Latest / The Bill Handel Show / L.A. Population is Falling | Small Private College Dying

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L.A. Population is Falling | Small Private College Dying · The Bill Handel Show

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  Speaker 1: You're listening to bill Handle on demand from KFI AM
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: six forty bill Handle.
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: Here. It is a Monday morning, April thirteenth. The blockade,
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  Speaker 2: the US blockade of the Iranian ports in the Gulf
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  Speaker 2: and through the Strait of Horror moves. Well. The Irani
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  Speaker 2: imports have been blocked. There's no oil leaving Iran at all.
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  Speaker 2: And it started this morning about an hour ago. So
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  Speaker 2: no deal has been cut and sort no one knows
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: what's going to happen when it comes to the ceasefires
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: up in what another five day? Six days? All right?
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  Speaker 2: A story I want to share with you about southern California,
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  Speaker 2: and this has to do with an aging population baby boomers,
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  Speaker 2: of which I am one is part of the problem.
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  Speaker 2: From twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five, La La County.
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  Speaker 2: Now it's also Orange County this part of this story,
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  Speaker 2: but the sheer numbers here in La because the La
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  Speaker 2: Times covering this well, LA County lost fifty four thousand residents.
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  Speaker 2: That is no small deal because southern California has been
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  Speaker 2: on a growth spurt. Matter of fact, Southern California is
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  Speaker 2: and was or was the fastest growing area in all
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: of the United States for decades and decades. Well, what
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  Speaker 2: do you have here? Declining birth rates, a declining home
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  Speaker 2: buyer pool, No kidding, and that's raising all kinds of concerns.
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: Strong housing demand, but no one can afford it. Our
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  Speaker 2: unique amenities suggests that the decline may not be as bad.
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  Speaker 2: Can you imagine this? With the amenities, It may not
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  Speaker 2: be as bad as the rust belt states. But the
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  Speaker 2: rust Belt, man, there was just those towns were just
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  Speaker 2: wiped out. Why because the car industry and the steel
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  Speaker 2: into tree We're in Detroit area and the car industry
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  Speaker 2: and the steel industry, while the steel industry disappeared because
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  Speaker 2: foreign steel was brought in, primarily Chinese, and foreign cars
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  Speaker 2: versus American cars are a huge percentage of the number
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  Speaker 2: of cars being sold in America. I mean, you know,
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  Speaker 2: the US car industry just didn't keep up. So we
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  Speaker 2: were the epicenter of population growth in the US, and
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  Speaker 2: now we're slowly losing our people. Demographic shifts the number
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  Speaker 2: one reason high housing prices. Very difficult to afford a house.
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  Speaker 2: How many people can buy a house anymore, and so
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  Speaker 2: you have a growing number of folks are leaving the
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  Speaker 2: region for more affordable parts of the country. So you
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  Speaker 2: buy a house for million dollars here, which is not
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  Speaker 2: very much. So a moderate sort of maybe a twenty
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  Speaker 2: five hundred square foot home in a nice area, is
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  Speaker 2: going to cost you a million and a half dollars.
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  Speaker 2: You can buy half of Kansas for a million and
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  Speaker 2: a half dollars, I mean huge acreage and the greatest
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  Speaker 2: part of town. You know, grab a city in Kansas
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  Speaker 2: or Illinois, Peoria. So what's been happening is the job
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  Speaker 2: market has decreased, a number of immigrants which were a
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  Speaker 2: huge part of our economy, and the population. Well you
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  Speaker 2: can imagine what the Trump administration has done with immigration.
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  Speaker 2: Whether you believe it or not, this is not a
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  Speaker 2: political statement. This is just a fact that the immigration
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  Speaker 2: population has not only decreased, has just disappeared. So we
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  Speaker 2: Southern California, which led the nation in American numeric population
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  Speaker 2: loss for all but one of the last eight years.
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  Speaker 2: Seven out of the last eight years we've had the most.
