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Sharp Action, Friday MLB Slate, AFC East, Predictive Markets & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: All right, welcome in it. This is the final day
• 0:01
  Speaker 1: of July. If you can believe that the thirty first,
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: we are, well, we're almost two football, which is why
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: we're gonna talk a little football. Coming up today, We're
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: gonna break down the AFC East for you here, give
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: you some of our thoughts and maybe a bet or two.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: We got some predictive markets, we got a parlay of
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: the day. We've got well, aren't the Caesar back in
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: the house ready to go? Here today? Brian Power manages
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: to show up like a bad rash. Always a pleasure
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: to see you, gentlemen. Aren't always good. I kid ubp.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: I thought they made a cream for that. So let's
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: talk here a little bit. We've got some news this morning.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: It looks like trade deadline is on Monday. But we
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: just saw Casey Mize get taken down against the Athletics tonight,
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: which I guess the rumors are that he's likely already
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: gonna be traded. Now, if you're trading Casey Miz, call
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: me crazy art school ball likely not that far behind then, right?
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Is it starting to tear down here for the Detroit Tigers?
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: You think you would think so? I mean Obviously, the
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: school deal is probably a little bit more difficult to
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: you know, make happen than the Casey Wins deal. A
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: lot of moving parts. With schoobl you got to probably
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: put a lot in there to get him. But yeah,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: I mean we're gonna start seeing this over these next
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: couple of days, like you said, with Monday being the
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: trade deadline. But this is what makes it a lot
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: of fun if you're a Major League Baseball fan.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean BP, let's be honest here. It changes
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: the scope of some of these teams here a little bit.
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: I mean I'm starting to read a lot of quotes
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: from guys being like, yeah, it's a little different going
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: into the clubhouse, like not know if we're going to
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: be here or not, you know, come Monday. So I
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: guess tread carefully, maybe, especially with teams that could very
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: well be sellers here, right. Yeah.
• 1:59
  Speaker 3: We talked about on yesterday's show how some of these
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: teams it's tough to identify if they're going to be
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: a buyer or seller this weekend at the trade deadline.
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: So many teams kind of hovering around that five hundred mark.
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: There's very few teams that I would say are absolutely
• 2:13
  Speaker 3: out of contention, maybe six or seven between the two leagues,
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: and you've only got a handful of teams at the top.
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: By the way, you talk about how things could change wildly.
• 2:23
  Speaker 3: Imagine if schoobl goes to the Dodgers, which is being
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: heavily rumored right now. I mean, that would just I mean,
• 2:30
  Speaker 3: what would the Dodgers. I mean, imagine what the price
• 2:32
  Speaker 3: on the Dodgers is going to be. We were reviewing
• 2:34
  Speaker 3: to make the playoffs yesterday. You know that's crazy, man.
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: I hope he goes somewhere else besides La anywhere else, literally,
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: any other team besides Dodger Blue.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: If I'm the Dodgers, what do I give a rip?
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't care. Yes, yes, I mean everything
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: is changing January first, anyway, you might as well and listen.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: If I'm the Dodgers more than anything else. If he's
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: pitching for me, he's not pitching against us, go for it.
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's to me, that's that's what it's all about.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: But we got plenty of Major League baseball here tonight.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: Had to cry my way through watching the Yankees lose
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: again in extra innings by walking into winning run to Art,
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: but how did the books do over all yesterday?
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: Well, it was a funny night, right, I mean, obviously
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: Yankees lose, but and you had a bunch of favorites
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: who ended up winning. You know, the Mets were a favorite,
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: the Braves were a favorite, Dodgers were a favorite. And
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: then I think we all saw every game went under.
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: I mean one a night. I mean, you know, it's
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: one of those nights where ten games they all seem
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: to go under. You know, you would think with all
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: the unders it would be good because you know, like
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: I said, people always bet overs, the public always bets over.
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: So despite you know, a couple of these favorites and
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: popular favorites winning, you throw the Yankees in there losing.
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: That's gotta be a formula.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's gonna be interesting, to say the least, I
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: think here over the next couple of days. But we
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: do have once again some interesting situational spots in Major
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: League Baseball today. Anytime you get teams with the extra
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: innings and bullpens and questions, yeah, there, it's gonna be
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: interesting today. A lot of value on the board and
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: a lot of big name pitchers, schemes, Hunter Green on
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: the mound, there Hunter Brown of Valdi Imminaga. I mean
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: you go down the list. There's a lot of a
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: lot of big names here on this list to they are.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: So tell me, sharp Wise, what are you seeing? You
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: hearing anything? Yeah?
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: A couple of things sharp wives for baseball, and I'll
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: throw you a couple WNBA totals in baseball. They're on
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: the Nationals. And then they laid the run in a
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: half with the Blue Jays because of cease in the WNBA.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: They took over one to seventy seven them with the
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: Dream they took under one sixty nine with the Mystics.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: Ooh you get that in there, BP get your w
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: NBA action going on.
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: Yes, the Mystics, when you ask no better question, Yes,
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: there's no better way for me to roll in the
• 5:15
  Speaker 3: week and than bet in the Washington Mystics.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: You love that. You're going to that game? Oh no,
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: you're going to the Guardians game, But well might as
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: well go to the Mystics. I really don't make a
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: damn bit of difference there. Interesting series for them coming
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: up here, certainly this weekend and beyond. Will they score
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: enough runs? Will they make any moves? Questions? Is what
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: we have. Maybe more so than answers, but means we
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: got to get a parlay of today going on here,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: guys are how did we do yesterday? I do not recall.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: I know BP probably lost, So how did you and
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: I do?
