfortable in the pocket, taking his time. He's a much
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: different quarterback than he was even two years ago.
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and Evans put in our chat they are at
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: home next week the lines on Monday night against the
• 13:14
  Speaker 3: Vegas So they hung the line of minus seven and
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: a half.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: I'll throw a.
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: Little on that, see which way the number moves. But
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: talk about a bad spot for that Raiders team. They
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: might get smacked by this angry Detroit team.
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: All right, Atlanta plus two and a half. So this
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: was our big balls bet of the week. I tried
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: to convince you to make the Bears our big balls
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: better of the week. You refuse to bet on the Bears.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: The fans didn't want it. Sixty six percent didn't want it.
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: That's right, that's true in the chat, the fans didn't
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: want the Bears. I don't know why Enwood would want
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: the Falcons. This did not need to be a sweat No,
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: you love it. The Dalphons. The Falcons dominated the entire game,
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: even when it was tied. It was never a game
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: that I, as a Falcons better, was sweating. In my head.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, we got the Ravens, we got
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: the Falcons. We're gonna be two and zero heading into
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: the afternoon games. They had more total yardage. They averaged
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: more than one yard per play, higher than the Bucks.
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: They averaged four yards almost four yards per play, passing
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: higher than the Bucks. Desmon ridder. Not just fumbles in
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: the red zone, fumbles inside the one, a fumble walking
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: into the end zone nonchalantly and getting the ball knocked
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: out of his hand when they were about to go
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: up by two scores. We don't deserve this one. He
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: doesn't deserve to be starting in the NFL.
• 14:44
  Speaker 3: Yeah again, another guy I shop on for months, and
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: people finally came around. Atlanta fans, your team was trying
• 14:51
  Speaker 3: to trade for a quarterback all off season. Believe me,
• 14:53
  Speaker 3: like you might have denied it in your soul, but
• 14:56
  Speaker 3: you know this guy. Imagine being in that building watching
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: this guy every day practice. It must be a horrible experience.
• 15:03
  Speaker 3: He had three fumbles in the red zone.
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: I couldn't. I cannot believe you.
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: No inside the one yard line.
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: I know, I can't believe he covered the number. I
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: really can't like. Thank you Baker, just a classic Baker game.
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: Needed it bad from him, Like if he had just
• 15:18
  Speaker 3: been a c they would have won that game having
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: those turnovers. So yeah, like you know, sometimes gonna bounce
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: our way, chat and sometimes it's not, and that one
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: definitely bounced our way in the sense that you have
• 15:32
  Speaker 3: three red zone turnovers, you almost always lose that bet,
• 15:37
  Speaker 3: especially when you're betting on a road dog. So yeah,
• 15:40
  Speaker 3: it felt felt really great that that number came through
• 15:42
  Speaker 3: because another game we talked when we made our big
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: Balls bet, it's like, no one's betting this, and you
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: saw all the tweets this morning, no money's, no tickets,
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: and nothing was bet on this team. Like literally, I
• 15:53
  Speaker 3: probably claunted for one percent of the entire thing of
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: all the books. I swear to God, Like that's how low.
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: And people couldn't be happier to take that money. That's
• 16:01
  Speaker 3: what I talk at the time. Being a professional, they
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: invite our bets where they're like, yes, come in, bet this,
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: and it was really fun. That's a good example of
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: a team that the number was two and a half
• 16:11
  Speaker 3: all week. All the money kept coming in all morning
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: on the bucks and I had books begging me to
• 16:19
  Speaker 3: come in and bet on the Atlanta and all you're
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: doing is negotiating your price. I said, I'm only going
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: to take it. If you give me a three, there's
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: other books that are giving me threes. Why would I
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: take your two and a half? I can get a three.
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: And you saw a bunch of books just pop the
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: three because they needed that Atlanta money because it was
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: just so heavy on the book. So yeah, once again
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: the books that they absolutely crushed today.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: I feel about Atlanta that they are going to be
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: a team. As we've said, every single week, we're just
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: going to be tempted by because because the books are
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: going to need them every single week, they are going
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: to try to entice us to bet them every single week.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: And Arthur's I need in the same way that sort
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: of when the season started we said we needed a
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: Bjeon Robinson cam we need an Arthur Smith camp because
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: the poor guy is in so much agony with Desmond
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: Ritter as his quarterback, ruining his beautiful Christine artistic game
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: plans every single week. This guy cannot get a new
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: quarterback fast enough. I feel terrible for him.
