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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 2/4/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's how I'm gonna start off this show.
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: Horrible Sunday one and five. I don't even know what
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: to tell you above that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this, Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the bruins. Arch eye is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: Slump, the slump disconvenues, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all. What's up, everybody? It's towed back with you,
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: toadstool Sports. It is Wednesday, February fourth.
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I don't know what day it
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: is ever, Tyson, what's up?
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: Mister Penzy? What's up? Kyle? What's up?
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: Shamrocks. Yeah, it's interesting. I don't know, like it seems
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: like Saint Patrick's Day. Stuff is like already happening, even
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: though it's a month away.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: Maybe it's because I live in the Boston area and
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: it's all Irish up here, But I don't know. We
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: had a winning day on the show yesterday two and one.
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia Flyers got there, though they blew an early lead.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: It was two to two, but they wound up winning
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: four to two.
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: I haven't really looked at the box score for that
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: one yet, so I don't know. But it was a
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: when the Washington Wizards were ass They did not even
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: get close so.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: I apologize for that.
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: Although the Knicks were just hitting a ton of three
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: pointers in that game, though, there's almost nothing you could
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: do when your opponent is hitting like fifty from three
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: point range, so that was kind of an outlier in
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: that game. And then we did get the win in
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: the late game with the USC Trojans. Oh Man, I
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: should have the ad for it. Trojan Man, oh Man,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: that's what I need. I don't know how many more
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: opportunities they're gonna have to give out a play on USC.
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: We might have to use one of the other trop
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: Who are the other Trojans. There are a couple other
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: Troy Troy or the Trojans.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: I gotta get that for whenever we might have a
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: play on those two teams, just for that, all right,
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: That's about it. Yeah, So, I mean, I don't know.
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: I'm happy with a winning day at least, so hopefully
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: we can get another one. We have a lot of
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: college basketball today. I feel like I'm being really selective.
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: I only have three college basketball plays and none of
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: them are till late, so they're all pretty much in
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: the later part of the board. I also have three
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: hockey plays. Hockey We're about to head into the Olympics,
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: so I guess we have to talk about that a
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: little bit, just you know, if there's a different way
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: of handicapping. I don't think there really is, but I
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: guess there are a few additional angles to be aware of.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: And then NBA.
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: I absolutely hate the NBA board. I have no NBA today.
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: I feel like I've been saying that a lot. Garrett,
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: what's up, man? Were you betting props?
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: Again?
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: All right, let's get into college basketball. We have a
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: lot of college basketball here. We got a couple of
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: games at six pm the so Con starting out early.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: I don't even know if these games are worth even
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: talking about though, honestly, like there's really not a whole
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: lot going on here. Wafford is that VMI is easily
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: the worst team in this conference. Wafford just took a
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: loss to East Tennessee, which was a big game. Although
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: they lost pretty convincingly, Wafford was in the mix battling
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: for maybe top spot in this conference. They did lose
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: a win streak with that too. I mean, you could
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: definitely make the argument they'll be a little bit hung
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: over after that, even though it was a double digit loss.
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: So I mean, I guess I would probably be leaning
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: to vm I here, but I don't want to touch
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: this at all vm I. They only have one conference win,
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: and I don't even know when that was. It was
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: against Chattanooga at home early on in conference play.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: I got nothing really on this.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: Wafford is a very public side though, ninety four percent
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: of tickets, ninety one percent of the cash. They dropped
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: from eleven and a half to nine and a half.
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: I guess use the information accordingly. In Western Carolina at
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: UNC Greensboro, you would see Greensboro is having a bad season.
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: They're not a good team. Western Carolina has pulled off
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: a couple of pretty big upsets here, including seasons sweeping
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: East Tennessee, and then they predictably had a let down
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: after the last win on the road at East Tennessee.
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: Don't even know how they did that, but they had
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: the let down against Samford. Now, I don't know if
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: I love the spot even after that loss to Samford, though,
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: because they do have Wafford on deck and they might
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: be looking ahead to that game, you would see Greensboro's
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: just I think they're really easy to overlook.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: They just lost to the Citadel, very bad loss.
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: They're coming back home, and they did lose pretty bad
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: the last time they were on their home floor too,
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: losing by twenty three. So a lot of times when
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: I see a spot like that, I like the home
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: team because they know they lost last time they were
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: on this floor. The things aren't going well for them,
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: and a lot of times they will actually show up
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: with some more focus. So I guess both home underdogs
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: are my.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: Opinion in those games.
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: Western Carolina is only a one and a half point favorite,
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: so they're not a huge favor here obviously, but I
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: would probably take the one and a half with UNC Greensboro.
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: But I don't want any of that flag over points.
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: I assume marshall over rebounds. I don't even really know
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: who that is.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: A parlay.
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: Oh no, not parlays. You play them all straight as well.
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: All right, well that's better I was.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm kind of.
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: Surprised the Celtics won and covered, to be honest, because
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: they had today's game, which I thought was a pretty
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: major look ahead. I don't know, and the Celtics now
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: trading guys away and stuff. This lot of stuff going
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: on here. Man, all right, what else do we have
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: going on here? Six thirty pm? I mean USC Upstate
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: at unc Asheville in the Big South. The only angle
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: I really have for this is that this is the
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: second meeting in unc Asheville beat USC Upstate at USC Upstate,
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: So they are in an avenging road underdog role, which
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: a lot of times I will like to look that
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: way because that team will have the adjustments to make
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: the team that won might overlook that team and won't
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: have the adjustments to make.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: USC Upstate did just break a losing streak.
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: Of the win over Longwood, it's not really a huge
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: win where I think they're gonna be in a letdown
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: spot or anything like that.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: Unc Asheville is.
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: Coming off playing Winthrop, which was a huge game, although
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: the game wasn't close, but definitely possible off of a
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: game like that that they overlook USC Upstate. So that's
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: probably the way I would look in that game would
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: be towards Upstate.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: They're an eight and a half point underdog up from eight.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: All Right, The first.
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: Big games at six thirty pm Peacock Big East, Seaton
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: Hall at Villanova. Seaton Hall is kind of hanging on
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: by a thread here. They're a bubble tournament team right
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: now at best, so they're gonna need to pad their
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: resume somehow. So I think they are in greater need
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: of winning this game, and they're gonna be an underdog,
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: so sometimes you do want that because you're probably gonna
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: get an effort out of Seaton Hall. They did just
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: pull off two home wins, although against Xavier and Marquette.
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: Those teams are not doing well this year.
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: This is also a second meeting where Seaton Hall actually
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: did lose the first game at home to Villanova, so
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: they are and they are an avenging road underdog as
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: well here.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: So there are definitely some things I like about Seaton
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: Hall here.
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: I think they do have momentum off of those wins
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: that they just got, which are not big wins Villanova.
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, the spot isn't exactly terrible for them either,
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: though they just beat Providence. They got Georgetown on deck.
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: That's not a big deal either, So the spot's not
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: horrible for Villanova, but they will be laying points here
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: and Villanova likes to play slow. They are a pretty
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: efficient offensive team though, but the total is quite low
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: in the one thirties. I mean, Seaton Hall likes to
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: play very slow as well, and I think you are
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: technically in a spot here where Seaton Hall is the
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: better defense getting points. They're thirteenth defensively according to ken Bond,
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: they just really struggle offensively. I would probably lean towards
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: taking the points with Seaton Hall. The market looks like
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: it does not agree with that. Villanova is a seven
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: and a half point favor if fifty six percent of
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: the tickets on Seaton Hall, I don't even get that.
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: I don't really understand why the public is. Well.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess I can understand that because both
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: teams have a similar record.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: I guess. So.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: I guess maybe the line does look too big public
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: perception wise, but I think situationally, I would lean towards
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: taking the points, although yes, I do worry that. I
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: guess it's a somewhat misleadingly large looking line. There ninety
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: seven percent of the cash on Villanova, so I don't
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: want to touch the game, But those are my thoughts
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: on it. You haven't put in a parlay for a
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: month or two, yeah, I mean, you know me like
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: I do not like parlays because the bookmakers they want
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: you to parlay stuff. They know that they're not giving
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: you good enough odds on the parlays, and the public
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: loves the parlays because they're getting plus money on them.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: So but it's still not enough based on having to
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: have all those independent results come through. Soeuth Alabama at
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: app State at six point thirty in the sun Belt
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: South Alabama's Both these teams are actually right near the
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: top of the sun Belt behind Troy. South Alabama just
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: barely got by Georgia State, which was not a good
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: performance from South Alabama. I don't think they were a
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: huge favorite in that game, but they were definitely a favorite.
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: So they are coming off almost losing as a favorite.
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: Maybe they were looking ahead, which I do think should
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: refocus then them. App State just pulled off a pretty
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: ridiculous upset of Troy, where obviously they were an underdog
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: at Troy.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: I don't even know how significant of an underdog.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: They were seven and a half, so that was a
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: big upset, but they also somehow limited Troy to forty
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: four points and beat them at Troy by twenty two.
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: That really, a game like that really has to have
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: you probably feeling a little bit too confident they're not
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: gonna I don't think they're gonna overlook South Alabama. But
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: South Alabama definitely comes into this game with a better
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: prior game as far as like refocusing to come into this.
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: You got app State just coming off a blowout win
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: of the top team in the conference, maybe feeling too
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: high on themselves, whereas you got South Alabama barely getting
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: by a bad team.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: So I think the lean here has to be South Alabama.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: Plus the points app stayed down from five and a
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: half to five, seventy three percent of the tickets on them,
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of the cash on South Alabama. I agree
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: with that market read on that one. South alabam plus
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: the points. The total also really low in the one
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: to twenties, so taking points maybe it makes more sense
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: in a game like that Fox Sports won at seven pm.
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: You see F at number eight, Houston. Houston obviously the
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: better team here. You see FF not horrible though, but
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: although their record looks pretty good, and I think the
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: public kind of they based their opinions off of records
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: and what happened recently. And UCF did just get a
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: huge win and that was a win for US on
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: Saturday against Texas Tech big upset win, but now they
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: have to go out on the road and they have
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: to somehow maintain that effort two games in a row.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: So I don't think the spot necessarily sets up very
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: well for them here, even though obviously they're gonna try
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: to get up for this game. But can you maintain
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: that effort against two very good opponents two games.
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: In a row like that, I'm not so sure.
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: They also caught Texas Tech in a really bad spot
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: for Texas Tech, as I pointed out, that's why we
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: had UC on the show.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech.
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: They'd beaten Houston in the prior game and they had
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: Kansas on deck, so they were in a pretty major
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: sandwhich Houston. They're coming into this game off of beating
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati again, not a huge deal there. They do a
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: BYU on deck, so there's the potential look ahead there.
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: But I think if I was gonna play this game,
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: I would actually have to lean to Houston.
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: The money seems like it is agreeing. Houston's up from.
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: Fourteen to fifteen and a half, eighty two percent of
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: the tickets in ninety three percent of the cash on them,
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: so it looks like they're somewhat of a public side
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: and the money also coming in on them.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: I'm also wondering if, like, does.
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: The public really like I don't think they love laying
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: double digit points like this with two teams that have
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: really good records, right, even though Houston is ranked I
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: don't know, man like to me, I think I would
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: think that the public would think that line might be
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: a little bit too big. But as far as the spot, yeah,
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: I think Houston's probably the right way to look. Although
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: I always worry about laying a ton of points with
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: Houston because they play really slow and focus more on defense.
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: Big ten Network, although first they have the ability to
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: blow inferior teams out. Still there's no question about that
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: Big ten Network. At seven PM, Number ten Michigan State
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: at Minnesota. This one almost made my card man.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: Michigan State. They just lost a long winning streak.
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: So a lot of times I like to fade teams
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: that lose along winning streak because that momentum has been
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: snapped and that can hang them over into the next game.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: And that might happen here.
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: And not only did that happen, but they did that
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: in their huge rivalry game against Michigan and we know
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: Michigan is one of the top teams in the country,
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: so that was a huge game for a bunch of reasons.
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: And I probably would be on Minnesota here if the
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: Michigan game was a little bit closer. That's like my
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: only hesitation with this, really Michigan State. That game, it
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: was fairly close in the final few minutes, but Michigan
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: did pull away, So let me see here. Yeah, I
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: mean I kind of worry about it, just because the
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: game was almost double di was still like a couple
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: of minutes to go, although it was close with about
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: four and a half minutes left, and Michigan State does
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: have Illinois up next, which is also a monster game,
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: so yes, this is still a Sandwich spot. Plus the
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: loss of momentum from the wind streak being snapped, so yeah,
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: I would have to lean towards Minnesota and this one.
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: Both teams also play slow, so points are gonna be
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: at a premium here. Minnesota just had a horrendous loss
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: to Penn State, which that was one of my plays
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: that I gave it on the show.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: I gave that one out. Minnesota had played a close game.
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: Against Wisconsin as a big dog in one of their
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: rivalry games in the prior game, and they had this
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: game on deck, so I thought that was a sandwhich
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: really ugly when you lose to a team that doesn't
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: have any wins in conference yet, So could be a
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: bounced back spot from Minnesota here.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: I think maybe they were looking ahead.
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: They have not won in quite a while, so you
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: know you're gonna get effort out of them. A lot
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: of the recent games have been on the road, though,
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: if you look at their games at home, they actually.
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: Have been pretty good at home in conference.
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: They actually beat Indiana at home, they beat Iowa at home,
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: They lost by one to USC by three to Wisconsin,
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: and then they're largest loss at home with to Nebraska.
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: But I don't know if you can really blame them
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: for that. So Minnesota is actually quite good at home.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty tempted here, man. I don't know why.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know why the money's coming into Michigan State.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: I really don't.
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: They're up from seven and a half to eight and
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: a half almost nine here, sixty eight percent of the tickets,
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of the cash on them. I mean,
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: I think the reason why is probably the numbers. Guys, right,
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: like the numbers guys are I think they're blind because
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: they don't look at the situation like situation. The situation
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: here has Minnesota written all over it, and that would
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: be the only way that I would play this game.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: Wod be to take the points with Minnesota.
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: The totals also really low because again both teams play slow.
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: They're both I think better defensively than offensively. The total
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: in the one thirties. It has gone up a little bit.
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: But let me look at ken Palm real quickly here.
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: I want to see, like what his number actually is,
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: although I won't show him you. Yeah, definitely, I would
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: recommend buying his stuff though, uh yeah, I mean, he's
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: got this pretty close to this number. Well, he's got
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: h he has this number being ten. So I guess again,
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: it seems like it is the numbers guys coming and
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: thinking that seven and a half is just a little
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: bit too short. Maybe the books brought it out that
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: way because of the situation. So I mean, you do
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: have to take value into account to some extent. Even
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: though I do focus very very heavily on the situation,
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: I'm very very tempted to put this on my card.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: This is like teetering right on the edge. I'll I'll
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: stay off of it. But I really really like Minnesota,
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: and I'll plus the points in that game. And if
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: that line keeps climbing, if we're really dude, if we're
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: getting nine on this thing now, I think I might
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: actually have to add it. Hold on, let me see.
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna look real quick here. Yeah, yeah, yeah, there's
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: a nine. There is a nine at one book. It's
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: a lot of eight and a half. But public's gonna
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: be on the Michigan State side. There's a lot going
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: on here.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: Let's do it. We're gonna do it.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: We're gonna add Minnesota. There's too much that I like
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: about this one. Man, all right, Minnesota a plus nine
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: will be the play here, although I would wait, I
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: guess to see how high the number really climbs, because
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: the public is only gonna be on Michigan State and
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: this one, so I would wait. This is best bet
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: number one, all right?
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: Oh, wide put eight and a half.
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: No, it's nine. Minnesota plus nine is the first play up. Horrible,
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: horrible spot from Michigan State. I like a lot about
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: that one, so I'm like, I think the only reason
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: I didn't put it on my card even like just
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: went through these games, and I don't remember what I
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: was thinking, but I think the only reason was the number.
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: So all right, and I really the the number.
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: Really, I only like I could I consider it more
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: in college basketball than I do in other sports, just
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: because I have ken palm here and whatever, dirty sock,
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: what's up?
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: No, that was the That was the first one, all right.
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: ESPN two seven pm.
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame at Louisville, number twenty four Louisville. Notre Dame
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: did just take a pretty ugly loss at Syracuse. That
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: was a win for US on Saturday on Notre Dame.
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: Horrible spot that they were in. They'd come off a
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: double overtime game against Virginia, huge performance, almost beat Virginia,
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: probably should have because they had a huge lead in
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: the middle of that game. They had this Louisville game
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: on deck, so they went up to Syracuse. They got caught,
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: bad game for them. Now I expect a better effort
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: out of them in this one Louisville. There is the
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: potential that maybe they just overlook this game a little bit.
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: They did just bounce back nicely after getting blown out
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: by Duke. They just beat SMU, pretty good win of
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: the Louisville I think was a pretty big favorite in
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: that one. But SMU has been playing all right this year,
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: so that was a decent win.
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: They don't have a huge game up next. Unfortunately it's
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: just Wake Forest.
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: So this is not a strong situation for me here,
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: although I think I would probably be leaning towards the
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: Notre Dames side plus the points, but Louisville's getting all
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: the money here, so I do worry about that market read.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: Obviously, the market read.
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: I don't know why the public is coming in a
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame like that doesn't really even make sense to me.
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: Sixty seven percent of tickets on this five hundred team
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: against a ranked team that scores a ton and like
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: jacks up threes, that's what the public wants usually.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it's just because of the number.
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: I guess it's up to seventeen and a half with
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: juice ninety three percent of tickets on Louisville. I don't
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: really agree with it, Like, I don't really see there
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: being any line value in that line with Louisville there either.
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: So Louisville high variance team though, like they take way
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: too many threes, so they're actually pretty hard to predict.