• 5:51
  Speaker 4: Why would you say something like that?
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: You know what, DPT.
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: I'll say this, VP got screwed. He had Nationals in
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: total over. They should have went over.
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: Yes, I had a game toll over. The game total
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: should have went as well.
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: They needed the same.
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: But Joe, how about that? Me and Joe two good
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: buddies needing the same thing.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: Diculous, absolutely ridiculous. Three and four hitter literally left nine
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: guys on base. That's great. It was not good. Yeah,
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: uh sorry, So we got to make it up here today.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: So BP, since you lost, let's go talk to us here.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: Where are you going on the board for a parlay
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: of the day leg?
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and just even to shovel ward dirt.
• 6:41
  Speaker 3: On yesterday, the Nationals hit three solo home runs in
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: the first four innings. When I was launching it, I
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: was like, can't one guy be on base for these
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: home runs?
• 6:48
  Speaker 4: Nevertheless, return of the page from yesterday, we actually.
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: Did win our long client release. I'll talk about last night.
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: I'll talk about that just a little bit, but for
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: the parlay of the day, I'm gonna focus on the game.
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna be at Joe. I'm gonna take the Cleveland
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: Guardians Tanner Biby. I know he doesn't get a lot
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: of run support, but he's pitched very, very well, and
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: he's Guardians return home. I think they will score enough
• 7:08
  Speaker 3: a big starting pitching edge with Biby against Bratt who's
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: going for Arizona. And I believe the Guardians bullpen has
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: given up the second fewest runs this month, the trailing Boston.
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: So I like the pitching edge for the Guardos tonight.
• 7:25
  Speaker 3: Look for them to start this home stand with a.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: W all right, complete, you didn't hear anything after he
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: said I won my play last night, so aart go ahead,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: back it up. What do you got second leg of
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: this parlay of today?
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: Well, as we mentioned yesterday on a long shot section,
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: I think the Pirates are going to make the playoffs,
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: So I'm getting a cheap price on Skeens coming off
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: a loss. Pirates need the game. Give me the Pirates.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Pirates. It is all right, So we've got a couple
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: of I'm uh, I'll take the Brewers, I think, at
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: a cheap price, even at one sixty here. I have
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: no idea why the Angels and Johnson, who seems to
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: be the worst starting pitcher in all the Major League
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: Baseball I have no idea why they are not more
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: expensive than a buck sixty. But I'll take them in
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: this spot here tonight on the road Drowhand versus Johnson
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: in that one there, so kudos. Hopefully we'll get a
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: three for three in this spot here tonight. Guys. Let's
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: talk some predictive markets here, and so after we've heard
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: what we've heard, and boy, oh boy, it's I think
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: the trade deadline, it's a lot of hype. But if
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: we're being honest here, guys, I think with the pending
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: possible lockout and no baseball in the near future, I
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be crazy. And if it is, I
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: don't know, art who is it? The Dodgers and that's it. Obviously,
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: if they get school ball, that's gonna But is there
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: any reason to look towards anybody else to win the
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: World Series here this year?
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: Well, I mean, I think if you look at anyone
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: but the Dodgers are looking for value. Obviously there's going
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: to be no there's no value on the Dodgers right now,
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: and if they make a schoobl move, there's clearly no
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: value on them, you know. But I did have someone
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: once say to me, hey, if you take the Dodgers
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: at plus one forty and you win that bet, it's
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: hard to win bets at minus one ten, So you know,
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: people sometimes have that logic as well. You know, I
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: don't want to be a homer here, but I'm still
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: going to look to the Yankees. The American League is
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: so weak. I think the Yankees are going to make
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: plenty of moves here at the deadline because they realize
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: how weak the American League is. And if they do
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: the right things and get some guys back like Stanton
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: and Judge, and they get that pitching in line with
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: those really good starters, they should make the World Series.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: So I think I'm still going to look towards the
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: Yankees there.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Well, let me show you guys that. I mean, the
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: Dodgers are trading at thirty five cents, a lot of
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: baseball two months left to go here, but bp Yankees
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: right there at twelve tied with the Brewers. Then Atlanta.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, is now the time thirty five cents and
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: we're not buying into the Dodgers here at this point.
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: Well, again, what do we always preach on this show
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: In case if you're new here, we preach, hey, they
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: don't have to.
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: Win it all.
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: We just need to wind up buying now and cant
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: get at a better price. I mean, yeah, I mean
• 10:27
  Speaker 3: does anyone, I mean, what kind of person? I mean,
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: that's a little higher than the percentage I have for
• 10:32
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers win it all. But at the same time,
• 10:35
  Speaker 3: it feels like the Dodgers have better than a thirty
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: four percent chance of.
• 10:38
  Speaker 4: Winning it all. Right, they could get Schoobale.
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: I mean, look, anything can happen in baseball in a
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: in a short series, even if you know, even if
• 10:47
  Speaker 3: it's seven games.
• 10:48
  Speaker 4: But yeah, I.
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: Mean, one would fathom that the Dodgers percent is going
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: to just go up, that price will go up. As
• 10:57
  Speaker 3: far as Art what he just said on the Yankees,
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: I'll co sign that the year Yankees have been an
• 11:00
  Speaker 3: unlucky team this year, either one in eight extra inning games. Now,
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: you would think that that would begin to normalize down
• 11:08
  Speaker 3: the stretch. Art also mentioned Aaron Judge will come back. Eventually,
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: the team will start scoring more runs. They've got the
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: best bullpen at least by era and all of baseball.