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: I do.
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: It's so hard to watch him. Pittsburgh plus three and
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: a half four and two Pittsburgh Steelers, who I thought
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: for sure we were going to lose this game in
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: the first half, and then and then I remembered, honestly,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: then I remembered things go the Steelers way because their
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: defense is so opportunistic and they are not dependent on
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Kenny Pickett and George Pickens. Their defense makes plays, their
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: defense gets better as the game goes on. They invite
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: chaos every single week when they are underdogs and when
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: they are in this position. Robron, Mike Tomlin, TJ. Watt
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: picked to start the second half, and then all of
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: a sudden, Canny Pickett George Pickens like start getting better
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: and better and better, and like, George Pickens is so
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: confident he believes he will catch any ball that that
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: feels like it's within fifty feet of his body. And
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: he is literally taunting anybody who comes close to him.
• 18:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Kenny Pickett is like a windup toy. The guy
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: needs an hour to get going. It's bizarre. Their offensive
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: looks inept. He couldn't make any throws, He's making terrible reads.
• 18:51
  Speaker 3: I'm cursing Chad's name. I'm like, why the fuck did
• 18:54
  Speaker 3: we take this three and a half. There were so
• 18:56
  Speaker 3: many other dogs. We liked that it was an easier
• 18:58
  Speaker 3: bet when you're down seven with Kenny Pickett, I felt
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: like I was down thirty points. It's like, there's no
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: chance this guy's getting me seven on this drive. And
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: bizarre team the total a total momentum team that if
• 19:11
  Speaker 3: momentum flips their way, they can get things rolling. And
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: there they look unstoppable. They look like a really good team,
• 19:18
  Speaker 3: a team that could win their division. But for a
• 19:21
  Speaker 3: half they look like a bottom four team. They look
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: like they're gonna be one of the top teams in
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: the draft. So it's it's a very bizarre team. I
• 19:27
  Speaker 3: hate betting them and I love betting them. I should
• 19:30
  Speaker 3: say that because we keep winning on them. Yeah, but
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: I hate the I hate the experience of watching them,
• 19:34
  Speaker 3: like that game in that Ravens game, Minimum took a
• 19:37
  Speaker 3: year off my heart, Like it's just every little thing,
• 19:40
  Speaker 3: it's ache and painn you're just cursing Kenny's name. But
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: like you say, Chad, we just we trust the numbers.
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: That was kind of a trends bet there, and it
• 19:48
  Speaker 3: was really just betting on Tomlin being a three and
• 19:50
  Speaker 3: a half dog where it's like the Rams might win that,
• 19:53
  Speaker 3: Like we kept saying the Rams could win it, but
• 19:54
  Speaker 3: it's not gonna be buy more than a field goal.
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: And that's why we put Pittsburgh in the round robin.
• 19:58
  Speaker 3: I think we went what four and one the money
• 20:00
  Speaker 3: line round robin, so a week where we took a
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: lot of short dogs, Chad. And it's never easy taking
• 20:07
  Speaker 3: short dogs. I mean, it's just sweat after sweat after sweat.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: See. I just I feel completely different about this Steelers team.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: I never have fear betting because unlike the Falcons, who
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: I do have fear betting because they are.
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: Put fifty k on Pittsburgh.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: Chat.
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: Tell me you have no stress. I'm watching Kenny Pickett,
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: all right. It's a horrible experience.
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: I'm telling you, dude, it's horrible.
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: Here's my point. Here's my point. The Falcons are undervalued
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: every week, and so we bet them every week, even
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: though we know it's misery. We don't bet the Steelers
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: every week. We bet the Steelers in the spots where
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: we know they can back it up. Mike Tomlin in
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: his career forty seven forty five straight up as a dog,
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: fifty seven thirty one and four against the spread as
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: a dog. Mike Tomlin as a dog is the right
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: side of a bet, so I'm not uncomfortable betting Mike
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: Tomlin getting a hook on the road against an LA
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: Rams team that I think has been over valued because
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: they've played so well against the Spresso far this year.