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  Speaker 2: And why has California been so strong? Well, if you
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  Speaker 2: look at our economy and why it grew for over
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  Speaker 2: a century, LA's population grew like crazy, start with the
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  Speaker 2: eighteen forty eight Gold Rush, and how many people came
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  Speaker 2: in into the state. The population exploded. Then you had
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  Speaker 2: the early nineteen hundreds oil boom. You know that southern
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  Speaker 2: California was one of the biggest oil producers in the
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  Speaker 2: country for a very long time. Then he had Hollywood,
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  Speaker 2: which has always been there, much less now than it
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  Speaker 2: used to be. There was no such thing as filming
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  Speaker 2: out of state, except once in a while they would
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  Speaker 2: film a location shoot, but everything was in sound stages.
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  Speaker 2: Not so much anymore. You had aerospace manufacturing World War two,
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  Speaker 2: and for the most part that's all gone. Aerospace still
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  Speaker 2: is is a big part of California. Good wages. Agriculture
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  Speaker 2: the number one economy in California, the number one center
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  Speaker 2: of commerce. No one makes any money in agriculture, that's
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  Speaker 2: for sure. Healthcare is growing, shortage of doctors, a lot
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  Speaker 2: of healthcare, very low paid healthcare. Those of us who
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  Speaker 2: are getting old and decrepit as crap are going to
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  Speaker 2: need health care. And people that live well caretakers make
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  Speaker 2: absolutely no money. And then the housing. The housing has
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  Speaker 2: is the number one issue. So population is heading south.
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  Speaker 2: The people that are staying are people that own homes
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  Speaker 2: and no one's moving, so the population is growing like crazy,
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  Speaker 2: and as I've said many times, the bottom line is
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  Speaker 2: that it's almost impossible to live. I have told my
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  Speaker 2: kids for years and years, I will I will come
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  Speaker 2: up with a down payment on your house. That's gonna
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  Speaker 2: be my gift to you. And here's the good news.
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  Speaker 2: I offer to come down with down payment my pleasure. So, gee,
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  Speaker 2: you're a great dad, you know that's that's terrific, what
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: great parents we have. You're never going to qualify for
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  Speaker 2: a loan ever, so I get the credit, I save
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  Speaker 2: a down payment. I'm a good guy and my life
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  Speaker 2: is wonderful. Well not so much, but at least in
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  Speaker 2: that regard. Okay, let's do a fun story. Tapatio Sauce
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  Speaker 2: hot sauce, which is southern California, but it is becoming
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  Speaker 2: a national, even an international sauce. It's a family that
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  Speaker 2: created and sells to Patio and it's about fifty years
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  Speaker 2: in the making and the recipe is a closely held secret.
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  Speaker 2: Let me tell you how secret the recipe is. We
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  Speaker 2: know that Coca Cola has a secret recipe that's locked
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  Speaker 2: up in a safe deposit box in Atlanta, Georgia, and
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  Speaker 2: I think three or four people have access to it.
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  Speaker 2: Top of Tia sauce. The recipe isn't even written down.
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  Speaker 2: It's just the family members that have the recipe and
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  Speaker 2: they keep it in their heads and they make the
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  Speaker 2: basis of it secretly. The worker. No one knows except
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  Speaker 2: the family. They die in a plane crash, it's over.
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  Speaker 2: So for fifty five years, the family behind top Patio
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  Speaker 2: has kept in an altar a ultra safe secret, the
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  Speaker 2: Savedra family. I didn't know, Neil, that you had anything
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  Speaker 2: to do with Topatio.
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  Speaker 1: My understanding is we're not related. I guess if you
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  Speaker 1: go back farther enough far enough, but nobody directly that
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  Speaker 1: I'm aware.
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  Speaker 2: Do you like to Patio sauce? I do very much,
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  Speaker 2: so there is a connection.
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  Speaker 1: Yes, okay, they are a double a just like we are.