• 11:16
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I think the Yankees are a contender.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: I can't really buy Milwaukee. I don't think Milwaukee. We
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: saw that song and dance last year against the Dodger.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. Are we selling the cub short
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: here though? Who sinally start to Yeah? Maybe kick it
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: into a different They have to be buyers, right, I mean,
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: they have to be buyers for pitching. There's more pitching
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: I think than hitting. That's the only thing that scares me.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Art with the Yankees, yep, because there's not a lot
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: of bats that I think are going to move the needle.
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: There are a lot of I think some arms that
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: can help teams like the The Yankees don't need pitching.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: That's the problem. There's no reason for them to go
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: after school except for maybe trying. He's a rental. He's
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: gonna be a free agent one way or the other
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: once baseball resumes. Let's not forget he's a Scott Boris client. Yep,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: He's going to free agency. So he's a rental that's it.
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: And the Yankees have really no need starting pitchings. Not
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: the Yankees problem. So but the Cobs, I don't know.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Can we see the Cubs making a move here? Yeah?
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: Why not?
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, you know, the Cubs should feel like you
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: know their contenders. I mean, if they're sitting there, like
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: BP said, I'm with him. I don't ever trust Milwaukee
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: in the playoffs. You know, obviously, the Phillies, the Braves,
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: all these other teams in the National League have some issues.
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: So maybe the Cubs in their minds sitting there saying, hey,
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: we're right behind the Dodgers or the second team in
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: the NL, let's go take a shot. Who knows? Maybe
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: do we know where Casey Miies went yet? Has that
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: been an anatomy?
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: But that he's exactly the kind of listen I would. Yeah,
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: this block I gets pulled down too, getting ready to
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: pitch in Colorado here to I think him and Lugo
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: likely gone as well. The Padres need pitch, and some
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: teams trying to buy that could really use some of
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: these arms that are certainly available. We saw the Mets
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: dismantle begin to dismantle the bullpen last night, right Mintor
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: pitches and that immediately gets shipped off to Minnesota, so
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is buying. Didn't see that coming, No, it.
• 13:29
  Speaker 3: Was at this time last year. Remember they traded after team.
• 13:32
  Speaker 3: As a matter of fact, it was one of the
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: most incredible selloffs in the deadline ever. I think they
• 13:37
  Speaker 3: literally traded a third of the big league club. And
• 13:41
  Speaker 3: here we are a year later and they're buyers. Who
• 13:45
  Speaker 3: knows and in a depth shy American league, maybe they
• 13:47
  Speaker 3: can get something done. I'm not necessarily buying the Twins.
• 13:49
  Speaker 3: I'm actually selling them this weekend. But we'll get to
• 13:51
  Speaker 3: that in our long shot segment.
• 13:54
  Speaker 4: One's funny.
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean you mentioned the Cubs, though, Joe, I
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: don't agree with the Cubs below it being below the
• 13:59
  Speaker 3: Phillies on that list. I noted that I was selling
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: on the Phillies yesterday the Cubs did. The Cubs do
• 14:06
  Speaker 3: need to start because obviously their pitching has been injured
• 14:08
  Speaker 3: all year, so that is key. But uh yeah, I mean,
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: I think the Cubs are safely a playoff team, and
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: uh you know again, I don't think they're going to
• 14:18
  Speaker 3: go down from four percent, are they?
• 14:21
  Speaker 4: I mean, it's not gonna get lower than that.
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: Number.
• 14:23
  Speaker 4: I can't imagine it would.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to get any lower there.
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're they're clearly one of the top three
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: teams in a national league right now, I think anyway,
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: But I keep going back to Tampa needing to win
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: the American League East having the best record there because
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: I think there's a big difference between having to beat
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: the Yankees at the TRUP as opposed to the Bronx.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: So I think that number gets higher, Like so what
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: I'm looking four point what are they right now? Five
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: point to five point eight cent? I I think that
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: number grows if they win the American League East, and
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: I don't see any reason why they can't. It just
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: feels like by low. Now are again if they represent
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: the American League in the World Series. Either which way
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: you're getting you're gonna get big money here over the
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: next two months. If Tampa does what we think they're
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: gonna do.
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, no doubt what. They have at least a two
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: or three game lead right now, yes on the Yankees
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: for the division, and obviously they'll probably have a couple,
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: you know, maybe a series or two left with the
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: Yankees and they've played the Yankees tough all year, so
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: I would think right now they have the tiebregger with
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: the Yankees as well as far as games played when
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: they played head to head. So yeah, I mean you
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: look at Tampa Bay in that respect. Of course, it's interesting.
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: There are always a team who normally not that they
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: always sell, but you know, rarely do they make moves.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: So we'll see what they do with the deadline.
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be interesting. Go ahead, be pig.
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: Yeah, And to your point Jill about the Rays clearly
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: would want a potential playoffs series with the Yankee at home.
• 16:01
  Speaker 3: They would want home field advantage. Home field advantage means
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: more to Tampa Bay. Just to kind of underscore that point,
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: this season, guys, Tampa bay forty and sixteen record at
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: home is the best in all of baseball. They are
• 16:11
  Speaker 3: below five hundred on the road. I think all three
• 16:14
  Speaker 3: of us feel free to disagree if you'd like either
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: of you, guys, but I would be more The Yankees
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: probably feel more confident having to go to Tampa to
• 16:24
  Speaker 3: win that series than Tampa would be going to the Bronx.
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: Just to the thing, I think the Yankees don't necessarily
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: need the home field advantage to win a potential playoff
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: series with the Rays, whereas the Rays definitely need home
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: field advantage to beat the Yankees in a playoff series.