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna start skipping some of these games
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: here that I just don't really find that interesting. George Washington,
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: we faded them on Saturday. This was another win for us.
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: On Saturday. They had a horrible loss as double digit
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: favorites at home to Fordham, losing.
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: That game by double digits.
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: So that was an easy winner plus the points, plus
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: the money line hit as well, not even close to
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: the spread.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: There.
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: Horrible spot for George Washington because they were coming off
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: of almost beating Saint Louis, who won again last night.
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: By the way, Saint Louis is just insane. Man.
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: Robbie Avila was playing sick last night. Apparently to me,
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: it didn't really look like it. He looked pretty normal
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: to me in that game when I had it on
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: for various parts of it. Now, George Washington should be
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: in a pretty embarrassed spot here, man, when you were
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: when you lose is a huge favorite like that, I
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: think you do tend to bounce back after that. So
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: I think this is a spot for George Washington to
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: be the right side here, Like nobody wants to get
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: embarrassed like that, and you can explain why that happened.
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: Saint Jose is also nowhere near as good as the
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: record looks, so looking at this, George Washington has the
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: worst record, yet they're favored on the road. Yeah that's because,
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: as I keep saying, Saint Jose is actually they're nowhere
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: near as good as the record looks. They're actually bad.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: So you wouldn't know that just based on the record.
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: But if you look at ken Bom, He's got them
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: as an extremely lucky team. I've got I've gotten involved
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: with some of their games. Uh, Saint Jose is not
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: exactly in a bad spot, though. They did just beat
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: their in city rival, Asal, but I think they consider
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: themselves to be a bigger brother to Lasal, so I
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: don't think that was a huge deal. Although I believe
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: they completed a season sweep against them already. No way,
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: they did not my mistake them last in the season,
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: my mistake. But I also don't really think they're gonna
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: overlook George Washington, although they do have George Mason up next,
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: so I guess maybe, well there is the possibility, I
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: guess because George Washington's really kind of falling off, and
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: George Mason is in second place in the conference, so actually, yeah,
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: I guess there is the possibility of a look ahead there.
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: So yeah, the only way I would look to play
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: that is George Washington, although they look like a public side,
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: which is bizarre ninety three percent of the tickets only
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: eighty six percent of the cash. Don't like that market
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: read at all. The market read is saying the complete opposite.
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: But I lean George Washington in that game. The situation
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: seems to set up that way.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: If you want me to talk about some of these
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: other games, I can. I don't really have a whole
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: lot in some of these other games here though, So yeah,
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: I mean I think UTSA. I believe they're coming off
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: a game where they almost pulled off an upset.
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah against UAB.
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: I know they lost by ten, but if you dig
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: into this box score here, this game was really close.
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: It was a two point game with three minutes to go,
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: so and it was still within six points, four points
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: actually in the final minute, So UTSA almost pulled off
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: a huge upset. And you know, I don't like playing
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: on teams that fall just short of a huge upset.
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: But probably they're gonna be focused though, because it is
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: South Florida and they are one of the better teams
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: in this conference. But I just don't know if this
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: bad UTSA team can excuse it can maintain an effort
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: like that in multiple games in a row, although they
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: are still also looking for their first conference win.
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: South Florida did just lose a win streak with a
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: loss to Temple, and Temple is actually right near them
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: in the standing, so they are coming up a big
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: game themselves and they have a huge game on deck
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: against Tulsa, so they're kind of in a sandwich spot here.
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: So I think both teams.
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: Are in fade spots here, So that's what I found
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: out when I was looking at that game. So it
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: is obviously a stay away from me here. South Florida
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: is laying twenty.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: Five and a half.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: God, I mean, I'm pretty sure they do play fast,
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: so maybe there is some precedent for that. But yeah,
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: they they're thirteenth in tempo. Ken Bum also has them
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: as a pretty unlucky team, but the spot is just
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: really bad for them. I would I would probably towards
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: taking the points in that one, to be honest, but
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: I don't want it. Both teams are in horrible spots.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: South Floridas is debatably a worst spot, though. Tulsa at
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic is probably the best game in this American Conference.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: Tulsa decent win and they're lasting over Wichita. They do
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: some momentum coming into this one. They were a favorite,
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure against Wichita at home. Wichita I think
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: is better than the record looks, So I don't think
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: when I don't think beating them is gonna like make
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: you over confident or anything like that. Now, Tulsa does
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: have South Florida on deck, and South Florida is ahead
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: of Florida Atlantic in the standing, so I don't know.
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: Does that mean they're gonna overlook Florida Atlantic here? I'm
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: not so sure. Florida Atlantic's on a three game slide
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: though they're coming off a horrible loss to East Carolina.
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: FAU is a huge favorite in that game at home,
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: and you know, as I always say, when you have
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: a huge favorite that lost at home, well why did
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: they lose?
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: If you look at the box score.
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I don't think I looked at
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: the box score, because I decided I wasn't gonna play
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: this game. But I'm assuming there were some outliers going
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: on in that game, because it takes a lot for
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: a huge favorite like that to lose outright, And I
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: think they were looking ahead to Tulsa here, man. So
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: when you have a situation like that, you usually want
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: to look towards that team that lost as a huge favorite.
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: So that is what I would do in this one.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: I like Florida Atlantic in this game.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: H whops. Yeah, And Tulsa is a public side and
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: there were only a.
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: Two and a half point favorite, down from three eighty
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: nine percent of tickets only eighty one percent of the cash,
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: so the market Reid is saying Florida Atlantic. I agree
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: with that all right with Rubbin Radford is probably the
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: only actual, like decent game in the Big South today here. Actually,
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: I forget high Point might be playing Longwood maybe, so
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: that game might not be that bad either. But Winthrop
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: Radford they're both right behind high Point in the standings. Basically,
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: Winthrop is close. Winthrop is the better of these two teams.
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: Winthrop did already beat Radford, but they only beat them
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: by one at home, And I talk about that situation too,
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: where in the second meeting, when the home team in
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: the first game almost lost as a favorite, I think
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: that will cause them to be focused in the next
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: game because.
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: They will take that team seriously.
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: And because Radford's still in third place right behind them,
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: I think they will take them seriously. They don't really
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: have anything to look ahead to necessarily. Longwood is right
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: behind Radford, but still Longwood don't know if you really
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: pay attention to them. Winthrop just season swept unc Asheville.
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: Don't think that's really a big deal either. Radford coming
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: into this game off beating Presbyterian on the road. They
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: do have high point up next, but they're not gonna
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: overlook Winthrop either. But in a game like this, Winthrop
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: is the better team. Winthrop, I think the spot might
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: be a little bit better for them as well, and
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: I expect them to be focus off of losing is
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: I think they were probably about eight and a half
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: point favorites when they were at home, although actually, well
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: we should look because that's another thing, like if you
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: see what that line was, and you see that the
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: line now is a bit off from where that line was,
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: you got to kind of figure out, well, why would
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: that be.
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: Nine and a half was the line in that one
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: for Winthrop.
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: So the fact that they're three, it is basically in line.
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: It's not that far off.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I think Winthrop is the right side in
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: that game, even though it looks like the line did
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: drop from three and a half to three. I would
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: lean to Winthrop in that one. Oh high points only
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: playing Charles's Southern. That's not that interesting, all right. A
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: Butler at Providence Peacock seven pm, Big East.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: I usually talked about all the TV games here.
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: Butler just took a pretty ugly loss at home as
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: a favorite to Georgetown.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: But they were coming off losing a win streak. They
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: were coming off a game where they got up at
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: least emotionally for Saint John's and lost the game, So
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: maybe you can explain why they lost that game. They
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: did already beat Providence at home, but they only beat
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: them in double overtime by three, which Butler did not cover.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: They were three and a half point favorites, so.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: Technically that was a close call, I guess, so for
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: that reason they might take Providence seriously as well. So
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: I think it looks like a bounce back spot for
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: Butler to me here, Providence, they're on a four game slide.
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: Though they just lose to Villanova, that game wasn't really
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: that close. Providence was coming off a close game against you, Connello.
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: Actually both teams were coming into that game. Now Providence, yeah,
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: they'll be looking for a win as well. They're back
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: at home three of those four losses they just took.
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: We're on the road, so they are still better at
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: home as most teams are. So I wouldn't necessarily want
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: to fade Providence in this spot. And looking at the line,
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: Providence is the worst team record wise, yet they're a
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: three and a half point favorite, so the line looks
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: pretty weird here as well based on that, so I
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: don't really want to fade Providence here. The money also
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: looks like it is agreeing with Providence throughout from two
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: and a half to three and a half here, eighty
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: five percent of tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: on them. It's a it's a tough call here, man,
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: But I guess, yeah, I mean, I go back and
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: forth on this game.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: I guess the fact that.
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: The line does look a little bit odd like that,
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: I but you know, yeah, three and a half is
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: about in line with Butler having been a three and
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite at home too, So I'll lean Providence,
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: I guess very slightly in that game, but I really
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: don't like it.
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: She squealed, what's up man doing? All right? How are
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: you all right?
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: We have Lehi and Loyal and Maryland this game. I
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: think one of these teams pulled off an upset. I
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: think Lehigh did. Yeah, they just upset Colgate. That was
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: kind of a mild upset at home, but still whatever.
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: You beat Colgate in the Patriot League, it's kind of
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: a big deal because they've been one of the dominant
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: teams in this conference. And Lehigh actually pulled off a
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: season sweep of them, winning both games by one point
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: by almost the exact same scorer. So I think they
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: might be in a letdown spot here. They already beat
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: Loyola Maryland, which is who they're playing today. They already
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: beat them once at home. Unfortunately, they don't have.
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: A huge look at head here.
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: They're only playing Holy Cross next, which is not great
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: but could be a letdown spot still, and they might
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: overlook Loyal in Maryland. Loyal and Maryland did just lose
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: to Navy, which was a big game, but they got
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: blown out in the game. So I would probably be
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: leaning towards Loyal and Maryland in this one. It's not
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: a play for me or anything, but they actually dropped
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: from two to one and a half here. But that's
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: the way that I look at this game. I would
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: lean towards Loyal and Maryland. Money line would probably be
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: the way to look. They also have the worst record, though,
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: so if the public looks at this game, it's one
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: of those games where again, oh my god, I'm getting
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: a point or two with the team with the better record.
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: It looks and they already beat that team once. Oh yeah,
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: like it looks really easy to take lehi, I think.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: In that game. Oh and the team just beat Colgate two. Nah.
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: I would look towards towards Loyal and Maryland and that
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: one decent night.
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: All right, hell yeah, all right, everybody winning on all
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: their own things. Man, that's good.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: We have a TV game CBS Sports in the Summit
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: League between Saint Thomas at South Dakota State. Now, the
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: first thing it jumps out about this is, yes, Saint
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: Thomas is the better team. They have the way better record,
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: and the better record in the Summit, but they're only
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: one and a half point favorite here, so it looks
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: way too easy to play the Tommies in this one.
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: South Dakota State, I mean, they're kind of a staple
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: of this conference, like they're usually one of the better
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: teams in this conference, and they might be a little
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: bit underrated right now based on the record. Let's say
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas coming into this one. They did bounce back
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: fine with a win over the roof whose Kansas City
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: a terrible, terrible team, but a nice bounce back win,
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: so they're coming into this game with decent momentum as well.
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas did play South Dakota State at home and
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: they beat them by five, So you can make the
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: argument that it's revenge for South Dakota State. But you
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: could also make the argument that, well, Saint Thomas were
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: favored by six and a half, so they should have
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: won this game more easily than they did, so you
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: could argue they will be focused for that reason. So
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: I kind of go back and forth on this game too.
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: I don't want any part of it. But South Dakota
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: State did just beat Oral Roberts. That's not a big
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: deal either. That team doesn't even have a conference win yet,
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: you know they're gonna show up for a game against
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: one of the top teams in the conference and a
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: team that did beat them once. So even though I'm
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: not convinced that Saint Thomas is going to overlook this game,
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: the line does look very very strange. Saint Thomas looks
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: like there will be a public side ninety three percent
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: of tickets and cash on them. I would lean towards
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: soelth Dakota State in that game, plus the one and
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: a half or whatever, but again it's not not really
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: a huge opinion for me on that one. All Right,
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: we got a bunch of Horizon League games here. I
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: don't really know if many of them are particularly interesting.
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: There is a TV game between Wright State, who is
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: one of the best teams in the conference this year
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: and Robert Morris, who won the conference last year, although
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: they're not as good this year. This is on ESPNU.
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: Right State coming off a win over Green Bay on
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: the road, decent win. Green Bay has started playing pretty
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: well in conference, so you know they're not like a pushover.
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: In conference.
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: So it was a decent win for Right State and
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: Right State does have IPFW on deck, who's in third
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: place in the conference, so there is the possibility they're
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking ahead to that game and they might
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: overlook Robert Morris here, although they haven't played them yet
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: this year. And Robert Morris, yeah, they won the conference
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: last year, but they're just they're not having a great
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: season this year, man, So definitely a team.
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: That's more easy to overlook.
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: Robert Morris is coming off a double digit loss at IPFW.
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: Got to think they will show up for this game.
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: They get to host a TV game, which they don't
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: do that often. So I'd probably been leaning towards Robert
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: Morris here, but the money is totally disagreeing with that.
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: I don't like it when when the cash is totally
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: disagreeing with me, Man, I don't like it right because
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: it's like I'm missing something or I don't know.
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: Write State down for two and a half.
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: To two ninety six percent of the casual on Wright Stage,
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: seventy three percent of tickets on Robert Morris, But I
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: don't even know how I can recoup those percentages.
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: Be like, why would Robert Morris be the public side here?
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Like I know everybody Well, I don't even know if everybody.
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: Remembers them making the tournament last year because they were
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: one and done they lost to Alabama. People probably don't
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: remember that, so looking at their records this year, I
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: don't understand how Robert Morris could really be a public
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: side here.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: That doesn't make sense to me. So, yeah, I don't know.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: I don't quite get that. Yeah, I'm confused. All right?
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: What else? What else got going on here?
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: Furman and East Tennessee State is actually a pretty good
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: game in the SoCon Furman one of the better teams
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: in this conference. They're actually only one game behind East
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: Tennessee State. I think Mercer is probably actually Power Radies
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: why is the second best team, but Furman kind of
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: in the mix here. Furhman is coming off a win
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: that was not very impressive over Chattanooga at home, or
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: I presume Furhman did not cover the spread in this game. No,
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: they were seven and a half, they won by five,
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: so maybe they were looking ahead to this game. I
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: don't think they played East Tennessee yet, so they should
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: be in a bit of a focused spot here for sure,
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: especially coming off a game or they didn't play that
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: well and they might have already been looking ahead. East
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: Tennessee is coming up a pretty big win over Wafford,
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: who is right behind them in the standings too, so
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have to do that two games in a row. Here,
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: I would lead to Furman in the game. I don't
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: think East Tennessee is gonna not show up or anything
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: like that, but I think Furman probably is the way
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: to look here. Based on what happened in the prior game,
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: East Tennessee is up to a five and a half
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: point favorite, But it does look like some of the
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: money might be coming back on Firhman tickets ninety eight
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Furhman. Do with that information
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: what you want to stump this read?
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: What does that mean? Really? I don't know. I can
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: only think of stump the Schwab.
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: If you remember that show, the sports trivia show on ESPN,
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: The Schwab. That guy's kind of full of himself, but
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: you had to try to beat him in a sports
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: trivia contest. It was like Win ben Stein's Money, but
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: for sports and not as funny man Win ben Stein's Money.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: That was actually a good show.
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: That was back when Jimmy Kimmel actually was doing some
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: reasonably funny things back then.
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: He was like the host of it or whatever, and
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: people had.
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: To compete in a trivia contest against ben Stein. That
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: was a great show and it was a comedy show
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: at the same time too. Southern Miss and Marshall decent
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: game in the sun Belt here, probably the best Sun
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: Belt game of the day. This game, Southern Miss, they
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: just broke a long losing streak, a five game losing
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: streak with a win. We had the win with them
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: on Saturday. We had a lot of wins on Saturday
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: in College of basketball. They beat James Madison. Caught James
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: Madison in a pretty good spot to catch them. Now,
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: that might give Southern Miss some new momentum coming into
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: this one, man, because it wasn't like a huge win.
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna overlook Marshall, who's ahead of
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: them in the conference standings here.
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they do have the MAC.
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: Sun Belt Challenge next against Kent State, so Southern Miss does
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: draw one of the better MAC teams there. But I
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna be overlooking Marshall. I think they
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: have some new momentum coming into this ever, breaking that
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: losing streak, so I think it's mostly a positive for
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: Southern Miss here.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: Marshall, they just beat Arkansas State.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: On the road, man, and that was an upset, even
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: though I don't know if Marshall's gonna be like really
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: high off of that win because Arkansas State the record
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: doesn't look good, so people might not realize even these
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: players might not realize Arkansas State is actually better than
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: the record looks. They were a three and a half
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: point favorite in that game. I think that was a
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: pretty big win for Marshall, and they have the Mac
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: Challenge up next to it. They have to play Miami Ohio,
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: the team that's getting all the hype, so they actually.
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: Might look ahead to that. Man, they might.
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: Overlook a Southern Miss team that's significantly below them in
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: the standings here, so I think the spot is better
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: for Southern Miss here.
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: That's the way I would lean.