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  Speaker 2: But hey, uh so there is one reason why to
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  Speaker 2: Patio and other hot sauces have just exploded on the market.
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  Speaker 2: Any idea, do do do do do do do do
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  Speaker 2: do do do yummy? And well they're yummy, but g
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  Speaker 2: LP one drugs because people who are on GLP one drugs,
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  Speaker 2: which is virtually everybody I know. Uh, you want spice
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  Speaker 2: your food. One of the side effects is that there
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  Speaker 2: is a taste for spice your foods and topico is Yeah,
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  Speaker 2: I didn't.
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  Speaker 1: Even know that. I know a lot of people lose
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  Speaker 1: their desire for alcohol other things.
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  Speaker 2: You know, vio o, zembic, other weight loss drugs. You
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  Speaker 2: have a craving for more flavor. So uh, these sauce
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  Speaker 2: companies of value has exploded. And the reason I'm bringing
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  Speaker 2: this story up is to Patio, which has just sold itself.
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  Speaker 2: The family is no longer a family event. It's a
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  Speaker 2: major conglomerate.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, the adventure capitalist. What product do you know that
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  Speaker 1: got better after sold to venture capitalists?
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  Speaker 2: Well, there are some that have not changed. Coca Cola's
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  Speaker 2: changed hands a bunch of times, are you Yeah? Well,
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  Speaker 2: I heeart is better after it was bought from Cox.
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  Speaker 2: It was such a better company. You're smiling, Okay, okay. Savedra,
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  Speaker 2: the owner, originally from Mexico City, came to Chicago in
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  Speaker 2: the late nineteen twenties, worked as a Spanish translator, met
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  Speaker 2: his wife, moved to southern California. He was an aerospace
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  Speaker 2: parts manufacturer in la and he made homemade hot sauce
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  Speaker 2: and not unusually, he brought it for lunch. Was a
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  Speaker 2: hit with coworkers, they asked for more. He was laid
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  Speaker 2: off in the late sixties during an oil recession, and
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  Speaker 2: he started selling these bottles. So he rented a small
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  Speaker 2: and he was doing it at home by the way,
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  Speaker 2: and then as this thing grew there, he rented a
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  Speaker 2: small space in Maywood and then they would actually the
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  Speaker 2: whole family pitched in. They would drive a van up
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  Speaker 2: and down la manually packing and unloading the product product
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  Speaker 2: to local corner stores. And then about five years in
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  Speaker 2: they expanded to a seven thousand square foot building in Vernon,
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  Speaker 2: and in nineteen ninety six they went into a thirty
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  Speaker 2: thousand square foot building which they have today and it
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  Speaker 2: is well Topatio sauce is pretty popular people put popped to.
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  Speaker 2: I don't understand people putting to patio sauce on everything. Oh,
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  Speaker 2: I just don't get it. Everything.
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  Speaker 1: I have little leather hulsters that you could put on
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  Speaker 1: the side of your belt and carry that around with you.
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  Speaker 1: Those are the real ones, man, and they you put
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  Speaker 1: it on pizza and everything.
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  Speaker 2: Do they really have leather holsters? Ye?
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  Speaker 1: Leather really that the real ones. They'll put them right
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  Speaker 1: on their hip all right.
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  Speaker 2: Well, in any case, it is a big, big deal.
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  Speaker 2: There was big fights in the family. Just a fun factoid.
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  Speaker 2: The son who runs it and sold it with his
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  Speaker 2: how to fight with his dad in the late nineties
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  Speaker 2: about changing the brand's label to stand out on all
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  Speaker 2: this crowded shelves and father said no, the old bottles
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  Speaker 2: were fine, mainly black and white, a little outdated. So
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  Speaker 2: the senior Sephaedra gives in sales rocketed just by changing
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  Speaker 2: the label. So anyways, major group just bought it. We
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  Speaker 2: don't know how much because it was a private sale.