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I think it's not even close. They
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: are in that spot. So all right, you guys, I
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: still think that with two months left, I think the
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: predicting markets off of you guys a some great hedging opportunity,
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: especially if you're holding some future tickets. But even even
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: though worre you want to go chalking thirty five cents
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: with the Dodgers buying in now, if the Dodgers are
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: representing the National League, that's going to be a seventy
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: cent ticket. I don't care who they're playing, it's going
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: to be a seventy cent ticket. So now might be
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: the pretty good time in order to be able to
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: jump in there and hold that for another thirty to
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: forty days. All Right, we got some AFC East preview
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: we want to do here today. Before we do that,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: of course we do. And who doesn't love to get
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: into the business here because we get the look at
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: the presidents leotard I did confirm, matter of fact, there
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: will be some auctions of giving out apparently some autograph
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: thongs from the Pres. I know everybody was very excited
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: when we mentioned that yesterday. Don't worry. Pres says he's
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: got you covered when he gets back. But in the meantime, BP,
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: you mentioned before that you had a winner last night.
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: Of course you did, so go ahead and tell us
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: what you have tonight. Of the folks at wager.
• 18:01
  Speaker 3: Talk, yeah, up nearly sixty units now since mid April
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: and on the week Joe Art, it's funny he mentioned
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: the unders last night.
• 18:13
  Speaker 4: Well, I cash over with the Dodgers.
• 18:17
  Speaker 3: Mariners kind of didn't know according to script because guess
• 18:19
  Speaker 3: what happened Joe about an before first pitch, the Dodgers said,
• 18:23
  Speaker 3: Otani's not playing.
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: We still cash.
• 18:26
  Speaker 3: They did all all the as a matter of fact,
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: so that one didn't the script. But we'll anytime a
• 18:31
  Speaker 3: ticket cash is will take it. And I am number
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: one all this season with total well MLB totals, Caper,
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: I've got another total at my page tonight w T
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: dot buzz slash VP as we look to make it
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: six and to start the week.
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: I gotta love that BP. All right, you're crushing it. Uh,
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: sad got too up uh and available over at wager
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: and Talk dot Com. Preplay is up as well w
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: t dot Buzz Forward Slash Jr. You can hop on
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: over and check those outs while we get ready to
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: check out what should be a very interesting I think
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: AFC East this year. Here, guys, I Art, I'm going
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: to start with you here, my man, we already know well,
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: let's just say Dolphins are not winning it. The Jets
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: are not winning it. So it leaves us two teams here.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: What are we thinking, Art in the AFC East here?
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's one of those divisions where we talked about
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: a division yesterday where you could probably make a case
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: for all the teams to win, even though you know
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: the Vikings were pulling up the rear.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: You look at this division, obviously, the Bills are a favorite.
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: They're like minus one fifty minus one sixty out there.
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: New England right behind them at like plus one fifty,
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: as high as maybe plus one sixty five. I've seen
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: Dolphins are going to be the one of the worst
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: teams in the league. They're the second team to have
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: the worst record odds wise in the whole league of
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: plus three seventy five. The Jets are interesting because there
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: are some people who are trying to, you know, say hey,
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: this is going to be a bounce back year for
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: the Jets. Still win some games. I mean a bounce
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: back year in the sense for maybe they win six
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: or seven. So it's really bills or nothing. I think
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: when you look at the Bills, you look at hey,
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: can they get the one seed in the AFC? That's
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: like five to one. You know, once again I mentioned
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: the Dolphins have the worst record. There's gonna be a
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: lot of people playing alternates with the Jets. You know,
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: their team total is five and a half for wins.
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: Maybe they play the under four and a half, get
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: some plus money. Maybe they like the Jets take over
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: six and a half, take some plus money. So there's
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: a lot of ways to go. I haven't seen this
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: market yet. But if the Jets get off to a
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: rough start, Aaron Glenn first coach to be fired.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: Possibly, I like, you know what, Art, I kind of
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: like the direction you're going with that, and yeah, I
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: think that would be fantastic, except I need them to
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: lose as many games as possible, though, so keep his
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: ass on the staff for a little while. BP, What
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: do you think in here with this with this division
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: AFC East.
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: So as July comes to a close, the Bills are
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: you look at the eighth division. Obviously this can change
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: in the next month, but the Bills are the biggest
• 21:06
  Speaker 3: favorite we have to win any division.
• 21:08
  Speaker 4: Joe and Art are kind of hit on that in
• 21:11
  Speaker 4: a little bit.
• 21:11
  Speaker 3: You know, there's only two teams with a minus next
• 21:14
  Speaker 3: to them in the division that I'm seeing right now
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: in the division market, at least at the place where
• 21:18
  Speaker 3: you wear the crown. Buffalo is it minus one thirty
• 21:22
  Speaker 3: six and then Baltimore's minus one twelve in the North.
• 21:26
  Speaker 4: So I do think Buffalo. So here's the thing. I
• 21:29
  Speaker 4: do think Buffalo wins this division.
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: We haven't talked. We haven't mentioned New England. By the way,
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: they were in the Super Bowl last year. I don't
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: know if you remember that game. I think we're all
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: expecting them to take somewhat of a step back this year.
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: They do fit the profile of a team that's gonna
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: win fewer games after a big jump like that from
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five, So I would
• 21:47
  Speaker 3: expect some regression there. But how much, I guess is
• 21:50
  Speaker 3: the question. I do like the Jets over five and
• 21:52
  Speaker 3: a half wins and then yeah, Miami's buried at the bottom.