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: So it doesn't matter who's playing for them. It could
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: be Duck Hodges, you know, could be dust Sagan.
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: So you just got trust the number.
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: Trust the number. The Steelers are a trust the number team.
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: Now they're four and two, a top the NFC North
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: with the Baltimore Ravens. Los Angeles Charger is my EXAC decision. Boy,
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: I don't want to talk about it. What's the same,
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: what's to say? Like it was a back and forth game,
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: and even though it was a back and forth game,
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: I never felt like the Chargers were going to be
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: able to not be the Chargers. And sure enough they're driving.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: They're down twenty four to seventeen. Tip pass in the
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: Chiefs red zone intercepted. They don't get another first down
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: until it's fourth and sixteen. There's three minutes left and
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: they're down by fourteen points. Like this team does what
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: it does for multiple generations at this point, it's astonishing.
• 22:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah, And because because Herbert doesn't talk and you never
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: see him, Like he gets and he's on in the middle,
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: like no, no one cares about the Chargers. Right if
• 22:21
  Speaker 3: this kid was a Cowboys quarterback, if he was a
• 22:24
  Speaker 3: big brand, right, we'd be crushing him.
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: And he gets away with it.
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: But like, dude, he's he's fucking up, Like he's just
• 22:32
  Speaker 3: not good.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: Right now.
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: Their offense is out of sync. They're doing a lot
• 22:36
  Speaker 3: of dumb shit. I mean, how do you put up
• 22:38
  Speaker 3: a goose seg You put up zero in the second
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: half in a divisional game and a must win. You
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: needed that for your season, Like you're you couldn't be
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: more of a little brother to the Chiefs. Like the
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: Chiefs have already won their division. It's not even Halloween,
• 22:52
  Speaker 3: They've already won their division.
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: Like just dominant.
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: What his eighth straight years now they won this division.
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: It's it's ridiculous. So Charles Argers, you got to keep
• 23:02
  Speaker 3: saying it's same old Charger. I mean, Kelsey whatever it was,
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: he had like one hundred and fifty yards receiven in
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: the first half. It's like, how do you not fire
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: the head coach? The head coach is special to is
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: to be a defensive coordinator. That's why you brought him in.
• 23:14
  Speaker 3: That's what he's supposed to be great at. You built
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: a defensive plan around letting Kelsey beat you. Like, what
• 23:21
  Speaker 3: the fuck is happening? I can't stand this Chargers team.
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: I hate that we keep betting them because they are,
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: according to models, going to be undervalued because everyone hates them.
• 23:33
  Speaker 3: Like that's the thing that's so tough, that's why we mean,
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: you have to bet him. It's like only the pros
• 23:36
  Speaker 3: are left betting them, and you know the public probably
• 23:39
  Speaker 3: bet them this week, just because we already talked about
• 23:41
  Speaker 3: the Chiefs usually play those short games, like they usually
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: are a three point win. Those Charger games, it's always
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: really close and it's stunk like we were in that game,
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: like the Chiefs hadn't scored a single point either in
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: the second half, and the Chargers had all these opportunities,
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: they kept getting turnovers and just nothing for Herbert, complete
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: dog shit, Like I'm gonna go back. I can watch
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: that film after we get off this call in between
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: this Eagles game.
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: But like it's so many.
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: Little reads where the flash of greatness and then followed
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: by just four players of just shit by him and.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: So many throws that were brilliant, and then instead of
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: throwing a nice touch pass to Keenan Allen who's wide
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: open fading into the corner of the end zone, throws
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: a fucking laser beam yeah, with no touch from five
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: yards away that could have bore a hole into the
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: side of the stadium. Like, dude, what the actual fuck?
• 24:37
  Speaker 3: And here's an amazing Evans Stad Mahomes twenty nine and
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: three straight up.
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: Where it's the AFC West. Holy shit.