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: Marshall is a nine and a half point favorite, dropped
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: a little bit from ten. I would look towards taking
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: the points with Southern Miss in that game, even though,
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: of course Southern Miss is nowhere near as good as
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: what they looked like early in conference play. And then
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: Troy the top team in the conference should be in
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: a bounced back spot for that pretty disgusting loss to
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: apps Stay and I know app State is right behind
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: them in the standings. But when you lose that badly,
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: you scored forty four points and you were a pretty
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: big favor and he lost that game, I think you
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: do bounce back after that. But Troy does have to
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: play Akron in the MAC Sunbelt Challenge there or whatever,
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: so they have to play the actual best team in
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: the MAC. So there is the worry that maybe they
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: look ahead to that even though it is an out
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: of conference game. Georgia State not a very good team,
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: but Georgia State also they're actually coming off a big
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: performance on the road against South Alabama. I think there
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: were pretty big underdogs in that game, and they almost
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: pulled off the upset. So you know what I talk about.
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: When you have a team that almost pulled off an
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: upset as a big dog against a team that lost
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: as a pretty substantial favorite, I think you always want
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: to look towards that favorite that lost because that's the
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: better team and they're gonna be in a focused spot
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: more or less. So I like Troy in the game.
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: They're up from five to five and a half. Don't
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: know if I really trust their offense or trust them
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: with Akron on deck, but the money looks like it
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: is slightly coming in that way, laying the five points
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: with them. The totals not that high though, at one
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: forty six, but I want to be too.
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: Worried about that.
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: But Troy, their offense is a bit of a concern
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: as far as laying points on the road though. All Right,
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: Texas A and M Alabama and the SEC on SEC
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: Network at seven pm. People are gonna look at this game.
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: Texas A and M is a one loss SEC team,
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: four losses on the year, Alabama seven losses on the
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: season and only four and four in SEC play. And
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: then you see Alabama's laying seven and a half points
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: in this game. So the line looks ridiculous that I've
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: been telling your Texas A and M is not as
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: good as the record looks like. Are they a tournament team? Yeah, sure,
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: but they're not. They're not the best team in the SEC,
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: no way. And the oddsmakers are telling you Alabama is
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: better than Texas A and M. And of course I'm
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: gonna tell you that Florida's better Vandy is better. I
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: would say Arkansas, Tennessee. Those teams, even Kentucky might be better.
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: So kind of ridiculous that A and M is a
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: top the SEC where they're probably like the sixth or
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: seventh best team in actuality. But the public, you know,
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: they're gonna look at this game and see, oh, Alabama
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: dropped out of the rankings. Alabama's not as good now
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: the public finally realizes Alabama's not.
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: As good as they were the last couple of years.
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: But ken Bum does have Alabama still in the top
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: twenty five, so they still deserve to be ranked, like
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: the drop off has not been that steep with them,
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: and the osbagers are telling you Alabama is the significantly
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: better team League seven and a half. So you want
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: to you gotta listen to what the osbagers are telling you, man,
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: when it's a line that doesn't make sense, as I
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: always say, versus what the rankings or what the records
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: would make you think based on just the records alone.
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: Again, Texas A and M.
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: In a very week out of conference schedule, they didn't
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: really be anybody significant out of conference. They lost all
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: the big games out of conference. They've actually been a
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: weak SEC schedule so far, too so A and M
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: is not what they appear to be. I think they're
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: gonna be up against it in this game against Alabama.
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: A and M did just get a really nice road
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: win against Georgia. But Alabama is better than Georgia.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Texas A and M.
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: They did get used to having to play fast against Georgia,
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: but they're gonna have to do that again.
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: Two games in a row against speed up teams on
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: the road.
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: And they have Florida on deck. I worry about the
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: spot for Texas A and M because Florida. That game
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: against Florida will actually be the battle for first place
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: potentially in the SEC. So as weird as it sounds,
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: this might actually almost be kind of a sandwich spot
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: here against Alabama. Sounds strange that you might overlook Alabama,
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: but it actually is possible. Alabama, they're coming up of
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: a big game against Florida where it was kind of
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: one of those reality check games where it's like, oh, crap,
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: Florida is actually way better than we are. Yeah, Florida
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: absolutely trounce them, but in a way, I think it's
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: kind of an embarrassing loss, and I think you do
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: kind of tend to bounce back from something like that
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: as long as it.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: Doesn't break like a long wind streak or anything like that.
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: I think the fact that it knocked Alabama out of
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: the rankings might also give Alabama maybe a little bit
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: of chip on their shoulder too. But based on all
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: of that, but especially because of the line looking very
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: very mysterious in this game, I would have to lean
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: towards Alabama in this one. The market seems to agree
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: with this one. Texas A and M is getting the
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: public action it looks like, so they're one of those
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: dreaded public underdogs, which I also, dude, I love fading
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: public underdogs too, because that means you're on the better
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: team usually and you're not on the side of the public.
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: Sixty four percent of tickets and only fifty two percent
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: of the cash on A and M, so they're public
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: with less than the money on the Alabama up from
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: seven to eight. Unfortunately, the seven is no longer out there,
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: which is kind of a key number in basketball because
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: teams stop potentially fouling. But yeah, I would still lay
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: it with Alabama on that one. Liberty at Delaware and
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: that game is gonna be way fast. By the way too,
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: I forgot to mention, both of these teams play crazy fast,
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: so I would not disagree.
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: With an whole in that game either.
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: Both teams are more focused on offense, and they both
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: speed the game way up. The total is crazy high
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: at one seventy eight, and it is that way for
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: a reason. I would only look towards the over in
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: that game on the total.
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: It's one of those extreme.
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: Total games there, all right, Liberty at Delaware and oh
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: and because there's gonna be more points score, that does
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: make it easier for the favorite to cover as well more.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: Variance in the scoring.
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: Liberty is coming up a big game against Middle Tennessee,
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: although I don't know how big they consider that game
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: to be because we know, you know, just paying attention
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: to all the odds and stuff in the power ratings,
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: we know Middle Tennessee is an extremely underrated team, but
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: a team like Liberty might not realize that, you know
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: what I mean? Like Middle Tennessee, they're way better than
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: the record looks, but they're.
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Just way underperformed this year.
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: That was a big win for Liberty based on with
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: the odds were and whatever. I don't know if they're
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: gonna realize that was a big win. But they are
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: coming off that win. They blew them out on the
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: road in Middle Tennessee. They played Delaware where they just
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: played in the prior game and beat them by double digits.
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: At Liberty, so Liberty might look past Delaware here. They
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: got Missouri State on deck. Missouri States in third place
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: in the conference, so there is the potential look ahead
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: there too, plus a little bit of maybe a revenge
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: spot for Delaware, although it's more that Liberty might just
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: not take Delaware seriously. Delaware is coming off a pretty
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: like really disgusting loss to UTEP. But Delaware is coming
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: off a big upset of New Mexico State in the
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: prior game, and it was a third straight road game
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: and they had Liberty on decks. They're actually in a
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: sandwich spot there, coming off a hideous lost to UTEP. Yeah,
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: I think the only way to play this game is Delaware.
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: A lot of things actually line up on Delaware in
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: this one. This one is not on my card, but
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: I like Delaware in this game. Liberty is up to
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: a twelve point favorite total is really low one thirty
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: two and a half, so that does help the underdog
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: as well, getting all these points at home. I would
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: only lean towards playing the point, taking the points with
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: Delaware in that game. Charlotte at Wichita State in the
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: American The thing to notice about this is like Charlotte
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: has only two conference losses, they have the same overall
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: record as Wichita. Yet Wichita is laying eight and a
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: half points in this game. So the odds Biggers are
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: telling you Charlotte is basically fraudulent, like they are not
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: as good as their conference record looks. I've been saying
• 47:26
  Speaker 2: that as well. They are not one of the best
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: teams in this conference. They are absolutely nowhere near as
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: good as Tulsa South Florida Florida Atlantic. As the Oszbegers
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: are telling you, they're not as good as Wichita. I
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: don't think they're as good as Memphis UAB, probably not
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: as good as Temple either.
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: So Charlotte is really really yeah, they're.
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know how else to say it,
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: but yeah, they're pretty fraudulent. And the oddswigers are telling
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: you that with that line, So right away that has
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: been wanting to lean towards Wichita in this game based
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: on the situation.
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: Charlotte just beat Rice.
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: That's not really a big deal though, so they do
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: a momentum coming into this game Wichita. You gotta see
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: what the spot looks like for Wichita. Unfortunately, Wichita is
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: coming up a pretty big game.
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: A loss to Tulsa.
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: They did lose by double digits, so you could maybe
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: make the argument the bounce back here as long as
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: that Tulsa game wasn't that close down the stretch, which
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: it wasn't, so maybe Wichita will bounce back from that.
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: But it was a big game.
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: They did lose a win streak off of that game.
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: But yeah, other than that, you know, based on the line,
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: the fact that Charlotte is not what they appear to be,
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: I would be leaning to Wichita in this game. Let
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: me see the scheduling spot worries me a little bit
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: about it, and then the market read actually has money
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: coming in towards Charlotte.
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: But I don't really agree with that.
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: Wichita down from nine and a half to eight now
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: sixty two tickets eighty nine percent of the cash on Charlotte,
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: but I don't really agree with that. I would lean Wichita,
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: but I don't want to have any involvement in that
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: game either, creating at Georgetown seven thirty p m. Peacock
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: Big East, trying to get through all this huge college
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: basketball slate in like an hour. Man, I don't think
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna be able to do it, though I still
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: have three more plays. I told you that most of
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: the plays were late games. Creighton is coming off getting
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: blown out by Yukon, so they may bounce back from that.
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: They did already beat Georgetown, but they beat Georgetown barely
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: in overtime at home. And you know, Creyton was a
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: pretty big favorite in that game. I would have to
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: imagine yeah, eight and a half point favorites. So in
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: a situation like that, when you have a team that
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: was a pretty substantial home favorite almost lost the game,
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: they will take that team seriously more often than not
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: in the next game. So I think they might actually
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: show up, especially coming off of two pretty ugly losses
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: to Creighton's not quite as bad as the record looks.
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: I don't think at this point Georgetown has won three
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: games in a row, so there might be some recency
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: bias on Georgetown here, but that culminated in the pulling
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: off an upset of Butler on the road now. While
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're really gonna overlook Creighton, I don't
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: know they do a Villanova and Yukon on deck. Technically
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: it is revenge because they did.
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: Lose to.
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: Creighton, uh the first game. But Creighton they're the better team, man,
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: I'm there. Georgetown's actually a two point favorite here, which
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: is kind of interesting. I wouldn't have thought that, but
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: I would have to ly need to Creighton here based
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: on the situation. Sixty percent of tickets eighty six percent
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Creighton, so the money's coming in
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: on Crayton. Also, I think there was line value here too,
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: because how could Creighton have been an eight and a
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: half point home favorite and now the line based on that, Like,
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: based on that line, this line should probably be I
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: don't know, like Creighton should be a favorite in this
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: game based on that line, like you should probably be
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: like one one and a half. And the fact that
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: Georgetown's a two point favorite, I think maybe we're letting
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: recently bias.
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: Take hold a little bit too much here.
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: So I would take the points with Creighton in that one,
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: even though they are the team and I think has
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: more name recognition at this point like they've just been
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: the better team for quite a while. Now things are
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: just so bad for Georgetown. There used to be a powerhouse,
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: but it's at the point where I think the public
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: actually kind of recognizes Creighton a little bit more now.
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: The Georgetown is weird as that might sound, but yeah,
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: that's the way I would look at that game. Oh man,
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: ah my neck. Who all right, one other games we
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: want to talk about here. Peacock has a big twelve
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: game here at eight pm between Colorado and Baylor.
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: This game is it's.
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: Not a great game, both teams having bad seasons, but
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: if you look at the the odds here, even though
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: Baylor has actually a slightly worse record, they're laying seven
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: and a half. So again, it's another one of those
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: misleading spreads, man, where the odds becaus are telling you
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: Baylor is actually the better team over Colorado, and they've
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: probably played the more difficult schedule, so that is interesting.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: Colorado.
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: Both teams actually broke a long losing streak in their
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: last game. Colorado broke a six game losing streak with
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: a win over TCU, So in both cases, I think
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: that should give that team some momentum moving forward Colorado
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: beat TCU.
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: Was not really playing that well either.
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: That was at Colorado, I believe, so it wasn't like
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: a huge upset.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Really. Baylor had a four.
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: Game losing streak and they ended that by winning on
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: the road at West Virginia. They were a small underdog
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: in that game got the win. So maybe Baylor in
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: the slightly worst spot because that was an upset, and
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: they do have huge games on deck between Iowa State
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: against Iowa State BYU, and then they have the big
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: twelve ACC challenge against Louisville up after that, so three
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: ranked opponents in a row after this. So and because
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: Colorado broke the longer losing streak, you know, Situationally, I
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: kind of leaned towards Colorado in this one, but the
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: line made it look way too easy to play Colorado.
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: Although it looks like eighty three percent of the tickets
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: and then ninety seven percent of the cash on Baylor,
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know. It looks like the actual money is
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: on Baylor, which that doesn't surprise me. But I would
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: think the public might be off of the Baylor train
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: more than maybe they are. Although it's tough to read
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: into some of these percentages in the morning like this,
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: Baylor up from a seven point favorite to an eight
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: point favorite with juice. Yeah, I kind of lean the
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: other way with that though. I kind of lean towards
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: taking the points of Colorado. But I don't love the
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: game all right. I mean, I can talk about some
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: of these other games if you want me to. I'm
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: gonna have to probably take a break at some point too.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: How many games we have left? Not too many. Georgia
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: Tech at cal ACC Network, eight pm.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: This almost made my card. Man.
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech is coming off a loss in North Carolina.
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: The game wasn't close.
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: Though they lost by sixteen, they weren't really in the game,
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: so I think they will may being a bounced back spot.
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: But I worry about these teams crossing the country and
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: going to these unfamiliar locations. You know, Georgia Tech not
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: used to going out to the Pacific coast, so that's
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a.
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: Concern for me there. Although I have found spots to
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: actually make that play because the spot is pretty bad
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: for cal.
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: The public's probably gonna want Cal in this game because
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: they have the better looking record, but look at the
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: spot for Cal Man. They're also having to travel back
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: to the Pacific coast, so though at least for them,
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: they're kind of used to it. They just pulled off
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: a big double digit upset of Miami on the road.
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: That was a big upset for CAL. Miami considered to
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: be a tournament team right now as well. And Cal
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: has Clemson on deck in their next game and in
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: a few days on Saturday.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: I guess is what that is.
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: So they're in a sandwich spot man, So I think
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech has got to be the right side in
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: this game. This is almost on my card a. Cal
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: dropped from eight and a half to seven and a half.
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: They do have eighty three percent, takes ninety percent of
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: the casual, and there's a loose like some money coming
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: in a cow. I think my main hesitation with this
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: was Ken Bomb has this line at like eleven, so
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: it goes to eleven.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah, fine, this is a top to a you know
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: we use on stage. But it's very very special because
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: if you can see, yeah, the numbers all go to eleven.
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: Look right across the board, eleven or eleven mostly eleven
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: ams go up to ten. Exactly does that mean it's
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: louder is it any louder. Well, it's one louder, isn't it.
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: It's not ten? You see, most most blokes are gonna
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: be playing at ten. You're on ten here, all the
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: way up, all the way up, all the way up.
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: You're on ten on your guitar. Where can you go
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: from there? Where? I don't know where? Exactly? What we
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: do is, if we need that extra push over the cliff,
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: you know, we do, put it up to eleven exactly one, lad, Why.
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: Don't you just make ten louder and make ten be
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: the top number and make that a little louder.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: These two eleven. Yeah, that clip is a bit long.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know why.
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: There's that rectangle in the middle there. Maybe maybe that'll
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: help avoid copyright strikes.
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't want to get a copyright strike.
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know. You might not be able to use
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: a clip that's that long.
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: But I love spinal tap Man also ri ipet Katherine O'Hara,
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: who is.
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: In a bunch of movies with Christopher guests there. Who is.
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: What's his name, Nigel Tofnel? Is that his name in
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: the in the in spinal tap? Yeah, he does a
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: lot of these fake documentaries. Katherine O'Hara in numerous of
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: them that have his involvement as well. Great movies, all
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: of them, Best in Show, Waiting for Guffman and Mighty Wind,
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: all great movies, hilarious movies, every single one of them.
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: All Right, Anyway, what was I saying? Oh?
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the ken bom as this line a
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: little bit out of whack from where this line is.
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if there's like maybe an injury
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: or something. I worry about it, and I worry about
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech crossing the country. So I'm leaving this one
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: off my card, but I lean Georgia Tech here ken
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: bum as them is the unluckier team. I think both
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: teams play pretty fast, but he doesn't have Georgia Tech
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: well out of the.
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: Top one hundred.
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: They are in the top one hundred defensively, which is
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: what you want when you're when you're looking for a
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: team that's getting points. So both teams are actually better
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: on deepense than offense. Cal does actually play slow, but
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: if they slow it down, yeah, that might make Georgia
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: Tech uncomfortable, but also it means they might have less
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: opportunity to cover a spread. Like this is a favorite
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: and Cal is lucky according to Ken Bombs seventieth in luck,
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: which means that they have overperformed, like their record is
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: better than it should be based on how they've actually
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: performed this year so or based on what their stats
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: suggest and based on close wins and whatever. So yeah,
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: I would take the points of Georgia Tech and this
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: one about gonna do it. But I don't think the
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: line like, I don't think the line's offering that much
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: line value. And there are a few things that I'm
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: concerned about in that one, but that one is very
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: close to being on my card.
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: I like Georgia Tech in that one. Next up, we
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: are gonna make a play here.
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: This is as ugly as it gets. Man, We're getting
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: back into the best bets here.
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on the Kansas City Ruse here. Man, UMKC.
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: This is awful.
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: I know, I know how terrible they are, but they're
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: playing celt Dakota. Celt Dakota is not that much better
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: celt Dakota. I'm based on the record. Maybe they look
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: okay and look better than I, UMKC. But the Osricks
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: are telling you something right, Like I know this is
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: at UMKC.