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: I don't know if there will be any value just
• 21:58
  Speaker 3: betting them against the spread and random spots during the year,
• 22:01
  Speaker 3: but I think it's kind of an easy one two
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: three four, like you know, yes again or mentioned this earlier.
• 22:08
  Speaker 3: Whereas the North it's going to be a really tight division.
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: We said it might be the toughest top to bottom
• 22:13
  Speaker 3: this division. To me, guys and Joe, I'd be interested
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: to hear your thoughts. I feel it's like the easy
• 22:21
  Speaker 3: I don't want to see the easiest, but it feels
• 22:23
  Speaker 3: the most logical one two three four of any division
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: in the sport where it would go Buffalo, New England
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: Jets Miami, I think is going to be the order
• 22:32
  Speaker 3: of finish, and I think most people probably feel that way.
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: So you so Buffalo is the favorite? Is that what?
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: We're all on the same page and a Buffalo there?
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: I mean art, let me ask you. New England regressing
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: schedule is a little tougher than it was a year ago,
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: is it? Is it not? I don't I'm not convinced
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: that Joe Brady being the head coach is great for Josh.
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, you still got Josh Allen. You still obviously
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: you're gonna have a shot to go. But are we
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: convinced that, yeah, McDermott was the problem art or are
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: we convinced about Yeah.
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: I mean, we'll see, and if I'm wrong, maybe one
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: of you can pull it up. But I think the
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: Bills in their first four or five games really tough
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: coming out of the gate. And you know, when you're
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: gonna have a new coach, it's gonna have to sit
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: there and figure all this out early, even though it's
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: a veteran team and they've been together. But yeah, I
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: don't know. I still think the Bills are the team
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: to win the division. Clearly the odds state that we
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: all think New England does take that step back. Also,
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: all that Varabel stuff, how does that play in to
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: what New England's all about? But yeah, I mean, listen,
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: obviously there's gonna be a little bit of growing pains,
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: probably early with a new coach. I mean, I don't
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: think there's any question despite having maybe the best players
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: sitting there in the league. And once again we need mentioned,
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: you know, Allen's sitting there to repeat as MVP at
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: five to one he's the lowest on the odd.
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: Sports for that. Yeah, it's uh, it's just going to
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: be the best of the rest. And listen, Miami. We
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: know it's a rebuild there. The Jets we're hoping don't
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: win anything, although they should be somewhat improved here. To me,
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: it's gonna come down to New England and Buffalo again.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: I just I'm not convinced that Buffalo has figured anything
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: out here. That's the problem. So by default it could
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: be New England there BP, as much as that pains me.
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: Art mentioned the tough start to this season for the
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: Bills schedule wise, I looked it up.
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: He is correct.
• 24:38
  Speaker 3: It is at Houston and they host Detroit host the
• 24:41
  Speaker 3: Chargers host New England. So three in a row at home.
• 24:44
  Speaker 3: That's good, and then they're at the Rams. Those are fun.
• 24:47
  Speaker 3: That is a very tough, challenging schedule. And then they're
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: they're at Vegas and then they get the buye to recoup.
• 24:53
  Speaker 4: So it'll be interesting. I think if Buffalo can kind of.
• 24:56
  Speaker 3: Just be okay, which they should, I mean, it's you know,
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: I mean, they should be okay. I mean at least
• 25:01
  Speaker 3: go fight, you know for and maybe uh, you know,
• 25:04
  Speaker 3: four and two going into that buy, I think they'll
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: be in pretty good shape. But to answer your question,
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: Joe about you know, was McDermott the problem. We're gonna
• 25:10
  Speaker 3: find out if it was him or just the players
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: on defense. The defense, it wasn't a particularly challenging schedule
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: that the Bills faced last year, and their defense still
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: wasn't very good and consistently let Allen and the offense
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: down the Jets. We mentioned it yesterday. I just want
• 25:28
  Speaker 3: a big reason I expect them to improve their win
• 25:30
  Speaker 3: toll from last year is simply turnover.
• 25:31
  Speaker 4: Look, they had none of it.
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: Last year.
• 25:33
  Speaker 3: They did not have They were, I believe, the first
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: team and recorded human history not to have an interception
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: over a NFL season, not one. They didn't have one interception,
• 25:42
  Speaker 3: And I joked that I'm just going to fire on,
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: you know, the opposing quarterback to go over half an
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: interception every game until it happens.
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: What are they going to have an in?
• 25:52
  Speaker 4: What are they not gonna have an interception until the
• 25:54
  Speaker 4: end of time?
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: Joe? I think, Okay, how many how many wins win
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: this division are? What? What? Or was it a ten win?
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: Eleven win? What? What is this division?
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you're in the ten eleven win range. That's got
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: to be where you're at for this. And I mean
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: it's once again, as we keep saying, it's really only
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: two teams who can achieve that, even if we think
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: the Jets will be improved, obviously the Dolphins aren't sniffing
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: that at all. It's between Buffalo and England. Who you know,
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: who can get to ten? Who can get to eleven?
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: And then honestly, you might come down to their games
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: against each other. Yeah, I mean that's possible as well.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, what what's your favorite? What's your favorite? Bet? Miss division?
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Their BP? You gotta win total? You got Buffalo. I
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: don't even know what's buffalo to make the playoffs. I
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: guess that's kind of cheating, But yeah, are we fading
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: the Jets total? Are we fading the Dolphins total? Here?
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: What are we think of win total?
• 26:50
  Speaker 4: Jets over five and a half minus one?
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: Twenty's rice secret?