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: Even in Tom Ray's heyday, I don't know if he
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: was if he had started his career like this, Like
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: that's that is pretty insane.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: Well, look, they showed a stat in the game tonight.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: Threw eighty games together, Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid Win
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: at an eighty percent clip. That's ahead of Tom Brady
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: and Bill Belichick at seventy seven percent and at a
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: winning percentage of seven to seventy and Vince Lombardi and
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: Bart Starr at a winning percentage at a slightly lower
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: than that. I mean, Mahomes, look, he's already in the
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: Hall of Fame. Travis Kelley, kid, It's like what he's
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: done is insane, and the way he can move his
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: body and like, it's just unfair. It's unfair when you're
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: playing a defense that leaves the middle of the field
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: wide open. So Travis Kelce can be targeted thirteen times,
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: have twelve receptions for one hundred and eighty yards, and
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: the one time he dropped the ball it was an
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: impossible catch that he still got his hands on and
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: could have had it if there wasn't a defender between
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: him and the actual ball. Like, they're sick, They're totally sick.
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: It's embarrassing what happened to Chargers today. We got we
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: got the Eagles tonight minus two and a half. It's
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: a big bet for you, it's a big bet for me.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: I'm super excited about it. I'm gonna try to stay up.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: You're tired. I'm tired. I was traveling since Tuesday, four flights,
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: six days home midday today. It's why I don't look
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: so good. But I'm going to try to stay up
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: as long as i can to root on the Eagles.
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: Yeah, you're you're definitely wearing your weekend on your face.
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: Eh A, you know what, it was one of those weekends.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: It was rough.
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna those are great weekends though.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: I can't. I can't do college anymore. I'll just I'll
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: just say that it's not it's not in my game
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: plan anymore. All right, let's see other picks that we
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: did this week. Fox Old Baltimore minus two and a half,
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: Big Balls, Atlanta plus two and a half. Exec Decision,
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: Chargers plus five and a half. Simon says, Philly minus
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: two and a half. Tonight our round robin. We had
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: Atlanta plus two and a half for the money line
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: underdog round robin. So good for US Baltimore. I guess
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: it wasn't an underdog minus two and a half. Pittsburgh
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half. Chargers we lost and we
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: got Philly tonight, So let's freaking do this, giggles.
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: Lad, I had us as New York, Chicago, Atlanta and
• 27:21
  Speaker 3: Pittsburgh and then Chargers.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: Wow, did I completely write it down wrong?
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: Well, I just I don't think I would have let
• 27:28
  Speaker 3: you put the Ravens in because it's not it's not
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: a dog.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah, So I don't know why I have that written down,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: and I like that was before the weekend.
• 27:37
  Speaker 3: Yeah much put the chat Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Giants, Chargers, Chicago.
• 27:40
  Speaker 3: I was gonna say I went four for one of mine.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: But yeah, oh yeah, you know what I did simon
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: a weekend Warrior, I I uh miss mistyped in our
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: picks for the day into our round robin, our round robin.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah whatever, whatever, Matt Mitchell just said, let me.
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: Shuh were done for one for the day. That would
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: have been nice. I gotta sweat out the Eagles man.
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh, Atlanta win win, New York Giants win, Chicago Bears win,
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: LA Charters loss. Matt Mitchell says, Jesus Christ, Chad Millman,
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: shave and get a coffee, slash a grip. Guys. I'm
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: doing so well in this podcast right now. I took
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: notes all day. I was like, I was on point
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: all day. I don't need kudos for doing my fucking job.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: All right, we know what we're leading to tonight in
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: Sunday Night Football. We're all over the Eagles. What else
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: do you want to say?
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: No?
• 28:41
  Speaker 3: Birds, Yeah, on the Eagles on Eagles first half. I'm
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: hoping this game goes like the Ravens game. That's what
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: the situation feels like, where it's like we're buying at
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: the lowest point of this Eagles team and sound out
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: the peak of Miami, like they've just steamrolled through really
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: bad teams and they're only loss this year when they
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: got blown out was against the Bills, and the Bills
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: look like a completely different team now. So a game
• 29:08
  Speaker 3: me and Chat, I wouldn't be shocked if we somehow
• 29:10
  Speaker 3: didn't cover this game or it came down to a
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: last second field goal but the Eagles and we pushed
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: or Lands on two and we actually lose. But this
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: does feel like whoever's going this game blows out the
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: other side. Like I could see the Dolphins blown out
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: the Eagles if the Eagles got behind the same with
• 29:26
  Speaker 3: the Eagles, where it's like their running game is so
• 29:29
  Speaker 3: dominant and the Miami defense is so suspect, like they
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: are so bad that if the Eagles can't get right
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: against this that they're in huge trouble against this Miami offense.