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: But why is the line only three? You know what
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: I mean? Or it might be three and a half.
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It looks like, well it's still three
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: because the three.
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: And a half's are juice on the underdog there plus
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: three and a half, But I think it's still basically
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: plus three. But like, why is Kansas City with this
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: horrible record? Like why are they only getting a few points?
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: Right? Like it looks too easy.
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: To play South Dakota. South Dakota is in a terrible
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: spot though. They just lost to North Dakota State in overtime.
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: North Dakota State's the best team in this league, the
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: Summit League. North Dakota State undefeated still in the conference
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: as well, and South Dakota almost pulled off that huge upset.
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: They were.
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: Eight and a half point dogs in the game. It
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: just mentally, that's a huge game because you know you're
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: facing the top team in the conference. You know you
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: had the opportunity to give them their first loss of
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: the season.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: The game went into overtime.
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: South Dakota made a huge comeback in the second half
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: after they were down double digits at halftime. North Dakota
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: State maybe took their foot off the gas in the
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: second half. Now soult Dakota's coming off of that huge performance,
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: they got to play this Kansas City team they already
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: beat by sixteen at home. Doubt that they take them seriously.
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: And up next, Celth Dakota has their in state basically
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: the in state big brother to them, Celth Dakota State,
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: who I don't believe they played yet this season yet
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: because they played last in the regular season schedule as well,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: So I think it's a sandwich spot man even though
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: Soulth Dakota State's not playing that well this year. That's
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: a huge game. Those two teams don't like each other.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: It's an in state rival. Soelth Dakota State has had
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: the upper hand in that rivalry for pretty much the
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: entire time that I can remember. Looking at what Celth
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: Dakota did against them last year, South Dakota State, I
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: think seasons swept them, but I'm trying to remember.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: I only see actually, yeah they did.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: There they are Yeah, So that game is also going
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: to be double revenge for South Dakota because they lost
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: both games to Soelth Dakota.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: State last year.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: So I think they will actually be looking ahead to
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: that game. For Kansas City, you gotta think they're just
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: gonna continue to show up and at least give effort
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: because they've been playing really poorly.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: They're on this massive losey street. They just got.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: Blown out by Saint Thomas, but it was Saint Thomas
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: on the road. They're much better team than Kansas City,
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: soelth Dakota is a step way down in class from
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas. So yeah, I like Kansas City here. Oddly enough,
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: Kansas City has their only win in the conference has
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: been on the road. Oddly at Omaha. Omaha's not a
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: great team either, although Omaha did win the conference last year.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I think we're still gonna do it. The
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: spot's terrible for South Dakota. And looking at ken Bomb here,
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: he doesn't have celt Dakota being that much better. He
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: has them almost not even making the top three hundred.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: They're lucky according to Kenbom's seventy fifth in Locke they
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: play fast thirty fifth. I think both these teams play fast,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: as celt Dakota is pretty bad defensively three out of
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: thirty third defensively, believe it or not, Kansas City is
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: actually the better defensive team. According to ken Bomb. They're
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: offense stinks and they do also play fast, which is
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: a weird combination. But both teams are bad defensively. You
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: don't really want to be laying points on the road
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: with a bad defense team. I don't think Kansas City
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: technically falls into the better defense getting points type of
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: situation here, So I like that at home as well.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: And of the much unluckier team according to Kenbum two
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: hundred and thirtieth then lock. So he's telling you that
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: their records should be a little bit better than it is.
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: South Dakota shot their record should be a little bit
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: worse than it is. So these teams are actually closer
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: than their records make it appear. Plus the bad spot,
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: we're doing it.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on the ruse Kansas City, even though
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: they have let me down occasionally in the past.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: But we will see. Let's see Detroit Mercy at Milwaukee.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: I thought there was some sort of angle in this game. Yeah,
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee just took a really really ugly loss to Cleveland State.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: Cleveland State's won like four or five games in a row,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, all of them is an underdog.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: I think Milwaukee was coming up a big game against
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: Wright State in the prior game, so I think just
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: the nature of how ugly that loss was to Cleveland Cleveland,
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: and I mean it's a pretty big favorite. I think
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee will be in a bounce back spot from that.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: Detroit Mercy just pulled off a decent win against Northern Kentucky.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: They do have Green Bay and then Wright State on decks,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: so those games are probably bigger than this Milwaukee game
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: because those teams are higher in the standings, So I would.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: Be looking towards Milwaukee in this one.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: I don't think these teams have played yet this season,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: but yeah, I like Milwaukee in this one. And looking
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: at the records here, Milwaukee has the worst record new
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: yet they're laying five and a half points, So I
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: think if the public looks at this game, they're gonna
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: think what is going on with this again, They're gonna
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: think there's value taking the points of the team that
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: has the better record, But the oddsmakers are telling you,
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: they're basically telling you that you shouldn't be doing that
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: by by lining the game this way. So I would
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: lean towards Milwaukee and this one the money does seem
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: to agree up from five to six now on Milwaukee
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: sixty two percent of the cash on them sixty seven
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on Detroit Mercy. Yeah, I would leave
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee in that one. Lipskimb and Austin P the Big
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: Atlantic Sun matchup here between the top two teams in
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: this conference. They are legitimately the top two teams in
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: this conference. I think the rest of this conference is
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: pretty lousy. Lipscomb did win the first game at home.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: I believe they covered. I think they were like a
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: three and a half point favorite, so they only covered
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: by a half point, which I don't think that's a
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: big deal.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: Nothing to really read into there. Yeah, I mean maybe
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: Austin p.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: Has some adjustments to make from that, maybe because they're
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: technically in that sort of revenge spot. But Lipscomb is
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: also playing a third road game in a row, which
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: is not that easy. Lipscomb is coming off a bad
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: performance though at North Florida.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: It was a really bad team.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: Lipskimb were ten and a half point favorites and they
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: almost lost this game at North Florida.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: So you know, I will talk about how teams has.
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: Huge favorites if they almost lose that game, they'll tend
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: to bounce back in the next game, so that there
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: is that angle where Lipscomb probably was looking ahead, and
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: because of that, maybe they should refocus. But Austin P
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: is in a similar spot to that. Austin P just
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: had a bad game on the road against West Georgia
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: where they were like seven and a half point favorites
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: and almost lost the game.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: So both teams are kind of in a spot like that.
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: But I think the spot sets up a little bit
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: better for Austin P because they are the avenging team here.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: They are the team that.
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: Is at home, whereas Lipscomb's playing three road games in
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: a row. So I actually think Austin P is probably
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: the way.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: To look in this game.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: They're up from a three point favorite to a four
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: point favorite. I think that line might be a little
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: bit too high. Now oswagers are telling you with that
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: line that Austin P might even be the slightly better
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: team if it's up to four. Ken Bum has gone
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: back and forth with his power ratings between these two teams,
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: but based on the spot, I would probably be leaning
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: towards Austin P.
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: But I don't want anything to do with that game.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: It is a good game as far as that conference
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: is concerned.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: Though, Next up Northwestern at number five, Illinois and a
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: big ten network, This will.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: Be a best bet. I like this one. Man.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: We're gonna take Northwestern plus the points getting fourteen and
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: a half. Although I think Ken Bomb has this number
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: at around fifteen or sixteen. But when you get into
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: a number range like that, each individual number means a
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: little bit less. I think the spot is really nice
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: for Northwestern in this one. Actually, we can get a
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: better number on this now. Let's think we can get
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: at least fifteen on this now, so let me do that.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: At least you might be able to get fifteen and
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: a half on this. So hey, even better, We're gonna
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: take the points with the Northwestern.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: Though here right now, the public is on Illinois.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, there's no shocker there, seventy six percent of tickets,
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: eighty four percent of the cash. For now, it looks
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: like some of the money's coming out of Illinois. But
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: I'm a little bit less concerned with the disparity. Isn't
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: that great? And when it's the public side and looking
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: at the spot, Northwestern's got to be the play in
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: this one. Plus when we look at ken Bomb's numbers,
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: I think kind of bare it out too.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: This is a big ten Network game.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: I think I already mentioned that it is a second
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: meeting already as well, when Northwestern already lost by double
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: digits at home to Illinois, and this is a big rivalry. Man,
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 2: Both these teams are in the Chicago area, but Northwestern
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: is the little brother to the University of Illinois, so
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: they always consider this to be a huge game, whereas
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: Illinois might kind of overlook them at this point because
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: Illinois already went to their place and beat them. So
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: that's one part of the handicap. You have an avenging
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: road underdog here. What was the line in this game?
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: Just curious, you know. I mean, Illinois was a nine
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite in that game, so I
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: guess the fact that this line is fifteen based on
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: that it should be a little bit higher, though I
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: think the line in that game probably should have been
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: a little bit lower. Northwestern actually covered that game, but
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: I'm not too concerned about that. When you get into
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: a situation where it was double digits and they still
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: lost by double digits, I still don't really think Illinois
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: is gonna take them that seriously. Here, Northwestern's coming of
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: a loss to Washington, maybe they started looking ahead to
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: this game. They didn't bounce back or excuse me, they
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: had bounced back in the prior game beating Penn State.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's pretty much everybody beats Penn State. But yeah,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: I think Northwestern probably just got caught looking ahead to
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: Illinois here, man, because this is gonna be a huge game.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: For them and for Illinois. Illinois is in a horrible
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: spot here man.
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: We just played in Illinois in their last game, and
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: we've had a read on Illinois recently, man, where I
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: leaned to them against Purdue. They did get the outright win.
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: And then off of that huge upset, I gave out
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: a play on Washington. Washington covered against Illinois, and people
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: might look at that common opponent too. Oh, I mean,
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: as if the public needs more persuasion to be on
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: the Illinois side here, right. I mean, we all know
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: Illinois is the better team here. We're not questioning that.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Illinois beat Washington and Northwestern lost pretty badly
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: to Washington. Okay, yeah, so we know Illinois is the
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: better team. We know, But then After that game Illinois,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: I gave out Illinois a play against Nebraska. Nebraska is
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: coming up that huge Michigan game, their first loss.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: Of the season. This lated to the season.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: I think Nebraska is in a bit of a hangover spot.
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: Illinois got the job done in that one, we got
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: the win with them, but now I think Illinois is
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: now in a bad spot again. That was a massive
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: win for them on the road at Nebraska. Now they're
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: getting Northwestern and up next they got to play Michigan State. Man,
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: that is a monster game on deck against another ranked team.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: So I think this is a sandwich spot for sure.
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: Love Northwestern as far as the situation is concerned. Maybe
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: a little bit, a little bit of a concern about
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: the number, but I think that number was too high
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: in that first game too, So this number maybe being
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: debatably a little bit too low. When you get into
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: numbers like this, each number matters a little bit less.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: And we're going based off of the situation here, which
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: I do like we're gonna look at kem Bom in
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: a second here. But I thought I had one other
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: point that I was gonna make here.
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: But maybe I didn't. Yeah, I don't know. Oh, I
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: was gonna make the point.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: There are some injuries, like Nebraska did have a couple
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: of guys that were dealing with an illness in that game,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: which I wasn't even thinking about that in that game.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: And Illinois one of their best players is still out
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: I think, which is Boswell, but they've been playing.
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: Really well without him anyway, so I don't know.
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: Boswell has not played for almost a month now, but
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: I don't think that is gonna affect the game really
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: at this point. He is one of their best players,
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: but they've been playing really well without him too.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: In college, it's not really like the NBA a.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: Lot of times, so sometimes these guys will go down
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: and won't even have that much of an effect. So
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: let's look at ken bomb here real quick. Illinois, they
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: are legit for sure, but everybody's kind of on to
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: the fact that Illinois legit now ranked fifth in the
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: country after that huge Nebraska win, which that was almost like, well,
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: not like a legitimizer win, but that was still Illinois's
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: biggest win of the season against a team that people
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: were considering to be like one of the absolute best
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: teams in basketball, which I think Nebrass.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: Is a little bit worse than that.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: Illinois is absolutely legit, there's no question about that, but
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: now everybody knows that that's the case. Like they're ranked
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: appropriately now at fifth in the country, that's where ken
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: Bomb has them. They play slow, so maybe that will
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: help us get an underdog cover here because Illinois. You
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: think of Illinois this fast paced team, but they're not
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: this year. And yes, they do score well because they're
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: number one in the country on offense according to ken Bom,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: but the slow pace maybe will help keep the score
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: and check a little bit. Illinois isn't as good defensively
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: either though, so they might be able to.
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: Be scored on.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: And Illinois is a fairly lucky team at this point though,
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: according to ken Bom, one hundred and eighth in lock,
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: so they're not one of these unlucky teams. I've been
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: saying that they were being overlooked early in the season,
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: which I still think was correct. They were, but now
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: I think they've reached a point where people are not
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: overlooking them anymore. For Northwestern, they're not as bad as
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: they look, as I pointed out when I gave them
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: out as a play when they were out at USC
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: I think Northwestern is the fourth or no. Third, I guess,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: unluckiest team in the country according to kenpom, so they
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: are unbelievably unlucky according to kenbum. There's sixty third in
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: the country according to ken pum in Power ratings. But
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: they've just underperform and the record would not make it
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: seem like they're as good as they really are. This
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: Northwestern team is definitely undervalued here, man. I think maybe
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: not specifically with what this number is based on what
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: the number was in the previous matchup, but I just
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: think generally in the market, Northwestern is just undervalued game
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: in and game out, man, because I just think they're
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: better than they look. They are top one hundred of
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: both defense and offense. They play a somewhat slower pace
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: as well. Both teams kind of do, so the pace
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: won't be an issue for one team or the other. Yeah,
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: but this is mostly a spot play. We're gonna be
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: on Northwestern plus the points there. I would probably wait
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: on that one because the public's probably gonna drive that
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: number up, and it looks like the numbers guys are
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: probably driving that number up too, So probably you're gonna
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: be able to get at least fifteen and a half
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: on that. Next up is another one of my plays
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: Fox Sports won nine PM. I'm giving you a lot
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: of big games here and then Kansas City. I have
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: three big conference games for you involving ranked teams, and
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: then I have a horrible Summit League game. I don't know,
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: that's just the way that it worked out. Man BYU
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: at Oklahoma State. Here we're gonna we're gonna fade BYU.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: We're gonna play Oklahoma State plus the six in this one.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: I know Oklahoma State. They're not as good as the
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: record looks.
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: I get that Ken Bomb I think probably has some
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: pretty high in his luck index. So I don't love
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: playing on lucky teams like this. This is all about
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: the situation, man BYU. They're coming off a huge comeback
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: against Arizona where they fell just short against the number
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: one ranked team in the country. Then they went on
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: the road to Allen Fieldhouse and they made another late
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: comeback against Kansas and they were able to pull back
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: to within a few I think a few points, maybe
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: because they were getting blown out in this game against Kansas,
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: and BYU did not go away and they closed the
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: gap to four in the final minute and a half
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 2: of the game.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: So by you refuse to go away in this game.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: They put in a huge effort in that game, man,
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: And now, coming off of both of those games, second
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: straight road game, I think they might be in a
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: bit of a flat spot off of those two huge games.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: And up next they got to play Houston in three
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: days just gonna be a huge game as well. So
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: this is a sandwich spot man, Oklahoma State, they do
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: need some sort of like statement here, man to try
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: to do something as far as the tournament resume, because
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: I think they know they're like basically on the bubble
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: as far as the tournament is concerned, So they got
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: to do something to pad their resume. And they did
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: just end a two game losing strigg of the win
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: at Utah. Utah is not good, but that will end.
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: They're losing momentum. At the very least, I think they
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: will show up for this game against BYU. Oklahoma State's
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 2: been kind of all over the place, like looking at
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: what they've done home.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: They played a really week.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: Out of conference schedule, which does worry me, but they
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: actually didn't do that badly on the road against Iowa
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: State and then coming off of that game, they had
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: kind of a maybe hangover spot, which is why they
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: didn't play well at home against Baylor. But if you
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: look at their other home games, they only lost by
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: thirteen to Iowa State. That's not that bad, and they
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: beat Kansas State. Those are their other home Big twelve games,
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: and they beat UCF at home as well, so they
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: actually haven't been at home that much. Oklahoma State hasn't
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: been What is that They're two and two I guess
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 2: at home?
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: But yeah, did I get that right? Yeah? I think
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: they're two and two at.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: Home, but the losses are kind of explainable in their
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: conference home games, so I think it's a bad spot
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: for BYU. I think Oklahoma State will show up and
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: they probably need to have to pad their resume.
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: Actually, we can get a better number on this.
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: It was six, but we're gonna get We're gonna be
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: able to get at least seven on this, I think,
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: which is a key number.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: So let's do it.
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: It looks like this line actually dropped from eight to seven,
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: but it was six this morning. It loos like the
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: money's kind of coming in on BYU. But I do
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: not agree with that sixty two percent of tickets seventy
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on BYU. That worries me
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: a little bit that there is a pretty huge cash
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: disparity on BYU. But I think that means we'll get
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: a better number on BYU. Of the public and the money.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: We're all kind of coming in on that side, and
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: some of it might be again the numbers. Guys might
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 2: be fading Oklahoma State because they don't like that Oklahoma State.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: It's a luckier team.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, according to Kemp on their fifty sixth in lock,
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: I get it, they play super fast, which I believe
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: BYU actually doesn't play that fast this year.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: I'm used to them being a fast team. No, I'm wrong.
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: They are still a fast team.
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: Never mind, So yes, this will be a fast paced game,
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: you know. I mean, it's one of those games wheren't over.