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: I'm sorry, sorry it yesterday. You said it yesterday that
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: the Jets need to lose this year to set themselves
• 27:06
  Speaker 3: up for greener pastures pun intended. And they're gonna screw
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: it up by winning more games than they should. I
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: agree with you, Joe. I think they're gonna win more
• 27:14
  Speaker 3: games than they should and you'll be very upset.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Are okay, who are we fading in this Who are
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: we fading in this division here? Or who are we
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: backing here? I mean, do we think New England wins
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: eleven games? Here? I mean, what are we thanking?
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: If you like New England? We're just talking about the playoffs.
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: You get New England like minus one seventy to make
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. You can look that way. Dolphins alternate team
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: wins three and a half, you get plus money on
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: that if they go three and fourteen, And like I said,
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: you could take a shot with them to have the
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: worst record in almost four to one because it's probably
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: between them and Arizona, no shock, there a couple other
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: teams you could throw in. So there's probably some plus
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: money prices to take advantage with the Dolphins BP set
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: of two probably just can go again some all year,
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: you know, in a lot of their games, but you
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: know you're gonna have to pick and choose spots.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: When the Dolphins play ten and a half, is that
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: still the Buffalo win total? Yeah? I don't see it
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: happen under and Yeah to the over too.
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you get plus price on the under.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: No, I think they're gonna lose. Uh. I think maybe
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: ten because I think ten wins this division. Because I'm
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: not exactly sold on on New England either. I think
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: they'll regress. I can't wait to see now a year
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: with Drake may here in this system, Let's see what
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: happens and what defenses pull up, because I think Seattle
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: showed everyone. But listen, Patriots win total ten and a
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: half as well.
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: It's split across. You can get you can get nine
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: and a half over, ten and a half under, Yeah,
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: just half under.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: I would go both ten and a half because I
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: think ten is what wins the division at best. I
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: had a.
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: Question for I have a question for Art. Actually, I
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: remember I had thought about this over the day. You know,
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: there's all these metrics that are out there that are
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: more wildly understood about teams that are going to improve,
• 29:10
  Speaker 3: teams that are going to regress year over year. On
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: the other side of the counter, has there have been
• 29:14
  Speaker 3: over the last couple of years a what's the word
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: I'm looking for? Not like a desire, but like a
• 29:22
  Speaker 3: move to like get more aggressive with these teams that
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: are going to aggress. Hey, we're going to post that
• 29:26
  Speaker 3: win total lower because everyone thinks that team's gonna be worse. Hey,
• 29:29
  Speaker 3: everyone thinks this team's gonna improve. So we're gonna be
• 29:31
  Speaker 3: more aggressive with their win total posted at higher because
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: the last couple of years, look at the teams that
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: have shown big improvement people, the public was on them, right.
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: The public was on New England at this time last year.
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: They were on Chicago last year. Two years ago. Everyone
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: was calling for the Chargers to improve. So our odds
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: are are we going to see moving forward? Odds makers
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: get super aggressive with win totals on these teams that
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: everyone thinks are going to improve or everyone thinks they're
• 29:57
  Speaker 3: going to regress.
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: It's a really great, great question. I think anytime you're
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: in a wrist room and you're hanging numbers, you can
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: always take a position with a team or a couple
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: of teams, or whatever the case may be, and then listen.
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: The bottom line is when you do that, then you
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: allow forget what the public's going to bet. You allow
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: your sharp players and the people you respect who are
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: going to shape your numbers. You know, let you know,
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: or hey, are we in line with these people? Are
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: we totally off? Do we now have to change our
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: approach here? And a lot of times when you do
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: that and you you know, go to price Discovery on
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: a number and you get in line with some of
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: your sharp people, then you feel even better and you
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: can get even more aggressive and maybe even raise your
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: position on a team, because a lot of times too,
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: some of these teams or even people who are considered
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: general public betters, they can maybe even shop around and
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: get a better number because it's been move so, you know,
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: and all these numbers are available now, so they're like,
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: oh wait, I can get this team at this price.
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: It seems like it's you know, lower, it's different from
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: Fandal or it's different from Draftking. So there's always ways
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: to set up what you're trying to accomplish in a
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: risk room.
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: Yeps, gonna be fun. It's good to talk NFL stuff,
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: isn't it? Guys? Right back in the in the saddle again,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: since next time we all speak it'll be August and
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: next I think Friday is a game? Is that correct?
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: I believe we got to go Thursday?
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: Thursday, Yes, Thursday, My goodness, Luke Keikley, there I think
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: Fitzgerald going into the Hall of Fame in Canton. Ryan
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: Power will be there. Which is over.
• 31:36
  Speaker 4: It's a Stones throw down. I seventy seven from me?
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: All right, all right, so let's do We'll do it again.
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: We got a lot of Major League baseball going on,
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: so well we'll go ahead and run down this board
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: once again. We'll do it round table style, see if
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: we can get through a bunch of these afternoon baseball,
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: I believe is what we got. Yankees and Cubs. Art.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: I'll start with you Warren against him and Naga. How
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: you leaning in this one?
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: Definitely got to lead the Cubs here, but I would
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: also probably lean under in the game.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: Nine. Don't mind that either. Pirates in reds BP Skeen's
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: taking on hunter Green. Interesting one here eight now for
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: a total.
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: Yeah, if I was listing closely, I believe you like
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: the Pirates in this one, Joe, or are those aren't
• 32:30
  Speaker 3: that liked the Pirates in this because we had talked
• 32:32
  Speaker 3: about yesterday the Pirates being a little bit undervalued into
• 32:36
  Speaker 3: to make the playoffs market. This is the kind of
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: game they need to win. Hunter Green has been very
• 32:39
  Speaker 3: feast were famine on the mound for Cincinnati Joe. He's
• 32:43
  Speaker 3: had two good starts, too bad starts. It'll be interesting
• 32:46
  Speaker 3: which Hunter Green we see show up today.