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: So it just all lines up for this Eagles team
• 29:43
  Speaker 3: in this spot. And even mentioned Kelly greens Chad, they're
• 29:46
  Speaker 3: wearing the throwbacks tonight.
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: Look, I think I'm partially feeling the way I do
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: about the Eagles because you need to believe they can
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: dominate this game to believe they are the team we
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: think they are.
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and all those crazy Phillies fans from Citizens Banks Park.
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: They'll be at the Eagles Stadium tonight, so it should
• 30:07
  Speaker 3: be pretty rowdy. People have been day drinking. People are
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: texting me at six in the morning the.
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: East Coast Philly Sports.
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: Yeah, they've been day drinking for fourteen hours now before
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: this game.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: Simon, can you name the fastest growing ticketing app in
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: the United States today?
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: Game Time?
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: That's right, it's our sponsor, game Time. I love game
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: Time for two reasons. One because they sponsor this show,
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: but number two because I actually use game Time to
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: buy tickets. They've got amazing last minute deals on all
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: sorts of tickets, including promo college football games, speaking of
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: which I'm actually opening game Time right now from my
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: house here in Connecticut. NBA season is starting up, folks.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: You guys want to go to the Brooklyn Nets this week.
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: You want to see the Brooklyn Nets for less than
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: seventy bucks. You want to see some of the best
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: NBA players in the world. You can do that using
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: game Time. No matter where you live, download the game
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• 31:05
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• 31:21
  Speaker 1: All right, Simon, looking at the board right now, you
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: just mentioned a game you were thinking about Detroit against
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas next week that you might just take a
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: little bit of a tay stuff. But a whole bunch
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: of other games on the board. Has anything piqued your
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: interest so far? I got a couple, I got a
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: couple that I'm leading towards already, and it's not pretty.
• 31:50
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say this week is a little tough.
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: It feels like there's a lot of big ass spreads.
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: Looking at there's not too many, you know, just popping
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: out dogs that I really like. Uh, because usually I
• 32:04
  Speaker 3: wait on betting dogs because usually that number goes up.
• 32:06
  Speaker 3: Like if I'm gonna bet Sunday, I try to go
• 32:08
  Speaker 3: out to the favorites because that's usually how the number
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: is gonna move. But yeah, like the fishiest line that
• 32:14
  Speaker 3: jumps out to me right now is the Titans playing
• 32:17
  Speaker 3: in Atlanta or plus one dog at home the backup quarterback,
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: like they don't even know who, they don't even said
• 32:23
  Speaker 3: you the quarterback's gonna be. But I know it's not
• 32:25
  Speaker 3: gonna be Tannehill. So that that's definite when that jumps
• 32:29
  Speaker 3: out chat where it's like maybe I'll wait.
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: But that's that's definitely a game.
• 32:34
  Speaker 3: People are gonna hate us for it, but probably gonna
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: be on Tennessee, probably gonna be faaning Atlanta here on
• 32:39
  Speaker 3: a back to back road games like that's that's a
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: tough spot to be in, especially when your quarterbacks a
• 32:43
  Speaker 3: dumpster Pittsburgh Chad's team catch Yeah, catching a point at
• 32:50
  Speaker 3: home gets the Jags once again. Don't we just let
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: people bet this up?
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: Chad?
• 32:55
  Speaker 3: Like, I feel like the public well coming on the Jaguars.
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: They were in a standalone game. You know, Trevor Lawrence
• 33:02
  Speaker 3: looked really really good, like I got I got got.
• 33:07
  Speaker 3: I really did think he had a bad injury to
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: his knee. The dude ramped like sixty yards like fucking
• 33:12
  Speaker 3: a man. I hate when those kind of things happen.