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: It might make sense as well. The totals at one
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: sixty eight. It is a high total, and I don't
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: usually love taking points in games with a high total
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: like that, but in a spot like this, I'm gonna
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: do it anyway. Ken Bum does love oak Home in
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: the top sixty. He's got them at least in the
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: top one hundred of both offense and defense. But yeah,
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: he does have them is a little bit lucky. That's
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: the one thing that does worry. I mean, we are
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: fading his luck index in this one. BYU has actually
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: been somewhat unlucky, but their record is still really good.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: So I don't see how BYU is that unlucky. And yes,
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: BYU is of course the better team on both sides
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: of the ball, but that's why we're getting a lot
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: of points at home here. And what I think is
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: a very very tricky spot for BYU. Ken Bam, I
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: believe has this number. Let me see what does he
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: have this number at? Uh, mister Palmroy, what's your number at?
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: He actually has this number way less and way lower
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: than this, even you know, factoring in his luck index
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: and all the analytics that he does, he has this
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: number at five. So I don't know, like maybe some numbers,
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: guys have different numbers. Again, Bomb does, but I think
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 2: that the line might actually be a little bit high
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: in that game. So yeah, Oklahoma State is the play
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 2: in that one, all right. Did not get this in
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: and under an hour, by the way, and I still
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: have to do hockey and NBA, CBS Sports has a
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: pretty ugly game at nine pm here between Arizona State
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: and Utah.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: I don't have a whole lot to say about this.
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: Arizona State did just play their rival Arizona and they
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: played fairly well in that game. I think they covered
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: again against Arizona. It was a big game. Yeah, they
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: covered a little barely. They covered about like one and
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: a half points in that game. Now, going back out
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: of the road, going into elevation, maybe not the greatest
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: spot for Arizona State, though they did do it once
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: already going to BYU, so I don't know they're at
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: least a little bit tested as far as that's concerned.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: Utah is coming off losing at home to Oklahoma State.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: They're just staying at home. They do have Kansas on deck, though.
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: But when you're Utah and you're playing a really poor season,
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know that you really overlook anybody. But in
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: this game, I'd probably lean more towards whatever the market
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: is saying. It is saying Utah, which I kind kind of.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: Agreed with that.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: Anyway, based on the situation, Arizona State's a little bit public, well,
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: they are public eighty six percent of tickets only seventy
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash, with the line having flipped
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: Utah from a one point dodge or one point favorite.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: So the market read is definitely all over Utah and
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: that one. I'll agree with Utah in the game, but
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: it's not a strong opinion for me at all. ESPN
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: two has Oklahoma at Kentucky at nine PM. I struggle
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: to figure out what I think about this game, man,
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: because Oklahoma has been playing awful in conference play. They
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: only have one conference win. They're on this massive losing streak.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: So in a way, you got to figure they'll show
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: up for whatever game is next, you know what I mean.
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: But they are coming off two big games. When they
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: almost pulled off an upset at home against Arkansas. Then
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: they had their Red River Rivalry basketball edition, and we're
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 2: beating Texas for a lot of that game. Then they
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: wound up losing by ten, but I think that game
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 2: was closer down the stretch. So Oklahoma was coming up
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: two pretty big games. Now are they gonna overlook Kentucky?
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 2: I don't really think, because I don't really think you're
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: gonna overlook anybody when you're playing that poorly. Kentucky people
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: are kind of onto them again though, Kentucky, you know,
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: they're playing well again.
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: Everybody's like, Oh, Kentucky, isn't that bad. They're back. They
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: just beat Arkansas.
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: That's kind of the reason why that was a big
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 2: win for them on the road against a ranked Arkansas team.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: Now Kentucky, they might overlook Oklahoma because Kentucky has two
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: huge games on deck against Tennessee and Florida. So Tennessee
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: back in the rankings, Florida probably the best team in
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: the SEC. Kentucky rivalry with Tennessee as well. The Kentucky
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: did already upset Tennessee at Tennessee, so that game is
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: gonna be bigger for Tennise For yeah, I think that
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: game is gonna be bigger for Tennessee there. But yeah,
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: I mean, it does look like a sandwich about the
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: Kentucky's in. So I'm gonna kind of lean towards Oklahoma
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: plus the points.
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: In this one.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: Man, Kentucky down from nine and a half to nine,
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: although fifty five percent take its sixty percent of the
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: cash on them, but I lean towards Oklahoma plus the
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: points in that game. Just because Gonzaga is ranked, I'll
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: mention Gonzaga at Portland. But I don't really have much
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: going on with this game. I don't think these teams
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: have played yet this season. Well, Gonzaga is coming off
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: their biggest win of the season though pretty much well
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: their biggest conference when they beat Saint Mary's. I mean
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: that was a huge win and Saint Mary's was kind
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: of in that game for a while in the second
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: half before Gonzaga kind of pulled away. I think Goodzaga
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: didn't actually wind up covering the number. I think they
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: were eight and a half nine in the game, so
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: they fell just short of the number. Pretty big win
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: for Gonzaga, though, so there is the potential of maybe
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: a letdown here, maybe just not taking Portland seriously, Gonzaga
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: is gonna be a pretty massive favorite in this one.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: Portland is coming off a thirty point loss coming back
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: home where back at home. Last time they were at home,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: they lost, but they played pretty well against Saint Mary's.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: So Portland has actually been pretty good in their home games. Actually, Man,
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: if you look at their home conference games, they lost
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: by five at home.
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: To Washington State or the Washington State is not that good.
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: They only lost my seven at home to Santa Clara
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: that's not bad. They beat Pacific, they beat Oregon State. Uh,
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: they lost by six to Saint Mary's. So yeah, Portland,
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, they haven't lost by a huge margin at
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 2: all at home this year. The biggest margin they lost
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: by at home was.
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: What was it? It was a Saint Mary's. Oh no,
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara beating them by seven, I guess.
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: So yeah, nobody has managed to beat Portland in this
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: conference by more than seven at Portland, so I would
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: probably have to take the points with Portland if I
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: played this game. Gonzaga is up from twenty one to
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: twenty two here. But yes, Gonzaga is elite for sure,
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: they are the best team in this conference, but twenty
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: two does seem a bit extreme for a game like this.
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: Is a situation like this, seventy five percent tickets, eighty
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: six percent of the cash on Gonzaga. The money is
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: kind of coming into the Goodzaga side. But I would
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: only lean towards taking the points with Portland.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: In that one. And Gonzaga, Yeah, they only have Oregon
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: State up.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: That's not really a big deal, but pretty easy to
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: overlook Portland in a spot.
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: Like that, though.
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: ACC Network at ten PM getting into the degenerate hours
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: of number twenty Clemson at Stanford. Clemson coming up beating Pitt,
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 2: no big deal there, But now they have to go
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: out to the Pacific coast, and I worry about these
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: teams going out to these unfamiliar venues, traveling cross country,
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 2: and I worry about the biological clock, which is something
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: I should have mentioned with Georgia Tech, but especially Clemson
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: playing this really late game, a game that's gonna go,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: you know, past midnight their time.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: Not that these were old men or anything.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: I know, like, yeah, sure college guys will party late
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: at night and whatever, but still you're playing a basketball
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: game that late at night in your biological clock, it's
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: still not that great man. So maybe that's a little
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: bit of a concern for Clemson. For Stanford, they're definitely
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: not as good as the record looks. They're coming home
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: after not faring well on the road, including having an.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: Ugly loss in their last game at Florida State.
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: Although I think Florida State was favored, They're not quite
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: as bad as the record looks, so that's still a
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: pretty disgusting loss.
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: Stanford back home after four long in a row.
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: They're coming back home they've lost their last couple of
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: home games as well, but they did also beat North
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: Caroline at home. So there is Preston and Louisville at home,
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: so there is precedent for them beating some of these
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: better teams in the ACC. The only the only one
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: of those best teams that they didn't beat at home
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 2: was Duke, so and yeah, they got blown up by Duke.
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: But these other teams that are not familiar with going
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: out to the Stanford Stanford's beating them at home, and
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: they beat Virginia Tech at or excuse they beat Virginia
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: Tech on the road my mistake, except us Stanford did
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: lose at home to Notre Dame in a very weird,
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: low scoring game, but they have stepped up in class
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: well for the most part at home against ACC competitions,
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: so I probably have to lean to Stanford in this game.
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: Clemson does also play really slow. The total is really
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: low in the one thirties, so makes it difficult for
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: Clemson to cover a number like this is a favorite
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: on the road. They are down from four and a
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: half to.
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: Three, though, so it looks like there's a little bit
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: less value on Stanford. Now take a seventy three percent
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Clemson. I would, yeah, I would
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: lean towards Stanford, though I think you are probably fading
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: the public by grabbing Stanford in that one as well.
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: Santa Clara at Pacific is actually a pretty good game
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: in the WCC. Santa Clara is now ahead of Saint
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: Mary's in the standings.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: That's crazy. It would be crazy to see this be
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: a three bid tournament league this year.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: Man, maybe it'll happen. Santa Clara. Based on Kenbum's stats,
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: they're good enough, man. I would I would enjoy it
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: if that happens. The Santa Clara Bronx who basically the Broncos.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: I think Broncos, not the Bronx, the Bronx a rider. Sorry,
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: they're the Broncos, not the Bronx. Not the Bronx like
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: in New York either. But it would be interesting because
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: Santa Clara, I don't know how much they've really done
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: since they had like Steve Nash playing for them whatever,
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: I think he played for Santa Clara. Santa Clara second
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: straight road game for them here. They did just blow
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: out Loyal and Merrymount on the road. But they're on
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: a nice six game win streak as well going on
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: the road to Pacific here. Now, Santa Clara is favored
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: by quite a bit here for a road team here,
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: So even though Pacific has played well in conference and
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: they're not that bad of a team, Santa Clara is
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: just that much better than they are. Pacific is coming
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: off losing a close game on the road at San Francisco,
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: kind of a difficult loss there, that was a pretty
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: big game, So I think the spot does set up
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: a little bit better for Santa Clara in this one.
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 2: Pacific did lose at Santa Clara already though by double digits,
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: so there is a little bit of maybe a revenge
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: mode of here. I guess maybe Santa Clara could potentially
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: overlook them.
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: The money is saying.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: Pacific, though Santa Clara is down from seven to six
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: here eighty six percent of tickets, only eighty three percent
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Santa Clara. So I would not
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: want to be on Santa Clara with a market read
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: like that. The market read is saying to take the
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: points with Pacific, and I don't really have that strong
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: of an opinion on it, so maybe I do have
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: to lean that way and then we have San Diego.
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: At Saint Mary's. Saint Mary's come.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: Off that big performance against Gonzaga where they played the
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: pretty tough, fell just short, and they have San Francisco
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: on deck, who's still near the top of the conference
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: standings on fifth now, so this is maybe looking like
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: a bit of a sandwich here.
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: San Diego.
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: I don't believe San Diego's played Saint Mary's yet. San
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: Diego coming off a loss to Oregon State at home
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: actually kind of an ugly loss.
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: San Diego is actually.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: Favored in that game, so they might refocus coming into
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: this game against Saint Mary's. Maybe they're already looking ahead
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: to it. So I like San Diego and this one
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: plus the points. Saint Mary's is laying a ton of points.
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: They're down for twenty and a half to nineteen and
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: a half.
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: We know Saint Mary's plays slow too, so they don't
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 2: cover a lot of huge points spreads like this sixty
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: seven percent of tickets, eighty one percent of the cash
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: on San Diego. I know Saint Mary's did cover a
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: double digit spread for US once this year, but this
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: is not the spot to do it.
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: Totals in the one forties.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it is on the San Diego side,
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: I would agree with that. One thing of note, by
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: the way, is as I tend to point out, what
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: I don't think I pointed out enough is that in
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: this West Coast conference, the home advantage has been stronger
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: in this conference than any other conference this season. So
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: that's something to be aware of that the home teams
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: have covered at a pretty crazy rate in this conference.
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: So maybe that's another reason to maybe lead towards Pacific.
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: But I would not want to be on Saint Mary's
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 2: in this game, no way, not laying the points.
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, Fox Sports won.
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 2: As we get to the real degenerate hours here, three
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: more TV games.
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: Utah State at New Mexico in the Mountain West. This
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: is a good game.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: Utah State's coming up a huge win over San Diego State,
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: and while this is a big game against New Mexico
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: as well, you know, the question is is Utah State
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: can run out of gas a little bit after that
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: big game they have to go to New Mexico, where
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: New Mexico does have a pretty strong home court advantage.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: New Mexico's coming off a much easier game where they
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: beat San Jose State on the road and didn't even
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: play that well coming back home here. I think it
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: would have to be New Mexico or pass in this game.
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: The spot just sets up as a better spot for them,
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: an easier spot. They're up from one to two here,
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: seventy eight percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: cash on New Mexico. I agree with that, and I
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: think New Mexico kind of needs the game a little
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: bit more too, because Utah State is in the best
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 2: position out of the Mountain West teams to get in
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: an at large bid without winning the conference, you know
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: what I mean, Like they can't afford too many more losses,
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: but I think if they if they wind up with
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 2: at most three more losses on the season, I think
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: they will get it at large bid even if they.
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: Don't win in the Mountain West tournament.
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 2: So Utah State's still in the best position to get
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: a tournament bid out of these teams. New Mexico more
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: of a bubble team, kind of needs it a little
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: bit more. Washington State at Oregon State. This is the
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: old Pac twelve rivalry game. The pack two arrivals that
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: got orphaned from the back twelve and now in basketball,
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: they're both in the West Coast Conference.
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: These two teams actually already played once.
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: You would think they would play at the very end
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: of the season because it's a rivalry, but that is
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: not the case. Washington State beat Oregon State at home already,
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: so maybe they'll overlook Oregon State in this one. They
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: do have Santa Clara and Good zag on decks, so
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: those are two huge games on deck, So it is
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: possible Washington State is gonna overlook Oregon State here after
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: already beating them once. I think maybe Oregon State has
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: a little bit more of the little brother mentality in
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: this rivalry. I know the records don't show it, but
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: Oregon State is the worst of these two teams. They
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: aren't a little bit of a role as they would
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: just won two games on the road, which is crazy
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: in this conference. Did pull off the upset against San Diego.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: The two ups sets they think on the road for
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: Oregon State, and they do have Good Zaga next, that
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: is maybe a concern they might look ahead here, but
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: I think they're less likely too because they lost the
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: first game to Washington State, so I guess I have
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: to lean to Oregon State in this game. The money's
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: not agreeing with the Washington State's a two point favorite,
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: and again the numbers guys will obviously tell you Washington
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: State is the better team. The market is also telling
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: you that, like the oddsmakers are telling you that by
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: lining them as a favorite on the road, sixty tickets
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: ninety nine percent of the casual in Washington State.
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree with that. I would lean slightly.
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: Towards fading that, but I don't have a strong opinion
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: on the game though, so maybe you don't want to
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: buck the market read in that one. And then the
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: Big ten network has Iowa at Washington to finish this off.
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: Now Iowa is already out on the Pacific coast. They
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: did just beat Oregon, who's just been absolutely atrocious this year.
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: I thought the spot wasn't that bad for Iowa because
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: they'd come off almost blowing the game against usc is
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: big favorites the game prior to that, which I'm still
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: mad about because I gave out Iowa minus the points
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: in that game. Now, second game on the road here Iowa,
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I mean, it's not a bad
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: spot for Iowa. Really, they only have Northwestern up next.
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: But Washington's kind of an under the radar team, man,
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: that's not They're not bad defensively, and they're not bad
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: as bad as their record looks. Washington did beat Northwestern
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: and their last game on the road, so they were
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: actually having to travel back home though, which might not
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: be that easy. So they're actually the team that is
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: crossing time zones here and Iowa was not because i
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: was already out there with a game under their belts,
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: so that is a little bit of an advantage to Iowa.
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: Washington does have UCLA on deck, which is a big
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 2: old Pac twelve game there. But I don't know if
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: I was Washington's really gonna overlook Iowa here, though I
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 2: would guess not because i has been pretty good. The
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: market reed is saying to take the points with Washington.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: I basically do agree with that. Eighty six percent of
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 2: ticket seventy three percent of the cash on Iowa, so
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: they're public with lessen the money on them. They've dropped
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: from a three point favorite to a two and a
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: half point favorite here, so do with that information what
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: you want to. But the market reed is saying to
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: take the points with Washington. I won't disagree with it,
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: but I don't love the game by any means. It's
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: not a strong situational game for me. So that's gonna
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: do it.
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: Finally, now we still have to do hockey and NBA
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: a lot of hockey games here as we approach Olympics.
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: So though it's not the biggest hockey slave, but I
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: have three hockey plays, so I'm gonna get to that
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: in a minute. Maybe I'm over extending myself here seven
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: plays today, but I will be back in a second.
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: Let me find us some intermission, something to do here.
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven.
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: Run over the last two days after tonight it was
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: just complete bullshit. So that's that's.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna start off this show horrible Sunday one and five.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this, man. The slump continuing. Two
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. OWN four.
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season man.
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 2: With wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak.
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack, Man, I
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape.
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: don't know what day is anymore. But I don't even
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: know what day is anymore. Man's back with you.
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: After the worst day that I could possibly have, back
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: least oh and two yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 2: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. Oh, I'm still
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 2: un mute. All right, NHL, Let's get into it, man.
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: TNT has got a game between my Boston Bruins and
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: the Florida Panthers. I don't even want to talk about
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 2: the Bruins, to be honest.
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: Now. One thing that we need to be aware of is.
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: Tomorrow was the last day of NHL before the Olympics,
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: which is gonna make my job easier because I get
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: a break from handicapping NHL for a bit. So that's
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: one thing to consider. Like a lot of these teams
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 2: today are playing their last games. I think only two
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: of the teams that are playing today play tomorrow as well.
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: Florida is one of them, actually, Florida, Nashville and LA
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 2: I think those might be the only three teams that
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: are playing today that also play tomorrow.