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: Phillies Orioles. Painter call back up for the Phillies to
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: start going up against Young. I'll take the Orioles at
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: home at Camden Yards. Can't trust the Phillies. You got
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: the Cardinals and the Jays lay he surprisingly good. Here
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: are taking on Dylan Cees Blue Jays at home. Neither
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: of these teams can hit water if they fall out
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: of a boat. How are you looking at this one? Now?
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: We had mentioned in the sharp section where they sharp
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: slaid one and a half with the Blue Jays, and
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: you saw that price go up on the Blue Jays anyway,
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: it was about one sixty overnight. It's like one eighty. Now,
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: you're right, I mean Saint Louis scan't score. Probably look
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: at their team total under like that?
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: All right, Diamondbacks and the Guardian shocker BP. How this works?
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: Because you're gonna be at this game here at some point,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: Tanner baby at home always better at home I think
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: than on the road. Are they going to score enough
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: to get it done? Here's my question?
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I kind of like the Guardians in our parlay
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: of the day, And I'll just reiterate it here and
• 33:47
  Speaker 3: then you know, I'll be at the game an hour early.
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: Joe two dollars Miller lights tonight for an hour before
• 33:53
  Speaker 3: game time. Come say hi if you're at the ballpark.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: Nobody's coming to say hi. White Sox and the Rays
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: petty against Martin Is. Let me just say it's the
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: White Sox at the Rays. Yeah. I'll take the Rays
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: at minus one thirty five in that one. I don't
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: know why. Sometimes you need to overthink things. There's really
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: no reason too. Marlins and Mets your art something called
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: a junk. Oh no, that's parole Toms. Oh no, that
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: is junk junk and Parolta. Will Parolta even pitching this
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: game before he gets traded? Mets minus one thirty year
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: at City.
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a great question. I'll take a little bit
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: of plus money on the Marlins. They'll beat the Mets tonight.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: All right, let's go bep your favorite team, the Nationals
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: taking on the Braves. Foster Griffin definitely won't be a
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: member of the Nationals after Monday. Bryce Elder or the Braves,
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: what are we doing here.
• 34:51
  Speaker 3: God, that was a brutal loss on the over yesterday.
• 34:54
  Speaker 3: The team total over maybe NAT's first five. I mean,
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: as soon as long as Griffin doesn't get traded in
• 35:00
  Speaker 3: the next seven hours, Nats have to starting pitching at
• 35:03
  Speaker 3: Griffin against Bryce. All the Nats are eleven and one
• 35:06
  Speaker 3: in Foster Griffin's last twelve starts like that?
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: All right, Rangers and the Astros. Good one here of
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Aldi versus Brown. I think Hunter Brown has actually figured
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: it out, got rid of the rust. I don't trust
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: the Rangers after getting beat up against Tampa. Now on
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: the road against Houston. I love this Houston lineup. I'll
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: take Houston at a cheap price there. Royals and Rockies
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: Walka versus Sugana. Art total hovering around eleven. I don't
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: know if either of these two teams, if you played
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: a game twice, can get to eleven runs. What do
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: you think?
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: This is one of those you know, there's so many
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: games on the board you just pass a game like this.
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: But good call, Joe. Probably a play on the under.
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: But just to get back to that Texas series. That's
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: a huge series. This series, that's such a big series
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: right now, right before the trade do. But yeah, getting
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: back to the Royals Rockies, this is a pass.
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: On a game.
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: But if you look anywhere, maybe look towards the.
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: Under Brewers taking on the Angels here Bp Drohan, extra
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: day's rest taking on Ryan Johnson, who is just absolutely
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: horrific on a lot of different levels. Brewers not overly
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: expensive minus one sixty one sixty five. That's the way
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: I went to parla of today. What are you thinking here?
• 36:26
  Speaker 3: I don't see any reason to disagree with what you
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: just said, So I'll just add this note about the
• 36:30
  Speaker 3: last game the Rockies and Royals. There has not been
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: a single pitcher who has overachieved more this season in
• 36:36
  Speaker 3: terms of wins and losses than Colorado's Tomayuki Sagano. His
• 36:39
  Speaker 3: expected era is close to seven point three zero, Yet
• 36:44
  Speaker 3: somehow the Rockies have won six of his last seven starts.
• 36:47
  Speaker 3: You know how I love my expected era, Joe no
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: qualified star Ward Baseball has a bigger gulf between actual
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: era and expected era than mister Sigano. So I don't
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: know if tonight's the night to fade him. Kansas City
• 37:01
  Speaker 3: crushing loss yesterday, They're going nowhere fast next time. Sigano starts,
• 37:05
  Speaker 3: though I'm going to be on the other team.
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: Good stuff there. I would also look at the Angel
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: team total under there are Tigers Athletics. We said, Myz
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: has already been scratched because he's likely heading someplace else.
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: It's a bullpen game. Madden opening up for Detroit. It's
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: gonna be go all bullpen from here on now. Jeffrey
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: Springs for the Athletics. What are we thinking here in Sacramento?
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: Maybe this is the day to take a shot with
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: the a's lean the a's oof.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Wow, Okay, Giants Padres, Oh that is just ugly on
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: So I just threw up a little when you said it.