• 33:14
  Speaker 3: They're like, yeah, he might not play. The guy can't
• 33:16
  Speaker 3: run and he's not moving well, and it's like you
• 33:19
  Speaker 3: would never know he had a knee injury. He moved
• 33:21
  Speaker 3: perfectly well in that pocket. So just two ones that
• 33:25
  Speaker 3: jump out and then one. I'm just gonna bet just
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: because I can't believe it's really this low minus three
• 33:35
  Speaker 3: for Houston against Carolina Panthers. Like that number has to
• 33:38
  Speaker 3: go up. That number's got to go up. Don't you
• 33:41
  Speaker 3: tell me. The public is not gonna be all over there.
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: So if it doesn't Budge, I will happily buy out
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: of this position.
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: I'll be all over to Carolina.
• 33:47
  Speaker 3: But one in the world three points with CJ right
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: now in this team, Like, just on coaching alone, I
• 33:54
  Speaker 3: have to take this number. Like I feel like there's
• 33:56
  Speaker 3: such a huge coaching advantage for Houston and that defense
• 33:59
  Speaker 3: going up antist Panthers offense that I think both teams
• 34:03
  Speaker 3: are coming off a bye, But I really do think
• 34:05
  Speaker 3: that favorites Houston. They're just such a well coached team.
• 34:09
  Speaker 3: Carolina talked about they're making their offense more simple. Man,
• 34:14
  Speaker 3: I don't know what they could do to scheme up
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: to get get a good read on this Houston team.
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: So this is again early reads. People.
• 34:19
  Speaker 3: Things could change. But if I'm going one Chalky pick
• 34:21
  Speaker 3: right now, it's Houston and minus three.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Another game that seems a little bit interesting to me,
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: especially because we don't know what's going on with Deshaun
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: Watson right now. The Browns is two and a half
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: point underdogs on the road against Seattle.
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: Fishy, fishy, very fishy right now. I don't know though.
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: I feel like we could wait and maybe get plus three.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: But you know what, I'll throw a little on that. Now.
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: That is a weird number.
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: One more. Yeah, and maybe it's going to go up
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: and maybe this is your point. Arizona plus eight at
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: home against Baltimore, Like this number is going to go up.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Arizona just lost. Baltimore just blew them out, Like this
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: is this is I'm telling you right now, this number
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: is going to get to nine. It's going to get
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: to ten, and we're gonna have to put Baltimore in
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: the Arizona in the contest.
• 35:26
  Speaker 3: You should just do what I've been doing. I've been
• 35:27
  Speaker 3: fading ever since James Connor had gotten hurt. I've just
• 35:29
  Speaker 3: been fading them. But I've been taking them in the
• 35:31
  Speaker 3: first half because Evan gave us that stat They're like
• 35:33
  Speaker 3: incredible covering first half. They covered again today I think
• 35:36
  Speaker 3: they covered the four and a half. Yeah, he goes five. Yeah,
• 35:40
  Speaker 3: it's that's a big one. I'm just glad you even
• 35:43
  Speaker 3: said Denver. I really did think first thing Child was
• 35:45
  Speaker 3: gonna say it was Denver the Chiefs. And what I
• 35:47
  Speaker 3: tell you people, me and Chad we always bet Denver
• 35:49
  Speaker 3: and we always lose. But once again, this number should
• 35:53
  Speaker 3: be six and a half seven. It's eight and a
• 35:55
  Speaker 3: half right now, and it's one of the first bets
• 35:57
  Speaker 3: I made.
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: I just didn't bring it up because I was waiting
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: for Chad to say it. But I'm on Denver. I
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: fucking hate.
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: I hate this. I hate it so much. But you guys,
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: see what we're talking about. The Chiefs just play with
• 36:08
  Speaker 3: their food like you have to take these big, big dogs.
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: And you know, I knew I was doing for some
• 36:15
  Speaker 3: type of regression in the homes. He's gonna start covering
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: some of these numbers. What are they on right now, Evan.
• 36:20
  Speaker 3: Are they on a three straight covering game streak? And
• 36:23
  Speaker 3: me and Chad have just gone against them all three
• 36:25
  Speaker 3: of these games. I feel like they're on a bit
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: of a heater here, so we gotta do it like
• 36:32
  Speaker 3: this is an inflated number, but definitely another number where
• 36:36
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna grab it now. We probably can wait. I'll
• 36:39
  Speaker 3: probably keep going up. But yeah, three straight covers for
• 36:41
  Speaker 3: the Chiefs, five and one their last six.