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: Oh, in Vegas. I think it's just those four and then.
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 2: But anyway, one thing to be aware of is the Olympics.
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: How many players from each team are playing in the Olympics,
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: So like that is a little bit of the handicap,
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 2: like because these guys might start looking ahead maybe because oh,
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: we get to play in the Olympics.
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: That's huge. Florida is actually the team that has.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: The most Olympic players, so there is the potential that
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: maybe they're gonna be looking ahead to that. And they
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 2: have like fifteen players I think that are gonna be
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: in the Olympics something like that, and the.
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: Islanders have zero.
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: The Islanders are the only team with no Olympians on
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 2: the team.
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: So that's a little bit crazy. Let me bring the
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: graphic up.
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: I actually had that up. I thought that was a
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: little bit crazy. Hold on, which team will have the
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: most Olympians? Here's the graphic here? Oh, this is just potential, though.
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: Let me see, I want I want to find like
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 2: a like a hold on, I want to try to
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: find I want to find a more recent thing here.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: Let me say.
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 2: NHL players on rosters blah blah blah. This was least
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: updated yesterday, so this is better. Yeah, this one has
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 2: kind of a cool graph. I guess this one's not
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: as easy to look at.
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: But here we go. I can bring this up here.
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: All right, so this is this is the graphic here.
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: I know this is wasting more time here, but uh
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 2: so where's Florida at here? So yeah, Florida still has
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 2: a lot. They have like ten, so there.
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: Is that, But the Bruins actually have quite a few
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: as well. The Bruins.
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 2: Have eight, so you know, it's just something to be
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: aware of. The Bruins I think are like in the
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: top five as far as the number of Olympic players.
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: Hey, that should tell you the.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: Bruins are actually not that bad. I don't know, but
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: that's just something to be aware of here. But both
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: teams kind of have that going against them in this game.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: So it's not a huge difference between these two teams
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: as far as how many Olympians they have. Now for
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 2: the Bruins, they're in a pretty tough spot though, because
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: they just blew the game in that weird outdoor game,
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: that huge event that they had against Tampa Bay. The
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: Bruins were winning that game like five to one, man, and.
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: They completely blew it.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: I still blame Swayman for it, because why would you
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: pick a fight with the opposing goalie when your team
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: is winning five to two still, and like, what are
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 2: you doing? Like you want to fuel your opponents of
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: that degree. It's just so stupid, dude. And then he
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: played terribly after that. So the Bruins lost that game.
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 2: They could have had the upset in that huge against Tampa,
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 2: So I don't know how they're gonna respond to that. Yeah,
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: the Bruins don't like Florida, and Florida, you know, knock
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: them out of the playoffs last not last year, but
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 2: the two years prior to that. But at some point
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 2: that revenge doesn't matter as much anymore. Mess so I
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: don't think this is a great spot for the Bruins.
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: For Florida, it's not exact. I mean, I don't know
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 2: if it's a great spot for them either, because they're
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking ahead potentially tomorrow. Actually, so Florida might
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: not be worried about the Olympics yet because they play
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: Tampa tomorrow on Hulu.
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: So that's a big game too. Man.
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: They got to play that game tomorrow, but Florida is
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: on a four game losing streak, so they might want
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: to show up and try to get a win here.
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: I kind of prefer Florida on this one, man.
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately for my Bruins, I just don't know how the
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 2: Bruins get back up off the mat after that game
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 2: of Florida down for minus one forty five to minus
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 2: one twenty five.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: But they have fifty three.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: Percent of tickets fifty seven percent of the cash. This
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: one's not on my card. But I agree with Florida here,
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: although I don't really think the the Bruins are really
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: gonna overlook the Panthers still though, because they are still
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: the returning champs and the Bruins really don't like them,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: and it is still you know, Marshan is still there
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: on Florida, was on the Bruins for almost his entire career,
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: and he will retire a Bruin, you know.
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: So that's that game.
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: Chicago at Columbus is actually a zigzag. Chicago did just
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: break a losing street to the win over San Jose,
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: who I just don't think is that good. Chicago had
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: lost six games in a row and the last loss
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 2: that Chicago had was against the Columbus Blue Jackets, and
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: that's who they're playing now.
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: They lost at home to the Blue Jackets, So there
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: is a.
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: Little bit of a road revenge angle here where Columbus
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 2: might just you know, not really totally pay attention to
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: this game. For Columbus, they're coming up beating New Jersey
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 2: in a shutout yesterday, I believe. So Columbus also is
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: an a rest disadvantage a little bit, although they actually
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 2: had a couple of days off before that game, so
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: not any massive rest disadvantage. But they did play yesterday,
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: they shut out New Jersey on the road, and they're
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 2: actually returning home from a road trip that they were
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 2: on since Friday. Not a long road trip, but a
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 2: road trip nonetheless, and a lot of times you return
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: home for.
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: A road trip, you just aren't focused. You know.
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: I don't think these teams have a lot of Olympians
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 2: or anything, so that's not really much of a concern.
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, I think it's Chicago or Pass
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: in this game. I think Columbus might not totally be
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: focused on them. Chicago will have the adjustments to make.
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 2: Although I worry a little bit because if you look
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: at this game, Columbus actually dominated this game pretty much.
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 2: I think had sixty percent of the face offs. That
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: was pretty dominant. They did win the shots battle and
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: the hits battle, though those were a little bit closer,
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: I guess, So I guess it wasn't total domination or anything,
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: but that is one, you know, potential concern with that.
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: But I would lean to Chicago in this game. It
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: would be Chicago money line in this game if I
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: was going to play it. Columbus down from one to
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 2: fifty five to minus one forty can read us all
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 2: over Chicago in this game. So it is agreeing with
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: me here eighty seven percent of the tickets and only
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: fifty eight percent of cash on the Blue Jackets, very
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: public side with a lot less than the money on them,
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 2: because again a lot of it is Recncy biased too.
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: Columbus is not that much better than Chicago, though Chicago
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: was not good. But yeah, I like I like Chicago
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 2: and that one, Okay, Montreal at Winnipeg. Montreal is coming
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 2: off a loss to Minnesota.
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: That was a big game.
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 2: H So could be a little bit of a hangover
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 2: from Montreal here and then they go into the break
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: after this. But from Winnipeg, the spot is also pretty
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: bad for Winnipeg. Man, they're turning over from a road trip,
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 2: so both teams are in bad spots. So Winnipeg's probably
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 2: in the worst spot because they were on the road
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 2: since January twenty seventh, so they've been on the road
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: for more than a week. And you know, I talk
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: about these long road trips. They had to go all
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 2: the way down to Florida then into Dallas, and I talk.
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: About this when teams are turning over from a lot of.
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 2: Times they will not be totally focused, maybe especially with
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 2: the Olympic break coming up. I don't know, it seems
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: like a bad, really really bad spot for Winnipeg. I
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 2: don't really want Montreal after that huge game against Minnesota, either.
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 2: But Winnipeg just took Dallas into overtime a Monday to
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 2: finish the road trip, and they'd beaten Florida on the
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: road in the game before that, so they're coming off
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 2: two huge games. So yeah, I would still lean to
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 2: Montreal in this game. It would be Montreal or pass
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: for me. The money seems to be completely disagreeing with that,
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 2: which doesn't make sense to me. And I think a
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 2: team in a spot like Winnipeg is in, you gotta
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 2: either fade.
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: Them or leave the game alone.
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: Winnipeg dropped from minus one ten to minus one oh seven.
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess the one thing is like maybe
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 2: they'll pay attention or try to just because Montreal is
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: a good team. But that's the only thing I really
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 2: see as far as that's concerned. Eighty two percent of
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 2: tickets around Montreal fifty seven percent of the cash on Winnipeg.
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with that, Margaret read.
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: It looks like a huge pros versus Joe scenario, But
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: I leaned to Montreal in that one. Minnesota at Nashville
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 2: best bet. This is one of my plays.
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: Although Minnesota does not have too many Olympians.
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 2: Neither of these teams do, I don't think, so we're
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 2: gonna go with Nashville in this one.
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: I know.
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 2: I think I've given out a play in Nashville a
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 2: couple of times recently, even though I still don't think
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: they're that good. But I think Minnesota's quite overrated right now.
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 2: They have a lot of close games, a lot of
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 2: overtime wins. They're on this huge run right now. They've
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: won four games in a row, and that included them
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: crushing Edmonton on the road on January thirty first, and
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: then they beat Montreal in overtime, and now they finished
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 2: it up by having a trip to Nashville. I don't
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: know how excited they're gonna be for a trip to
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 2: Nashville here, man before going into the Olympic break, And
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 2: they do have Colorado coming out of the Olympic break.
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 2: But I'm not gonna really call it a sandwich here.
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 2: Maybe it's an open face sandwich at the very least here.
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 2: But I just think coming into this game, yeah, they
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 2: just might be a little bit out of gas here.
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: Nashville's coming into.
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: This game also on a win streak, so they do
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 2: a momentum here, but they're staying at home and they
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 2: just they just returned home and they barely got by
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis. And you know, I talk about this, when
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 2: a team returns home, they don't really do that well
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: in that game. They tend to be a lot more
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 2: focused in the next game. And I think that is
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 2: what we'll get here with Nashville. I think it's a
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 2: bigger game for them, an opponent they're not gonna overlook.
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 2: Nashville does play Washington tomorrow, but I don't think they're
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 2: gonna overlook Minnesota.
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 1: Hear Man.
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 2: So I think this is a spot where Nashville does
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 2: show up the money. The market red looks like it
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 2: is agreeing with me on this one. Minnesota is very public,
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 2: ninety one percent of the tickets, only eighty four percent
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: of the cash, so the actual money looks like it's
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 2: coming in on Nashville small underdog money.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: Line price here.
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 2: There was reverse live movement as well, knocking Minnesota down
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 2: for minus one thirty to minus one twenty two based
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: on the team's records. Looks way too easy to play
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 2: Minnesota too, So that is not what we're doing.
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: We'll play Nashville here.
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 2: I know Minnesota's been pretty good on the road, but
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 2: Nashville is decent at home at least, so not there's
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: no real home road dichotomy there for either team. I
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 2: don't think all right, San Jose at Colorado. San Jose
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: coming into this off a pretty ugly loss to Chicago,
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 2: so they probably will show up with some focus against
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 2: Colorado here. Colorado has been struggling a little bit. Interestingly,
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 2: they just got shut out by Detroit. But that was
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 2: a win that I gave out the other day, the
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 2: only win that we had on that kind of bad
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: day the other day.
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 1: That was a zigzag spot.
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: Colorado had shut out Detroit to finish their road trip,
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 2: and then they return home from a road trip and
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: we're in a zigzag spot and they got shut out.
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 2: But that was against a good Detroit team, and and
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: Colorado's going into the break after this.
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on with.
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 2: Colorado as far as their Olympic status here.
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: We do have a lot of Olympians. They got like eight,
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: so that's quite a few.
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 2: San Jose only has four, So there is the possibility
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 2: that maybe Colorado is going into the Olympics.
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: Maybe looking ahead to that a little bit.
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 2: At this point, I kind of like San Jose in
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 2: this one, man, I think Colorado is coming up the
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 2: tougher game, the bigger game. There may be a little
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 2: bit of that look ahead component there. Colorado is a
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 2: really public side ninety two percent of tickets, ninety eight
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash. But I would probably look towards
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 2: San Jose on the POC line in this one. If
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: I was gonna play the game, which I will not
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 2: give it out, I don't recommend it, but Colorado down
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 2: for minus three twenty to minus two sixty, so a
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 2: pretty big drop on the line there. Maybe some goaltender
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 2: changes or something, but I don't want anything to do
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 2: with the game though. Next up is the next best
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 2: bet here, we're gonna We're gonna be on Utah here.
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 2: I didn't bring up the best bets graphic, but whatever,
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 2: we're gonna fade that Detroit team because they did just
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 2: beat Colorado. That was a huge win for them, the
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 2: big zig zag spot. They might be feeling a little
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 2: bit high on themselves here and now they have to
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 2: play a second straight elevation game coming off that win
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: over Colorado. Yes, it did end a losing streak, so
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 2: maybe you get new momentum out of that, but I
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 2: see this as more of a letdown spot here man
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 2: for Utah.
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home. Utah just broke a losing streak too.
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: They had two losses.
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 2: One of them was a close loss on the road
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: at Carolina after they beat Florida, and then they return
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 2: home and they played okay against Dallas. We tried to
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 2: fade Utah in their last game, but they beat Vancouver anyway,
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 2: and now this is the last game before going into
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 2: the Olympic break. As far as the Olympians are concerned
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 2: to this one, I don't think there are a lot
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 2: for either team. Detroit only as three, Utah is four,
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 2: so no real big deal there one way or the other.
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 2: As far as players looking ahead to that or whatever. Yeah,
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: Utah does have a Colorado coming out of the break,
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 2: but I think the spot sets up better for them.
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be coming off a win that is not
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 2: gonna make them over confident whe they beat Vancouver, but
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 2: they have momentum coming into this one.
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: I think maybe the home team kind of has.
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 2: A little bit more of an advantage in some of
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 2: these games too, just because they want to show up
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 2: and give their fans something up before're going into the break.
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 2: We can get a better line on this now too.
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: By the way, the line dropped for minus one forty
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 2: five to minus one twenty seven. And maybe I don't
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 2: know if maybe Vamelka is getting a rest in this
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 2: game or something, but Detroit's the public side sixty seven
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on them. The public's not gonna want
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 2: Utah because Detroit has the better record here, But we'll
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 2: be on Utah fifty percent of the cash on Utah simply,
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 2: I do think it is a letdown spot for Detroit.
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 2: So we'll grab Utah on the money line in that one.
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 2: Let me see, it looks like we might be able
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 2: to get a better price there. Let me see if
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 2: we can rather than laying one forty, which is kind
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 2: of towards the top of what I usually want to lay.
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: Best line out there, I see right now, I see one.
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 2: Thirty at a few different places, not at the absolute
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 2: biggest book, which looks like they have one thirty five,
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 2: and you know what I'm talking about. But yeah, we'll
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 2: change it to minus one thirty. You can get a
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 2: better price on this right now. And again there's a
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 2: reason why Utah's favored here.
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: Too man.
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 2: So the owsmakers do give Utah a little bit of
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 2: respect to and the public is gonna think, oh, I'm
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 2: getting value getting the better team to know, the better
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 2: record plus money there. But given the spot, yeah, Utah
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 2: or pass for me. And again the line just looks very,
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 2: very strange that Utah would be favored like that. Saint
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 2: Louis at Dallas is on TNT For some reason, I
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 2: think this game is gonna be more.
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: To Saint Louis here.
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis probably wants to try to get a win
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 2: before going into the break.
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: They've lost most of their.
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 2: Recent games, including losing twice to Dallas in January in
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 2: late January, so it's a little bit of a quick
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 2: double revenge for Saint Louis here after losing on the
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 2: road and at home to Dallas. Dallas just might not
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 2: take Saint Louis seriously at this point based off of
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 2: those games.
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: Dallas did just beat Winnipeg.
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 2: They do a momentum coming into this one, but I
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 2: would prefer Saint Louis in this one. I just don't
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 2: really see Dallas caring that much about this game, even
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 2: though it is a TV game.
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: They're going into the break after this.
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know how many Olympians Dallas as they have
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 2: a decent amount whatever that is. It looks like seven.
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 2: I think it is what that is. And the Blues
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 2: do a five themselves though, but whatever, yeah, cookie policy whatever.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 2: I think Saint Louis is the side, though, I just
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 2: don't see Dallas really being that focused here. Dallas down
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 2: for minus two to fifty minus one eighty seven reverse
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 2: line movement there against a public Dallas side, eighty eight
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, only eighty four percent of the cash
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 2: on Dallas. So the market Reid is definitely saying Saint
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 2: Louis in that one. I agree, it would be like
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 2: a make your own plus one puck line on that one.
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 2: Probably Edmonton at Calgary. Both these teams just lost to Toronto,
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 2: so both these teams are coming into this game off a.
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: Pretty ugly losses. It is maybe a weird spot.
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 2: For Redmonton to have to go on the road before
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 2: going into the break, but Calgary is having to do
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 2: the same. Excuse Calgary is staying at home, Excuse me,
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 2: But Calgary is coming off the uh the loss to
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 2: a Toronto Excuse me, But yeah, the spot sets up better.
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 2: I think for Calgary here they probably have fewer Olympians
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 2: as well, not that it really matters, but yeah, Calgary
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: has two.
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: We know that Edmonton's gonna have at least a few.
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 2: Actually they only have two obviously McDavid in a dry
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 2: citle or two of them, but I thought they would
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 2: have more than that.
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 1: That's kind of interesting. But either way, I think I
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: due lean to Calgary in the game. They are the
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: teams staying at home.
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 2: It's a little bit of a weird travel spot for Edmonton,
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 2: although I know they go to Calgary all the time,
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 2: but I don't know. To have that last game right
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 2: before going into the Olympics just seems. Yeah, it just
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 2: doesn't seem like the greatest spot. Eighty nine per tickets,
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 2: one hundred percent of the cash on Edmonton probably not accurate.
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 2: They're up for minus one thirty to minus one thirty five.
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 2: It does look way too easy to play Edmonton at
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 2: that price, though, So Calgary would be the way I
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 2: would lean there. Vancouver at Vegas. Vancouver just got destroyed
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 2: again at Utah. They're playing some pretty poor hockey right now. Man,
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 2: maybe they'll show up for a game, try to get
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 2: a win before going into the break going to Vegas. Here,
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 2: Vegas is coming up a loss themselves to Anaheim. Kind
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 2: of an odd loss that they play LA tomorrow, though
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 2: this is not Vegas's last game. I don't really love
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 2: Vegas in the spot, even though they've lost five games
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 2: in a row.