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  Speaker 2: But does to give you an idea, there is a
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  Speaker 2: company called Bakuans Japanese barbecue sauce brand, which I've never
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  Speaker 2: heard of, and Neil, if you have never heard of it,
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  Speaker 2: it's pretty obscure. Buck Ends does.
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  Speaker 1: That's not necessarily true, but it doesn't trigger anything in
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  Speaker 1: my mind right now.
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  Speaker 2: Okay. It was acquired in February for four hundred million
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  Speaker 2: dollars by a major conglomerate. So you're going to see tapatia.
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  Speaker 2: They're going to expand their flavors, they're going to expand
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  Speaker 2: marketing because they figure a lot of companies are bought
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  Speaker 2: for way more money than you would see because these
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: venture capitalists and major conglomerates walk in and say, we
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  Speaker 2: see growth. It's all about growth, not about profit. It's
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: not about how well they're run. It's all about growth
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  Speaker 2: and topatio. Because it's becoming more and more popular southern California,
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  Speaker 2: it's regional, it's going across the United States, and the
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  Speaker 2: people that bought it think that there will be an
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  Speaker 2: international market for it, which you know makes sense to me. Okay, Now,
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: the annoyance economy, what is that? Well, the time we
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: spend on the phone on hold going through menus, and
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: it has gotten completely crazy. Now, I'm going to give
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: myself a little kudos here, and that is right up
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: until I sold the Center for Surrogate Parenting about five
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  Speaker 2: years ago, I had a receptionist. There was going to
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: be no menu for me. I wanted a real person
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  Speaker 2: answering the phone. That it cost me money yet did?
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  Speaker 2: Was it a bad financial move? Probably? But the thought
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  Speaker 2: of going through a menu drives me completely crazy. That's
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  Speaker 2: annoyance big time. And it's not just the annoyance menu stuff.
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  Speaker 2: We're talking about canceling subscriptions, which is almost impossible to do,
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: screening spam calls, trying to change a flight, trying to
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: call anybody. It's impossible, it's time sucking, it's tedious, and
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  Speaker 2: it does have a meaningful economic impact that has not
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: been looked at before. There is a study that's just
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: been done by Neil Mahoney as Stanford economists about this
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  Speaker 2: and this annoyance economy adds up to about one hundred
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: and sixty five billion dollars a year and lost time
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: and wasted money for American families. And these are everyday
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: interactions that should be fairly easy and they're not. When's
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: the last time you went on a menu you called
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: I don't care any kind of service. If you want
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: to do it in English, press one. Here are your choices.
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: If you want this, you press two, and then you
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: go to two saying, well, if you want a certain service,
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: you want to get hold of the service technician, you
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: pess plus, press three and it goes on and on
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: and it is crazy. Now, that's just a pain in
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: the ass. But let me tell you where it can
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: be actually dangerous, and that is, for example, going to
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: an insurance company and you have a problem with the
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: bill and you're not talking to anybody. You're going through
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: their menu and you're being moved through this maze. Well,
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: there are a lot of people that just don't go through.
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: They just don't do it anymore, and they don't go
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: to the doctor, they don't follow up. Mahoney in a
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: study found that companies that make it harder to cancel subscriptions,
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: for example, try to cancel subscription sometime that can. That
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: affects revenues from fourteen to two hundred percent that go
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: up when you can't cancel a subscription. A twenty nineteen
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: study found that almost a quarter of respondents in this
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: survey for go or delayed healthcare because of tasks like
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: scheduling appointments, resolving insurance billing issues. Now that actually has
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: to do with people's health. That's a big issue. That's
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: not just a pain in the ass. And now you
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: have AI and the telemarketer's use of robocalling. I hate
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: that I get these robo calls all the time, and
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: sometimes I pray that someone actually is on the phone.
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: Occasionally someone is on the phone, and then I have
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: a great time, you know, I have what yesterday was yesterday,
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: the day before I got a call from I think DirectTV.