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: Giants Padres here, BP wizen Hunt going for the Giants.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: It's an opener. Rodriguez for the Padres given way to
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: Harman Marquez for the Padres. Here. Giants took the game
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: last night. What are you thinking here?
• 37:58
  Speaker 4: I got nothing on this game.
• 38:00
  Speaker 3: You know, Art said he's just waving the town on
• 38:02
  Speaker 3: the Colorado Kansas City deal. This is I don't know.
• 38:04
  Speaker 3: I'm not a believer in either of these two teams.
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: Giants did win yesterday's game. You would think the Padres
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: aren't gonna get swept, But there's probably better a better
• 38:12
  Speaker 3: time over again to back the Padres than here.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll take the under. It's still pet go and
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: both of these offenses. Whoa Red Sox Dodgers art eight
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: and a half as a total Suarez versus Enriquez there
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: So we got opener situations all over the place here
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: for the Dodgers Red Sox though one again last night.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: But you know where are the runs coming from with
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox tonight? Yeah?
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: I mean what are they? Twenty five and five of
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: their last thirty? The Red Sox have been incredible. Listen
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: anytime you can. You know, the public looks to kind
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: of jump on the Dodgers.
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: They'll do that.
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: They're going to do that tonight. So maybe this is
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: the time take a shot with the Red Sox even
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: at plus one and a half.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: All right, BP, you got the last one twins at
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: the Mariners. Here is Zebby Matthews going up against Bryce Miller.
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: Uh for Seattle. Seven and a half is the total?
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: What are you thinking here? Well, this is.
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: Gonna be my long shot. Bet you want to get
• 39:13
  Speaker 3: that segment going here because.
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: I have a transit money. Yeah, say what, Joe.
• 39:22
  Speaker 4: Okay, I'll I'll get you right out of here, Joe.
• 39:26
  Speaker 3: I like Bright Miller to record a win for Seattle
• 39:29
  Speaker 3: at plus one thirty. Who I'm buying Seattle. I know
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: Seattle's been a big disappointment this year. Minnesota has been
• 39:35
  Speaker 3: a big surprise. But I'm selling Minnesota this weekend. I'm
• 39:37
  Speaker 3: buying Seattle. Seattle's a much better team at home. And
• 39:40
  Speaker 3: you know who was really good in Seattle?
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: Joe Miller.
• 39:44
  Speaker 3: How about a point nine five ERA and six O whip.
• 39:49
  Speaker 3: I know it's only five starts, but he's been completely dominant.
• 39:52
  Speaker 3: The Twins were so lucky to win with that Grand
• 39:54
  Speaker 3: Slam yesterday. They had one hit in the first eight
• 39:57
  Speaker 3: and two thirds innings and they were shut out the
• 39:59
  Speaker 3: day before. I think Miller mows down the mirrors. Odds
• 40:02
  Speaker 3: makers are telling you they've taken a position. Seattle's gonna
• 40:05
  Speaker 3: win this game. Well, Seattle wins this game, why is
• 40:07
  Speaker 3: it gonna be. It's not gonna because of their offense.
• 40:09
  Speaker 3: It's gonna because Bryce Miller pitches his ass off. So
• 40:12
  Speaker 3: Bryce Miller to record a win at plus one thirty
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: is my long shot.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: All right, Ard? How about your long shot? Where are
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: you looking here today on the.
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: Card Goldschmidt to hit a home run at Wrigley.
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: Damn dude. All right, that's that's spicy. I'm not gonna
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. That's a little spicy for a Friday.
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: But it's today, Friday. I don't even know what day
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: it is. Friday. Yeah, it is Friday. Good spicy Friday.
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: With that pick, all right, then you guys are gonna
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: leave me no choice. I'm gonna go to an NFL
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: futures markt. No, I'm kidding, I am. I am gonna
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: go very I'm gonna keep it very simple. If it
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: ain't broke, let's not fix it. I am gonna go
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: with the Red Sox over the Dodgers at plus money
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: here tonight. Always seemed to lose the first game of
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: a series for some reason and then they win everything else.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: So I'll take the Red Sox here tonight. And that's
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: is your long shot segment here, guys, I gotta say,
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, art, this has been great. It's been a pleasure, honestly,
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: Brian Power. Yeah, no, I kid, it's really it's always
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: sort of nice to see you. But listen and join
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: the game. Here tonight. I think do we usually be
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: unders when you go to Guardian games?
• 41:29
  Speaker 4: What is it we usually do?
• 41:31
  Speaker 3: As a matter of fact, the last game went twelve
• 41:33
  Speaker 3: innings and still stayed under. When I was there, the
• 41:35
  Speaker 3: Guardians went over seventeen person scoring position. So we shall
• 41:40
  Speaker 3: see tonight with by Hey Biby gets no run support
• 41:42
  Speaker 3: and the Guardians don't score a ton so it makes
• 41:44
  Speaker 3: a lot of sense to get the under. But again,
• 41:47
  Speaker 3: I like the Guardians to take tonight's series.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: Oh that is fantastic. There art to Caesar. We'll see
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: you on Monday, my man. I think presentably back. We
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: got a college football preview coming your way on Monday.
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: You don't forget to hit that like and subscribe button. BP.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: We will see you next week. You said you were
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: what ankle bracelet traveling? What's going on there? Don't worry
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: about me, Joe.
• 42:12
  Speaker 3: I'll be back soon enough, and I know you'll be
• 42:14
  Speaker 3: counting the days down.
• 42:15
  Speaker 4: We'll be the first to know.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: Yeah, do not threaten me. Okay, guys, best of luck,
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: enjoyed the weekend. We'll see you again on Monday for
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: the best betting show ever.