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: That was a close game at Anaheim with LA on deck.
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, it is possible they don't take Vancouver that seriously,
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 2: because who would at this point. So I probably have
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 2: to lean to Vancouver here on the puck line, probably
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 2: because they're a huge underdog. I'm not saying Vegas is
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 2: gonna lose the game, but I think Vancouver plus one
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 2: and a half goals does make sense in this game.
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 2: Vegas down for minus two to ninety two to minus
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 2: two to eighty ninety four percent, take sixty nine percent
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Vegas. So the market read is
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 2: basically saying to fade Vegas here. I don't disagree with that,
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 2: but I don't have a strong.
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: Opinion on it.
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 2: And the last game I'm gonna give on another play,
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 2: and it's gonna be a split puck line play on
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 2: Seattle Uh plus one and a half on the puck
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 2: line minus one fifty two and then the other part
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 2: plus one sixty five on the money line.
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 2: The split on this again, the way that I split
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 2: it is so that the amount to win, I'll do
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 2: it based off of one hundred, so that the amount
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 2: to win on the minus side of the vet should
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 2: be the same as what you're risking on the plus
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 2: side of the bet. So on the puck line part
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 2: of it, you're putting about fifty seven percent of it
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 2: or so on that, and then the whatever you're playing, yeah,
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 2: and then the remainder of that, So the amount that
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 2: you're risking it does not add up to one hundred.
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: Uh, just to make that clear, you're getting with this approach.
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 2: You're making a plus one oh five plus one puck
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 2: line on this, so you're getting plus money by doing
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 2: it that way.
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 1: It's a bit more risk averse.
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 2: I like it because then if they lose by one,
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 2: which does happen quite frequently in hockey, and then you'll
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 2: at least get your money back.
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 1: But I like the spot for Seattle. I know they're
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: on a back to back and I'm usually not gonna
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 1: do this, and they did just lose a wind streak.
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: They were on the road at Anaheim. But I think
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: that there is reason for this.
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 2: Anaheim's in a bad spot, which I'll show you in
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 2: a minute.
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: Seattle.
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 2: They did at least have a couple of days off
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 2: prior to yesterday's game.
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: So I think they will show up with some focus
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: try to get a win here.
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a back to back, but they're only traveling
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 2: up the road from Anaheim to La.
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: At the very least, with a few days off before that.
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 2: And they use Groobauer and Net and now and so decord,
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 2: we'll be back in Net most likely for this one.
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 2: And he's been basically their better goaling. Now, if we
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 2: look at the spot for I think I said Anaheim,
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 2: I meant La. If you look at the spot for La,
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 2: it's not good.
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: Man. They're turning on from a road trip that they've.
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 2: Been on since January twenty fourth, so this is the
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 2: longest road trip return. This is a very very strange spot.
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 2: It's a ridicut spot for the Kings. So already that's
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 2: bad because we're turning over from a road trip. You
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 2: can get unfocused. You have to get back to home life.
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 2: You got stuff to do. And yeah, they've had a
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 2: couple of days off, so they do have a rest
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 2: advantage here, but I don't even think that's gonna help
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 2: because I think in the return home spot that will
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 2: actually make you focus more on being back home whatever.
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 2: You gotta get stuff done. And they actually have to
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 2: go and play Vegas tomorrow, so LA has a bit
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 2: of a look ahead there to a good Vegas team tomorrow.
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 2: So that's not good either. It's one of these like
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 2: kind of road sandwiches that they're in here. So I
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 2: don't like the spot at all for the Kings. And
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 2: they finished their road trip with the pretty brutal overtime
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 2: loss to Carolina, so that's their last game they played.
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 2: They played really well in that game, so I don't
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 2: like the spot for the Kings at all. And the
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 2: Kings are also not good at home, as I keep
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 2: pointing out, they're eight ten and seven at home. That
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 2: is horrendous, dude. They have eight wins and seventeen losses
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 2: at home, including the ot losses.
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: That's crazy.
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 2: And they go into overtime quite a bit too, which
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 2: does help us Seattle. If we're gonna go with Seattle
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 2: to just cover here, Seattle's.
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: Been okay on the road.
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 2: I mean they're above five hundred if you don't include
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 2: the overtime losses. So that's also good for taking a
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 2: huge taking a puck line here, excuse you, or doing
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 2: something like a split bet here. The money is all
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 2: over the Seattle side here. La is already down for
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 2: minus two five to minus one sixty four. If the
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 2: line keeps dropping, I think it might make sense to
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 2: just go Seattle money line only here because the line
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 2: is looking like it's gonna keep dropping here. You probably
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 2: can't find the numbers anymore that I just gave out, unfortunately,
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 2: but it looks like a huge, very strong market read
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 2: on Seattle here, and I obviously agree with that. King's
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 2: fifty three percent of tickets on them seventy two percent
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Seattle. So the money is agreement
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 2: with me on Seattle. We're going with it. It looks like
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 2: a market agreement with me on all of my plays
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 2: that I gave out here. So that's what we're doing Seattle.
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 2: And that's it for the place here. But we do
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 2: have to talk about NBA. We'll get it done before
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 2: the top of the hour. Man, I'm gonna have to
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 2: go get lunch too. Not a ton of NBA games today,
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 2: but I think seven there is an ESPN doubleheader. First
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 2: game up is Denver at New York because this is
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 2: a pretty good game. Both of the ESPN games are good.
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 2: There are a few really good games in the NBA
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 2: here tonight.
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 2: Denver just had a pretty difficult loss on the road
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 2: yesterday against Detroit, so they're actually playing a third game
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 2: in four days, a back to back. They plade Oklahoma
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 2: City on Sunday, so the spot is not exactly great
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 2: for Denver here with a lot of travel here coming
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 2: up of an already difficult game yesterday. The spot sets
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 2: up a lot better for the Knicks, who unfortunately beat
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 2: us yesterday and had a very easy time beating Washington yesterday.
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 2: Coming back home off of that, it's a much much
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 2: easier spot for the Knicks here. Even though they are
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 2: traveling back from Washington. That travel spot is still better
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 2: for them, more familiar for them. I would lean to
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 2: the Knicks in this game, but the money is completely
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 2: disagreeing with me, and I don't really get why the
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 2: Knicks are up from six and a half to seven here.
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 2: Sixty three percent of tickets on them though, but seventy
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on the Nuggets. That doesn't
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 2: make any sense to me, Like, do you really think
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 2: the public is coming in and laying points with the Knicks?
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: Like, when you look at these teams.
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 2: Records, the Nuggets have a pretty good record, a better
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 2: one than the Knicks, So why would the public be
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 2: laying points of the Knicks.
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 1: That doesn't make sense to me. I don't get it.
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: To me.
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 2: The line looks big, like when you could when you
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 2: think it's gonna be a competitive game, that line looks
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 2: kind of big. Considering that the Knicks are very good
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 2: at home, twenty and six at home, huge home road
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 2: splits for the Knicks. They're way better at home. The
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 2: they're the anti Rangers when the Knicks actually play really
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 2: good in Madison Square Garden, Denver is better on the
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 2: road than at home, though, believe it or not, nineteen
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 2: and eight on the road, so they are a very
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 2: good road team. I'm looking at the injury report here,
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 2: like what's going on here? What's going on with this line?
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 2: I don't really see a whole lot to me, honest,
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 2: going on with this injury report as far as like
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 2: a difference from one game to the next. So I
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 2: don't get it. I would prefer the Knicks in this game.
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 2: The money seems to completely disagree with it. You know,
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 2: play the game at your own risk. Basically, Minnesota at Toronto.
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 2: Minnesota's coming up an ugly loss to the Grizzlies. That
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 2: was a zigzag for the Grizzlies. So yeah, Minnesota, you know,
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 2: I mean they just probably overlooked Memphis in that second
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 2: game against Memphis. Memphis made the adjustments, whatever the case was.
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 2: Now Minnesota's going up to Toronto. Maybe they will show
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 2: up for a game against Toronto. Toronto's not good at home,
• 2:00:31
  Speaker 2: by the way, they're fourteen and eleven. Minnesota is not
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 2: as good on the road either, but Toronto definitely is
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 2: not very good at home, so their home advantage is
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 2: not strong. Toronto's just coming up beating Utah at home though,
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 2: to end a losing streets. So Toronto's spot is not
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 2: that bad, and you gotta think they will show up
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 2: for a game against Minnesota.
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 1: So it's a tough read in this game.
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 2: And of course we got to pay attention to all
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 2: these trades that are going on with in the NBA
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 2: here as well.
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: So I don't think it's gonna affect these games.
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 2: But this game, look into the market read the market
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 2: readers all over the Timberwolves.
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: Even though they dropped from three and a half.
• 2:01:07
  Speaker 2: To two, they have seventy four percent of the money
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 2: on them and fifty nine percent of the tickets are
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 2: on Toronto. I don't know why the public would be
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 2: playing Toronto. I don't buy that they are. But I
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 2: think when you have the t Wolves as the better team,
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 2: the Raptor is not very good at home, the te
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 2: Wolves coming off a bad loss, should get a focused performance.
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 1: Out of them.
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 2: I probably agree with the t Wolves in that one,
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 2: but not really a strong opinion. Again, I don't like
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 2: the board today at all. My boss is Celtics are
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 2: at Houston. Celtics are on a back to back, which
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 2: isn't that easy, although they only.
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: Played Dallas last night.
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 2: They got the win thankfully against Dallas, but they aren't
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 2: a back to back. A third game, yeah, third game
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 2: at four days, all in different cities, so it's not
• 2:01:47
  Speaker 2: really that easy for the Celtics, although they're not going
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 2: to overlook Houston, but still the rest advantage does lie
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 2: with Houston. Houston just had a game that wasn't that
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 2: great against Indiana, where they still won but barely got
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 2: buy them. They are coming back home from that, but
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's that big of a deal. It's
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 2: just a single road game. They should focus on the
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 2: Celtics here. The Celtics to just trade Simons away. So
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 2: the Celtics went and they traded one of their scorers
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 2: a way to get a big man Vouchvich, who I
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 2: doubt is gonna be there yet for the Celtics.
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: He's also on the.
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 2: Older side, so the Celtics are basically that tells you
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 2: they're trying to win right now with that move. We'll
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 2: see how it works out. Simon's is also not very
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 2: good defensively, so there is that, But the Celtics will
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 2: likely not have Voucevic yet for this game, so it's
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 2: probably not a huge deal other than one of Simon's
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 2: for this one. But I still kind of prefer Houston
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 2: in this one. I think the spot does set up
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 2: a little bit better for them with the rest advantage
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 2: and coming off kind of an ugly performance against Indiana,
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 2: but the.
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: Money is kind of disagreeing.
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 2: He sits down from six to five here, fifty six
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets and fifty seven percent of the
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 2: cash on the Celtics, so the money is coming in
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 2: on the Boston side a little bit here. But I
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 2: don't think I liked that. I would probably lean Houston.
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 2: Like I said, Celtics are only okay on the road
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 2: at sixteen and ten. I mean, that's not bad for
• 2:03:07
  Speaker 2: a road record, but Houston is very, very good at
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 2: home seventeen and four. Looking at the team's records, the
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 2: team's records are very similar, which you might also have
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 2: the public thinking that this line might be a little
• 2:03:19
  Speaker 2: bit too big. But yeah, I would lean to Houston
• 2:03:22
  Speaker 2: and that one myself. We'll see what happens with the market.
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 2: Read later in the day. New Orleans at Milwaukee. Oh boy,
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 2: this is an ugly game.
• 2:03:31
  Speaker 1: On New Orleans. They're coming off pretty bad, blown loss.
• 2:03:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm pissed because I gave that out on
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 2: the show, and luckily for anybody that got the seven,
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 2: it pushed on New Orleans. And I know probably a
• 2:03:44
  Speaker 2: lot of people at six and a half. So I apologize.
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, well, I shouldn't apologize because it was the
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 2: right side. It's just an not even well unlucky, but.
• 2:03:53
  Speaker 1: Just a horrible beat.
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 2: New Orleans was winning that game outright by double digits
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 2: at halftime at Charlotte, and they still were winning out right.
• 2:04:00
  Speaker 1: In the fourth quarter.
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 2: Really really pissed that New Orleans lost that game, but
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 2: maybe coming off of that, they won't be in the
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 2: greatest spot coming off almost upsetting Charlotte. Now they got
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 2: this Milwaukee team that is in total disarray, doesn't have
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 2: Yannis whatever, and New Orleans does have a bigger game
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 2: on deck against Minnesota, so I don't see them being
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 2: in a good.
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 1: Spot here at all.
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 2: But all the turmoil surrounding Yannis might have Milwaukee in
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 2: a distracted state as well. Though they did just get
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 2: a win despite it being a return home spot. They
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 2: beat Chicago yesterday and that ended a five game losing
• 2:04:33
  Speaker 2: streak for them, so they actually have some momentum coming
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 2: off of that game.
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: And I know they're on a back to back, but
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 1: I might have to lean to the Bucks in this game.
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 2: Although you really got to worry about, you know, just
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 2: is there a lot of I don't know, you have
• 2:04:47
  Speaker 2: to worry about the like the unknown right like the
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 2: confusion right now that's going going on around Yannis because
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 2: it's like will he stay with the team.
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: Is he gonna get traded?
• 2:04:57
  Speaker 2: We don't know yet, you know, so that you don't
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 2: like how in that question mark above your head, you know,
• 2:05:01
  Speaker 2: because you don't know how the team's going to proceed forward.
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 2: So that's not exactly great for the Bucks. But in
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 2: this game, I due lean to the Bucks. The Pelicans
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 2: run to a five point favorite, from four and a
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 2: half to five. They're a five.
• 2:05:14
  Speaker 1: Point road favorite. Give me a break, man.
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 2: Should the Pelicans be a five point road favorite against
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 2: any team in the NBA?
• 2:05:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 2:05:24
  Speaker 2: That Probably means some other guys who are not playing
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 2: for the Bucks here though, but that is just such
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 2: an awful line. That's ridiculous. Fifty two percent of tickets
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 2: are on New Orleans. That makes no sense. I don't
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 2: know why the public would want New Orleans at all.
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 2: Seventy nine percent of the cash on the Bucks. The
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 2: market read does agree with me on taking the points
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 2: with the Bucks. But there's something else going on here.
• 2:05:45
  Speaker 2: There's something fishy here.
• 2:05:49
  Speaker 1: Let me see here, who.
• 2:05:49
  Speaker 2: Else is not playing Portois game time decision for the Bucks.
• 2:05:54
  Speaker 2: We know Giannis is out already.
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: What is going on here? Crap? Kevin Porter is out?
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 1: How long has he been out. I don't know.
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 2: He's been out for a while though, right, Yeah, he's
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 2: been out for like a month or no, not a month.
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 2: He's only been out for a couple of weeks, my mistake.
• 2:06:11
  Speaker 2: So it looks like he might be coming back soon.
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 2: But I don't think he's playing yet. Although when I
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 2: just looked at that at that news, it looked like
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 2: he was close to returning.
• 2:06:24
  Speaker 1: It looks like he actually could play today. That's crazy.
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 2: If he returns, I'm not even sure that's a bad
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 2: thing for the Bucks. At least if you play the
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 2: Bucks now and you get Porter back, at least it'll
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 2: probably knock the line down a little bit. And then
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 2: Portis he last played on February first, so I don't know.
• 2:06:43
  Speaker 2: He didn't play against the Bulls, but I think he
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 2: might play tonight. To be honest, I don't know. He's
• 2:06:47
  Speaker 2: like their best player with Giannis out, So I don't know.
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 2: I don't really get it. I mean, you still got
• 2:06:53
  Speaker 2: Kuzma there, Turners, so I don't know. I don't really
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 2: get what's going on with this line unless you're thinking that.
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: Portos and of Portis and Porter, unless they're both not
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 1: gonna play. I don't know.
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 2: That sounds like it should be a like a brewery
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 2: or something. Portis and Porter a guy named Portas who
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 2: makes porters. I don't know, but I do lean to
• 2:07:13
  Speaker 2: the Bucks in that game ESPN. The second game of
• 2:07:16
  Speaker 2: the doubleheader is a huge game Thunder at Spurs Oklahoma
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 2: City at San Antonio.
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 1: Of course, we know the.
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 2: Thunder struggled against the Spurs, losing I think three times
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 2: to them, or maybe four. I don't know how many
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 2: times they play them this year. They played them an
• 2:07:30
  Speaker 2: extra time because they played them.
• 2:07:31
  Speaker 1: In the NBA COP But.
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City did get the win over them the last
• 2:07:36
  Speaker 2: time they played at home. They won in kind of
• 2:07:38
  Speaker 2: a blowout by twenty one, I think at home. So
• 2:07:42
  Speaker 2: maybe there is a little bit of revenge for San
• 2:07:44
  Speaker 2: Antonio this time. But Oklahoma City does know that San
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 2: Antonio has had the upper hand against them this season,
• 2:07:50
  Speaker 2: so I don't think they're gonna overlook the Spurs in
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 2: a TV.
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: Game, man. But Oklahoma City is on a back to back.
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 1: They had to play Orlando yesterday and Oklahoma's city if
• 2:08:01
  Speaker 1: you dive into the box score there, Hartenstein and Holmgren
• 2:08:04
  Speaker 1: both actually played in the game, but none of their
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 1: guys played that many minutes, so they.
• 2:08:08
  Speaker 2: Limited like SGA in the game yesterday. So Oklahoma City
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 2: was preparing for this game, man. So even though they're
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 2: on a back to back, not every back to back
• 2:08:18
  Speaker 2: is equal. And Okay sees starters didn't play that many
• 2:08:21
  Speaker 2: minutes last night, so they should be okay on the
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 2: back to back, but it is still a back to back.