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: I haven't been a customer of Direct TV for twenty
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: five years. So, mister handle, I noticed that you're a
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: customer of DirecTV. No, it's been a little while. Well
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: our record so that you were with us recently twenty
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: five years ago. Well, we have a special deal going on.
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: I say, I have a contract. I have a bundle
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: and it's a contract including cable. Well, we're gonna show
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: you how much money you can save. I go, are
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: you prepared to buy the contract out? Then I'll be
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: more than happy to talk to you. Well, we can
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: save you money. Let me ask you again, are you
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: prepared to buy out my contract? Well? I want to
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: share with you how much money you'll save. And of
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: course at that point I hang up. But that's just
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: fun dealing with real people. The problem is dealing with
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: these robo calls, dealing with scam calls. You know, I
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: do a commercial on the weekends for a company call.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: I'm going to give them a little bit of a
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: little bit of advertising here. It's called Incogny, and what
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: they do is specialize in making the data that's sold
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: to brokers basically off the radar. I mean, it is crazy.
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: Do you know that your data is actually sold not
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: only only are you the customer of certain products when
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: you go online, but you're also the product itself. How's
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: that for fun. So next time you get any kind
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: of one of these robocalls or going through the menu,
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: this is why I don't have a weapon, because I
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: would literally take a shotgun and blow open my phone.
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: Just put it up there and shoot it with a shotgun. Okay,
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: we're done, guys. Now a story I want to share
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: with you out of the Wall Street Journal has to
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: do with small colleges across the country. Now, I always thought,
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, my idea of going to college would be
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: a small college, let's say in the Upper Northwest. The
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: old buildings, the grass, the trees there, and you know
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: it's just sort of a great little place to go
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: to school. Liberal Arts College. I mean, that was my
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: idea of college. I went to cal State Northridge instead,
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: forty thousand students, a lot of concrete, big buildings, office buildings,
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: and not particularly piss picturesque. Well, all of those colleges,
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: for many of them across the country are going broke,
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: they're disappearing. Colleges today are in deep trouble. Why we've
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: been telling our kids now don't go to college is
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: too expensive. Now the big colleges do great. You know,
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: at the esses of this world. The Berkeleys are just fine.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: But it's these small colleges, this little bit of Americana
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: that's toga parties are just not around anymore. And so
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: you have these small colleges. And one of the reasons
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: they are going broke there's no endowment. You know that
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: Harvard has an endowment. If I think fifty billion dollars,
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, they almost make more money on their endowment
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: they do with tuition. Well, small colleges don't have that endowment.
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: State colleges, for the most part, don't have that endowment.
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: And so we're seeing something disappearing from America, these small,
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: picturesque liberal arts colleges that have what two thousand, three
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: thousand and five five thousand students, which were wonderful where
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: I wanted to go to school, but it turned out
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: that I didn't.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: Well, while you have something in common with them, you're
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: not well in doubt.
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: Wow. Hello, No, what a way to end the show.
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: What a way to end the show. Yeah, Well, here's
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: the difference. At one point these colleges were well endowed
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: and now not so much, but thank you for that.
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: You know, every once in a while you come up
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: with stuff that I wish I had said, and it
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: drives me completely crazy, it really does. So Neil, why
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: don't you take a few weeks off for a few months? Yeah,
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: a few months. Matter of fact, I think you're filling
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: in for me next Monday.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: Right, yes, indeed a week from today.
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: Okay, all right, guys, we are done. Gary and Shannon
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: up next and tomorrow morning, on a Taco Tuesday, we
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: start again. Wake Up Call from five to six am
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: with Will and Amy, and then Neil and I are
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: here until nine and Cono and and are always here
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: making the show work as well as it does. That
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: sounds sincere sure no sort of kind of all right,
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: take everybody tomorrow morning, KFI am six forty more stimulating
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: what we do in the morning. You've been listening to
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: the Bill Handle Show Catch My Show Monday through Friday,
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: six am to nine am, and anytime on demand on
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: the iHeartRadio out