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: Thank you, Evan. That's that's what are we supposed to do. Cheat.
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: We have to take Denver, don't we?
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we do. By the way, we did take Denver
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: plus two this week and he covered for us.
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, even if the even if green Bay hit that
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: field goal, we were.
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: But again, I'll say it again, and I say it
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: every Sunday. That's why you have to listen to the
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: Sunday Show and I'll reiterate this on Tuesday. I'll reiterate
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: this on Thursday. That line was two when we talked
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: on Sunday. Yeah, it got that down to one. And
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: that's basically where it stood for most of the week.
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: That was a game where as a Broncos backer, you
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: did not really have much of a sweat because it
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: was seventeen sixteen Packers and then it was Broncos nineteen seventeen,
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: and then if the Broncos had choked, which is what
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: they end up doing, they would have lost twenty to nineteen.
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: So you were never concerned about what was going to
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: happen in that game. If you would bet the Broncos
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: at plus two.
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I was dying, just laughing how that was just
• 37:49
  Speaker 3: going to fall on that number. It's like, how did
• 37:50
  Speaker 3: they know? But yeah, that was a great game.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: It's astonishing. Yeah, the Denver one is gross, And honestly,
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: I didn't bring it up because I feel like it's
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: gonna wait. I feel like we can wait and it's
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: going to get bigger becomes Mahomes didn't just win today,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: he dominated and like, was so good that this game's
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: going to close ten and we're going to have to
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: back Denver.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, No, it's it's public.
• 38:15
  Speaker 3: If you're if you're a big public better and you've
• 38:17
  Speaker 3: just been Ryan the Chiefs, you've had a nice run.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: So true, we made it through another week. We're going
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: to be at least three and two, if not better.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: We're going to root hard for the Eagles. We're going
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: to root hard for Philly Sports because there is a
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: love affair going on right now, not just between the
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: city of Philadelphia and the Phillies, but America and the Phillies.
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: And Bryce Harper was having one of those moments where
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: he goes from being like the obnoxious dude with frosted
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: tips that everyone wanted to hate on when he was
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: first coming out of high school to being a blue collar, physical,
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: carry the city and team on his shoulders, epitomize what
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: it means to be playing in Philly ball player right now.
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: And it's all thanks to Jonathan Paplebon.
• 39:10
  Speaker 3: If you don't remember this, Chad, Jonathan Papabon choked him
• 39:13
  Speaker 3: and pretty much bitch slapped him in the dugout on
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: the Washington Nationals years ago, and that completely turned Harper
• 39:19
  Speaker 3: from a giant.
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: Douche into just a little douche.
• 39:21
  Speaker 3: So thank you Jonathan Papplebon for smacking the shit out
• 39:24
  Speaker 3: of Bryce Harper. And yeah he's a Phillies legend. Him
• 39:26
  Speaker 3: and Schwarber build the statues like you can. You can
• 39:29
  Speaker 3: build the statues now, both both legends. I think Schwarber
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: just broke was it Reggie Jackson's record for lefties? Most
• 39:37
  Speaker 3: of them runs by a lefty in the playoffs with
• 39:40
  Speaker 3: half the games played, Like Schwarber, thank you Chicago, I
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: mean you can't. I can't thank you guys enough. But
• 39:48
  Speaker 3: like Chicago fan said, he needed the right hitting coach
• 39:50
  Speaker 3: turn him into what he is now, and that's that's
• 39:53
  Speaker 3: the damn truth.
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I don't want to go too.
• 39:56
  Speaker 3: I don't want Jin says, That's why I've been trying
• 39:57
  Speaker 3: not to talk about the Phillies. But three two coming
• 40:00
  Speaker 3: home to the bank filing pretty good right now.
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: Just need the Eagles to win tonight.
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: You know where Kylee Schwarber went to college. He's went
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: to Indiana Indiana University. Wow, go are you fight? Fight? Fight?
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: First sport I covered for the Indiana Daily Student, was
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: I you Baseball? As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is
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