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 2: It is still a third road game in four games,
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 2: and in the last whatever that is, they had a
• 2:08:33
  Speaker 2: couple of days off there, so it's not in six days.
• 2:08:35
  Speaker 2: I think it's in seven days, but it's still a
• 2:08:37
  Speaker 2: third game in four days as well, so you know,
• 2:08:40
  Speaker 2: rest wise is still not exactly the greatest spot for Okay.
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 2: See San Antonio also just played Orlando, but they have
• 2:08:46
  Speaker 2: extra rest. They haven't played since Sunday, so the spot
• 2:08:49
  Speaker 2: does set up better for the Spurs. There's no doubt
• 2:08:51
  Speaker 2: about that. They do have the rest advantage. They really
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 2: just have this game to focus on, so I will
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 2: lean to the Spurs.
• 2:08:57
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 2:08:58
  Speaker 2: Thunder down from two to one and a half. Here,
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 2: fifty two percent of tickets on the Thunder, seventy four
• 2:09:02
  Speaker 2: percent of cash on the Spurs, though the money's coming
• 2:09:05
  Speaker 2: in on the Spurs. I worry about this line though,
• 2:09:08
  Speaker 2: Like the Thunder have been a decent sized favorite against
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 2: the Spurs anythink, in every game this year, so I
• 2:09:13
  Speaker 2: don't know why the line has changed that much coming
• 2:09:16
  Speaker 2: into this game where it looks like there might actually
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 2: be some line value on the Thunder and they don't
• 2:09:20
  Speaker 2: really have any huge injuries here coming into this except
• 2:09:23
  Speaker 2: Jalen Williams kind of is a you know, somewhat of
• 2:09:26
  Speaker 2: a big deal.
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 1: He's still out, but I don't know.
• 2:09:30
  Speaker 2: I worry about the line value here and whether or
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 2: not it's there or the situation is better for the Spurs.
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 2: But I think the Thunder got knocked down on the
• 2:09:37
  Speaker 2: line a little bit because it is the back to
• 2:09:39
  Speaker 2: back and whatever. So I don't really see a whole
• 2:09:42
  Speaker 2: lot of line value.
• 2:09:43
  Speaker 1: There for the Spurs.
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 2: Memphis at Sacramento, Memphis just made a pretty wild trade
• 2:09:49
  Speaker 2: that involved a lot of different pieces, including trading I
• 2:09:54
  Speaker 2: forget his name, one of their best players. Memphis traded
• 2:09:57
  Speaker 2: Jackson Junior over to It was a three way trade.
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what went on in that trade, man.
• 2:10:03
  Speaker 2: I think it actually might have evolved Sacramento, who they're
• 2:10:05
  Speaker 2: playing tonight. This is a really hard game to handicap, man,
• 2:10:09
  Speaker 2: because some of these guys are just not gonna be
• 2:10:10
  Speaker 2: there now. So Memphis is Memphis is basically rebuilding at
• 2:10:15
  Speaker 2: this point, man, because Edie is hurting, Morant is hurt.
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 2: They're not going anywhere this year. They just dealt Jackson,
• 2:10:21
  Speaker 2: trying to get something for him. I don't know what
• 2:10:24
  Speaker 2: this game is gonna look like tonight, and Memphis is
• 2:10:26
  Speaker 2: coming up upsetting Minnesota. Yes it did end along losing
• 2:10:29
  Speaker 2: stream for them, but I don't know, man, they could
• 2:10:31
  Speaker 2: be in a.
• 2:10:31
  Speaker 1: Letdown spot here.
• 2:10:33
  Speaker 2: Yes, it is a first game of a road trip,
• 2:10:35
  Speaker 2: but I don't love that especially. I mean, usually I
• 2:10:38
  Speaker 2: do like it, like the first game of the road trip.
• 2:10:40
  Speaker 2: I usually do like it because the team usually is
• 2:10:42
  Speaker 2: focused and they want to get the road trip off
• 2:10:44
  Speaker 2: on the right foot. But in this case, I don't
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 2: know about that, because again, they're coming off that huge
• 2:10:49
  Speaker 2: one over Minnesota. They have all these new pieces that
• 2:10:52
  Speaker 2: probably aren't even there yet.
• 2:10:54
  Speaker 1: And what else is like, I forget what else I
• 2:10:58
  Speaker 1: was gonna say. I don't know.
• 2:10:58
  Speaker 2: I had some other thought in my mine too, but yeah,
• 2:11:01
  Speaker 2: I just I don't know. I just don't know if
• 2:11:03
  Speaker 2: I like it. Man for Sacramento here, they're coming off
• 2:11:06
  Speaker 2: a loss to Washington.
• 2:11:07
  Speaker 1: Doesn't get a whole lot uglier than that.
• 2:11:09
  Speaker 2: Really, I think Sacramento is a pretty big favorite there.
• 2:11:11
  Speaker 2: But Sacramento's in a really, really awful spot here because
• 2:11:14
  Speaker 2: they're turning on from a road trip that they've been
• 2:11:17
  Speaker 2: on since January twenty third, where they went to the
• 2:11:20
  Speaker 2: Midwest and then up and down the East Coast, and
• 2:11:22
  Speaker 2: now they're back home.
• 2:11:23
  Speaker 1: So that's a horrible spot for Sacramento.
• 2:11:25
  Speaker 2: As I was talking about, when a team has a
• 2:11:27
  Speaker 2: long road trip and they return home, stuff has to
• 2:11:30
  Speaker 2: get done back at home and you get back home.
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 2: So I really don't like the spot for the Kings here.
• 2:11:35
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on the Grizzlies. The Kings are
• 2:11:37
  Speaker 2: down for two and a half to one, fifty percent
• 2:11:40
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the Grizzlies, sixty six percent of the
• 2:11:42
  Speaker 2: cash on the Grizzlies. You know, it's a horrible spot
• 2:11:45
  Speaker 2: for both teams. If you forced me to give a side,
• 2:11:48
  Speaker 2: I guess I have to fade the team that's returning
• 2:11:50
  Speaker 2: on from a road trip. So I would I guess
• 2:11:53
  Speaker 2: have to lean to the Grizzlies. But it is just insane, man.
• 2:11:56
  Speaker 2: I have to even wrap my head around what the
• 2:11:58
  Speaker 2: hell that trade was. Let me see if there's some
• 2:12:02
  Speaker 2: news on. I don't even know what that trade even was, man,
• 2:12:04
  Speaker 2: it was something crazy would involved the Jazz.
• 2:12:09
  Speaker 1: Let me see here.
• 2:12:14
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna try to read this real quick. The Jazz
• 2:12:17
  Speaker 2: got Jackson's that's interesting. A Jazz is gonna have. Yeah,
• 2:12:21
  Speaker 2: it'll be an interesting team with the Jazz there. They're
• 2:12:24
  Speaker 2: reforming their team a little bit there. Memphis is getting
• 2:12:27
  Speaker 2: three first rounders, and they got Walter Clayton formerly of Florida.
• 2:12:32
  Speaker 2: Very young players, still rookie. And they got Anderson Hendrix
• 2:12:36
  Speaker 2: Niang who's been all over the place. He was on
• 2:12:38
  Speaker 2: the Celtics right before the start of the season. Jazz
• 2:12:43
  Speaker 2: getting Landale conchar Vince Williams.
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 1: That's kind of odd. I don't know.
• 2:12:51
  Speaker 2: It seems like those guys are just kind of throw
• 2:12:53
  Speaker 2: ins there. It's very very strange. So we'll see what
• 2:12:58
  Speaker 2: happens there and then I guess, yeah, I don't know.
• 2:13:03
  Speaker 2: I guess there's something going on with all that. That
• 2:13:04
  Speaker 2: was a lot of first rounders to give up though,
• 2:13:08
  Speaker 2: so I don't know, we'll see how that works out
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 2: for those teams. But yeah, I mean, just a lot
• 2:13:12
  Speaker 2: of craziness there. Sacramento was not involved in the trade.
• 2:13:15
  Speaker 1: It was.
• 2:13:16
  Speaker 2: Memphis, Utah and I already forget but yeah, so whatever,
• 2:13:25
  Speaker 2: Cleveland and La here to finish this off. Not the Lakers,
• 2:13:28
  Speaker 2: the Clippers. Cleveland just gotta win over Portland. They're continuing
• 2:13:35
  Speaker 2: a road trip here. They do have some momentum here.
• 2:13:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, probably not gonna overlook the Clippers with Sacramento
• 2:13:40
  Speaker 2: on deck. Clippers have been a bit better at home.
• 2:13:43
  Speaker 2: They're playing better recently as well. They just took a
• 2:13:46
  Speaker 2: pretty ugly loss and return home spot, so not the
• 2:13:49
  Speaker 2: greatest spot.
• 2:13:49
  Speaker 1: Obviously, losing to Philadelphia.
• 2:13:52
  Speaker 2: A lot of times when that happens, you do bounce
• 2:13:54
  Speaker 2: back in the next game off of a loss like that,
• 2:13:56
  Speaker 2: so it's kind of a focused spot for both teams.
• 2:13:59
  Speaker 2: Then it comes down to which team is actually the
• 2:14:01
  Speaker 2: better team, although I think that's the Calves. The money
• 2:14:04
  Speaker 2: is actually coming in against the Calves. I mean, the
• 2:14:07
  Speaker 2: odds makers are telling you the Calves are the better team.
• 2:14:09
  Speaker 2: They're off from one and a half to two. But
• 2:14:10
  Speaker 2: they're the public side the public still doesn't like the
• 2:14:12
  Speaker 2: Clippers because their overall record is still bad. I think
• 2:14:16
  Speaker 2: the Clippers actually just traded James Harden too, So that's
• 2:14:20
  Speaker 2: something a lot of weird, a lot of crazy stuff
• 2:14:22
  Speaker 2: going on.
• 2:14:23
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 2:14:25
  Speaker 2: Wait, these two teams just traded with each other. How
• 2:14:27
  Speaker 2: did I miss that? I knew Hardin got traded.
• 2:14:31
  Speaker 1: Wait is that right? Let me see.
• 2:14:36
  Speaker 2: No, it said hard and Garland some I'm like, yeah, yeah,
• 2:14:44
  Speaker 2: So the Clippers just traded with the with the Calves,
• 2:14:47
  Speaker 2: who they're playing tonight.
• 2:14:48
  Speaker 1: So does that mean that the guys will actually play?
• 2:14:51
  Speaker 1: It's one of those weird trades where you just got
• 2:14:53
  Speaker 1: traded to your opponent. Ere I don't know.
• 2:14:56
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they're gonna play or not. But
• 2:14:57
  Speaker 2: Garland is now on the Clippers. He's been hurt anyway though,
• 2:15:00
  Speaker 2: so I don't think he's gonna play.
• 2:15:04
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. And maybe Harden might not play
• 2:15:07
  Speaker 1: tonight either. I have no idea.
• 2:15:08
  Speaker 2: Man, that's very very strange. He's been out for personal reasons.
• 2:15:13
  Speaker 2: So there's a chance hard in place just because his
• 2:15:16
  Speaker 2: new team, the Calves, are there. The Calves are trying
• 2:15:20
  Speaker 2: to win right now. With that trade, Man, that's what
• 2:15:22
  Speaker 2: they're doing. They're going for a playoff run by getting
• 2:15:24
  Speaker 2: hard and we'll see what happens there.
• 2:15:27
  Speaker 1: Man very very strange.
• 2:15:28
  Speaker 2: But as far as the market is concerned, seventy three
• 2:15:33
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, only sixty four percent of the cash
• 2:15:35
  Speaker 2: on the Calves.
• 2:15:36
  Speaker 1: So the public wants the Calves.
• 2:15:37
  Speaker 2: And you know what, I think the public is reacting
• 2:15:39
  Speaker 2: to the hard in trade because they probably think, oh, well,
• 2:15:42
  Speaker 2: the Calves got hard and Garland's hurt and he's not
• 2:15:44
  Speaker 2: even playing, so they probably think that was a good
• 2:15:46
  Speaker 2: deal for the public is probably just going to grab
• 2:15:49
  Speaker 2: the Calves for that reason, and I would want to
• 2:15:52
  Speaker 2: fade that sentiment myself. So because of that, I will
• 2:15:55
  Speaker 2: actually lean to the Clippers in this game. There are
• 2:15:57
  Speaker 2: a lot of trades to be aware of here. Man
• 2:16:00
  Speaker 2: only into the Clippers there. But I'm staying away from
• 2:16:02
  Speaker 2: the NBA card today. That's gonna do it once again
• 2:16:05
  Speaker 2: my place today, very long episode today plays one more
• 2:16:08
  Speaker 2: time College basketball. Minnesota plus the points, UMKC, Kansas City
• 2:16:13
  Speaker 2: plus the points.
• 2:16:14
  Speaker 1: Maybe I should just call them.
• 2:16:15
  Speaker 2: Kansas City, right, but whatever, Northwestern plus the points, Oklahoma
• 2:16:21
  Speaker 2: State plus the points, all underdogs, only one favorite and
• 2:16:26
  Speaker 2: it's in hockey and hockey we have Nashville money Line,
• 2:16:28
  Speaker 2: Utah money line the only favorite there, and then Seattle
• 2:16:31
  Speaker 2: split bet puck line money line. But if the price
• 2:16:34
  Speaker 2: gets a bit too low, I would start looking money
• 2:16:36
  Speaker 2: line instead. If we're getting like if Seattle, if you know,
• 2:16:41
  Speaker 2: LA is around like a minus one fifty, maybe at
• 2:16:45
  Speaker 2: that point I would start just saying, just play the
• 2:16:47
  Speaker 2: money line on Seattle there. But that's gonna do it. JC,
• 2:16:51
  Speaker 2: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out right at the
• 2:16:53
  Speaker 2: end of the show, Dirty Sock, Thank you, sir.
• 2:16:56
  Speaker 1: Let's get some wins.
• 2:16:57
  Speaker 2: As always, learned a towe on Twitter. You can subscribe
• 2:17:01
  Speaker 2: to me there as well. That'll help me out, and
• 2:17:03
  Speaker 2: learn a tone on Instagram like subscribe, uh you know,
• 2:17:06
  Speaker 2: reply comment on the channel here.
• 2:17:09
  Speaker 1: That helps me out as well.
• 2:17:10
  Speaker 2: Listen on an audio review on audio Apple, Spotify. I
• 2:17:12
  Speaker 2: want to boost this thing up, man, I think I'm
• 2:17:15
  Speaker 2: too long winded. Covered in yupe my yuke channel on YouTube.
• 2:17:19
  Speaker 2: You can check that out Patreon dot com. Learn to
• 2:17:21
  Speaker 2: toe some extra yuke stuff there, and just if you
• 2:17:24
  Speaker 2: want to support me, that helps as well.
• 2:17:26
  Speaker 1: I appreciate all of that. Loser Cast did an episode
• 2:17:30
  Speaker 1: last night my pick was.
• 2:17:34
  Speaker 2: My pick was African American Neighborhoods in the United States,
• 2:17:39
  Speaker 2: So you can go check check that episode out. I
• 2:17:42
  Speaker 2: threw everybody for Curveball in that one. Check that out.
• 2:17:46
  Speaker 2: That was a fun episode again that I had to
• 2:17:48
  Speaker 2: piss at the end of it. I was basically like
• 2:17:50
  Speaker 2: falling asleep at my desk by the end of it.
• 2:17:52
  Speaker 1: So go check that out too. That's gonna do it, man.
• 2:17:55
  Speaker 1: I'll figure out what the rest of my schedule is
• 2:17:56
  Speaker 1: gonna look like.
• 2:17:57
  Speaker 2: I might do a Super Bowl show maybe tonight, just
• 2:18:01
  Speaker 2: to get the info out there because.
• 2:18:04
  Speaker 1: A lot of times, well, the problem is, like I
• 2:18:06
  Speaker 1: gotta get the props straight. Now. I don't know if
• 2:18:08
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have any player props or not.
• 2:18:09
  Speaker 2: I'm not really that much of a player prop guy, really,
• 2:18:12
  Speaker 2: so I don't know if I'm gonna do it or not.
• 2:18:13
  Speaker 2: But one thing that I will tell you is for
• 2:18:16
  Speaker 2: player props, if you're playing overs on the player props,
• 2:18:20
  Speaker 2: you want to play the overs earlier because the public's
• 2:18:23
  Speaker 2: gonna come out to Vegas like Thursday, Friday, Saturday. They're
• 2:18:27
  Speaker 2: gonna start hammering the overs for the most part, so
• 2:18:30
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get better numbers on the over early early
• 2:18:33
  Speaker 2: on the overs in like player props and stuff. If
• 2:18:35
  Speaker 2: you like the unders, I would wait and play them
• 2:18:38
  Speaker 2: closer to game time because the public will probably drive
• 2:18:40
  Speaker 2: those up because they just play over. So that is
• 2:18:42
  Speaker 2: a general rule with props, but also usually with just
• 2:18:46
  Speaker 2: overs unders kind of in general. That's gonna do it
• 2:18:49
  Speaker 2: for now. Subscribe to the channel and you'll see when
• 2:18:52
  Speaker 2: I come back next.
• 2:18:53
  Speaker 1: And then I'm.
• 2:18:54
  Speaker 2: Going to a show Friday, so I gotta see what
• 2:18:58
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna do about the stupid call much basketball show
• 2:19:01
  Speaker 2: that I have to do. That's gonna take for absolutely ever,
• 2:19:04
  Speaker 2: So I gotta at least handicap the games earlier or something.
• 2:19:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I have to try to figure that out.
• 2:19:09
  Speaker 1: That's going to do it for now, though. Peace